Small Asteroid To Buzz Earth
ddelmonte writes in to tell us about a small near-earth object, discovered just 2 days ago, that is expected to pass within 64,000 km of our planet on March 2, 13:44 UT. NEO 2009 DD45 will be well inside the Moon's orbit and just under twice the altitude of geosynchronous satellites. According to Sky and Telescope, 2009 DD45's closest approach will be over the Pacific west of Tahiti, so observers in Australia, Japan, and perhaps Hawaii will have the best chance of spotting it with, say, an 8-in. telescope. Here's where you can generate an ephemeris of the object for your location. At closest approach NEO 2009 DD45 will be moving half a degree per minute and peaking around magnitude 10.5. It will be brighter than 13th magnitude for only a few hours.
AHHHHH!!!!
AHHHHHHHH!!!
Why can't we send a probe that will land on this asteroid and then piggy ride on it. That way we don't need more fuel to carry it round the solar system. If the asteroid doesn't go where we want, then have a relaunch mechanism for the probe to get off at the most suitable point in the asteroid's orbit.
AHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!
(IANARS) There's simply no way that any space agency could prepare and launch a probe with less than three days notice, and likely no good way to pre-build one without knowing what size/speed asteroid we might be lucky enough to launch at.
The Tunguska object would have been about that size. The article compares it to the October 7 2008 object, which was only a couple of metres across. Thats why it didn't get much attention.
C-C-C-COMBO BREAKER
radius of the earth is 6400km, so it will be at ten times the radius of the earth. It will experiance an acceleration from the earth of about 0.1m/s^2. In those few hours it will be greater than 13th magnitude it's velocity will change by about 1km/s or ~30000km/h from the force of the earth alone.
Assuming of course you count Cruithne as a moon. What happens once it passes our gravity?
The preceding post was not a Slashvertisement.
they say that asteroids this size hit earth every month without any notice. I would be more worried about comets that we cant pick up till it gets closer to the sun and at that point if it is headed towards earth you only have around 6 months to a year
Suppose the main (heavy) probe was sitting in GEO or something, but shot a lightweight harpoon into the meteor's orbit. Then the trick would be to get the tether to pay out quickly, and the main probe to slowly increase tension so it can accelerate into the meteor's orbit.
Tsunami -- You can't bring a good wave down!
/ducks
Three days notice. 20 to 50 meter diameter. Assume it's dense rock and a vertical impact trajectory into the ocean (avg. 1000 m depth).
Impact energy 116 kT to 1.8 MT. Very near the lowest energy potential impact of the known NEOs, actually. Not relevant here since the object quite clearly misses. But if and when one doesn't miss, someplace is going to catch a small to medium nuke sized blast, and there won't be time to do squat about it.
My money says we'll have the capability to defend ourselves against such an impact. The second time.
"I may be synthetic, but I'm not stupid." -- Bishop 341-B
The slashdot post says twice the altitude of geosynchronous satellites. Maybe, but only if it was 32,000 miles, not kilometers. Geosynchronous orbit is 32,000 miles; this object will be at about 40,000 miles as correctly stated in the original article. Should be amended to remove geosynchronous, or to "just beyond geosynchronous orbit."
This is ghostwriter asking for Permission to Buzz the Earth.
Sturly is a redirection service similar to tinyurl. Luckily it provides a preview. The link wants to send you to the same "dragonslair" link that appeared in the 3D game without polygons story from earlier today.
Looking at the source of the page, it attempts to download a movie on eDonkey, change your AIM name, send off spam emails, open up lots more windows, and probably much more. It also moves the window around so you can't close it, and pops up messages when you try to alt+f4.
In short; DO NOT CLICK THE LINK.
Quick, someone notify Bruce Willis!
Homonyms are fun!
You're driving your car, but they're riding their bikes there.
quick where is the kool-aid?!
I think it was supposed to be Ghostrider. As in, from "Ghostriders in the sky."
Negative Ghostrider, pattern is full. .....
GODDAMMIT!
While right now 64,000 puts it fairly far out in terms of all the junk orbiting the earth, it is significantly closer than the moon is. Even if it still missed the earth, just a few thousand kilometers closer and it could reek havoc on all the man-made junk spinning around the Earth. How much potential damage/debris could that cause?
The musings of just another geek and his junk.
Their aim is getting better. They will hit us eventually if we don't do something about those Bugs, soon.
http://www.lpl.arizona.edu/impacteffects/
And the results are (assumed that you are 2000km from impact - if it hit it would be in the ocean...)
Your Inputs: Distance from Impact: 2000.00 km = 1242.00 miles
Projectile Diameter: 30.00 m = 98.40 ft = 0.02 miles
Projectile Density: 8000 kg/m3
Impact Velocity: 17.00 km/s = 10.56 miles/s
Impact Angle: 90 degrees
Target Density: 1000 kg/m3
Target Type: Liquid Water of depth 100.00
meters, over typical rock.
Energy: Energy before atmospheric entry: 1.63 x 1016 Joules = 3.90 MegaTons TNT
The average interval between impacts of this size somewhere on Earth is 314.0 years
Atmospheric Entry: The projectile begins to breakup at an altitude of 14100 meters = 46100 ft
The projectile reaches the ground in a broken condition. The mass of projectile strikes the surface at velocity 10.8 km/s = 6.7 miles/s The impact energy is 6.58 x 1015 Joules = 1.57 MegaTons.
The broken projectile fragments strike the ground in an ellipse of dimension 0.151 km by 0.151 km
Major Global Changes: The Earth is not strongly disturbed by the impact and loses negligible mass.
The impact does not make a noticeable change in the Earth's rotation period or the tilt of its axis.
The impact does not shift the Earth's orbit noticeably.
Crater Dimensions:
What does this mean?
The crater opened in the water has a diameter of 1.4 km = 0.866 miles
For the crater formed in the seafloor: Crater shape is normal in spite of atmospheric crushing; fragments are not significantly dispersed.
Transient Crater Diameter: 670 m = 2200 ft
Transient Crater Depth: 237 m = 777 ft
Final Crater Diameter: 837 m = 2750 ft
Final Crater Depth: 179 m = 586 ft
The crater formed is a simple crater
The floor of the crater is underlain by a lens of broken rock debris (breccia) with a maximum thickness of 82.8 m = 272 ft.
At this impact velocity ( Thermal Radiation: What does this mean?
At this impact velocity ( Seismic Effects: What does this mean?
The major seismic shaking will arrive at approximately 400 seconds.
Richter Scale Magnitude: 4.4
Mercalli Scale Intensity at a distance of 2000 km:
Nothing would be felt. However, seismic equipment may still detect the shaking.
Shoes for Industry. Shoes for the Dead.
...welcome our new 45 double-D overlords.
In the land of the blind, the one eyed man still has no depth perception.
Let me ask the resident experts: With all the different telescopes that litter the earth, how is it that we miss these types of objects coming so close to our planet? I know that space is vast (practically beyond rational imagination), but is there a way to observe a region of space encompassing several days/weeks/months with objects traveling at a certain speed? What would those costs be? (I bet it would be under 700 Billion USD)
I found this article pretty interesting about a space based constellaton of satellites using radar to track objects on the ground. How about something like this pointing away from earth?:
http://www.globalsecurity.org/space/systems/sr.htm
I think this would be an excellent time for the US to jump back in the lead in science and technology. Take that money going into ideologically based spending, and shove it into space systems that will have actual use. Create methods of early detection of earth impacting objects, and standby means to intercept. The "space industrial complex" could lead to high tech jobs that create a high tech industry that will attract top talent from around the world at rates that rival the early 20th century.
20th century Marxism is not progress...
It is going to require an 8" telescope to see it at 64,000 km. Brightness is inversely proportional to the square of distance. Extrapolate.
Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
If you had several such pre-built probes waiting in orbit, you would have a much better chance, no? The probes would have the advantage that they're already out of the deepest part of Earth's gravity well, and that you could choose the one whose orbit is best. I would think that with only two or three you would be able to do what he wanted.
OTOH, I'm not convinced it would be cost-effective. Depends on how often do asteroids pass by close enough to make it worth our while (and how often they're worth piggy-backing upon), versus the cost saved for getting where you want to go.
I can think of a few purposes.
(1) Set automated computer/video aboard the asteroid, and search out other asteroids. Plot trajectories, and relay info back to earth.
(2) Use asteroid mounted telescopes to take photos of (and out of) the solar system at different times and angles. These are occasional, but are all preset according to time, date, and direction, and match from one asteroid to another. Transmit data to other asteroid riding probes, and any time a probe comes close to earth, transmit that info back to earth. Build a giant parallax multocular telescope network. With the multiple images, we should be able to spot many other in-system asteroids, moons, planetoidal asteroids, and whatnot. With the greater distance between viewing points, we should also be able to get more detail of the extra-solar systems.
Correct Horse Battery Staple: 72 bits of entropy. Enter "Correct H" into google. When it generates the phrase, that's
If we have the deltaV to land on the rock, then we have the deltaV to match its orbit without bothering to land on it. So why waste time with the landing?
Well, you could fire a bullet straight up. If it peaked at say a mile up, its velocity would be zero, but, it could still hit a plane regardless of its velocity if you timed it right.
In the case of the asteroid, we could theoretically, anyway, shoot up something to an altitude of 64k km, have it "hit" the asteroid, and then continue on its merry way. That would be some pretty fancy shooting, but you wouldn't -need- to reach escape velocity. Granted, the old probe would be impacted by something that has twenty times the velocity of a rifle bullet and billions of times the mass, so it would be a short visit. IF he wanted to train for this mission, perhaps we could reactivate an Iowa class battleship and have it fire a full broadside into his chest. I think that would only be a billionth of the forces involved of getting hit by a giant asteroid, but, at least its practice.
This is my sig.
If it's going to be closest to Tahiti, why isn't that the best place to observe it from? Papeete, perhaps?
.. pa-ra-bo-la, pa-ra-bo-la, 2 pi R, 2 pi R, where's your latus rectum, where's your latus rectum, 2 pi R
uh - negative ghostwriter - the pattern is full...
Does anyone else out there look forward to a day we get hit by something semibig?...
I'm not talking end of days... but something big that most everyone on earth would be affected even just a little. Hopefully bringing us closer together... as humans.
I'm not saying we can't evacuate the area's... i'd rather not see anyone get killed... but relocated, change the way things work...
Isn't this EXACTLY how Thundarr the Barbarian starts?
Bungie Cords! Harpoon it and Waahoooo!
Nothing of value would be lost.
Not true. Where would we get Tulips from during the other 11 months of the year?
2 days to say "Oh shit!" "I love you!" and "Goodbye" is what it could have been if this was something much bigger and closer. How the heck do we detect something in that circumstance and do we say anything if we do?
There's a 42 meter European scope that should be complete by 2016, 8" ~=0.2m, telescope diameter is linearly related to distance of detection of a given brightness object, so 12 or 13 million km, so that's effective warning for a 30m asteroid for purposes of orderly evacuation, but not for a space mission.
Destruction goes roughly as the cube of the asteroid diameter while brightness rises as the square, so there's an overall inverse relationship between our ability to detect (using a given size of telescope) and the danger posed. In other words odds are we won't see the big one until it's too late.
Also, it's a big sky. If it comes from a weird direction we very likely won't see it at all. It'll also have a bigger relative velocity and thus much more destructive power (E=m*v^2.)
Telescopes are cheap, though. The risks are existential - the human race could be wiped out. But even on an individual accounting, leaving aside the risk to the human race, if there's a 1 in 10^8 risk of a KT-like event per year that would kill 10^9.8 people, then that's 6800 deaths per year over the long haul. If a life is worth a million bucks to save, then we should be spending at least 6.8 billion a year on asteroid detection and response - actually much more than that counting the danger from the much more numerous smaller asteroids.
"Is life so dear, or peace so sweet, as to be purchased at the price of chains and slavery?" - Patrick Henry
That's 40,000 miles for those of us using standard units.
In space, nobody can hear your onomatopoeias!