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China Plans Space Station By 2020

RedEaredSlider writes "China unveiled plans for its own space station, to be completed by 2020, along with a cargo ship to ferry supplies to and from orbit. The fact that the country is proposing one is a sign of the Chinese government's ambitions in space. China is the third nation to launch its own manned rockets into space, sending its first astronaut into orbit in 2003 aboard the Shenzhou 5 rocket. Since then two other manned missions have been launched."

41 of 293 comments (clear)

  1. Space Race v2.0 by PmanAce · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Hopefully the emergence of the Chinese and others (India?) will fuel a new space race, with bigger ambitions than last time around. Mars maybe?

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    Tired of my customary (Score:1)
    1. Re:Space Race v2.0 by rufty_tufty · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I'd like it to have bigger ambitions.
      To make a profit from humans in space

      --
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    2. Re:Space Race v2.0 by smelch · · Score: 3, Interesting

      We can only hope that something like that will happen. To be honest, we need to start focusing on getting the technology to make using materials from other worlds feasible. With all of the focus on dwindling supplies of rare earth metals and energy sources and economic problems and population problems we should be devoting as much time and effort in to space as we can and pay any costs to get to that point. I'm generally a low taxes kind of guy, but I would definitely support a raise in taxes that was specifically designed to boost the space program. It would have to be genuinely a case of having the budget, then the new budget with higher taxes and the only difference is the amount dedicated to NASA.

      --
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    3. Re:Space Race v2.0 by elrous0 · · Score: 2

      Not likely. The rivalry between the U.S. and China is nothing compared to the rivalry between the U.S. and Soviet Union at the time of the first space race. And the original space race was only prompted by the U.S. realization that the USSR was WAY ahead of us in astronautics. Launching men into space and even a space station just shows that China is on par with the U.S. and Russia, not that it's way ahead. This is likely just another move by China to assert its position as a serious peer, not a move to show superiority or provoke a new space race (which neither they nor we can afford).

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      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    4. Re:Space Race v2.0 by divisionbyzero · · Score: 2

      Hopefully the emergence of the Chinese and others (India?) will fuel a new space race, with bigger ambitions than last time around. Mars maybe?

      God, I hope not. I hope we stay on the sidelines and watch the Chinese flush billions of dollars down the toilet to do what we've already done.

    5. Re:Space Race v2.0 by mangu · · Score: 2

      the original space race was only prompted by the U.S. realization that the USSR was WAY ahead of us in astronautics

      That was the perception at the time, but it was probably not correct. There was the missile gap that turned out to be just a political ploy. Also, the US had plans to launch a satellite at least a year before the Soviets launched the first Sputnik, but president Eisenhower didn't approve it.

    6. Re:Space Race v2.0 by Abstrackt · · Score: 2

      the original space race was only prompted by the U.S. realization that the USSR was WAY ahead of us in astronautics

      Also, the US had plans to launch a satellite at least a year before the Soviets launched the first Sputnik, but president Eisenhower didn't approve it.

      People remember what you did a lot better than what you could have done. Based on the link you provided, I get the impression the Eisenhower administration didn't want to escalate the cold war by launching what could be interpreted as a military missile.

      --
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    7. Re:Space Race v2.0 by SuricouRaven · · Score: 3, Insightful

      How? There simply isn't that much to do up there. There are a few manufacturing advantages (You can grow absolutly perfect silicon crystals - might up the yield on semicondunctor manufacture), but not enough to justify the huge expense of getting things up and down. There are only enough idle rich to support a very small tourist industry. The only way you're going to see a profit on human space travel is some revolutionary new technology to bring the price down. That's why public and academic funding is so important. Do it for science!

  2. Captain Henny Youngman says by paiute · · Score: 2

    I bet the orbit will take an hour - so they'll be back around as soon as you are hungry again.

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  3. The size is irrelevant by damburger · · Score: 2

    Not sure why every news source is banging on about the station being low mass; once the principle of on-orbit assembly is mastered the only real limits to mass are how many modules you choose to launch, and how much fuel you need for a reboost. Getting from 60-tonne station to 400-tonne station is a far smaller step than getting from nothing to a multi-modular station.

    The fact China isn't going to build a very large station may indicate firm intentions to go to the Moon. If they are just using this to practice techniques for longer range exploration, there isn't much point making it huge.

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    If we can put a man on the moon, why can't we shoot people for Apollo-related non-sequiturs?
  4. Planning is not doing.. by pablo_max · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Just because China is planning to planning to build something does not mean they will. Remember we we planned to build that super mega particle smasher in Texas? I don't recall that plan working out.
    Remember when the US planned to have colonies on the moon by now?
    Remember when I planned to marry a super model when I was a teenager? I am sure you can guess how that worked out.

    That aside, I hope they do it. It seems the world will only move forward with competition from an "evil" empire.

    1. Re:Planning is not doing.. by damburger · · Score: 2

      This is very true, but doesn't actually apply here. This space station is part of Project 921, which China has been working on since 1992.

      The schedule has slipped by a year or two, but what they are doing now is pretty what they planned to be doing in the early 90s.

      The US on the other hand has gotten into the habit of switching programs every 18 months or so. This is unlikely to change with a 'new space race' because the Chinese threat to US space dominance is boiling-frog slow, and the US public are decidedly lukewarm regarding such things these days - see the total non-response to Obama's "Sputnik Moment" comment.

      So my money is on the Chinese, as they are showing an ability to commit to long term projects in space. Guess its easier to stay the course when your leadership is totally unaccountable to anybody.

      --
      If we can put a man on the moon, why can't we shoot people for Apollo-related non-sequiturs?
    2. Re:Planning is not doing.. by CohibaVancouver · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Just because China is planning to planning to build something does not mean they will

      Sure, but China's track record on executing on promised mega-projects is pretty good.

      Men in orbit? Check.
      High-speed Rail? Check.
      Three-gorges dam? Check.
      Hangzhou Bay Bridge? Check.

      We could go on and on...

      Meanwhile, all the USA seems able to produce any more is Obama's birth certificate.

    3. Re:Planning is not doing.. by mangu · · Score: 2

      Does this mean we should resurrect the old arguments comparing the cost of Apollo to the amount of money spent on makeup in the same period?

      OK, if you want it, here it is: according to Wikipedia, the total cos of building, launching and operating the International Space Station for 30 years is US$160 billion, and the total turnover of the worldwide cosmetics industry was US$170 billion in 2006.

       

    4. Re:Planning is not doing.. by guruevi · · Score: 2

      But China is not held back by politicians that only want to do good for THEIR voters or the people that they get bribed from. They have less red tape to go through when doing stuff - they just use the debt we own to improve their country and they do it well. They're basically the US right after the Depression, they get access to unlimited funds to build stuff which in turn generates jobs and a flourishing economy because the value of their country goes up.

      --
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  5. A very slow race by mangu · · Score: 2, Interesting

    China first launched an astronaut in orbit eight years ago.

    Seven years after the US launched its first astronaut in orbit, they had sent people to the moon.

    1. Re:A very slow race by IrquiM · · Score: 2

      The incentive and willingness to spend huge amount of money on sending people to the moon, "just to be the first" is gone, and it looks like "just because you can" isn't enough either. Current US hasn't even managed to do what their fathers did over 30 years ago yet - they're even flying with over 30 year old hardware designs. Comparing NASA of the 60s with current China is just stupid.

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      This is blinging
  6. Chinese GDP by Slur · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Look for a video called "China's Ghost Towns" to see how China is inflating their GDP by building cities that no one can afford to live in. It's freaky to see all these empty supermalls and highrise apartment buildings. When China's bubble explodes it's going to be a whole new disaster for the world economy.

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    1. Re:Chinese GDP by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      The US has a lot of work to do its own economy, so this isn't meant to downplay anything about that. It's also not meant as anything negative about China--bubbles happen everywhere.

      Having said that...

      The idea of a China bubble isn't too far-fetched, and is on the radar of a lot of economists. It's not just about China either, but all of the emerging-economy nations that have seen recent rapid growth.

      E.g., http://www.economist.com/node/18560195

    2. Re:Chinese GDP by DynamoJoe · · Score: 2

      I'd add another advantage they "enjoy": lax environmental regulations and oversight.

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      bah.
    3. Re:Chinese GDP by sdguero · · Score: 2

      Seeing first hand what happened in Thailand during the late 1990s after a brief economic boom, I understand what the original poster is saying. There are literally hundreds of rusting hulks structures just east of Bangkok, along an abandoned double decker highway project that has remained half finished for over a decade now. It was all abandoned to waste away after the currency scare in 1997 when financing went away. Things railroaded quickly and now it is too expensive to tear it down so these old rusting hulks just sit out there providing shelter to squatters.

      If you build something that isn't needed right away, there is certainly a chance it will never be needed. Empty buildings age much more quickly than ones with people living in them. China may face some very serious problems economically in the next 5 years. Rising oil prices hurts them more than USA for a lot of reasons. Some American companies are pulling out because of the corruption. Quality is still not there on Chinese products, even for companies with strict QA practices. There have been a lot of failures with high tech endeavors in the past from China, even when they are simply reverse engineering something and copying it. In my experience. Chinese culture doesn't understand guilt the way Westerners do, and it produces engineers that will often cut corners to help out the bottom line. The attitude of the Chinese I work with is really one of arrogance, much like Americans used to be. They assume they are taking over the world, and I think it may be creating a sense apathy towards the low quality of their output. Kind of a shrug and assumption that it will improve. I'm definitely not counting China out, but I'm not sure the lofty goals they are setting right now are as achievable as the nationalistic populace likes to think. We will see...

    4. Re:Chinese GDP by sdguero · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Dude, its a cultural thing not a race thing. A Chinese person that grows up in the states doesn't have issues. It's about a guilt society vs a shame society. Japanese act similarly, they might go farther with underhanded things to get ahead, but then if it is unveiled publicly they actually suffer more shame than westerners would. Its just a different approach. The Western way is more focused on the individual, the eastern way is more focused on the group. Sure there are lots of exceptions, everyone is different, but in my experience, Chinese engineers tend to fudge things to give managers what they want to hear a LOT more than American engineers.

      Hell, I'm about to review 3 test reports from Beijing this evening. I go over several every week. Some of the engineers over there are better than others, but on average they are overly optimistic compared to test reports form our American engineers. Are they capabke of learning and improving? Certainly. I see it first hand. But when the short comings get pointed out in a conference call, we have to tread very carefully because they get so butt hurt by criticism in front of their peers we are afraid someone is going to start crying or do something drastic. The director we have over there lived in the States for 20 years. He is very helpful in bridging the gap between the two different cultures...

      Anyway, I'm just trying to say that I'm extremely open of other cultures and ways of life. If anything I'm strongly anti-racist. But that doesn't mean I cannot recognize cultural differences that can dramatically impact performance when it comes to building and testing complex systems. China faces some serious challenges, political and cultural. It will be very interesting to see what happens over the next 20 years or so, but I still expect them to rise above all other nations to become the next true global hegemony.

  7. Re:Great... by damburger · · Score: 2

    Why not? In six months, you will have completely outsourced it to Russia...

    --
    If we can put a man on the moon, why can't we shoot people for Apollo-related non-sequiturs?
  8. Re:QC anyone? by elrous0 · · Score: 2

    China is under no obligation to recognize any "oversight committee." Unless you want to go to war with them, I'm pretty sure they, as a sovereign country, can send whatever they damn well please into space.

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
  9. Re:Wow, that's an ambitious schedule by IrquiM · · Score: 2

    Who cares if it's militarised or not as long as they don't use it? People kill people, not laser weapons in space!

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    This is blinging
  10. Re:We might have a space station for sale by bored · · Score: 2

    'Low' Mileage, Great Location...

    Isn't "Great Location" one of the problems with the ISS? The orbit was a compromise between what the shuttle was capable of, what the soyuz was capable of, and an orbit not already full of junk? The end result being a fairly crappy orbit for everyone involved?

  11. waiting for our designs... by schlachter · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Perhaps they are waiting for us to finalize our designs for our Back to the Moon missions so that they can finally start building their ships. I doubt they want to replicate our Apollo Era technology at this point.

    --
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  12. Re:Dumb Idea, Potential Opportunity by Arlet · · Score: 2

    I'm pretty sure all these products would have been invented/produced even without a manned space program, and on a lower budget.

  13. Re:Wow, that's an ambitious schedule by jgtg32a · · Score: 2

    NASA put a man on the moon 8 years after putting one in orbit.

  14. Re:Not "astronauts" by kevinNCSU · · Score: 2

    US spacefarers are astronauts. Russian spacefarers are cosmonauts. Chinese spacefarers are taikonauts.

    You do of course realize the stupidity in inventing a new English word for people doing the exact same profession but in a different country? We don't have 100 different terms for scientist either, that's the whole damn point of having your own language. Astronaut is more then acceptable general term for spacefarers from all nations when speaking in English. Not to mention official texts from China when written in English use the term astronaut.

  15. Re:Knock-offs by Steauengeglase · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I hope my Chinese made sarcasm detector is just off today, because I'm not sure if that was a joke or not. The crap they sell you is cheap, because frankly you keep buying it and they don't care what you do with it; they aren't investing in you. A space station on the other hand, is something they are interested in investing in, an investment in themselves (or at least an investment in sabre rattling).

    Unless Beijing wants to start spewing propaganda that they invented space travel, have had it since the beginning of time, but graciously let the west ungratefully steal it from them, I can think of better places to use my stereotyping.

  16. Re:Knock-offs by SuricouRaven · · Score: 2

    It probably would be cheaper, for another reason. Both NASA and the ISS are very, very careful with the safety of their astronauts. Everything is triply-redundant or more. Everything has a procedure. Every last bolt is tested and retested, and then tested again by someone else. China, though... well, they'd probably consider their people a bit more expendable. If the rocket crashes, just send up another. Plenty more crew where those came from, and with their media control and non-democratic government they don't have to worry so much about public outrage.

  17. Re:Big Ambitions by cusco · · Score: 2

    No, the Chinese space program has been formed in the sustainable 'slow but steady progress' mode, rather than the unsustainable 'boom and bust' mode that the US and USSR followed. Their manned launches up to this point haven't really been oriented towards proving anything, like Apollo and Mir, but just as sanity checks to make sure that stuff really did work the way they thought it would. Someone above mentioned that this is part of a 'Plan 921' which started in 1992 and is still continuing. I'm going to have to check out now. That's one of the advantages of a stable political system, the ability to carry out a multi-decade or even multi-generational program. Our governmental/societal attention span is far too short for that.

    --
    "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
  18. Re:Wow, that's an ambitious schedule by Richard_at_work · · Score: 2

    The question shouldn't be one of how quickly it was done, but rather how cost effectively was it done and how long was the technology viable for? The US has consistently thrown money at space projects that are short term, expensive jaunts and called them successes.

  19. The High Frontier by Gary+W.+Longsine · · Score: 2

    An American physicist named Gerard K. O'Neill explored ways to boot strap an in-space economy and the notion is sometimes referred to as The High Frontier. A permanent presence in space, and an in-space industrial economy would be useful for many things.

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    1. Re:The High Frontier by DerekLyons · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The problem with the plan outlined in The High Frontier is that it's "bootstrap" is essentially circular logic: "We need colonies in space to build the infrastructure in space to build colonies in space". He adds in "and build solar power satellites" in order to make it appear that his logic isn't circular - but any more-than-cursory examination of the economics involved shows how ludicrous that idea is. (Short version: it would be cheaper to burn the dollar bills directly for energy.)
       
      The grandparent has it right - there's nothing to do there and little advantage to be gained by going there.

  20. You are right by WindBourne · · Score: 2

    We can not compare them. SpaceX has put up a capsule and returned it with only 7 years worth of work. They will in the next year or so, put up a rocket that will be 2.5 x the size of what China has done for the last 45 years. China has said that they can not approach the costs that SpaceX has. Bigelow will have a space station started in 3 years.

    So, yeah, you are right. We should not compare CHina to America. It is not fair to China.

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  21. Re:Knock-offs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful
    No, that's a country building cheap shit because that's where the money is. They also built the great wall, so have some engineering ability. the thing about China is that the PRC doesn't care about environmental issues like we do. so its also likely that the Chinese government may create a nuclear powered rocket at some stage AND LAUNCH IT, which would be the real start of the space race v2 as that would allow us to send robots to other solar systems & people to Jupiter.

    the future of space is commercial there is no point if we can't make money

    words entrenched from a broke government with the wrong focus. If china starts a new space-race, expect America to go the way of the soviets, they are already almost broke to the point of collapse.

  22. Re:Knock-offs by hrvatska · · Score: 2

    A space station on the other hand, is something they are interested in investing in, an investment in themselves (or at least an investment in sabre rattling).

    I hope they do a better job with their space station than they did with their high speed rail system.

  23. Yes, but was it sustainable? by Chicken_Kickers · · Score: 3, Interesting

    True, the US sent men to the moon a few years after their first manned space flight. But, was it sustainable? Did the US followed through with a moon base and all that 2001 Space Odyssey dreams? Maybe the Chinese had studied the history of space exploration and decided not to repeat the US mistakes. Maybe they have a longer term and more sustainable plan for space exploration. You have to remember, the Chinese have more than 4000 years of advanced civilization behind them. This tends to make them more farsighted don't you think?

    1. Re:Yes, but was it sustainable? by Teancum · · Score: 2

      The U.S. effort to go to the Moon was followed up by Skylab, a Shuttle program, and the construction of the International Space Station (of which clearly the American involvement was quite large). Arguably that aspect of manned spaceflight was sustainable and certainly has been maintained. Dozens of follow-up spacecraft designs to succeed the Shuttle program have also been worked on by NASA... and it has been political infighting that has mostly created the current situation where NASA really doesn't have any option but to use the Soyuz spacecraft to launch its astronauts to the ISS at the moment. And there certainly are some people very much concerned this has been happening.

      So far, the Chinese haven't even launched somebody into orbit at all for a couple of years. The last flight was in September 2008, although they are planning on a flight perhaps later on this year. Their big task they want to accomplish this year? An in-orbit rendezvous similar to what Neil Armstrong (yes, that Neil Armstrong) and David Scott performed during Gemini 8. That sounds like they are making huge progress, but it still is a long way to go before the Chinese are even able to even think about the Moon, much less be able to do large scale construction in space like something comparable to the ISS.