Slashdot Mirror


Happiness May Be Catching

chrb writes "The NY Times Magazine has an interesting article about research, based on the long-running Framingham Heart Study, modeling real world social networks. It seems that tendencies to be happy, not to smoke, and not to become obese are passed between nodes in a directed graph in a way that suggests such concepts are 'contagious.' Well-connected nodes in the graph (i.e., people with more friends) are more likely to be happier than less-connected nodes, even when the edges represent more distant friendships. Individuals quitting smoking, or becoming obese, influence not only their immediately connected friends but also friends of friends, with the effect sometimes skipping the intermediary node. The contagion effect is most noticeable when a tendency is passed from one person to another of the same sex — friends of the opposite sex, including spouses, are not as influential."

176 comments

  1. Duh by Jurily · · Score: 3, Funny

    This is like that $8m study that found out men think differently than women.

    1. Re:Duh by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Anybody who's had a family knows that happiness, as well as its opposite, are "catching".

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    2. Re:Duh by ta+bu+shi+da+yu · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I know! If we didn't have this study then we wouldn't know the best way to keep people miserable.

      --
      XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve the problem, use more.
    3. Re:Duh by coastwalker · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What a load of cobblers this report is. The connections are real but they are not causal. Smokers tend to like other smokers and avoid the ranting anti smoking brigade. These researchers are not worth the food that has been wasted on them. Happiness is not a universal measurement in any case, there are different kinds of happiness.

      --
      Facts are history now plebs have politics for religion on social media.
    4. Re:Duh by henrywasserman · · Score: 0

      I knew that who was on first. But I didn't know that happiness was catching.

    5. Re:Duh by mdwh2 · · Score: 1

      If only they spent $10m - they might realise that actually, people think differently to each other.

    6. Re:Duh by mace9984 · · Score: 1

      I call bullshit on this too.... The happier my friends get, the more I get depressed... Like.... "Oh, look at his new beautiful girlfriend, and mine just broke up w/me because I wouldn't become a mormon cultist!".... F him, and this bunk study...

    7. Re:Duh by Twinbee · · Score: 1

      there are different kinds of happiness

      Which can be averaged out (?).

      Or maybe a single type of happiness, except over different time spans (expectation of future happiness etc.).

      --
      Why OpalCalc is the best Windows calc
    8. Re:Duh by coastwalker · · Score: 1

      Over time yes why not, the fruition of plans, your business succeeds after a long struggle. Happiness is often confused with pleasure so a lack of pleasure is confused with unhappiness, but you might pass your exams after a hard slog. The report is talking about social interaction as the only measure of human happiness and its certainly true that solitary confinement is bad for your mental health. But insisting that the only way to happiness is a certain kind of social life is unrealistic. Humans are pretty adaptable and they can be happy in many stressful situations that aren't on the sociologists approved list. They have found an interesting aspect of how the human animal achieves happiness but its not an ideal goal that must be forced on people like the eighteenth century's drive to "educate the savage". Should I worry if my life doesn't look like the model they have observed as optimum, not at all.

      --
      Facts are history now plebs have politics for religion on social media.
  2. Everyone already knew this. by Seumas · · Score: 1

    Your mom drilled it into your head, when she asked if you'd jump off a bridge if all of your friends are. Yet more ridiculous waste of scarce research funding. Also, being far less connected is better than being connected to lots of *idiots*.

    1. Re:Everyone already knew this. by 91degrees · · Score: 1, Informative

      Your mom drilled it into your head, when she asked if you'd jump off a bridge if all of your friends are.

      Well, would you?.

      The only thing you know from your reasoning is an anecdotal story that people don't follow the crowd. One that appears to be demonstrably false.

    2. Re:Everyone already knew this. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Man, you're getting me down. Stop it.

    3. Re:Everyone already knew this. by LKM · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I find it amazing that you call the study a waste because everybody already knew what the results would be, yet then immediately contradict the results of the study.

    4. Re:Everyone already knew this. by thannine · · Score: 1

      The only thing you know from your reasoning is an anecdotal story that people don't follow the crowd. One that appears to be demonstrably false.

      Are you being idiot on purpose? If your mom asks you that question, it's because you KEEP DOING WHATEVER YOUR FRIENDS DO. The anecdotal story is demonstrating the fact the people know already that friends affect your behavior, you "copy" your friends.

    5. Re:Everyone already knew this. by Seumas · · Score: 1

      I find it amazing that you failed to comprehend the obvious point that eveyrone's mom (and therefore, society) made that statement was because they knew the propensity of people to mimic the behavior and attitude of those they associate with, therefore warning you against it by asking if you'd _even jump off a bridge_ if your friends did it.

      Don't fault me for your obtuseness.

    6. Re:Everyone already knew this. by Seumas · · Score: 1

      You are being intentionally obtuse as my point was quite clearly that your mother knew one tends to mimic the behavior and attitude of those he or she associates with and therefore presents you with a ridiculous proposition to point out why you should go against that innate tendency to go along with them.

      My point was quite clear. You are simply being deliberately dense.

    7. Re:Everyone already knew this. by MyLongNickName · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Hi Seumas,

      This is NOT a waste of money. This study began in 1948 to discover causes of cardiovascular disease. The data was very broad and included health habits, diet, and sociological information. This "study" simply poured through the already existing data to find other interesting bit of information.

      So, while some money might have been spent, this was more of an anlysis of existing information. In some ways, it is a money savings as no new study needed to be conducted to glean this information.

      If you are interested, Google the study. There is a lot information out there, and the study added a lot to our body of knowledge.

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    8. Re:Everyone already knew this. by 91degrees · · Score: 1

      My point was quite clear. You are simply being deliberately dense.

      Yet two people misunderstood.

      Perhaps you weren't as clear as you suspected.

    9. Re:Everyone already knew this. by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      Where is the contradiction?

      The article is about a study claiming that people are influenced by others - that happy people make other people happy, that fat people make other fat, etc, etc. Which he says is obvious.

      And a common saying that says that exact same thing (that people do what their friends do). Which seems to reinforce the obviousness.

      Of course studying the obvious is worthwhile - since when things aren't the way everyone thinks they are you can get interesting (and maybe even useful) results.

    10. Re:Everyone already knew this. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or dense people are more likely to post on slashdot.

      This is the point where you reply with 'correlationisnotcausation'.

  3. Research like this may sound ridiculous... by Xerfas · · Score: 5, Insightful

    but it's quite important to be able through research and testgroups to actually show that it's true. Not only on this subject but on almost all subjects. Most of us know this for a fact, but sometimes it's nice to know the reason why a certain feeling like happiness suddenly shows for no apparent reason more then that your friends are happy. I have a friend who just got out of a mental institution whom I have been worried about for quite some time, now that she is out in the real world and feels better I can honestly say that my days have improved a lot. Not having to worry and this has affected people around me because I'm a happier person again. Rant ends here..

    1. Re:Research like this may sound ridiculous... by Thanshin · · Score: 5, Funny

      I have a friend who just got out of a mental institution whom I have been worried about for quite some time, now that she is out in the real world and feels better I can honestly say that my days have improved a lot.

      As hollywood taught us, that story has only a discrete amount of possible endings:

      - Your friend will get into your house tonight and kill you. With an axe.
      - Your friend is actually you, as you'll discover waking up covered in dry red stains and possibly a dead animal next to you.
      - Your friend is now a vampire.

      Notice how all those plots can be intermingled seamlessly for the sequels; also, as hollywood taught us.

    2. Re:Research like this may sound ridiculous... by Xerfas · · Score: 1

      Well she does seem a bit more pale lately and she never wants to come over for dinner unless she gets meat and lots of it. We have only talked during nights after she got out and she sometimes have this "crazy stare" when she says she is hungry. Last night she was out riding alone and saw a deer who ran away as she put it "because she was so ugly", but it could have been "because it felt she was so hungry".

    3. Re:Research like this may sound ridiculous... by Thanshin · · Score: 1

      Well she does seem a bit more pale lately and she never wants to come over for dinner unless she gets meat and lots of it. We have only talked during nights after she got out and she sometimes have this "crazy stare" when she says she is hungry. Last night she was out riding alone and saw a deer who ran away as she put it "because she was so ugly", but it could have been "because it felt she was so hungry".

      Oh god!

      You mean...

      She could be...

      A robot!?

    4. Re:Research like this may sound ridiculous... by Xerfas · · Score: 1

      My best guess so far is that she has become a computer geek. She has recently aquired a Mac and now thinks Windows isn't good enough for her. Which, to stick to the topic, made me happy.

    5. Re:Research like this may sound ridiculous... by paiute · · Score: 0

      My best guess is that her Slashdot UID is in the low 5 digits.

      --
      If Slashdot were chemistry it would look like this:Cadaverine
    6. Re:Research like this may sound ridiculous... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your mom never wants to come over unless I'm going to be giving her meat and lots of it!

    7. Re:Research like this may sound ridiculous... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Agreed, especially because as they mention in this article among many others is that people are quite bad at knowing why they feel a certain way or how they developed a certain habit.

      As far as men thinking differently than women, that is extremely in important to have research on that. Often I'll throw that assumption out in casual debate to have my entire contributions to said debate revoked due to P.C. violations, for which I need research to make an appeal. Now if you want to use that assumption in psychological journal, well, you really need research to back it up.

    8. Re:Research like this may sound ridiculous... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      - Your friend is actually you, as you'll discover waking up covered in dry red stains and possibly a dead animal next to you.

      I say it will be the second ending XD

  4. Hmmm by imakemusic · · Score: 1

    So...monkey see, monkey do?

    --
    Brain surgery - it's not rocket science!
    1. Re:Hmmm by Hal_Porter · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      So...monkey see, monkey do?

      Bloatware Inc, Virtual Monkey® see

      Processing 1%
      Processing 4%
      Processing 7%
      Processing 10%
      Processing 13%
      Processing 16%
      Processing 19%
      Processing 22%
      Processing 25%
      Processing 28%
      Processing 31%
      Processing 34%
      Processing 37%
      Processing 40%
      Processing 43%
      Processing 46%
      Processing 49%
      Processing 52%
      Processing 55%
      Processing 58%
      Processing 61%
      Processing 64%
      Processing 67%
      Processing 70%
      Processing 73%
      Processing 76%
      Processing 79%
      Processing 82%
      Processing 85%
      Processing 88%
      Processing 91%
      Processing 94%
      Processing 97%
      Processing 100%

      Bloatware Inc, Virtual Monkey® do

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    2. Re:Hmmm by azior · · Score: 2, Funny

      monkey C, monkey sudo!

  5. Gaming it for more sex by Swizec · · Score: 4, Funny

    Are you saying that if I have sex with my girlfriend's friend she'll have more sex with me? Seems like a fairly interesting notion.

    What if I have sex with a bunch of my girlfriend's friends, will that make my girlfriend's whole social circle all want to have sex with me at the same time? 'Cause I could totally live with that.

    1. Re:Gaming it for more sex by RuBLed · · Score: 2, Funny
      FTFS -

      "The contagion effect is most noticeable when a tendency is passed from one person to another of the same sex â" friends of the opposite sex, including spouses, are not as influential."

      Not that I am suggesting anything other than we are on Slashdot.

    2. Re:Gaming it for more sex by corsec67 · · Score: 1

      The GP wants to get a group of people of the same sex (female in this case) that have a desire to have sex with him, which would spread through the same-sex connections, right?

      --
      If I have nothing to hide, don't search me
    3. Re:Gaming it for more sex by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      Are you saying that if I have sex with my girlfriend's friend she'll have more sex with me? Seems like a fairly interesting notion. What if I have sex with a bunch of my girlfriend's friends, will that make my girlfriend's whole social circle all want to have sex with me at the same time? 'Cause I could totally live with that.

      Don't forget that behaviour isn't the only thing that's contagious... :-)

    4. Re:Gaming it for more sex by Rogerborg · · Score: 1

      Yes. In real life, that is exactly how it works. Unfortunately, the kind of guy that makes it work isn't likely to be asking about it on Slashdot. If you're determined to try it, buy a Camaro first.

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
    5. Re:Gaming it for more sex by muzicman · · Score: 1

      Don't be ridiculous. This is slashdot. nobody here has a girlfriend!

      --
      -1 disagree is not a modifier for a reason. -1 troll, flamebait, redundant, overrated are NOT acceptable substitutes.
    6. Re:Gaming it for more sex by Kell+Bengal · · Score: 1

      So you're saying he's going to turn them lesbian? Makes sense to me, but I don't think it will encourage them to sleep with him.

      --
      Scientists point out problems, engineers fix them
      altslashdot.org: The future of slashdot.
    7. Re:Gaming it for more sex by Denial93 · · Score: 2, Informative

      There certainly are some social groups where way more casual sex is going on than in others. Geekdom isn't one of them, in fact geeks are one of the most monogamous groups of people I know. Some of the music scenes tend to make much less of a fuss about casual sex, as do the hard political left, the art scene and the ecologically-bent.

      These are just stereotypes of course, I don't know whether there is hard data on this. Would be interesting, though. I am continually amazed at how much sex average-looking people are getting out of being part of certain scenes.

    8. Re:Gaming it for more sex by Vancorps · · Score: 1

      The funny part is that yes you can game it like this only you can't have sex with her friends but only friends of her friends.

      I see this all the time, it's why guys that will have sex with anything that's warm and wet end up oddly enough, having more sex! Course the chance for disease and unwanted pregnancy also arise.

      Of course you mention girlfriend and not just friend with benefits so all bets are off in your situation. I see this stuff all the time here in the southwest where we have women who's actual job is to just look pretty and go out clubbing.

    9. Re:Gaming it for more sex by CarpetShark · · Score: 1

      What if I have sex with a bunch of my girlfriend's friends, will that make my girlfriend's whole social circle all want to have sex with me at the same time?

      Yes.

    10. Re:Gaming it for more sex by FailedTheTuringTest · · Score: 1

      Yes. Pick-up artists call this social proof.

    11. Re:Gaming it for more sex by uninformedLuddite · · Score: 1

      It would quite possibly make them all turn gay

      --
      The new right fascists are bilingual. They speak English and Bullshit.
  6. Well, I'm OK here by Chrisq · · Score: 1

    slashdot is an infection free zone

    1. Re:Well, I'm OK here by Kell+Bengal · · Score: 1

      Well, we may not have the S, but we've still got TD

      --
      Scientists point out problems, engineers fix them
      altslashdot.org: The future of slashdot.
  7. Attention Whoring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    People who NEED to have more friends are more likely to lie about being happy to maintain their image.

    1. Re:Attention Whoring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      People who NEED to have more friends are more likely to lie about being happy to maintain their image.

      This. I've always been irritated by fake laughter. When I meet new people, I can usually gauge their intelligence by telling some stupid jokes and seeing if they fake laugh or not. If they do, I tell them "That wasn't supposed to be funny" and walk away while they wonder what the hell just happened.

      Yeah, I'm a dick, but at least I'm honest.

    2. Re:Attention Whoring by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Have you considered that the people you're attempting to filter for are likely to tune you out after a few stupid jokes?
      No, your method is flawless.

  8. Not a new phenomenon by Sobrique · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Peer pressure isn't a new phenomenon. Groups mutually conform, as part of their group identity. Which can be mutually positive, and can be mutually destructive. Particularly drinking/drug use tends to increase in much the same way.
    I've also run into the 'domino wave' of couples getting married as well - you seem to get several over the course of about a year, and the same with dropping sproglets.

    1. Re:Not a new phenomenon by cerberusss · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Peer pressure isn't a new phenomenon. Groups mutually conform, as part of their group identity.

      I don't think it's just about peer pressure and groups.

      I've read the book by Neil Strauss in which he becomes a "pick-up artist". One of his techniques for impressing girls is to have you and a friend go into a bar and act like you're having fun. Laughing and joking is contageous to the girls, but they are not in your group, and neither is peer pressure involved there.

      --
      8 of 13 people found this answer helpful. Did you?
    2. Re:Not a new phenomenon by smoker2 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That is peer pressure. You think you have to know an individual to be influenced by them ? Peers are people in the same social grouping, not social group. i.e. all 16 year olds who like certain types of music, all retired people who buy at certain stores. They do not have to personally know all the other members of the group. In your example, I doubt that the 2 guys were doing their act in front of a group of pensioners. They were doing it to impress members of their age / peer group who they wanted to attract.

    3. Re:Not a new phenomenon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Peer pressure isn't a new phenomenon. Groups mutually conform, as part of their group identity. Which can be mutually positive, and can be mutually destructive. Particularly drinking/drug use tends to increase in much the same way. I've also run into the 'domino wave' of couples getting married as well - you seem to get several over the course of about a year, and the same with dropping sproglets.

      My wife and I have four kids, which is clearly above average in our neighbourhood. Since we had our 4th kid, a few neighbours had an "extra" kid which was probably not in their planning/roadmap, and for 3 at least I am sure that we played a role in their decision (either by envy or by "if they have 4 kids, we can have a third one and not look like rabbits").

      Since then, I feel like being the cause of these kids without being (unfortunately for some) their dad.

      Posted anynomously for obvious blahblahblah

  9. Graph theory by should_be_linear · · Score: 2, Funny

    "Well-connected nodes in the graph (i.e., people with more friends) are more likely to be happier than less-connected nodes"

    So /. must be saddest place on earth.

    --
    839*929
    1. Re:Graph theory by xaxa · · Score: 1

      So, who has the biggest friends list?

      CmdrTaco has plenty of fans, but hasn't friended many, and I think it's best if it goes both ways.

    2. Re:Graph theory by Kell+Bengal · · Score: 1

      ...the biggest friends list

      He must be a lonely, lonely man.

      --
      Scientists point out problems, engineers fix them
      altslashdot.org: The future of slashdot.
    3. Re:Graph theory by multipartmixed · · Score: 1

      > So /. must be saddest place on earth.

      And MySpace the happiest?

      --

      Do daemons dream of electric sleep()?
  10. Go into panic. Now. by Thanshin · · Score: 3, Funny

    I told you. Stupidity is not only deadly but also contagious through any information transmission capable medium.

    That's why the extra terrestrial visitors fly so fast and with their radio turned off.

    They're playing chicken.

    "Did you hear? GX-3-ThBlarg just did a low fly at merely three fongs per chronocycle! And he turned the wave receivers on for FIVE SECONDS!"
    "No way! He'll end up idiotized, like his big brother. He must already be getting fatter and sad."

    1. Re:Go into panic. Now. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      fongs per chronocycle you know nothing about extra terrestrial space ships!!! fongs per chronocycle is just units of energy divided by time. I bet you just make the rest of your post up!! Where are the moderators here?

    2. Re:Go into panic. Now. by The+Archon+V2.0 · · Score: 1

      fongs per chronocycle you know nothing about extra terrestrial space ships!!! fongs per chronocycle is just units of energy divided by time.

      Actually, you're thinking of the Imperial fong. He's talking about the metric fong.

    3. Re:Go into panic. Now. by uninformedLuddite · · Score: 1

      I have a pair of fongs

      --
      The new right fascists are bilingual. They speak English and Bullshit.
  11. disease by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    haha! I knew it was a disease!

  12. Questionable by Alarindris · · Score: 1

    Sounds pretty fluffy to me. I know a lot of people quitting smoking... because the price has doubled in the last year where I live, not because it's cool.

    1. Re:Questionable by CraftyJack · · Score: 1

      because the price has doubled in the last year where I live, not because it's cool.

      So it's not cool enough to justify the cost. People are more than willing to pay for cool/sleek/nifty.

    2. Re:Questionable by Arthur+Grumbine · · Score: 1

      Sounds pretty fluffy to me. I know a lot of people quitting smoking... but they claim that the reason is because the price has doubled in the last year where I live, not because it's cool.

      FTFY. I quit smoking (11 years at a pack a day)) within this last year as well, and while I believe that I quit for my own reasons, I'm open to the possibility that I was influenced by those around me. Particularly, now that I reflect on it, I see that 3 close friends had quit within 3-4 months prior to me quitting. Also, 4 other of my friends have quit since I quit. Sure, we all have our own reasons, but that's not to say we're not strongly influenced/motivated-to-action by each other.

      --
      Now that I think about it, I'm pretty sure everything I just said is completely wrong.
    3. Re:Questionable by mckinleyn · · Score: 1

      Nice to meet you, Mr. Jobs!

  13. They're using FAT as the example... by Vintermann · · Score: 4, Interesting

    We well-informed teetotallers have known this for years about alcohol. Attitudes aren't made in a vacuum. If the drug/alcohol use of your kids, or even the use in society, bothers you, the first thing you should do is cut back (or better yet, cut out) yourself.

    It was the French demographer Sully Ledermann who first suggested that alcohol consumption appears to follow a log-normal distribution - he didn't provide much evidence for it, but it turned out later he was completely right. In principle, a single variable is enough to describe the variation in total alcohol consumption across cultures: The average amount consumed. As the number of moderate drinkers increase, the number of heavy drinkers increases with about the square.

    I'll quote (and translate) a piece of an article from the journal of the Norwegian physician's association:

    "The stable traits and connections that have been found in this are are not natural laws, they could all in principle have been different. The suprising thing, however, is that the connections are as stable as they are.

    These connections and regularities were at the outset pure statistical descriptions of reality, without any understanding of the social mechanisms that generated them. Through the 1980s there came some studies where one tried to explain how these regularities appear and are kept stable (9, 11, 13). The original hypotheses were one that drinking habits are explained by a series of factors that appear to combine multiplicatively, and another that alcohol users are strongly influenced by the drinking habits in their social networks.

    Both hypotheses have good empirical support. The first one can, by the so-called central limit theorem in statistical theory, explain that the distribution becomes approximately log-normal. The second hypothesis can, from theories of interaction and spread in social networks, explain why there is such a strong connection between average consumption and the prevalence of high consumers."

    Emphasis mine. Original article with references here: http://www.tidsskriftet.no/?seks_id=649944

    --
    xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    1. Re:They're using FAT as the example... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      French demographer? The journal of the Norwegian physician's association?

      my aren't we global

    2. Re:They're using FAT as the example... by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      I can quit anytime I want!

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    3. Re:They're using FAT as the example... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Does that imply that the number of heroin users can be expressed as a function of, say, cannabis users?

    4. Re:They're using FAT as the example... by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      I didn't know what "totalforbruksteorien" was called in English, apparently it isn't "total consumption theory". So I googled for it in my native language.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    5. Re:They're using FAT as the example... by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      No, but there is a sort of pattern: There is roughly one fourth as many cannabis users as alcohol users, about one fourth as many amphetamine users as cannabis users, and one fourth as many opioid users as amphetamine users.
      That's here in Norway. It almost has to be different elsewere, since Norway has peculiar usage patterns (almost all heroin is IV, and cocaine is surprisingly unpopular)

      I would guess that while attitudes about how much intoxication is acceptable may vary (so attitudes almost certainly bleed over from one drug to another sometimes) the ideas of how "hard" a drug is could vary a lot from culture to culture. But I really don't know much about that (yet).

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    6. Re:They're using FAT as the example... by uninformedLuddite · · Score: 1

      Why do you say that you dont know much about that(yet)? is this something you are studying, are you planning on scoring some smack tonight? What's the story? Here's some information for you a lot of heroin users don't smoke pot.

      --
      The new right fascists are bilingual. They speak English and Bullshit.
    7. Re:They're using FAT as the example... by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      I know that. A lot of heroin users don't smoke pot, but they probably did once... Of course, not all cannabis users will try harder drugs, I never said that (so you can relax).

      I say "yet" because I would very much like to understand how perception of drug "hardness" varies across cultures.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    8. Re:They're using FAT as the example... by uninformedLuddite · · Score: 1

      I know that. A lot of heroin users don't smoke pot, but they probably did once... Of course, not all cannabis users will try harder drugs, I never said that (so you can relax).

      Trust me I am extremely relaxed and I didn't think for one second that you were implying that.

      I say "yet" because I would very much like to understand how perception of drug "hardness" varies across cultures.

      I would assume that the scale is pretty similar in all countries that are under the auspices of the UN. It's funny in a sad way that the drug that does the least harm is the one that is considered the hardest of the hard. And no I am not using heroin (not this second anyway) %/

      --
      The new right fascists are bilingual. They speak English and Bullshit.
  14. Interesting concept, but.... by Niubi · · Score: 2, Informative

    Essentially man is a social animal and has an inbuilt desire to fit in with the society that surrounds him/her. I'm not quite sure why an expensive and pointless scientific paper needed to be written about what is essentially a psychological and societal issue. Take DubLi, for example - it's growing because those who have used it are reporting positively to friends, collegues etc positively. It's not exactly rocket science, just my 2 cents worth.

    1. Re:Interesting concept, but.... by justinlee37 · · Score: 1

      So, you're saying that you don't see the value in writing scientific papers about psychological issues? Psychology is a science, you know.

    2. Re:Interesting concept, but.... by SunTzuWarmaster · · Score: 1

      But, but, but, this study had Facebook! And MySpace!

      It's new!

    3. Re:Interesting concept, but.... by stewbee · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Interesting response. Not trying to troll here. My wife is a scientist, so she has partially warped my mind to think like this. You realize that you yourself have made a generalization that on the surface seems quite plausible. Do you have any direct proof in support of your hypothesis, which I will assume is "Essentially man is a social animal and has an inbuilt desire to fit in with the society that surrounds him/her" Have you found any quotable research showing that your hypothesis has already been proven?

      My point here is that until you actually do the research, you can generalize all you want, but that doesn't make it right. Everyone has some sort of anecdotal evidence which could seem to invalidate some research, but does that evidence fall outside of 3 standard deviations for example? Does your anecdotal evidence even have any relation to the original experiment

      I am reminded of a recent Daily Show where John Oliver interviewed two different scientists about which primates humans most resemble. (I would link to this, but I am at work and can't get to comedy central). One scientist was arguing that humans were more closely related to Orangutans whereas the other scientist was going with the generally accepted Chimpanzee relationship. John Oliver was trying to get the 'Chimp' scientist to put down the other scientist's research with a 'yo momma' joke. John Oliver Gave the lead in "Yo research is so whack...". The 'Chimp' scientist said, "that it fails to verify the hypothesis".

      This is a long way of saying that science is done to find things that seem possibly painfully obvious, and to validate it through experimentation.

  15. Does it work for social nets too? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "I have a very wide circle, I have 212 friends on myspace." (Sheldon Cooper)

  16. Good article. by AbRASiON · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I've always noted the point mentioned towards the end, discussing how a 'social hub' kind of person can leave their element (place of living, workplace) go somewhere and within a few short weeks become a social hub again, these people fascinate me (and probably most of us) often interesting, social, active and often fun.
    I'm by far not one of them sadly - infact I'm the loner in the article likely to die fat and speaking to no one however doesn't change that I mostly agree with what the article says, despite being difficult to proove it of course.

    1. Re:Good article. by Sobrique · · Score: 5, Informative

      Thing is, it's not actually all that hard to do. It just requires a bit of overcoming of the initial 'I don't want to interact' antipathy. If you're anything like me, you've been introverted for a lot of your life, because ... well, people just suck. It's true, the do. Everyone is in some degree an arsehole. That doesn't mean you can't like them, nor does it mean you can't appreciate the positive parts of them. There's relatively few who are outright poison in terms of relationships.
      To become a social hub, all you really need is to be able to take an interest in everyone else. Start off by faking it, but once you've done that a bit, you've already got the level of background knowledge that you don't need to any more - it's basically the same as 'geeking' only this time the subject of your study is people and social dynamics. Accept the idiosyncracies of people without passing judgement, much like you would with a hardware platform. Take the time to figure out what they're good and bad at, and keep up to date with their revision history. From there, all it takes is a bit of spreading of invites when you choose to do something - e.g. if you feel like going to the cinema, circulate the notion - include time, venue and film, and invite people to turn up if they're interested. People will, and suddenly you're a social hub, and that's something that'll take fairly minimal effort to maintain.

    2. Re:Good article. by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 1

      Accept the idiosyncracies of people without passing judgement, much like you would with a hardware platform.

      But that's a primary benefit of a hardware platform, you can curse outs its stupidities and flaws right in front of it and it won't take offense.

      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    3. Re:Good article. by mikael_j · · Score: 1

      Of course, a lot of "social hub" kind of people actually "lose" that when they move to a new city (or do something similar that removes them completely from their regular social network). One reason for this, from what I can tell, is that if you've spent the last n years just maintaining your social network then it's quite hard to all of a sudden have to go out and actually make lots of new friends. It's one thing to already be the center of attention when having lots of friends, others will start to see you as someone with high status and want to be around you, it's another thing altogether to head out to the nearest bar in a completely new city and find new friends.

      Yes, I've moved many times and have experienced this a couple of times, going from one city where I would determine if the weekend was going to be fun by how many people had called me by wednesday to ask where I would be partying on friday/saturday to practically only interacting with coworkers/classmates. Of course, what makes it even more odd is that it seems to be very much a matter of luck and chance...

      /Mikael

      --
      Greylisting is to SMTP as NAT is to IPv4
    4. Re:Good article. by simplerThanPossible · · Score: 1

      Accept the idiosyncracies of people without passing judgement, much like you would with a hardware platform.

      I think I may see the problem.

  17. Red Dwarf positive virus :) by delibes · · Score: 2, Funny

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quarantine_(Red_Dwarf) for the unenlightened. Mr Flibble agrees with me, don't you Mr Flibble?

    --
    This is not a sig
  18. So are multi page articles by Rashdot · · Score: 1

    Catching, I mean.

    --
    This is not the sig you're looking for.
  19. In related news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Nothing helps a bad mood like spreading it around"
    - Calvin

    Come on, we've known this for years.

  20. Nodes connected BECAUSE of attributes by Memroid · · Score: 4, Insightful

    tendencies to be happy, not to smoke, and not to become obese are passed between nodes in a directed graph

    Wouldn't it be more likely that these people that are happy, athletic, and don't smoke tend to make friends with other people like them, as opposed to this suggestion of viral happiness? I mean it seems pretty obvious that people who don't smoke are going to have a higher percentage of friends that don't smoke than those who do smoke. It's called a "lifestyle."

    1. Re:Nodes connected BECAUSE of attributes by PeterBrett · · Score: 2, Interesting

      tendencies to be happy, not to smoke, and not to become obese are passed between nodes in a directed graph

      Wouldn't it be more likely that these people that are happy, athletic, and don't smoke tend to make friends with other people like them, as opposed to this suggestion of viral happiness? I mean it seems pretty obvious that people who don't smoke are going to have a higher percentage of friends that don't smoke than those who do smoke. It's called a "lifestyle."

      If you'd RTFA (and no, I'm not new here) you'd know that this effect is called homophily, and that one of the criticisms of the study is that the researchers efforts to account for it were insufficient.

    2. Re:Nodes connected BECAUSE of attributes by chrb · · Score: 2, Informative

      Wouldn't it be more likely that these people that are happy, athletic, and don't smoke tend to make friends with other people like them, as opposed to this suggestion of viral happiness?

      Your point is brought up in the article: One is âoehomophily,â the tendency of people to gravitate toward others who are like them. People who are gaining weight might well prefer to hang out with others who are also gaining weight, just as people who are happy might seek out others who are happy.Christakis and Fowler argue that they have stripped out the confounding effect of homophily from their statistics, although some other researchers have disagreed.

      I mean it seems pretty obvious that people who don't smoke are going to have a higher percentage of friends that don't smoke than those who do smoke. It's called a "lifestyle."

      Why is it obvious? At one time it was "obvious" that smokers were the cool socialites that everyone wanted to emulate.

    3. Re:Nodes connected BECAUSE of attributes by darthflo · · Score: 3, Funny

      Why is it obvious? At one time it was "obvious" that smokers were the cool socialites that everyone wanted to emulate.

      And how would one emulate a smoker? By smoking yourself, maybe? So you start smoking. You take smoke breaks whenever your role models take them and happily light a fag or two, taking good care of that nicotine addiction. Already, your smoke breaks will probably be somewhat social. There's going to be more smokers around, they're going to be smoking (just like you!) and every now and then they're going to be asking you for a light. Some talking might ensue, names be exchanged and friend requests be sent back and forth. Congratulations, the percentage of smokers among your friends is likely to increase.

      The great thing about smoking is it's addictingness. After all those breaks with your idols and perhaps a few new people, you'll probably run into a situation where you don't know any cool socialite in the vicinity. Doesn't matter, you'll still be taking a smoke break, it's not just about aspiring to the cool guys, it's also about getting that nicotine fix. Others will probably be in the same situation. Just like you, they'll be used to talking to others while smoking. Asking for a light or fag is a great conversation starter; and starting from your mutual love of processed tobacco, a conversation is easily started. Conversation leads to more smoke break leads to more conversations, leads to friend requests. And like that, two lonely smokers may find each other, get together, gift the world with a bunch of newborn (future) smokers. Shortly thereafter he dies of lung cancer, her next child is stillborn, pulling her into a deep depression during which she abuses her children. Finally, she takes her own life. Days later, her dead body and starved children are found by the landlord. While retrieving the bodies, the police accidentally rips open the wallpaper, freeing a large patch of old asbestos-containing isolation. The landlord proceeds to patch it all up with another layer of wallpaper, but having breathed asbestos nanoshrapnel for hours finishes his (due to smoking) already damaged lung off. He manages to call 911 and an ambulance is immediately dispatched. Unfortunately, on it's way to the landlord's apartment, the driver carelessy drops his cigarette. He looks down for a split second to localize the still glowing stub. While he's grabbing it, an unnamed Federal Agent Closely Resembling Jack Bauer sprints across the street in a vain attempt to stop the ticking countdown of a (novel, extremely deadly for the whole continental U.S., Hawaii and Alaska) bomb located a few blocks down. The ambulance slams into our facrjb, killing him on the spot (in a painful, slow way!). Only seconds thereafter, the countdown of the discussed explosive device hits 0:00:00. Smoking kills. But I seem to be digressing a tiny bit, so back to topic:

      Doing anything (e.g. being hapy, eating meat, smoking) makes you more likely to spend time with people of similar interest and less likely to spend time with diametrically opposed people (emos, vegans, non-smokers) because the former will approve of your actions, the latter condone them and people, being social animals, tend to favour approval over condemnation. Simple as that.

    4. Re:Nodes connected BECAUSE of attributes by Biogenesis · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I've never studied social networking, but there's a chance that the viral model is still useful mathematically even though it's causal relationship is flawed. For example in semiconductor physics it is often useful to model electron holes as positive charge carriers even though only electrons are actually moving. Basically the idea I'm trying to put forward is that if a model has limits (and every physical model does) it can still be useful if these limits are well understood.

    5. Re:Nodes connected BECAUSE of attributes by Scrameustache · · Score: 1

      viral happiness?

      this effect is called homophily

      That is so gay! :)

      --

      You can't take the sky from me...

    6. Re:Nodes connected BECAUSE of attributes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You may not be smoking tobacco, good sir, but whatever it is, it's awesome!

    7. Re:Nodes connected BECAUSE of attributes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is a very long winded way to say "Since smokers are forced to all congregate in the same small area and smoke with each other, they get to know each other quickly. Since they all share something in common additional ice-breakers are not needed to stimulate communication. Since smokers come from many social circles they then tend to quickly develop large social networks simply because they smoke." And then go on an anti-smoking rant.

      Most people who say they started smoking to "look cool" are confused. What they actually noticed that was "cool" about smoking is that the "rebels" are the ones who smoke. Huddled around the trash can in the alley, cast out by the establishment, the social pariahs have their own, exclusive club. This is especially attractive to those who are already Not Cool, and are also social pariahs, but for other reasons. So they start smoking because they see this is an easy way into that social group. Smoking doesn't make anybody look cool, and I know plenty of smokers (like myself) who get a good laugh when people try to make that claim.
      But with all the anti-smoking propeganda out there, I do like to reply to the question "why do you smoke" with the response "Because it makes me look cool" which tickles my twisted sense of humor. Why do I really smoke? Because I like it.

    8. Re:Nodes connected BECAUSE of attributes by DirePickle · · Score: 1

      The data wasn't just a snapshot of social networks. There was data gathered over time. It wasn't that a group would just be fat, but that the same group would be thin and then become fat roughly at the same time, once one member triggered it.

    9. Re:Nodes connected BECAUSE of attributes by kmac06 · · Score: 1

      Condone != condemn.

    10. Re:Nodes connected BECAUSE of attributes by darthflo · · Score: 1

      My bad. Thanks.

  21. Not just fat by chrb · · Score: 2, Interesting

    They also studied drinking: When it came to drinking, Christakis and Fowler found a different kind of gender effect. Framingham women were considerably more influential than Framingham men. A woman who began drinking heavily increased the heavy-drinking risk of those around her, whereas heavy-drinking men had less effect on other people. Why? In the age of frat-party binge drinking, you might imagine that hard-partying men are the most risky people to be around. But Fowler says he suspects women are more influential precisely because they tend to drink less. When a woman starts drinking heavily, he says, it sends a strong signal to those around her that it's O.K. to start boozing too.

    1. Re:Not just fat by Rogerborg · · Score: 1

      Ah... drunken cheerleaders. No study is complete without them.

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
  22. Hmmn. by buggy_throwback · · Score: 0

    Repeat after me. Correlation is not Causation

    1. Re:Hmmn. by chrb · · Score: 2, Insightful

      From the previous story on male juvenile delinquent behaviour being contagious people made the same "correlation is not causation" statement. I think that at this point the majority of Slashdot readers are well aware that correlation is not causation, so I'll just copy/paste an appropriate response:

      "correlationdoesnnotnecessarilymeancausation

      Indeed, which is why the vast majority of studies that get tagged by the moronic "correlationisnotcausation" involve some application of Mill's Methods and/or statistical and theoretical inference to demonstrate causation based on the observed correlations.

      What gets reported is the correlation, because reporters are even dumber than /. taggers, but the researchers generally have thought a little bit about elementary logical errors somewhere along the path of their experiment design.

      The tag is particularly idiotic when you consider that every correlation is caused by something, so the OP here is absolutely correct: if you really believe that there is no relationship whatsoever between correlation and causation, such that you can reflexively dismiss every reported correlation with this little snippet of nonsense, then you're pretty much committed to nothing being caused by anything.

      Tagging stories this way is completely vacuous. All it tells us is that you haven't read the study or considered whether the usual methods have been employed to properly infer causation from correlation. It would be as useful and relevant to tag all stories with "theskyisblue", which is true in one sense (although the sky happens to be overcast where I am right now) but is only true in a way that is a) known by everyone and b) adds nothing of value to the discussion."

    2. Re:Hmmn. by LordAndrewSama · · Score: 1

      Correlation is not Causation

    3. Re:Hmmn. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, but are you really posting it because of this, after all, correlation is not causation and all that.

  23. So what is the cause. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Congratulations! You just proved correlation. Now the real work begins: to prove causation! Aww FSCK it.

    So witch is it happy people have more friends or people with friends tend to be happy? Depressed people tend to have fewer friends as they pull away from people they care about. This could lend credence to the contagious theory, or it could just be that people don't like downers.

    Like I said, now the real work begins.

  24. Also acne, height, headaches by Bruce+Stephens · · Score: 1

    See BMJ 2008;337:a2533

  25. Load of cack! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So basically lonely people are more likely to go down to the local store, buy too many cakes and eat them while watching drivel about happy people on the "toob", thus making themselves more miserable!

    Well hold the front page! We have a new Pullitzer! FFS, they spent how much deducing that lonely people are more likely to miserable due to lonelines than people with lots of good friends? It's another win for academia!

    1. Re:Load of cack! by FreakyGreenLeaky · · Score: 1

      load of kak. There, fixed that for you.

  26. Correlation does not equal Causation by Chapter80 · · Score: 1, Insightful

    If there's ever a case for the statement "Correlation does not equal Causation", this is it.

    As a non-smoker, why would I hang around with smokers? I quit; I hate that smell, and don't want to be near it.
    As a fitness buff, why would I hang around with obese people? It's not like I meet them at the gym!
    As a happy person, why would I hang around with Debbie Downer? Life's too short!

    1. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by MyLongNickName · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Yeah, yeah, yeah... the knee jerk correlation is not causation. And I am sure you read the study to see how they accounted for this, right? You looked at their methodolgy and made sure that they were not looking at how habits changed over time (for example in the article: At the time, her cigarette habit didn't seem like a problem; most of her friends also smoked socially. But in the late 1980s, a few of them began to quit, and pretty soon Eileen felt awkward holding a cigarette off to one side when out at a restaurant. She quit, too, and within a few years nobody she knew smoked anymore.
      ) , and other factors that could explain this. And I am sure that at the end of your research you found that a grad student just plunked some nmbers into an Excel spreasheet and used the built in statistical function.

      Yup, a long-term study spends significant time and resources researching something to come to a conclusion. But with your keen perception and research skills, you have totally debunked it. And the slashtards mod it up to +5.
       

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    2. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by Chapter80 · · Score: 1, Troll

      Yup, a long-term study spends significant time and resources researching something to come to a conclusion. But with your keen perception and research skills, you have totally debunked it.

      Let me get this straight.

      The premise of your post is that there's somehow a correlation between making the statement "Correlation does not equal Causation" and poor research?

      And you are saying that poor research is the cause of making that statement?

      Good work, Sherlock. Is there any irony here?

    3. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by chrb · · Score: 2, Insightful

      From the previous story on male juvenile delinquent behaviour being contagious people made the same "correlation is not causation" statement. I think that at this point the majority of Slashdot readers are well aware that correlation is not causation, so I'll just copy/paste (again) an appropriate response:

      " correlationdoesnnotnecessarilymeancausation

      Indeed, which is why the vast majority of studies that get tagged by the moronic "correlationisnotcausation" involve some application of Mill's Methods and/or statistical and theoretical inference to demonstrate causation based on the observed correlations.

      What gets reported is the correlation, because reporters are even dumber than /. taggers, but the researchers generally have thought a little bit about elementary logical errors somewhere along the path of their experiment design.

      The tag is particularly idiotic when you consider that every correlation is caused by something, so the OP here is absolutely correct: if you really believe that there is no relationship whatsoever between correlation and causation, such that you can reflexively dismiss every reported correlation with this little snippet of nonsense, then you're pretty much committed to nothing being caused by anything.

      Tagging stories this way is completely vacuous. All it tells us is that you haven't read the study or considered whether the usual methods have been employed to properly infer causation from correlation. It would be as useful and relevant to tag all stories with "theskyisblue", which is true in one sense (although the sky happens to be overcast where I am right now) but is only true in a way that is a) known by everyone and b) adds nothing of value to the discussion."

    4. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by MyLongNickName · · Score: 5, Insightful

      No, dipshit. I am making fun of your research skills. You didn't even bother reading the article, much less the original research, yet you see yourself fit to "debunk" it.

      You can't even read the criticism against you correctly. How do you think you are fit to judge this study.

      Go read this comment that was pointed out by another reader: http://science.slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=1306647&cid=28734109

      It does a better job than I did of why your post is intellectually void.

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    5. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by kno3 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You completely misunderstood his post.
      His point was that grad students conducting a long term research project probably would have thought about this and would have designed their experiments and analysis accordingly. Simply writing off the study by saying "Correlation does not equal Causation" is unfair and, unfortunately for Chapter80, demonstrates a certain amount idiocy.

    6. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      YHBT. YHL. HAND.

    7. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by lapsed · · Score: 2, Informative

      His criticism is valid. Despite researchers' methodological rigour, social network analysis can identify causation that just doesn't exist. One study, using the same design that had previously identified obesity as being contagious or caused by an individual's social network, found that height, headaches and acne were similarly contagious. Height could be a good predictor of friends' height but your height won't be changed by your friends' heights. Granted, I haven't read the article and I'm not qualified to know whether the authors used the appropriate controls in the right ways, but it bears mentioning that even an ostensibly solid design can produce misleading results when trying to establish causation.

    8. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      Did you read the study to see if they managed to account for that appropriately?

      Or are you just ranting without actually checking what they did?

    9. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by MyLongNickName · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Let's recap

      1) Data from a study which has been going on for 60 years is analyzed. Researchers reach certain conclusions.
      2) Poster who admittedly did not even read the article, much less the study says this is a prime example of correlation is not causation.
      3) You support #2 as some studies are flawed.
      4) You admit you have not looked at the study

      So, my question... what study could possibly EVER make it past your lack of rigor? Seriously. Please answer this question. No matter how well designed, you and other like you will criticize it. There is no way to defend as you won't take the time to properly analyze the methodology. Yet, despite not taking the time, you feel qualified to discount it.

      "Hi, I don't believe in global warming cuz last winter was so cold (or maybe it was the year before). No, I don't care about global data for 50 years, cuz those guys are pointy haired, librul, academics".

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    10. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      3333333333333333
      Yes. There is irony here.
      The irony is that you are an idiot. Cheers!

      [point a: you were wrong, in a very self-satisfied, superior (and lazy) way.
        point b: you were told so in a well reasoned fashion.
        point c: you misunderstood the explanation, brought forth two (2) pieces of evidence that had already been addressed and shown lacking (correlation != causation as a blanket response and the claim of poor research), framed his post in a completely different way (pretending to be asking for clarification), used a middle-school grade insult, and then misused the term irony.]
      I should probably have broken c down further, but, yeah.

    11. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Somebody needs to catch some happyness....

    12. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by Belial6 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Given the amount of money to be made by both sides of the Global Warming debate, as well as the huge amount of obviously and verifiably inaccurate information spewed by both sides of the Global warming debate, I don't think that it is the subject you really want to use as a way to mock your opponents.

    13. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Yup, a long-term study spends significant time and resources researching something to come to a conclusion. But with your keen perception and research skills, you have totally debunked it.

      Wow. They managed to figure out that people are social animals, like to have friends, and are influenced by the habits and opinions of their social group. Hell, maybe they will create a new name for such a grand discovery, maybe something along the lines of being socially "pressured" by their social equals, or "peers" if you will... I know, maybe we can call it "Peer-Pressure" or something like that.

    14. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Actually, the GP post was spot on. The apparently angry poster who used name calling such as slashtards and dipshit claimed to know that the articulate original poster had not read the article, and created a knee jerk reaction, without any evidence of this.

      Every one of his/her arguments - that it was knee jerk, that the OP didn't read the article, and that somehow showing years of correlation somehow magically addresses causation was unsupported.

      And then s/he apparently blew a gasket and did further name calling when s/he was called on exactly the point that s/he was trying to make.

      Y'all should get out of your parents' basement sometime. Life isn't that serious.

    15. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Another social "scientist" going loony for being called on. ;-)

    16. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by rm999 · · Score: 1

      Yes, the article goes into this on page 6. "There are at least two other possible explanations. One is "homophily," the tendency of people to gravitate toward others who are like them." They go on to explain that many scientists think the study did not properly account for this.

      I agree with you; I generally do not hang out with fat people, people who smoke (other than socially), or people who are not generally happy. I remember in College I briefly tried hanging out with a group that was generally medicated (a lot of them were depressed), smoked a lot, and was largely overweight. They never understood me, and we eventually drifted apart. Meanwhile, my core friends, who I still associate myself with, are all similar to me.

    17. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      holy shit, he schooled you!

      classic! and your 6th grade "you're a dipshit because you can't research" is a great conclusion!

      "i was schooled, so i'll behave like a 6th grader to try to win an argument that i lost in round one".

    18. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by FingerSoup · · Score: 1

      An example of correlation does not equal causation would be:

      If Happiness catches, so must sadness, anger, and every other emotion. I Always feel pissy when people bitch and complain about stupid things...

      In this single example, the correlation made, is that when other people are angry, I get angry. This is not actually the direct cause of my anger though. The reason for my anger is actually the incessant nature of the people complaining, and how silly the things they talk about actually are. Their anger doesn't actually bother me, it's the WAY they argue, and WHAT they argue about. Thus my correlation, albeit related to the cause, is not the cause itself.

      Having said that... If someone tracks my behaviors, and statistically, when people get angry at something and start bitching, I actually start getting angry myself and bitch back, every time for different reasons each time, then they have proven their point with me.

      If they can statistically prove this for hundreds of people, then they have a good theory.

      If they can prove that regardless of what makes people angry initially, angry people make other people angry regardless... they have identified a phenomenon.

      If they can prove that anger from one person, can cause someone else's anger inderectly through the people they come in contact with, then they have a significant phenomenon. For example, If they can prove that the anger caused, lets say by people bitching about stupid things on Slashdot, affects people who don't read Slashdot, a significant phenomenon has been tracked.

      And if their statistics and theories can back up that significant phenomenon, then you have a significantly reliable theory. You will never be able to prove this theory 100%, but you will have something that is almost as good as 100% proof. A reliable theory (such as the theory of relativity) is useful until someone can prove it wrong... and even then, it gives us a damn good explanation so we can go on to move on to more important things instead of STUPID SHIT like this.

      The original article did all these things. Except the slashdot-specific thing of course...

      Now, if you'll excuse me, I'm going to stop talking now, because apparently this study just proved that it's very likely that I'm just pissing off all your friends, neighbors and children. And I don't think they did anything wrong in this argument...

    19. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's actually very simple - unless there is a well designed experiment to back up observations it's called a hypothesis, no matter how much statistical analysis you apply to it. That is, at this point it is just a correlation. To establish a causation you need to do an experiment: in the example you quoted you need to make all the people around Eileen smoke again and see what happens.

    20. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Now you're making shit up.

      2) Poster who admittedly did not even read the article, much less the study says this is a prime example of correlation is not causation.

      Show me where the poster admitted that he read neither.

      Is this your study? Based on this study, I'd guess that you are a less-connected node, as you are a total ass.

    21. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      woosh

    22. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Aww, you got your ass handed to you, so you went AC to support yourself. Nice.

    23. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      His criticism is valid. Despite researchers' methodological rigour, social network analysis can identify causation that just doesn't exist. One study [bmj.com], using the same design that had previously identified obesity as being contagious or caused by an individual's social network, found that height, headaches and acne were similarly contagious. Height could be a good predictor of friends' height but your height won't be changed by your friends' heights. Granted, I haven't read the article and I'm not qualified to know whether the authors used the appropriate controls in the right ways, but it bears mentioning that even an ostensibly solid design can produce misleading results when trying to establish causation.

      WTF else do you want?

    24. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fuck you AC!

    25. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by uninformedLuddite · · Score: 1

      I've been following this thread and I just thought that those interested would like to know that i think I have caught depression.

      --
      The new right fascists are bilingual. They speak English and Bullshit.
    26. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by uninformedLuddite · · Score: 1

      I guess if the study has been going on for sixty years than the smoking bit probably has very little relevance. I asked my Mum and she told me to shut up so I must be right.

      --
      The new right fascists are bilingual. They speak English and Bullshit.
    27. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You've done a great job of arguing that bullet #4 is accurate, by bolding "lapsed"'s comment. But that did not address the fact that you are making shit up in bullet 2 (which is what the GP post said).

      You are making shit up. End of argument. Once again, you fail.

      You may crawl back under your rock now. I think your Mom's calling.

    28. Re:Correlation does not equal Causation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Crap. You're right.
      You win. I failed!
      I apologize for any hard feelings.

  27. Smoking Obesity? by BerryMadness · · Score: 1
    It seems that tendencies to be happy, not to smoke, and not to become obese

    I don't understand this.

    If I were to become obese all I would have to think of to be happy is all eats and treats that got me there. The closest I ever got was 1 point under Obese on the WiiFit.

    Attempting to quit smoking has never made me a happier person. The closest I got was a couple days but I was preaty happy when I started back up :)

  28. Good coming from public data by Richard+Kirk · · Score: 1

    It is worth recognizing that the major breakthrough in this work in finding the long-running Framingham Heart Study data. This database had been collected for a different purpose. If this data has been anonymized; if they had destroyed the forrns naming a friend when a new form had been completed; or had destroyed the entire database when the original study aims had been met to preserve the privicy of the individuals, then this work would not have been possible.

    This is not to say that all databases are good. We have seen recently how many of our personal details are available of we fly or book a hotel. There are people in the UK who want to make a national register of all children, in the belief that the entire database won't make it out of the building on a memory stick in the first week. But there are details I do not mind contributing to the common good. I would not post my medical details, but I would not mind my medical records being transferred when I move or change doctors, and I would certainly wish people to wring any good that could be wrung from such data. No man is an island, yerknow?

    Maybe I am naive and idealistic. Maybe I should be guided by all the grumpy, mean, and suspicious people that seem to fill all London some days. But then again, no - they are all going to get fat and die, aren't they? Hah! Yess!! Roll on the day!!!

  29. Finite amount of Happiness by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I disagree. My theory is theres a finite amout of happiness in the world:

    Case examples:

    - We feel good when we win at sport, the other team feels bad
    - we feel get jealous when someone buys a nice new TV, and they are happy
    - we laugh at other peoples misfortune
    - Kids tease each other
    - we're annoyed when we don't win employee of the year
    - In the west we're rich, well off and not unhappy, in other countries they're poor, lacking basic necessities and generally less happy (okay that's a bit of a leap but you get the idea). Our SUVs, and by association happiness, are funded by other countries.

    Few movies end with both the good and bad guy mutually winning and walking off with respective hot girls as that would feel wrong and offend this universal law that we all know but don't articulate as we're all too politically correct

    Many things are examples of this process.

    The lottery distributes a tiny sum of happiness from many players to one.

    Religions often have a concept of hell. Its not enough being part of an institution that goes to heaven, everyone else has to go to hell. And as members of that institution we feel gleeful about the rewards we'll reap later on.

    I think I've managed to cover most the hot topics: movies, geo politics, religion, capitalism etc.

    1. Re:Finite amount of Happiness by Sobrique · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You would seem to be correct. But I think that's less about happiness, than about how one defines success. Success is how much you exceed expectations by. Your expectations are set by looking at your 'peers'. Therefore to be 'successful' you need to be doing better than your peers are. Successful in turn, tends to promote feelings of contentment and happiness, because people feel that 'things could be worse'. More enlightened will realise what utter hogwash this is, but most will still go to work tomorrow, to work for a crust, to support their family/buy their house anyway.

    2. Re:Finite amount of Happiness by Red+Flayer · · Score: 1

      I disagree. My theory is theres a finite amout of happiness in the world:

      So if I feel happy for no reason, there is someone else who has become unhappy?

      That makes me sad.

      But, I ask you this, my friend: how do you account for drugs? A group of friends smoke pot and get happy... does that cause other people to get unhappy? Or are mood-altering drugs the method by which we can change the total amount of happiness in the world?

      And what about population changes? Is happiness spread thinner when there are more people? Where Europeans giddy after the black plague because a third of them died, so there were fewer people to share the happiness?

      --
      "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
    3. Re:Finite amount of Happiness by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      'Things were better back in my day'. Thats because they were. Happiness is finite, there is now less to go around, Extrapolate that back to the first humans and you get 2 people with perfect bliss. Eden.

      Its a perfect theory

    4. Re:Finite amount of Happiness by Omestes · · Score: 1

      Good, now define what happiness is, and why people can be happy in adverse situations. Last time I played a game (not a sport per se) I was even happy in losing it, since it was with friends. When I'm at the electronics store I generally snicker at people buying big expensive status symbols, because I think its dumb, I don't, though, get upset. Some people don't laugh at other people's misfortune, most people don't care. Kids do tease each other, but often it isn't a bully-type relationship but a mutual game. You might be annoyed by not winning employee of the year, I don't see why it matters, thus no net loss of happiness here. A lot of people don't own, or want, SUVs, and are just as happy (or happier, since the edge of desperation is missing) as those who do. A lot of people, also, are very happy in the developing world, some much happier than the over worked, over stressed, westerner.

      Movies are not reality, and often are only made for entertainment value. Most people who buy a lottery ticket but don't win, don't get any less happy for it. Some people have been buying lottery tickets out of habit for 60 years, and have no real expectation of winning.

      Actually the idea of hell is rarer in religions than one might think. Most flavors of the largest religion in the world has no conception of hell.

      On top of this, there is no empirical reason that happiness would be a measurable, and limited, quantity.

      --
      A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
  30. Negative connotations by whereiswaldo · · Score: 1

    I sometimes find that being happy makes others resentful. I even smiled at a person once on the train and they came up to me and said "I didn't want that seat anyway" as if I was being smug about getting a seat!

    So perhaps the more happy people there are the more resentful some people get.

  31. Right, But Late by DynaSoar · · Score: 1

    Leon Festinger developed the theory of Cognitive Dissonance half a century ago from naturalistic observations very much like the conclusions and implications put forward by TFA. He didn't require a model of information spread, as it was already based on observations of behaviors resulting from people talking to each other. Such a model is hardly useful when existing evidence already supports and goes beyond the model's predictions. In any case the models served to provide the means to correctly explain behaviors. It's just that TFA is replication of results via another design, not any discovery.

    --
    "I may be synthetic, but I'm not stupid." -- Bishop 341-B
  32. News for nerds, stuff that matters by FreakyGreenLeaky · · Score: 1

    Not

  33. You know you're a nerd when... by WebmasterNeal · · Score: 1

    Instead of calling your friends 'friends' you call them 'nodes'.

    --
    "During My Service In The United States Congress, I Took The Initiative In Creating The Internet." -Al Gore
  34. If happiness is contagious... by Nyckname · · Score: 1

    then I'm immune.

  35. If happiness is contagious... by thewiz · · Score: 1

    are scientists looking for a cure?

    I'll happily stay infected, thanks! ;)

    --
    If "disco" means "I learn" in Latin, does "discothèque" mean "I learn technology"?
  36. Article is WAY wrong by CarpetShark · · Score: 1

    Actually, this is the opposite of obvious research: it's research that totally misses the obvious point.

    People who are happy generally work to get through all the bad shit internally, without passing it on to others, and to pass the good shit on to others, and to gratefully accept the good shit from others, without accepting their issues and baggage. Likewise, people who are unhappy have usually started focusing on negativity, rejecting friendships and help, etc., until they're lonely and depressed.

    The article seems to be suggesting that somehow, people just get magically happy by being around each other, and that those who aren't happy are just not well enough connected. Yet more stupid research guided by step-by-step research instructions instead of wisdom and life experience.

    1. Re:Article is WAY wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yet more stupid research guided by step-by-step research instructions instead of wisdom and life experience.

      You insensitive clod, my doctoral thesis was on wisdom and life experience!

  37. Group identity is the problem. by elucido · · Score: 1

    If people were individuals it wouldn't matter what dumb behaviors their friends adopt. People need to learn to be responsible for their own health and their own happiness and their own happiness.

  38. Have this explanantion been considered? by gkai · · Score: 1

    Based on my own behavior, I have an alternative explanation, somewhat between real contagion of social habits, and auto-clustering of people when they are more alike...

    I think that we have to consider how the habit/behavior/new event would affect the main activities of the group of friends. For example, if you gain weight, it may means you have reduced your sport practice and changed your diet, i.e. some kind of lifestyle change. Then, the friend which stick around you will change their lifestyle and suffer the same effects, or just drift out of friendship just because of lack of common interrest/time spend together. People which were not going to be friend because they had zero desire to spend weekends running around a track suddenly may drift in your circle of friend because they shared your new interrest in home-made cookies...

    All of those effect will have strong effect on apparent contagion of habits, but will not be based on change in what you consider "socially acceptable" or change your scales for evaluating body images (like the interpretation for obesity that was given in the article). It is not really contagious behavior either, but only linked to the fact the friendships are often linked to some shared lifestyle and shared activities.

    It is a slight twist to the interpretations given in the article, but it may be interresting to look at the contagious effect in this way. For example, the fact that contagion is higher in same-sex friends is normal: identical lifestyle and shared activities are more important between same-sex friends than opposite sex friends of sexual partners. So is the difference between coworker and personal friends.

    Under this interpretation, I would expect some behavior to be highly anti-correlated: the tendency to organise things for example (leadership). A group sharing an activity would be more enjoyable for everybody if one good organiser take responsability for organising stuffs while the other are happy following. So I guess that "tendency of organizing stuff" or "leadership" (it would have to be carefully worded to avoid positive/negative bias for lack of the characteristic) would not be contageous, while it should be if the explanantion was mainly through behavioral mimicking...

    1. Re:Have this explanantion been considered? by wrencherd · · Score: 1

      I think that this is certainly backed up, as you say, by common, human experience; in the example of the smoker whose friends all quit, she had two choices: quit herself, or quit her friends. Even Barney Gumble is rejected on the Simpsons when he no longer wants to be the town drunk.

      On the other hand, the main thrust of social scientific research in this vein, since the time of Paul Lazarsfeld (as noted in TFA), has been to provide "scientific evidence" that people are not "led" by institutions, but "influenced" by peers. So, if Homer, Lenny and Carl could be convinced to stop drinking then Barney might actually have a chance to reform himself.

      The contrary of that, which also has "experimental evidence" to back it up, is that Homer, Lenny and Carl may now alternately become an instrument to keep Barney from expressing himself freely; that is, if it were Barney's habit to shout "you lie" only at black politicians and not to shout "you moron" at white ones, he might be less inclined to do so if his pals at Moe's did the opposite. The social influence of Homer et al, would then be typed as social repression.

      The results in the 20th century were a lot of money spent on advertising, movies, and other mass media, and the advent of talk shows, "personalities", and pundits.

      It remains to be seen if the same will carry over, for good and for bad, into the 21st century world of social networking.

      In other words, will a select few emerge as the alpha nerds on /., or the big giant heads of facebook, or biggest twits on twitter?

      Stay tuned.

    2. Re:Have this explanantion been considered? by Omestes · · Score: 1

      I think that this is certainly backed up, as you say, by common, human experience; in the example of the smoker whose friends all quit, she had two choices: quit herself, or quit her friends.

      I don't see this, at least anecdotally. My circle of friends is very diverse, we have people of all weights, careers, levels of education, smokers and non smokers, etc... For example, I smoke, and my best-friend doesn't, this has never hindered our relationship.

      I would hate it if my whole social circle was replaced by clones of me.

      --
      A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
    3. Re:Have this explanantion been considered? by wrencherd · · Score: 1

      My apologies; I did not mean to suggest that you or anyone else should reject anyone's friendship b/c they do or don't do everything that you do.

      I only meant to agree with the previous post that, as a general rule, like-likes-like seems to be observably true in everyday life.

      Though your personal, anecdotal experience does not support such a conclusion, social science (and social engineering), advertising, marketing, etc. seem very much to be based on at least an acceptance of this notion.

      I think we do agree that, even if the outcomes in the study presented in TFA are styled as "positive", the same principle lends itself to the much more negative outcome of coercion.

    4. Re:Have this explanantion been considered? by Omestes · · Score: 1

      Though your personal, anecdotal experience does not support such a conclusion, social science (and social engineering), advertising, marketing, etc. seem very much to be based on at least an acceptance of this notion.

      Agreed, I didn't mean to sound like my personal anecdote was trumping science. I was more bringing it up to illustrate that this is a somewhat soft rule, and not a hard invariant one. Basically the self-selection happens in a very subtle manner, which might be amplified when one studies larger interactions. This lends a bit of credence to the study, where the communicable effects of peer choice is a bit higher than mere self-selection of peers.

      I think we do agree that, even if the outcomes in the study presented in TFA are styled as "positive", the same principle lends itself to the much more negative outcome of coercion.

      On a bit of off-the-cuff analysis, I doubt that negative trends would be as strong as positive ones, though they would still exert some force. If you start with a peer group at some base level of behavior (to be judged as either positive or negative), and allow members to select positive or negative behaviors (smoking or not, education or not, healthful or not). Generally the positive behaviors will have positive results for those people, which is observable by their peers, and as such would be more likely to be emulated than behaviors with noticeably harmful consequences.

      Of course many harmful behaviors appear positive over short periods of time, which would allow negative behaviors to also have some influence over any peer network, though I would expect this to be shorter lasting, and of less influence than positive ones.

      We emulate our peers, especially when their behavior has noticeable positive benefit to them individually. Obviously, the more peers in the network emulate positive behavior with evident benefit, the more likely more peers will follow the example.

      If someone in your circle of friends started doing something new, which benefited them greatly, you'd probably be more likely to do it. Right? Compared to if someone in your group started an obviously self-harmful behavior (drug use, dropping out of school, smoking, watching NASCAR and eating bon bons all day). You might not excise the person from your network, but you probably wouldn't do what they do.

      Actually this study is much more fun to think about than it seemed on the surface. It makes me realize why I gravitated towards social psychology in school, even if I was deeply suspicious of the social sciences.

      --
      A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
    5. Re:Have this explanantion been considered? by gkai · · Score: 1

      We emulate our peers, especially when their behavior has noticeable positive benefit to them individually. Obviously, the more peers in the network emulate positive behavior with evident benefit, the more likely more peers will follow the example.

      If someone in your circle of friends started doing something new, which benefited them greatly, you'd probably be more likely to do it. Right? Compared to if someone in your group started an obviously self-harmful behavior (drug use, dropping out of school, smoking, watching NASCAR and eating bon bons all day). You might not excise the person from your network, but you probably wouldn't do what they do.

      Well, my point was that the contagion effect is precisely because the change of lifestyle of this friend automatically remove him from your network, without this reflecting any kind of moral judgement. It is not systematic of course, but I think that the fact that being friend and spending a lot of time together in hobby activities is highly correlated is probably enough to explain in large part the contagion effect.

      This is noticeable with the child factor, for example: Few people will look negatively at a friend because he is just having a baby, on the contrary. And few will consiously consider him less a friend because he is now a father (or she is a mother). However, the change of lifestyle are often considerable, and this is enough to either make him drift away from your circle of friend...or add some pressure to become yourself a father, if you want to be still able to spend time together....

        My "theory" predict that family status (married/non-married, with or without children), because they influence lifestyle tremendously, will be highly "contagious" when analyzing social networks...and they are:
      Ever noticed the single friend that drifted away from your group of buddies when he got married and had children, but then came back naturally after his divorce?
      I have, multiple times, so much that I now expect it...No imitation or change of metric for judging behaviors here, only the fact that lifestyles change in your life for all sort of reasons, and groups of friend/buddies are, with overwhelming majority, sharing lifestyles...
      The article was nicely done and they examined multiple explanation for the phenomenon, but I feel they did not considered this "lifestyle" effect with the attention it desserves...

    6. Re:Have this explanantion been considered? by Omestes · · Score: 1

      I wasn't disagreeing with you, but I can see how selection based on lifestyle could be dwarfed by more "monkey see money do" factors over large enough scales. Looking at your examples, marriage and child birth, these are relatively rare events, so probably wouldn't exert a huge amount of force over larger populations. Though there has been some studies showing that marriage and pregnancy do follow in clusters too, meaning that there still is some contagious value to them. There might be a little of both there, of course.

      I mostly just got washed away into the land of conceptual hand waving.

      --
      A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
  39. Err.. by Nekomusume · · Score: 1

    I'm no expert, but I'll go out on a limb here and suggest that maybe, just maybe, rather than catching it from your friends through some kind of wierd emotional virus, it's having friends that makes you happy.

  40. Ignorance is bliss by Pstonie · · Score: 1

    ...and from my experience people with a lot of "friends" are very ignorant.

  41. Uhhh by tweekie · · Score: 1

    So umm, are they essentially saying that happiness is like an STD?

    1. Re:Uhhh by CorporateSuit · · Score: 1

      I certainly receive happiness through sexual transmission, if that's your question.

      --
      I am the richest astronaut ever to win the superbowl.
  42. Happiness vs Friends by imunfair · · Score: 1

    I think they have it backwards - more friends don't make you happier, happy people just tend to have more friends. My reasoning is twofold: people prefer being around happy people, and often when you are not happy it is more difficult to do things - thus less social interaction.

  43. We know for sure about Stupidity... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    thats catching for sure. Look around.

  44. My rebuttal to doubters of the study by Alzheimers · · Score: 1

    *yawn*

  45. Duh: Duh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The importance of this study is that these connections often _are_ causal. Smokers who hang out with the anti-smoking brigade stop smoking.

  46. Happiness iPhone app by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you're interested in a new approach to boost your happiness based on the latest positive psychology research, check out our iPhone app: Live Happy; it's based on the work of Dr. Sonja Lyubomirsky, author of "The How of Happiness" and provides a unique method to create a personalized program to increase your happiness.

    You can also learn more about the iPhone app on our Facebook page.