Mass Arrests of Journalists Follow Iran Elections

I Don't Believe in Imaginary Property writes "Reporters Without Borders is alarmed by the fact that no less than 23 journalists have been arrested in Iran in the week following the elections, making Iran one of the most dangerous places in the world to be a journalist. Online activists are trying to counter this trend by giving advice for helping Iranian protesters. One problem is that Iranian leaders are trying to delegitimize the reform movement by pretending that the reformers are puppets of foreign powers, so special discretion is required for anyone wanting to help the Iranian people."

Comments

Surprised

[diskofish]

Honestly, I was surprised the backlash against this didn't happen sooner. I guess this just confirms western fears that the elections in Iran were indeed a farce.

Re:Surprised

[GodfatherofSoul]

I'm surprised that it hasn't been worse. The Grand Ayatollah basically dared the protesters to call his bluff when he threatened them, then he didn't do much to stop them afterwards. A-hole Oppressive Authoritarianism 101 says you crack down hard and fast. Now, the protesters have had a taste of victory and the leadership looks weak.

Re:Surprised

[MyLongNickName]

This does not confirm that the elections were a farce. It simply confirms that Iran is not a liberal democracy. If the elections were fair and a protest erupted, there would have been a similar clampdown.

Frankly, I don't know who to believe. The past 30 years of American history has taught me not to take my government's word at face value, and journalism isn't much better. I don't think anyone outside of Iran knows the truth.

Re:Surprised

[daveatneowindotnet]

How do you say "amateurs" in Mandarin?

Re:Surprised

[AKAImBatman]

The Iranian government was hoping to quietly sweep the issue under the rug. The Guardian Council's statement that they would look into possible election fraud was nothing more than a delay tactic. The Council had hoped that the public would wait for the result quietly. Then when the Council made their determination, the people would have cooled off and the whole matter would be swept under the rug.

Of course, it didn't work that way. The Iranian public has been getting progressively angrier. These stalling tactics only made them madder. The Ayatollah's proclamation of "divine insight" into the election made them angrier still. Even the blood shed on the street has not discouraged them, but thrown them into a shear rage.

Now Iran is staring down a full-blown revolution. The police have been told they can use firearms (as if they haven't been using them) and the protesters have been denounced as terrorists.

A lot of blood is going to be shed in the next few days. And the press just happens to be considered a fair target by the Iranian government. :-(

Re:Surprised

[ShadowRangerRIT]

No it, doesn't confirm the elections were a farce. But there is quite a lot of statistical evidence, and even the government admits to some apparent overvoting. Yes, it could all be coincidence (the statistical evidence allows for a less than 1% chance the chance the election results weren't made up), and it is possible that in between 50 and 170 districts, people voted outside their voting districts and therefore produced greater than 100% turnout, but it's extremely suspect all the same.

Re:Surprised

[Rogerborg]

this just confirms western fears that the elections in Iran were indeed a farce

What a curious way to look at it. Here I was thinking that what the West feared was the result, not the method of arriving at it.

If the moderate liberals succeed in seizing power (nobody laugh), will the West fear them as well just because "the elections were a farce"?

Re:Surprised

[Anonymous Coward]

They can still do that. If you read the history of these Iranian assholes, specifically the 1972 revolution, and the killings afterward. Or if you want to get totally horrified you can check out the history of the Iran-Iraq war (there's a reason Teheran and Baghdad have the largest cemetaries in the world, despite the fact muslims don't normally have graveyards at all. Those graveyards even have pictures and stories, which goes explicitly against islam, and yet these ayatollahs and even the Iraqi Sunni's support it).

They lost about 500.000 children in the following manner. The imam would give them a little plastic "key to paradise", you know, with the 72 virgins and so on, then send them almost naked and unarmed into a minefield to clear a path for soldiers.

Let me repeat : they did this to 500 THOUSAND children.

Are you certain this is sinking in ? 500 THOUSAND kids dead.

That's what these guys did to get, and remain in power. They are still more than capable of repeating this. Or it might be a reason for them to not repeat those things. I pray (to a God whose idea of an afterlife does NOT include slavery, not for me and not for anyone else) that they don't repeat their history.

The mullahs are probably correct in thinking that if they don't get the demonstrations under control they will get hanged though. They certainly deserve it, but I doubt they agree.

Re:Surprised

[CrashPoint]

I don't think anyone outside of Iran knows the truth.

Hell, I doubt many people inside Iran know the truth.

Re:Surprised

[MightyMartian]

The problem here is that there are deep divisions among the various factions that control Iran. Khamenei is, at least on paper, the most powerful person in Iran, but he ultimately does have to answer to the Assembly of Experts. The Assembly of Experts is lead by Khamenei's chief rival; Rafsanjani. It appears that, whatever the goals of the protesters, it really is about Rafsanjani and the other commercial elites, who stand to benefit from opening up to the West, taking on Khamenei and his faction, who are decidedly anti-Western and totally anti-American.

You can see this secret dance in odd ways; Khamenei's fawning words about Rafsanjani's, the unwillingness of Khamenei to go completely Tienanmen on the protesters (which may suggest deep divisions in the Guardian Council). Khamenei clearly thinks he is vulnerable and has to walk a fine line. Still, by arresting Rafsanjani's kids and making only slightly veiled threats against Moussavi he's trying to send the message that he still holds a lot of cards, which of course he does.

I think the news, such as we're getting, suggests the protests are petering out. But the cat is out of the bag now. Khamenei's authority has been undermined.

Re:Surprised

[SatanicPuppy]

I don't think anyone inside Iran knows the truth either. You may not "trust journalism" whatever that means, but our journalism, with all of its flaws is far better at disseminating accurate information than anything they have inside Iran at the best of times, and these aren't the best of times.

The people in Iran are hearing little besides rumor, propaganda, and sermons.

Re:Surprised

[citizenr]

I pray (to a God whose idea of an afterlife does NOT include slavery, not for me and not for anyone else)

so you talk to imaginary people (or even voices in your head) and at the same time feel you are better than other crazy people?

Re:Surprised

[SkyDude]

I don't think anyone outside of Iran knows the truth.

Iranians living in the US know the truth. Seek out what they have to say on Google.

By the way, you may think the US government is FOS, but take note of the language used on many of the protester's signs. They're in English, and I don't think they are necessarily looking for attention from the Brits.

Having worked with a former Iranian several years ago, I can tell you only what he told me - there can be terrible consequences if someone speaks out against the ruling mullahs. I, for one, would like to see this upheaval undermine the bastards that are ruling that otherwise magnificent country, populated by smart hard working people.

Re:Surprised

[castironpigeon]

A lot of blood is going to be shed in the next few days. And the press just happens to be considered a fair target by the Iranian government. :-(

Making the press a target is actually going to backfire on the Iranian government. Instead of the usual 15 minutes devoted to practically any international event before the next bit of sensationalist bullshit comes on the air, this attack on their own may embitter the press enough to cause them to give Iran a bit of hell for its trouble. Imprisoning or killing a few dozen reporters could mean the difference between a revolution that nobody ever hears or cares about and one that has most of the world supporting it and therefore succeeds.

Re:Surprised

[Hatta]

This does not confirm that the elections were a farce. It simply confirms that Iran is not a liberal democracy. If the elections were fair and a protest erupted, there would have been a similar clampdown.

At least they had protests. We had two extremely suspect elections in a row, and US citizens did nothing. It's pretty pathetic to think that Iranians expect more democratic results from their elections than we do.

Re:Surprised

[hot soldering iron]

That's remarkably shortsighted of YOU to think that they want, need, or care about a "voter base". They are warlords, and will stay in power as long as they can using lies, violence, corruption, or rigged elections. Besides any old-school Chicago politician knows that just because someone is dead doesn't mean they can't vote!

Re:Surprised

[Anonymous Coward]

Nope.

Re:Surprised

[rs79]

"I don't think anyone outside of Iran knows the truth.

Hell, I doubt many people inside Iran know the truth. "

What he said. Twitter is ablaze with the revolution and attempts to sort fact from fiction. One of the accepted "facts" is that embassies are taking in the wounded.

A buddy of mine is the guy that conncted Iran to the net in the 90s. He's over there still and says this is a complete myth.

There is *so* much misinformation now it almost lends credence to the notion the CIA is doing it again.

See also:
http://www.independent.co.uk/opinion/commentators/fisk/robert-fiskrsquos-world-in-tehran-fantasy-and-reality-make-uneasy-bedfellows-1710762.html

Re:Surprised

[murdocj]

Yeah, we would have been much, much better off having a(nother) civil war rather than using the rule of law to decide who got to be president next.

Re:Surprised

[demachina]

"specifically the 1972 revolution"

I think the Iranian revolution you must be referring to was in 1978/1979.

"then send them almost naked and unarmed into a minefield to clear a path for soldiers."

Many of these "children" were members of the Basij. Its a little simplistic to portray the people who join the Basij as not know what they were doing. They new about as well as anyone who joins a fanatical, fundamentalist organization, whether it be the Basij or the Taliban. Ahmandinejad came out of the Basij too. Its a little misleading to lay the misuse of martyrdom on just the current Iranian regime. Martrydom is an integral part of Islam and a number of other religions and social movements. It was integral to Japanese culture as well. The same thing happens many other places including the 9/11 hijackers and human wave attacks by the Japanese in World War II. I think I would blame the ability of organized religions to manipulate people in to doing really stupid things, and that problem is not specific to Iran, Iran's current regime, nor is it specific to Islam. America has used religion throughout its history to encourage people to get killed in wars too.

I'm not entirely sure of the dates but I think Moussavi, the current champion of democracy and freedom in Iran today was, was in the 1980's, the Prime Minister of the Iran during part of the Iran Iraq war. I'm not positive but there is a pretty fair chance he was complicit in the human wave attacks as much as the rest of the Iranian regime you are railing against.

The Iranian human wave attacks really aren't much different than Pickett's charge at Gettysberg and pretty much every offensive waged in World War I by the French, Germans, British, Russians and Americans. The death toll in World War I far surpassed 500 thousand. They killed that many young men in a few days. In World War I the solders might have been slightly older, and packing rifles, but they were slaughtered in exactly the same way by machine guns, artillery and mustard gas and the fact the were carrying rifles was usually pretty irrelevant. Most of them had been told by their ministers and rabbi's that heaven awaited if they didn't make it, which most of them didn't. Its a shameless ploy of most nation states and organized religions to use the promise of an after life to get soldiers to throw away the life they have in wars.

The Iranian human wave attacks certainly were brutal but you are also somewhat over the top in how you are using it for propaganda purposes against the current regime. Iran was fighting a war against Iraq and Saddam Hussein. Iraq was getting a LOT of military aid from the U.S. and Britain in particular while Iran was mostly being embargoed. Iraq had vastly superior weaponry as a result and the west was also encouraging Saddam to use chemical weapons against the Iranians. One of Iran's few assets is it had more people, so use of human wave attacks may be the only thing that kept them from losing the war against Iraq. Pretty much all they did was sacrifice poorly trained, poorly equipped soldiers to clear the way for their experienced soldiers, it was brutal, but they were desperate, it did work, it isn't the first time it was done nor was it the last. All war is brutal, nit picking the details like you are doing for propaganda purposes is pretty transparent and shameless. The Allies intentionally killed millions of civilians, including women and children, in Germany and Japan through strategic bombing and no one seems to bat an eye about that, and in a lot of ways that was much worse.

Probably just as bad as the Iranian human waves was for the U.S. and Britain to arm Saddam, encourage him to attack his neighbors(Iran) and encourage him to use weapons of mass destruction against them one decade and then wage two wars against him in each of the next two decades for attacking his neighbors(this time Kuwait) and using WMD's this time against the Kurds. It was the height of hypocrisy. The U.S. and Britain were just goading Arabs in to killing each other to gain their strategic goals, mostly control of Middle Eastern oil.

Re:Surprised

[Yvanhoe]

I would add that the last elections were characterized by massive arrest of opposition candidates in the last weeks before elections. The fact alone that this did not happen this time is a sign that the government had another way of cheating. Really, Iran is not used to 'fair elections'. Journalists can't work right now so they can't find confirmation of a persistent rumor, but it is said that national counting offices were run over by militants during the counting and that after that the trend changed.

But should we believe that.... ?

[ls671]

> "One problem is that Iranian leaders are trying to delegitimize the reform movement by pretending that they're puppets of foreign powers, so special discretion is required for anyone wanting to help the Iranian people."

I agree with this idea but should we think that foreign intelligence agents in Iran are currently seriously told to stay put and do nothing ? ;-))

Or even believe that there is no foreign intelligence agents in Iran ?

There definitely seems to be a momentum from the people of Iran taking place although, pendulum effect at work again ?

http://slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=1273015&cid=28384711&art_pos=8

Marg bar Diktator!

[LaminatorX]

The regime seems to be fighting the last media war. They've been very effective in deporting and isolating professionals, only to discover how irrelevant that is when thousands of phone-cams are in the streets. Their attempts at jamming and filtering have clearly been quite porous. There's no such thing as a media blackout once word of mouth goes world wide.

Re:Marg bar Diktator!

[Anonymous Coward]

Their attempts at jamming and filtering have clearly been quite porous.

The porosity may be purposeful. You'll note an article posted earlier about Siemens and Nokia providing censoring technology to Iran's government.

FTA:

the Iranian government appears to be engaging in a practice often called deep packet inspection

If they totally shut down the internet communications then there is nothing to run DPI on. By reducing their traffic but not eliminating it they have stuff to inspect.

For more information about the Iranian firewall check out the links in the summary from Researchers Find Gaps In Iranian Filtering posted here yesterday on Slashdot. There are a couple of charts of web, email and video traffic leading up to and after the elections as well as a graph showing percentage of top 10 applications blocked.

Foreign Influence in Iran Protests is Real

[Anonymous Coward]

"One problem is that Iranian leaders are trying to delegitimize the reform movement by pretending that they're puppets of foreign powers, so special discretion is required for anyone wanting to help the Iranian people."

Regardless of what one thinks about the Ayatollahs and Ahmadinejad, it is well known that the CIA and other western powers are spending millions stirring up trouble in Iran: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/1543798/US-funds-terror-groups-to-sow-chaos-in-Iran.html

This article gives some historical overview of western meddling in Iran: http://www.voltairenet.org/article160670.html

What many of you also fail to understand is that while Musavi is less fundamentalist than Ahmadinejad, his views are hardly one of support for "human rights" and free society. It is sorta like the difference between Republicans and Democrats - a few differences on paper but little substantial difference.

Re:Foreign Influence in Iran Protests is Real

[Ritz_Just_Ritz]

Whether there are only "a few differences on paper but little substantial difference" between Ahmadinejad and Moussavi, that is not the point. The point is that the election was rigged. The fact that the mullahs felt the need to rig an election where both front-runners only have "a few differences on paper, but little substantial difference," speaks volumes about how much "dissent" will be tolerated by the Ayatollacrats.

Best,

Standing up

[phrostie]

My heart goes out to the Iranian people, but this is something they have to do for themselves.
their governement has to learn to respect the people they govern. as one post i read had stated, "we've traded one dictatorship for another".

if we in the west get involved there will always be accusations of puppets and strings.
the only way for the Iranian people to earn the respect of those that run the country and the other countries of the region is to do this on their own.

the worst is yet to come, but i wish them all the courage and strength they may need.

Re:Standing up

[BlueKitties]

Damn straight! These folks descend from the Persians, I know they have what it takes to hold their own. If other countries step in, it will only lead to propaganda. At this point, all we can do is watch and cheer. May the force be with you, Iranians.

Re:Standing up

[Bryansix]

These people MASSACRED the persians, and took their land, and killed or enslaved anyone living on it. The same is true of just about any muslim state, with the notable exception of Indonesia (though neighboring malaysia is certainly not an exception).

Honestly, read history. There isn't a single country around the globe, with the exception of Indonesia, where muslims are the natives. Not a single one.

Just so you know : the natives of Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia are the berbers. The natives of Egypt are, well, Egyptians, massacred by the muslims in the first wars, and now all but replaced. The peoples of the gulf were always a mix of different nationalities, living in tribes, massacred by a single tribe during the start of islam. The inhabitants of Jordan, Syria, Iraq ... were Greeks, Romans, Persians and Hindus (western peoples) before the muslims slaugthered them. The inhabitants of Iran were the Persians, these were slowly killed over a few hundred years by muslim "immigrants". Pakistan and Bangladesh were inhabited by Hindus before the massive slaughter of the islamic mongol empires started. All were exterminated, either by direct genocides, like the islamic prophet did, or by slow attacks during "peaceful immigration" like happened in Iran.

The muslims, or the arabs, whatever you call them started out as a small tribe stealing from caravans between Damascus, Medina and Mecca. Christian and Jewish cities all. In Mecca there was a strong "pagan" presence, a polytheist religion centered around the moon god "allah" (only one mark in his name in Arameic) (the symbol for islam is still the moon phase). He had 3 beautiful daughters, of which all but a few statues are destroyed. In the initial war to start islam, over 12000 people were killed. A number that would rise to 100 million before 100 years would pass.

QFT!

Re:Standing up

[Dragoness Eclectic]

Where are you getting your historical and religious info, Chick Tracts?

You seem to be confusing the words "massacre" and "conquest". Mohammed's Arabs conquered their neighbors and converted them to Islam; they didn't exterminate them. Arabs have been raiding their neighbors since the dawn of history, and moving in and taking over when their civilized neighbors were weak--study the history of ancient Iraq/Mesopotamia some time. They tended to get assimilated by the vastly larger civilized populations they ruled, not massacred.

The Mongols and the Turks coming off the steppes were the ones that exterminated whole populations, and that was centuries after the original Arab conquest. The steppe nomads weren't having any of that assimilation stuff, so they wiped out everyone who wasn't an ignorant peasant. The Ottoman conquest of the Middle East set civilization in Mesopotamia back by centuries; it still hasn't recovered.

By the way, most places the moslems are natives; they converted to Islam via conquest or trade. Persians are not Arabs, and calling them Arabs is a good way to insult them.

What does it take to topple regime?

[javacowboy]

I'm not asking a rhetorical question. I'm genuinely curious about what the historical precedent is for regimes to be overthrown since it doesn't seem to happen.

My Russian friend used the colloquialism "every country is three meals away from a revolution" to describe the threshold for revolution, to make the case that nobody missed three meals during the Great Depression but did before the Russian Revolution.

I also read Robert Heinlein's "The Moon is a Harsh Mistress" in which Heinlein asserted that revolutions are never started or run by ordinary people, but by well organized political factions.

There's also 1984, in which Orwell points out that revolutions always involve the middle class, and the proletariat never drives revolutions.

There's also the wild card of alleged CIA involvement, which was behind the Orange (Ukraine) and Rose (Georgia) revolutions.

All of these tidbits of information aren't helping me to predict the outcome of the latest situation in Iran. What's driving the protests other than the election results? Will the revolutionaries succeed?

Re:What does it take to topple regime?

[jollyreaper]

My Russian friend used the colloquialism "every country is three meals away from a revolution" to describe the threshold for revolution, to make the case that nobody missed three meals during the Great Depression but did before the Russian Revolution.

I also read Robert Heinlein's "The Moon is a Harsh Mistress" in which Heinlein asserted that revolutions are never started or run by ordinary people, but by well organized political factions.

There's also 1984, in which Orwell points out that revolutions always involve the middle class, and the proletariat never drives revolutions.

There's also the wild card of alleged CIA involvement, which was behind the Orange (Ukraine) and Rose (Georgia) revolutions.

The thing to remember is that these are the observations of writers. They may be true or they may not, being printed is no more proof of one than the other.

If you look at the American Revolution, it was organized and financed by a faction within the elite and most privileged class of society. The colonies had not been around long enough to have as firm a tradition of aristocracy as in England so most of the American aristocrats were new to their wealth, having earned it themselves rather than inheriting rank and position from father and he from his father before him. So there was a great belief in America that the intelligent and hard-working could win their place in society, that a common man could prove his merit. Of course, there was also scorn of the common man who did not prove his virtue and remained common.

With the French Revolution, by all accounts it did start as a spontaneous uprising and leadership positions were hewn out violently in the same fashion one would expect if a few thousand people were thrown together and dumped into an isolated wilderness.

The other thing we've seen historically is that a conspiracy might form to kick down the door to the halls of power but they lose control of the beast they created and different people gain control of it.

History seems to be a record not so much of grand conspiracies cunningly executed but people of greed and avarice settings events in motion that can sometimes turn out quite contrary to their expectations. WWII in Europe never would have happened if Hitler had not worked so diligently to bring it about but the results ran somewhat contrary to his expectations.

Re:What does it take to topple regime?

[sribe]

...nobody missed three meals during the Great Depression...

Bullshit. People on the Western Plains starved to death.

Re:What does it take to topple regime?

[bogjobber]

The colonies had not been around long enough to have as firm a tradition of aristocracy as in England so most of the American aristocrats were new to their wealth, having earned it themselves rather than inheriting rank and position from father and he from his father before him.

You're wrong about this. The aristocracy in the colonies was not nearly as rigidly defined as in England, but nearly all of the Founding Fathers were born into the wealthy elite. The only ones I can think of who weren't were Thomas Paine, Alexander Hamilton, and Benjamin Franklin (not sure about many of the minor founders). And Thomas Paine was English, he didn't move to the colonies until he was in his late 30's. They were also from the wealthiest and oldest parts of the colonies: Virginia, Boston, New York, Philadelphia.

The only common thread among the Founding Fathers background (other than the obvious white male landowner bit) was education. They were all well-read and learned men, and at that time it was very difficult to be a scholar without being born wealthy.

Re:Why do you think they call it I Ran?

[ls671]

This is not the way Iran is pronounced, for your information, it would sound more like "he ran".

You got to hand it to them

[Chrisq]

In some countries the people would just give in when an unelected legislature tries to overturn a majority decision.

Re:You got to hand it to them

[Attila Dimedici]

Once again we see this come up. The problem with the "popular vote" theory about the 2000 elections is that you don't know enough. The popular vote number in the wikipedia article is based on number of votes counted. Most states stop counting absentee ballots once the difference between the candidates is greater than the number of remaining absentee ballots. Therefore, we do not know what the actual total of actual votes for each candidate on a nationwide election. Second, the U.S. Presidential election is not based on the results of nationwide majority (and never has been nor was it intended to be).

Re:You got to hand it to them

[jcnnghm]

Bush won the mandatory Florida recount as well. The Supreme Court disallowed the hand recount because Florida wouldn't have it completed by the deadline.

Re:You got to hand it to them

[ScentCone]

The point is that the Supreme Court cancelled the recount of the Florida election results, effectively appointing George W. Bush president. Why didn't they allow the recount to finish?

Ah, so you preferred the method that Gore's lawyers wanted, and which the left-leaning courts in Florida initially backed: partial recounts, only in those voting districts hand-picked by Gore's team to increase the odds of improving his count. The Supreme Court weighed in on the fact that the standards being used to handle those recounts weren't consistent, and weren't in keeping with the constitutional concept of equal protection. You'll note that Gore's team vigrousoy opposed a state-wide recount (becuase they didn't want that - it would have been to their disadvantage, and they knew it).

And of course, you're surely aware that in the weeks following the ruling, every vote was recounted by several teams of people, using every standard advocated by either candidate, and several others, as well. In each recount, regardless of the technique used, Gore lost in Florida. Not to bother you with the facts or anything.

The Supreme Court didn't stop "the recount," they stopped a capricious, moving-target, standards-less partial recount of one candidate's hand-picked districts that was handling one voter's hanging chad different than another voter's from a different zip code. It took the follow-up state-wide recounts done by journalists and researchers months to finish, but the results were as expected and as first (and repeatedly) certificed by the Florida board of elections: Gore lost no matter how you looked at the numbers. To say nothing of the large number of military votes (from Floridians, those are usually not left-leaning) that never even made it into the mix.

Of course, you already knew all of this. Nice troll, though!

Re:You got to hand it to them

[Attila Dimedici]

The deadline set up by the Constitution as to when the Electoral College meets.
If the Supreme Court had not intervened there are several possible outcomes:
1. Florida Legislature appoints an Electoral College delegation (Constitutionally permissible). Result: Florida's electoral votes go to George W. Bush. George W. Bush is President
2. Florida does not send any delegates to the Electoral College. Result: Neither Candidate has the necessary electoral votes, the outcome is decided by the U.S House of Representatives. George W. Bush is President (the House of Representatives was majority Republican at the time).
There may be one or two other possible outcomes, but they all result in George W. Bush being inaugurated on Jan 20, 2001.

Fark has it right

[ultraexactzz]

The reason it's so important to cut through the misinformation is that the Iranian government is now tweeting with false information, and it's crucial to keep track of what is real and what is FUD. They are taking other measures as well; there are several reports that a speech by President Obama (who has yet to speak in support of the protesters) was translated as a speech calling for revolution and the overthrow of the regime. This lets Iran claim that the protests are the result of meddling by the Western powers.

Fark seems to be doing a really good job of cutting through the FUD and getting solid, reliable information out there. One of their users, Tatsuma, has a quite detailed and extensive analysis of the crisis, the players, and what is happening now. Their Iran threads would be a good place to start.

Middle East Peace

[MonsterTrimble]

I see this happening in Iran and even though I think the human suffering during this build up to civil war (and I have no doubt civil war will erupt from this) is immense, I look at the middle east overall and I wonder if Iran having this happen to it wouldn't be the best thing for everyone. With Iran fighting within itself, it doesn't have the focus on Isreal, Palestine, Lebanon and Iraq which has large issues with iran-funded militant groups. The money dries up, leaving the groups to fend for themselves, which they would find extremely difficult.

I personally hope that at the end of this there is a more 'west friendly' regime. It seems from all accounts that most of Iran's youth are wholeheartedly embracing technology and being part of the world stage. The middle east needs an country with an people-elected islamic leader which is willing to embrace the future.

that's nothing- try the political conventions here

[SuperBanana]

Reporters Without Borders is alarmed by the fact that no less than twenty-three journalists have been arrested in Iran in the week following the elections, making Iran one of the most dangerous places in the world to be a journalist

23? That's it? At the RNC's and DNC's for the last decade, the cops have been putting people in holding cells by the bushels, charging them with all sorts of things like "disturbing the peace", or just simply letting them go after 24 hours.

i understand the historical reasons

[circletimessquare]

why iran hates great britain

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Great_Game

i understand why iran hates the usa

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_ajax

but what the hell: it's not the colonial era and its not the cold war anymore

are the iranian people that deluded (or rather: the iranian government thinks so lowly of their own people) that anyone would actually believe this massive popular uprising is actually just manipulation by foreign powers?

propaganda only goes so far, then its just downright laughable paranoid schizophrenia

Re:i understand the historical reasons

[nedlohs]

CNN was great last night, some Iranian spokesperson having a press conference declaring that there is no freedom of speech or privacy in Western countries and declaring that hence it must be a conspiracy by western governments that iranian embassies have seen disrupted by protests and so on. And that such a thing is unacceptable.

Because Iran has never, say, assaulted a foreign embassy and taken those inside hostage or anything like that.

Certainly never restricted freedom of speech by locking up reporters, or invaded the privacy of people by snooping on their electronic communications.

Re:hey

[Minwee]

either you agree with me, or you are obviously evil. What better argument could you want?

It's good to see that you finally understand how to debate on Slashdot.

Now, here's a pop quiz. If the RIAA and MPAA sued Microsoft and Oracle over breaching the copyright of their DRM, Richard Stallman testified on behalf of the RIAA and Theo de Raadt spoke in favour of Microsoft... Who would you cheer for?

Re:that's nothing- try the political conventions h

[nedlohs]

Not all people are journalists.

Reporters without Borders doesn't care about non-journalists being arrested (well they might care, but it isn't what they are talking about).

you have it backwards

[circletimessquare]

no one in iran knows the truth, because there is no free press

everyone outside iran knows the truth, because there is free access to a free press

and what in your mind makes you think that the us govt can control the world media?

well, let's go with your paranoia, and make believe for the moment the us govt really can control the media. not even just american outlets, but even the likes of news.com.au and news.bbc.co.uk: any western media outlet. this is some extreme paranoia to believe that, but let's go with your bizarre pov for a moment

well then, what's preventing me from going to:

http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/

http://www.itar-tass.com/eng/

is your assertion the us govt can control these news sources?

but my whole point is right there in those links: the fact that i can even click on those news sources if i choose to, and no one is going to knock on my door for doing that, and no one is blocking my access to official russian or chinese news sources, and i feel no fear in clicking those links, then what the hell does that leave your assertion about who is controlling "the media" or your right to free access to news sources in the usa?

why the heck do you have the whole notion of a free press and its implications completely ass backwards in your mind?

Re:you have it backwards

[hitmark]

"Never ascribe to malice that which is adequately explained by incompetence."

Its not so much that the news is controlled, as that they end up reporting about what they think make most people buy their printed materials, or keep their channel of transmission tuned in...

Its all about ad sales, and some celebrity pulling a faux pas is seen as selling more then some government pulling a fast one...

How do we know?

[drDugan]

Frankly I think most observers have extremely little information about what is real and reliable half way around the world.

The most reliable things I've seen so far are the large events, and the events reported independently in a similar way by several different sources: there was an election, it has led to unrest. One group in power is now in rising conflict with another group that wants power. Several people have died. Really beyond that, assertions of any particular thing day-to-day are pretty unreliable for me, and I've been reading and following this pretty closely.

As to whether a foreign power is involved, I think that is an extremely difficult question to answer as a remote consumer of "news" and Internet reports. Any group or nation powerful enough to be involved inside Iran now would have as a prerequisite the ability to control tightly the access and dissemination of information internally and the stories released to the public, plus would probably have a desire for secrecy regarding their involvement.

Given recent history of multiple invasions in the region, the high value of resources in the region, plus historical precedent for outside regime support (specifically in Iran) - on what basis of reliable fact does one base the conclusion of foreign involvement or non involvement in the current demonstrations and issues in Iran? What do you consider to be the most reliable sources in the current fog of conflict and disinformation? Twitter? Some random Blogger? CNN? Your government? People you know personally?

My only point is this: Even if there were outside groups directly influencing events, how would people know about it? I don't think they would.

dictatorships, cartels, democracy

[goffster]

I think a large number of people (Americans especially) automatically think a dictatorship is
a bad thing. A dictatorship is generally bad for Americans but perhaps good for other people.
There are benefits to a dictatorship. When you have a good dictator, things are generally pretty
good. The trick is to avoid the bad dictator.

As an analogy, think of a software company where the CEO was voted in by all the developers.
This software company is almost certain to never be competitive with a company that
is run by a tight-fisted, smart, savvy CEO.

So which company would you want to work for?
It would depend on your goals. Do you want to make money with Stock options? Do you simply
want to program any cool thing you wanted?

Re:dictatorships, cartels, democracy

[zindorsky]

When you have a good dictator, things are generally pretty
good. The trick is to avoid the bad dictator.

That is indeed the trick. The fact is, the harm that bad dictators cause greatly outweighs any good that "good" dictators provide. And a dictator system, once in place, is very hard to get rid of.

Also, I feel suspicious of the idea that there are "good" dictators. Some may start out good, but power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely.

Re:dictatorships, cartels, democracy

[guruevi]

Absolute power corrupts absolutely.

I have worked for small companies with a tight-fisted CEO as you describe (as most dotcom's were) who didn't have to answer to nobody and the results were disastrous. You get somebody with a business degree filtering all decisions through him resulting in horrendous long meetings where you have to educate a CEO about your technical systems and issues and all-in-all the customer gets to be put on the back burner and the company fails. Look at Cuba under Fidel for a dictator that rules like that.

The more moderate CEO has to report to the board or to somebody else (shareholders), usually has CxO's that cooperate but do not report directly to him. It's more of a democracy by the oligarchy (like Iran). Ahmed is just a sock puppet of the religious oligarchy and is there for PR purposes. The other one however threatens the current ruling class since the other one wants to be more liberal and have less to do with the higher ups (kinda like a CEO wanting to buy out the company) - that's why he 'lost'.

Eventually Iran is going to get sick of it (either now or next election) and their religious class will have to step down (probably at the hands of a bloody revolution) - I would say all of the countries where currently religious entities (including leaders and followers) have most of the (elective) power will eventually get 'liberated' by the incoming younger generation and there are going to be some big changes. Similar to the US - the younger generation keeps getting disenfranchised by the religious 'old & faithful' voting for the same party (The Republicrat party) - eventually (I would say within the next 3-5 elections) there will be a shift to something else.

Re:dictatorships, cartels, democracy

[jandrese]

There's a quote I think you should hear:

"Power tends to corrupt, and absolute power corrupts absolutely. Great men are almost always bad men." -- John Emerich Edward Dalberg Acton

This is why dictatorships are doomed to failure. Without a system of checks and balances on power, the people at the top will inevitably become corrupt. History has proven this time and time again.

Re:hey

[Bearpaw]

The only way you can disagree with me is if you are under the influence of the Great Satan. So either you agree with me, or you are obviously evil. What better argument could you want?

Huh. Why does that argument sound vaguely familiar?

Dangerous?

[xtracto]

making Iran one of the most dangerous places in the world to be a journalist

If the journalists are being arrested I do not see how that makes Iran a "dangerous" place for a journalist...

Compare that to Mexico where journalists get kidnapped, physically assaulted, killed, and whatnot...

australia is real

[circletimessquare]

its where arnold schwarzenegger and freud and hitler and the sound music are from... its just below germany ;-)

(awaiting the incendiary and mocking comments from people who don't have a sense of humor)

Re:The Grotesquely Ugly Truth

[MightyMartian]

That really is a load of crap. In the 1950s, Iran was well on its way to becoming probably the most secular society in the Middle East. It had a burgeoning middle class, and seemed to be moving away from authoritarianism. And then the Americans and the Brits, not liking the nationalization of oil by Mohammad Mosaddeq, helped the Shah to overthrow that government. That created the deep divide between Iran and the US and Great Britain, and it didn't help that the Shah became a ruthless, Western-backed dictator.

I doubt a lot of the Iranians who supported Ayatollah Khomeini did it because they wanted to replace the Shah's oppressive regime with a fundamentalist Islamic regime just as oppressive. They wanted the Shah out and flocked to those who seemed capable of a leadership position. Was it a mistake? Probably, but if there's still lingering distrust of the United States, it's hardly because Iranians are somehow culturally more likely to live willingly under dictators (which I don't buy, it doesn't really reflect where Iranian culture was going for the first part of the 20th century). It's because the US, shortsightedly, opted for a man they viewed as a friend as opposed to a man they viewed as an opponent who threatened both key oil reserves and who (in they're view) might be more prone to siding with the Soviets.

Re:American Hypocrasy

[Colonel Korn]

I find it amazing that this much of a stink wasn't made during the Zimbabwean elections...where anti mugabe supporters were being raped and murdered by the thousands Then again, I guess there are no economic interests in that part of Africa, like there are in Iran (read: oil)

I praise the internet for being able to illuminate to us all, the double speak and forked tounge of the supposed 'freedom force (or farce rather)' known as America.

Hypocritical Liars.

My main source of news about the elections in both Iran and Zimbabwe was national public radio, which is about as American as you can get. NPR made a big point about exposing the massive corruption and manipulation of the election in Zimbabwe, and with Iran it is taking a very different path, pointing out that there are allegations of fraud but that the only verifiable story so far is the unrest in Iran itself. The difference in coverage is quite appropriate for the differences in context.

America is many things, but above all else it's diverse. It's not accurate to characterize all Americans of sharing a single interest or world view.

Re:hey

[moose_hp]

Now, here's a pop quiz. If the RIAA and MPAA sued Microsoft and Oracle over breaching the copyright of their DRM, Richard Stallman testified on behalf of the RIAA and Theo de Raadt spoke in favour of Microsoft... Who would you cheer for?

42

nuance?

[circletimessquare]

do you even understand what that word means? the way you think about how your world works is about as "nuanced" as a sledgehammer

let me ask you something: is a simple organic popular uprising even possible in your braindead cynical world? it's all secret societies and backroom deals and pulled strings? the french revolution was started by german princes? the american civil war was the machinations of british imperialists? the 1979 iranian revolution was started by russian kgb? you realize this stupidity is on the same level as your thinking about what is going on in iran right now. you realize that, right? the number of people in the streets: really just fucking consider for a moment the SHEER NUMBER of people in the fucking streets. oh right, that's a mossad/ cia/ mi6 lie i'm swallowing, right?

you honestly believe, even if china could give groups in the usa a trillion dollars, that a popular uprising could take hold? you really believe just a satchel of money is all it would take to foment revolution here? your faith in democratic institutions is that shallow and that cynical? your view of human nature is that craven and that brutal?

you honestly believe, that millions of iranians, across all classes and ages and all geographic areas, are acting on the motivations of the cia!

you're a paranoid schizophrenic retard

i'm sorry, i'm not trying to replace a conversation with a name calling contest

but calling you a paranoid schizophrenica retard is the simply the best impartial description i can come up with for your thought processes about how your world and the people in it works

Re:Warsaw Pact vs. Iranian Despot

[MightyMartian]

Whatever the truth of cultural differences, the reality is that the claims that Mosaddeq was going to cut a deal with the Russians was a smokescreen, a complete pile of B.S. concocted by the Brits and the Americans to give some justification to turfing a guy who was clearly trying to break Iran free from both Western subservience and trying to give more weight to the democratic institutions than to the Shah.

None of this history is very much disputed any more. The CIA, with Eisenhower's approval, helped the Shah overthrow Mosaddeq's government in return for allowing foreign oil companies to gain valuable contracts to extract Iranian oil.

You need to read up on Anglo-Iranian Oil Company here. The coup d'etat that ousted Mosaddeq had nothing to do with differing cultures or with the fear of the growth of the Soviet sphere, and everything to do with the Brits being really pissed off that Mosaddeq had nationalized their oil company, and the Americans lending a helping hand and trying to firm up their control over the Shah, who they viewed as a chief ally in the Middle East and Central Asia. It was a shortsighted policy that ended in absolute disaster.

Re:I'm sure Hitler killed more

[Anonymous Coward]

YAY! Liberal American Moral Relativism to the rescue! Lets show that an act of war 65 years ago gives us no moral standing to criticize the modern crushing of dissent by a government against its own citizens! For our next trick, we'll equate Guantanamo bay with Auschwitz!

Re:historical fact

[MightyMartian]

you'd make a great propagandizer, but a poor historian

What a load of balloney. I don't disagree with the fundamental statement "Bad guys use the US's previous conduct as a propaganda weapon, or to cement their position with their own populaces." Absolutely that's true. Of course someone like Chavez or Khamenei is going to invoke memories of the 1953 coup d'etat and the Iran-Iraq War to as much effect as possible, and to disguise their own inadequacies and hard line positions. Heck, how many times have we seen some Chinese patriot come on here and say "Because protesters were shot dead in <name your favorite major protest in a western city in the last forty years>, it's okay for China to do nasty things".

I'm not defending people like Khamenei, and, in fact, I think trying to invoke the old demons like the 1953 coup is becoming increasingly less effective. The people out on the streets protesting this election weren't even around in 1979, so only have what amounts to second-hand knowledge of the Shah, SAVAK, and the coup d'etat amounts to history as ancient to them as the Civil Rights movement is to many Americans nowadays. Even the Iran-Iraq War is, at best, some dim memory to a lot of these kids, so when Khamenei invokes the US and/or Great Britain as evil tyrannical empires out to crush Iran, it doesn't have much resonance.

Still, you have to appreciate that the US's moral authority is not as great as so many Americans would imagine it, precisely because of past activities. Is it right to condemn the US of 2009 for the actions of people who are, if not dead, then at least, many years removed from the days when they created and carried out these policies? No, it's not fair. What's more, it's not even fair to judge the policies in the Middle East and Latin America during the Cold War in isolation. The USSR was incredibly active in its own right, and US actions were informed by events like the Communist victories in China, North Korea and Cuba. I well understand that harsh reality forced US actions, no matter how distasteful those actions might be.

People will never really know where guys like Mossaddeq or Allende would have been great leaders, or would have simply become Soviet toys, much as the Shah and Pinochet became US toys. But when you have a long period where a major power interfered in a number of different ways in your nation's government and economy, I'm afraid it will necessarily prejudice you, sometimes to absurd extremes. Iran has certainly done itself no favors by isolating itself from the US and many other Western countries, and I think the new generation views these policies as anathema; that an cadre of old revolutionaries are fighting an enemy that no longer really exists.

So, I think I have fairly nuanced view of history, and that informs me that distrust can last a looooong time, particularly when it's used by either side or by both sides for, shall we say, less than pure motives (witness the long-standing hatreds between France and England).

As to the Turks, I think the chief problem many have with them over the Armenian genocide is the fact that Turkey still hasn't come clean, still insists it never happened, and in a way, that is a stumbling block. It makes them allies of Europe and the West, but will remain a sore spot until its resolution, because it's a sign that the Turkish people have not come to terms with what their forebearers did. The Germans don't have that problem because the Allies went out of their way to show the German people the Nazi crimes. I don't think anyone suggests that modern Turks should be forced to wear an atrocity that is now nearly a century old, but, like recognition in the US of actions against black slaves or against Native Indians, sometimes recognition allows old demons to be put aside.

That is what I see Obama's recognition of the 1953 coup d'etat is all about. It's about defusing, as much as possible, a rallying point for the Iranian autocrats, and I think it may have had some real effect, because, when Khamenei, in his Friday speech, decided to rail against someone, it wasn't the US, but Great Britain.

you're a dumbass

[Vicsun]

Your analogy is flawed. A CEO is responsible to his shareholders and can be replaced if he does a bad job. This is more analogous to a democracy, where, in theory a leader doing a bad job can be voted out and replaced. A CEO who was such by birthright, had absolute power and held no responsibility to anyone other than himself would very likely be worse than a CEO responsible to shareholders, like a leader responsible to the people would be better than one not responsible to anyone.

Benevolent dictators are not unheard of, but are definitely in the minority.

Re:I'm sure Hitler killed more

[StikyPad]

Well, to be fair, wrong is wrong. Guantanamo might not be "as wrong" as Auschwitz, but it's still wrong, and pointing out worse crimes doesn't lessen the culpability.

That said, yeah, if we wait for someone without sin to cast stones, we'll be waiting a long time. Just because we've made mistakes doesn't mean we have to ignore injustice when we see it. On the contrary, we should condemn the actions of Iran just as we condemn detentions in Guantanamo, the use of atomic weapons, slavery, or anything else we've fucked up.