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Linux Flourishes In 200-Year-Old Gold Markets

tbarkerload writes "H-Online [a spin off of a major German daily] reports on a gold trader managing over 15 tonnes of gold, worth $660m, with a platform built on open source tech. BullionVault operates a 24-7 electronic market in gold bullion open to both retail and professional traders. Their systems handle thousands of daily transactions from both human traders and bots operating through their API. If Linux has reached the world of hundred year old assaying firms, and Swiss vaults buried in mountains, can final world domination be too far away?"

150 of 195 comments (clear)

  1. how much? by Red+Flayer · · Score: 2, Insightful

    660 million?

    Pitiful.

    Hey, guess what OS the stock exchanges of NY, London, Hong Kong, Mumbai, Tokyo, etc are built on?

    If you REALLY want to talk about world domination, I'd start there instead of some two-bit (ok, 5.3 billion-bit) gold exchange.

    --
    "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
    1. Re:how much? by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      Not to mention server!=desktop. I think there's a natural ceiling on the server market. Somewhat larger than we have today, something less than IPV6 addresses available.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    2. Re:how much? by RiotingPacifist · · Score: 1

      Didn't atleast one of those suffer major down time after switching from unix to windows?

      --
      IranAir Flight 655 never forget!
    3. Re:how much? by Hucko · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      I won't. Gnome is even more limiting in practice than Windows.

      --
      Semi-automatic amateur armchair Australian philosopher; conjecture ready at any moment...
    4. Re:how much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Yeah, not sure how this is news...

      thousands of daily transactions

      Thousands you say?

    5. Re:how much? by superwiz · · Score: 4, Insightful

      But the whole point of the post was that Linux reached something so archaic -- not something at the forefront.

      --
      Any guest worker system is indistinguishable from indentured servitude.
    6. Re:how much? by Chandon+Seldon · · Score: 1

      I won't. Gnome is even more limiting in practice than Windows.

      Huh? I run Gnome. It does what it needs to do and keeps out of the way the rest of the time. What more could you ask for?

      --
      -- The act of censorship is always worse than whatever is being censored. Always.
    7. Re:how much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      KDE?

      Sorry, but you asked for it. :)

    8. Re:how much? by Darkness404 · · Score: 1

      So don't use GNOME. The nice thing about Linux is, you have choice in your GUI. In Windows you don't, in OS X you don't, in Linux you do. Don't like GNOME? Use KDE, XFCE, IceWM, Fvwm, heck use obscure ones like Ion, or Afterstep. You are bound to find a WM that fits your needs or can be customized to fit your needs.

      --
      Taxation is legalized theft, no more, no less.
    9. Re:how much? by filesiteguy · · Score: 1

      Well, that's not entirely true. Though it is ugly, uninspired and the complete antithesis to user-friendly, GNOME is not limiting. You can run KDE apps in GNOME, you can run X apps and you can even run GNOME apps under KDE. (Just don't try to use the file open/save dialog boxes with any success.)

    10. Re:how much? by Hucko · · Score: 1

      heh, I submit, I submit!

      I agree with pp. I did over-generalise; thank you to all those other suggestions of how I should use(utilise?) my OS -- I may keep them in mind as I use my KDE & WM desktops in future.

      --
      Semi-automatic amateur armchair Australian philosopher; conjecture ready at any moment...
    11. Re:how much? by fractoid · · Score: 1

      I think there's a natural ceiling on the server market.

      Five, or thereabouts?

      --
      Rampant carbon sequestration destroyed the Dinosaurs' tropical paradise. I'm here to help repair the damage.
    12. Re:how much? by V!NCENT · · Score: 1

      The NY stock exchange has been Linux for a long time, without any problems... until Microsoft came about a year ago?

      Two major crashes have happened, with only one (the firts one) being a Microsoft fault.

      Microsoft made promotion with it, but due to the two crashes it became a major backlash.

      Now, TFA is about what is possible and proved with Linux. It's not an indicator for how much world domination it has...

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      Here be signatures
    13. Re:how much? by V!NCENT · · Score: 1

      Hms, cloud computing... Not really sure about that... Seems like another bubble waiting to burst.

      Avarage users don't know about it. Power users don't want to deal with the speed of it. The current internet infrastructure makes it too expensive for anyone but the people in Japan to use it.

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    14. Re:how much? by V!NCENT · · Score: 1

      Lol, no. The Gnome defaults are kind of limiting. But ehm... what can Explorer do that the defaults of Gnome can't?

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    15. Re:how much? by V!NCENT · · Score: 1

      You can start downloading the beta KDE Plasma shell and applications right now with the KDE Windows Installer.

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    16. Re:how much? by V!NCENT · · Score: 1

      New York used to run RedHat, but now it runs Windows and has had two crashes in just the first year. You have probably not seen the MS adds all over the place. Addblock-plus? ;)

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      Here be signatures
    17. Re:how much? by Max+Littlemore · · Score: 1

      New York runs on Red Hat, London runs on .NET and MSSQL

      Yeah, and how did the current economic slide start? That's right, New York crashed. Sure London went down a bit later, but that was only because of the crap coming out of New York. So Red Hat crashed first

      Suck it up Lunix Looserz!!11!!!!

      This is such a F***in' LAME story I just had to start a flame war....

      --
      I don't therefore I'm not.
    18. Re:how much? by spiffydudex · · Score: 1

      so instead of moving forwards...linux decides it's better to move backwards?

    19. Re:how much? by lukas84 · · Score: 1

      There are several alternative shells for Windows available.

      e.G.
      http://www.bb4win.org/news.php

      But there are many others.

      Still, it's not something that makes a lot of sense in a company environment, and normal users will never do something like that.

    20. Re:how much? by __aaxwdb6741 · · Score: 1

      For what?

    21. Re:how much? by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      Cloud computing is the latest fad that isn't going anywhere. Remember SOA? I don't.

    22. Re:how much? by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      So what? The exchange probably put a proposal out there, and a company that build the linux setup they use happened to win it. Or do you really think people running an exchange care at all about anything other than price and that it works?

    23. Re:how much? by AHuxley · · Score: 1

      640000000 should be enough for any bank.

      --
      Domestic spying is now "Benign Information Gathering"
    24. Re:how much? by superwiz · · Score: 1

      Not sure why you anthropomorphise an operating system. But removing this "decision" element out of the question, the point of the original post is that even the backwards gold exchange is using Linux now. The large exchanges are expected to use cutting-edge technologies -- they have the resources to hire any experts they need as long as technology is actually at the forefront. It's when even the small exchanges use it, that demonstrates that Linux has reached ubiquity -- small players can't afford to take as many technological risks so they adapt the more stable and widely-accepted solutions.

      --
      Any guest worker system is indistinguishable from indentured servitude.
    25. Re:how much? by Hucko · · Score: 1

      So then I can run KDE-Windows on wine in KDE? ... sure, sure.

      --
      Semi-automatic amateur armchair Australian philosopher; conjecture ready at any moment...
    26. Re:how much? by Hucko · · Score: 1

      I don't flaming run Windows! Or Gnome! I don't go for the default necessarily. It was more an expression of my disgust with distros for making Gnome the default than any particular familiarity with either. I'm disgruntled that it is assumed if you run OSS, you run Gnome. I only every come across them when I'm fixing something for someone with one or the other. They are pains in the rear end.

      For all the innuendo that KDE is like Windows, it is bewildering to me under that logic that most commercial projects have Gnome as their default when Windows has market share they are trying to abscond. I keep trying it to find out what everyone is raving about to only find that they are raving. Raving mad.

      I'm happy with using distros that do default to KDE or other environments, but strangely they are becoming rare. All reviews and progress of upcoming features seem to focus on Gnome.

      If I truly cared I would bug fix, whine etc to Gnome devs. I don't care enough but doesn't mean not I'm disgruntled with the general perception outside of OSS users that Gnome is better, simpler, more correct than KDE. I get they are both heavy.

      I'm happy with WindowMaker. Would prefer E17, but can't be bothered sorting through all the issues again.

        It is stupid, and now I feel stupid for delving down to the level of Gnome users. ( ==== there people/mods, that is flamebait; my original comment was mere differing opinion!)

      --
      Semi-automatic amateur armchair Australian philosopher; conjecture ready at any moment...
    27. Re:how much? by V!NCENT · · Score: 1

      Lame

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    28. Re:how much? by Hucko · · Score: 1

      I see you are sticking to your plan...

      --
      Semi-automatic amateur armchair Australian philosopher; conjecture ready at any moment...
    29. Re:how much? by V!NCENT · · Score: 1

      What plan? Bringing gaming to Linux? Oh wait...

      You were acting like you didn't use KDE. ThÃt was lame.

      --
      Here be signatures
    30. Re:how much? by Hucko · · Score: 1

      Depends on the dialog box? Perhaps, you would like to save the info for a time when you can use it... sure you can cp & paste it, but y'know, choices and enabling technologies yada yada yada

      --
      Semi-automatic amateur armchair Australian philosopher; conjecture ready at any moment...
    31. Re:how much? by Hucko · · Score: 1

      "Set yourself a goal in life, then make a plan and most importantly; stick to it" -V!NCENT

      To clarify, I'm under the impression you have got some distorted idea about me and are pursuing it to its logical end. I may be wrong about the pursuing it to the logical end.

      I was making out I didn't run Gnome or Windows.

      So then I can run KDE-Windows on wine in KDE

      I may keep them in mind as I use my KDE & WM desktops in future.

      I specifically said I ran KDE. I also run WindowMaker and used to dabble with E17... I occasionally experience the dark side of interfaces. I have no trouble swapping between a multitude of interfaces. I just find some more limiting thus to be avoided.

      If I truly cared I would bug fix, whine etc to Gnome devs. I don't care enough but doesn't mean not I'm disgruntled with the general perception outside of OSS users that Gnome is better, simpler, more correct than KDE.

      The entire reason for my original comment. I am disgruntled. Happy?

      --
      Semi-automatic amateur armchair Australian philosopher; conjecture ready at any moment...
    32. Re:how much? by V!NCENT · · Score: 1

      "Set yourself a goal in life, then make a plan and most importantly; stick to it" -V!NCENT

      To clarify, I'm under the impression you have got some distorted idea about me and are pursuing it to its logical end.

      Yeah that's my signature, smartass...

      I was making out I didn't run Gnome or Windows.

      So then I can run KDE-Windows on wine in KDE? ... sure, sure.

      Uhm... logical end? How about your suggestive style here? But I guess you're the only one here persuing things to the logical end...

      --
      Here be signatures
    33. Re:how much? by Hucko · · Score: 1

      *blink* *blink*

      Well, thank you for that interesting conversation! err... have a nice day now.

      --
      Semi-automatic amateur armchair Australian philosopher; conjecture ready at any moment...
  2. Re:In other news by mcfatboy93 · · Score: 2, Funny

    world's oldest profession

    worlds oldest ptofession ... painting?

    --
    Its not my fault, someone put a wall in my way.
  3. Re:In other news by Dyinobal · · Score: 1

    The term profession is applied to those persons who have specialized and technical skill or knowledge which they apply, for a fee, to certain tasks that ordinary and unqualified people cannot ordinarily undertake.

    While I'm not sure prostitutes need specialized and technical skill or knowledge for what they do (I could be wrong, if I am could some prostitute please correct me?). They do get paid, where I doubt Mister stone age Picasso got paid for what he did.

  4. Anyone else hoarding gold? by DriedClexler · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Quick question: Is anyone else buying up physical, in-your-possession gold? Given all that's been going on, it seems like it's virtually impossible for major currencies *not* to get severely devalued. The massive underfunded pension tidal waves, medicare programs, new spending, banks that will be unable to pay back loans...

    I recently bought at Bullion Direct, a few Canadian Maple gold coins. Well, Bullion Vault just got some free advertising, because it looks like they offer a better deal on an ounce of gold. But I think you're best off buying in coin form since you may have some defense in the even the government decides to seize gold; it will probably exempt some small amount for "collector's purposes", which wouldn't apply to bars.

    --
    Information theory is life. The rest is just the KL divergence.
    1. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by BitHive · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Why not hoard a commodity whose price is more stable? I'm amazed that in this day and age there are still people who think gold has inherent value and will suddenly be the default currency when everything goes Max Max Real Soon Now.

      Let me guess, you bought a bunch of Ron Paul Liberty Dollars from NORFED too.

    2. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I love the idea that after society crumbles, and there's no money, people are going to want to trade all of the food they've hoarded for a relatively useless mineral. Seems like it would be a lot smarter to be buying up guns and bullets, if you're seriously concerned.

    3. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by trybywrench · · Score: 1

      I've been hearing a lot about gold hoarding on some financial sites. The boardies at marketwatch.com are especially into it but they're pretty nutty anyway. The most common advice I hear is to make sure whoever you're buying from can actually deliver the gold. Some gold sellers are selling paper gold which will be just as worthless in a major event. Gold in hand is what you want not the "promise to deliver gold".

      --
      I came to the datacenter drunk with a fake ID, don't you want to be just like me?
    4. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by BitHive · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's a great way to make money off idiots during times of economic uncertainty. When demand drops after the crisis passes, you buy it back cheap for next time.

    5. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

      While I haven't been, your post raises an interesting question about these guys, and similar operations.

      If one wishes to invest in gold merely as another financial instrument, like stocks, bonds, etc. but with different behavior, then the whole "OMG physical storage of gold!" angle offered by these guys, along with egold and their ilk, is merely overhead, the more abstract representations are fine. If one wishes to invest in gold because they think they'll be able to trade it for dog food and buckshot after the black helicopters/UN/locust/whatever ravage the land, then "er, well, the gold is stored for you, in a distant locked repository that you can't get in to. Don't worry, you can stroke it over the internet" is completely useless. Only the gold under your bed will be available.

      That being so, why do these players exist? Are they, in essence, just what the small scale face of investing in gold as a financial instrument looks like (i.e. for people who can't afford to buy in 400 ounce increments) or are there actually enough suckers drawn in by the virtual gold experience?

    6. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Fallingcow · · Score: 1

      Guns and ammunition also retain their value very well, so if things get way better you can always sell them, possibly at a small profit.

    7. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by mcrbids · · Score: 2, Interesting

      What is the "price"? Most people think of price in nominal terms, EG: so many Dollars/Pounds/Marks/Sheiks/Yen/Whatever.

      But when the amount of money available on the marketplace fluctuates, then the "price" of commodities fluctuates.

      Gold, as valued in dollars, has fluctuated in price internationally roughly as much as other internationally traded commodities such as oil and iron, indicating that it's not the price of gold that's fluctuating so much as the value of the money used to buy it. On the surface, this appears to indicate inflation, but at the same time, the actual amount of money that the average joe takes home is dropping, which appears to indicate deflation.

      Of course, the marketplace is all over the map, with all indications that we're seeing stagflation, which is really bad.

      --
      I have no problem with your religion until you decide it's reason to deprive others of the truth.
    8. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by hitchhacker · · Score: 1

      The government would more likely refuse to pay their debts / print out 12 trillion dollars than steal gold.

      From Liberty Dollar:

      The Liberty Dollar offices were raided by agents of the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) and the United States Secret Service on November 14, 2007. Bernard von NotHaus, the owner of Liberty Services, sent an email to customers and supporters saying that the FBI took all the gold, silver, and platinum, and almost two tons of Ron Paul Dollars.

      -metric

    9. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by StikyPad · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Nope, but I sold mine recently, so thanks for buying it at nearly twice what I paid for it.

      I'm no financial genius, but buying low and selling high. As Buffet puts it, "be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful." It means essentially the same thing. That said, gold seems to be rather high right now, while stocks are quite low. The only way it makes sense to pick gold over stocks is if you believe we're headed for Mad Max. Although personally, if that's the case, I'd rather have guns than gold.

    10. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by BitHive · · Score: 1

      Yes, but they haven't given it as much thought as you just did.

      There are people who believe that the government wants to make it illegal to own gold because it 'competes' with the fiat money system, which they (the Fed'ral Gubbermint) use to rob you blind with inflation (via the Federal Reserve).

      Most of these people don't have enough money to even buy one or two ounces of gold at a time, but they fear collapse so much and are tantalized by the prospect that it would drive gold prices higher so they 'invest' in the phenomenon of thousands of poor and poorly educated people just like them buying specious gold holdings online.

    11. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by BitHive · · Score: 2, Funny

      Gold bugs, meet the 'other side' of your shrewd 'investment' transactions

    12. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by dlaudel · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm trying to buy gold, too, but it has no "inherent" value. No object in the world has inherent value, just the subjective values due to people's wants. Gold has historically functioned very well as money, is fairly rare (though common enough that anyone could get a bit), and is durable. It is not easily counterfeited either. Thus, people assign a great deal of value to it as a medium of exchange or something to store value. It's not because we all believe it is magical or something, it's because it has emerged over time as the best available option for money. That's the market process at work.

    13. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by RiotingPacifist · · Score: 1

      But, it's all shiny?! :S

      --
      IranAir Flight 655 never forget!
    14. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by plover · · Score: 1

      Come the locusts, I'd rather have the dog food and the buckshot than physical gold under my bed. If I survive, I'll be eating dog food and fending off the people who are starving because they can't eat their gold. Once they die, I expect they'll drop gold and other phat lewt. But just like the games, if every dead body is dropping gold, the value of the gold will plummet.

      Of course your point is still valid -- the gold under the bed is still far more valuable than trying to trade with eGold.

      --
      John
    15. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by turbidostato · · Score: 1

      "Why not hoard a commodity whose price is more stable?"

      Hummm... I propose sea water.

    16. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by thtrgremlin · · Score: 1

      You mean again? http://mises.org/story/3056

      --
      Want Big Business out of government? Take away the incentive and start by getting government out of big business!
    17. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by turbidostato · · Score: 1

      "I'd rather have guns than gold."

      Hummm... gold guns, what an idea!

    18. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Estanislao+Mart�nez · · Score: 1

      I thought that it was illegal in the US to possess gold in other forms than jewelry or gold coins and considered that strange. Is coins and jewelry what you mean or am I wrong?

      It was illegal for a long time (1933-1975). It has been legal for over 25 years now.

    19. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by rumcho · · Score: 1

      I'm amazed that in this day and age there are still people who think gold has inherent value

      You're either stupid or joking - which one is it?
      If gold had inherent value we'd be using it for something else than money, doh! Gold has all the qualities of money -it's easy to split, does not rust, corrode, it's easy to carry, does not smell, etc. etc. etc.
      By your logic we should see people running to the grocery store with buckets of petrolium (because, according to you - it has "inherent" value) to buy milk or whatever.
      Oh, and on the same note: what "inherent" value does exactly a $1 Federal Reserve note have? or a $100 Federal reserve note? except that it's pretty good at wiping your ass after you took a crap?
      I suggest you go and read some economics before you come with this diarrhea about not having "inherent" value. In particular, read about the "definition of money" and also read about "barter economy".

    20. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by rumcho · · Score: 1

      The government would more likely refuse to pay their debts / print out 12 trillion dollars than steal gold.

      Huh? Why not steal gold? The government already did it in 1933. FDR stole american's gold and then turned around and set gold from $22/ounce to $35/ounce, which automatically devalued americans' gold by 40%. Read some history buddy!

    21. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by pfleming · · Score: 1

      They were really after the Ron Paul dollars - there are some things that just shouldn't get out... seriously though was someone getting into the minting business and minting unauthorized coins?

    22. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by rumcho · · Score: 1

      That said, gold seems to be rather high right now, while stocks are quite low.

      I think you forget about one very important factor. The governments of the world are manipulating gold. Gold should be a lot higher now than it is. I think gold should be ~ $2000/oz but the IMF and other central banks are selling gold to hold price low in hopes that somehow the current crisis will go away and then gold prices will crash and people will run back to stocks. I think this is not happening. The current financial system based of fraud and funny money is on its death bed. So it's still not late at all to protect one's savings.

    23. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by lawpoop · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Why not hoard a commodity whose price is more stable?

      Which commodity are you recommending here? What's more portable, has better liquidity, or has better value density? What doesn't corrode or rot? You can take a piece of gold to any pawn shop or jeweler and get money for it -- try doing that with wheat or oil.

      I'm amazed that in this day and age there are still people who think gold has inherent value and will suddenly be the default currency when everything goes Max Max Real Soon Now.

      I'm surprised you didn't know that gold has been the most valuable commodity to any society that could get their hands on it. Why has gold been a universal currency for the past 5,000 years? Gold was valuable to the Incas, who had no connection to the east or west, until they were conquered by the Spanish.

      What commodity is more easily transportable and has a better value density? Why is the word for 'money' or 'coin' or 'value' in many languages literally 'gold'? What do people take with them when they have to flee a country? What do people put in their safe deposit box? Why were ancient treasures filled with gold? Why does Fort Knox hold a bunch of gold? Why did kingdoms and governments use gold to back their paper currency -- which really does have no inherent value -- with gold, until very recently? If it truly has no inherent value, how come it's never completely lost its value, unlike paper currency, or tulip bulbs?

      The answer is, gold is probably the closet thing we'll have to a perfect currency. It's malleable, divisible, and meltable -- unlike precious stones -- which means you can pay in exact change, and take your small denominations of gold, melt it down, and create a single unit out of it. It can't be arbitrarily multiplied, as a currency can -- no hyper inflation, unless we perfect the art of alchemy. Human beings are genuinely tickled by it's color -- it's used in jewelry and decoration, literal representations of value. It's pretty, unlike, say, lead. It doesn't corrode, like copper or iron. It won't rot, and can't be eaten, like wheat or rice. It can't be 'used up', like paper, especially printed paper ( currency) or toilet paper. It's not toxic and it won't spill, like oil. It's got a good value density -- Would you rather trade a 1 ounce gold coin ( value ~$1,000 ) or 1 ton of rice ( value ~$1,000) for something? And, it actually does have industrial applications, in electronics.It has inherent value as a medium of exchange.

      What commodity would you recommend?

      --
      Computers are useless. They can only give you answers.
      -- Pablo Picasso
    24. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by WrongMonkey · · Score: 3, Funny

      What commodity would you recommend?

      Nuka-Cola Caps

    25. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by cruff · · Score: 1

      You're either stupid or joking - which one is it?
      If gold had inherent value we'd be using it for something else than money, doh!

      Gold is used for other things than money. Besides the obvious uses in jewelry, it is used for plating electrical connectors to prevent oxidation. It is also used for coloring certain glassware (red). I'm sure there are others I haven't even thought of.

    26. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      > Come the locusts, I'd rather have the dog food and the buckshot than physical gold under my bed. ...and given the value density of gold: you can have the monetary value of that stockpile fit in your pocket.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    27. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      My estimate is that by September we will be seeing some pretty hefty inflation.

      Did you pay attention last month to what happened when the Chinese suggest we move away from the dollar as the reserve currency? China had just come to the realization that their supply of dollars might lose value very quickly, and it was worrying them. All the other bankers in the world were very quick to assure that the dollar was going to remain the reserve currency, and yet, quietly, they've been selling their own dollars. Their reassuring words are not backed up by their actions.

      Shortly after that, the IMF recently authorized the sale of $500 billion worth of its gold. Most of it will be sold to China and Russia, Russia also having most of their reserve in dollars.

      In addition, although prices have come down somewhat since the summer, part of that is due to the lack of demand, causing suppliers to try to get rid of their inventory at a lower price. Eventually the excess inventory will be sold off, and prices will rise again.

      I don't think physical gold is the best way to handle it, because the sellers will take a percentage in the transaction. There are a number of ways to protect against inflation: futures in almost any commodity, Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS), land (not that I would invest in land right now), and stocks or bonds (since stock represents ownership of an actual company, the company has actual value independent of the value of the underlying currency). Also, no need to worry about doomsday scenarios, since if that happens, we'll have a lot more to worry about than our investments.

      --
      Qxe4
    28. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Beryllium+Sphere(tm) · · Score: 1

      BullionVault's founder used to carry around a gold coin to demonstrate to people just how difficult it is to pay for something with gold. http://www.nowpublic.com/tech-biz/interview-paul-tustain-founder-bullionvault-com-pt-2

      In recent cases of hyperinflation, the market has resorted to paper currency from neighboring countries: Deutschemarks in Yugoslavia, rand in Zimbabwe.

      In the post-WWII chaos in Europe, you could buy a Volkswagen with cartons of cigarettes. Forbes has suggested that bottles of Scotch could become trade goods on the same principle.

      People who worry about such things often (in the US) stock up on pre-1964 coins which were actually made out of silver, on the theory that more people would recognize those than would accept, say, a Krugerrand.

      So why do I have all this information on tap? Does being a security consultant make you paranoid, or vice versa?

    29. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by spasm · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Silver was the `universal commodity' for most of the last 5000 years. Gold is a Johnny-come-lately from the last 400 years at best.

      The actual `use value' of gold (as decoration, malleable flexible material, conductor) is about US$80 an ounce. The other $900 is fluff value we've assigned to it because a few currencies were based on it for a while.

      And I say this as someone who did drill & blast for ten years in gold mines in Australia, and hence has a health appreciation of the dot-com mentality that periodically envelops the industry every time there's a run on the stuff. Driller's pay-per-metre isn't called `silly money' for noting.

    30. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Keith_Beef · · Score: 3, Funny

      Gold in hand is what you want not the "promise to deliver gold".

      I have, in my hand, a Piece of Paper, signed by Mr. Bailey, whereupon he promises to pay me, upon presentation of his Note, the Sum of Twenty Pounds.

      I am sorely tempted to present this Note at his Banca, in the hope of receiving Twenty Pounds Troy Weight of pure Gold.

      It is my Suspicion, however, that Mr.Bailey will simply substitute the Promissory Note I currently hold for another bearing the same Promise.

      K.

    31. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Alpha830RulZ · · Score: 2, Funny

      The other thing that is neat about gold is that you can beat it into a very fine foil, from which you can make a neat hat to quiet the voices that tell you that the IMF and central banks (of which the IMF is NOT one) give a rat's ass about the price of gold. The price of oil, yes. The dollar, euro, and other major currencies, yes. But the price of gold simply doesn't matter in the world of economic stability that the banks and governments of the world care about.

      --
      I was taught to respect my elders. The trouble is, it's getting harder and harder to find some.
    32. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Flavio · · Score: 1

      The actual `use value' of gold (as decoration, malleable flexible material, conductor) is about US$80 an ounce. The other $900 is fluff value we've assigned to it because a few currencies were based on it for a while.

      How did you get this $80 figure?

      I don't understand how one could separate use value and market value, since if you're using something, then you obviously believe it's worth at least what you'd get by selling it at the market price.

    33. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Trepidity · · Score: 1

      It's a hypothetical of course, but it's not incoherent to consider the matter. Gold doesn't trade mainly as a commodity, but as a currency, so it's interesting to ponder what its commodity value is, if it weren't used as a currency. For example, what would happen to the price of all central banks sold their reserves of bullion? It wouldn't go to zero, because gold does have value as a metal--- it's in demand for jewelry and various industrial uses. But it would be considerably lower than $900/ounce.

    34. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Trepidity · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Where are the indication that we're seeing stagflation? I see mainly indications of deflation.

    35. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by fractoid · · Score: 1
      From the wiki page:

      First, stagflation can result when an economy is slowed by an unfavorable supply shock, such as an increase in the price of oil in an oil importing country, which tends to raise prices at the same time that it slows the economy by making production less profitable.

      Does that sound familiar? The price of crude oil doubled between 2004 and 2008.

      Anecdotally, food and other daily necessities are f**king expensive now compared to 10 years ago, while wages have stayed relatively stagnant. The official inflation figures posted (for Australia) are ~4.5%, but in terms of actual buying power it's much much higher. I earn maybe 1.6x what I earned 8 years ago, but prices for most commodities are up by 2x or more. Despite my higher wage I have less buying power now than I did back then as a graduate. Sometimes it feels like I'm using Monopoly money when I walk out of a supermarket $120 poorer after our weekly shop.

      --
      Rampant carbon sequestration destroyed the Dinosaurs' tropical paradise. I'm here to help repair the damage.
    36. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Trepidity · · Score: 1

      Sure, there's been inflation over a 10-year time span, especially if you have your cutoff in 2008. But stagflation is inflation concurrent with economic stagnation. That, I don't see: since the current major recession began sometime in early to mid 2008, there has been small to negative inflation. The price of crude oil has plummeted by 70% since mid-2008, the price of many food staples is down significantly over the past year (corn down 50%), etc. Where do you see the inflation concurrent with economic stagnation. What is more expensive in mid 2009 than in mid 2008?

    37. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by fractoid · · Score: 1

      Well, I have yet to see supermarket-type consumer goods fall in price, but maybe that's just the area where I live. The price of petrol here is determined by the Singapore market, in some crazy scheme to stop our local production being shipped overseas* so transport and cold-storage costs are still high (although it's definitely improved, from $1.50/litre this time last year down to $1.20-$1.30 a litre now). Food is still just as expensive if not more so. Housing is expensive unless you're living 40+ kms away from the city center. Our economy (in terms of industry and business) is still in 'oh shit' mode, though, with widespread job losses and operation being scaled back. Does that qualify enough as stagnation?

      * ...whereas the government could (and should) simply mandate that it not be, it's clearly not in our national interest for foreign owned oil companies to be ripping extra dollars off Australians, but I guess if those in power were smart enough to see that they'd probably have real jobs.

      --
      Rampant carbon sequestration destroyed the Dinosaurs' tropical paradise. I'm here to help repair the damage.
    38. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Alistair+Hutton · · Score: 1

      I suppose the world governments do 'manipulate' the price of gold, by hoarding vast stores of it to use as collateral on their loans. I can't belive you'd think that people offering gold for sale is manipulating the markets? That is crazy talk.

      --
      Puzzle Daze is now my job
    39. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Maow · · Score: 1

      Quick question: Is anyone else buying up physical, in-your-possession gold?

      Yes.

      Given all that's been going on, it seems like it's virtually impossible for major currencies *not* to get severely devalued. The massive underfunded pension tidal waves, medicare programs, new spending, banks that will be unable to pay back loans...

      Agreed 100%.

      Unfortunately, it's dropped since I bought, but I'll be patient.

    40. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Maow · · Score: 1

      Let me guess, you bought a bunch of Ron Paul Liberty Dollars from NORFED too.

      As someone experimenting with investing, and having bought some gold, I'm not libertarian.

      Just seems like the only place left to put money right now (local real estate market hasn't deflated much - I anticipate more forthcoming).

      US dollar just doesn't seem to have a bright future right now.

      My 2 cents...

    41. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      There are none. Economic theory is snake oil at best. At worst it's a bunch of lies centered around deciving people into investing in some junk company.

    42. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Uipe · · Score: 1

      What commodity is more easily transportable and has a better value density?

      What commodity would you recommend?

      Diamonds

    43. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Wizard+Drongo · · Score: 1

      True that gold is over-inflated. Has been since the US left it in the 70's, when it was a very reasonable $35.
      Silver is about on the money at $12. If I could buy silver without paying tax, I would. Added to that the fact that I can afford silver. I can't really afford to invest in gold; I simply don't have several thousand, but what I do have I'd like to keep in secure medium so when the GBP£ dies on it's arse, my wealth isn't with it.
      Either which way, precious metals are the way. Gold is easier to trade, silver's better for small amounts, copper is great for a base level of commerce since i' worth quite a bit. Funny really that the ld currencies all used gold, silver and copper (or bronze, granted). I think we may even move back to the Gold standard when this recession really starts (you think it's been bad already? Wait some).
      A gold-backed coinage might be less convenient since the Govt. have to store all that gold and there's a finite amount of it. But it sure beats the shit out of paper-money that's worth the cost of paper and ink.

      --
      The truth shall always be free: Boris Floricic is Tron.
    44. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by DriedClexler · · Score: 1

      I think it is incoherent to consider the matter. Gold can't be worth $80 "for its use value" or nobody would pay $900 to use it!

      As for what would happen if central banks dumped their gold, you're ignoring two effects:

      1) Doing so would simulatenously kill the dollar/pound/etc, because the reserve banks would then only have government bonds as assets, placing the currencies on much flimsier foundantions, and devaluing the currency.

      2) Because gold has so many alternate uses just waiting to be exploited (but aren't today because it's too expensive), then industry would start doing a lot more things with it, bidding the price back up.

      --
      Information theory is life. The rest is just the KL divergence.
    45. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by exi1ed0ne · · Score: 1

      They are manipulating it - there are plenty documents available where they come right out and state it for the public record. Don't take my word though, as these folks have compiled a huge body of evidence:

      http://www.gata.org/

      --
      Pessimists.net - as if life wasn't depressing enough.
    46. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Narnie · · Score: 1

      What commodity would you recommend?

      Nuka-Cola Caps

      Hookers and blow?

      --
      greed@All_Evils:~#
    47. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Yunzil · · Score: 1

      Why has gold been a universal currency for the past 5,000 years?

      Because it's pretty. That's about it.

    48. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Yunzil · · Score: 1

      My estimate is that by September we will be seeing some pretty hefty inflation.

      Bet you a dollar we won't.

    49. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by vertinox · · Score: 1

      I'm surprised you didn't know that gold has been the most valuable commodity to any society that could get their hands on it. Why has gold been a universal currency for the past 5,000 years? Gold was valuable to the Incas, who had no connection to the east or west, until they were conquered by the Spanish.

      And the Spanish brought all the gold back to Europe was created massive inflation and ruined their economy...

      And please stop the myth about gold being the universal currency for the past 5,000 years.

      First of all during Roman times salt and slaves were the general form of currency. Yes, the official Roman government issued gold, copper, AND silver currencies but it was of a limited supply and the majority of the citizens of the Empire had to barter using salt and other commodities.

      Then during the middle ages, the serfs paid their taxes with wheat etc (they couldn't mine gold in their fields) and the gold/silver was relegated mostly between nobles and their hired hands and merchants.

      As the gold supply was limited, most of the nations created silver currencies and by the time the colonists settled in North America, any gold found was shipped to Europe and the primary currency traded was barter, tobacco, and scrip (fiat from governors). This lasted all the way up until the 1800's.

      Once the United States was created, there was no supply of gold to be had to back their currencies so they had a de facto silver backing of European coin. This continued until the 1870s when they officially switched from silver to gold as the backing which actually may have resulted in the bank panics of 1890 when they basically ran out of gold (which luckily the California gold rush eased it a bit until at least 1907)

      It also worth mentioning that Germany switched from silver to gold in the 1870's too because they forced France to pay them theirs after the Franco-Prussian war ;)

      --
      "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
      -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
    50. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Which commodity are you recommending here? What's more portable, has better liquidity, or has better value density? What doesn't corrode or rot? You can take a piece of gold to any pawn shop or jeweler and get money for it -- try doing that with wheat or oil.

      Uranium might be quite valuable in near future. But be careful not to buy too many of it at once.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    51. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      The $35 price you cite for gold was the government-imposed price. When it became legal to own (thanks, pres. Ford) the price rose to about $70. At that time, cheap bread sold for about $0.20 a loaf. It's now about $1.50. Other dollar prices for things not strongly affected by advancing technology are similar. This corresponds to gold at $525, so gold might be almost 2X a reasonable market value, but not the 28X that your post implies.
      US gold coins were minted in coins as low as $2.50, 1/8 oz. That's about $125 now, so it's not out of possible investment range. Whether it's wise is a question I'm not competent to judge.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    52. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Sucky bet, isn't it? I don't think there's any way to bet that will actually let you win.

      --
      Qxe4
    53. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Alas, the Pound is Pound Sterling, i.e. silver. Not gold.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    54. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Monchanger · · Score: 1

      Good answer.

      The question should have included "easily countable," which is where they fall short. Diamonds are not as uniform in chemical composition as gold bars, malleable or otherwise easy to label or once their value is discerned, nor they stack neatly in piles for the purpose of heist-centered movies.

      It's also far easier to steal a diamond than a gold brick- a terrible feature considering the security concerns involved when you're looking for something on which to base an economy.

    55. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by vertinox · · Score: 1

      No object in the world has inherent value, just the subjective values due to people's wants.

      Food and drink has true value.
      Without it, you would die.

      You don't need to eat gold on a daily basis nor use it to fuel the trucks that bring the food to your table nor power the water plants to filter the water and pump it to your tap (or bottled water).

      Beyond that it is more likely subjective.

      --
      "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
      -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
    56. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Ruzty · · Score: 1

      My father-in-law works at a sporting goods store which sells guns and ammunition. They are wiped out of almost everything except cheap .22 cal and a few boxes of .40 cal. There is a national shortage ammunition and even parts like powder for reloading your own brass.

      People are hoarding in the U.S. right now both out of fear that the current liberal federal administration will try to take their arms away and because of the potential of violent revolution in the face of complete economic disaster.

      --
      The Master (Angelo Rossitto) in Mad Max Beyond Thunderdome, "Not shit, energy!"
    57. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by vertinox · · Score: 1

      As someone experimenting with investing, and having bought some gold, I'm not libertarian.

      This my friends, is an example of why bubbles happen in markets.

      --
      "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
      -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
    58. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Wizard+Drongo · · Score: 1

      Ah, wasn't actually implying it should be at $35 today! Would be nice if it were, but it shouldn't be. Please also bear in mind it was legal to trade in the UK, where I am. I agree that $500-600 is a reasonable price right now.
      Sadly it's inadvisable to be buying gold at the 1/8oz level, since the premium you'll pay for any coins/bullion in them amounts overrule any possible gains, and for safekeeping you're better off saving the cash till you can buy ounces, as indeed I am doing. I'd prefer silver though because profits can still be made at low levels and it's easier to liquidate piece by piece at sub-$100 amounts. Alas the British govt. tax silver. I'll buy some gold the next time it hits $750. I'm guessing it'll do that around midsummer, before a steep climb around autumn, maybe even hitting $1000 at Xmas. I can hope.
      Good luck in your investments, and I'll note that the value of your investments may fall as well as rise, I am not an authorised advisor or broker, none of this post or any other should be used as advice.

      --
      The truth shall always be free: Boris Floricic is Tron.
    59. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by vertinox · · Score: 1

      I'm amazed that in this day and age there are still people who think gold has inherent value and will suddenly be the default currency when everything goes Max Max Real Soon Now.

      I am reminded of a scene in the Fist of the North Star anime in which the wasteland mauraders muder a family and steal their food leaving a suite case full of diamonds, gold, and money scatter like it was trash.

      If the economy does cause such a world... Guns, ammo, gas, water, and food will be the commodities of the day.

      I mean if you don't have a gun someone will take your gold anyways and if they are starving, they'll be more interested in your food.

      --
      "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
      -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
    60. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by dlaudel · · Score: 1

      Even in the case of food, though, the value is determined by people's want/need, not anything inherent in the object itself. To a starving man, food is likely more important than anything in the world to him. Therefore, the value is much higher than gold. On the other hand, your typical first worlder could probably skip a meal with no real issues. It is a much lower value to him. A suicidal man may even find food worthless.

      Gold has emerged over thousands of years a good medium of exchange due to many people wanting something they could trade easily for other goods. Gold fit the bill. It may happen that we find another object in the future that meets people's demands for money even better than gold, in which case we would probably see the price of gold go way down and this other element increase in price until it found a relatively stable value compared to the people's demand for it.

    61. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Trepidity · · Score: 1

      Gold can't be worth $80 "for its use value" or nobody would pay $900 to use it!

      Sure they would; that's how currencies get value! People are willing to pay for something that they believe to be currency even if they don't think it has any inherent value. Paper dollar bills have close to zero use value, yet people are willing to trade commodities for them, purely because of their currency value.

    62. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by DriedClexler · · Score: 1

      *sigh* I was using "use value" in the sense that you were originally using the term -- to refer to its "use value" in electronics. Let me rephrase what I want so we can avoid your clever equivocation:

      "Gold can't provide less than $80/ounce of value in its capacity as a conductor, or nobody would pay $900/ounce to use it as a conductor."

      Now, think up something clever again!

      --
      Information theory is life. The rest is just the KL divergence.
    63. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by lawpoop · · Score: 2, Informative

      Because it's pretty. That's about it.

      You're overlooking several things. First, gold is a metal. Metal currencies are better than other 'precious' things, because they can be melted down, recast, and almost endlessly. Gemstones are pretty, but the have problems as currency. For one, they can shatter, or break, and can't be repaired, which destroys value. If I want to trade 1/2 of my ruby with you, there's not an easy to do that. I can cut up a piece of gold almost endlessly and I don't ruin its value as gold.

      It's a pretty metal that doesn't tarnish or corrode, and it's relatively rare. It's an element, so it can't break down chemically. Silver and copper are also valuable elemental metals, but silver tarnishes, and copper corrodes.

      --
      Computers are useless. They can only give you answers.
      -- Pablo Picasso
    64. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Trepidity · · Score: 1

      That ignores supply/demand. Sure, there are a non-zero number of people who currently pay $900/ounce to use it as a conductor. But not nearly enough to account for the (rather large) supply of gold, so if its price stopped being bid up by people using it as a currency (and central banks artificially increasing its scarcity by hoarding it as currency), the price would collapse, because there is not enough demand for gold as a metal to support current prices.

    65. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Talla · · Score: 1

      "Gold can't provide less than $80/ounce of value in its capacity as a conductor, or nobody would pay $900/ounce to use it as a conductor."

      Because the price is so high, very few who need gold to use it need it enough to buy at the current prices, but of course some do. The real use value is the price it would have if everybody bought it to use it. If there were no competition from all those who buy it just because everybody else seems to want it, the price would be much lower.

    66. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Stephen+Ma · · Score: 1
      Silver was the `universal commodity' for most of the last 5000 years. Gold is a Johnny-come-lately from the last 400 years at best.

      Ahem, do you know what the Roman aureus (from 1st century BC to roughly 4th century AD) was made from? Answer: 99% gold. So gold as a universal currency -- and the Roman Empire was about as universal as Europe ever got -- is a lot older than 400 years.

    67. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by DriedClexler · · Score: 1

      Funny, but is that a reference to something?

      --
      Information theory is life. The rest is just the KL divergence.
    68. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Trogre · · Score: 1

      Well, what else you you going to make molar crowns out of?

      Porcelain? *shudder*

      --
      "Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
    69. Re:Anyone else hoarding gold? by Yunzil · · Score: 1

      t's a pretty metal that doesn't tarnish or corrode, and it's relatively rare.

      ...which is a problem.

  5. Re:Well, considering by ksheff · · Score: 1

    That is if they bother to stay up to date with what bugs are out there on a day to day basis. For most businesses, it's just another OS where they wait for the vendor to release a patch, and then install it at some point.

    --
    the good ground has been paved over by suicidal maniacs
  6. Insightful Answer is: by Liath · · Score: 1

    No.

  7. Cool stuff by Datamonstar · · Score: 1

    One of my Everquest guild mates (from a LONG time ago) was a security admin for a gold mine and he told me that they were training him in breaking Linux. Ironically, he played a rogue and he was a good one. Ever since then I've been thinking about how many high risk/high security places use OSS.

    --
    The eternal struggle of good vs. evil begins within one's self.
    1. Re:Cool stuff by Culture20 · · Score: 1

      Ask the NSA. They'll tell you. Oh wait, no they won't.

  8. The Dollar by copponex · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Trust me. The dollar will not fail.

    If China allowed the dollar to tank, the American economy would make the current crisis look like paradise. Oil would be unaffordable. Our reserves would be locked up for military use. The power vacuum left by a rapidly destabilized American military would fuck shit up. You'd probably have dozens of wars spring up, especially in the middle east, as Europe and Asia battle over the energy reserves currently under our control. Israel would probably end up dropping a pre-emptive nuke to make everyone think twice about moving in their direction. Who knows which way Russia would swing.

    So, the world isn't going to let America fail at the moment, since no one knows how better or worse off they'd be. That's why the dollar is up since the crisis. China may have all of our money, but we still have more military power than the rest of the world combined.

    And gold? Gold isn't going to get you to the border, or to any place of safety. You should buy a dirtbike and a shitload of ammunition if you think the dollar is going to fail. Gold won't buy much more than cash if everyone is starving.

    Plus, your fears about spending are basically groundless. During WWII we drove up our deficit to unbelievable highs - wars are expensive, that's why taxes should go up when a country goes to war. McCain said in 2003: "The tax cut is not appropriate until we find out the cost of the war and the cost of reconstruction." That was, of course, before he starting toeing the line for the real political power in the GOP.

    We can afford national healthcare, stimulus packages, more education, and ponies if we reduce military spending, which is currently at a trillion dollars a year. Empire is what is bankrupting the country, not social spending.

    1. Re:The Dollar by turbidostato · · Score: 1

      "If China allowed the dollar to tank, the American economy would make the current crisis look like paradise. Oil would be unaffordable. Our reserves would be locked up for military use. The power vacuum left by a rapidly destabilized American military would fuck shit up."

      I see how this would be bad for USA (and western world, in general) but I fail to understand how can this be but good for China's government with its massive ammount of reserves and internal market. Oh! and while there is oil it won't be unaffordable, just as expensive as possible. If nobody is able to buy it but for peanuts, that will be its price.

    2. Re:The Dollar by copponex · · Score: 1

      From what I understand, a collapse of the dollar would immediately lead to the pricing of oil in Euros instead of dollars. Both Iraq and Iran and Venezuela have threatened to sell oil in Euros instead of dollars, but if I remember correctly, it is still OPEC policy to only sell oil in dollars. I've read that a war against the Euro is one of the reasons we were drawn so easily into Iraq, but I digress.

      Once oil is sold in Euros, lets say 100 Euros per barrel, and the dollar craters in value, it would cost possibly thousands of dollars to bring a barrel of oil into the United States. So even if oil triples due to lack of supply after that collapse (and inevitable war in the Gulf region), Europe is paying 300 instead of 100, but America is paying $9,000 instead of $3,000. At that price, gasoline would be $215 a gallon. (I know these figures are totally made up - I have not read any "predictions" that say they would be this high.) I doubt the Pentagon would allow anyone to touch the oil reserves - you'd see a shitload of bikes on the road, with a few ambulances and humvees.

      China doesn't have the military capability to step in behind America. They spend 200 billion a year on their military, which has a larger number of troops with less than stellar equipment. Their economy would also partially collapse, as the demand for their products from the US disappear and Europe and the rest of the world would greatly reduce their imports as well.

      Russia may have enough leftover equipment and proximity to take over Iraq and Afghanistan, but who knows where China would land in that scenario. Plus, China couldn't dump their US holdings slow enough to retain their full value, as any move in that direction would cause everyone else to sell theirs.

      This is my totally uneducated opinion, but I'd be very interested to see what contingency plans our government has cooked up for this type of scenario. Maybe it was already put into play in 2001.

    3. Re:The Dollar by EdIII · · Score: 1

      You should buy a dirtbike and a shitload of ammunition if you think the dollar is going to fail.

      Well, I do think the dollar is going to fail. Maybe I am to cynical and bitter about all the crap that has happened in the last 20 years, but that is the way I feel. I have zero faith in the U.S government.

      You are entirely right about Gold. I have transportation, alternative fuel sources and energy, food, and medicine. Ohh, and a shitload of weapons and ammunition. Not to mention a place to go that is well of the beaten path. The food and medicine will be worth more than any piece of Gold when something happens. What can I do with Gold anyways other than trade it for something else? I would rather have the "something else" in hand already.

    4. Re:The Dollar by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      The problem is the EU is hurting even worse than the U.S. right now. All evidence currently points to a complete collapse of the world economy if the U.S. economy craters (which is what it would take for the dollar to collapse)

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    5. Re:The Dollar by Keith_Beef · · Score: 1

      Too big to fail.... where have I heard that recently?

      K.

    6. Re:The Dollar by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Alas, McCain, like most Democrats, is either a liar or willfully ignorant of the Laffer Curve. Within reasonable limits, lower taxes increase government income (especially long term), and lower taxes greatly increase private income.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    7. Re:The Dollar by turbidostato · · Score: 1

      "it would cost possibly thousands of dollars to bring a barrel of oil into the United States."

      Now I see. It is not that "oil would be unaffordable" but that "oil would be unaffordable... for the United States" (and then, given that USA is the greatest oil consumer, that would mean more oil for anybody else). Again, I see how this can be bad for USA but I don't see why this would be bad for China.

      "China doesn't have the military capability to step in behind America."

      Now I see too. USA economy being in bad shape would be bad for China because... USA owns nukes. Bad news: China owns nukes too.

      "Their [China's] economy would also partially collapse"

      That I know but since as you stated, China is still quite behind western countries and it has a massive potential internal market so it could go to look inwards, grow and fill the gap even faster so China would stregthen at the same time that other countries diminish.

  9. China by copponex · · Score: 1

    I meant to expand on this, but China doesn't actually have all of our money, just the most out of any foreign country, along with Japan. I still think they hold enough to do some damage, though, if they switch entirely to Euros or something else.

    1. Re:China by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      I meant to expand on this, but China doesn't actually have all of our money, just the most out of any foreign country, along with Japan. I still think they hold enough to do some damage, though, if they switch entirely to Euros or something else.

      And who exactly would buy their dollars? China is worried about this, as they've recently come to the realization that they've been working on the cheap for America in exchange for nothing more than........paper.

      --
      Qxe4
    2. Re:China by Paul+Pierce · · Score: 1

      No one would buy their dollars. You are right. China doesn't want to admit the IOUs are worthless, because their banks sell them and have them as wealth also. Those that have 'wealth' in US dollars don't want to admit they are just paper.

      What could happen though is they could start using their dollars where they could get the most from them - here. They can buy US companies, property, goods, etc... This is where the US doesn't want their dollars to be worth as much as ours - which of course doesn't make sense; therefore inflation comes back to the US.

      I wonder if China offered a huge sum to buy GM, what would happen.

    3. Re:China by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      lol if I were a GM stock holder I would sell!! It's basically a bad situation all around.....China worked for a lot cheaper than they thought, making us cheap manufactured goods, they can't get rid of their dollars reasonably without causing inflation (devaluing the rest of their holdings); the US has it bad because anyone with savings will lose money, on the other hand most people have debt, and inflation will be good for them.

      On the other hand, China only has $700 billion or so; at one point that seemed like a lot, but considering how much has been spent on the bailouts, it's not really that much.

      --
      Qxe4
  10. Why Linux? First Look in the Vault. by oldsaint · · Score: 1

    Systems that account for physical possession of gold, whether allocated and stored under individuals' identities, or unallocated and used in other transactions (as banks do with money) do not rely upon any specific accounting or transaction system. There are many ways of keeping track of gold accounts, including purely manual records on paper. They all work, if that is the intent. A gold trader that touts its linux system of accounting and trading as somehow essential, or as giving it some sort of advantage in the world gold market, is suspicious. The key point of this article is that apparently no one is allowed to confirm that the gold actually exists. Good luck.

  11. Re:In other news by thtrgremlin · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'm not sure prostitutes need specialised and technical skill or knowledge for what they do

    There are always those without skill in any industry willing to get paid, but quality, D&D free sex workers put exceptional time and training both into their physical and social skills. Low barrier to market (no pun intended) always means more aggressive competition. Nobody makes or pays $500+ an hour without specialised skills. Nobody.

    --
    Want Big Business out of government? Take away the incentive and start by getting government out of big business!
  12. Yeah, Linux can take over... by lawpoop · · Score: 1

    If Linux has reached the world of hundred year old assaying firms, and Swiss vaults buried in mountains, can final world domination be too far away?"

    Yeah, we just need a few nuclear exchanges. Linux and roaches, FTW!

    --
    Computers are useless. They can only give you answers.
    -- Pablo Picasso
  13. Prostitutes who don't play tabletop RPGs? by tepples · · Score: 1

    quality, D&D free sex workers put exceptional time and training both into their physical and social skills.

    D&D? What does Dungeons and Dragons have to do with the sex trade?

    1. Re:Prostitutes who don't play tabletop RPGs? by thtrgremlin · · Score: 1

      If I were to pay for the services of a prostitute, I'd at least expect their full attention and for them to put down the dice. :)

      and in case you weren't just trying to be funny, D&D, D/D, or sometimes just DD free in 'personal ads' means free of Disease free (technically illness free is what people mean / intend to communicate, but people still say disease anyway) and don't to any Drugs. :) In places where prostitution is not criminalised, such things are certified; workers are tested weekly and is a condition of their employment that they are clean, safe, and happy.

      --
      Want Big Business out of government? Take away the incentive and start by getting government out of big business!
    2. Re:Prostitutes who don't play tabletop RPGs? by fractoid · · Score: 1

      Sounds to me like D/D would be diseased druggie, it needs a negation somewhere in there. :)

      Sounds like (as with most other nominally 'victimless' crimes) prohibition has caused far more overall harm than simple regulation would have done.

      --
      Rampant carbon sequestration destroyed the Dinosaurs' tropical paradise. I'm here to help repair the damage.
  14. Is this really about Linux? by Phizzle · · Score: 1

    Or is this just a clever commercial for BullionVault being pitched at the Linux loving Slashdot community?

    --
    I will not be pushed, filed, stamped, indexed, briefed, debriefed or numbered. My life is my own.
  15. 1998 called... by grepya · · Score: 1

    ... and it wants its "Linux being used in X industry... Yaaay... " story back.

  16. Security by KamuZ · · Score: 1

    I don't know, when i see a story about handling a lot of money and open source i just can think it's probably because they prefer to have people auditing the code for "free" and fix them quickly. Something that is really hard to achieve with proprietary software as they sometimes go with security through obscurity or take a while to deploy patches.

  17. Good news, everyone! by martas · · Score: 1

    My doomsday device, sitting quietly in orbit above your precious little planet and patiently awaiting activation, runs linux! Celebrate, puny humans, for soon thou shalt be destroyed by the Great Old Penguin.

  18. I don't think so... by filesiteguy · · Score: 1

    Honestly, I've been a Linux advocate since - oh - '96 or so, and a linux user fulltime since 2004. However, I've recently just about given up on Desktop Linux at least. I migrated my primary laptop from Linux (openSUSE) to Vista a few weeks back simply because there were too many things not working the way I felt they needed to be.

    I could get around most of the constant need for IE by using Crossover Office or IES4Linux. However, more and more sites are requiring IE7 or plugins which don't work in Wine. Running VirtualBox or VMWare works but drags the computer down way too much. (And I could never convince RIM to make a Blackberry desktop program for Linux, in spite of four years of asking them at least monthly. Oh, and neither VirtualBox nor VMWare seems to let me synch my blackberry when running under Linux.)

    I might be wrong, but I see the ease of use of Wintendo much more than of Linux, especially for desktops. Yes, it is true that *nix is already in use on embedded devices such as my DSL router, my ethernet router, my son's Didj handheld game system, my wife's TiVO and on our Satellite NAV system in the car. However, there just "seems" to be something missing from the desktop arena.

    Since switching the laptop to Vista (after almost two years on openSUSE), I've noticed a few things. First, it never fails to connect to my wireless (WPA encrypted/no SSID broadcast) network at home. Under openSUSE, I would routinely connect instead to my neighbor's network and have serious trouble connecting to mine, unless I went to the CLI and typed in su rcnetwork restart.

    Second, I can now finally fill in PDF forms and save teh data. You wouldnt' think this was a big deal, but it is for me. (I'm a PHB.) There is an OSS java program but it would routinely fail for me.

    Third, I can actually get on my corporate WAN via the new Juniper web-based VPN. (Yes, I've written to Juniper to ask them not to use ActiveX for this.)

    Fourth, flash based and java based web applications work faster and better. Though I use Firefox, I do have IE tab running.

    Now, in fairness, I've had my share of issues. After installing Office2007 (only because OOo 3.x doesn't support comments and versions in documents) I started crashing. I even got a few bluescreens. Also, on about every other day, my laptop will simply shut off. I have no idea why.

    Will I continue to use Linux? You bet! I have it running on another older laptop, which i use to SSH into my home network from work or whereever. (I have a static IP at home.) I can use this for a proxy or simply to diagnose an issue my wife or kids might be having.

    However, I don't see it taking over the desktop anytime soon. Had this question been asked of me two years ago, I woudl have said and emphatic, "yes." However I think that the window of opportunity has slipped by and that the big money - Microshaft and The-Cult-of-Apple - have made it nearly impossible to let better technology succeed.

    Mark me down as a troll if you wish, this is simply my $0.02.

    (Oh, and I had to read this page in compatibility mode, because IE8 throws too many errors...)

    1. Re:I don't think so... by markdavis · · Score: 1

      >I could get around most of the constant need for IE by using Crossover Office or IES4Linux. However, more and more sites are requiring IE7 or plugins which don't work in Wine.

      That is a legitamate problem. But one that has nothing to do with Linux/FOSS and everything to do with companies designing proprietary websites.

      >Running VirtualBox or VMWare works but drags the computer down way too much.

      Nonsense. VirtualBox runs MS-Win faster than native MS-Win in every experience I have had with it. As long as you give it (and have) enough RAM, it hardly bothers the host OS at all.

      >Since switching the laptop to Vista (after almost two years on openSUSE), I've noticed a few things. First, it never fails to connect to my wireless (WPA encrypted/no SSID broadcast) network at home. Under openSUSE, I would routinely connect instead to my neighbor's network and have serious trouble connecting to mine, unless I went to the CLI and typed in su rcnetwork restart.

      I agree that wireless HAS been a continuous, royal, PITA for many people. At least my experience hasn't bee that bad, because I simply don't use WPA, and my laptops do seem to all work much, much better with general wireless than 5 years ago. Some of the wireless problems have been the "fault" of Linux, and others are the fault of hardware manufacturers.

      On a similar note, my experience with Linux suspend/resume has been pretty dismal at times; yet stellar on others. On many laptops running more recent Linux, it works great. On others, it is completely broken, unreliable, or just slower than doing a real shut-down and later clean boot.

      >Second, I can now finally fill in PDF forms and save teh data. You wouldnt' think this was a big deal, but it is for me. (I'm a PHB.) There is an OSS java program but it would routinely fail for me.

      You can do this under Linux by simply printing the PDF to a file, which creates postscript. You can then use ps2pdf to turn it right back into a PDF. It isn't perfect, but I have done it many times.

      >Third, I can actually get on my corporate WAN via the new Juniper web-based VPN. (Yes, I've written to Juniper to ask them not to use ActiveX for this.)

      Yep- VPN's are, again, a PITA. And again, not Linux's fault but proprietary software corporations' refusal to support Linux. Of course,the typical end user don't care WHY it doesn't work, it just doesn't work and they blame it on Linux. Either way, the user is still "stuck".

      >Fourth, flash based and java based web applications work faster and better.

      That has not been my experience. But experience will vary- depending on sites, programs, etc.

      >Now, in fairness, I've had my share of issues. After installing Office2007 (only because OOo 3.x doesn't support comments and versions in documents)

      OO does, indeed support versioning and comments. And that support is quite strong. It might not work the same was as MS-Office, but don't claim it isn't there. Edit->changes. Edit->changes->comments. Edit->compare. File->versions.

      >I started crashing. I even got a few bluescreens. Also, on about every other day, my laptop will simply shut off. I have no idea why.

      That *has* been my experience with many, many MS-Windows machines. Again, it is not always the case, but there is a reason that stereotype has permeated.

      >Mark me down as a troll if you wish, this is simply my $0.02.

      I don't think you are a troll. You have overstepped some facts a few times, but generally are just telling your experience. I think it underlines what I have been saying for many, many years:

      The problem with Linux/FOSS has much less to do with what Linux/FOSS capabilities and design and much more with limitations placed on it by companies who design software and hardware with little or no concern for Linux/FOSS or how it affects interoperability. What came first- the chicken or the egg.

    2. Re:I don't think so... by Josh885 · · Score: 1

      The BSOD's and random power off's are defiantly hardware issues. It could be dying ram or maybe vista is just causing the system to over heat. Vista does stress the system more than openSUSE will. Another perhaps the most likely explanation is a power problem. Maybe a dying battery. That's exactly what my desktop did when the power supply started failing.

    3. Re:I don't think so... by filesiteguy · · Score: 1

      I doubt it is hardware. I ran a burn-in test a few weeks prior. It has been running without a hitch for the past week.

      I do wish I had even gotten a BSOD, as it would have been easier to diagnose. In my case, the system would just turn off.

      Ah well...

  19. Fail by fat_mike · · Score: 1
    I love this paragraph and the last sentence in the one before it:

    For a while, they deployed OpenOffice as the word processing and spreadsheet application, but ran into problems. The wide range of multimedia documents and complex spreadsheets, often produced by Microsoft Office, that the company received were not reliably imported into OpenOffice. In the worst cases, some spreadsheets would crash OpenOffice Calc. As many of the documents were related to authenticating customers, pragmatism has meant that the company has switched to Microsoft Office, at least for the foreseeable future.

    The foreseeable future...considering I heard almost that exact quote 10 years ago I don't think they'll be switching anytime in the next century. And the guy that said

    But the whole point of the post was that Linux reached something so archaic -- not something at the forefront.

    I hope you're being sarcastic because if not you're very sad and very, very dumb.

  20. Swiss vaults buried in mountains by Qzukk · · Score: 1

    Finally! 2009 shall be the Year of Linux on the Mountaintop!

    --
    If I have been able to see further than others, it is because I bought a pair of binoculars.
  21. Oh, FFS by Zey · · Score: 1

    Oh FFS, the year is 2009 not 1999. Linux being used for servers in big business and multinationals is not newsworthy. Linux is a mainstream server platform. This is a "dog bites man" story and isn't worth our attention.

  22. gold investing making headlines by marcuz · · Score: 1

    this is so weird. talking gold investing on slashdot? i like gold but this mainstream attention is driving me crazy - there is a bubble in every market and i can't figure out how much time in this gold bull run we have. i guess its still not considered normal for people to hold gold as an investment like it is with the stock market (or was). concerning inflation - i am not so sure about predicting the outcome. much wealth was wiped out and printing some trillions might not be enough to cause enough inflation. however, in the case of deflation which is happening now (and gold is doing fine) i wouldn't worry about gold either becouse gold is actually money.

    1. Re:gold investing making headlines by vertinox · · Score: 1

      this is so weird. talking gold investing on slashdot? i like gold but this mainstream attention is driving me crazy - there is a bubble in every market and i can't figure out how much time in this gold bull run we have.

      There is an unsaid (well its said often) rule in investing, that when Joe Sixpacks grandmother starts investing in something, a bubble is soon to follow.

      In all reality, the price of gold is really determined by the next person willing to pay for it. It has no major utility (other than looking good, being organically inert, and being a slightly worse conductor than silver) and the supply is ever increasing because of mining.

      In fact there is more gold mining activity today than there ever were in the history of mankind.

      People say gold is money, but even money is useless but you can't find anyone to trade so that you get gas for your car, a home to stay, food to eat, and water to drink.

      It would be more logical to invest in oil than gold.

      --
      "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
      -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
    2. Re:gold investing making headlines by marcuz · · Score: 1

      when joe sixpack starts investing and the bubble just starts to grow, there is still a good oportunity in investing but you have to be there early. nothing wrong with growing bubbles until they peak - and i don't see signs of gold peaking yet. china is buying big time and other countries as well. i don't have a problem with gold's price being set by demand/supply based on investors needs without actual usage as an industrial metal. you can buy silver if you like the industrial part of precious metals. and back to the gold is money argument. i said that because i was talking about deflation. in that kind of environment money is the king and therefore if gold is money then gold is king too. its just as simple as that. and believe me, you can always trade gold - just look at the history. i dont think it would be more logical to invest in oil. i am not sure about oil's fundamentals anymore. there is a huge push for solar and other power sources. its also a political thing. considering technical analysis, oil is in a strong downtrend and catching falling knives is considered dangerous. oil was a big big bubble and it crashed badly, the recovery might take a long while. on the other hand gold is in a bull run (just look at the chart). but ok, some contrarian perspective is always good and oil could bounce - but nobody can be sure at this time.

    3. Re:gold investing making headlines by HAWAT.THUFIR · · Score: 1

      this is so weird. talking gold investing on slashdot? i like gold but this mainstream attention is driving me crazy - there is a bubble in every market and i can't figure out how much time in this gold bull run we have.

      Gold is, I dunno the technical term, but I think a "hedge" investment. In times of war or depression gold goes up. Inversely, if the cost of gold decreases that's a marker that things are looking up otherwise.

  23. Gold Price by yams · · Score: 1

    This week there are three people who have enticed me to buy gold: 1. My banker 2. My wife 3. Slashdot I am used to the first two trying to convince me to buy something that would fall in value. This is the first time Slashdot has joined them. Et tu Brute. My feeling: $650 per troy ounce by next year.

  24. Re:Quite the opposite Rioting Pacifist by RiotingPacifist · · Score: 1

    I said at least 1. from here

    September 8, 2008: London Stock Exchange

    The London Stock Exchange had to stop trading for more than seven hours due an issue with its new trading platform, co-developed with Microsoft.

    They had specificially chosen windows for reliability

    The incident could prove to be particularly embarrassing for Microsoft who at the end of 2006 launched a huge advertising campaign stating that the London Stock Exchange had chosen Windows over Linux because of reliability issues. An opinion obviously not shared by the New York Stock Exchange who has been using Linux and AIX for over a year without any outage at all.

    note the NYSE is has been running for years with no major outages (even most 'major' outages last an hour not a day)

    june 3, 2008: OMX Nordic Exchange and the Oslo Stock Exchange

    The OMX Nordic Exchange and the Oslo Stock Exchange opened five and a half hours late due to a problem with the trading system. Just the day before, the start of trading had been delayed by 40 minutes due to the same problem. Stock exchanges in Stockholm, Copenhagen, Helsinki and Oslo were all affected (they use the same backend system).

    oh OMX = NASDAQ OMX, but finding out what software they're running is a bit tricky unless microsoft are gloating about the switch (as they were in with LSE)

    --
    IranAir Flight 655 never forget!
  25. Re:In other news by vertinox · · Score: 1

    No. The cave artist didn't have any animals to pay cave prostitute, so he was trying to impress her by painting them.

    --
    "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
    -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
  26. How equitable is the distribution? by copponex · · Score: 1

    More revenues for society to not mean the society is healthy, especially if wealth is being concentrated among fewer people. Plus, saying that revenues went up since we started cutting taxes in the 1980s is meaningless. If revenues didn't go up, you wouldn't be beating inflation.

    Obviously, there is some point at which raising tax rates becomes damaging to an economy. Our rates seem to be just fine - we just need a simpler tax code that closes loopholes for corporations, since they pay some of the lowest effective tax rates in the industrialized world.

    Elements of the Laffer Curve theory would explain why American businesses are doing so well, and middle class American citizens are not.

  27. thousands is nothing, really by portscan · · Score: 1

    ok, nice to get the press coverage but an iPhone could probably handle "thousands" of daily transactions. compared to exchanges processing millions per second, this is not so impressive. a lot of them are using linux (NYSE at least uses it for some stuff, although they use AIX or z/OS for lots of stuff, too). it should come as no surprise to anyone that almost all financial markets operate on some type of unix or linux platform. really, what else would you use?

  28. Upset that you didn't get what you wanted R.P.? by MEK_LoveBug · · Score: 1

    RiotingPacifist, I think you're just upset that you had answers you did not count on here http://linux.slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=1209893&cid=27700467 that are in favor of Windows uptime and stability at a major stock exchange, and for far longer than anything you could put up using Linux. When NYSE gets to 5 years or better of 99.999+% uptime, then & only then RiotingPacifist, might be able to talk (because the best you had from the other stock exchanges that used Linux was what - 2 yrs. at best? Not even 1/2 as much time as Windows had)

  29. Re:Well, considering by ksheff · · Score: 1

    The same thing is usually done with AIX, whatever IBM sells for their mainframes, and other business systems that aren't from MSFT. What open source does bring you is the ability for someone to continue support for a product that the vendor has end-of-life'd. The business has the choice of spending money on upgrading to a new product or spending it on 'dead product' maintenance (internally or 3rd party). Unfortunately for MSFT, most business have taken a "hell no, we won't go!" attitude to moving beyond XP. :)

    --
    the good ground has been paved over by suicidal maniacs