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$1 Trillion In Minerals Found In Afghanistan

clustro writes "American geologists working with the Pentagon have discovered deposits of iron, copper, cobalt, gold, and lithium of incredible bounty, amounting to nearly $1 trillion. In fact, the lithium deposits are so vast, an internal Pentagon memo has stated that Afghanistan could become the 'Saudi Arabia of lithium.' The wealth of the deposits completely flattens the current GDP of Afghanistan, estimated at about $12 billion. Mining would completely transform the economy of Afghanistan, which presently is propped up by the opium trade and foreign aid. However, it could take decades for extraction to reach its full potential due to the war, the lack of heavy industry in the country, and a corrupt national government."

25 of 688 comments (clear)

  1. That's Great But... by sonicmerlin · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This basically means we're staying in Afghanistan indefinitely. Even worse, in the end the only ones who will benefit are the corporations. The taxpayers and the government will never see any of that money.

    1. Re:That's Great But... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This basically means we're staying in Afghanistan indefinitely. Even worse, in the end the only ones who will benefit are the corporations. The taxpayers and the government will never see any of that money.

      Who do you think works for the corporations? Answer: The taxpayers.

      Also, do you think mining is going to be a nonprofit organization? They'll pay taxes to the government.

      This is great news because this could help wipe out Afghanistan's poverty, the actual biggest obstacle to a functioning government.

    2. Re:That's Great But... by Alain+Williams · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Who do you think works for the corporations? Answer: The taxpayers.

      Yes, but which taxpayers will benefit: Afghani or USA ones ?

      The wealth should be for the Afghanis, not the western powers who will now try to put in ''development teams'' -- who, in reality, will try to get as much of the profits into western coffers.

    3. Re:That's Great But... by pmontra · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Who do you think works for the corporations? Answer: The taxpayers.

      My understanding is that US citizens must pay taxes in the USA even if they work abroad, but that's not the case for every other nationalities. So part of these salaries will go to the USA and part not.

      Also, do you think mining is going to be a nonprofit organization? They'll pay taxes to the government.

      Of which country? Corporations have proven to be very good at paying taxes where they cost them less money. Check this for an example.

      This is great news because this could help wipe out Afghanistan's poverty, the actual biggest obstacle to a functioning government.

      That's exactly what happened everywhere oil or minerals have been discovered around the world. Middle East currently enjoys highest standard of living than the rest of the world thanks to half a century of massive oil extraction. Oh wait...

    4. Re:That's Great But... by Macrat · · Score: 5, Funny

      Yes, but which taxpayers will benefit: Afghani or USA ones ?

      It will benefit the gov't of Haliburton.

    5. Re:That's Great But... by couchslug · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The Afghanis should get rich, but the wealth extraction requires expertise they don't have (killing each other has been more fun down the centuries).

      Expect leases to go up for bid as in Iraq. This is probably for the best, as competing major nations can buy in rather than fight over the nasty little place.

      Absent international intervention, what we know would happen is that the Taliban would take over and we'd have "rich Taliban". Money wouldn't turn these people into secular freethinkers overnight, they'd just be rich peasants.

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    6. Re:That's Great But... by f3rret · · Score: 5, Insightful

      We used to be 'rich peasants' too, we used to be fundamentalists too (Recall the Catholic church in the dark ages and later on various forms of cultural fundamentalism), then we got rich by trade and various forms of mineral wealth.

      Guess what happened then, we turned into a stable democratic society. It stands to reason that any society below a certain wealth/developmental level will tend towards fundamentalism of various kinds and as wealth and developmental level increase in society freedoms starts to emerge.

      It has always bothered me that we in the developed world seem to have this idea that we can 'fix' the world, we seem to have this idea that we can just swoop in to a country which has a culture and history which is radically different from ours and impose our cultural values of 'freedom' on them.
      We used to be brutal and fundamentalist here in the western world and no-one came here to tell us how to live, instead we killed each other and did any number of horrible things and then eventually got tired of doing those things and settled down into what we known as the modern world.

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    7. Re:That's Great But... by talcite · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This development may actually be the worst thing possible for the people of Afghanistan.

      The discovery of oil or abundant mineral wealth in many African states has caused severe corruption, wars, and generally speaking, bad times for those citizens. Specifically, Nigeria -> oil -> widespread government corruption and little development of general population. Congo -> diamonds -> civil war that's lasted for decades.

      If those states are any hint of what happens when lots of valuables are discovered in a weakly governed state, then there's going to be trouble in Afghanistan.

    8. Re:That's Great But... by Shin-LaC · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Guess what happened then, we turned into a stable democratic society. It stands to reason that any society below a certain wealth/developmental level will tend towards fundamentalism of various kinds and as wealth and developmental level increase in society freedoms starts to emerge.

      That was Clinton's big idea back when he promoted China's entry into WTO, wasn't it? But what actually happened is that they just got rich, yet they are not any more democratic than before. I think they did get more nationalistic, though, so that's something.

    9. Re:That's Great But... by psnyder · · Score: 5, Informative

      My understanding is that US citizens must pay taxes in the USA even if they work abroad

      As a US citizen that works abroad, I have to FILE taxes, but pay nothing. I basically declare that I made a certain amount working abroad and was taxed in that country. I declare I made 0 in the US, and I owe 0 US taxes. Apparently making rather large sums of money overseas is different, according to the H&R Block person who helps me file.

      Also, bringing over 10K back into the US is taxed.

      Note: I live in a 1st world country that the US is quite friendly with. It may be different in Afghanistan.

      This is great news because this could help wipe out Afghanistan's poverty, the actual biggest obstacle to a functioning government.

      That's exactly what happened everywhere oil or minerals have been discovered around the world. Middle East currently enjoys highest standard of living than the rest of the world thanks to half a century of massive oil extraction. Oh wait...

      The United Arab Emirates has a fairly high standard of living because of the discovery of oil there. Before discovering it, they were scraping by on fishing.

      However, it's not a 1 step process. The 2nd step has a lot to do with it: "The late Sheikh Zayed, ... president of the UAE at its inception, ... directed oil revenues into healthcare, education and the national infrastructure."

    10. Re:That's Great But... by ragefan · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I think this would have to be a huge boon for Pakistan as well. With Afghanistan being land-locked there are only 2 directions to the sea to ship it out, Iran and Pakistan. Pakistan would be wise to collect fees for providing the infrastructure to get ore to port.

    11. Re:That's Great But... by C0L0PH0N · · Score: 5, Insightful

      "We used to be 'rich peasants' too, we used to be fundamentalists too (Recall the Catholic church in the dark ages and later on various forms of cultural fundamentalism), then we got rich by trade and various forms of mineral wealth.

      Guess what happened then, we turned into a stable democratic society. It stands to reason that any society below a certain wealth/developmental level will tend towards fundamentalism of various kinds and as wealth and developmental level increase in society freedoms starts to emerge."


      You are forgetting Saudi Arabia, made an incredibly wealthy country by any standard due to its recently found oil minerals, yet one of the most repressive fundamentalist regimes on the planet, source of the 9/11 terrorists, and source of the extreme Wahabi sect of Islam which promotes Sharia law in Western countries including the US, and which with Saudi Arabia's wealth, is being paid for world wide. Another Saudi Arabia, under the Taliban, would be frightening.

    12. Re:That's Great But... by arobatino · · Score: 5, Informative

      This is great news because this could help wipe out Afghanistan's poverty, the actual biggest obstacle to a functioning government.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Resource_curse

    13. Re:That's Great But... by Rich0 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Perhaps it is possible that the following statements can both be true at the same time:

      1. The Chinese are governed by a totalitarian state that oppresses individual freedom and is corrupt, and this isn't right.

      2. The US Government is losing its democratic ideals and suffers from corruption, and this also isn't right.

      This isn't a who-is-better-us-or-them contest. The fact that the US needs reform doesn't mean that China does not.

    14. Re:That's Great But... by Myopic · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The UK is "still paying off" debt from WWII, and in fact still has some debts on the books from before the Napoleonic wars.

      http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/magazine/4757181.stm

      Why? Because despite your not understanding it, the smart people who run the UK government know that it is better to roll over that debt than to pay it off. I won't explain it to you; get an economics textbook.

      So saying that debt will not be paid off in our lifetime is insufficient cause for alarm. I don't know how long your threshold is for when things aren't "fine", but if things can be projected out for two hundred years, I think it's reasonable to say that things are "fine". There MAY BE OTHER very good reasons to be concerned, but you didn't list any of them.

  2. Beter later than never. by ThePangolino · · Score: 5, Informative

    China was on it since 2008. At least. http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/asia/article3941656.ece
    The Economist had an interesting story about it something like one year ago. I couldn't find it unfortunately.

    --
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  3. The poor will see nothing. by gd2shoe · · Score: 5, Informative

    Sadly, no. You must start with a healthy government before mineral riches become a boon to the average citizen, let alone the poor.

    http://www.hulu.com/watch/91538/vanguard-rebels-in-the-pipeline

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  4. Re:CNN said this could make it the saudi arabia by WalksOnDirt · · Score: 5, Informative

    Saudi Arabia is not poor, and by that I mean the people are not poor. The government spreads the oil money around a fair bit. They import people to be poor, er, I mean to do the work the Saudis don't want to.

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  5. The Price of being the sole superpower by arcite · · Score: 5, Funny

    America will do what it does best, bring democracy and freedom to the world. Those American corps better get their bids sorted, the Chinese are good at undercutting everyone.

  6. Exactly NONE of it is leaving Asia by Hanzie · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Are you guys seriously thinking the US will get ANY of it? The Afghan gov't stopped caring about the US the day we announced we were leaving. The Afghan gov't has already been cutting it's deals with the Taliban. The US is exactly on the other side of the planet. Hell, we don't even have a friendly neighboring country to get the ore through. What do you think we'll do? FLY it to the US? The Chinese have this locked tight. If we tried to set up any sort of operation, Al-Queda would kill our people, if the Talibani didn't get to them first. The whole point under discussion is us taking the value away from the Afghanis. Can't happen. For anyone else, it's a cheap operation with cheap labor. For us it would be a military operation with expensive contractors getting killed every day. Cannot happen. The Chinese have this one in the bag.

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  7. Mineral deposits almost never reduce poverty. by adam · · Score: 5, Informative

    If you think mineral deposits "wipe out poverty" you ought to travel to west Africa.

    The vast majority (99%+) of Sierra Loeneans who spend their lives in poverty, toiling to find diamonds, have never seen a finished and cut diamond. Many never even find a single diamond. Sierra Leone ranks amongst the five least developed countries.

    A single gold mine in Mali will produce $1.5BN (USD) and has made a 0.07% reinvestment ($100k) in schools from its World Bank loan. The words of one worker, “[w]e read on the Internet that AngloGold has pronounced that Morila is the most profitable gold mine in the world, and yet most workers here get no lodging or training, or even health care. In South Africa, AngloGold is paying for the anti-retrovirals for its staff that are HIV-positive, and here they take all our medical costs out of our salaries.” Mine companies often pay only hundreds of thousands of dollars per year in lease fees.

    Rutile is 95% titanium dioxide and Sierra Leone’s deposits of rutile may account for as much as 30% of the world’s supply, and the U.S. government lists it as a “strategic metal” to be stockpiled by the U.S. defense department. Sierra Leone is pock-marked by destroyed farmland and displaced communities, all in the name of rutile and diamond minining.

    Another poster made an allusion to the mid-east, but Africa I think is a much better example as oil actually has been good for the average person in some mid-east countries, but these are fairly stable and developed countries. To look at natural resource reserves in unstable and undeveloped countries, versus stable, one only has to look at Oman and Yemen (both oil-rich and neighbors, one has GDP per capita 10x of the other). West Africa is a much better comparison to Afghanistan than Kuwait or the UAE (so if you want to make the mid-east comparison, skip Dubai and look at Yemen).

    For a good read (and my source for much of the info above) I would recommend Joan Baxter's Dust from our Eyes.

    --
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    1. Re:Mineral deposits almost never reduce poverty. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      A few points

      • You ignore any tax, royalty or dividens the local governments get
      • By your figures, you seem to imply the Morila mine got a $150m loan from the World Bank.
        • Mining companies usually finance their own exploration & development
        • The loan, if given, should be paid back to the World Bank, not reinvested in the community
        • This seems to imply the Morila mine received no loan, while a related project got a $25m loan back in 1996. As an aside, the same article also metions that the Government of Mali got $156m in taxes, royalties and dividends from the property that did get the loan
      • Community investment is now standard practice by all respectable mining companies operating in the third world
        • The investment from the mine you mentioned is more that $100k; apparently, $160k was invested in a single year:

          "Randgold Resources is also committed to the integration of environmental and social impact management into its business activities, and operates to international standards in this regard. On the social responsibility front, Morila last year spent more than US$160 000 on direct community development while Loulo spent more than US$240 000 on projects ranging from building and equipping schools to malaria control programmes," he said.

        • The same press release gives a current figure for the taxes, royalties and dividends:

          Bristow said Mali presented an outstanding example of what this approach could achieve. He noted that over the past 10 years, Randgold Resources alone had invested and reinvested more than US$1 billion there. During that time, the mines it developed at Morila and Loulo - in areas where there had been little economic activity other than subsistence farming - had paid US$500 million directly to the government in taxes, royalties and dividends. It was the largest single taxpayer in the country as well as its largest private-sector employer...

      • Finally, if you want to look at West Africa, why not look at Ghana - the first West African country to gain independence, a country with political and social stability, and a country with a long history of mining (it used to be known as the Gold Coast). Mining there is a huge contributor to the national economy, and has been for years.

      Mining can be damaging to the environment and to communities, and it is important that a close eye be kept on the industry, especially when it operates in countries with weak governments. But, the assumption that mines are inherently destructive, and that mining companies are inherently evil, is wrong.

  8. They're never was anyway by Viol8 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Afghanistan isn't really a proper country. Its a load of seperate tribal areas with a border drawn around then that really represents where the surrounding countries end rather than where afghanistan starts. Is effectively ungovernable and has been throughout recorded history. The tribes come together against any outside aggressors but as soon as they're gone they turn in on themselves and the inter tribal conflicts start again. I don't expect this to change anytime soon.

  9. To address your points. by adam · · Score: 5, Informative

    [1] I don't ignore tax/royalty/dividends that may go to the local government in my original post. I partially address this (mine leases in Mali that are in the hundreds-of-thousands-of-dollars per year), but even if the mines are paying "fair" taxes (etc) to the governments, that implies very little about eradicating poverty in a country that is unstable undeveloped. See: Yemen vs Oman. When something like 90% of US foreign aid comes directly back to the United States (source: Baxter's book, which is full of cites, apologies I don't have it available), I am dubious that the taxes paid by natural resource extraction firms will be any more beneficial to the impoverished people of a region.

    [2] Morila did get a $150M loan, yes (source: Joan Baxter). These types of loans usually call for community investment, that is the point of the World Bank (ostensibly anyway), to develop countries, not to make mine owners richer (although you can make a good argument for the inverse! See documentary: Life and Debt). As to whether they got this loan, I tend to trust Joan Baxter on this matter (she's a BBC correspondent, etc), although I don't have her book handy (I loaned it to a colleague).

    [3] Claims of community reinvestment are now standard practice, sure. Note: you are citing mining companies press released. According to BP's web site they are "unaware of any reason" that would have caused their "share price movement." This just happens to be a timely example, but I think it's a good one, in that it's pretty obvious what caused their share price movement (I assume their argument would be that they are still quite profitable despite their current environmental catastrophe — while that may be true, this argument is spin, at best). I am extremely dubious of any claims made by mining interests as to what they are investing in communities. I'd rather believe neutral sources (like BBC reporters) who actually VISIT these areas and report on what they've seen. "Investing" $240,000 might mean they have a $200,000/yr consultant on payroll and he had $40,000 in expenses while "researching" how to help the community.

    Quoting your press released, "in areas where there had been little economic activity other than subsistence farming..." Maybe those farmers were happy. Now there is "economic activity" there, but are the farmers more or less impoverished? I'll bet more. We are debating whether minerals in undeveloped countries bring people out of poverty, mind you, not whether mining companies pay taxes.

    [4] Ghana is the most stable of western African countries, and thus the least applicable to Afghanistan. Nevertheless, I'm happy to talk about it. I'll be spending three months in Ghana this year doing infectious disease work, so I'm reasonably versed on its issues. As you stated, Ghana might be the best case example. Even so, a third of the country lives on less than a dollar a day, and although that percentage has come down a lot, and they may well meet their MDG for poverty by 2015, it's still not great. More than half the country lives on less than $2/day. 40 years ago South Korea and Ghana had the same per capita income (source: council on foreign relations). Still think mining has brought Ghanaians out of poverty? PPP GDP nowadays for Korea = $27000, Ghana = $1400. No contest as to who is still mired in poverty. I'll admit that I have a biased perspective, when I see children dying because their parents couldn't afford the twenty-six cent cost of a measles inoculation, three dollars for malaria treatment, or ten dollars for a bed net. And I have yet to witness mining or oil extraction doing much to help fix this. Sierra Leone, Nigeria, etc, the story is always the same ... as the "subsistence" farmers if their lives are better after the "economic activity" came to their region, and the answer is invariably: NO.

    [5] To address the last sentence of your post, "But, the assumption that mines are inherently destructive, and that mining co

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  10. Re:Handy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    As a german, that comment makes me puke. Of course not everything done to us by the US after the war was out of pure altruism, but hey, we just happend to lay waste to a huge part of the developed world. Allowing germany to continue to exist should be considered *nice* in that situation. And helping us to develop into a fairly wealthy country was fucking awesome. (Oh, and rose-colored "ostalgie" glasses aside, whatever politically fuelled the US did to us was topped tenfold by what the russians did to east germany.)

    I do not approve of everything the US does today, but saying their behavior after WWII was "the opposite of benefiting the greater good" is so far from beeing reasonable I might have to consider I just have been trolled.