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Could Cyber-Terrorists Provoke Nuclear Attacks?

Hugh Pickens writes "The Guardian reports that according to a study commissioned by the International Commission on Nuclear Non-proliferation and Disarmament (ICNND), a joint initiative of the Australian and Japanese Governments, terrorists could use information warfare techniques to make a nuclear attack more likely — triggering a catastrophic chain of events that may be an easier alternative 'than building or acquiring a nuclear weapon or dirty bomb themselves.' While the possibility of a radical group gaining access to actual launch systems is remote, the study suggests that terrorists could focus on feeding in false information further down the chain — or spreading fake information to officials in a carefully orchestrated strike. According to the study 'Hacking Nuclear Command and Control' [PDF], cyber-terrorists could 'provoke a nuclear launch by spoofing early warning and identification systems or by degrading communications networks.' Since command and control systems are placed at a higher degree of exploitation due to the need for rapid decisions under high pressure with limited intelligence, cyber-terrorists 'would not need deception that could stand up over time; they would only need to be believable in the first 15 minutes or so.'"

183 comments

  1. Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by eldavojohn · · Score: 4, Informative
    We discussed this the day the report was released and the conversation was pretty much limited to BSOD jokes and War Games references. Hopefully it turns out a little more interesting this time around.

    Really, I'm less worried about the cyber part of one of these attacks and am more so worried about the weakest link in the chain: the human factor. Social, over-the-shoulder or 'soft' hacks would be the few ways left to gain access. Mental manipulation like keeping someone in the dark would be the best way to scare them into action. It's not like someone's magically overcoming the physical barrier that exists between the internet and these secure networks on which sensitive information and control are relegated--you need a human to exploit.

    At least this time around the title's gone from

    Hacking Nuclear Command and Control

    to

    Could Cyber-Terrorists Provoke Nuclear Attacks?

    Which is a lot more accurate but a lot less newsworthy.

    --
    My work here is dung.
    1. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by koolfy · · Score: 3, Interesting

      and am more so worried about the weakest link in the chain: the human factor

      that's why I'll never trust nuclear weapons.

      With conventional weapons, we can always step back at time (or little after time), attackers are not isolated from main command when sent, and a spoofed war declaration can be reverted, even after one accidental bombing (this creating some serious diplomatic issues though...)
      With nuclear weapons, no stepping back of any way (that I know), and after the first strike, the war is over, or forever.

      Since I don't know much more than what movies told me I may be wrong and will be looking for expert's contribution, but I'm afraid I'm not that wrong...

      --
      Segmentation Fault in "Life, Universe and Everything" at line 42. Don't Panic.
    2. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by SEWilco · · Score: 4, Insightful

      and am more so worried about the weakest link in the chain: the human factor

      that's why I'll never trust nuclear weapons.

      It's no the weapons which you don't trust. It's the humans with them.

    3. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by palindrome · · Score: 1

      I have other "accurate" headlines if you're interested.

      "Could the moon explode without warning?"
      "Could you die tomorrow?"
      "Could Jim Davidson do another tour?"

      Maybe using the word could as an opener in a headline isn't the best start as the inevitable "yes" it illicits blows reason out of the window.

    4. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by johnsonav · · Score: 4, Insightful

      With nuclear weapons, no stepping back of any way (that I know), and after the first strike, the war is over, or forever.

      Well, that's kind of the point, isn't it? So long as everyone knows that the missiles can't be recalled, that fact becomes part of the deterrence.

      Makes everyone very, very careful.

      --
      ... and that's when the C.H.U.D.'s came at me.
    5. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by koolfy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I would'n thust weapons with no human control eighter...

      Just look at how easily antiviruses erase innocent files.

      --
      Segmentation Fault in "Life, Universe and Everything" at line 42. Don't Panic.
    6. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by SEWilco · · Score: 1

      t
      "Filter error: You can type more than that for your comment."
      But I don't need to.

    7. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by MeatBag+PussRocket · · Score: 1

      wtf? Fox News is Fear-mongering on /. what is this world comming to? "Tonights News: Terrorist Hacker Zombies Threaten Nuclear Apocalypse, Cancer Knows Where You Live, and Someday You Will Die! But First: Ten easy ways to loose weight while sucking down Double McWhopper Valu-Meals!

      --
      i wage a holy war against the apostrophe.
    8. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by koolfy · · Score: 3, Insightful

      No matter how careful you are, Murphy's Law is always around...

      --
      Segmentation Fault in "Life, Universe and Everything" at line 42. Don't Panic.
    9. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by jra · · Score: 2, Insightful

      MAD assumes rationality.

      Wars are not started by rational people.

    10. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by jra · · Score: 1

      Spelling flames always contain misspellings.

      "Elicit".

    11. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by johnsonav · · Score: 1

      No matter how careful you are, Murphy's Law is always around...

      Sure. But, we can engineer the probability of failure down to a level where the costs of not having nukes will be higher.

      --
      ... and that's when the C.H.U.D.'s came at me.
    12. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by Darkness404 · · Score: 1

      That doesn't stop the US and a lot of other nuclear armed countries fitting nuclear weapons on just about everything that flies or sails. Really, having a few nuclear ICBMs is simply sane with other hostile countries. However, loading submarines with multiple warheads is not. If you must have nuclear armed subs, arm each one with one low-yield nuke. Any more and you are just begging for an accident.

      --
      Taxation is legalized theft, no more, no less.
    13. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by johnsonav · · Score: 1

      MAD assumes rationality.

      Wars are not started by rational people.

      There are degrees of rationality. And MAD works for pretty much all of them except people who are completely off their rockers'. Don't find many of those kinds of people running nuclear powers (Yes, I'm including Iran, NK, and Pakistan.)

      --
      ... and that's when the C.H.U.D.'s came at me.
    14. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by cdrguru · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Where MAD falls apart is when the leaders don't give a rat's ass about the civilian population.

      I would say that recent events in Iran make it pretty clear that the civilian population doesn't matter all that much to the leaders. North Korea is at that level or perhaps worse. If the military leadership in either country could be confident of survival I don't see MAD being a deterrent at all.

      So what if 80% of the civilian population is wiped out?

    15. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by TheMeuge · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If you must have nuclear armed subs, arm each one with one low-yield nuke. Any more and you are just begging for an accident.

      I think you're missing the concept of "assured destruction" in Mutually Assured Destruction.

      An american missile sub can have 20 missiles, with 8x50kt warheads per missile. That's 160 nuclear warheads that can be targeted independently and can each cause substantial casualties if aimed at civilian targets. But that's what it's meant to be - a guaranteed "revenge" weapon, that is fully capable of demolishing or severely crippling a whole nation, even if ALL of the ground nukes are disabled by a first strike. The terror such a weapon commands, is precisely the reason why safety is assured.

      This is why small nuclear powers are so much less stable. India and Pakistan are at a much higher risk of using nuclear weapons in the field against each other than US and Russia, simply because neither of them have the capability of destroying the other.

      That being said, as has been mentioned previously, MAD relies on rational players to work.

    16. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by johnsonav · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That doesn't stop the US and a lot of other nuclear armed countries fitting nuclear weapons on just about everything that flies or sails.

      Nor should it.

      Really, having a few nuclear ICBMs is simply sane with other hostile countries. However, loading submarines with multiple warheads is not. If you must have nuclear armed subs, arm each one with one low-yield nuke. Any more and you are just begging for an accident.

      What you describe is not a credible nuclear deterrent. To be effective, a deterrent needs to make launching a first-strike so unthinkably catastrophic for the aggressor, that there would be no way to "win". If we implemented the kind of deterrent you advocate, a nuclear war would be "winnable", and much more likely.

      Remember, an accidental launch of a nuclear weapon is not the worst-case scenario.

      --
      ... and that's when the C.H.U.D.'s came at me.
    17. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by palindrome · · Score: 3, Funny

      It wasn't a spelling flame, I simply doubted the validity of the word accurate. But kudos and my sincere apologeese.

    18. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by johnsonav · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Where MAD falls apart is when the leaders don't give a rat's ass about the civilian population.

      I would say that recent events in Iran make it pretty clear that the civilian population doesn't matter all that much to the leaders. North Korea is at that level or perhaps worse. If the military leadership in either country could be confident of survival I don't see MAD being a deterrent at all.

      So what if 80% of the civilian population is wiped out?

      You realize that both of those countries are (or will be) able to field no more than a handful (at most) of nuclear weapons, right? And, that neither has the capability to disrupt our own volley of nukes.

      Neither of them is able to "win" a nuclear war. Even if the leadership survives, and 80% of the population is killed, they won't really have a country left to lead, let alone maintain a military to defend against anything. It still doesn't make any sense for them to use nukes.

      --
      ... and that's when the C.H.U.D.'s came at me.
    19. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by Darkness404 · · Score: 1

      Sure, but submarines are not totally safe. Lets say a group of people manage to board the ship and with some aid from some crew, hey, they have 160 nukes that can reach pretty much an entire continent or more. Or lets say two subs manage to crash into each other as had previously happened ( http://i.gizmodo.com/5154315/two-nuclear-submarines-collide-in-the-atlantic ) and lets say for some reason some safety measures failed and if this happens in a populated area it becomes another Chernobyl even with an incomplete detonation. The USSR is no longer in power, and a nuke or two is all it takes to neutralize any potential other nuclear threat from a non-stable nation, so why risk it?

      --
      Taxation is legalized theft, no more, no less.
    20. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by Sir_Lewk · · Score: 1

      Something tells me that the triggering mechanisms are a bit more complex and failsafe than some shitty antivirus program.

      As evidence of this assertion, never once has a nuclear weapon accidentally detonated (and there sure are lots of them...)

      --
      "linux is just DOS with a UNIX like syntax" -- Galactic Dominator (944134)
    21. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by Duradin · · Score: 1

      Wars should be started by rational people. Then they'd have a much better chance of being properly used as one of the last tools of resolving State v. State issues and not another plank in some party's platform.

      Unfortunately "police actions" tend to be started by very irrational people and police actions are much easier to start, harder to stop, and avoid all the formalities entailed in an actual declaration of war.

    22. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by Hurricane78 · · Score: 1

      There is no point to this. The whole reason for these two "articles" good old fearmongering, to push trough an agenda, that is most likely about money and power.
      The "reporter" profits from it. The "politican" profits from it. And we are the cattle that they need to do it.

      Every discussion about it, is by definition pointless.

      That should be clear from the wording of the "headline" alone.

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
    23. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by ijakings · · Score: 1

      Am I the only one that thought of This when you spoke of mental manipulation and nuclear silos?

    24. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by RxScram · · Score: 2, Informative

      All American SSBN's (Ohio Class) can actually carry 24 missiles, with a theoretical limit of 8 (or 12, depending on the source of information) W88 warheads, each warhead with a yield of 475 Kt. Of course, the START and SALT treaties limit the number of warheads per missile to something like 4, but it's still a mighty destructive force.

    25. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by superwiz · · Score: 1

      Ok, but jokes aside, War Games has already discussed all the sides of the issue. At least all the issues that come up with this particular vector of attack.

      --
      Any guest worker system is indistinguishable from indentured servitude.
    26. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes

    27. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by superwiz · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Oh? Rational thought was essentially invented by Aristotle -- the tutor of Alexander.

      --
      Any guest worker system is indistinguishable from indentured servitude.
    28. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by Tuna_Shooter · · Score: 1

      Damn ... too dam short.... targeting references are often changed on a regular basis..... this is the hard part
      inertial platforms such as the *crap* i worked on takes specialized hardware to configure....

      cannot be done over the net.... never

      --
      *--- Sometimes a majority only means that all the fools are on the same side. ---*
    29. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by kvillaca · · Score: 1

      I don't think that everything that is possible in fact might happens, as I don't believe that one very high skilled person that might create one attack like this one will have intention to kill. I don't believe one person will take study for years, just for kill. We have to think about the higher probabilities and not in all possibles. Because for the high probability scenario, they still to be able to have control over all communications environment, because with just one single phone or mobile call, or even one message via internet for one person near from that local, we can know if in fact is happens the attack or not. In my point of view is best we create some way to avoid one comet blast than start create hypothetical scenarios that have very low chances to happen. In fact we have today one fear about terrorists, but instead the USA government expend billions of dollars in tech-military programs, they create humans conditions with schools, health services, there, into terrorists land like Pakistan, Afghanistan , I think that in few years (may be 10) they will have good conditions to live and all major threat should disappear.Because they will know the other face and not only poverty and misery. But it's not means start with MC Donalds, but with the minimum for one descent life. Create together with the local government some program to give something for that they could have for life. Because what they are doing today is create the basis for one new kind of terrorists and is easy to see this, who here will be glad in lost family members in explosions or even have your house with all your goodies destroyed and keep thinking that the person that did it against you is your friend ?????

    30. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 3, Informative

      Sure, but submarines are not totally safe. Lets say a group of people manage to board the ship and with some aid from some crew, hey, they have 160 nukes that can reach pretty much an entire continent or more.

      Of course, unless one of the "some of the crew" include the Captain, they can't actually arm the weapons. And if they have the captain, well, there are other people they have to have, any one of which can make the weapons unusable.

      Plus, of course, the boats with the missiles are either underwater (and therefore the "group of people" can't reach it to take it over), or tied up alongside a subtender full of sailors and marines, in a port full of sailors and marines, all of whom have a very bad attitude about the notion of stealing a boomer.

      Or lets say two subs manage to crash into each other as had previously happened ( http://i.gizmodo.com/5154315/two-nuclear-submarines-collide-in-the-atlantic [gizmodo.com] ) and lets say for some reason some safety measures failed and if this happens in a populated area it becomes another Chernobyl even with an incomplete detonation.

      Aside from this being impossible (there is no scenario where an "incomplete detonation" can occur - nukes have been present on aircraft that crashed without doing anything other than laying there), there aren't actually too many "populated areas" in the middle of the ocean where these boats spend their time.

      The USSR is no longer in power, and a nuke or two is all it takes to neutralize any potential other nuclear threat from a non-stable nation, so why risk it?

      Because the USSR isn't the only threat conceivable. It never was, and never will be.

      This ignoring the fact that there has never been an accidental detonation of a nuclear device, in ANY of the nuclear powers. So why assume that the risk is meaningful?

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    31. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I would say that recent events in Iran make it pretty clear that the civilian population doesn't matter all that much to the leaders.

      You are mistaken there. Lives of individual people definitely don't matter at all to those leaders, but overall population count definitely does - it's the productivity of that population, whether in factories or on the fields of battle, that keeps them afloat.

      Simply put, when you play Starcraft, you probably don't care about the life on one particular unit, but you do care to have them in sufficient numbers to defend against the enemy. Entering into a mutual nuclear strike exchange where all your units die, but the enemy still has some left, is most assuredly not in your interests - since, as soon as the exchange is over, you will surely see those enemy units digging you - the Glorious Dear Eternal Leader of ... oh, no-one now, actually - out of your underground bunker to put you up against the wall. Right away, if you're very, very lucky.

    32. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by timeOday · · Score: 1
      Who is "we"? I'm sure every nation on earth trusts their own brilliant and faithful nuclear establishment implicitly... but how much do you trust some emerging power that just figured out how to go nuclear? Do you trust the rebels in a coup that siezes control of a nuclear arsenal? Ultimately use control comes down to keeping good guys in and bad guys out, unfortunately the technology itself cannot make any such distinction.

      Personally I think the odds of my living to see a nuclear exchange that kills at least a billion people are greater than 1 in 4.

    33. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by johnsonav · · Score: 1

      ... but how much do you trust some emerging power that just figured out how to go nuclear? Do you trust the rebels in a coup that siezes control of a nuclear arsenal?

      I don't trust them at all. That's why we have all those nukes. It makes it crystal-fucking-clear that we can destroy them utterly. Every single person in a newly-minted nuclear power knows that. We make sure they know that. As long as they know they will never ever win a nuclear war against us, it doesn't matter who's in power.

      Personally I think the odds of my living to see a nuclear exchange that kills at least a billion people are greater than 1 in 4.

      Where do you get that number? And who exactly would the exchange be between?

      --
      ... and that's when the C.H.U.D.'s came at me.
    34. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by timeOday · · Score: 1

      I will freely admit my number is a guess. But when I look back at history, it is filled with almost constant war, and the nuclear genie keeps getting further and further out of the bottle. I look at what we did to Saddam Hussein - made up a story about him, set impossible conditions for him to meet, then used that as an excuse to capture and execute him. In this case, it couldn't have happened to a nicer guy, but it would not be unreasonable on a purely selfish personal basis for somebody in his position (facing extinction with no way out) to lash out with everything he's got.

    35. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by johnsonav · · Score: 1

      I look at what we did to Saddam Hussein - made up a story about him, set impossible conditions for him to meet, then used that as an excuse to capture and execute him. In this case, it couldn't have happened to a nicer guy, but it would not be unreasonable on a purely selfish personal basis for somebody in his position (facing extinction with no way out) to lash out with everything he's got.

      Okay. I see what you're saying. Though, I don't think that kind of situation is terribly likely for a few reasons.

      First, we didn't do that to a nuclear power. We knew Saddam didn't have nukes. I would think that situation would have played out much differently, and without an invasion, if he had. (Of course, the unintended consequence of this kind of thinking is what makes nuclear research so important to these kinds of countries.)

      Second, sure the leader may be driven to suicidal extremes. But, there's always a second in command. And he didn't get there by being stupid. If push ever came to shove, I think you'd find said suicidal leader ousted from within. Maybe he wants to die; the rest of the country sure doesn't. There is always someone who'd be better off not being annihilated.

      And third, these aren't the kinds of countries that we need to be worried about. None of them are capable of deploying an effective nuclear strike against the US. That won't be the case forever, of course. But, as long as we don't lose our massive lead, they'll never catch up.

      --
      ... and that's when the C.H.U.D.'s came at me.
    36. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Something tells me that the triggering mechanisms are a bit more complex and failsafe than some shitty antivirus program.

      maybe not. http://tech.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=07/10/18 /1847231&from=rss

    37. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by freyyr890 · · Score: 1

      Three words: Permissive Action Links. Not only will they need the codes to arm the warheads, but they also need training for how to arm the weapons and target them. The nuclear powers like to keep a very close watch over the mental stability of people working with nuclear weapons. The US procedure, the Personnel Reliability Program (PRP), has an exceedingly long list of reasons that disqualify a potential recruit from nuclear duty, to the point where a speeding ticket might be cause for alarm. It's not excessive, it's merely required. For your scenario, two such people would need to be compromised without discovery (the two-man rule applies to nuclear weapons at all times). Quite a feat.

      The US procedure for nuclear release is also complex: first, the National Command Authority (the president and vice president or their successors) must order a nuclear strike by initiating the SIOP (Single Integrated Operations Plan). Next the Joint Chiefs of Staff must issue an order to the NMCC at the Pentagon (or Raven Rock if the Pentagon has already been destroyed by a nuclear strike) which then sends off an Emergency Action Message (EAM) to nuclear forces to begin launch. Two people must be present at any point along the chain for this to work right.

    38. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Aside from this being impossible (there is no scenario where an "incomplete detonation" can occur - nukes have been present on aircraft that crashed without doing anything other than laying there)

      Read about the B52 that exploded over spain. Several of the weapons experienced non-nuclear detonations that spread contamination over the tomato crop for miles around.

      As a result of that a lot of work went into making more stable explosive triggers.

    39. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by SEWilco · · Score: 1

      So how much harder is it for viruses to erase experienced files than innocent files?

    40. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by dillee1 · · Score: 1

      Actually what GP say do make sense, not on "rouge state" like Iran or NK, but on non-state actors like Al-Qaeda. Non state actors do not give a shit to the population of the host country, and they are too dispersed to be counter-nuked. There are very little to lose for them to initiate a first strike.

    41. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by EdIII · · Score: 1

      So how much harder is it for viruses to erase experienced files than innocent files?

      How the FUCK would I know??

      I don't have any *innocent* files.....

    42. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your estimate is too conservative. North Korea is believed to have between 12 and 20 warheads already and is working on expanding its arsenal. It already used two bombs in tests - which is something that you wouldnt do if you only had five.

      Whilst they cant compete in a full scale nuclear exchange, they have enough warheads to ruin South Korea and Japan utterly, and continously work on technology to let him hit the west coast reliably.

    43. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by timeOday · · Score: 1

      None of them are capable of deploying an effective nuclear strike against the US.

      I agree the US will probably not be involved (though it's not impossible - I believe McManara when he says the Cuban missile crisis amounted to a coin toss that could have gone either way). But there are a lot of less stable governments than ours with nukes, eventually two of them will get into a game of chicken. Who knows, maybe some effective defense will be invented before that occurs (though I can't imagine what it would be). As an aside, we are extremely lucky that by the laws of nature don't seem to permit building a nuclear bomb with a $39 chemistry set, let's hope nobody ever discovers a really easy way to make black holes or something.

    44. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by MrSteveSD · · Score: 1

      Where MAD falls apart is when the leaders don't give a rat's ass about the civilian population.

      That statement would cover the UK's (and probably many other countries) attitude toward public nuclear shelters. There aren't any. They didn't spend a penny on it. The feeble argument they made was that a shelter can't take a direct strike, so you really only need to protect people from fallout, which they can do by preparing their homes appropriately. This is a thoroughly specious argument though. There certainly is a zone of destruction where a shelter won't save you, but there is also a wide zone where a shelter will save you. What it really comes down to of course is cost. They didn't want to spend the money. They public are not worth it. Bank's are of course a different category. There's always money to bail them out.

    45. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or have enough weapons to prevent external meddling in their internal affairs. All about perspective, i suppose. Why is it OK for some countries to have weapons with cross-continent capability, but not others?

    46. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by Corbets · · Score: 2, Insightful

      While I 100% agree with your post - nicely written, by the way - I can answer your last question. People get in hysterics about nuclear weapons not because the risk is high, but because the impact is.

      In security, we use a calculation that goes something like this: Annualized loss expectancy is equal to likelihood times impact. Now, if you take that calculation for something like "getting hit by a bus", the impact is generally one person's life, so the likelihood has to be insanely high (call it 25000 percent?) if it's going to match the ALE of a nuclear weapon going off with a likelihood of 1%.

      Those numbers are obviously completely made up, but the point is: people worry more about larger-impact events. Add into this the fact that relatively few people are rational animals, and a big number on the impact side simply makes them ignore the likelihood altogether.

    47. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by Artifakt · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Let's look at Pakistan vs India. If we assume a radical Islamic faction gets control in Pakistan, and elects to use part or all their arsenal against particularly Hindu dominated portions of India, the direct casualties on the Indian side would be in the 1's to 10's of millions range. That's because the Pakistanis would be using relatively low yield Plutonium based devices, but their missiles are inaccurate enough and take long enough to prep that cities are about their only effective targets. An Indian retaliatory strike would involve some actual H-Bombs (which they don't admit having still in their arsenal, but they built and tested several designs), and probably more focus on pure military targets, but India has multiple Islamic neighbors, and they have made it clear in the past that they are not real concerned about fallout on those nations in a Pakistan/India exchange. A safe lowball estimate on total casualties is upwards of 200 Million. That's assuming India doesn't decide to kill the Indonesian navy and some other resources under Islamic regime control as a just in case. Could that happen? If it did, would that push total casualties over a billion? The best answer I ever heard on both those was 'not highly probable, but just maybe'. No one really wants to commit to a lower number, even if a billion seems a little high.
            Then there's the claim that Israel has a secret doctrine that in the event of a nuclear attack from an Islamic power on their major cities, they will coldly and deliberately kill Mecca and as many great centers of the Muslim faith as they can hit. The idea there is that the Koran supposedly says that all believers who fail to prevent the loss of the ability to make the journey to Mecca will burn in hell forever regardless of what else they do in their faith (or some Muslim factions have interpreted various verses in a way that justifies Jehad as physical violence, but also implies this, so if they insist it's true, the idea is give them the negative side of the claim.).
            It's hard to see people clinging to their religion if they are doctrinally a whole generation all condemned to hell down to the youngest born child and beyond no matter what they do. But it's also quite possible this would lead to a tremendous number of fanatics willing to die for the cause if their Mullahs assure them there's an escape clause in their somewhere, and a war that would have to be fought to the last fanatic on either side. I'd say that exchange could easily build into a Gigadeath or more.
            The biggest doubt I have about this scenario is the claim for secret Israeli plans seems to come from some of the very Muslim fanatics that you'd think it would be a big de-motivator for them to seek nukes of their own if they really believed it. That seems exceptionally illogical unless they are very confident it's just a claim they made up.

      --
      Who is John Cabal?
    48. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by selven · · Score: 1

      Many wars are started by rational self-interested people. "Nobody wins in a war" is completely false - the mistake is thinking of a country as a single entity where 100% of the population follow a benevolent dictator like sheep (this is the model pretty much all video games teach you). There are people within a country who would benefit from a war - military industries, people getting bribes from a third country or organization trying to bring two countries down by setting them against each other for its own purposes, governments who want an excuse to restrict freedom and exercise more brutality, and many more.

    49. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      As long as they know they will never ever win a nuclear war against us, it doesn't matter who's in power.

      Just because they know doen't mean they care.

      If you kill an infidel you go to heaven and get sixty virgins, plus there's an all you can eat buffet. Didn't you get the memo?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    50. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Because the USSR isn't the only threat conceivable. It never was, and never will be.

      I must have dreamed about the Cuban missile crisis.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    51. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Aside from this being impossible (there is no scenario where an "incomplete detonation" can occur - nukes have been present on aircraft that crashed without doing anything other than laying there)

      It's highly unlikely to trigger a nuclear warhead as a result of a crash or fire. However there is such a thing as partial detonation. Implosion type devices are very timing sensitive - it's one of the most tricky parts of the design; get that wrong and you get a "fizzle".

      There are also variable yield weapons that can be intentionally set to partially detonate, if you only want to destroy something slightly.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    52. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      Hmm, good guys with nuclear weapons, weapons designed to kill millions of people at a throw. Sounds like a misnomer to me, much like military intelligence. Goods guys do not have or develop mass murdering weapons, you are really going to have to settle for not quite so evil guys with weapons of mass destruction, otherwise you really are just fooling yourself much the same as they try to fool everyone else with PR=B$ (I hear there are top profits in all kinds of human killing weapons, really sick, huh ?, HUH!).

      The US government right now is bending over backwards spending billions of dollars, basically forcing every other country to adopt nuclear weapons, well that's the choice isn't it, either spend billions on a high tech defence force of mass destruction or invest a portion of that on nuclear weapons. The US seems quite content to invade countries who don't have nuclear weapons and hold discussions with countries who do have nuclear weapons, not the brightest message if you want to limit nuclear proliferation.

      There isn't even any discussion of first strike, nuclear tipped stealth cruise missiles. Everyone is still pretending they don't exist.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    53. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by johnsonav · · Score: 1

      If you kill an infidel you go to heaven and get sixty virgins, plus there's an all you can eat buffet.

      Do you still get the buffet if your actions cause the US to destroy Mecca?

      --
      ... and that's when the C.H.U.D.'s came at me.
    54. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by johnsonav · · Score: 1

      Non state actors do not give a shit to the population of the host country, and they are too dispersed to be counter-nuked. There are very little to lose for them to initiate a first strike.

      Sure, but as long as there are enemies who will be deterred by MAD, we still need it. But, what do we lose against these diffuse types of enemies by having MAD capability?

      --
      ... and that's when the C.H.U.D.'s came at me.
    55. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by gtall · · Score: 1

      "basically forcing every other country to adopt nuclear weapons", Wow!! Hey, yer right! We're forcing Saudi Arabia to want nukes by forcing Iran to have nukes so they can threaten Israel which needs its nukes to defend against Iran...how sneaky of us. And Indonesia, we're encouraging India to have nukes so they can threaten Pakistan which we supported so they can have nukes, so that then Indonesia feels its needs nukes to defend against India should India target their brothers in Pakistan. And the Japanese, let's not leave them out of the equation. We've been threatening to invade N. Korea and steal their state secrets for decades causing them to get nukes so that Japan will want them to defend themselves against Vietnam who still doesn't trust us from the last war but does want us to be valued trading partner.

      I very much see the wisdom of your world view. You starched your shorts again, didn't you?

    56. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      ecause the USSR isn't the only threat conceivable. It never was, and never will be.

      I must have dreamed about the Cuban missile crisis.

      You must have missed the keyword "only"....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    57. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      People get in hysterics about nuclear weapons not because the risk is high, but because the impact is.

      True enough. There are, after all, a lot of very stupid people in the world.

      In security, we use a calculation that goes something like this: Annualized loss expectancy is equal to likelihood times impact. Now, if you take that calculation for something like "getting hit by a bus", the impact is generally one person's life, so the likelihood has to be insanely high (call it 25000 percent?) if it's going to match the ALE of a nuclear weapon going off with a likelihood of 1%.

      While it is impossible to actually evaluate the possibility of an "unintentional" detonation of a nuclear weapon, we can make some reasonable stabs at it, I expect.

      There have been more than 10,000 such weapons in existence for the last 40 years. A great deal more than 10,000 for most of that time, but we'll use the smaller figure. None of them have detonated.

      Admittedly, we might have been lucky. Let's arbitrarily assume that there has been a 50-50 chance of an unintentional detonation of any of those 10,000 warheads over the 40 year span that they've existed (yes, there were more at one time, yes, most of the existing ones haven't actually existed for the last 40 years - they're replaced from time to time).

      So, pulling out my little number cruncher, looks like the chance of an unintentional detonation in any given year is (rather arbitrarily set high to) about 1.7%. Total. Per bomb, the chance would be 0.0002%.

      Now, considering where the bombs are parked (most of the American warheads are parked in the middle of nowhere, for instance. I can't say where the USSR kept its bombs, or where Russia, China, United Kingdom, France, India, Pakistan, Israel, South Africa, North Korea keep their bombs), the expected casualties per unintentional detonation would be on the order of two (or 170 per year for the whole arsenal).

      Now, actually, the numbers are a bit better than that. Most of the bombs aren't actually stored somewhere where 10,000 people would die if one went off. And there have actually been far more than 10,000 bombs in existence for most of the last 40 years, so the chances of any one blowing up must be much lower than I've guesstimated for us to have a 50-50 chance of a detonation in the last forty years.

      Plus, of course, I don't really believe that we've just gotten lucky on a flip of the coin over the last forty years. I think the actual chance of an unintentional detonation over the last forty years has been a great deal lower than 50-50.

      Which would suggest that a rational mind would have to conclude that the presence of a few thousand nuclear weapons are essentially far less a threat than the presence of the automobile (which actually kills hundreds of thousands per year, rather than the expected couple hundred, or the actual zero, of nuclear weapons).

      In other words, people need to stop hyperventilating at the thought of the existence of nuclear weapons. They'd be better off worrying about being struck by lightning....

      Yes, the overreaction to the word "nuclear" among supposedly intelligent and well-educated people continues to bug the crap out of me on a daily basis....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    58. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by Thing+1 · · Score: 1

      This ignoring the fact that there has never been an accidental detonation of a nuclear device, in ANY of the nuclear powers.

      Ah, but you do remember the accidental deployment, for which that top officer was fired over? When they flew nuclear weapons across the country without "knowing" about it?

      --
      I feel fantastic, and I'm still alive.
    59. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      Goods guys do not have or develop mass murdering weapons

      Many would argue that the war with Japan would have continued, taking a huge loss of life, more than killed by the nuclear blasts. Some would even argue that Japan would pretty much fight to the last man...

      What exactly do you propose when actual bad guys develop such weapons? Detterence worked because both sides had the same capability... but if only one side has that capablity, and they are bent on ruling the world... how exactly do you propose we defeat them?

      The US seems quite content to invade countries who don't have nuclear weapons and hold discussions with countries who do have nuclear weapons, not the brightest message if you want to limit nuclear proliferation.

      And what do you propose? You offer a lot of critism, but not much else. Should we invade yet another country, when we can barely afford the two wars we have now? Shall we send in troops, knowing they very well could be burned in a nuclear fire (which would happen in a country friendly to us too)?

      Of course if there were no threats in the world, the US couldn't justify maintaining its arsenal. But pretending that by the US reducing its arsenal it would cause the other nations or groups that want to attack to simply go away is stupid.

    60. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      Even if they don't care, losing 80% of your population pretty much ensures you lost the war, and thus will no longer be in power. So no, they wouldn't still "survive" because there'd be no one left to build the machinery needed to ensure they survive.

    61. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      Non state actors do not give a shit to the population of the host country, and they are too dispersed to be counter-nuked.

      I disagree. If the non-state actors cause harm to the population of the host country, the host country will crack down real quick on them before the host country is nuked. Also, the non-state actors aren't functioning in a vacuum either; they NEED the host country to move, trade with, get ammo from, etc.

    62. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      Also, doesn't the captian only have part of the code? I thought the other part had to be transmitted from command back in the US?

    63. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by plague3106 · · Score: 1

      or Raven Rock if the Pentagon has already been destroyed by a nuclear strike

      Well, lets hope that doesn't happen. I don't trust President Eden. Fortunately, I have my acceptance letter to the nearest VaultTec Vault.

    64. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      No, that would be the infidels' fault. They are guided by the devil.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    65. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by Eil · · Score: 1

      It's no the weapons which you don't trust. It's the humans with them.

      Well then we should take the humans out of the equation. Using the weapons.

    66. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      Ah, but you do remember the accidental deployment, for which that top officer was fired over?

      Yep. Too bad moving one from place to place (even by "accident") doesn't cause massive loss of life - it would be easier to be terrified of the things if it did.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    67. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by JohnnyComeLately · · Score: 1

      great points, but nothing North Korea does makes much sense from a military standpoint. I constantly read their words, first hand account of their actions, and am constantly left scratching my head thinking, "This guy's about as dumb as Saddam." You can only be an idiot, and an idiot leading a nuclear power at that, for so long before someone gets tired of your games.

    68. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by vertinox · · Score: 1

      Plus, of course, the boats with the missiles are either underwater (and therefore the "group of people" can't reach it to take it over), or tied up alongside a subtender full of sailors and marines, in a port full of sailors and marines, all of whom have a very bad attitude about the notion of stealing a boomer.

      An acquaintance of mine has an old story about how he decked out a superior officer and got away with it back in the 90's.

      He was assigned to duty of guarding subs in port and the officer shows up to board without clearance identification.

      And although he was legitimately supposed to be on the sub, he said he couldn't let the officer in unless he had the identification. The guard explained in the proper talk that he was not allowed to let anyone pass without clearance and was authorized to use deadly force.The officer tried to pull rank and during a heated exchange step by because he was late for one reason or another and the guard puts his hand on his shoulder to emphasize he wasn't going to let him go by.

      And he says something along the lines "Get your hands off me punk!" and takes a swing. Of course the acquaintance has an assault rifle and buts him right in the face knocking him cold.

      Latter he was called to his superior...

      And he asked by his superior commander why he didn't shoot the officer for violating security protocol trying to board on a nuclear armed sub.

      --
      "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
      -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
    69. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      The physics of a supercritical mass dictate that an accidental detonation cannot occur. The best you can hope for is a dirty-bomb type event, but if it happens on two submarines that crash into each other, it goes to the ocean floor.

      Submarines with damaged ballast tanks are no longer buoyant.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    70. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      In this millennium, name all the countries that have invaded other countries, occupied them, randomly arrested and tortured it's citizens, demolished it's cities, bombed it's villages, stolen it's resources and, continually lied about what is going on. I have got to say, If you compared how Russia treated Georgia, after the Georgians attacked and murdered sanctioned Russian peacekeepers, versus how the US treated Iraq after Iraq 'er' now what exactly was it that Iraq did. Now this is from the only country that has actually used nuclear weapons against men, women, children, babies, grandparents, even kittens and puppies and, so far this century the only country whose leaders advocated nuclear first strike.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    71. Re:Discussed This Report Four Days Ago by subreality · · Score: 1

      they won't really have a country left to lead, let alone maintain a military to defend against anything. It still doesn't make any sense for them to use nukes

      You're assuming that 1, the leaders are rational actors, and 2, that they would consider a slaughter of their people and destruction of their country to be "losing".

      Those assumptions aren't necessarily valid if the leaders are insane or religious.

  2. Hmm? by arizwebfoot · · Score: 1

    Perhaps we could set up a security protocal called Tic-Tac-Toe?

    Oh wait . . .

    "I'm afraid I can't do that Dave."

    OH SNAP!

    --
    Beer is proof that God loves us and wants us to be happy.
  3. Terrorists in teh yu0r PC? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Terrorists could hack into your computer and turn it into a W.M.D

    1. Re:Terrorists in teh yu0r PC? by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Only if it's a Sony laptop.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  4. My God man, we're DOOMED! by Em+Emalb · · Score: 1
    --
    Sent from your iPad.
    1. Re:My God man, we're DOOMED! by jra · · Score: 1

      Funny spot, which amazingly, I hadn't already seen.

      But, y'know: if you're a young Mafioso on your first date, it's probably actually pretty cool if someone tries to kill you.

  5. Hard To Say by MightyMartian · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Without knowing how precisely nuclear arsenals, launch codes and the like are stored, I think it's really hard to say how likely or unlikely it is. I'd like to think that the systems and people involved are heavily secured, but if we look at some of the stuff that's gone walking out of a secured US facilities, sometimes you gotta wonder.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    1. Re:Hard To Say by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Perhaps we should have some government-run organization whose primary purpose is to identify threats against the country like this one and to organize the manpower, materiel, and knowledge necessary to obviate such threats. We could pay a million loyal citizens to spend long working days training for combat scenarios. There could be some highly structured leadership model whose members spend their careers organizing and executing simulated attacks and testing their readiness. It would also be ideal for them to work closely with technology providers and researchers to be aware of new developments and how they could be used both for and against this organization.

      It needs a cool name...something that invokes images of forcefulness, like "Force". Letting people know that they are armed would be good. Maybe "Forces that are Armed" could be catchy.

    2. Re:Hard To Say by Noctris · · Score: 1

      "so.. first day at the pentagon ey.. see that "launch.bat" shortcut on your desktop ? Don't EVER EVER touch it"

    3. Re:Hard To Say by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I would hope that they are using a password that contains at least one alpa character, one numeric character and a special character.

    4. Re:Hard To Say by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The launch code (actually called permissive action links is "00000000". At least they were for years, but I wouldn't be surprised if they were set to "12345678" by now.

  6. In other news, Social Engineering is dangerous by liquiddark · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Didn't we already know that people are the weakest link? Well, except for the Windows servers on the nuclear subs.

    1. Re:In other news, Social Engineering is dangerous by arizwebfoot · · Score: 0

      Subs have windows?

      I have eatin' at Subway for years now and have never seen a window on my sandwich.

      --
      Beer is proof that God loves us and wants us to be happy.
    2. Re:In other news, Social Engineering is dangerous by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      joke fail

    3. Re:In other news, Social Engineering is dangerous by Hurricane78 · · Score: 1

      And yet you fall for the social engineering that this "article" is?

      I guess the shoemaker has the worst shoes. ^^

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
    4. Re:In other news, Social Engineering is dangerous by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually... I think their registers use windows, or maybe windows CE. (Granted, GP didn't mean that subway, etc...)

  7. Those terrorists... by koolfy · · Score: 2, Funny

    ... are trying to impurify all of our precious bodily fluids !

    Bastards !

    yeah, that's my way of showing why I disagree with nuclear strikes, without repeating the same message that Kubrick's movie told us long time ago
    I assume my point here is pretty obvious (if you have seen the movie, of course.)

    --
    Segmentation Fault in "Life, Universe and Everything" at line 42. Don't Panic.
  8. No. by Jeff+Carr · · Score: 1

    Just no.

    --
    The television will not be revolutionized.
  9. You mentioned by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the ratio of ten women to each man. Wouldn't that necessitate abandoning the so-called monogamous form of sexual relationship?

    1. Re:You mentioned by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Problems with polygamy...
      1: twice the cost of dating.
      2: she always has backup in a fight.
      3: they can keep each other satisfied if they decide to avoid the penis.
      4: PMS all the time, or twice the PMS at once.

    2. Re:You mentioned by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      4: PMS all the time, or twice the PMS at once.

      It'd be nice if your many wives took turns menstruating (if you're more interested in having sex with them than you are worried about getting yelled at), but that's just not how it works. And if you'd actually take the time to talk to women you're not related to, you wouldn't have to learn about the McClintock effect from Wikipedia.

  10. WarGames by beatbox32 · · Score: 1

    I think we'll be okay as long they keep that darned Global Thermonuclear War game from being dialed into.

    --
    "The purpose of learning is growth, and our minds, unlike our bodies, can continue growing as long as we live." - M.J. A
  11. Re:Can we go ahead with the Nuclear Disarmament al by bky1701 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    By not using nukes, we are using nukes. Ever wondered why there was never another major war between superpowers since WWII? They are a deterrent.

    Plus, they are not the only thing subject to social engineering. How about air strikes? Regular missiles? Those can do some serious damage, and could lead to WWIII. Especially if nobody has Mutually Assured Destruction to worry about.

  12. First things first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    While the possibility of a radical group gaining access to actual launch systems is remote, the study suggests that terrorists could focus on feeding in false information further down the chain -- or spreading fake information to officials in a carefully orchestrated strike.

    Whatever you do, don't precede the attack with an attempt to impress a girl by, say, dialing up an airline mainframe and reserving a pair of one-way tickets to Paris. That's a dead giveaway.

  13. Interesting Defense by Metasquares · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Essentially the defense against this sort of exploit is "be less trigger-happy".

    1. Re:Interesting Defense by Hurricane78 · · Score: 1

      Or in other words: Think before you act.

      Who would have thought of that?? Me not. I'm to busy doing things. :P

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
    2. Re:Interesting Defense by wsanders · · Score: 1

      Well, think of a real world scenario, NK decides to airmail a nuke to Seoul, Honolulu, or Seattle. It will kill outright at most a couple hundred thousand people, it will not destroy the entire nation's infrastructure, there's no reason not to wait a few days or weeks before turning NK into a smoking hole. The morning of 9/11, all air travel in the US stopped for the better part of a week, and people just dealt with it.

      I'm actually more worried about my neighbors freaking out and shooting everything in sight if NK dumps a nuke on a city 1000 miles away than I am worried about the strike itself.

      --
      Give a man a fish and you have fed him for today. Teach a man to fish, and he'll say "WHERE'S MY FISH, YOU IDIOT?"
  14. DUH by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    NO, IT'S DOES NOT COMPUTE.

  15. See Sum of All Fears by JackStraight · · Score: 2, Insightful

    This novel involved an acutal nuclear device, but the aim was not simple destruction, but to get the USA to think the Russians did it, and therefore to retaliate against them. I think it did a good job of illustrating how people can come up with the wrong conclusions when they have limited info and time. In this scenario, people also tended to think of just one possibility, instead of thinking about what else could be the cause. Especially hard under time pressure.

  16. Nuke alert when Ron Artest visits WH w/Lakers by leftie · · Score: 1

    Terrorists just wait for the day the LA Lakers visit the White House to celebrate NBA Title with new teammate Ron Artest tagging along. Terrorists set off false alarm at White House. Artest freaks out, attacks Air Force officer carrying football, strips to his underwear, then runs around West Wing in his drawers. While entire Secret Service detail distracted chasing Artest, terrorists sneak into White House and takes football off arm of unconscious Air Force officer.

    1. Re:Nuke alert when Ron Artest visits WH w/Lakers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      off topic

      For some reason, when I was younger, I was going on and on about how I was going to marry his girlfriend, Alicia Keys. Right in front of him. Some nerdy skinny white kid. In a restaurant in the middle of nowhere. I had no idea it was him, or that he was famous. Until he signed a bunch of autographs. /off topic

  17. biologicals by zogger · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I am more concerned over biological attacks. There's a possibility now, what with the fast advances in this tech, that some group/state even a deranged individual could unleash something quite bad. And if they can construct such a virus or bacteria in advance, perhaps they could also construct any vaccine or treatment needed so they wouldn't worry about getting infected themselves. Or even worse, some nutjob who just hated everyone just might not care, a suicide attack.

        An attack could pass as "natural" for maybe a long time, giving the attacker immunity from detection and a modicum of plausible deniability even if suspected. We can tell where a missile is launched from, and I am guessing but I would think normal telemetry that would be garnered would give an indication of what make/model missile, giving a clue as to origin, even with a suddeen underwater sea launch. But how to tell where a biological really came from if all of a sudden it just "appears" someplace and starts to spread, or who was responsible for any retaliation strikes, or even if it is a "natural mutation" or man made?

    Anyone working with recombination techniques care to respond? Is this a possible scenario, or still mostly just scary science fiction?

    1. Re:biologicals by rabiddeity · · Score: 1

      Nuclear weapons are even more traceable than that. In fact, each breeder reactor has a certain "fingerprint" in terms of the material it generates, and I'm sure these fingerprints are widely known. By analyzing the aftermath it would be possible to tell from the isotopes which reactor(s) produced the fissile material. This would tell you where the device was built, even if it were a stolen warhead somehow detonated manually.

    2. Re:biologicals by Kjella · · Score: 1

      But how to tell where a biological really came from if all of a sudden it just "appears" someplace and starts to spread, or who was responsible for any retaliation strikes, or even if it is a "natural mutation" or man made?

      Or just go for widespread infection, if you pumped out a massive amount of germs in downtown of a major city you would overload everything and all attempts at containment, particularly once people start dying and panicing. Sure it'd be an obvious attack but really nowhere to point the finger and with >1 million that is or will be infected everything would go to hell.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    3. Re:biologicals by Thing+1 · · Score: 1

      Or even worse, some nutjob who just hated everyone just might not care, a suicide attack.

      For reference, see Frank Herbert's "The White Plague".

      Damn book has about three times as many words as it needs, but was a great chilling read.

      --
      I feel fantastic, and I'm still alive.
  18. And *specifically*, you need to read by jra · · Score: 4, Interesting

    the part of Sum of All Fears where we almost *do it to ourselves*: a major plot point hinges on one Good Guy mis-hearing "fifteen kt" as "one fifty kt" from another Good Guy -- the first being a potential terrorist nuke, while the second "would have to be" the Russians.

    There's followup as to how hard it is to push the *clean* data down the pipe afterwards as well.

    If that's not a sufficiently cautionary tale as to just how loose and messy things would actually be in a first-strike-response situation for you... then you're not imaginative enough, and probably much happier.

    It's amazing how hard it is to think when you think someone's about to nuke your country.

    It's somewhat analogous to the traditional election supervisor's prayer: "Please, dear Ghod, let it be a landslide".

    Only, um, in reverse.

    1. Re:And *specifically*, you need to read by Tacvek · · Score: 1

      If I recall the book correctly, it was a weapon that was supposed to be thermonuclear, but it was broken due to the bad guy's killing off the scientist a few seconds too soon (resulting in impure tritium being used). However, the reflection of the blast off the snow made the actual yield appear larger to the satellites.

      --
      Stylish sheet to fix many problems in Slashdot's D3: https://gist.github.com/801524
    2. Re:And *specifically*, you need to read by Yazeran · · Score: 1

      You are right in that. In the book the 15 kT yield was due to He-3 contamination of the tritrium due to too long time 'on the shelf' in the scientist's basement (He was former east german nuclear scientist).

      Yours Yazeran

      Plan: To go to mars one day with a hammer.

    3. Re:And *specifically*, you need to read by Agripa · · Score: 1

      However, the reflection of the blast off the snow made the actual yield appear larger to the satellites.

      Plus lighting the macadam blacktop parking lot on fire significantly raised the measured residual heat. In the book you had the satellites reporting 150 kilotons and the local witnesses reporting a significantly smaller blast but almost everybody assumed the later were mistaken or in shock.

  19. only an idiot would resort to this sort of attack. by DragonTHC · · Score: 1, Interesting

    I don't need a nuclear weapon to fight against cyber-terrorism. All I need is my pocket knife.

    Knife cuts fiber-optic cable. I win.

    Seriously, the simple answer is to disable their ability to connect to our computers. That doesn't take bombs, though bombs work just fine.

    Only a warmongering technophobe would resort to nuclear weapons.

    --
    They're using their grammar skills there.
  20. Re:Can we go ahead with the Nuclear Disarmament al by Darkness404 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The reasons why there aren't any wars after WWII isn't necessarily nukes, but the general enlightenment that comes with technology. Other than the Soviet Union, during the Cold War no one really wanted to fight on a global scale, and the only reason that Soviet Russia did was that the people were brainwashed. Before WWI and WWII young men -wanted- war, they wanted the "glory" of victory, they wanted if they died to be remembered as a patriot with every girl they ever knew wishing that they were still alive and crying at the funeral. Than WWI hit and so did the media, and suddenly war didn't seem to be all that great to the masses except for in the propaganda and brainwashed cultures of Nazi Germany and Imperial Japan. The rest of them fought for pure necessity and to save their own skin. After that, very few people really -wanted- another war, sure, they did have a few small wars, but they couldn't convince the people that war was really necessary anymore. No longer in most cultures did you have the father or grandfather speak proudly about his accomplishments in war, making it sound no more dangerous than hunting with some friends. But after the world wars you had most of them quiet, traumatized, mix that in with the fact that most people no longer saw a need for war (hippie movement) and improvements in journalism made it possible for everyone to see the horrors of war lead to many cultures who refused to go to war. The reason why we haven't had WWIII isn't totally because we have nukes but because there would be very few willing fighters.

    --
    Taxation is legalized theft, no more, no less.
  21. Its Silly Season... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I stopped reading when I got to "The Guardian". Its silly season in the UK media at this time of year.

  22. Dirty Bomb? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The fact that they are even talking about dirty bombs makes me question the integrity of the report.

  23. This is bullshit... by ammorais · · Score: 4, Insightful
    From the article:

    "Cyberspace is real, and so is the risk that comes with it,"

    Did someone stopped to think this is the kind of alarming news that can elevate simple computer hackers to dangerous international terrorists.

  24. Uhuh by TW+Burger · · Score: 1

    Sounds like the result of Mathew Broderick movie festival and too many Red Bulls.

    ---------------

    Bomb Mars now!

  25. 15 minutes of Fame by Bobfrankly1 · · Score: 1

    they would only need to be believable in the first 15 minutes or so

    Because the government moves that fast. Really.

  26. Re:Can we go ahead with the Nuclear Disarmament al by Duradin · · Score: 1

    The interesting thing is that The Great War, The War to End All Wars was World War I, which preceded World War II and introduced the horrors of chemical weapons and machine guns, and WWI pulled America out of one of its most isolationist periods.

    Depending on which countries you pick there was less than 20 years between "The Last War" and, well, the next war.

  27. Words of Wisdom by db32 · · Score: 0, Troll

    Fool me once...shame on me. Fool me twice...you can't get fooled again. -- George W Bush

    Maybe this is what he was talking about. If you trick a trigger happy world leader bent on imposing his world view on everyone into pushing the red button to rid the world of some foreign threat...well...you can't get fooled again because you will all be radioactive waste.

    Now...I certainly can't imagine a group of people that would be easily tricked into launching a preemptive nuclear strike...well except for Republicans. I guess it is a good thing that ol George's request for nukes that could be used in "tactical" situations didn't go anywhere.

    --
    The only change I can believe in is what I find in my couch cushions.
    1. Re:Words of Wisdom by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      I guess it is a good thing that ol George's request for nukes that could be used in "tactical" situations didn't go anywhere.

      As opposed, say, to the "tactical nuclear weapons" that we've had since the 60's? Or don't you remember Atomic Annie?

      And the Pershing missile?

      And....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    2. Re:Words of Wisdom by db32 · · Score: 1

      And they were a bad idea then. Anyone who desires to develop nuclear weapons for offensive use rather than as a deterent should be drug into the street and shot.

      The whole point behind the nuclear weapon is that it is a weapon so terrifying that no one dares risk a fight with one. I find it absolutely hilarious that the administration that is saying we need to pursue Iraq/Iran/Korea for their desire to build and use nuclear weapons was also trying to develop nuclear weapons that were easier to use...

      --
      The only change I can believe in is what I find in my couch cushions.
    3. Re:Words of Wisdom by tsotha · · Score: 1

      It's not as simple as you're trying to portray it. What the Bush administration wanted was nuclear ground-penetrating weapons. Whether or not such weapons are more likely to be used is a matter of some debate. You're assuming they would make it easier to "go nuclear" on someone because the damage wouldn't be widespread. But I don't think that's the case - it's hard to imagine a bomb that's big enough to do the job but doesn't kick up a whole hell of a lot of fallout. And the first use any kind of nuclear weapon is bound to open a bigger can of worms than the problem you're trying to solve. The Bush administration was well aware of this.

      The reason they wanted this weapon was for retaliation against a nuclear or biological attack. There are governments around the world that have built deep enough bunkers they might get the idea they could survive a limited retaliation. The bunker buster was, like all nukes, a political weapon aimed at those governments (particularly North Korea).

    4. Re:Words of Wisdom by db32 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      What the Bush administration advocated was for tactical nuclear weapons that could serve in battlefield conditions. They requested these for use in Iraq and Afghanistan, and had diddly to do with PRNK. They wanted these things to go after those "cave dwellers" and their vast underground network they were believed to have. The notion was that it wouldn't kick up much fallout so it could be used "safely". The Bush administration believed that America needed to fight, and decisively win, two simultaneous wars to assert American military dominance. You are talking about an Administration that launched a preemptive strike invasion using forged evidence. The whole point of that mess was to show American dominance in a way that would ensure no one would dare question us if we used tactical nuclear weapons.

      This was all part of their "Who has the biggest dick" approach to foreign policy. It served us quite well...while we were out swinging dicks in the sand Iran and PRNK became (or nearly became) the proud new owners of nuclear weapons. Rather than showing these "axis" powers who they are messing with...we have demonstrated quite effectively how they can lock us into an unending mess and have enabled others to operate in the knowledge we cannot afford to go after them too. We have also become the poster child for terrorist recruitment efforts.

      Nuclear weapons were necessary to end a war and ultimately prevent another from starting, but now they are just dangerous artifacts left behind. The notion you can develop "tactical" nuclear weapons to win a war is stupid and dangerous beyond measure. The only thing nuclear weapons are for is proving that you can never lose a war unless you choose to.

      --
      The only change I can believe in is what I find in my couch cushions.
    5. Re:Words of Wisdom by tsotha · · Score: 1

      What the Bush administration advocated was for tactical nuclear weapons that could serve in battlefield conditions. They requested these for use in Iraq and Afghanistan, and had diddly to do with PRNK.

      They would not have been ready in time for Afghanistan and were never thought to be needed in Iraq. The target was the Norks. And they were never "requested for use" by anyone. It was a capability the administration wanted to develop.

      This was all part of their "Who has the biggest dick" approach to foreign policy. It served us quite well...while we were out swinging dicks in the sand Iran and PRNK became (or nearly became) the proud new owners of nuclear weapons.

      There was never anything we were going to do that would prevent the Norks from getting nuclear weapons. Short of actually nuking them, anyway. The idea that if only we didn't invade Iraq we could have somehow prevented North Korea from getting the bomb is just silly - Clinton tried to bribe them to stop and had no effect whatsoever (though they did take the money). Are you saying we should have gone to war with North Korea? Should we go to war with Iran?

    6. Re:Words of Wisdom by db32 · · Score: 1

      They wouldn't be ready in time for Afghanistan? We are still in Afghanistan! Between the guys in Afghanistan holing up in the caves and the belief that Iraq had a massive underground network of bunkers for Saddam to hide in. That kind of weapon would have meant squat when dealing with PRNK. They thought they could nuke us and win over 10 years ago. We have had defectors coming here telling us that he believes he could win a war with us. Using the logical approach when dealing with a psycho like that is pointless at best.
      Anything on whether they would have got the nukes, how fast, etc, is all pure speculation since we will never know how it would have played out. Generally speaking, when your opponent knows you can't mount an effective response they are going to be much bolder. We had our military tied up in two separate wars and our credibility is at an all time low. The whole notion of our little Iraqi adventure was they had weapons of mass destruction. PRNK was always closer to getting it done...but we cooked up some fake documents and went after Iraq instead. So that whole "stop nukes" crap is pretty much out the door and we are back to the notion that we could smash and dash in Iraq to make us look like no one can challenge us. Now...I will readily admit, had this strategy worked, Iran and PRNK would probably be thinking much harder about telling us off, but I think it was a misguided and disgusting plan doomed to fail from the beginning.

      Now...back to the original point of the story. Developing "easy to use" nuclear weapons creates a MUCH higher risk for that whole hacker/nuke scenario. If you only maintain an arsenal for end of the world type scenarios it would be MUCH harder for a successful information operation to trick anyone into striking. IF you have a whole arsenal of ones meant to be used then it isn't a matter of tricking you into using them...it is a matter of tricking you into using them where I want them used.

      --
      The only change I can believe in is what I find in my couch cushions.
    7. Re:Words of Wisdom by tsotha · · Score: 1

      I don't accept your characterization of these weapons as "easier to use". From a political standpoint they are no easier to use than any of the other nuclear weapons we have in the arsenal.

    8. Re:Words of Wisdom by db32 · · Score: 1

      They would have been had the plan of "kicking ass and taking names" actually worked. That was the overarching goal, to show the world we had the biggest dick and we could fuck them bloody if they even looked at us wrong. From a political standpoint we should have been bombed into the stone age by a coalition of forces for telling the UN to fuck off and then invading another country. While we didn't prove we can drop "small" nukes without retribution, it did prove that we can tell the UN to fuck off and no one will do a god damned thing about it. We helped build the UN under the premise that it would be used to stop wars from happening, and then we cry foul about how they are worthless when they tell us we can't go start a war... The whole notion was that the UN was supposed to resolve these things and step in and stop conflicts.

      We proved that no one is willing to point the gun at us for starting a preemtive conventional war. The only reason the big nukes are harder to use is because it is harder to survive. If you use a small one, contain the damage, and then can stare down anyone who would say anything against you doing it...then they are easier to use by a long shot. Now it isn't a question if we can break the rules...the only question now is how much can we get away away with it. I say using WP incendiary weapons as anti-personnel is another pretty good example of pushing those boundaries, and we pretty much got away with that. I say Abu Ghraib was another pretty good example of pushing those boundaries, and other than having to listen to a bunch of people bitch and moan...we got away with it. We proved that we can pretty much do whatever the fuck we want, and the most we will get is people whining about us. So I absolutely believe that we could have used these tactical nukes in certain areas and gotten away with little more than a sternly worded letter from the UN.

      --
      The only change I can believe in is what I find in my couch cushions.
    9. Re:Words of Wisdom by tsotha · · Score: 1

      You're mixing a lot of stuff in here that doesn't belong. Of course we "proved" the UN is useless for stopping wars. That much has been obvious since its creation. If backward, weak, dirt-poor states like North Korea can thumb their noses at the UN, then anybody can. The very idea of the UN rests on a false premise - that every problem can be peacefully resolved.

      Nukes are not harder to use because they're harder to survive. We would have had no problem surviving, for example, a 12.5 kt cruise missile hit to Kabul. The real reason we don't use nukes is we know that, down the line, most countries will have nukes and we don't want to encourage their use. That's why we didn't use nukes in Afghanistan, and that's why we wouldn't have used nuclear bunker busters.

      And I realize Abu Ghraib is a favorite hobby horse to people on the left, but there's never been any evidence what happened there was sanctioned by anyone who wasn't directly involved. Obama has access to all that data - if there was a smoking gun we'd have heard about it by now.

      When did we use WP as an anti-personnel weapon?

    10. Re:Words of Wisdom by db32 · · Score: 1

      Violating sanctions and starting a war are two pretty different things. Just like not paying a speeding ticket and robbing a convenience store are not the same thing. In fact, what we proved is that if you own nukes you don't get touched. This of course makes developing nuclear weapons much more valuable. All of the major nuke owners get to break WAY more rules, and thus far, only non nuke owners have actually had military action taken against them.

      The thing that makes big nukes hard to survive is that someone else will hit back. Mutually Assure Destruction is what stops nukes from being used. That is the whole point behind developing the "tactical" variety. Trying to justify the use of nuclear weapons without triggering MAD. This of course works much better when you are nuking countries that don't have nukes to retaliate with and you can use your position to discourage the other nuke holders from defending the country you are using nukes in.

      Abu Ghraib is a favorite hobby horse to people on the left? What kind of bullshit is that? I don't fucking care what your political alignment is, Abu Ghraib was a travesty and to minimize the rape, murder, and torture of prisoners as a "hobby horse" is disgusting beyond measure. I also suggest you read up on the facts a little rather than right wing talk radio talking points. I'm not sure what "smoking gun" you are looking for. There has been plenty of evidence that quite a few senior leaders, generals and above, that at least knew of it if not directly authorized it. These people aren't stupid, they aren't going to put "you can rape prisoners" in a signed letter. It is all done through that wink wink nudge nudge look the other way shit. Rumsfeld publically thanked the soldier that brought attention to the abuse...while he was still deployed with that unit. You should read his story. I can't imagine the fear after listening to my coworkers talk about the horrible things they would do to the person who squeeled and then have my name announced on tv in front of 200 people as the guy who did it.

      It blows my mind to see the "morally superior" right wing treat defend that crap and babble about how anyone who cries foul at it is some "leftist". The sad truth here is that the new "right" has made EVERYONE that disagrees with them "left". It baffles me to have ideas and behaviors championed by folks like Eisenhower berated as being leftist. With that...I end.

      --
      The only change I can believe in is what I find in my couch cushions.
    11. Re:Words of Wisdom by tsotha · · Score: 1

      There has been plenty of evidence that quite a few senior leaders, generals and above, that at least knew of it if not directly authorized it.

      This is simply untrue. Even Karpinsky didn't know about it - the reason she was disciplined is because she was in charge, not because she knew.

      This conversation is over. You just keep repeating assertions that are, for the most part, incorrect.

  28. The problem with the Human Factor by dov_0 · · Score: 2, Funny

    You can fool some of the people some of the time, or all of the people all of the time. Unfortunately it seems that could be all that's needed...

    --
    sudo mount --milk --sugar /cup/tea /mouth /etc/init.d/relax start
  29. Re:Can we go ahead with the Nuclear Disarmament al by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We've always been at war with ...

    ...

    ...

    ...

    FUCKING Kindle piece of SHIT!

  30. Re:only an idiot would resort to this sort of atta by WarmongrinTecnophobe · · Score: 1

    Only a warmongering technophobe would resort to nuclear weapons.

    It's true. I would, and I'm all alone in the world.

  31. YES, YES THEY COULD !! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    We are DOOMED !! DOOMED I tells ya !!

    I have my bags packed and my hill runing shoes on !!

    I'm GO !!

  32. Re:Can we go ahead with the Nuclear Disarmament al by Darkness404 · · Score: 1

    Yes, but even more interesting was the general reluctance of any country not suffering direct attack by the Japanese or by Nazi Germany to join the war. Until Nazi Germany decided they weren't going to stop at just a few countries most of the world just sat back and hoped they didn't come for them.

    --
    Taxation is legalized theft, no more, no less.
  33. how about by superwiz · · Score: 1

    a nice game of chess?

    --
    Any guest worker system is indistinguishable from indentured servitude.
  34. Re:Can we go ahead with the Nuclear Disarmament al by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Your reasoning is more than a tad absurd. Willingness to fight hasn't magically dropped because of 'technology'. People still happily glorify war. Nations regularly fight brutal wars of annihilation. The only difference is that the people with the biggest guns are afraid to use them. We live in a big old Mexican standoff where you have a dozen or so powers with the capacity to wipe each other out. Israel, a nation the size of a small US state, has the fire power to wipe out the US (if they could deliver missiles that far, which they can't). The US and Russia could easily wipe out every major civilian population center in the world if they really wanted to. China could easily make the US uninhabbitable.

    It isn't that the citizens have suddenly become less willing to fight and die, it is that the brutal reality is that in a nuclear war everyone fights, everyone dies. There is no sending the kids off to fight while remaining safe at home. The president of the US, a guy who normally can't be touched, dies in a nuclear war or, at the very least, spends the rest of his life in a bunker while everyone who knows ends up dead.

    The real bullet to this argument is the US willingness to go stomp on Iraq, but how it is considered unimaginable for the US to do the same to North Korea. Both were belligerent nations that the world is a better of place without. Yet, the US decided to go stomp on Iraq but not North Korea... why? The reason is simple. The US knew that if Iraq had any WMDs, they didn't have enough to really threaten anyone. North Korea on the other hand has enough biological and chemical weapons to leave South Korea a wasteland. Hence, with merry impunity, the US trashed Iraq which was suspected of trying to develop WMDs, while they sent lawyers and diplomats after North Korea.

    There is no magical enlightenment, just fear of millions of deaths. Nuclear weapons are the ultimate in fear, and thus war avoidance. The US and the USSR never went toe to toe because hippies made war look ugly. The US and the USSR never went toe to toe because both sides were too terrified of nuclear Armageddon.

  35. Insufficient Knowledge = Inaccurate Results by DoctorMabuse · · Score: 5, Informative

    This paper shows a significant misunderstanding of the command and control structure and procedures at STRATCOM (formerly SAC), National Command Authority (NCA) and other key elements of the process. I am waiting for the author to explain how the attacker will obtain the encryption codes to MILSTAR, SLFCS or any of the other communication channels into a Minuteman Launch Control Facility or the equivalent communication channels going to bomber squadrons, submarines and other force components with nuclear capability. Then there are enable codes, launch codes and various other keys that would be needed. The article also fails to address safeguards in place. One needs to only examine the "incidents" that have occurred in real life, such as a exercise tape accidentally being loaded at SAC, prompting incoming ICBM warnings, to see that these procedures worked even 20 or 30 years ago, and they hve only been improved since then.

    Having worked on the unauthorized launch studies for Peacekeeper (the decommissioned ICBM system often referred as MX), I can tell you the author did not have the data needed to be able to conduct this study, much less draw any valid conclusions

    1. Re:Insufficient Knowledge = Inaccurate Results by EdIII · · Score: 1

      I would bet the author thought the machines were running on Windows XP/Vista hooked up to the Intarwebs.

      People are constantly underestimating how hard it is to even send a packet on military or secure government fiber, satellite, etc in the first place. It's not as easy as the movies make it out be, and Matthew Broderick could have never dialed up a modem connected to W.O.P.R

      News articles are misleading too. People think that when they hear the Pentagon was hacked, it means that the *really* important stuff was accessed. It is highly *highly* probably that it wasn't.

      Unlike performing DDOS on 4Chan, it would be a considerable achievement to even get to the point where you could enter an encryption code in to the systems you mention.

      I think I will win the lottery before cyber terrorists (that are also fundamentalist Islamic terrorists willing to destroy the world) obtain the skill sets necessary to penetrate any networks that have to do with nuclear launches.

  36. WarGames? by JCunningham · · Score: 1

    Isn't the Guardian about 24 years late with this scenario? David Lightman can tell you all about it.

  37. Re:only an idiot would resort to this sort of atta by DoctorMabuse · · Score: 1

    The author of the paper has no real knowledge. The Minuteman system, for example, has redundant cables running through pressurized pipes buried underground, as well as other detection and rerouting capabilities.

  38. death wears bunny slippers by circletimessquare · · Score: 1
    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  39. maybe if they hack into WOPR by Joe+The+Dragon · · Score: 1

    maybe if they hack into WOPR.

  40. uh oh by Jesterace · · Score: 1

    And it all begins with AT&T blocking 4chan

  41. Water fluoridation by _ivy_ivy_ · · Score: 1

    It's all great until they start fluoridating the water...

  42. Re:Can we go ahead with the Nuclear Disarmament al by he-sk · · Score: 1

    Israel, a nation the size of a small US state, has the fire power to wipe out the US (if they could deliver missiles that far, which they can't).

    Actually...

    According to 2004 report to Congress (linked by Wiki) the new Jericho III missile can reach most of North America.

    They also have subs. German made, no less.

    --
    Free Manning, jail Obama.
  43. Ummm... Red Storm Rising? by ckaminski · · Score: 1

    Wasn't this a huge part of Sum of All Fears and Red Storm Rising?

    Why *ISN'T* Tom Clancy one of Obama-lhama's defense Czars?

    1. Re:Ummm... Red Storm Rising? by u38cg · · Score: 1

      Because he would spend all his time wanking off over military hardware and inventing elaborate subplots involving misogynistic sex with a combat barbie.

      --
      [FUCK BETA]
  44. Re:Can we go ahead with the Nuclear Disarmament al by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

    and the only reason that Soviet Russia did was that the people were brainwashed

    Why do you believe that Soviet Russia "wanted to fight" any more than e.g. the United States did?

  45. Re:Can we go ahead with the Nuclear Disarmament al by ckaminski · · Score: 1

    The reason we haven't fought a war like WWII again, is because the casualties in WWII was almost exclusively civilian, for both sides, which was a fairly unique occurance in history. It left both sides, victor and vanquished, with a horrible taste in their mouths. The risk we have now is that fewer and fewer people are left alive who remember the total-war state of WWII. I think the risk of another WW is going up every year simply because of that fact and nothing else.

    Conflict has been and always will be a part of human nature - resources (oil, water, food, pussy or other).

    Those who forget history are doomed to repeat it, and we are fast losing those people who were there and remember it most vividly.

  46. Too late, Iran is in the crosshairs. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yup, Iran is already slated for strikes from Israel and the US. If anyone has the inside access to our military command structure it would be Israeli intelligence units that have infiltrated
    and spied for 40 years. That, mixed with the remaining propaganda machine (US media) and Iran will be glassed over before you can say glasnost on toast.

  47. Re:Can we go ahead with the Nuclear Disarmament al by greyhueofdoubt · · Score: 1

    BS. I'm sorry, but as a veteran I have to say BS.

    Young men wanted war? Are you nuts? Read accounts of the civil war. Read about the effect Napoleon had on france during his little escapade. Read about the mexican-american war. And don't just read the winners' stories.

    War is, and always has been, hell. I don't know if you simply played too much Civ 4 or what, but no one but leaders ever want war (at least, they don't want it bad enough to actually die for it in great numbers). Those guys who talk about war casually, as if it were no big thing? I go to veterans support groups with them and hold them as they cry over their broken lives. Maybe you haven't heard the reality because vets know you won't get it, you'll take it out of context because you weren't there. War ruins the lives of everyone it touches. You won't hear my stories because they define me, yet they mean shit to you.

    Many families still tell the stories of their ancestors' terrible experiences in our civil war. It is a BIG DEAL to kill another person. There isn't a generation alive that hasn't dealt personally with war. War happens out of necessity- or perceived necessity- not because people WANT to go to war.

    And I also disagree with your last sentence. There are more people here in the U.S. than at any other time willing to fight for their country. But there is a huge difference between being willing to fight and wanting to fight. I help defend the country, yes; I have done so willingly in the past. But I never *wanted* to go where I did, do what I did, see what I saw... But I would do it again. I believe in the bigger picture; I believe that my hardship is worth the gains to the people back home. I don't want to die for my country. That's stupid. But I want to go help so that other people *also* don't have to die.

    I don't know if any of this made any sense to you. I hope it did. But your entire post was ass-backwards in every respect. I had to say something.

    -b

    --
    No offense, but I've stopped responding to AC's.
  48. Mod Parent by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    -1 Absurd

    Logic != Rational thought. The idea that the world was utterly irrational before Aristotle is indefensible.

    Further, the statement that Alexander had a rational tutor is not terribly indicative of whether he was adherent to those principles.

    If you want to invoke Aristotle, come up with a logical argument.

  49. Re:Can we go ahead with the Nuclear Disarmament al by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There was no major war because Soviet Extremists and American Extremists where forced to deal with reality - a Nuke war between both groups would result in the deaths of the rulers of BOTH empires, so they had legitimate reasons to seek peace.

    The problem faced now is USELESS nukes sitting around, waiting for some random group to find a way to get access. While we can debate all day how best to keep a missile silo locked down, I think its best not even to be vulnerable - nations that have no nukes don't get their nukes stolen, no matter how many bugs they fail to fix.

  50. I'm so afraid. Now I must buy your product by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This kind of a story, this kind of a headline, is
    a lot like a comic book title and a by line such as

    'What if some evil thing did some unrelated bad thing'

    Just pointless and useless scaremongering and
    speculation by folks with a product to sell, an agenda to push,
    people to scare to make there marketing quotas.

    Fear sells. The news in this kind of a piece is that people are
    so shallow and hungry as to promote this kind of fear-mongering to
    promote their selfish product schemes.

    What is baby ducks mutated into nuclear-tip pigons?
    What if tainted bubble-gum turns puddles into quagmires?
    What if fear-mongerers used scarey story by-lines to promote their braindead products?
    What if marketting of products always excluded scare-mongering?

    I could gen up a spider that would post such 'scarey stories' on a fake website and . . .
    wouldn't that be a waste of time.
    So what is the socialogical reason for marketing people thinking that
    the rest of us are so shallow and afraid that this kind of a byline is
    acceptable?

  51. This all sounds strangely familiar... by conspirator23 · · Score: 1

    With this research being a collaboration between the Australians and the Japanese, is there any wonder that it sounds like they borrowed a plot from Ghost in the Shell?

  52. doesn't have by be cyber or nuclear by misanthrope101 · · Score: 1

    There was a story some time ago saying that the US military suspected Ahmed Chalabi of being an Iranian double agent who deliberately fed the USA government bad intel on Iraq to start a war that would destabilize the region and benefit Iran and the Shiites. I saw that story in the print news (I don't watch TV, so I can't speak to that) for about 2 days, and then it vanished.

    Anyway, the war in Iraq certainly helped anti-US elements (Al Quaeda etc) with finances and recruitment. It removed Saddam Hussein, which was one of Bin Laden's goals. It killed thousands of US military members, caused us to spend hundreds of billions we couldn't afford, and lowered our international standing. Heck, it even drove us to embrace torture and undermine our own principles. I'd say that, if that fleeting story on Chalabi was true, he was far more successful than he would've been by building a single bomb.

  53. yes but by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    only if they could block all the porn on the Interwebs simultaneously!

  54. The real threat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The real threat that is in between the lines here is the internet. This is another FUD release in a series over the last year or two that is leading up to OUR internet being regulated. Remember that the only way that our freedoms are removed is via the fear play. Every story I read about hackers causing power grid failures and our financial systems at risk or this one about nukes are all based on extremely weak data or really none at all. They only speak to the uninformed and are an obvious fear spike. Any intelligent person knows that the Real wars are fought in the central banks now with the IMF and other banker cabal networks. Why bomb out a nation when you can kill it financially and then rebuild it with debt that will be leveraged off of the destroyed nations natural resources. It is happening all over the world right now.

    The three strike laws are going to be the start. It will be followed up with the threats to national security. Then maybe we can toss in an internet 9/11 and poof, OUR internet will have a great fire wall installed. It is pretty much already in place now with all that the CIA and NSA gets away with. All the power needs now is a justification that is digestible "by the people" to finish the job. Our internet is one of the last threats to a totalitarian fascist government now that the traditional media has been tamed.

  55. Re:only an idiot would resort to this sort of atta by mjwx · · Score: 1

    Only a warmongering technophobe would resort to nuclear weapons.

    Indeed. We have plenty of modern weapons with the destructive capacity of a small nuclear device without the radioactive fallout that warmongering technophiles can use instead, such as Fuel Air bombs, which have the added advantage of being incendiary and causing fires which will burn long after the initial explosion. As for mass casualties, our warmongers will just have to be a little bit more patient civilians take time to die of their wounds, starvation and disease.

    --
    Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
  56. File under: "look what you made us do" by petes_PoV · · Score: 1
    In summary, the article claims that the destructive power of nuclear weapons is not matched by the security and safeguards in place to prevent mistaken use. While the story uses "terrorists" as the universal boogie-man (and presumably to sucker in more readers and spread a bit more FUD in the process), there's nothing here that would have stopped them saying "criminal mastermind" or "sufficiently resourced private individual" either. However, those terms would put an entirely different spin on the article. One where the fault has been shifted from the bad-people-who-just-want-to-kill-us-all to an incompetent nuclear strike force that has failed in it's duty to protect the population from misuse of it's weapons.

    When you take out all the emotional triggers from the piece, what it boils down to is that there appear (although this is mere conjecture) to be flaws in the security and procedures involved in verifying launch orders. Flaws that anyone or any organisation or government with sufficient knowledge, inclination and technical ability could exploit. The result could be one or more unauthorised launches. Whether the systems are sufficiently slack to allow this launch to proceed to target (or the rocket/payload is sufficiently reliable to actually go BANG, or not) is not addressed by the newspaper. However, the nice juicy headline has done it's job, so why dilute it with more credible possibilities?

    --
    politicians are like babies' nappies: they should both be changed regularly and for the same reasons
  57. Re:Can we go ahead with the Nuclear Disarmament al by mjwx · · Score: 1

    Before WWI and WWII young men -wanted- war, they wanted the "glory" of victory, they wanted if they died to be remembered as a patriot with every girl they ever knew wishing that they were still alive and crying at the funeral.

    This persists today, there is a certain romanticism with being first up onto the beach and punching a Nazi in the face. I wont say this is a US only phenomena but a lot of US romanticism tends to forget that the vast majority of the wermacht that we western Allies engaged were average Germans, not died in the wool Nazi's. The romanticism with war changes after you put a human face on the enemy.

    After WWII, the world looked at itself, looked at the meticulous record keeping, not just for the Nazi death camps but by the governments tracking their soldiers deaths, it took years to count the dead, 50 Million est deaths as a direct result from a 5 year conflict. Even longer for many nations to recover their economies and infrastructure, some only recovered in the last 25 years. Unfortunately the generation that had to count the dead is slowly dying and we haven't had a significant war since 1973 so a lot of nationalism is returning to western nations who haven't had to really had to deal with hardships. We began to think of ourselves as invincible, just as the Germans did in 1939. We have lost all regard for the rights of other nations and arrogant in foreign policy*, the conflict in Iraq is evident of this. So few Americans realise that the Iraqi people would happily accept the worst Iraqi dictator over the most benevolent US democracy simply because the dictator is Iraqi.

    The real reason that we haven't had a third world war is that we remember the second one, how it started and what it cost so nations have tried not to go down the path of extreme nationalism. If a state believes it can conquer the world it will do it, with or without nukes. Fortunately the Western Allies are having its arse handed by untrained and poorly equipped Iraqi resistance fighters, so the thinking that we can conquer the world is dissipating.

    There have been plenty of wars involving nuclear powers v non nuclear powers. US v Vietnam, Soviets v Afghanistan, the side with nukes does not always win. As Sun Tzu pointed out, the 5th key to victory is the peoples willingness to follow its leaders. Quote the Art Of War

    5,6. The Moral Law causes the people to be in complete accord with their ruler, so that they will follow him regardless of their lives, undismayed by any danger.

    If you don't have this then it doesn't matter what weapons you posses. No one will follow you.

    * I know the US is driving the bad foreign policy bus, but all western powers are on board so there is plenty of blame going around.

    --
    Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
  58. Re:Can we go ahead with the Nuclear Disarmament al by quadrox · · Score: 1

    "Israel, a nation the size of a small US state"

    While (probably) technically correct, I think this comparison gives the wrong impression of Israels geographical size. I believe most people think of something rather big when the word US state is used, even if you qualify it with the word small.

  59. Re:Can we go ahead with the Nuclear Disarmament al by kramulous · · Score: 1

    Wow. I really cannot understand why this is a troll. Simple maybe but not a troll. Must be attracting trigger happy nerds with this headline.

    --
    .
  60. Whacko Leftists Dont Even Believe In Terrorism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So what is the difference?

  61. Re:Can we go ahead with the Nuclear Disarmament al by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    You really needed a no carrier somewhere.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  62. Clueless understanding of weapon controls by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Without significant, specialized knowledge, nuclear weapons cannot be exploded by local people.

    Bombs in planes, cruise missles and ICBMs require remote arming, prior to locals being given control to launch or drop them. Ask any "red shirt" on an aircraft carrier. Tactical nuclear weapons used by the army shot from ground guns, well, that's probably a little different in control. You gotta love the ingenuity to create a bomb that kills all life, but leave the buildings alone and 24 hours later it is safe to walk on ground zero. That isn't the type of bomb that fundamental Islamic terrorist are likekly to build.

  63. perfect by NudeAvenger · · Score: 1

    Now they've just given those terrorists the idea...

    --
    for(b=(a=0)+1;;b+=(a+=b))print(a+"\n"+b+"\n");
  64. Pre-empt nuclear "war" experiment? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Carefully and internationally planned nuclear war experiment might be detrimental to our natural environment and health, but beneficial to everyone's understanding of nuclear war, and avoid potential future fatal mistakes.

  65. You misunderstand the purpose by Colin+Smith · · Score: 1

    The purpose is to conflate hacker with terrorist.

    so hackers == terrorists in the minds of the people and politicians.

    Could you justify draconian laws against teenage nuisances? It's much easier to create the laws you need against indefensible groups; paedophiles, terrorists etc. So you just need to make more people into terrorists and paedophiles.

    Your standard propaganda.

    --
    Deleted
  66. Re:Can we go ahead with the Nuclear Disarmament al by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    Young men wanted war? Are you nuts?

    All of them? No. But it wouldn't surprise me if a significant number saw it as an opportunity - for glory, loot or just to kick ass.

    War happens out of necessity- or perceived necessity- not because people WANT to go to war.

    But that's your loophole - perception. "Brave $US! The $THEM hate us and if we don't get them first they'll kill us all! Remember $PAST_EVENT". You make them want to. It's left as an exercise for the reader to fill in the variables. Bonus points if it works with $US and $THEM reversed.

    I don't want to die for my country. That's stupid.

    I think Patton would agree. http://www.military-quotes.com/Patton.htm

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  67. Re:only an idiot would resort to this sort of atta by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    Knife cuts fiber-optic cable. I win.

    Rock blunts knife. I win!

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  68. Re:Can we go ahead with the Nuclear Disarmament al by MadLad · · Score: 1

    I agree with you *almost* entirely, Darkness404, but in the UK press alone you can see that the military career option is still glorified and being a soldier still positioned as a Good Thing To Do -- and they're fighting in Afghanistan. The idea of being a soldier not as unpopular or short of street cred as we might like it to be. On the contrary, it has unfortunately retained a significant degree of 'residual manliness' from the days of nationalism. The nationalism is still there, but weaker (thankfully) and subtler. I suspect the situation is similar if not broadly identical in much of the USA's media.

  69. Re:Can we go ahead with the Nuclear Disarmament al by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Other than the Soviet Union, during the Cold War no one really wanted to fight on a global scale, and the only reason that Soviet Russia did was that the people were brainwashed."
    Are you an idiot? Who told you that the USSR 'wanted to fight on a global scale'? Reagan?

  70. Re:only an idiot would resort to this sort of atta by Renraku · · Score: 1

    I don't think it's as easy as hacking through a single fiber line with a knife.

    Imagine, if you will, 50 years in the future where there's 100 fiber-level ways into and out of a country. Each one of those may be controlled by a different and possibly uncooperative company, who will lose millions and millions for each day that their foreign connection is cut. Imagine here in America, Sprint or Comcast telling the government to come back with a warrant.

    No, the easiest thing isn't to cut off 100% access to everything. The easiest thing is just to lock down all of the border routers of your facility, where nothing gets out, and nothing gets in. That's only about 90% safe from outside attacks, though, as someone might have found a way to get through even that. The solution for that is to just shut down your own connection.

    Security concerns should be handled on a site-specific basis. Don't like people getting into your government system? Lock it down, turn it off, etc, but don't fuck up the rest of the country's communication infrastructure because you suck at locking things down.

    --
    Job? I don't have time to get a job! Who will sit around and bitch about being broke and unemployed then?
  71. thanks by zogger · · Score: 1

    I'll check it out (at the library), I love doomsday books for some reason. I can't recall now but maybe I read it like years ago. I'll see when I get to the library, read the first page then I'll remember if I read it or not.

    Ya, it's a worry. I was reading about this DIY biology at home and got to thinking, this might be a cause for concern. I have mixed feelings about the whole gene swapping around business anyway, nutjobs doing it or not, seems to be some potential for some major "whoops!" action there, bad intentioned or good intentioned.. There's been some spectacular "whoopsies! We thought that radioactive asbestos based insecticide was safe! Our bad...." with every other advanced tech....that means it is going to happen eventually with biotech and recombination. Going to be more weaponized stuff, and then just unintended consequences with "accidents", both.

      It makes me antsy. There are too many crazies out there that hate their own species so much (or all the "useless eater" populations that are "beneath" their exalted elite status) they might just think this is some sort of solution, and also what I mentioned previously about state or group attacks.

      One possibility I have seen mentioned is "race specific" plagues. No idea if that is possible at this point, but suppose some megalomaniac "fearless prime king president general minister leader in chief" like kim ill dung decides to off all non asiatics as a good first step? Along those lines.

    1. Re:thanks by Thing+1 · · Score: 1

      Wikipedia has a write-up, so you can see if you've read it without going to the library: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_White_Plague

      Yeah, regarding whoopsies: the researchers who originally discovered uses for X-rays spent so much time playing in them, that they all gave themselves cancer. Ouch.

      Major part of The White Plague was the disease targeted women, and the resulting social upheaval as the ratio began changing to what I experienced back in engineering college ("main squeeze", "secondary squeeze", "tertiary squeeze", ... "last chance squeeze"). :)

      --
      I feel fantastic, and I'm still alive.
  72. Re:only an idiot would resort to this sort of atta by DragonTHC · · Score: 1

    I wasn't talking about cutting our fiber. Cut the undersea cables from africa or north korea. Then jam their satellites just for the hell of it.

    --
    They're using their grammar skills there.
  73. Re:Can we go ahead with the Nuclear Disarmament al by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oooh, let me play: Serbs, Croats (Croats, Serbs), Battle of Kosovo?

  74. "last chance squeeze" by zogger · · Score: 1

    MUAHAHAHAHAHA! hehehehehe good one, man!

  75. Ordered it by zogger · · Score: 1

    Went to the library today and had my Gf order it, she has the card so I don't even bother, usually I just buy my books used. It doesn't exist in our local but someplace in the system it does, will be here shortly. I'm looking forward to it.

    Oh hey, saw you wrote Dr. Seuss taught you to read..for me it was correlating what the president at the time, Eisenhower, said on television (we had the first one in the neighborhood) and then seeing it written in the newspaper. Bingo, it clicked. My first word I recognized was "Ike". It's like I skipped a whole step there, went right to "seeing" words and skipped the whole individual letters deal. Headlines at first, then the whole articles. Became a news junky then and could read good enough from then on. I can't hardly remember *not* reading I was so young then, just entering kindergarten. One of the things I am eternally grateful for. It must suck just bad being illiterate.

    Of course, it never helped me with my slanglish...hahahahahah! I have *fun* with words and writing, I don't care if it is exactly proper or not.

    1. Re:Ordered it by Thing+1 · · Score: 1

      Nice. I was reading at 3, my parents have informed me. :) Like you, it's difficult to remember a time that I didn't read (I think when I had stitches in my big toe, I might have been 2, the earliest trauma I remember). I like that you can recall how you started reading; for me, that's all blurry. I know it was Seuss because of the story my mom likes to tell about my not wanting to go to school, and she used PET (Parent Effectiveness Training; the specific skill was "active listening") to determine the real reason why, and it was because I loved the Cat in the Hat book I had borrowed so much, I did not want to give it back. She agreed to buy the book after school, and fixed the issue without yelling or hitting. I love that anecdote.

      Yeah, I agree that wordplay is one of the most satisfying games of all. Especially now that I know multiple languages, and can practice it across them!

      Hope you enjoy the book, let me know how it turns out for you.

      --
      I feel fantastic, and I'm still alive.