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Italy Votes To Abandon Nuclear Power

ElementOfDestruction writes "Italy has joined Germany in halting the production of energy from atomic power generation. This differs from Germany in that the Italian decision was made by a public vote, rather than a government mandated shutdown. 57% of Italian Households voted in this public measure. While democracy should trump all, is it wise to hold majority opinion so high that it slows down progress?"

95 of 848 comments (clear)

  1. Solution? by countertrolling · · Score: 2, Insightful

    What do you do when the voters are conditioned and misinformed and the majority is wrong?

    --
    For justice, we must go to Don Corleone
    1. Re:Solution? by RazzleFrog · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Sorry that you live under that illusion but the founding fathers had a very low impression of the average person and their ability to make intelligent decisions. That's why the original voting populace was so small.

      Look at California - they vote on almost major even using propositions and the outcome changes depending on who does a better job on getting out the vote. Pure democracy only works if ever person is perfectly informed and actually votes.

    2. Re:Solution? by kevinNCSU · · Score: 2

      Actually your both right (at least for the USA). Your reason is important, and GP's reason is as well. The founding father's specifically made references in their writings and speeches to their fear of "mob rule" from a direct democracy. Why do you think we have the electoral college? It's not because it's impossible to apply the populations votes directly toward a candidate once they've already been counted. It was meant to be another check on the mob to keep them from electing some populist bimbo that had duped the citizenry into voting for him even though they weren't qualified. And yes, it was also a compromise between the small states and large.

    3. Re:Solution? by martyros · · Score: 2

      What do you do when the voters are conditioned and misinformed and the majority is wrong?

      One of my co-workers is Italian. He's pro nuclear power in general. But he's against nuclear power run by Italians. He's very pessimistic about the amount of corruption in that country. He is confident that safety will be compromised to reduce costs and increase graft. And nuclear power is not something that you want to be playing around with, safety-wise. He seems perfectly content buying nuclear power from France, even with the reactor just across the border, because the French safety record seems pretty good thus far.

      --

      TCP: Why the Internet is full of SYN.

  2. The US did this in the 1970's by afidel · · Score: 5, Informative

    We did it de facto instead of de jure but the fact that we haven't built any new plants in 30 years means we have ultimately also given up on nuclear. The politicians caved to public fear and so made the process of permitting a plant to be so expensive as to make it economically impossible to continue to build new facilities. We will ultimately shut down our current plants and shift that generation to something else, it will just take longer.

    --
    There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    1. Re:The US did this in the 1970's by tmosley · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Actually, what we did is much, MUCH worse. From fear of nuclear power, we have halted all progress in nuclear technology, leaving ancient reactor designs in deployment, while new, safe designs sit on the drawing board.

      In a real way, fear of nuclear power caused Fukushima. That plant should have been decommissioned a decade ago in favor of one of the new generation of power plants, maybe even one that burns thorium, meaning they could have gotten rid of all that waste they instead stuffed into the attic hoping no-one would ever find out.

    2. Re:The US did this in the 1970's by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful
      This whole conversation reminds me of the guys who insist that Vietnam was winnable. Nuclear died because it was uneconomical, costs were greater than just deaths (such as massive economic costs and long term illnesses), the Japanese who are about as efficient as any group on the planet couldn't do it safely -- as the Onion Put it "Nuclear Plants Perfectly Safe -- Unless Something Goes Wrong."

      It's not that the majority is irrational, it's that you guys are as emotionally tied to dead nuclear as others are to a lost war.

    3. Re:The US did this in the 1970's by ObsessiveMathsFreak · · Score: 3, Insightful

      we have halted all progress in nuclear technology, leaving ancient reactor designs in deployment, while new, safe designs sit on the drawing board.

      No design, I repeat no design is safe against corporate mismanagement.

      All the engineering in the world is not going to prevent your plant from exploding when faced with an MBA CEO with a lust for profit.

      --
      May the Maths Be with you!
    4. Re:The US did this in the 1970's by rubycodez · · Score: 5, Informative

      In a real way, fear of nuclear power caused Fukushima. Not true at all, had they located their backup power high in the air like the Gen II plants I've worked, everything would have been fine. Laziness, greed, incompetence caused Fukushima. And, were they trained properly by the classic nuclear engineering texts such as I have on my shelf, they should recognized the signs of melting fueld, and have just let the fuel melt into containment system without pouring in water. Well known there comes a point when hot fuel cracks the water and causes explosion that can burst containment in that type of reactor.

    5. Re:The US did this in the 1970's by Derek+Pomery · · Score: 5, Informative

      http://www.straightdope.com/columns/read/3000/followup-why-dont-we-ditch-nukes-em-and-em-coal

      Also, some back of envelope calculations.

      A typical nuclear power plant generates a gigawatt of *CONSTANT* power.

      A 1.5 megawatt turbine (and keep in mind these things are gigantic) typically produces at around 20% of capacity, highly variable, but let's pretend we could store the power somehow or get enough of 'em to magically balance out.

      That means you'd need like 3333 turbines to replace a consistent nuclear output with an inconsistent power source. Turbines that would need constant maintenance. And this is for a traditional 1 gig nuclear power plant, not one of the new designs, or larger ones.

      How much land would that cover? About 77,000 acres, or 312 square kilometres. That's a square 18 kilometres on a side filled with them. Of course, wind power is not exactly environmentally neutral if you consider constructional, maintenance, and impact on bats, birds and weather patterns.

      And keep in mind, we need a lot more than just 1 or 2.

      --
      -- perl -e'print pack"H*","6e656d6f406d38792e6f7267"' /. ate my old sig. Bastards.
    6. Re:The US did this in the 1970's by squizzar · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What's uneconomical about it? There's a huge investment cost, made worse in some cases by the amount of legal objection to building plants, but after that's paid off the plants print money. Have you seen how much tax the German government is taking of Nuclear power plant profits?

    7. Re:The US did this in the 1970's by Derek+Pomery · · Score: 4, Informative

      Actually, googling, I might be wildly optimistic. I quote random google result.

      ""Contemporary wind projects are typically rated at 25 to 100 MW. A 25 MW project might have 60 to 70 turbines covering 1500 acres," says The EPA . Really, that's a little over 4 MW of *average* power from a total of about 65 windmills. (This was typical of early California wind turbines.)

      The 4 MW divided by 1500 acres is about 2.67 kW per acre. But an acre is 4047 square meters, so the power density works out to be about 0.7 watts per square meter. By comparison, direct sunlight averages 200 watts per square meter around the clock, around the year, around the US.

      Scale that up to 1000 MW (more or less standard for a serious power plant) by multiplying the number of windmills by 250. That's over 16,000 windmills on about 375,000 acres (585 square miles). "

      That has me underestimating by a factor of 5.

      --
      -- perl -e'print pack"H*","6e656d6f406d38792e6f7267"' /. ate my old sig. Bastards.
    8. Re:The US did this in the 1970's by jmauro · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It's cheap until you ignore dismantling, cleanup costs, and insurance for if something goes wrong (think 100's of billions of dollars). This is what the US made the Nuclear operators consider in the 1970's for their proposals and why they became uneconomical.

    9. Re:The US did this in the 1970's by geekoid · · Score: 2

      "uneconomical" no, it's not. It died from fear. Plain old, logical fallacies and fear.

      It's about numbers and sciences, nothing more.

      I am n more emotional tied to Nuclear then I am emotional attached to Solar. Or any power generation.

      The numbers clearly favor Nuclear power, over all, right now.

      Modern reactors don't have ANY of the problems old reactor do.

      Please attempt to understand the science at put aside the media and Greenpeace's lies and ignorance.

      And to be correct: It wasn't winnable they way it was being fought. Of course it had to be fought that way, otherwise it would have escalated to a soviet/US conflict.

      We could build nuclear power plants that burn current 'waste. and the waste from the modern plants would be 200-500 year until background radiation, using matrial found right here.

      Now, if by uneconomical, you mean it might cost another 1.5 cents a kilowatt? fine. To progress we need power. I'll toss in an extra 18 bucks a month for a secure and stable power supply. Of course, In would let private industry do it, so ti would be a net savings.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    10. Re:The US did this in the 1970's by geekoid · · Score: 2

      Yes, by todays stands 1950's designs are uneconomical...shocking.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    11. Re:The US did this in the 1970's by khallow · · Score: 2

      It's cheap until you ignore dismantling, cleanup costs, and insurance for if something goes wrong (think 100's of billions of dollars).

      Most of this is just failures of society to rationally deal with risk and liability, not some intrinsic feature of nuclear power. Radioactive waste is treated far more stringently than similarly hazardous non-radioactive waste (or radioactive waste that manages to be classified as non-radioactive).

    12. Re:The US did this in the 1970's by Grishnakh · · Score: 2

      This whole conversation reminds me of the guys who insist that Vietnam was winnable. ... It's not that the majority is irrational, it's that you guys are as emotionally tied to dead nuclear as others are to a lost war.

      This is a rather strange argument.

      Electric power is basically a necessity these days. We have to get it from someone to continue our societies; with this population, we certainly can't go back to burning whale oil and the like. So the question is, where do we get it from? Burning fossil fuels and polluting the atmosphere with giant quantities of CO2 (and other nastier things like mercury)? "Clean" sources like solar and wind which are generally very expensive at this point and only work in certain places? Hydroelectric which doesn't pollute, but floods giant amounts of land causing major ecological impact? Or nuclear (fission) which heats up rivers and leaves a small amount of containable waste (which could also be reprocessed for fuel but a lot of people don't want to do that because of fears of "terrorists")? Or most likely, a combination of these? If we don't have a certain amount of nuclear power to provide a large portion of our power, then we have to get it by other means, such as building giant dams and causing dolphins to go extinct, burning coal and polluting the air, etc. We don't want pollution and ecological damage, but it's either that or have a giant starvation event.

      What's the reason for the Vietnam war? There was none. None at all. It was a giant waste of lives and money, with no good reason at all. Who cares if it was winnable or not? America had no business getting involved in another country's civil war on a different continent. It's not like the Vietnamese bombed Pearl Harbor or attacked the US mainland.

    13. Re:The US did this in the 1970's by jafac · · Score: 3, Interesting

      No amount of backup power would have saved Fukushima.

      The whole story still is not out yet, but all three operating reactors at the time of the quake experienced major cooling loss prior to the tsunami. It's been publicly reported about Unit I. But it is also the case for II and III, and this truth will come out in time. It is in the details of the IAEA findings. They will be forced to report it as soon as they get workers into Units II and III to actually view those RPVs. I *do* find it amazing that they completely melted down, and the RPVs remained mostly intact, and contained the molten fuel. They were able to cool it somewhat with the seawater, I guess.

      Bottom line is, all three units did not withstand the quake that they were designed and certified to withstand. The tsunami was a fortunate side-effect, to cover-up this fact.

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    14. Re:The US did this in the 1970's by he-sk · · Score: 2

      According to Tepco's own documents, reactor 1 experienced problems with its cooling system immediately after the earthquake and before the tsunami struck.

      Source: http://mdn.mainichi.jp/mdnnews/news/20110517p2a00m0na008000c.html

      So your (implicit) assertion that the reactor survived the earthquake is a myth. Granted, the problems would be much less severe than they are right now, but that is no excuse to allow facts fall off the wayside.

      --
      Free Manning, jail Obama.
  3. Impartial? by am+2k · · Score: 4, Funny

    Holy biased summary, Batman!

    1. Re:Impartial? by epiphani · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Got any logical reason why shutting down an entire branch of energy generation should be treated with any less incredulity?

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    2. Re:Impartial? by PitaBred · · Score: 2

      Just because it's biased doesn't mean it's not right. You're succumbing to the Fox effect... that there are "two sides" to everything, and both have equal validity.

  4. Yes, they should be allowed to hold up progress by gorim · · Score: 2

    Yes. Majority opinion should be held so high, even if it trumps conceited arrogance assumptions of what is progress. Let me be clear, I fully support nuclear power, I think it should be expanded greatly, safely using advanced techniques. I think these countries are idiots for closing it down, but it is their democratic right, and don't anyone dare take that away from them.

    1. Re:Yes, they should be allowed to hold up progress by RazzleFrog · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Sooo. If 51% of Americans voted to teach only creationism in schools and evolution should be illegal that should be ok by your rules?

    2. Re:Yes, they should be allowed to hold up progress by inasity_rules · · Score: 2

      As stupid as that would be, yes - i makes sense. The people get the government they deserve. You can always become a politician and try and change people's minds or leave. Your choice.

      --
      I have determined that my sig is indeterminate.
    3. Re:Yes, they should be allowed to hold up progress by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 2

      If 51% of Americans so vote, it wouldn't matter anyway. Rule of law only exists insofar as it has popular support; if the majority of your population disagree with the standing interpretation of law, they will either ignore it or bend it to fit (as it has already happened with US Constitution).

      Fundamentally, the only two options are tyranny of the majority and tyranny of the minority. Any democratic form of government is the former under various layers in disguise. You can dampen the effect somewhat, but it will always be there.

      (in US, by the way, due to the nature of its constitutional amendment process, the minority of the country's population can, in theory, force their will over any issue whatsoever)

    4. Re:Yes, they should be allowed to hold up progress by hey! · · Score: 2

      You make exactly the point I was going to. What's interesting about this thread is that I agree both with you AND GP. Arrogant pricks running things sucks, whether they do it directly or they use their media clout to strike fear into the hearts of the timid masses.

      I guess I'm for a world in which the masses don't rally behind brand X or Y because they are driven by fear. In such a world "elite" wouldn't be the next thing to "child molester" in the emotional lexicon of politics, so people who knew what they were talking about could have their say. And then everyone else could decide how credible that sounded without throwing out any part of the evidence as being too terrible to contemplate.

      In such a world, you wouldn't have to believe that *every* nuclear plant is a Fukushima waiting to happen. Nor would you have to believe that *no* nuclear plant is a Fukushima waiting to happen. In such a world you would examine the management and situation of each plant and probably shut some of them down. You might build some new plants with new technology and an updated grid to give you some flexibility in siting the plant. But you wouldn't necessarily go on a building spree as if a crash nuclear power program was our One Last Hope[tm].

      The average person isn't really that dumb, in fact he often displays considerable shrewdness within some limited scope. It's not a matter of having a brain so much as choosing to apply it. You wouldn't have to convince the masses to become geniuses. You'd just have to convince them to grow a spine.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    5. Re:Yes, they should be allowed to hold up progress by Cajun+Hell · · Score: 2

      Sooo. If 51% of Americans voted to teach only creationism in schools and evolution should be illegal that should be ok by your rules?

      [Assuming a scenario where First Amendment has already been repealed.] It wouldn't be "ok" but it would have to be allowed. America has the right to self-destruction, if that's what we really want.

      Let's say we answer the question with "no, that would be completely intolerable and would have to be forcefully resisted." How could that be done?

      One answer would be to have a powerful government, which just happens to have a pro-science agenda, and have that government defy the will of the people.

      Another answer would be to have a civil war where the side that wins just happens to be the pro-science side.

      (Got any others?)

      The terrible weakness with relying on these strategies to uphold science, is the "just happens" part. The balance of power could easily tilt the other way. If you start arming for civil war or you put more power into the hands of government so that they can oppress the 51% anti-science majority, I have to ask, what are you going to do when these powers take a creationist position and try to assert themselves over 51% pro-science citizenry?

      (This kind of thing (to a lesser degree) happens all the time. Remember the 2000s when the Bush whitehouse advocated a larger government and a strongly-liberal interpretation of the powers of the executive branch? Everyone chuckled and asked "How are you going to feel about a more invasive government and stronger president, when the president is a Democrat?" They ignored the question, but sure enough, a Democrat president was elected and the Republicans are now pretty fucking sore that they so heedlessly abandoned conservativism, and now they're over-reacting, desperately trying to convince voters that they're the small-government-with-balanced-branches party -- and the only way they can do it is to take positions that look ridiculously over-the-top from the centrists' point of view, so it's going to cost them the next election. It should be interesting to see if the Republican president from 2016-2024 repeats Bush's mistakes.) It's dangerous to invest someone with power over others, unless you know what they're going to do with that power, and with institutions you never know, long-term, what they're going to want to do.

      Democracy isn't the problem here; thoughtless opinions (whether about the viability of nuclear energy, or how science forms theories, or whatever) are the problem. If you don't like how people vote, I think you're better off working harder to persuade them, rather than taking away their political power.

      If Italy wants to have one fewer energy options on its table, what could you do about that, without being even more harmful to Italy?

      --
      "Believe me!" -- Donald Trump
    6. Re:Yes, they should be allowed to hold up progress by geekoid · · Score: 3, Insightful

      the other 49% didn't deserve that.

      People are manipulate to easily when dealing with thing the have no experience with.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  5. Misleading summary by mischi_amnesiac · · Score: 5, Informative

    The summary is a bit misleading. In 1987 after the Tschernobyl disaster Italy had a public vote to abandon nuclear energy. The last reactor was shut down in 1990. This was only a vote against a re-entry into nuclear power, something Berlusconi was pushing forward.

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    "Die endgueltige Teilung Deutschlands - das ist unser Auftrag." - Chlodwig Poth
  6. Re:Alas, Rev. Bayes by epiphani · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "US coal power fleet kills 10,000 a year; Fukushima will kill under 100, total. We are very bad at evaluating risks."

    - David Keith, Canada Research Chair in Energy and the Environment, University of Calgary

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  7. Re:Where's the "idiots" tag? by Sique · · Score: 2, Informative

    Italy has never had any running nuclear reactors anyway (there is one not fully built though and being an investition ruin since some decades). This vote is just a confirmation of the status quo. But don't let that interfere with your opinion.

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    .sig: Sique *sigh*
  8. Re:Misleading summary and law. by LWATCDR · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Funny but they have not abandoned nuclear power. They are pretending they have to make themselves feel good. They import no less than 16% of their electricity from France. They have just move the responsibility for the reactors to another nation. As Italy needs more power they will import more from France and use even more nuclear power outside of their own control and regulation. This should be called the Grand Delusion. They are just going to use more and more nuclear power while taking no responsibility for it themselves.
    Welcome to reality 101.

    --
    See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
  9. Wrong framing. by Helpadingoatemybaby · · Score: 5, Insightful
    "Slow down progress?" That's just terribly obvious framing. Actually by voting this way they're speeding up progress towards modern renewables. After all, nuclear fission technology is not a "modern" technology, it's over a half century old and it's simply not needed anymore (Bonneville Power Administration shut down its nuclear plant for refueling and their coal plant was shut down because it was unnecessary and still had excess power to export -- 100% from renewables so please, please don't post stupidly about "baseline" power.)

    They're in a particularly sunny climate, there are already rolling out solar thermal storage systems so that their solar can generate 24 hours per day, They have tidal sources which France used to generate hundreds of megawatts back in the 60's out of a single installation -- ignoring the efficiency increases of what we can do today.

    Fuel is finite, so fuel based sources are out of date. Meanwhile, renewables just keep coming down in price. Solar dropped 20% last year alone, and is expected to drop another 20% this year. Meanwhile, nuclear keeps increasing in cost. Costs for implementation, fuel, owner's costs, massive grid tie-ins, and let's not even discuss the fact that they don't pay for their own insurance and push that on to the public purse in the event of a catastrophe.

    So "progress?" I don't think that word means what you think it does. The first world has made it's decision and you can flog the dead horse of nuclear, but the only new adopters will be the third world and powers that want to refine for nuclear weapons, such as arabic countries, Pakistan and Bangladesh.

    --

    The baby's fine -- please stop sending business cards.

    1. Re:Wrong framing. by scotts13 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      So "progress?" I don't think that word means what you think it does. The first world has made it's decision and you can flog the dead horse of nuclear, but the only new adopters will be the third world and powers that want to refine for nuclear weapons, such as arabic countries, Pakistan and Bangladesh.

      Yes, progress. It's clear that fossil fuels aren't viable even in the medium term, and unless we stop our population growth or drastically change lifestyles, "renewable" isn't going to cut it, either. The "future" ultimately, can and must be fusion. And we aren't going to get it by abandoning high technology, high energy density engineering. Though they aren't directly related, fission makes a good trainer for fusion. Teaches you to be CAREFUL.

  10. Democracy is not about being wise by at_slashdot · · Score: 2

    Democracy is not about being wise is about respecting the will of the majority. It's about not imposing stuff, even if you consider it to be better, on the majority. Democratic process doesn't optimize the decision (it doesn't come to the best decision) it (or is supposed to) minimizes the discontent.

    --
    "It is our choices, Harry, that show what we truly are, far more than our abilities." -- Prof. Dumbledore
  11. Re:Alas, Rev. Bayes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    preposterous. obviously indirect deaths don't count for nuclear yet they do for coal. what a bankrupt comparison

  12. I voted against: here is why by DMiax · · Score: 5, Interesting

    There is more to this decision than simple "anti-scientific" feelings.

    First of all there is the trust we can have in people managing these beasts, i.e. zero. Our administrators are not the ones with public safety in mind. Google some info about two years' ago earthquake to see how well regulation on constructions works.

    Second and related, public works in Italy (and many private ones) are often just a way to throw money at your business friends. It is unlikely that something so big will be done in the most efficient and quick way. Most probably it will never recover the expenses, if it ever gets built.

    Third there is the timing problem. We are late to the train. Other countries alread recovered the initial expenses and only have to keep mantaining/improving. They can undercut us easily and we would end up buying from them anyway. (also notice we did not have plans for an erichment plant, so we would have to buy enriched uranium...)

    Fourth and related, the plants will arrive in no less than 20 years. Then this is essentially a bet on the price of uranium in 20 years. With many developing countries building plants I think this bet is a losing one...

    But yes, I am stupid and I only want to slow progress down, laugh at me.

    1. Re:I voted against: here is why by Combatso · · Score: 2

      But yes, I am stupid and I only want to slow progress down, laugh at me.

      haha.. you made an informed decision..... jerk

    2. Re:I voted against: here is why by angelofdarkness · · Score: 2

      Exactly the way I feel. I voted against mainly because I do not trust public administrations in Italy. Some of the building that collapsed in the last earthquake in L'Aquila were modern buildings and supposed to be "earthquake-proof" (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_L'Aquila_earthquake#Effects), I would not trust such an administration to build a nuclear plant!!
      So I guess I'm stupid and want to to slow down progress too. Go ahead and laugh at me, better than to live waiting to find out the hard way how some criminal administration fuck-up.

  13. Re:Terrible question by smelch · · Score: 2, Insightful

    No I believe the question is closer to "Should we let straight guys vote for number one gay, should we let youtubers vote on internet infrastructure designs, should we let Slashdot vote on best vag, and should Joe Frazier be on the HTML5 standards committee?" It's, you know, the basis for representative democracy. Vote for people smarter than you so they can educate themselves and vote on your behalf, because realistically you aren't qualified and don't have the time for well-informed decision making. This is one of those topics where maybe layman's opinion isn't what we should be basing our decisions on.

    --
    If I can just reach out with my words and touch a butthole, just one, it will all be worth it.
  14. Re:I really am losing hope for the future... by Combatso · · Score: 3, Funny

    yeah, i remember when George Bush was a white republican, since his re-election to a third term he looks like a black democrat.

  15. Re:Terrible question by klingens · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Tell this the swiss. Their centuries old tradition of direct democracy was wrong all along!
    I'm sure they will gratefully adopt only representative democracy so they can be saved from their abject poverty and misery.

    PS: it's likely the Swiss will stop using nuclear power in the near future as well.

  16. Re:Alas, Rev. Bayes by epiphani · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Sorry, if you have a logical argument as to why this is preposterous, please feel free to cover it. I'll add credentials to the above quote just for good measure, so you're aware of the source of this statement and why he may be in a position to make such a statement:

    Canada Research Chair in Energy and the Environment
    Department of Chemical and Petroleum Engineering, University of Calgary
    Adjunct Professor, Department of Physics and Astronomy and Faculty of Environmental Design, University of Calgary
    Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University

    David W. Keith is a Canadian environmental scientist. He is director of the ISEEE Energy and Environmental Systems Group at the University of Calgary. He is a geoengineer and published research scientist. He is noted for his work in carbon dioxide air capture, and has been featured on Five ways to save the world on the Discovery channel.[1] In 2006 Keith was selected by Canadian Geographic as Environmental Scientist of the Year and Time's Heroes of the Environment (2009).[2]

    By all means, please now back up your statement that his comparison is bankrupt with some form of proof. I think given the scale of air pollution, mining dangers and associated health issues and such makes his comparison quite a reasonable assertion.

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  17. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 2

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  18. Italia's earthquakes by ciaran_o_riordan · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Yeh, just for those who don't remember: Italia has frequent earthquakes, in all regions of the country:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes_in_Italy

    Click on the epicentre cities to see where they are, dispersed along the length of the country.

    Nuclear = "Progress"? Bonkers.

    My favourite failed "trust technology!" argument was after the Fukushima quake when Sarkozy tried to reassure the French people by saying that France's nuclear power stations were the most advanced in the world. That's probably correct, and it would be a good point to make after a nuclear accident in a developing country, but this is Japan he was talking about.

    1. Re:Italia's earthquakes by EdZ · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Except the reactors at the Fukushima no.1 complex include some of the oldest operating reactors in the world. Reactors 1-4, the ones involved in the Fukushima incident, were built BEFORE Reactor 4, the one involved in the Cernobyl incident.

    2. Re:Italia's earthquakes by MachineShedFred · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Yes, Japan is advanced.

      No, Fukushima was not. First criticality at Fukushima was in the 1970s, meaning that construction started in the late 60s, meaning that they place was designed in the late 50's.

      I don't think we can call anything that is 60 years old in design "advanced." Please stop distorting facts with your bias.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    3. Re:Italia's earthquakes by peppepz · · Score: 2

      Now the question is WHY such an old plant was still running in 2011. If nuclear power is so cheap, then why do they keep the plants working for so long instead of building new ones?

  19. Re:Alas, Rev. Bayes by 0100010001010011 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    "Last week’s E. coli outbreak in Germany - potentially traced to an organic farm - was more deadly than the largest nuclear disaster of the last quarter-century."
    -
    "According to World Health Organization statistics on E. coli deaths, in just the past two years, more people have been killed by the disease than all fission-related events since the dawn of the nuclear age - even if you include the use of nuclear bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki."

    To put it into perspective.

  20. Re:Where's the "idiots" tag? by delinear · · Score: 3, Insightful

    That would only be true if nothing else had changed globally. I'd say the massive increase in oil prices and increasing demand in the far east is enough to change the status quo. This is more like standing on the beach ordering the tide not to come in. It's all very laudable choosing alternative sustainable energy sources over nuclear if someone can tell us what those sources are.

  21. Re:Where's the "idiots" tag? by apetrelli · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Not true, Italy had four nuclear power plants:
    http://it.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energia_nucleare_in_Italia#Centrali_elettronucleari
    (sorry, Italian Wikipedia, English one has not such a table).

  22. Does nuclear really equal "progress"? by hmbJeff · · Score: 5, Interesting
    Nuclear is, at best, a faustian bargain--awful, but arguably less awful than a few other choices.

    While many Slashdotters happily wave away its real-world problems (waste, decommissioning, uninsurability, capital intensiveness, fuel supply, terrorism, non-distributed grid model, construction lead time and yes, slight potential for massive damage to life and property in a large geographic area) as irrelevant, many others are less sanguine. And that is not just because they are idiots--they look at the factors, weigh them and draw different conclusions.

    And there are alternatives that might well be better. A recent study by the California Energy Commission that looks at estimated costs of 21 types of energy generation facilities estimates that a gen-3 Westinghouse AP1000 1,000 MW Pressurized Water Reactor would generate electricity in 2018 (the first year any of them could be expected to reach operational status) for between $0.17/kWh and $0.34/kWh.

    The cost of solar PV today is already competitive with the high end of that range, and is dropping at a rapid pace.

    This comes on the heels of another new report showing that the free-market insurance costs for nuclear would add from ($0.20/kWh) to a staggering $3.40/kWh.

    If costs are the same or lower for renewable energy technologies that have numerous benefits and far fewer risks, why would rational people choose nuclear?

    1. Re:Does nuclear really equal "progress"? by gnalre · · Score: 2

      If costs are the same or lower for renewable energy technologies that have numerous benefits and far fewer risks, why would rational people choose nuclear?

      well I can think of a few reasons. solar PV does not work at night, wind power is variable, geothermal and tidal sites are few.

      Look I'm in favour of wind technology and solar, but power generation is not as simple as just generating. You have to be able to generate it at the right time and get it to the right place. Which means you have to have a mixture of technologies. Most importantly there is not renewable technology that will create the base load.

      Unfortunately power generation is not like replacing a couple AA batteries its a complex business

      --
      Choose your allies carefully, it is highly unlikely you will be held accountable for the actions of your enemies
    2. Re:Does nuclear really equal "progress"? by gnalre · · Score: 2

      Power demand crashes at night (and is likely to go even lower in the future as incandescent lighting is replaced by fluorescents and LEDs), so unless you're idiot enough to try to run your entire grid off PV that's a non-issue. (Solar thermal systems can store heat underground in the form of molten salt, so they can actually function well overnight.)

      Reduces not crashes. In our 24/7 society it is likely that load is reduced but is still going to be high. For example AC's take a lot of power and in some climates are likely to still happen at night. Storage technology such as molton salt is untried especially at the scales required to power an industrial technology.

      PV power however is perfect in warm sunny climates, since it tends to generate the most energy when demand is at its peak - long, hot, sunny days. That's a feature, not a bug.

      Wind power is variable, but tends to pick up when power demand spikes in cooler climates (during cool windy weather). An efficient grid allows you to move any excess to where it's needed. Energy can also be stored, as pumped water for example, or even in enormous batteries. Costly, but likely cheaper than private insurance for nuclear reactors (particularly in the wake of Fukushima).

      Tends but not guaranteed. You cannot gurantee that the wind will meet the load required at anytime. Pumped storage is great if you can find enough places for them. They are also expensive. Large Batterys storage such as molton sodium are again untested on the scale we are talking here is untested.

      Personally I still think whatever way we cut it nuclear is still required unless you want to rely on fossil fuels.However a new smarter grid, and increased investment in power efficiency technology and local generation could help.

      --
      Choose your allies carefully, it is highly unlikely you will be held accountable for the actions of your enemies
    3. Re:Does nuclear really equal "progress"? by quokkaZ · · Score: 2

      Something is seriously wrong with the US if it cannot generate new nuclear power for less than a range of $0.17-$0.34 per kWh. The IEA 2010 Projected Costs of Electricity Generation surveys costs around the world. The range is given for 5% and 10% discount rates

      Sth Korea: $0.029 - $0.042 per kWh

      France: $0.056 - $0.092

      Russia: $0.043 - $0.068

      For some reason, the IEA estimates for the cost of new nuclear in the US are comparable to these figures. All estimates include spent fuel management and decommissioning.

      Nuclear Costs around the world

      The IEA report also finds that with a $30 per tonne CO2 price nuclear is, in general, price competitive with everything, including coal. For the Asian region, it finds nuclear significantly cheaper than any other option. In general, it is competitive with or cheaper than on-shore wind - the cheapest renewable.

      2010 Projected Costs of Electricity Generation

  23. Re:Where's the "idiots" tag? by beh · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Well - they're already the largest power importer in Europe - because they went out of nuclear power after Chernobyl...

    Remember this one? A storm felled a tree that cut one of the power lines transporting power to Italy - this tripped of a cascading effect cutting off all of mainland Italy:

        http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2003_Italy_blackout

    But - even when you say 'This differs from Germany in that the Italian decision was made by a public vote, rather than a government mandated shutdown.' - this is only part of it. Germany had already decided on a nuclear exit before - it was the current government that extended the runtimes of nuclear reactors, causing public outrage. They mostly reverted back to the original targets now, since they increasingly find themselves becoming more and more unelectable, keeping to nuclear power. The governments stance pro nuclear power might have carried for a while longer, if it wasn't for Fukushima. Basically, the pro nuclear lobby said something like Chernobyl couldn't happen in Germany as our plants are safer than the Russian ones -- they couldn't convincingly say that they're safer than Japans...

  24. A little background by hort_wort · · Score: 2

    I happen to be one of those people who owns a Geiger counter. After the incident in Japan, I set it on my desk so I could watch it. A few days after, I noticed that it was registering 3 times the usual background levels (@800 ft elevation). This lasted about a week until it went back to normal.

    Now I know background is slight and 3 times background is really nothing to worry about for an individual, but at this point I'd like to point out that I was on the *other side of the planet* from Japan. While I know the /. crowd enjoys the smug hand waving and proclamation of radiation not being a big deal (myself included), I don't think anyone is qualified to really say the GLOBAL impact that these raised rates could have.

    I try to err on the side of caution with worldwide issues. I urge everyone here to do the same.

  25. stupid by JustNiz · · Score: 3, Informative

    I can imagine people think they're being green when voting down nuclear power, but actually their vote is causing much worse environmental impact and global warming by the necessary increase in conventional non-nuclear energy production.

  26. Re:So where are they getting the power? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 2

    You are missing the fact that italy droped out of nuclear power 20 years ago. The voting in this case was about the question whether they build new nuclear reactors or not. (in other words the last decades they produced their own power and imported the rest via the european grid)

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  27. Democracy is crap by jmorris42 · · Score: 2

    > but it is their democratic right

    Which is why the US Founding Fathers rejected democracy as a terrible idea. They understood the idea, knew the problems with it and designed us a system of a Constitutional Republic instead. The Constitution is intentionally hard to change but not impossible. This protects against temporary insanity in the other balances of government. The People are at the core of the system (all just power derives from the consent of the governed, etc) but the rest of the government is designed to act as a check against them because We the People can be just as stupid as the politicians.

    Democracy is a group of 100 people wherein 51 vote to piss in the corn flakes of the minority. And if everyone believes in democracy the 49 can only demand proof the vote was fair before being obligated to chug the piss. That is why the US system has checks and balances including notions like inalienable rights that neither Congress nor the People have the right to abridge.

    --
    Democrat delenda est
  28. Re:Where's the "idiots" tag? by gadget+junkie · · Score: 5, Informative

    Where will you get power now? France's nuclear plants?

    we already do. I live in Turin, next to france, and we DO import nuclear energy from france: the total represents about 7% of energy consumption; the dominant energy producer, ENEL, operates nuclear plants in Spain and Slovenia (Link), and France is Upwind from us, so I would laugh my head off if it wasn't sad.

    Italy operates a few small research reactors, and part of the energy bill that I receive bimonthly has an Item called "sovrapprezzo termico", i.e. the part that I pay ENEL to compensate it for the added costs of dismantling the reactors that were stopped after Chernobil, plus the lost income due to fossil fuel use. But hey, it's democracy, honey.

    For all it's worth, two other referenda were worse still; we voted out compensation for capital expenses incurred in mantaining and building water infrastructure, which call the question of who will put up the money required to reduce the water losses that the acqueduct has (about 20~25% here).
    Just the other day, my wife came in while I was brushing my teeth and closed the water tap, saying "the TV said to save water!"; I said "good Idea, let's reach the same level of eccellence of the water company: let's leave the tap open overnight."

    coming back to Nuclear energy: the incumbent italian operator gets a sizable part of its energy production from fully or partly owned and operated nuclear plants, but all of them are abroad, and all except one (in slovenia) are too far to make exporting energy to Italy viable. To add insult to injury, many people said "we italians are incapable to guarantee the orderly functioning of nuclear plants". Maybe the spanish public ain't so picky.

    Now i want to see how they will sell to the public on building coke or gas turbine plants for baseline operations; as most Slashdotters know, renewables are uneconomic unless someone pays the piper.

    --
    "If a boss demands loyalty, give him integrity. But if he demands integrity, give him loyalty." (John Boyd, 1927-1997)
  29. Re:Alas, Rev. Bayes by SilentStaid · · Score: 5, Informative
    Are you challenging an AC to make a concession in an argument which he has already determined his beliefs in? Well sir, welcome to Slashdot.

    And while I totally agree with the sentiment - I'd say that it is hard to consider Keith objectively when he has always been against fossil fuels at seemingly any costs (which he should be). So in the spirit of actually contributing something to the conversation:

    Risks from reactor accidents are estimated by the rapidly developing science of "probabilistic risk analysis" (PRA). A PRA must be done separately for each power plant (at a cost of $5 million) but we give typical results here: A fuel melt-down might be expected once in 20,000 years of reactor operation. In 2 out of 3 melt-downs there would be no deaths, in 1 out of 5 there would be over 1000 deaths, and in 1 out of 100,000 there would be 50,000 deaths. The average for all meltdowns would be 400 deaths. Since air pollution from coal burning is estimated to be causing 10,000 deaths per year, there would have to be 25 melt-downs each year for nuclear power to be as dangerous as coal burning.

    From: http://www.physics.isu.edu/radinf/np-risk.htm

  30. I live in northern Italy... by xded · · Score: 2

    You make it sound like we're doing a smart thing, paying other nations to handle the nuclear hassle for us.

    Not really, since we ended up having nuclear plants on our borders anyway (notice that trend going on in western Switzerland/southern France?)...

  31. Re:Democracy by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 2

    To their excuse, they do actually elect foxes about as often as they elect wolves. So it's not all that bad.

  32. Re:As an Italian... by mcvos · · Score: 2

    This referendum was more a vote on Berlusconi than anything else, and it showed that he is done for good, he is not supported by the people anymore.

    I won't believe he's gone until I see a corpse. He managed to come back several times before. I don't know what made Italians vote for him in the first place, so I don't trust them to really vote him out of office for good until they actually do so.

  33. Re:Terrible question by tnk1 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Let's be careful about what we think democracy does for us.

    Democracy is the best system out there because it recognizes that ultimately, the people are what gives any government its power and authority. Therefore, not only is it fair, it is also wise to co-opt the largest number of people into the system and have them feel like they are part of it.

    On the other hand, just because the majority votes for something, it doesn't mean it is correct. That's not to say that the masses are ignorant, although they certainly may be about certain specific and advanced topics. What it is saying is that voters have local self-interest in mind, and tend to lack perspective.

    Consider that 3,000 people died on 9/11 from planes hitting the World Trade Center. Not only were there direct deaths, but other people, particularly responders and bystanders in the local area could well have chronic health issues for years to come. Yet, we are in the process of building yet another huge building on the site, which could also become a target and no one has called for people to stop using planes.

    Why does no one want to outlaw massive skyscrapers or jumbo jets? Well, that seems obvious: we feel that we really can't do that.

    However, the underlying reasoning is that we can manage the risk from planes hitting skyscrapers. If we couldn't manage the risk, planes and/or skyscrapers really would face being outlawed because no one wants to constantly face waves of jets being used like guided missiles at buildings.

    Now take nuclear plants. There is also risk there. But how much more risk is there in a power plant than there is in a jumbo jet with a skyscraper target? How much more is there from a nuclear plant than the air pollution, heavy metals and radioactive material produced by a coal plant?

    The fact is that democracy is indifferent to facts, it is simply a way to produce effective governance. Sometimes, democracy tells the truth where a self-absorbed dictatorship won't or can't. This gives the impression that democratic governments are also "smarter". We know that isn't always the case. Voters can be convinced of things that are not scientifically reasonable. Both sides of the aisle know this. Democracy is a system that provides high legitimacy for a system by recognizing the people, but it can be held captive by small groups that have specific agendas.

    So yes, the Swiss have a long tradition of working democracy. That only means that democracy works for them. It does not mean that their democracy makes correct decisions, only that the decisions they have made have yet to cause their government to fail. Chances are that Switzerland is small enough that it can dispense with nuclear power, if it wanted to. That doesn't mean that the rest of the world can. It doesn't even mean that the Swiss won't be using nuclear power, it just means it won't be produced locally. It means that the Swiss will be happy to let someone else take the risk to provide them power, confident in the knowledge that someone else will.

  34. Re:Terrible question by Batmunk2000 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Absolute Democracy is the exact opposite of freedom. You cannot have a Right when all laws are subject to the will of the majority. The act of voting doesn't make a policy moral or even "effective." When your rights are violated it is little consolation whether it was done by a vicious dictator or by the voting of your neighbors. Both pure democracy and pure dictatorship are morally vacant and eventually, self-destructive. The only useful form of government is one that recognizes the individual and their inalienable rights.

  35. Re:Alas, Rev. Bayes by MightyYar · · Score: 3, Insightful

    That must be why no-one lives in Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

    --
    W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
  36. Re:Alas, Rev. Bayes by Anubeon · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "US coal power fleet kills 10,000 a year; Fukushima will kill under 100, total. We are very bad at evaluating risks."

    - David Keith, Canada Research Chair in Energy and the Environment, University of Calgary

    I find thus statement along with the quoted figures a tad misleading. Does it take into account the largely immeasurable risks (both to human health and the environment) associated with containment of long lived nuclear waste? Whilst I'm no fan of coal (and have for along time been a fence sitter w.r.t. nuclear), coal power doesn't leave future generations with tonnes of highly radioactive and long-lived waste to manage and dispose of. Whilst coal power does leave future generation with a significant environmental burden (atmospheric contaminants and greenhouse effects) there is at least the prospect of clean coal and carbon capture on the horizon. There is no such equivalent for today's generation of nuclear fission (unless you count the possible, and as of yet unproven, ameliorative effects that the thorium cycle might have on the lifetime of nuclear waste).

    --
    "Nothing strengthens authority so much as silence." -- Leonardo Da Vinci
  37. Re:millions died in chernobyl you fucktard. by ilsaloving · · Score: 2

    Can you provide morons like me with documentation to back up your claims? I spent some time searching for and reading reports, and couldn't find anything that that came even remotely close to what you claim.

    -Please cite evidence for your assertion that millions around the black sea died, and are dying still.
    -It is well known that there was a higher incidence of thyroid cancer due to children unknowingly drinking water and milk contaminated by radioactive iodine shortly after the accident. Since radioactive iodine has a one week half life, that problem would have disappeared on it's own within a couple months so any occurrence of thyroid cancer by people who lived outside that area and time, have nothing to do with chernobyl.

    -earless bunnies are not a rare occurance, and there's no evidence to indicate that fukushima had anything to do with it. No one is even sure where the bunny came from, so claiming the defect was due to fukushima is ingenuous at best.

    -What exactly are the children in japan going to suffer from? The children in japan were a) evacuated from the area well before things got very bad, and b) were provided with iodine tablets to prevent the accidental uptake of radioactive iodine. The likelyhood that fukushima will increase their risk of cancer is low to the point of being a statistical error.

    If you can provide some concrete evidence to back your statement up, then I'll be happy to reconsider my position.

  38. Re:Alas, Rev. Bayes by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 2

    Nice statistics. So you deliberately exclude Chernobyl and assess Fukushima knowingly way before any long-term effects could have set in. Why don't you just roll some dice instead? Your argument boils down to "The random number i just rolled up is larger than the number of victims of the largest nuclear disaster of the last quarter century". And what, by the way, is the point of comparing two completely unrelated causes of death, anyway? Not like the decision to go with or to abandon nuclear power has any effect on E. coli infections. I find it quite telling that the proponents of nuclear energy have to resort to such blatantly nonsensical comparisons. But hey, good enough for "insightful" mods on slashdot, so go ahead.

    --
    Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
  39. Re:Alas, Rev. Bayes by Anspen · · Score: 2

    It's not 50% +1 though. The summery is somewhat misleading. While around 57%* of the voters turned out, the actual results for the four questions where as follows:

    • Return to Nuclear power: 94.1%
    • Immunity from trial for government ministers: 94.6%
    • Water privatization: 95.3%
    • Water profit: 95.8%

    All against the laws in question. Partly this is because Berlusconi has always tried to stop referenda by calling upon his supporters *not* to vote. Thereby making them no binding if a quorum of 50% wasn't reached. This result shows that over 50% of *all* voters rejected the plans. Which seems a high enough threshold for a non-constitutional issue. Rather high even considering that the Berlusconi government was supported by around 40% of all possible voters in the last lection (47% at an 85% turnout).

    While I'm not in favour of too many questions being decided by the electorate directly, this seems a fairly clear question (yes or no on new nuclear plants). You can be disappointed or disagree with the result but this is clearly what should happen in a democracy. The German example shows that the only difference betweens this referendum and âoeonlyâ having regular elections is that it would take one or two years more and included the removal of the party that is pro-nuclear from power.

    * The official turnout is 54.8%. However, in a further effort to invalidate the referenda because of a lack of a quorum, it was decided that all oversea Italians would count towards the possible total as well. Regardless wheather they have ever voted in any Italian election. This is being challenged in court.

  40. Re:Alas, Rev. Bayes by GFLPraxis · · Score: 2

    Nice statistics. So you deliberately exclude Chernobyl and assess Fukushima knowingly way before any long-term effects could have set in.

    Chernobyl cannot happen again; it was the result of an ancient design not built to any safety specifications. Further, it's forty years old. A series of stupid decisions lead to that disaster. It's like using Titanic as a reason we shouldn't build boats.

  41. Re:Where's the "idiots" tag? by ciderbrew · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Do you think it would help if they pointed out that bean sprouts killed more people this year than the Fukushima power station "disaster"?

  42. Re:Alas, Rev. Bayes by JWW · · Score: 3, Informative

    Maybe truth on the ballot might have helped a bit:

    A) Fix global warming

    B) Stop using nuclear power

    Please choose one.

  43. Re:Alas, Rev. Bayes by khallow · · Score: 2
    Well, they are comparable in short term deaths and injuries. As to long term deaths, I'd find the emergence of a virulent, lethal disease to be a more serious threat than Chernobyl.

    "To put things into perspective: Car accidents cause more deaths than unprotected sex, so it is fine to fuck random strangers without a condom."

    You are ignoring the cost of dealing with the risk. Last I checked condoms were really cheap and easy to use. There's no magic, cheap solution to some peoples' hysteria about nuclear power comparable to condoms.

  44. Re:Alas, Rev. Bayes by geekoid · · Score: 2

    " coal power doesn't leave future generations with tonnes of highly radioactive and long-lived waste to manage and dispose of. "

    are you high?

    Yes, it does leave poisonous waste, as an added bonus it ALSO leaves poisoning waste we can't contain nearly as easily has nuclear waste because its in our air.

    What I believe you, all of us, really, looking at is the modern nuclear designs. 4th generation reactors that not only use old nuclear waste for power, the waste they produce is at back around radiating in hundreds of years.

    You complaint is with plutonium, not nuclear power.

    Nuclear power is the safest power generation we have for the scales we need it.

    Would solar be nice? sure. But right now it can NOT meat our demands. There just isn't enough practical area.

    Hopeful in 20 years, the tech will get good enough so that's all we need, but waiting and hoping for a solar fix while creating such an atmospheric disaster, killing people, and running out of oil just isn't smart.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  45. Re:Where's the "idiots" tag? by peppepz · · Score: 2
    We are potentially self-sufficient. For convenience, we import an average of 10% of our energy from France and Switzerland.

    According to the national grid manager, only 1.5 % of the power used by Italy comes from nuclear sources. Therefore, the argument that Italy buys nuclear power from its wise neighbours is 98.5 % bullshit.

  46. Re:Alas, Rev. Bayes by Artifakt · · Score: 2

    It's not bankrupt, the existing comparison you are trying to enforce is. It's one of the basic facts of the two industrys that a whole hell of a lot less people are killed mining uranium or transporting either raw ores or processed fuels than are killed mining coal or transporting it. It's admittedly sloppy of the parent poster to compare US and Japanese deaths, but unless the Japanese are doing 10 times better on everything from mine safety to particulate scrubbing, you could total all the indirect deaths from both Coal and Nuclear and, excluding none of either, get the OPs numbers. Adding those indirect deaths for nuclear you claim he's left out might not change things at all.
    In the U.S. alone, more than 100,000 coal miners were killed in accidents over the past century. Modern mining in the U.S. is safer than that average, but still results in approximately 30 deaths per year. Transportation related deaths from coal, again for the US, vary more significantly than mine fatalities so I'll calculate and give a high year/low year range (as of the last 28 years): 3 to 45 occupational deaths from coal transportation and 60 to 250 public deaths from coal transportation.

    Deaths from medical conditions related to coal chemicals exposure - I could give you a number, but it's enormously higher than those two indirect death types above and you obviously wouldn't believe it. You may not believe these people either, but I've found you a source that isn't just wikipedia and isn't behind a pay firewall, and has numbers about as current as possible (2010) - anyone wanting to argue these numbers, you'd better at least meet those three criteria, or expect to be called an industry shill.

    http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=External_costs_of_coal

    |

    SPOILER WARNING - SITE RESULTS BELOW

    |

    Now that some people have clicked the link, here's their most important numbers: 13,200 premature deaths in 2010, as well as 9,700 additional hospitalizations and 20,000 heart attacks.

    Disclosure: I live in appalachia - I've buried some of those fatalities. I could drive less than fifty miles from my home and be in a community which lost every adult male of working age in the same day once. I also have lived near enough Oak Ridge, TN, in the past that I've seen DOE's trucks and trains hauling nuclear material to compare to the many coal trucks I see on the road, and trains on the railroads. I'm a degree holding engineer and can make a pretty good estimate of the relative maintenance and safety systems of those various trucks and train cars, and I have actually been a legally recognised expert witness as an accident inspector. All that I could personally say is still anecdotal, but my anecdotal opinion is coal is a vicious killer of thousands and the people who can overlook it are only able to do so because the deaths happen disproportionately to a class of people they have been trained to ignore or simply not care about. I dislike Nuclear because it is bad in some of the same ways, but have to admit it is on a significantly smaller scale.

    --
    Who is John Cabal?
  47. Re:Alas, Rev. Bayes by Grishnakh · · Score: 2

    Why not use geo-thermal, wind, solar or develop fusion, or anti-matter etc. Why the insistence that nuclear power is the only way.

    I eagerly await your reply showing where we can find a large supply of antimatter so we don't have to use fission or fossil fuels any more.

  48. Re:The practice of decommissioning is big business by AlterEager · · Score: 2

    Start with the wikipedia article, I guess.

    You can't just turn off a nuclear power plant. The short version is decommissioning any nuclear power plant is ~60 years of work and billions of dollars. This is a "best case" scenario. Worst case is something like Japan right now.

    Bizzare. You provide a link to a Wikipedia page that quotes the time needed to decomission the Maine Yankee power plant as 8 years (rather less than 60) and the cost as 635 million USD (rather less than "billions of dollars").

    Maybe you need to brush up on your reading skills.

  49. Re:Alas, Rev. Bayes by alien_life_form · · Score: 2

    It can't happen again because...
    o) ...it won't happen again in Chernobyl
    o) ... it won't happen to the same model and make of plant
    o) ... it won't even melt, for God's sake, it'll blow up.

    Cross all that apply. Seriously, the "It won't happen again" argument does not hold much water (not as much as Fukushima's plant). In a way or the other, it always assume that some - if not all - of the safety subsystems will continue to work.
    We are dealing with stuff that, unless continuously cooled, keeps giving huge headaches. Which means that, every time some shit hits some fan in the vicinity of a nuclear power plant there is a strong chance that a major shitstorm ensues unless: (i) no stupid errors are made (ii) no emergency generators decide to malfunction (iii) and so on. But, sorry, stupid errors will happen and safety subsystems will malfunction.
    OTOH, Even when things go horribly wrong, conventional power plants have a way of just cease functioning... compare with "keep burning for a few thousand years". And, speaking of Italy, sorry to rain on everybody's bucholic view of our peninsual, but consider that it is a country which experiences frequent earthquakes, has had a major tsunami about a hundred and ten years ago, and has interesting way of experinecing all manners of floods almost yearly.

  50. Re:Alas, Rev. Bayes by yodleboy · · Score: 2

    Deliberately missing the forest for the trees. The propagandist tricks are far more common on the anti nuclear side of the court where small numbers are made into horrific nuclear disasters. Then when someone comes along and says "hey food poisoning kills more people than have ever died of nuclear material" they sidestep the point that the nuclear menace is overblown and argue how they aren't the same animal. Death is death. Really. It's not, or should not be about which death is more appealing.

    If you took a list of all the causes of death for the last 100 years and ranked them, nuclear would be near the bottom of the pile. Why don't these people do something useful like protest sprouts or drunk driving or smoking, or whatever 50 things are actually less regulated and more fatal. Oh wait, it was never about saving lives, it was about being part of the fear team...

  51. Re:Alas, Rev. Bayes by uniquename72 · · Score: 3, Informative

    US coal has not rendered any location on earth uninhabitable for future generations.

    5 seconds of googling later...

  52. Re:Terrible question by smelch · · Score: 2

    Do you think this is why we were states with most of the power, and a federal government with limited power and the electoral college instead of popular vote for president? I do, it seems we took a good framework and eroded it with generations of poo-brains.

    --
    If I can just reach out with my words and touch a butthole, just one, it will all be worth it.
  53. Re:Absolutely by Drethon · · Score: 2

    When the checks and balances aren't bypassed anyway?

    I've heard it said, anarchy and monarchy/socialism are the perfect governments but the first requires perfect people and the second requires perfect leaders. So we have a perfect government to handle all of our imperfections (hopefully).

  54. Re:Where's the "idiots" tag? by 1karmik1 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    You all are completely missing a key part of the picture. Regardless of the environmental issues around nuclear waste disposal and all the arguments against coal power generation, Italy has one crucial difference with the rest of the world: Mafia. Mafia is in every aspect of the public life, especially public investment programmes and subsidies.

    We have buildings crumbling and killing dozen of people, chemical plants exploding, all because of negligence tied to assigning public funds to mafia-owned companies that drain public money knowingly saving on safety measures because they are above the law and they will never pay if someone dies because of it.

    Can you imagine what would happen in a power plant built using mafia contractors in the south of italy, close to rivers and farming fields? No thanks. We have far more pressing issues to solve before we can venture in something so volatile and risky.

    We have a chemical chernobyl in the countryside region outside naples, lymphatic and bone cancers skyrocketing because of the widespread, systematic illegal disposal of wastes from the whole europe. Endemic corruption.

    Even if i was in favor of nuclear power (which i am not, except for research), i cannot see how this technology can even be remotely safe in Italy. Italian scientists, traditionally supporting nuclear power, agree with me (cfr: Margherita Hack's claims about the vote).

    This vote is not against nuclear power per se. It's against nuclear power *in Italy*, because we know we don't have the social, economical stability to tackle such a venture. The same reasons led to very harsh protests against building a massive bridge between mainland Italy and sicily. We can't really face modernization unless we get rid of this plague, and a lot of Italian people know this and voted accordingly.

    --
    Violence is the last refuge of the incompetent.
  55. Re:Alas, Rev. Bayes by ultranova · · Score: 2

    you are missing the point. US coal has not rendered any location on earth uninhabitable for future generations.

    Yes, it has.

    Fukushima will probably not be so bad as it could have been, but had things gone worse it may have been necessary to abandon large portions of the country of japan for generations.

    That didn't happen even when actual nuclear weapons were used - both Hiroshima and Nagasaki are inhabited today.

    consider what happened a Chernobyl.

    It turned into a de facto natural reservation?

    --

    Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

  56. NP = P(rogress)? Huh?? by Will.Woodhull · · Score: 2
    To quote TFSummary:

    While democracy should trump all, is it wise to hold majority opinion so high that it slows down progress?

    That presumes that nuclear fission power is progress. Currently it appears that this has been a 60+ year old wild goose chase, and that progress lies in some other direction. None of the expensive problems associated with nuclear fission power have been resolved yet, and none are significantly closer to resolution than they were in 1951.

    Perhaps a blend of renewable resources and reductions in absurdly inefficient life styles, or perhaps fusion, will be the way to true progress. But it is not nuclear fission. Even the lay public can see that, despite the nuclear power industry's 60+ years of trying to fool all the people all the time about their "progress".

    --
    Will
  57. Re:Alas, Rev. Bayes by BitZtream · · Score: 2

    No, but they also tend to be used by people who don't rub unprocessed shit on plants as fertilizer as well.

    Just because you think 'pesticides' when you think organic farm, doesn't mean thats where the problem lies. In this cause, its probably more likely to be caused by organic fertilizer or shitty cleaning processes that any other farm would have done.

    You know why we have longer life expectancies than we did 100 years ago? Because we've gotten smart enough to fix a lot of problems in our life cycles using technology ... organic farming is basically ignoring all that in search of some silly notion that 'more natural is always better'.

    As the GP said, the reason we don't farm like that any more is because ... WE LEARNED IT COULD BE DONE BETTER! And now most people live long enough to retire rather than dyeing before their first born would be able to start collage.

    --
    Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
  58. How would you like it? by Brandano · · Score: 2

    Would you like to have an Italian built and managed nuclear power station in your country? Add to that the fact that there's no zone in Italy that is not a seismically active area.

  59. Re:Alas, Rev. Bayes by BitZtream · · Score: 2

    consider what happened a Chernobyl.

    Uhm, maybe you should learn what happened at Chernobyl and what its like there now ... you know people still work there ... right?

    Most of what happened was an after the fact over reaction to the event.

    People left the town near Chernobyl, planets and animals seem to be doing perfectly fine and are healthy and happy. In fact, only a few years after the people disappeared, everything more or less returned to wilderness showing not only was the effect of the explosion and radiation far far less than everyone freaked out about, that also nature can recover pretty fucking quick once the humans get the fuck out of the area.

    or anti-matter etc.

    You do realize that our only currently known sources of anti-matter require billions of times more energy being put into them than we can get out of the anti-matter thats produced ... right?

    Of course not, its clear from your post that you're just stuck in FUD world, you don't actually know about the things you are afraid of, you just know that you're afraid of them.

    Fear leads to anger, anger leads to hate, hate leads to the dark side.

    I sense much fear in you.

    --
    Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
  60. Re:Alas, Rev. Bayes by BitZtream · · Score: 2

    No one lives within 30 km of the site, and only loons or paid professionals live in the pink areas

    Because their government said so ... as an after the event over reaction to the issue.

    The whole area has been basically converted into a nature reserve, and if the place is so inhospitable as you'd like to make it out, why does the area have more healthy normal animal life living in it now than it did before the government threw all the people out?

    You know that people still work at the Chernobyl plant right? And that it was a functioning nuclear power generation station until just recently (last few years), right?

    You really have no clue what Chernobyl 'did' to that 30km area, get a clue, and no, you can't get a clue by browsing wikipedia.

    --
    Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
  61. Re:Where's the "idiots" tag? by blind+monkey+3 · · Score: 3, Informative

    What about pointing out that the Fukushima disaster was caused by building a reactor right on a coastline where tsunamis occasionally happen, and by being struck by both an earthquake and a tsunami at the same time?

    The meltdown (they have confirmed that three reactors have experienced a meltdown) has been caused by greed and cutting corners. They were warned 20 years ago that flooding of generators placed in a basement was the most likely cause of reactors overheating and should be moved to a more appropriate location, this was brought up by the Japanese nuclear authority in 2004 and again 2 years ago. Who is going to pay?
    Nuclear can be safe, it's the implementation and enforcement of standards that is dangerous.

    There is a distinct (tongue-in-cheek) possibility that the Italian government might not be trusted to enforce the standards required. The Germans may feel the same way about their government. Is your government strong enough to stand up to multinational corporations?

    --
    BM3