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The Challenges of Building a Mars Base

ambermichelle writes with an excerpt from an article in Txchnologist: "Going to Mars? Expect to stay a while. Because of the relative motions of Earth and Mars, the pioneering astronauts who touch down on the Martian surface will have to remain there for a year and a half. For this reason, NASA has already started experimenting with a habitat fit for the long-term exploration of Mars. Last year, students at the University of Wisconsin won the XHab competition to design and build an inflatable loft addition to a habitat shell that NASA had already constructed. The final structure now serves as a working model that is being tested in the Arizona desert. Like any home, it's a sacred bulwark against the elements; but not just the cold, heat, and pests of Arizona. A Mars habitat will have to protect astronauts from cosmic rays, solar flares, and unknown soil compositions all while keeping inhabitants happy and comfortable."

228 comments

  1. Find a big cave by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    and build it in there.

    1. Re:Find a big cave by Moheeheeko · · Score: 4, Funny
      Just make sure its actually a cave

      http://starwars.wikia.com/wiki/Exogorth

    2. Re:Find a big cave by jd · · Score: 2, Interesting

      That shouldn't be hard. There's evidence of lots of them. Caves are good -- radiation shielding, sand-storm shielding, and (most important of all) that's where the water is. Further, whilst it's easy to build rovers to explore the surface, it'll take humans to explore subterranean depths -- we can't build robots to handle unknown terrain, there's no sunlight for solar panels, and the lack of isotope production on Earth means building a high-power nuclear battery is not currently viable.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    3. Re:Find a big cave by jandrese · · Score: 4, Informative

      Um, the Mars Science Labratory is going over there with a RTG as the primary power source. The reason the rovers don't explore underground isn't the terrain handling (they already do their own navigation) or the lack of sun, it's the fact that you can't transmit data back out of the cave.

      It would be possible for the MSL to explore a cave a little bit, but I'm sure that would cause a lot of nail biting over at NASA.

      --

      I read the internet for the articles.
    4. Re:Find a big cave by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and the lack of isotope production on Earth means building a high-power nuclear battery is not currently viable.

      Lack of isotope production? You see, there's these thingamabobs called nuclear reactors and I've heard tell they're very good at producing isotopes.

      Biggest problem is not your imaginary lack of production. Biggest problem is things like plutonium are massive and dense and it is already extremely difficult and expensive to build rockets that can make it to Mars.

    5. Re:Find a big cave by Lumpy · · Score: 3, Insightful

      " it's the fact that you can't transmit data back out of the cave. "

      Bet you $1000 I can. It's actually east to do.

      It's not possible to communicate to a satellite in the sky with microwave signals from a cave that has no direct line of sight. but it is indeed very possible to transmit data out of a cave and back in. It is done all the time. See how they map the aquifer caves in florida. guys can walk around above ground to follow and talk to the divers underground in the cave and under water.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    6. Re:Find a big cave by jd · · Score: 3, Informative

      You can have relay stations. That's not a problem. Yes, the rovers can do their own navigation, but caves aren't the same thing as strolling along the surface. Spelunking requires skills that even the most advanced robots to date have enormous difficulty with -- unpredictable traction, corners that require flexibility, debris around which there is no good path, the fact that the original pothole will more likely be a vertical drop than a nice, easy drive-in, etc. (Chances are that most of the entrances will be ancient sinkholes - there may have been a shallow sea on Mars but with no significant moon there would be no tides and therefore no caves formed from the lateral pounding of water.)

      The flexibility plays into everything else. There are "snake" robots that can handle the kind of terrain we're talking about. They're designed to and do a wonderful job of it. Those snake robots are not, however, equipt to lug around nuclear batteries. Their ability to climb up vertical walls is astonishing but relies heavily on being able to cling to that wall. Adding a few kilos of battery would not only shift the centre of gravity in the wrong direction, it would vastly exceed the gripping ability of the robots.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    7. Re:Find a big cave by jd · · Score: 4, Informative

      A nuclear reactor will produce -specific- isotopes. Each type of reactor will produce a given set of isotopes, the ratio of which is unique to that reactor.

      Reactors that specifically produce Plutonium-238 (not all forms of plutonium are useful) aren't common, since plutonium-239 is what is wanted for 99.9% of all terrestrial plutonium usage, and separating something with equal charge and very very nearly equal mass would be hard. The Curiosity rover, recently launched, has one of the most powerful Pu-238 batteries ever produced, at a whopping 110 watts. For climbing vertical walls, this is useless. There is also a well-known and well-publicized global shortage of Pu-238. Fast breeder reactors produced Plutonium (which is why they were popular in the Cold War) but modern reactors produce little or none, giving them zero weapons proliferation risk (which is why they can be safely exported to non-signatory nations).

      For serious energy density, you'd have to go to Polonium-210. US reactors do not produce Polonium. The only source is in Russia, which is why when the former Soviet spy was poisoned with Polonium in Britain, it took scientists around 5 seconds to figure out where that would have come from. Do you seriously, seriously imagine the Russians are going to sell NASA a whole bunch of Polonium? Especially with all the political battles over anti-missile systems, etc?

      As for the number of reactors, several nations started shuttering theirs after the disaster in Japan. Those that remain open are being scrutinized over safety. Jerry-rigging them to produce Polonium would produce a political nightmare that the nuclear industry is not going to want right now.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    8. Re:Find a big cave by everett · · Score: 2, Insightful

      No moon? So where does your claim leave Deimos? Phobos?

      --
      Sig withheld to protect the innocent.
    9. Re:Find a big cave by jd · · Score: 3, Informative

      Oversized pebbles are not "significant moons". They would not be capable of generating tidal forces large enough to gouge through rock. They're also modern captures, so are completely irrelevant as the oceans on Mars existed only for the first few hundred million years. 4 billion years ago, neither was there and therefore neither did anything.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    10. Re:Find a big cave by gatkinso · · Score: 1

      That's no moon....

      --
      I am very small, utmostly microscopic.
    11. Re:Find a big cave by morgauxo · · Score: 1

      Those are very low bandwidth connections. The only way you are going to get anything comparable to the kind of bandwidth we have to the surface rovers is to drag a cable.

    12. Re:Find a big cave by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      Voice data speeds, a lot faster than we are sending data from mars to earth.

      Do you think we have a 100megabit connection to mars? It's massively less than a 56K modem in data transfer speeds.

      "The one quantity that most people overestimate is the amount of man-made and natural noise that exists at microwave communication frequencies. We use very sensitive low noise microwave receivers and large antennas here on Earth to receive the signal from Mars Pathfinder. At the 8 gigahertz radio frequency that Mars Pathfinder uses to talk back to Earth, the ratio of signal power to noise power is 6000 to 1, or about 37 decibels. This allows us to receive data from the spacecraft 190 million kilometers away at a modest data rate of 1 or 2 kilobits per second."

      It has increased in speed because of tech for What we have there now but it's still not even 9600 baud.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    13. Re:Find a big cave by fuzzywig · · Score: 1

      The USSR did sell the US the titanium to build the SR-71 back during the cold war, although they probably didn't know what it was being used for.

    14. Re:Find a big cave by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      it's the fact that you can't transmit data back out of the cave.

      Bet you $1000 I can. It's actually east to do.

      Knowing people who have been designing and building (and of course, using) "Molephones" for some thirty years, "easy" (if that's what you meant) is probably not one of the first words that would spring to their lips.

      Underwater molephones - even harder. Do-able, but harder. Actually - I'll ask Bob next time I see him ... but the presence of a guide line might make taking data out by a leaky feeder feasible. But then how do you link line reels? Whatever.

      A couple of messages further on you say :

      Voice data speeds, a lot faster than we are sending data from mars to earth.
      Do you think we have a 100megabit connection to mars? It's massively less than a 56K modem in data transfer speeds.

      Voice data is around about 5kHz bandwidth ; most phone lines can handle 4k8 to 9k6 baud without too high an error rate. 56kbps modems work by fitting multiple bits per baud and applying fancy signal processing at the receiver.

      You're right that we don't have a 100megabit connection to Mars. A little Googling ... shows me that something's not happy in NASA's network. So, going through a different route ... nope, I can't waste more time on this. I think that the communications links between the Mars constellation (satellites and landers, sharing each other's comms links) has a several mega-bit/s link to Earth. There's around 7terabytes of data storage buffers in that constellation, so for a 1 mega-bit link, that buffer would take around 700 days to empty. Doesn't sound very sensible to me. I think their pipe is going to need to be considerably fatter than you're saying. A 100-megabit/second link would still take a week to empty the buffer - pretty dodgy!

      Anyway, we're getting away from the point.

      It has increased in speed because of tech for What we have there now but it's still not even 9600 baud.

      I think that you're talking about an antenna that was transmitting directly from the surface of Mars to the surface of Earth. Which is why they don't do that any more.

      In fact, as a caver, I've paid a bit more attention than most to the question of Martian (and Lunar) caves. The putative examples that have been put forward have all been in the form of lava tubes which have suffered a partial roof collapse. Such a cave would have a fairly good profile for getting data out - they tend to be relatively simple in profile, and relatively straight. So to get your rover in (and later out), you

      • 1- anchor a main device at surface.
      • send a daughter rover over to the cave mouth, trailing a data and structural cable;
      • Daughter#1 lowers itself over the edge, on the cable, and manoeuvres down until it is supporting itself on the lip of the drop into the cave, on a tight rope to the anchor station.
      • Daughter#1 then splits off Daughter#2 which lowers itself down the cable to the cave floor. The (relatively) elevated position of Daughter#1 can provide literally another point of view for Daughter#2 to navigate by.

      Beyond that, it's a question of fine choices whether the daughter#2 rover is to be retrieved, if it's detachable, how it gets power ... lots of issues. If it goes off-cable, but still receives (say) power by microwave, that's fine, but it needs to send data back through the "eye in the sky" (OK, roof). If it's coming back, it'll need the cable to climb up. (That's why Daughter#1 is on the lip - to prevent the cable fraying on a rough edge, and to reduce the chance of rock fall following cable movement during the ascent phase.)

      Unfortunately, the floors of caves tend to have rocks on them. This isn't a major problem for cave exploration per se, but for a light weight

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    15. Re:Find a big cave by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      No. You don't get voice data speed radio out of a cave. Not unless you are dropping repeaters at every bend along the way. Which sometimes on Earth is what they do. That would be impossbile on Mars. Every one of them would require it's own power source, add mass to the payload and placing them would be another potentially complicated task for the robot.

      If you aren't going too deep or around too many turns then sometimes they can get voice data using ultrasonics. I'm not sure if that would work so well at Mars air pressure though. Even if it does that is pretty limited for cave size and complexity (turns).

      If you are relying on radio alone the only way you even have a chance through rock is to use VLF frequencies between about 9 and 100 khz (yes, with a k) and at VLF you are doing very very good to get 300 baud. It would be much more likely to get somewhere around 10 baud and that only at shorter distances in than you would really want to explore.

      Most likely the first cave missions will involve robots dragging cables. They will be very limited by the length of the cable, the weight to pull it and it will get even harder to pull for every turn they go around. The mission will probably end early with a snag, tangle or cable cut by a sharp rock.

    16. Re:Find a big cave by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There might be some problems with carbon dioxide ice. It might form to shadows and evaporate on sunlight.
      Living with coldness and ice is challenge even in earth.

  2. Find precious metals on Mars by Synerg1y · · Score: 4, Funny

    The base will build itself with corporate sponsorship. Problem solved.

    1. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by hedwards · · Score: 5, Funny

      Or oil, never mind that it would waste an incredible amount of energy shipping it back here, the point isn't the energy benefits, the point is showing those dirty hippies who's the boss.

    2. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Synerg1y · · Score: 2

      Hmm? Shipping it back would involve exiting the atmosphere (a lot less fuel since Mars has a lot less) and a trajectory calculation w respect to gravitational pull, letting momentum do the rest, unless of course I'm missing something. My point is for us to build a base on Mars practically, something tangible needs to exist there, that way it's an over fattened production budget for building the base, as opposed to a usually meager science budget.

    3. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh boy! The Invisible Hand of the Market!

      I love how we get to stop thinking whenever we introduce Privatize, Proprietary, Corporate, etc etc etc...

      It's the Economist's equivalent of Creationism. So mysterious, because "no one really knows" how or why humans decide to work together. Best not think about it too deeply.

      Sure let's just black box everything into a walled garden and ignore the hows and whys. Nevermind that Mars is unexplored natural territory, and opening it to human exploitation by corporate interests will bring binding exclusive agreements, possibly warranting international military treaties.

      But at least here on earth we'll get a pleasant story on the nightly news to win our hearts and minds. Yes? Yes?

    4. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Americano · · Score: 4, Insightful

      My point is for us to build a base on Mars practically

      You could have stopped there. It is not an economically feasible operation on any scale larger than "send a couple geeks there to do some science". It may be scientifically interesting, and we may have a lot of NASA geeks get hot and bothered over the prospect of months cooped up in a small cargo container surrounded by inhospitable environment, but there is nothing you can find on Mars (or anywhere else) that would be economically practical to extract and ship back to Earth.

      Look at the size and tonnage of the ISS and other space vehicles & modules, then look at their living capacity. You will not have large scale colonization and exploration of space - for economic or survival purposes - without overcoming significant swaths of our current understanding of simple physics.

    5. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ..... You do know where oil comes from, don't you?

    6. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Baloroth · · Score: 1

      This is actually the core of the problem. We don't have a base on the Moon (for instance) not because we couldn't, but because there is simply no compelling reason to do so. Technical issues of course prevent us from doing it just because we can. There isn't even a scientific reason to justify the cost at this point. Although it would have to be a pretty valuable resource to justify a Mars base when you figure in return costs (and the difficulty of creating rocket fuel on Mars itself.)

      --
      "None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license." --John Milton
    7. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by jd · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The usually-quoted metric is a pound of gold per pound of material into orbit. That's just orbit, not getting the stuff to Mars, or then getting the stuff from Mars back to Earth. To deorbit in Earth's atmosphere, you would need expensive heat shielding (or you'll just get a really nice burn) and the more you plan on bringing back, the more heat shielding you need. If we find an asteroid of pure platinum, it might be commercially viable to mine, but we'll need much better launch facilities before space industry in raw material terms is viable.

      Now, that's not to say space is useless commercially. Quasi-crystals are found in space and occur there naturally and frequently, you need a lab to make them on Earth. It may well be, therefore, that the value of -finished- products from space would exceed the launch costs in a few cases, even if raw materials are currently off the table. It's simply a better environment for certain things. "May well be" is not the same, however, as "certainly is". If space production of such-and-such was obviously economic, it would be done. It isn't done, so we can assume that there's no obvious case. Doesn't mean there isn't a case, just means it's not obvious.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    8. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by jd · · Score: 1

      The problem with the Invisible Hand moving the markets is that the markets are an Invisible Dog that bites the Invisible Hand. Sadly, the Invisible Man, owner of the Invisible Hand, has a terrible short-term memory and is therefore never once bitten, twice shy.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    9. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 1

      There isn't even a scientific reason to justify the cost at this point.

      In the long run, having our eggs in more than one basket would be nice. At the moment, humans are stored RAID 0 here on Earth.

      --
      It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    10. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Hognoxious · · Score: 2

      No, oil requires that there were trees, a long time ago.

      If we nuked ourselves to shit or an asteroid hit us out and wiped out all higher lifeforms the oil underground would still be there.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    11. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      Hey I gota get more gas for my Hummer H2... I dont want to have to resort to actually putting it in drive. I prefer driving in 1st gear everywhere.... 2.5MPG YEE HA!

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    12. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Americano · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Why would it be nice?

      Given our current understanding of physics and biology, you would be spending far longer than presently-recorded history traveling in an interstellar "generational" ship to reach the closest stars; there is no guarantee that ANY of them will have earth-like conditions that would be suitable for human life.

      We are not going to construct colonies - either floating, or planet-bound, that are of sufficient scale & size to provide any hedge against extinction. The materials, the cost, the risk, and the energy requirements are simply too high.

      If you're talking a legitimate hedge against extinction, then you need to:
      1) Find another planet that is close enough to earth conditions that it would be suitable for human life.
      2) Build a space ship capable of surviving the time required to travel there;
      3) Provision a space ship capable of surviving and supporting human life for thousands of years;
      4) Build a large enough ship & colonization group that you wouldn't end up with hundreds of generations of inbreeding and genetic defects at the end of the trip;
      5) Find a bunch of people who don't mind dooming hundreds of generations of their descendants to life in a tin can hurtling through space, and that they will never, ever see or hear from Earth in any practical manner again;
      6) Ensure that no critical part, anywhere, at any point on the trip, goes bad;
      7) Figure out a way to land the ship on the far end with all that cargo;
      8) Realize that a small gene pool, after thousands of years of travel and introduction to a completely new habitat, may very well diverge from "human" evolution in significant ways such that calling the people landing on the far side of that trip may not be particularly "human" in any appreciable sense anyway.

      9) As an alternative to all that, develop faster than light travel or some sort of fool-proof suspended animation, as well as a computer system capable of self-healing and adaption on an unprecedented level, and find a way to power it for thousands of years without error or failure.

      In light of all of those limitations, I'd suggest that in the long run, learning to behave like civilized fucking human beings and get along with one another without shitting all over the blankets might just be the easier and more practical way to survive as a species.

    13. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by argStyopa · · Score: 2

      You DO understand, of course, that is pretty much how the New World was found and developed, right?

      Certainly, they were governments backing many (but not all of) these explorers, but by and large their motives were entirely commercial.

      Now, governments pretty much just impede whatever progress they can when they're not too preoccupied providing bread and circuses for the ignorant masses.

      --
      -Styopa
    14. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Flipstylee · · Score: 1

      The base will build itself with corporate sponsorship. Problem solved.

      And from what i hear, once we get down to that Goldium, they'll send us some credits
      so we can purchase that beefy drill-head from the shop.

    15. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We don't have a base on the moon because military dominance is more cheaply available from orbit and from sea-based nuclear platforms.

      A moon is like a big ol' firebase hanging over an entire planet. Which is why I always take over the moons as soon as I invade any inhabited system.

    16. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by geckipede · · Score: 1

      You do realise that there are some planets in our own solar system, right? The summary mentions them.. Colonies around other stars can wait for a long time, since we only need those to protect against really really huge disasters like supernovae or the sun going out. Those aren't going to happen for a VERY long time, so we can ignore other stars for now. What we need is self sustaining colonies off Earth, but near enough to be able to interact with Earth, hear Earth's messages, learn Earth's lessons. The threat we're guarding against is that of having a vast number of people stuck in a single biosphere, all complex unpredictable people, occasionally inventing new and dangerous things. A few decades ago, nuclear war seemed like the manifestation of that. We got past that hurdle with civilisation intact. How many more inventions like that will there be? How many times can we pass the test?

    17. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      If Mars were made of solid gold it would still be too expensive for any private venture to go there.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    18. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by hedwards · · Score: 1

      Except for aliens what could they possibly have that would be cost effective for us to mine from Mars and then ship back millions of miles through space to Earth? Seriously, it would have to be something pretty phenomenal to make the cost worthwhile.

    19. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Americano · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You do realise that there are some planets in our own solar system, right?

      *sigh*

      You do realize that none of the other planets in our solar system will support human life - that any colony or structure we build there must be *entirely* self-sustaining, self-contained, and extraordinarily fault tolerant - right?

      You do realize that building and shipping a habitat that will house a mere handful of people will cost hundreds of millions of dollars, and that's a low-ball estimate, right?

      You do realize that "6 people in a tin can orbiting one of Jupiter's moons" does not provide any appreciable insurance for the human species against extinction events, right?

      If you want to send people to do science for a few months, great. But let's stop pretending that we're ever going to build a large-scale colony on another planet when that planet is fundamentally incapable of supporting human life. The energy, time, and financial costs are far too high for it to be anything but a "because we wanted to see what would happen" sort of thing.

      Mars is fundamentally inhospitable to human life. The rest of our solar system is fundamentally inhospitable to human life. This fairytale notion that we're going to magically whisk ourselves away to another planet, star system, galaxy, etc. and live there is just that: a fairytale notion. We better learn to behave well here on earth, because this is all we've got until we learn to violate our fundamental understandings of time & distance to enable faster-than-light travel.

      Any attempt to convince yourself that we will build a self-sustaining colony on another planet or other body inside our solar system which will be entirely self-contained & self-sustaining - i.e., capable of supporting human life indefinitely in the midst of an environment that is hostile to human life - is just delusional mental masturbation, and simply enables us to continue behaving in self-destructive ways in our own habitat here on earth.

    20. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by viperidaenz · · Score: 1

      Better yet, if an asteroid hit and wiped out all life on earth, more oil would be created from all that dead organic stuff that was soon buried by all the dust kicked up in the atmosphere that killed them in the first place.

    21. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 2

      What I'd prefer us to do is wrap a few major comets in Mylar, and set them up for a nudge onto collision course with Venus. Let's shear it's atmosphere off and dump some water there.

      It would be a 100 to 1000 years effort, but there's a lot of valuable science to be done by the type of missions it would require. It also supports the kind of technology we'd need to prevent such a thing happening to Earth.

    22. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The re-entry module could be kept in Earth's orbit and docked with the Mars return vehicle. No need to bring that with you to Mars.

    23. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by hawguy · · Score: 1

      There isn't even a scientific reason to justify the cost at this point.

      In the long run, having our eggs in more than one basket would be nice. At the moment, humans are stored RAID 0 here on Earth.

      Please don't implement earth-scale RAID-5, I don't want to be torn to pieces just so you can distribute me across different planets with an extra bucket of cloned body parts stored somewhere else for redundancy.

    24. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Kjella · · Score: 1

      At the moment, humans are stored RAID 0 here on Earth.

      One person dies and all is lost? More like seven billion disks in RAID1 all hooked to the same AC and PSU.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    25. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by lennier · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The threat we're guarding against is that of having a vast number of people stuck in a single biosphere, all complex unpredictable people, occasionally inventing new and dangerous things. A few decades ago, nuclear war seemed like the manifestation of that. We got past that hurdle with civilisation intact. How many more inventions like that will there be? How many times can we pass the test?

      I don't know what new doomsday weapons might come down the physics pipe (at the moment, realistically speaking, it's looking very much like physics has reached a centuries-long dead end and won't even be able to got fusion working, and the huge surge of discoveries in the 20th century was a weird spike anomaly which won't be repeated) - but also realistically speaking, there's no plausible scenario where any kind of war or world-killer device could make Earth less habitable than Mars, without also stuffing the rest of the solar system.

      Consider: to get a colony onto Luna or Mars, we're going to have to create a fairly reliable space shipping network. It won't be a case of "one launch, one ship, one colony, no followups". Apollo took more than 10 ships just to put boots on the ground. Soyuz/Progress/Shuttle/Mir/ISS have done multiple service flights per year just to replace consumables. Any longer-term space habitation program will grow out of these existing initiatives, and will require creating a space transport infrastructure which will most likely remain once the colony is self-sufficient. (Bear in mind that achieving true self-sufficiency may be a matter of centuries, not decades; even if Mars Base Alpha can grow its own water and oxygen like ISS currently can't, there'll still be skills and resources like doctors, engineers, replacement seeds, trace minerals, etc which require special flights. Even Earth city-states never became completely isolated from trade.)

      Also consider: the energy requirements for regular, reliable space shipping are similar to that required for city-busting weapons. If you can launch a chemical rocket into orbit, you can launch an ICBM to bomb Moscow or Washington (and in fact, in our history, the ICBMs were easier and came first). If you can put lots of cheap fusion drives on commercial rockets, you can probably smuggle lots of cheap fusion devices into office buildings. If you can divert asteroids for mining, you can also divert asteroids to smash Earth cities. So realistically, space shipping will require space policing and the extension across the solar system of (possibly fairly draconian) state monitoring and control of reactor fuel and drive flares - just like our current space traffic control has grown out of NORAD's missile monitoring. And space is lots of empty vacuum, very hard to hide things in, very easy to detect signals from a distance. Habitats will also (at least initially) be very fragile, very exposed to terrorism, and very aware of the delicate social balance needed for survival. So don't expect space to be a big wild west of freedom - expect the opposite, a tiny well-lit, pressurised, glasshouse filled with lots of big rocks and many very nervous people with guns watching everything.

      Also consider: the energy requirements for making Earth less habitable than, say, Mars already is, are absolutely stupendous. A simple nuclear war with every bomb we have wouldn't do it. Mars is bathed in radiation as it is; Jupiter's moons have far more; Venus is a hell of boiling sulphuric acid CO2 gas; Luna will just straight-up kill you with vacuum if you get a tear in your suit, and we don't even know how toxic or carconigenic moon dust might be to breathe (tiny nano-chunks of harsh dust, think asbestos). Global warming? Not a chance it could compare. If all the ocean levels on Earth rose ten metres, we'd still be far better off than Mars with its no oceans; at a pinch we could build undersea habitats using a tenth of the technology we'd need to even start looking at Mars. Boil Earth dry, irradiate it to hell, it's still better than Mercury. So u

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    26. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by jd · · Score: 1

      That is true and that would reduce the costs somewhat. I would be interested in actually seeing real numbers put to the variables and an actual equation drawn up for what would be the break-even point per voyage in terms of mass carried and volume carried. (More mass = more fuel for accelerating and decelerating, more volume = more heat-shielding needed and more superstructure to handle off-center forces.)

      Since the density of various substances is known, you can then determine what substances can stay within bounds of what is profitable given both these constraints.

      If the difficulties aren't hard-wired into the equation, but are values you can plug in, you can then adapt the equation as technology improves and also run estimates on what variables are the most cost-effective to tweak that would also make a big difference to space mining.

      Such an equation probably exists somewhere in the halls of various space agencies, but I haven't the foggiest what it is. But that equation should be what guides the agencies and the private ventures if space mining is to be a serious proposition at any time.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    27. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by siriuskase · · Score: 1

      Ship eggs, not sleeping bodies. Just a few awake humans to "babysit" the eggs and the babies born to replace the babysitters as they die out. By shipping eggs and embryos, we can pack a much more diverse potential population in a tin can.

      --
      If you must moderate, please moderate as irrelevent, not something bad, because I'm sure someone will find this interest
    28. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There isn't even a scientific reason to justify the cost at this point.

      In the long run, having our eggs in more than one basket would be nice. At the moment, humans are stored RAID 0 here on Earth.

      I'm reporting you to the bureau of bad analogies. I was going to explain why, but there's too many things wrong with comparing human colonization to RAID modes in general, and this comparison in particular (for one, RAID 0 is MORE risky than a single drive).

    29. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by assertation · · Score: 1

      Really?

      Would those precious minerals be precious enough to compensate for the cost of moving TONS of it off of a planet with gravity (with today's technology no less ), putting it on a trip for over a year and then somehow getting it to land on Earth without turning it into a planet killing meteor?

      Not to mention paying for the technology to keep workers on Mars, etc.

      A more attractive looking investment would be some kind of new recycling or conservation technology.

    30. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When I saw the mention of 'Luna', I had a hunch you were one of those stuck-up assholes who refuse to call it by it's regular name. I predicted that somewhere along the post, you would toss in 'Sol' as well, instead of calling it... y'know... THE FUCKING SUN. Indeed, I called it.

      Please stop using terminology like that. I pretty much entirely stop giving a shit about what you have to say when you actively try to sound more sophisticated by using scientific terms that have absolutely zero value in today's society. I imagine I'm not the only one.

      Why didn't you use the Latin form of earth, Terra? Because y'know... everyone fucking speaks latin in common, everyday conversation. Not like it's a dead language or anything.

    31. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by yog · · Score: 1

      You raise some interesting points. I would merely respond that only super-power alliances (not even just one super-power) can currently embark on missions of this scale--a space station, a station on Mars, an asteroid mining facility.

      For the economies of scale to kick in, we must first spend trillions of dollars building ever more efficient and economical heavy lift technologies, orbital facilities, space-only craft, complete radiation shielding, 99.999% reliable space suits, oxygen-recycling, centrifugal gravity to prevent bone decay, on and on.

      The United States no longer has the trillions (in equivalent 1960s pre-devalued, gold-based dollars) to throw at an Apollo-scale project. We had to borrow money just to overthrow Saddam Hussein and take out the Taliban. We'll have to borrow money just to meet our current entitlement obligations, and when 90 million Baby Boomers retire and expect to receive their Social Security... well, I hope they have their 401K's in good shape.

      China is a rising super-power but they can't do this on their own, either. If their economy keeps growing at 8-10% per year for twenty years, they can of course buy the expertise they need from unemployed American and Russian space experts, and ultimately they will probably get part of the way there, but I doubt they can go it alone even with foreign experts helping.

      This is a global effort. The colonization of Mars would require pooled resources on a scale we have never achieved. The U.S. with its vast expertise, China with its wealth and cheap labor, Russia with its engineering, and the Europeans with some combination of expertise and wealth and engineering would be able to do this thing, but it would be awesomely complex. But it would be nice to have a shared goal that transcends petty national priorities.

      Technological developments should not be discounted, either. Just because we don't yet have sustainable fusion power doesn't mean we never will. We're one or two breakthroughs away from something workable. It would still be a 100 billion dollar machine, which would prevent it from being used for nefarious purposes as you have described, unless the Chinese conceive the (ill-advised) notion to push an asteroid onto the Americans, or vice versa. (Said effort would result in a mass extinction event and probably humans would cease to exist, or at least they would lose their technological base and revert to hunter gatherers; least case scenario, the asteroid would only damage one country, but it would probably lead to World War III which would cause nuclear winter and so forth. Asteroids as weapons--just say no.)

      --
      it's = "it is"; its = possessive. E.g., it's flapping its wings.
    32. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Princeofcups · · Score: 3, Interesting

      You will not have large scale colonization and exploration of space - for economic or survival purposes - without overcoming significant swaths of our current understanding of simple physics.

      The actual problem is our ridiculous understanding of economics. So we cannot go to mars because a select group of wealthy and powerful will not get more wealthy and more powerful? That is pretty much what our economics is all about. No, humanity can do these things because they are great to do. In terms of available resources, that is, materials, manpower, and knowledge, we have more than we need to put a permanent habitat on Mars without any significant impact to the workings of humanity, except for the positive. Let's just fucking do it.

      --
      The only thing worse than a Democrat is a Republican.
    33. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by geckipede · · Score: 1

      You're being careful to say that you know it's possible to put people on mars, but you seem to be arguing that it's fundamentally impossible for them to stay there for the long terms. You seem to be suggesting that faster than light magic is more likely than us figuring out how to manufacture greenhouses on mars. Do you really believe that closed cycle life support is so massively difficult a task that finding new physics and building the starship enterprise is a better hope?

      Yes, mars sucks if you have to go out on it without protection, and yes setting up a self sustaining colony would be difficult, dangerous and very expensive. I'm not suggesting that we do it all right this instant. But everything that is necessary for human life could be manufactured on mars, and the tools to maintain that capability could be built there too. The more manufacturing centres you set up, and the more diversity there is among them, the more robust it becomes - tools existing to repair or rebuild other tools, exactly the same way we maintain stuff over here on earth. I am well aware that it would represent a really vast quantity of machinery to achieve all this, but I still think it can be done.

      Again, I'm not saying we do this anytime soon! In the short term we do need to figure out how to live on just one planet, but over the course of a century or more it makes sense to start work on a permanant human settlement somewhere off earth.

    34. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by phorm · · Score: 1

      unobtainium :-)

    35. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Kjella · · Score: 1

      I doubt we'll colonize the galaxy with generational ships. More likely we'll send a probe that will build DNA from scratch using sequences stored in the computer, letting them grow in an artificial womb and raise the first generation of settlers with robots. Building a bacterial genome from a sequence stored in a computer has already actually been done. We've successfully done tests of fertilization in artificial wombs terminated after six days and we've saved babies born after 22 weeks, closing that gap is only a matter of will and moderate research in creating an artificial umbilical cord. Being raised by robots may cause psychological damage but there have been much worse hellholes to grow up in. They'll survive to raise another generation the old fashioned way.

      Not so cozy but no generations are trapped in space and if the probe fails before landing or fails in any way to build or power the planned habitat or surface conditions are not as predicted it can abort - no lives will be lost. Compared to a generational ship it'll also be much smaller and simpler in design and can handle acceleration and radiation much easier. Combined with a momentum limited Orion starship powered by fusion bombs you should be able to get the travel time down to a few centuries. So far the Voyager I has operated for 34 years using plutonium with a half-life of 87 years, which is stable and easily predictable and there's probably other longer lasting isotopes we could use. If CPUs can last that long I don't know, but I don't really see why not as long as they're radiation hardened and operated at very modest speeds and voltages.

      Yes, it's still sci-fi but it's not warp drive "pie in the sky" sci-fi. If the search for exoplanets should come up with a candidate for a true parallel earth within a "reasonable" distance from earth - I'd say max 50 ly since you're maxing out around 0.1c so 50 ly = 500 years then it's doable with an Apollo+ size program. Of course then we're also down to <2000 candidate stars and only 62 G class stars like our own. Beyond that, well light speed is kind of limiting here, with anti-matter drives we could possibly do up to 400 ly. But like the Milky Way is 100,000+ light years across and that means 100,000+ years with our current understanding of physics. We might be able to do a short interstellar hop with a lot of patience, but we're not colonizing the galaxy.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    36. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by cavreader · · Score: 2

      "because a select group of wealthy and powerful will not get more wealthy and more powerful" There is an abundance of wealth to be made in a project like this. The same type of money weapon system development generates today. The problem is whether the government can actually commit the resources needed for a project like this in the political climate.
      The US citizens are already demanding reducing and out right cancelling any foreign aid and the Democrats, Republicans, and Libertarians are are ready to support this demand. After all humanitarian aid does not create a lot of wealth and the US weapons system manufactures can still make plenty of money selling their products to foreign countries.
      Personally I think NASA should concentrate on building a permanent base on the moon first so they can test the machinery and processes required to make a habitat man could survive in. Once all the kinks get ironed out they can then do the Mars project.

    37. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by tragedy · · Score: 1

      If Mars were made of solid gold, the price of gold would probably already be less than one tenth of what it is now, even without any way to go and get it. The price of gold is incredibly unstable and is based largely on perception. If Mars were made of gold, and the cost of returning a kilogram of gold to earth dropped below the current price of gold per kilogram (about $52,000), then the price of gold would have dropped to well below that before the shipment even arrived back on Earth. Ok, actually, there would be a period during which "martian gold" would sell at a huge premium just for novelty reasons, but that would wear off.

      The problem is, you're thinking along the lines of basing space mining entirely on earth. Send out missions to deliver mining equipment and return spacecraft, fill the spacecraft, send out a resupply mission, etc. With some high value by mass ore whose value isn't over-inflated by market forces, found in high concentrations, that model might even be able to work by a slim margin. Realistically though, it probably won't. If we could bootstrap both mining and manufacturing in space, however, it might be a different story. Refined materials and even manufactured goods could be sent to Earth using an infrastructure that's almost entirely spacebound. The question becomes whether sustainable growth of an industrial base in space is possible or not. If it's absolutely impossible, I don't think anyone has ever delivered any convincing argument for why it is. If it isn't impossible, then what good reasons are there _not_ to do it?

    38. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Americano · · Score: 1

      . Do you really believe that closed cycle life support is so massively difficult a task that finding new physics and building the starship enterprise is a better hope?

      Of course we *can* do it. The point is, there is absolutely nothing of value to be gained by doing so. The energy and financial commitment required to support even a SMALL outpost of half a dozen people on Mars "permanently" is ridiculously prohibitive. What would be the point of doing so?

      In answer to this, I hear two main themes:

      1) "Then we won't be putting all our eggs in one basket!" -- 6 people on Mars with an 8-month-long lifeline back to earth is not a hedge against species extinction. If you want self-sustaining colonies, you need thousands of people at a minimum. Then think about how much material, energy, and simple living space will be required to house those people, and ask yourself whether or not the hundreds of trillions of dollars it would require to build that infrastructure on Mars might be better spent here on earth. And even if we manage to jump off to Mars... we're still tied to a single star, and incredibly constrained by our reliance on external supplies, unless you think that a thousand people on Mars would survive happily without constant resupply and communication back to earth.

      2) "Because there are resources we could exploit there that aren't available on Earth!" -- Like what? What magical element is in such abundant supply on Mars that it is cost-effective to build an extraction operation millions of miles away, and establish months-long supply routes which will ship that material back to earth for processing? Which materials, specifically? Give me your business case, or shut up about moon mining.

      So yes, I think that basically "finding new physics and building the starship enterprise" - as far-fetched as it is to consider - is our better hope. Or, realistically, understanding that this planet is it for us, and if we can't make it work here, we won't magically make it work somewhere else, and devoting our time and energy to solving real problems here on earth, rather than imaginary problems 4 million years down the road.

    39. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by whereiswaldo · · Score: 1

      Mars is fundamentally inhospitable to human life. The rest of our solar system is fundamentally inhospitable to human life. This fairytale notion that we're going to magically whisk ourselves away to another planet, star system, galaxy, etc. and live there is just that: a fairytale notion.

      I've said it before but we should first set our sights on propagating life to another planet. Even if we can only get bacteria to live on Mars or some other planet, it's a start. We'll learn from that relatively cheaply and become more prepared for human inhabitation when that time comes. Plus, it's something we can do right now. Let evolution take care of the rest, if that's all we could accomplish before Earth's life is extinguished.

    40. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by the+biologist · · Score: 1

      I prefer the idea of a Venusian solar shield. That or transfer of Venusian atmosphere to Mars in order to get two usable planets.

      Both are long term projects, but similar in scale to your proposal.

    41. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by theshowmecanuck · · Score: 1

      Find precious metals on Mars The base will build itself with corporate sponsorship. Problem solved.

      Nope. There's no indigenous tribes to exploit.

      --
      -- I ignore anonymous replies to my comments and postings.
    42. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Venus is not particularly inhospitable, if you stay high in the atmosphere; there's a region with temperature and pressure comparable to Earth's surface, where an air-filled balloon has sufficient lifting capacity to make floating habitats feasible.

      Of course, natural resources to sustain such a colony are on the inhospitable surface, but it's just barely conceivable a few decades worth of tech could make robotic mining and industry (with most repairs done by telepresence) an option, and combined with a few decades of population growth, etc. on Earth, Venus could be settled by a few hundred uber-rich (either full-time or as a "summer home", and enough contracted workers to keep it running.

    43. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by theshowmecanuck · · Score: 1

      Uhhhhh... No. Oil requires that there was zooplankton and algae a long time ago. Coal was formed from vegetation. Here are some pictures for you.

      --
      -- I ignore anonymous replies to my comments and postings.
    44. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by toddestan · · Score: 2

      Well, if you're going to allow faster than light travel, you might as well allow for a power source that can accelerate a ship for extended periods of time. If you can build a ship that can accelerate at a comfortable 10 m/s/s (or about one g) for long periods of time, you can go just about anywhere. Such a ship could travel to the Andromeda Galaxy, and you could even live to see it (the journey would take about 30 years or so ship time). Problem is that the energy costs are absolutely enormous - if you had a 100% efficient way to convert mass to energy (aka Mr. Fusion) and 100% efficient engines you're talking solar systems worth of mass to send an Apollo capsule. But I can still dream.

    45. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

      We are not going to construct colonies - either floating, or planet-bound, that are of sufficient scale & size to provide any hedge against extinction. The materials, the cost, the risk, and the energy requirements are simply too high.

      This is incorrect. The energy cost to reach Earth orbit is about what potatoes cost where I live, weight for weight ($1/kg). Launch costs are much higher than that right now because we are doing it wrong, but that will not be true forever.

      Once you deliver robotic mining and extraction machines to orbit, you can bootstrap the infrastructure for colonies by mining near Earth asteroids. So you only have to send the first set of equipment once. After that they copy themselves, with perhaps 1-2% of hard to make parts shipped from Earth.

      Until the first colony is done, you only send the minimum amount of construction crew, and the maximum amount of robots controlled from Earth. You build that first colony in Earth orbit close enough that speed of light delay does not mess up control from the ground. After the first colony is built, you build more of them progressively further out.

    46. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by mark-t · · Score: 1

      It would, I think, have to have substantial deposits of something that does not exist on earth and we do not know how to manufacture.

      A naturally existing room-temperature superconductive alloy, for example.

      Not that I'm saying that's what exists on Mars... but I'd be willing to bet that if something like that was discovered there, there'd be a heckuva lot of robot mining missions happening, and within a decade or so, there'd probably even be a permanent colony there.

    47. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Raenex · · Score: 1

      A few decades ago, nuclear war seemed like the manifestation of that. We got past that hurdle with civilisation intact.

      Actually, we didn't. Sure, the Cold War has mostly ended, but we still have the missiles poised and ready.

      How many more inventions like that will there be? How many times can we pass the test?

      There's also the threat of something like a superflu.

    48. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by selven · · Score: 1

      > No, humanity can do these things because they are great to do.

      And humanity can also build giant pyramids because they are great to do. Or we can build ghost towns. Or give every home in the Himalayas a high-speed DSL internet connection. But we don't, because we have limited resources. And that's the point of the free market. In a free market, things are done because they meet people's needs, not because bureaucrat decides to implement his childlike imagination. And it doesn't look like people are interested enough in a base on Mars to pay for one.

    49. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I guess any major civilization-threatening disaster on Earth would not make it more inhospitable to life then even the whichever second best planet/moon is in our Solar system. Therefore, if we need a shelter for extremely rainy Earth day, we may as well build one right there, much easier, much cheaper and on a much larger scale.

    50. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by pantaril · · Score: 1

      For most cases it indeed doesn't make economic sense to take resources from space back to earth.

      But you are forgetting the bigger picture. The ultimate goal of space program is to get people to other planets (so if earth goes kaboom in the future, humanity survives) and for that huge amount of material must be transported out of earth gravity well. This is very expensive. But imagine if we build station on moon and mine some usefull mineralsh here. Now we don't have to drag all the material from the earth, we can take some from the moon which has much lower gravity. It makes economic sense now, doesn't it?

    51. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      And that's the point of the free market. In a free market, things are done because they meet people's needs

      No, the point of a free market is to persuade people to buy shit they don't need at all in order to maximise the profits of large corporations. Any other description is wishful thinking by people who think they still live in the Seventeenth Century.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    52. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      It is a bad idea for humanity to be limited to one planet if it wants to survive long term. Life on earth has already been devastated by an asteroid strike at least once, not to mention ice ages and other potential disasters. Assuming we don't break it ourselves first of course.

      We can afford to go, if we make it a one way trip. Living there indefinitely instead of trying to return is the key, and within 20 or 30 years return will become possible if anyone still wants it.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    53. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Americano · · Score: 1

      So we cannot go to mars because a select group of wealthy and powerful will not get more wealthy and more powerful?

      So your solution to avoid this is to take a huge chunk of money and power, and hand it to a select group of already-wealthy and already-powerful technocrats? Because last time I checked, there was a lot of whining about how the private sector won't do it because there's no profit, so the only way to do it is via government edict, right? You realize that the government taking billions of dollars from you, me and everybody else to buy spaceships and other high-tech colonization gear is nothing but a gigantic giveaway to private industry, don't you?

      Let's be clear here: YOU will not colonize Mars. There is no science they can't do cheaper & easier in earth orbit or via unmanned exploration that will benefit YOU at all. YOU will see no benefit, other than some sort of odd childish satisfaction from seeing some sort of science-fiction fantasy come true. So what you are arguing for is a giant giveaway to defense contractors and tech firms, making a "select group of wealthy and powerful more wealthy and more powerful," and you're complaining that *I* have the limited understanding of the situation?

    54. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Americano · · Score: 1

      That's all very interesting, and I'm sure you're very proud of yourself for being so anti-free-market in public, but you realize that capitalism and the free market, despite it's shortcomings, have lifted more people out of poverty and improved the living conditions of more people around the world than any other competing economic system in history, right?

    55. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      Venus could be settled by a few hundred uber-rich

      Uber-stupid, more like. Seriously, I wouldn't want to live in a sealed hot air balloon poised above a poisonous planet even if you paid me.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    56. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Americano · · Score: 1

      No, it is a bad idea for humanity to pretend it has other realistic options if it wants to survive long term, and get down to the business of learning to coexist peacefully and sustainably here on earth with one another.

      There are no other planets which are hospitable to human life in our own solar system. You could make a little base on Mars, and a dozen or so people could live there indefinitely, with supply lines reaching back to earth, constant communication, and ridiculously high energy requirements to support their efforts. That does not make Mars a useful hedge against extinction. If you want that, you *need* a planet capable of (naturally) supporting human life - similar atmosphere, similar temperature ranges, similar chemical makeup. Which means... that's right, you need to look at traveling to another star.

      The *closest* star to us is, at speeds typical of current space travel, anywhere from 20,000 to 80,000 years away. At the short end, that's significantly longer than recorded human history, and at the long end, you're halfway back to the emergence of modern homo sapiens as a distinct species. That's the *closest* star, with no guarantees that there's any planet capable of supporting human life in any meaningful way at the far end.

      We can fire a can full of humans off into space, but the parameters for such a mission - the distances, life support requirements, multi-generational nature of the trip, and the simple evolutionary pressures they'd face along the way would mean that they:

      1) Almost certainly would never arrive alive - we can't make a goddamned Honda that'll last 20 years without a huge investment in time & money to maintain it, but we're magically going to make the most intricate "ark" ever conceived, and keep it functioning properly for tens of thousands of years with virtually no maintenance? Parts wear out and break down - how will the ship carry enough spares for the duration of the trip? Where will they get materials & appropriate machinery to produce their own? Who will have the expertise to create a new one? A computer, you say? Great, who's going to fix the computer when it breaks?

      2) If they did arrive, they would almost certainly not be "human" in any sense of the word as we knew it on their launch date; Evolutionary changes and mutations would certainly be visible after that much time in a hostile environment, and in that closed a gene pool.

      3) It would be a one-way trip with no meaningful communication back to earth, ever, meaning we'd never even know if the mission was successful; What would be the point of pretending that we "prevented extinction of the species" by blindly firing some ships off into space, at a time, material, and energy cost that would beggar most industrialized civilizations on the planet today?

      Once again, the argument of large scale colonization and exploration is moot unless there is a significant revolution in our understanding of basic physics, biology, and energy generation. If you want to put a little base on Mars for the science, make your case. Don't pretend it's anything but that - a dozen people completely dependent on earth for resupply is not a hedge against a big old asteroid hitting earth. They'll die shortly after earth is wiped out, probably to mechanical failure, or if they're really good, to starvation or suffocation when their oxygen and food run out.

    57. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Americano · · Score: 2

      Really? What magical method is going to achieve a $1/kg launch cost?

      Because Elon Musk, who sort of has a vested interest in making space commercially viable, has suggested that he believes he can drive launch costs for LEO down to $500/pound (that's $1100 / kg) over time. (source).

      Where's the remaining $1099 going in your $1/kg scenario?

      And pray tell, how much will it cost to launch even the most bare-minimum mining equipment, smelting equipment, foundry & metalworking equipment, and basically one of every other type of industrial machine we'll ever need up into space, set them up, and control them for the years they'd need to operate? And where, exactly, are they going to mine? Not a lot of planets or asteroids in Low Earth Orbit last time I checked.

    58. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      You DO understand, of course, that is pretty much how the New World was found and developed, right?

      Certainly, they were governments backing many (but not all of) these explorers, but by and large their motives were entirely commercial.

      Now, governments pretty much just impede whatever progress they can when they're not too preoccupied providing bread and circuses for the ignorant masses.

      There's nothing stopping a large organisation with an awful lot of money sending a rocket and setting up a colony to Mars now. How are "the givernment" going to stop them?

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    59. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      The question becomes whether sustainable growth of an industrial base in space is possible or not. If it's absolutely impossible, I don't think anyone has ever delivered any convincing argument for why it is. If it isn't impossible, then what good reasons are there _not_ to do it?

      Just because something isn't absolutely impossible doesn't mean it's commercially viable. I am fairly sure that anyone even vaguely capable of doing this has done some cashflow forecasts and decided it's too unprofitable on any sensible timescale. You can't factor in things like someone suddenly inventing a way to transport matter instantaneously from Mars to Earth in fifty years time..And it also seems close to impossible that we will find any cool alien technology on Mars.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    60. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by tragedy · · Score: 1

      The thing is, if it isn't absolutely impossible, then there's a 100% growth opportunity within that niche. Overall though, I do think that governments are a basic requirement for getting this done since corporations are too risk averse.

    61. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      Causing some rocks and ice in space to hit a planet is somewhat easier then a large scale engineering process requiring refined resources.

    62. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by Americano · · Score: 1

      So here's the question:

      1) If we can't go there directly and exploit material wealth there (thus voiding the "we might need the resources!" argument);
      and
      2) If we're hoping that some sort of computerized droid army will somehow magically be able to breed and raise humans from an "Instant Human Mix" (Just add water and bake!) at the far end (the impracticality and extremely unlikely nature of this event is a huge argument against the "it's a hedge against species extinction!" argument);
      and
      3) We find a planet that's similar enough to ours at the far end to support earth life natively (thus making the entire premise possible);

      What gives us the right to - essentially - infect it? If it's capable of supporting life, it's likely that there already *is* life on that planet, of some form. You don't think a bunch of aggressive, hungry humans showing up might tend to disrupt whatever sort of ecology has already evolved? On the one hand, we're asked to accept on faith that "the universe is huge, of course there are earth-like exoplanets out there!" But on the other hand, we're asked to accept on faith that the universe is devoid of sentient life besides ourselves, and that no other life form would react badly to what is, in essence, an invasion and occupation by a foreign species? I'm curious what twists and turns of illogic allow the people arguing for colonization to hold these types of beliefs. It's precisely this sort of dissonance that leads me to believe the "let's colonize space" crowd has watched FAR too much Firefly & Star Trek, and done FAR too little rational thinking about the matter.

    63. Re:Find precious metals on Mars by fervus · · Score: 1

      The problem with getting precious metals/stones from outside of our planet is that the price of those metals would crumble as more of them hit the markets - aka no more "precious". What is needed is for us to find some valuable compound, in large quantities that we can consume or build stuff with, so that we would always require more. However, given our recent state of development, any technology using such a precious material will not probably be long lived (long = more than 100 years) and building a Mars base for that might still not be productive given the costs. Therefore, I think the only reason for us going to Mars is and will remain - "Because we can" (and do some research). If this research can provide us with further economical reasons, then great! If not, I'm afraid missions to Mars will have the same frequencies as the ones on the Moon. Colonization for the sake of colonization is probably not going to happen. We need a real reason to leave Earth in order for us to do that.

  3. not soil by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Its not soil, it is regolith.

    1. Re:not soil by camperdave · · Score: 4, Informative

      Its not soil, it is regolith.

      We're not entirely sure about that yet. The difference between soil and regolith is that soil has active bacteria and organic material suspended among the ground up rock particles. We've taken a few samples that show no organic material, but the methodology behind the testing and the results is in dispute.

      Bear in mind, though, that except in geology papers, regolith and soil are synonyms.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    2. Re:not soil by Xtifr · · Score: 2

      Bear in mind, though, that except in geology papers, regolith and soil are synonyms.

      You mean: aside from places where the term regolith appears, regolith and soil are synonyms. That means the same as what you said, but is less misleading. :)

    3. Re:not soil by tragedy · · Score: 2

      Don't forget oxygen. Soil on earth has had very prolonged exposure to free oxygen. Not so in a lot of other places. Oxygen is, obviously, very reactive. That means that the chemistry of terrestrial and non-terrestrial soils might have a lot of differences. The non-terrestrial soils might be full of all kinds of toxins that you wouldn't find in terrestrial soils, not to mention that, without the same erosion and corrosion found on Earth, the actual particles are going to be a lot sharper and more abrasive. Of course, it might turn out that it only takes a relatively short exposure to oxygen, soil bacteria, worms, etc. before those aren't issues any more. At the moment, we need to be able to get into a position to actually experiment.

  4. Mars.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It's a cool thought, but we haven't even built a base on the Moon yet, or sent people to Mars. (although I guess you could send modules, and robots to Mars first to get things put together before they send people).

    I rememeber in Middle School (Jr High) I had a science teacher that made an assignment where we would all have to design a "feasable" base design for mars. Obviously at that young age we didn't go through the mass complexities that really exists, but he did expect us to do a fair amount of research on Mars, and what plan what kinds of things would be necessary for survival, how you could make the base as self sustainable as possable, where on the planet would be best (and why we thought so) etc.

    I've never forgotten that lesson, it was actually one where a teacher expected growth of thinking skills, not just a rehashing of materials from a text book...

    1. Re:Mars.. by hedwards · · Score: 1

      The point is that in order to go we'd have to either have someplace for the astronauts to stay before their return visit or we'd have to make it a suicide mission. There isn't really much middle ground to be had, if there aren't plans for a return it's unlikely that there will be a return.

    2. Re:Mars.. by jd · · Score: 1

      The moon would be much harder than Mars. No significant water, the dust is microscopic and razor sharp, there's no cave networks for shielding, etc. All the arguments Carl Sagan mentions in his novel "Contact" that favoured Mars over the moon for construction work also apply.

      One thing about complexities is that you can always stepwise-refine a design that you already have, but you can't ever improve on a design you never had.

      I taught for a year a range of subjects using a similar method to the one your teacher used. It's impressive how much more you can convey when the kids discover the whys of things. For starters, there's much less talk of "what good is this?" when examining something real from the past or something that could be real in the future. Since the things you see are going to be the things you consider useful, you've answered your own question without the bother of asking it.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    3. Re:Mars.. by viperidaenz · · Score: 1

      The moon as partial protection from solar wind by earths magnetic field, no 400mph winds, no dust storms...

  5. I hope they learned something from Apollo 18 by swb · · Score: 4, Funny

    That those fucking rocks are really spiders!!

    1. Re:I hope they learned something from Apollo 18 by alphatel · · Score: 5, Funny

      It calls itself a horta.

      --
      When the foot seeks the place of the head, the line is crossed. Know your place. Keep your place. Be a shoe.
    2. Re:I hope they learned something from Apollo 18 by ArcherB · · Score: 1

      It calls itself a horta.

      Dammit Jim! I'm a doctor not a brick layer!

      --
      There is no "I disagree" mod for a reason. Flamebait, Troll, and Overrated are not substitutes.
    3. Re:I hope they learned something from Apollo 18 by jd · · Score: 1

      No problem. The Hasselhoff Crabs will destroy them.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  6. Cryosleep by yog · · Score: 1, Interesting

    The obvious and simple solution is cryo-sleep. Just ship some capsules along with a rudimentary habitat, and be prepared to sleep most of the time away. The Mars explorers can't realistically bring 18 months' worth of food and oxygen and medical supplies and whatever else--tampons, contact lenses, etc. So just send a month's supply of food, and they can sleep for 17 months until the return vessel arrives.

    Cooling the human body to a near-death state has been demonstrated--actually, it has happened many times when people fall into icy water and are revived many minutes later (google extreme hypothermia).

    Another concept might be to simply upload the astronaut's neural net into a very high capacity computer. Once this task is accomplished, the computer can continue to operate a space vessel and otherwise completely imitate a human being's decisionmaking and responses. One possible catch is that the computer, unlike an organic brain, lacks any stimulus from hormonal secretions, adrenaline, etc. This kind of stimulus would have to be simulated. The astronauts themselves would remain on Earth, monitoring the flight. Any mistakes or accidents would be blamed on the individual whose brain had been uploaded, obviously.

    Lastly is the idea of telecommuting (similar to the second idea expounded above). A completely automated vessel with remote controls would allow a team of astronauts to "work from home". Unlike an actual trip into space, this virtual exploration would be much safer. In fact, the astronauts' main concern would be cutting themselves while slicing a bagel in the kitchen--the number one injury in the home. Nasa would probably want to ban bagels during this time, or maybe send them pre-sliced versions.

    In summary, there are quite a few workarounds for this problem and I look forward to a lively discussion!

    --
    it's = "it is"; its = possessive. E.g., it's flapping its wings.
    1. Re:Cryosleep by hawguy · · Score: 3, Informative

      The obvious and simple solution is cryo-sleep. Just ship some capsules along with a rudimentary habitat, and be prepared to sleep most of the time away. The Mars explorers can't realistically bring 18 months' worth of food and oxygen and medical supplies and whatever else--tampons, contact lenses, etc. So just send a month's supply of food, and they can sleep for 17 months until the return vessel arrives.

      I think that compared to the amount of fuel and supplies they're going to have to carry to travel to mars, build a habitat and survive for months (years?) on Mars' surface, supplying them with food on the trip there is not going to be a big deal. The ISS goes through around 3 tons of food per person per year.

      Cooling the human body to a near-death state has been demonstrated--actually, it has happened many times when people fall into icy water and are revived many minutes later (google extreme hypothermia).

      But waking them up again without a team of doctors to assist is rare.

      Another concept might be to simply upload the astronaut's neural net into a very high capacity computer. Once this task is accomplished, the computer can continue to operate a space vessel and otherwise completely imitate a human being's decisionmaking and responses. One possible catch is that the computer, unlike an organic brain, lacks any stimulus from hormonal secretions, adrenaline, etc. This kind of stimulus would have to be simulated. The astronauts themselves would remain on Earth, monitoring the flight. Any mistakes or accidents would be blamed on the individual whose brain had been uploaded, obviously.

      How would you do this? Dissect a live astronaut's brain cell by cell to determine each neural connection?

      Lastly is the idea of telecommuting (similar to the second idea expounded above). A completely automated vessel with remote controls would allow a team of astronauts to "work from home". Unlike an actual trip into space, this virtual exploration would be much safer.

      The 6 minute to 45 minute round trip communications lag makes this difficult (but not impossible as demonstrated by the mars rovers).

      I think a hybrid of your last two approaches is better than sending men right now - send smart robots to build a base, they can be largely autonomous, and when they need help, they await communications from earth.

      Or, maybe instead of sending a large team of men to live on the surface and build a habitat, send a large team of drone robots controlled from orbit by a small team of humans.

    2. Re:Cryosleep by msobkow · · Score: 2

      Cryosleep might be needed if we're ever to engage in interstellar travel in the future, but the problem with a Mars mission is not that the astronauts are going to age into old farts before they get there: it's surviving once they DO get there.

      --
      I do not fail; I succeed at finding out what does not work.
    3. Re:Cryosleep by lennier · · Score: 1

      Another concept might be to simply upload the astronaut's neural net into a very high capacity computer.

      Indeed, since researchers have already started doing this with cat neurons, there's already a software base to work from, so to speed the work we could combine astronaut brains with the existing IBM cat brain simulation.

      Also, for long duration space flights, China has already claimed that females are better than males. So we should make sure to use female astronauts for the baseline neural scans.

      We should probably then provide robot humanoid bodies for the simulations in case they need to perform maintenance tasks on any space hardware components assembled by baseline humans on Earth.

      Our human representatives to the stars will therefore most likely be robot space catgirls. It's scientific!

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    4. Re:Cryosleep by tragedy · · Score: 1

      Or how about launching multiple redundant craft carrying supplies and land them separately? Then you don't need all those technologies that haven't been invented yet to work around the supply non-problem you mentioned.

    5. Re:Cryosleep by tragedy · · Score: 1

      I'm curious about that 3 tons of food per astronaut per year figure. That's over 8 kilograms of food per person, per day, so clearly that doesn't include just food, but is probably food plus water, plus clothing, plus cleaning and medical supplies, etc. In other words, all supplies required to maintain personnel rather than other equipment and experiments. What I'm curious about is where you get that figure, and does it have a breakdown? Does it include supplies for providing oxygen as well, or is that separate. I'm actually very curious about what things are on the list of supplies, but I've never found a good breakdown before. It seems like they think that no-one would be interested, or they treat it as secret information.

    6. Re:Cryosleep by the+biologist · · Score: 1

      The reason people die from extreme cold is generally cardiac arrest. Certain ion transporters are required for maintaining proper ionic balance in the blood. These transporters fail to operate at extremely low temperatures, resulting in ionic imbalance, resulting in heart attack. Medical treatments to fix this problem are being worked on by researchers in Russia.

      There may yet be some other mechanism of death after this one, before death by cryo-disruption from ice crystals.

    7. Re:Cryosleep by dbIII · · Score: 1

      The obvious and simple solution is teleportation, which we don't have, but it gets the job done a lot more quickly than cryosleep which we also don't have.
      SF has a place but the article is about using things that are possible now, so I'd say cryosleep, warp drives, Jedi knights and Kligons are a little bit offtopic.
      The telecommuting option would suck with a minimum delay of around eight minutes and a maximum delay of not working at all if the sun is in the way.

    8. Re:Cryosleep by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      Cooling the human body to a near-death state has been demonstrated--actually, it has happened many times when people fall into icy water and are revived many minutes later (google extreme hypothermia).

      I'm sure the difference between being frozen for a few minutes and seventeen months is just a trivial technicality.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    9. Re:Cryosleep by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      Our human representatives to the stars will therefore most likely be robot space catgirls. It's scientific!

      Drop the robot bit and I'm sold.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
  7. Air drop that puppy by jzarling · · Score: 2

    The NASA video shows them bringing whole hab in on 3 semi-trailers -
    Why not airdrop the major components in, and see if putting the thing up while encumbered with a suit is feasible.

    --
    It is better to be the hammer than the anvil.
    1. Re:Air drop that puppy by mvar · · Score: 2

      and do this in Antarctica where the weather conditions will be much more harsh than in the desert

    2. Re:Air drop that puppy by nwf · · Score: 1

      and do this in Antarctica where the weather conditions will be much more harsh than in the desert

      Or in Antarctica in suits pressurized to 1.5 to 2 atmospheres like the dwelling should be. That's an even better test.

      --
      I don't know, but it works for me.
    3. Re:Air drop that puppy by White+Yeti · · Score: 3, Informative

      The HDU work to-date has focused on developing processes, procedures, and some technologies you'd need to live away from Earth. The first assumption is, "We have a habitat." They're still figuring out where to put lights and bunks before building expensive hardware for tests in near-Earth space. With current Administration/NASA plans, the next step is a Lagrange point and/or asteroid. Mars (and those siting and assembly issues) will have to wait...

    4. Re:Air drop that puppy by Ihmhi · · Score: 1

      I don't think this is an oversight on NASA's part.

      I mean, would you want to take on the expense of air dropping if you don't even know if the thing is livable? First test out the practicality of the unit in an assembled state, and then figure out how to air drop it and how it can be assembled in a suit.

    5. Re:Air drop that puppy by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      Because like most things in life, finding out if it even satisfies the basic requirements is a good first step?

    6. Re:Air drop that puppy by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Exactly. A real condition would be Antarctica, though even year around artic region is doable, initially. But before sending a crew to mars or moon, we really should test at the south pole.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    7. Re:Air drop that puppy by tragedy · · Score: 1

      How would Antarctica be more comparable? Antarctica is a lot more hostile to someone operating in a spacesuit than Mars is. Sure, the temperatures on Mars can get both colder and warmer than Antarctica, but since the atmosphere is virtually non-existent compared to ours, much less insulation is required. The wind gusts you get on Mars might be able to reach very high speeds, but how do you compare high wind speeds in an almost vacuum to high wind speeds on Earth? What Martian conditions would require the environment of Antarctica to simulate?

    8. Re:Air drop that puppy by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Temps. Loss of sun for 3-6 months.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    9. Re:Air drop that puppy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I ask, sir, are you high?! Nowhere but the polar regions on Mars have "Loss of sun for 3-6 months", and nobody would send the first missions there.

    10. Re:Air drop that puppy by tragedy · · Score: 1

      Temperature is virtually meaningless in a near vacuum. The temperature of the ground might be an issue, but frozen ground can be found in a lot of places.

  8. Challenge 1: Landing by ReallyEvilCanine · · Score: 5, Interesting
    We can't fucking land more than about tonne on that planet.. Forget the time and the <50% success rate of achieving orbit and landing a probe. We could land on either Phobos or Deimos no problem. Mars has just enough atmosphere to really screw things up.

    To even consider going to Mars we first need to send at least 5 rockets full of supplies and land them literally next to each other. We also need to park another 2 or 3 in orbit to hold fuel for Mars Orbit Docking in order to dock and go home within a reasonable time frame. Aldrin's free transfer trajectory is great but unsuitable for human passage.

    Get the supplies and contingency machines in place, then think about it. But first figure out how to drop 5 tonnes safely to a very particular spot on the surface. Now do it repeatedly. Because that's what landing on Mars requires.

    1. Re:Challenge 1: Landing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      I'm sorry, this space is for space nuttery, not your sober assessment of feasibility and practical limitations.

    2. Re:Challenge 1: Landing by realisticradical · · Score: 5, Insightful

      So it sounds like there are multiple extremely difficult problems to work through. Isn't that kind of the point of this sort of thing?

    3. Re:Challenge 1: Landing by Bomazi · · Score: 1

      Please, not that again. We haven't landed more than 1 ton at a time yet but we could do it within a few years if we wanted too. There are no fundamental limitations. See for example the hypercone concept.

    4. Re:Challenge 1: Landing by Xtifr · · Score: 1

      It seems a waste to drop 5 tonnes if we don't know if it's going to be feasible to send people there to use it. Checking out how people react to this sort of isolation and limited environment is the logical first step.

    5. Re:Challenge 1: Landing by argStyopa · · Score: 1

      You don't think that perhaps the 'land 5 rocketloads of bulk supplies' mightn't provide a wonderful testbed for this?

      Granted, this IS rocket science, and it's really really hard. But considering the failure-tolerance for the habitation part, compared to the failure tolerances for the bulk-shipping piece, I'm unsurprised that they start with the hardest part.

      --
      -Styopa
    6. Re:Challenge 1: Landing by jd · · Score: 1

      I'd actually recommend more than 5. So long as the containers are crush-resistant, the failures of deorbiting aren't catastrophic. Doesn't matter if the supply rockets crash beyond the point where a radio transmitter would function or a rover could survive, they just have to be intact enough that whatever they're shipping (panels and poles for a geodesic dome, for example) retain structural integrity. That makes life a lot easier.

      I wouldn't bother putting fuel in orbit - leakage would be a problem. Much better would be to have an orbiting module capable of housing the astronauts for a day or so plus with enough fuel to dock with a rocket that wasn't planning on stopping. (Not quite free-return, but has much of the simplicity of it. And simple is always better for this sort of thing.)

      Getting the supplies to a specific point shouldn't be a huge issue -- interplanetary rockets were built to show off intercontinental ballistic missile guidance systems and Russia's guidance systems are said to be able to place rockets within a few feet of an intended target. If this is correct, then that problem is solved. So long as political barriers are not just torn down but smashed, pulverized and recycled as pot-hole filler. THAT is, I suspect, a much bigger problem. The US and Russia will never agree to trade what they regard as prized military secrets in favour of doing something useful. Especially in the current toxic climate.

      The problem with highly crushable rockets is that they can hold less. Hence the need for more rockets, if we go with that approach. The advantage is that all they need to is land, they don't need to land gently and they don't need more than a minimal braking system. (The rocket contents surviving is pointless if the rocket craters, since digging the damn thing out will take too much time.)

      The use of underground caves reduces radiation, which means that you can lob rockets at relatively nearby entrances to such systems. It would be safe enough to cross between them, which - on the surface - would be madness at best. That improves things somewhat.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    7. Re:Challenge 1: Landing by jzarling · · Score: 1

      exactly -
      And even if they do land these parts within say 50 feet of each other how are they going to move it all to put it together. Rather than that cute explorer vehicle - it will need a crane of some kind or the whole thing will need to be inflatable, and then have a catalyst that makes the walls solid.

      --
      It is better to be the hammer than the anvil.
    8. Re:Challenge 1: Landing by kermidge · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Sorry you are, eh? How valorous of you, anonymous coward.

      Which space? This thread, that part of humanity's mind-space which deals in such things, or somewhere in between?

      Where, for you, is the line 'tween nuttery and not-nuttery? Geo-stationary? Or have you decided, in your ineffable wisdom, simply that whatever now is, is OK, and that we must all lock ourselves into the stultified arena of 'this far, and no further'? Shall we leave the future to the same mentalities of those who proclaimed that Man would never fly, that transmitting pictures through the air was the fevered product of an opium dream?

      Perhaps unbeknownst to you, there are many well-qualified people working on this and related matters, things - feasible and practical - and endeavours which may clash with your mindset. Plenty of information is readily available to anyone with a jot of curiousity, to anyone, that is, but a dolt, or a knee-jerk negativist.

      Or perhaps you have your own enlightened viewpoint for matters off-planet, the right way, the one true way, which you don't care to share, but rather content yourself with dropping a turd in the punchbowl?

    9. Re:Challenge 1: Landing by khallow · · Score: 1

      It seems a waste to drop 5 tonnes if we don't know if it's going to be feasible to send people there to use it. Checking out how people react to this sort of isolation and limited environment is the logical first step.

      We already know. This would not be the first time people have been in extreme isolation and a limited environment. Now there might be a variety of relevant issues, such as vetting psychological screening procedures or adjusting crew environment for a better psychological outcome, that need to be evaluated, but this isn't a show stopper for a Mars mission.

    10. Re:Challenge 1: Landing by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Dropping 5 tonnes is not going to happen. It will have to be landed using a VTVL craft. Think Blue Origin. Think Armadillo. Think even SpaceX's grasshopper. Once they have these taking 5 tonnes to 60 miles and down, all under power, and can do it 10x or more without a re-build, then it should be capable of doing the same on mars without issues. And that will happen within 10 years here. Change the engines to methane, the design to a truck that can take a load up or down and automatically off-load it, then we have it done.

      However, I agree with you about the rest. And what you missed is that it would be more than 2 or 3 in orbit. Have to include, water, supplies, etc. Instead, it is actually better to send a crew on a one-way mission, allow them to build a base over 10 years, as well as control robotic exploration on the surface. Once we have ascertained that Mars does not harbor life that can harm earth, and we have enough of a base, we can focus on a transport vehicle using NERVA. Then if the crew wants to come back, they can.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    11. Re:Challenge 1: Landing by khallow · · Score: 1

      We can't fucking land more than about tonne on that planet..

      From the article you link:

      The technology we have today is not up to the task of safely landing anything that weighs more than a metric ton

      Just develop the technology that will land more than a metric ton on Mars. This might sound simplistic, but it's the obvious logical rebuttal to the claim "X is impossible because we can't do X unless we do Y." If we actually "Do Y", then we've shown the claim is incorrect.

      To even consider going to Mars we first need to send at least 5 rockets full of supplies and land them literally next to each other. We also need to park another 2 or 3 in orbit to hold fuel for Mars Orbit Docking in order to dock and go home within a reasonable time frame.

      Or we can just land one cargo that is five times as big (the landing of payloads larger than a ton on Mars being possible despite the claim to the contrary) and fly from the surface of Mars directly to Earth.

      Aldrin's free transfer trajectory is great but unsuitable for human passage.

      That's why Aldrin had the cycler vehicle operating in that trajectory. To protect the cargo, such as humans from the adverse affects of exposure to a space environment. So your humans don't die of vacuum exposure in ten seconds, or radiation exposure in a few days to weeks. No matter what trajectory you take, you'd still have to protect the cargo from those elements.

    12. Re:Challenge 1: Landing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Aww, somebody's gorram Firefly dreams and suo-shee Serenity wishes are getting pooh-poohed.

      The line between nuttery and non-nuttery lies in what is practically achievable without hand-waving assertions that "somehow" it will be made to work through the use of magical technology that hasn't been invented yet, and won't be invented ever without signifcant and fundamental breakthroughs in our understandings of physics, chemistry and material sciences.

      The most optimistic projections for the cost of space launches - made by none other than Elon Musk, who has a vested interest in seeing space launches become commercially viable - would still require hundreds of millions of dollars just to put something the size of the ISS into orbit. The ISS has living accomodations for... six people? Now, do the energy calculations to launch, send something that size to Mars, and then *deorbit it safely* onto the surface of Mars.

      Then add the costs of constant resupply with a supply train that stretches out over millions of miles of space & months of travel time.

      And what are we going to *do* with that base? Sit there? Do a little low-gravity science that could just as easily be done in LEO on the ISS, or on an unmanned probe off in the middle of nowhere? Mine for exotic Mars rocks that will magically make the trip worth it?

      This is why it's nuttery: you idiots go from "we can't even really figure out how to send and bring back 5 or 6 people safely and in a cost-effective manner," to "I won't buy anything with a Capasan-38 engine, those things fall right out of the sky!"

    13. Re:Challenge 1: Landing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The same can be said of life extension, but I rarely get that response when I bring it up. Why is that?

    14. Re:Challenge 1: Landing by siriuskase · · Score: 1

      Just because things must be done in a particular order on Mars doesn't mean that the R & D on earth must progress in that same sequence or in any sequence. These things are developed in parallel. Designing a comfortable biosphere and testing it for a year or two is a priority. Developing new construction techniques and tools can be done at the same time somewhere else. Air dropping heavy containers on earth is already routine. Dropping vehicles on Mars is something we are already working on. Why wait until we know how to drop the thing before we start having live tests in the desert and the antarctic. Do it all in parallel, start the most time consuming research first.

      --
      If you must moderate, please moderate as irrelevent, not something bad, because I'm sure someone will find this interest
    15. Re:Challenge 1: Landing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ta dah! Space Nuttery in a nut(ha)shell.

    16. Re:Challenge 1: Landing by kermidge · · Score: 1

      Firefly dreams? Hardly, although I note that someone got around to scoring me as flamebait. Thank you, whomever.

      Ok, practical. I posit no magical tech - that's a strawman and I should think you'd know it for such. Nor do I need to posit 'significant and fundamental' breakthroughs in anything. Perhaps some background reading may be of use.

      You're quite right, though, there are some major issues at hand. Costs are one, as you point out. Yet, major projects have been done over long time periods at great cost. Canals and cathedrals come to mind. Historically, humans have paid for what they've deemed worthwhile.

      The mechanics. Many smart people have and are working on it. Again, some reading may be useful. As an aside, I favor the use of proxies (robots) wherever reasonable, both for exploration, assay, and construction. Initially, human missions for interesting things and experience. I favor a Moon base for starters, as did the Army in '57-'59.

      Distance is irrelevant, other than expressed as delta-v, time, and consumables.

      Another couple of isssues: protection from various radiations, and long-term effects of less than g. We've got some decent base data, but no way as yet to extrapolate with high confidence.

      What will we do? I dunno. My view is that going to Mars ought to be done as a serious step towards colonization (a long-term endeavour), 'twere i done; I can think of plenty of other interesting, useful, activities of various durations.

      Perhaps, though, you've decided that since _you_ can't figure it out, no one can, thus it's automagically nuttery. So be it.

      Thanks for the reply.

    17. Re:Challenge 1: Landing by CtownNighrider · · Score: 1

      When I went to RPI for the medalist open house and one of the talks was a Q&A with a professor. He turned out to be an aero professor (which will be my major) and somebody asked about research opportunities. He gave a full answer but also mentioned that he is working with NASA on a landing system 2 or 3 generations out that would be capable of putting 60-80 tons on Mars. So they're working on it, and hopefully I am too if I end up going to RPI.

    18. Re:Challenge 1: Landing by CtownNighrider · · Score: 1

      That link didn't give any mass ranges for that to work. Any large object would need an absolutely massive cone.

    19. Re:Challenge 1: Landing by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      You're quite right, though, there are some major issues at hand. Costs are one, as you point out. Yet, major projects have been done over long time periods at great cost. Canals and cathedrals come to mind. Historically, humans have paid for what they've deemed worthwhile.

      The usual space-fanboy handwaving - oh, it's only money so let's not bother worrying about it. The situation was entirely different in the 1960s when the space race was worth it from the US's point of view as a way of bankrupting the economy of the USSR, as well as being militarily justified and therefore outside the normal profit/loss analysis.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    20. Re:Challenge 1: Landing by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      So it sounds like there are multiple extremely difficult problems to work through. Isn't that kind of the point of this sort of thing?

      The point is whether the time and money spent on solving (or trying to solve) these problems would be better spent elsewhere, surely?

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    21. Re:Challenge 1: Landing by kermidge · · Score: 1

      What hand-waving? See the GAO study asked for by Jesse Helms, for instance.

      "a way of bankrupting the economy of the USSR" You're about twenty years early on that.

      What was the military justification? We already had ICBMs and spy satellites, and were actively pursuing better ones.

  9. Why have a base above ground? by na1led · · Score: 2

    If NASA was smart, they would send robots to build a tunnel in a mountain, or underground. This would protect astronauts from all the elemnts including cosmic rays.

    --
    -- By all means let's be open-minded, but not so open-minded that our brains drop out.
    1. Re:Why have a base above ground? by Americano · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Maybe NASA is so smart that they've ruled that out already as impractical?

      If Sarah Palin can come up with "Drill Baby, Drill," I'm pretty sure the brainiacs at NASA with all their learnin' have at least considered the notion.

    2. Re:Why have a base above ground? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

          Primary habitation below ground seem prudent, but a surface structure is almost certainly necessary, as well. Making both capable of shielding occupants from various radiation & weather phenomenon seems like the wiser approach. The underground facility could experience geological failure (quake due to nearby impact, underground fracture) making a surface-based facility necessary to escape to.
          I think, like a below-surface lunar base, an underground Mars habitat would have to be fully enclosed and capable of accommodating for minor changes in the surrounding geology; a balloon structure surrounded by several metres of foam, or something.Suspended from the surface, maybe additionally supported at the base with hydraulic struts.
          So which of the two structures is easier to build first?
          It would seem that the more efficient solution would be to send robots ahead to dig the hole, but building the two structures is a labour & time consuming project, and the efficiency only stays relevant if everything goes according to plan. Run into a big enough snag, and you'll need a person there any way.
          But why would we even drop down into a gravity well again? If we are stuck in a contained environment, and there is no hope (based on our current & anticipated knowledge) of ever terraforming Mars, we are better off putting our effort into persisting in space. Go to Mars to live? Sure, but lets reshape Phobos & Deimos into habitable environs and use Mars as a gravity anchor, first. Lots of material to work with, and it's already in orbit...
          It makes no sense to me to expend all this effort to get off of our planet, only to drop right back down into another gravity trap, if habitation is our goal. But then, this theme always comes up, every time the notion "colonize Mar!" comes up.

    3. Re:Why have a base above ground? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Making a prefabricated structure fit inside an irregular cave using only the tools you can fit inside a spaceship is more than rocket science.

    4. Re:Why have a base above ground? by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      The thing is, if you're going to develop a drill, the better place to send it is Europa.

    5. Re:Why have a base above ground? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And you could power it with Jupiter's magnetic field. Hell, you could probably drill right through to the other side with that kinda energy...

  10. Research on low (not just zero) gee needed by wisebabo · · Score: 2

    I hate to bring up something that can only bring up more cost and delay to the exploration and colonization of Mars (and other worlds) but we REALLY need to figure out human biological response to differing gravity levels. Extended stays in zero (micro-gravity) environments have shown that a vigorous regimen of physical activity is necessary to keep astronauts healthy. Will the same be true on the Moon (1/6 earth gravity)? On Mars (1/3 earth gravity)? Will they need to do the same strenuous (and tedious) daily exercises for the same length of time?

    Eventually, of course, it'll be "vital" to know if women can conceive, gestate, bear and raise infants in these varying gee environments (at least until they're old enough to exercise by themselves). But that can wait.

    This seems to be perhaps the ONE thing that the ISS could do that cannot be possibly done on earth. Perform long term studies of humans in environments where the gravity is 0ISS1. Of course that would involve a big (very expensive) centrifuge or at very least a smaller one capable of using small animals. I understand that there was a (small) one planned but it was cut. Considering the long term importance of this, I would say that they should spend the big bucks and put in a big one (large enough so that coriolus effects wouldn't be noticeable) and study it thoroughly. Since this (human biology) is truly an international issue (rather than one nation planting a flag), I would hope it would get international support. Pinwheels in the sky a la 2001 here we come!

    Of course if the results are bad (humans, especially reproducing females, are found to be exquisitely tuned to one gee) we may need to wait until genetic engineering can adapt us to our environment rather than the other way around. In that case I've got a whole host of other "improvements" I'd like to see (radiation tolerance, hibernation capability, vacuum safe bodies...)

    1. Re:Research on low (not just zero) gee needed by WillHirsch · · Score: 1

      This might be a priority for colonization but not necessarily for exploration. People have remained in zero-g for more than a year, so we may not be all that far off knowing enough about the effects of an 18-month mission to Mars, lack of massive centrifuge notwithstanding.

    2. Re:Research on low (not just zero) gee needed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Forget the "gravity studies", we already wasted enough time on the shuttle and ISS. Send people there. If you tell them the worst that could happen you'd still get hundreds of top shelf scientists to volunteer. the "Right Stuff" days are over; it's Science Time now, soldier.

    3. Re:Research on low (not just zero) gee needed by jd · · Score: 1

      Low g will almost certainly cause muscle loss, calcium loss and space sickness, though not to the same degree as zero gravity. The question is what the function is. It's doubtful it's a linear relationship between gravity and consequence, nothing in nature is that simple.

      A really sick, sick mind might mention that there's been repeated talk of launching a space brothel along the lines of the Russian space hotel. With suitable danger money bonuses, the rest of your questions would be answered 9 or so months after opening.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    4. Re:Research on low (not just zero) gee needed by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 2

      This might be a priority for colonization but not necessarily for exploration.

      However, if we knew that a small amount gravity (such as 1%) in addition to exercise, could eliminate most of the effects of weightlessness if would make designing a Mars mission that much easier. Ie, if most of the problem is fluid balance, which, as with a fuel tank, is settled by even a small force. It would not take much to generate 0.01g spin, plus we'd know there'd be no further damage on the surface.

      But if you had to generate nearly a full g to offset harm, it would be difficult to build a large enough centripetal ship with current technology, so you probably wouldn't bother. That means designing a mission around the knowledge that the astronauts are going to suffer more and more damage as the mission goes on.

      It would be nice to know before we started spending money on designs.

      --
      Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
    5. Re:Research on low (not just zero) gee needed by siriuskase · · Score: 1

      No need for a brothel. It isn't sex that needs to be studied. Take fertilized eggs and implant as needed. Gestation and birth don't need to be random and unscientific. It might be more fun that way, but sex and reproduction are necessarily linked. I mean, test tube babies have been happening on this planet for thirty years. Freeze the eggs, the sperm, or the embryos. do animal experiments in low gravity near earth. Sure, low g sex is probably fun, but why bother when the technology exists to make babies without it?

      --
      If you must moderate, please moderate as irrelevent, not something bad, because I'm sure someone will find this interest
    6. Re:Research on low (not just zero) gee needed by the+biologist · · Score: 1

      All that activity isn't to maintain health in the zero-G environment... it is so the user will remain functional in full gravity when they return. If we're talking colonization, we can dispense with the heavy exercise.

      People living in microgravity long term may find health issues related to those conditions, but we haven't yet seen them. Mice have gone through a full reproductive cycle in space, without significant defect.

      I'm looking forward to therapies derived from studies of hibernating bears... which show none of the bone/muscle/etc loss a human would under a similar exercise routine.

    7. Re:Research on low (not just zero) gee needed by jd · · Score: 1

      Bad science to have multiple variables in a study, unless there's a broad enough range of conditions to make sure you can isolate the effects of each variable. Test tube babies only cover a certain percentage of gestation and transplants in space are an unknown. There's got to be a statistically useful sample where no transplant is required.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  11. just dont come back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    simple solution: if i got a terminal illness id seriously consider volunteering for a one way mission there. First person to die on another planet... sounds cool to me.

    1. Re:just dont come back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Great. Now all you need to do is find an illness that will kill you, but will take at least three or four years to do so and in the meantime will have absolutely no symptoms that would in any way impede your ability to operate a spacecraft and help set up a base on a world that's inhospitable to life. Oh, and it also has to be incommunicable.

  12. Testing is done in stages. by perpenso · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The NASA video shows them bringing whole hab in on 3 semi-trailers - Why not airdrop the major components in, and see if putting the thing up while encumbered with a suit is feasible.

    Testing is done in stages. First see if we have the concepts and solution correct with basic equipment. Then figure out how to ruggedize the equipment. If the concept was flawed or the basic equipment lacking then ruggedizing would be a waste of time and money.

  13. I would say one big challenge is.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    that people simply don't live long enough to care about such long term goals. But life extension is bad, I get it.

  14. That design has flaws... by SebaSOFT · · Score: 1

    like the airlock opening inwards and the waste in weight and energy that is having an elevator in the middle of the dome, some stair would do just fine!

    1. Re:That design has flaws... by camperdave · · Score: 1

      The airlock opens inward because the inside pressure would help to keep the door closed. I thought the same way about the stair though, until I thought about trying to bring equipment into or out of the loft. Actually, I don't really see the point of the loft. I think they'd be better off with an inflatable room off to the side.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    2. Re:That design has flaws... by Americano · · Score: 1

      Yes, it's much better to just have a failed door lock between you and explosive decompression, that's a much better design for living someplace with virtually no atmosphere. Why have your habitat's internal air pressure contribute to (and reinforce) the seal on the door by making it open inward?

    3. Re:That design has flaws... by SebaSOFT · · Score: 1

      Intresting about the pressure, but still the airlock looks like a pretty small chamber for the door and astronaut. Still lots of stuff could be better, including not having external access at all (underground stuff) and only have sunlight to enter to the sungarden.

    4. Re:That design has flaws... by SebaSOFT · · Score: 1

      I was corrected in the oher post, thanks for the sarcasm...

    5. Re:That design has flaws... by Americano · · Score: 1

      You're very welcome!

  15. Why isn't it underground? by Karmashock · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I'm always confused by base designs for other worlds that are invariably above ground. Why waste the protective features of just burying things?

    I suppose it's difficult to dig a base into the earth but because there's very little atmosphere to speak of you have no real protection against radiation. And then there are questions of insulation. Put twenty feet of dirt between your habitat and the surface and all sorts of problems go away.

    No problem with micro meteorites since they'd have to penetrate 20 feet of dirt to even touch your habitat.

    No problem with radiation unless it can go through 20 feet of dirt. I know really hard radiation can... but that has to take most of the edge off it. And if needed you can always go deeper.

    No problem with dust storms because it's all raging above you. I suppose a dune could position itself on top of your access shaft but there are some fairly cheap ways to make that manageable.

    So on and so forth.

    this goes double for the moon. For the love of god there's not even a weak atmosphere on the moon. No protection. Put the facility down twenty feet though and you can inflate your little habitat to your heart's content knowing that the whole place isn't going to get stabbed by a thousand micro meteorites or flash burned by a solar flare.

    The only thing that really needs to be on the surface is an access shaft complete with airlocks. A communications array so you can broadcast to orbital relays or directly to earth. And some solar cells. Bury everything else.

    If we build underground we might not even need those somewhat elaborate bubble walls they're talking about inflating. We might just be able to get by with something to harden the earth up and then maybe a spray on polymer to make sure the walls are airtight.

    If people want to see the surface they can use one of the video feeds or climb up the ladder/take the elevator to the surface.

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    1. Re:Why isn't it underground? by Dragon_Eater · · Score: 2

      I second this with as much gusto as I can!!!!

      Underground is a HUGE idea that is already used for data centers on our little rock.

      --
      They kinda taste like tasty wheat . . . . kinda . . .
    2. Re:Why isn't it underground? by joh · · Score: 1

      If people want to see the surface they can use one of the video feeds or climb up the ladder/take the elevator to the surface.

      If this is enough why don't just send a probe with a video camera and view the feed from your comfortable home down here on Earth? Much cheaper, too.

      As others already said: There's just no fscking reason to go there. The only reason is "we want to" and nobody likes to say this, so everybody makes up scientific reasons and others that never hold up to any kind of analysis.

      Yeah, I think we should go to Mars (and elsewhere, like the Jupiter moons) just because we can and want. It's hard and it's expensive and dangerous and possible, so let's do it. Let's do all the science we can on the way, but don't think even for a moment that this is the actual reason.

    3. Re:Why isn't it underground? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Very well said. Even if we did not want to bury the thing, we could simply create a tunnel into the side of a mountain (artificial cave) or find ourselves a cave and seal it ourselves.

      What you say makes sense, and it protects people from most of what could harm humans on the planet and to top everything else, makes most of the problems on the surface go away. Like you said, trips to the surface to explore would be easy with air-locks and access shafts and communication equipment and/or solar cells could be serviced fairly easilly with machinery we had already built there. I am not so sure myself why this fascination with a "dome" is with scientists nowadays anyway. A dome has so many issues that it seems just a giant waste of money when the most practical solution is staring us right in the face.

      Bury the base underground, use a nuclear reactor to power it, and use lights to grow your plants, etc and whatever else you need. Use technology and whatever else you need to live.

      Like this article shows us, the astronauts would need to live there for a year and a half, so if you give them the tools to dig and to expand their home in the underground chambers, they could probably create quite a base in that time frame that by the time it was time to return to Earth would be quite something for the next crew to come and take their turn. Just give the astronauts the equipment necessary and let them work. Time to work and plenty of it with little communication and a time lag of an hour between Mars and Earth would give them plenty of time to work on keeping busy as what else are they going to do in the meantime?

      Just a thought anyway. A pre-built dome would be quite boring as it would be the same thing day in and day out until catastrophe struck and everyone just dies. Or best case scenario they are just bored out of their minds for a year and a half. Not sure what moron thought a giant dome on the surface was a grand idea, but I thought after all the failures with the biosphere in the past and how boring that was for all involved that this idea would have died like the dodo a long time ago.

    4. Re:Why isn't it underground? by msobkow · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Because it's VERY expensive to ship earth-moving construction equipment (sorry, MARS-moving equipment) through space, and it'd take far too long to dig a habitat with a shovel.

      --
      I do not fail; I succeed at finding out what does not work.
    5. Re:Why isn't it underground? by argStyopa · · Score: 2

      As logical as mining is, there are essentially two ways to do it.

      1) dig.
      Digging is problematic because digging requires extraordinarily tough and durable tools. Usually this means unbelievably heavy. In a lower-gravity environment, they might even have to be heavier (I am not a planetary scientist, I don't know if Mars' gravity being only 38% earth's would mean it's proportionally easier to dig into). Weight is the primary barrier to anything going into space, at least until we have orbital factories fed asteroids for raw materials. Look at all the designs for spacecraft and structures - their characteristic is that they're intrinsically fragile, mainly because they are so lightweight.
      (And FWIW, mining without machinery - in case anyone even considered that - is laughably, crazy-hard work. Like, back-breaking hard.)

      2) boom
      The other way to dig is to drop something from really high and/or let it explode. You end up with a nice crater (hole) and a lot of nicely loosened soil, so building a habitation semi-below-ground is easier, and then roofing it over with the debris is easier too. Yet I don't believe we're desperate enough yet to start bombing Mars (although I'd certainly consider it a reasonable alternative for the Moon, particularly with the damn spider rocks).

      3) the unknown
      The problem with digging in, for both #1 and #2 above, is that we know almost NOTHING about the geology beneath say, the top couple of inches of a teensy bit of Martian terrain. Take a random square kilometer of land area on Earth....what are the odds that you could a) successfully dig more than 3m vertically AND 2) end up with a supportable space underground that wouldn't collapse? I'd guess it's something below 1/10. And this is for ground that we know several orders of magnitude better than the Martian soil. It's too much of a crapshoot, because if you drop a 'Mars base builder kit' and your ground sucks, well, you're done, you lose. (Certainly it would be a much higher proportion of terrain you COULD dig into and with the right structuring you could create a habitation even under loose sand - but now you run into the weight question again, because now your base parts aren't just strong enough to support themselves and repel hazards, they also have to carry several TONS of dirt all the time.)

      --
      -Styopa
    6. Re:Why isn't it underground? by vic.tz · · Score: 1

      For an underground base on both the moon and Mars, you would just need to bring a healthy supply of wood. I imagine in both places, there should be plenty of stone to harvest, so you'd be able to craft a pickaxe (and other tools) fairly quickly. I'd bring a copy of the crafting wiki just to be sure. Assuming a 3 man crew and a well planned design, a modest underground bunker should be possible within a few hours, depending on whether you run into bedrock or whatnot.

      For a trip to Mars, you'd want to bring a good amount of coal to make use of the iron that's available, too. I would think the biggest risk factor would be creeper defenses, but that can be designed into the bunker.

    7. Re:Why isn't it underground? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That, and you're on Mars, digging with a shovel for hours on end.

      Can't even take your helmet off to wipe your brow. So much for honest days work...

    8. Re:Why isn't it underground? by khallow · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I think we should go to Mars (and elsewhere, like the Jupiter moons) just because we can and want. It's hard and it's expensive and dangerous and possible, so let's do it. Let's do all the science we can on the way, but don't think even for a moment that this is the actual reason.

      I wonder why people still don't understand the constraints of robotic science. The threshold for robotic missions is a lot smaller than the threshold for doing human-based missions. So yes, if you just want to do just a token science on another world, robotics is the better pick.

      And some environments are simply too dangerous and/or take too much delta v to consider human visits, such as research near the Sun's photosphere or putting something in Jupiter's atmosphere.

      My view is that the first manned mission to Mars will provide such a vast flood of scientific data and be such a revolution for planetary science and our activities manned or not in space, even considering the likely considerable cost of the mission, that people will for centuries afterward ask, "Why didn't we do that sooner?"

    9. Re:Why isn't it underground? by Americano · · Score: 2

      Assuming a 3 man crew and a well planned design, a modest underground bunker should be possible within a few hours, depending on whether you run into bedrock or whatnot.

      You've never actually dug a hole with hand tools in rocky terrain, have you?

    10. Re:Why isn't it underground? by vic.tz · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, the moon lacks the atmosphere necessary to produce a "whooshing" noise.

    11. Re:Why isn't it underground? by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      In response to the people saying that digging is hard. I know. But we can send some robots to do it beforehand.

      I'm no expert but my amateurish day dreams on the subject go something like this:

      We use our existing imaging of mars or the moon to pick out a good place to build a base. Whatever that is... we pick a good spot. Maybe an extinct volcano on mars because there should be lava tubes. So free tunnels that maybe go on for miles.

      Then we send robots to survey the site and provide those robots with some simple digging and survey tools. Modern excavation equipment on earth could dig out a base in a couple weeks. Lets say these little robots because they're smaller and lighter do the same job but it just takes longer. Look at those giant pits in the earth our mining operations dig out. They're huge. But all the work was done with fairly normal excavators. How did they dig such huge holes? They just dug little holes in the same spot and over time they all added up to a giant hole. So same deal with the little robotic diggers. Maybe it takes them ten years to dig out a base. Are we in a rush?

      Once we've got it surveyed and dug out we can send in some sort of construction robot that has some ability to "make" walls. Maybe it can break down certain elements found in Martian soil to make cement. Whatever... this is a problem for the chemists and engineers to work out but there has to be a way to make bricks or plaster or something on these worlds. Maybe you need some solar furnace that heats everything up and melts the rock together. Or maybe the the robot builds the way that ancient civilizations did... so precisely fitting the rocks together that they hold together WITHOUT mortar. Anyway, so maybe 20 or 30 years into the process with robots building everything we now have a walls and rooms under ground. None of it is pressurized but we have some robotic workers around that can add space or do further excavations.

      Then we send in another wave of robots that actually make the place somewhat livable. Not perhaps all the fittings but they install the basic machinery and pressurize at least part of the base. Alternatively we could send some kind of additive manufacturing machine to mars that can just "make" most of the things the people will need. We'll need prospecting robots and some kind of refinery to turn the base Martian rock into useable feedstock. But theoretically we could send what amounts to a von neumann machine to mars to build everything we need. We're not that far from that sort of technology right now. And in any case we have lots of time to develop it. For now, we just need to pick out a site on mars or the moon to build the base, then send out some digging robots. Then we have ten to twenty years of time while we wait for that. And then we send out the robots that turn the dug out facility into something with actual walls and some basic construction. By then it's 40 years from now or something. If we don't have an additive manufacturing rig by then that can spit out usable material from Martian rock then we haven't been trying.

      Okay... so now we've either shipped a lot of hardware to mars/moon or we send some 3d printer there to make it for us. And at that point we should start thinking about sending people. Not to visit... to live. Colonists.

      The point of sending people to mars or the moon is not for science or because we can. Robots do the science just fine and because we can is a waste of resources. We do it to live there. To colonize.

      Humans need to get off earth or we're going to die here. Some are resigned to that and we have a lot of time to develop a way off. But why wait. This is within our reach right now. Lets do it. Robots are going to do 99 percent of the work in any case and it will take a long time for them. that's fine.

      Eventually we'll develop some kind of "seed" technology that lets us send a little robotic probe to a distant world... and that probe all by itself plants a seed of our industry on that world. It will have a tiny little fa

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    12. Re:Why isn't it underground? by viperidaenz · · Score: 1

      Slashdot bingo: order(s) of magnitude

    13. Re:Why isn't it underground? by cdrguru · · Score: 1

      I refer you to Red Mars by Kim Stanley Robinson. The story has the explorers on Mars building an soil-sheltered habitat in a story dating from 1992.

      The one problem is the needing a "bulldozer" as there would be a lot of dirt to move around. But in this story they were using inflatable tubes which would be far lighter than anything else - and would probably leave enough weight for something like a bulldozer.

    14. Re:Why isn't it underground? by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      As to bulldozers...

      1. you could use small digging robots that could take the dirt away in little amounts at a time. Maybe it would take them years to dig something out but we have time.

      2. We might also dig into the dirt a tiny little tunnel and then drag something inflatable in there... then inflate it... just an idea.

      Anyway, I'd ask you to look at those strip mining operations around the world. We've dug these HUGE pits in the earth with fairly normal digging equipment. Some of these pits do use huge cranes or trucks. But most of them use fairly normal excavation equipment. Yet they dig these valley sized pits in the earth. How? Time. Lots of little loads over lots of time. Think of a little boy on the beach with his little plastic shovel and pale. If that little boy just sat there on the beach making a single sandcastle and there were no tide to knock it over... what could it build if left alone for 20 years... using nothing but he little shove, pale, and his bare hands?

      That's what I'm talking about with the digging robots. They wouldn't be fast but they'd be persistent.

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    15. Re:Why isn't it underground? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My view is that the first manned mission to Mars will provide such a vast flood of scientific data and be such a revolution for planetary science and our activities manned or not in space, even considering the likely considerable cost of the mission, that people will for centuries afterward ask, "Why didn't we do that sooner?"

      Did the same happen after the first manned mission to Moon?

    16. Re:Why isn't it underground? by khallow · · Score: 1

      Did the same happen after the first manned mission to Moon?

      It took a few missions to get to that point, particularly, Apollo 16 and 17 but yes, it did. For example, we have a far better understanding of the early Solar System and creation of the Earth-Moon system. Geology of the Moon is much better understood as well.

      The Apollo program is key evidence of my assertion. I figure an unmanned program using today's technology would cost about a third to half the cost of Apollo (that's roughly 40-60 billion out of 120 billion for Apollo, including Mercury and Gemini projects), adjusted for inflation, to duplicate the scientific content of Apollo.

      You have 21 unmanned missions prior to the start of the manned portion of Apollo. There's also the sample return aspect where 380 kg of lunar material was returned and three lunar rovers capable of traveling dozens of kilometers over their lifespans and returning tens of kilograms of samples to a common point to be returned to Earth. My view is that the early missions would cost about half a billion each (including launch and operational costs), that's 10 billion right there. Then you have 5 billion average for the sample return missions (including launch and operational costs), including the ones with rovers, which would be another 30 billion. There might be other costs, such as developing a rocket capable of lifting the sample return missions or a restartable (that is, capable of stopping and restarting) engine for getting into Lunar Transfer Orbit.

      Keep in mind that Apollo money also developed the Saturn V and Saturn 1B and earlier rockets. I don't consider the Saturn V particularly useful technology for its price, but that launcher need not have been for manned efforts only.

      So basically, the US funded a national prestige project; crammed that program at considerable expense into two decades, including precursor programs; and yet still got enough scientific value out of it that a modern unmanned attempt would probably cost a significant fraction of that old, overpriced effort.

      I think we're also very close to a regime where people aren't a particularly expensive payload. We know most of the problems with transporting humans beyond the Earth's magnetic field and from an engineering point of view, they can be solved by adding mass. Currently, that's rather expensive, but it's on the verge of becoming much less so.

      That mass can be used for other purposes, such as propellant, power, cooling, instruments, etc. Manned missions also have a natural synergy with high power missions. If your mission is hauling along 100 kW reactors or such, then adding people and their infrastructure is not that big an additional cost.

      Finally, there is the matter of what people can do on site. The total amount of time that humans spent on the Moon adds up to less than than a month (about 14 days total mission time on the surface with two people per crew). They did a lot of traveling and prospecting in that time period. It would take years of surface time for unmanned efforts, using current technologies, to duplicate that.

    17. Re:Why isn't it underground? by khallow · · Score: 1

      It actually goes pretty fast unless you're constrained by natural voids, or large pockets of water or lava. I always end up with a vast amount of cobblestone afterwards.

    18. Re:Why isn't it underground? by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      Because it's VERY expensive to ship earth-moving construction equipment (sorry, MARS-moving equipment) through space, and it'd take far too long to dig a habitat with a shovel.

      A small bobcat-type vehicle would be easier to ship than that habitat they've developed.

      Or send some shovels, a couple fence-post diggers, a drill or two, and a couple hundred pounds of C4. Plastic explosives make for wonderful "earth moving construction equipment". A 4 man team could dig down 20-30 feet (and wide enough for a small common-room) in a day, easy. Once you have the initial structure in place, expanding is relatively easy.

      Of course, as someone already mentioned, the easiest solution is to use the terrain to your advantage. Lava tubes are a great solution. Any kind of cave system would work great.

    19. Re:Why isn't it underground? by khallow · · Score: 1

      As others pointed out, digging equipment is heavy. The idea here is that a first time habitat is probably going to be something real easy to set up. To use a camping analogue, you don't go into the woods and build an underground base. You throw up a tent. This habitat is just a more durable version of that tent.

      And if those astronauts do intend to dig, then they can live out of the temporary base while they dig something a bit more sturdy.

    20. Re:Why isn't it underground? by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Why does everyone assume it has to be some giant excavator? Those machines are so large because they work QUICKLY. You can dig a HUGE hole with a modern excavator in very little time. Why do I need to work that fast on the moon or Mars? I don't. I'd be very happy if the same thing that would take an afternoon on earth took a few months on the moon or mars. What's the rush? We're having a robot do it.

      And if that's what we're doing then we don't need a huge machine. We can have a little machine doing a faction of what the big machine does again and again over a longer period of time. Maybe a construction project that would take a month on earth takes ten years on mars. So what... We have the time.

      Thus when the landers drop they'll find pre-dug habitats which may or may not already be equip and pressurized for human habitation.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    21. Re:Why isn't it underground? by khallow · · Score: 1

      Why do I need to work that fast on the moon or Mars? I don't. I'd be very happy if the same thing that would take an afternoon on earth took a few months on the moon or mars. What's the rush? We're having a robot do it.

      Well how little can this robot weigh? I was thinking of something "Bobcat" sized myself. The linked "compact excavator" masses about 1200 kg, but a Martian one would be a lot lighter, say using aluminum alloys and a much smaller engine. Control might be by wire (with an astronaut standing off to one side) and/or remote controlled from Earth or locally.

    22. Re:Why isn't it underground? by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      It can be the size of a tonka truck for the sake of argument. Size just relates to time. Smaller means slower. Bigger means faster. Furthermore, on the moon especially the gravity is a lot lighter. An excavator on the moon could be built like a bird... hollow bones. The machine would mostly be moving around "volumes" of rock not any appreciable weights. The moon has about .16g so it's not like you'll have to build it that robustly. The whole thing could be build like a camping tent with stressed graphite rods.

      As to control, I'm assuming all of this is done remotely from earth. Since I'm assuming these machines are going to be slow we need to have the base ready for human habitation BEFORE anyone even lands. That means a little army of robots crawling all over the area harvesting resources, refining, building, assembling, digging, moving, etc.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    23. Re:Why isn't it underground? by khallow · · Score: 1
      Smaller also means it can't do some jobs like move boulders that it can't manipulate or break up frozen soil.

      As to control, I'm assuming all of this is done remotely from earth. Since I'm assuming these machines are going to be slow we need to have the base ready for human habitation BEFORE anyone even lands. That means a little army of robots crawling all over the area harvesting resources, refining, building, assembling, digging, moving, etc.

      What happens if those people don't land next to that habitat? They're going to need something to live in. The first Mars missions are going to have the most trouble landing in a particular area.

      It's worth noting here that we don't have much experience doing anything on Mars. Planners aren't going to be enthusiastic about putting a lot of travel into the plans for the first manned mission. Way too much could go wrong. If a mission lands right next to the excavated habitat, then that's fine. But if it lands 400 km away, how is it going to get there? They could just land in a vehicle, but I think the planners would much rather we actually have some human driving experience on Mars first, before we drive long distances.

      Later on, when there's someone out there who can rescue a stuck vehicle or pick up an isolated crew, we can talk of creating or expanding habitats in a particular location remotely.

    24. Re:Why isn't it underground? by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      As to boulders, how do you move large chunks of rock now that are too big to move by excavator? Drill, break the rock up into little bits, or blast it. I'm assuming it's more practical to just drill and cut the rock up. Fit the machine with little saws that work on stone and try to stick to regions where the stone is soft enough to break up without explosives.

      As to breaking up frozen soil, yes it can... just a little bit at a time. Why do you need a huge machine to break up frozen soil? A child with a stick could do it. Not very quickly... but if the stick is harder then the ice then the ice will chip when hit... whack whack whack... How far do you think you can get with time? Maybe it takes a year to do a job that would take your earth bound machine an afternoon... so what. we have time.

      As to where people land... If they don't land where the planners need them to land then that might mean death. I think it's reasonable to assume they land roughly within 100 miles of the site. Ideally, they'll land as close to it as possible but if they somehow land on the other side of the planet then they're probably dead or they have to leave immediately and go home... which might not be possible. Anyway... this is a contingency roughly along the lines of "what happens if the airplane lands into the side of a mountain"... well... it crashes, explodes, and everyone dies. Don't do that. The pilot has to land at an airfield... ideally the right one. The lander for the colonists needs to land near that site and ideally very close to it.

      As to driving experience... we're going to have to make due with driving around on earth and pretending its mars. It's just not practical to test these things exhaustively given the expense of sending things to mars. If it makes you happy we can make the robots duel use so they do science along with everything else. We'll call them robotic probes... and send them to mars to do research. And while not doing research they'll be digging out the facility.

      As to rescue... the first colonists from Europe to the Americas had very little in the way of rescue options. Obviously they were still on earth in very hospitable climates. But they were on their own. If we prepare for our colonists to have some kind of a habitate BEFORE they land then they can move right into it. And from there we can expect them to fend for themselves.

      We can do a lot more research on earth. We need to make some self sustaining habitats on earth first. So far, the bio dome projects have all failed. Mostly because the concrete keeps eating all the oxygen. In any case, once we can build such a base on earth we should be able to send robots to build such a base on other worlds. Then we send our people there with the expectation of moving right in to a per-built facility.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    25. Re:Why isn't it underground? by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Here is an even better way to deal with boulders:
      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nTU7HbFNMc0

      Only with robots... Chisels. Outfit the diggers with little spring loaded impact hammers. Then either have people controlling them from earth that know how to break up stone. Or program their AI evaluate stone geometry and determine where to hammer it.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
  16. Which reminds me by synapse7 · · Score: 2

    A new Total Recall movie is in the works. http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1386703/

    1. Re:Which reminds me by RockClimbingFool · · Score: 1

      This is the first time that I have heard about the remake. I clicked on the link thinking, "This is awesome!!!"

      Then I read this...

      Colin Farrel as Doug Quaid

      Dammit!!!!

    2. Re:Which reminds me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But then if you read further, you see:

      Jessica Biel
      Kate Beckinsale

      And at that point, you can probably put up with Colin Farrel.

    3. Re:Which reminds me by RockClimbingFool · · Score: 1

      That would be highly dependent on the presence of a third mammary gland. 50% hotter than your usual Jessica Biel.

  17. Not Cool Anymore by guttentag · · Score: 2

    Going to Mars was cool last century. This century our priorities have shifted and we can't put humans in orbit of this planet without making them honorary cosmonauts.

    If you want to get people interested in going to Mars, you need to start by erasing the memory of the film "Mission To Mars" from the public consciousness. The very thought of going to Mars now triggers a knee-jerk reaction of: "Wait... didn't Quinn Mallory, Ken Mattingly and Merlin already do this? And it sucked?" It might be easier to simply rename Mars and make it sound like we're going somewhere new and exciting, like Pandora. Then we can start thinking about this again.

    1. Re:Not Cool Anymore by lennier · · Score: 1

      and make it sound like we're going somewhere new and exciting, like Pandora.

      Yes, do let's commission Icarus Project Flight 13 (crew callsigns "Black Cat", "Broken Mirror" and "Walks-Under-Ladders") to launch to D'Eath Colony at Desolation Point in the Sea of Crises on planet Pandora, a moon of gas giant Loki orbiting star SNAFU-666.

      I'm sure nothing whatever will go wrong.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    2. Re:Not Cool Anymore by crutchy · · Score: 1

      val kilmer made being a "space janitor" cool. other than that, mars is already pretty cool by virtue of its distance from the sun.

  18. Sober Assessment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The GP was giving a sober assessment. The folks who think we can do it with Apollo-equivalent effort are the type of completely bizarre nutters who think Ron Paul makes sense.

    1. Re:Sober Assessment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, I realize he was giving a sober assessment. That's why I pointed out that the reply section on this post is reserved for space nuttery, not his brand of sober assessment.

      This type of article is where people magically assume that we're going to transcend biology and the simple physics involved in space travel to somehow magically create a colony on another planet that will somehow magically become economically viable, rather than "a place where a few bright people might be able to do some interesting science at egregiously large taxpayer expense, but that's about it."

    2. Re:Sober Assessment by khallow · · Score: 2

      Perhaps the entire chain of "sober assessors" should take up drinking since this is some pretty flaky reasoning going on.

    3. Re:Sober Assessment by ReallyEvilCanine · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Heh. me giving a sober assessment.

      It's not about the will to do it (although that does play a role). The minute the copycyt Chinese land on the Moon the US -- possibly together with Russia &/or the EU -- will put an Apollo-type effort into getting to Mars. Hell, Just read Mary Roach's Packing for Mars (ISBN 978-1-85168-780-0) and see what nearly insurmountable problems there were in getting to the Moon, and she really only deals with life sciences, not physics.

      The problem is that we can't realistically get a payload of sufficient size there. The technological hurdles are easy; the problems are physics and biology. We can build a dozen rockets, take advantage of orbital mechanics for unmanned segments, launch 'em off three full-size gantries together so that one launch window serves three machines.

      But before we even think about getting the people there we still have to figure out how to arrive, orbit, and then land precisely -- repeatedly -- unmanned, all while dealing with the 8-minute radio delay in the best of circumstances.

      The problem of human physiology is even worse than the physics problem. We can come up with odd trajectories and multiple burns and en-route dockings to provide additional fuel to carry such things out. Have you ever seen the astronauts coming back from 3-6 months on the ISS? It takes a huge fucking crew to get them out of the return vehicle and into recovery. It takes three strong men just to pull those poor bastards off the couch and out of the capsule. And that's from LEO. There ain't no recovery crews waiting on Mars.

  19. Screw Mars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Literally. Have the butt-end of the lander be a giant screw, that drills directly into the crust, followed by an at-least-equal-length tube of approximately the same diameter. Then fill the tube with like-diameter sphere-in-sphere modules that stabilize and interconnect afterwards. The extra space around the spheres could be flooded with some kind of expandable foam insulate, or cheese, or whatever.

    1. Re:Screw Mars by drainbramage · · Score: 1

      What would you call this cheesy bottom screwing machine of yours?
      Americas New Auto Lander?

      --
      No brain, no pain.
    2. Re:Screw Mars by viperidaenz · · Score: 1

      Because fashioning a drill bit the diameter of a space craft is light weight, strong and wouldn't require massive amounts of energy to run it.

  20. The module is missing..... by Lumpy · · Score: 1

    An inflatable Greenhouse.

    Honestly, why not ship up seeds and have them grow some easy food crops? Plus the greenhouse will deliver free heat, something that is needed for a habitat even in the tropics of mars.

    --
    Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
  21. Cheaper alternatives by gmuslera · · Score: 1

    Don't go at all, just insert memories on interested people of a gorgeous trip to mars, solving a conspiracy, meeting mutants, and activating an alien device that terraforms the planet. Another option is be unplugged from Matrix: Y2K, and get plugged into Matrix: Mars Colonization. Or something more spacey, build a team of robots capable of building a mars colony by themselves (even finding the resources for doing so) and don't launch them, as will be more valuable to use them right here by the time they are finished.

  22. Mars? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hi gang,

    There ain't sh%t going on on Mars yall.... just hollyweird cgi... don't let them fool you!!!!

    stop the fanboy fantasizing...

    Thanx!

  23. They look so sad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sitting in a barrel on a lifeless desert planet... At least they could have some fun with each other.

  24. Bigelow or IDC Dover by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    I think that If BA or IDC were smart, they would put one of their units at a south pole base and and see how they do. It would be useful to see them hit -100F/-70C or below. That would enable it show how they will do at Mars and parts of the moon. And as far as dropping on the mars or lunar surface, that makes little sense. There are plenty of caverns at both places. Put it down one and drop soil/regolith on top for insulation. At the very least offer up some sort of seal at the opening with a walk-way down to the habitat. That would limit the exchange of heat to make it easier to keep an iso temp.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:Bigelow or IDC Dover by joh · · Score: 2

      A near vacuum is actually a pretty good insulation. Regolith would help against radiation, though. Ice would be even better, there are quite a few places on Mars with thick ice deposits. You also get water there (no, really?)...

      Still, all of this is pointless. There's just nothing that robotic probes wouldn't do much cheaper, especially since they don't need to breath, eat, drink, wash and be returned.

    2. Re:Bigelow or IDC Dover by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Actually, that is true on the moon, but on mars, there is enough atmosphere to pull heat away. More importantly, on both places (mars/moon), you can have temp extremes. OTH, if you are in the regolith and down a bit, then you have fairly constant temps. That makes it easier to engineer for.

      Sending robotics is nice and all, but you will note that not only do they break down, but they are limited in scope. A human can respond decently. Finally, it is in mankind's best interest to move beyond earth.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    3. Re:Bigelow or IDC Dover by joh · · Score: 1

      Finally, it is in mankind's best interest to move beyond earth.

      This is true. I'm not against manned spaceflight, I'm just against all this pseudo-science excuses people lacking the balls to state this simple fact are making all the time. For science, robots are better and cheaper. To go there, they're not. I'm very happy about SpaceX and Elon Musk finally saying "we want to go and that's it". No need for feeble excuses. Let's go.

  25. FAT ASTRONAUTS!!! by spineboy · · Score: 2

    Human body fat is the most efficient way for a human to store energy. Give them enough (recycled) water, some vitamins and protein and they will shed weight all the way to Mars, and back maybe too.

    Cryo sleep will not work, because joints will become fibrosed, muscles will atrophy, etc.

    So to figure out how FAT our ASTRONAUTS will be - we'll need to look at some numbers.
    A pound of fat can expend about 3500 KCAL of energy.
    An average male basal metabolic rate is around 2000 KCAL/day.

    Now using conventional fuel - the trip takes 214 days, using a constant propulsion nuclear motor might shorten it to 120 days

    Soooo - ballpark FAT ESTIMATES are for conventional fuel 214 x 2000 = 428,000 KCALs
    428,000 KCAL /3500KCal/fat = 122 pounds (or about 56 Kilos extra)

        Nuke fuel require them to only gain about 70 pounds extra.

    Now this is a one way trip - so lets double the weight to provide for our FAT ASTRONAUTS to get back home safely

    So now we are looking at 244 pounds EXTRA - or a 444 pound (200 KILO) Buzz Aldrin... for conventional fuel
    and for constant acceleration nuke powered craft - a 340 pound Buzz Aldrin

    This will make the newer movie version of the RIGHT STUFF a bit different to watch. All those neck beards out there - yep - you're training for a MARS mission....

    --
    ..........FULL STOP.
    1. Re:FAT ASTRONAUTS!!! by Zeromous · · Score: 1

      The face of intersteller travel .... Tetsuo?

      http://www.bbakira.co.uk/cels/iancox/main/mutate1.jpg

      --
      ---Up Up Down Down Left Right Left Right B A START
    2. Re:FAT ASTRONAUTS!!! by yog · · Score: 1

      That's a fantastic idea! I forgot about fat. Actually, it would be a way to pay for the mission, too. You will lose 140 pounds over the next 9 months... and you'll get to visit Mars, too! There are tons (no pun intended) of people out there carrying around 140 pounds or more of body fat.

      The only catch is that these people are very heavy, and thus we'd need more fuel to get them into orbit, let alone push them to Mars and then lower them safely to its surface.

      I suppose an alternative is to put some thin astronauts into Earth orbit, fatten them up for a few months, and then send them on their way.

      --
      it's = "it is"; its = possessive. E.g., it's flapping its wings.
    3. Re:FAT ASTRONAUTS!!! by sartin · · Score: 1

      I think you just designed a new reality TV show: The Biggest Loser Goes to Mars.

    4. Re:FAT ASTRONAUTS!!! by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      There are tons (no pun intended) of people out there carrying around 140 pounds or more of body fat.

      But probably not quite so many who are also highly trained astronauts.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
  26. Moon base should be first by raydias · · Score: 1

    yes it would be cool to be on Mars but with the risks and costs the moon base should be the first step. Prove the technology closer to home, isn't that why we built the Space Station (other than job security for defense contractors across the globe). The moon has resources we can use to launch a mission to Mars. With the lower gravity than Mars the Moon base can give humanity a better look at how long term exposure to low gravity will affect us while still being close to home. An international moon research facility would provide a much better return on investment and prepare for a longer journey. Get a Moon base up and running can be done with robotics, testing climate controls, hydroponics, water reclamation/recycling etc as well as rocket designs, radiation shielding ... We could even send the Current Space station as an orbital go between for the Moon instead of crash the station into the ocean at end of life. put a few rockets and slowly take it into Moon orbit. once we have a base built on the moon that has been tested via robotics and remote science equipment an expedition can go to the station in orbit around the moon (where supplies could be waiting) then take a trip down the the lunar surface. Add a space elevator between the moon and orbiting space station so you don't need to use fuel. Robotic cargo ships can ferry supplies and refuse between earth and the space station. It just seems to me we just started crawling in space with the Space station and now we want to run like Forest Gump by sending a manned mission to Mars at a far higher price than going back to the Moon

  27. I dispute your landing ratio. by drainbramage · · Score: 1

    Really, less than 50% landed?
    I think most landed if not all.
    Some faster than others..

    --
    No brain, no pain.
    1. Re:I dispute your landing ratio. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In fact, about half landed on mars and half landed on earth.

      Many of those that landed on earth were in pieces or on fire when they landed, but they did land.

  28. the real challenge... by crutchy · · Score: 2

    ...of doing anything in space, but particularly important for going to mars, is getting to low earth orbit more cheaply, regularly, reliably and safely. without easy access to LEO and more significant orbital infrastructure than a tiny tin can toy space station (yes, the ISS is a useless pos), any trip that is made to mars will be hugely expensive and will never be repeated (vis-a-vis the moon race).

    going to mars at the moment is like starting to build a house by picking out curtains

  29. I'll see your module, and raise you... by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 1

    By "inflatable greenhouse", I assume you mean one with transparent walls that uses natural sunlight? The one in all the Mars Base artist's impressions?

    According to NASA's Mars rover designers, the atmosphere on Mars is just thick enough to conduct away heat, making thermal control harder on Mars than in a vacuum. A greenhouse is a high surface area, low density volume, so apparently it would take less energy to use grow-lights in a fully underground chamber than to heat a surface-exposed greenhouse at night. (You'll have the same problem with all surface modules and vehicles on Mars.)

    Inflatable greenhouses make for a good Mars Base artist's impression, but a lousy actual Mars Base.

    --
    Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
  30. Humans aren't good for space travel by PeterM+from+Berkeley · · Score: 1

    Rather than do all the challenging things you mention, how about re-engineering humanity to be more fit for space?

    How about tolerance of low (10-100K) temperatures?
    Tolerance of 0 G?
    Tolerance of radiation?
    Remove requirement for O2, food, and water?
    Make extended hibernation more feasable?
    Make able to use interchangeable replacement parts?

    Probably a solid state implementation of people.... Send those across the gulf between stars, and if they want, they can re-engineer themselves back into meat-bags on the far side. Or not.

    --PM

  31. Habitats have already been dug by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They're called lava tubes. (Another link)

    Those exist on the Moon and Mars, as well as the Earth.

    There's no lava in them now. There used to be, then the lava hardened to a "cap". The lava underneath the cap receded, and the whole thing collapsed on itself, making a large tubular shape which extends a considerable length underground.

    What's best is the bottom is mostly level. Also, radiation at the bottom of the tube is insignificant and suitable for long term stay.

    There are plenty of architectural options available after this. Examples follow Cover the mouth of the tube with an inflatable plastic roof. You could have one which has solar cells in it too. Or something you can dim if needed. Build a spiralling road within the walls, spiralling up from the tube all the way to the surface so you can drive vehicles up and down. Or build an elevator, whichever makes sense and is easiest. Make new tunnels and caves radially from the bottom level. Spray the smaller caves with polymer to make them airtight and turn them into living quarters, greenhouses, etc.

    1. Re:Habitats have already been dug by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      that's part of what I was thinking though I didn't know they had them on the moon. I had hoped there were caverns or something though. Anyway, human habitation on earth started out in caves... I'm not too proud to have it start on other worlds in the same place... all be it with electric lights and hopefully fewer fleas.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
  32. Dear NASA: Fuck You by Aggrav8d · · Score: 1

    Seriously, I'm really tired of your bullshit. Why are you spending money waxing poetic about a trip to Mars when you can barely keep the space station in orbit and have yet to land a 13th person on the moon? Does even one of your science geniuses know how to get shit done? You're talking about building a castle in japan when you can't even build a snow fort at the end of the block. You have the rockets, you have the parts, you have the people willing to go... and yet you don't. What's up with that? What's a matter, Mcfly? Are you CHICKEN?

    In conclusion, go on being DARPA's bitch instead of hope for humanity. Fuck you guys and your poser bullshit.

  33. Getting science for less. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why are we even thinking about sending humans to Mars when robots would be exponentially cheaper and more practical while being able to do so in by spending far less money and resources.

  34. Look at the amount of junk in the video by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Look at the amount of junk in the video, There are handle bars, tables, supports, etc..Is that all necessary to carry them? Instead carry some more food & food processing instruments (not the chef's paraphernalia) & medical equipment.

  35. food source by gajop · · Score: 1

    From the video, they grew their food in what appears to be elevator space between two levels.
    Is this really enough to feed two adults? I always assumed you'd need at least another large room, perhaps even with specialized equipment such as growing lamps to be able to grow it 24/7, also being able to utilize volume (by having multiple levels), not just the surface.

  36. Vision Probs? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If I remember correctly, /. posted an article on the loss of vision caused by long term weightlessness. These folks better build something that can be piloted, and structures that can be assembled and utilized, by blind/vision-impaired astronauts....an elephant in the NASA room...