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Huge Supernova Baffles Scientists

Iddo Genuth writes "Scientists from the Weizmann Institute of Science in Israel and San Diego State University have observed an explosion of a star 50 times larger than the sun. In what they call a 'first observation of its kind' the scientists were able to notice that most of the star's mass collapsed in on itself, resulting in a creation of a large black hole. While exploding stars, or 'supernovae,' aren't unprecedented, this star, which lay about 200 million light years away from earth and was million times brighter than the Sun, has exploded as a supernova at a much earlier date than the one predicted by astronomers."

65 of 358 comments (clear)

  1. It happens? by mc1138 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Clearly all this proves is that we really don't know that much about what's going on in the universe.

    1. Re:It happens? by AaxelB · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Clearly all this proves is that we really don't know that much about what's going on in the universe.

      Did you ever think we did? We're pretty damn clueless.

      I think we would all do well to remember what Socrates (approximately, probably) said: "The only thing I know is that I know nothing at all."

    2. Re:It happens? by pilgrim23 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20127001.300-space-storm-alert-90-seconds-from-catastrophe.html?full=true some excellent points there. We are about to loose civilization to a new form of "global Warm/toasting"

      --
      - Minutus cantorum, minutus balorum, minutus carborata descendum pantorum.
    3. Re:It happens? by flaming+error · · Score: 2, Funny
    4. Re:It happens? by mabhatter654 · · Score: 4, Funny

      another MythBusters experiment gone wrong!

    5. Re:It happens? by Mt._Honkey · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Clearly all this proves is that we really don't know that much about what's going on in the universe.

      I'm getting tired these kinds of posts every time something unexpected is observed. Yes, this observation tells us that our knowledge is not perfect. However, these claims that every contradiction between experiment and theory means that scientists don't know very much aren't just wrong but irresponsible, because people believe them.

      The vital point I need to make here is that our finite knowledge is not "all this proves". This proves that 50 solar mass stars can supernova before they shed their hydrogen atmospheres. Now we can take that new piece of knowledge and develop new and better theories about stellar evolution. To just throw are hands up and say "all this proves is that we don't know much" is to overlook a valuable opportunity to advance science.

      --

      Don't Bogart the fish sticks
    6. Re:It happens? by Slumdog · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Clearly all this proves is that we really don't know that much about what's going on in the universe.

      Clearly? I think it depends on your sample size. So far we have only been able to collect very little data about some phenomena, and quite a good amount of data about others. So, we do know a lot about some things.

      With an infinite universe (such as ours) and finite lifespan (such as ours) there is only so much data we can collect to gather inferences about what we observe. I think what you are saying is redundant.

    7. Re:It happens? by guyminuslife · · Score: 4, Funny

      Or, knowing those guys, horribly right.

      --
      I don't believe in time. It's a grand conspiracy designed to sell watches.
    8. Re:It happens? by rattaroaz · · Score: 5, Funny

      All your post proves is that that you really don't know all that much about ./ers

    9. Re:It happens? by Ragzouken · · Score: 2, Funny

      For sufficiently finite values of infinity.

    10. Re:It happens? by WilyCoder · · Score: 2

      I was looking for a reason to get wasted tonight and now I have one. Everyday might be the last day, drink up!

    11. Re:It happens? by TheSpoom · · Score: 4, Funny

      Today on MythBusters: What happens when you collide an unmoveable object with an unstoppable force? The results might surprise you!

      --
      It's better to vote for what you want and not get it than to vote for what you don't want and get it.
      - E. Debs
    12. Re:It happens? by merreborn · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Clearly all this proves is that we really don't know that much about what's going on in the universe.

      I'm getting tired these kinds of posts every time something unexpected is observed. Yes, this observation tells us that our knowledge is not perfect.

      You rush to the defense of human knowledge at a time when our own short-sighted ignorance has just brought us to an era of spectacular failure.

      Surely, if the world's finance "experts" really understood economics, they wouldn't have positioned their companies for the collapses they recently saw. Or did AIG's best and brightest know they were setting their company up for catastrophe?

      I have to believe it was ignorance. We wouldn't be where we are now if our "experts" really understood the big picture.

      Humanity knows very little. But understanding just how little we know makes what little we do understand all that much more precious.

    13. Re:It happens? by NewbieProgrammerMan · · Score: 5, Funny

      Damn those DotSlashers!

      --
      [b.belong('us') for b in bases if b.owner() == 'you']
    14. Re:It happens? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I was under the impression that it was managers who ran companies, not economists?

    15. Re:It happens? by FooAtWFU · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Yes... and for that matter, plenty of Economists and Analysts were predicting the impending doom. A few people even managed to make quite a tidy bundle off of it (real estate shorts, in essence). The problem wasn't that nobody knew, it's that nobody was listening because it wasn't what they wanted to hear.

      (Especially the politicians. Nothing so resoundingly bipartisan as the willful ignorance of our impending doom this past decade...)

      --
      The World Wide Web is dying. Soon, we shall have only the Internet.
    16. Re:It happens? by Ruie · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think we would all do well to remember what Socrates (approximately, probably) said: "The only thing I know is that I know nothing at all."

      We have made some progress since then. For once, we know that Earth is round and that Universe is 14 billion years old.

      Modern statement would be "there are many interesting questions to investigate".

    17. Re:It happens? by similar_name · · Score: 5, Informative

      Socrates thought the earth was round.

    18. Re:It happens? by digitalchinky · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'll give you the earth being roughly spherical in shape, but we don't know that the universe is 14 billion years old. That figure is arrived at using more than an assumption or two, it's based on a whole load of things we don't understand, have no data on, or any means to test yet. It might well be accurate, but to say we 'know' is a little premature. Maybe you'll interpret this as nit-picking, I'm not sure. I don't mean for it to be though.

    19. Re:It happens? by digitalunity · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I'll skip modding and reply instead. There are a lot of factors for the economic situation we're in. A lot of them are the feds and politicians faults. Just to name a few, I'll try to be brief...

      • Mortgage terms disclosure rules are antiquated and fantastically inadequate.
      • Due to the above, consumers do not understand the terms of their mortgages and are unknowingly pushed into ARM's with baloon payments or other arbitrarily high fee/prepayment penalty type loans.
      • Broker compensation encourages shady lending tactics such as documentation alterations to increase mortgage eligibility for unaffordable loans.
      • Debt load caps on mortgage lenders were removed a few years back to allow lenders to push more loans through, leading to shaky financial security.
      • Mortgage securitization(the bundling and resale of fractional loan packages) allowed a flood of non-traditional investor money into the realty market such as private and foreign investors. The easy money caused bidding wars, driving home values up far faster than inflation and median income.
      • Securitization was too new for the quants to have a good risk model for securities backed by sub-prime mortgages.
      • Comments in the Federal Reserve Bulletin as early as 1999 showed the feds were aware the realty market was significantly out of sync with inflation. No action was taken.
      • Current SEC rules allow lenders to remove loans from their ledgers after they've been securitized and sold off, even if they were sold off under contractual obligation to take some losses in the event the securities are defaulted on. The net effect is that mortgage lender's financial stability is IMPOSSIBLE to determine, even for investors who read every word of every shareholder disclosure.

      I hope this clears up a few things.

      --
      You can't legislate goodness. Let each to his own destiny, by will of his freely made choices.
    20. Re:It happens? by Henry+Pate · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Surely, if the world's finance "experts" really understood economics, they wouldn't have positioned their companies for the collapses they recently saw. Or did AIG's best and brightest know they were setting their company up for catastrophe?

      Rolling Stone had an article in the latest issue titled AIG: The Big Takeover. Here's a small excerpt from it.

      The latest bailout came as AIG admitted to having just posted the largest quarterly loss in American corporate history -- some $61.7 billion. In the final three months of last year, the company lost more than $27 million every hour. That's $465,000 a minute, a yearly income for a median American household every six seconds, roughly $7,750 a second. And all this happened at the end of eight straight years that America devoted to frantically chasing the shadow of a terrorist threat to no avail, eight years spent stopping every citizen at every airport to search every purse, bag, crotch and briefcase for juice boxes and explosive tubes of toothpaste. Yet in the end, our government had no mechanism for searching the balance sheets of companies that held life-or-death power over our society and was unable to spot holes in the national economy the size of Libya (whose entire GDP last year was smaller than AIG's 2008 losses).

      It is truly an amazing article and the presents the clearest picture I've seen of how this came about. I suggest everyone read it.

      --
      Si Hoc Legere Scis Nimium Eruditionis Habes
    21. Re:It happens? by MishgoDog · · Score: 4, Informative

      A statistician friend of mine pointed me to a study (that I have now lost) which showed some very interesting figures.

      The premise showed that basically, if you selected 100 investment portfolios at random (possibly with some basic rules, I'm not sure), exactly the same proportion would exceed to the same extent as if you the proportion of stock brokers who beat the market.

      The point is, if you missed it, that successful investors are no more than stastical effects :)

      Now, in reference to 'plenty of economists & analysts were predicting the impending doom', a lot weren't. Pick ANY situation, and you'll have plenty of analysts predicting both ways - and the ones who turn out to be correct are invariably labelled insightful, when no doubt a lot of them are just lucky.

    22. Re:It happens? by amRadioHed · · Score: 4, Insightful

      We know we can observe the Earth, and that's all that matters. Whether the world we observe is physical, simulated, or imagined is irrelevant, as long as it has consistent rules for us to discover.

      --
      We hope your rules and wisdom choke you / Now we are one in everlasting peace
    23. Re:It happens? by Ihlosi · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Pick ANY situation, and you'll have plenty of analysts predicting both ways - and the ones who turn out to be correct are invariably labelled insightful, when no doubt a lot of them are just lucky.

      People who trumpet their opinions about the stock market in public can't have too much confidence in what they're saying. If you really know what the stock market will be doing in the future, you shut the hell up and adjust your investments accordingly. Then, there's no ???, just profit.

    24. Re:It happens? by Kratisto · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Actually, based on data collected from the Cosmic Microwave Background, our estimation of the Universe's age being about 13.7 billion is accurate within about a 2 billion year margin. Basically, all you have to do is extrapolate what the CMB looks like now back a few billion years and it hits a singularity, which we refer to as the beginning of the Universe (though it may or may not be). It would take an extremely revolutionary discovery to discount this sort of data.

      --
      Conscience is the inner voice which warns us that someone may be looking.
    25. Re:It happens? by AlecC · · Score: 5, Insightful

      But that is based on the assumption that the CMB is, indeed, the relic of the Big Bang, which is one of the assumptions referenced. And that the Hubble shift is, indeed, caused by the expansion of the Universe. Of course, I do not really doubt this, but these are still very indirect deductions. One could imagine a measurement which cast doubt on all of them - e.g. speed of light changing with time, in which case the whole Universe would probably need to be rescaled.

      --
      Consciousness is an illusion caused by an excess of self consciousness.
    26. Re:It happens? by AlecC · · Score: 2

      Which just shows that economics and finance are not, in any sense we generally recognise, sciences. Just using mathematics and graphs does not make something a science. Economics obviously does not meet the criteria of an experimental science like physics or chemistry: you cannot perform repeatable experiments. Nor does it meet the criteria of an observational science like astronomy or palaeontology: huge numbers of essentially comparable observations (take millions of star photos, collect rooms full of fossils).

      Aside from these problems, economics suffers from insufficient isolation: the elements being measured react not only to the measurement but to the theories being made about the measurements.

      Therefore it is not reasonable to relate any problems in the economy and financial markets to the body of knowledge we generally call science.

      --
      Consciousness is an illusion caused by an excess of self consciousness.
    27. Re:It happens? by Gandalf_Greyhame · · Score: 4, Interesting

      you used an example regarding the speed of light changing with time. I recall reading an article about a year ago, where Spanish scientists have proposed a theory that time is in fact slowing down. This theory is supposed to help explain why the universe appears to be continually expanding at an increased rate.

      Naturally this is only a theory, as is all science, but it does at least explain why we would see the expansion of the universe accelerating. Also, if proven, it would cause a lot of other theories, such as the age of the universe, to be reworked.

      --
      I am not stubborn. I am right!
    28. Re:It happens? by Lumpy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Dude chill. In reality. Specifically astrophysics. the amount we know is infinitesimally small compared what is needed to know about it.

      See that single carbon atom, there on your desk. That's how much we know in relation to the planet, now compare that to the universe and you start to get it. Any good honest astronomer and astrophysicist will tell you that.

      Quit trying to make us as a species more enlightened than we really are. We are barely out of the apes beating each other over the head with sticks phase.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    29. Re:It happens? by mcgrew · · Score: 2, Insightful

      How ironic, someone with mod points skips modding to post an offtopic comment in response to another offtopic comment.

      This comment is offtopic as well. Modding myself down with the "no karma bonus".

    30. Re:It happens? by Kismet · · Score: 2, Informative

      You are using the language of the Faithful to describe scientific knowledge.

      "We" don't know anything. The people who "know" are the ones who have done the primary research. Have you? The rest of us have to look at evidence, as 2nd-hand witnesses, and then accept the testimony of those we have no reason to disbelieve.

      For instance, "you" have likely only seen third-party evidence of the roundness of the earth. Perhaps video footage and photographs. Maybe from high up in an airplane, you noticed the earth's curvature. That isn't a terribly conclusive piece of first-hand evidence, though.

      What primary evidence do you have for the age of the universe? Probably none. But, you believe those who say they do have evidence. You take their word for it in good faith.

      The scientific statement is this: It is certain that the earth's shape is a spheroid and that evidence suggests the age of the universe to be approximately 14 billion years.

  2. Damn Mythbusters. by Fumus · · Score: 4, Funny

    Now they "accidentally" blew up a star. Great!

  3. God's plan... by Faizdog · · Score: 5, Funny

    It wasn't supposed to go nova now, but it was part of God's plan so that our ancestors would know the way here after peeking in the Temple. They could've had more time to look around, but their enemies were right behind them.

    --
    -"Those who fought today will die tommorow."-
    1. Re:God's plan... by richdun · · Score: 4, Informative

      Okay, who's the genius mod who thought that was an actual religious reference? Someone needs their Geek Card confiscated.

    2. Re:God's plan... by somersault · · Score: 5, Funny

      Someone needs their Geek Card confiscated.

      So say we all!

      --
      which is totally what she said
    3. Re:God's plan... by Icegryphon · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "Life here began out there." These are the first words of the Sacred Scrolls!

  4. 200 light years by Endo13 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    But since it was 200 light years away, that means it actually happened 200 years ago, right?

    Talk about old news...

    --
    There is no -1 Disagree mod. Slashdot.org/faq defines mod options. USE IT.
    1. Re:200 light years by Dreen · · Score: 5, Informative

      200 million, not 200

    2. Re:200 light years by WCMI92 · · Score: 4, Informative

      "200 million, not 200"

      Yep, had it been 200LY it would have been brighter than the moon in the sky and would have been visible even in the daytime...

      200LY is seriously dangerously close to us for a supernova...

      --
      Corporatism != Free Market
    3. Re:200 light years by Samah · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Am I the only one that is amazed that we as a species are watching events happen that are far, far outside our galaxy?

      And yet our galaxy is only a miniscule fraction of the observable universe, which is also a miniscule fraction of the theoretical "entire" universe (the shape of which is still heavily debated).

      To quote Douglas Adams:

      The simple truth is that interstellar distances will not fit into the human imagination.

      --
      Homonyms are fun!
      You're driving your car, but they're riding their bikes there.
    4. Re:200 light years by Dreen · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Now this is what I haven't written in the post before, since I wasn't sure. I know that it would be dangerous, but just how dangerous? I took a look and it seems it has been proposed that a supernova explosion at the distance of roughly 100 light years away was the cause of Ordovician Extinction which killed 60% of species on Earth by depleting the ozone layer through chemical reactions in the atmosphere that were the aftermath of the explosion.

      Further reading of this article says apparently in 1998 we were hit by gamma/x rays from supernova explosion 600 LY years away. So there definitely is a danger zone up to where? 300 LY? Another question: Would the explosion that is near enough to cause serious damage (as in, killing most people) be visible by observers BEFORE gamma and x rays do any visible damage?

  5. You know... by FlyingSquidStudios · · Score: 4, Funny

    It would really suck if a massive gamma ray burst from that supernova screwed up the rest of this pou3u7IU89&&bu*8389*(&Y(*(¥¥90øioiuuy

  6. LHC? by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 5, Funny

    Apparently, they've fixed their LHC.

  7. Uh huh... by djupedal · · Score: 3, Funny

    > '...Baffles Scientists'

    And we all know just how difficult that can be to accomplish these days.

    1. Re:Uh huh... by Ceriel+Nosforit · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The good thing is, it's hard to ignore an exploding star. You can't just write it off as an anomaly, within acceptable standard deviations, or a measurement error.

      There still exists a great number of well-known anomalies which occur in for example electronics design, and yet we seem to think we know all there is to know about EM. The memristor is the latest instance of an 'anomaly' being transformed into what promises to be revolutionary technology. Yet, heaven forbid anybody but a select few favourite names rock the boat, proposing something new. If you think you're on to something exciting, you don't quite understand it but you do dare open your mouth about it, you'll be labelled a crank or worse ignored faster than Occam's razor is invoked on Slashdot.

      --
      All rites reversed 2010
  8. Re:Don't throw out your textbooks yet by WalksOnDirt · · Score: 2, Informative

    Stars that massive lose mass rapidly. If this star was as old as theory said it should be it couldn't be as massive as the explosion showed it to be. Oops!

    Or something like that, I think.

    --
    a,e,i,o,u and sometimes w and y (at be if of up cwm by)
  9. Ruh-roh! by Unmanifest · · Score: 5, Funny
    "...exploded as a supernova at a much earlier date than the one predicted by astronomers."

    (eying the sun nervously)...

    1. Re:Ruh-roh! by lupine_stalker · · Score: 3, Funny

      Clearly our sun could collapse at any time. We should not wait until a potentially hostile star right on our doorsteps decides to attack!

      I call for a premeptive strike to be made on the sun!

      --
      Ninjas use italics.
  10. Many possibilities. by jd · · Score: 5, Insightful

    One is that this was a binary system, that a second star was behind the first at the time of the "pre-supernova" photo, and that they collided. Remember, they have very few photographs, are not using any data from space telescopes like SWIFT, and are therefore filling in the blanks.

    We can assume that star evolution is moderately well-understood (though not completely), so if what they think is the input is inconsistent with what they know is the output, the chances are really good that the input is wrong, especially with such little data.

    Another possibility. In order to get a supernova, as TFA notes, you need iron at the core of the star. There is no requirement that the iron be formed by the star, so there is no requirement that the star be at a stage in its evolution to have formed said iron. I don't know how large a rocky planet can get, but it's entirely possible to theorize of a bloody massive exoplanet made largely of iron dive-bombing a star. Depending on how close to critical the star is, it's possible to imagine such a strike giving a supermassive star severe indigestion.

    There again, they may have miscalculated the distance. I believe they rely on spectral analysis to determine the relative velocity of a star and use that to infer distance, as you can't use parallax at those kinds of distances. However, if the star was getting close to critical, the spectral patterns can't necessarily be assumed to follow those of stars in better health. Further, if the star's movement was not primarily due to the expansion of space, the measured Doppler shift won't be directionally proportional to distance.

    These reasons have probably been gone through and either discarded, laughed at, or even maybe put in the "improbable but should be looked at" pile, but it's very reasonable to assume the astronomers themselves have come up with many, many more possibilities, all of which could be valid based on what little is known.

    And that's just it. Very little is known, unless one of the rapid-reaction space telescopes detected the explosion and took a look. TFA makes no mention of such data, but given the volume they process maybe that information hasn't been looked at yet. But I suspect the mystery won't be solvable unless such extra data does exist.

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    1. Re:Many possibilities. by AstroWeenie · · Score: 5, Informative

      Sorry, but most of your ideas are far off base.

      One is that this was a binary system, that a second star was behind the first at the time of the "pre-supernova" photo, and that they collided. Remember, they have very few photographs, are not using any data from space telescopes like SWIFT, and are therefore filling in the blanks.

      Not correct -- they used both historical Hubble data to detect the star before it exploded and followup Hubble observations to confirm that the star has now disappeared. And they have data from the Keck Observatory with observations of the supernova. That's about as good as it gets for data.

      We can assume that star evolution is moderately well-understood (though not completely), so if what they think is the input is inconsistent with what they know is the output, the chances are really good that the input is wrong, especially with such little data.

      Star evolution is well understood for the bulk of the lifetimes of stars like the Sun, but there are still many questions about this sort of massive star. Such stars lose most of their mass during their lifetimes through stellar winds, which are themselves very complicated and not that well understood theoretically. And then the stars go through this luminous blue variable stage (which is what this star was before it blew up), and that is very poorly understood and is the subject of a lot of current work.

      So it is in fact much more likely that this has uncovered a part of late stellar evolution of massive, luminous stars that is not correctly described by current models. We don't need any really bizarre explanation like iron planets falling into the middle of the stars. (And that wouldn't work anyway -- the planet would have to have a mass bigger than the Sun to have a big effect.)

  11. Everybody stay calm... by allcoolnameswheretak · · Score: 4, Funny

    ...it's just some omnipontent aliens, building an interstellar highway. Nothing to see here... move along, and don't forget your towel.

  12. Whodunit? by SirLoadALot · · Score: 3, Funny

    The next Slashdot poll should ask which alien race is responsible for this. I'm voting for the CowboyNealiens.

  13. The Messiah has returned! by erroneus · · Score: 3, Funny

    You science people have completely missed the mark. The Messiah has come to end the world and take the faithful home!

  14. Why is this a surprise? by WCMI92 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Luminous Blue Variables (like Eta Carine) are so massive and so bright that gravity can barely hold them together. Should it be such a shock that such a star might blow itself apart given their inherent instability.

    --
    Corporatism != Free Market
  15. original Hubble press release by AstroWeenie · · Score: 5, Informative

    Here's the Hubble press release and the paper.

  16. Re:Don't throw out your textbooks yet by Fallen+Seraph · · Score: 5, Informative

    You determine the age of a star based on several factors, but it's primarily based on the ratio of elements within the star. The life of a star is a continual struggle between the force of gravity, pulling the star inward, and the force of the fusion process taking place within the star, pushing it outward. As the fusion process continues, the hydrogen is fused into progressively heavier elements up until the point where it reaches iron. Fusing iron creates no net gain in energy, as the fusion process for iron requires more energy than is generated. By measuring the spectrum of a star, the stellar mass, ratio of elements, and other characteristics can be observed, which, coupled with existing data about stellar life cycles, and stellar classifications, can be used to determine the star's lifespan. Figuring out the lifespan of a star isn't new science, the trick here is that they believe their prior models of stellar evolution and stellar lifecycles may be incorrect. And if you actually read the article, you would understand as much because they say it in plain English toward the end.

  17. My thoughts exactly by mangu · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I'm getting tired these kinds of posts every time something unexpected is observed

    Me too. Those posts show nothing but the envy of people who wished they understood science, but do not have the needed energy and intelligence to study the necessary mathematics.

    Their escape mechanism is to pretend no one really understand science. They think they don't look so stupid if they can pretend everybody is as stupid as they are.

    I think the perfect answer to that kind of thinking was given by Isaac Asimov in an essay named "The Relativity of Wrong". In that article, Asimov shows that the difference between a flat earth and a spherical earth is much bigger than the difference between a spherical earth and the true shape of the earth. Although people who thought the earth was spherical were wrong, they were much *less* wrong than people who thought the earth was flat.

    Science converges asymptotically to the truth. Even if scientists can never be absolutely certain of the truth, they are always getting nearer to absolute truth.

    1. Re:My thoughts exactly by mangu · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Since that article was written we have learnt that we don't know what 96% of the Universe is made of.

      And don't you think it's just amazing that scientists can look at stars that are hundreds of millions light years away and, from their measurements alone, they can calculate and conclude that twenty times more matter is needed to account for the way those stars are moving?

      This "dark matter" problem that you mention does not show a weakness, but a *strong* point of science. The existence of dark matter does not invalidate one single fact of what was known before. Newtonian phisics is still valid, relativity is intact, quantum mechanics rules. But now we know of an additional fact that's extremely subtle, very very difficult to measure, and still adds some important facts to our scientific knowledge.

      Asimov was right, we are getting closer to the truth.

  18. Re:who knows? by TheSHAD0W · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Perhaps, if they'd managed to convert their entire planet to energy, it would approach the energy of a supernova.

    Heh. Just as I said that, I figured I could calculate it; or rather, Google could...

    http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&safe=off&q=(mass+of+the+earth)+*+(speed+of+light+squared)+in+joules&btnG=Search

    (Assuming the aliens' planet was roughly the size of ours.) Not even, not by 2 orders of magnitude.

  19. one difference by Trepidity · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Very few scientists in other fields consider economics a legitimate science. In its partial defense, it's studying very complex phenomena--- considerably more complex than understanding the weather, for example, which is itself no cakewalk. On the other hand, economics doesn't seem to really understand that it's dealing with complex dynamical systems, and has been extremely slow to import the tools now standard in all other areas that deal with complex dynamical systems (including weather). Instead they seem to rely mainly on equilibrium assumptions that are unlikely to ever be even approximately true.

    1. Re:one difference by srussia · · Score: 2, Informative

      dynamical

      Dynamical? Really? It's bad enough the last president made up shit like this, now we have supposedly intelligent people doing it too?

      Yes really.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dynamical_system

      --
      Set your phasers on "funky"!
  20. most people who've studied science disagree by Trepidity · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Most scientists don't understand science, outside their tiny provincial field; I'm a scientist so I see this all the time. Most have very fairy-tale notions of the scientific method and knowledge production in particular.

    You might want to read up on some of the people (scientists especially) who have taken the time to understand how science works, and written on the philosophy and sociology of science.

    In particular, it is certainly not true that science converges asymptotically to the truth. It oven diverges substantially, sometimes for hundreds of years, before entire fields (like "racial hygiene") are thrown out as failed experiments. We're currently in the middle of a debate over whether string theory should be placed in that dustbin or not, for example.

  21. Asimov was not a working scientist by Trepidity · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Asimov may have had a PhD in science, but he did nothing of note in science, spending virtually his entire adult life writing science fiction and popular-science works, and virtually none of it writing peer-reviewed journal articles actually on scientific topics. His writings, unsurprisingly, therefore tend to take the mythologized view of science common in sci-fi and pop-science.

  22. The Flat Earth Myth by geoffrobinson · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Somewhere in the last few hundred years, the myth was started that people back in the day thought the Earth was flat. It was designed to make religious people appear ignorant.

    http://www.bede.org.uk/flatearth.htm

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    Except for ending slavery, the Nazis, communism, & securing American independence, war has never solved anything.
  23. Re:Don't throw out your textbooks yet by rcamans · · Score: 2, Informative

    Stellar elements ratios involve the unknown starting ratios. We assume that a star of a given age had predecessor stars of a particular generation, with their elements ratios that they gave up in gas clouds that the star of interest was formed out of. One of the obvious mistakes in the current theory of stellar composition is that fusion stops at Iron. Yes, elements above Iron take more energy than they produce, but that just means that they are a negative contributor to the overall energy state of the star, not that they do not fuse. They will not be formed in high percentages, but they will be formed. So the theory of elements ratios needs to be re-calculated to get what is formed past Iron, and how much Iron, etc is used up in the process. A purely statistical calculation. This is just one example of poor logical thought processes in scientists, acting like the negative energy production is some kind of law that enforces production rules. All our current earthly fusion attempts are negative energy producing. This does not mean that they do not fuse, it just means that they do not fuse a lot, or self-sustaining mode. The post Iron fuse process is not self-sustaining, but it does not have to be, as there is a lot of energy locally available to power it. This does have a significant effect on the core of a star, due to its makeup of heavier, denser elements than Iron, as well as Iron. Where do you think the Uranium, etc in the earth came from? Astronomers assume it all is formed in the novas and supernovas, but some of it comes earlier. It is not an energy contributor to novas and supernovas, either, but they do not say it cannot happen then because of that.
    Another relevant mistake is that the stellar precursor gas is of uniform composition. In reality, it can be from more than one generation of star. One reason for this is that bigger stars live much shorter lives, so that parts of a star forming cloud can be contaminated by stars formed out of it which have then supernovaâ(TM)d contributing more gas to it to form stars which are actually mixed generation stars. This must have occurred for every generation of stars except the first big stars. But, more importantly, different sizes of predecessor stars end up producing gas of different compositions for starting new stars.
    Also, the stellar life cycle theories do not explain what happens to Lithium. Lithium is formed early on in stellar fusion, and is not found nearly as much in old stars as is expected. One period where stellar evolution is not currently understood, and where the Lithium actually disappears, is when the young star blows off its surrounding gas cloud, making it visible for the first time in its life. My theory? That in-falling matter finally hits the young, Lithium-rich star with enough energy to set off a self-sustaining Lithium fusion explosion on the star's surface. this shock wave not only propagates through the star, fusing most of the Lithium in the star, and using it up, it also blasts the obscuring gas cloud away from the star, ending the growth phase of the star, and revealing it to the universe. Kind of like the star comes out of the womb.
    As long as we do not have a clear, well-understood total life cycle of a star, we will continue to have issues with stellar composition, and stellar age calculations from stellar composition, and age-related events in the stellar lifetime, like the end event nova/supernova. We currently do not even understand the Oxygen levels in our own sun right now, and theory calculates a level way off from what it appears to be. We have to get this stuff down to an accuracy of better than a factor of two to be calling out stuff like novas with an accuracy of better than a factor of two. And since Lithium and Oxygen do not calculate out to within a factor of two right now, we should not be stating things without including an uncertainty figure, which Phd scientists tenured at universities are loath to do. They tend to make statements as if they were fact, making them feel like big, knowledgeable men, when

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    wake up and hold your nose