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Russian Official Implies Foul Play In Mars Probe Failure

Back in November, Russia launched the Phobos-Grunt probe on a mission to return a soil sample from Mars' largest moon. Sadly, the probe malfunctioned, and never left orbit. It's due to crash into the Indian Ocean this weekend. An anonymous reader points out some interesting comments from a Russian official, Vladimir Popovkin, who obliquely suggested that interference from other countries was a possible cause of the failure. Quoting: "Mr. Popovkin’s remarks to the newspaper Izvestia were the first high-level suggestion of nefarious interference. A retired commander of Russia’s missile warning system had speculated in November that strong radar signals from installations in Alaska might have damaged the spacecraft. 'We don’t want to accuse anybody, but there are very powerful devices that can influence spacecraft now,' Mr. Popovkin said in the interview. 'The possibility they were used cannot be ruled out.' ... Mr. Popovkin did not directly implicate the United States in the interview. But he said 'the frequent failure of our space launches, which occur at a time when they are flying over the part of Earth not visible from Russia, where we do not see the spacecraft and do not receive telemetric information, are not clear to us,' an apparent reference to the Americas."

22 of 451 comments (clear)

  1. Failure... by QuietLagoon · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Russia should just admit to its failures, and move on. From what I've read, Russia's high-technology infrastructure is held together with band-aids® and chewing gum. They should concentrate upon repairing their space exploration foundation, then make the attempts to explore Mars.

    1. Re:Failure... by Droog57 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah, you are probably right, but remember, the US is still reduced to renting a ride from the Russians to get a man into LEO now that we (stupidly) killed off the STS. Which one is the real failure? What an embarrassment, from "The Country that put a Man on the Moon" to equality with most developing nations..

      --
      "If the only tool that you have is a hammer, every problem looks like a nail." Donny Rumsfeld
    2. Re:Failure... by khallow · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah, you are probably right, but remember, the US is still reduced to renting a ride from the Russians to get a man into LEO now that we (stupidly) killed off the STS. Which one is the real failure?

      The real failure would have been to keep flying the Shuttle. Even if you ignore that the NASA budget isn't increasing after inflation, you still have to explain why it's better to chuck billions on a few really expensive launches rather than spend that money on actual somewhat useful space activities. You'd also have to explain why we're relying on a vehicle that would be an accident away from ending the program.

  2. Re:Malice? by Nick+Fel · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Yes, but the question is where does the stupidity lie? Is it in naively blasting out radar signals, or in not properly shielding your sensitive spacecraft? Probably both, but I'd favour the latter, since they know such possibilities exist.

  3. Re:Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by ColdWetDog · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Basically the guy is blaming HAARP (it happened over Alaska when we couldn't see it).

    Right. Now, how did we manage to get the satellite to point it's solar panels away from the sun? It's just the standard post Vodka blame game. I don't think anyone is really worried about it.

    --
    Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
  4. Putin is taking russia back soviet style paranoia by Viol8 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    And with that goes blaming everyone except yourself for your public failures.

  5. No by sandytaru · · Score: 5, Insightful

    When science from another country fails, it is still a tragedy to the US. We are not in a cold war any more - the loss of a sattelite, or a probe, is a huge loss for everyone. Russia may be upset but unfortunately it would not be in US interests to intentionally destroy a probe that we cannot ourselves replicate (due to lack of funds or lack of interest.)

    --
    Occasionally living proof of the Ballmer peak.
    1. Re:No by GreatBunzinni · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Because it would be research which the US would not need to fund, and therefore free funds to invest in other projects, and which could be used to help plan what to research next.

      For example.

      --
      Slashdot, fix your code or at least hire someone who is competent at it to do it for you.
  6. Re:Not even good lies by elrous0 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Laughable. (Apparently, so is their space program)

    Well it's not like their joke of a space program put up the first satellite in orbit, the first man (and woman) in space, the first person to orbit the earth, the first moon probe, the first Mars probe, the first Venus probe, or the first space station--or are currently the only country in the world with the capability of launching humans into space. They're SUCH a joke! Let's all laugh at their weak-ass space program. Ha ha ha.

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
  7. Re:Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by Baloroth · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Wait, Alaska is pretty damn close to Russian territory. How would they not not be able to see their satellite while it was over HAARP? An honest question, adblock doesn't seem to be letting me get past the paywall like it usually does, so I can't read TFA.

    --
    "None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license." --John Milton
  8. Re:Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by Artraze · · Score: 4, Insightful

    > It's just the standard post Vodka blame game. I don't think anyone is really worried about it.

    The problem is, tossing blame like this is the first refuge of incompetent government. The next is constructing enemies, and then finally war. Redirect the rage of the people you ruined to someone else, and rather then remove you from power they will grant you even more.

    Given how Russia has been behaving recently this is very worrying. If they have to blame America because their probe is backwards, then what about when something bigger fails? How long before the people have a (renewed) hate of the USA?

    It's not a step to a new cold war, but it disconcertingly similar to the behavior we saw then.

  9. Re:Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by shoehornjob · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Think about this for a moment. What possible interest could the United States government have in a probe heading to Mars. We are not in a space race with Russia anymore. If anything we should be sabotaging China's space program. Then again if their space program is anything like their high speed rail program I think they can manage for themselves.

    --
    "We are just a war away from Amerikastan. When god vs god the undoing of man." Dave Mustaine
  10. Re:Malice? by iggymanz · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Since HAARP has HF, VHF and UHF, and not satellite microwave systems, the stupidity is clearly on a Russian looking for a scapegoat, who has joined the ranks of scientifically ignorant wingnuts who blame HAARP for everything that was blamed on Satan and Witchcraft 400 years ago

  11. Re:Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by jeffmeden · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Does the entire Iranian populace hate us? Do all the North Koreans hate us? Or is it just more convenient to believe that they do to make it easier when we start killing them...

    No, you had it right the first time. The regime in those nations know that they can earn much more loyal support through (construction of) a common enemy than they can through any amount of good deeds (except perhaps the deed of constructing a free and democratic society, but i digress.) They do indeed cultivate hatred at every opportunity. You are correct that not everyone will fall for it, but enough of them will to generate the support the regime needs to do basically whatever they want. See Mccarthyism for an example, if you think construction of an enemy by any means necessary in order to garner supporters is a skill only dictatorial regimes posses. This is a tactic that nearly every government has used at some point, and as such it is very important not to downplay its presence or its effect.

  12. Re:yes by SuricouRaven · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Maintaining perfectly fixed position (storms aside) isn't difficult. Manouvering thrusters can turn to thrust in any direction. Just throw in a GPS receiver and you can stay in place to within a couple of meters easily.

  13. Re:Putin is taking russia back soviet style parano by c6gunner · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I doubt Putin has much to do with it. Conspiracy theories have always been very popular in that part of the world. It's unusual to see a publich official spouting off in that manner, but it's not particularly surprising either.

  14. Re:Malice? by hedwards · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This is one of the reasons why Russia is still best considered a second world nation. And will be for some time.

  15. Re:Not even good lies by sxltrex · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Let's take a closer look at this list:

    1) Sputnik 1 (first satellite): 1957
    2) Yuri Gagarin (first man in space, first orbit): 1961
    3) Valentina Tereshkova (first woman in space): 1963
    4) Luna 2 (first [successful] moon probe): 1959
    5) According to Wikipedia, every Soviet Mars mission prior to Mariner 4 (first Mars fly-by [US]) failed.
    6) According to Wikipedia, every Soviet Venus mission prior to Mariner 2 (first Venus fly-by [US]) failed.
    7) Salyut 1 (first space station): 1971

    So other than their currently operating Soyuz craft, the most recent entry on your list is over 40 years old. I understand the point you were trying to make, but you have to keep in mind that things change, and the current Soviet space program is not nearly as noteworthy as the space program you described.

  16. Re:Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by jeffmeden · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You don't think that those places feature actual armed slave drivers who are holding hostage every single productive person in the country, do you? There will always be dissidents but by and large those nations have a stable base of people who genuinely agree with the regime about how they should feel regarding outside aggressors (like the US). Why do you think they take such pains to control all forms of media? A regime that requires as many armed guards as citizens is not going to last very long, they are very apt at using fear as inspiration. What better way to stave off rebellion than to convince the citizenry that the only thing worse than the current regime is the regime that wants to overthrow it?

  17. Re:aaaaaah, historically by Maimun · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Nonsense. The so called "revolution" was in fact the coming to power of the red monsters -- the most efficient mass murderers of the XX century. This mad cult had VERY LITTLE popular support at the moment and got the power for two reasons only: 1) they were ruthless fanatics, well disciplined and devoid of human doubts and compassion 2) they were well supported by Germany (try searching online for "Parvus" to find out who organized the transport of Lenin and the other madmen to St Petersburg; without the German assistance, those madmen would have achieved nothing).

    The Western powers were quite right in the attempt to remove the madmen from power and restore civilization. Regrettably, they acted without firm determination and let the red monsters establish their empire of evil.

  18. Re:Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by Nutria · · Score: 5, Insightful

    this in no way sounds like the typical Russian hot-air.

    Why in fuck's sake would we (a) sabotage a scientific mission, and (b) piss off the people who carry us to the ISS?

    Chances are reasonable, intentional or otherwise, one of these stations may have unduly influenced the operation of their rocket.

    Do you have *any* rational evidence to support this hooch-addled paranoia?

    --
    "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
  19. Re:Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by mbkennel · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "Chances are reasonable, intentional or otherwise, one of these stations may have unduly influenced the operation of their rocket."

    Actually that's insane. What is the (a) physics of doing so? (Heating the atmosphere over a wide patch is what they do to study ionosphere) What's the cross section of power applied directly on the satellite? Notice that when you want to aim something precisely (and hitting a satellite in orbit requires LOTS of precision) you need to use short wavelengths, like say an optical laser, and then you have to precisely compensate for atmospheric aberrations. The radio research facilities instead use wavelengths of a number of meters long, which of course diffracts and spreads out just a wee bit more.

    And then what is (b) the motivation for doing so? In detail. Screwing with a scientific probe going to Mars? Dr Strangelove types aren't particularly impressed or care about some nerd spacecraft. What's in it for The Conspirators?

    c) "there are powerful interests in the US who absolutely do not want to rely on Russia for space access" -- but are apparently insufficiently powerful to get the USA to spend the money to fund ongoing operations and develop the next generation simultaneously. Well, since in your conspiracy theory the US *is* in fact dependent on Russia, then why sabotage Russian rockets? Why not sabotage Russian rockets only after the US gets its space access back?

    And besides, the US is is not dependent on Russia for space access overall: the military and intelligence communities happily continue to buy launches on expensive Boeing/Lockheed ULA rockets, it's just that NASA can't afford (isn't given funding for) these ones and will have to hitch rides on bargain basement SpaceX hardware in a few years.