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Caltech Makes Flexible, 86% Efficient Solar Arrays

strredwolf writes "Caltech has released a flexible solar array that converts 95% of single-wavelength incandescent light and 86% of all sunlight into electricity. Instead of being flat-panel, they stand thin silicon wires in a plastic substrate that scatters the light onto them. The total composition is 98% plastic, 2% wire — the amount of silicon used is 1/50th that of ordinary panels. So as soon as they can get these to market, solar could be very viable and cheap to produce." Update: 03/01 21:02 GMT by KD : Reader axelrosen points out evidence that the 80%+ efficiency figure is wrong. MIT's Tech Review, in covering the Caltech announcement, says that the new panel's efficiency is in the 15%-20% range — which is competitive with the current state of the art. And the Caltech panel should be far cheaper to manufacture.

38 of 439 comments (clear)

  1. I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Serilleous · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Holy balls. If this article is spot on, they've doubled the efficiency of the current technology (which converts at about 40%) AND done it in such a way that the stuff is cheaper to manufacture AND made it flexible. This is the sort of thing that can have a real (and probably positive) impact on the world we know. Amazing. The only remaining question (I didn't see anything about it in TFA) is how durable this stuff is compared to the current panels.

    1. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by camperslo · · Score: 5, Interesting

      It sounds like the summary here is overstating the efficiency a bit. The numbers are for the absorption efficiency, not the overall conversion efficiency.

      'The light-trapping limit of a material refers to how much sunlight it is able to absorb. The silicon-wire arrays absorb up to 96 percent of incident sunlight at a single wavelength and 85 percent of total collectible sunlight. "We've surpassed previous optical microstructures developed to trap light,"
      .
      .
      The silicon wire arrays created by Atwater and his colleagues are able to convert between 90 and 100 percent of the photons they absorb into electrons--in technical terms, the wires have a near-perfect internal quantum efficiency. "High absorption plus good conversion makes for a high-quality solar cell," says Atwater. "It's an important advance."'

      It looks like the overall efficiency is still very very high while using minimal resources. This is exactly the kind of innovation the U.S. needs for carbon-friendly jobs.
       

    2. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by polar+red · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think that even if they only last 10 years at the same price per surface-unit, they'll still be more economically viable, because payback-time gets a lot better.

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    3. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by vipw · · Score: 5, Informative

      The original article is poorly written. MIT's Technology Review has an article that includes information about efficiency of generating electricity, and it says 15%-20%. http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/24665/?a=f

      So the story is really that there might be a way to make cheaper, flexible solar panels by mixing silicon and polymers.

    4. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      Actually it's spot-on. See, carbon-friendly means not turning the carbon into carbon dioxide. That is, it means not gassing the carbon. I think you would call not gassing Jews Jew-friendly.

    5. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I saw this posted by grobbo at engadget: http://www.engadget.com/2010/02/28/caltech-gurus-whip-up-highly-efficient-low-cost-flexible-solar/#comments

      Turns out the only benefits to this are the flexibility and low cost (which are good, sure, but not that exciting).
      According to their letter to nature.com this "also may offer increased photovoltaic efficiency", _may_ suggests to me there probably isn't any significant improvement.

      For anyone wondering why high absorption and a high QE don't necessarily result in high energy conversion (like I was a few hours ago) it's because 30% of the photons have insufficient energy to free an electron in silicon, and most of the rest of the photons have more energy than needed to free an electron, so any excess energy beyond that required to free a single electron is wasted as heat.

    6. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by ender06 · · Score: 5, Informative

      There are many different factors that go into making a high efficiency solar cell. You need a front material that has very high transmittance/low reflectance at incident angles, a high absorption semiconductor, a high photon to carrier generation rate, high/easy carrier collection from the semiconductor, and broad spectrum conversion. These silicon-wire arrays appear to have high absorption and high carrier generation, but thats only part of the story. The other issue is that silicon misses out on a fair chunk of the solar spectrum. Anything after 1100nm is not converted, its simply below the bandgap.

      The title of this post and the article is incredibly misleading and very annoying/frustrating to someone who's been working on solar technologies for a while. Don't get me wrong, I think this is a very cool thing, sounds like they have to potential to make very cheap cells, but approach, let alone surpass, current multijunction cells (30-40% eff.) they will not.

      Disclaimer: University of Michigan Solar Car Team alum

    7. Re:I think its entirely reasonable to say... by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 4, Informative

      1 Photon to one electron is only half the story. If the photon has more energy than the electron then there is a loss. The electron has a fixed energy (band gap) and the photons *must* have that much energy or more before it works at all. There are other details too, in silicon its not a direct band gap, so each photon cannot just eject a single electron, it must also emit a phonon (heat). Silicon has a theoretical maximum efficiency (electrical) of about 29-30% IIRC in sunlight (thats at 100% quantum efficiency for all photons at and above the band gap).

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
  2. Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Reverse+Gear · · Score: 4, Insightful

    As far as I can figure from the article what is says is 95/86 of the light is absorbed, it doesn't say that all of this light is converted into electricity as is stated here on Slashdot. That is also impressive numbers and very interesting, but my guess is that the efficiency of the solar panel is going to be a lot lower than those numbers posted on the parent, most likely at least a factor 2 lower.

    1. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If light is absorbed but not converted to electricity, isn't the panel going to get hot?

    2. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Random+Data · · Score: 4, Informative

      There was a bit further down that said conversion to electricity was 90-100% of absorption. That means a worst case efficiency of 77% of incident sunlight, which is still a staggering improvement over standard cells. I for one welcome our new silicon-wire overlords.

    3. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Entropius · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I don't understand why the break-even time on solar has to be on the order of a handful of years for it to be economically feasible.

      The break-even time for nuclear is over a decade, and it's pretty long for hydro projects too. So why do we insist that solar has to turn a profit Real Quick Now?

    4. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by someone1234 · · Score: 5, Funny

      Well, getting hot water out of it is a feature, not a bug.

      --
      Patents Drive Free Software as Hurricanes Drive Construction Industry
    5. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Calinous · · Score: 5, Insightful

      For appeal to common users, and also for appeal to producers.
            Now, solar is limited by two big things:
      1. total cost (panels are expensive, so few people buy them, so few people produce them, so they are more expensive than it could be)
      2. the Return on Investment is low (extreme cases - 10 years, but typically more than 20).

            If a cheap production method can be devised, this will open the market to many buyers (many people don't even consider buying a $25,000 solar panel system, but will buy in a heart beat a $2,500 solar panel system).
            Also, a cheap production method will allow (hopefully) a quick panel production ramp up)

    6. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by Kryptonian+Jor-El · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Because I don't pay for the nuclear plant or the hydro dam. However, getting the money together to buy and install the solar panels is all on me, the homeowner

      --
      All your 09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0 are belong to us
    7. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Because I don't pay for the nuclear plant or the hydro dam

      Yes you do (if you use power from one).

      However, getting the money together to buy and install the solar panels is all on me, the homeowner

      No it's not. I see/hear ads from solar power rental places all the time (on local media no less, but then again it is Los Angeles). They will do the full install at no upfront, then charge you amortized payments--if the payments are less than what you save on electricity (which their ads claim will usually be the case, for what that's worth, I have no idea if that part's true) then they pay for themselves on day one.

    8. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by profplump · · Score: 4, Informative

      Yes, just like any other dark panel you leave in the sun. Except not as hot, because some of the energy is being exported as electricity. So unless they're flammable at really low temperature we'll probably be okay.

    9. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by jibjibjib · · Score: 4, Informative

      > up to 96 percent of incident sunlight at a single wavelength and 85 percent of total collectible sunlight. It says "up to". Which means that the worst case could actually be zero and the numbers are actually meaningless. Read more carefully before welcoming your new overlords.

    10. Re:Absorbed not necessarily equal to electricity by aXis100 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Because unlike nuclear, solar is a system that can be deployed on decentralised on many homes. Expect most poeple dont stay in the one home for 20+ years, so it's very hard to justify the investment.

      If they can get the costs down, more poeple will buy this, just like solar how water and insulation. Not to mention rural/remote and 3rd world installations. The potential market for small systems is huge.

  3. Meh by zmollusc · · Score: 5, Funny

    All these idiots working on solar panels when what is really needed is overcast panels to get power from gloomy days when you use more light bulbs.

    --
    They whose government reduces their essential liberties for temporary security, receive neither liberty nor security.
    1. Re:Meh by Entropius · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Meanwhile, Germany (where it is always cloudy, and where the government recognizes the need for renewable energy) is pushing solar like crazy, and Arizona (where it is always sunny, and where the governor has no conception of future beyond a few years) is burning coal.

      wtf?

  4. NOT incandescent light! by scdeimos · · Score: 4, Informative

    It's not incandescent light, it's incident light. sigh.

  5. Will they float? by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 4, Funny

    If we set up solar devices so that they can float in water and function as an interconnected grid, we could drape a network of them over the Pacific Garbage Patch so no one would notice it.

  6. Massive typo in summary. by talcite · · Score: 4, Informative
    The solar cells absorb 96% of incident light, not incandescent light.
    From TFA:

    The silicon-wire arrays absorb up to 96 percent of incident sunlight at a single wavelength and 85 percent of total collectible sunlight.

    1. Re:Massive typo in summary. by squizzar · · Score: 5, Funny

      You hook a lightbulb up to a solar panel, and it will keep glowing forever. Obviously this has to be done in a completely sealed box so that none of the light escapes, so you are forbidden from checking that the light is still glowing.

      Some would say it's useless, but it improves the quality of life of physicists' cats quite dramatically.

  7. Re:In requires polymer to make... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I beg to differ. This is exactly what we should be using our oil reserves for: building up a supply of renewable energy. Look at it this way: we can burn our oil; or we can use it to create systems that will generate energy for us, without needing further input of oil.

    I'd dearly love to see us in a world where we no longer need to burn oil or coal for energy, or if we do need to do so, we use oil we've produced ourselves - using only water and carbon dioxide as the essential inputs. On that day, we will have overcome one of the major problems facing our society today.

  8. Better Article... by benjamindees · · Score: 5, Informative

    http://www.rsc.org/chemistryworld/News/2010/February/14021001.asp

    'We have shown the optical absorption efficiency and charge carrier collection efficiency of a silicon wire array cell is comparable to a conventional silicon cell, but a wire array cell uses up to 100 times less silicon due to enhanced light-trapping effects,' says Atwater. Significantly, the wire arrays absorb infrared light more efficiently that conventional silicon surfaces, further improving the performance of the new device.

    So the gist is that it's more efficient because it converts infrared, uses some type of clear polymer with alumina "reflector particles" in place of 99% of the expensive (doped) silicon, and is flexible and therefore easier to manufacture.

    --
    "I assumed blithely that there were no elves out there in the darkness"
  9. This is way over-hyped by rkodama · · Score: 4, Informative

    This is interesting work, but it is in a very immature stage of development. They seem to be no where near demonstrating a practical solar cell, and speculated conversion efficiency numbers like 86% are laughable. One of the fundamental limitations of a cell based on Si wires is that the higher a photon's energy is over the bandgap of Si, the more energy is lost as heat. I believe the theoretical maximum conversion efficiency for a Si solar cell is around 30%, and commercially viable cells are limited to around 20% because of practical issues in creating solid state cells such as making electrical contacts to the device, the high cost of making higher efficency (20+%) Si cells. This work doesn't begin to address such issues. I think it is unfortunate that over-hype like this can take luster off of progress in photovoltaics that seems less spectacular but is much closer to practical realization.

  10. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by Khyber · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Saturn vehicles. Body panels are solid plastic, and I know Saturn has been around since the 90s.

    --
    Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
  11. Re:It's plastic ! by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 4, Insightful

    You've never left them out in direct sun for ten to twenty years then.

  12. Predicted photovoltaic efficiency only 14.5% by Animats · · Score: 4, Informative

    Here's the actual scientific paper, "Predicted Efficiency of Si Wire Array Solar Cells". That's by the same authors mentioned in the press release. While the thing does trap most of the light hitting it, only a fraction of the energy in that light is converted to electricity. In fact, this thing is currently less efficient than the better commercial solar cells.

    From the paper: ... simulated photovoltaic efficency of 14.5%. ... Conclusion: ... "Si wire array solar cells have the potential to reach efficiencies competitive with traditional Si crystalline solar cells."

    So, an interesting development, but no big breakthrough. There's a claim that it might be a cheaper way to make solar cells, but everybody who comes up with a new design makes that claim. (Nanosolar comes to mind; their technology is supposed to be cheaper, but so far they've spent half a billion dollars and apparently have only produced sample panels.)

    1. Re:Predicted photovoltaic efficiency only 14.5% by TeethWhitener · · Score: 4, Informative
      Minor point, but that's the wrong paper. Here's the paper you want (may require subscription to Nature Methods). You're still correct, by the way. The researchers don't directly state conversion efficiency in their paper. They mention that above-bandgap photon absorption is roughly 85%, which is on par with current commercial PV's. They also mention that the quantum efficiency is 0.89 for the array. Unfortunately, conversion of photoelectrons to actual usable electricity is the main efficiency bottleneck in solar energy. Electron-hole pair recombination and parasitic absorption by impurities, among other things, chew away the efficiency of a solar cell in a hurry.

      The take-home message from the paper, as far as I can tell, is that the researchers showed that one can achieve performance comparable to commercial solar cells by using 1% of the expensive ultrapure silicon used in current PV's.

  13. Re:Plastic? 10 years under the sun? by Snarf+You · · Score: 4, Funny

    '94 Saturn ... parked in the Arizona sun for many years ... multiple electronics failures ... engine oil leak

    Survived the sunlight just fine

    It sure sounds it.

    *ducks*

  14. nice try blanco nino by l3iggs · · Score: 5, Insightful

    PhD candidate doing my research in new materials for photovoltaics here.

    I'm sick and tired of all this mis-reporting. These are NOT 86% efficient cells. If they were, (and they were inexpensive) it would be the greatest discovery in 50 years and it would have been all over every newspaper in the world 2 weeks ago when this paper was published.

    They simply absorb 86% of light that hits them. When you say a cell is X% efficient without qualifying it, it's taken to mean power conversion efficiency [PCE] (optical power in/ electrical power out) That and dollars per watt are the numbers that really matter. Read the Nature Materials paper that drove this and you'll see that theory says this design could be up to 17% efficient. That compares unfavorably to mid to high-end commercial cells on the market today.

    I'm not saying that this research is a worthless endeavor, maybe they can hit the maximum theoretically possible PCE and keep the cost down. That might have real-world impact.

    The caltech news brief quotes Atwater (the PI for this research) as saying that the photons are not only absorbed, but they're also convertedto charge carriers (which is a good step). The problem he doesn't mention here is, these charge carriers loose all their energy (voltage) before they exit the cell. Solve that problem and we've got a winner.

    The fundamental issue with nano-structured designs like this is the surface area of the P-N junctions in them. Large surface area means high dark current which means low voltage output. Low voltage output means low PCE. Unfortunately, nothing in this research solves that problem.

  15. Re:It's plastic ! by SharpFang · · Score: 4, Funny

    There's plastic, and then there's plastic. Some modern plastics are quite explosive.

    --
    45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
  16. Cold fusion, Amazing solar energy, gasoline by mnmlst · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "as soon as they can get these to market, solar could be very viable and cheap to produce." And if a frog had wings his ass wouldn't bump the ground when he hops.

    I appreciate Slashdot acting like an old Popular Mechanics here, but I wouldn't get too excited just yet. As somebody pointed out in another forum, when you compare ethanol with gasoline in terms of efficiency, if all we had was ethanol primarily from "corn" (U.S. term, UK term is "maize") and then someone invented gasoline, we would be raving about the improvement in efficiency and economy. IOW, I will believe cheap, efficient solar power when I see it on the neighbor's roof. Until then, this is one more expensive quest for a pot of gold at the end of a rainbow. In the meantime, we could be practicing more energy efficiency.

    FWIW, I knew W was full of crap with that whole "hydrogen economy" nonsense back around 2005. That was an absurd sop to deflect a little criticism that he was as much a tool of Big Oil as his Old Man. Make note that I served in Iraq during Operation Desert Storm and when it was over, George H.W. Bush was sitting on a 91 percent approval rating based on a war we had to fight to maintain a steady supply of petroleum for the Western Powers and Japan. From the desert, I wrote my Senators and lobbied them to get a bill going to get us to start weaning off Mideast Oil. That S.O.B. Bush didn't raise a finger, nor did our Congress and eventually Western wealth transfer begat Osama Bin Laden, 9/11, Iraq War II, and Afghanistan. Wouldn't you think a 91 percent approval rating might have been enough political capital to change things a little? It may even have made Bush the Elder seem like the President of the U.S.A. instead of President of the New World Order since he rightfully earned a reputation for being allergic to domestic policy. His detachment had a lot to do with getting booted in '92. A review of the stock market back in '90 - '91 reveals that Big Oil shot up and helped a lot of folks in that business recover from the very hard times they went through in the late '80's. Though I was a conservative and a combat veteran, I campaigned for Bill Clinton in '92 as I was so disgusted with Bush the Elder. Still am. God save us from another Bush.

    Most of us know in our heart of hearts that our troops are in Iraq and Afghanistan because of the continued grip the Mideast has on Western economies. In World War II, the U.S. national speed limit was 35 mph and gasoline was rationed with coupons. This was done to make sure the military had plenty of fuel. If some shared sacrifice was called for now, I think most Americans would grumble, but go along with it for the sake of untangling from the Iraq and Afghan Wars. How about bringing back the 55 mph speed limit of the '70's and '80's? What about a tax based on the weight of a vehicle? If we cut back on petroleum use, we help our independence and the environment at the same time. Now that's what I call "conserve-atism".

    If you want to see what needs to be done about our dependence on petroleum, just look for the occasional Charles Krauthammer piece on it. He makes the same recommendations about every 5 years, the centerpiece of which is a flexible tax on gasoline that seeks to wean us off cheap oil while keeping the price of gasoline fairly steady.

    --
    In principio erat Verbum.
  17. Re:Godwin's Law! by Threni · · Score: 5, Funny

    Talking of Nazis, did you know that every other use of an apostrophe in your first sentence was incorrect?

  18. from the ignore-kdawson-the-idiot dept. by MrVictor · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The original article is poorly written (no, not even close to 86% you stupid twats) and kdawson is equally foolish for echoing this garbage. This is why this site sucks. Brain-dead slashdot editors, time and time again, post shitty articles that make extraordinary claims which end up being completely false or misleading.