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Caltech Makes Flexible, 86% Efficient Solar Arrays

strredwolf writes "Caltech has released a flexible solar array that converts 95% of single-wavelength incandescent light and 86% of all sunlight into electricity. Instead of being flat-panel, they stand thin silicon wires in a plastic substrate that scatters the light onto them. The total composition is 98% plastic, 2% wire — the amount of silicon used is 1/50th that of ordinary panels. So as soon as they can get these to market, solar could be very viable and cheap to produce." Update: 03/01 21:02 GMT by KD : Reader axelrosen points out evidence that the 80%+ efficiency figure is wrong. MIT's Tech Review, in covering the Caltech announcement, says that the new panel's efficiency is in the 15%-20% range — which is competitive with the current state of the art. And the Caltech panel should be far cheaper to manufacture.

76 of 439 comments (clear)

  1. I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Serilleous · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Holy balls. If this article is spot on, they've doubled the efficiency of the current technology (which converts at about 40%) AND done it in such a way that the stuff is cheaper to manufacture AND made it flexible. This is the sort of thing that can have a real (and probably positive) impact on the world we know. Amazing. The only remaining question (I didn't see anything about it in TFA) is how durable this stuff is compared to the current panels.

    1. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by camperslo · · Score: 5, Interesting

      It sounds like the summary here is overstating the efficiency a bit. The numbers are for the absorption efficiency, not the overall conversion efficiency.

      'The light-trapping limit of a material refers to how much sunlight it is able to absorb. The silicon-wire arrays absorb up to 96 percent of incident sunlight at a single wavelength and 85 percent of total collectible sunlight. "We've surpassed previous optical microstructures developed to trap light,"
      .
      .
      The silicon wire arrays created by Atwater and his colleagues are able to convert between 90 and 100 percent of the photons they absorb into electrons--in technical terms, the wires have a near-perfect internal quantum efficiency. "High absorption plus good conversion makes for a high-quality solar cell," says Atwater. "It's an important advance."'

      It looks like the overall efficiency is still very very high while using minimal resources. This is exactly the kind of innovation the U.S. needs for carbon-friendly jobs.
       

    2. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by polar+red · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think that even if they only last 10 years at the same price per surface-unit, they'll still be more economically viable, because payback-time gets a lot better.

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    3. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      This is exactly the kind of innovation the U.S. needs for carbon-friendly jobs.

      Carbon friendly?! Dude, they are planning to reduce the amount of carbon being released. That's like calling Auschwitz "Jew friendly."

    4. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by vipw · · Score: 5, Informative

      The original article is poorly written. MIT's Technology Review has an article that includes information about efficiency of generating electricity, and it says 15%-20%. http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/24665/?a=f

      So the story is really that there might be a way to make cheaper, flexible solar panels by mixing silicon and polymers.

    5. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      Actually it's spot-on. See, carbon-friendly means not turning the carbon into carbon dioxide. That is, it means not gassing the carbon. I think you would call not gassing Jews Jew-friendly.

    6. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I saw this posted by grobbo at engadget: http://www.engadget.com/2010/02/28/caltech-gurus-whip-up-highly-efficient-low-cost-flexible-solar/#comments

      Turns out the only benefits to this are the flexibility and low cost (which are good, sure, but not that exciting).
      According to their letter to nature.com this "also may offer increased photovoltaic efficiency", _may_ suggests to me there probably isn't any significant improvement.

      For anyone wondering why high absorption and a high QE don't necessarily result in high energy conversion (like I was a few hours ago) it's because 30% of the photons have insufficient energy to free an electron in silicon, and most of the rest of the photons have more energy than needed to free an electron, so any excess energy beyond that required to free a single electron is wasted as heat.

    7. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by ender06 · · Score: 5, Informative

      There are many different factors that go into making a high efficiency solar cell. You need a front material that has very high transmittance/low reflectance at incident angles, a high absorption semiconductor, a high photon to carrier generation rate, high/easy carrier collection from the semiconductor, and broad spectrum conversion. These silicon-wire arrays appear to have high absorption and high carrier generation, but thats only part of the story. The other issue is that silicon misses out on a fair chunk of the solar spectrum. Anything after 1100nm is not converted, its simply below the bandgap.

      The title of this post and the article is incredibly misleading and very annoying/frustrating to someone who's been working on solar technologies for a while. Don't get me wrong, I think this is a very cool thing, sounds like they have to potential to make very cheap cells, but approach, let alone surpass, current multijunction cells (30-40% eff.) they will not.

      Disclaimer: University of Michigan Solar Car Team alum

    8. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by umghhh · · Score: 2, Interesting

      from what TFA says these new panels can work with dispersed light and that is why it is efficient. This means exact positioning and direct light is not longer a limiting factor. OTOH that these things can be produced & installed cheaply would mean that they do not have to sustain 20years of sun to be economical something that currently used solution requires.

    9. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by fm6 · · Score: 2, Informative

      The lowering of cost would actually be the most important impact. Current solar panels would cost too much no matter how efficient they were.

    10. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 4, Informative

      1 Photon to one electron is only half the story. If the photon has more energy than the electron then there is a loss. The electron has a fixed energy (band gap) and the photons *must* have that much energy or more before it works at all. There are other details too, in silicon its not a direct band gap, so each photon cannot just eject a single electron, it must also emit a phonon (heat). Silicon has a theoretical maximum efficiency (electrical) of about 29-30% IIRC in sunlight (thats at 100% quantum efficiency for all photons at and above the band gap).

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    11. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by landoltjp · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Disclaimer: University of Michigan Solar Car Team alum

      Cool, someone who knows this stuff (I don't). So given the following numbers from TFA:

      The silicon-wire arrays absorb up to 96 percent of incident sunlight at a single wavelength and 85 percent of total collectible sunlight.

      and

      The silicon wire arrays created by Atwater and his colleagues are able to convert between 90 and 100 percent of the photons they absorb into electrons

      and

      High absorption plus good conversion makes for a high-quality solar cell

      And if the current efficiency is around 40%, my two questions are:

      • What kind of absorbtion level (%) and conversion rate (%) is giving us 40% efficiency now?
      • What kind of conversion efficiency can we expect with and absorbtion level 85% and a converion rate of 90-100%?

      In essence, I'm asking:

      • what did it take to get us where we are now re efficiency?
      • what do you expect this new stuff will get us re: efficiency?

      I am an idealist at heart, so the idea of breakthrough efficiency levels in solar energy has my mind running a million "what if"s! I just can't imagine all that would be possible with that type of enery available to us.

    12. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Beezlebub33 · · Score: 2, Informative

      BP is an energy company at this point, not simply an oil company. They have, more than the other huge oil companies, realized that they need to diversify, so they have moved aggressively into natural gas, solar, wind, and geothermal. Yes, they still get most of their money from oil, and will continue to focus on it as long as it is making them money. But they are hedging their bets and putting large amounts of money into research to be well positioned for whatever comes next.

      If a solar solution appears that costs less than oil, they will pour money into it and beat the others to market with it. That's the way that capitalism works.

      --
      The more people I meet, the better I like my dog.
    13. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by ender06 · · Score: 2, Informative

      I don't know exactly what the absorption and conversion rates are with the 40% efficient cells, but its safe to say it's very high. One of the biggest hurdles with solar cells is simply getting the charge out, getting the electrons and holes that are knocked out out of the semiconductor. It plays a very large part as to why current efficiencies are so low.

      To hit 25+% efficient cells, in essence 3 cells were combined to create a multijunction cell that has 3 layers in series. To get to 30+%, refined deposition methods and clever semiconductor tricks were used. To get to 40+%, you need concentrated light and, in some cells, more layers of different materials.

      The journal paper describes a simulated cell with a 14.5% efficiency and that it will compete with crystalline silicon cells - the middle of the pack for silicon efficiency and cost. The big advantage here is that the amount of semiconductor used is very low, which could make these cells very cheap. Another thing to keep in mind is that this method can potentially be applied to other, more efficient technologies, although there will be a few more hurdles should they go that route.

      I very much like the idea of cheap solar cells, but it needs to be clear that this is not an efficiency breakthrough. But let me tell you, as a solar car alum, the idea of even a 40+% efficient non-concentrator cell gets me excited, even though this is not that.

    14. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by ender06 · · Score: 2, Informative

      You touch on another of the ideas that people are working on alongside efforts to make a high efficiency cell. While concentrator systems up cell efficiencies, the convertible spectrum is still limited by the cell. Some researchers, such as those at MIT as published last year, are working with dyes and other materials to re-emit the sunlight at a more cell friendly frequency, although this method too has major losses.

      A second method not often mentioned here is called thermophotovoltaics. The idea is that you use concentrated light to heat up an element that then emits light at a different spectrum. To me, the cool idea about this is that if you can emit at the right range and get really high efficiency cells, somewhere down the line you might be able to replace the steam part of current power plants. Although that goes outside my realm of knowledge.

      The issue with most cells' spectrum is that you need to shift the light up in frequency, not down, which is harder/more expensive. However, it could be useful if you could target the frequency at which the cell is most efficient.

  2. Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Reverse+Gear · · Score: 4, Insightful

    As far as I can figure from the article what is says is 95/86 of the light is absorbed, it doesn't say that all of this light is converted into electricity as is stated here on Slashdot. That is also impressive numbers and very interesting, but my guess is that the efficiency of the solar panel is going to be a lot lower than those numbers posted on the parent, most likely at least a factor 2 lower.

    1. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If light is absorbed but not converted to electricity, isn't the panel going to get hot?

    2. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Random+Data · · Score: 4, Informative

      There was a bit further down that said conversion to electricity was 90-100% of absorption. That means a worst case efficiency of 77% of incident sunlight, which is still a staggering improvement over standard cells. I for one welcome our new silicon-wire overlords.

    3. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by amiga3D · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The problem with current panels isn't the efficiency. More efficiency is welcome but the real problem with solar panels is the cost. It takes too many years to recoup the very heavy initial investment. If the price can be made such that the panels pay for themselves with 2 or 3 years then they make solar power a real alternative to the grid.

    4. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Entropius · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I don't understand why the break-even time on solar has to be on the order of a handful of years for it to be economically feasible.

      The break-even time for nuclear is over a decade, and it's pretty long for hydro projects too. So why do we insist that solar has to turn a profit Real Quick Now?

    5. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by someone1234 · · Score: 5, Funny

      Well, getting hot water out of it is a feature, not a bug.

      --
      Patents Drive Free Software as Hurricanes Drive Construction Industry
    6. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Calinous · · Score: 5, Insightful

      For appeal to common users, and also for appeal to producers.
            Now, solar is limited by two big things:
      1. total cost (panels are expensive, so few people buy them, so few people produce them, so they are more expensive than it could be)
      2. the Return on Investment is low (extreme cases - 10 years, but typically more than 20).

            If a cheap production method can be devised, this will open the market to many buyers (many people don't even consider buying a $25,000 solar panel system, but will buy in a heart beat a $2,500 solar panel system).
            Also, a cheap production method will allow (hopefully) a quick panel production ramp up)

    7. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by ZzzzSleep · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I think it's because solar can be done at a household level, which nuclear and hydro can't. As the break-even time goes down, more homeowners are able to say, "I'll install some of those solar panels", and have the cash back relatively quickly.

    8. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Kryptonian+Jor-El · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Because I don't pay for the nuclear plant or the hydro dam. However, getting the money together to buy and install the solar panels is all on me, the homeowner

      --
      All your 09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0 are belong to us
    9. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Because I don't pay for the nuclear plant or the hydro dam

      Yes you do (if you use power from one).

      However, getting the money together to buy and install the solar panels is all on me, the homeowner

      No it's not. I see/hear ads from solar power rental places all the time (on local media no less, but then again it is Los Angeles). They will do the full install at no upfront, then charge you amortized payments--if the payments are less than what you save on electricity (which their ads claim will usually be the case, for what that's worth, I have no idea if that part's true) then they pay for themselves on day one.

    10. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by profplump · · Score: 4, Informative

      Yes, just like any other dark panel you leave in the sun. Except not as hot, because some of the energy is being exported as electricity. So unless they're flammable at really low temperature we'll probably be okay.

    11. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by jibjibjib · · Score: 4, Informative

      > up to 96 percent of incident sunlight at a single wavelength and 85 percent of total collectible sunlight. It says "up to". Which means that the worst case could actually be zero and the numbers are actually meaningless. Read more carefully before welcoming your new overlords.

    12. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by aXis100 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Because unlike nuclear, solar is a system that can be deployed on decentralised on many homes. Expect most poeple dont stay in the one home for 20+ years, so it's very hard to justify the investment.

      If they can get the costs down, more poeple will buy this, just like solar how water and insulation. Not to mention rural/remote and 3rd world installations. The potential market for small systems is huge.

    13. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by hey! · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Hmmm.

      So if financing a nuclear power plant is economically attractive, then so should financing consumer solar panels. In fact if they are lightweight an easy to install, it'd be a lot more feasible to repossess and resell them, although that means you'll probably need to insure them against theft.

      That said, I'd bet the problem is with consumers rather than banks. Most houses wouldn't be able to generate enough power to go off the grid, and the payback time doesn't justify the aggravation of having another household system to manage and the changes to the appearance of the house. I'll bet farmers who use photovoltaics (e.g. vineyards) get loans for their systems like any other kind of equipment.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    14. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by necro81 · · Score: 2, Informative

      That 90-100% conversion efficiency isn't the whole story, either. That term is what's referred to as quantum efficiency. A shorthand way to think of Q.E. is to consider the probability that an absorbed photon will create an electron-hole pair. But that isn't the same as the electricity harnessed; it is only a pre-requisite.

      The quantum efficiency of existing solar cells is also very high - approaching 100%. But a large fraction of those electron-hole pairs quickly recombine within the semiconductor. In order to create usable electricity, the electron-hole pairs must be separated and collected before they recombine. In a conventional solar cell, the separation is done by the internal semiconductor junction, and the collection is done by the metal electrodes on one or both faces. This team, as far as I can tell from the press release, hasn't published numbers for this step of the process.

      One can make a sort of Drake Equation concerning the conversion of incident photons to usable electricity:

      Number of incident photons above a minimum energy,
      times the percentage of photons that are absorbed by the active area of the solar cell,
      times the percentage that create electron-hole pairs (the quantum efficiency),
      times the percentage of electron-hole pairs that separate and make it to the electrodes before recombining.

      Even then, this product isn't the same as the overall efficiency of the solar cell. That just tells you the conversion of photons to electricity. That's not the same as conversion of sunlight to electrical power. This is because the energy contained within an electron-hole pair is a fixed quantity for a given solar cell construction. Consider three photons: a red photon, a green photon, and a blue photon. The red has the least energy; the blue has the most. Let's say the solar cell's threshold energy is greater than the red photon's. In this case, the red photon will generate no usable electrical energy. The green photon and the blue photon will both create an electron-hole pair. Here is the key point, however: although the blue photon is more energetic, it will create no more useful electrical energy than the green one. The extra energy of the blue photon above and beyond the solar cell's threshold energy is, essentially, wasted. This is a key limiting factor in photovoltaics today. Some folks have gotten around this with multi-junction solar cells, which can tune their (multiple) threshold energies to better utilize the solar spectrum. But these are more exotic than silicon solar cells and find use almost exclusively in space applications (or solar racing vehicles) because of their cost.

      So figuring out the "incident solar power in to useful electrical power out" efficiency of a solar cell is much, much more complicated than just absorbing photons.

      This is not to say that the innovation in the article is worthless. Far from it - it's a pretty neat and new development that will likely have good application. But it isn't the "85% efficient solar power!1!!" that some posters are jumping at.

    15. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 2, Informative

      They've already invented inexpensive lightweight solar panals (see Nanosolar).

      As a result, their entire production for the next few years has already been sold to a solar power plant in germany.

      I figure I was blowing $2k for computers every 3 years. If I extend that by a year or two, I get two solar panals and support hardware with the savings. A cost turns into a profit center.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    16. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by falconwolf · · Score: 2, Informative

      most poeple dont stay in the one home for 20+ years, so it's very hard to justify the investment.

      Except installed solar increases the value of the house. If you live in a house a few years and have solar panels installed when you move in, when you leave it will be mostly paid for and you get more from the sell. This is even more true in California with it's high electricity costs.

      If they can get the costs down, more poeple will buy this, just like solar how water and insulation.

      Actually of these the first step should be to insulate more, increasing insulation has the quickest payback. And in many places solar thermal or hot water also pays back faster than solar PVs. Solar power may heat water someplace that doesn't get enough sunlight to provide electricity.

      Falcon

  3. Meh by zmollusc · · Score: 5, Funny

    All these idiots working on solar panels when what is really needed is overcast panels to get power from gloomy days when you use more light bulbs.

    --
    They whose government reduces their essential liberties for temporary security, receive neither liberty nor security.
    1. Re:Meh by Entropius · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Meanwhile, Germany (where it is always cloudy, and where the government recognizes the need for renewable energy) is pushing solar like crazy, and Arizona (where it is always sunny, and where the governor has no conception of future beyond a few years) is burning coal.

      wtf?

    2. Re:Meh by Jimbookis · · Score: 2, Funny

      Meanwhile, in Australia where there is more sun than you can poke a solar panel at, with regards to pushing solar and renewable, is literally standing around with it's dick in both hands.

  4. NOT incandescent light! by scdeimos · · Score: 4, Informative

    It's not incandescent light, it's incident light. sigh.

  5. Will they float? by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 4, Funny

    If we set up solar devices so that they can float in water and function as an interconnected grid, we could drape a network of them over the Pacific Garbage Patch so no one would notice it.

  6. In requires polymer to make... by assemblerex · · Score: 3, Interesting

    so it is still tied to oil. Becoming cheap and widely popular may do more harm than good I fear.

    1. Re:In requires polymer to make... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I beg to differ. This is exactly what we should be using our oil reserves for: building up a supply of renewable energy. Look at it this way: we can burn our oil; or we can use it to create systems that will generate energy for us, without needing further input of oil.

      I'd dearly love to see us in a world where we no longer need to burn oil or coal for energy, or if we do need to do so, we use oil we've produced ourselves - using only water and carbon dioxide as the essential inputs. On that day, we will have overcome one of the major problems facing our society today.

    2. Re:In requires polymer to make... by pushing-robot · · Score: 2, Insightful

      We'll never run out of plastic. Don't forget that "oil" came from biological sources. It'll be more expensive than just pumping the stuff out of the ground, but as long as there is life on Earth we'll be able to produce all the polymers we need.

      --
      How can I believe you when you tell me what I don't want to hear?
    3. Re:In requires polymer to make... by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 2, Insightful

      How so? The oil isn't being burned, so it's not ending up in the atmosphere.

      Or do you think oil is evil even when it's locked out of the biosphere?

      Oil isn't bad. The byproducts of burning it are.

      And for that matter, you can produce polymers from bio-oil just as well (though not so cheaply).

    4. Re:In requires polymer to make... by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 2, Informative

      Last time I checked you're a blithering idiot who talks out of his ass.

      Does silicon grow on a beach? In a manner of speaking...

      However, the factories that process raw silica into high grade silicon for semi-conductor production are in short supply, and this has driven up the price of silicon. Silica is cheap, and every where. Silicon is manufactured, and currently not cheap (enough for widespread solar panels).

    5. Re:In requires polymer to make... by paul248 · · Score: 2, Funny

      But we won't nee... ohhh.

  7. Massive typo in summary. by talcite · · Score: 4, Informative
    The solar cells absorb 96% of incident light, not incandescent light.
    From TFA:

    The silicon-wire arrays absorb up to 96 percent of incident sunlight at a single wavelength and 85 percent of total collectible sunlight.

    1. Re:Massive typo in summary. by squizzar · · Score: 5, Funny

      You hook a lightbulb up to a solar panel, and it will keep glowing forever. Obviously this has to be done in a completely sealed box so that none of the light escapes, so you are forbidden from checking that the light is still glowing.

      Some would say it's useless, but it improves the quality of life of physicists' cats quite dramatically.

  8. Better Article... by benjamindees · · Score: 5, Informative

    http://www.rsc.org/chemistryworld/News/2010/February/14021001.asp

    'We have shown the optical absorption efficiency and charge carrier collection efficiency of a silicon wire array cell is comparable to a conventional silicon cell, but a wire array cell uses up to 100 times less silicon due to enhanced light-trapping effects,' says Atwater. Significantly, the wire arrays absorb infrared light more efficiently that conventional silicon surfaces, further improving the performance of the new device.

    So the gist is that it's more efficient because it converts infrared, uses some type of clear polymer with alumina "reflector particles" in place of 99% of the expensive (doped) silicon, and is flexible and therefore easier to manufacture.

    --
    "I assumed blithely that there were no elves out there in the darkness"
  9. Re:Efficiency by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 3, Informative

    Collection efficiency (which is what TFA is claiming to be 86%) vs. conversion efficiency (that 40% number you remember) is what you're missing, but from other articles on the technology it appears that the conversion efficiency for these cells should be higher than existing designs:

    The silicon wire arrays created by Atwater and his colleagues are able to convert between 90 and 100 percent of the photons they absorb into electrons--in technical terms, the wires have a near-perfect internal quantum efficiency. "High absorption plus good conversion makes for a high-quality solar cell," says Atwater. "It's an important advance."'

    Which could give them ~78% conversion efficiency, still nearly double over the best cells currently.

  10. Re:It's plastic ! by Kryptonian+Jor-El · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I've never had problems with soda bottles...and thats 100% plastic

    --
    All your 09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0 are belong to us
  11. This is way over-hyped by rkodama · · Score: 4, Informative

    This is interesting work, but it is in a very immature stage of development. They seem to be no where near demonstrating a practical solar cell, and speculated conversion efficiency numbers like 86% are laughable. One of the fundamental limitations of a cell based on Si wires is that the higher a photon's energy is over the bandgap of Si, the more energy is lost as heat. I believe the theoretical maximum conversion efficiency for a Si solar cell is around 30%, and commercially viable cells are limited to around 20% because of practical issues in creating solid state cells such as making electrical contacts to the device, the high cost of making higher efficency (20+%) Si cells. This work doesn't begin to address such issues. I think it is unfortunate that over-hype like this can take luster off of progress in photovoltaics that seems less spectacular but is much closer to practical realization.

  12. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by Khyber · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Saturn vehicles. Body panels are solid plastic, and I know Saturn has been around since the 90s.

    --
    Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
  13. Re:It's plastic ! by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 4, Insightful

    You've never left them out in direct sun for ten to twenty years then.

  14. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 3, Funny

    Yeah, but it has to function after ten years too.

  15. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by Entropius · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Seconded. I sold a '94 Saturn last year that had been parked in the Arizona sun for many years. (Got rid of it due to multiple electronics failures and an engine oil leak that'd not be worth it to fix). Survived the sunlight just fine.

    And the plastic body panels were GREAT. Lightweight and dent-proof.

  16. Re:It's plastic ! by Entropius · · Score: 3, Insightful

    There's plastic, and then there's plastic. Some modern plastics are quite durable.

  17. red light by timmarhy · · Score: 3, Interesting
    firstly, kdawson your a tard, they aren't 86% efficent at converting light into electricity, merely at absorbing light. the 2nd warning bell for me is this - "The next steps, Atwater says, are to increase the operating voltage " - this sounds to me like they can't produce any meaningful voltages out of these, which is the exact same fail as every other flexible solar panel ever touted. infact they carely avoid talking about it's electrical output at all in TFA.

    i'd love cheap energy from the sun, but this won't be it.

    --
    If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
  18. Predicted photovoltaic efficiency only 14.5% by Animats · · Score: 4, Informative

    Here's the actual scientific paper, "Predicted Efficiency of Si Wire Array Solar Cells". That's by the same authors mentioned in the press release. While the thing does trap most of the light hitting it, only a fraction of the energy in that light is converted to electricity. In fact, this thing is currently less efficient than the better commercial solar cells.

    From the paper: ... simulated photovoltaic efficency of 14.5%. ... Conclusion: ... "Si wire array solar cells have the potential to reach efficiencies competitive with traditional Si crystalline solar cells."

    So, an interesting development, but no big breakthrough. There's a claim that it might be a cheaper way to make solar cells, but everybody who comes up with a new design makes that claim. (Nanosolar comes to mind; their technology is supposed to be cheaper, but so far they've spent half a billion dollars and apparently have only produced sample panels.)

    1. Re:Predicted photovoltaic efficiency only 14.5% by TeethWhitener · · Score: 4, Informative
      Minor point, but that's the wrong paper. Here's the paper you want (may require subscription to Nature Methods). You're still correct, by the way. The researchers don't directly state conversion efficiency in their paper. They mention that above-bandgap photon absorption is roughly 85%, which is on par with current commercial PV's. They also mention that the quantum efficiency is 0.89 for the array. Unfortunately, conversion of photoelectrons to actual usable electricity is the main efficiency bottleneck in solar energy. Electron-hole pair recombination and parasitic absorption by impurities, among other things, chew away the efficiency of a solar cell in a hurry.

      The take-home message from the paper, as far as I can tell, is that the researchers showed that one can achieve performance comparable to commercial solar cells by using 1% of the expensive ultrapure silicon used in current PV's.

    2. Re:Predicted photovoltaic efficiency only 14.5% by Animats · · Score: 2, Insightful

      From Nanosolar's website, it sounds like they've been shipping panels commercially for the last two years, and that they have panel assemblies in both the US and Germany...

      Yes, from Nanosolar's web site, it sounds that way. But as of 2009, "not one Solarply cell has been held yet in the hands of a consumer". There are no reports of actual Nanosolar installations. Supposedly they're building big solar panel installations for utility companies. So where are the announcements from those utility companies? Where are the regulatory filings, the planning documents, and the Google Earth pictures? Installing a big solar farm leaves a public record.

  19. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by Snarf+You · · Score: 4, Funny

    '94 Saturn ... parked in the Arizona sun for many years ... multiple electronics failures ... engine oil leak

    Survived the sunlight just fine

    It sure sounds it.

    *ducks*

  20. nice try blanco nino by l3iggs · · Score: 5, Insightful

    PhD candidate doing my research in new materials for photovoltaics here.

    I'm sick and tired of all this mis-reporting. These are NOT 86% efficient cells. If they were, (and they were inexpensive) it would be the greatest discovery in 50 years and it would have been all over every newspaper in the world 2 weeks ago when this paper was published.

    They simply absorb 86% of light that hits them. When you say a cell is X% efficient without qualifying it, it's taken to mean power conversion efficiency [PCE] (optical power in/ electrical power out) That and dollars per watt are the numbers that really matter. Read the Nature Materials paper that drove this and you'll see that theory says this design could be up to 17% efficient. That compares unfavorably to mid to high-end commercial cells on the market today.

    I'm not saying that this research is a worthless endeavor, maybe they can hit the maximum theoretically possible PCE and keep the cost down. That might have real-world impact.

    The caltech news brief quotes Atwater (the PI for this research) as saying that the photons are not only absorbed, but they're also convertedto charge carriers (which is a good step). The problem he doesn't mention here is, these charge carriers loose all their energy (voltage) before they exit the cell. Solve that problem and we've got a winner.

    The fundamental issue with nano-structured designs like this is the surface area of the P-N junctions in them. Large surface area means high dark current which means low voltage output. Low voltage output means low PCE. Unfortunately, nothing in this research solves that problem.

    1. Re:nice try blanco nino by DavMz · · Score: 2, Insightful

      All the energy which is not converted into electricity is lost as heat, and this heat should be dissipated somehow, since the efficiency decreases with temperature,right? Can't this "lost" energy be used to heat water up? I think a combination of solar panel and solar water heater would be nice.

  21. conversion effiency by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    reading these slashdot comments reveals a whole lot of confusion about solar cell efficiency.

    photons with energy less than the bandgap of the conversion material will not be converted to electrons. photons with energy greater than the bandgap will only convert at the bandgap energy. the high effieincy multijunction cells attempt to address this. multi-exciton generation can happen if the photon is several times the bandgap energy, and there is some hope that quantom dot cells will be able to achieve high efficiency this way though the most effienct qd cells currently get like 5% effiency.

    electron-hole recombination happening within the material instead of through the cathode and anode will cause a photon to be released. the higher absorption of the cells in TFA will help keep this photon trapped in the cell, but if it loses energy, it will be less than the bandgap and not be converted again. multijunctions can address this effect somewhat by absorbing the new lower energy photon. high temparature operation also helps increase the likelihood of the electron-hole pair making it to the cathode-anode. the highest effiency cells so far have been achieved by concentrating the lightbeams and then splitting the beams into different colors to be absorbed by different sections.

    if you put panels on your roof and you live in a place with cloud cover then it won't be worth using a heliostat system to track the sun so you will suffer loss of the cosine of the angle between your panel and the sun. without tracking the sun you aren't going to be using rainbox concentrators either so you are necessarily using lower efficiency cells too.

  22. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by TapeCutter · · Score: 3, Informative

    "When was the last time you find any plastic that can last 10 years under the sun?"

    My plastic garbage bins have spent at least a decade out in the Aussie sun. A lot of plastic that you find in throw away stuff these days has been deliberately engineered to be bio-degradeable due to pollution concerns in the 80's. The older non-biodegradable stuff has formed a large "islands" in the North Pacific and North Atlantic.

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  23. NOT 86% efficient. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's EQE is 77-85% (above the band-gap).
    It's IQE is 90-100% (above the band-gap).
    But it's energy conversion is similar to other commercial panels; about 20%.

    High absorption and high QE is not enough to get high conversion rates.
    You still have the band-gap (the minimum frequency which a photon needs to be able to free an electron from silicon) which excludes up to 30% of all photons, and almost all photons above the band-gap which do free an electron have more energy than is necessary to do so, so the excess is wasted as heat.

    Unfortunately the only things to get excited about here are the low cost and flexibility.

  24. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    You mean like vinyl siding? We also clad window and skylight frames with it. And then there's acrylic and lexan, visible at any general aviation airport, sitting in the sun.

    The problem with plastic is perception. It can be designed to do a whole lot of things really well. Problem is, part of what that means is it can be used to make really cheap shit well, and people start to think plastic means cheap shit.

  25. Re:It's plastic ! by SharpFang · · Score: 4, Funny

    There's plastic, and then there's plastic. Some modern plastics are quite explosive.

    --
    45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
  26. Re:It's plastic ! by Enleth · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Ever heard of polycarbonate? They use it to produce composite bulletproof window panes, safety shields for industrial machinery, impact-resistant safety glasses, underwater portholes, etc. It does degrade somewhat under UV light, but then, you can just put an UV filter on top of it, it's not going to be a problem for the panel itself. And there are other transparent plastics with very good properities for this application.

    --
    This is Slashdot. Common sense is futile. You will be modded down.
  27. Cold fusion, Amazing solar energy, gasoline by mnmlst · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "as soon as they can get these to market, solar could be very viable and cheap to produce." And if a frog had wings his ass wouldn't bump the ground when he hops.

    I appreciate Slashdot acting like an old Popular Mechanics here, but I wouldn't get too excited just yet. As somebody pointed out in another forum, when you compare ethanol with gasoline in terms of efficiency, if all we had was ethanol primarily from "corn" (U.S. term, UK term is "maize") and then someone invented gasoline, we would be raving about the improvement in efficiency and economy. IOW, I will believe cheap, efficient solar power when I see it on the neighbor's roof. Until then, this is one more expensive quest for a pot of gold at the end of a rainbow. In the meantime, we could be practicing more energy efficiency.

    FWIW, I knew W was full of crap with that whole "hydrogen economy" nonsense back around 2005. That was an absurd sop to deflect a little criticism that he was as much a tool of Big Oil as his Old Man. Make note that I served in Iraq during Operation Desert Storm and when it was over, George H.W. Bush was sitting on a 91 percent approval rating based on a war we had to fight to maintain a steady supply of petroleum for the Western Powers and Japan. From the desert, I wrote my Senators and lobbied them to get a bill going to get us to start weaning off Mideast Oil. That S.O.B. Bush didn't raise a finger, nor did our Congress and eventually Western wealth transfer begat Osama Bin Laden, 9/11, Iraq War II, and Afghanistan. Wouldn't you think a 91 percent approval rating might have been enough political capital to change things a little? It may even have made Bush the Elder seem like the President of the U.S.A. instead of President of the New World Order since he rightfully earned a reputation for being allergic to domestic policy. His detachment had a lot to do with getting booted in '92. A review of the stock market back in '90 - '91 reveals that Big Oil shot up and helped a lot of folks in that business recover from the very hard times they went through in the late '80's. Though I was a conservative and a combat veteran, I campaigned for Bill Clinton in '92 as I was so disgusted with Bush the Elder. Still am. God save us from another Bush.

    Most of us know in our heart of hearts that our troops are in Iraq and Afghanistan because of the continued grip the Mideast has on Western economies. In World War II, the U.S. national speed limit was 35 mph and gasoline was rationed with coupons. This was done to make sure the military had plenty of fuel. If some shared sacrifice was called for now, I think most Americans would grumble, but go along with it for the sake of untangling from the Iraq and Afghan Wars. How about bringing back the 55 mph speed limit of the '70's and '80's? What about a tax based on the weight of a vehicle? If we cut back on petroleum use, we help our independence and the environment at the same time. Now that's what I call "conserve-atism".

    If you want to see what needs to be done about our dependence on petroleum, just look for the occasional Charles Krauthammer piece on it. He makes the same recommendations about every 5 years, the centerpiece of which is a flexible tax on gasoline that seeks to wean us off cheap oil while keeping the price of gasoline fairly steady.

    --
    In principio erat Verbum.
  28. Re:Godwin's Law! by Threni · · Score: 5, Funny

    Talking of Nazis, did you know that every other use of an apostrophe in your first sentence was incorrect?

  29. Re:It's plastic ! by mhall119 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Automatic transmissions can be put into Neutral with a small move of the shifter, even while accelerating. This would have the same effect as pressing a clutch in a manual.

    --
    http://www.mhall119.com
  30. Re:It's plastic ! by ridgecritter · · Score: 3, Informative

    Yes and no. Yes, UV is the most energetic light, but there isn't much of it in sunlight at the earth's surface. Most of it has been lost to ozone, Rayleigh scattering, etc. There's enough to give you a sunburn, but no, in terms of the actual amount of power in sunlight at the earth's surface, it's less than 5%. Filtering it to zero to obtain much longer PV panel lifetime is generally a net economic benefit in terms of TCO.

  31. from the ignore-kdawson-the-idiot dept. by MrVictor · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The original article is poorly written (no, not even close to 86% you stupid twats) and kdawson is equally foolish for echoing this garbage. This is why this site sucks. Brain-dead slashdot editors, time and time again, post shitty articles that make extraordinary claims which end up being completely false or misleading.

  32. Slashdot, pls think of the children. by Ancient_Hacker · · Score: 2, Funny

    Slashdot, please think of the children that will be disappointed by this article.

    Us grownups can see through the PR-speak, but kids can't.

    We can see that this loose talk of high efficiencies is just that-- only part of the story.

    It's swell that these gizmos have a 97% absorption efficiency, but that's only the front end.

    The actual cell, which converts the light to electricity, is no different-- about 16% efficient, due
    to the many mismatches in energy levels and the unavoidable phonon products.

    Plus the business about needing less silicon is not spreadsheet-worthy. The actual bulk silicon is not a large part of the cost.
    Even if they got the silicon usage down to 0%, the cost would not come down very much if at all.

    Also the economic predictions are unrealistic. Nothing that's better has ever sold for less than 5% under the price of the competition. No company can afford to leave money on the table.

  33. Re:Godwin's Law! by A+nonymous+Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    Right you are. Ugh I feel dirty. I thought only morons did that! Maybe it is still true ... maybe I am a half-wit!

  34. Re:Godwin's Law! by derGoldstein · · Score: 2, Funny

    Let's get this over with:
    As any discussion grows longer, the probability of anything being mentioned or pointed out approaches 1. The exception being Soviet Russia, where 1 approaches you.

    --
    Entomologically speaking, the spider is not a bug, it's a feature.
  35. solar payback period by falconwolf · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Right now, solar cells are so expensive, they take something like 15 or 20 years to pay for themselves, so most property owners don't see a big incentive. Lower that price to 10 years or 8 years, or even lower, and suddenly the demand for these things will skyrocket.

    The payback period for solar is already under 10 years. New Jersey has a payback period of 1.5 years, "New York and Delaware are next in line with payback in 3-6 years, and California, Maryland, Massachusetts and Wisconsin all tied for fourth at seven years." Of course, if because of this everybody went out and started buying solar energy systems, the cost could go up, higher demand drive prices up. Then again because of economy of scale and competition prices could go down even more.

    Falcon