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First Electric Cars Have Power Industry Worried

Hugh Pickens writes "Jonathan Fahey writes for AP that as the first mass-market electric cars go on sale next month, the power industry faces a huge growth opportunity, with SoCal Edison expecting to be charging 100,000 cars by 2015 and California setting a goal of 1 million electric vehicles by 2020. But utility executives are worried that the difficulty of keeping the lights on for the first crop of buyers — and their neighbors — could slow the growth of this industry because it's inevitable that electric utilities will suffer some difficulties early on. 'We are all going to be a lot smarter two years from now,' says Mark Perry, director of product planning for Nissan North America. When plugged into a home charging station the first Leafs and Volts will draw 3,300 Watts and take about 8 hours to deliver a full charge, but both carmakers may soon boost that to 6,600 Watts. The Tesla Roadster, an electric sports car with a huge battery, can draw 16,800 Watts. That means that adding an electric vehicle or two to a neighborhood can be like adding another house, and it can stress the equipment that services those houses. The problem is that transformers that distribute power from the electrical grid to homes are often designed to handle less than about 12,000 watts so the extra stress on a transformer from one or two electric vehicles could cause it to overheat and fail, knocking out power to the block."

26 of 450 comments (clear)

  1. Good! by Charliemopps · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Good! Maybe one the shit blows up they can replace the 50 year old hardware that's been causing brownouts in California since the early 80s.

    1. Re:Good! by davepermen · · Score: 4, Insightful

      +1 they deserve it. just as the car industry didn't want to move along for a long time, so didn't they. they deserve having to move on again, finally.

    2. Re:Good! by ErikZ · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The brownouts in CA were caused by the lack of supply. That's why CA has to buy electricity from other states.

      If it were a hardware problem, buying electricity from other states wouldn't help.

      --
      Democrats or Republicans. They are both taking us to the same place and they are not afraid of us anymore.
    3. Re:Good! by ptomblin · · Score: 5, Informative

      You mean Enron?

      --
      The next Cmdr Taco duplicate will be ready soon, but subscribers can beat the rush and see it early!
    4. Re:Good! by poetmatt · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I love the humor of an industry worrying about having to actually invest in, you know, itself.

      This is actually another fearmongering, just like RIAA, VHS, etc all over again.

      I expect in a year or two they're going to make comments like "charging your car can place hospitals at risk!" etc etc.

    5. Re:Good! by Rockoon · · Score: 4, Informative

      You are incorrect.

      Here is the scenario in a nut-shell. California began full-on price fixing because they decided energy prices were too high, causing a long term shortage of supply (nobody wanted to build new power plants in california, nor sell power at below market prices to california's distributors.)

      In response to this shortage, they deregulated energy production in the hopes that this would spur more in-state production, which it did. The problem was that they continued to price-fix the distributors, so the old and new in-state energy producers sold to out-of-state markets first..

      The shortages grew worse and worse because of this. The in-state distributors, forced to buy at market prices but sell at lower fixed prices, began losing money hand-over-fist. The state then responded by heavily subsidizing the distributors through taxes but even that wasnt enough to save some of the them from bankruptcy.

      This is the same old "manage from the top" good-intentions failure we often see.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    6. Re:Good! by realityimpaired · · Score: 5, Insightful

      And here I was planning on spending mod points on this one instead, but I just can't let this one slide...

      Keeping in mind that I'm an environmentalist myself when I say this... the reason that the power industry in California hasn't moved at the rate it needs to is because of the enviro-nazis blocking the construction of nuclear and coal plants, and the NIMBY folks refusing to allow wind farms to be built near them. Solar's an option, but it uses a *lot* of real estate, which is at a premium in California, and there simply isn't enough moving water in California to supply the state's need with hydro-electric power.

      There's large swaths of desert in eastern California that'd be perfect for solar plants, but you'd run into transmission problems, because most of that territory is nowhere near where the electricity is actually needed. Similarly, tidal power is an option off the coast of California, but that would be a tourism nightmare: there's tons of dive sites in California that attract divers from around the world, myself included.

      If the power grid in California is going to evolve to meet the needs of the state, then one of two things need to happen: people need to pull their heads out of their asses and realize that coal power is nowhere near as dirty as it was even 15 years ago (and *that* was a far cry from the level of pollution produced 50 years ago by coal), or they need to understand that the wind generators need to go somewhere and find a way to build it into the landscape.

      I'm lucky: I live in an area where almost 100% of the electricity on the grid is provided by hydro. (Quebec). But that isn't an option in California, and they need to look into other options.

    7. Re:Good! by wytcld · · Score: 5, Informative

      Funny how you leave out the biggest piece of this: Enron. The deregulation allowed Enron to manipulate power supplies and prices. So your "scenario in a nut-shell" is using a nut that selectively includes in its narrative only the government as a player, despite that private industry was as much or more at the center of the story as government practices, that the private industry was in large extent crooked, and that deregulation on the government's side was essential to the run-away crookedness on the private industries' side which resulted in, for example, brownouts when totally operational power plants were turned off in order to raise the spot-market prices from the electrical generators which were still on line - putting billions into Enron's pockets, as well as into the pockets of several of it peers.

      --
      "with their freedom lost all virtue lose" - Milton
    8. Re:Good! by Capt.+Skinny · · Score: 4, Insightful

      the NIMBY folks refusing to allow wind farms to be built near them

      tidal power is an option... but that would be a tourism nightmare: there's tons of dive sites in California that attract divers from around the world, myself included

      I think you've demonstrated that we're all "NIMBY folks" in some form or another. You dive, so you recognize the value of preserving dive sites. The folks who object to wind farms surely have their own reasons that many of us just don't see or understand. Ditto for the cohorts opposed to hydro or nuclear.

    9. Re:Good! by xaxa · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Some long-running soaps in the UK have huge audiences, and when the adverts start all the viewers turn the kettle on for a cup of tea.

      See here.

  2. Worried? by TheLink · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Worried? Build more capacity then. It's not like your customers have been or will be getting all that electricity for free (or even cheap in some cases).

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    1. Re:Worried? by icebraining · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The problem they're talking about is energy distribution, not generation.

    2. Re:Worried? by udippel · · Score: 5, Informative

      Spot on here!

      The trouble is the distribution. I don't know about the voltages used in the states, but often the electricity is transformed down to 33/11kV, because these voltages are rather simply run underground. So in the average distribution network, you hit a number of (down-)transformers and a number of (underground) cabling until the 3x400V reach the client. It would cost billions to rip it out and put back another one that supports charging of electric cars.

      The trouble is also in the distribution with respect to daytime. Some might think, that they already use a high energy load, maybe even 3, 6 or 12 kW; and 'what is the difference?'. The difference is that until now, high loads are somewhat randomly distributed over time, and usually run for short time-spans. So a 12 kW load runs from 8-9 here, and another one maybe 2-4 there.
      But think about it: In future when the working population comes home in the evenings, they will want to recharge their cars for the trip to work next morning. Unfortunately, evenings are already the times of highest load in residential areas: lighting, heating, air-co, ovens, you name it.

      And it would be very wrong to blame the situation on some '50 year old hardware' or so. It could not be more wrong. The distribution networks were simply not designed with recharging of electric cars at homes in mind; and even less with additional loads correlating with already peak hours.

    3. Re:Worried? by cduffy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It's all part of the "Green economy" so get to building those new transformers so those coal fired power plants can get the power to where it needs to be.

      A single modern coal-powered plant is better than hundreds of thousands of individiual internal combustion engines it replaces in this case.

      What's more, the plant can be monitored and upgraded all at once, in one place. An individual vehicle's spark timing is off and they're blowing unburned fuel out the back and it doesn't get fixed 'till they next fail inspection, and that assumes they're complying with the law by bringing their vehicle in for inspection at all.

      Seriously -- I'd take nuclear over coal any day, but centrally burned coal is far better than the status quo. (What's especially fun is how folks make the same argument you do here in Austin -- where our electricity is natural gas, nuclear, hydroelectric, and less than 30% coal).

    4. Re:Worried? by dbIII · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The middle of the night is a completely different story and electricity utilities love it when you use power then. Raising the base load is rarely a problem with power, it's the peaks that are a pain - often the problem is too much base load at night. Treat electric cars like off-peak hot water or industrial heat and the problem vanishes so quickly that I cannot understand why there is even an article about it.

  3. These numbers don't make sense. by Leebert · · Score: 5, Informative

    The problem is that transformers that distribute power from the electrical grid to homes are often designed to handle less than about 12,000 watts

    often designed to handle 12,000 watts? Hogwash. That's 50 amp service (in North America, where homes are almost always supplied at 240VAC). Most new homes in North America receives at minimum 200 amp service. Even my rural 1956 rancher has 70 amp service.

    And this is a single home. Most transformers supply several houses. If there are any transformers rated at 12KW, they are very few and far between, and probably service locations that aren't likely to have electric cars anyhow.

    1. Re:These numbers don't make sense. by qubezz · · Score: 5, Funny

      Fact, pun, grammar, punctuation, logic, and math fail... Kudos, sir, you clearly told that kettle his color!

  4. What's old is new again by damn_registrars · · Score: 5, Interesting

    ... And apparently we are again not ready for it. Electric cars were common decades ago, and the electric service did not collapse. Now we have two large auto manufacturers debuting cars that can be charged at home - even though few people will be able to afford the entire setup right now - and for some reason the power companies are proclaiming that the sky is falling. Hell the power companies have a solid business model right now, as few people are in a position to maintain their lifestyles without the electricity they currently pay for. So the problem for the electric companies then is what, again?

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    Damn_registrars has no butt-hole. Damn_registrars has no use for a butt-hole.
  5. Time to refit your house by bradley13 · · Score: 4, Informative

    Assuming the cars charge with 220v, this represents 15 amperes, 30 amperes and around 75 amperes. Most houses will have a 15 amp circuit available - probably you have some appliance plugged into it. Not all that many will have an extra 30 amp circuit, and none have a 75 amp circuit anywhere.

    As far as the worries of the power companies: if the greens were serious, they would get behind this. Of course, if you want to reduce our usage of oil, we do need a few new power plants. Nuclear would be best, but even if you try to go full-on green, the eco-nuts will oppose them all. Don't bother asking what they would support - most of them apparently think that power magically comes out of the wall-socket, with no need for nasty things like power plants...

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    Enjoy life! This is not a dress rehearsal.
    1. Re:Time to refit your house by SuricouRaven · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The greens are starting to waver in their opposition to nuclear now, regarding it as the least-evil option for base load. But it is a slow change, as many of them grew up in the era of nuclear fear.

  6. Lights out at night by jamesl · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Most charging will be done at night, when electricity use (home and business) is otherwise low.

  7. Fuck the Power Companies by Lilith's+Heart-shape · · Score: 4, Insightful

    They had plenty of time to invest their profits into upgrading the power grid to anticipate future demand, and didn't. Those short-sighted sons of syphilitic bitches can go fuck themselves with a Saturn V rocket and no lube.

  8. Re:And? by Cyberax · · Score: 4, Informative

    "and it'll also keep electric cars in the bin where they should be - what we *really* need from an ecological point of view is a lithium shortage right now"

    WTF? There's NO shortage of lithium whatsoever. Absolutely NONE.

    You can mine it indefinitely from seawater for about $70 per kg. Ecological footprint of lithium mining is also trivial - it's mined from salt planes which are not known for their rich ecology.

  9. The solution is obvious by 50000BTU_barbecue · · Score: 5, Funny

    I've already started converting my house to run on gasoline, thus leaving enough electricity for charging my car.

    --
    Mostly random stuff.
  10. The Telcos & ISPs have already solved this by mbone · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The power industry needs to pay attention to what ISPs are doing to solve similar problems.

    1.) Spend upgrade money on creating new classes of service, rather than worrying about upgrading low profit transformers. The electricity for your lights, which you need right away, should be tagged differently than the electricity for your car, which can wait for delivery. Then, make more money by charging extra for uninterrupted "light electricity."

    2.) Spend more money investigating people's power usage, and threatening to shut off everyone who uses an electric car. (The power companies do this already looking for marijuana grow-lights, so this should be cheap to implement.) Couple these "deep power inspection" with blockage measures so that electric cars only get a trickle charge. Cap people's usage so that the power to the "bad actors" gets shutoff when they exceed their cap.

    3.) Implement a propaganda campaign castigating electric car users for actually using the electricity that they paid for.

    4.) Demand public subsidies to upgrade the power system, and use the resulting money on items # 1 - 3 above.

    With these simple measures, both our power system and our broadband Internet delivery can continue to slide to third-world status, and useful employment can be extended to armies of consultants.

  11. You recall wrong by mangu · · Score: 5, Insightful

    From the article you linked:

    "Before this week's power outages, California Governor Gray Davis's efforts to secure adequate supplies of electricity appeared to have stabilized the situation, at least until summer. The state is paying $45 million a day to subsidize energy purchases by the state's two major utility companiesSouthern California Edison and Pacific Gas and Electric (PG&E).
    Recently the governor announced that some long-term contracts have been negotiated in the $70-80 per megawatt range."

    The state spending $45 million a day hardly seems like DEregulation to me.

    What they call "deregulation" of the power industry in California was actually a change in regulations, not the elimination of regulations. For instance, Wikipedia says:

    "The California energy market allowed for energy companies to charge higher prices for electricity produced out-of-state"

    "the Death Star group of scams played on the market rules which required the state to pay "congestion fees" to alleviate congestion on major power lines"

    "in 2000, wholesale prices were deregulated, but retail prices were regulated for the incumbents as part of a deal with the regulator, allowing the incumbent utilities to recover the cost of assets that would be stranded as a result of greater competition, based on the expectation that "frozen" rates would remain higher than wholesale prices".

    "By keeping the consumer price of electricity artificially low, the California government discouraged citizens from practicing conservation. In February 2001, California governor Gray Davis stated, "Believe me, if I wanted to raise rates I could have solved this problem in 20 minutes."

    That's over-regulation, not deregulation. Deregulation would be letting anyone produce, transmit, and sell electricity at any price the consumers would pay.