'Most Earth-Like' Exoplanet Gets Major Demotion
audiovideodisco writes "Last month, the team behind NASA's Kepler planet-finding mission announced the discovery of the most Earth-like planetary candidate ever spotted: KOI 326.01, an approximately Earth-sized planet orbiting in the habitable zone of its star. There was much excitement; one astrophysicist even calculated the value of the new planet as exactly $223,099.93. But when an innocent fact-checker's question sent one of the researchers back to look at some figures, she noticed that the star's brightness was listed incorrectly in a reference catalog, throwing the planet's properties into doubt. After jiggering the calculations, the Kepler team now says that KOI 326.01 is neither Earth-sized nor in the habitable zone, and may actually be orbiting a different star. The Kepler researcher says, 'We're seeing the scientific method playing out in real time.' While this news is a bit of a downer, Kepler is just getting going, and it's expected to find many, many more Earth-like planets."
All great science starts with "hmmmmm, that's funny...".
No folly is more costly than the folly of intolerant idealism. - Winston Churchill
And we were so ready to colonize that sucker too! Hundreds of thousands of eager young families ready to suburbanize the universe! With our metal tubes and kerosene, nothing stands in our way! Not energy limits, not technological limits, biological, psychological, physical or economic limits! We have big hard drives now, so logically the universe has shrunk and our physical tech has scaled to match!
After jiggering the calculations, the Kepler team now says that KOI 326.01 is neither Earth-sized nor in the habitable zone, and may actually be orbiting a different star
"Sooo ... about everything we said, it's actually the complete opposite"
Epic fail.
I'm no scientist but seems like a rather easily correctable mistake given the complexity with everything surrounding the project.
Did they forget to carry the 1 when calculating its brightness?
At bleeding edge of knowledge/measurement the margin of error is often larger than the margin of excitement.
Translation: I'm a pathetic, visionless stump of a human being who goes on Internet forums to try to convince people that my apathy is somehow equatable to cleverness.
The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
the most valuable planet candidate in the newly released crop is KOI 326.01, to which the formula assigns a value of USD $223,099.93.
One thing I've noticed scientists are good at is playing with OPM.
When your only criteria are size and distance, you're not doing much to prove "likeness" to the Earth. In fact, you're doing less than 2 parameters/N parameters, since size and distance may have nothing to do with how habitable the planet may be to humans or any life forms.
Stoichiometry and temperature are far more significant. The existence of stabilizing processes in the atmospheric and geological systems are also more significant.
And then there's the little matter of the precise history of Earth, which went through several specific, major eras of development before it had these stabilizing systemic features and could support the formation of the first structures of life and their evolution into the first cellular beings.
And then it went through several more specific, major eras of development to result in large, complex, multicellular plant and animal forms of life, interacting as a (somewhat) stable ecosystem, capable of surviving events that nonetheless mass-extincted whole swathes of species.
The part about guessing wrong about which star the planet is orbiting is just bad astronomy, and is way past where they should be shutting up about its being "Earthlike."
oh man is my team going to be pissed when they get there.
'We're seeing the scientific method playing out in real time', eh? How about letting that scientific method play itself out before you release your findings to the popular media? Or was it getting near the end of your fiscal year?
Perhaps you should pull your head out of your ass and look up the history of Cepheid variable stars or supernovae. Both had several false starts before the current theory.
But you're right, "it's just space", so all we stand to learn from it is how the universe is put together and how it works.
No folly is more costly than the folly of intolerant idealism. - Winston Churchill
The only tragedy is that so many geeks are attracted by it as a quasi-religious substitute for the supernatural glory of the heavens.
No, I think the glory we see in space is the reason why so many people are attracted to it. It's not a substitute, it's the reason. It's hard to look at a picture of M51 or Andromeda or the Eagle nebula without getting inspired.
"Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
Real estate crisis IN OUTER SPACE
So someone cataloged a bunch of data on stars and now one is rechecked because it was interesting. Turns out the data was wrong. How much more bad data is out there that nobody double checked because nobody cared until now?
Or rather, many more mistakenly, earth-like planets
boycott slashdot February 10th - 17th check out: altSlashdot.org
Am I right or what?
where their meteorite came from hear about this in time!
Translation: I'm under 25 and have no idea how the world works, I don't want to know and I think that faster computers = spaceships and sci fi=engineering. It's fun to dream and have visions, but most of the time visions are a sign of mental illness.
where their meteorite came from hear about this in time!
Bukowski said it. I believe it. That settles it.
Translation: I'm a pathetic, visionless stump of a human being who goes on Internet forums to try to convince people that my apathy is somehow equatable to cleverness.
--
The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
"Hey! We've found this earth-like planet orbiting a particular star. Wait a minute . . . Wrong star. And it really isn't earth-like at all."
Sound a lot like a Steven Wright.
"A funny thing happened to me this morning. Wait a minute . . . That wasn't me."
Great civilizations have lived and died on false theories. Don't mess up mine with a few facts.
When had this project found even one?
By earth-like, I mean a rocky planet, at a distance from its parent star where liquid water could exist, and having a gravitational pull between 0.6g and 2.0g.
I'm not saying that they aren't out there, but I'm pretty sure that none have yet been found, so talking about finding "more" of them is sort of... well... misleading about what's actually been accomplished so far.
File under 'M' for 'Manic ranting'
"It's strange a malfunctioning sensor gave such a specific misreading."
Here they had built up this poor young planet to be something of worth. They were promising all kinds of fame and fortune, telling her to leave behind her friends and family and devote herself to being the next Earth. The crazy parties, the celebrities endorsing her, they built up her dreams of fame, and gave up any other kind of success. Now they dump her dry because they ended up making some mistakes in their data analysis. All she's got left now is a lingering coke addiction. Don't you see they used her up and rang her dry? She had so much potential to be special in some other way, but now she'll just be remembered as another failure, probably turning tricks in the dark corners of the galaxy. We need to keep these hype monsters away from our planets.
There are millions of things that need doing right here, on Earth. What are you doing? If you can't look at a cat or pond scum and marvel at the complexity of self-organizing patterns encoded in matter powered by a star, you're a pathetic, visionless stump of a human being.
Going on and on about things you will never directly see, smell touch or experience is the height of narcissism. You don't actually have to DO anything about it. You can just sit on your ass and ascribe all kinds of mythical properties to it, and no matter what anyone else says, it doesn't matter to you.
You're a child. Growing up will be either very painful for you, or you will collapse under the strain of reality and hide in your virtual world.
There will never be space colonies, space-based solar arrays, space manufacturing, etc. Ever. Looking at pixels on a screen is all you guys can do. Forgive me if that strikes me as a childish waste of time. Sci-fi was fun for me too, then I turned 13.
'We're seeing the scientific method playing out in real time.'
What the hell is that supposed to mean? In what other time frame does the scientific method normally play out? Dealing with computers, we watch the scientific method play out in real time right before our eyes every day. We can watch the scientific method play out every time someone buys a remote control and goes through the process of setting it up. Hypothesis of which brand/model and entry code match up, test the hypothesis, record the results and form a new hypothesis based on the conclusion.
I dunno why, that sentence just bugged me. it makes it seem like discovering an error while presenting the results is somehow a rare event.
I hope that the Kepler observing team is not automatically discarding observations that don't fit expected profiles.
For example: if a (slighty more) advanced civilization wanted to be detectable by something like Kepler, all they would have to do is put up some (very) large but (presumably) low mass "screens" in orbit around the star. By putting up several of these with the proper spacing; a coded "signal" code could be seen, just like morse code (I'd time it so the intervals would correspond to some prime numbers).
Of course if they are even a little bit more advanced and don't have to make these things ultra-lightweight, these screens could perform a useful function like solar panels or, if cabled together and spun, living area. (Hence the reference to the term "Ringworld" from Larry Niven's books).
Anyway, even if the Kepler team inadvertently ignores this data, perhaps after a period of time it'll become publically available? Here's to stellar data-mining! (If you found the first evidence of an E.T. civilization this way, would you be eligible for a Nobel Prize?)
I think the most earthlike planet we know of got a major demotion when man took his first steps. But hey thats just my opinion man.
How embarrassing. How embarrassing.
For justice, we must go to Don Corleone
It's only worth a quarter of a million dollars!? It's a freaking planet! It has to be worth over a million bucks, right?
Democracy Now! - your daily, uncensored, corporate-free
Sci-Fi? This isn't fiction... our study of the Universe has directly led to realizations of many aspects of physics that are directly applicable to our lives. It is through the study of the stars that we had the proper information background for Einstein to formulate general and special relativity for instance, which impact things such as our ability to keep satellites in orbit, or our ability to calculate GPS coordinates.
People who see the value in knowledge simply because the unknown is unknown are not childish, and your rant only reveals your lack of imagination and general understanding of human history.
FanFictionRecs.net
Kepler proposed 1200 planet candidates from its first four months of data collection. Approximately 58 are in the habitable zone and 6 may be smaller than two Earth masses. 19 of the 1200 have been confirmed as planets. As the study progresses, they'll see longer-orbit candidates and more habitable zone possibilities. And more of the 1200 will be confirmed as planets.
Just wait until Kepler begins finding and identifying alien Kepler-like telescopes. Then the confusion will really begin.
What else can happen when an unstoppable force collides with an immovable object?
Hey, sci-fi still can be fun sometimes, even though I feel going back to the Moon is pointless given its cost when there's so little money around and so many more important things to do with that (breaking our dependence on Middle-Eastern oil, finally defeating cancer, defeating AIDS would be my three main targets), going to Mars is seriously pointless, going to asteroids is more or less pointless, space escalators will never be built, humanity will never colonise another planet without prohibitively expensive ties to Earth being maintained, and we're doomed to die either when we pollute our planet enough that it kills us, when we exhaust every last exploitable resource or, ultimately, when the sun becomes a red giant.
I like the idea of massive solar panels in space, but getting that energy to Earth would be enormous fun. Either you tie them to Earth with insulated cable, which would be horribly expensive, wasteful, prone to terrorist attack or accident (or planes flying into it) *and* require the panels to be under more-or-less continuous thrust to keep them in geosynchronous orbit; or you try and beam it down. Forgive me for not wanting to stand beneath a beam of energy enough to provide power even for the UK, let alone the USA. Or we split it into loads of little beams, necessitating hundreds and thousands of receivers around the country... which birds shit on. A bit of a waste of all that power if it goes to heating up pigeon shit. Even worse, the first rainy day and all that energy gets blasted into the clouds, scattered, diffused, and bathes the entire country in low-level radiation. Sure, those problems could be overcome, but I'm sure there are thousands that I haven't thought of.
I *can* see the point on some manufacturing on the Moon though. If it was possible to get things back from the Moon cheaply (it's not) then it would be a brilliant environment for it. We manufacture on Earth and we shit in our own backyard. On the Moon, who cares what crap we pile onto it? We can dose the whole thing with uranium and not give a shit, although we might have to put the goods that come down from it into quarantine for a few centuries if we were silly enough to do that.
Though saying that I'm sure that some Diana-loving maniacs would complain about us polluting a barren, pointless ball of dust and rock.
Anyway. I agree with a lot of what you say... except that I'm employed to study cosmology, which is in all fairness amongst the most narcissistic of human sciences. It's simply an attempt to understand why the entire universe looks the way it does. Sure, there are knock-on effects that are useful - cosmology is a big part of the drive for evermore accurate telescopes which have helped drive everything from hyper-sensitive electrical motors to the CCDs sitting in your digital camera... but seriously, all that would have come anyway. Whether from spy satellites, where a lot of it was probably developed first anyway, or otherwise, even just from more sane, rational astronomy (which can actually have practical benefits) it would have come. Nah, cosmology is pointless. But it's of interest and governments around the world, from the USA to Iran, judge it of interest and use enough to fund its research. And who am I to argue if someone pays me to basically pursue my hobby full-time?
Congratulations NASA nerds for all the hard work done to achieved National Enquirer Certification.
I'm looking forward more than ever to the now certified daily astrology forecasts at www.nasa.gov
Once again, congratulations.
I read that as demolition and was thinking the 'Dark Star' mission had had another successful bomb run....
the lens cap was removed!
For looking back and IMMEDIATLY retracting their previous assessment when the data proved faulty. A triumph of science indeed. Don't let all the people who think a flawless god made everything; the most flawed will be barking hte loudest. We admit error. They turn it into religion.
Louis Vuitton Outlet
LV handbags
LV sunglasses
Major is still a fairly high rank, I'm sure his pension hasn't been affected that much.
Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
Well, it was trumpeted as evidence for evolution before it was ever verified, obviously, and also when there isn't even a peep of an idea that there might actually be life on said planet. I don't see the difference between the religious fanatic creationists, and the religious fanatic evolutionists, to be honest. It's just the object of their unquestionable faith that's different.
"City hall" in German is "Rathaus" Kinda explains a few things......
Do the AGW people and Anti-AGW people fit in that too? My understanding is that if you even peep in scientific circles that you have found any evidence that might weaken the AGW theory, you are shouted down just as bad as people who support AGW in non scientific circles.
APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?