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California Going Ahead With Bullet Train

An anonymous reader sends this excerpt from the NY Times: "[California state leaders] have rallied around a plan to build a 520-mile high-speed rail line from Los Angeles to San Francisco, cutting the trip from a six-hour drive to a train ride of two hours and 38 minutes. And they are doing it in the face of what might seem like insurmountable political and fiscal obstacles. The pro-train constituency has not been derailed by a state report this month that found the cost of the bullet train tripling to $98 billion for a project that would not be finished until 2033, by news that Republicans in Congress are close to eliminating federal high-speed rail financing this year, by opposition from California farmers and landowners upset about tracks tearing through their communities or by questions about how much the state or private businesses will be able to contribute."

29 of 709 comments (clear)

  1. Time by russotto · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The first transcontinental railroad took less than 10 years to build -- considerably less. Before doing something like this, figure out why the hell it's going to take 30 years, and fix that first.

    1. Re:Time by bp2179 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      We kind of frown upon the slave labor that the Chinese and Irish (and others) that were used to build the railroad. If I remember my history correctly, the US government gave the train Barons the land and I think subsidizing them. There was very little population (aside from American Indians) out west. It will probably take 20 years to settle Eminent Domain cases and another 10 to build the rail lines. I worked on a survey crew to build an outer loop around a mid sized city. The first survey was done in 1984, I worked it in 1998 and they didn't start building until 2003. We did have a few fun run-ins with angry landowners and their shotguns.

    2. Re:Time by artor3 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      High speed bullet trains probably require a bit more precision than the old steam engines.

      Also, where do you get 30 years from?

    3. Re:Time by peted56 · · Score: 5, Funny

      And they just able to shoot them and get on with it, maybe that can work again..

    4. Re:Time by Teancum · · Score: 5, Interesting

      There were no environment studies, real opposition, etc?

      Actually, the Trans-Continental Railroad did have environmental studies (they used different terms in the 1870's) and there was real opposition to the concept.... both from federal money being spent towards the endeavor as well as some groups of people who opposed even the notion of a railroad as anything other than a pipe dream. The environmental concerns were certainly different in the late 19th Century, but it was still an issue.

      The one thing that made the cost tolerable was the granting of land to the railroad companies who built the lines. One "township" of land (a 6 sq. mil by 6 sq. mile block) was given to the railroads on alternating sides of the route, on the premise that the railroad companies could in turn sell the land as a means to partially recover costs and to guarantee a source of revenue. Indeed far more land was given away and sold through railroad companies than was ever actually obtained through other federal land grant programs like the Homestead Act. It is also one of the reasons why the railroad companies emerged by the end of the 19th Century as the primary source of capital for America.

      The building of that railroad also was full of all sorts of graft and corruption, including various games being done to decide where "mountains" began (tracks through mountain ranges paid more per mile than over flat ground), not to mention how the initial investors into the railroad companies literally blew all of their money on lobbying efforts in Washington DC before the first track was even laid down on the ground.

      Not widely recognized either, it was one of the last major acts of the Abraham Lincoln administration, and nearly the last piece of legislation signed by him as well. The politics that went into the Trans-Continental Railroad would easily be recognized today, and really is no different than this railroad to nowhere in California. All that has really changed is the names of the people involved, and oddly even that hasn't changed as much as you would think it should. It even had the entire congressional delegation from California working on this one project in one way or another, and the governor of California even making a trip to Washington in order to secure the funding for that railroad.

    5. Re:Time by amRadioHed · · Score: 5, Insightful

      And in the long run, the trans-continental railroad was a good thing for the country. So are you agreeing that in the long term the high speed rail will also be worth it?

      Personally, I'm undecided. I would love to have access to high speed rail to SF, I would certainly use it, but Californians in general have a strange love for driving themselves everywhere. One concern is if the TSA gets themselves involved in railroad security, that would ruin the major speed and convenience advantage that rail has over air.

      --
      We hope your rules and wisdom choke you / Now we are one in everlasting peace
    6. Re:Time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      One "township" of land (a 6 sq. mil by 6 sq. mile block)

      Where did they even find that hypercubic land?

    7. Re:Time by Guignol · · Score: 5, Funny

      You are forgetting the 'when'
      This hypervolume takes into account the time it took to build the railroad from the reference frame perspective of a traveler waiting for it to be built (at rest, thus) so as to be able to take the train

    8. Re:Time by sourcerror · · Score: 5, Informative

      Sorry, 500+ mph (804 km/h) is ridiculous. Bullet trains go around 190 mph. Even maglev trains max out at 361 mph. (And don't talk about how much they cost per mile.)

    9. Re:Time by AmiMoJo · · Score: 5, Informative

      It makes an interesting comparison with Japan's new high speed maglev track. It is scheduled to be running by 2025 at over 500Kph. The terrain is difficult and there are major issues with noise pollution that increase the cost, but when it comes to buying land they realised that it is often cheaper to just elevate the track. Less disruption and no need for dangerous crossings.

      Elevated track also makes it easier to keep the whole thing level when you would otherwise have to do a lot of digging to flatten the ground below normal track out. IIRC the spec for Shinkansen (bullet train) track is something like no more than 6mm height variation over 10m.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  2. The TSA will ruin this. by 0111+1110 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Between the x-ray powered strip searches, the paranoid interrogations, and sexual molestations by abusive, angry pedophile wannabe mall cops, only masochists and boot lickers will want to ride in what could have been a beautiful piece of engineering. I'd rather drive in relative freedom than take a bullet train and be humiliated, brutalized, violated, and treated like an inmate. To quote the Elephant Man, "I am not an animal!".

    If the TSA could be kept away, then it would be great. But that isn't going to happen.

    --
    Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
    1. Re:The TSA will ruin this. by larry+bagina · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Nah, the TSA will expand to cover travel by car. And bus. And taxi. And limo. And motorcycle. And bicycle. And segway.

      --
      Do you even lift?

      These aren't the 'roids you're looking for.

    2. Re:The TSA will ruin this. by AHuxley · · Score: 5, Informative

      http://www.gadling.com/2011/03/09/amtrak-police-chief-to-tsa-stay-off-our-property/
      The TSA did try the train "Your papers ... " thing via Visible Intermodal Protection and Response.
      US rail operators did talk about the searches ... after they saw what was been done on their station.
      http://cs.trains.com/TRCCS/forums/p/188504/2059127.aspx

      --
      Domestic spying is now "Benign Information Gathering"
  3. Re:The bond measure was for $98 billion by trunicated · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The bond, Prop 1A from 2008, approved roughly $8.5 billion to begin the project, with a total budget of $33 billion to be used if the project could be shown to be able to run without subsidies from the government. The most recent estimates, which still show a ludicrously high number of riders (between 60 and 90 million per year) show that the budget will need to be $98, which is roughly triple the $33 billion original allocated for the project.

    The project is in no way feasible for a state as deep into the red as California. The *only* logical explanation of why this is still going through is to allow those already riding the $8.5 billion gravy train to keep it going for another $90 billion.

    --
    There's a reason there is no "Disagree" mod...
  4. Re:Why are businesses leaving? by postbigbang · · Score: 5, Insightful

    In twenty years, California will have swollen to perhaps 50million people, many of them taking the I-5 or US101 route from LA to the Bay area. I-5 is pretty much clogged now: imagine what happens if you have to continue to resize Oakland, San Jose, SF, Burbank, LAX, John Wayne, Palm Springs, Sacramento, and all of the other regional airports to accommodate grown-- along with the freeways. Something's going to give. Invest now, and the infrastructure is there. Don't invest, and it's going to get uglier than it is now.... much uglier.

    --
    ---- Teach Peace. It's Cheaper Than War.
  5. And exaggeration can ruin anything by RobinEggs · · Score: 5, Insightful

    You can object to TSA practices - the violation of privacy, the ineffectiveness, and the rare but flagrant acts of sadism or molestation - without the pointless exaggeration. To hear you talk I'd be much safer and more comfortable wearing a "Democracy Now!" through Pyongyang Station than I would be boarding a California bullet train.

    Blathering about pedophilia, fascism, and interrogations just makes your objections sound like paranoid ravings. Yes, you must be persistent, passionate, and creative in protecting your rights and protesting their violation, but above all you must be rational.

    Your words are nothing but a disservice to anyone fighting for the Bill of Rights: it makes their job much harder when their rational objections become conflated with the rampant hyperbole and absurdly loaded language of people like you.

  6. Portland-Seattle-Vancouver would make more sense. by isaac · · Score: 5, Interesting

    This doesn't make sense. A rider arriving in LA is going to need a car when they get off the train, unless they fancy spending a lot of time waiting for on Metro (formerly known as the RTD - Rough, Tough, and Dangerous.) Total boondoggle.

    It would make a hell of a lot more sense to link the Portland-Seattle-Vancouver, BC corridor with high-speed rail, since these are all cities where one can actually get around reasonably well without a car. It'd be a game-changer to have TGV-speed rail on that corridor - one hour between the downtown cores of Portland and Seattle, or Seattle and Vancouver? I've had regular, daily intracity commutes longer than that.

    Oh well.

    -Isaac

    --
    I am not a lawyer, and this is not legal advice. For Entertainment Purposes Only.
  7. Re:Why are businesses leaving? by Penguinshit · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Amen.

    before I was forced to retire due to ALS I had need to go down to a remote office in LA multiple times per month from the SF Bay area. Airplanes are quick once you leave the ground but the absolute living hell that is air travel made me dread the trip. Having a fast train is something I dreamed about since the month I spent in Europe on business. Totally stress-free "commute". Tie the fast line into municipal light rail like the widely used BART and San Jose light rail and you have a very successful merger of two huge metropolitan economies.

  8. Re:Why are businesses leaving? by Ethanol-fueled · · Score: 5, Funny

    As a proud native Californian, I say get the fuck out. You probably took that job from a Californian because you are cheap, and now you're just one of those inbred, cornfed assholes driving up the property costs.

    U.S. out of California!

  9. Have to look at the alternatives by telso · · Score: 5, Informative

    Yes, high speed rail is going to be expensive. Yes, it's now projected to cost much more than the original estimate. (The cost has largely increased due to delays (the longer it takes to build a project, the more it costs), particularly fuelled by NIMBY appeasement ("We don't want the train passing near our house!" "But it is much quieter than standard trains and will increase your property values by being near an HSR station." "Build a tunnel!" "Okay, we'll build a tunnel." "The costs on this project are ballooning!").)

    But you have to compare the cost to the alternatives. California's freeways and airports are jammed. With increasing population and mobility, something to move people around will have to be built. And the estimated costs to add volume to airports and highways is estimated to be $100-billion as well.

    And, to top it off, high speed rail runs on an operational profit. (This means that yearly revenues are higher than yearly costs.) Everywhere. Yes, high speed rail lines run an operational profit in Japan and France, Spain, Russia, Taiwan and car-loving-and-train-hating America. In Britain all rail is private, and for-profit companies are in fierce competition to pay for the rights to run rail services, which are barely at HSR levels if at all. It's a strongly held misconception that rail travel is unprofitable: HSR makes a profit all over the world, and it usually subsidizes local and regional rail transport (which the US has much of).

    And though only the Tokyo-Osaka and Paris-Lyon line have paid off all their construction costs, that's because they're the oldest HSR lines; others are on track to in the future. Which modes of transportation don't pay off their construction costs? Oh, that's right, nearly all roads. Remember Carmageddon/The Carpocalypse, when an overpass outside LA was torn down, shutting traffic for the weekend? That was all so they could widen the highway through a mountain pass. Were the anti-HSR people asking for ridership studies for the Sepulveda Pass? Were they asking for the expansion to run an operational profit, let alone an overall profit? Of course not; only rail is subjected to such standards.

    Add to this that a train is much more efficient in transporting this number of people, from an energy, environmental and economic perspective, and this is using studies that are assuming that gas prices will be relatively stable over the next few decades.

    Obviously there still has to be overview of the project, making sure money is being spent efficiently and for best value. But the entire transportation sector needs to be looked at from this viewpoint. Airlines can work with rail to transport their passengers on their "last mile", freeing up their planes for more profitable medium- and long-haul routes, like done in Germany (Frankfurt Airport has two train stations). Road funds can be diverted to repairing our existing infrastructure as opposed to building more asphalt that needs to be maintained. And everyone will get to where they are going sooner. If this is done, North America will look back 20 years from now, not wondering "How could they do this?", but instead "How did they wait so long?"

  10. Re:Say... by amRadioHed · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Right, that's exactly why no one would ever build a high speed rail system somewhere like Japan where they are also prone to earthquakes. Obviously a train getting derailed is the biggest concern in quake prone areas.

    --
    We hope your rules and wisdom choke you / Now we are one in everlasting peace
  11. Re:Why are businesses leaving? by Khyber · · Score: 5, Insightful

    As a Californian transplant, I say you should get the fuck out. You haven't done a fucking thing with this place in decades. Make way for those of us that will, you lazy asshole.

    --
    Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
  12. Re:The bond measure was for $98 billion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Exactly, California all by itself is the 8th most productive economy in the world..
    California suffers from 2 things, the money that goes out through taxes to help the other 49 states (shouldn't someone scream communism ? ^_^), and stupid voters that want to pay less taxes all the while keeping the level of public services intact.
    The first one can't be fixed short of a new civil war, the second problem on the other hand can be fixed. There just is no political will to do it.

  13. Re:Portland-Seattle-Vancouver would make more sens by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 5, Funny

    Something tells me that the state government of California isn't particularly interested in building a railroad for Oregon, Washington, and British Columbia.

    --
    The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
  14. Re:This is just insane. by garyebickford · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Various reasons - energy efficiency, trains are more likely to be able to go _right where you want to be_ rather than some flat spot 30 miles out of town, etc. And if we assume that one more transport-class airport would have to be built, that's more land area than the entire rail system required. (Case in point - Dallas/Fort Worth Airport is, IIRC, more acreage than a four-lane freeway from Dallas to Washington DC. Same with the big one in Montreal.) Also trains are more comfortable by at least an order of magnitude.

    --
    It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
  15. Re:Oy Vey! by cervesaebraciator · · Score: 5, Informative
    Passenger rail doesn't make much money, but there is an unhappy reason for this. Folks on the political right often like to point to rail as one of the grand failures of government. What they do not recognize is that one of the reasons passenger rail doesn't make money in this country is because the highway system is so heavily subsidized. The failure of rail isn't an example of fair competition, it is an example of a heavily lobbied government choosing one form of transportation at the cost of either choice or market requirements. Consider this:

    The director of the American Conservative Center for Public Transportation, William S. Lind, agrees that America’s love affair with subsidized interstates made private passenger rail unviable. Lind points out that even in 1921 the federal government spent $1.4 billion on highways, and by 1960 the outlay was $11.5 billion. By 2006, 47,000 miles of interstates had been built at a cost of $425 billion.

    When critics of passenger-rail subsidies, such as Randal O’Toole of the Cato Institute, suggest that the highway costs are mostly covered by the gas tax, Lind counters with figures from a 2008 Federal Highway Administration paper: the FHA reports that highway user fees, including gas taxes, only cover 51 percent of costs. By contrast, Amtrak in 2010 covered 67 percent of its operating costs from ticket fares and other revenue.

    "A Nation Derailed", Lewis McCrary

    The above quote was written by a conservative arguing for rail. Your "Damn those liberals and their lying propaganda!" line is, I'm afraid, very often accurate. It is sad that so many on the right are so ready to defend the federal highway systems and automobiles against all other alternatives. Certainly, there are many things to recommend cars and good highways, but currently the funding of these systems is a subsidy for corporations who rely on externalizing the cost (on taxpayers) of long distance transportation, e.g. Wal-Mart, to the detriment of local businesses and small competitors. I call this sad because conservatives, and on this account I will accept the appellation myself, claim to favor traditional patterns of life and to be skeptical of the kind of federal subsidies which support business models which might otherwise fail. The loss of rail and the rise of cars was a blow to small town civic life. Thereafter, the bypass ("It's a bypass. You've got to build bypasses!") and the big box stores, always by externalizing their costs and frequently with the help of imminent domain laws, further eroded civic life and economy.

  16. Re:Portland-Seattle-Vancouver would make more sens by fgouget · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This doesn't make sense. A rider arriving in LA is going to need a car when they get off the train, unless they fancy spending a lot of time waiting for on Metro (formerly known as the RTD - Rough, Tough, and Dangerous.) Total boondoggle.

    That also means that all flights between SF and LA don't make any sense because any airplane traveler arriving in LA is going to need a car when they get off the train, unless they fancy spending a lot of time waiting for on Metro (formerly known as the RTD - Rough, Tough, and Dangerous.) Total boondoggle.

  17. A day too late, a dollar too short.. by Suomi-Poika · · Score: 5, Insightful

    HSR is an investment to the post peak oil future. When Jet A1 fuel costs $5 per liter only the extremely wealthy can afford to travel by air. I hope you Americans are not counting on that, everybody is rich in future? :) Meanwhile the others (and you!) are landlocked either to low speed electric-hybrid cars or low speed trains, that is if you don't start building HSR now . The question here is that do you Americans want to continue your lifestyle of affordable travel after the fossil fuels are out of question, or do you want to isolate yourselves and remove the last of your competitive features: affordable movement of people and goods?


    But then again - "Americans, yes they are that stupid".

    What would happen if USA neglects building heterogeneous transport networks and stays on the current trend of fossil fuel automobiles and planes? It is not the end of the world after the oil gets too expensive for transportation. If only you can keep the agriculture running you will not starve and private enterprises will built HSR and electric induction roads very fast. The bad thing is that at that time the rest of the world have those and you are late, so very late that I am afraid someone else has the technological and political leadership in this world. As a North European I wouldn't like to see that happen. America(USA) means a lot to me and I want see you leading the world in the future too.

  18. Re:Monorail by isorox · · Score: 5, Insightful

    What about us brain-dead slobs?

    http://www.tsa.gov/join/index.shtm