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Judge Quashes Subpoena of UVA Research Records

esocid writes "An Albemarle County Circuit Court judge has set aside a subpoena issued by Virginia Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli to the University of Virginia seeking documents related to the work of climate scientist and former university professor Michael Mann. Judge Paul M. Peatross Jr. ruled that Cuccinelli can investigate whether fraud has occurred in university grants, as the attorney general had contended, but ruled that Cuccinelli's subpoena failed to state a 'reason to believe' that Mann had committed fraud. He also set aside the subpoena without prejudice, meaning Cuccinelli can rewrite it to better explain why he wants to investigate, but seemed skeptical about the underlying claim of fraud. The ruling is a major blow for Cuccinelli, a global warming skeptic who had maintained he was investigating whether Mann committed fraud in seeking government money for research that showed the earth has experienced a rapid, recent warming. Mann, now at Penn State University, worked at U-Va. until 2005. 'The Court has read with care those pages and understands the controversy regarding Dr. Mann's work on the issue of global warming. However, it is not clear what he did was misleading, false or fraudulent in obtaining funds from the Commonwealth of Virginia,' Peatross wrote. The ruling also limited Cuccinelli to asking about only one of the five grants issued, which was the only one using state funds."

293 comments

  1. Judge Does Something Smart? by DarkKnightRadick · · Score: 1

    Interesting.

    --
    "There is a way that seems right to a man, but its end is the way of death." Proverbs 16:25 (NKJV)
    1. Re:Judge Does Something Smart? by Pojut · · Score: 2, Insightful

      They're not all bad...I know that the judges at our local courthouse (which is less than a mile away from our apartment...keeps crime down:-)) vary greatly.

    2. Re:Judge Does Something Smart? by QuantumLeaper · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Judges are not stupid, unlike a lot of people who think the Courts are an extension of the Political machine. People may appoint Judges for political reasons but they should never bow to those reasons.

    3. Re:Judge Does Something Smart? by DarkKnightRadick · · Score: 1

      So do the local ones around me. It'd be nice for a little more consistency.

      --
      "There is a way that seems right to a man, but its end is the way of death." Proverbs 16:25 (NKJV)
    4. Re:Judge Does Something Smart? by memyselfandeye · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I tend to agree. I'm a political junkie by nature, so take this with a grain of salt, but it seems to me that Judges do a good job of holding true to law. The big news going around about stem-cells has a lot of my peers -I work in a University- roiled, but let's face facts, if it's true that he ruled based on a 90s law that forbids stem cell research, then maybe it's time to change the law and not bend it? Same goes for this case, as it was for the big evolution case in PA where a conservative appointed judge ruled that evolution is a real scientific theory and intelligent design was a ploy to rename creationism and thus illigal to teach in public schools.

      2.5 cents.

    5. Re:Judge Does Something Smart? by BJ_Covert_Action · · Score: 1

      In general, local politicians (not really the right term for a judge, I know) tend to be a bit easier to work with than the higher ups. I know a lot of the judges in local courts that I've visited/juried in/etc. tend to be very shrewd people who take their role as an arbiter of the law very seriously. Similarly, most city-council politicians I know tend to work very hard to keep in touch with their voter base and to enact seemingly sane policies. Politics and law at the local level tend to be pretty mild and generally accessible. It's when you start dealing with folks who work on the State level and above that you run into the real D-bags.

    6. Re:Judge Does Something Smart? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Intelligent Design is renamed Creationism, they even found the 'smoking' version of 'Of Pandas and People' showing the 'evolution' of the book. One of these days the people will finally realize that these sort of people are out for political gain over the truth but I don't hold my breath.

      I am just glad there are Judges who follow the law even if they may not like the law. Even if the ruling is against what I believe in....

    7. Re:Judge Does Something Smart? by Obfuscant · · Score: 2, Informative
      Similarly, most city-council politicians I know tend to work very hard to keep in touch with their voter base and to enact seemingly sane policies.

      In my experience, it's the city council politicians who run based on personal agenda and then push that agenda as much as they can while in office. They also know that they can pass all kinds of stupid "pronouncements" with little to no real meaning other than making themselves look great to the loudest nutcases, so they don't have to worry about what they pass.

      They can also schedule all their meetings so that no sane person could possibly attend them all, thus creating a lack of competition for the next election. Ours meets on the first and third Monday at noon AND at 7PM, and has commissions they are part of that meet on various weekdays at 7:30AM or 8PM. If you are in any way employed you are almost certain not to be able to attend all the meetings, so even if you did get elected you'd get kicked off the council for failing to attend meetings. Except for one council favorite who keeps taking time off to make illegal trips to Cuba and displays a Cuban flag pasted to the top of his city-funded laptop, he gets excused whenever he asks.

    8. Re:Judge Does Something Smart? by CronoCloud · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      It's an age/affluence thing. Around here, most city council/county board position holders are either semi-retired or have upper middle class/upper class jobs that they can give them plenty of leave/sabbaticals/time off. If you're say, an executive at a heavy equipment company, they'll give you whatever time you need, because they know you will favor their interests.

    9. Re:Judge Does Something Smart? by Timothy+Brownawell · · Score: 3, Informative

      People may appoint Judges for political reasons but they should never bow to those reasons.

      Yeah, that's why Judges should be appointed. But local ones tend to be elected, so they need to run for office every so often etc.

    10. Re:Judge Does Something Smart? by DarkKnightRadick · · Score: 1

      I don't know. Some of them sure act it sometimes.

      --
      "There is a way that seems right to a man, but its end is the way of death." Proverbs 16:25 (NKJV)
    11. Re:Judge Does Something Smart? by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      It'd be nice for a little more consistency.

      Whoever administers the training programmes for your judicial service appears to have some answering to do. It could be worse and you might select your judicial authorities by popular ballot, as I believe some third-world countries do.
      Mind you - total consistency might not be so appealing in itself. To expect total consistency would be to implicitly claim that "we" (whoever that is) have perfect knowledge and understanding of the relevant legal system, of what the people want from it, and the psychology necessary to achieve those ends by acting on the variable persons who come into dispute with the legal system. That isn't going to happen some time soon. Not with humans in the system.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    12. Re:Judge Does Something Smart? by DarkKnightRadick · · Score: 1

      I'm not expecting total consistency in judgments, but more then what we have.

      BTW, we select our circuit court judge by election.

      --
      "There is a way that seems right to a man, but its end is the way of death." Proverbs 16:25 (NKJV)
    13. Re:Judge Does Something Smart? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It doesn't take much smarts to recognize a witchhunt. The judge seemed a bit peeved that this kind of political mud-throwing was cluttering up her docket.

    14. Re:Judge Does Something Smart? by DarkKnightRadick · · Score: 1

      But it takes smarts to do the smart thing.

      --
      "There is a way that seems right to a man, but its end is the way of death." Proverbs 16:25 (NKJV)
  2. Good by mbone · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If this is not a political prosecution, I don't know what is. As a Virginia taxpayer, I don't mind politicians bloviating, but I don't like them chewing up public resources to do so.

    1. Re:Good by sumdumass · · Score: 1, Interesting

      This isn't even a prosecution yet. It's an investigation....

      And you have no clue if it's politicians bloviating with public resources or not until something is found or nothing is found. As the judge said, the argument could be made, it just wasn't on the warrant, to investigate the use of the one grant.

    2. Re:Good by mangu · · Score: 4, Insightful

      the argument could be made, it just wasn't on the warrant, to investigate the use of the one grant.

      Is the Virginia Attorney General qualified to do that investigation?

      A public officer needs to have some basis for any investigation he starts. Unless he has the proper scientific qualifications, or has received reliable information from an expert in the field, anything he does is nothing but political pressure.

      And you have no clue if it's politicians bloviating with public resources or not until something is found or nothing is found

      Unless something is found, it's the Virginia Attorney General who must prove he had cause to start that investigation. If he didn't have anything concrete, then he's at least guilty of wasting the state's resources.

    3. Re:Good by sumdumass · · Score: 0

      Is the Virginia Attorney General qualified to do that investigation?

      I don't know about the Virginia Attorney General specifically, but typically, yes, it's their (Attorney General's) duty to oversee investigations. They might not participate in them directly, but they can cause them to happen as well as the actual prosecutions. Think of the AT as more like a front man for the entire justice department and all the offices authorized under it.

      A public officer needs to have some basis for any investigation he starts. Unless he has the proper scientific qualifications, or has received reliable information from an expert in the field, anything he does is nothing but political pressure.

      Why would you think that? If scientist A got a grant to study process Y, and it was found that process Y was fakes by Scientist B while Scientist A knew all along, science doesn't even come into play on the fraud charge associated with obtaining and misusing the grant. There are plenty of avenues that do not even come close to needing any expertise in science or any field in general in which an investigation can be initiates.

      Unless something is found, it's the Virginia Attorney General who must prove he had cause to start that investigation. If he didn't have anything concrete, then he's at least guilty of wasting the state's resources.

      Well yea, but as I said, you have no idea right now as nothing has been able to be looked into yet. If is somewhat of a powerful word here but something you should remember is that it's reliant upon and action yet to happen.

      BTW, you can have cause to investigate something without anything ever being found to support the idea a law was broken. This happens every day, you just need to have cause (which is different from evidence). Suppose you are packing your car full of luggage one night while getting prepared to go on vacation the next day. Now suppose I saw you doing that and called the law saying that someone is stealing all your shit. When the cops show up, they will investigate what you are doing, they will probably also find that you broke no laws, would you call that a waist of tax payer money? *even if the reason I called the law was because I got confused to what block I was on and thought the house belonged to someone else- who was already out of town on vacation?

    4. Re:Good by TapeCutter · · Score: 3, Informative

      "until something is found or nothing is found."

      As you are well aware, Mann has been repeatedly investigated by political hacks and repeatedly cleared. This is just another politically motivated fishing expedition amoungst the constant stream of FOI requests, death threats, and political investigations he and his team are subjected to on a daily basis.

      We've talked before and I have a fair idea of your political views, I strongly suspect that if it was not about climate change you would be screaming about government oppression and Mann's right to be left alone.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    5. Re:Good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When any investigation is started by a public officer he should have a reasonable reason for suspicion. There's ample precedent for that, confirmed all the way to the Supreme Court.

      A typical example is drug related offenses, many people have been released after being caught with drugs, just because they were black and the police officer didn't have any other reason to check them out.

      In this case, unless the Virginia AG had some reason to suspect the scientist of fraud, the AG is in serious trouble.

      Like in the drug cases I mentioned above, the scientist may even have committed fraud, the AG couldn't have initiated an investigation without a valid reason.

      BTW, in the hypothetical example you mention, you call the police because you saw someone packing a car full of luggage, you could be sued for libel and defamation. Don't try that unless you have a good reason. Saying "oops, my mistake" won't get you free from an expensive court suit.

    6. Re:Good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Oh, it is politicians bloviating. This guy is a right wing nut. Since he took office less than a year ago, he has issued opinions prohibiting universities from considering sexual orientation as a basis for discrimination and requiring clinics providing abortion services to meet unreasonable hospital -like regulations.

    7. Re:Good by fermion · · Score: 1
      What people still have not realized after hundreds of year is just because an authority figure forces other to say something is true doesn't mean it is true. The church torturing Galileo did not make the earth the center of the universe. The church torturing and burning Servetus did not change the function of the heart from pumping blood to regulating it's tides. If the indiana Pi bill had passed, the value would sill be 3.14...

      No matter how many people are killed, no matter how much legislation is enacted, no matter how many judges say thing like 'separate but equal', reality is still reality. I think this is why some of us are much more willing to let the chips fall where they may. Instead of imposing our will on others, in effect playing god, we are willing to let the objectives observation take us where the universe wants us to go.

      --
      "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
    8. Re:Good by __aasqbs9791 · · Score: 1

      Harrassment, perhaps, though extremely hard to prove from a single incident, but not libel or defamation. You could be sued, but not successfully. You could be sued for anything at any time, but there's no chance of winning a case like that.

    9. Re:Good by sumdumass · · Score: 2, Informative

      We've talked before and I have a fair idea of your political views, I strongly suspect that if it was not about climate change you would be screaming about government oppression and Mann's right to be left alone.

      Actually, I've pretty much ignored this situation until this story posted and I saw people who don't know the difference between an investigation and a prosecution makes claims that aren't substantiated by the currently known facts.

      Your right, I probably would be objecting to this in any other venue except for the fact that court rejected the search because the reason wasn't on it warrant. If the AT doesn't provide another with a valid reason that stands against attempts to invalidate it, I will be be making the claims you suggest I would be. However, until that happens or that it becomes apparent that it isn't happening, I'm simply remaining neutral on this and that includes telling idiots that investigations does not equal prosecutions and they don't know any reasons because one wasn't given which is why the ruling was the way it was.

    10. Re:Good by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      When any investigation is started by a public officer he should have a reasonable reason for suspicion. There's ample precedent for that, confirmed all the way to the Supreme Court.

      A typical example is drug related offenses, many people have been released after being caught with drugs, just because they were black and the police officer didn't have any other reason to check them out.

      In this case, unless the Virginia AG had some reason to suspect the scientist of fraud, the AG is in serious trouble.

      Like in the drug cases I mentioned above, the scientist may even have committed fraud, the AG couldn't have initiated an investigation without a valid reason.

      I believe the law being used to target these people allows the AG to audit certain things and the standard for initiating an investigation on this is a little lower then random joes on the street. It's one of those things you give up when asking the government for money.

      BTW, in the hypothetical example you mention, you call the police because you saw someone packing a car full of luggage, you could be sued for libel and defamation. Don't try that unless you have a good reason. Saying "oops, my mistake" won't get you free from an expensive court suit.

      Nah, nothing would happen if it was an honest mistake. An honest mistake would mean you had a good reason- you thought someone was stealing from someone you knew why they were gone. In a lot of cities, well in the US anyways, a lot of the subdivisions consist of 4 or 5 houses that all look alike spread out over the areas. It's not unheard of to read the news paper and find that some drunk got arrested because after he stumbled home at 5 am, he went to sleep in someone else's house that look just like his only 3 blocks away.

      Of course if it's done maliciously, then yes, problems can arise really fast.

    11. Re:Good by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Fair enough, you have my appologies for misjudging your post and reading something between the lines that was not there.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    12. Re:Good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >>The church torturing Galileo did not make the earth the center of the universe.

      I love how on Slashdot any random fact that portrays the church in a bad light goes unchallenged.

      Galileo was never tortured, fuckwit. Get a good book on the subject - it's a lot more nuanced than the "church was stupid and tried to kill people hur hur hur" narrative they tell on here.

      Galileo was kind of a jackass in the story, really. The church was worried about him undermining social stability, and he was going against *scientific* consensus at the time with his theories.

      Or maybe expecting a retard to read a book might be expecting a bit... much, eh?

    13. Re:Good by Troed · · Score: 0, Troll

      As you are well aware, Mann has been repeatedly investigated by political hacks and repeatedly cleared

      Really? I was under the impression that his work has recently been falsified, in the scientific meaning of the word, by expert statisticians. It's doubtful that he didn't know his work didn't hold up to scrutiny these last few years (since M&M at least) and thus there's plenty of reason to believe he's been accepting grant money under false premises.

      http://www.e-publications.org/ims/submission/index.php/AOAS/user/submissionFile/6695?confirm=63ebfddf

    14. Re:Good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It should be a Mann's right to be left alone. Privacy is important, as it implies freedom.

    15. Re:Good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      *smile* - and as always, don't ever dare to post something - even when it links to the actual paper in question - if it's not fully in support of CAGW. It's "troll" and/or "overrated" moderations in an instant.

      So, let's just recap. The post I replied to contains no actual information and ends with personal attacks on someone. Currently modded up +2, Informative

      My post contains actual, linked, information and no personal attacks. Current moderations done: -1, Troll

      If there's anything that discredits statements about how AGW supporters are pure and unbiased it's actions like this ;)

  3. Way to ruin somebody's career. by kenaaker · · Score: 2, Funny

    OH NO, what shall he do now.
    Attacking climate change was his stepping stone to national prominence...
    His life is ruined, ruined I tell you.

    1. Re:Way to ruin somebody's career. by garyisabusyguy · · Score: 5, Funny

      Maybe he can sue reality for not conforming to his imagination

      --
      Wherever You Go, There You Are
    2. Re:Way to ruin somebody's career. by Albanach · · Score: 1

      I'm told he's planning to launch that law suit immediately after the conclusion of his investigation into Virginia scientists promoting a controversial theory that the earth is round.

    3. Re:Way to ruin somebody's career. by OhHellWithIt · · Score: 1

      OH NO, what shall he do now. Attacking climate change was his stepping stone to national prominence... His life is ruined, ruined I tell you.

      Nah, his career won't be ruined until someone drives a stake through his heart. Everything I have read about him convinces me that he is a quintessential zealot, and, unfortunately, he is peddling what a lot of Virginians want.

      --
      "Who controls the past controls the future. Who controls the present controls the past." -- George Orwell
  4. Politics And Science Don't Mix by WrongSizeGlass · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Cuccinelli is trying to use professor Mann as a political piñata to further his career. I'd shit in my hat if I thought for one second Cuccinelli gave a rat's ass about science (except for how science affects the teaching of evolution in schools).

    If a climatologist is the biggest fish on Cuccinelli's radar then he needs to take a closer look at local problems that directly affect his constituents. I'm not saying global warming wouldn't directly affect his constituents ... just that trying to silence a scientist just because he doesn't agree with his findings shouldn't be a top priority for politicians (such as those in Cuccinelli's position).

    1. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by oldhack · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I'm weary of AGW paranoia, but Cuccinelli is a clown.

      It's odd that Mann shifted from one coal state to another. The fool.

      --
      Fuck systemd. Fuck Redhat. Fuck Soylent, too. Wait, scratch the last one.
    2. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

      A) The cat's already out of the bag, so it's sort of silly to think this is an effort to silence Mr. Mann.
      B) It is interesting (and very bigoted of you) to assume anyone who is a AGW skptic is anti-science and pro-intelligent design. You should be on TV. That leap in logic would get you over the Grand Canyon.

    3. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by StillNeedMoreCoffee · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Well stereotypes have survival value and when you consider that 99.99% of research and 100% of reputable research supports the conclusion that mans efforts at living the good life have effected the climate in such a way that polar ice caps are melting, storms are getting stronger and weather patterns changing. It will be funny to see Cuccinelli trying to get votes from those portions of Virginia like Hampton and Norfolk are as under sea level as New Orleans. Speaking of which they had better build those leevies higher down there.

      There is no dispute certainly that there is global warming. The only dispute might be what percentage is due to man's activity. So arguing about who put the hole in the boat while your sinking seems to be counter productive. In this case it effects business, like who needs to add the cost to the planet for their business practices, or who might get sued over their business practices. So he might not be anti science, just pro-"Take the money and run"

    4. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by the+gnat · · Score: 4, Informative

      It is interesting (and very bigoted of you) to assume anyone who is a AGW skptic is anti-science and pro-intelligent design.

      I realize that this isn't universally true, but I've noticed a large overlap - specifically, the vast majority of creationists appear to be "AGW skeptics", and they are certainly anti-science, and very militant about it. When I see the cretins from the Discovery Institute reading from the same script as the anti-AGW crowd, I'm naturally suspicious of the latter. This may seem unfair to you, but it's no more unfair than accusing climate scientists of wanting to force society back to a pre-industrial state.

      Which brings up a more accurate point: while the "skeptics" may not all be anti-science, they definitely come across as anti-scientist.

    5. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The term "AGW skeptic" is a misnomer. Skepticism in the typical scientific or philosophical sense is about asking for evidence for claims. The problem with "AGW skeptics" is that evidence for AGW is plentiful and evidence against it is scant. Someone who refuses to accept evidence presented, no matter how scientifically sound the evidence is, is not a skeptic. The more accurate term is "AGW denier".

    6. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by machine321 · · Score: 1

      I'd shit in my hat

      Please don't do that, this thing already fails the smell test.

    7. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by bunratty · · Score: 3, Funny

      They're no more anti-scientist than the conservatives who are skeptical of the theory of relativity. Oh, I see. I guess you do have a point. I wonder what they'll be "skeptical" of next...

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    8. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by LordLimecat · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "deny" implies that there is no shadow of a question about the factuality AGW (or how significant it is), which is just not true-- hence why it is a theory. I would reserve the term denier for actual factual historical events, not theories which can never be more than theories.

      If you dont understand or agree, it may be helpful to recall what the difference between historical fact and scientific theory is, and whether theories can ever be exhaustively proven.

    9. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by bunratty · · Score: 1

      You may want to read a bit about denialism so you can recognize it when you see it.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    10. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by Kaenneth · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm not for or against global warming, I just don't care. It's just a change, which has happened any number of times in (pre)history. Some land will become less useful to humans, some will become more useful; some species which can't adapt will die off, others will thrive. If burning fossil fuels is a cause, well, we're almost out of those anyway. Methane from cow farts?, beef can't sustain a growing global population anyway.

      I hate that some people have turned it into a virtually religious issue, and intentionally refuse to consider that the possibility that it might not be happening, it probably is occuring, but to attach labels like 'deniers' (I have to think this is an attept to emotionally link it to the jewish holocaust, but I might be wrong.) and to attack the speaker of the idea, instead of the idea itself is just wrong. That AG is wrong to use his position to attack the scientist; and it's also wrong to label someone who dosn't think global warming is happening as a troll, idiot, or worse.

      Talking about the weather used to be 'safe', but now it's infused with conspiracy nuts, scientific cranks, and irrational believers, ON BOTH SIDES.

    11. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by CheshireCatCO · · Score: 4, Insightful

      No, to deny merely means to refuse to accept the claim regardless of what evidence has been put forward. The word makes not assumptions as to whether the claim is true or untrue. It's possible to disagree with AGW without being a denier, but such a person would be open to the possibility of it being accurate.

      These people are certainly deniers. Their counter-claims have little validity (most have none and many are outright fabrications) and most of their arguments lately have been ad hominem attacks on the researchers. So far, I have yet to see one of them acknowledge the strength of the data or admit to having made a mistake when they were shown to be wrong. They're deniers, pure and simple.

    12. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by sumdumass · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Wow.. 99.99% of all research and 100% of all reputable research, that's amazing. Where can I find out more about these outrageously large or inflated values? Are you sure you aren't just suffering from selection bias or something? Perhaps the old saying that goes something like 80% of all percentages are made up on the spot?

      So arguing about who put the hole in the boat while your sinking seems to be counter productive.

      Ahh,, I get it now, you simply do not understand the argument. It's not about who put the hole in the boat, it's about where the whole is, how it was created which indicates a little about how can be plugged or if it even needs to be plugged, and if we are actually sinking or just taking on water. And no, just because you are standing in water doesn't mean you are taking on water in a boat. It could be water from the fresh water source or the piss running down you leg from being scared.

      In my speed boat, there is a plug at the very back of it that allows water to completely drain from it. There is also a bilge pump installed in two separate locations. This means that yes, the boat is designed to take on water and deal with it. But as long as you deal with it, you are not sinking. So the question becomes do you turn on one pump? Which one? Both pumps? Or neither pump and just open the drain plug while going full throttle. Or do you do nothing until it gets worse and the answer to those questions become more obvious.

      And of course, I have used all 5 of those answers at some point in time. If AGW and Global warming was as simple as you attempt to make it, it would be obvious to everyone, not just the believers.

    13. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It would be helpful to understand the difference between historical fact and scientific theory is before telling others to "recall" it. There's a reason why scientists will refer to "the theory of gravity", and it's not because gravity is not factual. Theories in science are things which attempt to explain historical facts and events. The theory component of AGW refers to how the process works. The factual component refers to whether the process exists at all.

    14. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by phantomfive · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Which brings up a more accurate point: while the "skeptics" may not all be anti-science, they definitely come across as anti-scientist.

      Which is worse, saying we should believe everything scientists say, or being anti-scientist? Maybe neither, but there's definitely blind faith on both sides in this debate.

      Also, good that the judge knocked the AG down.

      --
      Qxe4
    15. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by Doomdark · · Score: 1, Interesting
      Ahh,, I get it now, you simply do not understand the argument. It's not about who put the hole in the boat, it's about where the whole is, how it was created which indicates a little about how can be plugged or if it even needs to be plugged, and if we are actually sinking or just taking on water. And no, just because you are standing in water doesn't mean you are taking on water in a boat. It could be water from the fresh water source or the piss running down you leg from being scared.

      It could also be that despite all observations, measurements and calculations, earth could still be flat, and no more than 5000 years old.

      But it still makes more sense to base one's actions on more commonly held estimates for shape and age of said planet. And specifically regarding global warming, actions taken to reduce human co2 output are also good more generally since other local and global pollutants are reduced nicely by most actions. Burning non-renewable fossil fuels is also beneficial outside context of co2 emissions.

      Still, the most important thing that is missing from "non-believers" (quotes, because I don't consider this a matter of faith or beliefs as much as many others do) is just that there is lack of credible alternate theories. This is suspiciously similar to stances of creationists: the main focus is no denying the main credible scientific theory, pointing at found or alleged holes, instead of trying to come up with better explanation for observations. This is done at multiple levels, from arguing against existence of observe trends to arguing about whose fault is it anyway. And it also aligns with current conservative political views, which are focused likewise on "just say no" way of argumentation. This is why it is very tempting to lump all said groups into one basket.

      --
      I like paying taxes. With them I buy civilization -- Oliver Wendell Holmes
    16. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by jfengel · · Score: 2, Informative

      to attack the speaker of the idea, instead of the idea itself is just wrong.

      It's just turnabout. Every time you talk with a denier, sooner or later they will accuse scientists of either deliberate deception for personal gain, or abject stupidity. I have never, not once, met one whose argument did not fundamentally rest on one of those two options.

      When faced with such an argument, no amount of rational persuasion is going to be effective. When faced with somebody prone to consider such an argument, showing them papers and math is never going to be effective. It has passed out of the bounds of science, and into rhetoric.

      That's unfortunate. And for rational, coherent, genuinely skeptical people, you don't have to go there; it's a matter of science. For everybody else, it's a matter of politics, which scientists are well advised to stay away from, except that they too have to live with the results.

    17. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by bunratty · · Score: 1

      If we're running out of fossil fuels, doesn't it make sense to start reducing our reliance on fossil fuels by improving energy efficiency and developing alternative energy sources?

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    18. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by the+gnat · · Score: 1

      Which is worse, saying we should believe everything scientists say, or being anti-scientist?

      Both are a bad idea, and as a scientist myself, I've learned to keep my BS detector set to "11". But when faced with a choice between believing actual scientists versus the propagandists at the Discovery Institute, I'll side with the scientists every time.

    19. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by Doomdark · · Score: 2, Insightful
      I don't think many claim people should believe everything scientists say. It would be silly, too, since unlike various movements, scientists as a group do not really have much of coherent message -- not more than a herd of cats.

      But even when considering specific domain (like climate science), I disagree in that there is equivalence between trusting scientific community's consensus and discrediting it completely: positions are rather asymmetric. Especially when latter is not done by specific argumentation against consensus by presenting credible alternative theories; or providing reasons as to why such expertise should be discarded. Mostly arguments are along lines of "but you can't prove any of it!" or "it ain't necessarily so". It is ok to be sceptical, but over time one should produce some actual counter-proposals. "Beyond reasonable doubt" is necessary for court of law because of significant losses that convicting innocent people causes; but it is not the level that is needed for engineering efforts and society-level planning of environmental issues.

      --
      I like paying taxes. With them I buy civilization -- Oliver Wendell Holmes
    20. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by phantomfive · · Score: 3, Interesting
      Then listen to this one. It isn't like the science is settled (of course, some of it is). As he says,

      The notion that complex climate "catastrophes" are simply a matter of the response of a single number, GATA, to a single forcing, CO2 (or solar forcing for that matter), represents a gigantic step backward in the science of climate. Many disasters associated with warming are simply normal occurrences whose existence is falsely claimed to be evidence of warming. And all these examples involve phenomena that are dependent on the confluence of many factors.

      You don't have to present a false choice between the Discovery Institute and 'scientists.'

      --
      Qxe4
    21. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by blueg3 · · Score: 1

      To be fair, "historical facts" is a term generally reserved for human events that have been recorded in writing. In science, you typically call them "observations". A good set of terms is that the mathematics based on your observations that is supposed to predict future observations is a model or, if it's successful, a law. The explanation of why your model works and how that fits in to the rest of known science is a theory.

      Which means for any reasonably complicated field that can be cast under one umbrella, "theory" is the word that will be applied to it, like "theory of gravity" or "theory of relativity" or "electromagnetic theory". It's a collection of models and some thoughts as to how it is they're all connected.

    22. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      As a fellow skeptic, I have to ask you not to throw around words like "theory" so casually. Theory is actually pretty far along on the scientific spectrum of truthiness. If something gets to "theory," it's had a lot of work backing it up, which has held up to a good deal of scrutiny.

      Dismissing something as "just a theory" just makes you look foolish to those who know just what a theory is.

      And anyway, it gets in the way of the real goal, which is to keep government from trumping up GW and AGW to usurp more power and force huge lifestyle changes that won't even accomplish the goal of reducing the the thing they're ostensibly trying to prevent (Just because you're suffering, doesn't mean you're necessarily using less energy...), and due to all the hype, casting doubt on any real evidence that is collected.

      If it weren't for the power-grab, there wouldn't be so much emotion getting in the way of evaluating what the researchers are really saying, right?

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    23. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by blueg3 · · Score: 1

      Wow, that list is bad. I mean, painfully, horribly bad.

    24. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      It is the opposite. Here is the scientific method:

      1. Characterization
      2. Hypothesis (a theoretical, hypothetical explanation)
      3. Prediction (logical deduction from the hypothesis)
      4. Experiment (test of all of the above)
      5. Conclusion (an objective conclusion based on #4)

      There is no "hide the decline" nor "boycott journals publishing the opposing view" nor "delete data requested through Freedom of Information Act" in the scientific method. In fact, the AGW theory failed at number 3. 1998 was the hottest year despite the rising population and therefore, the increase of the greenhouse gases. CO2 is a greenhouse gas - that's proven scientifically, but that does not mean it is the sole factor in the climate systems.

      Pro-science people should want to look at this objectively. We would want to be able to see the data, recreate the experiments, reaffirm or disprove the theory based on facts without political slandering. The fact that the proponents deleted the data to avoid FoIA request said a lot about the quality of the research and should put a doubt to the outcome and anything built over this suspect foundation is suspect as well. Not to mention the fact that the Mann-made hockey stick graph has been proven to be made up by Mann over and over.

    25. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by budgenator · · Score: 2, Informative

      The Annals of Applied Statistics is publishing a paper, A STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF MULTIPLE TEMPERATURE PROXIES: ARE RECONSTRUCTIONS OF SURFACE TEMPERATURES OVER THE LAST 1000 YEARS RELIABLE?(McShane and Wyner 2010) that says things like.
      "On the one hand, we conclude unequivocally that the evidence for a ”long-handled” hockey stick (where the shaft of the hockey stick extends to the year 1000 AD) is lacking in the data. "
      "Consequently, the long flat handle of the hockey stick is best understood to be a feature of regression and less a reflection of our knowledge of the truth."
      "Climate scientists have greatly underestimated the uncertainty of proxy based reconstructions and hence have been overconfident in their models. "
      "The real proxies are less predictive than our ”fake” data. "
      which to me sounds about as close to call Mann a baldfaced liar as your going to hear in a professional journal. The gauntlet has slapped Mann in the face, his response will be interesting.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    26. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by GHennessy · · Score: 1

      which to me sounds about as close to call Mann a baldfaced liar as your going to hear in a professional journal Why do you think paper B saying they get different error estimates than in paper A means the author of paper A is a bald faced liar?

    27. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by bunratty · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So why are so many people saying that the boat is not taking on any water, or saying that until it's proven that it's taking on water we should take no action about it, or even if the boat is taking on water there's nothing we can do about it anyway? Why not take the safe cource of action and turn on a pump, any one? If it's later determined that it wasn't sufficient or that it was more than necessary, at least we took action.

      Can you come up with a rational argument for not reducing carbon dioxide emissions?

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    28. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by phantomfive · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Counter-proposals like what? That the receding sea ice is caused in large part by reduced cloud coverage? Or that the glacier retreats on Kilimanjaro are caused by deforestation? Or that a difference of a degree probably isn't enough to discern any trend from anyway? Just because you haven't looked for alternate explanations doesn't mean they aren't there.

      --
      Qxe4
    29. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by esocid · · Score: 1

      #28 In Genesis 1:6-8, we are told that one of God's first creations was a firmament in the heavens. This likely refers to the creation of the luminiferous aether.

      Check, and Mate.

      As an aside, I love how there is a link to 'Counterexamples of the Bible' which only goes on to state: "There are no counterexample to the Bible." Fucking brilliant.

      --
      Absolute power corrupts absolutely. indymedia
    30. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by Raenex · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "Beyond reasonable doubt" is necessary for court of law because of significant losses that convicting innocent people causes; but it is not the level that is needed for engineering efforts and society-level planning of environmental issues.

      When you're talking about changing the basis for the global economy, it is needed.

    31. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by TapeCutter · · Score: 2, Informative

      ""deny" implies that there is no shadow of a question about the factuality AGW"

      No, "deny" implies the denier is unwilling to participate in the normal scientific process. It's the same as sticking your fingers in your ears and saying "I don't believe you". The denier often does not have a competing theory let alone a better one, does not comprehend the current theory, and refuses to apply his "skepticisim" to his own ideas.

      The above applies honest deniers, however (as with high profile historical deniers) I find that most high profile AGW deniers are not that honest, they are expert propogandists motivated by politics and/or money. If you doubt this then look up any anti-AGW group in the US and determine their geographical distance from K street. Most, if not all, are within a one mile radius.

      If you dont understand or agree, it may be helpful to recall that observations of natural phenomena are facts, the difference between those fact and historical facts is that the former are repeatable. One such fact is that CO2 converts IR radiation into atmospheric heat.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    32. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by A+beautiful+mind · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I'm not for or against global warming, I just don't care. It's just a change, which has happened any number of times in (pre)history. Some land will become less useful to humans, some will become more useful; some species which can't adapt will die off, others will thrive.

      Basically, your argument boils down to:

      Hey, I bumped my car into a wall once with 3mph. If I do that at mach 3, totally the same thing!.

      About your "running out of fossil fuels" argument:

      If burning fossil fuels is a cause, well, we're almost out of those anyway.

      We're running out for certain values of running out. Wikipedia says this about the proven reserves:

      * Coal: 148 years
      * Oil: 43 years
      * Natural gas: 61 years

      There is more than enough fossil fuels left to continue polluting the atmosphere for decades.

      Methane from cow farts?, beef can't sustain a growing global population anyway.

      Beef can't sustain a growing global population, however this statement completely sidesteps the issue that methane from current beef production significantly contributes to global warming. Sadly, an increase in global population wouldn't change social structure. If there isn't enough food to go around the top 1-10% of society won't say "ah, fuck beef, let's eat something else instead!", but we'll (if you live in a western country with internet access that pretty much puts you in the top 10%) let the remaining 90% starve until the "growth problem solves itself".

      Talking about the weather used to be 'safe', but now it's infused with conspiracy nuts, scientific cranks, and irrational believers, ON BOTH SIDES.

      That's a true, but incomplete statement. There is a lot more irrationality and pseudoscience going on on the denialist side, just as a lot more irrationality exists on the side of creationists, anti-vaccine campaigners or among the people who claim you can cure AIDS with beetroot.

      --
      It takes a man to suffer ignorance and smile
      Be yourself no matter what they say
    33. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by LordLimecat · · Score: 1

      The operative word in my post was "implies". There is a strong implication by people using the term "denialism" that this has been exhaustively proven and there is no cogent argument that could be brought to bear in opposition to their viewpoint.

      Such a stance might rarely be acceptable when dealing with recent history, but certainly not when dealing with meteorological and environmental theories.

    34. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by interkin3tic · · Score: 1

      I'm not for or against global warming, I just don't care. It's just a change, which has happened any number of times in (pre)history.

      So I guess it's safe to assume you and your family live on one of the islands that is going to be completely underwater..

    35. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by LordLimecat · · Score: 1

      Gravity cannot be exhaustively proven either, though the weight of evidence is so strong in its favor that it is easier to use the shorthand "fact" for referring to it; nevertheless, to say "all things in all places experience mutual attraction based on mass" is in a different category (theory) than "Hurricane Katrina occurred in 2005" (historical fact).

      AGW as it is commonly used is a theory-- it postulates that the current theorized deviations from the "norm" are caused to a significant degree by human activity. The "A" in AGW is "anthropogenic", refering to human causation. This is not a process, but a theory. Whatever the weight of evidence for or against it, it is NOT fact, and people need to stop pretending it is.

    36. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by LordLimecat · · Score: 1

      I see no reason not to call "observations" historical facts if they are indeed accurate.

    37. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by fluffy99 · · Score: 1

      I don't deny that the earth is getting warmer (very slightly). I have doubts that the explanations put forth can account for all of it. Namely that its all man-made, and not simply part of a larger cycle. In the grand scheme of things, the 1-degree change over a hundred years the evidence implies is a tiny view of the grand picture.

      On the other side of the fence, I suppose reducing the use of fossil fuels simply because of all the other crap besides carbon that it puts out.

    38. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by fluffy99 · · Score: 1

      Every time you talk with a denier, sooner or later they will accuse scientists of either deliberate deception for personal gain, or abject stupidity. I have never, not once, met one whose argument did not fundamentally rest on one of those two options.

      There is certainly a financial bias to do research that proves GW. That's the whole point of this particular investigation - ie that the scientist in question fudged his data to support the prevailing global warming thoughts that would lead of further funding.

    39. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by TapeCutter · · Score: 2, Informative

      The term denier probably is a link to the holocaust. In all likelyhood it's because the main anti-AGW proponents are using similar propoganda methods. If we take their advise and continue to burn the known coal reserves over the next 100-200yrs then we will have a change similar to the prehistoric vulcanisim event that turned the oceans acidic and wiped out 90% of extant species. Such a significant change could be seen as a global gas chamber, it would take millions of years for the biosphere to recover and would have a much greater effect on humanity than the gas chambers of the second second world war.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    40. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by LordLimecat · · Score: 1

      observations are fact, but jumping from the specific observation to a broad postulation (inductive reasoning) is not. To rephrase your own example, "In all observed cases CO2 has converted IR radiation into atmospheric heat (historical fact). Therefore, CO2 always converts IR radiation into heat (theory)."

      Perhaps im simply being pedantic here, but it seems like people try to ignore this often enough that I think it is warranted. Strong evidence and a little inductive reasoning does NOT make something conclusively true.

    41. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by CheshireCatCO · · Score: 1

      Again, I disagree. You're fixated on "truth" which has no real bearing on things. The deniers aren't termed that because they have a dissenting view, they're deniers because they refuse to change their view no matter how much evidence they see. They raise the bar and demand still more evidence when they've had their "concerns" addressed and ignore the contrary facts when their own theories meet those facts. That's denialism, which is very different from standing up to the standard view. (I know many scientists who hold views that one widely supported theory or another is wrong, but most of them seem perfectly ready to switch sides if strong evidence arises to point that way.)

      If there is a cogent alternative interpretation to the climate data, I for one am happy to hear it. So far, what few even vaguely reasonable alternate models there were have been pretty soundly shot down by newer data. At this point, people aren't presenting alternate theories as much as outright attacks on the researchers responsible.

    42. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by kwbauer · · Score: 1

      yes... but that does not require artificially increasing the cost of said fuels with taxes aimed at reducing their use.

      Rather than progressives/liberals spending money lobbying various governments to spend other people's money looking for alternatives, the progressive/liberals should spend their own money looking for alternatives. If a liberal actually believed that fossil fuels were running out he would be trying to corner the market on the alternatives so as to become wealthy beyond belief.

    43. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by suomynonAyletamitlU · · Score: 1

      I agree with the GP. From the dictionary definition:

      1. to state that (something declared or believed to be true) is not true: to deny an accusation.
      2. to refuse to agree or accede to: to deny a petition.

      In particular, the second definition seems to flavor the word a lot; to deny something is in many senses to refuse to give in, which generally implies that they SHOULD be giving in, or that you BELIEVE that they should.

      Would rebut be a better word?

      –verb (used with object)
      1. to refute by evidence or argument.
      2. to oppose by contrary proof.
      –verb (used without object)
      3. to provide some evidence or argument that refutes or opposes.

      That's not to say that they have successfully rebutted the argument, but that that is their process and their goal.

    44. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by blueg3 · · Score: 1

      It's equivocation.

    45. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by tgibbs · · Score: 2, Informative

      The funny thing is that the paper ends up with a hockey stick that doesn't look that different from Mann's.

      Here's some discussion about what that paper does and does not show

      "The real proxies are less predictive than our ”fake” data. "
      which to me sounds about as close to call Mann a baldfaced liar as your going to hear in a professional journal.

      Actually, Mann was trying to do something that had never been done before, pulling together indirect data from a wide variety of sources to get an idea global climate history. Very rarely is the groundbreaking work on a scientific problem absolutely perfect--usually there are errors and omissions that are corrected in subsequent work. But that doesn't make the pioneer a liar. Both Mann and others have improved upon Mann's original methods, but his general conclusions have held up pretty well over the years. For example, a 2006 peer-review by the National Research Council of the US National Academies concluded,

      It can be said with a high level of confidence that global mean surface temperature was higher during the last few decades of the 20th century than during any comparable period during the preceding four centuries. This statement is justified by the consistency of the evidence from a wide variety of geographically diverse proxies.

    46. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by tgibbs · · Score: 3, Informative

      The result was that if you put any red noise through Mann's filters you get identical data. Basically it is all a con

      Actually, you don't. You can get it to turn up a bit at the end, but nobody has managed to reproduce the magnitude of Mann's hockey stick blade with red noise. So if you think that, you have yourself been the victim of a con. Reanalysis using other methods still yields a hockey stick. That's why the 2006 NRC peer review ended up concluding

      It can be said with a high level of confidence that global mean surface temperature was higher during the last few decades of the 20th century than during any comparable period during the preceding four centuries. This statement is justified by the consistency of the evidence from a wide variety of geographically diverse proxies.

    47. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by daveime · · Score: 1

      Ironically, particulate pollution blocks sunlight and contributes to cooling ...

    48. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by quax · · Score: 1

      "deny" implies that there is no shadow of a question about the factuality AGW (or how significant it is), which is just not true-- hence why it is a theory.

      Special Relativity is also a theory, so is evolution. It'll be much more helpful to describe them as scientific models or frameworks in order to avoid this common misconception that you express here.

      It is pretty much at least once spouted every time a /. thread touches on climate change and/or evolution.

      The problem is that colloquial English uses the term "theory" very differently than science. Anything that is not experimental data but derived as a model will always be called a theory in science. Models can not be proven only falsified. Hence if you wait for a scientific theory to transition to fact you'll wait until hell freezes over (no pun intended). Climate change sciences is of course all about the modeling and requires enormous computing power to get more accurate predictions. It also has been around for a while and as far as I am concerned the early warnings i.e. the predictive power of climatology have proven rather accurate. I first heard about the green house effect 15 years ago when I studied physics (climate science is mostly applied physics). This simple model predicts that increase in atmospheric gases such as CO2 and methane will cause global warming via a rather straightforward mechanism. Nothing in the data we've gathered so far invalidates this very simple starting point for modeling. If you think the mechanism doesn't work I suggest vandalizing greenhouses to protest against faux science. It'll fit nicely with the sophisticated ways the American hard right likes to makes its points.

    49. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by cbeaudry · · Score: 0

      Yes.

      It has not been proven to be the cause of any warming outside of a greenhouse.

      Simple isnt it?

    50. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by cbeaudry · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Come across as anti-scientists?

      WTF for, because they dont agree with fuzzy conclusions, based on faulty computer models.
      Or because the dont agree with the tampered data?

      What is anti-science about ASKING FOR THE RESEARCH AND NOT THE RESULTS.

      Get your head out of your behind and smell the arrogance.

    51. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by sumdumass · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It could also be that despite all observations, measurements and calculations, earth could still be flat, and no more than 5000 years old.

      It could be, but somehow I doubt it. Of course starting your comment off like this, I'm left wondering if your just another troll from the church of global warming.

      But it still makes more sense to base one's actions on more commonly held estimates for shape and age of said planet. And specifically regarding global warming, actions taken to reduce human co2 output are also good more generally since other local and global pollutants are reduced nicely by most actions. Burning non-renewable fossil fuels is also beneficial outside context of co2 emissions.

      Sure, if you want to do that, go right ahead. The problem people have which is also why they want more answers then what is being provided is when you take your initiative and not only force it onto them, but onto the manufacturers and suppliers they rely on to live their lives, which end up causing inflation of the prices of their products. In other words, we want more then a hippy saying It's the right thing to do man, just after taking another bong hit. You seriously can't even answer the question of if eliminating all man made Co2 production tomorrow would change anything. The best you can do is say you think it might or it sounds like a good idea.

      This is why we need to know what type of hole is in the boat, where it's located, and is killing ourselves the best way to fix it. And yes, if we ended all man made production of Co2 right now, people would die. Thankfully, no one is even remotely being serious about stopping all man made Co2 immediately which is something else to consider. If they aren't, then why not? I mean Kyoto wanted to freeze human causes of Co2 production in wealthy countries to 1990 levels but allow it to increase unregulated in poorer countries. This is why there has been a boom in China and India and certain South American countries- regulated countries sought to outsource their industries in order to meet their guidelines.

      Still, the most important thing that is missing from "non-believers" (quotes, because I don't consider this a matter of faith or beliefs as much as many others do) is just that there is lack of credible alternate theories. This is suspiciously similar to stances of creationists: the main focus is no denying the main credible scientific theory, pointing at found or alleged holes, instead of trying to come up with better explanation for observations. This is done at multiple levels, from arguing against existence of observe trends to arguing about whose fault is it anyway. And it also aligns with current conservative political views, which are focused likewise on "just say no" way of argumentation. This is why it is very tempting to lump all said groups into one basket.

      Creditable alternative theories to what? When most of the so called non-believers think there are problems with the records indicating the warming, some of which had been proven to be true, what is the alternative that is supposed to be presented other then the records aren't accurate? And to that note, they lost most of the early manipulations so verifying them is almost impossible without repeating every other study again based around new data. But then there are people who say it might be happening, but humans are insignificant or that the amount of increased Co2 is insignificant enough to cause the supposed warming. I mean after all, the Co2 claim is that less then .001% of the total GHG in the atmosphere shifting is going to end the world. I can see where an alternate theory might be possible there, but it seems that whenever someone attempts to toss one out, they are shouted down because of some oil job 20 years ago or because they are friends of someone else or whatever. Do you remember the weather channel babe who was suggesting

    52. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      "Perhaps im simply being pedantic here"

      I agree, from a philosophical POV it cannot be claimed the sun will rise tomorrow with absolute certainty, this abhorence for absolute certainty is what distingushes science from all other philosophies. The nature of the universe is akin to Douglas Adams' infinite probablility machine but science itself is about what is probable, it does not dispute that philosophically anything is possible.

      "Strong evidence and a little inductive reasoning does NOT make something conclusively true."

      Again, I agree. Truth is a mathematical concept, not a scientific one. I am extremely confident the sun WILL rise tomorrow because it is a well established scientific theory that has never failed in all of human history. Such well established theories are commonly refered to as "scientific fact". The National Acdemies of science recently published an editorial in their Science journal emphasising the point that AGW was now a well established theory that like plate techtonics and evolution falls under the common definition of scientific fact. It also emphasised that no such theory can ever be proven to be true, it can only be said that all attempts to prove it false have failed.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    53. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      So why are so many people saying that the boat is not taking on any water, or saying that until it's proven that it's taking on water we should take no action about it, or even if the boat is taking on water there's nothing we can do about it anyway? Why not take the safe cource of action and turn on a pump, any one? If it's later determined that it wasn't sufficient or that it was more than necessary, at least we took action.

      Perhaps it's the idea of jumping from a boat into the middle of the ocean/lake/whatever and wanting proof before abandoning their device meant to keep them dry.

      And no, the safe course isn't always to turn a pump on, if there isn't any water or not enough water, the pump will heat up and fail as the water often cools the pump. Some might think "so, there is another pump", and I guess they are right. But they should drive around a couple of months with they parking break on and see if they like replacing the rear brakes more often then they need to or have it inoperative when it is actually needed. You would look awful funny in front of a judge saying "I shouldn't be responsible for the damages from my car rolling down hill, I used the parking brake, in fact, I never take it off".

      Can you come up with a rational argument for not reducing carbon dioxide emissions?

      Economics.. And the amount of harm done in the process.

      It simply doesn't make sense to do more harm then good by implementing to harsh of a strategy forcing the reduction of Co2.

      What is the forecast if we continue on the same trend over the next 100 years? Well food crops will thrive in different areas and perish in existing area. Ok, well a century is 3 or more generations which is enough time to adjust. The sea level might rise, ok, but it won't be catastrophic and happen over night, so lets say in 80 years, we have to start building levies and pump houses around large populated areas. Ok, the dutch have shown that's possible as well as New Orleans and a few other places in the US for most of this countries existence. So in reality, houses that would probably be better served to be replaced in 100 years or so would need to be rebuilt, some extra public works projects would need to be done, and a shift in our agricultural production or the continuance of what we already do with irrigation might need to be more wide spread.

      But within that 100 years, someone comes up with a carbon free method of creating energy that is able to replace most of our energy uses. Now that 100 years becomes 500. But wait, another break through is found that allows us to economically remove the estimated amounts of anthropogenic Co2 put into the atmosphere, not that 500 years becomes 1000.

      You see, the argument for most people isn't about not reducing or eliminating Co2 production, it's how fast it's done and how much stress it places on the economy and people living within it. If you invented a usable form of energy tomorrow that doesn't produce Co2 and it's competitive to the cost of existing energy, no one will object to putting it into play. What they object to is having their utility bills skyrocket, being told they have to do without, or have some government bureaucrat say they have to spend more of their own money to continue to live the life they are comfortable with. And for some, it will mean giving up a lot of things they don't want to.

      And yes, while it's true that fossil fuels will become cheaper when alternative energy starts replacing them, they can only get so cheap before it costs to much to produce them. That's why the best market for alternative energy right now is in expansion of creation to meet demand increases. It both regulates the supply verses demand issue of fossil fuels adding stability to the market which also aids in keeping them competitive to the use of fossil fuels. As technology advances and they become more competitive, they will start replacing fossil fuel use and eventually, Co2 production will be negated. And this can be done over the course of 50-100 or more years instead of the 1-2 decades to go back a decade in time.

    54. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Every argument against "global warming" is either "when they said 'global warming' they meant anthropogenic global warming caused primarily by fossil fuel burning, which hasn't been proven" or "it's happened before so it doesn't matter." Well, there are the ones that don't actually talk about it, but state that "all the evidence for it is fabricated" but didn't manage to actually do any studies, check the actual data, or do anything other than verbally assault those that actually do something.

    55. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1

      >>Wow, that list is bad. I mean, painfully, horribly bad.

      Yeah, how dare anyone talk about the Pioneer anomaly\? Or possible compatibility issues with quantum mechanics?

      I mean... seriously, right? We all know that relativity is the result of hippie science (truth is relative, man!) which obviously can't be allowed to stand.

    56. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by ShakaUVM · · Score: 2, Interesting

      >>It's possible to disagree with AGW without being a denier, but such a person would be open to the possibility of it being accurate.

      Precisely. Aside from a few minor quibbles (though these quibbles often turn into long, pointless debates on /.), I have no real issues with AGW, though people try to paint me as one, because of various issues I have.

      My main problem is that the 'solutions' to AGW are almost universally bad. Either ridiculously overpriced, overintrusive, undereffective, unfair... and most often some mixture of all of these.

      Solutions tend to come from scientists who have never heard of Amdahl's Law, and focus ridiculously expensive solutions on rather thin slices of the CO2 pie, instead of cheaper solutions on larger slices of the pie. For example, we spend 10-20 cents more per gallon at the pump here in California for a special blend of gas that might shave a fraction of a percent of the total CO2 produced in America.

      By contrast, if we were to switch to all CO2-free power plants in our country (mainly nuclear) if we amortized cost over 10 years, we could break even on the costs without paying much more for electricity - and reduce our total CO2 emitted in our country by ~40%.

      This would meet every CO2 target for our country, and allow people to keep driving whatever CO2-emitting SUVs they want without impacting their daily life in the slightest. (This might sound unfair to the Nazi-greens that WANT to control what other people do, but tough shit.)

    57. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, I bumped my car into a wall once with 3mph. If I do that at mach 3, totally the same thing!

      You can't prove or even strongly support that 'mach 3' impact. Not by a long shot. Someday, I hope our climate and earth geology models are sufficient (as you know, you need to model both aspects for the doomsday scenarios). Is climate a serious issue? Yes. Is it sufficiently serious to seek solutions that have net negative impact on economic growth? IMO, no. Are there solutions which would not have measerable (more than 10% affect on the growth rates) negative affects and might even be positive? Likely, but I have not seen an elected official who would promote such an agenda. We have a number of competing agendas in this country. They include economic growth, war, social justice (typically, government spending), IP factions, union factions, tradesmen factions (Doctors, Lawyers), the education lobby. I see one faction taking a hit in the fight against CO2. One faction. It is - or was - the biggest employer, the engine of growth and progress, the gran-pimp daddy who pays for all this progressive BS (everything after 'economic growth). The others, don't take a hit except perhaps as "consumers" and the CO2 bills typically include provisions to account for that. Talk about going out of your way to fuck one group in the ass.

    58. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by mpe · · Score: 2, Insightful

      When you're talking about changing the basis for the global economy, it is needed.

      Especially when it is unclear if these changes would actually do anything about the alleged "problem" in the first place.
      Even some AGW advocates oppose the whole "carbon trading" idea.

    59. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by mpe · · Score: 1

      Come across as anti-scientists?
      WTF for, because they dont agree with fuzzy conclusions, based on faulty computer models. Or because the dont agree with the tampered data?


      Even in some cases fictional data.
      It's also important to understand the limitations of whatever data is being used. Otherwise you have a classic GIGO issue. An obvious problem with much of the land temperature readings is that they originate from cities and airports.

      What is anti-science about ASKING FOR THE RESEARCH AND NOT THE RESULTS.

      Knowing the methodology is important as is knowing what data has been discarded and what "adjustments" have been applied.

    60. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by Ascylon · · Score: 1

      No, to deny merely means to refuse to accept the claim regardless of what evidence has been put forward. The word makes not assumptions as to whether the claim is true or untrue. It's possible to disagree with AGW without being a denier, but such a person would be open to the possibility of it being accurate.

      Denier is a cheap label which in itself is an ad hominem attack and an attempt to discredit without proper arguments. While it may be accurate with some AGW skeptics, it is used in my opinion way too broadly and in any case has no place in a civilized argument where the merits of both positions are being argued.

      These people are certainly deniers. Their counter-claims have little validity (most have none and many are outright fabrications) and most of their arguments lately have been ad hominem attacks on the researchers. So far, I have yet to see one of them acknowledge the strength of the data or admit to having made a mistake when they were shown to be wrong. They're deniers, pure and simple.

      I'd like clarification on the "these people" you're referring to since it isn't clear from the post. If you're referring to all AGW skeptics, that's just a silly ad hominem attack and makes you just as much a denier as you make the AGW skeptics out to be. Nevertheless, allow me to provide mathematical proof right away that not all skeptics are deniers: myself.

      To sum my view on climate change in general, let me provide a list:

      • Originally I was unsure that the CO2 concentration rise has been due to human activities. Having looked into the matter, I am now relatively sure that humans are indeed causing the CO2 rise experienced in the last 100 years or so.
      • I also agree that the average global temperature in the last 100 years or so has risen by something like 0.7-1 degrees celcius.
      • What I do not think has been proven at all is the link between the CO2 rise and the rise in temperatures. This is however not of great concern if we're talking about the possible impacts of warming and whether something should be done about it or not.
      • Whatever the source of warming, the current theory on AGW requires that there be a sufficiently strong positive feedback (or feedbacks) in order for the warming to become "catastrophic" or even a severe nuisance. These have not been definitively identified as of yet, and whether clouds are a positive or a negative feedback is still pretty much an open question. Therefore I cannot believe in catastrophic warming, since there is no proof for it.
      • As far as whether anything can or should be done about the current warming cycle, in my view the best thing that could be done is to wait and see what happens in the next decade or so. If preventative measures were free or even moderately cheap, I might agree that they could be tried right away. However, all proposed "solutions" to the issue that may not even exist (that is, an overall negative effect caused by warming) are prohibitively expensive, may not work and will ruin technological and economical development for sure.
      • Please do not call CO2 a pollutant or a health risk since it is not one. A vast majority of the real pollutants that fossil energy generation generates are currently filtered out in the western world and the air quality has improved a lot since the industrial revolution because of that. Therefore I classify arguments based on "poisoning the planet" to be silly and alarmist.
      • I am open to criticism and if you think my position is in some way erroneous, please point it out to me with proper arguments. Currently all arguments about climate change seem to degenerate into shouting matches in which neither participant listens to the other.
    61. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by ShakaUVM · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      >>100% of reputable research supports the conclusion that mans efforts at living the good life have effected the climate

      The scientific consensus is that excessive CO2 production is causing global warming. It doesn't say anything about living the good life - that's a step beyond the science, but one which green nutcases and pocket Hitlers like to jump to. It's quite possible to run American society at half the CO2 production without compromising our way of life at all, or with significant expense.

      While this fact makes the pocket Hitlers sad (they cry lonesome emo tears when they realize they won't be able to mock people for driving SUVs any more), for sane people this is something to celebrate.

    62. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by Troed · · Score: 1

      99.99% of research and 100% of reputable research supports the conclusion that mans efforts at living the good life have effected the climate in such a way that polar ice caps are melting, storms are getting stronger and weather patterns changing.

      Get with the program. Storms getting stronger is so 2005 ;)

      http://www.leshatton.org/Documents/Hurricanes-are-not-getting-stronger.pdf

      (IPCC has, as usual, been very selective in the data they quote. When using all data, the conclusions change)

      When it comes to changing weather patterns, that's due to ocean cycles and they change on scales of several decades. The PDO and the AMO seems to be the main culprits here.

      With regards to polar ice caps, there's dubious support in the data for a statement about "melting". Compaction due to wind caused the huge drop in arctic extent in 2007 and it's been growing since. In antarctica the extent is bigger than ever. Globally it seems that the NH and SH extents are in an opposite relationship and over long periods the amount of ice stays the same: http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/global.daily.ice.area.withtrend.jpg

    63. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by bertok · · Score: 1

      You don't need to go all the way to #28, the bible-thumping starts earlier than that:

      #9 The action-at-a-distance by Jesus, described in John 4:46-54.

      My eyes have been opened! I'm going to burn my heathen physics textbooks at the first opportunity!

    64. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by Troed · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      If we take their advise and continue to burn the known coal reserves over the next 100-200yrs then we will have a change similar to the prehistoric vulcanisim event that turned the oceans acidic and wiped out 90% of extant species

      No, actually not even close, and why would you want us to burn coal when solar power is on a development curve that will in just a few decades supply us with all the energy we need?

      Why are you anti-science? :(

    65. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by Troed · · Score: 1

      during the preceding four centuries

      a.k.a "little ice age"

      Mann's hockey stick is about 1000 up to 2000 years. Try again.

    66. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In this context, a "denier" isn't someone who denies but someone who is "in denial". It isn't that they don't accept something, but that they /won't/ accept it.

    67. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm sorry, but an anthropogenic climate change denier pretending to be objective and impartial, or pretending not to "care", is still a denier. The nuts, the cranks, the crackpots, the fruit loops and the kooks reside, as always, on the side of the deniers. Deniers never seem to be able to get any peer reviewed papers published, not because they are being 'obstructed', but because their MO is pseudoscience and pseudoskepticism.

      Society should forcefully reject climate change denying loons, but unfortunately we're in a global pandemic of stupid.

    68. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by blueg3 · · Score: 1

      They're not really talking about the Pioneer anomaly, just pointing to it to claim that relativity is "wrong". The inclusion of some legitimate questions in physics doesn't magically make the whole list respectable, though. I refer mainly to things like this:
      "The action-at-a-distance by Jesus, described in John 4:46-54."

      Besides a few whoppers, the list consists mainly of already-solved problems and grossly misguided logic.

    69. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by FallinWithStyle · · Score: 1

      The logic used in the beginning of their "proofs" is the best: "Counterexamples to an Old Earth. As with any logical proposition, one contradiction disproves the proposed rule. If each of the 25 counterexamples provided here has merely a 10% chance of being valid, which is certainly an underestimate, then the probability that the Earth is billions of years old is only 7%. From another perspective, these counterexamples demonstrate that the Earth must be young with a likelihood of at least 93%."

      --
      Does this smell like Chloroform to you?
    70. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by CheshireCatCO · · Score: 1

      My main problem is that the 'solutions' to AGW are almost universally bad. Either ridiculously overpriced, overintrusive, undereffective, unfair... and most often some mixture of all of these.

      You've stumbled on something important, there:

      The solutions to AGW have nothing to do with the science saying AGW is happening. Solutions aren't really a part of science, that's politics (plus input from engineering, philosophy/ethics, and science). It may well be that even though we're almost certainly warming the planet up, we should do nothing. But that's a separate issue from the science saying it's happening. That gets lost in a lot of these argument.

    71. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by CheshireCatCO · · Score: 1

      You're more receptive to new evidence than most people denying global warming I've encountered. You do seem to be an honest skeptic, but you also have got to be able to see that there are many people who fight the science tooth and nail without regard to the merits of the case.

      And no, it's not really an ad hominem attack to label them "deniers". Just because a negative word fits doesn't make it a logical fallacy any more than calling a convicted felon a "felon" is an ad hominem.

      Also, a few points on your bullets:

      Therefore I cannot believe in catastrophic warming, since there is no proof for it.

      Of course there isn't. There's never proof, this is science. Eventually, it may happen. But it'll be a little late. This is rather like saying you don't believe the hurricane will strike your coast because there's no proof. Sure, but if the forecasts show a high probability, you may still want to act.

      Please do not call CO2 a pollutant or a health risk since it is not one. A vast majority of the real pollutants that fossil energy generation generates are currently filtered out in the western world and the air quality has improved a lot since the industrial revolution because of that. Therefore I classify arguments based on "poisoning the planet" to be silly and alarmist.

      Are you arguing that because we're filtering other pollutants, CO2 can't be a pollutant? That makes no sense at all.

      As far as whether anything can or should be done about the current warming cycle, in my view the best thing that could be done is to wait and see what happens in the next decade or so.

      This is not an unreasonable position in that you're not denying the science. Policy isn't science and people really need to stop confusing the two. It's possible to accept AGW without feeling that we should act or agree on what action to take.

    72. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by StillNeedMoreCoffee · · Score: 1

      There are glaciers that have been receeding, that have not receeded as much in 10 of thousands of years, the ice shelfs are receeding in the artic and ant-arctic. Your graph shows sea ice which is just surface, the major underlying structures that represents the majority of the stored ice that has been around for a long time is going away. Again you look at the surface and not whats underneath.

    73. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by tgibbs · · Score: 2, Informative

      Actually, Mann's original "hockey stick" went back only to 1400, and a subsequent paper extended it to 1000.

      From the NRC report

      Presently available proxy evidence indicates that temperatures at many, but not all, individual locations were higher during the past 25 years than during any period of comparable length since A.D. 900. The uncertainties associated with reconstructing hemispheric mean or global mean temperatures from these data increase substantially backward in time through this period and are not yet fully quantified.

      This is basically in agreement with Mann's published reports, which acknowledge greater uncertainty as the reconstruction is pushed back further in time, with error bars expanding greatly for dates before about 1600.

      Nevertheless, the NRC report found it

      plausible that the Northern Hemisphere was warmer during the last few decades of the 20th century than during any comparable period over the preceding millennium.

    74. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by thepotoo · · Score: 1

      Thank you for this. It has been a long time since I've laughed this hard. That website is probably the finest piece of satire I've ever read. ;)

      --
      Obligatory Soundbite Catchphrase
    75. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by strokerace · · Score: 1

      Oh man.

      I don't know if any of these are valid counter arguments, but #9 had to be written by someone trolling this wiki.

      9. The action-at-a-distance by Jesus, described in John 4:46-54.

      How can you write that with a straight face? I mean come on.

    76. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by david_thornley · · Score: 2, Interesting

      And this is something I don't understand. Why do people harp on a supposed financial advantage for showing that GW is happening? Most of the money in this fight is on the side of fossil fuel companies. Certainly if a scientist wanted to get more money, there would be some way of getting it from the anti-AGW interests. I'm tempted to get biblical myself - something about beams and motes in people's eyes.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    77. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1

      Oh, don't get me wrong, I think Andy Schlafly is quite possibly the stupidest person in the world. Reading through the talk page on that caused my brain to bleed.

      I just like being contrary. =)

    78. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by Troed · · Score: 1

      You're correct - but that's due to us being in a warm period between glaciations, called the Holocene. There's no scientific support for claiming this is due to the A in AGW - which is what was claimed in the post I replied to.

    79. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by Troed · · Score: 1

      Mann's hockey stick has recently been completely falsified, even assuming all of his data and methods are sound, by professional statisticians. The NRC report is hardly an authority with that in mind.

      In short, the error bars are so large that we _cannot_ say that we're currently warmer than during the MWP.

      http://www.e-publications.org/ims/submission/index.php/AOAS/user/submissionFile/6695?confirm=63ebfddf

    80. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by tgibbs · · Score: 3, Informative

      Mann's hockey stick has recently been completely falsified, even assuming all of his data and methods are sound, by professional statisticians.

      This is simply untrue. While the original statistical approach that Mann chose was not ideal, and is subject to certain types of error, multiple subsequent studies have shown that his approach did not invalidate his conclusions.

      The paper that you cite comes up with larger error bars using a different method of analysis which has not previously been tested or validated for this kind of data, so it logically cannot falsify the hockey stick. The authors do not compare their method to that used Mann or by others who have carried out reproduced his conclusions, and provide no evidence that their approach is in any way superior.

      In short, the error bars are so large that we _cannot_ say that we're currently warmer than during the MWP.

      We also cannot say that the MWP was as warm as today, or even that the MWP was a global phenomenon rather than a regional one. It has been known all along that the error bars get large when you try to extend the analysis that far back, and this was acknowledged in Mann's work.

    81. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by Ascylon · · Score: 1

      And no, it's not really an ad hominem attack to label them "deniers". Just because a negative word fits doesn't make it a logical fallacy any more than calling a convicted felon a "felon" is an ad hominem.

      My point was that it is used way too broadly and most of the times I've seen it used it has been to stifle further argument (even when the argument is reasonable). Very few people actually deny the scientific aspects and many pro-AGW people I've seen arguing on the internet seem to take it as a personal insult if someone does not agree with their view.

      Therefore I cannot believe in catastrophic warming, since there is no proof for it.

      Of course there isn't. There's never proof, this is science. Eventually, it may happen. But it'll be a little late. This is rather like saying you don't believe the hurricane will strike your coast because there's no proof. Sure, but if the forecasts show a high probability, you may still want to act.

      That's just the thing, I haven't seen any convincing evidence that catastrophic global warming is very likely, or indeed, at all possible to happen. All of those catastrophic climate forecasts are based on models which do not account for cloud cover for example, which makes their predictive value highly suspect. They have failed to predict the last 10 years of stable temperature for one. As far as hurricanes are concerned, those have struck many coasts so there is plenty of empirical evidence for the possibility. Catastrophic global warming, on the other hand, would be unprecedented.

      Please do not call CO2 a pollutant or a health risk since it is not one. A vast majority of the real pollutants that fossil energy generation generates are currently filtered out in the western world and the air quality has improved a lot since the industrial revolution because of that. Therefore I classify arguments based on "poisoning the planet" to be silly and alarmist.

      Are you arguing that because we're filtering other pollutants, CO2 can't be a pollutant? That makes no sense at all.

      My point with that was that many times news and people confuse the issue of global warming (CO2) and harmful emissions by portraying CO2 as a harmful pollutant. The only potentially harmful aspect of CO2 to humans or nature in general is the theory that it might cause harmful levels of warming. I think that there's nothing wrong with attempting to limit harmful emissions in a reasonable way, which is what the western world has been doing for decades already. It should not be confused with the issue of AGW, however, since it just confuses the argument and at least makes me think that the person does not know what they're talking about or that they are just riding the AGW horse to push their own green agenda and way of life.

      In short, higher CO2 concentrations enhance plant growth and only extremely high levels of CO2 are directly harmful to humans or animals. Extremely high in this context means around one percent, which equals 10000 parts per million. Therefore without the theory of catastrophic CO2-induced AGW the effects of increased CO2 concentration are only beneficial and therefore CO2 can't really be called a pollutant. I am also well aware of the ocean acidification theory, but there's no clear evidence on whether the small pH changes will have any noticeable effect at all.

    82. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by fluffy99 · · Score: 1

      And this is something I don't understand. Why do people harp on a supposed financial advantage for showing that GW is happening? Most of the money in this fight is on the side of fossil fuel companies. Certainly if a scientist wanted to get more money, there would be some way of getting it from the anti-AGW interests. I'm tempted to get biblical myself - something about beams and motes in people's eyes.

      There really isn't much money out there to fund AGW research. While companies like Exxon are spending more, but its simply not in the same scale as the govt is providing. For reference, see http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Exxon_Mobil. Big Oil seems to be taking the approach that its far cheaper to fund lobbyists and bribe key politicians.

      Its also possible that Big Oil, like tobacco wants to keep plausible deniability (honest, we didn't know burning oil cause GW).

    83. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by CheshireCatCO · · Score: 1

      That's just the thing, I haven't seen any convincing evidence that catastrophic global warming is very likely, or indeed, at all possible to happen. All of those catastrophic climate forecasts are based on models which do not account for cloud cover for example, which makes their predictive value highly suspect. They have failed to predict the last 10 years of stable temperature for one. As far as hurricanes are concerned, those have struck many coasts so there is plenty of empirical evidence for the possibility. Catastrophic global warming, on the other hand, would be unprecedented.

      Depends what you mean by "catastrophic", really. Drier weather in inhabited areas causing water to run low? Hurricanes? Floods? Ocean level rises?

      And where did you get the idea that the models don't use cloud cover? The ones I've stepped through in grad classes definitely do. The modeling is crude, to be sure, but it's in there. If it's not precise enough for you, say so, but how precise do you demand it be then?

      harmful emissions by portraying CO2 as a harmful pollutant

      It is a pollutant. We're churning it out and it has a negative effect. It doesn't have to directly harm humans to be a pollutant. Look at fertilizer run-off. You're bending the definition of the word to suit your desire.

      In short, higher CO2 concentrations enhance plant growth and only extremely high levels of CO2 are directly harmful to humans or animals

      Ocean acidification. It's happening, it's killing animals right now. So your absolute statement isn't accurate. You might not have encountered harmful outcomes of CO2 rises, but they exist. There was a nice piece in The American Scientist a month or few ago about it, in fact.

      In short, I think you're confusing lack of media coverage with lack of problems. (And turning that into absolute statements of fact rather than tentative statements of limited knowledge.) That's very dangerous.

    84. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

      The bulk of the list is a combination of "I don't understand relativity therefore it is wrong," "relativity is incompatible with my religion therefore it is wrong," "I think this effect (which may be due to a non-relativistic cause) in not in the theory of relativity therefore relativity is wrong" and "scientists can't reconcile quantum mechanics and relativity therefore relativity is wrong." The whole "relativity leads to moral relativism" idea is also a laugh.

      The lists on arguments against evolution and an old earth are equally laughable.

      That's the problem with the conservative movement in the US, anyone who is not a white Christian young earth creationist who believes that non-white socialists are the cause of every problem and international corporations are the solution need not apply.

    85. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

      I'm sure the bible describes how microsecond resolution absolute timings were made that prove instantaneous effect.

    86. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

      Look at the talk page. People have argued against it, yet it is still there.

    87. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by SETIGuy · · Score: 2, Informative
      1998 was the hottest year despite the rising population and therefore, the increase of the greenhouse gases. CO2 is a greenhouse gas - that's proven scientifically, but that does not mean it is the sole factor in the climate systems.

      Have you been asleep for a decade? 2009 was the second hottest year in the hottest decade on record. 2010 has, thus far been the hottest year on record. I think you took a few years of relatively stable temperatures in the early parts of the 2000-2009 decade as a trend, and haven't looked since. AGW does not predict continuous monotonic temperature increase. That's because one or two years temperature isn't climate.

      Of course these points (1998 being warmest, hockey stick being "falsified") have been refuted again and again, but AGW skeptics seem to think that saying them again like they are true "unrefutes" them. But what can you expect from an AC.

    88. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by mjwx · · Score: 2, Insightful

      but to attach labels like 'deniers'

      Because the Sceptics have diluted and changed the meaning of the word sceptic.

      We've relabelled them Deniers because that's what they are. They aren't interested in evaluating evidence and will cling to the tiniest error and use that as evidence that the science is wrong. A typical conversation between a scientist, sceptic and denier:

      Scientist: Here is my publication with my results.
      Sceptic: I'll need more proof, I want to replicate your experiments and get my own results.
      Denier: You didn't dot an "i" on page 158, this report is a sham and all your so called "science" is wrong. You need to be forced out of the scientific community.

      This is pretty much what the Climategate and IPCC controversies boiled down to, typo's and misinterpretations. Fortunately the real sceptics won in the end but not before the deniers did enough damage.

      Side note, The Climate Skeptics party in the 2010 Australian election misspelled "Sceptic" (Skeptic = En_US, Sceptic = En_UK/En_AU) so it's little wonder they got 607 votes in total.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
    89. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1

      The bulk of the list is a combination of "I don't understand relativity therefore it is wrong," "relativity is incompatible with my religion therefore it is wrong," "I think this effect (which may be due to a non-relativistic cause) in not in the theory of relativity therefore relativity is wrong" and "scientists can't reconcile quantum mechanics and relativity therefore relativity is wrong." The whole "relativity leads to moral relativism" idea is also a laugh.

      Yeah, the list is so horribly bad, it makes my brain hurt. I apologize if this wasn't clear from my above post - Andy Schlafly is quite possibly the stupidest person on the planet. Most people who don't know something don't take it upon themselves to write encyclopedia articles about it. They know they're ignorant, and let someone else do it for them.

      It is true that the discovery that the foundations of our universe are relative did lead to relativism in philosophy and art (study the history of philosophy some time, it's quite interesting what influences people). However, this cannot possibly be a knock against the scientific merits of relativism - no matter how much Andy Schlafly wants reality to be some way.

      >>That's the problem with the conservative movement in the US, anyone who is not a white Christian young earth creationist who believes that non-white socialists are the cause of every problem and international corporations are the solution need not apply.

      This is certainly true on Conservopedia, where the official policy is that nobody can contradict Andy or edit his edits (except for spelling and grammar edits).

      What you're describing are the fundies in America, and fundies are the antithesis of logic. However, they don't make up a majority of the conservative movement, though they are the loudest and get the most airtime, so to speak. You'll hear about the debates over standards in Texas, but not from all the other states with more rational conservative governors or legislatures.

    90. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by blueg3 · · Score: 1

      Oh, there's no shortage of reasons why "The action-at-a-distance by Jesus, described in John 4:46-54" is painfully bad.

    91. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by Ascylon · · Score: 1

      Depends what you mean by "catastrophic", really. Drier weather in inhabited areas causing water to run low? Hurricanes? Floods? Ocean level rises?

      Global warming (or cooling for that matter) that impacts nature or human civilization severely in an overall negative way (whatever the actual effects are). I could go into a discussion about whether or not some effects are caused by global warming or not, but suffice to say it's important to consider all likely causes instead of just branding any environment-related anomalies as results of global warming. Could be does not mean is.

      And where did you get the idea that the models don't use cloud cover? The ones I've stepped through in grad classes definitely do. The modeling is crude, to be sure, but it's in there. If it's not precise enough for you, say so, but how precise do you demand it be then?

      Poor choice of words there, but my main point was that cloud cover modeling on average is off by more than 10% of observed values. This is significant, since very small changes in cloud cover could explain all of the recent warming all by itself. There's also the problem of whether cloud cover overall is a positive or a negative feedback. I believe models assume it is positive, but to my knowledge there isn't a strong scientific basis for that.

      There's also the secondary issue of whether climate models are at all fit for long-term forecasting. Weather forecasts become extremely unreliable after only a few days, yet climate models are trusted to predict climate decades or even centuries away. On top of that the instrumental record of temperatures is not nearly long enough to validate the results of climate models, so basing anything on the models alone seems overly optimistic to me. Anyone with some maths ability can make a set of parameters fit an existing curve and make predictions about the curve aka extrapolate. There's also the issue of climate modeling being an iterative process, in which errors in earlier iterations get amplified by further iterations, decreasing accuracy the further into the future one goes.

      It is a pollutant. We're churning it out and it has a negative effect. It doesn't have to directly harm humans to be a pollutant. Look at fertilizer run-off. You're bending the definition of the word to suit your desire.

      And what about the CO2 that already existed before humans even were here? Should we classify that as a pollutant as well and make it our mission to eliminate as much of it from the atmosphere as possible? What is the cutoff point for when CO2 becomes harmful enough to warrant expenditure to limit its emission? What about increased CO2 levels benefiting plant life and agriculture, should we just ignore that? As far as warming as a negative effect goes, remember that I am of the opinion that most warming in the last 100 years are due to natural causes, and only a small portion due to AGW. Besides, who's to say a warmer Earth is not more suitable for life than the current one?

      Ocean acidification. It's happening, it's killing animals right now. So your absolute statement isn't accurate. You might not have encountered harmful outcomes of CO2 rises, but they exist. There was a nice piece in The American Scientist a month or few ago about it, in fact.

      I believe I mentioned in my comment that I know of the ocean acidification theory. I would have very much liked a source for your claim about it already killing animals, since from what I've been able to read about it it is still just a theory and it is uncertain whether a small pH decrease will negatively affect marine life in a hundred years, let alone now. If you have knowledge of some articles or papers on the subject, I'd very much like to take a look at them to see if the theory has gained any certainty.

      Anyway perhaps my statement was a bit too absolute, but since the negative impact of ocean acidification is still to my knowledge (I may be wrong, but I can't assume I am without some further evidence) uncertain and CO2-induced warming is relatively minor based on science, I can't in good conscience call CO2 a pollutant. The best label I can attach to it is plant food.

    92. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by Troed · · Score: 1

      "this kind"? Is this another case where "climate statistics" can only be done if you're a "climate scientist" (whatever that is) meaning professional statisticians can't do valid research on the methods used?

      You're also completely misrepresenting the paper in question. Have you read it? If not, please read the full conclusion. The gist of it is "there's no support in actual data to support conclusion of a hockeystick kind".

      Finally: Can you please tell me where the honest scientist Mann stood up and said IPCC and Al Gore misrepresented his work with regards to errors bars (i.e, statistical uncertainty) in graphs used to claim that we're currently in a period much warmer than anything of the last 1000 years - and that there was no MWP?

      Yeah, me neither, since it never happened. At least Briffa tried, according to the leaked emails.

    93. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by berbo · · Score: 1

      Then listen to this one. It isn't like the science is settled (of course, some of it is). As he says,

      The notion that complex climate "catastrophes" are simply a matter of the response of a single number, GATA, .....

      You don't have to present a false choice between the Discovery Institute and 'scientists.'

      And you don't have to present a false choice between the WSJ's stupid strawman argument, and "skepticism".

    94. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by berbo · · Score: 1

      "Beyond reasonable doubt" is necessary for court of law because of significant losses that convicting innocent people causes; but it is not the level that is needed for engineering efforts and society-level planning of environmental issues.

      When you're talking about changing the basis for the global economy, it is needed.

      Can you prove beyond a reasonable doubt that increasing CO2 will not significanly change the climate?

      I didn't think so.

    95. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      OK, right now, I'm going to tell you, your information gathering skills are the worst I've seen this month (ok, that's today, but still...). Did you read who the author of that article was? It wasn't some stupid columnist, it was one of the most skillful climatologists in the world. There's probably no one who knows more about clouds than him, and he's been an author in several IPCC reports. If you think it's a strawman argument, you better explain why such a respected scientist made that kind of mistake.

      --
      Qxe4
    96. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by Raenex · · Score: 1

      Same goes for pretty much everything humans do. We've already terraformed the planet. I can't say I'm happy about it, but here we are. If our carbon dioxide emissions aren't a problem, then you'll be spending huge amounts of resources to fix it.

      It's always a question of tradeoffs. We need the science to be the best it can be. Considering the stakes involved, there's been a lot of bad science, from poor data, poor review, and outright political shenanigans.

    97. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by scot4875 · · Score: 1

      I think it was really more the introductory paragraph that claimed that relativity was some sort of liberal invention that affects people's ability to think. That's got to be one of the stupidest allegations I've ever heard.

      --Jeremy

      --
      Jesus was a liberal
    98. Re:Politics And Science Don't Mix by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1

      >>I think it was really more the introductory paragraph that claimed that relativity was some sort of liberal invention that affects people's ability to think. That's got to be one of the stupidest allegations I've ever heard.

      Indeed. I've been trying to puzzle it out, since it's so bizarre. (I didn't even know relativity was controversial in the slightest.)

      Even if I put myself in the mindset of a fundie, though, I can't agree with this guy. Let's see:
      1) Science (from a Xian point of view) is the study of God's creation, to better understand Creation and all that. There's a reason why the Vatican has an observatory.
      2) Relativity is the best fit for our understanding of the universe. It's more accurate than Newtonian physics, but there's still some issues, like compatibility with QM, that need to be resolved.

      His take on it is:
      3) Relativity leads to moral relativity.
      4) I don't like moral relativity.
      5) Therefore God could not have possibly created the universe that way.

      Conclusion:
      In other words, he's setting himself above God, which is blasphemy or heresy or whatever.

      I.e., even from a Christian point of view, his argument holds no water, and is probably anti-Christian. As a supporter of Ayn Rand, his egoism might be excused if he was an atheist, I guess, but as a Christian he has no defense for trying to say that his Will is greater than God's.

  5. Are these researchers gay or something? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/03/05/AR2010030501582.html

    Seriously, Cuccinelli is a total asshole.

  6. Re:not misleading by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Naturally, I expect this to be modded to oblivion by people with the same affiliation.

    Naturally. Just as you mod people down that don't agree with you. In this very thread!

  7. Cuccinelli is a partisan hack by Goonie · · Score: 5, Informative

    It appears that Ken Cuccinelli is a partisan hack who's using his position as Attorney-General primarily to advance right-wing interests, and thus further his own political ambitions.

    Last week he was going after abortion clinics.

    This week it's Michael Mann.

    --

    Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from a rigged demo
    --Andy Finkel (J. Klass?)
    1. Re:Cuccinelli is a partisan hack by Robyrt · · Score: 1

      The Albermarle County Circuit Court is not exactly a hotbed of left-wing activity. This judge isn't striking a righteous blow against Cuccinelli, he's doing his job.

    2. Re:Cuccinelli is a partisan hack by machine321 · · Score: 1

      Next week, Straw Mann.

    3. Re:Cuccinelli is a partisan hack by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The really scary part? In Virginia, the Attorney General usually has the inside track for his party's nomination for governor in the next election.

    4. Re:Cuccinelli is a partisan hack by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

      Maybe a contempt citation would convince Cuccinelli to do his.

    5. Re:Cuccinelli is a partisan hack by UnknownSoldier · · Score: 1

      > This week it's Michael Mann.

      Guess there is more then one Burning Man ... :-)

  8. If you're bothered by skepticism, it ain't science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If the word "skeptic" is supposed to be pejorative, the subject must be religion and not science.

  9. Politics aside by hsmith · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Why should a public funded university not have to respond to such requests? Why, if I were to file a FOIA request for the same data would it be denied? My tax money has paid for it, I have every right as I do to FOIA the video tapes of a traffic stop.

    As such a website that so often cries for "free information" - it is amusing to see "zomg good!" due to the motivations behind the request and why it was denied.

    1. Re:Politics aside by Improv · · Score: 1

      Occasionally there are legal reasons why *some* research records can't be released, particularly those containing subject information in human subject experiments. That's not likely to be the case there.

      For other kinds of information, it can be an issue if people outside of broad academia try to jump in and play politics with the conduct of research - we already have peer review for that, done by people with a solid understanding of statistics and the standards of the field. We don't want our research popularised and then misrepresented by loud and uninformed people - perfectly reasonable studies, conducted and analysed well that would easily pass peer review could easily have some very stupid criticisms attached to them by showmen who cliaim to understand them, and people would be none the wiser.

      Openness is great in principle, but the actual conduct and analysis of the studies belongs to the academes worldwide who understand it, not the common people. Voting, pundits, and public debate have no place and are not welcome in the discussion. It is our community - academia, that has driven knowledge.

      --
      For every problem, there is at least one solution that is simple, neat, and wrong.
    2. Re:Politics aside by Ironhandx · · Score: 5, Interesting

      RTFA, it was not a FOIA request. That may have in fact been much more successful. It was a subpoena request for information based on trumped up(invalid) fraud charges. However a FOIA request would have been much less politically advantageous if it went through, which is all that this whole thing was really about, he wasn't looking for evidence he was looking to be able to smear the guys name with the fact that there may have been enough evidence against him to even start a full scale legally backed investigation.

      You should be thanking this judge for setting this idiot in his place and not allowing him to abuse the legal system and your tax dollars purely for his own political gain.

      It is also still left open for the guy to back up his trumped up fraud charges a little better and resubmit the subpoena request.

      Sorry if I'm less than sympathetic towards the guy but his entire career reeks of abuse of power to push nonsensical politically advantageous policies while largely ignoring bigger problems. Global warming and its existence isn't even on my top TEN list of things for politicians to be worrying about.

    3. Re:Politics aside by p_trekkie · · Score: 1

      You mean this data?

      Mann 1998/9

      On the other hand, if you meant every email Mann sent in the past 10 years, go jump in a lake. We don't even get president's personal correspondence and notes until after they die! Why should it be any different for scientists?

    4. Re:Politics aside by canajin56 · · Score: 2, Informative

      State Freedom of Information Acts tend to be a lot less broad than the federal one (which only applies to the federal executive branch). Using Michigan as an example, you cannot request all documents relating to a given subject. You have to identify what documents you want, and be specific. In that regard, I highly doubt that you could say "I want all of the email sent by this professor to any of these 40 other people, for the last 5 years". That's absurdly broad. You probably could request all of the documents used to support a research grant application. But, that was to the state. I would think that therefore, the state would already have those documents, so requesting then seems more like harassment. (Unless you can get away with citing but not submitting papers with your grant? That would be weird to allow in the first place...) They also request a list of all documents that have been destroyed, and documents verifying the legitimate reason for their destruction. That one is almost insulting. It's like asking somebody to please list the times they have beaten their wife, and their reasoning for those beatings. Sounds pretty accusatory.

      --
      ASCII stupid question, get a stupid ANSI
    5. Re:Politics aside by GHennessy · · Score: 1

      Filing a FOIA request does not get you the private emails or private computer programs of the faculty and staff of UVa.

    6. Re:Politics aside by Improv · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Our long term survival and health as a species is far more important than your petty complaints over taxes. To whatever extent we can steer this, we must.

      --
      For every problem, there is at least one solution that is simple, neat, and wrong.
    7. Re:Politics aside by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Openess is great until someone suggests that *I* might not get all of *MY* research funding. This is *MY* ivory tower. How dare you peons sugggest that *MY* ivory tower be imperfect.

    8. Re:Politics aside by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Cuccinelli wanted not just Mann's data but all his email and correspondence. Everything the university could find on it's servers or backups. Is that FOIA material?

      Expect more of this sort of inquisition if republicans retake the house and get the power of subpoena. They have charges lined up and are writing the most absurd things as we speak. They are certain a crime has been committed against them and just need to dig for the evidence to prove it. Let Virginia with it's republican sweep be a warning of where politics are going.

    9. Re:Politics aside by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As someone who consults for a .gov, it isn't their "private" information - it is owned by the citizens of the state.

    10. Re:Politics aside by Ironhandx · · Score: 0, Troll

      Its nice to see mods that don't mod based on political bias. [/sarcasm]

      +1 insightful for someone that didn't even read the summary? Really?

      The -1 to me obviously makes his opinion more valid as well. Mhmmm.

    11. Re:Politics aside by kwbauer · · Score: 0, Troll

      people outside of broad academia try to jump in and play politics with the conduct of research ...Openness is great in principle, but...Openness is great in principle

      What exactly are Al Gore's scientific credentials? He has a journalism degree, childhood was basically no different than a trust-fund baby and according to Wikipedia he did poorly in science and math classes at Harvard. Except for his stance on AGW, he would be ridiculed beyond belief on Slashdot because if this resumé.

      In almost all other disciplines, Slashdotters tend to prefer the experts to be experts in a field. But for climate research, experts can be anyone involved in any field at all, regardless of how little that field actually contributes to meteorology and climate otherwise.

    12. Re:Politics aside by kwbauer · · Score: 1

      To whatever extent we can steer this, we must.

      A truly scientific debate wouldn't need any "steering". The way I see it, steering is no different than spinning.

    13. Re:Politics aside by Improv · · Score: 1

      Science provides the best approximation we have for truth, and steering is how we move society towards appropriate action. They're separate processes. Recognising a problem is not the same thing as finding the appropriate policy and other changes needed to respond appropriately.

      --
      For every problem, there is at least one solution that is simple, neat, and wrong.
    14. Re:Politics aside by Improv · · Score: 1

      Of course it's imperfect. It's done by real people with egos, doing experiments that might not always be replicable. However, it's the best method we've got - if you find some method of determining facts that's better than the distributed social and methodological tools of academia, tell the world!

      --
      For every problem, there is at least one solution that is simple, neat, and wrong.
    15. Re:Politics aside by Improv · · Score: 1

      I don't consider Al Gore to be doing much more than popularising the already existing consensus. If he were going way out on a limb and breaking with academia, I'd be quite willing to criticise him, as (I hope) any sensible person would. Al Gore is not a scientist, but so far he gets the details mostly right and he's doing an important task of letting people know.

      --
      For every problem, there is at least one solution that is simple, neat, and wrong.
    16. Re:Politics aside by cbeaudry · · Score: 1

      That is such an alarmist view of things, you should be put into a straight jacket before your fear mongering starts harming those of us that live in a free society.

    17. Re:Politics aside by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe not. Just because a grant was given for the research does not mean it was funded solely by that grant. Grants can be a few hundred dollars or many thousands, so it may have just bought the researcher a new laptop. It does not seem reasonable that that would open all of his research to a public prosecutor's personal agenda witch-hunt.

    18. Re:Politics aside by Improv · · Score: 1

      No society is entirely free nor entirely not. When there are challenges that are based on actual facts, we cannot afford to be so afraid of doing anything that we don't deal with them. History is full of examples of challenges societies have had to face, sometimes making pretty big sacrifices to do so (metal rationing, occasionally meal rationing, conscription, etc). Sometimes the sacrifices were inappropriate, but to condemn beforehand even the idea of having society adapt is just foolishness.

      --
      For every problem, there is at least one solution that is simple, neat, and wrong.
    19. Re:Politics aside by riverat1 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      and as we all know, Mr. Mann refused to provide any actual climate data and advised some to destroy data.

      You're talking about Phil Jones in the UK, not Michael Mann. Dr. Mann's "hockey stick" data and methods can be found here. Please tell me what part of that is falsified. But Mann's work is a small, not terribly important in itself piece of a large body of data and theory. Even if you threw it out completely it wouldn't change a thing.

    20. Re:Politics aside by AlterEager · · Score: 1

      What scientific debate? The debate is purely politcal.

    21. Re:Politics aside by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As a scientist working for a state, the state knows not to ship a scientist's emails off to a right wing nutjob on a witch hunt. If they did, the state would no longer have scientists.

  10. Don't like either side by jvillain · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    I don't care for politicians on political witch hunts. The resources of the state are virtually infinite and it is easy to get to the wrong answer by brute forcing a case. But I also don't like the fact that every time there is the slightest bit of good news on the warmist side it appears instantly on every forum and news site on the planet. But if I post any thing contrary I get modded down to -5 in seconds. That kind of abuse of the system is just as bad. This was a far bigger story today and not a peep about it. Link

    1. Re:Don't like either side by hondo77 · · Score: 2, Informative

      A far bigger story? How? A review panel finds that the UN's climate panel could be doing a better job but "...the way the United Nations panel goes about its work has 'been successful overall.'" That's big news?

      --
      I live ze unknown. I love ze unknown. I am ze unknown.
    2. Re:Don't like either side by daveime · · Score: 1

      "The review panel suggested that the climate panel make predictions only when solid scientific evidence was in place."

      Read this over and over until you get it ... it says that up till now, the IPCC has NOT made predictions solely based on Scientific Method, but also based on the whims and alterior motives of politicians, journalists, and anyone willing to swear "it was the warmest day this year".

      If that is your definition of "successful", then I'd rather they failed.

    3. Re:Don't like either side by hondo77 · · Score: 1

      I did not use the term "successful", it was the review panel. Perhaps you should read that "over and over until you get it".

      Besides, the article you linked to does not contain the quote you cite.

      --
      I live ze unknown. I love ze unknown. I am ze unknown.
  11. Causation and Correlation by mangu · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It is interesting (and very bigoted of you) to assume anyone who is a AGW skeptic is anti-science and pro-intelligent design

    Well, an argument often seen here on Slashdot is that "correlation does not imply causation".

    However, correlation is a good argument for further studies on causation. And there's a very strong correlation between being a global warming skeptic and having a strong anti-science and pro-creationist stance.

    1. Re:Causation and Correlation by Tacticus.v1 · · Score: 1

      You also have to take into account his homophobic bigotry

    2. Re:Causation and Correlation by hairyfeet · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I wouldn't say so. I personally am not big on AGW simply because too many of the scientists we have seen for it have a serious "we don't have to show data to riff raff" attitude, and to me that is the opposite of science. Scientists, those that I consider "real" scientists anyway, like Einstein, were happy to show you their work. Hell I'm sure Hawking would probably bury you alive in data if asked. That to me is what made science great, in that it doesn't require faith or belief in an individual or individuals. A true scientist, and I hate to use a FLOSS analogy but that is all I can think of ATM, wants you to find the "bugs" because they are concerned with finding the answers not pushing an agenda one way or another.

      So I would say, while being an atheist and VERY pro science, that I am an AGW skeptic, simply because way too many in the AGW camp have this "You are for us or you are a (insert truther, denier, other derogatory name)" which is to me the exact opposite of how true science is supposed to work. I shouldn't have to take their word for anything because the data should be out there for all. That's my feelings on the subject anyway.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    3. Re:Causation and Correlation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Einstein and Hawking didn't have to deal with endless FOIA requests, death threats, and the prospect of criminal prosecution. They didn't have to deal with being demonized by politicians and religous leaders (at least to the extent that Mann has).

      There is a ton of data that you could look at. Start with the IPCC report. Most people who claim to be global warming skeptics don't know enough about the basics to qualify as "skeptics" -- at least in any meaningful way. All this whining about data not being available a lame cop-out.

    4. Re:Causation and Correlation by daveime · · Score: 1

      This IPCC report ? (Emphasis mine).

      After a string of scandals on "incorrect" reports - some respite for the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) chairman Rajendra Pachauri. He will stay on as the chairman of the UN Climate panel. An UN probe into the working of the IPCC called for a total review of the report.

      Pachauri on Monday said he would not quit despite an independent review finding flaws in its structure and suggesting shortening the chair's 12-year term limit.

      Earlier, chairman of the IPCC Rajendra Pachauri told CNN-IBN in April 2010 that he has a task to complete and he certainly won't quit.

      "I have a task. I have a mission to finish the fifth assessment report and I am certainly not going to quit," said Rajendra Pachauri.

      On Monday, at a meeting of the Inter Academy Council in New York the Council has decided not to take any action against Pachauri. They have acknowledged that there were some errors in the IPCC reports.

      The Review panel suggested - a fundamental reform in the climate panel's structure, including appointing of an executive director to be at the helm of its affairs. The report said the 12-year limit for the chair of the IPCC was too long and should be shortened. It called for an overhaul of the panel's management, including the creation of an executive committee that would include people from outside the IPCC. It also recommended replacing the top eight officials responsible for producing the United Nations reports every seven years or so.

      The IPCC was widely criticized after admitting its 2007 global warming report wrongly said Himalayan glaciers would vanish by 2035 and that it overstated how much of the Netherlands is below sea level.

      The review panel suggested that the climate panel make predictions only when solid scientific evidence was in place.

      So while, Pachauri will continue for now as chairperson, what remains to be seen is whether any of these actions will lead to better climate science and more accurate findings of the impact of climate change by the IPCC.

      The next IPCC report on climate change will be published in 2013 and 2014.

    5. Re:Causation and Correlation by cbeaudry · · Score: 1

      There is no such correlation.

      I dont know what you have been modded insightful, your just an ignorant hack trying to sound important.

      You are EXACTLY the same as those you are trying to insult.

    6. Re:Causation and Correlation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So the IPCC report is wrong because two pieces of data were incorrect? Have you actually read the report?

      The crux of the argument that the recent warming is due primarily to human activity is not based on examples like those discredited ones in the report. Considering the fact that the recent warming trend is well-accepted even among skeptics, it's a very tertiary issue.

      That's a stunningly weak rebuttal (emphasis mine).

    7. Re:Causation and Correlation by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      Well MR Anon Coward (notice many "Pro" AGW seem to like to use your handle) you...well...WHOOSH! Kinda missed the point there! Does the IPCC report (which as others pointed out has holes) provide me with ALL the data they used, or simply their conclusions? Does it give the location of the monitoring stations, so I can see for myself whether they are on heat islands like the middle of a city or not?

      A report is someone else saying "The data is thus" and my point is real science, at least the science I've admired all my life like Einstein and Hawking, don't just tell you the data they show you their work much of which was paid for by We, The People and frankly should be public domain anyway. And even if I couldn't understand their data (dammit, I have to use a FLOSS analogy again) there are many out there who can understand the data and who aren't set to make out like a bandit off of AGW like Rev. Al Gore. Trusting those set to make a killing if a piece of legislation is passed is how we got into the banking mess by getting rid of Glass Steagall, and we are talking about a HELL of a lot more money and lives impacted here.

      So call me weird, but I want ALL the data paid for by We, The People used for AGW to be placed into the public domain for us to see for ourselves. Considering We, The People paid for it I really don't think that's too much to ask for, do you Mr AC?

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    8. Re:Causation and Correlation by mpe · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I personally am not big on AGW simply because too many of the scientists we have seen for it have a serious "we don't have to show data to riff raff" attitude, and to me that is the opposite of science. Scientists, those that I consider "real" scientists anyway, like Einstein, were happy to show you their work. Hell I'm sure Hawking would probably bury you alive in data if asked.

      IIRC Darwin was well aware that his theory of evolution was incomplete and indicated in his published works where he though further research was needed.

      That to me is what made science great, in that it doesn't require faith or belief in an individual or individuals.

      Or for that matter organisations.

      A true scientist, and I hate to use a FLOSS analogy but that is all I can think of ATM, wants you to find the "bugs" because they are concerned with finding the answers not pushing an agenda one way or another.

      Sometimes an "outsider" can easily find bugs that have been overlooked. It also appears daft not to run computer models past computer experts, statistics past statistics experts and in attempting to work out what conditions existed in the past to not ask historians & archaeologists.

    9. Re:Causation and Correlation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >>So the IPCC report is wrong because two pieces of data were incorrect? Have you actually read the report?

      If you count the minor errors, they number in the thousands.

      A lot of the problem is that they let people like the WWF write the impact reports, which means that they don't need to be all "peer reviewed" or nothin'. You can just talk about panda bears dying, or whatever, and they'll stick it in.

      IIRC, the majority of the impact reports are not peer reviewed.

    10. Re:Causation and Correlation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And there's a very strong correlation between being a global warming skeptic and having a strong anti-science and pro-creationist stance.

      I can't speak for the US, but as far as I know both your "scientists" and the rest of the population believe in a man in the clouds which pretty much makes your whole society anti-scientific. Your correlation above (and feel free to support your statement) does not hold true in other parts of the world where, to start with, there are no creationists ...

      Actually belief in AGW closely mimics belief in religion, and the AGW skeptics are the ones who hold the scientific process dearly.

    11. Re:Causation and Correlation by daveime · · Score: 1

      You ask me if I've read the complete report, when you can't even read a couple of paragraphs of my reply ?

      I've selected the important bit for you ...

      The review panel suggested that the climate panel make predictions only when solid scientific evidence was in place.

      Why is any "prediction" being made without solid scientific evidence ? The IPCC is supposedly the peer of peers for (A)GW science, trusted by governments worldwide to form their energy policies (taxes) that affect billions of people. And now it's just "okay" that they accept submissions from hippies concerned about some green lizard going extinct and blaming it on (A)GW ? Sorry, not only accept submissions, but publish them as gospel conclusions without any scientific evidence ?

      Stating something is due to happen in 2035, and then saying "oops, we meant 2305" is not simply "one error", it's a big glaring example of the untrustworthy bullshit published by people whose agenda is politically motivated rather than scientifically motivated.

    12. Re:Causation and Correlation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't think you can call yourself "very pro science" based on your reasoning for being an AGW skeptic. If you were Pro Science, then you would look at what the science is saying. Your reasoning for being an AGW "skeptic," does not involve the evaluation of the science at all....I am not sure that you could be more hypocritical if you tried. No one is hiding "data," and you should hold yourself to a higher standard. Being an atheist does not mean that you are a true skeptic (meant in the scientific definition, not the AGW "skeptic" definition).

    13. Re:Causation and Correlation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Again, these predictions are irrelevant to the question at hand: is the recent warming trend the result of human activities. These predictions are not made to support that claim. You're deflecting.

    14. Re:Causation and Correlation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's a report, not a scientific proposal or some sort of proof. The amount of climate data available is staggering -- which is why they made the report in the first place. There data is (literally) every piece of information anyone involved in the report has ever learned about or observed. It's a great summary and starting point for research. It's not meant to convince you of anything, but instead to state the collective opinion of a whole lot of people who know about this stuff.

      You seem to be questioning whether or not there has actually been a recent warming trend; that question is verging on "noncontroversial", even by skeptics who actually know what they're talking about. The question of whether or not it is caused by human activities is the one where they disagree with most scientists.

      The questions you should be looking at are "are there other plausible explanations for the warming trend"? (hint: Maybe, which is why the IPCC report says that there is only a 90% certainty that human activities have caused the warming). And the most interesting question: since there is more water vapor in the air (because of the higher concentration of carbon gasses), will there be more clouds which will mitigate the damage? (hint: We don't know yet)

      Oh, and since I am AC, why don't you go fuck yourself you snarky, self-righteous douche?

    15. Re:Causation and Correlation by daveime · · Score: 1

      These predictions are COMPLETELY relevant, because these are being touted as the RESULTS of increased warming, along with earthquakes, hurricanes, plagues of boils and frogs etc etc.

      You will note that I refer to the topic as (A)GW, because I have no doubt that the planet is warming (even if only slightly). What I do take issue with is the idea that we alone have caused it, that removing all human influenced CO2 from the equation will make a damn of difference, and that the predicted warming will have any deleterious effects.

    16. Re:Causation and Correlation by berbo · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't say so. I personally am not big on AGW simply because too many of the scientists we have seen for it have a serious "we don't have to show data to riff raff" attitude, and to me that is the opposite of science. Scientists, those that I consider "real" scientists anyway, like Einstein, were happy to show you their work.

      Breaking: some crafty hackers have uncovered all the secret data thats been hidden from us "riff raff", and released it here: http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.htm

      happy reading!

  12. Cucinelli should be charged by Arancaytar · · Score: 3, Interesting

    He's abusing taxpayer money to fuel this religious right-wing witch hunt.

  13. Re:If you're bothered by skepticism, it ain't scie by MrHanky · · Score: 2, Insightful

    True. But most self-proclaimed climate change skeptics are simply denialists.

  14. Re:If you're bothered by skepticism, it ain't scie by Burnhard · · Score: 0

    If you deny an alternate explanation for climate fluctuations in the 20th century is possible, what does that make you?

  15. Re:it's politicized, what did you expect? by DamienRBlack · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The judge ruled that Cuccinelli's subpoena didn't include sufficient reason to suspect fraud. Cuccinelli is allowed to rewrite his subpoena if he wants to. Quit seeing liberal conspiracy where there is only conservative stupidity.

  16. Yes, very disturbing by garyisabusyguy · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It comes down to suing researchers out of existance if their results conflict with a political stance

    This is beyond scary, it is a sign of America moving from a world leader in research to a has-been backwater

    --
    Wherever You Go, There You Are
    1. Re:Yes, very disturbing by Score+Whore · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Eh? It seems to me that it comes down to needing a subpoena in order to get access to a public employee's work product.

      If you want to talk scary, that's scary. Mann worked/works for public universities paid for with tax dollars. Explain why getting access to anything that he does while on tax payer time isn't as simple as saying "hey dude, can we see your work?"

    2. Re:Yes, very disturbing by interkin3tic · · Score: 1

      Note to self: never accept a job in Virginia, and never collaborate with anyone working in Virginia. Sure, there might be little political controversy over cell biology that isn't ESC related, but who knows when a little nero from VA might get it in his head that the bible says I'm wrong.

    3. Re:Yes, very disturbing by ArcherB · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Eh? It seems to me that it comes down to needing a subpoena in order to get access to a public employee's work product.

      If you want to talk scary, that's scary. Mann worked/works for public universities paid for with tax dollars. Explain why getting access to anything that he does while on tax payer time isn't as simple as saying "hey dude, can we see your work?"

      Good point. Any work paid for by public funds needs to be public information, national security stuff excluded.

      May I also point out that if this had been research on anything, say, that Bush supported and this happened four years ago, you'd have everyone on here screaming, "CONSPIRACY!!!"

      --
      There is no "I disagree" mod for a reason. Flamebait, Troll, and Overrated are not substitutes.
    4. Re:Yes, very disturbing by AK+Marc · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That's as sensible as going up to a road worker and asking to borrow his hammer to do some work back at your house. Sure, the hammer was bought with public funds, but that doesn't mean that the worker must give up his tools or that you have any right to them.

      The results of the work should be public. The ownership of the copyright/patent of the results should be public. That's the work product. And that's not what they are after. They have the work product. And they don't like it, so they want the notes and such leading up to the work product so they can invalidate it. And not because it's actually invalid, but because you can take incomplete anything and spin it to be invalid.

    5. Re:Yes, very disturbing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It comes down to holding recipients of state funds responsible for their correct usage. Any group that can come up with the hockey stick graph, and the associated algorithm that will produce the same hockey stick no matter what data you enter, deserve to get investigated. If you don't want to be held accountable, then pay for the research yourself.

      But I guess in your world, only certain groups deserve to be held accountable.

    6. Re:Yes, very disturbing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just playing devil's advocate here (I'm not saying this isn't a political attack, etc) but surely this is more like asking an architect for the plans to your house after it's been built? You (well, in this case, we the people) have a vested interest in knowing how his results were determined, what data was used, what was discarded (and hopefully why). And the complaint about spinning incomplete work to be something other than it turns out to be in the finished product isn't baseless (as "climategate" has shown us) but that doesn't mean a black box approach is the correct one, either.

    7. Re:Yes, very disturbing by Score+Whore · · Score: 0

      The results of the work should be public. The ownership of the copyright/patent of the results should be public. That's the work product. And that's not what they are after. They have the work product. And they don't like it, so they want the notes and such leading up to the work product so they can invalidate it. And not because it's actually invalid, but because you can take incomplete anything and spin it to be invalid.

      Do you think the same thing about civil engineers? Do we just let them build bridges and if they seem to be suspect for some reason we can't look at the plans?

      Regardless, that's not how it works. We do get access to all their intermediate work, emails, notes, etc. And that is totally appropriate. If the money that pays for your jobs is public, then so is pretty much every aspect of your job.

    8. Re:Yes, very disturbing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why did you make this post? That hasn't happened here.

    9. Re:Yes, very disturbing by Score+Whore · · Score: 1

      Whatever. I'm not going to rehash what's been all over the internet for the last year. Anyone with even a modicum of intellectual honesty recognizes that Mann, Jones, et. al. have been extremely closed in their workings. The unbiased panels convened to review the climategate emails have been anything but unbiased. There's not a scientist in the world who will tell you that it's not important to show the work. It's not sufficient to state a conclusion and then end your paper.

    10. Re:Yes, very disturbing by cbeaudry · · Score: 1

      So I'll take public grant money.
      Pretend to work for 2-4 years.
      Produced a trumped up paper.
      And deny all access to the "research".

      That seems logical to you?
      WTF are they serving in schools now a days? Sheep feed?

    11. Re:Yes, very disturbing by Hellsbells · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Why?

      Can you access your local mayor's email account?
      Can you download the full schematics for the space shuttle?
      Why isn't your local police department's incident reporting system completely open source?

      I'm all for increased transparency, but there is no reason that all information from publicly funded work should be publicly available.

      Because:
      - Overheads. The costs of doing this would be huge.
      - A lot of publicly funded work is done by private companies, who might not want to release their work to their competitors.
      - Most people don't want every piece of work, every correspondance that they've ever done accessible by everyone for the rest of time.

      It is fair to see the final reports/papers/etc... produced by most government departments, and some information on how those results were obtained, which is pretty much what happens for most government funded scientific agencies.

    12. Re:Yes, very disturbing by dachshund · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If you want to talk scary, that's scary. Mann worked/works for public universities paid for with tax dollars. Explain why getting access to anything that he does while on tax payer time isn't as simple as saying "hey dude, can we see your work?"

      Asking to see his work would have amounted to asking for a dump of his published, peer reviewed research papers. They're available without a subpoena. Just because someone works for the public does not mean that they're subject to arbitrary, unjustified investigation at any time, especially when that investigation is expensive and has to be paid for by the public.

      And that's all this judge has said: present evidence that this expensive, time consuming investigation is justified, you get your information. Fail to present it, the public will be spared the cost both of the investigation, and the cost of lost research time that the public will have to bear while this individual is investigated for no reason. It's a valuable function, and our government wouldn't survive without it. In a hypothetical world where investigations have no cost, maybe it would be reasonable to allow this to go forward with no justification. We don't live in that world.

      I guess that's "scary".

    13. Re:Yes, very disturbing by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      If the money that pays for your jobs is public, then so is pretty much every aspect of your job.

      Unless you're a cop.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    14. Re:Yes, very disturbing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      who knows when a little nero

      He ain't no coon, he's a wop.

    15. Re:Yes, very disturbing by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      "If you want to talk scary, that's scary. Mann worked/works for public universities paid for with tax dollars. Explain why getting access to anything that he does while on tax payer time isn't as simple as saying "hey dude, can we see your work?"

      AFAIK the AG did not ask "hey dude, can we see your work?", he went straight to court. Mann's work has been published, you can find most (if not all) of it at realclimate.org. The AG is alleging fraud in the grant process, if he is interested in the integrity of the grant process then why is he trying to suponea Mann without probable cause? Besides, wouldn't it make more sense to be looking at the records of the government agency that issued the grant?

      Could it be that he is not interested in the truth and is simpy throwing mud at a high value target in an attempt to score political points? Such obvious propoganda tactics can be very effective even if the case goes nowhere, for example it's worked on you in that you have already swallowed the claim that Mann is hiding something that belongs to taxpayer's.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    16. Re:Yes, very disturbing by TapeCutter · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Considering the number of political investigations and FOI requests that Mann has been subjected to and complied with, what makes you think there is anything that is not already on the public record?

      Just because the AG tried to issue a supoena without probable cause does not mean the information is not already available. The same is true for many of the FOI requests Mann gets from the likes of McIntryre, etc. Much of the requested information is already available either in his published work or in previous replies to FOI requests. The intent with these tatics not to shead light on the subject rather it is to create the impression that Mann is hiding something while at the same time bogging down his reseach with a mountain of legal paperwork.

      Anti-AGW proponents like to paint themselves as modern day Galileo's but none of them are subjected to anywhere near the level of offical harrasment directed towards Mann and his team. Instead these unpublished, unqualified political hacks are invited to offer thier discredited opinions in the halls of power with depressing monotony. Lord Monckton is just one obvious example in this morally and ethically bankrupt abuse of political power.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    17. Re:Yes, very disturbing by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Part of the published paper is the methodology and the data. You are right in one thing, they fed you sheep feed in school.

    18. Re:Yes, very disturbing by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Do you think the same thing about civil engineers? Do we just let them build bridges and if they seem to be suspect for some reason we can't look at the plans?

      Yes, that's part of the output. What you don't get is his personal notes from meetings and intermediate equations used to work on a design. Especially when the person asking wants to show that you changed your mind after the first design for safety reasons and wants to use the fact you changed your mind to "prove" you are an incompetent fraudster.

    19. Re:Yes, very disturbing by AK+Marc · · Score: 2, Interesting

      When you hire an architect to design your house, you will get a copy of the plans. He will file the plans on your behalf (or give them to the builder to file on your behalf). They are suing the architect for the designs (and all designs he's ever done, completed or not, but that was struck down) when they already have the finished plans. The results include the results, the methodology to get it, the data, and such. If there's a problem, a peer review will find problems with the methodology, and the data should be replicable by others. Filing suit against him when there's no actual evidence of wrongdoing in the hopes they will find something that at least justifies the harassment, even if not enough for a conviction, is unlike anything they'll do to an architect. You don't sue the architect after he delivers the plans and the civil engineer signs off on the plans and claim, without any evidence at all, that the building will never stand and the architect should be prosecuted for manslaughter because someone could die in the unsafe building.

    20. Re:Yes, very disturbing by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1

      >>but who knows when a little nero from VA might get it in his head that the bible says I'm wrong.

      Wait, is he a Nero or is he a Christian? And what does the Bible have to say about AGW, anyway?

      It doesn't matter anyway. The idiot AG got (rightfully) denied his chance to go on a fishing expedition through Mann's files.

    21. Re:Yes, very disturbing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Part of the published paper is the methodology and the data

      Not in climate science, that's "withhold". Look it up.

    22. Re:Yes, very disturbing by TapeCutter · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "The climategate scandal was really about climatologists hiding their data and methods from critical review."

      I suppose you're going to tell me that the three independent inquries that exonerated Jones and the CRU (including the CRU investigation headed by the ex-chairman of Shell) were a whitewash. Look closely at the third one where it describes how the investigators were able to obtain the "hiden data" from public sources within two days. If you still belive the CRU was hiding anything after the thourough debunking of those claims then you haven't been paying attention.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    23. Re:Yes, very disturbing by sg_oneill · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Yes. Especailly when there have been multiple investigations by other Government, and institutional panels that have found over and over again that the whole climategate thing was a giant beat up of a couple of shit-talking guys who didnt understand their FOI responsibilities. *ALL* the claims of scientific malpractice where extensively examined and the CRU and related scientists like Mann came out smelling of roses.

      Just because conservative anti-scientists dont like global warming, well shit neither does anyone else. But pretending its not real and conducting witchhunts against good hard working scientists is not only absusive politicization of science. It may well end up getting us all killed in the long run.

      --
      Excuse the Unicode crap in my posts. That's an apostrophe, and slashdot is busted.
    24. Re:Yes, very disturbing by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1, Informative

      The inquiries were summarized as exonerating Jones from the (rightfully false) charges of lying. Did you even read what the panels actually said, or did you just read the Slashdot article summaries?

      From your own first reference:
      "37. CRU's refusal to release the raw data gave some the impression that it was deliberately
      keeping its work private so that its studies could not "be replicated and critiqued".50 The
      Peabody Energy Company said of CRU that "they appeared to be particularly concerned
      that putting their information in the public domain would expose their work to
      criticism".51 Even an effort to conduct a simple quality check was said to be thwarted by
      CRU's unwillingness to share the data it had used.52 In contrast, NASA has been able to
      make all its raw data available as well as its programmes.53

      38. We recognise that some of the e-mails suggest a blunt refusal to share data, even
      unrestricted data, with others. We acknowledge that Professor Jones must have found it
      frustrating to handle requests for data that he knew--or perceived--were motivated by
      a desire simply to seek to undermine his work. But Professor Jones's failure to handle
      helpfully requests for data in a field as important and controversial as climate science
      was bound to be viewed with suspicion. He was obviously frustrated by other workers
      in the field trying to "undermine" his work, but his actions were inevitably
      counterproductive. Professor Jones told us that the published e-mails represented only
      "one tenth of 1%" of his output, which amounts to one million e-mails, and that we
      were only seeing the end of a protracted series of e-mail exchanges. We consider that
      further suspicion could have been allayed by releasing all the e-mails. In addition, we
      consider that had the available raw data been available online from an early stage, these
      kinds of unfortunate e-mail exchanges would not have occurred. In our view, CRU
      should have been more open with its raw data and followed the more open approach of
      NASA to making data available.

      39. We are not in a position to set out any further the extent, if any, to which CRU
      should have made the data available in the interests of transparency, and we hope that
      the Independent Climate Change Email Review will reach specific conclusions on this
      point. However, transparency and accountability are of are increasing importance to
      the public, so we recommend that the Government reviews the rules for the accessibility
      of data sets collected and analysed with UK public money.
      "

      Read what they actually say. They excoriate him for hiding his data and methods. Well, excoriate in the British sense, meaning they were at least polite about it. But they used a bold font to convey the words as a very-stern talking-to.

      The other panels likewise found Phil Jones' culture of secrecy to be bad.

    25. Re:Yes, very disturbing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > That's as sensible as going up to a road worker and asking to borrow his hammer to do some work back at your house.

      It is sensible if there is a cheap way to clone that hammer. We are talking about information, not items. The 600$ copier in my office can make a pdf of what you feed it and email it.

      I don't care about global warming because it's a diversion. The point is that pollution reduces your freedom. Freedom to get free water from the ground. Freedom to fish and to hunt (yep would you prefer to live free and risk shots from a hunter or live in a box waiting for the food processing industry to kill you).

      I however care about science and science is about making THE RESULTS AND METHODOLOGY USED.

    26. Re:Yes, very disturbing by interkin3tic · · Score: 1

      And what does the Bible have to say about AGW, anyway?

      Nothing directly, but that's never stopped people from interpreting it however they see fit before.

      One impact fundamentalists have on global warming is that they think the world is coming to an end very soon, so they ignore global warming completely, thinking they'll be taken up to heaven before then.

      Wait, is he a Nero or is he a Christian?

      I meant a nero as in a very bad leader. And I'm pretty sure if we had a nero in the US, it would be an evangelical christian.

      It doesn't matter anyway. The idiot AG got (rightfully) denied his chance to go on a fishing expedition through Mann's files.

      If only that were a strong enough precedent to make politicians quit tying to make scientists say what they want.

    27. Re:Yes, very disturbing by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      >>but who knows when a little nero from VA might get it in his head that the bible says I'm wrong.

      Wait, is he a Nero or is he a Christian? And what does the Bible have to say about AGW, anyway?

      To most people, Constantine is a movie with Keanu Reeves.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    28. Re:Yes, very disturbing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Peer reviewed papers are one thing. But science also requires the ability of anyone to replicate the experiment and validate the results. This requires the original models (code), data, and procedure used. Without this, the science is invalid.

    29. Re:Yes, very disturbing by liposuction · · Score: 1

      Bad analogy. A closer one would be asking to drive on the road that the worker created, but being denied the road. No one is asking for his pens and pencils. Only the product of his effort.

      --
      "Thoughts are more powerful than any weapon, and I don't even let my people own guns." --Joseph Stalin
    30. Re:Yes, very disturbing by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      The product of his effort has been published. They didn't like the road, so they are subpoenaing his hammers. If they find a faulty hammer, they will condemn the road and try to throw him in jail, even if he didn't actually use that hammer on the road.

    31. Re:Yes, very disturbing by huckamania · · Score: 1

      That is an interesting narative. I'm amazed that the investigators were able to obtain temperature records that the CRU admits that they lost. Or I should say, admitted they lost after numerous FOI requests.

      Whitewash? I agree completely.

    32. Re:Yes, very disturbing by dachshund · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Peer reviewed papers are one thing. But science also requires the ability of anyone to replicate the experiment and validate the results. This requires the original models (code), data, and procedure used. Without this, the science is invalid.

      This subpoena was not looking to get Mann's code or find data that could reproduce his experiments. Mann doesn't even work for that university anymore, and it's doubtful they have his notes. Rather it was an attempt to find evidence of fraud and misuse of funds. That might be noble if there was any particular reason to believe that funds had been misused. But in this case the judge rightly pointed out that AG Cuccinelli had presented no such reason, not even the slightest hint.

      Now what the judge did not say is that Cuccinelli's subpoena was obviously politically motivated, and clearly an attempt to increase his standing within the Republican party by persecuting the hell out of a scientist who took a position that the GOP (and its backers) don't like. But anyone with an ounce of sense can see that's what it was. If anti-AGW advocates have an ounce of scientific credibility, I'd expect that they'd be as upset by this as anyone else.

    33. Re:Yes, very disturbing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just think, some day, decades from now, Bush's super secret terrorist files will be opened and we'll discover that he personally deflected a dozen terrorist attacks, Bauer-style (what, you really think he was sitting around on his ass on the ranch all that time?) His descendants will say it exonerates him and establishes his legacy as a badass president worthy of a video game.

      His detractors will continue to say that his culture of secrecy was bad.

    34. Re:Yes, very disturbing by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Thanks but you don't need to cherry pick passages for me I've read all three of them.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    35. Re:Yes, very disturbing by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1

      >>Thanks but you don't need to cherry pick passages for me I've read all three of them.

      Cherry pick? The quote was a page long.

      And it backed up precisely what I said - that Phil Jones and his crew were exonerated on the charges of lying, but taken to task for their culture of secrecy. Pretty much all the investigations found that, too. There's really no defense for them, except ignorance.

    36. Re:Yes, very disturbing by berbo · · Score: 1
      The report makes very clear, these 'requests' were just plain harrassment. Jones et al weren't trying to hide anything, because there was nothing to hide. And the panel was clearly sympathetic to his situation.

      He was obviously frustrated by other workers in the field trying to "undermine" his work,

      which is just the sort thing the the Virgina AG is trying to do.

    37. Re:Yes, very disturbing by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1

      >>The report makes very clear, these 'requests' were just plain harrassment.

      No. It makes very clear that Jones felt harrassed. This is very different from the requests being filed just to harass him - if you read what the people requesting them wanted, they *never* got a response from CRU. Ever. So they filed one request every month.

      The board of inquiries said that he should have responded to the FOIA requests instead of finding legally dodgy ways of dodging them.

    38. Re:Yes, very disturbing by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

      That is an interesting narative. I'm amazed that the investigators were able to obtain temperature records that the CRU admits that they lost. Or I should say, admitted they lost after numerous FOI requests.

      Additionally, there's a difference between allegedly "being able to obtain them in three days" and obtaining them with a traceable chain of custody and records allowing them to be rated for accuracy and completeness, making them a suitable foundation for analysis to support or refute - and possibly extend - the original scientists' work.

      --
      Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
  17. Who's your crack dealer? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Dude, that stuff you've been smoking is AWESOME!

    Michael Mann's data was put through a linear transformation and then a principal components analysis

    Which linear transformation was that?

    If it was put through a PCA then it has undergone a dimensionality reduction, which means the irrelevant parameters were sorted out and the true cause of global warming was found. I think that's pretty good.

    The result was that if you put any red noise through Mann's filters you get identical data

    Huh? You mean any data set that has 6 dB/octave noise will prove global warming? I don't think so. I have never seen any global warming in the inter-channel noise in my FM radio.

    I only expect the seasoned, educated readers of Slashdot to understand the implications of the fact that any red noise could recreate the warming trends

    Excuse me, but if you check my /. ID you'll notice I've been here since the last century. I hope I'm seasoned enough for you. Also, having been an Electronics Engineer since 1979 (both seasoned and educated), I fail to see any way to recreate warming trends by adding brownian noise to any data set.

    What I know from my technical education is that CO2 does absorb infrared radiation, therefore atmospheric warming is an expected effect of burning fossil fuels. The burden of proof definitely falls on anyone who claims the contrary.

    Before asking for the raw data that proves global warming, I ask for both the raw data and analysis of those who are skeptic about AGW. As Carl Sagan once said, extraordinary claims demand extraordinary proof.

    1. Re:Who's your crack dealer? by Kernel+Kurtz · · Score: 1, Informative

      As Carl Sagan once said, extraordinary claims demand extraordinary proof.

      Yes. And when neither side has any, then what?

    2. Re:Who's your crack dealer? by bunratty · · Score: 2, Insightful
      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    3. Re:Who's your crack dealer? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      As Carl Sagan once said, extraordinary claims demand extraordinary proof.

      Yes. And when neither side has any, then what?

      Which is not the case here. There's ample, extraordinary, proof that CO2 absorbs infrared radiation. It's an elementary physics lab experiment that any college student in physics, chemistry, or a number of related subjects has performed. There's absolutely no evidence to the contrary.

      If you claim that an increased amount of CO2 in the atmosphere does not cause global warming, then the burden of proof is on you alone.

    4. Re:Who's your crack dealer? by zippthorne · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Ok, but then you have to propose things that actually will reduce carbon dioxide emissions. Banning nuclear power, and even LNG terminals really doesn't accomplish that goal.

      Hint, natural gas comes off the top of oil wells. If the oil companies don't capture it and sell it, then they burn it off, and the extra reliance on coal burning because of it doesn't help things any, either.

      Neither does Ethanol fuel help anyone but corn farmers.

      Similarly "Carbon Offsets" mostly don't.

      There is a raft of schemes and scams and wishful dreams out there that people are screaming, "We have to do something, and this is something, therefore we have to do this," that will ruin us if we fall for them.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    5. Re:Who's your crack dealer? by Kernel+Kurtz · · Score: 1

      CO2 absorbs infrared radiation

      LOL. Yeah, that's extraordinary in elementary school.

      If we were dealing with a jar in a lab you would have my vote.

    6. Re:Who's your crack dealer? by bunratty · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Ah, I see. Characterize the people who are asking for reduced carbon dioxide emissions as hysterical alarmists. Good counter argument!

      To get back to reality, Governor Schwarzenegger, President Obama and the U.S. Senate all have taken steps toward reducing carbon dioxide emissions. Even more has been done in Europe.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    7. Re:Who's your crack dealer? by florescent_beige · · Score: 1

      Perhaps take the safe route and reduce carbon dioxide emissions?

      Nice, but it's probably too late already.

      The following is based on current estimates, subject to revision etc etc. A 2C average global temperature increase will lead to runaway warming due to permafrost melt and warmer oceans that absorb less CO2. Current emissions will lead to that value occurring around 2030.

      To avoid that we would need to start cutting current global emissions by about 2%/year starting next year, down from +3% recent growth. That would make the warming curve top out at less than 2C.

      There is no chance a US plan for such reduction will be put in place this year. Maybe by 2015 or so at which time the cuts would have to be more like 5 or 6%/year, down from 3% growth.

      No economy can change it's mix of energy use by 9% net a year. So we are going to blow right by the runaway threshold, it's already done.

      --
      Equine Mammals Are Considerably Smaller
    8. Re:Who's your crack dealer? by tgibbs · · Score: 3, Insightful

      As Carl Sagan once said, extraordinary claims demand extraordinary proof

      And given what has been known for many decades about the radiative properties of atmospheric CO2, it would indeed be extraordinary if we could increase CO2 by so much and not experience substantial changes in climate.

    9. Re:Who's your crack dealer? by toQDuj · · Score: 1

      Still no reason not to look at the problem and try to do our best. Who knows, perhaps the threshold is a little more flexible than thought, or we can come up with solutions that would make it more easy to reduce the carbon dioxide (and other gases) output. I, for one, will be reducing my share by eating 70% less meat per week, as indicated by http://www.ted.com/talks/mark_bittman_on_what_s_wrong_with_what_we_eat.html

      B.

      --
      Every experiment which ends in a big bang is a good experiment.
    10. Re:Who's your crack dealer? by cbeaudry · · Score: 1

      Perhaps you dont do anything unless you have actual proof?

    11. Re:Who's your crack dealer? by cbeaudry · · Score: 1

      Those are fantasy guestimates, NOT estimates.

      Trumped up numbers with no basis in imperial data whatsoever.

  18. Re:If you're bothered by skepticism, it ain't scie by DamienRBlack · · Score: 1

    A skeptic. At least until your alternate explanation is even remotely plausible.

  19. Re:If you're bothered by skepticism, it ain't scie by bunratty · · Score: 1

    I don't see anyone denying that an alternative explanation is possible. Climatologists make the statement that the observed warming is most likely due to increased concentration of greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere. In that statement is the very admission of an alternative explanation, otherwise they would say that they are 100% sure that the warming is due mostly to increased greenhouse gasses. If you have some evidence that something else is causing most of the warming, please don't keep it a secret!

    --
    What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
  20. skeptic != denialist by mangu · · Score: 1

    If the word "skeptic" is supposed to be pejorative, the subject must be religion and not science.

    Let's see what does "skeptic" mean:

    - someone who habitually doubts accepted beliefs
    - someone who demands physical evidence in order to be convinced (especially when this demand is out of place)

    Okay, "skeptic" shouldn't be pejorative.

    Now let's see who are the true skeptics. It's a well known fact (accepted even by skeptics who took the effort to do the experiments) that CO2 absorbs infrared radiation. Therefore, physical evidence is there.

    If you doubt it, you can do the experiment in your kitchen table: get two clear plastic bottles and two calibrated thermometers. Use some vinegar and baking soda to generate CO2 in one of the bottles, let the other be filled only by pure air. Seal the bottles, put them in sunshine, watch the temperatures in both.

    Now, if a group of people accept the belief that an increased CO2 content in the atmosphere does not cause global warming, the true skeptic will doubt that. Extraordinary claims demand extraordinary proof.

    1. Re:skeptic != denialist by geekpowa · · Score: 1

      I am a skeptic. I accept everything you said - if only things were so simple and the climate system could be modelled on a kitchen table then I would be a believer.

      Here is a counter point that also makes extraordinary claim for your consideration:

      Geological climate record shows co2 varying dramatically, reaching concentrations much much higher than today. Yet inspite of this no catastrophic tipping point occurred.

      The extraordinary claim is this : for very long geological periods the climate system has flown under the radar of a asserted catastrophic tipping point. But inspite of this, and inspite of the fact that climate changing variables (including but not limited to c02) have changed wildly during these periods, it is only now, with the advent of human industrial civilization that the Earth is now in serious trouble and only radical and immediate restructuring of our society is going to fix it.

      My expectation is that on the balance of evidence is that the climate system has bounded stability and powerful self regulating systems in play (such as cloud feedback). Fact is climate system is not really well understood but we certainly know this from empirical evidence: climate system is reasonably stable within boundaries and that there is no historical evidence that things that are occurring in the atmosphere right now are deleterious.

      Having said all that, I am actually in favour of de-caronbizing our civilization and I desire to see us move away from fossil fuels as an energy source hopefully in my lifetime. But I refuse to buy into all this doomsday hysteria, passion and panic : because it is just a doomsday archetype : a mass-irrationality that feeds upon our deepest fears, and it will result in sub-optimal decision making in terms of further advancing our interests and the extraordinary quality of life we enjoy as members of a industrialized civilization.

    2. Re:skeptic != denialist by mangu · · Score: 1

      The extraordinary claim is this : for very long geological periods the climate system has flown under the radar of a asserted catastrophic tipping point. But inspite of this, and inspite of the fact that climate changing variables (including but not limited to c02) have changed wildly during these periods, it is only now, with the advent of human industrial civilization that the Earth is now in serious trouble and only radical and immediate restructuring of our society is going to fix it.

      The extraordinary proof to that is in this graph.

      The normal temperature variations before the industrial revolution were in the order of a half degree over a thousand years.

      After we started drilling and burning fossil oil, temperature variation has been reversed from a generally negative trend to a positive one degree over a hundred years. Even without sophisticated analysis, isn't that factor of 20:1 extraordinary enough to warrant increased caution?

    3. Re:skeptic != denialist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The graph, which is similar to Mann's scientific work is disputed by skeptics. The graph you linked commits a key criticism of graphs of this nature: it intermixes instrumental data with proxy data. If you disregard the black line, the current temp is same as medieval warming period (at this graph shows the MWP) and there is no obvious support of the notion that rate of increase is different when you look at proxy alone (i.e. if you want to interpret data correctly you need to compare apples to apples not apples to oranges). A recent study done by professional statisticians concluded that detection of rapid changes it not possible with proxy datasets, as such there is no evidence that rate of climb observed in temperature series (in three separate sets, pre 1900s, 1920->1940 and 1970->2000) is in any way extraordinary compared to temperature reconstructions for past 2000 years.

      As a side note : that climatologists never wondered over to the local maths department and engage professional statisticians to assist with data analysis will always amaze me. You want to rewrite the rules of the world economy, I would think you would want to put forward the strongest possible case : the best thermodynamics guys, the best statisticians to understand the "problem" then the best engineers and economists to define workable solutions. Not so with climate change apparently.

      Here is another image for your consideration: Vostok Ice Core. Although the datasets closely correlate, careful statistical analysis shows co2 actually lags temperature not leads it. This in itself is not proof because you can have weak positive feedback processes but it certain disputes this notion that co2 is very potent. Also although temperature increases (up to what it is present day at multiple occasions) it always falls off again. Which begs the question : why is now so different? To which typical reply is : industrial activity. But that in itself is not evidence of a tipping point catastrophe : it is just a manifestation of special pleading logical fallacy.

    4. Re:skeptic != denialist by geekpowa · · Score: 1
      reposting - not as A/C

      The graph, which is similar to Mann's scientific work is disputed by skeptics. The graph you linked commits a key criticism of graphs of this nature: it intermixes instrumental data with proxy data. If you disregard the black line, the current temp is same as medieval warming period (at this graph shows the MWP) and there is no obvious support of the notion that rate of increase is different when you look at proxy alone (i.e. if you want to interpret data correctly you need to compare apples to apples not apples to oranges). A recent study done by professional statisticians concluded that detection of rapid changes is not possible with proxy datasets and that proxy's filter out high frequency variation on temp series, as such there is no evidence that rate of climb observed in temperature series (in three separate sets, pre 1900s, 1920->1940 and 1970->2000) is in any way extraordinary compared to temperature reconstructions for past 2000 years.

      As a side note : that climatologists never wondered over to the local maths department and engage professional statisticians to assist with data analysis will always amaze me. You want to rewrite the rules of the world economy, I would think you would want to put forward the strongest possible case : the best thermodynamics guys, the best statisticians to understand the "problem" then the best engineers and economists to define workable solutions. Not so with climate change apparently.

      Here is another image for your consideration: Vostok Ice Core. Although the datasets closely correlate, careful statistical analysis shows co2 actually lags temperature not leads it. This in itself is not proof because you can have weak positive feedback processes but it certain disputes this notion that co2 is very potent. Also although temperature increases (up to what it is present day at multiple occasions) it always falls off again. Which begs the question : why is now so different? To which typical reply is : industrial activity. But that in itself is not evidence of a tipping point catastrophe : it is just a manifestation of special pleading logical fallacy.

    5. Re:skeptic != denialist by kwbauer · · Score: 1

      And add in oceans and forests and grasslands with lots of plants feeding on the CO2 and have the CO2 concentration differ from one container to the other by a very small percentage

      Oh wait... you weren't really talking about an experiment to replicate reality but were instead talking about an experiment to prove what exactly? That if we can somehow manage to survive in an atmosphere with CO2 concentration in the 90% range, that we won't like the climate? Personally, I don't care what the climate will be like when very few life forms will have enough oxygen available to live anyway.

    6. Re:skeptic != denialist by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      As far as statisticians go....they're expensive. For climate scientists to use them, the grant money has to be available. The real question is why nobody wants to fund such top-quality investigation on a matter that may be vital to modern society.

      My theory on that one is that those with the money prefer to use it to castigate climate scientists, rather than determine what the truth is.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    7. Re:skeptic != denialist by geekpowa · · Score: 1

      My impression is that money flows quite freely when it comes to climate science and that linking your research to climate science smooths the way to grant approval. Right climate for big bucks

      Of course I could be mistaken because I am not looking at hard data, only anecdotes, yet my impression is that everything, from Kyoto, to Bali and Copenhagen and Mexico is that the money flows freely. On a personal note, I know people I used to work with who recently secured millions of dollars from national meteorology department in my country to do climate modelling work : fill a room with shiny computers and put many people on permanent payroll. Our government has a climate change ministry, which sucks 80 million dollars out of our economy and delivers nothing at all (no legislation to support or execute at this present time and unlikely that any will come into law in a few years at least). I'm sure with that sort of budget they can entice the right people to join up.

  21. Re:If you're bothered by skepticism, it ain't scie by RyuuzakiTetsuya · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I knew a guy in college who was a gravity skeptic. We were discussing the repeatable nature of science, and he said, "No, just because it's repeatable doesn't mean it's predictable." I slapped the giant pile of books and notebooks out of his hand. "See? Gravity works."

    He shot back, "Just because you're pointing to one instance..."

    Skepticism ends at some point. Skepticism ends when you get answers like, "The reason why WTC7 went down was because of damage from a large chunk of another building hitting it" or "All the evidence points to global warming" or "Obama was born in Hawaii and is currently a Christian." Skepticism doesn't continue after getting answers you don't like. That's paranoia and delusional thinking.

    --
    Non impediti ratione cogitationus.
  22. Why fight it if you're innocent? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    As a professor who has supplied documents on many open records request. If you've done nothing wrong, why fight it? I have never quibbled over giving documents or emails. I've given CD's with years of emails to fulfill requests. If y0u work for a state institution or on a government grant, they are public documents. The only thing I would fight would be FERPA protected data.

    1. Re:Why fight it if you're innocent? by SETIGuy · · Score: 4, Interesting

      There are a couple reasons not to. This wasn't an open records request. This was a subpoena. When that happens the University lawyers get involved and their first instinct is to not comply. It's usually a good instinct, because someone serving a subpoena has an agenda which is probably against the interests of the University. Second, the professor in question is no longer at the University that was subpoenaed. It's likely, if not certain that he took is research records with him. The University of Virginia probably only has accounting records for the grant in question, and (probably) backups of emails. Penn State, on the other hand, doesn't have much to fear from a Virginia prosecutor with delusions of grandeur.

      I don't have a problem with providing any information requested about my research, provided what is requested actually exists. But when it comes to my emails... show me the subpoena.

    2. Re:Why fight it if you're innocent? by Daetrin · · Score: 4, Insightful

      IANAL, but i strongly suspect that an "open records request" is very different from a subpoena as part of an accusation of fraud. I could certainly understand a professor being, er, open to one and hostile to the other. The attitude/method of the person asking can certainly make a difference in the response.

      --
      This Space Intentionally Left Blank
    3. Re:Why fight it if you're innocent? by mysidia · · Score: 1

      The difference is an open records request is answered voluntarily, they get to "review" the request, and censor things they don't want to give out that the statute allows them to suppress. Their compliance officer can redact, strike out, or censor sections they deem "sensitivie" or that they deem not currently covered by required disclosure.
      They can also quietly destroy things they might happen to have that are requested, making them not part of the record in the first place (with a subpoena, that action is contempt of court).

      Subpoena is disclosure being compelled by a court, open records request is disclosure being required by law, but not under any real penalties (but that the requestor might sue if you never answer their open records request)

      Two reasons to subpoena are: (1) You think something illegal has been done that harms, you and you are suing about it, and (2) You think the information provided is inadequate for your case, either the open records request was not answered faithfully and completely, information was hidden, or information you need to fully prosecute your case is not forthcoming through the open record process.

      Other than federal/state attorneys, I don't know of individuals being able to get subpoenas "just to look at something", or investigate something, when evidence of a crime or actionable violation has not yet been found.

      My impression of subpoenas, are that they are provided for discovery, gathering additional documentation to complete the plaintiff's case.

    4. Re:Why fight it if you're innocent? by rsborg · · Score: 1

      As a professor who has supplied documents on many open records request. If you've done nothing wrong, why fight it?

      Ever heard of a fishing expedition? All it takes is for them to find something, anything... and if they don't find anything... guess what, the cost is borne by the taxpayer regardless.

      --
      Make sure everyone's vote counts: Verified Voting
    5. Re:Why fight it if you're innocent? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you have nothing to hide, you have nothing to fear, citizen.

  23. Transparency rules for thee but not for me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    So transpanency rules except when it has to deal with global warming. Wikileaks is to be honored, yet research records concerning global warming should be protected from the public eye at all costs. Makes perfect sense. I can't stand right wingers, but the blatant liberal agenda is just as nausiating.

    1. Re:Transparency rules for thee but not for me by bunratty · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The research is open for all to see. It has been subjected to unprecedented scrutiny, and yet no one can find that the scientific conclusions are unwarranted. Quite the opposite -- no matter how much the IPCC report and the CLU climate researchers are studied, no one can find fault with the science. As far as I can tell, not one scientific paper has been published that concludes that AGW is not happening. Saying that a judge denying a subpoena on the basis that no fraud was involved means there's a "liberal agenda" is grasping at straws.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    2. Re:Transparency rules for thee but not for me by SnarfQuest · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Not allowing publication of papers in disagreement with your conclusions does not mean that your science is valid. Sticking your fingers in your ears and yelling "la la la la" doesn't make your stand correct. The fact that the sun (with it's current strange sunspot activity) is considered to have absolutely no effect on the Earths climate seems odd to me, but you must believe this to be a true GW fanatic. The fact that other planets are seeing similar effects is also considered off-topic. Hiding information so that nobody else can replicate your findings is considered good science.

      --
      Who would win this election: Andrew Weiner vs Andrew Weiner's weiner.
    3. Re:Transparency rules for thee but not for me by bunratty · · Score: 2, Informative

      No one has disallowed publication of papers inconsistent with AGW. O'm not stick my fingers in my ears. I have asked several times in this very thread for evidence that AGW is not happening or why we should not reduce carbon dioxide emissions, and no one can seem to come up with anything. Where on Earth do you get this nonsense about the sun having no effect on Earth's climate? It's bunk!

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    4. Re:Transparency rules for thee but not for me by cbeaudry · · Score: 0, Troll

      No.

      The results are there for all to see. The research is NOT.
      There is a BIG difference.

      Also, people constantly find fault with the science. They are ignored, called names and passed over by the buddy system (I mean "peer review").

      There are so many things wrong with your highlighted sentence with a link that its not even funny. There are DEFINITELY published scientific papers that conclude that AGW is not happening. You blindly follow the "enlightened", exactly like religious nuts follow their priests.

      Now about the prosecutor... I would have liked to see the information, however I do think he is a power hungry idiot.

    5. Re:Transparency rules for thee but not for me by Urkki · · Score: 1

      Where on Earth do you get this nonsense about the sun having no effect on Earth's climate? It's bunk!

      No it's not bunk, not any more. I can't believe anybody reading slashdot doesn't know that oracle bought sun.

      To be fair, there must be some residual effect still on earth's climate, but I'm sure that's negligible.

  24. Re:If you're bothered by skepticism, it ain't scie by Burnhard · · Score: 1

    So "natural variation", explaining as it does all climate fluctuations for the entire history of the planet, is not in your view remotely plausible? I find that view quite astounding.

  25. US Constitution Fourth Amendment by mangu · · Score: 1

    you can have cause to investigate something without anything ever being found to support the idea a law was broken

    No.

    The right of the people to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects, against unreasonable searches and seizures, shall not be violated, and no Warrants shall issue, but upon probable cause, supported by Oath or affirmation, and particularly describing the place to be searched, and the persons or things to be seized.

    Unless there's a reasonable cause to suspect a law has been broken, and unless that cause is proved by oath (meaning that if the oath is false whoever made it is guilty of perjury) no investigation at all can be initiated by any government agent.

    1. Re:US Constitution Fourth Amendment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hmm, Yeah, Peter did you get the memo?

      We had to let a few amendments go recently so we're a little backlogged with new criminal cases.

      We'll need you to come in on Saturday. And maybe Sunday too.

    2. Re:US Constitution Fourth Amendment by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Wow, I hope you at least go to law school before attempting to act like a lawyer in real life.

      As I already provided a scenario in which a cop would have probably cause without an actual crime happening, I'm thinking that you might just be some idiot troll.

      Reasonable cause does not mean a law has been broken or that the law has been broken by you. All that is needed the appearance of either convincingly enough that a reasonable person would suspect you and someone actually suspecting you. And if that suspicion turns out to be wrong, it's not perjury as long as the facts are real and not made up.

      BTW, I don't think Oath means what you think it means. An oath is little more then a swearing of affirmation. In case those terms are to big for you, I will break it down a little more simpler. an Oath is little more then you saying I'm not lieing when I present this to you. An oath neither proves nor disproves anything, especially in court. It's simply a statement or concept declaring you are representing yourself as telling the truth as you understand it.

      When a warrant is sworn out, there can be all sorts of circumstantial evidence that warrant a search or investigation that turns out to be absolutely nothing illegal. It doesn't mean anyone lied, it means that what had the appearance of violating the law wasn't actually doing so or that the person who appeared to be responsible for the violation wasn't actually involved.

  26. Re:If you're bothered by skepticism, it ain't scie by Burnhard · · Score: 1

    If you have some evidence that something else is causing most of the warming, please don't keep it a secret!

    This is the God of the Gaps argument in scientific terms. Is there a satisfactory explanation for the medieval warm period, or the Roman Optimum? If not, does that mean it was AGW? It seems to me that for you any explanation, no-matter how implausible, is better than saying "we don't know".

  27. Re:If you're bothered by skepticism, it ain't scie by DamienRBlack · · Score: 1

    Random variation as an explanation is currently outside of the 95% confidence interval, and quickly approaching the 99% confidence interval. In layman terms, this particular variation seems very extreme. Even so, if we had no other reasonable explanations I would think random variation was probable. But we do have other persuasive explanations.

    Add that in with the fact that climate change was predicted before the data pointed to current warming and you have to start wondering why anyone is doubting man-made global warming at all, besides for scientific rigor of course.

    tl;dr If your blackjack dealer gets 21 ten hands in a row, and keeps shuffling under the table, it is time to call security.

  28. MOD PARENT UP by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is the only post on here that is relevant to the subject and not just repetion of the skeptics are lolz line.

  29. Re:If you're bothered by skepticism, it ain't scie by bunratty · · Score: 1

    There's a mountain of evidence that increased concentrations of greenhouse gasses are causing the warming. The warming was predicted nearly 100 years before it happened. Now you're saying that because there's no other explanation for the warming it means we've all just been guessing all along, and there really isn't any evidence at all?

    --
    What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
  30. No foolish argument ever dies by tgibbs · · Score: 1

    "deny" implies that there is no shadow of a question about the factuality AGW (or how significant it is), which is just not true-- hence why it is a theory.

    Wow, a blast from the past--a rerun of the classic creationist objection to evolution: "It's only a theory."

    Of course it's true. The only facts are direct observations. All scientific generalizations and explanations are "only" theory. So don't worry about driving off that cliff--gravity is only a theory.

  31. University of Virginia should comply by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How can the University of Virginia have standing to sue? They are government supported therefore they have nothing to hide and no right to privacy. They should comply with all subpoenas.

  32. Re:If you're bothered by skepticism, it ain't scie by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    He is right, you can never prove that gravity will work 100%. All you can do is assert that fact with a level of certainty. In the case of gravity, we can say somewhere in the 99.9999999999999999% confidence level that it will continue to function. And that's good enough for most applications.

    --
    Qxe4
  33. Repeal the second law of dynamics by sg_oneill · · Score: 1

    Repeal the second law of thermodynamics you bastards!

    --
    Excuse the Unicode crap in my posts. That's an apostrophe, and slashdot is busted.
  34. Can someone mod the parent up please? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No mod points, or I'd do it.

  35. Re:If you're bothered by skepticism, it ain't scie by MrHanky · · Score: 1

    Depends on the reason. If the alternate explanation is evident bullshit, which it is in most cases, then I suppose it doesn't have any bearing whatsoever on the one who denies the possibility of it.

  36. Re:If you're bothered by skepticism, it ain't scie by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Of course, to make a pronouncement on the probability that a scientific proposition is true you need to use Bayesian probability. In Bayesian probability the result is subjective and depends on the prior probability distribution. As a matter of fact, if your prior before going through the evidence assigns 100 % probability to the idea that gravity is caused by fluffy bunnies, then your posterior probability after properly accounting for all evidence is the same as the prior. Thus we can conclude that all propositions are equally valid conclusions, subject to your prior probability distribution, which can be nothing else than subjective.

  37. Re:If you're bothered by skepticism, it ain't scie by Burnhard · · Score: 1

    The question isn't whether some warming has occurred, the question is whether that warming is outside of the range of natural variation, and whether the warming will be accelerated at some point in the future by positive feedback. There is evidence that the feedback must be negative (the first of it from intuition, the second from recent papers by people like Spencer). There is evidence that the current warming is not outside of the range of natural variation (I mentioned the Roman Optimum and the MWP previously). In the face of these doubts, the confidence intervals on graphs of those who promote catastrophe are somewhat meaningless.

    In order for a body of knowledge to count as a scientific theory, it must be falsifiable. Wherever I write about AGW, nobody is prepared to propose a fact that would falsify AGW. This should be somewhat concerning for anyone who's interested in the integrity of the scientific method, as it implies a lack of rigour.

  38. Re:If you're bothered by skepticism, it ain't scie by RyuuzakiTetsuya · · Score: 1

    If I smacked his books and it went up, instead of down, sure. Tracking the specific course it took into the mud would've been a difficult and uncertain gesture, but, but I know the general vector it was going to take.

    --
    Non impediti ratione cogitationus.
  39. Re:If you're bothered by skepticism, it ain't scie by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    All you know is there have been billions of tests with the same result. That is fairly conclusive, but it is not 100% proof still.

    --
    Qxe4
  40. Why your state needs a name change. by mjwx · · Score: 1

    I don't know what is. As a Virginia taxpayer,

    I initially read that as "As a Vagina Taxpayer" and thought, so you're married and what does that have to do with the topic at hand.

    --
    Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
  41. Ken C will not receive my vote next time around by Alex+S+from+VA · · Score: 1

    Northern Virginia has some of the worst traffic in this country. He is wasting my tax dollars with this witch hunt. Good bye.