Why No Billion-Dollar Open Source Companies?
Glyn Moody writes "If open source is such a success, why aren't there any billion-dollar turnover open source companies? A recent briefing by Red Hat's CEO, Jim Whitehurst, to a group of journalists may provide an answer. Asked why Red Hat wasn't yet a $5 billion company, as he suggested it would be one day, he said getting Red Hat to $5 billion meant 'replacing $50 billion of revenue' currently enjoyed by traditional computer companies. If, as is likely, that's generally true for open source companies, it means they will need to displace around $10 billion of proprietary business in order to achieve a billion-dollar turnover. Few are likely to do that. Perhaps it's time for managers of open source startups to stop chasing the billion-dollar dream. If they don't, they will set unrealistic ambitions for themselves, disappoint their investors, and allow opponents of free software to paint one of its defining successes — saving money — as a failure."
Isn't google a multi-billion dollar company with multiple open-source projects?
The reason may be is this that they are not more interested in money matters.
www.microsol.biz
they will [..] paint one of its defining successes — saving money — as a failure.
Hmm.. so they're bringing in 10% of the revenue of non open source equivalents - basically meaning that their clients need to spend 90% less.. how is that not saving money?
which is totally what she said
the biggest linux failure of all was none other than va linux/va research/OSDN/sourceforge.net/geek.net. CAnt' wait to see what they rebrand themselves as next in an attempt to stay one step ahead of bankruptcy.
Many businesses that reach billions of dollars in revenue often rely on government contracts and monopoly protection--patent law being the biggest of these. Without government interference in the economy businesses would probably be less likely to hit "billionaire" status. I don't doubt that there would still be some, just not as many. In the open source world this is (to some extent) playing out.
the Political Inquirer
There are almost too many to count when it comes to billion dollar companies involved in open source. They are the main motivator in new Linux kernel development and amongst 100's of other projects including Apache, Perl, MySQL etc you will find @email's from dozens of billion dollar companies in the dev-lists. O'Reilly himself squashed some of these rumors about open source himself over 11 years ago now, so why discuss this? It is just going to turn into a flame war about licenses and corporate responsibility.
An Education is the Font of All Liberty
- Open Source is (relatively) new
- Open Source is not tame. It's not easy to use (as even Windows tried to be - and sucked - at the beginning) Remember Windows NT?!
- Open Source shines when it's hidden. Infrastructure, mainly. Even though Oracle had lots of success (and money) there
Now for the business side
- It's hard to sell OSS. IMHO Red Hat did it the best, but see other companies. Novell got mixed results, the others, well...
Now for the OSS crowd
OSS people get a lot of things in sw, but what they don't get: usabiliy, focus on customer, what it means to be 'shippable'.
How many times you try to argue with an OSS developer that a bug is a bug, not a feature?!? Or that things must work and something is preventing it to work and the developer refuses to fix it?!
I'm not saying that Apache should get a next,next,next interface, but some things are ridiculous.
And guess what, MS does not know that either, that's why WinCE sux
how long until
Why no building dollar bicycle-pump manufacturers? Why no billion-dollar indie record labels? Why no billion-dollar oil companies that have not polluted? Why are there no billion-dollar hockey franchises?
Asking why there are no "billion-dollar" open source companies is kind of stupid. Considering how much of the very fabric of the Internet and the web are open source, I'd suggest that if "open source" disappeared tomorrow, a lot of "billion-dollar" companies wouldn't be worth anywhere near a billion dollars.
This story is the Slashdot equivalent of "If you're so smart, why ain't you rich?"
You are welcome on my lawn.
A quick search on the Internet revealed that a lot of them get bought out.
http://royal.pingdom.com/2008/02/06/the-seven-largest-open-source-deals/
Sun buys MySQL, $1 billion, 2008
Sun now has their hands on the world’s most widely used open source database.
Red Hat buys Cygnus Solutions, $675 million, 1999
Red Hat started the open source acquisition race early when they bought Cygnus Solutions, providers of open source software support.
Citrix buys XenSource, $500 million, 2007
Considering how hot virtualization is right now, we can see why Citrix bought XenSource, the company behind the Xen virtualization software.
Yahoo buys Zimbra, $350 million, 2007
Yahoo already have their own email services, and with Zimbra they got an integrated email, messaging and collaboration software.
Red Hat buys JBoss, $350 million, 2006
Red Hat strengthened their SOA offerings by buying the JBoss Java application server.
Novell buys SUSE, $210 million, 2003
Novell got their own Linux distribution by buying SUSE.
Nokia buys Trolltech, $153 million, 2008
Trolltech is the company behind the Qt GUI framework which is used by the popular Linux desktop environment KDE.
Just ask Google.
Why should your profits go to Adobe, Microsoft, IBM, Oracle and all those other closed source companies? Look at the .com companies that survived the 'dot bomb' era. They used open source.
Using expensive proprietary solutions is a sure way to increase your expenses and decrease your profits.
How do you become an open source billionaire? Ask Sergey Brin and Larry Page.
Simple,
The target audience for open source software requires less support as they are to my opinion smarter, more resourcefull engineers than their commercial product colleagues.
Open source software offers more room for tinkering and plain old engineering so offering engineers the freedom and tools to use their brains to solve common problems.
Copyright laws and software patents make traditional closed source business models too lucrative. And while copyright and patent infringement may still occur, it is a better model to chase in the eyes of investors because a company like Microsoft will offer them reports on how much money is lost to such things and claim that as potential profit or unrealized profit or put it on the balance sheet to make investor's eyes light up. How much "theft" (don't jump on me for using it, that's what Microsoft calls it) do you think Red Hat suffers from? Not a whole lot, I'd imagine as I believe the bulk of their profit comes from support and that support is kinda hard to steal.
Anyway, if copyright laws didn't exist for software? Well, you'd see companies like Microsoft fall apart and companies like Red Hat thrive. Because the business model would shift from protecting your source code through litigation to making it available for free since that would be the only way to effectively combat piracy. Right now, the system is so screwed up that even when the original Windows becomes public domain, no one is going to have the source code and if they do they're not going to release it. I almost wish the Library of Congress kept a proprietary source library if that didn't leave to government abuse and a multitude of problems with huge security concerns.
As a young idealist, I once thought that open source should be welcomed by all since there's an infinite amount of code that the populations will always need written. If they don't need an operating system, they need a web server. If they don't need web server software, they'll need the specific application on a per company basis. Ad infinitum. And therefore you shouldn't fight open source when you're generating revenue from such a general purpose and widely used tool. Unfortunately I came to understand copyright, marketing and how Microsoft keeps making bank on Windows despite it being -- in my opinion -- an inferior product. And so my logic was inherently flawed--especially in the eyes of stockholders and lawmakers. Such skewing of profits between open and closed source companies reveal this.
My work here is dung.
Normally you might compare one business model with another on a somewhat equal basis. When comparing open source to closed source, doesn't it make more sense to compare the performance of the open source software company with that of the close source software company that started around the same time?
So can anyone name any large close source software companies that have started up rather recently that are billion dollar companies? I can't personally think of any. Can anyone else?
AccountKiller
"If, as is likely, that's generally true for open source companies, it means they will need to displace around $10 billion of proprietary business in order to achieve a billion-dollar turnover." No wonder IT is on the bottom end of the totem pole. I can't think of any other industry that works as hard as we do to devalue/put ourselves out of a job.
How do you become an open source billionaire? Ask Sergey Brin and Larry Page.
You mean create a hugely successful proprietary search engine and ads platform? Sure they may have leveraged open source in creating these proprietary products but they didn't make their money through selling open source products.
There are billion dollar products. I presume the value of the Linux OS, Mysql, Apache HTTP server are several billion dollars if we sum up the value of each installation. However no single company has the monopoly right to sell it, so it is spread around on many many companies where some of them takes part in the development, some not, but many of them are actively contributing by supporting other users in forums.
Perhaps it's time for managers of open source startups to stop chasing the billion-dollar dream.
I love it when authors use a false premise to setup their stories. Of course every one wants to make it big but the idea that there is some mythical number that every open source CFO is reaching for is just stupid.
Further if they want to look for a company that uses the FOSS model and has billions: http://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AIBM
Really, I know what I'm doing...Ohhhh, look at the shiny buttons!
The issue is that proprietary software allows ridiculous profit margins (close to 100% since the software costs nothing to distribute and economies of scale are pretty much linear since the upfront costs remain the same regardless of volume)... Now no industry could possibly achieve such margins if there is any competition, so proprietary vendors stifle competition through lock-in..
Open source vendors are unable to rip their customers off by selling zero cost goods at ridiculous markups because if they did someone else could come along and offer the same code for a cheaper price, instead they must make their money selling services... Services have a constant ongoing cost to actually provide the service, and these costs increase as you provide service to more customers.
The proprietary software market is effectively a scam, which sooner or later will come to an end... Customers will wake up and realise just how badly they're being ripped off, but until then the fraudsters will make as much as they can out of it.
The services market on the other hand is far more reasonable and although competition may eventually result in consolidation and razor thin margins, there is a lower limit.
http://spamdecoy.net - free throwaway anonymous email - avoid spam!
...my response to this is "Why should I care?" The very purpose and idea behind open-source flies in the face of profits. That's not to say these companies shouldn't be trying to make money, but the purpose behind open-source is to spread knowledge and capability...not to acquire wealth.
"It's in the fucking charter."
Living With a Nerd
I once bet my friend a million pounds that I'd become a billionaire before him.
Sorry, what were we talking about again?
We gave VA Linux their shot... And look what happened. I'm not going to point blame but Eric S Raymond did happen to issue the most epic "who would have thought" letter to the world proclaiming how gifted he was, shortly before his share of the company dropped in value from some $40 Million to about $4 Million (and falling).
Open source simply isn't about the money, after all. Try to muddle it up with dollars and cents, and you will end up with Windows.
Try asking why are there no billion-dollar companies using 100% CLOSED source software?
The answer is simply because billion dollar companies dabble in a bit of everything. Oracle has a lot of open source products. It also has a lot of closed source products. Same with IBM, Microsoft, Google, Apple, etc etc. If you don't consider these billion dollar companies to be open source companies then you can't consider them to be a closed source companies either. They all dabble in a bit of both because they are all really big.
Once you get into the $Bns you become responsible for causing suffering, hardship, using litigation and loopholes, throwing your weight around, metaphorically "knifing" people in the back and being a nasty PoS. By then any of the attributes that attracted you to Open Source have withered and died.
politicians are like babies' nappies: they should both be changed regularly and for the same reasons
aka; deceptive/gottiesque 'business practices', like monkeys on crack, etc... likely not. but we would likely be well served by being more open & honest & less greedy, in ALL of our dealings. so long fuddles?
the corepirate nazi illuminati is always hunting that patch of red on almost everyones' neck. if they cannot find yours (greed, fear ego etc...) then you can go starve. that's their platform now. they do pull A LOT of major strings.
never a better time for all of us to consult with/trust in our creators. the lights are coming up rapidly all over now. see you there?
greed, fear & ego (in any order) are unprecedented evile's primary weapons. those, along with deception & coercion, helps most of us remain (unwittingly?) dependent on its' life0cidal hired goons' agenda. most of our dwindling resources are being squandered on the 'wars', & continuation of the billionerrors stock markup FraUD/pyramid schemes. nobody ever mentions the real long term costs of those debacles in both life & any notion of prosperity for us, or our children. not to mention the abuse of the consciences of those of us who still have one, & the terminal damage to our atmosphere (see also: manufactured 'weather', hot etc...). see you on the other side of it? the lights are coming up all over now. the fairytail is winding down now. let your conscience be your guide. you can be more helpful than you might have imagined. we now have some choices. meanwhile; don't forget to get a little more oxygen on your brain, & look up in the sky from time to time, starting early in the day. there's lots going on up there.
"The current rate of extinction is around 10 to 100 times the usual background level, and has been elevated above the background level since the Pleistocene. The current extinction rate is more rapid than in any other extinction event in earth history, and 50% of species could be extinct by the end of this century. While the role of humans is unclear in the longer-term extinction pattern, it is clear that factors such as deforestation, habitat destruction, hunting, the introduction of non-native species, pollution and climate change have reduced biodiversity profoundly.' (wiki)
"I think the bottom line is, what kind of a world do you want to leave for your children," Andrew Smith, a professor in the Arizona State University School of Life Sciences, said in a telephone interview. "How impoverished we would be if we lost 25 percent of the world's mammals," said Smith, one of more than 100 co-authors of the report. "Within our lifetime hundreds of species could be lost as a result of our own actions, a frightening sign of what is happening to the ecosystems where they live," added Julia Marton-Lefevre, IUCN director general. "We must now set clear targets for the future to reverse this trend to ensure that our enduring legacy is not to wipe out many of our closest relatives."--
"The wealth of the universe is for me. Every thing is explicable and practical for me .... I am defeated all the time; yet to victory I am born." --emerson
no need to confuse 'religion' with being a spiritual being. our soul purpose here is to care for one another. failing that, we're simply passing through (excess baggage) being distracted/consumed by the guaranteed to fail illusionary trappings of man'kind'. & recently (about 10,000 years ago) it was determined that hoarding & excess by a few, resulted in negative consequences for all.
consult with/trust in your creators. providing more than enough of everything for everyone (without any distracting/spiritdead personal gain motives), whilst badtolling unprecedented evile, using an unlimited supply of newclear power, since/until forever. see you there?
"If my people, which are called by my name, shall humble themselves, and pray, and seek my face, and turn from their wicked ways; then will I hear from heaven, and will forgive their sin, and will heal their land." )one does not need not to agree whois in charge to grasp the notion that there may be some assistance available to us(
boeing, boeing, gone.
on as comparatively little work as many of those companies who actually make billions do, you're exploiting a monopoly or otherwise gaming the market. They're NOT doing approximately a fair amount of work with regards to what they're paid.
There may not be any "billion dollar companies" but open source allows small companies to play the big leagues. No one can play with MS - they're too big, too powerful, and too locked up. But open source allows a small firm with a single developer to put out a "best of breed" linux based widget - because that developer can leverage the work of hundreds of thousands of developers.
So while our closed source competitors built stuff that looked like it was stuck in the 80s - 300 baud modems for communication? We had ethernet, wifi, and a web interface.
No, we weren't a billion dollar company, but we sure looked like one.
Easy. Because money is not the only measure of value and success. WTF is wrong with you people?
May Peace Prevail On Earth
So, in short, open source projects are supported by many companies that do not purely exist for one open source product. I think the term "Open Source Company" is therefore to blame here. Even Microsoft contributed to the Linux kernel, but hardly anyone would call them an open source company.
Nae king! Nae laird! Nae yurrupiean pressedent! We willna be fooled again!
"getting Red Hat to $5 billion meant 'replacing $50 billion of revenue'"
Cow manure. Red Hat isn't one tenth the cost of proprietary software, not even close.
The real problems are:
1. It's hard to scale services.
2. You have to have the demand for the services.
3. In nearly all cases, proprietary solutions have first mover advantages.
http://www.cioupdate.com/news/article.php/1574431/Can-You-Make-Money-Selling-Linux--Try-35-Billion.htm
In 2002 HP claimed $2B in Linux revenue and IBM claimed $1.5B. I would expect that has ramped up considerably since then. I can't seem to find recent numbers perhaps they are embarrassed by the riches.
On the server hardware side, sales are booming. You have to think there are service contracts with those.
http://news.cnet.com/2100-1001-984010.html
>- Open Source is (relatively) new
For cereal? GCC is 23 years old at this point. DJGPP (Dos port of GCC) is 21 years old. The Apache webserver came out in 1995. Perl came out years before in 1987. I'm sure i could go on.
What I meant is that "'selling' OSS is a new thing". As such, the business model is not still 100% set. Wow, I didn't know DJGPP was that old !
>- Open Source is not tame. It's not easy to use (as even Windows tried to be - and sucked - at the beginning) Remember Windows NT?!
This is a crappy analogy. Some of the shit is definitely difficult (sendmail, weirder nagios configs). But if you can't figure out how to set up an basic Apache install, I'm sorry, you're kind of retarded. Anyhow, "easy to use" is not respective of quality.
I don't mean Apache really, but yeah, sendmail, qmail, etc, etc. And even sometimes "too easy to use" is complicated, see IIS 6
>- It's hard to sell OSS. IMHO Red Hat did it the best, but see other companies. Novell got mixed results, the others, well...
You obviously have no idea what you're fucking talking about at this point.
Maybe, do you know people that work for RedHat, Mandriva and Novell as I do?! Do you know their customers, how they work, etc, etc?!
how long until
There is a class of people who can take advantages of intellectual property rights and that class of people rarely includes programmers or even engineers. The few times it happens can be likened to the noises that casinos make whenever someone wins. That is the entire impetus behind open source.
Seastead this.
Open source is FREE.. And if someone were to put ads in it, people would just take them out..
- and the value of nothing.
If open source is such a success, why aren't there any billion-dollar turnover open source companies?
It is not a question of if - open source is a resounding success; just look at how the GNU project has become the defining standard for much of UNIX, to the extent that companies like IBM, HP etc offer the GNU toolset on their proprietary systems. And GNU is only one part of open source - GNOME and KDE are other prime examples. And of course, there is Linux; need I say more?
Money isn't everything; it is certainly not the best measure of success.
One of the features of open source/software freedom, is to benefit the users, not the corporations. Red Hat often commented that they turned a multi-billion dollar industry into a multi-million dollar one. Why no billion dollar open source companies? Because users are cutting costs, competition is rising with more players, and there is less gouging going on. From a non-software corporation point of view, that's a good thing.
The whole point of open source is sharing the assets. Which doesn't mean "free" (except when it's FOSS).
Red Hat isn't the only Linux corp, the way that Apple is the only Mac corp and Microsoft is the only Windows corp. Add together all the Linux OS corps, including the biggest, Red Hat, and you've got something that's bigger than, say, Sun (was), or any of the Unix corps before it.
Linux's open source means that the corporate model is different, fundamentally. The model doesn't capture every penny in a single corp the way it did with Microsoft. A lot of the monetary value is held by the customers, and by people all along a very shaded gradient all the way to kids downloading OS'es they don't even install, trading them like baseball cards.
All of which means that the market gets the most efficient use out of all the value. Which you'd think would be good for business, better than the monopolistic model that does create $5-$50 billion corps like Microsoft, except for the business of stock market speculation (that does practically nothing good for business except speculators and brokers). Meanwhile, OSS is also capable of growing corps as big and valuable to stock traders as Red Hat, which is also valuable to business and even its competitors.
Open source is a new model for business. Measuring it by the old model isn't going to make sense to a lot of people. Even though it can make a lot of dollars.
--
make install -not war
A few things that many geeks seem to not get:
Salesmen make the world go 'round. They are pounding the pavement every day. They are making relationships with CIOs every day. They have convinced those CIOs that the low-risk path is to buy name brand stuff. It's proven. Plus, if there's a disaster, the CIO can tell his board he bought the best stuff. That's the old IBM line: you never get fired for buying IBM.
CIOs and other management types like the whole sales process. They like the kind of people they have to mingle with. They like the idea of contracts, and terms and conditions, and so forth. It makes them feel like 'real' businessmen, and that they are worth something.
Perhaps it's time for managers of open source startups to stop chasing the billion-dollar dream. If they don't, they will set unrealistic ambitions for themselves,
When is chasing the billion-dollar dream not an unrealistic ambition ?
Seriously, yes, it happens but not very many people... And I'm fairly sure that there's a lot who tries and fails...
It's always an unrealistic ambition... Not saying that such ambitions are bad... It's good to aim high, and failing only reminds you that you're alive...
I think BP is pretty open-source at the moment. They're sharing their good with every living thing in the Gulf right now, for free, though they might not remain a billion-dollar company for long...
Gee, I wonder how companies who give away software for free and whose software is largely maintained by the user community could ever make less money than the companies that lock their software down and charge hundreds of dollars per copy?
It's almost like people aren't paying for it!
Most "duh" article I have ever seen on /.
If the only way you can accept an assertion is by faith, then you are conceding that it can't be taken on its own merits
People need to stop saying "Linux" as if it were one operating system. A Linux distribution is an operating system; different distributions are similar, but not identical, and the problems you have with one distribution may not be reproduced with a different distribution. You say you cannot get Flash to work? Which distribution are you using? Which architecture? Adobe does not maintain a Flash plugin for every single distribution, and they only compile the plugin for x86. I know, it may seem pedantic to question whether or not you are using x86, but when dealing with operating systems other than Windows and (the current) Mac OS X, that is a relevant question -- I myself own an ARM desktop that runs Ubuntu.
I think that you might have been joking, at least judging by what you said about Windows installation. In all seriousness though, the sooner people stop treating "Linux" as if it were a single operating system, and the sooner they stop expecting everything they want to be installed by default (which is not the case with any other operating system -- so why should a Linux distribution be any different? Yes, you need to install the Flash plugin separately after installing Windows!), the sooner we can get back to having "productive" conversations about the relative merits of different operating systems.
Palm trees and 8
If I had a $k to spend on software, what value do I get if I spend it at a $50 billion company verses a $500 million dollar company?
In other words, what does capitalization have to do with value from the customer's perspective?
How is Linux easier than Windows if you're buying peripherals? With Windows, you know that any peripheral you buy that needs a unique driver will come with a driver on a disc that is compatible with the major versions of Windows listed on the product's box. (Windows 2000 and XP are 5.x; Vista and 7 are 6.x.) Consumer peripherals tend not to include Linux drivers on the disc. True, Linux distributions include some drivers on the disc or in a repository, but then you might need a smartphone and data plan with which to check the products in stock in your local electronics store against your distro's HCL. And even then, some device manufacturers have been known to make incompatible chipset changes in a revision to a given model, so check the return policy carefully.
And it wont connect to my Router beacause i need to install some "network" driver or something for my motherboard.
At least a Windows user can install a network driver from the disc packed in the box. If your motherboard's network chip has no available Linux driver because the manufacturer has declined to reveal essential hardware specs to the maintainers of Linux networking, you're [smurf]ed.
Red Hat isn't that good of a Linux distro. There are so many flavors of Linux out there for free so why would anyone pay for Red Hat? Ubuntu is better than Redhat and its free
Don't be alarmed by the title, it's sarcastic. I'm on the side of open-source. And in my opinion the point is to enable humans to be creative without being taken advantage of, a place for human ideas to flourish without being tied down by a subset of greedy humans whose only purpose is to profit monetarily off those ideas. Ideas were meant to be set free for the benefit of humankind. Now, actually DOing something is different, and the skilled should be paid handsomely for their actions. When such a form exists that provides both ideas and action, then the idea should be shared, but the action is unique. The argument is appropo to decoupling the person from what is right or wrong (subjective vs objective). When someone says "I'm right, you're wrong," then they tie themselves down to the problem and stagnate. If instead they say "that's right, or that's wrong," then the problem stands on it's own and doesn't hold hostage the human who so desperately wants to be right and be recognized for it. So, decouple ideas from action for money's sake. But attempt in all cases to develop both from within, and I project both you and the royal "I" (the rest of humanity) will be both rewarded. Live on open-source.
It's because they're poor, Kenny. THEY POOR!
Basically Adam Smith in the Wealth of Nations hated corporations. He believed in small to medium companies competing with one another to bring products to market and providing profits for those companies.
The open source community seems to be aligned with this philosophy over a more corporate "profit for nothing" mentality. A true Adam Smith free market company would be profitable but not so stupidly profitable they could rule over an entire nation. I think a lot of open source companies are profitable but they don't have the same characteristics that a large corporation would have.
People need to stop saying "Linux" as if it were one operating system.
Debian, Ubuntu, Fedora, Mandriva, SUSE, etc. individually will never become popular enough to attract developers of certain kinds of software for which free software has been shown not to make business sense, such as games and game-capable 3D video card drivers. The only way to make a market for non-free programs that run on Linux is to have a single ABI for user space. Linux Standards Base was supposed to ensure that.
You say you cannot get Flash to work? Which distribution are you using?
The fact that you feel the need to ask that question illustrates the problem. Should a program require different binaries for Windows Starter vs. Home Basic vs. Home Premium vs. Professional vs. Ultimate vs. Server?
Which architecture?
There are only two architectures left for consumer products: x86 and ARM. Given "laptop" as opposed to "smartbook", I'll take an educated guess of x86.
Because we don't need any.
> If open source is such a success, why aren't there any billion-dollar
> turnover open source companies?
That's not how we define success.
The existence of gigantic companies in the "closed-source" market is not a mark of success: it is a mark of failure. They only exist because government policies (insanely long copyrights, software patents, overly-broad trademark laws...) allow them to create and control choke points. And no, this is not "market failure". Quite the contrary: it is "regulation failure". The policies in question purport to encourage innovation and competition. They do the opposite.
The Free Software world is about the closest thing we have to a truly free market. The absence of huge, enormously profitable monopolies is evidence of that.
Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
I thought this was the whole POINT of OSS in the first place. Not to be "for-profit" but to be *USED* to make your profit in whatever field you desire. TFA is basically one big troll, OSS' goal isn't about direct profit, it's always been about secondary profit by the money saved.
Implying that you don't know what you're out to buy in the first place?
I'm out to buy "a color laser printer for home use", not a specific make and model, because if I pick a specific make and model before going into the store, it more than likely will not be one that the store happens to carry.
But then, I tend to buy a lot of my peripherals online.
And then pay how much for shipping, and how much for return shipping and restocking if it turns out not to be compatible? I happen to live where a Best Buy is almost next door to the grocery store.
I've already done the research to figure out if something's going to work with my particular setup or not.
Do you expect a median user to have or to easily acquire the skills to do this research? If not, that's why there are no billion-dollar open source companies.
I can't imagine it would really be any different if I were running some version of Windows (or a Mac).
If you have Windows 7, look for the four-color flag and "Compatible with Windows 7". I haven't seen a lot of peripheral boxes with a cute little penguin on them.
There are a few distinct concepts which have been conflated:
- The size of the Open Source software market as measure in dollar revenues.
- The total number of Open Source software deployments.
- The value of Open Source software to its users, as measure in revenues of its users (e.g. Google)
- The size of the largest corporation operating in the Open Source software market.
The assumption that with Open Source software those measures would be in the same relation as with closed-source software markets is probably incorrect. In particular, using the sizes of the largest corporations as a proxy for the "success" of Open Source software is bogus. The Open Source Software business might tend to fragment into multiple vendors because the license permits that, whereas in the closed source market services cohere around large corporations, the software copyright holders.
The failure of predication here was not to overestimate the success of Open Source software. It has been a wild success. Rather, the failure was to to predict the specific forms which that success would take, which Open Source business models would succeed and particularly which corporations would be winners and which losers. Some predicted that companies which rigidly devoted themselves to vending purely Open Source solutions would prosper the most. That prediction has proven incorrect. The actual outcome seems to be the Open Source adoption is broad but the biggest winners are not strict adherents to the ideology. Significantly, Google, current market cap. 154.65B, runs on Linux. Apple is thriving and its machines run the Open Source Darwin in combination with proprietary layers on top. IBM provides Linux on its servers.
Conclusion: Open Source software is a muti-billion dollar business but the winners in that market were not the Open Source purists.
Ceci n'est pas une signature.
Wish I had mod points today. This is the most insightful thing I've seen here in weeks. Thank you!
Competition is thriving in the open-source market, hence the lack of massive market-cap non-specialised companies. FOSS is showing capitalism how it's done.
I'm a huge supporter of both capitalism and the open source movement, but please, lets not pretend that the latter has much to do with the former. The reason why open source doesn't make much money is because it's essentially a volunteer effort. The vast majority of people that do FOSS work do it unpaid, and on their own time. I've yet to find a stockbroker that works for "the love of the game". Capitalists are in it for the money, first, last, and always. The open source movement is basically a bunch of voluntary communes. If they make some money, hey, that's nice, but the software is what's important to them, and they're willing to work for free to see it happen.
The two ideas have little to nothing in common, save the idea of voluntary participation.
Life is hard, and the world is cruel
I'm going to digress - Windows is not an inferior product. It had it's moments in the whole "user as admin" miasma. But were Microsoft to add support for some Posix compliance - basically get bash to run without cygwin, I'd drop Linux in a heartbeat.
Microsoft doesn't WANT to be open, and for that, I *choose* to hate them. Windows is not inferior. It's just not open (and by open I don't mean open source, I mean open standards).
they didn't make their money through selling open source products.
True, as far as search goes, but that seems to be changing. Android, much?
Why make a billion when we can make... a million!!!!!
( Austin Powers/Dr Evil music in the background )
"Should a program require different binaries for Windows Starter vs. Home Basic vs. Home Premium vs. Professional vs. Ultimate vs. Server?"
No, but those are really the same operating system with different levels of user restriction, or at least that was the case last I checked. Now, should Fedora and TiVO be able to run the same unmodified binaries? What about Mac OS X and FreeBSD?
The fact that the operating systems happen to have the same kernel does not mean that they are the same operating system. Fedora and Ubuntu do not ship identical versions of libraries, nor do they have the same default access controls (sudo is not the default in Fedora, for example). They look similar because they both use GNOME by default, but "under the hood" there are substantial and relevant differences.
Sure, it would be nice if a single binary would run on many operating systems. Historically, there were attempts to do such things, but the attempts were not very successful, because the differences between operating systems wound up being too substantial. Different operating systems have different philosophies and target different user types -- different Linux distributions are not an exception to that statement. RHEL ships older (but more stable) libraries than Ubuntu does -- should Red Hat be forced to change its philosophy so that unmodified binaries can be run on both RHEL and Ubuntu? Should Canonical create a new policy of installing compatibility libraries by default? All for the sake of maintaining a common ABI between different operating systems that target different needs?
Palm trees and 8
So can anyone name any large close source software companies that have started up rather recently that are billion dollar companies? I can't personally think of any. Can anyone else?
VMware.
I expect several of the computer game companies would also make the cut, though acquisitions and such might make that hard to figure out.
... if open source indirectly implies 10x productivity increase.
Google produces a lot of proprietary software: an email program, an office suite, an instant messenger...
Palm trees and 8
The implication behind "Where are the billion-dollar OSS companies?" is that open source software is 'small time' and useless compared to the 'big boys' of the software world. Stating that companies have become billion dollar companies on top of an open source stack goes to disprove that assertion.
An example: IBM.
Duh.
Now, should Fedora and TiVO be able to run the same unmodified binaries?
OK, then maybe "Linux" isn't an operating system, but "Desktop Linux" (aka GNU/Linux) should be. Otherwise, it won't be an acceptable platform on which to run software that must remain non-free by its nature. Say I want to sell copies of a video game to users of the Fedora operating system, users of the Mandriva operating system, users of the Debian operating system, users of the Ubuntu operating system, and users of the SUSE operating system. It would be a support nightmare to maintain five different SKUs.
RHEL ships older (but more stable) libraries than Ubuntu does
And in some people's mind, Windows XP ships older (but more stable) libraries than Windows 7 does.
All for the sake of maintaining a common ABI between different operating systems that target different needs?
A user of a single desktop computer has many different needs, but users usually don't want to have to reboot the computer to switch to another need-specific operating system.
As others have said, it depends on how you look at success. But Red Hat currently enjoys the "best case" scenario for an open source software company to be financially successful.
New F/OSS companies aren't likely to be able to leverage as high a percentage of unpaid work as Red Hat has with Linux.
So it's not unreasonable to predict that new F/OSS companies return on investment will be less than Red Hat's. So for those who are interested in starting their own profitable software business, Red Hat's performance is important.
OTOH, if the goal isn't to make money, then Red Hat's performance isn't really relevant.
I wanted to reply to you but I couldn't make any sense out of what you were trying to say. Could you clarify basically all of it for me?
The soylentnews experiment has been a dismal failure.
...because in this 21st century world of ours where just about everything is driven by money, it's great to see a huge, world-wide collaborative project confusing the hell out of accountants and marketing types who simply cannot grasp the simple concept that *sometimes* things happen just because enough people *want* to making it happen, rather than being paid to make it happen.
And what's even better about the whole Open Source movement is that it benefits *everyone*. Nowadays, there's no justification for software piracy just because commercial software is overpriced in some parts of the world because now there are truly free alternatives that can, in most cases, give enough functionality - for example, about 10% of MS Office users use enough of its functionality to not be able to use an alternative package, but for the remaining 90% OpenOffice.org provides more than enough functionality.
Even if you don't use or support Open Source, there's no denying that its presence means that commercial software publishers now have a benchmark that they need to be better than, and that, in turn, can only mean better quality software all-round.
Gentoo Linux - another day, another USE flag.
Because it's hard to make money working for nothing. Simple! Open source development is stupid. And if you disagree with me, then you're stupid too. Sincerely, Capitalist Pig
Companies whose main business is FOSS products are likely tied to selling services, not products.
Selling products is harder when anyone can see/compile/redistribute the source code, binaries etc.
Maybe it is hard to earn as much money providing services rather than selling software.
Bull and shit. Copyright is subourned by GPL and FOSS to remove its effects. Copyright is a raping of capitalism. Closed software requires copyright be restrictive. Therefore FOSS is far far FAR more capitalist than CSS.
IBM do it in work time. Red Hat. Mandriva. Novell. Oracle. etc, etc, etc.
How many companies write for Microsoft Windows 7?
What a bunch of size queens. Bigger isn't necessarily better. In many ways, big companies are what's wrong with our economy, while small companies provide more and better jobs.
http://alternatives.rzero.com/
They do > a billion in Linux related business
I don't think you used FOSS 50 years ago. The GPL and BSD licenses were only "conceived" in 1989, a little over 20 years ago. As anyone who actually uses FOSS can tell you, its quality has been constantly increasing (on the average), and even 10 years ago it was much, much harder to use and had many more bugs and problems.
So, your question reads like, well, a strawman. If you want my answer, I'd say, yes, I see more and more individuals becoming aware of Linux and FOSS in general and using them (perhaps not comprehensively), compared with even 5 years ago. And I do not associate this with economic hardship, since there is almost always the "crackware" card you can play instead if you really want. I do associate this with the quality of FOSS having risen over a certain threshold of usability.
And this is only in 20 years. It's hard for me to believe that the quality/usability of FOSS will ever decrease as time goes on. Given that assumption, you can make your own conclusions.
The way FOSS gets adopted in corporate environments is quite different than in the individual adoption scenario, because often (my workplace is an example) there are both political reasons why FOSS doesn't get adopted (the head honcho doesn't like it) and real business reasons (which can include the fact that retraining a large workforce is expensive, or the intensive use of proprietary software which cannot be ported to FOSS platforms and/or easily be integrated with FOSS in the business's workflow, or merely the fact that FOSS availability is far from comprehensively covering the whole range of needs which some businesses have).
I foresee that both the political problems with FOSS adoption, and the retraining problem will decrease with time as FOSS is adopted by more and more individuals. As for the other problems, I have no idea (I'd like to imagine that FOSS will eventually solve all problems, but I have a feeling that not all problems are globally important enough so that they can spawn a FOSS project which can maintain the required level of volunteer interest and/or contributions by private industry of money and manpower).
Open source solves the broken window fallacy in the software market. Seriously. Does anyone believe that Bill Gates or Steve Jobs are ridiculously rich because their companies' software is that much better? That they really earned all the money they have? Linux and other OSS has saved the world probably on the order of trillions of USD which has been put to other uses (curing cancer, researching alternative energy, feeding the poor, etc, etc). On top of that, it has made it possible for people who could never afford the outrageous prices of Microsoft or Apple to be able to use a computer.
Coding Horror already answered the question of this article over three years ago:
Nathan's blog
Those are the same OS with different add-on bundles. And as it happens, getting older programs to work in newer Windows versions can be quite a problem.
Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.
There aren't enough users of the Fedora distribution to make it worthwhile for a company to develop and market products specifically for Fedora. Nor are there enough users of the Ubuntu distribution to make it worthwhile for a company to develop and market products specifically for Ubuntu.
Look I don't want to start a flame war here but I am going to say some things that are going to make some zealots angry. Lets be 100% honest here - Open Source, Closed Source, whatever it is makes no difference - the name of the game is MAKING MONEY. If your programming Open Source to prove how smart or how idealistic you are then congratulations, you have achieved the pinnacle of your success when you publish a product that everyone can use for free AND wants to, however, most people are not out to prove how smart or idealistic they are. They are doing it to make a real living (aka money). In addition, at the end of the day, most people want to get paid for their efforts, ideas, and thoughts (including people who invent Intellectual Property). To berate companies because they are turning a profit is foolish just because YOU may not agree with the amount or that profit or how they make that profit. That's the beauty of America - people vote with their dollars - Product no good, Product over priced, product not a value - I KEEP my dollars. If I agree that the product offers value, fills a NEED, and is reasonably priced - I SPEND my dollars (aka help the company make a profit). So, the companies that capitalize on the back of open source contributors are in my opinion just plain smart - they have pieces of code that are freely available but somehow they make it a proprietary item (usually by adding their bits of code and changing the core structure), turn around sell it, and make profits. So to blindly adhere to the tenets of FOSS and Open Source, then complain about IP laws, profits, or whatever is just stupid. At the end of the day contributing to better, more secure code is yes noble, however, it ultimately does nothing to advance YOUR position in life from a monetary standpoint. So, A lot of people here that are flat out complaining about companies that have made profits, about business models, costs of software, technology, etc. - I say to you - Figure out how to contribute and make some money in the process so you have the ability to do whatever you want, However, then you will have nothing to complain about so this will ultimately fall on deaf ears and dense skulls I think.
This would all boils down to demand. Where MS has made its fortune is creating demand however you want to look at that; innovation, marketing, shrewd business, etc. No flame wars please!
Really, most open source systems are very well tailored to the background or back office applications. They run great as the engine for things that have already been mentioned: SQL servers, web servers, and general mission critical pieces of the network we call the internet. However, what open source certainly suffers from is front office issues.
Although it has been talked about, adopted in some places, and explored in others we have not seen (or at least I have not seen) a widely successful implementation of open source technology at the desktop. The detail I will leave to others but a very simple point is that it is NOT easy or viable for the end user to use. Hell, even Windows and to some extent OS X gives people grief let alone expecting any kind of success with Linux w/ Gnome/KDE as they currently exist.
Open Source still needs polish, attention, and some degree of standardization on the desktop in order to compete for the home/office market. Back office markets are doing well, just ask RedHat, but the front end has far more numbers thus profits to be had. However, as has been the case since this argument started many years ago, open source is and continues to be the venue of the ultra-tech who still lives and dies by the command line. The end user does not.
Dawning my fire retardant suit...
Those are the same OS with different add-on bundles.
As are Debian and Ubuntu and Easy Peasy and Mepis and Super OS. So how can the publisher of a Linux distribution make it worthwhile for companies to develop and market products specific to that distribution?
It's 2010, why is Glyn of all people still talking about selling software instead of using it? Is this a fumble like in 1999 when he mistook deIcaza for a FOSS developer? Are we all so far down the Microsoft money pit that no one is even allowed to think about using the software?
That's what it's all about as far as many are concerned: using the software. Even the opening stipulation in the GPL and the GNU Manifesto are about using the software.
Volkswagen, last I checked, was a contributor to the linux kernel and a user of many other components. It has a market cap of over 32 billion. Amazon, though recently targeted for knee-capping by Microsoft goombas, has a market cap of around 55 billion. Juniper Networks was using open source, at least prior to taking on Microsofters, and had a market cap of around 10 billion. Even Apple, which seems to be succumbing to Microsoft made its comeback around GNU/Darwin. How long they can keep doing that before Microsoft party members can sabotage the company or inject their toxic personnel is anyone's guess.If you look around, it's not hard to find large companies with market caps in the range of many tens of billions of dollars that are using Free and Open Source Software to make lots of money.
Beta is broken and the link to classic doesn't work. Stop wasting our time or there won't be anybody left here.
Comparing different versions of Windows to Linux distros is like comparing apples vs oranges, peaches, grapes and pears. Linux distros all have different package management utilities, not to mention different views on how the OS should run. You may see it as a problem, others see it as a god send. Never have their been so many options for OS selection. Also, the binaries are all the same... its the package formats that are different... rpm,deb,tarball, etc. They all contain the same binary files.
I still don't quite get your point. Why would anybody market proprietary software to just one distro? VMWare sells Workstation for 189 dollars (last I checked) and it isn't marketed to any one distro in particular. When Valve releases Steam later this year, it's unlikely to be just for Ubuntu or anybody else. So, what you say is demonstrably true however, what exactly is the point other than the self-evidence?
The soylentnews experiment has been a dismal failure.
Why would anybody market proprietary software to just one distro?
That's exactly my point. If betterunixthanunix wants to treat "Fedora", "Ubuntu", and other popular distributions as separate platforms, as shown in this comment, he needs to deal with how this choice would fragment the market for software for those platforms.
Most people buy a computer on which someone else has already installed Windows or OS X.
The easiest install is the one that you don't have to do.
Build a man a fire, he's warm for one night. Set him on fire, and he's warm for the rest of his life.
Billion dollar companies I don't aspire to be part of. I am more interested in the ease or difficulty of using open source software to make my small team of programmers millionaires. For me, I decided to offer something of value (software) and charge for it. I decided I didn't want to give it away and hope someone pays me to support it. (Well written consumer software shouldn't need a lot of support! Mine certainly doesn't.) For me, GPL is a poison pill. BSD/MIT licenses make me happy. My customers are happy. My family is happy that I can support them. And I'm very happy I no longer have to work for a billion dollar company.
That's exactly my point. If betterunixthanunix wants to treat "Fedora", "Ubuntu", and other popular distributions as separate platforms, as shown in this comment
Hold on there, Tiger. I just read that comment in its entirety and he didn't actually use the word "platform". He said operating system which is valid. Ubuntu, Debian, Fedora are not the same operating system, however, they do share the same platform. Just like Windows 2k/XP and Vista/7 aren't the same operating systems, they do share a platform and can all run most of the same programs more or less. The only real difference is Windows all comes from MS and Linux comes from whoever feels like putting a distro together or http://www.kernel.org./
The soylentnews experiment has been a dismal failure.
With proprietary hardware model.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Darwin_(operating_system)
The Darwin code is licensed as open source and is used on a large percentage of the physical products sold by Apple.
RedHat could be a larger company by offering special purpose hardware for large database or indexing server clusters. Or create a cluster management that is a lot better than what is happening now in the open source world.
Perhaps it's time for managers of open source startups to stop chasing the billion-dollar dream.
Exactly who *IS* chasing a billion dollar anything?! Is there a wealth of money driven open source mangers out there that I just have never heard of?
/. summary writers to stop chasing billion dollar payments for sensational headlines.
I think it might be better for
If this is higher at Red Hat than it is at MS or some other closed source OS player - then they are fine.
Why bothering with the market cap?
...a stunned silence fell upon the hall.
It's sad that this matters. IMHO a successful company is any that bring it's employees a stable income. A good one actually produces a product or service that somehow makes the world a little better in the process. Unfortunately in today's reality companies are measured by investments not earned profit and with so many multi-billion corporations around the investors will naturally flock towards those, not the multi-million dollar companies.
If we need to by anything, best chances gets the poduct, which:
* is a good stable product
* has all the inner workings of the product
* has all the tools required to support the product
...a stunned silence fell upon the hall.
Let's move on to applications.
Yes, let's do, because the end user will need Wine to run anything not in the repository.
As for your "Netscape ISP", I am rather puzzled, since Firefox is the modern version of the original Netscape browser.
"Netscape browser" and "Netscape ISP" are two different products in the same way that "Microsoft Internet Explorer" and "MSN ISP" are separate products. Read this explanation.
Ubuntu aside for the moment, traditional Linux distributions are easier for professionals, especially those who want to deploy consistent settings across non-identical hardware.
Until I find that the non-identical hardware also turns out to be non-supported hardware.
Redhat is a bad example, they are focusing on a small niche market, that unfortunately for them, is comprised of technically inclined individuals who can and do choose the fork they want. If you are looking for potential candidates to reach the big B, Mozilla (Yes non-profit, but 76 million in revenue in 08 to me is a success of open source.) or Canonical will most likely be the first Billion dollar open source company. They unlike Redhat, are aiming at main street and are succeeding with 10 million plus users. If they can capture even a portion of the savings the open source os gave to the users, think apps, music, video downloads, advertising, etc.. they could easily surpass the Billion mark, it will just take time, and a bit of innovation. The success of open source is in the quality of the product. If you run a server that makes money by the second, you run LINUX or you are leaving a lot of money on the table.
Why should there be "billion dollar open source companies?" Most have nothing that valuable to sell. Red Hat is a packager; they don't implement much.
Remember VA Linux, the people behind Slashdot? Biggest first-day runup in the history of the NASDAQ. Where are they now? Down from 233 to 1.33.
Craigslist is the price leader in local ads, and they're a small company. Jimbo Wales thought Wikia was going to be a big deal (he wanted a private jet, like the Google people), but Wikia turned out to be merely a free hosting service for fancruft (the Star [Wars|Gate|Trek|Craft} wikis, etc.).
Open source software just moves the money in different ways and is almost always more expensive for businesses. This is common knowledge.
Now, causing people to _incorrectly_ assume open source software will cost them less money is an accomplishment.
Actually costing less money has not been accomplished unless you believe very strangely compiled reports released by ... guess who ... commercial open source software companies! LOL
I could list 100 reasons why getting all your software written by me personally _could_ save your business a ton of money. Yet I know for sure that it probably will not.
Right. The people who use the software get to make as much money as they can. The people who write the software get to make as much as they can providing support (and since there is a larger pool of support than authors the supply/demand price curve says that isn't very much).
Mostly agreed. A related point is that people seem to be assuming that an "open source company" is something like RedHat, which charges money for support for an open source software product, typically under a GPL license, apparently because the people behind the project and/or the company fear being crushed by a fork that doesn't share back.
There are no examples of raging success of that model, but some modest successes.
A slightly different model is pursued by Apple. It supports a number of interesting open source projects. Sure, Darwin doesn't really seem to be used by anybody other than Apple and it's customers, but WebKit and LLVM, for example are widely used by others. The licenses for these projects tend to be BSD-style licenses, and the projects receive substantial support not only from Apple but other profit seeking enterprises as well.
Perhaps it's time to re-think the business approach to open source software, and the open source project's approach to business. There's an alternative model which seems to be worth pondering.
If you mod me down, I shall become more powerful than you could possibly imagine.
Well, a billion dollar a year company really isn't all that big, and there are several examples of software companies in that range, unlike "bicycle pump manufacturers". The question is realistic. What it really amounts to is, "Why hasn't RedHat been more successful?" The nature of the fragmentation in the Linux market is an obvious issue, but is fragmentation and project forking the only limiting factor in the growth of these companies?
If you mod me down, I shall become more powerful than you could possibly imagine.
There are plenty of billion dollar open source businesses. The problem is how the business community is counting the money. More precisely, how they're measuring value. There are a number of open source projects with adoption rates and value-to-customers that multiply into the multiple billions -- web servers to Wordpress. The "problem" is that almost all of that billions of dollars of value is given back to the users. This is a problem for would-be billionaires, but pretty fucking ideal for the rest of us.
I hate to say it, but "installers of other peoples' stuff" isn't the most magnificent of business models.
The upside, that you get all this extra, free effort from "the community", is also its downside, since it says you can't charge for the "stuff" directly.
(-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
> If open source is such a success, why aren't there any billion-dollar turnover open source companies?
Because the making of money is not the only measure of "success".
Why this obsession with an arbitrary numerical goal. I would think that a company which is able to pay it's employees and owners very well, and provide excellent benefits and reasonable or even shorter work hours would be much more of a 'success' to me than one that pushes and pushes and squeezes every drop out of it's employees just to reach a $5 billion dollar goal.
Our society is better served by having multiple smaller companies who treat their staff well. It gives the consumer more choice, and employees more freedom to seek out a different or better employment situation. If there's only one big company to work at... you as an employee have fewer choices and less bargaining power. I'm all for big sales and profits- but I'm more interested in where it ends up. In the CEO and board's pockets? If that's the case then the $5 billion is practically worthless.
You do know they're a Linux vendor, right?
Why No Billion-Dollar Open Source Companies?
Open source companies make money from support. What software companies make billions in just their support contracts? Maybe Microsoft? And who can compete on a level playing field with Microsoft for supporting MS's products? A too-expensive OSS company can and will get dropped like a brick.
"A user of a single desktop computer has many different needs, but users usually don't want to have to reboot the computer to switch to another need-specific operating system."
Although, considering that most desktops these days have hardware assistance for virtualization, perhaps it would be worthwhile to push virtualization instead of dual booting. Instead of rebooting to switch, just change between windows or switch to a different VT, and you have the environment you needed all along. It would take some work to ensure that the user interface was simple enough for common users though.
Palm trees and 8
Nokia is an Open Source company too - ref: Symbian, Qt and Maemo/MeeGo.
In fact, (IMO) it is a prime reason many of the current employees work there - well, engineers anyway; they really believe in Open Source.
Revenue 40.99 billion (2009)
Operating income 1.197 billion (2009)
Net income 891 million (2009)
Total assets 35.74 billion (2009)
Total equity 14.75 billion (2009)
What criterion is the article using?
Max.
I would much rather have lots of small companies each contributing toward the industry, as a whole, making a billion dollars a year, as opposed to one company making a billion dollars a year.
If one company out of a thousand fails, burns, gets trampled by elephants, etc., it is a minor thing in the larger scheme. If only a few companies are propping up the industry and one goes down, gets trampled by elephants, doused in acid, etc., it's a freaking disaster.
We should never again hear the words "too big to fail" applied to any company.
"My God...it's full of trolls!"
Um, really.
So these companies, that make millions of dollars a year, aren't successful?
Seems to me, any companies that pays it's bills, pays it's employes and still make any profit is doing good.
Sure, some might argue that the shareholders (if it's a corp) might not be making much, but i don't give a fuck about them, it's been really obvious they don't care about me.
Be seeing you...
What is it with you and the perverse fixation on money.
There are better goals out there.
If you have lots of children, and you die, you will survive trough them.
If you have great ideas and people follow your mindset, you will survive trough them.
If you have lots of money, and you die, some brat or dick will get your money and do whatever he likes. Especially what you did not want him to do when you were alive. And shortly thereafter nobody will even remember you existed.
Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
Call me communist or whatever, but I think companies shouldn't be that big. What is the problem in existing thousands of smaller companies that cooperate, fostering their local economies? Why does everything need to grow without limits?
`echo $[0x853204FA81]|tr 0-9 ionbsdeaml`@gmail.com
I think VMWare might be about the only one. Game companies? Maybe. But a few examples proves my point.
The point being, there's not this enormous list of software companies that've risen to become billion dollar companies in just 10 or 15 years or so. Asking the question "why isn't their an OSS software company making billions" is irrelevant when there's only a few software companies PERIOD that've started in the last 10-15 years making a billion dollars.
AccountKiller
I thought this was the whole POINT of OSS in the first place. Not to be "for-profit" but to be *USED* to make your profit in whatever field you desire.
Not quite. The point of OSS is to be used, yes, but the point is further that those using it also improve it and contribute back.
Quite obviously, "writing code to be used by someone else to make their profit" is not a viable business plan on its own.
Ubuntu has 75% of the linux desktop now, and when we finally fix our non-Firefox useragents, it will become easier to verify the fact. Fragmentation is a myth.
If wiping Windows out means wiping Fedora and Suse out first, you better believe we'll do it. We have removed all mention of linux from ubuntu.com (go, hit ctrl+f and find out for yourself), and we have no objections to doing whatever it takes to get the job done. Our next approach will be loading the Ubuntu Software Center with proprietary applications and letting Fedora wipe themselves out with their own free software purism.
The sum of all verified OS share for non-ubuntu platforms is about 10% of the linux desktop, according to statowl It's irrelevant. Has been for years.
What will an entrepreneur prefer? Open source or Closed source software to start his company.
I'd like to buy homeland for our 10 million people. http://twitter.com/mahadiga
Sigh. It's pretty obvious if you know accounting or have run a business. It comes down to margins and how they scale (or don't) in the typical OSS business model. This is simply the nature of the beast.
On one hand software has the potential for insanely nice scaling: write once, sell many. The problem comes down the nature of the OSS license and what you can charge for in GPL (less a problem with a BSD license). In general this usually comes down to media distribution and support consulting and services. Media distribution is like running a grocery or restaurant in terms of margins - basically low and labor intensive except for the write-once-sell-many leverage aspect (you really can, but not necessarily will, "make it up in volume"). This is just about the only situation where that phrase can actually work.
Support can have better margins but it still labor-skill-limited. Say you are genius at your application market - great, you can charge high prices (get good margins) but there is a problem with scaling. You can only deliver 2000 hours a year and then you hit a brick wall: see humans don't scale well if they are the bottleneck of product delivery. This is why the industrial revolution occurred by substituting human labor with machine labor: you can scale machine-based factories over several orders of magnitude output growth without changing the inputs much beyond the cost of goods themselves. Human can not and never will have that kind of scaling. But to grow a company from a "garage" to $1B company, you must have that kind of scaling in your business model!.
Well, why not just hiring more skilled bodies? Well, there's the rub: as skill required increases, the ability to find someone who actually can substitute for you, the genius founder, decreases combinatorially and probabilistically. Building an entire team of clones in terms of skills, temperament and drive is pretty much impossible at some sufficiently high technical level. Machines can be cloned thus, but people generally can't if they have any worthwhile skills that give competitive advantage. That's largely the point of skills as competitive advantage: skills are a barrier to entry because competitors can't find people like you either (presumably - maybe what you know isn't really as much of a competitive advantage as you'd like to believe).
One labor trick that partially scales (logarithmic scaling though, not the power law or the ideal of exponential scaling required for compound growth of the firm's ROI), is to use the hierarchal trick used by LLP type companies that are labor driven. This includes lawyers, accountants and doctors: have senior partners who are the geniuses and who are the justification for high prices by skills at the top and then populate the rest of the hierarchy with progressively lower cost junior partners, pre-professionals (pre-CPA/Bar law grads) and sub-professionals (bookkeepers/paralegals) which do the real work but who's time is charged to customers at the full or nearly-full senior partner rate - the partners split the difference. This scales better than a pure "throw bodies at the problem" business model but it doesn't scale better than machines.
The last issue comes from competitive advantage limitations of a pure software model. If you can do both hardware and software, you have considerably better competitive advantage which allows you to both control end-user value better and (thus) charge more. This is basically Apple's take on computing. The same is true for other markets that involve hardware with a software component as well. But not even smart companies can do hardware sometimes: Microsoft's Xbox and other hardware products like WebTV are notoriously fail as businesses or products; regardless of how much you may love the Xbox - Microsoft has and is losing money hard over fist on it. As a financial investment it's negative ROI. Part of this is necessary because they grew so fast that they outgrew the growth potential of their core markets long ago so only market extension into non-core business is viable for growth needs imposed on them by being a public company.
This is the most idiotic comment I have ever witnessed on slashdot. For fuck's sake...
What a bizarre claim, that the lack of multi-billion-dollar open source companies "allows opponents of free software to paint one of its defining successes -- saving money -- as a failure". Since the obscene wealth of software companies comes precisely from exploiting customers, and the "saving money" that users of free software achieve inevitably cuts into those profits, isn't this exactly the evidence of "saving money" we'd expect to see, and wouldn't a multi-billion-dollar Red Hat suggest that their customers were not saving any more money than Microsoft's? What a crazy, ridiculous argument, that free software users should somehow save money while giving more of it to software companies at the same time.
Even if the logic of that claim weren't already standing on its ass, it also takes the limited "success" of "open source" (presumably a success measured in terms of business profit) and presents this as a possible argument against "free software". "Open source" and "free software" are clearly not the same thing. The GPL was not designed in order to provide greedy developers with another way to get rich: it was designed to provide developers who actually care about the purposes and effects of their code a better, less restricted path to development, unhindered by the greed that withholds knowledge from other people purely in order to exploit them. If greedy developers want to borrow some of the "open source" advantages from the free software movement, fine, but whether or not this pathway to profit works for them as well as the far better established pathway via proprietary closed-code software is a separate issue from the merits of free software. After all these years of the "not just free as in free beer: free as in free speech" idea being spammed all over the Net, it's amazing that people still don't get that "free software" is more than "freeware" or "open source". Just because software doesn't immediately rape you like Microsoft's doesn't make it benevolent. Freeware and "open source" solutions that don't respect software freedom are just potential offenders grooming you for the opportunity.
Look at the .com companies that survived the 'dot bomb' era. They used open source.
Open source had nothing to do with it. Just as many non-open source using companies survived as open source....
Ogre Wedding Planners llc.
Many heavy FOSS users end up contributing and occasionally leading development efforts. The myopic focus on companies that 'sell' software is not a metric that helps. If you compare the amount of licenses bought or sold, then FOSS won't show up on the chart. We saw that in the late 1990's when Microsoft marketeers went around to Fortune 500 and other companies and asked the CFO if, based on purchasing, any FOSS was used in-house. That's just letting Microsoft Marketeers (or as they now call themselves, Researchers) mince words to block out the rest of the universe. To that point, there are probably ten thousand companies that use software for every one that markets itself as a development house.
Keep focus on using the software. FOSS is more flexible and wins hands-down when the discussion is about the advantages of using the software.
Beta is broken and the link to classic doesn't work. Stop wasting our time or there won't be anybody left here.
last time I heard.... NOVELL was worth approx 2 billion
You seem to have forgotten the x86_64 architecture, for yes it's different from the x86, and almost as little supported as the ARM.