Scientists Plan "Artificial Volcano" Climate Experiment
First time accepted submitter tonyt3 writes "Scientists plan on conducting an unusual climate experiment at a Norfolk airfield next month. They plan to spray water into the air about 20 km high to mimic volcanic particles, hoping that their findings could lead to a solution to global warming. From the article: 'Pouring 10 million tonnes of material into the stratosphere each using 10 to 20 giant balloons could achieve a 2C global drop in temperature, the scientists believe. Sulphate emissions from the Mount Pinatubo eruption in the Philippines in June 1991 reduced world temperature by 0.5C for two years.'"
The air's pretty thin 1000 km up -- considering that the Space Station orbits at less than half that. Maybe 10 km?
-- Alastair
... please pick up the red courtesy phone when you manage to free one of your arms from the straightjacket.
My understanding was water vapor was more potent than co2 at trapping heat. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse_gas)
...this totally blows away my papier-mache-and-baking-soda model.
I bet those guys are going to win the Science Fair.
Sometimes you're on a crowded bus and you can tell that the person next to you decided they didn't have time to actually get clean, but thought they could mask their odor with deoderant. Unfortunately, in some cases, what you get is a retch-inducing mixture of BO and deodeo.
Solutions like this to the climate issue remind me of those folks on the bus. If there's a real problem and if there are real things we can do to address the cause, let's do them. If, instead, we don't address the cause but do something else to mask the issue, then it seems likely that we'll just end up with an even bigger mess. I can just imagine scientists from another planet examining the burnt out husk of Earth and saying, "There's no life there; the atmosphere is an unlivable mix of carbon dioxide and sulphates!"
The CB App. What's your 20?
"1,000 km" ... Wow ! is there an atmosphere there ? :-P
I remember that lack thereof summer here in Canada. Rain or clouds, with little to no sun and 12-18C from March to September, then right back to snow. I should note that our usual summer temperatures around here are in the 25-35C range.
Om, nomnomnom...
I'd much rather save the earth by spending and using less than dumping even more crap into the air. Quick fix anyone?
I still haven't seen any overwhelming evidence that global warming is real. Just a lot of hot air from talking heads and religious pseudo-science "true-believers".
Any actual proof that isn't bought-and-paid-for or biased by one side of the debate or the other?
... 10 million tonnes of material in the stratosphere using giant balloons.
What displacement need the balloons need to have for that to happen?
I don't think we have enough helium, because we can only reach that height with stratospheric helium balloons.
10.000.000 tonnes or 10.000.000.000 kgs, come on... get real!
I mean, we don't HAVE ENOUGH HELIUM ON EARTH!
The total amount of molecules of helium - would you ever manage to extract them - in an environmental friendly way... are just 3800 million tonnes.
So I guess it's time for the idiots to wake up and do something useful with their lives :)
I'm glad scientists are working on ideas like this. The reality is that we, the human race, are not going to stop burning fossil fuels. We'd best get on with figuring out how to deal with the resulting problems rather than continue dreaming that everyone is going to agree to stop.
It's like a smoker using air filters to clean up second hand smoke. Sure it may reduce the consequences of their actions, but it doesn't negate the fact that the addiction is the source of their problem.
That being said, I don't want to dismiss their research altogether. The data will probably be useful for improving climate models and we may just have to resort to such tactics since we've been doing relatively little about climate change even though we've been aware of the issue for decades.
The summary is off by three orders of magnitude - after all, there is no air in 1000km to keep the water suspended.
Obviously, then, the water will fall down on the atmosphere. And give the ISS a pretty ice glaze.
How much energy does it take to get 10 million tons of water 10 km (seriously, 1000km? please.) up into the air?
How much coal would you have to burn in order to run the generators to power the pumps?
Or we will get a ring of ice around Earth - just like Saturn.
That can probably also solve the problem, but it may actually cause the problem of an ice age instead if something goes wrong.
"What can possibly go wrong?"
If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
for empathic people of all bents, or just those that interfere with your own ignorant, self-serving actions?
Thus solving the problem, once and for all!
you should pull your head out of your ass and actually read something. Not from your friends at fox, however, they've obviously damaged your brain enough.
What those idiots don't seem to realize, is that the effects of volcanic eruptions and the associated decline of global temperatures has always had catastrophic consequences. Be it the year without summer 1816 because of the Mt. Tambora eruption, the famines of 536 or the the Hatepe Eruption of 180AD.
Balloons should detonate up there and spray calcium hydroxide particles everywhere. My idea my patent.
The long-term vision is to tether 20 kilometre-long pipes to balloons the size of Wembley stadium.
If you want news from today, you have to come back tomorrow.
I know the UN was considering banning this kind of solution. Anyone know if they've changed their minds?
Pouring 10 million tonnes of material 1 km in the sky is going to require a fuckload of energy.
I know, "but they're using balloons!"
Balloons aren't free lift. You have to fill them with something, and you have to produce that something from something else.
Helium? Limited supply. If you think Carbon footprint is a big problem, you ain't seen Helium footprint yet.
The solution to greenhouse gas is to STOP PRODUCING THE STUFF.
And presumably you get your CaOH by heating limestone.
I eat only the real part of complex carbohydrates.
This is just a first test of the technology. If they were really going to use this for climate engineering, they'd use "clay, salts or metallic oxides suspended in liquid" (according to TFA) to reflect some sunlight back into space before it hits the earth.
As you can imagine, just figuring out whether you can pump millions of kilograms of stuff 1,000 meters into the air (not 1,000 km, as the submitter wrote) is an open question. Their ultimate goal is to get it 20 km up. For the first test, you use what's cheap: water.
The water itself is a greenhouse gas, but water molecules condense and fall as rain. It quickly returns to the existing equilibrium. The goal is to put up particles that would stay there for a while. Unlike water, they don't condense and fall out as quickly.
Before it fell, the water would reduce sunlight a bit. Water vapor is a greenhouse gas, but water in clouds isn't vapor; it's condensed droplets. Those droplets can reflect light; that's why cloudy days are dark. The goal isn't to produce water clouds, which would only be temporary and would be too much darkening. The goal is to put up enough particulates to get a slight reduction of incident light without having to continually pump new particles into the atmosphere.
(Note: I'm not crazy about geoengineering as a solution to climate change, but the experiment is still interesting.)
Potable water is way too precious a resource to be feasible for such an 'experimental' (read: crack-pot) idea:
FTFA:
''We're going to try to pump tap water to a height of one kilometre through a pipe as a test of the technology.'' ...
Pouring 10 million tonnes of material into the stratosphere each using 10 to 20 giant balloons could achieve a 2C global drop in temperature, the scientists believe.
also:
Experts believe particles of clay, salts or metallic oxides suspended in liquid would prove more effective than the sulphates produced by real volcanoes.
So, why aren't they starting with salt water, again? If their experiment achieves everything they ever hoped for, they're still going to have to do it all over again with sea water anyways...and see if the resulting salt-water rains affect anything (gee, you think it would?) Or they're going to have to start building some big-ass desalination plants...and I just bet they won't be solar-powered, either....
(FWIW, '10 million tonnes' of water = 10 million cubic meters = 10 billion litres of fresh water...)
"I love animals! Some are cute, others are tasty, what's not to like?" - Betsy Schroeder, Jeopardy contestant
PS: mod parent up.
I may disagree with him, but the guy has a good point (if only he had some karma)
Argh, blargh. I really hate it when people are so sure about completely wrong science, especially as their aggressive misinformation is being exploited by civilizational sociopaths.
I am usually nice on the internet, but this will be an exception.
Slashdot posters usually have some knowledge of Newtonian mechanics 101 and will rightly laugh at those who don't believe in say, conservation of momentum.
Well, this is the same level of blunder, so here goes the explanation, as nice as I can make it without wanting to strangle internet ignoramuses.
Yes, water is a greenhouse gas, and yes every climate scientist since 1900 or whatever has known this, and there has never been any conspiracy to "suppress" this, especially given that the water cycle is at the core of every weather and climate model and observational data set.
And human "emissions" of water are completely and totally irrelevant (say like the post above) because the planet is in statistical equilibrium with those very large sources of water known as "oceans". Water, namely vapor and clouds, are *feedbacks* with timescales of two weeks, vs dozens to thousands of years for carbon dioxide. For example, if you magically took all the water out of the atmosphere, how long would it take to get back to normal? A few weeks. If you magically saturated the atmosphere completely with water, how long would it take to get back to normal? A few weeks. If you magically took all the CO2 out of the atmosphere, how long would it take to get back to normal? Many, many millions of years.
The amount of water in the atmosphere is determined in large measure, by,what---yes the temperature! Hotter air absorbs more water, and yes, the water vapor will add its own greenhouse effect. The water vapor amplifies global warming which was induced by the excess of long-lived greenhouse gases like CO2 (and others) introduced by human activity. (Clouds are less certain---they may go both ways for heating/cooling in various cases, this is a complex area of current study---but the base level effect of vapor {clear, humid air} is undisputed and significant)
The scientists who have been studying this for decades know what they're talking about.
CO2 is not the issue it is the sulfur dioxides and nitrogen oxides that are killing the plants, and plants eat CO2. In the united states the problem has pretty much been solved in terms of how bad it was in the 60's - 80's.
However in china they don't give a rats arse about the sulfides and nitrogen gasses that they spewing and there is a bad acid rain problem and REAL plant and animal KILLING pollution. Of course dead plants and animals decompose and release CO2 as bateria break them down so that makes it even worse, plus with fewer plants there are fewer carbon sinks.
CO2 is not as big a boogey man when it comes in terms of life. We get more heating from roads and rooftops in metro areas than CO2. If the CO2 was an issue the snow in the suburbs would melt as fast inthe winter as the snow 10 miles out inthe country. We are panicing over microclimates.
Tsukasa: All I really want, is to be left alone...
Couldn't we achieve the same effect, if all 5 billion+ of us on the planet go outside and blow a raspberry http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blowing_a_raspberry ? Ya know, like, spraying water particles in the air? It would certainly be a lot of fun if we had a World Bronx Cheer Day.
. . . augmented by World Spit-Take Day . . .
Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
That's what the sharks with frickin laser beams are for!
Exactly.
We're already seeing the fallout of this ideology in the form of mandatory burning of food in Europe and the USA as biofuels. Not to mention that this debate is hiding the fact that the developing countries are catching up to our economies while the production of energy resources cannot be expanded indefinitely. In other words: The industrialized countries will have to share those resources with the developing countries, which is something they are perfectly unwilling to admit to the public. And now they are trying to pull out any argument they can find to limit the use of those resources, without having to admit that this is what they are doing. The problem with that is the distortion of science through politics pushing scientific inquiry away from "politically sensitive" studies (those studying negative feedback mechanisms of climate) into ones that are more compatible with prevailing notions (those studying positive feedbacks).
If you are not looking for negative feedback mechanisms - or don't fund research on negative feedback mechanisms - guess what, all you'll find are positive feedback mechanisms that will inevitable support your preconceived conclusion that the positive feedback far outweighs the negative. And this is much worse than ignorance - it is selective ignorance.
should we really be messing with mechanics we can't even pretend to understand yet? This sounds like an idea that could have catastrophic consequences.
Never say never. Ah!! I did it again!
Just eat at Taco Bell, you'll get all of the artificial volcano you need.
The only plan I see here is one to sequester millions of pounds of tax-payer's money into yet another unbelievably stupid mitigation scheme.
It was the equivalent of putting a drop or two of oil in an olympic-size pool. In the long run it was insignificant.
Any scientist who is a proponent of AGW theory is pure as the driven snow, honest, no ulterior motives, and with no allegience to those writing the paychecks. His goal is purely the science.
Any scientist who is a skeptic of AGW theory is an evil troll, dishonest, greedy, wants to destroy the Earth with his SUV and other wasteful habits, and will produce any result those who are funding him dictate.
At least that's how it appears the true believers see it, the ones who have lost the ability to be skeptical.
Presumably a balloon would not even need to be detonated - it could be made to explode from the pressure changes in the atmosphere as it ascends - although it may not release its particles at a desirable altitude in that model. Then there is the release of whatever gas was used (helium) in the balloon, although I don't know what effect that would have on the atmosphere.
Just go to an environmentally sensitive area in a suit and good hair, point to the ground, and say to the TV cameras, "We need that calcium hydroxide."
Bad idea, bad, bad idea
Peace is easy to achieve, just surrender. Liberty is much harder get/keep.
"And taking a look at the long range forecast, continued snow, darkness, and extreme cold. This is Howard Handupme, saying goodnight... and goodbye."
Oh, say does that Star-Spangled Banner entwine / The myrtle of Venus with Bacchus's vine?
Don't they end up mining Haley's Comet to get ice cubes? After all, it is the only source of bug free ice cubes.
Why use an artificial volcano. Just wake up one of the slumbering super volcanoes and be done with it...
Isn't this just pouring cold water on the global warming debate?
Exactly. And limestone is a cheap and abundant material. And as a byproduct, heating the limestone to produce CaOH would also produce plenty of ... wait a second! I see what you did there :-) :-)
"Panicing[sic] over microclimates"? facepalm
The blog post you linked above was an awesome piece of writing. You perfectly explained something I've consistently struggled to describe although usually whilst I'm being shouted down. Apparently I'm a denier, don't understand the science (typically I'm the only person that's worked through any of the published papers) and can't raise questions about the consensus because I'm not a climate scientist.
It's a sad fact that fewer statistical gymnastics than employed by the IPCC would allow "Christian scientists" to arrive at "scientific consensus" on the existence of God.
..to us. Whatever we do, change it back or to something else, or find a way to prevent it, we must preserve ourselves.
The period after the Dark Ages was the height of productivity in Western Civilization in terms of arable land and agriculture. It was warmer then! If we actually mess with things and cool them down then we are trusting people who's models are vague and imprecise and shown to be filled with errors in the past. If Global arming is as some suspect the approaching of the tipping point for an ice age, do we really want some scientists to push us past the inflection point into a wild ride down the other side. It would eventually solve the Detroit blight problem, but at the expense of all of Canada. If as they have noted a single volcano can have orders of magnitude greater effect than all of humanity under normal circumstances, then why for raving flying pasta would they try to exert a greater influence in a field wrought with contention when the possible outcome is "really really bad"(TM).
- Tjp
I am in wallow with my inner money grubbing capitalistic pig. ... Oink!
I remember the summer of 91/92 - almost froze to death......rainy, cold, crops didn't do worth a cent...and let's not forget the midwest floods of '93. If that would have kept up for many more years, there would have been wide-spread crop failure. I shudder to think what 2C would do if that was only 0.5C.
I say keep your dang hands off the thermostat!
Does anyone get the semantic reference of "each"? How many giant balloons does this involve in total?
No one has a full proof climate model, we barely understand what caused climate changes. Now some conscience-lacking dicks wants to play with climate, no good can come out of this. Even in the very improbable chance that it does work the world will have to pay this company a fortune so they maintain their climate solution, or some evil leader will start using these shit for warfare.
Bottom line, crime against humanity, even more than a genocide.
possibly go wrong?
http://www.awfullybigmoustache.com
The ideas was covered in Super Freakonomics. I'm glad to see someone is putting it to the test.
How would you feel now if the scientists of the 1970s started a campaign to inject large amounts of CFCs to "fix" the global cooling problem? History has consistently shown us that messing with our environment ends in bitter failure. We can't even create a self-sustaining garden if our lives depended on it (see Biosphere II)
Scientists regularly see theories in different ways, our understanding changes, and we adapt. Maybe the science behind this is has some basis. Unfortunately, we jump straight to the solution and start testing hacks to our atmosphere to "fix" a problem that we've barely understood.
Sounds to me like we are getting a head start on blotting out the sun to stop those pesky solar powered robots from wiping us out. They will never find a power source as abundant as the sun. What could go wrong?
Oh Snarfy, I think you've outdone yourself this time with your "we need to eliminate all humans" strawman.
Umm, nothing can go wrong if you intentionally try to reduce the amount of energy that reaches the surface. Nothing at all.
While it's an interesting experiment, as a "systems" solution to global warming it is incomplete - it only focuses on temperature. There will still be continued acidification of the world's oceans due to the ongoing atmospheric carbon release.
Just Don't Do It !
Because the sun is pretty damn impotent in winter and snow is, like, white, yeah?
And if changing the colour of the roofs would cut the change by 1%, that's 1% you don't have to cut by reducing your air travel (3% worldwide emissions, IIRC).
Or is your maths defective?
"Second highlander"? No such thing. There can be only one.
Excuse me, wtf r u doin?
ancestor poster said that sunlight is limiting in rainforests. Perhaps under the top canopy, but I'm skeptical about it being limiting at the top of the rain forest.
In my bio class, many years ago, so the guestimates may have changed, the prof said that few plants increase photosythesis at all above insolation levels of about 25%. Of course in a Rain Forest it's frequently heavily cloudy. Perhaps on cloudy days, light is limiting. Hmm.
For most plants CO2 is limiting. Commercial greenhouses will run CO2 up to levels of 10000 ppm (1%)
Temperature is often limiting too. Lots of plants basically shut down at temps above 90 F, by closing their stomata to reduce water loss. Sure, in a rain forest there is lots of water, but you have to pump that water from the roots to the leaves. Water loss is highly non-linear with temp, so at some point you can't generate enough energy to replace the water.
Reducing the amount of sunlight is unlikely to reduce photosynthesis directly, unless it forms a lot of dense cloud.
***
One Discover channel doc pointed out that the amount of aerosols produced by China and India has masked the warming substantially. And with increasing prosperity, these countries are cleaning up their air. It is likely that we are going to see a rebound effect with much faster global warming for a year or so.
***
Ancenstral poster commented about melting ice caps reducing the temperature difference the drives the winds. Possibly, but not by much. The equator still gets a lot more radiation per square meter than the polar regions. They are also a lot larger. Melted north polar ice cap reveals a lot of water, which with low angles of incidence is still a pretty good reflector. However vapour pressure of water/air is large compared to ice/air. This may result in warmer, wetter sub-arctic regions. The circumpolar tundra's climate may become more like Sweden's with much heavier snowfall. (Much of the tundra is cold desert -- less than 10 inches annual precipitation)
Back to wind: The equator receives about 1.4 times as much radiation as does latitude 45. If mass transport didn't haul the heat away, it would have to radiate. To radiate 1.4 times as much heat it would have to increase in temp by a factor of the 4th root of 1.4, or about 1.09. Increasing the absolute temp by 9% works out to about 26 C temp rise.
Obviously this model is very flawed. I've ignored a bunch of things. Long before the temp rises that much you will get convection cells. They just run at a higher temp.
Third Career: Tree Farmer Second Career: Computer Geek First Career: Teacher, Outdoor Instructor, Photographer.
Well, when someone implies that climate scientists don't know how to account for water vapor (which guess what, they do) ... and blah blah blah ...
I mean, like, dude, talking about taking someone's comment (originally part of a sarcastic comment with a bit of truth followed by a very funny comment) completely out of context. Here, the following will help remove the sand and soap-boxed centipedes out of your irritated, self-righteous whining/indignant private areas:
take this as needed.
If the "government" (any government) tried to do this, they'd be tied up in international courts forever. Changing the climate in this way affects many people, and not all positively. The Russians are preparing to take full advantage of Arctic shipping once it's possible, and you can be sure the Chinese won't be far behind. Why would they allow anyone to cool things back off? Canada's growing season will get longer and they will require less energy to stay warm, not to mention those new Arctic seaports.
I believe in climate change, and I believe some of it may likely be caused by our obscene disregard for our environment. At the very least it's a mind-bogglingly foolish open-ended experiment we're running here. But either way, climate change has winners and losers (whether short- or long-term) and at some point when real action needs to be taken to "fix" things, some of the winners might not take kindly to it. Another good argument to make the small changes now that could help stave off the need for huge action later.
If the goal is to put particles into the air at high altitude, why not dump carbon black into the discharge of airline engines?
Hey, if you really wanted a permanent solution, maybe you could even come up with an inert fuel additive which had the property of being unburnable at turbine temperatures, and doesn't deposit on the turbine blades. It would have to be relatively cheap too. A miracle compound? Sure. But it beats pumping brazillions of gallons 20km into the air.
Even those who arrange and design shrubberies are under considerable economic stress at this period in history.
Sorry about the double (and now triple) comment. I thought the first had got lost.
Just because you think you are special does not mean that your ramblings automatically have any legitimacy.
At (say) 20km height and 100atmospheres per km (of water), the implied pumping technologies are a step forward, but not a major one. 20,000psi (1300 atmospheres) pumping in considerable volumes is an off-the-shelf technology. Another factor of a dozen is likely to be no major deal, given that simultaneous improvement in balloon-supported platforms are implicit in the package.
What interested me more in the story was that balloon-mounted Metropolitan-Area-Networks is one of the communications technologies touted for improving local connectivities without needing to lay lots and lots of new fibre. A balloon technology that can adequately support multiple tons of machinery for months or years is ... well, a balloon technology that can support multiple tons of machinery for months or years. Which will have other uses.
Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"