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New Estimate Suggests 5.5M Species On Earth, Not 30-100M

An anonymous reader writes "How many species share our planet? According to a recalculation by an international research team, the number is significantly lower than we thought — only around 5.5 million."

51 of 256 comments (clear)

  1. Well yeah, now... by MarbleMunkey · · Score: 5, Funny

    after we've killed off a bunch of them.

    1. Re:Well yeah, now... by bsDaemon · · Score: 3, Funny

      hey, dude... BP is trying as hard as they can to get the rest of them, too. It's just taking a little longer than first thought. Cut them some slack.

    2. Re:Well yeah, now... by maxume · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah, sure.

      But we can ask the question: Is our wanton destruction of many of the ecosystems on earth a desirable thing?

      Quibbling over whether it is properly described as natural or not sort of misses the point.

      --
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    3. Re:Well yeah, now... by blackraven14250 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yes, it would be a part of the whole selection process.

      The real problem with the numbers that go extinct is that when some species are removed from existence, the whole ecosystem goes crazy because it's not built to operate at the sudden pace that we're pushing it at. Plus, we're hitting nearly every ecosystem with rapid change at once, which is taking a somewhat delicate system and playing Jenga with it.

    4. Re:Well yeah, now... by TheRaven64 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Not really. Once a species dies out completely, it's failed at evolution. Killing off a significant proportion of a population periodically, however, causes the traits of the survivors to be selected for. An example of this is immunity to rat poison. Rats have a very high mutation rate (a huge number of them die of cancer as a result), and so it's likely that a very small proportion of the population will be immune to any given poison that you can use. After a few days, you've killed off all of the local population except the immune ones. After a few weeks, the survivors have passed on their immunity to their offspring, and a couple of months later you have the same number of rats but none are immune. In contrast, if you kill them all with fire (which they are very unlikely to be immune to) then none will survive to the next generation so the local population dies completely.

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    5. Re:Well yeah, now... by Toonol · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Humans killing (read: driving to extinction) other species is no longer beneficial to our evolution.

      How do you know that?

      I'm sure you're probably right, or right about most species, but I think the whole system is too chaotic for you to make that point as an absolute truth. Some extinctions have been GREAT for humanity (or at least mammals in general).

    6. Re:Well yeah, now... by wastedlife · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I'll bite. Stop anthropomorphizing evolution. Evolution does not care if it is the right thing to grow a second head or kill off the only food source. Evolution is a theory used to explain how organisms change with successive generations. That is all. It should not be used to moralize our actions. That is how things like eugenics get proposed. Going by your logic, because many people adhere to astronomy theories, we should not attempt to intercede if we detect a large comet on a collision course with Earth or the Moon.

      --
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    7. Re:Well yeah, now... by geekoid · · Score: 4, Funny

      So in order to kill Master Splinter, we must use flame throwers, got it.

      --
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    8. Re:Well yeah, now... by Em+Emalb · · Score: 4, Funny

      In contrast, if you kill them all with fire (which they are very unlikely to be immune to) then none will survive to the next generation so the local population dies completely.

      A rat immune to poisons AND fire would be amazing. In a few generations, we could have rats that are poison resistant, fire-resistant, metal-resistant, you name it.

      Awesome.

      Basically, we'd have a group of cleric-rats.

      --
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    9. Re:Well yeah, now... by IndustrialComplex · · Score: 2, Funny

      after we've killed off a bunch of them.

      How can you be so calm when this study alone just wiped out an estimated 94.5% of all species on Earth?

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    10. Re:Well yeah, now... by CannonballHead · · Score: 2, Interesting

      But we can ask the question: Is our wanton destruction of many of the ecosystems on earth a desirable thing?

      Interesting. I'd certainly argue it's not. Good point.

      Quibbling over whether it is properly described as natural or not sort of misses the point.

      Granted. On the other hand, it's not a moral issue, in this case. It's a survival-of-our-race issue, in this case?

      My underlying point is that many seem to hold to two opposing ideas, IMO...

      1. There is no God, and evolution is how everything got here.

      2. It's wrong to destroy species, etc. There's some moral/ethical/inherently-bad thing about it.

      To me, there's a disconnect. #1 has some amount of backing (evolutionary theory). #2, combined with #1, seems to me to have no backing.

      However, if it's simply a desirable or undesirable thing, that's a different argument, which I was not thinking about.

      Due to my own beliefs, I actually think we are responsible to take care of the environment, and thus it CAN be actually wrong to kill off species.. or, as you aptly put it, wanton destruction.

    11. Re:Well yeah, now... by Scrameustache · · Score: 4, Insightful

      when some species are removed from existence, the whole ecosystem goes crazy because it's not built to operate at the sudden pace that we're pushing it at. Plus, we're hitting nearly every ecosystem with rapid change at once, which is taking a somewhat delicate system and playing Jenga with it.

      In other words: Once we hit that bulls-eye, the dominoes will fall like a house of cards; checkmate.

      --

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    12. Re:Well yeah, now... by Jason+Levine · · Score: 2, Funny

      Stop anthropomorphizing evolution, it hates it when you do that.

      --
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    13. Re:Well yeah, now... by maxume · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Smallpox.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    14. Re:Well yeah, now... by wastedlife · · Score: 3, Insightful

      1. There is no God, and evolution is how everything got here.

      2. It's wrong to destroy species, etc. There's some moral/ethical/inherently-bad thing about it.

      To me, there's a disconnect. #1 has some amount of backing (evolutionary theory). #2, combined with #1, seems to me to have no backing.

      Evolution is not aimed to disprove God, it is a well-tested and refined theory on how life changes over generations. While many, myself included, do not believe in the existence of a deity, it is not a causal relationship with the acceptance of theories in the scientific community. Nor do I feel it necessary to conflict the two. I do have conflict with the teaching of creationism and/or "intelligent design" as science in schools, as they are not theories formed using the scientific method, but that is a different topic.

      As for morality/ethics, as TheCycoONE mentions, they are not dependent on a God, so there is no inherent disconnect with your #1 and #2.

      --
      Said, "It's just like dice but it's got more sides And it tells me who lives and who dies"
    15. Re:Well yeah, now... by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2, Informative

      Indeed it is a part of evolution, however humans have developed ways and means of changing the environment to our liking.

      And beavers build dams in order to change their environment to their liking.

      Termites build habitats for themselves with an internal environment to their liking.

      Ants, ditto.

      Your point was?

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    16. Re:Well yeah, now... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You make an important point that I totally agree with. But rather than astronomy, I like making a comparison to gravity and making it sillier in order to try to get the point across:

      The theory of gravitation does not tell us whether it is or is not morally acceptable to drop a piano on someone's head. The theory of gravitation and the rest of physics and biology just explain what would happen if you did.

    17. Re:Well yeah, now... by g4b · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I, as a strong believer in God, have to agree completely with what you just said.

      Let me tell about my side of the story...

      I do believe, that nature is intelligently designed ;) , but I do not agree with Intelligent Design, so do I not with Creationism.
      There is a part of the teaching about micro- and macroevolution (evolution inbetween species and from species to species), which I do like as a thought - there is also no hard proof of species converting to other either - but I do believe MacroEv in the long run to be possible, maybe even wanted or happening.

      As I have researched back then in historical background, evolution, as many other theories, came out of scientific university background, and was used in media to bash christian beliefs (I think it was english media, a face off between some clergy guy and a professor). From there on, the normal cycle of historical developments, where science changed the view of deists and atheists at the same amount over time (mostly by some sacrifices of christian scientists facing christian clergy), did not take it's usual path. It became something which was a direct attack on God, and was used as such. Same goes for the Big Bang, which in theory still does not proof God not existing. Christians started to defend themselves using non scientific explanations or pseudo science to keep their face in the last century, forgetting, that also christians fought to have a separation, freedom of faith and so on.

      It feels like, believers tried to create a chisma between science and religion and now we have to pay for it by being attacked from those we wanted to liberate. Because not all christians did or do support religious viewpoints.

      Universities in itself, as also many other aspects of our humanist culture, is something, a Christian would have fought for, especially from the early churches, but I think especially our main figure in the bible would have. Many scientists before this event were strong believers. But nowadays they are silent, silent because their scientific work would not been taken seriously if they admitted they are christians, and sometimes troubled in faith, because fundamentalists question their faith - they are attacked from both worlds.

      It is hard to know, who really is at fault, populistic science, or religious fundamentalists, and who fired the first shot - I think it could be the christians on the other side. But one thing is clear: this war is not needed. Universities were not the temples of Atheism, as many christians nowadays see them. Knowledge was a virtue, it could be a calling from God, some books in the bible were written by "scientific" people back in the days of Luke (Genealogy was for example the begin of a historic text) and many Universities were founded by liberal thinking christians.

      I do have experience. If I say, I do believe in God, I am regarded as somebody who might not really understand science (well I would never say, I know very much). It's a hard life in universities, and certainly did affect my life in general, in both studies - medicine and computer science. As if my personal belief in a God would not make me somebody who wants to find out what's out there, how things work and so on.

      Since I was an atheist for a good period of my life, and did ask myself, how God can exist if evolution is proposed, I do understand, that it is seen as a contrast to the bible, it does trouble people seeking a faith.
      Reading first chapter genesis and realising it's completely different aspect on creation as later in the book, seeing that even the timeline matches, and that it is only one chapter of a book afterwards going in a completely different direction, it made me realise, it's just a populistic hategame and talk-a-lot all around the world, like there is racism, and it should not stand in the way to only read, what that book has to say to me - or not. So I did continue. Many questions ahead. Still quite sceptical. Love Gen1,1 though.

      I do enjoy the company of atheistic

    18. Re:Well yeah, now... by wastedlife · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Thanks for the insightful and well thought out post. It is really too bad that religion and science come to blows so often when they should remain unrelated. If computer technology somehow conflicted with the teachings of the Bible, would a fundamentalist denounce the use of them? If somehow evidence was found proving the existence of a deity, would atheists deny it, even if it were peer-reviewed and followed the scientific method? My guess, is that they probably would, and that is human nature at some of its worst.

      --
      Said, "It's just like dice but it's got more sides And it tells me who lives and who dies"
  2. Re:from the depends-how-you-count dept by bragr · · Score: 3, Funny

    I count 0, 1, 10, 11...

  3. Depending on where you start by decipher_saint · · Score: 5, Funny

    Each more delicious than the last!

    Hmm... maybe I should have had breakfast this morning...

    --
    crazy dynamite monkey
  4. BP claims responsibility by theNAM666 · · Score: 3, Funny

    London, England. Today BP Chairman Johan Georing declared responsibilty for the recently discovered mass extinction of species on Planet Earth. "With 10 to 15 million down," Georing said, "we only have four or five million more to go. And just look how well we seem to be doing this month."

  5. Re:from the depends-how-you-count dept by TheRaven64 · · Score: 3, Funny

    I count 0, 1, 11, 10, 110, 111...

    My gears don't wear out as fast as yours.

    --
    I am TheRaven on Soylent News
  6. This is an industry sponsored study by intheshelter · · Score: 4, Funny

    It is obviously another propaganda attempt by the biodiversity denialists who are funded by the Big Zoo industry.

  7. Something seems fishy.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    FTA:

    By looking at all of the beetles that live on a single tree species in Papua New Guinea, the researchers were able to extrapolate their numbers to a global scale.

    No, they thought they could extrapolate their numbers to a global scale. Luckily, they used only the most rigourous methods...

    This type of model is widely used in financial risk assessments, but has rarely been applied to ecology.

    Well perhaps not the most rigourous, more likely that type of model has never been applied to reality, but I digress. This smells like bullshit science and shouldn't be leant much credibility.

  8. Re:That right... by ChromeAeonium · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Actually, being tasty to humans is one of the most advantageous adaptations a species can have. Well, either the best or the worst, depending on if we raise them or unsustainably collect them from the wild until the population collapses. You don't see cows or chickens or apples or oranges in any danger any time soon, but then again, things have been eaten to extinction. I don't think it's too bad of an idea to, where possible, try to introduce cultivated or farmed endangered species into the food supply. Preservation through consumption.

  9. Re:Bzzt! Wrong by MightyMartian · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The notion of interbreeding as the sole definition of species is simply wrong. Even where fertile hybrids are produced, as with brown bears and polar bears, it's still not enough to warrant declaring them the same species. There are a number of factors that go into determining when two populations are members of the same species or not, and producing fertile and fit offspring is only one of them.

    --
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  10. You're assuming a constant extinction rate by Benfea · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Which obviously could not be the case. This is the same sort of erroneous statistics that lead to creationist "proofs" that the world is only 4,000/6,000/10,000 years old by assuming that the current human population growth rate is exactly the same as it has been throughout history and counting backwards.

  11. Re:from the depends-how-you-count dept by imakemusic · · Score: 3, Funny

    4, 5, 6, 1, 2, 3...

    --
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  12. Re:Bzzt! Wrong by MozeeToby · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Well... "Two organisms that cannot produce fertile offspring are separate species" would probably be more accurate. Otherwise you would be lumping tigers and lions into the same species. And the reverse is not true, just because two species can produce fertile offspring doesn't mean they are the same species. For example, polar bears are able to breed with brown bears, false killer whales can create fertile offspring with bottle nosed dolphins; not to mention the countless plant hybrids that are possible.

  13. Re:from the depends-how-you-count dept by publiclurker · · Score: 5, Informative

    Please turn in your geek badge at the door. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gray_code

  14. By what definition of species? by Fractal+Dice · · Score: 3, Informative

    But what definition of species does this estimate use? It may seem odd, but there really isn't a scientific consensus of how to define a "species". That's not to say there aren't strong opinions out there, but it tends to vary from field to field depending on what questions a particular group of biologists is trying to answer. When you actually dig down and look carefully, there are shades of gray and blurring of lines all over the place (as would be expected for a world that is constantly evolving - there's no clear day on which one species becomes two).

    (If you're trying to count species from the point of view of a billionaire with a Pokemon mindset, you're going to be disappointed because there will never have a perfect checklist for you to collect)

  15. Re:from the depends-how-you-count dept by AndrewNeo · · Score: 4, Funny

    Good thing he has 11 of them!

  16. Not getting there methods by cenc · · Score: 2, Informative

    Let me see if I understand their methods. If we take some sort of statistical sample with trees common to the deserts in Africa (let's say two Beatles named Ringo and Paul live in all of them), we can also determine the number of species on Earth? What happens if we pick a tree species where no Beatles or any species lives? Hell, what if we start with a desert with no trees or life at all? How about the poles? How many Beatles live in them apple trees?

    The statistical likelihood of BS seems very high.

  17. Study excludes microorganisms by hallucinogen · · Score: 3, Informative

    The study doesn't take into account bacteria, archaea nor unicellular eukaryotes. That's where by far most of biodiversity (species count and number of genes and metabolic pathways) and biomass (carbon and nutrients) lie. Typical macroworld arrogance :(

    1. Re:Study excludes microorganisms by sourcerror · · Score: 2, Insightful

      How do you define species when there's no sexual reproduction?

  18. Re:from the depends-how-you-count dept by Kryptonian+Jor-El · · Score: 2

    Ya got me there. Never heard of gray code, but I see what it is now; its used for karnaugh map numbering and all. My professor always said we numbered that way to allow for easier identification if implicants, but never told us it had a name.

    I stand corrected

    --
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  19. Re:Bzzt! Wrong by vtcodger · · Score: 2, Informative

    Mules most certainly can mate, and occasionally the female versions get pregnant and have foals. The usual fertility issues with horse/donkey mules are because they have an odd number of genes (63) rather than 62 (donkeys) or 64 (horses) which results in difficulties pairing up genetic material. At least that's what Wikipedia tells me. Would Jamie Wailes lie to me? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mule

    --
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  20. Well, I've been thinking about taxonomy recently. by hey! · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's largely a matter of convention. Wolves hybridize with coyotes to produce viable offspring ... but the two species are genetically, behaviorally and ecologically distinct (in most places) so it seems reasonable to treat them as different species.

    Insect species are often split based on tiny morphological details, even where the two populations hybridize. Other times they are organized into "subspecies", or species within a genus are organized into "subgenera".

    What might make more sense is some kind of measure of genetic entropy. That would also count low species diversity, as in cases of species that pass through genetic bottlenecks (e.g. cheetahs), and so which represent a less stable population.

    --
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  21. Great, just great. by Jawnn · · Score: 2, Informative

    How many species share our planet? According to a recalculation by an international research team, the number is significantly lower than we thought - only around 5.5 million...

    Cue the science deniers in 3...2...1...
    ...breathlessly observing that, "Once again, science has proven that it can't be trusted..."

  22. What's in a number? by Thomasje · · Score: 2, Interesting
    I'm pretty suspicious of those numbers. I mean, I keep hearing things like X thousand species going extinct each year, or umpteen bazillion species of insects found in one square mile of Amazon rainforest, and I can't help but wonder: *really*? Did they actually try to interbreed any of those bugs to make sure they were different species and not just slightly different-looking individuals from the same species? I'd love to know what criteria are being used there. I suspect that, with such large numbers being bandied about, while the line between what's a species boundary and what isn't isn't always very clear, even the various races of humans or breeds of dogs could be mis-identified as separate species rather than intra-species diversity.

    Disclaimer: I'm not trying to discredit the dangers of biodiversity loss, but I have real trouble assigning any real meaning to the notion of "millions of species", and I don't think that those numbers are doing much to win over eco-skeptics either. The real issue to me seems to be overall genetic diversity and the need to preserve it; how many "species" you pigeonhole that diversity into has very little practical relevance and is probably impossible to do properly anyway.

  23. Reading comprehension fail by Comboman · · Score: 5, Informative
    From the article:

    [The new estimate] takes into account plants and animals but, like previous studies, it excludes bacteria ...

    They did not "remove a whole group". The previous estimates of 30 to 100 million species also did not include bacteria.

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  24. Re:from the depends-how-you-count dept by impaledsunset · · Score: 5, Funny

    There are 10 kinds of people: Those who understand Gray code, those who don't, and those who mistake it for binary.

  25. Re:Bzzt! Wrong by jc42 · · Score: 4, Informative

    The only definition of a species is that two organisms that cannot mate are, by definition, different species.

    To illustrate the subtleties in the actual definition(s) used by biologists, a prof in a class I was in wrote a definition very much like the above, and asked the class "What's wrong with this definition?" He was impressed when I spoke up and said "According to that definition, you and I are not the same species." We were (and probably still are ;-) both male, so he just grinned and said "Ya got it." Funny thing was that a good percentage of the class still had a puzzled looks on their faces, so he had to explain to them what I'd just said.

    He later mentioned that there are other important problems with such definitions. One is that people generally want "the same X as" to be a transitive relation. But Ma Nature throws monkey wrenches into such things. Thus, the domestic dog Canis familiaris can interbreed with wild wolves and jackals, but wolves and jackals can't interbreed (or rather, they can, but the few offspring are sterile). So dogs are the same species as wolves and jackals, but wolves and jackals are different species. There are many examples like this.

    A more subtle sort of example is what are sometimes called "range species", in which matings of critters not too far apart are fertile, but when the distance gets above some threshold, fertile hybrids are no longer possible. This happens in a lot of shoreline species.

    We've had a couple of centuries to work out such ideas, and biologists have been fairly successful at dealing with this fairly important concept. But you need more carefully worded definitions than the above.

    If you want to read about an especially difficult "species" distinction, google for the results of mating lions with tigers. That should convince anyone how tricky it is to get the definition right.

    --
    Those who do study history are doomed to stand helplessly by while everyone else repeats it.
  26. Re:Bzzt! Wrong by Coren22 · · Score: 3, Funny

    I would like to participate in the study to find out. I will graciously accept the burden of attempting to mate with a supermodel and see if we can produce offspring.

    --
    APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
  27. Re:Bzzt! Wrong by GameboyRMH · · Score: 4, Funny

    We're like mules, same species, just practically incapable of reproduction.

    --
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  28. Re:Actually... by digitig · · Score: 2, Informative

    OP is right, in that there are lots of different definitions of "species" and none of them is unambiguous. "Can mate" doesn't seem to be used much amongst taxonomists, not just because of bacteria but also because of things like ring species.

    --
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  29. Re:from the depends-how-you-count dept by poopdeville · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Um, so you're saying that because it is invertible in a structure's multiplicative monoid, that it is not a prime? That doesn't follow. The reason we mathematicians decided to make 1 a special case among primes, and say it isn't one, is to make the expressing the prime number theorem easy, in terms of unique factorizations, instead of unique factorizations modulo factorizations including 1.

    --
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  30. Re:from the depends-how-you-count dept by turbidostato · · Score: 2, Funny

    I count 1,2,4,5... for there is the number I never mention except to explode the Holy Hand Grenade of Antioch.

  31. Re:from the depends-how-you-count dept by Random+Destruction · · Score: 2, Insightful

    *Touché

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    :x
  32. Re:from the depends-how-you-count dept by Xtifr · · Score: 2, Informative

    It's one possible solution to the problem of classifying Ring Species. For the simplest case, where populations (A+B) could be classified as a species, and populations (B+C) could as well, but (A+C) could not, how many species do you have? I could make strong arguments for one, two, two-point-five, and three.

    It gets even trickier with longer rings/chains. If (A+B), (B+C), and (C+D) all meet a definition of "species", but (A+D) doesn't (requirement of "ring species"), that still leaves open questions about (A+C) and (B+D). One possible solution is to use larger or smaller fractions depending on the answers to those pairings.

    Of course, there's also the issue of defining "species"--what Wikipedia calls the "Species Problem". Note that I was careful to say above, "could be classified as a species", or "meet a definition of species". The common definition, "able to produce fertile offspring" is almost meaningless to microbiologists (where sex--genetic sharing--is separate from reproduction) and unanswerable by paleontologists, since extinct species rarely reproduce.

    As Dawkins argues, the whole concepts of species and families and kingdoms seems to stem from an attempt to inflict Platonic idealism on a messy and ambiguous reality. Life is chaotic. Should we be surprised if it turns out to have a fractal nature and fractional dimension? :)