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Japan Battles Partial Nuclear Meltdown

Hugh Pickens writes "Japanese nuclear experts are working to contain a partial meltdown at an earthquake-stricken nuclear power plant north of Tokyo, as fears grow that the death toll from Friday's massive quake and tsunami could reach the tens of thousands. A partial meltdown, experts said, would likely mean that some portion of the reactors' uranium fuel rods had cracked or warped from overheating, releasing radioactive particles into the reactors' containment vessels. Some of those particles would have escaped into the air outside when engineers vented steam from the vessels to relieve pressure building up inside. Adding to problems at the site, hydrogen was building up inside the Number Three reactor's outer building, threatening an explosion like the one that blew apart the Number One reactor building's roof and outer walls on Saturday. However, it remains unclear how far radiation has spread from the facility. Some local residents and health workers were diagnosed with radiation poisoning in precautionary tests, but they show no outward symptoms of distress. 'Even if you have a radiation release, although that's not a good thing, it's not automatically a harmful thing. It depends on what the level turns out to be,' says Steve Kerekes, a spokesman for the Nuclear Energy Institute, a US industry group, adding that a person exposed to the highest radiation levels measured at the Fukushima site would absorb in two to three hours the same amount of radiation that he would normally absorb in 12 months – a significant but not necessarily injurious amount, especially if exposure time was short."

54 of 769 comments (clear)

  1. Considering ..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I think it's incredible how safe their reactors are and when you consider what has happened, I think this should calm many people's fear of nuclear energy.

    Now, the disposal of the waste ....

    1. Re:Considering ..... by sycodon · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Tens of thousands of people were probably killed by the quake and the resulting tsunami.

      But anti-nuke activists will consider this the worse tragedy and use it at every chance to fight against the building of more modern and much, much safer designs.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    2. Re:Considering ..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      Indeed. I'm this guy, an irrelevant mathematics graduate with postgrad focus on the history of science and mathematics (so I'm not a nuclear power station worker but I'm not completely uneducated in the topic).

      I tried to prompt a discussion on the Greenpeace blog about their sensationalist - and, especially yesterday, entirely unsubstantiated - banner.

      My contributions were removed.

    3. Re:Considering ..... by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 4, Insightful

      But anti-nuke activists will consider this the worse tragedy

      If one of these reactors ends up totally failing, it will be considered the worse tragedy by nearly everyone. Why? Because judging such events is a subjective process. That's why one baby trapped in a well is a huge crisis, whereas 100 people dying on the road each and every day doesn't even warrant news coverage. That's the way the human mind works, and you can't just brush it off.

      If they were to end up with a Chernobyl-style exclusion zone around the plant for decades, then the meltdown would be remembered around the world long after the tsunami itself has faded from memory.

    4. Re:Considering ..... by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 3, Insightful

      But anti-nuke activists will consider this the worse tragedy

      Nonsense. No one is going to consider this worse. Rational humans, however, will consider it more under human control. We cannot prevent earthquakes and tsunamis; we can eliminate the threat of nuclear meltdowns entirely by not building uranium or plutonium fission reactors.

      There is, of course, a cost to that choice. We would either have to reduce energy usage (either by efficiency or austerity), build more dirty, CO2-spewing fossil fuel plants, deploy more wind and solar and other renewables (which have their own costs), develop the other nuclear technologies (fusion and "energy amplifier" designs, still at the prototype stage at best), or some combination of these. There are also benefits besides eliminating meltdowns: nuclear waste, weapons proliferation, the ecological damage of uranium mining, "peak uranium", and terrorism concerns are all ameliorated by not having fission reactors.

      Another choice, as you say, is to build new fission reactors that are safer. Given that the pronouncements of how much "safer" these new designs are come from governments and industries with a history of spin and untruths, and are often spread by people who seem to have an emotional attachment to the idea of "Man Mastering the Primal Forces of the Universe!", it's appropriate to view them skeptically.

      --
      Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
      You cannot wash away blood with blood
    5. Re:Considering ..... by Phoshi · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Except what alternatives do we have? Yes, nuclear power can go wrong, but in a modern nuclear reactor (Read: Not this, but anything we build in the future) the worst case scenario is serious damage to the plant and some minor radiation leaks. Chernobyl is a literal impossibility with new plants. But hey, nukes are bad, let's drop the tech - what else shall we use? Well, there's coal, oil, and gas - except while nuclear power does serious environmental damage in a worst case scenario, coal/oil/gas do serious environmental damage in regular use. So scratch that, they're crappy too. Let's take a look at the renewables sector - how about biomass? I mean, it's a pretty simple concept, and any emissions will be offset by growing more biomass. Perfect, we have our solution! Except you need somewhere to grow the biomass, and then you can't grow food. Electricity is nice, but we need food to live, so I guess biomass can't provide all of our energy. It can do some, but we need something else too. Alright, people talk about wind, solar, and wave energy a lot, there must be a good reason. Well, I look outside and while it's sunny, it's not windy - if my power supply isn't consistent it's worthless, so scratch wind and solar. Wave power? Well, the tides are fairly consistent, but the output simply can't match a full plant. Still, it works. So we have some power coming from biomass, and some from tidal power, and... well, crap. We've run out of viable options. Let's revisit a few old ones, then. Coal/Oil/Gas have serious environmental issues, but they've worked well so far. Nuclear is the safest of the lot (4 people have died from nuclear accidents in the last 20 years, over 4000 in coal alone), cheap, and clean - so er, why did we discount that one again? Because in an unprecedented earthquake, followed by a large tsunami, on an old design nobody makes any more, there's a *partial* meltdown? Any other plant in these circumstances would have fared much worse, and these reactors are old technology. It's not nuke fetishism, it's common sense.

    6. Re:Considering ..... by TheRaven64 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Many of the anti-nuclear lobby are cut from the same cloth. When I was at school, we had a visitor from the Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament. We eventually got onto nuclear power, and he was opposed to that too, for some reasons that almost made sense. Then I asked him about fusion research and he was also against that, but his rationale became even more stretched.

      There are some real problems with nuclear power. In my view, the benefits outweigh the drawbacks, but it's impossible to have a rational debate when one side refuses to even try to understand the underlying scientific and engineering issues. Unfortunately, in recent years, rather than seeing more rationality from the anti-nuclear crowd, we've seen increasing ignorance of science from the the pro-nuclear side, making the entire debate akin to an argument about sports teams.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    7. Re:Considering ..... by vadim_t · · Score: 4, Informative

      You're talking of kilowatt hours, I imagine. In that case, it'd take about 12 hours to generate that much. The amount you say you use sounds very small, and could be quite easily generated by a solar panel if you have a roof for it.

      That said, I have no clue where's he's getting his number from, as that'd be one big roof.

    8. Re:Considering ..... by avgjoe62 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Chernobyl is a literal impossibility

      Not to get into one side or the other of this debate, but when I see something like that statement I have to point out that the Titanic was unsinkable. Never speak in absolutes. While the reactors of today may be safer than Chernobyl, they are products of fallible people and subject to failure themselves.

      --

      How come Slashdot never gets Slashdotted?

    9. Re:Considering ..... by TheRaven64 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If you're going to be sarcastic and resort to ad hominem arguments, you might want to try understanding the topic at hand first. A kilowatt is a measure of power, not of energy. You almost certainly did not use 344kW last month, you used 344kWh - a measure of energy - equivalent to 344kW of power for one hour, or about 0.47kW averaged over the month. Peak usage for a small house is very unlikely to be over about 3kW, maybe a bit more if you've got electric heating. 27kW per house would be enough that you could use your peak electricity usage 24 hours a day. If you'd used 344kW, then your total energy usage would have been 251120 kWh. About the cheapest that you'll find electricity is 5/kWh, so this works out at $12,556 in electricity costs per month - more realistically, you'd be paying about twice this. Or, to put it in perspective, your 'small postage stamp house' would be using more electricity than a moderate sized datacenter. You'd also be drawing quite a bit more power than a typical residential power main can handle.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    10. Re:Considering ..... by rtfa-troll · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The thing is, most of us aren't competent to analyse the engineering or the physics in detail. The only thing we can go on is the fact that the pro-nuclear lobby turn out repeatedly to be a bunch of complete liars. For example, after Chernobyl we were told "there are no such dangerous reactors allowed in first world countries"; then we suddenly hear that the Japanese reactors are older than Chernobyl. During this crisis, almost immediately people came out to say "a melt down of these reactors is impossible", yet these reactors have melted down. We heard that the leak was only radioactive steam from the cooling system; that the core wasn't compromised. Now we suddenly learn again that that was a lie. We repeatedly hear that wind power is more expensive than nuclear and then find out that the numbers are complete lies. All of the cost estimates for nuclear plants seem to turn out to have been done ignoring the cost of nuclear waste.

      I don't know if there are some safe nuclear plants. I don't know if we can reliably make safe nuclear plants. What I do know is that the same people keep repeatedly telling us that "nuclear power is safe" and then we keep having major failures which prove it isn't. I don't need to understand the engineering issues to understand that there is no way to trust the pro-nuclear lobby to actually deal with those issues. Fission based power (and yes; you are right fusion is a different case) needs to be severely limited until we are sure that the people proposing it are much much more trustworthy.

      --
      =~ s,(.*),<sarcasm>$1</sarcasm>,g if any_point_you_wish();
    11. Re:Considering ..... by anagama · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Probably the most damaging evidence against nuclear power is its supporters who seem to have an excess of confidence and deficit of prudence. Such people are dangerous and rational people everywhere recognize them as such.

      To bring in the car analogy, you don't need to be a racing expert to know it's a bad idea to ride around with stunting teen driver whose confidence exceeds reality, anymore than you need a degree in nuclear physics to know that those who claim everything is absolutely safe and nothing bad can ever happen are probably being similarly reckless.

      --
      What changed under Obama? Nothing Good
    12. Re:Considering ..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      For example, after Chernobyl we were told "there are no such dangerous reactors allowed in first world countries"; then we suddenly hear that the Japanese reactors are older than Chernobyl.

      The following are true statements:
      A and B are reactors.
      A is a Chernobyl.
      B is older than Chernobyl.

      Which of the following must also be true?
      a) B is a Chernobyl.
      b) B is less safe than a Chernobyl.
      c) The parent is a moron.

    13. Re:Considering ..... by MrNemesis · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It's an attitude I find strange as well. Personally, I'm anti-nuclear weapons, but totally pro-nuclear for terms of power generation - indeed, it was trying to understand how the hell a nuclear bomb could be so destructive that got me interested in physics.

      IMHO, it was the arms race that totally got nuclear power generation off on the wrong foot; too many reactor designs optimised for producing weapons-grade fuels, and then often dual-purposed to power generation almost as an afterthought. My parents lived through the Windscale disaster http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Windscale_fire and I remember my father explaining to me what a stupid design for a reactor it was, and how we were saved more by luck than judgement, and there were echoes of this in the RBMK/Chernobyl designs.

      Hence nuclear power was forever tarnished by the short-sightedness of everyone trying to build their own nuclear stockpile, which produced dangerous and inefficient reactor designs. Compare with modern designs like CANDU which, as far as I can tell, have been designed for power and safety first, with capability for weapons-grade loads very much an afterthought - if it's even possible. But nuclear power (both fission and fusion) won't shake the public stigma for decades, if not whole generations, because they're hard for the layman to understand even without the news going ARGH NUCLEAR!!!!! at the drop of a hat.

      Back on topic - I'm frankly amazed this whole thing with the Japanese reactors wasn't worse. Wikipedia currently has the total amount of energy released as 600 *million* Hiroshima-type atomic bombs, we've all seen the videos of the tsunami hitting the coast (and these stations were in a region closest to the epicentre); I was dumbstruck at the scale of it all. And yet despite near total failure of all cooling systems, there's been no massive release of radiation. It's a testament to Japanese engineering and professionalism that they're doing as well as they are - look at how few casualties there were due to structural failures (not to mention all those people already alerted by Japan's best-of-breed EWS and extensive training in how to deal with such a situation), in one of the most massive earthquakes on record. They're happily prepared to junk the reactor core - worth billions, especially when you factor in cleanup costs - in order to limit damage. What's happened in Japan is an utter catastrophe. The nuclear reactors are a tiny, tiny fraction of this but it receives disproportionate attention in the news because, judging by the reaction of a lot of my friends here in the UK, it appears to be something we (and, by extension, the news) care about more than all those already dead or missing, and the (hundreds of?) thousands homeless or without power or drinking water.

      Rant over. FWIW, I'm not a nuclear scientist but have a degree in geology, and nuclear power is one of my pet pipe dreams (don't get me wrong, I'm a big supporter of wind and solar plants as well, and the brother-in-law runs a biogas plant in Germany). I also have a bunch of friends in Tokyo, who are thankfully fine. Happy to receive criticism if I come across as overly optimistic.

      --
      Moderation Total: -1 Troll, +3 Goat
    14. Re:Considering ..... by GNUALMAFUERTE · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I know this might be just Paranoia, let me get something straight first: I'm not a conspiracy theorist. I'm not saying I'm right, I'm just saying I have my doubts.

      Have you noticed how Greenpeace seems to be an appendage of the big oil industry? I mean, they attack oil all the time, sure. But how effective are they against oil? Not effective at all. They haven't managed to make a single dent in the oil proliferation. On the other hand, they have attacked every single change we got at alternative energy sources very effectively. They are mostly responsible for keeping the population scared regarding nuclear power. They are the ones that have equaled nuclear power plants with nuclear weapons, even though the two are mostly unrelated (a nuclear reactor is far, far away from a nuclear bomb). Find anyone and tell them "Nuclear Reactor" and they'll think of a mushroom cloud and dead kittens, and other things unrelated to nuclear power. They attack battery production, and all kind of industries that can provide us with real alternatives.

      Nuclear power as we know it today is not the final solution, but it's certainly better than Oil, and we could be running 100% on Nuclear Power and electric vehicles powered by said energy if it weren't for this tree huggers. Follow the money.

      --
      WTF am I doing replying to an AC at 5 A.M on a Friday night?
    15. Re:Considering ..... by Bengie · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The only nuclear setup I know of that doesn't "melt down" is the pellet design. Instead of rods, they use small pellets encapsulated in graphite. Too much surface area to melt down, even if all the coolant was removed.

      Much more expensive, but quite a bit safer. You also get an easier clean up because the graphite shells keep all the nuclear material contained.

      As for wind, it is unreliable. Power grids are not meant for fluctuating supply. Wind can augment a stable power supply like nuclear/coal, but it cannot replace it. You still need a "smart grid" if you plan to have a large scale roll out of Wind/Solar because a sudden breeze would overload the power grid if you have too many Wind generators, and a sudden drop in wind would cause a brown-out. Power plants cannot change output very fast and a bunch of "Green" energy creating huge power spikes would burn out lots of parts and it would cost more than nuclear in the long run.

  2. what progress? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Despite all the tech developed since 1986, coverage of the progress of the cooling of the Daiishi plant has been absolutely atrocious in terms of speculation and lack of, well, at least one independent person , organisation or government (i.e. not this press release site, now down) providing reports containing hard facts, e.g. telephoto / satellite imagery, radiation count, etc.

    To repeat myself from yesterday:

    Fact 1: this was an old nuclear reactor without a satisfactory containment solution;

    Fact 2: this was an old nuclear reactor without passive safety: i.e. power is required to prevent meltdown, rather than meltdown being prevented by design;

    Fact 3: backup generators and batteries were supposed to deal with Fact 2;

    Fact 4: you can only have so many on-site backups;

    Fact 5: Chernobyl's failure was the result of a very dangerously planned and even more dangerously aborted attempt to test what would happen if Facts 1 to 3 applied;

    Fact 6: while everyone's learnt the lessons leading to Chernobyl's failure, older reactors have not tackled the problems which led to Chernobyl deciding that tests in Fact 5 were necessary in the first place.

    Fact 7: one side of the debate will conclude that nuclear power is universally evil; the other side will claim that circumstances were so shockingly unlikely that they could not have been planned for, ignoring in particular Facts 1, 2, 4 and 6.no-one

    1. Re:what progress? by siddesu · · Score: 5, Informative

      There is no lack of information in Japan. There has been 6 or 7 press conferences on the topic by the management of the power station today, both before and after every development that happened at the station during the day. All the conferences had a pretty reasonable technical explanation of the steps, and report upon execution. All conferences were broadcast fully on several TV channels.

      There are three problems with the coverage. First, western media have been extremely sensationalist in their coverage. Second, journalists, both in Japan and in elsewhere ignore the presentation (e.g. one journalist complained that she doesn't understand the explanations, and that there isn't "enough information" in the same breath on live TV), and press with "hard" questions, which end up to be only one: "When is this shit going to explode?". Three, which is a failure of Tepco, they put forward people who cannot explain shit eloquently. The explanations make sense if one listens patiently and makes sense of a ton of stuttering, stammering, repeating, verbal mistakes. Of course it ain't working when every journalist has to tweet within 25 seconds of the start of the explanation.

      Finally, the big problem in Japan now is getting help to the people in the affected areas, not the meltdowns in Fukushima that may, or may not be happening.

      But I guess some journalists have to make a living.

    2. Re:what progress? by grumling · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Imagine you live in Rome. You are a civil engineer, in charge of building the first bridge. You build it the best you can, based on observing trees that fall across small streams. It is very dangerous, but effective for a few years. Several other people copy your design and build their own bridges using tree trunks.

      Meanwhile, someone else looks at your design and determines the bridge could be built much safer if you use an ads to flatten out the top, so that people can walk on the flat area, and some ropes along the sides at hand level let people keep their balance. You try it out and find it works very well. Meanwhile, people all over Rome are falling off the "Gen 1" bridges. People protest bridges to the Roman Senate and elect people who won't allow new bridges to be built, even with the safety features.

      To make matters worse, the existing bridges are now rotting. Several bridges have fallen into the creeks and many are too fragile to let more than one person across at a time. The tree bark, which provided at least some grip for people using the bridges is now gone, and when it rains the bridges are incredibly slippery. The Roman Senate funds a study to look into building "Gen 3" bridges. The engineers come back with designs for stone bridges, using the latest in geometry (the arch). The engineering community thinks this bridge will last for years, be incredibly strong and safe. But because the public has such a bad memory of the existing bridges, they want nothing to do with them. Meanwhile they demand the Senate fund more ferryboats for river crossings.

      --
      "Well, good luck finding a judge that doesn't run a bestiality site."
    3. Re:what progress? by turgid · · Score: 4, Informative

      "Containment domes" are not a silver bullet.

      There are many factors (as you might expect) that contribute to nuclear safety. The most important is the design of the nuclear reactor. It's very difficult to make a poor design "safe" and a containment dome isn't always possible or useful. For example, gas-cooled reactors could not have containment domes.

      The RBMK (Chernobyl) design is intrinsically unsafe from a nuclear physics point of view, as demonstrated by the accident in 1996. Additionally, the safety systems were poor and able to be vetoed (very bad) and the reactor was being run out of its design specification and by people who didn't understand Reactor Physics. In fact, their attitude was one of superstition: the reactor has been good to us in the past, so it'll be good to us today.

      Here in the UK there were great changes in the way our nuclear power industry was run following the Chernobyl disaster. The legal framework for the industry was completely overhauled, the way we operated our reactors was radically changed and all of our safety cases and fault studies were revisited, re-analysed and our plant refitted with extra redundant, diverse and segragated safety systems. All of our personnel, from the company directors to the plant operators were retrained.

      We are lucky in that most of our reactors are of the gas-cooled variety (AGRs with formerly some Magnoxes). They are pretty intrinsically safe designs, but not perfect. Explosions and meltdowns are either "incredible faults" or highly unlikely. The most likely event that could lead to an offsite release of radioactivity for Magnoxes was a channel fire. At the commercial stations, this never happened. There was one once at Chapel Cross (used to make isotopes for military purposes in addition to electricity) but there was no release from the affected reactor, and they were able to refuel and continue using it.

      The concrete pressure vessel stations (AGRs and the two youngest Magnoxes) could not "explode" (burst open). They are too strong: no tertiary containment (containment dome) required. They can't go prompt critical (i.e. no Chernobyl) because of the reactor physics and safety systems. If you tried to do one manually, the reactor would be shut down automatically long before it even got a bit too hot.

      We won't be building any more AGRs, though. EDF will probably be building some based on the PWR design in the next few years. PWRs are OK as long as you have plenty of redundant and segregated cooling loops. I think the new ones will be able to post-trip cool on natural convection, so no power required for emergency cooling.

      As for your original point, as long as the Russian RBMKs have their safety systems fixed (unable to be take out of service) there should not be another Chernobyl. Another thought: I don't know if these plant have boric acid for emergencies. For water-cooled reactors (e.g. PWR) it is a requirement to have a load of boric acid that can be dumped into the primary coolant to ensure permanent shutdown in the case of an emergency. Boric acid dissolves in the water and the boron absorbs all the neutrons. shutting down the nuclear reactions. It's a permanent shutdown though :-) The Magnoxes had boron dust that could be injected into the coolant gas for such an emergency.

    4. Re:what progress? by Frekja · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Your metaphor lacks one detail: all the bridges are toll bridges, and the Gen I bridges are still making money for their owners. As a result, they're reasonably happy to keep charging people to cross while they pay PR companies to promote newer, more exciting bridges which they aren't choosing to build (but could be persuaded to do so if Government helped them to pay for these spanky new bridges).

    5. Re:what progress? by rtfa-troll · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The step you are missing is the bit, just after paragraph 1, where you advertise your new bridge as providing "safe and limitless river crossing for generations; so cheap nobody will even think to impose tolls". Then, when people start getting washed away you build fences to make sure that only one person crosses at a time so nobody can tell who the washed away people are. Later, you publish studies showing that due to the unavoidable risk of waterfalls all river ferries are incredibly dangerous and much more expensive than anybody ever knew. Finally you start accusing everybody who ever claimed your version 1 bridge was unsafe of knowing nothing about water and that if only they all learned about the theory of swimming they would know that nobody will be killed by water in future.

      perhaps you are right and nuclear is now safe. It's just very difficult to believe it just because the nuclear industry says it's true.

      --
      =~ s,(.*),<sarcasm>$1</sarcasm>,g if any_point_you_wish();
  3. Just terrible news coverage by hsmith · · Score: 3, Interesting

    All around. al jazeera/bbc have been decent, but still - not what it needs to be. Fox, CNN, MSNBC have all been sensationalist garbage - as usual. What else is a decent source of news anyone else has been following?

    Hopefully this turns out to be nothing as bad as it could be. The reactors are dead, but lets hope that is the least of the issues.

    1. Re:Just terrible news coverage by AHuxley · · Score: 4, Informative
      --
      Domestic spying is now "Benign Information Gathering"
    2. Re:Just terrible news coverage by maxume · · Score: 3, Informative

      3 of the 6 reactors at the facility were offline for inspection, so there is some chance that they will be able to bring them back up on a decent schedule.

      Doesn't really change what you describe, but maybe keeps it to months.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    3. Re:Just terrible news coverage by rAiNsT0rm · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I mainly read and watch Deutsche Welle for my news. AJ/BBC are usually decent though. How sad is it that we have ZERO real news in America? Not even NPR which is as close as we come. We need a real news channel and outlet, not political or sensational bullshit. Just news.

      --
      http://teasphere.wordpress.com - A little spot of tea
  4. I agree, with one caveat by Kupfernigk · · Score: 5, Interesting
    Part of the problem seems to be that when the reactors were planned, Japan was in a seismic lull. Since then, activity has been increasing, and this put into doubt some of the safety features of the reactors, but nothing was done.

    This is an argument, not against nuclear power, but in favour of transparency in the design, planning, build and monitoring processes. That, however, would demand equally grown up behaviour from the antis. I do feel that part of the problem with nuclear power has been the culture of secrecy fed by, to be frank, the scientific and engineering ignorance, emotionalism and sometimes near-hysteria of the antis.

    In the early days of railways and canals there was similar "anti" hysteria - clergymen claiming that canals would be destroyed because it was blasphemy for men to ape their Creator by making rivers, idiots claiming that travelling at speed would prevent people from breathing - but the benefits were so enormous that people largely ignored them. The problem with nuclear power is that most people are not equipped to understand the potential benefits, so all they hear about is the potential downsides.

    --
    From scarped cliff or quarried stone she cries "A thousand types are gone, I care for nothing, no not one."
    1. Re:I agree, with one caveat by iserlohn · · Score: 4, Informative

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Relative_cost_of_electricity_generated_by_different_sources

      Nuclear is also among the most expensive power generation methods available. I'm not sure what the potential upsides are.

    2. Re:I agree, with one caveat by MaWeiTao · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Did you actually read through the link you posted?

      Nuclear is somewhat more expensive than coal and gas, but cheaper than nearly all alternative energy sources; wind, solar and tidal.

    3. Re:I agree, with one caveat by Draek · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Much, much cleaner than Coal, Gas and Oil and more easily implemented at large scales than Wind and Solar, not to mention considerably cheaper than the latter.

      --
      No problem is insoluble in all conceivable circumstances.
    4. Re:I agree, with one caveat by sycodon · · Score: 4, Informative

      Fast breeder reactors can burn that waste leaving material with a half life of mere decades.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    5. Re:I agree, with one caveat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      Fast breeder reactors can burn that waste leaving material with a half life of mere decades.

      And nuclear proliferation and a bunch of other isotopes and other things which have half lives far from "mere decades".

      Quite realistically, the best way forward as I see it, is to develop LFTR technology.
      It'd be particularly beneficial in earthquake prone areas as the molten salts would cool and go subcritical and end the main reaction.

      For more info, see: International Thorium Energy Organisation
      Energy from Thorium has a nice piece about the current situation in Fukushima Daiichi.
      LFTR in 16 minutes - for those who are time poor. Explains why you're on Slashdot.
      Wikipedia - for those who want citation, please.

      Yes, IAANP

    6. Re:I agree, with one caveat by westlake · · Score: 3, Interesting

      In the early days of railways and canals there was similar "anti" hysteria - clergymen claiming that canals would be destroyed because it was blasphemy for men to ape their Creator by making rivers, idiots claiming that traveling at speed would prevent people from breathing

      But it is useful to remember that American railroads fought tooth and claw any of a dozen long-overdue reforms.

      Use of the telegraph for traffic control
      Steel passenger cars with steam heat.
      Automatic coupling.
      Air brakes.

      Useful to remember as well that the canal and the railroad could spread an epidemic disease inland with frightening speed. Cholera rides the rails.

    7. Re:I agree, with one caveat by Sprouticus · · Score: 5, Informative

      In a day to day sense, nuclear power is almost as cheap and FAR cleaner than oil. Have you ever lived near an oil refinery? Much less a well? I used to pass one every week going to and form work. It smelled, and left a smile on your car if you stayed more than a few hours. How safe can THAT be to live near. Here is aquick report. I cant speak the the numbers but it gives you a good idea of the impact.

      http://chge.med.harvard.edu/publications/documents/oilreportex.pdf

      I worked on a naval nuclear reactor while in the Navy. I was a chemistry and RadCon tech. I understand the science and risks better than you do. Sorry if that sounds eilitist, but its true. Just because radiation is involved does not mean it is evil.

    8. Re:I agree, with one caveat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      Actually you are wrong on two counts.

      Firstly, the fissile and fertile uranium in enhanced burn-up reactors are in much much greater concentration than they are in uranium deposits in the ground, and uranium deposits are pretty diffuse. There's lots of arsenic, mercury and lead in the ground, too. That does not mean that you want to concentrate tonnes of arsenic or mercury and dump it into any old hole in the ground. You almost certainly especially don't want to dump it back into one of the holes you extracted it.

      Secondly, by assembling a reactor pile that goes critical (i.e., it maintains a self-sustaining chain reaction), you really are creating radiation that would not occur naturally (except in very very rare and small cases like the Oklo natural reactor). Although you can literally dump a bunch of fissile-uranium-and-carbon in a heap -- a literal pile -- and have it go critical, by careful engineering with one of several possible fast-neutron-to-thermal-neutron moderators, you can produce many more nuclear disintegrations whose daughter products trigger more nuclear disintegrations, in a chain reaction. Carefully surrounding the pile with concentrated isotopes will in turn produce ("breed") fissile material that can be used in building a new pile.

      In short, it is moving around the fissile materials (and fertile ones, and unfortunately a whole host of building and other secondary materials which will, under neutron or gamma bombardment, themselves become radioactive) that creates the relevant radiation. It is not a concentration of radiation at all, but rather most of the radiation is a side-effect of concentrating a sufficient amount of suitable material (mostly material that was already slightly radioactive on its own) into a _critical mass_.

    9. Re:I agree, with one caveat by ScrewMaster · · Score: 4, Informative

      It's cleaner because all the waste is concentrated - in solid form, to boot - and there aren't any carbon emissions beyond those resulting from the construction of the plant.

      Now you, like me, might not feel that CO2 should count as unclean when it comes to these sort of statistics but most people apparently disagree.

      Yes, and when comparing it to coal, you have to understand that coal fields are naturally radioactive. Burn it, and those radioactive substances (thorium, for one) are now air pollution.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    10. Re:I agree, with one caveat by ScrewMaster · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Sorry if that sounds eilitist, but its true. Just because radiation is involved does not mean it is evil.

      Because it it did, the Sun would be the most evil entity in the Solar System.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    11. Re:I agree, with one caveat by Omestes · · Score: 3, Interesting

      And then again the alternatives also have significant downsides that nuclear doesn't. Every source of energy is going to have some decent downsides, its just about what risks and and dangers you find acceptable.

      I'm not a 100% nuclear fanboy, but I do find it a shame that this is going to kill nuclear for another couple decades. Especially since there are some really good designs (low waste, low half life waste, safer, immune to problems like in Japan) in the pipeline. Not all nuclear is created equal.

      Also, as a denizen of the desert Southwest, I find the common theme of paving over the deserts with solar panels to be distasteful as they are also thriving ecosystems, and as valuable as forests and grasslands. Most solar schemes also depend on some rather nasty chemicals for their construction. Wind kills birds, is an eye sore, and has some decent potential risks, it also isn't the most dependable source of energy. Tidal energy is a bit better, but it isn't really that feasible for vast swaths of most continents, and isn't nearly high yield enough to meet demand.

      We're going to need a broad spectrum of power generation to wean us off fossil fuels. Nuclear probably should be in that bundle, since it is dependable, (with modern designs) safe, and high yield. Objectively looking at its track record, it still is pretty damn safe. If someone ran the statistics (Google didn't help, I tried) I'm guessing nuclear is safer than coal, oil, or gas. If it takes the largest earthquake in 100+ years to make it fail (and not dramatically like Chernobyl), I wouldn't say that is a damning thing. Hell, if it was just the earthquake (sans tsunami), they would probably still be running fine, or at least not in a state like they are... which is quite a statement when you think of it.

      Also... why is this getting more mind share than the far larger catastrophe? Yes, it is important, yes, it is somewhat frightening, but some perspective is needed as well. So far this reactor has claimed 4 lives, how many has the actually catastrophe claimed? This reactor, even in a worse case scenario, will claim fewer lives, and cause less destruction, than the earthquake and tsunami. Far fewer.

      Actually, so far, I've been very impressed with the Japanese. They've shown how to do earthquakes right... I find the whole thing rather hopeful.

      --
      A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
    12. Re:I agree, with one caveat by iserlohn · · Score: 3, Informative

      Did you read the whole page? The only (levelised) study that shows nuclear to be competitive it the UK study (and only by a relatively small margin). In everything else, nuclear trails on-shore wind.

    13. Re:I agree, with one caveat by crunchygranola · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Fast breeder reactors can burn that waste leaving material with a half life of mere decades.

      If only a working one could actually be built!

      The two principal nations using nuclear power - France and Japan - have both tried to build commercial fast breeder reactors: Superphenix and Monju. Superphenix was shut down after only being able to operate at full power for one 10 month stretch. Monju, project started 26 years ago, and first criticality reached 17 years ago failed to ever achieve full power operation. It is now been restarted and may start finally producing electricity in 2014 (barring more plant problems), twenty years after its first start-up. Japan is planning a second FBR now, which is planned to start-up in 2025, fourteen years from now.

      Perhaps commercial fast breeder reactors are the power source of the future, but it is turning out to be an incredibly difficult technology to perfect and have even larger capital costs than current nuclear power. There seems little prospect that we will have significant numbers in the next quarter century. If nuclear power is to have any significantly expanded role before mid-century it will have to be the advanced versions of current light water reactor technology.

      --
      Second class citizen of the New Gilded Age
    14. Re:I agree, with one caveat by Chelloveck · · Score: 4, Funny

      I, for one, am sick and tired of living within direct sight of an unshielded nuclear reactor. It's so close you can feel the heat it gives off, and just a few hours' exposure is enough to burn the skin. Petition the government to shut it down, NOW! Won't somebody please think of the children?

      --
      Chelloveck
      I give up on debugging. From now on, SIGSEGV is a feature.
    15. Re:I agree, with one caveat by Cyberax · · Score: 4, Informative

      Russia has one working power-generating breeder reactor ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beloyarsk_Nuclear_Power_Station ) and another one under construction.

      So it's certainly possible, but up until now not cost-effective.

  5. Better news source by Bender_ · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I found this to be a good source for uncommented information: http://www.world-nuclear-news.org/. I cannot vouch for the veracity of the source, but it does not seem to be very biased.

    Unfortunately the nuclear accident seems to have overshadowed reports on the real human tragedy - the tsunami and the earth quake. Especially in Germany, media are instrumentalizing the incident and are plotting doomsday scenarios. The worst of all seems to be "Der Spiegel", which I held in much higher regard until yesterday.

  6. Good technical info by wjwlsn · · Score: 4, Informative

    The following document is a good source of info regarding the situation at the Fukushima reactors. See the section titled "BWR 3/4 Perspectives", including the parts regarding station blackout (SBO), transients with loss of coolant injection, and transients with loss of decay heat removal (DHR). (The remaining parts of the BWR 3/4 section don't appear to apply.)

    Core damage frequency perspectives for BWR 3/4...

    --
    Getting tired of Slashdot... moving to Usenet comp.misc for a while.
  7. Re:Used cars, anyone? by rAiNsT0rm · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I work for a company that works with radioactivity, and the reality is shocking. I have been told that since there is no "standard" level deemed harmful, that they can get away with all kinds of shit. Because a small amount of radiation could cause cancer and some can be exposed to large amounts without issue, that they can do basically whatever they want. It was found that a wall that was supposed to be shielded was not and that workers on the other side of it had been getting nailed for years... they covered it up and covered their asses ASAP. I would trust NOTHING when it comes from a corporation or government agency on this subject.

    This is a real shame and greed once again rules the day.

    --
    http://teasphere.wordpress.com - A little spot of tea
  8. ...and it was about to close by Megane · · Score: 5, Informative

    It's not getting much press, but the Unit #1 reactor was scheduled to be closed in two weeks. (Those links don't show the exact date, but I think it was March 22.)

    It's sort of like the old cliche about a cop getting shot in the month before his retirement.

    --
    #naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
  9. Re:Used cars, anyone? by Nemyst · · Score: 4, Insightful

    So you'd rather listen to the FOX news shills, the anti-nuclear shills, the oil shills, the donation scammers and the govt shills?

    I'm sorry but what he's saying sounds about right. People have some kind of paranoia when nuclear is mentioned - you only need to look at the current situation! A quake of incredible magnitude quickly followed by a massive tsunami will probably kill tens of thousands leave the entire countryside ravaged for years, but the news are all focused on a handful of nuclear power plants that are having some problems. Even Chernobyl only killed 50 people! If you want to account for cancer diseases and such, bring that up to 500 or even 1000 if you want, but it's an unrealistically high estimate. And that's Chernobyl; it is absolutely impossible to end up with this result in the current situation.

  10. Why not to worry by NieKinNL · · Score: 5, Informative

    Dr Josef Oehmen, a research scientist at MIT, has written his take on the events, and why he's not worried about it.
    I haven't finished reading this story yet (it's quite a few pages), but it's pretty interesting so far.

    --
    -- # man women
    1. Re:Why not to worry by anagama · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Part of the problem the nuclear industry has is people just like Dr. Oehmen who seem to have a extreme confidence but then say things that don't make sense.

      For example, at one point he says that the cooling system failed because onsite generators were flooded, so they operated on battery power till they could get some portable generators moved to the site and operating. OK so far. Then he says that once they got the portable generators there, they couldn't use them because they came with the wrong plugs. (!) WTF -- chop the plugs and receptacles off and wire the damn things together directly.

      After that he says stuff like only radioactive nitrogen was in the steam and it decays in seconds. OK -- so why are people being admitted to the hospital with radiation sickness? Maybe because there was a release of cesium?

      He concludes that the system is totally safe and nothing bad can possibly happen.

      It is people like this who cause our problems because they allow confidence to overcome foresight.

      --
      What changed under Obama? Nothing Good
  11. Engineering Success by displaced80 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Now, I'm not a huge fan of nuclear power. Not for the usual "GAAAH! RADIATION! WASTE! YOU'RE MAKING GAIA CRY!" reasons, but because humanity (and more precisely, human bureaucracy) is often far too gaffe-prone to be trusted. Running a nuclear plant isn't amenable to cost-cutting or tight-fisted cost-benefit assessment.

    But the way the affected reactors and their operators have performed has been almost perfect. Consider the fact that the buildings themselves are intact after what nature just threw at them. Pretty astounding. Sure, by the look of it, we've already breezed through several failure modes, but reaction has been halted and sea-water is readily available to keep the thing cooled without the core making a bid for freedom. Still, as I understand it, worst-case is the core splurges itself over the inner containment floor and eventually cools anyway.

    Of course, there'll be a post-mortem over why standard cooling couldn't be restored, the results of which will be interesting (and no doubt, instructive).

    --
    What's the frequency, Kenneth?
  12. Re:Used cars, anyone? by dachshund · · Score: 4, Insightful

    A quake of incredible magnitude quickly followed by a massive tsunami will probably kill tens of thousands leave the entire countryside ravaged for years, but the news are all focused on a handful of nuclear power plants that are having some problems.

    I realize that Slashdot is pro-nuclear, and hell, even I'm pro-nuclear. But please don't embarrass yourself or this site by referring to the ongoing disaster at Fukushima Daiichi as a plant "having some problems". I assure you the experts dealing with this problem are not minimizing the seriousness of what's going on. It's very serious, it's ongoing, and until the plant is stabilized, it's legitimate world news.

    A plant "having some problems" is a drop in power production, or a small tritium leak. At this point a catastrophic meltdown and containment breach seem unlikely, mostly because the reactor operators have resorted to essentially destroying the reactor by flooding it with doped seawater. There has already been some non-trivial radiation leakage, and a 20-km radius evacuation is underway. It really is newsworthy.

    The lesson that pro-nuclear folks should be learning from this disaster is that Fukushima Daiichi and similar 1960s-era reactors should not be operating in the year 2011, and most especially not in an area with high seismic activity. You know this, I know this, and I guarantee that the experts who run the plants knew it before the quake.

    While this particular incident seems to be under control, as long as these plants are operating, there's a very real possibility of a catastrophic meltdown somewhere, in the next few decades. And that will do ten times more to stop the deployment of nuclear power than Greenpeace --- or the Slashdot boogeyman of the day --- could ever do.

  13. The expensive is driven mostly by lawyers. by falconwolf · · Score: 3, Informative

    Citation needed. On the other hand, here's a citation of my own: Nuclear power is Hooked on Subsidies. And China, France, India, and Russia do not have the US's lawyers or environmental laws.

    Falcon

    1. Re:The expensive is driven mostly by lawyers. by Anthony+Mouse · · Score: 5, Insightful

      All non-fossil power generation is "hooked on subsidies" -- until we internalize the environmental costs of fossil fuels, nothing else is competitive and so everything else has to be subsidized.

  14. Re:Unit 1 should have been offline since February by Kyusaku+Natsume · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Please have a look at this Japanese grid, they are isolated grids, based on this is what I based my observations:
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Power_Grid_of_Japan.PNG

    My bad for believing in Wikipedia. Thank you for your critic, it prompted me to research more the subject.

    A better map, more detailed that shows how really is actually the grid:
    http://www.geni.org/globalenergy/library/national_energy_grid/japan/graphics/japangridmap.gif

    They have 2 FC facilities able to exchange 1200 MW at best, but the exchange between the two grids goes around 7-8% yearly, both ways, far, far less than what is needed at the moment and what they could provide, I doubt that Japan doesn't have at least 15% spare capacity in both grids. The FC are only able to replace units 1 and 2 from Fukushima Power Plant. 1200 MW are nothing versus the demand of eastern Japan. The reason that eastern Japan blackouts will be more bad than needed and Tepco's problems with their nuclear power plants comes in this report http://www.ieej.or.jp/aperc/pdf/GRID_COMBINED_DRAFT.pdf from APEC:

    But power interconnections are far less developed between Japan’s electric service areas than within them. Thus, an issue has arisen with respect to what might happen to the reliability of power supply in Japan when a particular class of generating capacity has to be taken out of service. In August 2002, the Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO) was required by the Japanese government to take all of its nuclear power plants out of service since the utility had failed to report technical safety violations at some of the plants as required by law. Although subsequent safety inspections revealed that none of the violations presented an actual threat to public safety, continuing public distrust meant that nearly all of Tokyo’s nuclear plants remained out of service through the summer of 2003 and beyond. (emphasis mine) Since summer is when Tokyo’s power demand peaks, and since TEPCO relied on nuclear power for 29 percent of its generating capacity and 47 percent of its electricity generation in 200117, there were real concerns that power demand might not be met.

    Normally, TEPCO would have had roughly 72 GW of generating capacity available to meet Tokyo’s needs during the summer of 2003, including 60 GW of its own capacity, 8 GW owned by Japan’s Electric Power Development Corporation (EPDC) and other generators in its area, and 4 GW from companies outside of its area. But with 13 GW of nuclear capacity remaining out of service (though about 4 GW of nuclear capacity had already been allowed to resume service), and with 4 GW of thermal power plants out of service for scheduled maintenance, the actual amount of generating capacity on which TEPCO could rely that summer was only around 55 GW. By comparison, the utility projected that peak demand would be around 61 GW if the weather were normal and 64 GW if the summer were hot. Hence, it had to plan for a possible 9 GW shortfall.

    TEPCO’s plans for filling the gap between available capacity and possible peak summer demand included a variety of supply-side and demand-side measures. On the supply side, the utility anticipated that it could obtain 2,190 MW by restarting thermal plants that had been shut down due to their relative inefficiency and high cost, 760 MW by accelerating the testing and start-up of new plants, 700 MW by rescheduling thermal plant repairs, and 1,660 MW through extra purchases from neighbours. Somewhat more alarmingly, the utility hoped to obtain 3,200 MW if necessary through emergency supply measures such as power drawn from the trial operation of thermal plants and requests for neighbouring utilities to raise the output of thermal plants above t

    --
    Mexico: 100% conservative's America now!