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Carbon Emissions Reached Record High In 2010

iONiUM writes "Last year, greenhouse gas emissions rose to a record amount of 30.6 gigatons, according to estimates from the International Energy Agency. From an article at the Guardian: 'Professor Lord Stern of the London School of Economics, the author of the influential Stern Report into the economics of climate change for the Treasury in 2006, warned that if the pattern continued, the results would be dire. "These figures indicate that [emissions] are now close to being back on a 'business as usual' path. According to the [Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's] projections, such a path... would mean around a 50% chance of a rise in global average temperature of more than 4C by 2100," he said.'" jamie points out a recent report that the cost of solar cells has dropped about 21 percent this year, leading to predictions that solar power may become cheaper than nuclear and fossil power within five years.

520 comments

  1. 50% Chance by KermodeBear · · Score: 1, Insightful

    > a 50% chance of a rise in global average temperature of more than 4C by 2100

    And a 50% chance of it not rising by more than 4C degrees by 2100.

    --
    Love sees no species.
    1. Re:50% Chance by Shadis · · Score: 2

      But there is only a 10% chance of that.

    2. Re:50% Chance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So let me get this straight. Maybe? Maybe not? Toss a coin your guess is as good as mine. Not science...

    3. Re:50% Chance by bunratty · · Score: 4, Funny

      You've got to ask yourself one question: Do I feel lucky? Well, do ya, punk?

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    4. Re:50% Chance by wjousts · · Score: 4, Insightful

      But rising by 3.9C is almost as bad. It's not 50% chance temps rise 4C or 50% chance it doesn't rise at all.

    5. Re:50% Chance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But rising by 3.9C is almost as bad. It's not 50% chance temps rise 4C or 50% chance it doesn't rise at all.

      Why? Why is a 4C temperature rise necessary bad?

    6. Re:50% Chance by mellon · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Tends to exacerbate drying and wetting conditions. So you get persistent droughts in places that were arid, and persistent flooding in places that were wet to begin with. Sea levels rise, meaning that you now have levee walls to protect cities that used to be dry. Storms have more energy (more heat == more energy) and therefore do more damage.

      The worst thing though: no skiing.

      (Okay, that's not really the worst thing)

    7. Re:50% Chance by bunratty · · Score: 4, Informative

      Sea level rise wiping out coastal cities, droughts, flooding due to excessive rainfall, to name the most important problems with warmer temperatures.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    8. Re:50% Chance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Is it really that black and white, though? Why couldn't weather patterns change completely? I know geography plays an important role in many cases, but this straight line extrapolation seems oversimplified.

    9. Re:50% Chance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's right, because science does not deal with probabilites, ever. :rolls eyes

      Of course, if you prefer statements made with absolute certainty: The Rapture happened on May 22, 2011.

    10. Re:50% Chance by DarenN · · Score: 1

      The second and third scenarios mentioned are genuine worries, but the first really isn't. The worst case scenario sees sea levels rise something in the region of four feet in a century, while the expected case is between 1 and 2 feet. All major cities can handle that. More worrisome is increased acidification of the oceans and the disruption of oceanic food chains which would put even more pressure on food prices which are already increasing very rapidly.

      --
      Rational thought is the only true freedom
    11. Re:50% Chance by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 0

      Is it really that black and white, though?

      More heat = more energy available, so yes it is that 'black and white'.

      The effects, as described here and as predicted, won't be black and white. Some places get too much rain others get less rain. The Sea level rise is going to be pretty constant across the global since water tends to self level :)

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    12. Re:50% Chance by mellon · · Score: 1

      Weather patterns are driven by convection cycles. The convection cycles have a lot to do with lattitude and proximity to the tropics. When you add heat to the convection cycle, it changes shape in a fairly predictable way, just like when you turn up the gas on your stove, the burner doesn't suddenly explode, but rather the flame expands. It is in fact possible to push the cycle past a point where it does change dramatically, but dramatically here is a bit of an understatement. It's the kind of drama you are unlikely to live through.

      The reason it seems like an oversimplification is that while geography does play a part, the convection cycle is a consistent process that does not vary with geography, but rather is perturbed by it.

    13. Re:50% Chance by kpoole55 · · Score: 2

      Personally, I'd rather live in a world that's 4 degrees warmer than one that was 4 degrees colder. The amount of arable land is increased and plants grow faster and larger. Take the world back down by 4 degrees and them newly planted vineyards in England will die, most of Canada's breadbasket agricultural land returns to permafrost and you wouldn't want to think how bad Siberia would get. Of course, the return of the land bridge between Asia and north America would make it easier to get cargo from one place to the other. You wouldn't have to try building the bridge I've seen notes about in shows about mega projects.

    14. Re:50% Chance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No worries, we'll just start a carbon credit exchange program with an alien race from the planet Zartan. Carbon credits will solve everything.

      Mij

    15. Re:50% Chance by wjousts · · Score: 1

      No, but doing nothing won't solve everything either. Even the longest journey starts with a single step.

    16. Re:50% Chance by kpoole55 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Let's see, the early IPCC reports warned us of 50 million climate refugees from flooded coastlines but 2010. I set up a couple of cots in my basement to help out but no one's come knocking at my door yet. In fact, as far as I've seen, no one's really displaced yet. There's a country in the south Pacific that leased a big chunk of Australia for just such and emergency but I haven't heard that they've moved there yet.

      There's been a big problem with weather (i know, in know, weather and climate aren't supposed to be mentioned in the same article but you did already.) but that seem to the connected to a short period cooling and warming of the Pacific ocean called La Nina and El Nino.

    17. Re:50% Chance by Eunuchswear · · Score: 2

      All major cities can handle that.

      Are you sure? Have you ever been to Abidjan for example?

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    18. Re:50% Chance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't see anything bad about that.

      Sea level rise wiping out coastal cities, droughts, flooding due to excessive rainfall, to name the most important problems with warmer temperatures.

      So there will be both doughts and floods? Sounds no different than we have now?

      Some of the good. Uninhabitable areas of the world become habitable. The net result is we are no better or worse off.

    19. Re:50% Chance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are carbon credits really doing anything though? Unless the cost is prohibitively, all it does is remove funds from the company that they could use to make their emissions less. My comment was made more in jest at the idea (and those that believe it) that carbon credits solve the problem. I believe that reducing supplements to traditional energy and moving them toward sustainable sources would do much more than allowing companies "buy their way out of pollution".

      Mij

    20. Re:50% Chance by wjousts · · Score: 1

      Well sure, carbon credits are far from perfect, but it provides a financial incentive for a company to reduce emissions (so they can sell their spare credits). And it is important that the total number of credits is reduced over time (otherwise total emissions aren't reduced at all). I don't think any sensible person thinks that carbon credits alone will solve the problem.

    21. Re:50% Chance by amn108 · · Score: 1

      Ecosystems would disappear, causing chain reactions that would make other ecosystems to disappear. We would have the same rocks maybe, but I wouldn't be so sure about fish, flowers, insects, bushes and even trees. We might then have grave problems with producing food, harvesting materials that we produce and consume daily or otherwise. That in turn will cause a chain reaction in our societies. Sovereign states will collapse. While the rich would ensure they continue to be privileged - have access to necessities, food and resources, the poor will be torn between misery and state of revolt, all depending. Civil wars, suffering. At times like this, few will educate themselves - think poverty in some African regions - most will be occupied with daily provision for themselves and their families. Without educations it's only a matter of time before we are back to the stone age. And all because of 4*C increase in average temperature.

      The good news is that we are theoretically and potentially prepared to handle such flow of events, if we stay together, believe in our collective ability to do this, don't let panic and delusion spread and take the best of us, and basically stay focused and put and do our best to SURVIVE - flourish in a changing world without bringing ourselves to extinction. Which means, life for most on the planet will be very different, but hunams will survive. We're quite adaptable really :) I hope the same would go for as many other species on Earth as possible.

    22. Re:50% Chance by tmosley · · Score: 2

      And the logical response?

      Stop using nuclear energy.

      lol, Western Civilization is over. Wake me up after the next set of Dark Ages.

    23. Re:50% Chance by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      They've done studies, you know. They say 60% of the time, it works every time.

      -Sex Panther, by Odion.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    24. Re:50% Chance by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      Currently, some of the main convection involves warm air rising from the equatorial areas, spreading north and south and then descending. Where this hot dry air comes down, we find desert belts. One forecasted result of increased global temperatures is that these desert belts will move further north and south. Which will suck as I currently live in the south west. Property around the Great Lakes is looking better and better. Just wish the U.S. had some national labs up in Canada so I could live on the clean side of the border.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    25. Re:50% Chance by sycodon · · Score: 2

      Prediction: Solar power may become cheaper than nuclear and fossil power within five years.

      Prediction: Enviromentalists wil find any number of objections to Solar Cells within 4 years and file numerous lawsuits against planned solar cell power generation facilities.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    26. Re:50% Chance by Gilmoure · · Score: 0

      Yeah, sure but do you see anyone with real money in the game thinking these scenarios may come to pass? I mean, besides insurance companies and the military. Sure, they're making plans and acting like global warming and it's probable effects are likely but what about important people like radio talk show hosts and reactionary bloggers?

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    27. Re:50% Chance by sycodon · · Score: 1

      These people are no different than these guys.

      Aren't we supposed to be underwater already?

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    28. Re:50% Chance by mellon · · Score: 1

      The two questions are orthogonal. And you'll be dead by the time this has played out, of old age, not weather. If you have something useful to say, say that, instead of making smartass remarks. Otherwise you're just another useless couch potato complaining about the declining quality of potato chips.

    29. Re:50% Chance by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      The good news is that we are theoretically and potentially prepared to handle such flow of events, if we stay together, believe in our collective ability to do this, don't let panic and delusion spread and take the best of us, and basically stay focused and put and do our best to SURVIVE - flourish in a changing world without bringing ourselves to extinction. Which means, life for most on the planet will be very different, but hunams will survive. We're quite adaptable really :) I hope the same would go for as many other species on Earth as possible.

      You don't follow politics much, do you?

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    30. Re:50% Chance by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 0

      If you just take the flooding into account, true for the first scenario. You can mitigate that. However, a more serious problem with sea level rise would be increasing salinity of the water table, which can reach quite a bit inland. Brackish water tables can cost us way more usable land than plain flooding.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    31. Re:50% Chance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Tends to exacerbate drying and wetting conditions. So you get persistent droughts in places that were arid, and persistent flooding in places that were wet to begin with.

      Cite a me a peer reviewed scientific article that is models this occurring and not wild speculation.

      Sea levels rise, meaning that you now have levee walls to protect cities that used to be dry.

      Sea level measurements have been consistently over estimated for years. Plus people can move. I don't see way that's a problem.

      Storms have more energy (more heat == more energy) and therefore do more damage.

      Just like last year was the worst year for hurricanes ever. Oh wait it wasn't. Energy differentials are more important in driving instabilities. For instance if you are at the top of mount everest(more potential energy) and ride a bike down a 10" slope your Kinetic energy at the bottom will much less than if you rode down a 100" slope close to sea level(less potential energy).

      The worst thing though: no skiing.

      (Okay, that's not really the worst thing)

      That's a good thing it means more mountain biking.

    32. Re:50% Chance by losfromla · · Score: 1

      ok, just transfer all of your money to my bank account, I'll build you a cryogenic chamber and set it to wake you up whenever wireless internet exists again. Trust me, I know what I'm doing, or will figure it out using your money. If you have any friends, send them as well.

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    33. Re:50% Chance by amn108 · · Score: 1

      Sadly, I do :/ Perhaps you're right - I overestimate ourselves, but frankly what's stopping us? Well, you've exposed the believer in me...

    34. Re:50% Chance by BlueStrat · · Score: 2

      Well sure, carbon credits are far from perfect, but it provides a financial incentive for a company to relocate to a less-heavily-regulated country (so they can compete and stay in business).

      FTFY

      Unless the West is willing to go to war with China, India, and the other countries that are rapidly increasing their carbon emissions and who have absolutely no intention of slowing, anything the West does to cut back will have a negligible effect and serve only to reduce the standard of living for everyone and cause more deaths among the poor.

      Just because it makes you feel good deep down in your little green cockles doesn't mean it's a good thing.

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    35. Re:50% Chance by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      There are already environmental objections to solar power. The manufacturing of the panels uses a number of quite toxic chemicals. Unfortunately, we've outsourced most of the production to countries like China, where the solution for dealing with these waste products is 'chuck them in the nearest river'. There'd probably be a lot less objection of we moved production to the EU or USA, where the pollution had to be kept under control.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    36. Re:50% Chance by TheRaven64 · · Score: 2

      The amount of arable land is increased and plants grow faster and larger

      Really? I suggest you look up desertification - increase in global temperatures seems to be decreasing the amount of arable land, not decreasing it. Also, you seem to be under the impression that the result will be a uniform change of 4 degrees. This is not what the models predict - some areas will cool, others will increase by significantly more than 4 degrees. The average temperature will increase by 4 degrees (according to these models).

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    37. Re:50% Chance by wjousts · · Score: 1

      If the west doesn't cut back then why should developing nations? The west still produces the most carbon emissions so they don't have any moral authority to insist that China, India or whoever not do the same things that the west has been doing the years.

    38. Re:50% Chance by BlueStrat · · Score: 1

      If the west doesn't cut back then why should developing nations? The west still produces the most carbon emissions so they don't have any moral authority to insist that China, India or whoever not do the same things that the west has been doing the years

      China, India, and the others don't care a whit whether the West does anything concerning carbon or not. They are going to do what they perceive is in their best interests of making themselves richer & more powerful. They simply laugh at the West cutting it's own figurative & collective throats while they eat our lunch.

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    39. Re:50% Chance by tmosley · · Score: 1

      lolwat? How is cutting back on what amounts to the only currently practical non-CO2 emitting power generation technology orthogonal to carbon emissions?

      I love how you can't see the IRONY of on the one hand cringing about global warming, and on the other hand having entire nations reactively pledge to get rid of the only real alternative. If you can't see it, then perhaps you should be the one shoveling potato chips into your loud mouth, hmmm?

    40. Re:50% Chance by wjousts · · Score: 0

      What you don't seem to understand is that we are all cutting our figurative throats and theirs too if we don't address the problem. But stupid, xenophobic, myopic people like you won't be satisfied until the water is lapping at your feet.

    41. Re:50% Chance by BlueStrat · · Score: 1

      What you don't seem to understand is that we are all cutting our figurative throats and theirs too if we don't address the problem.

      That's something that's still in question (that man is contributing the majority of climate change pressure). Many credible sources say that even if the entire US carbon footprint disappeared overnight, it would only result in *at most* 6-tenths of one degree less global average temperature increase (not NO increase...just slightly less) after 100 years.

      Sorry. Humans simply have not yet become advanced enough to be capable of collecting enough data (or even know *what data* to collect) and understanding what it means to a sufficient level of certainty to reduce the living standards, increase death rates, and economically impoverish entire continental populations.

      Medieval doctors also thought "bleeding" patients was a perfectly valid treatment for Syphilis. Humans are at a comparable level of understanding regarding planetary climate systems. Anything done may be a case of the cure being worse than the "disease".

      But stupid, xenophobic, myopic people like you won't be satisfied until the water is lapping at your feet.

      I don't need to say anything here. Your words damage you far more than I could.

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    42. Re:50% Chance by wjousts · · Score: 1

      What you don't seem to understand is that we are all cutting our figurative throats and theirs too if we don't address the problem.

      That's something that's still in question (that man is contributing the majority of climate change pressure).

      No it isn't. Keep putting your head in the sand and cherry picking data to confirm what you've already decided is true.

    43. Re:50% Chance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No it isn't. Keep putting your head in the sand and cherry picking data to confirm what you've already decided is true.

      You could say the same from both sides. Models are imperfect trying to representing a complex system. Regardless of temperature, to me the reduction of pollution impacts health (having a kid with asthma, I can appreciate improvement in vehicle efficiency for example). Another aspect I find interesting is decreasing the dependency on foreign energy if we can tap into renewable resources (which presumably would reduce emissions).

      Environmental Corruption discusses several examples showing some intentional misleading of information on what I presume is your side of the issue. I'm sure you can find similar articles on BlueStrat's side too. The link I include even has Al Gore (who has financial ties to environmental industry....maybe a conflict of interest?) apparently providing the foreword for the book that contains inaccurate analysis.

      Mij

    44. Re:50% Chance by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Dude those guys fucked it all up, by forgetting about the 11 missing days when we converted from the Julian calendar to the Gregorian calendar, if the world ends tomorrow, it's a giveme for them; as for being underwater that went on the back-bunner when Al Gore bought a condo 3 ft above sealevel.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    45. Re:50% Chance by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Saturday, 28 May 2011 16:58 Agence France-Presse

      DEAUVILLE, France: Russia, Japan and Canada told the G8 they would not join a second round of carbon cuts under the Kyoto Protocol at United Nations talks this year and the US reiterated it would remain outside the treaty, European diplomats have said.

      Seems like we not walking in the direction you would like

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    46. Re:50% Chance by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      but frankly what's stopping us?.

      Our current political system that is so polarized that we cannot vote on even the most trivial of ideas, concepts or programs.

      "We have met the enemy and it is us"

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    47. Re:50% Chance by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

      Solar is already cheaper than nuclear. Paying people to ride exercise bikes to generate power would be cheaper than nuclear. Solar cells already have problems with chemicals used in manufacture and enormous water use (thousands of gallons per cell-watt). Large Photovoltaic plants shade a lot of ground. Solar thermal plants can be damaging to local wildlife. A realist knows that nothing is perfect and any means to generate power needs to be compared against the other options.

    48. Re:50% Chance by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

      Why? Why is a 4C temperature rise necessary bad?

      To list a few... Temperature rises put additional strain on agricultural water supplies. Temperature rises increase topsoil erosion. Agriculture will move toward the poles as temperatures increase, but soils get worse toward the poles. There will be more summer deaths due to heat (which will exceed the lives saved due to warmer winters). Malaria and other tropical diseases are likely to spread to higher latitudes. There will be increased iceberg hazards to shipping. Sea levels will rise as the Greenland and Antarctic ice caps are reduced. Populations that rely on glacial melt water for agriculture or drinking use will have reduced supplies. Increased droughts, fires, and vegetation die off due to them. Extinction of some types of corals and destructions of the reefs they created. Extinction of some species that can't move to adapt. Massive migrations of refugees due to flooding of low lying regions. Possible disruptions to global trade, transport, energy supplies and labor markets, banking and finance, investment and insurance. Developing countries, some of which are already embroiled in military conflict, may be drawn into larger and more protracted disputes over water, energy supplies or food, all of which may disrupt economic growth at a time when developing countries are beset by more egregious manifestations of climate change.

    49. Re:50% Chance by diredog · · Score: 1

      That would be the 50 million discussed here? http://slashdot.org/index2.pl?fhfilter=50+million+climate+refugees Maybe you could put your straw man in one of those cots?

    50. Re:50% Chance by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

      Sea level measurements have been consistently over estimated for years.

      We've got very good measurements of sea level. It's rising.

      Plus people can move. I don't see way that's a problem.

      Are you rich or just an asshole? It's hard to move when all of your equity is in a house nobody will buy because it's going to be below sea level. It's hard to move when most of the country you live in will be underwater. So as long as you'll be fine it's OK?

      Just like last year was the worst year for hurricanes ever.

      He said storms, not hurricanes. Hurricane formation relies on having very still air and water in the tropics. A very small breeze can screw that up. It's better to use the number of named storms as an indicator. Even that won't rise monotonically any more than the temperature will. But last year had 19 named storms in the Atlantic, which is nearly twice the 1966-2009 average (11). It also had 12 hurricanes which is twice the average for that period (6). It also had 5 major hurricanes which is more than twice the average (2). By any measure 2010 had a lot of tropical activity in the Atlantic.

    51. Re:50% Chance by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

      Current sea level measurements indicate that the worst case might be the best we can hope for.

    52. Re:50% Chance by GPLHost-Thomas · · Score: 1

      Surprisingly, it's the opposite effect that would happen. For a simple reason: when it's hotter, then more clouds are forming. So, hotter doesn't necessarily means more desert. That's a common mistaking, just link thinking that melted ice floating would increase sea level (it doesn't, do the experiment with an ice cube in a glass at home!).

    53. Re:50% Chance by Ice+Tiger · · Score: 1

      Large Photovoltaic plants shade a lot of ground.

      We already have large structures that shade the ground and that's why it's good to mount them on roofs.

      --
      "Because we are not employing at entry level, offshoring will kill our industry stone dead."
    54. Re:50% Chance by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      What is it with you guys and your "nuclear or subsistence farming" false dichotomy?

      Note that in Germany they are REPLACING nuclear, not getting rid of it and simply turning off 22% of their electrical equipment. I mean, when they said energy saving light bulbs use only 5% the power of an incandescent did you think they meant that they only produced 5% as much light too?

      You should be happy. We are getting cool new technology, new engineering projects and our standard of living increases thanks to lower pollution and better environmental control in buildings. Everybody wins, except the nuclear lobby.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    55. Re:50% Chance by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      We can influence how things are manufactured in China by simply demanding they do better. Lots of Chinese companies are now pushing their green credentials as selling points, and western brands are under pressure to clean up their foreign manufacturing. Plus we can regulate away polluting chemicals like we did with ROHS in the EU.

      China's new 5 year plan calls for them to become the greenest country in the world. That won't happen in 5 years but they are serious about making a good start. They don't really care about the environment, they just realise that green is a huge business opportunity and to remain competitive they need to do it.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  2. Cost of solar cells by drinkypoo · · Score: 0

    Polycrystalline PV cells went down this year because there is a glut, a crapload of panels were produced for an order and then not purchased and now they are being dumped into the retail channel with benefits for all who are not making them. This is a momentary lull. And where the fuck is my Nanosolar? I want some to cover a 1962 Streamline travel trailer. It has a curved roof and I don't want to use trackers (I want to maintain aerodynamics) so Nanosolar glued to the roof panels would be an ideal solution.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    1. Re:Cost of solar cells by chemicaldave · · Score: 1

      And where the fuck is my Nanosolar?

      They're working on it. It's not as easy as baking a cake.

    2. Re:Cost of solar cells by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      They're working on it. It's not as easy as baking a cake.

      That is bullshit. The product has existed for years. All of the production of the very first year was purchased by a single party. You still can't get any. If they're selling out, why are they not increasing production and making more?

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    3. Re:Cost of solar cells by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      You can buy Flexible Panels now and have been able to for a decade.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    4. Re:Cost of solar cells by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      You can buy flexible thin-film panels with adhesive backs, and if the entire panel is not in the sun, then they don't produce crap because they have big gigantic cells just like a traditional PC panel. Nanosolar has solved this problem, they make a cell with more overhead between the cells, so if a shadow falls across your panel then it still produces voltage and current. For the curved roof of a classic travel trailer, the panels I can buy won't help me at all.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    5. Re:Cost of solar cells by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More precisely, the order went

      Wow we have an order for curvy solar panels, lets ramp up the production line

      Hang on, it's only for $1,000 dollars. It will cost $15,000,000 to start up

      F that, keep the flat panel production going.

    6. Re:Cost of solar cells by chemicaldave · · Score: 1

      Are you referring to Nanosolar the company? I thought you were referring to solar cells with nantennas.

    7. Re:Cost of solar cells by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Are you referring to Nanosolar the company? I thought you were referring to solar cells with nantennas.

      Yes, indeed, Nanosolar the company. I want their flexible product that produces voltage and current while the panel is partially occluded. I will have to buy extra area so I even want to buy more panels than I should need. But I can't buy any.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    8. Re:Cost of solar cells by kpoole55 · · Score: 1

      Because they're keeping the process needed proprietary so it can't be copied by other companies and start a competition that would drive down the price.

    9. Re:Cost of solar cells by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      If the product which is sold at a profit is selling out immediately then it ought to be trivial to get investment to spin up another plant and ramp up production, so that's no explanation.

      Further, a basic tenet of capitalism is that if one party can buy all your production immediately then your price is too low...

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    10. Re:Cost of solar cells by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Buy from here.
      Cheaper and does the same, except for flexibility. Yes, It works in a partial occlusion.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    11. Re:Cost of solar cells by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      Search more. the marine industry has a fix for that. they are separate cells in the flexible design. only the cells that are shaded produce no output, all the rest work just fine. they had to do this for sailboats because of the lines and cables everywhere.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    12. Re:Cost of solar cells by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      Nantenna could be huge ... if the physics work out right to allow them to integrate the antenna and the MIM diode into a single three layer structure it will cost cents to the m2.

    13. Re:Cost of solar cells by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Numbers are not your friend here in your quest for powering your Streamline, I'm afraid.

      If you covered your Streamline's roof with solar panels you (probably) wouldn't generate enough power to (probably) live the lifestyle you'd want. You'd be *particularly* hosed if you were in any kind of cold weather environment, as Streamline's don't have much by way of insulation and depend on an active heat source (propane, electric) to keep the place livable. And electric resistance heating is a *terrible* way to go if you're driving it with solar--the average space heater pulls 1500W and around 10 amps; that's KILLER to any type of solar system's storage. You'd probably have to double the number of heaters to handle the front and back of the trailer too.

      Looking at the numbers will show how this is tricky (not impossible, just tricky). The top of your Streamline has what, probably 80 usable square feet on top of it? That's between 4 and 5 of the panels I have, for a total of ~1000 watts/hour. Assuming 6 hours of usable sunlight per day (which is high;most estimates are around 5.5 hours/day) gives you 6 kw/day of power. Assuming you have batteries to store it, those two space heaters will blow through that in around 4 hours. If you have lights and a radio or a computer and a router running, you're probably looking at closer to 3 hours of power.

      Lest you think I'm being negative about solar power, I just completed building a house that is 100% off-grid, 100% solar powered. I have 30 panels and 24 AGM 12V AGM batteries (big suckers). And as much as I *love*my solar and the idea of being off the grid, there's no doubt that solar is just plain *weak* in terms of power generation capability when compared to nuclear, or coal, or gas--it's an *extremely* diffuse energy source.

      Solar's a *good* piece of the larger answer--but it can't hold a candle to nuclear, or oil, or gas, or coal....not by a long shot.

    14. Re:Cost of solar cells by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My bad...two space heaters would give you TWO hours of power (roughly). I missed that probability when I was crunching the final numbers. Unfortunately that makes it even worse.

      Ouch.

  3. I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by SengirV · · Score: 1, Flamebait

    You can NOT have a story about solar power without a prediction somewhere with the ole "in the next 5-10 years". It's amazing that 15 years of reading such articles, the solar power industry always seems to be 5-10 years away from a major boom.

    --

    Prof. Farnsworth - "Oh a lesson in not changing history from Mr I'm-My-Own-Grandpa!"

    1. Re:I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by LWATCDR · · Score: 2

      Sort of like the Fusion is 20 years away and has been for the last 50 years.
      Or the car of the future. All someone really has to do is pick up Popular Science from 1973 to 1980 or so and you will see pages and pages about solar, wind turbines, alternative fuel cars, fuel cells, electric cars, gas electric cars, Stirling engine cars and so on.
      It is funny but progress always seems to be much slower or much faster than predicted. The early home computer crowd really missed out on the potential of the Internet. Of course there is a great story written by Winston Churchill in the late 40s where he seem to predict the Internet.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    2. Re:I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you don't like predictions, do yourself a favor and price a photovoltaics installation now. If you're in a country with high electricity prices and can use or sell all the electricity when it's produced, then it's already competitive.

    3. Re:I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's funny, they've been booming for a while now. Oh look, why is there a goalpost here in the middle of the field? Oh dear, someone must have moved them.

    4. Re:I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by mspohr · · Score: 1

      Which part of "the cost of solar cells has dropped 21 percent this year" didn't you understand?

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    5. Re:I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      Harbor freight has a 45 watt setup for under $200.00US. a sane home can install 4 sets of these and end up with a 180watt install that is HIGHLY useable for living off the grid.

      A solar 15 amp install at 12 volts can charge a bank of 12V deep cycle batteries to give you 120 amp hours of replenishment in 8 hours. if your home was sane and used proper building techniques and proper design. Lighting at night for a 5 room normal sized home with 2 CFL lamps in each room assuming super bright 10watt CFL's... all lights on in every room you are drawing 16 amps from 12V CFL.s (only a moron would install 110V lighting on a PV electric install.) Typically this is not the case so cut that in 1/2 for realistic operation and cut time to be a maximum average of 3 hours of on time. That's lighting. if the home was built right then HVAC Will take very little and the fridge in the home using a converted chest freezer will use about 1 amp every hour on average. add in 30% losses for that as it's running through the AC inverter.

      So for less than $2500.00 a home can be off the grid. Very,very doable for a cabin. heck you will have a lot of leftover for the electric well pump. 75 amps for the 10 minutes it runs. so have a larger battery capacity or as you can afford it add more solar banks.

      The biggest problem is that living solar REQUIRES lifestyle changes. you can not be the energy pig like you are today. that Direct-TV receiver is a energy pig and needs to be thrown away. NO 42" plasma, no big 8 core workstation with quad video cards and 4 monitors. no SubZero fridge, no Standard Central Air conditioning. etc... But it also means a home built by a real architect and not the morons being hired for the garbage built in the typical suburb. Bonus points of you get the right site for a earth berm home and have a south facing wall that will allow you to harvest sunlight for heat in the winter but allow convection cooling in the summer.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    6. Re:I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by TapeCutter · · Score: 3, Informative

      Not sure what your definition of a "major boom" is, but PV production has been doubling every two years for the last decade.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    7. Re:I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      Which part of "the cost of solar cells has dropped 21 percent this year" didn't you understand?

      The part where they're still expensive and you can only use them during the day -- when most people are out of their house working -- unless you put in an expensive power storage system?

      The cost of cells is only part of the cost of powering a house with solar power. And that cost is still well above the cost of free market electricity.

    8. Re:I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by SengirV · · Score: 1

      There are plenty of homes within about 5 miles of me that had solar installed. You know what happened to them? Within around five years, the systems experienced some problems. The company that made them was no longer around, and now there are dozens and dozens of homes with skeletal systems of what were once solar panels. That 1st happened around 25-30 years ago. Another company did the same thing around 15 years ago, and the same thing happened. Lots of homes with 'em, none are working, most has the framework on the roof with no panels.

      Until, and only until, you can actually get service on a system ,that does not blow your entire energy savings, you are not going to see it take off. If you can build the infrastructure, have it serviced inexpensively, and replace the panels with the latest greatest when needed, then solar has a chance. So far, based on experiences in my community, solar power has the same payoff a dealing with a user car salesman - you are going to get screwed.

      --

      Prof. Farnsworth - "Oh a lesson in not changing history from Mr I'm-My-Own-Grandpa!"

    9. Re:I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by Eunuchswear · · Score: 2

      Which part of "the cost of solar cells has dropped 21 percent this year" didn't you understand?

      The part where I can use that to predict the price in 5 years.

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    10. Re:I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      So no TV, no fridge, no AC, no heat, no computer in a custom built house and you consider that a valid option for most people? I could just move into a cardboard box (100% post-consumer recycled of course) and *really* cut back on my electric bill!

      Hippies: Humans with no concept of logic.

    11. Re:I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by mspohr · · Score: 1
      Peak power usage in the US is actually during the day (business and shops AirCon and machine use) so solar power fits well with the peak in usage. Power at night is plentiful and cheap and we have too much baseload power capacity.

      Solar power right now is competitive with the cost of nuclear (even without considering the cost of decommissioning and health effects of nuclear). Solar thermal plants right now produce power at about 13 cents which is less than the cost of "free market electricity" for most of us.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    12. Re:I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      The part that says why they dropped. The part that says that they will keep dropping even as demand goes up.
      Sorry but I don't have a crystal ball I only have history.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    13. Re:I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      The part where they're still expensive and you can only use them during the day -- when most people are out of their house working -- unless you put in an expensive power storage system?

      Well, when you are out of house and don't need *your own* power, you feed it into the grid and power the air conditioner in your office with it.

      And that cost is still well above the cost of free market electricity.

      That is exactly the question. How much free market do you want? Isn't your personal freedom more worth than a free market? And is market that plays according to some rules not still free?

      (Your personal freedom will be restricted when somewhere in the future cars with fossile engines are banned, or when energy is that expensive you can not afford it anymore ... )

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    14. Re:I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by cvtan · · Score: 1

      Popular Science is the kiss of death for technology. Anything you see in there will most likely never happen. Where are the underwater cities powered by superconducting cables?

      --
      Sorry, but gray text on gray background is making my eyes bleed.
    15. Re:I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by mspohr · · Score: 3, Informative
      If you do accept history, then you can see that the cost of solar cells has been dropping steadily since their invention and demand has been increasing rapidly since their invention. Initial cost in 1954 was $250 a watt and it has steadily declined to about $1 a watt (for the cell itself).

      Demand has increased at 20 to 40% a year as the cost has gone down. (Demand curve, efficiencies of volume production, etc... basic economics).

      You don't need a crystal ball. Fortunately, there is no "silicon cartel" to restrict the supply of raw materials so people who are expert at manufacturing (such as GE) can predict their costs accurately.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    16. Re:I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      They have. I am not even saying they will not get cheaper and cheaper to a point. It is just the mythical 5 year prediction I have problems with. Right now the problem with solar is cheap natural gas which the power companies love. It is cheap and really clean burning at their end and plentiful.
      I have a friend that works for FPL in their renewable division. You still have all the problems of throttling solar and wind. Right now to manage the grid for every MW of solar and wind you build you must have a MW of Natural Gas Peaking plant to back it up when it is cloudy or the wind gets to low or too high.Solar and wind are not good for Base load and they are not good for peaking. Until those issues can be resolved and that will take a huge investment in research, development, and deployment of power storage systems and a massive smart grid Solar and Wind will always be five years from now.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    17. Re:I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      NO Giant TV? yes. a reasonable 32" LCD tv using OTA antenna or wait for the 30 minute boot-up time of your satellite receiver? YES. DVD is also an option... A 10,000 watt surround sound system in a home theater is not though... sorry you cant live without that.
      No Typical Fridge? yes. efficient Fridge? you bet! maybe read again what I mentioned because it seems you cant read English well.
      No AC/ No heat? if your choice is the wasteful junk in most homes? yes. Climate control with a heat pump and passive heat/ac? YES
      not computer? Yup you're right I said no computer at all.. got anything else you want to make up?

      Let me add some... your electric heated floor is out, no towel warmer, you have to live without the restaurant ice maker that constantly melts the ice so it's fresh in there. Sorry but the walk in freezer is also out. as well as the special outdoor lighting to make sure the neighbors enjoy your expensive home. Oh and you will have to get out and open the garage door or get yourself a butler or servant to do it for you your majesty...

      You seem to be horribly uneducated about how a home and appliances work let alone incapable of reading. Please go and look outside the word of Best Buy to see that there are plenty of choices that are not energy hogs. It is called energy conservation and has been around for decades..

      It amazes me how incredibly dumb people like you not only lack the ability to read and comprehend something, but lack the ability to create a thoughtful or slightly correct response to it.

      You sir not only fail logic, you fail the IQ test.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    18. Re:I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by SnarfQuest · · Score: 1

      I remember an article in IIRC Popular Mechanics about an electric car that someone was developing. Electric motors powered the rear wheels, and in order to recharge the batteries, alternators were attached to the front wheels (attached full time). They currently had two alternators attached, but that wasn't having enough effect on re-powering the car, so they were going to try adding two or four more.

      For some reason, I haven't heard about this company lately.

      --
      Who would win this election: Andrew Weiner vs Andrew Weiner's weiner.
    19. Re:I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is funny but progress always seems to be much slower or much faster than predicted.

      That's because people tend to extrapolate in a straight line but technological progress is more likely to follow an S-like (more an integral sign) curve. Technically a Gompertz Curve.

    20. Re:I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      True because it matures over time. Part of that is when you try to mark a curve of technology you often only are mapping one aspect of the performance of the technology.
      That can be misleading since the actual performance of any technology tends to have may attributes.
      Take aircraft for instance. For airliners from 1940 to around 1969 you went from 200 MPH to over 1000 MPH. But other aspects of performance kept growing while speed actually went down. Cost per seat mile, emissions, noise, and safety all improved while speed went down.
      The same will probably happen with computers soon as we see smaller, and less power hungry systems that are fast enough replace older systems. I think even that curve is misleading because often the increased performance shifts to a different aspect of a device over time. Most often effency of the device.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    21. Re:I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by b0bby · · Score: 1

      The problem with your initial comment was that your idea of a sane home doesn't fit what 99%+ of people have. There is a huge stock of existing housing; it's impractical to imagine that they will be replaced anytime soon. My house is 70+ years old; I have made improvements in insulation etc, but it would not work with a 180 watt solar install. Most people are going to require over 4000 watts, but in my area that's cost prohibitive right now. A couple more 21 percent drops in cost however, and it might be worth it depending on the install costs (original slate roof is a problem here).

    22. Re:I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by CCarrot · · Score: 1

      Which part of "the cost of solar cells has dropped 21 percent this year" didn't you understand?

      The part where I can use that to predict the price in 5 years.

      Let's see...21% drop per year times 5 years...OMG! They'll be paying us 5% to use them! ;)

      Yeah, something tells me my crystal ball is a bit cloudy...

      --
      "I love animals! Some are cute, others are tasty, what's not to like?" - Betsy Schroeder, Jeopardy contestant
    23. Re:I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by CCarrot · · Score: 1

      Fortunately, there is no "silicon cartel" to restrict the supply of raw materials so people who are expert at manufacturing (such as GE) can predict their costs accurately.

      But there is, effectively, a rare earth cartel in China. Sure you can build solar panels without rare earth elements, but they're only about half as efficient as the ones built using rare earth elements.

      --
      "I love animals! Some are cute, others are tasty, what's not to like?" - Betsy Schroeder, Jeopardy contestant
    24. Re:I was waiting for it, and you did not deliver by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      It is merely a question of having the will to do it. The US went from pretty much zero to putting a man on the moon in 10 years because it set that goal. It sounds like Germany has a similar plan for replacing nuclear.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  4. Technology will solve these problems. by yog · · Score: 2

    There are lots of excellent alternatives to fossil fuels coming down the pike: solar, wind, nuclear, geothermal, fuel cells. I like the idea of solar cells on every rooftop, with hydrogen fuel cells in the basement to capture the surplus daytime power and recharge the electric cars overnight. I also like the idea of a windmill at every major intersection, to power a square mile or so of residences and businesses.

    They're building a big solar thermal power plant in the Mojave desert, to accompany several others already up and running. Arizona's building a big one as well.

    Solar photovoltaic technology is advancing, both in efficiency and in cheaper manufacturing costs. I think ultimately solar will provide 20-25% of people's electric needs.

    And transportation is going to be electric, as batteries improve. Hybrid car sales are huge, and every manufacturer is getting into the act. They're somewhat expensive today, but economies of scale and improvements in the tech will only bring down costs and increase profits. Probably in 20 years every car on the road will be either a hybrid or fully electric.

    What'll be interesting will be to see just how much impact this eventual shift away from combustible carbon fuels has on the climate. The scientific community largely agrees that humans have caused global warming, but what happens if we stop being the cause and it still gets warmer? All that carbon we've already produced is to blame? Or is it a few major volcanoes in the past century? Or climate shifts that have little to do with human activities? Should be an interesting 88 years coming up; wish I could be around to see it happen. But my daughter will, I hope.

    --
    it's = "it is"; its = possessive. E.g., it's flapping its wings.
    1. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by bunratty · · Score: 4, Informative

      Even if we immediately stop burning any fossil fuels, it should still get warmer. It takes hundreds of years for the carbon cycle to take the excess out of the atmosphere. We're committed to continued warming right now. The only thing we can do is commit to less warming or more warming.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    2. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by yog · · Score: 1

      What about reforestation? That should help reduce atmospheric CO2.

      Also, maybe try to prevent/reduce pollution of the oceans, to restore algae. But that's a tall order, because everyone's fishing the hell out of it and basically destroying the food chain out there. I don't see any near term mitigation for that, unfortunately. If it were up to the Asians, they'd deplete much of the ocean's stocks to extinction. Maybe fish farms will help, eventually, except that they're not healthy for some reason.

      --
      it's = "it is"; its = possessive. E.g., it's flapping its wings.
    3. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      I like the idea of solar cells on every rooftop, with hydrogen fuel cells in the basement to capture the surplus daytime power and recharge the electric cars overnight. I also like the idea of a windmill at every major intersection, to power a square mile or so of residences and businesses.

      You like some really goofy stuff. First of all, only about 15% of roofs are suitable for solar. Second, only so much of the country is suitable for solar. Third, windmills make noise and small ones are basically worthless as the large ones produce in more conditions and more windmills means more points of failure. Fourth, hydrogen is an incredibly stupid way to store power, especially in your basement since it rises and will just come up into your house if there is a problem.

      I agree that solar should be on all the roofs that will sustain it, but we have to knock down and rebuild more than 50% of the houses in this country anyway if you want to put it on all of them, relocate houses out of shadows of hills, cut down trees, et cetera. So it is not remotely a reachable goal.

      I agree that power should be stored for use when it is needed later, but hydrogen is an idiot way to do that. You either have to crack it and then recombine it in a fuel cell later, and the efficiencies on that and the fuel cell lifetimes are both shit; or you have to crack it and then burn it in an engine later, and there are many problems with that. You have to use expensive alloys to prevent hydrogen embrittlement, for example. Flywheels are the right answer; you bury them under the house before you build it. Kinetic safety is achieved either with earthworks or with self-destroying flywheels that shred themselves into fibers if they fail rather than delivering their energy all at once.

      Windmills at every intersection is a hilariously bad idea. Offshore is where the steady wind is. When an offshore wind farm breaks and all the wind spills out, nothing bad happens. Having a zillion tiny windmills at intersections where they will cause traffic problems when they must be maintained (seriously, at the intersections? You didn't think about this at all did you?) is an utterly nonsensical idea with a trillion logistics problems.

      Let's talk about some of your other ideas while we're at it...

      solar, wind, nuclear, geothermal, fuel cells.

      Solar is great but not as you envision it. Wind, ditto. Nuclear is utterly unacceptable so long as we are not using breeders to reprocess fuel, which will give us a couple orders of magnitude more efficiency. Geothermal is a gigantic boondoggle, especially in the USA; the world's largest geothermal power plant in the world's most geothermally active field has not only created a superfund site but also endemic earthquakes for which Calpine will pay people who live close enough to the site who can show anything that looks like earthquake damage. In order to increase capacity they have to drill through hard rock which they wanted to fracture in a way that caused quakes elsewhere. Geothermal is a boondoggle just like hydro. And fuel cells I discuss above; they are not an energy source even to the degree that Solar is; you actually have to get some energy somewhere else and then turn it into something usable in a fuel cell, usually at great expense in energy. Fuel cells wear out and have to be recycled and they contain heavy metals so this is easy to do wrong.

      Seriously, we have Solar and Wind technologies we could be using right now; indeed, we could have been using them for forty years. We have only barely used them for niche applications. Solar panels paid back the energy cost of their construction in seven years in the 1970s and thin-film can do it in three today. The issue is not whether we can do these things, but whether we will. If Big Energy has its way we will continue on our current, highly profitable path.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by dAzED1 · · Score: 0, Troll

      Don't be ridiculous; we in the US demand our beef with every meal, and slowly but surely that mindset is spreading. Where do you think the old forests went? Same place the remaining forests will go - to cattle land. Want to reforest? Stop eating beef.

    5. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by bunratty · · Score: 1

      We're emitting 30 billion tons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere every year. Every person on the planet would have to plant tons of trees every year to keep the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere constant. We simply don't have enough land to hold that many trees. We've tried adding iron to the ocean to help algae production, but it didn't work out. You can read more about carbon sequestration.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    6. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      There are lots of excellent alternatives to fossil fuels coming down the pike: solar, wind, nuclear, geothermal, fuel cells.

      Hmmmm....not so much.

      Solar thermal looks like the only viable option and that's still unproven. Solar voltaic has a long, long, long way to go yet. Wind is improving nicely, but is limited in many areas. Nuclear, by far, is still are best, strongest option. Geothermal is applicable to a tiny number of locations. Those that have tried it in other, non-classical geothermal areas tend to create earthquakes and general geological instabilities. Fuel cells are still extremely expensive and nowhere near cost effective. I've not read anything about fuel cells which hint that's likely to change any time soon.

      In a nut shell, in order of promise, both immediate and the next two decades we have, nuclear, wind, solar-thermal, and maybe...possibly, iffy, solar-voltaic.

    7. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      These are cornucopian ideas. I hope for your daughter's sake you teach her some survival skills, how to garden and raise animals.

    8. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Those that have tried it in other, non-classical geothermal areas tend to create earthquakes and general geological instabilities.

      Those that have tried it in classical geothermal areas tend to create earthquakes and general geological instabilities. Plus, they have to figure out a way to dispose of a bunch of toxics that are coming up out of the vent and collect on the turbine blades. Locally it's mostly Arsenic but there are plenty of other constituents.

      Wind and solar are basically the only viable technologies.

      In a nut shell, in order of promise, both immediate and the next two decades we have, nuclear, wind, solar-thermal, and maybe...possibly, iffy, solar-voltaic.

      PV solar has been a viable means of producing power since the 1970s, when PC PV modules could repay the energy cost of their production in only seven years. Panels had a lifetime of twenty years even back then, so on a long enough time scale it was economically viable even then. Today you can pay back the energy cost of production of thin film panels in just three years and it's not unusual for people in sunshine states with significant energy consumption to pay back their investment in less than ten. If we had net metering of power, meaning you get paid what you pay for electricity, then the free market would solve these problems nicely. In countries which have net metering they also have craploads of alt power being installed by private parties.

      Solar-thermal is the untested technology here, at least as it is being implemented today. Of course, there are numerous opportunities for heating water with solar, and I don't mean with the old tired leaky collector panels on the roof. This is the real low-hanging fruit in solar power.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    9. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We can eat turkey instead. Turkey used to live in forests.

    10. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is insane and so many people don't see it. Meat eating is just about the most detrimental thing that the average person does to the environment and is one of the easiest habits to change. Even many environmentalists refuse to see it. Another symptom of the NIMBY way of thinking. The bottom line is that you cannot consider yourself green and eat meat. Any form of meat.

    11. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by erroneus · · Score: 1

      Technology is controlled and driven by profit interests. There is no money in human survival. There just isn't.

    12. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Any form of meat.

      The best solution to global warming is eating more meat.
      Human meat.

    13. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by yog · · Score: 1

      It's time to go green--Soylent Green!

      --
      it's = "it is"; its = possessive. E.g., it's flapping its wings.
    14. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can you cite the study on this that says what you claim? It's not that I believe you but if it is true I'd like to know more about it.

    15. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      with hydrogen fuel cells in the basement to capture the surplus daytime power

      Huh? Don't fuel cells convert hydrogen into electricity, so how would they 'capture' surplus power?

      I also like the idea of a windmill at every major intersection, to power a square mile or so of residences and businesses.

      Um, last i checked wind turbines don't work well in built up areas, (too little wind generally)

      I think ultimately solar will provide 20-25% of people's electric needs.

      sure why not, i mean you were mistaken on the previous two points but hey 3rd time lucky?

      J

    16. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by deKernel · · Score: 2

      Wow, I think you need to provide a link to a credible site for this one. I am betting myself that the housing industry requires far more trees to be cut than the cattle industry. Most grazing pastures are at altitudes that typically on pines/spruces like to grow, plus, they (ranch managers) like the trees in the pastures to provide weather coverage for the animals.

    17. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by GrumblyStuff · · Score: 1

      Reforestation couldn't hurt. We're still pretty boned though if this study is confirmed: Trees absorbing less CO2 as world warms.

    18. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by bunratty · · Score: 1
      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    19. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are wrong. If you want to stop deforestation, stop recycling paper.

    20. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are more trees in the US now than at any time in the past.

    21. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      To be honest, I used to be one of the staunchest "Curb CO2 emissions NOW!"-proponents. Taking a realistic look at the world lead me to the belief that the best we can do is put all efforts into mitigation of the effects. We will burn the rest of the economical extractable oil and we will burn the rest of the accessible coal and we will burn the rest of the economical extractable gas. I can't see the global political will to change that develop in any timeframe that would actually allow commitment to lesser warming. I don't really belief that we can reach any scenario below about 600-800 ppm CO2 equivalent. And that might very well be the tipping point for permafrost methane release and critical ocean acidification.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    22. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      It should be noted that this is still just a conjecture. The theory of CO2 warming the atmosphere is well supported, but the effects enter the atmosphere immediately (with the atmosphere warming and cooling by 30 degrees or more every day). Any long-term effects from greenhouse gases are based on feedback effects, and the feedback effects are much less understood. It is even possible that the feedbacks have a dampening effect, which keeps the earth cooler than expected as CO2 increases (eg if cloudcover increases, the earth will be cooler)

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    23. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      Solar PV is intensely useful to locally supply air conditioning. AC is a huge part of electricity demand, and it is needed most under conditions where PV is at its optimum. Of course that is only a partial solution - but lots of partial solutions make up the whole. But, as you said, I do not believe that we can develop the political will for that.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    24. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by dAzED1 · · Score: 2

      Go to google.com, type in the words "amazon" and "cattle." There are so many hundreds of credible sources, it would be silly of me to pick one. The housing industry doesn't use wood from the old growth forests, those are too hard for their needs. Instead, they use soft, fast-growing trees like firs and pines. And on the rainforest spectrum, the Kapok (a typical tree from the amazon rainforest) is far more likely to be used to make down for mattresses and pillows, than lumber for a house. No, economically speaking, they cleared the land for cattle - and just sold the wood to make a little extra in the deal (otherwise, what would they do...burn it? gota put it somewhere, and people will buy it...). The UN (I know, probably not a credible source to you...) did a study called Livestock's Long Shadow which went over a lot of these things. That 80% of the world's arid land is now cattle grazing land, and that some of this land was forests and is now shifting to deserts, is the main problem we all face. AlGore can whinge all he wants about cars, but he still drives his Escalade to the Sierra Club meetings, and still eats steak. Want to save the planet? Stop eating beef. And yes, that means turkey, chicken, goats, wild pigs, etc would be a lot better. Cattle need flat, deforested, predator-free land. Goats could probably survive on the moon, if we got some there...(sarcasm...).

    25. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Solar-thermal is the untested technology here, at least as it is being implemented today.

      How do you come to that idea? We (mankind) have various kinds of solar thermal plants running for decades now.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    26. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Jeremi · · Score: 1

      There is no money in human survival. There just isn't.

      I know some health care executives who would disagree.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    27. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by gstoddart · · Score: 1

      Don't be ridiculous; we in the US demand our beef with every meal, and slowly but surely that mindset is spreading. Where do you think the old forests went? Same place the remaining forests will go - to cattle land.

      Don't forget suburbs.

      Well, maybe not forests, but I know that a tremendous amount of really good quality, arable soil has become suburbs in a lot of places. Never to be usable as farmland again.

      So, we give up forests to grow cows. And we give up farmland to grow cities. I think as a species, we're more or less screwed.

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    28. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Duradin · · Score: 1

      Want to reforest? Stop eating.

    29. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't know about the USA, but in the rest of the civilized world the vast majority of lumber for houses, paper, etc. comes from renewable sources. Trees grow, the carbon is locked into books or walls or whatever and more trees are grown. It's a net win. I'm not aware of any western country that is currently experiencing significant deforestation. Brazil, on the other hand, is seeing massive ongoing deforestation to clear land to grow cattle for beef. Maybe ranchers do like the odd tree but they don't raise cattle in forests.

      Search for "Brazil deforestation" and you'll find endless articles about it. I've not seen a source blaming deforestation on housing.

    30. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by xrobertcmx · · Score: 1

      That won't take much longer. Let fuel costs keep climbing and it won't be economical to move cattle to the feed lots or transport the beef to the super markets, at least at a price most people can afford. Not a major problem for me, after the gall bladder went, beef and I just don't agree anymore.

    31. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by xrobertcmx · · Score: 1

      ehhh, just google it. Cattle ranching in Brazil turned into one of the biggest causes for deforestation in the Amazon. Cattle themselves are also one of the biggest contributors to green house gas emissions. Seems they put out a crap load of methane, not to mention the oil used to grow the massive amounts of food used to feed them, burned to move that food to them, the additional amount burned to move the cows to the feed lots, then the additional additional fuel used to move the beef to the stores. There is almost as much acreage under tillage to feed cows as there is to feed people. Chickens are on the list too at something like 1.3 billion in the US for meat, not just for egg production. I have to find that link.

    32. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wind and solar are basically the only viable technologies.

      Wind, solar, and nuclear are the big three; and the order is nuclear, then wind, then solar, with pretty big steps between the three.

      Proper geothermal could be a huge factor, eventually, but that's as iffy and vague as fusion.

    33. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by erroneus · · Score: 1

      I can't see how. They do their level best to deny service to all but the people who can pay the most. They set their prices high to maximize profits (kinda like the entertainment industry) and deny access to everyone else to ensure that there is artificial scarcity.

    34. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not about cutting pine trees -- its about not being able to reforest since you have to raise the corn to make ethanol and grow the meat.

      What worries me about the whole "super duper smart grid" is that it won't be all goodness, sweetness and efficiency. It's an open door for another price manipulation a la Enron. Once you can micro-manage the smart meters, the customer has no choice but to *trust* the provider. This is not about helping the customer or helping the world.

    35. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      "The scientific community largely agrees that humans have caused global warming, but what happens if we stop being the cause and it still gets warmer?"

      The scientific community that largely agrees that humans have caused global warming will simply turn to another fear tactic for funding.

    36. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Many cattle are feed with soya or corn feed rather than allowed to graze, so they get through a lot of forest but not by eating it directly. Forest is cleared to make grazing land too
      http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2010/jul/21/uk-south-america-soy-rainforest-emissions

    37. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As someone who has studied energy policy (from the geological/environmental perspective) there are significant issues with most fuel sources:

      - Solar power is expensive (currently) and current proposals in the Mojave threaten the California Desert Tortoise. Likewise it does not provide consistent electricity in most locations, and therefore requires expensive infrastructure to even out the electrical supply.
      - Geothermal power has been shown to trigger up to 5.0Mw Earthquakes in areas not known for earthquakes. In areas with significant known faults (e.g. California), this could result in triggering much more dramatic problems.
      - Nuke power has large start up costs, has problems with long-term storage of radioactive waste as well as mining issues. Likewise there is the threat of radioactive release due to problems with the reactor, as we most recently saw in Japan. Finally, nuclear energy has been a stepping stone to nuclear weapons in countries such as Isreal, South Africa, and India. Finally this has extensive political ill-will in the US.
      - Wind power has problems with being deadly to birds and killer to heavily reduced bat populations. Since these are often built tall, these often dominate the landscape (which many people object to). Finally, they only work when the wind is blowing, meaning that it, like solar, requires extensive storage.
      - Hydroelectric (as dams) has been extensively done in the western US, and is hard to expand in the US. While this does do some things like stop flooding, and provide recreational, and consistent sources of water downstream, there are problems. Primarily rivers, which Salmon need to spawn, cannot be passed. Beautiful canyons (e.g. Hetch Hetchy) are no longer accessible. Finally running water through lakes, results in changing the water temperature (cooling it) and chemistry (removing silt).
      - Hydroelectric (as energy storage) is fairly inefficient, and completely screws up the local aquatic ecosystem.
      - Fuel cells are not an energy source. They are a way of storing energy.
      - Biofuels, currently are 10x the expense of conventional energy, have the side effect of reducing the amount of food available, and increasing the price, which according to some at the UN is a crime against humanity. Many of the current biofules (e.g. Corn ethanol) do not actually result in a net energy gain.

      "Fossil Fuels" (which use carbon)

      - Coal releases more carbon per amount of energy than petroleum, and has the problem with killing thousands per year (mostly in China), releasing dangerous H2S* (although less in recent years due to international agreement), and other nasty combustion by-products. In addition accessing it results in destruction of mountains.
      - Methane Hydrates/Clathrates are a possibility, but currently there is not a feasible way to liberate them from the ocean floor. However, there is enough there to fuel us for centuries, if we figure this one out. (Also methane (CH4) is ~14x more potent than CO2 as a greenhouse gas.)
      - Tight natural gases (e.g. Marseilles Shale) are increasingly being used, however there has been significant controversy over the various chemical and physical techniques ("fracking") used to increase porosity.
      - Oil Sands (e.g. in Alberta) are highly energy inefficient, as they are highly biodegraded low-quality heavy oils, and require significant amounts of energy to access them.
      - Conventional (shallow water/on the continent) Petroleum is rapidly running out. Easy-to-pump oil is significantly harder to get to, and as a result "enhanced" oil recovery using things like surfactants (soap) and fracking is needed. But this has the problems with being more expensive, as well as issues with environmental contamination.
      -Unconventional

    38. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by cvtan · · Score: 1

      Sorry, but reality intrudes. Hawaii has geothermal sources, lots of sun, lots of wind, lots of waves. Electricity is produced largely by burning imported oil and naphtha. Geothermal has been unreliable and costs the same as fossil fuel electricity (by contract). Disturbing volcanoes is considered bad karma. Windmills are rusting, Solar is too expensive unless you are making a political statement. A ferry between the islands was considered to be environmentally bad (whales and fish) so I can't imagine the protests over a wave-powered electrical plant.

      --
      Sorry, but gray text on gray background is making my eyes bleed.
    39. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This good enough for starters? And now the real question, if we could prove it to you would you man up and go vegetarian?

    40. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Arlet · · Score: 1

      The effects don't enter the oceans immediately. It will take decades for the large volume of water in our oceans to reach a new equilibrium. In the meantime, the atmosphere will keep getting warmer, even if CO2 remains constant for that time.

      (eg if cloudcover increases, the earth will be cooler)

      Cloud cover also blocks heat escaping at night. The net effect is pretty small. Extra water vapor in the air (which is already happening) does have a warming effect, as it only blocks IR, and not visible light.

    41. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I like the idea of solar cells on every rooftop

      I'm sure the residents of Joplin, MO would have loved for half their town to turn into a confetti razor storm of broken shards of glass.

      with hydrogen fuel cells in the basement

      Because leaking hydrogen gas poses less of a threat than natural gas. Oh wait...

      You should be for facilities like these in a centralized station in a NEIGHBORHOOD, where they can be properly managed - not on every rooftop. Durr.

    42. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by tbannist · · Score: 1

      I suspect a lot of suburban land could be reclaimed for food production if there's a demand for that. It'd be expensive, but then it's all about cost isn't it? If farmers made more money from their crops they wouldn't be selling their land to developers to build houses on. If farmers are making a lot more money they'll start buying up land at the edges of the suburbs, bulldozing the houses and planting crops. Frankly, I don't think we'll see much of that within our lifetimes, but that's because food is plentiful and cheap now (for us, at least).

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    43. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wind power is a lousy alternative to fossil fuels. It's not predictable, and because of that you have to have a backup power plant to carry the load when the wind isn't blowing hard enough. That power plant is probably burning fossil fuels. And fossil fuel power plants don't start or stop on a dime, so that power plant has to be running pretty much constantly just in case it's needed.

      Not to mention the number of birds, particularly protected and endangered raptor species, that windmills shred.

      Windmill power generators are prayer wheels for modern spiritualists who think you can generate commercial levels of energy by just wishing hard enough.

    44. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by bipedalhominid · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I want to live in yogs world. Electric cars and solar cells at the house. Charge some sort of battery during the day and use that to recharge the electric car at night. Put some kind of solar panel on the car's rooftop so it can recharge itself a bit. We have to quit reaching back into the past and grabbing our energy.

      --
      This aint Daytona and you aint Dale Earnhardt. So stop trying to draft on Interstate 40.
    45. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by mellon · · Score: 1

      It might not even be that expensive--a lot of those suburban homes are really poorly built, and will be ready for the bulldozer in 20 or 30 years. The main problem is going to be the foundations, but I don't think they'll be all that big of a problem.

    46. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "If it were up to the Asians, they'd deplete much of the ocean's stocks to extinction."

      Replace "Asians" with "humans", and you're right. Europeans, North Americans, South Americans, etc. are no better managing fish stocks than fishing fleets of any other nationality. Many stocks have been run into the ground around the world, the classic example being the Atlantic cod fishery on the Grand Banks, which was fished mainly by the United States, Canada, and Europe. This chart pretty much tells the story. More examples here.

      Ironically, "pollution of the oceans", particularly introduction of nitrogen and phosphate fertilizers, increases the productivity of algae, although that has its own problems.

    47. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by bipedalhominid · · Score: 1

      Dude, do you work for an oil company in Texas or a solar cell plant? I mean you shoot down ideas left and right with inflammatory language. Then you say solar and wind is the only way to go? sup?

      --
      This aint Daytona and you aint Dale Earnhardt. So stop trying to draft on Interstate 40.
    48. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by mellon · · Score: 1

      I'm surprised nobody's tried a heat exchanger and a different medium of evaporation, like alcohol. If you have a source of heat that will boil alcohol, you can generate electricity with it, and you don't need to clean your turbine blades. Using impure water water directly on turbines is a terrible idea.

    49. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by mellon · · Score: 1

      Yeah, cuz people are getting rich doing global warming research. Oh wait, no, they are not. Next red herring, please.

    50. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by bipedalhominid · · Score: 1

      You see there is a problem with capitalism. Particularly when it is applied to life, death, incarceration, housing, food,... Hmm, does not seem to matter which system I choose, the current model of capitalism practiced in the US will find a way to screw it up.

      --
      This aint Daytona and you aint Dale Earnhardt. So stop trying to draft on Interstate 40.
    51. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by stabiesoft · · Score: 1

      or stop having so many kids. Want to be green, less kids. A very unpopular position, but the world could probably stand population reduction to about 1/10th our current level and then stabilise there. Of course, it won't happen as our current society, with the possible exception of Eskimo society, is predicated on constant population increase.

    52. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by dAzED1 · · Score: 1

      kids? In this economy?

    53. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > There are more trees in the US now than at any time in the past.

      Debatable, but in any case "more trees" does not equal "the damage from deforestation has been fixed."

    54. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Rinikusu · · Score: 1

      Fish farms accumulate lots of heavy metals, which accumulate in the fish. That's the non-healthy part. If we can solve that, it'll definitely be beneficial.

      --
      If you were me, you'd be good lookin'. - six string samurai
    55. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Greyfox · · Score: 1

      Ooo lets go for a global warming double-down! We can all agree to double our carbon emission, warm the planet by 8 degrees by 2100 and settle in to tropical habitats in Maine!

      --

      I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

    56. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by SnarfQuest · · Score: 1

      Every person on the planet would have to plant tons of trees every year to keep the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere constant..

      How many trees are there in a ton?

      Is it OK if I burn them immediately after planting them to make room for the next batch of trees, since the planting seems to be the only important part here?

      --
      Who would win this election: Andrew Weiner vs Andrew Weiner's weiner.
    57. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      How do you come to that idea? We (mankind) have various kinds of solar thermal plants running for decades now.

      I dunno. Maybe being well read and not an idiot. Back on planet Earth, the list of thermal solar plants is extremely short. Next, list the number of thermal solar plants which continue to produce electricity after the sun goes down. Its nearly universally agreed and understood, the later is a requirement for solar thermal to become a viable energy source and an absolute mandate for it to become base load. Furthermore, you're also confusing existence with practical application.

    58. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by compro01 · · Score: 1

      Unpopular position? Having 1 or no kids seems to be highly popular these days. Birth rates are already well below death rates in Canada, the US, and all of western Europe. Immigration is the only thing maintaining population growth around here, and even that is falling short in some countries (e.g. Germany). Some countries are trying to reverse this trend, thought with apparently limited success.

      Barring something changing dramatically, population growth worldwide will be a thing of the past within 40 years.

      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
    59. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "with hydrogen fuel cells in the basement"

      I saw Quantum of Solace and how that hotel with the hydrogen-fuel cells exploded. I don't want those in my basement. One of my kids would probably hit it with a toy truck and it will explode.

    60. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It doesn't take hundreds of years. Although I have reduced my emissions by a lot in the past few years, there needs to be more large scale projects to generate power, and large scale efforts to reduce the amount of power we need to do live a normal life.

      As long as we don't burn all the leaves each fall, that is a large bit of carbon trapped until they decompose. The leaves could get buried and act as a carbon capture method. Plants require some CO2 as well (not too much or they die like my 7th grade science experiment did)

    61. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "They're building a big solar thermal power plant [ca.gov] in the Mojave desert"

      Except you forgot to mention that environmentalists are trying to block it because of some stupid lizard. Sometimes I think environmentalists won't be happy until we (humans) are all dead.

    62. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I dont know the list from my mind: 3 or 4 I think.
      Point is: we have them since a decade, so the technology is here and works.
      And yes it is practical applicable.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    63. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

      Most fish farms aren't nearly as ecological as you might think. The problem is the food for carnivorous fish is made out of fish. That fish is caught by dragging big nets through the oceans. Or gill netting. Or is imported from places that have even worse fishing practices.

      The only species for which fish farming makes sense is the vegetarian species. Tilapia and Chinese Carp are vegetarian. But unfortunately most farms supplement their vegetarian diet with fish meal.

      http://news.stanford.edu/news/2009/september7/woods-fishfarm-study-090709.html

    64. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      The kind we're talking about today are babies compared to anything else we've talked about in this conversation. I don't mean to say they aren't ready for primetime, only that good old PV has decades on it. Of course, they do different things, but each has its purpose and neither has had nearly as much proliferation as we "ought to" be seeing.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    65. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by dAzED1 · · Score: 1

      "Barring something changing dramatically, population growth worldwide will be a thing of the past within 40 years."
      except for the minor, minor fact that the counties that are most over-populated, are also still increasing in size without immigration. Realistically, the US is very fertile; we used to be called the "bread basket of the world" - we produced, not too long ago, over 80% of the world's grains. The US could sustain something not terribly less than what it already has. The most populous country in the world is still experiencing positive growth (though a small growth now, it is still a growth), and they have 6 times as many people as we have in the US. The second most populous country in the world still has a fairly strong growth rate, and is expected to surpass the most populous state before long. The natural resources of both places are relatively limited; for both places, their most powerful "resource" is actually their massive population, which is scary to me; they've made a lot of people that will be very angry that they are poor, and will take it out on the people who can take clean water, plentiful food, safety, and etc for granted. As though somehow, it's the fault of the US and Europe that we don't create population levels many times larger than what the land area we reside on could sustain...

    66. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      The wind is always blowing somewhere. It's just a matter of distribution.

      Modern wind turbines are not nearly as deadly for birds as older ones. The old turbines were much smaller and turned much faster and no consideration was given to where birds typically fly. Newer turbines are much larger and slower turning and they are not placed in migratory flyways. I'm not sure they're any harder on birds now-a-days than other human causes such as large picture windows or motor vehicles. But the newer turbines are apparently pretty hard on bats who get a fatal case of the bends by the change in air pressure as they skirt around the turbine blades.

    67. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      None of these is thermodynamically equivalent in terms of efficiency. This means Green can never be a drop-in replacement. You simply can't substitute and assume anything about modern energy consumption patterns can continue. They can't. That simple.

      Hydrogen has this "minor" problem of 1) leaking through any seal invented, and 2) being an ozone layer destroyer far worse than any Freon is.

    68. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      You are totally ignoring pollution. Clean air, clean water and preservation of natural habitats are all worthwhile causes and were a big deal back in the 90s, but then climate change got all the attention and we sort of forgot about them. Even when BP pumps millions of gallons of oil into the sea people don't seem to notice that a lot of sewage and other nasty stuff gets dumped out there too. Dust and soot are major problems in every city.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    69. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      Again, you're confusing existence with practical. The fact you keep pushing the work practical on technology which has not yet been proven practical validates you have absolutely no idea what you're talking about.

      If it was practical and existed for over a decade, there would be a hell of a lot more than 3 or 4 - don't ya think? Basically you're argument is that you, knowing absolutely nothing, know more than everyone else in the world. Delusion is the best, most polite word, to describe your position.

    70. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Why don't you leave me alone and google for the plants?

      Trying to insult me wont motivate me to open your eyes ...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    71. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      Holy shit...try opening yours. From my comments AND YOURS its very obvious that not only am I the only one who knows what the fuck we're talking about, but that you're completely delusional - which is further reaffirmed by your idiotic post.

      Holy shit you stupid.

    72. Re:Technology will solve these problems. by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Seems you lost track of the talk. You claimed there are no practical solar plants existing, I pointed out we have several. Some of them running since a decade. Lack of knowledge is not the same as stupidity. Perhaps you are smart, no idea. Perhaps you are stupid, I don't care. At least you know nothing about the topic. The only thing you can do is anonymously insult other posters. If you don't know the stuff I know, then you have two options: Learn them or ignore them. Insulting me constantly is well ... insulting, isn't it ;D It does not shed much light on the brightness of your mind.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  5. What is the uncertainty of the prediction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "would mean around a 50% chance of a rise in global average temperature of more than 4C by 2100," he said.'"

    Is there any chance we could see the error bar on that 4C temperature change... With that long a prediction I suspect the correct scientific representation would be

    4C +- 100C (Remember, that is a 90 year extrapolation!)

    1. Re:What is the uncertainty of the prediction by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      "would mean around a 50% chance of a rise in global average temperature of more than 4C by 2100," he said.'"

      Is there any chance we could see the error bar on that 4C temperature change... With that long a prediction I suspect the correct scientific representation would be

      4C +- 100C (Remember, that is a 90 year extrapolation!)

      Plus or minus 100C ?

      not to clear on the idea of phase change and latent heat, are you ?

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    2. Re:What is the uncertainty of the prediction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We're not boiling water dumb ass!!!

      Daily temp fluctuation ~ 15C
      Yearly Temp fluctuation ~ 50C

      Now EXTRAPOLATE the uncertainty... The actual uncertainty will be 0 Kelvin to ~ solar center! You can bound the limits on physical grounds BUT when EXTRAPOLATING a measurement it is common to also extrapolate the uncertainty! It's called being honest about your prediction. Since we NEVER EVER see the uncertainty of these predictions it should be obvious event to the most casual observer that the uncertainty is being hidden. Why would the uncertainty be hidden? BECAUSE it is HUGE!!! It should be obvious to even a dumb ass like you that the uncertainty is much larger than 4C. Which renders the prediction completely meaningless!!! That is my point... The prediction is meaningless... Most intelligent people would have understood that from the first post... But for the dumb asses... I though I would elaborate!!!

    3. Re:What is the uncertainty of the prediction by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

      You have no idea how error analysis and uncertainties work.

  6. Releasing breaks by Pecisk · · Score: 1

    Well, I would like to see it in details. First of all there were huge wild fires last year, and we got harsh winter too - so CO2 release can easily be attributed to this. Also winter made lot of not so smart people believe that global warming is a scam or not so serious as thought and released breaks.

    Anyway, we need long term technological solutions. People are working on it. So let's hope it will be good enough.

    --
    user@ubuntubox:~$ stfu This server is going down for shutdown NOW!
    1. Re:Releasing breaks by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      Dammit, you made me undo my moderations! Burning wood doesn't add to CO2; that carbon came from the air when the tree was growing. It will be absorbed by the tree that will grow to replace it. If you plant a tree for every one you burn, the carbon is neutral. Fossil fuels add to CO2 because you're releasing ancient carbon.

      Now, burning down forests on purpose to make more farmland does increase atmospheric CO2.

      Your buddy with a wood stove and acres of trees is carbon neutral, the other guy who heats his home with electricity from a coal fired generator is not.

      I almost modded you "interesting" despite the misconception, but replied instead.

    2. Re:Releasing breaks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unfortunately most people burn green wood when there is little or no wind, No updraft and lots of volatile oils = dirty smoggy crap

      CO2 neutral it is, clean it isn't

    3. Re:Releasing breaks by SydShamino · · Score: 1

      Burning wood adds CO2 to the atmosphere that wasn't present before the wood was burned. Sure it was present last year, or five years ago, or twenty years ago, whenever the tree absorbed it as part of its growth. But it wasn't present just before burning.

      So burning several forests does contribute to atmospheric CO2 right now. Whether that contribution is removed or not depends on whether we allow the forests to regrow, or if we take the opportunity to turn some of them into farmland or subdivisions.

      --
      It doesn't hurt to be nice.
    4. Re:Releasing breaks by SydShamino · · Score: 1

      People remember short, big events better than longer, less-severe events. One or two plane crashes into a few buildings are remembered more strongly than thousands of car crashes. One huge snowstorm is remembered more strongly than a two-month heat wave.

      It's hard to convince someone how averages work when they choose to give increased weighting to items that deviate further from the norm...

      --
      It doesn't hurt to be nice.
    5. Re:Releasing breaks by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      China. More cars and coal plants than ever. Oh, and India, too. growing at about 8%, almost entirely on fossil fuels.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    6. Re:Releasing breaks by donutz · · Score: 1

      The point he was making is that a lot of wildfires will cause a spike in the CO2 levels in the air. Most of the carbon in those trees has been sitting in wood form for years, and it will take years for new trees to grow enough to re-sequester that carbon.

    7. Re:Releasing breaks by Arlet · · Score: 1

      They're not talking about an increase in measured atmospheric CO2. This is an estimate from the International Energy Agency, based on amounts of fossil fuels burned.

      Other sources of CO2 will have to be added to the IEA number.

    8. Re:Releasing breaks by tompaulco · · Score: 1

      Now, burning down forests on purpose to make more farmland does increase atmospheric CO2.
      That all seems like a line drawing game. How come burn a tree, plant a tree is carbon neutral, but burn a tree, plant some corn is not? Doesn't corn also absorb CO2 from the air?
      From some research on the web, I found that an acre of corn can sequester anywhere from 3000 to 7000 kg per acre and an acre of trees will sequester from 1300 to 9000 kg per acre.
      I also found claims that said burning down forest reduces our ability to sequester CO2 by 2600 to 11000 kg per acre, while planting forest only increases our ability to sequester by the aforementioned 1300 to 9000 kg per acre. Must be something to do with entropy. Or number fudging to prove a point.

      --
      If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
    9. Re:Releasing breaks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also winter made lot of not so smart people believe that global warming is a scam

      "Global Warming" as an urgent crisis caused by human activity is a scam. Average temperatures haven't gone up in a decade and the climate models that the Global Warming alarmists are pointing to can't even accurately predict current conditions from historical data.

      The primary driving factors of world wide climate (absent widespread volcanic activity, which is not cyclic and not predictable) are insolation and the oceans, not atmospheric CO2 levels.

      Anyway, we need long term technological solutions.

      Agreed, and these solutions are coming. Solar power collection technologies are steadily improving and their costs are steadily decreasing; unfortunately solar power typically has a 50% duty cycle; the proposed solar farm in Nevada that will capture heat during the day in molten salt to drive generators at night still doesn't promise a 100% duty cycle. New safer small-reactor technologies (esp. those involving thorium) are being developed and some are ready for pilot production installs. And the Italian cold fusion development http://hardware.slashdot.org/story/11/01/24/1550205/Italian-Scientists-Demonstrate-Cold-Fusion is fascinating.

      But we do not need short-term social solutions that consist of destroying the economies of the technologically-advanced nations or (the AGW activist's favorite) killing all the "deniers". (Think I'm engaging in hyperbole? There are videos where they demand exactly that.)

      released breaks.

      ITYM "brakes".

    10. Re:Releasing breaks by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

      That all seems like a line drawing game. How come burn a tree, plant a tree is carbon neutral, but burn a tree, plant some corn is not? Doesn't corn also absorb CO2 from the air?

      The difference is that a tree lives a century, and then decays over the course of centuries. In theory some of the carbon from the tree remains in the soil even after that. So a tree removes carbon from the air for centuries. Corn, on the other hand, grows for 1 year. The grain from a corn plant is eaten nearly immediately, releasing its carbon into the air. The corn stalks are usually chopped and burned, chopped and composted, or chopped and fermented. In all those cases, the carbon dioxide is returned to the air within a year. A corn field has no long term carbon storage. Then think about the fertilizers used on a corn field. Most are made from fossil fuels, and the process of making them releases vast amounts of carbon dioxide.

    11. Re:Releasing breaks by SETIGuy · · Score: 1
      I know you're just another anonymous denialist troll, but can't you guys come up with some new lies at least? The benefit of the old lies, however, is that the responses to the are readily available.

      "Global Warming" as an urgent crisis caused by human activity is a scam. Average temperatures haven't gone up in a decade and the climate models that the Global Warming alarmists are pointing to can't even accurately predict current conditions from historical data.

      For global records, 2010 is the hottest year on record, tied with 2005. Satellites provide unmistakable evidence that the Earth has been warming for the past 30 years. Models successfully reproduce temperatures since 1900 globally, by land, in the air and the ocean.

      The primary driving factors of world wide climate (absent widespread volcanic activity, which is not cyclic and not predictable) are insolation and the oceans, not atmospheric CO2 levels.

      In the last 35 years of global warming, sun and climate have been going in opposite directions. The oceans are warming because of atmospheric CO2 and moreover are becoming more acidic, threatening the food chain.

      Feel free to lie to yourself, but please don't lie to us.

    12. Re:Releasing breaks by GPLHost-Thomas · · Score: 1

      It's also very hard to convince people that average has no meaning in thermodynamics...

    13. Re:Releasing breaks by SydShamino · · Score: 1

      When that average changes from -1 deg C to 1 deg C, there's a rather large meaning...

      --
      It doesn't hurt to be nice.
    14. Re:Releasing breaks by GPLHost-Thomas · · Score: 1

      Let's say you live in between Boston and New York, that in Boston it's -1 deg C, and in New York it's +1 deg C, does it help you to know the average temperature? Does it means that, as you live in the middle, it's going to be zero? Or, maybe it will freeze, maybe not, and the average means nothing?

      Now, take 2 rooms. One is -3 deg C, one is +1 deg C. If room 1 is twice bigger than room 2, what happens if you mix both ambient air? Freezing, or not? Are both rooms at the same pressure? Hard to tell if you don't put ENERGY into the balance.

  7. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by wjousts · · Score: 1, Insightful

    I believe the climate change deniers logic goes something like this:

    1. 1) It ain't happening
    2. 2) It's happening, but it ain't our fault
    3. 3) It's happening, it's our fault, but it's too expensive to fix
    4. 4) It's happening, it's our fault, not fixing it is more expensive but now it's too late
    5. 5) ?????
    6. 6) Rapture
  8. 3 degree change by wombatmobile · · Score: 0

    If Earth's climate warms by just 3 degrees...

    adjust your air conditioner.

    1. Re:3 degree change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      An average change in temperature of 3 degrees across the entire Earth is huge.

    2. Re:3 degree change by gblackwo · · Score: 1

      Your solution is to increase the entropy in the environment even more? Wtf?

    3. Re:3 degree change by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

      it doesn't get warmer, it gets more violent. like... more tornadoes

      the only silver lining in the current rash of tornadoes in the country's midsection is that the country's midsection is also home to more conservatives, who are more likely to doubt climate change gloom and doom

      but with twisters bearing down on the usa's conservative areas, conservatives have no more reason to doubt climate fears, and a solid incentive to make sure the atmosphere is less violent, which means less warm, which means less CO2, which means changes in their politics

      one can hope, at least, that the twisters are a wake up call for some about climate change. it doesn't mean balmy weather, it means atmospheric violence

      --
      intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    4. Re:3 degree change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And an aids epidemic in San Fransisco has the benefit that it hits more gays.

      Do you see how that sounds? Prick.

    5. Re:3 degree change by jakobX · · Score: 1

      Most people interpret this as only a slightly warmer weather. The terms weather and climate mean the same thing to the majority. Thats why you get a lot of climate change is bullshit stories every time there is snow somewhere on the planet.

    6. Re:3 degree change by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

      what? and teach gays that they should practice safer sex?

      i see how that sounds. you want us to wrap our pricks. good message

      --
      intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    7. Re:3 degree change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Saying that the others that lived there deserved it is prickish. I lost several friends in the Alabama tornados. I'm tired of liberal climate change aficionados spouting off at the mouth that these people deserved it or that their deaths served the greater good because they raised awareness. These were PEOPLE for crying out loud. Not cannon fodder. You piss on their graves when you talk like this about them. And you sound just like a liberal Jerry Falwell when you do it.

    8. Re:3 degree change by mellon · · Score: 1

      You are fortunate to live in an economy where you can afford to adjust your air conditioner...

    9. Re:3 degree change by afidel · · Score: 1

      Actually while net energy will increase with rising temperatures cape (or the amount of wind sheer) is expected to drop thus counteracting the increase in energy. The net effect is expected to be fewer but possibly more violent tornado's. The outbreak this spring in mostly fueled by la nina which is an increase in cool waters in the norther Pacific, not something that would be expected with rising global temperatures.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    10. Re:3 degree change by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

      nobody deserves to die you fucking retard. if you think that's my message, you're only broadcasting your poor social skills and low iq. my message is "please wake up and see the light." not "haha, you died." jesus what a spatic asshole you are

      --
      intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    11. Re:3 degree change by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

      you're confusing short term and long term changes, and local effects and global effects. overall, global warming is real and speaks of a more violent atmosphere, all short term and local fluctuations aside. besides, i'm just asking people to wake up to the larger picture. sometimes it takes a small and short term jump that can be, but shouldn't be, dismissed as a short term or local trend, to open peoples minds to the larger truths out there

      --
      intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    12. Re:3 degree change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are a sick person...

    13. Re:3 degree change by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      but with twisters bearing down on the usa's conservative areas, conservatives have no more reason to doubt climate fears, and a solid incentive to make sure the atmosphere is less violent, which means less warm, which means less CO2, which means changes in their politics

      one can hope, at least, that the twisters are a wake up call for some about climate change. it doesn't mean balmy weather, it means atmospheric violence

      Since these particular tornadoes seem to be a side-effect of the disappearance of La Nina, it's unlikely that it'll convince many people other than the True Believers.

      Face it, tornadoes happen every year. A lot of them happen every year. You don't read about it so much since most of them do their thing in open country, not over towns, but they're an every year thing.

      And seeing a perfectly normal event (a tornado) doesn't usually cause people to go "Ahh!!! The Sky is falling!!! Global Warming is REAL!!! Ahh!!!".

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    14. Re:3 degree change by afidel · · Score: 1

      What? I responded to your "the tornado outbreak should wake people up to global warming" with the actual expected results of long term global warning on tornado occurrence and you think I'm the one confused about short and long term changes?!?

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    15. Re:3 degree change by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      You somehow believe this was the worst year for tornadoes, or even more laughable that this imaginary peak was caused by global warming? Get a clue, get some facts. Most fatalities in U.S. by tornadoes was in 1925, most tornadoes was in 1953, the most tornadoes in a short period of time was in 1974 (184 in 16 hours with 330 dead). There always some Al-Gore type alarmist who after every interesting weather event wails, *this is due to global warming!*. What a load of ignorant bullshit.

    16. Re:3 degree change by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

      are you trying to say the increase in twisters is a short term thing that should be discarded from the mind as random noise?

      --
      intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    17. Re:3 degree change by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

      you do realize that there are more factors in play here. tornado fatalities went down due to better warning systems. now we have better warning systems, and fatalities start creeping up again

      but you wish to read fatalities as a one issue story, rather than understand the number of factors in play, and i'm the one shoveling a load of ignorant bullshit?

      --
      intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    18. Re:3 degree change by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      The country's midsection has ALWAYS had lots of tornadoes.... just like how idiots that live along the Mississippi get flooded every year. News is slow, they are simply reporting on it because there is not a bigger thing to report on.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    19. Re:3 degree change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If I remember correctly, Falwell only said that he wanted the gays to see the light about their behavior. You're upset. You should be. You sound just like him. You preach that the people that live in these regions are living in sin and deserve what they get. As did Falwell with San Fran. Think about what you are saying. Stop spouting Daily Kos(sack) talking points. You are ruining the chances that the green movement can actually change human behavior in an effort to show your superiority over "those dumb flyover country hicks".

      When the environmentalists come up with a power generation solution that actually enables civilization to continue (including the parts of it that provide food for pompous urban assholes who are more worried about polar bears than people), then we might be willing to look at it. But tractors and working pickup trucks can't run on solar and are unworkable with batteries. We need them to provide food for you, so that you can mouth off on slashdot and talk about how inbred we all are and how we hate the earth, etc. Go ahead. Implement crap and tax. Your food prices will go up, tremendously. There will be riots in impoverished inner city neighborhoods from it, just as there were riots in Egypt from it. You'll be closer to them when they happen. When it does, do you really want your countrymen saying that you deserve what happened to you, or do you want them helping you?

      Look, I know the way that we produce energy right now sucks. It's messy and environmentally destructive. It does need to be fixed. But, there are currently no viable alternatives (viable in the economic sense and in the power production sense) to the internal combustion engine when producing power to do work on a farm. It might work great for commuter traffic in a city, but you're going to be hard pressed to beat the power of a diesel tractor when you are trying to do spring planting. Farmers, as a rule, do not like new ideas until they have been proven (to exhaustion, frequently and unfortunately) to work because it doesn't take many foul-ups to ruin a harvest. The sons and daughters of farmers tend to think the same way, even after they are off of the farm. You can either deal with these peoples' psychology in an effective way, or you can rant at them and act as if they got what they deserve. Only one of these approaches is effective. I can tell you from having grown up in that environment which one is which.

    20. Re:3 degree change by afidel · · Score: 1

      I'm saying it has nothing to do with global warming and so should not be part of the conversation about the consequences of global warming. There are plenty of negative consequences to a rise in mean temperature without throwing FUD into the equation.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    21. Re:3 degree change by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      tornadoes don't care where the people are. the most violent tornadoes, the most numerous tornadoes, weren't this year. No unusual factors in play at all. No increase in tornado severity or number due to any climatic or weather related change over the last century. That is the bullshit you are shoveling. There is no increased severity of flooding, nor drought, nor hailstorms, nor blizzards over the past century.

    22. Re:3 degree change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      uhhh and you are not confusing long and short term things? On the one hand you claim the tornadoes this year are a direct effect. Then when someone points out the real cause you fall back to long/short arguments?

      Doing this sort of argument makes you and your argument look foolish. It is one of the reasons many people doubt global warming. As the argument changes with the weather... Eventually they give up and just pick a side. Usually the side that does not look/feel wrong all the time.

      Stop arguing this way if you want people to pay attention to what you say. It makes you look deceptive. People tend to ignore people they perceive as deceptive.

    23. Re:3 degree change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't worry, the progressives are taking over and soon there wont be any economy where anyone can afford to own an air conditioner.

    24. Re:3 degree change by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

      http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/31/science/31tornado.html

      continuing to tell me that the factors are simple only tells me your mind is simple

      --
      intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    25. Re:3 degree change by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

      "I'm saying it has nothing to do with global warming"

      then you are telling me you are god, because no one knows that. a genuinely intelligent person knows the limits of knowledge. a moron goes into the gray area and boldly and ignorantly announces his certainty

      --
      intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    26. Re:3 degree change by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

      there are long term and short term effects for everything. no one knows for certain. but those who boldly announce their certainty that is, or is not, a cause are morons. intelligent people know what the limits of our knowledge are. idiots proudly march into the gray area and announce their certainty about something being the cause or not being the cause. it could be global warming, it might not be. if you tell me it is global warming with certainty, you're an idiot. if you tell me it isn't global warming with certainty, you're an idiot

      i'm simply asking some of the conservative idiots currently announcing their certainty on global warming not being the cause of violent tornadoes to revisit their ignorant certainty on the issue of global warming and violent weather

      i'm sorry for asking you to think

      --
      intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    27. Re:3 degree change by cyberchondriac · · Score: 1

      Repeating short term, yes- El Nino/La Nina is a cyclic phenomena, and has been attributed to the outbreak of tornadoes this year. No such disaster should be "discarded from the mind" however.
      Do you expect to see the same sort of tornado outbreak year after year from here on out?

      --

      Look back up at my post, now look back down, you're on the Internet. Now look back up. I'm a signature.
    28. Re:3 degree change by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

      i don't know what dailykos is. i don't care about falwell and gays. i stopped reading after your first paragraph

      please go off in the corner and have the conversation with yourself you are so eager to have and stop reading your delusions into words i have written that have absolutely nothing to do with the rambling narrative you are obsessed about

      --
      intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    29. Re:3 degree change by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

      no there is a steady uptick in fatalities and violence

      --
      intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    30. Re:3 degree change by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Your *data* is out of *date*.

      dig here: http://www.spc.nssl.noaa.gov/climo/historical.html

      or get a summary here: http://tamino.wordpress.com/2011/05/25/year-of-the-twister/

      or google ...

      If you don't *know* that global warming causes more and especially more violent storms then I suggest study a bit meteorology. Actually it should be a no brainer to understand this simple correlation.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    31. Re:3 degree change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      it doesn't get warmer, it gets more violent. like... more tornadoes

      No, the energy is in the form of heat. There are local variances up and down, though, and it doesn't mean that the temperature goes up evenly everywhere; just the average.

      However, your point about tornadoes is completely unfounded. There's no evidence that they have anything to do with climate change.

      Another point is that pumping more energy into the ecosystem may have some advantages side-effects. The periods of life on earth that have had the most active, varied biosphere have coincided with the warmest periods. We are in a bit of a cold spell now, and it has been reflected with decrease in the number of species. If there's more energy in the ecosystem, life will make use of it. The transition might be problematic, though.

      Oh, and your comment about the benefits of people dying who you disagree with politically reveal that you're a disgusting person.

    32. Re:3 degree change by Bengie · · Score: 1

      A 3 degree difference is the difference between having the "North Pole" and having a large ocean. It is currently very probable for the entire Arctic to melt entirely by 2100 without the current surges of CO2 output.

      Santa Claus will have no where to live, unless he plans to live on a boat at the "North Pole"

    33. Re:3 degree change by tbannist · · Score: 1

      Here's what the IPCC has to say about it in the Fourth Assessment Report:

      "Since 1950, the number of heat waves has increased and widespread increases have occurred in the numbers of warm nights. The extent of regions affected by droughts has also increased as precipitation over land has marginally decreased while evaporation has increased due to warmer conditions. Generally, numbers of heavy daily precipitation events that lead to flooding have increased, but not everywhere. Tropical storm and hurricane frequencies vary considerably from year to year, but evidence suggests substantial increases in intensity and duration since the 1970s. In the extratropics, variations in tracks and intensity of storms reflect variations in major features of the atmospheric circulation, such as the North Atlantic Oscillation."

      This article discusses a report from the Global Humanitarian Fund that estimates that 40% of 2010's severe weather events are attributable to global warming, which is in line with Peter Baines estimate that 37% of Australia's drought severity can be attributed to Global warming.

      So to put it plainly, there has been a significant increase in both flooding and droughts. I don't think there's been much research into the effects of climate change on hailstorms and blizzards.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    34. Re:3 degree change by tompaulco · · Score: 1

      the only silver lining in the current rash of tornadoes in the country's midsection is that the country's midsection is also home to more conservatives, who are more likely to doubt climate change gloom and doom
      What rash of tornadoes? Despite the high profile that the news media has given to the Alabama and Joplin tornadoes, the number and severity of tornadoes this year has actually been somewhat below average.

      --
      If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
    35. Re:3 degree change by mellon · · Score: 1

      Hm. No, he actually gave a reason: he attributed it to La Niña. Your argument is weak. Demanding that people accept weak arguments is a great way to give global warming theory a bad name. Please try to use better arguments, rather than pounding on the table in a vain attempt to support your position.

    36. Re:3 degree change by mellon · · Score: 1

      If you are asserting here that this tornado season was not unusual, your argument is weak. This tornado season *has* been unusual. Whether it's been unusual as a result of global warming is a topic reasonable people can debate, but whether it's been unusual is not.

    37. Re:3 degree change by fuzznutz · · Score: 2

      Or perhaps the "creeping" is because people tire of the NWS and local new channels crying wolf every time there is a thunderstorm. I for one, never replaced my weather radio because I was tired of being woken at 3AM because NWS heard some rain falling somewhere within 20 miles of me. How many times do they need to broadcast those damn "thunderstorm warnings" at 3AM? Jesus, wake me if there is a tornado, I can deal with a little rain just fine.

    38. Re:3 degree change by SnarfQuest · · Score: 1

      You might as well give up. The Algorites will simple change which data is selected, like "this is the most tornadoes seen in a 13 second period during a month ending in R during an election year with a French Pope". By doing this sort of "selection", you can easily prove Global Warming exists and is caused by man. Especially if you economically hit those who don't agree with your position, like only funding those science programs that agree with your position, and defunding any school who dare host a research program that goes against your personal views. This gives you a group of pre-selected scientists that will always vote for your position, just to keep the money coming in.

      --
      Who would win this election: Andrew Weiner vs Andrew Weiner's weiner.
    39. Re:3 degree change by SnarfQuest · · Score: 1

      but you wish to read fatalities as a one issue story, rather than understand the number of factors in play, and i'm the one shoveling a load of ignorant bullshit?

      There's probably just more trailer houses than before.

      FYI: old "joke". If there were no trailer houses, would there be tornadoes?

      --
      Who would win this election: Andrew Weiner vs Andrew Weiner's weiner.
    40. Re:3 degree change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      those who boldly announce their certainty that is, or is not, a cause are morons.

      Sounds reasonable. But previously you said...

      one can hope, at least, that the twisters are a wake up call for some about climate change.

      It sounds to me like you boldly announced your certainty that the twisters were caused by climate change.

  9. good news everybody! by Thud457 · · Score: 1

    we're coming out of the great recession!

    --

    the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

    1. Re:good news everybody! by Duradin · · Score: 2

      s/great recession/last iceage

    2. Re:good news everybody! by Arlet · · Score: 1

      We've stopped coming out of the last ice age about 8,000 years ago.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Holocene_Temperature_Variations.png

    3. Re:good news everybody! by SnarfQuest · · Score: 1

      we're coming out of the great recession!

      Now, all we need to worry about is the rising unemployment, increasing taxes, lower incomes, increased home foreclosures, reduced home purchases, reduced property values, rapidly increasing national debt, ... Good thing the recession is over.

      --
      Who would win this election: Andrew Weiner vs Andrew Weiner's weiner.
  10. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by cpu6502 · · Score: 1

    So if tornadoes are a "certain connection" to global warming, how come I'm freezing my ass off in New England? (And not just this year, but also the last 3 winters.) Summer has also been cooler than normal.

    --
    My AC stalker: " I personally agree with your posts most of the time, but that won't keep me from modding you troll"
  11. we're not going to do anything by cats-paw · · Score: 1

    and were not going to do anything even when it's too late.

    the powers that be are going to let lots of people die because it's profitable.

    too many people...

    --
    Absolute statements are never true
  12. Re:There is a simple solution by tgatliff · · Score: 1, Insightful

    I personally think this is overplayed... The worst we can do is to put the CO2 levels back to what they were in the dinosaur days... Yes, I agree that the atmosphere this time is much thinner, and I also agree that it will create a different equilibrium of weather patterns. As always, we will get by, however...

  13. Nuclear power - irrational fear by vmaldia · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Its really simple. People are stupid in analyzing risk. They tend to underplay risk that is common or that they control and exagerrate risk that is out of their control or is unusual. If eating say garlic hamburgers gave you a 10% risk of death by heart attack, they wont bat an eye. But if there was a 1% chance of death from vampires, then they would gladly eat garlic hamburgers. Death by vampiric attack is more attention getting than heart attack. Is nuclear power risky? yes but the consequences are arguably less severe than global warming + peak oil. However people still irrationally fear nuclear power more since the dangers of nuclear power are more attention getting and unusual This is thinking irraitonally.

    1. Re:Nuclear power - irrational fear by mellon · · Score: 2

      The main reason people fear nuclear power irrationally is that it's very difficult to model the risk of nuclear power, and proponents of nuclear power have gone out of their way to make it harder. And of course the risk of an abstract, ideal nuclear power plant is different than the risk of a nuclear power plant built by the lowest bidder, publicly rather than privately indemnified.

      So whine about it if you want, but the situation exists for a reason, and whining about it doesn't change that.

    2. Re:Nuclear power - irrational fear by mlts · · Score: 2

      The fear outshines the facts. A picture of Godzilla will outweigh a hundred statistics saying how dangerous other methods of energy generation are.

      The only downside to nuclear power is the fact that contractors can get away with failing to do their part. If there are laws placed to hold people culpable (perhaps something that the company would be immediately nationalized if serious misconduct was found), this would be minimized.

      The reward is more than worth the risk. No CO2 emissions. No pollution to the environment. Excellent energy density, so it can be built nearby a city, minimizing loss via power lines. Until fusion becomes a viable energy source, what else can one ask for?

    3. Re:Nuclear power - irrational fear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Drinkypoo is pointing out a well known fact about how we assess risk. For example, many Canadians ooh and aah about all of the dangerous animals in Australia, but hardly anybody dies from shark attack, or snake bites (as memorable as these phenomena are). Moose on the roads are ffar more dangerous.

      A /large/ part of nuclear-phobia is because being nuked fits in the "shark attack" category, and not the "death-by-moose" category, which is so mundane. And then there are all sort of politcal action groups that have owned the message on nuclear power.

      Truth is, that are nuclear engineering is in it's infancy -- an analogous position to the inter-war aviation industry of the 20s. We /could/ build safer and better plants, but we have to learn how to do that, and that will require an investment from society.

      Solar, geo-thermal, tidal, wind... etc, are all subsidized by cheap oil, and we are running out of all the resources to make these things anyway. It will be an interesting future, with much nashing of teeth. There will be whiners and nay-sayers, and unfortunately, we are still spending trillions on the military, and peanuts on researching an energy-secure future.

    4. Re:Nuclear power - irrational fear by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, after Fukushima, it will be a long time before people are willing to trust nuclear. Even countries that formerly had a lot of nuclear, like Germany, are backing away from it. No one wants a huge chunk of their country to become inaccessible. The end result is, you can complain all you want, but if the choice is between global warming and nuclear power, we're going to find out what global warming is like.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    5. Re:Nuclear power - irrational fear by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 2

      The main reason people fear nuclear power irrationally is that it's very difficult to model the risk of nuclear power,

      And modeling the risks of global warming is easier how? Seems to me it's a much, much tougher nut to crack.

      I see 2 main reasons people oppose nuclear power as a solution to carbon emissions. The biggest is that they just don't consider carbon emissions to be a serious problem. The next, and very close behind it, is how much easier it is to find problems than solutions. With electrics cars around the corner, nuclear power solves 90% of carbon emissions. It is much easier though to look at nuclear as a problem of it's own rather than as a solution to a bigger problem.

      I forget who to credit it to, but people are like sheep. They fear the sheephound and wish he'd go away, right up until a wolf has them by throat.

    6. Re:Nuclear power - irrational fear by manaway · · Score: 1

      The fear outshines the facts. A picture of Godzilla will outweigh a hundred statistics saying how dangerous other methods of energy generation are. The only downside to nuclear power is the fact that contractors can get away with failing to do their part. If there are laws placed to hold people culpable (perhaps something that the company would be immediately nationalized if serious misconduct was found), this would be minimized.

      The 2nd only downside is the fact that no insurance company will insure a nuclear power plant. Not because of Godzilla fears, but because of nuclear accident facts (and actuarial tables).

      If there are laws placed to hold people culpable (perhaps something that the company would be immediately nationalized if serious misconduct was found), this would be minimized.

      Holding corporate executives responsible sounds like a good idea, no one in the US has seen it in practice though. "Immediate nationalized" once a plant is at risk sounds like a great way for a corporation to maximize profits at first, then transfer risks to the public when problems arise.

      No pollution to the environment.

      Then there's the 3rd only downside of land and water contamination of nuclear fuel mining. And a 4th only downside of miner exposure to radiation, and their family's exposure to the polluted water table. Then there's the 5th only downside of spent fuel storage.

      And perhaps we should include a 6th only downside of nuclear being incredibly expensive to build and maintain.

    7. Re:Nuclear power - irrational fear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nail on head

      It takes much less energy to respond irrationally to something than to force oneself to approach it in a rational manner.

    8. Re:Nuclear power - irrational fear by tompaulco · · Score: 1

      I think it is the lottery syndrome. People play the lottery knowing full well that they probably won't win, but if they overcome the odds and do win, the payout is huge. Same thing with energy. There is a very very small chance that something could happen at a nuclear plant, but that something would be very, very bad. On the average, nuclear is far better for your health than coal, but on the average, your expected return from playing the lottery is 25 cents on the dollar. The standard deviation is more important to people than the average.

      --
      If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
    9. Re:Nuclear power - irrational fear by mellon · · Score: 2

      It's really easy to blame people for being irrational in the abstract, but if you take into account real-world problems, it's not at all clear that people *are* being irrational. Just because someone doesn't agree with you doesn't mean that person is irrational.

      If nuclear power were safe, it would be possible for utilities to build nuclear power plants without government indemnification. Insurance companies would weigh the risks, and write the policy, charging the appropriate market price. This cost would be assumed by the ratepayer, who would consider it a bargain because it would be cheaper than alternatives. The reason that doesn't happen is that if you factor in the cost of indemnification, it is *not* cheaper than the alternatives.

      It's true that it's difficult to model the risks of global warming, but we have pretty good models. It's possible that if nuclear and carbon were competing head-to-head, the numbers for nuclear would turn out to be lower than the numbers for carbon. If you really want to see nuclear advance, work on getting the externalities out of carbon. My intuition is that if the true cost of nuclear and carbon were actually accounted for, a lot of those supposedly marginal forms of "green" generation would suddenly look a lot more attractive.

      But you may be right. If you want to find out, stop complaining about how unfair things are and work to make things more fair.

    10. Re:Nuclear power - irrational fear by foniksonik · · Score: 1

      If we passed said laws, no investor would get anywhere near it. No investors == no power plant.

      --
      A fool throws a stone into a well and a thousand sages can not remove it.
    11. Re:Nuclear power - irrational fear by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 2

      If nuclear power were safe, it would be possible for utilities to build nuclear power plants without government indemnification.

      This statement is true if and only if government requirements are rationally based...
      As most people, I don't accept that basic premise, you probably shouldn't use it.

      The reason that doesn't happen is that if you factor in the cost of indemnification, it is *not* cheaper than the alternatives.

      Ah, but which comes first? The ridiculous costs employed against nuclear are BECAUSE of the irrational fear of it. You don't get turn around and use those high costs to justify the irrationality too, that is irrational in itself.

      The reality is that coal power kills more people than nuclear power. It kills more people not by a small margin, but at a hands down terrifyingly higher rate. Coal plants even manage to dump MORE radioactive material into the environment than a nuclear plant.

      Look no further than the Fukushima disaster for the proof of nuclear safety versus other power generation methods. How many people have died so far because of Fukushima? How many are projected to get sick in the future? How many have been killed by hydro dams failing and wiping out those downstream? How many coal miners die through accidents each year? How many to lung diseases from working the mines for years?

      Oh, and that isn't even mentioning that the Fukushima plant had the added mark that it's disaster was precipitated by not only the most devastating earthquake in the nations recorded history, but the worst Tsunami as well.

      You original point about government indemnification makes my point better than yours. Nuclear is safer, and has injured and killed vastly fewer people than any other form of cheaper power generation, and yet the indemnification conditions on nuclear is astronomically higher than that for any of the others...

      I dunno about you, but I call that irrational fear.

      It's true that it's difficult to model the risks of global warming, but we have pretty good models.

      No, we don't. Can anyone's models even project sea level rise 30 years from now within 5cm with any degree of confidence? Nope. Good luck projecting climate averages out to 2100(let alone the impacts) where it is supposed to really start kicking in.

    12. Re:Nuclear power - irrational fear by MimeticLie · · Score: 1
      The 2nd only downside is the fact that no insurance company will insure a nuclear power plant. Not because of Godzilla fears, but because of nuclear accident facts (and actuarial tables).

      Source? Because I'm going to go out on a limb here and say you don't know what you're talking about:

      American Nuclear Insurers (ANI) is a joint underwriting association created by some of the largest insurance companies in the United States. Our purpose is to pool the financial assets pledged by our member companies to provide the significant amount of property and liability insurance required for nuclear power plants and related facilities throughout the world.

      http://www.amnucins.com/

      See also: http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-collections/fact-sheets/funds-fs.html
      Basically, each nuclear plant has $375 million in private insurance, and then they all pay into a fund that can cover upwards of $12 billion.

      But don't let the facts get in the way of your FUD.

    13. Re:Nuclear power - irrational fear by MimeticLie · · Score: 1

      Look no further than the Fukushima disaster for the proof of nuclear safety versus other power generation methods. How many people have died so far because of Fukushima? How many are projected to get sick in the future? How many have been killed by hydro dams failing and wiping out those downstream? How many coal miners die through accidents each year? How many to lung diseases from working the mines for years?

      It's not just that. 24,000 people die prematurely each year from the normal operation of coal fired power plants, in addition to a myriad of other health concerns. Talking about the dangers of nuclear without mentioning the costs of current methods is intellectually dishonest.

    14. Re:Nuclear power - irrational fear by hey! · · Score: 1

      Although the psychological phenomenon you note exists and no doubt comes into play in the politics of nuclear power, that doesn't mean that critiques of nuclear power are necessarily irrational. There can be rational bases for opposition as well. I'll note four here, but first let me state that I am for increasing the use of nuclear power. If you can't treat reasonable objections as reasonable, you have no hope of winning over people you disagree with.

      First objection: while the average risk of loss from a nuclear accident is low, the average is not a good measure to use because the risk is not evenly distributed. Consider Fukushima. On a global scale, its reduction of well-being to the *average* human being is probably too small to measure. For those lived or had a business within 20km of Fukushima, the impact on their lives is huge. Of course anthropogenic climate change is probably worse, however using the *average* risk imposed by climate change makes more sense because it's impossible to pin any one meteorological event on climate change.

      Second objection: risk estimates provided by the nuclear power industry are questionable. While nuclear accidents are exceedingly rare, the unhappy corollary is that you can't really know for sure how any design will actually function in these rare events. This is no mere appeal to ignorance as the Fukushima disaster demonstrates. The initial weeks of the event were a parade of unexpected developments with (at the time) no clear explanation. This points to a less robust understanding of system behavior under disaster conditions than is typically boasted. At the very least this argues for putting some fat error bars around any risk estimates put forth by designers of nuclear plants. Fukushima tells us that we should revisit the notion that redundant safety systems == failsafe. Otherwise independent safety systems can unexpectedly share the same single point of failure: the management that maintains them. That undermines the independent event assumption used to arrive at a risk figure.

      Third concern: problems, other than radiological disaster, entailed with further pursuit of nuclear power. Examples include weapons proliferation, plant decommissioning, and nuclear waste management. These are all technologically manageable concerns, but that we have not addressed them yet shows they may be politically unmanageable. There is not much practical difference between problems we can't manage and problems we *won't*.

      Fourth concern: if we let our future become dependent upon nuclear technology, any critical examination of that technology becomes politically intolerable. This, by the way, is why I'm *for* developing and fielding new reactor designs. I believe greater use of nuclear power is bound to happen in the mid-term. Better that we get started now in a modest way before critiquing a widely used design brands you as a Luddite.

      If we had a perfect, critical examination of risks of far greater reliance on nuclear power, it would almost certainly show that even in the worst case it poses a risk that is within a range overlapping many risks we take for granted. Automobiles, in fact, are far worse than anything we can expect from future nuclear plants. They're practically an ongoing holocaust, but we accept them because of their obvious benefits. If we could get the risk of automobile use down to the risk of ubiquitous nuclear power, that would be an unheard of improvement. But that doesn't mean that a critique of nuclear safety is on the face of it *irrational*. The parallel with cars is worth examining, but it is far from an exact. As of yet we don't have any acceptable substitute for them. We haven't reached that point with nuclear power. That's why now is a good time work out the kinks in the technology.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    15. Re:Nuclear power - irrational fear by manaway · · Score: 1

      From your source, http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-collections/fact-sheets/funds-fs.html : Claims resulting from nuclear accidents are covered under Price-Anderson; for that reason, all property and liability insurance policies issued in the U.S. exclude nuclear accidents.

      Also, the Price-Anderson Act which you refer to is a pooling of funds, a form of self-insurance, which isn't the same as complete coverage insurance through a third-party private insurer. Though it's still a form of (partial) insurance, so make of that what you will. The main point being that taxpayers, the ones who benefit from electricity but don't receive profits from its sale, are the main party responsible for the consequences of accidents.

      Who is paying the superfund clean-up costs (e.g. Hanford or 3-Mile Island)? Hint: it's not ANI, like you imply. Until the mid-1990s, most of the funding came from a tax on the petroleum and chemical industries, reflecting the polluter pays principle, and Congress yielded to corporate pressure. We're both guilty of a little ignorance and perhaps even FUD; and I could certainly become better informed on this topic.

  14. Re:There is a simple solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sooo....

    reduce my Pepsi intake + get my spine "adjusted" by one of you quacks == live forever!

  15. ob by Hognoxious · · Score: 2, Funny

    the cost of solar cells has dropped about 21 percent this year, leading to predictions that solar power may become cheaper than nuclear and fossil power within five years.

    Somebody had to.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    1. Re:ob by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Its not quite as bad as that, there a lot of data that is consistent with that prediction, whether it happens or not is another matter. See http://ceramics.org/ceramictechtoday/2009/09/24/cutting-pv-costs-part-2-process-improvements-versus-science-breakthroughs/ for some historical data or SolarBuzz for more graphs but only from 2000. The market is growing at almost 100% per year at the moment.

  16. Again with this... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    How long to we have to listen to endless stories on the need for "Climate Control" measures? I've been hearing dire forecast for 20 years, none of which has ever even remotely come true. Let's face it Climate control is not about Climate, it's about control.

  17. Really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just as the ozone layer is rebuilding itself? Maybe it's because we cut down on all that laughing gas?

    1. Re:Really? by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      Yes I have not had a Solar home for over 10 years now... ex wife ensured that, I really miss that property... we had a dome on a lake with a 16 large panel array on manual jack arms so I could readjust for seasonal angle changes, never went with sun tracking. I also am in the upper midwest and 2 hours of peak on average is typical. in winter, I was sweeping off the panels daily in hopes of making power.(I added a windmill to make up the difference in winter) Part of it was because I did undersize the system I only had enough money to buy 110% of what I needed in PV arrays. for my location I really needed 180%-210% because of the weather patterns and northern location. I would have utterly KILLED to have then what is available now. even the garbage Harbor Freight panels are twice as good as the state of the art ones I had in the late 90's.

      Most people will not buy enough panels because they don't realize how many you need to do complete off the grid power levels. and Intertie were expensive as hell although I switched to it in 1999 when my battery bank was nearing replacement time.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
  18. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Inda · · Score: 1

    How about:

    No one important seems to give a shit, so why shoud I?

    My parents caused all this, and they don't give a shit, so why should I?

    I'm lied to daily, and I no longer trust anything that's said.

    I need to pay my bills or I'll die. I'll worry about climate change when my other problems are sorted.

    Life is just too short to worry about climate change.

    -- or maybe something inbetween?

    --
    This post contains benzene, nitrosamines, formaldehyde and hydrogen cyanide.
  19. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by jellomizer · · Score: 1

    Weather is complex. Global Warming may have a large or small effect on these tornadoes. The Global Warming debate is more about politics then science. Back in the 70's and 80's they were complaining about smog (as it was a major political issue, it can be seen, smelt and noticed) Rules and regulation made automobiles and factories to greatly reduce smog in cities. However during that fight they were the anti-car group of political active environmentalist, who really has been trying to get rid of cars. As cars stop producing mass amount of the really nasty stuff and mainly CO2 the global warming CO2 connection got their attention and allowed them to continue the fight (as any activists groups biggest fear is winning, because then they loose a voice and loose funding and will need to get a different job).
    These most vocal people on both sides have little or nothing to do with science, they will scrape for reports that support their idea and put a marketing push to get their ideas out.
    We need alternate energy. Because we need to keep our options open, Nuclear, Solar, Hydroelectric, other methods are important, we need to keep our sources diverse

    --
    If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
  20. Dumb statement by GooberToo · · Score: 1

    jamie points out a recent report that the cost of solar cells has dropped about 21 percent this year, leading to predictions that solar power may become cheaper than nuclear and fossil power within five years.

    Which in turn says:

    If we can get solar at 15 cents a kilowatt-hour or lower, which Iâ(TM)m hopeful that we will do, youâ(TM)re going to have a lot of people that are going to want to have solar at home,

    Basically, they are hoping to be competitive with consumer rates and are decades away, at best, and if ever, from being competitive with base load rates. That's an idiotic statement of someone trying to drive stock prices which have absolute no connection with reality.

    For solar, it would literally be a major break through to provide peak load competitive prices and they are no where near being close to being competitive with base load generation. Even moreso, voltaic requires HALF the price of base load to be competitive with base load as it can only generate power half the time. Only solar-thermal looks to be able to ever be price competitive with base load pricing and even that is just now coming out of the gate.

    Reality says the commentary is full of shit.

    1. Re:Dumb statement by HornWumpus · · Score: 2

      It doesn't have to be half the price.

      The power factor is already rolled into the price per kWh

      Besides Solar isn't base load. Solar is peak power anywhere it is economical at all (in summer when it is most abundant).

      The real question is when does Solar (without subsidies) become peak price competitive. It apparently already is in Hawaii (we should end subsidies there immediately)

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    2. Re:Dumb statement by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      Problem is that most people have zero clue about solar.... I've lived with solar installs. Here are some facts..

      peak power generation is about 2 hours each day IF you have sunny skies. so if you need 1000 watts of solar you better buy 5000 watts of it.
      solar is not a install it and forget it. 99% of all home owners will NOT get out there every 2 weeks to wash off the solar panels. Solar also requires the homeowner to understand electricity... maintain that battery pack or understand the back feed inverter and know to go downstairs to re-set it after a power failure because it will drop off when power is lost to protect line workers and unexpected backfeed.

      It will not happen. solar for the typical dumb homeowner will never happen. IT's not like paying for power where you can ignore it. it has maintenance and knowledge requirements that most people are unwilling to invest in.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    3. Re:Dumb statement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The whole premise of AGW is a dumb statement that is full of shit.

      It boggles my mind how an economist can point to the dire consequences of a guess regarding future world temperatures and not even consider the known effects of what the proposed alternative energy initiative will do to the world economy.

      But I guess this is how you get a bunch of people to willingly drink poison Kool-Aid.

    4. Re:Dumb statement by dcollins · · Score: 1

      To me, that sounds like about the same order-of-magnitude complexity as maintaining a car or a boiler.

      --
      We know where leadership by an anti-intellectual "strongman" who scapegoats minorities and likes boisterous rallies goes
    5. Re:Dumb statement by Jeremi · · Score: 2

      99% of all home owners will NOT get out there every 2 weeks to wash off the solar panels

      Maybe that's necessary in the desert, or near an active volcano, or somesuch. The company that runs our solar array doesn't bother washing the solar panels, because they found that the labor costs of washing them outweigh the benefits of the additional power. Instead they just size the array slightly larger to account for dust buildup, and let the occasional rainshower do the work.

      Solar also requires the homeowner to understand electricity... maintain that battery pack or understand the back feed inverter and know to go downstairs to re-set it after a power failure because it will drop off when power is lost to protect line workers and unexpected backfeed.

      Most installs will be grid-tied and not require batteries. As for resetting the inverter after a power failure, I think most inverters will do that automatically -- and if there are those that don't, that's a minor hassle, but hardly a show stopper.

      It will not happen. solar for the typical dumb homeowner will never happen

      In fact, it's happening now. There are companies that will install the array for you, maintain the array for you, and monitor the array's performance for you, all at no cost to you -- instead, they split the profit from your electric-bill savings with you. There is literally nothing that the 'dumb homeowner' needs to do except sign a contract and then pay less for power every month.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    6. Re:Dumb statement by ZFox · · Score: 1

      The company that runs our solar array doesn't bother washing the solar panels, because they found that the labor costs of washing them outweigh the benefits of the additional power. Instead they just size the array slightly larger to account for dust buildup, and let the occasional rainshower do the work.

      Yeah, no kidding. Why waste all that money only to realize very little savings from collecting solar energy, when so much more savings are realized, maintenance free, from collecting the tax subsidies for just having it sit there?

    7. Re:Dumb statement by rahvin112 · · Score: 2

      For solar, it would literally be a major break through to provide peak load competitive prices and they are no where near being close to being competitive with base load generation. Even moreso, voltaic requires HALF the price of base load to be competitive with base load as it can only generate power half the time. Only solar-thermal looks to be able to ever be price competitive with base load pricing and even that is just now coming out of the gate.

      You should say that your statements are based entirely on utility scale PV installations. People installing them on their homes only need to beat their retail price per KW (average US value is $0.10 per KWh, with some states at $0.05 and others at $0.30). With panel prices at $2 a Watt and falling and a guaranteed 25 year life (that's the warranty on every PV panel sold) they already make sense to individual power purchasers.

      So lets not be dishonest and use utility power pricing for homeowner economic value because they aren't equivalent. PV panels will be viable at the Utility scale level when they can get the thin film CdTe panels at $0.50 a Watt (which is theoretically possible). The fact that GE just bought the largest thin film CdTe panel producer and plans to build the largest solar panel production plant in the world should help.

    8. Re:Dumb statement by glodime · · Score: 1

      In fact, it's happening now. There are companies that will install the array for you, maintain the array for you, and monitor the array's performance for you, all at no cost to you -- instead, they split the profit from your electric-bill savings with you.

      Those installers are probably profiting more from the State's SREC (essentially a tax on energy companies not producing minimum ratio of power from solar) program than from the value of the electricity produced. If the market for solar panel installation were competitive, these companies would be paying the homeowner for the use of their real estate and the homeowner would not pay for any of the electricity generated.

      See:
      https://secure.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/wiki/Solar_Renewable_Energy_Certificates
      http://www.srectrade.com/background.php

    9. Re:Dumb statement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Solar electricity prices are still far away from the wholesale US electricity prices, but let me paint a different picture:

      In many parts of Europe the consumer prices for electricity are much higher, mostly because of environmental taxes and the sales-tax (19%) on top of that. In The Netherlands and Germany electricity is about 25 cents / kWh (even more in Denmark).
      Germany has had solid subsidizing programs (20 years guaranteed upto 60 cents/kWh, but NO investment subsidizing), The Netherlands only ever had small and intermittent subsidizing programs. With Germany currently reducing subsidizing programs, and China investing billions in huge solar panel factories, prices can only keep going down form here: http://solarbuzz.com/sites/default/files/facts_figs/modules_trend_05.png (Note: those are panel prices / W, not price/kWh, and with some looking around much lower prices are avalabble)
      Even in moderately sunny central Europe DIY-consumers can hit pay-back in about 6 years without including subsidizing by the government.

      Toughened glass, anodized aluminum frame, Silicon cells, silicone glue, silver wiring, and no moving parts make current panels last basically forever. Guarantied panel output is 80% after 20 years, but with accurate measuring equipment and graphing over >12 years, many owners can't detect a drop in output at all on old panels. (Some types of thin-film solar panels do slowly loose output.) Even if one panel in a set is affected by corrosion, it's easy to disconnect and replace or can be (electrically) remove from the set, for a slightly smaller, but still working system. Inverter electronics last about 10 years, but is easy and relatively cheap to replace. So a 6 year pay-back is a very good investment for a very durable and maintenance free electricity source.

      Conclusion: Solar panels will drop a little more while Europe is ending subsidizing programs, at which point they can easily compete with consumer-rate electricity prices in Europe. After that, production volume will go up even more, but prices will flatten out at a level competing with European consumer-rate electricity. (They often are already competitive without any subsidizing _right_now_ depending on what pay-back time you find acceptable !)

      So I don't think solar electricity will drop to 15 cents / kWh, but only because China will ship there panels to Europe instead.

      Base-load (wholesale) electricity prices will continue to drop, making nuclear generators less profitable, and peak-load prices will go up, making hydro-power more profitable. (New nuclear installations will never reach break-even, because of there complexity and rising skilled-worker / material-cost ratio in this world.)
      Consumer electricity prices will remain more or less the same (taxes may go up a bit more), like they have been for many years.

    10. Re:Dumb statement by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

      I'm only guessing that if I injected you with large quantities of potassium chloride solution, you would die. Let's try it, because you wouldn't prevent me based upon my guess, right?

    11. Re:Dumb statement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The fact that GE just bought the largest thin film CdTe panel producer and plans to build the largest solar panel production plant in the world should help.

      It will help, but you overstate their involvement. They bought a relatively small firm years ago and are now building a large factory that will output ~600 MW if they get it running by their 2014 target date. First Solar (the biggest CdTe firm) is doing on the order of 2 GW/yr today. I'm guessing they will expand by 2014. First Solar is pumping this shit out at .89 - .94 $/pW. The Chinese multicrystaline firms are doing ~6-8GW now and will continue doubling for the next few years at least (assuming 2005-2011 growth). The largest ones will break 1$/pW this year and never look back.

  21. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by mswhippingboy · · Score: 1
    Perhaps the word "global" in the phrase "global average temperature" escaped you. Perhaps New England is the whole world to you, but believe it or not, there is a world outside New England.

    Also AFAIK, there is no "certain connection" between "climate change" (formerly called "global warming") and the tornadoes but there is a "possible connection".

    --
    Sometimes the light at the end of the tunnel is the headlight of an oncoming train.
  22. Re:There is a simple solution by Quiet_Desperation · · Score: 1

    There have been several informative studies which have shows that an increase of carbon dioxide intake (through soda) leads to an increase in obesity, diabetes and overall ill-health.

    I'm sure the high sugar content has nothing to do with it.

    So is this a call to belch more?

  23. Peak Oil by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Haven't we hit peak oil? The problem will take care of itself when we have no fossil fuels to burn.

    1. Re:Peak Oil by mlts · · Score: 1

      Then stuff gets nasty. We still have plenty of coal. Dirty, polluting, highly toxic lignite coal. Stuff that loves to turn water tables into cesspits that only exotic variations of bacteria can live in.

      Lignite coal is cheap, and if push comes to shove, laws (like basic labor, environmental, or safety ordinances) will be set aside to get it.

      Want a real solution to the energy problem? Campaign for R&D on the latest generation of nuclear reactors (Gen IV) with an emphasis on traveling wave reactor designs, and designs that are made to not just withstand hazards, but PEBCAK/ID10T errors in construction and installation.

    2. Re:Peak Oil by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      Haven't we hit peak oil?

      Quite possiblly.

      The problem will take care of itself when we have no fossil fuels to burn.

      Right but afaict that isn't going to happen for a long time. IMO the likely scenario is that as conventional oil and gas decline they will be replaced with sources that are far nastier environmentally such as tar sands, fracking and fischer tropsch.

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    3. Re:Peak Oil by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      And we are not far from that. Fischer-Tropsch will become economical at about 150$ per barrel, iirc. We will see coal conversion within the decade.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
  24. Re:There is a simple solution by erroneus · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Oh my frikken god. Are you out of your mind?

    People have died of cancer from the earliest of times -- they just called it something else, and quite often "a curse."

    Carbon dioxide is a naturally occurring gas that is even generated by the human body. We exhale it all day long! "Taking in CO2" also happens all day long unless you can somehow magically clear it from the atmosphere prior to inhaling. (At which point, you will get amazingly high from having too much O2)

    GO TO SCHOOL or something. Your snake oil is simply disgusting here.

    Increasing water intake is good for most of us unless you are already taking in a proper amount each day. But did you know that taking in too much can cause problems too? Some people have even died from it. So doling out advice like "drink plenty of water" is potentially dangerous as there is no specification as to what "plenty" means and is potentially subject to misinterpretation.

    It's lovely that you sprinkle in some "good advice" with your quackery. But that's how religion and other lies get spread and become believable.

    At the dawn of the industrial revolution, people did get sick and die of all sorts of terrible things INCLUDING cancer and now treatable conditions. They did die of "old age" when it was considered natural for people to lose their teeth in their 30's and to die before 50. Deaths of the sort that were experienced in those days were considered "natural causes" back then. So when your assertions are wrong from the start, your conclusions are unquestionably broken at the end.

    You are probably the most dangerous sort of pseudo-intellectual. You actually don't know what you don't know.

  25. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by mellon · · Score: 1

    Winter wasn't *colder* than normal. It was *wetter* than normal. You're freezing your ass off because your house isn't properly insulated (not your fault--very few houses are, but that's why). You've been cold because it's been wet, and we've been having a lot of weather coming down from the north, rather than up from the south. The lack of sun due to all the cloudy weather has protected your house from solar gain, and kept it cool. The cold night temperatures, which are typical in may, have cooled the outside of your house further, and the thermal delay of the walls means that that cold works its way into your house over the course of the morning. This month, it's typically been warmer during the day *outside* of the Victorian-era house I'm renting than inside, because of this effect, although the last three days that hasn't been the case because it's gotten sunny.

    The reason they call it "global warming" is that the average temperature goes up. The effect on local climates varies. Having said that, I'm not convinced that this is going to be a cold summer in New England. It was bloody hot on Sunday. It's not June yet, so it's not surprising that the cold trend is breaking now, and not earlier.

  26. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Nrrqshrr · · Score: 1

    I live in Tunisia, north of Africa, one country with a "moderate" climate.
    Lately winters became a joke. When I was a kid I used to wear a bunch of shirts and a coat to feel warm in February. For the last 5 years: It barely rained at all.
    Funny thing is, we still didn't have *hot* summer days yet, despite it being the season. (Heck, right now, it's cloudy and windy like fuck. If one day someone told me it would rain in the beginning of July here, I would have wished it was true.)

  27. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I believe the global warmist argument goes like this:

    1. 1. The environmental needs protection and too much carbon emission is one of the problems.
    2. 2. Reducing carbon emissions is the #1 most important environmental issue.
    3. 3. We need a global governance solution that reduces carbon emissions and population.
    4. 4. 3rd world countries need lots of carbon credits so they can catch up. We need significant amounts of wealth redistribution.
    5. 5. ??????
    6. 6. Global Communist Government.
    --
    "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
    --- Jerry Garcia
  28. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by erroneus · · Score: 0

    Thought you said "killer tomatoes" for a second there...

  29. Nuclear Power - Unnecessary Risk by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

    People fear Nuclear power because the dangers are terrible. People don't fear coal power because of all the successful lobbying by the coal industry. That anyone can look you in the face and say the words "clean coal" is beyond astounding. The fact that coal is terrible, however, does not make nuclear great. The simple truth is that humans have demonstrated themselves to be generally incapable of safely operating nuclear plants under capitalism, which is how the entire world is run. (Ask China's leaders how their bank accounts are doing...)

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    1. Re:Nuclear Power - Unnecessary Risk by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      The simple truth is that humans have demonstrated themselves to be generally incapable of safely operating nuclear plants under capitalism, which is how the entire world is run.

      So EVIL CAPITALIST nuclear plants have killed far less people than hydro or coal while the Glorious People's Communist Nuclear Power Plant at Chernobly killed large numbers and spread radiation across Europe, and that means that capitalist reactors are bad?

    2. Re:Nuclear Power - Unnecessary Risk by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      If you really think that reactor belonged to the people, then you're a sucker of the worst kind.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    3. Re:Nuclear Power - Unnecessary Risk by 0123456 · · Score: 3, Funny

      If you really think that reactor belonged to the people, then you're a sucker of the worst kind.

      Ah, so Chernobyl was an EVIL CAPITALIST reactor. Now it all makes sense.

    4. Re:Nuclear Power - Unnecessary Risk by goldspider · · Score: 1

      "The simple truth is that humans have demonstrated themselves to be generally incapable of safely operating nuclear plants under capitalism, which is how the entire world is run."

      I don't know what standard of competence you're measuring the industry on, but one major incident (caused mostly by a natural disaster) in several decades of nuclear power is a pretty damned good track record in my book.

      I might be feeding a troll.

      --
      "Ask not what your country can do for you." --John F. Kennedy
    5. Re:Nuclear Power - Unnecessary Risk by Jeremi · · Score: 2

      I don't know what standard of competence you're measuring the industry on, but one major incident (caused mostly by a natural disaster) in several decades of nuclear power is a pretty damned good track record in my book.

      If the consequences of the one major incident are bad enough, then one major incident is one incident too many.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    6. Re:Nuclear Power - Unnecessary Risk by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      The fact that coal is terrible,

      Coal is not terrible, it was perhaps terrible 30 years ago and might be still in china or 3rd world countries.
      The only true problem with coal is ofc CO2 emissions.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    7. Re:Nuclear Power - Unnecessary Risk by Duradin · · Score: 2

      Communist capitalists are the most evil of evil capitalists.

    8. Re:Nuclear Power - Unnecessary Risk by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Actually, nukes ARE safe. It is just that the issues have been in first gen plants. What is needed is to move to SAFER plants, esp by using thorium.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    9. Re:Nuclear Power - Unnecessary Risk by goldspider · · Score: 1

      If your standards depend not only on human perfection, but mastery over the elements, you are bound to be disappointed.

      That said, I hope we've learned that building nuclear reactors on seismically unstable shorelines isn't a really good idea. It's hardly sufficient cause to abandon nuclear entirely.

      --
      "Ask not what your country can do for you." --John F. Kennedy
    10. Re:Nuclear Power - Unnecessary Risk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Incapable of safely operating nuclear plants? You can't be even slightly serious. 4 Major accidents in 50 years and hundreds of operating plants without so much as an alarm, and yet you claim we are incapable of safely operating nuclear power plants? More people died from botched surgical procedures LAST YEAR than have from nuclear power in 50 years.

      Either you are terribly ignorant, or... well, you ARE terribly ignorant. And a testament to the power of modern media "news".

    11. Re:Nuclear Power - Unnecessary Risk by Jeremi · · Score: 1

      If your standards depend not only on human perfection, but mastery over the elements, you are bound to be disappointed.

      Standards are (or at least should be) proportional to the cost of failure.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    12. Re:Nuclear Power - Unnecessary Risk by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

      This report suggests that coal fired power plants kill 15,000 people in the US annually. I think that would fit in the "terrible" category.

    13. Re:Nuclear Power - Unnecessary Risk by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

      Sorry, 13,000. Must have had soot in my eyes.

    14. Re:Nuclear Power - Unnecessary Risk by iluvcapra · · Score: 2

      Chernobyl was a Soviet reactor, which meant that not only was it run to the benefit of the nomenklatura and the military, but that it was run by people who lived in Moscow, hundreds of miles away, and could have cared less what happened to Ukranians.

      For evil capitalist reactors, see Fukushima dai ichi.

      --
      Don't blame me, I voted for Baltar.
    15. Re:Nuclear Power - Unnecessary Risk by SnarfQuest · · Score: 1

      Glorious People's Communist Nuclear Power Plant at Chernobly killed large numbers and spread radiation across Europe, and that means that capitalist reactors are bad?

      Can you imagine a gas-fired power plant build with similiar safety systems as Chernobyl? The gas would be stored in swimming pools, next to the employees' smoking shack. They'd have turned off the sprinkler system to see what would happen if they cranked the generators up to maximum speed while removing all the lubrication in the bearings. Building the gas-engine out of wood.

      It was designed and run in the stupidest possible ways, and it's surprising that it wasn't worse than it was. Using combustible carbon blocks, then be surprised when they caught fire after turning off safety systems and running in an unsafe manner. It's like the gas-station attendant who was surprised when the storage tank exploded when he dropped a lit match into it to see how full it was.

      --
      Who would win this election: Andrew Weiner vs Andrew Weiner's weiner.
    16. Re:Nuclear Power - Unnecessary Risk by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Yeah, living in the US sucks.

      You only regulate something after the victims have sued the people/companies responsible for it into oblivion.

      If you look at your map you see: west side seems to have strong regulations, east side not.

      In western europe there are basically no deaths to air pollution anymore happening (since 20 years).

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    17. Re:Nuclear Power - Unnecessary Risk by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      People fear nuclear power because they are irrational idiots and bad at statistics.

      I for one would never work at a nuclear reactor simply because they wouldn't build one in the city, and I wouldn't want to drive out of the city to go to work. Seriously. Driving is... like heaps dangerous. Forget the radiation.

  30. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by rwa2 · · Score: 1

    I believe the climate change deniers logic goes something like this:

    1. 5) ?????

    5) Blame the climate scientists for not making a big enough deal about it... actually, obscuring the truth by lying about it and causing a whole lot of angsty doubt about the reliability of various measurements and how they have unequivocally supported the environment all along.

  31. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by XanC · · Score: 1

    Excellent summary!

  32. So what by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'll be dead by then. I say we burn up every last bit of oil that exists and leave the next generations to be the hippies who become one with earth.

  33. Re:There is a simple solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The trolls... don't feed them.

  34. Re:There is a simple solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yes, it's that simple: increase your water
    intake.

      As your body breaks down the water, the oxygen within floods
    to all your cells helping to push out the bad CO2.

    You may be confusing CO (binds in place of oxygen, e.g. to hemoglobin) with CO2 (does not bind in place of oxygen, so even if your stomach was the electrolysis chamber you seem to think, there's no plausible mechanism for oxygen to "push out the bad CO2."

    And what happens to the hydrogen, eh?

  35. What percentage of atmosphere is greenhouse gases? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Answer: Numbers may rise or drop by milions of percent or gazilion of gigatons, but the fact remains: greenhouse gases are still __less than 0.04%__ of earth's atmosphere. IPCC are lawyers not scientists.

  36. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    So if tornadoes are a "certain connection" to global warming, how come I'm freezing my ass off in New England? (And not just this year, but also the last 3 winters.) Summer has also been cooler than normal.

    Wow, you really are nothing more than a troll now, huh? That's too bad, I remember when your comments were cool. For those who really want to know the answer to this and have been confused by this troll, global warming is global, and what is going on in your backyard is only part of the picture; hope this helps.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  37. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

    Alternatively if it's fixed then that proves it was a hoax, just like Y2K, acid rain, and the ozone hole.

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  38. again? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Someday most of us will figure out as people get more and more uneducated, they will fear and not understand technology, it's evil and causes evil things. We'll all be back in caves soon enough.

  39. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by MacDork · · Score: 0
    Climate change cultist logic goes something like:
    1. Man is causing global warming.
    2. We can't actually prove it, but correlation == causation.
    3. Okay, correlation != causation, but we have a consensus
    4. True, Earth as the center of the universe was once a consensus too, but we're right this time!
    5. ...
    6. Rapture

    Have a nice day believers. (^_^)

  40. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by arglebargle_xiv · · Score: 1

    [Complicated climate-change denier flowcharts]

    My dad has a much, much simpler version of this:

    1. Ever since the fall of Communism I've had nothing to bitch about.
    2. This is something to bitch about.
    3. ...
    4. Bitchin!
  41. In spite of tighter emission control standards... by mark-t · · Score: 1

    ... this continues to happen. Every year, even though standards continue to get stricter and stricter, this continues to happen.

    Why? Why bother, I mean? What, exactly, are we hoping to accomplish by trying to develop stricter emission standards year after year? We're obviously not really solving the problem... and although granted, we may be possibly slowing down the rate at which it would otherwise happen if we didn't do anything, it doesn't take a genus to realize that if the measures you are taking to solve a problem aren't really getting you any closer to a solution, then perhaps it's time to try to switch tactics.

    It won't be easy. It won't be cheap. But it will be worth it.

    Unfortunately, it seems that the majority of the human race is either too cheap or too lazy, or else too consumed with making as much money as they can right here and now to be willing to actually do something about it. And the rest are just a vocal minority who unfortunately don't have the power to effect any significant change.

  42. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Lumpy · · Score: 1

    "I need to pay my bills or I'll die."

    Wow! what country has executions for not paying your bills?

    --
    Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
  43. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Lumpy · · Score: 1

    "You're freezing your ass off because your house isn't properly insulated (not your fault--very few houses are, but that's why)."

    If you own your house and it's not properly insulated..... it is in fact your fault. You cant sidestep that fact.

    --
    Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
  44. Re:There is a simple solution by gilleain · · Score: 1

    Dinosaur propaganda!

    More seriously : a) we are not dinosaurs and b) the sun is hotter now than it was then.

  45. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by erroneus · · Score: 1

    People misunderstand what climate changes actually are. So let's break it down in terms of what evidence of previous climate changes have been.

    The fossil record shows that places which are now desert were once lush tropical areas or even oceans. Areas which are now rich, green life areas were also once desert or oceans.

    Climate change is a shift in weather patterns. Weather, which is water moving about in the air driven by uneven heat and pressure from the sun, changes its patterns of behavior as changes in its variables are presented. In this case, we simply call it climate change or global warming, but it doesn't tell people who otherwise don't understand what it really means. Global warming is a change to the weather system. It means weather will become more severe or less severe depending on the changes in weather patterns. So places that were warm might become colder or warmer or wetter or drier, and on and on.

    So you want to know why, if the planet is warming, that your winters were even more severe than you can recall in recent history? Simple -- the weather patterns and dynamics are changing. There is a LOT changing too. Personally, I wouldn't doubt that the recent increase in seismic activity is somehow related.

    "Hard Times" are unquestionably ahead. Will it mean the extinction of the human race? I seriously doubt it. We're simply too good at adapting and adjusting to the changes. But we really do need to keep on top of things. It will mean relocating where we grow our food crops or even adapting existing crops to new climates. It will mean relocating animal species or watch thousands of species go extinct. It will mean spending a lot of money for survival and the development of new technologies. In short, it will mean a lot of human suffering because there is little to no profit in saving human lives because most humans don't have enough money to survive.

  46. Mis-informed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just a bunch of political nazi's trying to control the world any way they can. This is a decent article on the subject. http://www.lewrockwell.com/orig5/lowi6.html

  47. Why bother? by Chemisor · · Score: 1

    In case you haven't noticed, fossil fuels are being depleted, and will all be gone pretty soon anyway. Oil will be gone in ~50 years. Coal will be gone in about ~100 years. So all these carbon emissions will eventually stop whether anybody wants to make a legislative effort or not.

    1. Re:Why bother? by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      In case you haven't noticed, fossil fuels are being depleted, and will all be gone pretty soon anyway. Oil will be gone in ~50 years.

      That can't possibly be true. Back in the 70s the media was telling me that oil would be gone by the year 2000.

    2. Re:Why bother? by indeterminator · · Score: 2

      That can't possibly be true. Back in the 70s the media was telling me that oil would be gone by the year 2000.

      You're right, oil will never end! Never!

    3. Re:Why bother? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, you're "logic" is that, because predictions of when we'll run out of oil have been wrong in the past, it must be the case that we won't run out of oil. It couldn't possibly be that the "when" is just really difficult to predict, and in actuality it'll probably just creep up on us and bite us in the ass if we don't start preparing for it.

    4. Re:Why bother? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 2

      It is hard to predict when the oil is gone. As you neither know how much more oil is found nor how much the need is increasing.

      However there a simple ways to get an idea. When the oil industrie started, in the time where 1 barrel oil was used up they found 1000 more barrels.

      Right now we spend between 7 to 8 barrels in the time we find *one* new barrel. That includes oil sands and other dirty oil reserves.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    5. Re:Why bother? by tompaulco · · Score: 1

      Oil will be gone in ~50 years. Coal will be gone in about ~100 years.
      So invest in Natural Gas, which claims to have a 100 year supply and growing with technology.

      --
      If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
    6. Re:Why bother? by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

      Yeah, it will stop. I anticipate extinction due to a combination of environmental damage and wars over the remaining resources within a few decade of that. I don't care as long as I'm rich as hell for the rest of my life.

  48. Re:In spite of tighter emission control standards. by 0123456 · · Score: 0

    Every year, even though standards continue to get stricter and stricter, this continues to happen.

    That's because those 'tighter emission controls' push energy intensive business out of Western nations to countries like China which are far less efficient.

    The whole 'global warming' scam would be depressing if it wasn't so freaking hilarious. It's almost as though the Chinese have paid Western leaders to destroy their own economies and ship all their manufacturing to China.

  49. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by MacDork · · Score: 0

    So, when a blizzard falls on Copenhagen: one year's weather does not refute global warming. When large number of tornados tear down tornado alley one year: global warming!!

  50. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by cpu6502 · · Score: 1

    For those who don't know how to follow a post-reply thread, I was responding to this post (below). This is obviously bullshit. You can't reach the conclusion this Anonymous Coward claims.

    "There is certainly a connection here [to killer tornadoes]. There are now hundreds of people that have been killed due to the climate change resulting from carbon emission from fossil fuel burning."

    --
    My AC stalker: " I personally agree with your posts most of the time, but that won't keep me from modding you troll"
  51. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by wjousts · · Score: 2, Insightful

    To entertain your strawman for a moment, so for you, global communism is worse that the destruction of the globe? You'd rather see the state of Florida under water before, god forbid, we share even a little bit of the wealth of the industrialized world? Better dead than red I guess?

  52. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Actually most of the people who question the need to do something about global warming have logic that works like this:
    1.) Person A says that we must give the government greater powers in order to prevent disaster from global warming.
    2.) Person A lives an extravagant lifestyle that results in more CO2 emissions in a week than the average person generates in a year.
    3.) Conclusion, person A does not really believe in global warming, they just want to increase government power (and perhaps make some money off of it).
    If the people who are preaching about the need to reduce CO2 emissions are not doing anything to reduce their carbon emissions, why should I?

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  53. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by 0123456 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    You forgot the part where they take temperature records wihch show no trend and create a warming trend by 'adjusting' it, then average that new trend out across large areas of the planet so that a few results from New Zealand which showed no warming become a warming trend over a significant part of the Pacific.

    Basilcally the data is garbage, the models are garbage and the 'science' has been totally politicised.

  54. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by wjousts · · Score: 1

    So you're at step 2. Thanks for playing.

  55. All available fossil fuels will be burnt by advid.net · · Score: 2

    No matter what we do, all available fossil fuels will be burnt. The world is so hungry of them.

    They haven't slowed extraction but try to get more and more. All the oil pumped, all the coal mined, all the tar sands processed, all the gas collected will be burned. (well, a small part goes to chemical transformation, plastics...)

    If you don't want to add some more CO2 in the atmosphere, you shouldn't have extracted more fossil fuels first...
    (and forget this CO2 offset indulgences scam)

  56. Re:There is a simple solution by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

    And what happens to the hydrogen, eh?

    Damn, he forgot to add...

    KABOOOM!!!

    ... and give up smoking.

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  57. Re:There is a simple solution by mosb1000 · · Score: 1

    I'm still trying to figure out whether or not you are a troll. All of your comments mention subluxatioins, and they're always posted at or near the top on seemingly unrelated articles (the same way a first post, or GNAA troll would be posted, they don't need to read the article or think about the subject before posting). For example the only connection between your comment and the article is CO2, but you are talking about soda, and the article is talking about the atmosphere and environmental effects.

    Also, cancer has been known as a major killer for all of recorded history (for example, it is mentioned in the Bible). It is not new at all.

  58. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by wjousts · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I thought conservatives were all about personal responsibility? Funny how that only lasts up until the point where they are asked to take personal responsibility.

  59. Good news everyone! by Xacid · · Score: 1

    The carbon offset credit industry is booming! Now we'll get those solar powered windmill hover cars we've been promised all these years!

    But really - global warming or not - we're not very good at inhaling greenhouse gases. I don't see why the global warming naysayers often don't acknowledge that those emissions DO lower air quality for humans.

  60. Re:There is a simple solution by amn108 · · Score: 1

    Much misinformation above.

    1. Cancer was a known decease in ancient Egypt - a papyrus dated 1600 BC, tells of how the Egyptians were able to tell the difference between benign and malign tumors, how they removed benign tumors surgically and cauterized wounds that were left, and how they blamed their gods for the decease. The papyrus says "There is no cure." - I am going to safely assume that means that people did die from cancer in ancient Egypt. Tumors don't just sit around, they either grow or shrink. If there is no cure, it means they grow, and that means organ failure and certain death. They also blamed their gods for the decease, i wouldn't think they'd blame their gods if it was just harmless decease of which noone would die. By the way, the name we use - "cancer" - comes from ancient Greeks who called it "karkinos" or "carcinos" which means "crab" which is what Hippocrates thought dissected tumors looked like. Documented cases of death by cancer date back at least to 1600s.

    2. Leafy things as you call them, especially green ones, through long and extensive research have been proven to be of great benefit to body health. What are your sources that state the contrary?

    3. I don't know what you mean by "plenty of sleep" but even though it is indeed has been proven that NOT ENOUGH sleep is directly (and often irreversibly) detrimental to health in mammals, it has not been conclusively proven that "a lot" of sleep is beneficial. Again, what are your sources that conclude that "plenty of sleep" increases lifespan?

  61. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by kpoole55 · · Score: 1

    No pay bills get, credit cut off. Get credit cut, off no buy food at supermarket, no get power service, no get water service.

    No power, water or food, no get to keep living.

  62. Re:There is a simple solution by tompaulco · · Score: 1

    People have died of cancer from the earliest of times -- they just called it something else, and quite often "a curse."
    Not to mention that people are living long enough now to actually die of cancer instead of being eaten, dying of infection after scraping their knee or whatever. I forget who said it originally, but if we live long enough we will ALL die of cancer.

    --
    If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
  63. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by kpoole55 · · Score: 1

    Let me fill in 5 for you ...

    5. Poor countries find themselves with disposable cash, adopt American Dream lifestyle, pave roads, buy cars, big houses and electronic gadgets and start adding to CO2 emissions but lose their carbon credits.

  64. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

    Why do you believe that? Did the strange voice in your head tell you?

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  65. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by russotto · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I soooo wish we could put the AGW deniers on the record so that *when* this shit hits the fan we can summarily take their $$$ to pay for it.

    Step one would be to make some concrete, testable predictions.

    Seriously, if deniers are wrong we're screwed. If environmentalists and the vast majority of scientists are wrong, we're, what? oh yeah, we're better off....

    Pascal's wager isn't science.

  66. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by MrHanky · · Score: 1

    It's certainly very revealing. Not so much for the "warmist" side as for himself, who lets his own irrational fear of global communism be the deciding factor when evaluating natural sciences.

  67. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by robthebloke · · Score: 0

    When the official motto of one of the worlds worst Co2 offenders is 'In god we trust', I'm more inclined to agree with wjousts than you to be honest. 'In god we trust' implies:

    a) god will fix the problem, or
    b) god will destroy the world.

    Either way, it's no longer the individuals responsibility to sort out the problem. The only people I've ever met who deny that global warming is a problem, are those of religious leaning; idiots; or both.
    To throw some anecdotal evidence into the fray... I ventured to the burning man festival a couple of years ago, and was fairly surprised to see someone had erected a massive sign proclaiming 'Burning Man - The only carbon neutral festival in the world!'. Now, I'm not going to say all American's are idiots, because that's obviously false, but coming from a group of people who are supposedly a bit more environmentally aware than the average US citizen, it did somewhat surprise me. As a European, i made a beeline straight to the camp that had erected it, and had to ask 'WTF?'. The response I got was "We take all the rubbish home, so it's carbon neutral!". I spent about an hour explaining what carbon neutral actually meant, and ended up getting nowhere. So I doubt religion is entirely to blame, a lack of education is a massive problem too imho. It would however seem to me that where you find religion, a lack of education isn't too far behind....

  68. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by cpu6502 · · Score: 1

    For those who don't know how to follow a post-reply thread, I was responding to this post:

    "There is certainly a connection here [to killer tornadoes]. There are now hundreds of people that have been killed due to the climate change resulting from carbon emission from fossil fuel burning." This is obviously bullshit. You can't reach the conclusion this Anonymous Coward claims, and that's what I was responding to.

    --
    My AC stalker: " I personally agree with your posts most of the time, but that won't keep me from modding you troll"
  69. Re:There is a simple solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    A couple of months ago, if someone has told me they were going to troll slashdot as a chiropracter I'd have openly laughed at them. Shows what I know about trolling I guess, because this one is proving out quite well. Shades of adequacy.

  70. As George Carlin once said: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    destruction of the globe?

    The planet is just fine. It will be just fine. The people are fucked.

    Just ask the people of Pompeii how the planet is doing.

  71. Re:There is a simple solution by Rakshasa+Taisab · · Score: 1

    I too am not really that worried personally, as I got a Norwegian passport... One of the five countries with arctic territories and all the latest climate models put us in a really nice position on all counts. Hell, we've been making buddies with Russia thanks to our shared interests in the North so once the hungry masses of climate-refugees start pouring north to get their dirty hands on that arctic goodies we'll have the military might to keep them out.

    Not to mention we're rich, so we can buy our way out of any food or energy shortage. Hell, I can't see any reason at all to worry as long as I keep my egocentrical view of the world.

    --
    - These characters were randomly selected.
  72. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The global communist government is based in Washington DC. Roosevelt's legacy, my friend. If you haven't heard this before, you've been talking to the wrong sort of denialist. Specifically, the stupid kind.

    But the actual argument is nothing to do with communism. Sometimes a global solution to a global problem actually makes it worse in some way. Like how the progressive solutions to poverty tend to keep people poor, or how the progressive solutions to crime end up increasing crime. This happens because problems are poorly understood, and they are poorly understood because of the political bias of the researchers who investigate them.

  73. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by tompaulco · · Score: 1

    Well, thank goodness we are finally solving our global warming problem, since the deaths per year from Tornadoes continues to drop.
    Although this years tornado outbreaks have drawn more news exposure, mostly because they happened to hit large cities, this years tornado season has actually been less severe than usual.

    --
    If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
  74. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

    You mean like this decade will be warmer than the last one? We've seen that proven true for the last 5 decades...

    --
    People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
  75. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1, Insightful

    I believe in personal responsibility. I exercise personal responsibility. The problem is, none of the people who are telling me that I should worry about CO2 act as if they believe that I should worry about CO2. Until Global Warming Alarmists start acting as if they believe that global warming is a serious problem that requires them to take whatever actions they can to reduce their own CO2 emissions, don't expect me to take it seriously.

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  76. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 0

    Like how the progressive solutions to poverty tend to keep people poor

    As opposed to the 'conservative' solutions? oh yeah, they don't have any. They just let you deal with monopolies, unregulated working conditions, worker intimidation, etc.

    --
    People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
  77. Re:What percentage of atmosphere is greenhouse gas by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

    Just when you thought the idiots couldn't get any stupider someone comes and proves you wrong.

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  78. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by stormen81 · · Score: 0

    I agree with this.

  79. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by amliebsch · · Score: 1

    And of course, if there are no killer tornados next year, that only proves that it's "complicated."

    --
    If you don't know where you are going, you will wind up somewhere else.
  80. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by otis+wildflower · · Score: 1

    There's no such thing as irrational fear of global communism.

    As far as Global Warminating is concerned, I'll take it seriously when the self-righteous greens and politicians take it seriously. That means: MASSIVE investment in LFTRs (as in, Manhattan Project with factories cranking out thousands of community 2-10MW reactors per year, NIMBY preemption, with 25% of all power generation in 5 years and 75% in 10 years) and making celebrity/pol lifestyles match their rhetoric (no more 10k sqft houses with massive power bills, no more private jets to wasteful junkets, etc).

    When the hypocrisy stops and the real technological solutions begin, maybe I'll pay attention.

    Also, all climate _data_ must be opensource and publicly available, for free, along with methodologies. That's what real science means.

  81. Re:There is a simple solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    *disease

  82. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by myth24601 · · Score: 1

    Just like it is easy to spend other peoples money via government, it is easier to make other people sacrifice to save the world via government.

    --
    No matter where you go, there you are.
  83. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by bunratty · · Score: 1

    Reducing carbon dioxide emissions dramatically is not something that can be done by individuals. We need to get energy from sources other than fossil fuels. That's up to the people that build power plants and oil refineries. One thing that individuals can do, however, is to exercise energy efficiency, for example, buy buying CFL bulbs or insulating their houses. I see lots of people doing those things, but even if we all did that it would perhaps decrease carbon dioxide emissions 30-40%.

    --
    What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
  84. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by otis+wildflower · · Score: 1

    Except we did this for lead, CFCs, DDT, etc. And gee, no Global Communist Government seems to exist...

    Who said the globalists would necessarily be a publicly-visible government?

    Also, I would bet that malaria kills more Africans than war, and irrational fears of DDT have contributed to more African deaths than the AK-47.

  85. The problems with solar go beyond just the cost by canadiangoose · · Score: 2
    I'm all for solar and wind evergy, but they cannot replace hydroelectric, fossil fuel, and nuclear generating facilities. They can only suplement them. The primary challenges, beyond cost, are as follows:

    1. Supply cannot be adjusted to demand. My understanding is that wind is especially bad for this, as it is windiest in the evenings, after major industrial energy consumers have closed down for the day. We currently have very few options for storing generated power for later use. Batteries and capacitors are nowhere near ready for this task. There are a few hydroelectric stations that pump water up in to large resevoirs during the night for use during the daytime surge in demand. The areas where wind and solar are most effective, there is often little in the way of hills and water, making resevoir-based energy storage impractical. Also, resevoir storage requires the costly construction of a resevoir, pumps, and an entire hydroelectic generating station.

    You might think that wind and solar could be used to provide baseline power, while "traditional" coal and nuclear adjust to peaks. Unfortunately, this is only partially true. Many PLWR and BLWR nuclear designs (almost all American designed plants are one of these two types) are not able to idle. This means that if the load on the plant falls beyond a certain level, the plant must perform a full shutdown or risk heat damage. This might not sound too badm but these same plants take at least a full week to restart, and require lots of electricity to do so.

    Hydro is able to adjust it's output very rapidly, however there are only so many locations where hydroelectric dams can be installed. People often cite massive untapped locations far away from existing populations. Excellent! Now all we need to do is build costly and inefficient long-distance transmission lines to carry that power to where it will be useful.

    Coal is also able to adjust output quickly, but, well... it's coal.

    2. The second problem is that of dealing with a phenomenon called "reactive power". This is when voltage and current on an A/C line are thrown out of phase. Ideally, as voltage reaches it's peak, so does current. If you're voltage and current get thrown more than a few degrees off, you're home outlet may still be delivering 100 volts and 15 amps, but not really either at the same time. First you get 110 volts, but low amps, followed quickly my undervoltage and full 15 amps. This means that the usefull power on the line is diminnished.

    Reactive power occurs as a result of inductive loads such as electric motors and transformers. As the coils in the motors rotate past the magnets, or the electric field rises and falls in a transformer, these devices become generators. This "reactive" generation is always slightly out of phase with the input power, and so the power that they feed back on to the grid causes voltage and current on the grid to skew slightly. Multiply this effect by the number of inductive loads on the grid (refridgerators, industrial equipment, televisions) and you can start to have a real problem.

    Electrical generation sources that employ large turbines are able to adjust the magnets inside their generators to help counteract reactive power by producing power that is out of phase, but in the opposite direction.

    Traditional wind turbines are unable to do this, though I believe some newer designes can, at least to some degree. Solid state inverters such as are used to interface solar cells to the grid are not able to to this at all, and so there is a very real limit to their usefulness on the current power grid.

    Anyhow, I'm all for wind and solar. I just don't think they are able to provide a complete solution. Nuclear seems to be the way to go, but it must be done right. The Canadian Advanced Candu Reactors look like a viable option. They are designed such that they cannot melt down, produce relatively safe waste, and are capable of idling quite safely. I don't know why everyone insists on using dangerous PHWR designs.

    --
    Never eat more than you can lift -- Miss Piggy
    1. Re:The problems with solar go beyond just the cost by catchblue22 · · Score: 1

      Solar IS practical. Put large scale solar thermal plants in the deserts. Connect these plants to the population centres with high voltage DC transmission lines, which have much less loss over long distance than AC lines. Solar thermal can even work at night, due to stored heat.

      Reading these comments, I fear America has lost her way. Instead of a "CAN DO" attitude, we see a series of baffling nonsensical posts on which promising technology is impractical or impossible. The moon shot would have likely been impossible today, given the attitudes of the current population. Shame.

      --
      This and no other is the root from which a tyrant springs; when first he appears as a protector - Plato (423 to 327 BC)
    2. Re:The problems with solar go beyond just the cost by TheSync · · Score: 1

      Put large scale solar thermal plants in the deserts.

      Would be nice, except BrightSource and Tessera Solar have had to cancel desert solar power projects because they were located in the 941,000-acre Mojave Trails National Monument that Senator Dianne Feinstein has proposed.

      An 85-mile 500-kilovolt $500 million transmission line to bring solar power to Los Angeles has also been brought to a halt by conservationists.

      Activists are blocking a 200-megawatt wind farm in the McCain Valley, CA, and a 750 MW solar thermal array proposed for Imperial County, CA.

      Overall, 160 applications for large-scale US solar projects have been stalled at the BLM for years now. If all of these projects were built, they would generate 97,000 MW of electricity, or enough to power 29 million homes, according to BLM figures.

      Luckily was CAN outsource this. Energia Sierra Juarez will be a 1,250 MW wind farm just over the border in Mexico. And experts believe there could be upwards of 10,000 MW of untapped wind potential in Baja California alone.

    3. Re:The problems with solar go beyond just the cost by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "They are designed such that they cannot melt down"

      The Titanic was designed so it could not sink, how did that turn out? I think Murphy would have fun with that statement.

    4. Re:The problems with solar go beyond just the cost by catchblue22 · · Score: 1

      An 85-mile 500-kilovolt $500 million transmission line to bring solar power to Los Angeles has also been brought to a halt by conservationists.

      Firstly, I'd like to see a source to your claims. Secondly, I'd like to see who funds these misguided conservationists.

      My comment about America's lost "CAN DO" attitude still applies.

      --
      This and no other is the root from which a tyrant springs; when first he appears as a protector - Plato (423 to 327 BC)
    5. Re:The problems with solar go beyond just the cost by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Reactive power can be easily taken care of at or near the source with power factor correction devices called capacitors and inductors. No special equipment needed at the generation site (and you don't want to do it there anyway, as it then reduces your transmission capability as you so rightly pointed out earlier). This is already done in some devices like fluorescent lights and possibly the more expensive motors.

      Oh, and reactive power has nothing to do with magnets, it has to do with inductors and capacitors.

    6. Re:The problems with solar go beyond just the cost by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Supply cannot be adjusted to demand. My understanding is that wind is especially bad for this, as it is windiest in the evenings, after major industrial energy consumers have closed down for the day.

      Your understanding is wrong, wind power is not related to electricity demand. Also you can store energy, e.g. the Dinorwig wind farm in Wales uses pumped water for storage and smoothing output, and although it obviously was not fee to build the price is more than offset by the low operating costs and not having to clean up the site when decommissioning. Also consider that some types of energy are complementary, e.g. wind on windy days complemented by solar on hot days. In the UK we get more wind in the winter and more light in the summer.

      Many PLWR and BLWR nuclear designs (almost all American designed plants are one of these two types) are not able to idle.

      So we let renewable sources idle instead, or just build the new reactors to support idling.

      Now all we need to do is build costly and inefficient long-distance transmission lines to carry that power to where it will be useful.

      We have solved this problem already. High voltage DC transmission lines can go far and have low losses. In fact the EU is seriously considering building solar plants in northern Africa with DC transmission back to Europe.

      The second problem is that of dealing with a phenomenon called "reactive power".

      Also solved. We have inverters that can deal with this. Also solar PV is not the only type of solar power, not even the best for large scale generation. Solar thermal is going to generate the majority of the power. This stuff is in use around the world and works, you should read up on it before claiming that it is a huge problem.

      Energy is not the only about large electrical generator stations either. Solar PV or water heating in houses, mini turbines, geothermal... Even electricity does not have to be AC, because we can use DC to e.g. recharge car batteries or run LED lighting. You may be surprised to learn that you are not the first person to think of these problems and that people figured out the solutions before investing billions.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  86. Hybrid PV/hot water solar in the US? by otis+wildflower · · Score: 1

    I believe there's a Turkish solar panel maker that has hybrid PV/hot water panels (which increase PV efficiency as well as generate hot water) but I don't know if they can or do sell into the US market, or if there's a US-built competitor that does the same thing?

  87. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by tmosley · · Score: 2

    lol, you think "Climatology" is a science on par with physics, chemistry, or biology.

    It's more of a science like the Church of Scientology's audits are "science". If you disagree then they yell and scream and call you nasty names, etc.

  88. Re:There is a simple solution by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

    You can never trust anyone named 'Bob'. And 'Doctor Bob'? Oh HELL no!

    --
    I drank what? -- Socrates
  89. Re:There is a simple solution by amn108 · · Score: 1

    Thanks and pardon!

  90. But NBC Universal is green! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    How can this happen? Every year for one week NBC Universal turns their logo green and makes everyone feel guilty unless they drive a hybrid car. This is impossible! All those hippies are riding bicycles and eating organic foods and turning off their lights. Are you telling us that all this hasn't amounted to a hill of non-GM beans?

  91. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So if you don't know how to solve a problem, you should just take a guess at a solution and do that? Then carry on doing it, even if the problem is getting measurably worse. That's an interesting perspective from a warmist.

    FWIW conservatives are not the opposite of progressives. The real opposite of a progressive would demand the reversal of "progress" that turned out to be making things worse. Not entirely dissimilar to a warmist, in fact.

    It is very curious to compare the progressive response to something like historical crime figures, with the progressive response to historical temperature figures. On the one hand you get unquestioning acceptance. On the other you get outright denial. What mechanism could be triggering this sort of cognitive dissonance? It seems to be almost an unconscious response. The progressive "knows" that one set of figures is right and the other is wrong, and yet he has never actually been taught to respond in this way. It's fascinating stuff - it is as if he realises that the reason for presenting the information can only be to attack his beliefs, and yet simultaneously he is unaware of that.

  92. Re:In spite of tighter emission control standards. by mark-t · · Score: 1

    You appear to have missed my point. "blaming the other guy" doesn't help matters any more than the rate that emission standards are being made tighter, and in fact is even less productive. It is also part of the problem.

  93. Economist report on feeding the worlld by js_sebastian · · Score: 2

    The housing industry is not even a blip on the radar. Fertile land is used for agriculture. Did you know that the majority of trees in the world are cultivated?

    The economist recently did a report on how we are going to be able to feed the world's growing population (or not). Here is a link to the main article: http://www.economist.com/node/18200618. And here is another one: http://www.economist.com/node/18200678. But there were many other articles on specific subjects.

    The take-away lessons I got from reading all that, was that we have a very limited supply of non-used, fertile land, mostly concentrated in places like brazil where recent technological advances have made previously useless land viable. Water is the other bottleneck. And the expansion of meat-eating habits is also a problem, because it requires more land and more water per person than a vegetarian diet. So yes, your hamburger puts more pressure on the forests than the lumber industry.

    1. Re:Economist report on feeding the worlld by dAzED1 · · Score: 1

      shhh...if you say the word "vegetarian" they'll think you're even more of a nut. Cutting out beef at least solves one ill; if you can't get them to be nice to their own children (ala, the beef is what is killing the planet) then you're certainly not going to get them to be nice to animals. But questioning whether beef should be in every meal - that's heresy in much of the US. It's not a meal if there's no beef! Where will I get my protein?!? (vegan in a beef-eating world, refuse to own a car, too - and I've been ignoring kyoto and such until they stop flying tens of thousands of people to a remote place to have a meeting which could be held online. We need simple cultural changes, not new industries where AlGore sells air, and etc)

    2. Re:Economist report on feeding the worlld by operagost · · Score: 1

      But questioning whether beef should be in every meal - that's heresy in much of the US. It's not a meal if there's no beef!

      Attack a straw man much? Few people think BEEF should be in every meal. Your kind want to force everyone to eat no meat, and that's NOT a straw man. Evidence:

      Cutting out beef at least solves one ill; if you can't get them to be nice to their own children (ala, the beef is what is killing the planet) then you're certainly not going to get them to be nice to animals.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    3. Re:Economist report on feeding the worlld by dAzED1 · · Score: 1

      "my kind" doesn't want to do anything to you; "my kind" allows steak eaters to cook their steaks on my grill when they're over for a party, so long as they keep it on the opposite side of my asparagus. And as for a strawman...it is the prevailing thought, especially in the south. And it's spreading to the north, don't you worry. Look at the menus of any chain, for guidance. Beef-based meals are the main attraction, with chicken-based meals offered for those who are on a diet. Chilis, Applebees, Olive Garden, El Torrito, Rock Bottom...just look at the menus. Look at what we buy. I can only tell you what I've seen in the homes I've personally been in (most meals are beef-based, all meals are meat-based), so that's all anecdotal; instead, look at the menus of restaurants.

    4. Re:Economist report on feeding the worlld by operagost · · Score: 1

      Sorry, I don't eat out very often, so I don't eat beef every meal. I guess it's the vegetarians who eat out all the time. This omnivore has a kitchen.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    5. Re:Economist report on feeding the worlld by dAzED1 · · Score: 1

      thus why the omnivores with whom I have experience, as a very social person, were described as merely anecdotal; if you would consider meals that have no meat to not have lost their "meal" status just because they have no meat, then you're doing better than the people I know from living in the south and the south west. Purely anecdotal, no matter how many of them I know and see. The fact that prior to becoming a vegetarian, I wasn't a vegetarian, is also anecdotal; I can't use my own habits to extrapolate the norm. I can though point to the meals in restaurant, or to cookbooks, the "food pyramid" which suggests you need meat to have a healthy diet, etc etc. "my kind" tries to be reasonable, I'm not monitoring your house to know what you're doing ;)

  94. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

    Are you saying that the decline in the middle class is the Democrats fault? Perhaps it's the tax priorities of the GOP...just sayin... Given that we've pretty well destroyed the welfare programs at the behest of the GOP, the continued decline seems more in their court, no?

    --
    People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
  95. Re:In spite of tighter emission control standards. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Emission Control standards are a scam, don't be dopes. That one is propagated by Auto Manufacturers to force people to keep buying new cars with the governments assistance. They want you to be people that buy a new car every 2-3 years. The new sale also generates taxes for the gov, plus the sale of your old car generates tax to. Its wonder people never catch onto this....I mean really, how many used items are you forced to pay tax on again?

    The whole idea of this is so very dumb. Look into the facts. The manufacturing process of new cars causes more Carbon Emissions than the old vehicles average putting out in the entire lifetime of the vehicle.

    If you want to protest high carbon emissions, do something useful like not buying a new car ever 2 years. Ugh....stop believing everything that these company and the officials in charge (bought and paid for by these companies) spoon feed you.

  96. Re:There is a simple solution by EraserMouseMan · · Score: 1

    Yep. That and eliminate the High Fructose Corn Syrup toxin entirely from your body.

  97. Freight trains by formfeed · · Score: 1

    And transportation is going to be electric, as batteries improve.

    No need for batteries with trains. Most of the US freight train system is still diesel while it's electric in Europe.

    Some countries have gone to a train system where different companies can run their trains on a common rail system - imagine UPS could run their own freight trains at 120 mp/h non-stop throughout the US. They could reach almost any distribution center within a day, no flights needed. Trucks would mainly do regional distribution, you would need no new feeder system and could get started with 2 or 3 main connections. You could have large solar plants in the Southwest, fueling most of the US bulk transportation system.

    1. Re:Freight trains by SnarfQuest · · Score: 1

      I believe that outside of commuter types of trains, the US mostly uses Diesel-electric locomotives. You have to generate the electric power somewhere, and this type of train just generates it locally using a diesel engine to operate a generator, instead of storing it in batteries or using some type of electric transmission.

      --
      Who would win this election: Andrew Weiner vs Andrew Weiner's weiner.
  98. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 0

    irrational fears of DDT

    irrational indeed...NOT

    --
    People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
  99. Re:There is a simple solution by lorenlal · · Score: 1

    And you can't trust anyone with more than 5 digits in their ID...

  100. Re:There is a simple solution by GodfatherofSoul · · Score: 1

    You make it sound like altering the atmosphere that drastically isn't that big a deal. Yeah, we won't destroy life on earth, but possibly life as we know it.

    --
    I swear to God...I swear to God! That is NOT how you treat your human!
  101. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by The+Moof · · Score: 1

    I imagine it's pretty hard to survive in some parts of the country without electricity, heat, water, waste disposal...

  102. I wonder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I wonder if all the carbon from volcanic activity was counted in this figure? I bet..

  103. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

    arglebargle_xiv (or someone else) said... Bitchin!

    Camaro!

    --
    I drank what? -- Socrates
  104. Otisberg? OTISBERG?!?!? by Chas · · Score: 1

    Sounds distinctly like a certain situational land scam to me.

    --


    Chas - The one, the only.
    THANK GOD!!!
  105. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

    Well... being from Florida (America's wang), yeah, a lot of it could stand going under. Just sayin'.

    --
    I drank what? -- Socrates
  106. And I am wrong by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    They ARE flexible.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:And I am wrong by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Thanks! I will look into it.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  107. Re:There is a simple solution by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

    I don't trust any above 4 but that's just me.

    --
    I drank what? -- Socrates
  108. Easy way to solve this. by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    The big problem is that many nations are trying to force USA to participate in a BS scheme. That scheme would actually WORSEN things, not improve them.
    However, There is a SIMPLE way to solve this.
    The USA should tax ALL GOODS as a percentage of a slowly rising value. That percentage is based on the Co2 emissions PER SQ KM OF LAND from which the finally item and the primary sub-component comes from. The tax is applied just prior to moving to retail (i.e. at point of entry to the USA or from leaving the manufacturer).

    Note the ease in which the tax is done: first off it is on sq km of land. That is a fixed size (assuming not a war). It should also be measured as CO2 out of the nation - CO2 into the nation. This can be done simply by a satellite which would allow many nations to put up their own sat to check (i.e. veracity). All of this should take into account environment, ag vs manufacturing, economy and ppl better than just judging per capita. In addition, it is a simple approach.
    You will note that this approach is about the only one that rewards a nation that DROPS their emissions (lower %), while punishing those that continue to add. In addition, it gives every nation a fixed amount of CO2 emission and then allows each nation to decide how to balance their own emissions. For nearly ALL of the developing world, they should have little to nothing to fix. OTH, developed nations and China as well as Brazil will have to make cuts.

    This is a simple easy to do approach that can work.
    The current approach favored by EU and Dems will actually cause nations to emulate China to grab our businesses since they are not part of the cap/tax. They will build loads of coal plants quickly to get 'cheap' electricity as well as throw in loads of roads (loads of emissions). OTH, this approach would have others tax nations exports AS WELL AS THAT NATION'S OWN, thereby limiting their economy unless they make changes. Finally, by raising the max SLOWLY, it gives nations time to adjust.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  109. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

    Rosencrantz: I don't believe in it anyway.

    Guildenstern: What?

    Rosencrantz: England.

    Guildenstern: Just a conspiracy of cartographers, then?

    --
    I drank what? -- Socrates
  110. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Glad to see you will be the first to die...

    Credit? what complete loser lives on credit? I buy groceries with cash that I make by working. Power? not needed to survive, nice as a luxury though I like using it. Water service? get off your ass and go get your own water. No not over there at the aquifina display, no not the fiji water display either!

    food, it's all over the place man, same with water.

    I am so glad that you are showing many of us that a large portion of the populace will die really fast when things go sideways. Thanks for helping!
    I can see your corpse now, slumped over a supermarket checkout hand still clutching that platinum Visa that looks like it had been run through the slot 10,000 times in hopes that it will work once to get you food...

    I have high hopes now! you made me realize that the general populace really is stupid. You have no idea how to get food without a credit card and think that water comes from a bottle.... I'm guessing you dont even know how to take a crap in the woods.

    This is great!

  111. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    from outer space!

  112. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

    "Hard Times" are unquestionably ahead. Will it mean the extinction of the human race? I seriously doubt it. We're simply too good at adapting and adjusting to the changes. But we really do need to keep on top of things. It will mean relocating where we grow our food crops or even adapting existing crops to new climates. It will mean relocating animal species or watch thousands of species go extinct. It will mean spending a lot of money for survival and the development of new technologies. In short, it will mean a lot of human suffering because there is little to no profit in saving human lives because most humans don't have enough money to survive.

    Maybe we're just levelling up as a species.

    --
    echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
  113. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Gilmoure · · Score: 2

    There actually hasn't been a larger number or tornados in the U.S. this year, compared to recent years. Just more of them have been hitting towns and cities this year. Better aim?

    --
    I drank what? -- Socrates
  114. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by MrHanky · · Score: 1

    You're confusing internet message boards with scientific debate.

  115. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Aceticon · · Score: 1

    And here, my friends, is a good example of the human behavioral pattern that underpins any Tragedy of the Commons situation.

    That said, we did manage to reverse river polution and get back (mostly) smogg-free cities in Western nations, so there is still some hope that once things get bad enough in the right places then people will do something about it.

    On the other hand, as long as the floods and the ever-increasing dry seasons are something that only happens to brown people in faraway places, soccer moms will continue to drive their SUVs 1/4 of a mile around the block to take the kids to school.

  116. Oh please... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I don't know what everyone's so bent out of shape... God will never allow global warming to occur -- just like he won't let us run out of that sweet, sweet black nectar that is oil.

  117. Re:There is a simple solution by losfromla · · Score: 1

    congrats to you for daring to post here. Welcome to the lion's den, you'll feel as welcome here as any fundamentalist born-again bible thumper. Enjoy your probably brief stay.

    --
    Only I can judge you.
  118. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 0

    Step one would be to make some concrete, testable predictions.

    Which testable prediction do you prefer?
    a) CO2 is a greenhouse gas, more CO2 ergo higher temperatures
    b) higher temperatures yield more and more violent storms
    Both is happening right now, how can one need more predictions?

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  119. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by MrHanky · · Score: 1

    What you're saying is that you can't take a problem seriously before it's solved -- and by someone else. Speaking of hypocrisy.

  120. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No, it has nothing to do with the Democrats or the GOP.

    Let me explain it like this. The global communist government that you joke about, that you say does not exist, actually does exist.. as a consensus amongst all progressives about the way things should be done. Some of those progressives have the power to actually influence things through their positions in the US government, the education system, the media and so on. It has been like that for a very long time, nearly a century in fact, and no Republican has even come close to opposing it.

    Nowadays the consensus has seized upon climate change as something that must be solved, and it will be solved just as crime and poverty have been "solved" by a century of enlightened liberalism. Unfortunately for us all, the "solution" may well turn out to make the problem even worse, because the consensus is very bad at changing its mind even in response to new information. Having settled on a solution, all other possibilities are excluded.

    I hope that this goes some way to explaining why people might just say "communism" as a reason to object to warmism. It's a hell of a lot shorter than explaining the actual reasoning, which is that the decision-making process has been utterly corrupted by people who make mostly bad decisions.

  121. Grazing? you must be kidding... by js_sebastian · · Score: 1

    Wow, I think you need to provide a link to a credible site for this one. I am betting myself that the housing industry requires far more trees to be cut than the cattle industry. Most grazing pastures are at altitudes that typically on pines/spruces like to grow, plus, they (ranch managers) like the trees in the pastures to provide weather coverage for the animals.

    The meat industry does not feed cattle by letting them graze. What kind of world do you think you live in? The cattle are fed feed crops that are farmed on acres of land that could otherwise be used for crops for humans, or forests, or whatever. I am not an anti-meat integralist, I am not even a vegetarian, but it is a fact that beef is practically the least efficient of all food sources, in terms of the number of humans that can subsist per acre. Pork is more efficient than beef, poultry is more efficient than pork, and vegetables are more efficient than poultry.

  122. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by LanMan04 · · Score: 1

    If the people who are preaching about the need to reduce CO2 emissions are not doing anything to reduce their carbon emissions, why should I?

    Because you're not an asshole?

    Because 2 wrongs don't make a right?

    I mean, whatever helps you sleep at night, I guess...

    --
    With the first link, the chain is forged.
  123. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm not sure what you are getting at. Lots of people have shrunk their footprint in the last decade or 2. Perhaps it is not the drastic measures you want to see other people make, but most climate change folk aren't asking you to take drastic measures yourself either. A few small changes, when multiplied by a hundred million people makes 1 big change. So, why not just try making a small change every now and again? A lot of things you can do to reduce your carbon emissions also happen to save you money, so start with those ones first. (post anon because I modded)

  124. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by radtea · · Score: 1

    Reducing carbon dioxide emissions dramatically is not something that can be done by individuals.

    False, if by "dramatically" you mean "a factor of two or so". [OK, long pause as I try to find this comment again because the totally broken /. garbage broken UI brokenly jumps a few screens any time anything is selected or something broken like that...]

    While social/governmental initiatives and policies can and should be used to capture externalities--and should use the generally successful mechanism of markets to do so via the kind of cap and trade scheme that worked so well for sulpher emissions--individuals can still do a huge amount to reduce their own energy bills... err... I mean "carbon footprint."

    For myself, my energy bills, including transportation, are a good factor of two lower than the average. I live in a smallish town, downtown, within walking distance to work. This isn't quite as energy efficient as living in a city, but it's still pretty good. I live in a modest house with decent insulation and no air conditioning (which isn't required in my climate, but YMMV). I have put barely any effort into saving energy, really: I don't have high-efficiency appliances, I drive a ten-year-old mini-van, and I haven't been particularly aggressive on power management in my home.

    And yet I'm a factor of two below the average energy usage in my area... which admittedly doesn't have quite such a huge impact on carbon emissions as 60% of our energy here comes from nuclear and hydro power, but then, I'm not about reducing carbon emissions, I'm about saving money.

    --
    Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
  125. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    The summer is a bit cooler than the peak summers around 1996 to 1998 and again 2003 to 2007, mainly because the sun is in an all time low cycle point right now.

    Nevertheless it is likely still warmer at your place than it was during 1950 to 1970 ...

    Also "global" warming does not necessarily mean it is getting warmer at every spot. If a cold sea current is changing its path slightly the area it hits now will become colder ofc.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  126. Invalid extrapolation by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

    2100 is 89 years away. Believing that current trends will continue for that long is ridiculous. Believing that technology won't advance enough to completely invalidate the assumptions essential to the extrapolation is as funny as Malthus.

    --
    Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    1. Re:Invalid extrapolation by bunratty · · Score: 2

      Over 100 years ago, Arrhenius predicted it would take 3000 years to double the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. At this rate, it will take less than 200. Time and again, we've seen the actual increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide and associated warming exceed predictions. It cuts both ways -- it might not as be bad as we predict, but it may be worse. Let's expect the best, plan for the worst, and prepare to be surprised.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    2. Re:Invalid extrapolation by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      Over a hundred years ago it was also predicted that by the 1970s there would be a horrible pollution problem -- we'd be knee deep in horse shit. Yes, there were horrible pollution problems then (thank Nixon and the Senate and House for the EPA) but it wasn't manure.

      You can't predict the future; nobody foresaw the internet, nanotech, AIDS, etc. But one can extrapolate from current and past data.

    3. Re:Invalid extrapolation by Arlet · · Score: 1

      That's why the IPCC has a couple of different scenarios on how the CO2 levels will go. Based on these CO2 scenarios, they have developed temperature calculations.

      Of course, nobody can predict the exact CO2 scenario we're going to follow, but despite that, it still makes sense to project a couple of possible paths.

    4. Re:Invalid extrapolation by swilver · · Score: 1

      I agree, it's more likely to get worse than they currently predict.

    5. Re:Invalid extrapolation by bunratty · · Score: 2

      Gee, it's a good thing we started driving cars and avoided the manure problem, even though "skeptics" back then imagined all sorts of insurmountable problems with cars. Now can we switch to alternative energy sources and likewise avoid global warming, even though today's skeptics claim it's a socialist plot to control everyone by destroying the economy?

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    6. Re:Invalid extrapolation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Constantly thinking that humans can invent and engineer their way out every single problem is a cultural problem we have.

      Eventually were going to find a problem we can't solve...right now nothing can compare to fossil fuels for investment return, nothing. Multiply that with a immensely energy hungry global population that is increasing exponentially.

      I really hope we can fix this problem, I do. But we can't sit around and say we will have something 50 years from now to fix the problem....statistically we are going to be wrong some of the time.

    7. Re:Invalid extrapolation by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      I'd certainly like to see a switch to clean fuels, and not just transportation either. Shutting down all the oil wells and coal mines would be a good thing, provided there are alternatives.

      As to the "skeptics", I don't believe they're skeptical at all. I believe they're liars and ignorant people who have been hoodwinked by liars. Rather than destroying the economy, switching to alternate fuels would help the economy -- except for the oil and mining companies, who are behind the "skepticism".

  127. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by radtea · · Score: 1

    I live in Tunisia, north of Africa, one country with a "moderate" climate.

    Tunisia is only around 36 deg N, so the effects of anthropogenic climate change there are expected to be very small. It would be astonishing if the changes you're observing had anything to do with AGW, unless all the models are completely wrong (which is quite possible, given how unphysical and highly parameterized they are.)

    --
    Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
  128. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by losfromla · · Score: 1

    If you are living on credit to pay for food and utility bills, you are already in dire straits financially. Seriously, if you aren't zeroing those accounts at the end of each pay cycle, you need to look more closely at your finances. (You and Lumpy both)

    You don't need a water, food, or power bill to keep on living; witness all the homeless around you (assuming American or some other uncharitable country).

    --
    Only I can judge you.
  129. Re:There is a simple solution by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

    Well done. I've seen a few one-off trolls as successful as yours, but none so persistent. This is the kind of trolling that has become increasingly rare. I hope the goatse poster and the gratuitous-use-of-the-word-nigger spammer will take note. Creativity is the key to good trolling.

    --
    I am TheRaven on Soylent News
  130. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

    Since the people telling us that this is going to happen are acting as if it isn't going to happen, why do you believe them?

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  131. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

    If the people who are saying this is a problem don't believe it is a problem, what makes you think it really is a problem?

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  132. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by tbannist · · Score: 1

    That's interesting, because that was the exact opposite of what I have read. According to the another article there have only been 3 years (not including 2009, 2010, and 2011 since the article is from 2008) since 1974 where more than 100 people have died from Tornados: 1984, 1998, and 2008. Isn't the death toll over 500 now? Apparently it was the highest death toll since 1953 when that article was written. this article says this April set the record for most Tornados in the U.S. in April, and may set a new monthly high record. Wikipedia says "2011 has been an exceptionally destructive and deadly year for tornadoes" and "It is also the deadliest year in the United States since 1936, due mostly to the 322 tornadic deaths in the April 27 outbreak and the 140+ tornadic deaths in the May 22 outbreak". According to this post on the NOAA Severe Weather Blog, this year will likely end up being the 4th deadliest on record.

    Interestingly enough, May may actually end up with a below average number of Tornadoes due to 3 weeks of relatively calm and stable weather, but I think a record April is making up for a below average May, especially when you consider the death toll.

    --
    Fanatically anti-fanatical
  133. Really? by EdwinFreed · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I have two sets of solar panels - one 10 year old set that's wired up conventionally to a single inverter, and another 8-month-old set that uses per-panel microinverters.

    According to the very nice graphical display of power generation the microinverters provide via a built in web monitoring thingie, I average about four hours each day operating between 90% and peak generation.

    Installation of the original set of panels was a major PITA because UL delisted the inverter after it was installed. Getting a massive piece of equipment down off the wall is easy, getting the replacement back up, not so much. But once that one startup issue was dealt with, the system has been 100% reliable and has required no repairs. As for the microinverters, it's early days yet, but they've been completely reliable so far.

    As for washing the panels, yes, doing that more often increases output, but in my experience, not by that much. Around here the windows need to be washed twice a year so the panels get done as part of that. No big deal.

    And as for all this "resetting after a power failure" - it appears your experience with grid-tie systems is seriously out of date. My 10 year old inverter handles power failures automatically. Aside from monitoring, I haven't had to touch the thing once the replacement inverter was installed. Ditto for the microinverters.

    Finally, you appear to be conflating grid-tie and off-grid setups. I agree that a fully off-grid setup isn't easy. I have battery backup as part of my original system, but since the batteries are only used when there's a grid failure they haven't needed to be replaced. (And most grid-tie systems don't need them at all.) An off-grid setup that charges and discharges the batteries every day is going to require a lot more maintenance. And when solar is the only energy source the system has to be overbuilt in the fashion you describe (just not as much as you claim). And you probably care more about keeping the panels clean when they are your only power source.

    But the vast majority of solar systems are grid-tied, not off-grid. So most of your issues simply don't apply.

    Now, perhaps you'll say my experience is unusual. Yes, it's only anecdotal, but I know three people with similar solar setups in the area, and their systems have all worked flawlessly since they were installed.

  134. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

    Whatever you're smoking....do share, it has to be some powerful stuff...

    --
    People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
  135. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by bunratty · · Score: 1

    What's causing all the ice to melt, then?

    --
    What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
  136. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by bunratty · · Score: 1

    Are you taking into account the energy you do not directly use? All the products you buy need to be shipped to a store, and that takes energy. When you work in an office, it takes energy to power the infrastructure. You can look at the energy use by sector to understand a bit more.

    --
    What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
  137. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by losfromla · · Score: 1

    there is no such thing as an irrational fear of DDT

    --
    Only I can judge you.
  138. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

    Wow! what country has executions for not paying your bills?

    Not the death penalty yet. But apparently you can be incarcerated indefinitely in some states of the USA for failing to pay your bills. The police are thinking of changing their motto to "To serve and collect".

  139. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Eli+Gottlieb · · Score: 1

    Well now I'm telling you global warming is a serious problem, one that I do something about by not owning a car (bicycles are fine, thanks), living in small dwellings, buying energy-efficient appliances, using local foodstuffs, and doing work myself rather than having an energy-intensive machine do it. I'm working on adding more stuff to this list.

    Remember: celebrity advocates for a cause are different from regular advocates for a cause, because all celebrities live basically the same lifestyle while advocates for different causes often live radically different lifestyles.

  140. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

    Why do you believe that? Did the strange voice in your head tell you?

    Nice try, but not quite. You forgot to imply an irrational fear of brown people, and a connection to a lizard people conspiracy group.

    --
    "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
    --- Jerry Garcia
  141. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by wjousts · · Score: 1

    I believe in personal responsibility.

    Funny, because the entire rest of your post says exactly the opposite. If you are taking personal responsibility, then what does it matter what your coal-burning global warming alarmist straw men or anybody else is or is not doing?

    I'm not going to do it because so-and-so isn't doing it sounds like the complete opposite of personal responsibility. It sounds exactly like "I'm not going to work so long as the government keeps giving me money."

  142. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

    Oh my, the communists are coming!

    Please go live on your libertarian utopia island. I hope you don't mind the rest of the world using air strikes to reduce your carbon emissions.

  143. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

    To entertain your strawman for a moment, so for you, global communism is worse that the destruction of the globe? You'd rather see the state of Florida under water before, god forbid, we share even a little bit of the wealth of the industrialized world? Better dead than red I guess?

    Actually, it seems to look more like feudalism or Lenin-style "communism" than anything. I don't accept your premise that the choice is slavery or an uninhabitable earth, however. Environmental protection isn't even the real goal, it's just an excuse to get you to go along with reverting to subsistence living while the "experts" control all the resources.

    --
    "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
    --- Jerry Garcia
  144. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Candid88 · · Score: 1

    Strange conclusion to make considering the communist governments (and former ones) are the main ones against carbon taxes. China and Russia's objections are the only reason some form of international carbon taxes don't already exist. ...probably just part of the conspiracy I assume.

  145. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

    Why use the term deniers?

    --
    The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
  146. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by SETIGuy · · Score: 0

    Global temperatures will continue to rise as they have for the last 5 decades.
    Global sea levels will continue to rise.
    Worldwide mass of sea ice an land ice will continue to decrease

    We've been predicting these things for decades, and when they come true, you just ignore us and pick tiny exceptions to global rules and claim it's all wrong. Your main reason for disbelief is that you don't want to believe.

    I've posted it before. I'll post it again. Responses to 163 bogus arguments made by global warming deniers.

  147. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

    Why use the term "warmist"?

    --
    The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
  148. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

    Ever since the fall of Communism

    There was no "fall of Communism". Just a change in strategy. And it's working very quickly.

    --
    "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
    --- Jerry Garcia
  149. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

    Like how the progressive solutions to poverty tend to keep people poor, or how the progressive solutions to crime end up increasing crime.

    This is exactly the same kind of conservative denialism seen in global warming deniers. Any evidence from poverty rates or crime rates is ignored. The costs of the conservative "solutions" to those problems is ignored. The only evidence this type of person will believe is a report from a conservative think tank. Besides God likes conservatives better, so the conservative solution must be the right one.

  150. Re:In spite of tighter emission control standards. by mark-t · · Score: 1

    You appear to have misssed my point as well. I have been saying that emission control standards are not fixing the problem, so the very reason that they are giving for having them is invalid.

  151. Be real by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Let's face it. Many talks and good intentions. Unless we ALL try hard to cut down and radically change our lifestyles, economic model, that is based on constant growth and expansion and thins more, more, more way of life there is no way to solve the problem. Well maybe if we put a great deal of money and research alternative fuels and all that... I am part of the problem too, I also like my cars, bikes, TVs and money, I am not the hippy, not that there is anything wrong with it.
    Besides that, the major problem right now is the amount of people being produced, mainly in countries that cannot sustain them. Please stop generating more humans! There is no money, health, food or anytthing to sustain so many of us while keeping a good standard of life. Come on!

  152. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

    Why use the term "warmist"?

    I was responding to a post that used the term "denier". Fair's fair.

    --
    "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
    --- Jerry Garcia
  153. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

    No, it sounds like, "The people who are telling me that all this land is going to be unlivable a year from now are buying up my neighbors' property and building mansions. I like living here, so I'm staying."

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  154. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

    OK, and what sort of credentials do you have that I should believe that you know what you are talking about?
    The thing is that it is not just the "celevrity advocates" for AGW that live as if they do not believe in AGW, it is also the scientists such as Philip Jones and Michael Mann.

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  155. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by SETIGuy · · Score: 1
    I miss the old days of slashdot when only 10% of the posters were right wing trolls

    1. Man is causing global warming.

    Yes. Exactly.

    2. We can't actually prove it, but correlation == causation.

    No. Correlation != causation, but the theoretical basis of the greenhouse effect (infrared opacity of CO2 trapping heat) has been known for more than a century. Correlation+theoretical mechanism == probable causation.

    3. Okay, correlation != causation, but we have a consensus

    Yes, we certainly do.

    4. True, Earth as the center of the universe was once a consensus too, but we're right this time!

    Yes, people once thought that the earth was the center of the universe. That conclusion was not reached scientifically, It was the scientific process that resulted in a scientific consensus that the earth was not at the center of the universe. Much like the scientific process has resulted in a scientific consensus of the reality of anthropogenic global warming. No climate scientist is claiming 100% certainty. There's a 1 or 2% chance that we're wrong.

    Suppose you went to your doctor and he said there's a mass on your liver, and tests show there's a 98% chance it's cancerous. To remove it you would need surgery, and with liver surgery there's a 1or 2% chance you will die on the table. Would you have the surgery? Or would you opt out because of the 0.04% chance you will die for a non-cancerous growth.

    5. Rapture

    There will be no Rapture to save us.

  156. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

    Uh, your e-mail address shows as ....lizardslounge...

    I see no reason to imply a connection to lizard people.

    But, seriously, why do you think that some understanding of physics implies a desire for "Global Communist Government"?

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  157. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

    Al Gore is not a climate scientist. Whether he believes in it or not is beside the point, and has no bearing on whether it is real or not.

  158. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by otis+wildflower · · Score: 1

    No, what I'm saying is, if the folks who SAY it's a problem don't actually BELIEVE it's a problem (judging by their actions), then I am not convinced that it IS a problem.

    Do as I say and not as I do because I said so only works if you're a parent lecturing a child, and by 'works' I mean 'something you can get away with', and only until they can free themselves of you.

  159. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Xyrus · · Score: 1

    It's called bystander apathy, and it's the reason why women can be attacked in broad daylight in the middle of New York City and not a single person will do anything about it. The mentality of "If no one else is doing anything to help, why should I?" is well understood and documented, but that doesn't make it an any less repulsive aspect of our society and psychology.

    But if it makes you sleep easier at night to justify your actions by the perceived hypocrisy of others, then by all means curl up with that blanket of moral bankruptcy and lull yourself to sleep. You won't be the first or the last to do so.

    --
    ~X~
  160. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Crime is mentioned specifically because this is one case where overwhelming statistical evidence for a serious problem leads to nothing but denial from the progressives.

    You may have heard progressives saying that crime rates have fallen since the 1960s, 1970s or 1980s. This is usually true. But did you ever wonder why the baseline is never set before the 1960s? Why not measure crime since 1900? Or 1860?

    It's not about conservatives versus progressives, by the way. It's about progressives versus reality.

  161. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

    Grow up. Both the troll and those who *feed* them are the biggest problem.

    --
    The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
  162. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

    Yes, but Michale Mann is, and so is James Hansen.

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  163. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

    NO, it's called not believing the guy who tells me that my land will be uninhabitable next year while he buys up my neighbors' property to build mansions.

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  164. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Xyrus · · Score: 2

    And I'm sure you have tons of research and data to back up your claims?

    Even ignoring all the data and research currently available, there is some rather large and tangible evidence that temperatures are warming, namely Greenland and pretty much all areas north of the article circle. Perhaps you may need a refresher in physics, but it takes A LOT of energy to melt the amount of ice that's disappeared over the past few decades just in those two areas alone.

    The people who have politicized the science are the same people who politicized the science when anything affecting big industry negatively shows up. They've been at it a long time. Asbestos, tobacco, acid rain, ozone depletion, scrubbers on power plants, and any other major scientific controversy you'd care to think of has been well opposed by these groups with a lot of funding by the industries affected. In fact, many of the manufactured FUD organizations that were around in the 50's and 60's are still around today, doing the exact same thing. If you ever ever seen the movie, "Thank You For Smoking" you get a glimpse of what they do, and they do it very very well.

    Of course, if you think their is a global climate conspiracy, then there is no way to convince you otherwise. So enjoy your beliefs. I'm sticking with the science.

    --
    ~X~
  165. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

    point taken.

    --
    "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
    --- Jerry Garcia
  166. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by tmosley · · Score: 1

    Yes, Climatology is a "science" at the level of an internet message board argument. Basically, a back and forth of "Yuh-huh"s and "Nuh-uh"s. No independent review of any statements from any side. Everyone uses the same data from the same devices in the same places and puts them into the same computer programs that are NOT open source, and are in fact black boxes.

    I know when I am being sold pork flavored snake oil.

  167. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

    Uh, your e-mail address shows as ....lizardslounge...

    I see no reason to imply a connection to lizard people.

    No, no. The conspiracy theorists say the lizard people are the hidden BAD guys. They don't claim to BE lizard people. :)

    But, seriously, why do you think that some understanding of physics implies a desire for "Global Communist Government"?

    I don't know why you would make a connection to physics ... at all. Way out in left field, dude.

    The new fake environmentalism has nothing to do with science at all. Their own documents from the original Agenda 21 to the documents from the PCSD and ICLEI state that it doesn't matter whether the science can be proven or not, the agenda is the most important thing.

    --
    "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
    --- Jerry Garcia
  168. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by MrHanky · · Score: 1

    I agree with you at one point: discussion on message boards is pretty worthless as far a science goes. I hold your comment, which only uses hearsay as evidence, as a good example.

    Notice, however, that there's a difference between my comment and yours: mine is actually empirically verifiable, whereas yours is pure fabrication.

  169. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

    how come I'm freezing my ass off in New England?

    A lot of people don't understand the difference between weather and climate, so you're not alone in having that question.

    In the northern mid-latitudes like New England, weather is the result of a converging flows of air: warm moist air from the tropics moving north-east, and cold relatively dry air from high latitudes moving south-west.. These flows are due to convective heat flow from the equator to the poles. Where these flows of air collide is where you get storms. Above the boundary, the rising divergent air columns create a jet stream. That's why there's often bad weather marked by the jet stream.

    The boundary where these two air masses meet is not straight. It deviates north or south as it is pushed by the air masses. But large quantities of air can't flow past the boundary. So if you have a large amount of warm air in one spot pushing north, the cold air has to get out of the way by pushing south somewhere else. Similarly if cold air pushes south, warm air will move north in other places. When you add energy by heating up tropical air and increasing its moisture content (i.e. global warming), these deviations can get larger, and the storms along the boundary get worse because of more moisture and higher temperature differential.

    So this winter, when you were freezing, it was because Alberta was having record high temperatures. (Above freezing in Edmonton in January). The push of warm air that is causing me to freeze in the west now is bringing higher temperatures to you in New England. The stream on the west coast is down in Mid California, but is over Hudson Bay in the east. The warm air pushing north has been the cause of many of those tornadoes.

  170. The problems with solar are entirely FUD by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Every issue you mentioned has been exhaustively dealt with and comprehensively solved. You haven't done any research (or your research has been limited to disinformation from Fred Singer and the Reaganauts).

    Together, solar and wind power could completely displace petroleum world-wide for less than the cost to date of the Bush "Wars to Keep Texas Oil Expensive".

    You could completely carpet Death Valley with solar panels for less than two years cost of the "War on (Certain Kinds of) Terrorism", and you could use any of dozens of technologies to store excess daytime power for nighttime use.

    But really methane (aka natural gas) is the cost-effective option. You can trivially convert existing cars to use methane, and methane-powered fridges, generators, clothes dryers, water heaters, and furnaces are available everywhere there's a Sears Roebuck outlet. Methane can be made from HUMAN SHIT in a CARBON-NEUTRAL process of low-pressure fermentation that scales directly to the human population.

    However, conversion to low-tech methane power would completely destroy the modern political situation, which is based on hereditary access to oil.

    Containment-based strategies like terrestrial nuclear power plants are not capable of failing gracefully in a natural disaster, are not economically viable without taxpayer sponsorship, and are not necessary.

  171. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by wjousts · · Score: 1

    How's that tin-foil hat fitting you? There really is no reasoning with somebody as irrationally paranoid as you. You really think that the entire scientific community is going along with this to further some political aim. Do you ever stop to listen to the nonsense you are spewing?

  172. Re:There is a simple solution by Quiet_Desperation · · Score: 1

    It's still empty calories to process.

  173. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

    How's that tin-foil hat fitting you? There really is no reasoning with somebody as irrationally paranoid as you.

    Step 1: Call your opponent crazy

    You really think that the entire scientific community is going along with this to further some political aim.

    Step 2: Create a straw man argument and attribute it to your opponent to support your insanity accusation. Claim that all "reasonable" people already support your own position.

    Do you ever stop to listen to the nonsense you are spewing?

    Final Step: Dismiss your opponent's stance as nonsense, not worthy of further research or discussion.

    That all you got?

    --
    "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
    --- Jerry Garcia
  174. That's nothing by DragonHawk · · Score: 1

    "But rising by 3.9C is almost as bad."

    You think that's bad -- just think about what would happen if it rose by 7.02F!

    --

    dragonhawk@iname.microsoft.com
    I do not like Microsoft. Remove them from my email address.
  175. Re:What percentage of atmosphere is greenhouse gas by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

    Let's adjust the radon concentration in that AC's house to 0.04%. It's a small number, so he won't have any ill effects.

  176. Re: solar is more than just panels by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They are not $2 per Watt at Lowes or Home Depot! Lets not forget the cost of the inverters or their much shorter lifespan. They often have large electrolytic capacitors that deteriorate from age and high temperatures. Check the specs of electrolytics... they often are only rated for 1000 hours at elevated temperature.

  177. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But did you ever wonder why the baseline is never set before the 1960s?

    That's because in the conservative utopia before 1955 there we're a lot of non-crimes that are now crimes. For example, spousal abuse, raping a woman who was "asking for it", killing a black man, and a wide variety of similar crimes that were illegal, but never reported. Large swaths of the population, due to race or economic status were unable to make accusations of a crime if they were the victim.

  178. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

    They have multimillion dollar mansions and huge CO2 footprints?

  179. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

    "The facts of life are conservative." Margaret Thatcher

    "Maggie Thatcher is a crack whore." Casper Weinburger

  180. Volcanoes have always been active. . . by JSBiff · · Score: 1

    Unless you can show that we are going through a period of substantially more volcanic activity than has been normal over the past 50,000 years, please shut up.

    Yes, volcanoes put out CO2. But they've been doing that forever. How do you explain a sustained increase in CO2 levels, which based on ice core samples going back many thousands of years, is increasing at a much faster rate than the previous several thousand years, over the past century?

    Oh, and are you claiming that the activities of man (burning huge, huge amounts of oil, coal, natural gas, and burning off massive areas of forest every year) would somehow NOT increase carbon in the atmophere? What mechanism to do you propose is acting as a 'sink' for all that carbon?

  181. Destroy the Earth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    To all that participated in the Destroy the Earth to Prove that you Can't Day, good work!

  182. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by riverat1 · · Score: 1

    Go get the raw data for yourself and if you plot it out and compare it to the adjusted data you will find that the difference is minuscule.

  183. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by wjousts · · Score: 1

    Step 2: Create a straw man argument and attribute it to your opponent to support your insanity accusation. Claim that all "reasonable" people already support your own position.

    All reasonable people do. The vast majority of scientists and scientific organizations support the theory that humans are doing irreversible damage to the climate through the uncontrolled release of greenhouse gases, primarily carbon dioxide. The debate is settled. You seem to think there is some grand global conspiracy between unrelated groups of scientists world-wide. You are the one that said that:

    " Environmental protection isn't even the real goal, it's just an excuse to get you to go along with reverting to subsistence living while the "experts" control all the resources."

    So how is what I said a straw man? It's exactly what you proposed. These "experts" you think are looking to control all the resources would need millions of scientists around the world to agree to push this "myth" in order for you fantasy to happen. Or do you now not stand by your own argument?

    Don't try and weasel out it. Please explain how these "experts" get the entire scientific community to go along with this nefarious plan for world domination?

  184. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by riverat1 · · Score: 1

    What evidence do you have that Phil Jones or Michael Mann live as if they don't believe in AGW? It's easy to throw names out there but if you want to be credible you have to back it up.

  185. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by riverat1 · · Score: 1

    Who told you your land will be uninhabitable next year? Certainly not any climate scientist.

  186. Learn some math, dummy... by mangu · · Score: 2

    Let's see, the early IPCC reports warned us of 50 million climate refugees from flooded coastlines but 2010. I set up a couple of cots in my basement to help out but no one's come knocking at my door yet

    First of all, assuming those 50 million to be spread evenly, this gives you a 0.7% chance of getting one refugee. But keep that cot in your basement, there's a 50% chance that one refugee will come to you in the next 140 years.

    If you had actually read that paper you mention, instead of spreading oil industry propaganda, you would know that the author estimated that there were 25 million people who had to leave their homes because of climate problems in the mid-1990s and the trends indicated that this amount should double by 2010.

    I don't know if the number of refugees actually doubled in that period. but the actions of the state government of Arizona seem to indicate that the problem is increasing. In 1995 no one would lose their business licence in Arizona for hiring a refugee. You do trust the Arizona governor, don't you? After all, you have always voted for her party, right?

  187. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by LanMan04 · · Score: 1

    If the people who are saying this is a problem don't believe it is a problem, what makes you think it really is a problem?

    They do believe it's a problem? They just don't want to sacrifice their quality of life, which makes them douchebags, but it doesn't make them wrong.

    And frankly, I could care less about what these cheerleaders have to say. I care about the SCIENTISTS' opinion, and they say it's a problem.

    --
    With the first link, the chain is forged.
  188. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's an interesting argument. You should apply it to climatology.

    I heard that before 1955, temperatures weren't measured in quite the same way as they are now, so historical data from before that time is invalid.

    Now, saying that would make me a denialist, wouldn't it? I wonder what it makes you.

  189. Re:What percentage of atmosphere is greenhouse gas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yesterday the weather scientist on tv said it would rain today. I cancelled my trip and now I'm stuck home on a sunny day. Luckily we got other scientists who can tell us for sure what weather we'll have 10 or even 100 years from now.

    Another seti guy predicted that burning oil wells in Kuwait would produce effects similar to nuclear winter, boy was he right. And those who listen to IPCC should definitely check out those himalayan glaciers because, according to IPCC, they'll be gone in 25 years.

    BTW mr seti guy CO2 level was pretty much the same before we, homo sapiens, moved in here.

  190. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by feepness · · Score: 1

    Of course, if you think their is a global climate conspiracy, then there is no way to convince you otherwise. So enjoy your beliefs. I'm sticking with the science.

    On the other hand, record snowfalls in other areas of the planet are ignored. You don't get to cherry pick a location (the arctic) and a time period (twenty years) and call it global warming.

    That's not the science you hold dear.

  191. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by tompaulco · · Score: 1

    Well, maybe we are having a higher than average year. After more reading, they are saying that even Oklahoma, where I live has had more tornadoes than usual in the first five months. I guess it just seems lower because we have so far only had one tornado warning anywhere near the Oklahoma City area and I am used to having at least two a week in a normal year.
    Death toll is a hard figure to use. On the one hand, forecasting and forewarning improves every year. On the other hand, we keep building larger and larger cities, and the houses we build in them are not designed to withstand the force of a tornado, so it becomes more and more likely that a tornado is going to cause more and more damage and probably kill people.
    Part of the issue with the two tornadoes everyone is familiar with from this year is that they occurred in places that don't traditionally get really big tornado outbreaks, and don't have the weather facilities and coverage to be prepared for it. I live near Oklahoma City and believe me, nothing compares to the weather coverage here. If you get killed by a tornado here, you can't say you didn't know what was coming. Every channel has surface and air vehicles surrounding each cell. All of the local channels break into continuous coverage with sophisticated Doppler radio that shows the wind shear and from which they are able to tell right where a funnel will form if it does form.
    Just last week, we had some really bad stuff come through the metro with tornadoes as large or larger than the Joplin tornadoes (one EF-4 and the other being investigated for consideration as an EF-5, plus numerous Ef-3s), and only 10 people were killed. The May 3rd 1999 tornado, the tornado with the highest wind speed ever recorded on planet Earth claimed only 36 lives despite tearing through suburbs of Oklahoma City.
    Another point of interest. After the May 3rd 1999 tornado, the U.S. experienced the longest period without an F-5 or EF-5 tornado since records were kept. 8 years without an F-5 or EF-5.

    --
    If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
  192. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by CheerfulMacFanboy · · Score: 1

    Well, thank goodness we are finally solving our global warming problem, since the deaths per year from Tornadoes continues to drop. Although this years tornado outbreaks have drawn more news exposure, mostly because they happened to hit large cities, this years tornado season has actually been less severe than usual.

    Okay, first of all, remember that the number of tornado deaths has been falling pretty consistently since the mid-20s thanks to early warnings.

    In 2011 as of May 26th there were 512 deaths already (incl. 132 in Joplin), which already makes it 7th deadliest year since 1875. And even if you ignore the victims in Joplin, it would still already be the 12th deadliest year - after 5 months.

    --
    Fandroids hate facts.
  193. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

    You are correct, they said it would be uninhabitable last year. I remember climate scientists saying in the late 80s that most coastal cities would be underwater by 2010.
    However, I was actually just using a metaphor.

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  194. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

    But they still fly all over the world to various conventions where they gather to tell us how much of a problem it is.

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  195. Re:What percentage of atmosphere is greenhouse gas by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

    Luckily we got other scientists who can tell us for sure what weather we'll have 10 or even 100 years from now.

    Posting anonymously and too stupid to understand the difference between weather and climate. Do I really need to respond to the rest? You already know you're wrong about all that stuff, except for the glacier prediction, which was an error in a summary and not part of the scientific portion of the report. I haven't heard about this burning well prediction, but I'm pretty sure it wasn't a consensus of climate scientists like global warming is. And the CO2 level was 40% lower before we got here. So learn something, and post non-anonymously next time.

  196. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by riverat1 · · Score: 1

    No, you did not hear any climate scientist say that most coastal cities would be underwater by 2010 in the 1980's. If you think you did please cite the quote that backs up your statement. And Al Gore did not say that either. Earlier IPCC reports were saying that there would be 1-2 feet of sea level rise by 2100. In the past few years that's changed to 3-6 feet of SLR by 2100 but it will be the next IPCC report before that is incorporated.

    You're metaphor is an extreme exaggeration that has no basis in reality. You really need to pay attention to the time frames that scientists are talking about when they make their statements about what they expect to happen. Most of the effects of global warming are happening a bit faster than scientists have postulated.
     

  197. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

    I heard that before 1955, temperatures weren't measured in quite the same way as they are now, so historical data from before that time is invalid.

    You may have heard it, but that doesn't make it true. Even if it were there are a large number of temperature proxies with which to calibrate the pre-1955 temperatures. In addition there is this thing called error analysis which allows us to take into account any uncertainty in the temperature record.

  198. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

    All reasonable people do. The vast majority of scientists and scientific organizations support the theory that humans are doing irreversible damage to the climate through the uncontrolled release of greenhouse gases, primarily carbon dioxide.

    Well that's a considerable broader position that I can completely agree with, but it's not excessively off the mark, and not really anything I was disputing.

    You seem to think there is some grand global conspiracy between unrelated groups of scientists world-wide.

    Oh here's your straw man again. This whole fucking "groups of scientists" bullshit over again. There's no "scientists" (unless your definition is WAY off from any accepted definition) claiming to have all the answers to the warming and increasing CO2. Why would I even respond to this kind of crap. These guys aren't scientists, they are politicians and looters posing as diplomats. They are the elite monied interests disseminating the perils scientists warn about, and using it to promote their own controlling agenda as the only solution, with the actual benefits to the environment (and the vast majority of mankind) only used as rhetoric to support their ideas.

    Don't try and weasel out it. Please explain how these "experts" get the entire scientific community to go along with this nefarious plan for world domination?

    Oh like your own ideologies don't have any impact on the institutional directions you will support... right. And nobody is focused on some significantly important specialization of research without having total understading of how the authorities many layers up might eventually (mis)use their work? Huh? Is that your contention? That everybody has the big picture of everything and nobody's work can could be used for nefarious purposes without full disclosure? Do you understand how large and insidious the plans and processes are laid out and how the debate over science is just scratching the surface (as well as a useful distraction)?

    I suggest you do a little research. You are obviously grossly uninformed. Here's a short primer:

    Donna Holt, Virginia

    ICLEI

    What ICLEI does

    --
    "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
    --- Jerry Garcia
  199. Its winter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    And ive been eating a lot of garlic, sorry, gas will reduce near spring time

  200. Great news... by Stone2065 · · Score: 1

    You know how this happens? When you have megacorps buying "carbon credit". They pay extra for polluting that they should be paying fines for. So, just because they pay the carbon credit money, that money doesn't equal out to fixing what they're over dumping into the atmosphere.

    Sorry if my phrasing isn't to specs, but what I'm getting at is, those with the money to buy the carbon credits, in order to over dump/produce, are the ones that seem to me to be responsible for this shit...

    --
    Stone
  201. What a Joke... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    More moonbat nonsense...

  202. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

    But, seriously, why do you think that some understanding of physics implies a desire for "Global Communist Government"?

    I don't know why you would make a connection to physics ... at all. Way out in left field, dude.

    The new fake environmentalism has nothing to do with science at all. Their own documents from the original Agenda 21 to the documents from the PCSD and ICLEI state that it doesn't matter whether the science can be proven or not, the agenda is the most important thing.

    1. co2 is a ghg
    2. co2 is increasing
    3. the increase is of human origin
    4. global temperatures are increasing
    5. this increase is consistent with and explained by the co2 rise
    6. this is likely to have unfortunate consequences

    What's to prove?

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  203. Uhm, how? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We were still recovering from a global recession. Major energy consumers are still at pre-2008 levels. Employment rates are still low, less people commuting. The adoption of alternate energy by both industry and consumer has continued to increase.

    I guess this is where we blame China?

  204. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Maybe, but that's not the point. The point is to illustrate the the similarity between these two statements.

    That's because in the conservative utopia before 1955 there we're a lot of non-crimes that are now crimes.

    and

    I heard that before 1955, temperatures weren't measured in quite the same way as they are now,

    Do you see how both statements are essentially arguing the same thing - that inconvenient historical data can just be ignored? It actually doesn't matter which of them is true - what's interesting is the style of argument being applied, namely denialism. If you click "Parent" a few times you will see how this supports the wider point I was making.

  205. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What's to prove?

    That there is a way to reverse the trend? That it's worth global slavery and depopulation to do that?

  206. Re:Immediately followed by killer tornadoes by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

    What's to prove?

    That there is a way to reverse the trend?

    How could there not be?

    That it's worth global slavery and depopulation to do that?

    Who's proposing that solution?

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  207. "carbon emissions ..." by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Your title is grossly misleading - they're not "carbon emissions" - they're carbon dioxide emissions. There's a huge difference. Other than in suspended micro-partiulate form (soot) carbon in elementary form is not a "greenhouse" agent. Carbon dioxide is. So for all practical purposes carbon only affects the global atmosphere when it's oxidised (e.g. by burning coal).

  208. Re:What percentage of atmosphere is greenhouse gas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Mr setiguy I guess the fact that you must argue by calling people stupid speaks for the strength of your knowledge and confidence in your arguments. nick "setiguy" is also anonymous, and I will continue to post as ac especially that i dont want dicks like you to know my name. And you got a lot of learning to do especially in terms of historical data of co2 levels, because it was NOT 40% lower.

  209. Re:What percentage of atmosphere is greenhouse gas by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

    Hmmmm. You mean historical data like this? CO2 was 280 ppm 1000 years ago and is about 390 ppm now, I guess it's only 30% lower. If you go back 8000 years, it's 260 ppm, it's 35% lower. So you're right, I misspoke. I should have said "Humanity has increased CO2 levels by 40%" rather than "CO2 levels were 40% lower".

  210. Re:What percentage of atmosphere is greenhouse gas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    it's nice to discuss things in civil manner now is it?

    So essentially we're back to square one where i wrote "Numbers may rise or drop by milions of percent or gazilion of gigatons, but the fact remains: greenhouse gases are still __less than 0.04%__ of earth's atmosphere.". If the article mentions differences but does not give an overview of how much of the stuff exactly is there, then it has a smell of propaganda to me.

    I wont loose any sleep over this, we survived catastrophic global cooling, we'll survive global warming. Somehow I find Crichton more convincing then Gore.

    And the kuwait mention was in reference to Sagan.

  211. Re:What percentage of atmosphere is greenhouse gas by SETIGuy · · Score: 1

    Somehow I find Crichton more convincing then Gore.

    Somehow, I find climatologists more convincing than either bad science fiction writers or failed politicians. When you're getting your science advice from a SciFi writer who doesn't understand chaos theory or climatology or a holier than thou politician who at least has talked to some people who do understand it, you're getting your information in the wrong place. That less than 0.04% of the Earth's atmosphere is why the snow melts in the summer in Chicago and why it rarely falls in Miami. Take it away and you've got permanent ice age. Increase it by 40% and you've got something else. It's illogical to assume otherwise.