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Robert Boisjoly Dies At 73, the Engineer Who Tried To Stop the Challenger Launch

demachina writes "Robert Boisjoly has died at the age of 73. Boisjoly, Allan J. McDonald and three others argued through the night of 27 January, 1986 to stop the following day's Challenger launch, but Joseph Kilminster, their boss at Morton Thiokol, overruled them. NASA managers didn't listen to the engineers. Both Boisjoly and McDonald were blackballed for speaking out. NASA's mismanagement 'is not going to stop until somebody gets sent to hard rock hotel,' Boisjoly said after the 2003 Columbia disaster. 'I don't care how many commissions you have. These guys have a way of numbing their brains. They have destroyed $5 billion worth of hardware and 14 lives because of their nonsense.'"

380 comments

  1. In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    They have destroyed $5 billion worth of hardware and 14 lives because of their nonsense.

    (This is going to be incredibly insensitive torwards those lives that were lost, but it has to be said.) 17 lives lost in the last 50 years of U.S. space exploration really is not too bad considering how many lives where lost during other times of exploration, pioneering eras and the building of industry. I think NASA tries to be perfect and after all they are rocket scientists, but to assume that NASA is the only place that has mismanagement is incredibly naive. Look at the rest of government. Look at the military. Look at the FDA for crying out loud. Am I saying that you should have deaths? No, what I'm saying is that you need to have a little perspective. Only 17 lives lost in 50 years means that you're at least doing something right to safeguard all the other lives that you saved through careful proceedure and cool heads.

    1. Re:In perspective by jcreus · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You deserve to be modded down. Every life lost, that could have been avoided, is a disaster (and not great even taking into account superpopulation, I suppose your family wouldn't like you to be dead, the 17 people's neither). And, clearly, the Challanger disaster could have been avoided as this guy proved. By the way, here's a quick link on Wikipedia about him.

    2. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But it's still 17 too many.

    3. Re:In perspective by elsurexiste · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This is going to be incredibly insensitive torwards those lives that were lost...

      If you are so sure, maybe you shouldn't say it. Right?

      My 2: 17 may be a low number, but 3 is a much lower one, and you only needed to hear your engineers!

      --
      I rarely respond to comments. Also, don't ask for clarifications: a brain and Google are faster, believe me!
    4. Re:In perspective by JoeMerchant · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Columbus, Magellan and Bligh were not broadcast live on world-wide TV.

    5. Re:In perspective by LighterShadeOfBlack · · Score: 5, Insightful

      17 lives lost in the last 50 years of U.S. space exploration really is not too bad considering how many lives where lost during other times of exploration, pioneering eras and the building of industry.

      But when those losses could have been prevented had the people with authority not ignored those with operational knowledge then it really is unacceptable. If someone gets struck by a micro-meteor out in space or dies because of a serious failure after weeks of operation then yeah, that kind of thing can be considered the price of pioneering; the kind of stuff you just can't practically account for. Dying in an explosion seconds after launch from a fault that was detectable and warned against prior to launch is not.

      --
      Spelling mistakes, grammatical errors, and stupid comments are intentional.
    6. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Make it some actual statistics (17 over how many people sent to space + compare with relevant statistics about "other times of exploration, pioneering eras and the building of industry") and maybe then we'll discuss whether they're doing something right or not ...

    7. Re:In perspective by sl4shd0rk · · Score: 5, Interesting

      > 17 lives lost in the last 50 years of U.S. space exploration really is not too bad

      Understand your reasoning but that's not the point here. Those lives and money were lost due to human negligence and pure bullheadedness. The loss was easily preventable.

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    8. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

      In perspective, at the very least the challenger disaster could have been avoided, as it's clearly stated the problem was known but management refused to listen. The columbia disaster was also just waiting to happen, they knew about the foam issue, but didn't know how to deal with it so just hoped for the best. You are a disgrace for defending the negligence that caused such unnecessary loss of life.

    9. Re:In perspective by ameen.ross · · Score: 1
      --
      $(echo cm0gLXJmIC8= | base64 --decode)
    10. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes it is insensitive, to the tune of "A single death is a tragedy, a million deaths is a statistic." ~ Joseph Stalin (1879-1953)

    11. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      I have had NASA contracts, they almost broke me. Their main concern was, "where does the NASA sticker go?". I vowed to become homeless before ever taking on another NASA contract. And I never have.

    12. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Am I saying that you should have deaths? No, what I'm saying is that you need to have a little perspective. Only 17 lives lost in 50 years means that you're at least doing something right to safeguard all the other lives that you saved through careful proceedure and cool heads.

      Those 14 lives could of been saved from preventive measure. So I'm not entirely convinced with your opinion. It doesn't make sense. If you can save lives because someone with a brain says "don't go there, cancel it" then you better listen to him. For fuck sakes, he's an engineer not some idiot citizen who doesn't know what do say.

    13. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      you only needed to hear your engineers!

      you need information on the false positive rate for engineers' warnings before making such a statement.

    14. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even engineers have been wrong about that kind of stuff before.

      Some engineers seem to make bank on saying "That'll never work" like a bunch of negative harpies, and while in raw terms they're wrong more often than not, when they are right, they crow about it so they seem like the Second Coming.

      I have read a book where a mercenary captain made a point to record advice the complete opposite of what he said in council just so he could prove that he wasn't responsible for whatever happened.

      Do you think it's inconceivable some engineers might also do that?

    15. Re:In perspective by FunPika · · Score: 2

      But still, the total amount of people who were at risk on NASA missions was probably much lower than the number of soldiers at risk of dying in war or the U.S. population at large who is at risk if something dangerous slips past the FDA.

      --
      After years of not using a signature, I am going to make one to say the following: Fuck Beta
    16. Re:In perspective by Leebert · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You deserve to be modded down.

      No, he doesn't. He deserves to have a logical and thoughtful refutation of his opinion posted in reply. I'm so sick of (-1, Disagree).

    17. Re:In perspective by jcreus · · Score: 1

      I believe that every single answer to his post had a logical and thoughtful refutation of his opinion. Most of such replies have been up-modded to insightful.

    18. Re:In perspective by samoanbiscuit · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Who the fuck mods this insightful? How about this for a little perspective: the countless explorers in those previous eras who gave their lives to the crucible of progress, were working with almost no data. Remember that old cliche about "Here Be Dragons"? Not so false in those days when cartography was more of an interpretive art than a useful field. When it comes to space exploration, and especially NASA's efforts, "rocket science" as we like to call it, the physical, mathematical and logistical knowledge from thousands of years of the scientific method and western (and other) civilizations were put to bear on the problem. Any deaths that could have been avoided, such as the Challenger fiasco this brave whistle blower tried to warn NASA about, are UNACCEPTABLE!

    19. Re:In perspective by Aladrin · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I actually agree that we are too cautious in our space explorations. We need to take more risks and spend more money.

      But in this case, they were told exactly what would fail, why, and how. And they argued late into the night, and Boisjoly was so sure that he refused to watch the launch. There was absolutely no doubt in 5 engineers' minds that this would happen.

      This was not an acceptable risk. It was easily avoidable. Not with 14 lives at stake. (The $5 billion ship might have been acceptable, though.)

      --
      "If you make people think they're thinking, they'll love you; But if you really make them think, they'll hate you." - DM
    20. Re:In perspective by ledow · · Score: 3, Interesting

      When you push the boundaries of capability and science, there are bound to be accidents, oversights and, yes, casualties.

      And just because this guy did spot the problem, it doesn't make NASA any less dangerous a place to be in even today, knowing about it. Thousands of cranks and scientists probably doubted every section of every component at one time or another. How many people *thought* there'd be a slight risk of an accident with the numerous things they were responsible for but there never was? It doesn't mean it was right, or he was any more wrong, but it's a HUGE project pushing every capability to the maximum so it's always a risk.

      This is what gets me most about modern warfare. One soldier dies and it's front-page news. Do you have any notion of how many died just a generation or two ago in wars that involved much fewer countries?

      It's a matter of perspective. For those 17, it was tragic. For their families, it was awful. For anyone who knew that it was incredibly sad. For everyone else - they were fecking military test pilots flying something completely outside the normal historical bounds of flight.

      Just how many lives do you think have been claimed by things like land-speed records? Is that tragic? How many by Arctic expeditions just to say they set foot on the pole? How many by people trying to climb Everest for charity? All *completely* avoidable - so long as we don't want to try to do anything like that.

      They still died, of course, and were still human. But, in context, that many people die EVERY WEEK just in ordinary car accidents. These people were on the cutting edge of science, propulsion, flight, control systems, and on one of the hugest amounts of flammable fuel every collected in order to blast off into the most inhospitable environment that humans have ever been in. It's not exactly a shocking amount of deaths, no matter what the circumstances (more people die every time a train derails because someone forgot to check it).

      You can either take it into account and move on, or you can abandon spaceflight entirely because someone might die. One of those progresses science and one doesn't. One of those would shut down CERN, nuclear reactors, etc. overnight and one wouldn't.

      They knew what they were risking, and that's part of *why* they signed up. They didn't *need* to die but the fact that they, or someone doing the same things, died is hardly shocking to even themselves - and shouldn't be to us. Remember them, but don't "blame" them by proxy for us never wanting to put another human on a rocket again.

    21. Re:In perspective by sunderland56 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Fortunately, on the millions of other projects that do succeed, the right calls are made.

      Not exactly. On the millions of other decisions, when the wrong call was made, it was either (a) caught in time, or (b) was non-fatal, or (c) was like Apollo 13, where an engineering mistake caused an extremely serious incident, which was rescued by the brilliance of other engineers.

    22. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You deserve to be modded down.

      No, he doesn't. He deserves to have a logical and thoughtful refutation of his opinion posted in reply. I'm so sick of (-1, Disagree).

      One logical argument, coming right up: those deaths were entirely foreseeable and preventable. It's not like the deaths were a result of limitations of our knowledge, or an absolutely necessary sacrifice for the greater good of humanity. No, those deaths were because some idiotic bureaucrat couldn't be bothered to listen to qualified engineers. Far as I am concerned that guy should be 1) sued by the families for wrongful death and 2) tried for involuntary manslaughter.

      Apparently legal action is the only thing that makes thick-headed organization-type bureaucrats wake up and take notice, cf. the insanity coming out of the public schools. No amount of logic or expertise or forewarning seems to have any effect on them.

    23. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are right, it is a disaster and I do see that. But let's look forward. Do you really expect that over the next 200 years of space exploration that we are going to have 0 disasters? That would be miraculous and its just as unlikely. Every astronaut I would hope has come to terms with the fact that they are risking their lives to try to push humanity forward. Its unfortunate when someone does have to give their life to the cause, but to lay down and not move forward for fear that someone may die for the cause is to disrespect what those before died in pursuit.

      Pretty much everwhere in the United States the attitude towards fixing a problem is that it doesn't get fixed until someone dies. And even then sometimes change is hard. Its a sad reality, but it is a reality.

    24. Re:In perspective by Leebert · · Score: 5, Insightful

      And we've all learned something from that conversation, right? That's why we should be encouraging opinions that differ from ours, not encouraging moderators to silence them. It provokes good discussion.

    25. Re:In perspective by UnknowingFool · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If I predict disaster on every launch for this or that reason and post it on youtube (and delete the video it if there is no disaster), I might become famous on the one time that disaster strikes.

      If he predicted disaster on every launch, you might have had a point. The article and subsequent investigation did not reveal such a fact. It seems that this was the only time he and his coworkers argued against a launch. When someone takes a stand against what they normally do, you should pay attention.

      --
      Well, there's spam egg sausage and spam, that's not got much spam in it.
    26. Re:In perspective by MjDelves · · Score: 3, Interesting

      A good book to read on the background to the Challenger Launch Decision. The deaths were avoidable if the management culture at the time would have listened.

    27. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'd rather heed a thousand false positives if once I save a life.

    28. Re:In perspective by Tastecicles · · Score: 3, Informative

      17 lives lost out of how many flown and returned safely? call it 881 (man-flights) as at midnight UTC 8 Feb 2012. Two lost shuttles from 134 launches. [source]. I think you'll find NASA's safety record is by orders of magnitude worse than the auto industry, commercial airlines, rail, shipping (throughout history)... yet they repeatedly fail to listen to those who build and maintain the vehicles (Morton Thiokol and Rockwell International in the specific cases of Challenger and Columbia respectively) and push for mission efficiency at the cost of safety.

      If I remember the Challenger report correctly it was mentioned that the O-ring problem was not unique to STS-51L, it had occurred on previous flights and NASA were well aware of the effects of subzero temperatures on the compounds used. It took the destruction of Challenger for the issue to finally be addressed with a seal redesign, likewise with Columbia it took the destruction of that vehicle for NASA officials to recommend via the investigation report that the robotic arm, fitted with a high resolution camera, was to be used to inspect particularly the wing roots, but also the rest of the underbelly of the craft once it had reached orbit to check for damage incurred during launch. Why it had not been done previously was, among other things, the extra weight of a camera (which would have required another half ton or so of fuel to bring it into orbit) and the time incursion which would distract at least one crew member and the full employment of the remote arm for upward of a couple hours - but what price life, eh?

      --
      Operation Guillotine is in effect.
    29. Re:In perspective by spectro · · Score: 0

      I agree.

      Trying to hold space travel to a 100% safety standard is ridiculous. If we held any new kind of transportation to such standard we would be still riding horse carriages.

      --
      HTML is obsolete. It's time for a new, simpler and richer markup language.
    30. Re:In perspective by FunPika · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Still, this guy should have been taken somewhat seriously. He had over 20 years of experience, had been working at the company that developed the SRB's for several years, and was ignored even after showing his managers photographic evidence of damage being caused to the O-rings by cold weather with several of his colleagues on the team agreeing.

      --
      After years of not using a signature, I am going to make one to say the following: Fuck Beta
    31. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      No, he does deserver to be moddded down.
      It is not logical in any way. It's one thing to have accidents, and constantly improve to change that, and acompletely different to have people die because they DON'T want to improve, which is what the GP implies.

      Look at seafaring. When there were sailing ships, lives were constantly lost, passengers and freight. As time passed, the number of accidents was reduced, technology improved, that there are still ships sinking, but not because they're made of wood, and people don't die because they lack survival equipment.

      Just because the number of deaths is reduced, that doesn't mean you should stop improving. It's like saying that there's no need to add a beacon to a ship, because the odds of losing ships and passengers are small, so, if they die, it's a very small percentage. That's his reasoning.

      It's exploration, true, but unlike those people that "discovered" America long ago, we hold human life to have some value. Society and civilisation has changed drastically in the past hundred years, please try to keep up.

    32. Re:In perspective by dbIII · · Score: 2

      Somewhere the manager/funder needs to make a weighed decision

      By ignoring everyone with a clue? That's called wishful thinking instead of being any sort of "weighed decision" - and there's that sort of stupidity in the stories behind many disasters.
      Accountants, economists and guys that got a reward for spending time drinking with those that later became powerful have to learn that after they set things in motion they have to leave it to those that actually know how to drive.

    33. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I agree that the total loss of life in 50 years of space exploration (which is an inherently dangerous job) is pretty good. But, the seven astronauts on the Challenger were not lost due to mechanical malfunction. They were lost because of bureaucracy and politics. I can forgive the space agency when they're all standing around saying "WTF?" when something happens. But people knew, and people were told, about the issues before the Challenger ever left Earth, and the information was purposely ignored not because it wasn't scientific, but because of agency agendas and massive bureaucracy. To me, that's the big difference.

    34. Re:In perspective by Overzeetop · · Score: 1

      Or you're not flying that many people. Only about 520 people have gone into space, worldwide.

      --
      Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
    35. Re:In perspective by Hijacked+Public · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Not really, because regardless of their false positive rate the evidence is what the evidence is.

      Actually what you need is an eyes-wide-open, honest evaluation of the data, that isn't tainted by the interests of NASA or its subs or politicians who are have taken some positionon matters related to the above. And good luck with that.

      If you read much Edward Tufte or attend one of his talks, he has a lot to say about the decision making processes for both the Challenger and Columbia incidents. I am dubious that an entire army of actual rocket scientists could have, of their own accord, made multiple data presentation choices that cast their employers in the best possible light. Laying out a graph that eventually helped a room full of smart people decide that the booster seals would be fine on the launch date. When those same data plotted differently showed an obvious direct correlation between failure and ambient temp and they were going to launch on the coldest day yet.

      There is similar manipulating of the data from the Columbia.

      People trying to serve some incidental interest, like preserving a contract or future funding, who are obviously cherry picking the information they share, aren't likely to be swayed by a low false positive rate. They made their decision long before they saw any evidence of anything anyway.

      --
      "Sacrifice for the good of The State" - The State
    36. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Space "exploration"? I can bike further in a day than the Shuttle went up... What, precisely, is being explored?

    37. Re:In perspective by harvey+the+nerd · · Score: 2

      The lives were lost unnecessarily due to politics at different times and levels. From the political contracts that needed segmented boosters for inland transport to repeated gross negligence on the design, monitoring and launch decisions way out of spec. Empty suits are getting away with more and more and more in America. Utterly no accountability.

    38. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The number is a little bit higher than 18.

    39. Re:In perspective by NoNonAlphaCharsHere · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      We should all thank $DEITY that pussies like you weren't around in the time of Magellan. NASA is in the business of exploration, not commuter transit.

    40. Re:In perspective by JoshuaZ · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You deserve to be modded down. Every life lost, that could have been avoided, is a disaster

      This is nice rhetoric. At another level, we do actually make real trade offs involving how many deaths are acceptable. For example, banning personal cars would likely save lives. But we're not going to do it because their convenience is too high. Similarly, in the US many children die drowning in backyard pools. Banning such pools would make sense if all you care about is total deaths. But we're not going to do so, because the overall chance of death is pretty small in any given case. Lots of people also die from alcohol related issues even without counting those from drunk driving. Etc. Etc. It creates a lot of cognitive dissonance to acknowledge that we're actually ok with letting some people die, because we don't like to tell ourselves that we allow that sort of thing. But we're still going to make the tradeoffs.

    41. Re:In perspective by oh_my_080980980 · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Which you would have gotten had you read the article. We're dealing with facts not opinions. Opinions carry no weight.

    42. Re:In perspective by oh_my_080980980 · · Score: 2, Informative

      You are a complete douche bag. These accidents could have been prevented. These lives could have been saved. When an engineer tells you that you have a problem and that lives are at risk it is your responsibility to stop. It's called process safety. Any corporation that has a safety culture understands that. Safety first.

      NASA has demonstrated an utter lack for safety.

      You have demonstrated an utter lack of knowledge on the subject.

    43. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Comparing apples to oranges. It's like trying to exploring the oceans on a boat that is likely to leak and sink. That's 17 lives over the course of how many launches? Those comparison you gave are just pointless as they aren't even remotely similar since the danger types are different (faulty equipment that is 100% chance to kill if fails vs say an army that's trying to kill you). Faulty equipment can be prevented and mitigated or are you saying that isn't something that should be held in high efforts?

      But in this scenario, we had someone who warned management of the dangers yet it was ignored. This isn't so much about death but about ignoring the warning signs from the people most knowledgeable about it. Their handling on the entire issue was quite simply wrong and that is the entire problem.

    44. Re:In perspective by oh_my_080980980 · · Score: 1

      Are you an utter moron or do you like to ignore the facts. The engineers stated the facts for the problem which had been known for over a year. Physicist Richard Feynman who investigated the accident gave a very simple example of how O rings could fail in cold temperatures.

      When lives are at stake, you err on the side of caution.

    45. Re:In perspective by kubernet3s · · Score: 5, Insightful

      As you say, they are rocket scientists. Which means that when the rocket scientists say don't go, you don't go, because they are the goddam rocket scientists and no matter how "cool" your head is, you know less than them about rocket scientist. Yes, there are mismanaged agencies all over the world and all throughout history. However, when the military makes a poor decision, or the FDA, they at least have the defenses that their endeavors are risky to begin with, that they have responsibilities that at times conflict with careful procedure, and that their management requires the synthesis of varied data towards a relatively nebulous end. Space programs are feats of science and engineering, both of which are far more concrete in their aims and guidelines. If a research program in say, a university laboratory, experienced accidents on the scale of the challenger disaster, large inquiries would be launched, and the guilty parties or policies identified, rather than the "whoopsie!" reaction NASA seems to always give, which given that they were forewarned in this case is especially troubling.

      While your exploration analogy appeals well to intuition, it is disingenuous insofar as space exploration is not a group of bold pioneers setting out with bowie knives and covered wagons, nor is it a capitalist enterprise where a few workers caught in the gears are considered acceptable losses: it is a careful and scientific exploration of human capability, and in such an exploration, care, more than speed or distance or results, is paramount. The Challenger disaster was a failed experiment, not in that it returned an unwelcome result, but that in it return no result of use. We now know that when you send humans into space with equipment you know to be faulty, there is a chance they will perish: how does that enrich our understanding? A failed exploration at least illuminates the conditions for failure; a slew of workplace accidents are unlikely to spoil the products of industry even as they illuminate no hazards. There was no illumination here, because the initial conditions were known, and led to the result we were almost certain to obtain. If a death happens, it happens. If a death happens, and it could have been prevented, but was not due to any concern which is ancillary to the central aim of the endeavor, is unforgiveable

    46. Re:In perspective by MiniMike · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This is going to be incredibly insensitive torwards those lives that were lost...

      If you are so sure, maybe you shouldn't say it. Right?

      He shouldn't keep quiet because he's insensitive. He should keep quiet because his argument is poorly thought out. It is not proper to compare human losses in other irrelevant or loosely related areas to losses in space exploration. The Challenger disaster simply would not have happened if the management had listened to the engineers. The Columbia disaster was caused by a known problem which they had always been lucky with before. Apollo 1 seems to have required several mistakes, including the flammable material in the cabin and the high-pressure O2 in an untested environment. It's clearly impossible to be perfect, but that doesn't mean you should just write off the resultant deaths, and ignore the lessons.

    47. Re:In perspective by JDG1980 · · Score: 0

      The difference is that earlier forms of exploration generally served some useful purpose, while sending humans into space is just a publicity stunt with no real scientific or economic value.

    48. Re:In perspective by oh_my_080980980 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You don't work for a corporation where safety is first. You do not understand what process safety is. No one was pushing the boundaries of space by pushing O rings beyond their safety limits. This was a preventable accident. Your specious arguments don't prove otherwise.

    49. Re:In perspective by oh_my_080980980 · · Score: 1

      Because that's exactly what they wanted....**eye roll*....the accident was preventable. That's the problem. Get a clue.

    50. Re:In perspective by kubernet3s · · Score: 1

      *rocket science. Gosh.

    51. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I've modded up (thus I'm AP), but ...

      No.

      It's very common to have whiners who complain about everything. Nobody listens to them. There's cranks who call in, and you tell them that they have an interesting point then hang up.

      Normal team members *don't* argue late into the night about a safety issue unless they are willing to risk their careers over it. This doesn't happen very often - no-one wants a reputation for being a naysayer unless they have a bloody good reason.

      It's very rare for a good member of the team to say that things are fucked. It just doesn't happen very often, and when it does it should be a big concern. NASA engineers are not neurotic - if something spooks them it's for a good reason. If they talk it over with their colleagues, and their colleagues agree, there is almost certainly a problem.

      This wasn't a matter of one guy saying he was worried about the launch. This was one guy with good evidence, who stood up to his manager with the backing of his colleagues. This is remarkable. You might tell your boss "it could have problems" on a regular basis, just to cover your ass, but no-one tells a manager to delay a project unless there's a really good reason.

    52. Re:In perspective by dragonhunter21 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      There's no such thing as an accident. Everything has a cause. Unshielded electronics that shorts out in LEO? Not an accident. Mistake kilometers for miles and crash your probe into Mars? Not an accident. Lightning strike on takeoff? Not an accident- weather guy should have done his job. Launching your vehicle when it's so cold your O-rings get brittle and burn through the supports for your SRB? Not an accident. Foam-strike on liftoff that punches through the wing and causes the vehicle to break up on re-entry, when such foam strikes had been documented before? Not an accident.

      The blame falls on the engineers- until the engineers raise a fuss and the management ignores it. Someone is always accountable. Always.

      --
      Sent from my CR-48
    53. Re:In perspective by voss · · Score: 4, Insightful

      We are not talking about 17 lives in 50 years. We are talking about 3 human lives lost during the entire 17 year Mercury, Gemini and Apollo eras with 0 lost during actual flight versus the 25 year shuttle era that lost 2 of the 4 shuttles with 14 crew in 50 flights. The problem is NASA spacecraft should be getting safer, less expensive and more reliable and instead were getting more expensive and less reliable and less safe. Project Constellation was more of the same with senators putting safety considerations secondary to contracts for their home districts.

    54. Re:In perspective by JoeMerchant · · Score: 4, Insightful

      To the Offtopic mod... the connection to topic is that the "acceptable risk" reference above was talking about the last age of exploration. There were high risks taken during the last age of exploration, but they were more acceptable mostly because the risk takers went out of sight and either returned triumphantly or didn't return at all. Even those who returned with tales of horror were relating stories of events that happened months ago, out of sight and largely unimaginable to the listener.

      Live TV puts the situation right in everyone's face, immediate, real, and something they can empathize with. People watching Challenger blow felt the explosion themselves. It makes the risk less acceptable.

      Live TV cut popular support out from under the Vietnam War - it was no more gruesome than WWII or WWI, but it was wholly less acceptable to the voting public - for many reasons of course, but having the war brought live to your living room has a way of making it just a little more important to your decision making processes.

    55. Re:In perspective by dragonhunter21 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      When the complaint is theoretical, yeah sure. When your engineers are complaining about frozen O-rings and are showing you video of O-rings spitting fire, or when your engineers are complaining about foam shedding from the fuel tank and have numerous videos of that exact occurrence happening, that's different.

      --
      Sent from my CR-48
    56. Re:In perspective by Leebert · · Score: 4, Insightful

      For the record, I don't believe YOUR post deserves to be modded down, either. I'm sorry to see that it's been done, and I fear it might have been induced by my reply.

      In my opinion, Flamebait and Troll are actions of intention. When I moderate down, I try to discern the intention of the poster -- were they attempting to incite something? Did they or should they have known better? Even if they were trying to incite something, do they have a legitimate point that CAN be replied to in an informative way?

      Of course, more often I more try to find a good point-counterpoint thread and upmod both sides.

    57. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Space "exploration"? I can bike further in a day than the Shuttle went up... What, precisely, is being explored?

      Ummm, a place that you can't ride your bike to?

    58. Re:In perspective by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      Mod parent down. The Columbia disaster wasn't some pioneering venture gone wrong because people didn't understand it, it was a well polished technology that failed due to incompetence and mismanagement in spite of forewarning by the people who existed purely to keep it in check. The government doesn't do anything well but war - stick to your job and be happy when you are just on standby assholes.

      I never thought of the Shuttle program as well polished technology, even after 100+ flights - the tiles falling off had a lot to do with that, but all in all, it's a highly orchestrated endeavor with very few actual complete executions. In 1986, it was definitely still raw.

    59. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's true, but still kind of beside the point. This was not an example of an intelligent tradeoff being made, or a reasonable risk being taken, that happened to end badly. This is a case where the best analysis available said one thing, and the managers did the opposite.

      By way of illustration, I work in the pharma industry. Many of our drugs can cause dangerous side effects, and even death, but doctors still prescribe them because the risk-benefit analysis says that it's better to treat the disease even with an imperfect drug. But in the past, when drug companies have put out unsafe drugs, or have inaccurately expressed the risks associated with a product (think Vioxx, or fen-phen) they've been rightly hammered for it. I don't think most people would find it acceptable if one of our clinical trials said 'drug X is pretty dangerous and will likely kill people' and we shrugged and put it out anyway.

    60. Re:In perspective by AJH16 · · Score: 1

      Your argument seems decent until you consider the overall population size you are dealing with. Not that many people have been launched in to space. There have only been 165 manned launches of which 2 resulted in fatalities. That's more than 1% error. That's still a pretty significantly high margin, even in comparison to other forms of exploration (at least recently). We certainly have gotten better than we were in the past, but I wouldn't say that it was all that impressive either.

      --
      AJ Henderson
    61. Re:In perspective by PT_1 · · Score: 1

      Space "exploration"? I can bike further in a day than the Shuttle went up... What, precisely, is being explored?

      I know you're trolling, but... No you can't.

      'Once in orbit, the Shuttle usually flew at an altitude of 200 miles (321.9 km), and occasionally as high as 400 miles.'

    62. Re:In perspective by spectro · · Score: 0

      Every accident is preventable... after the fact.

      What would have happened if we had applied the same mindset after the first fatal car or airplane accident? Would these technologies ever develop?

      100% safety is impossible. There is always something you miss, and you will only discover after an accident. You can either get paralized by it and stop any further development while commissions investigate for years resulting in added bureaucracy or you can take calculated risks and press on.

      The FAA would have never allowed the Wright Brothers to take off in their experimental plane, too unsafe.

      --
      HTML is obsolete. It's time for a new, simpler and richer markup language.
    63. Re:In perspective by Leebert · · Score: 1, Troll

      No, he does deserver to be moddded down.
      It is not logical in any way.

      If it's so self-evidently logical that the OP is wrong, why did you feel the need to enlighten us with an explanation of why he was wrong? Was it a waste of time, or did you possibly impart some knowledge that wouldn't have been passed on if the original statement had never been made? You did EXACTLY what should be done, instead of moderating an opinion into oblivion and leaving it unanswered, you replied and refuted it. THAT is the way that Slashdot comments are fruitful, not by abusing the moderation system.

    64. Re:In perspective by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1
    65. Re:In perspective by JoshuaZ · · Score: 1

      Sure. No disagreement. My response was completely about the generalization which I quoted. In the case in question, it seems pretty clear that what happened with Challenger was the wrong result.

    66. Re:In perspective by AJH16 · · Score: 1

      Better info I found a bit later on wikipedia
      "By space program, 18 NASA astronauts (4.1%) and four Russian cosmonauts (0.9% of all the people launched) died while in a spacecraft." So not only is it fairly high (over 4% by population carried in to space), but Russia had a significantly better safety record, so it at least in theory was avoidable.

      --
      AJ Henderson
    67. Re:In perspective by ugglybabee · · Score: 4, Informative

      I remember that after Apollo 11, it was said that the American space program had cost 8 lives. The figure comes from a Time-Life audio documentary entitled "To the Moon" that I listened to dozens of times as a kid, and I feel absolutely certain that was the number used, though I don't know what that would refer to beyond Apollo 1 . That would bring the total for fifty years up to 23. Here's wikipedia's list of space program accidents, including non-fatalities and Russian accidents. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_spaceflight-related_accidents_and_incidents

    68. Re:In perspective by Pieroxy · · Score: 0

      Facts are facts, but as soon as they're written on a media, they become opinions. There are no facts written down. None. Just the opinion of the person writing about said facts.

    69. Re:In perspective by ugglybabee · · Score: 2

      I believe that every single answer to his post had a logical and thoughtful refutation of his opinion. Most of such replies have been up-modded to insightful.

      Except for the the one that said "you deserve to be modded down". Not logical. Not thoughtful.

    70. Re:In perspective by Pieroxy · · Score: 1, Insightful

      You are right. We should try to eradicate death.

      Ah, also, if we shut up every time we might hurt someone, the internet would be nothing but a blank page.

      Think for a minute.

    71. Re:In perspective by Boscrossos · · Score: 1

      See, the thing is, it's not: launch=> possible lives lost, not launch=> no consequences. Not launching means waiting for a new launch window, with the associated running costs, investors and superiors getting impatient,... There is an opportunity cost to those false positives. Does that mean in this case he was right not to listen? I don't think so. But that is in full possession of the facts as given in TFA, and with my 20/20 hindsight glasses on. Maybe the engineers didn't present their case very well at the time? Maybe the guy was under pressure from superiors/investors/government to get the launch going? Without his side of the story, you cannot simply decide he was wrong.

      For what it's worth, I think he was wrong. I 've seen many similar cases were "management", due to only being trained to manage, was incapable of grasping what the engineers were blabbing about. But I also think you cannot categorically state he should be tried and convicted without knowing what happened from both sides.

      --
      Jesus saves... the rest takes full damage.
    72. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think it would be more meaningful to know what percent of lives were lost over the last 50 years of exploration. I don't know how many total people dared to go where no-one has gone before, but if 17 is a large percentage of that, then I don't think your point has as much merit.

    73. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I would love a (0, Disagree). I've seen very good posts that I don't agree with. I don't want to vote up or down. Or something similar.

    74. Re:In perspective by ed1park · · Score: 0

      Some of us don't take comfort in statistics. Without people like Boisjoly, the numbers would be much worse. This attitude of complacency is what allows incompetent and amoral people to create these disasters like BP, Fukushima, etc.

      The solution? Make management directly responsible financially and with prison sentences. If they cause economic disasters, then they should be personally liable until bankruptcy with no option of insurance. If the actions are criminal, then long prison sentences should be mandatory. And if people die from their negligence, they need to be executed. Whistle-blowers should not be the ones persecuted.

      People act differently when there is no conflict of interest and know they will be held accountable.

    75. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The problem is risk management is difficult to conceptualize for many people. If you take enough risks and don’t get burned, your perception of how dangerous something is becomes skewed. False positives add to the problem. Time and again the naysayers are proven wrong. Then one day, surprise, the naysayers get it right.

      Don’t be so hard on the managers, it affects all of us. The only difference is when we screw up, rarely do people die, although sometimes they do. Also, it usually costs less than $5 billion, although based on the jump in your insurance rates, it seem like you did at least a billion or two in damage.

    76. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      politicians, bureaucrast, influence peddlers? neither accountable, though these should be the most accountable...

    77. Re:In perspective by demachina · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You overlook the fact that, as a result of the Challenger accident, the Shuttle program was severly damaged. Prior to Challenger it was an aggressive program pushing boundaries, afterward it become conservative, limited and cautious. In the wake of Columbia it was crippled, and was relegated to almost the bare essential missions needed to finish and support the ISS. The Air Force largely abandoned the Shuttle and returned to expendable launchers, though many think they wanted to do that anyway and Challenger was just a convenient excuse.

      Shuttles were also different than expendable launchers. They were very limited in number, expensive and difficult to build especially after the assembly line had shut down so you couldn't afford to lose any of them without damaging the whole program.

      The loss of life aside, the consequences of the twin disasters were the entire program was wrecked, the U.S. manned spaced program was crippled, may never recover at NASA, and it was all preventable and unnecessary. At this point companies like SpaceX are probably the only hope for a recovery because they are culturally free of most of the problems afflicting NASA's culture. To be successful in a technology intensive endeavor like space exploration engineers need to have a dominant voice in the program. Their voice can't be drowned out by bureaucrats and program managers with insufficient regard for the engineering.

      --
      @de_machina
    78. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Obviously you've never tried to prevent human negligence and pure bullheadedness. They are natural phenomena.

    79. Re:In perspective by Eloking · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Every life lost, that could have been avoided, is a disaster.

      Oh that's so sweet of you. Oh and FYI, +20 000 kids die each day due to war, famine, disease etc. (source wikipedia).

      I am going to be honest, I don't care if 15 astronauts died in that disaster (the stoppage in space exploration in the other hand isn't, but that's another debate). You can all argue with me as much as you want, those astronaut live doesn't worth more in my eye as human being than the millions that die around the world each week. Sometime, I found it deeply immoral that we put so much value in people only because we see them in the news.

      At last, they (probably) had great lives and died without suffering

      --
      Elok
    80. Re:In perspective by Gordonjcp · · Score: 2

      Just how many lives do you think have been claimed by things like land-speed records? Is that tragic? How many by Arctic expeditions just to say they set foot on the pole? How many by people trying to climb Everest for charity? All *completely* avoidable - so long as we don't want to try to do anything like that.

      Here's a car analogy to make it clearer.

      You could avoid dying in a horrible fiery accident by never driving your car. However, your car is mostly not on fire, so driving it is usually relatively safe.

      If I tell you "Don't drive the car, it has a split fuel hose that is pishing diesel all over the hot turbocharger and it will likely go on fire", and you drive the car, and the split hose pishes diesel all over the hot bits and it explodes and you die a hideous deaith in a horrible fiery accident, then that was an avoidable accident similar to the ones we're talking about here. This is an accident that would not normally occur, were the car to be operated within normal parameters (ie. not pishing diesel over the hot engine).

    81. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      that's your opinion about it, yes.

    82. Re:In perspective by cavreader · · Score: 2

      Great gains sometimes require great risks. You can attempt to reduce the risk but you can not totally eliminate it. If NASA attempted to ensure that there is no possibility of failure we would not have a space program. Even unmanned launches require the willingness to accept the risk factors. A rocket could explode on takeoff killing ground personnel, the rocket could fail to reach orbit and plunge back down on top of someones house. Those who have died in the various accidents were volunteers who knew about and were willing to take the necessary risks. Those lost deserve to be mourned and remembered for their contributions in advancing space capabilities.

    83. Re:In perspective by cptdondo · · Score: 2

      OK to some extent. However, the Challenger deaths were pointless; the decision was made to favor publicity over engineering. So people died because NASA PHBs and political hacks didn't want to delay a highly publicized launch.

      When a military pilot gets in an experimental plane, s/he knows it's experimental and knows s/he is wagering their life for the excitement of doing something no one has ever done.

      That's very different from getting killed because a political hack didn't want a minor inconvenience of scrubbing a launch due to bad weather.

    84. Re:In perspective by ledow · · Score: 0

      Actually, it's more akin to a rubber seal manufacturer being in a phone call with Ford and saying "You know that car you're about to release? We think that possibly one of our engineers may have identified a problem."

      Then Ford saying: "Okay, is it something we should recall the car for or not produce it?"

      And then replying: "No. Hold on. Whisper, whisper, whisper. No, it'll be fine. It's no problem at all. Sorry to have bothered you."

      The guy that the article is about was the engineer. The company he worked for took it through several levels of management and hushed it up. NASA are hardly completely to blame - they queried it and were told it was fine by the people who engineered that component.

      What that has to do with taking risks I have no idea - sure, it was "potentially" avoidable but do we know how many times things like that happen over the decades needed to plan a shuttle launch with some millions of components and thousands of outside company, which employ collectively millions of people? And how many times they were "right" and how many times they were just paranoid, or even how many times their paranoia led to problems itself? No.

      Spaceflight is high-risk, even with every control in the world. There hasn't been a space traveller yet that hasn't been made aware of that, private, military or commercial.

    85. Re:In perspective by MinnMac · · Score: 1

      Respectfully, bureaucratic roadblocks to engineers warning of loss of life due to technical difficulties are not "really not too bad". This would be the equivalent of a middle manager telling a crash test engineer to drop a concern about brakes not working on a new car model because the brakes will fail at 50K miles. If this were to happen now, and people were to die, would this be "not too bad" considering how many miles of driving the cars have had successfully?

    86. Re:In perspective by dbIII · · Score: 2

      When those same data plotted differently showed an obvious direct correlation between failure and ambient temp and they were going to launch on the coldest day yet.

      It's so obvious that ever since it's been the textbook example to teach first year engineering students about the glass transition temperature in polymers. It was also pretty obvious before - I remember even seeing a 1970s or early 1980s children's program where rubber was soaked in liquid nitrogen for a while and then taken out and shattered with a hammer.

    87. Re:In perspective by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Or if you are slow, perhaps a little longer than a minute and you will understand that what you've written has little or nothing to do with what the person you replied to wrote.

    88. Re:In perspective by hplus · · Score: 1

      I don't see where the GP claims anything is 'self evidently' logical. Instead, it's just plain old, explanation-need logical.

    89. Re:In perspective by Builder · · Score: 1

      Bullshit.

      1+1=2

      That's a fact, not an opinion, even though it's written down.

    90. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're forgetting that a layperson was conscripted and told nothing of the added risk, which was deeply unethical. At least if you were founding Plymouth, you had a pretty good idea that it was a risky venture.

    91. Re:In perspective by BVis · · Score: 1

      The computer (or phone, or tablet) you're using to type that comment is a direct result of the effort to put man into space. The space program gave us the integrated circuit.

      --
      Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups.
    92. Re:In perspective by L4t3r4lu5 · · Score: 1

      17 lives lost in the last 50 years of U.S. space exploration really is not too bad

      Agreed. Now, what is the ratio of deaths to activities undertaken? By that, I mean that the FDA will have done thousands of risky things in 50 years; How many has NASA done? Are we talking orders of magnitude difference? If NASA has 17 deaths over 20 activities, and the FDA has 300 deaths over 6000, it's not so clear cut a distinction anymore.

      --
      Finally had enough. Come see us over at https://soylentnews.org/
    93. Re:In perspective by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 3, Informative

      I remember that after Apollo 11, it was said that the American space program had cost 8 lives. The figure comes from a Time-Life audio documentary entitled "To the Moon" that I listened to dozens of times as a kid, and I feel absolutely certain that was the number used, though I don't know what that would refer to beyond Apollo 1

      Several astronauts died in non-space flight related accidents - See and Barret in a trainer aircraft crash, for example, as others to bring the total to eight. Two were not NASA astronauts - one an X15 pilot and the other in the USAF MOL program. He would have been the first African American astronaut had he not been killed in a plane crash. Unfortunately, the MOL Program is largely forgotten.

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    94. Re:In perspective by waives · · Score: 1

      As someone who doesn't bike regularly, I've completed a century (100 mile ride) in less than 5 hours. 200 miles in a day should be no problem for an experienced racer, and even 400 miles is probably not outside the realm of possibility.

    95. Re:In perspective by torgis · · Score: 1

      This is a valid point, and not just for the space travel field.

      The medical field is always evolving and learning new and improved methods, but is also rife with error. Look at the malpractice numbers for any state for any given year and they number in the thousands or tens of thousands. If even a small percentage of these result in a death, then we are easily 14 many times over. Just because someone dies quietly on an operating table instead of a spectacular fireball, doesn't make their death any less relevant.

      I'd say 17 lives lost in 50 years is a stellar accomplishment, considering what we've achieved. Should the Challenger have flown that morning? Of course not. But NASA (hopefully) learned their lesson and an incident like that will never, ever happen again. Americans need to inure themselves to this sort of tragic loss for the sake of science and exploration, or they will be eclipsed by countries such as China, India, and Russia, that are willing to take those risks. The astronauts and explorers who do this sort of thing know what they are getting into. They weigh the possibility of dying on one hand with the possibility of being forever immortalized in the annals of history on the other. People have done that since the beginning of time, or we'd all still be huddling around campfires on a prairie somewhere.

    96. Re:In perspective by LoyalOpposition · · Score: 1

      1+1=2 That's a fact, not an opinion, even though it's written down.

      Actually, "1 + 1 = 2" is not a fact. It's an assumption.

      ~Loyal

      --
      I aim to misbehave.
    97. Re:In perspective by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You deserve to be modded down.

      No, he doesn't. He deserves to have a logical and thoughtful refutation of his opinion posted in reply. I'm so sick of (-1, Disagree).

      One logical argument, coming right up: those deaths were entirely foreseeable and preventable. It's not like the deaths were a result of limitations of our knowledge, or an absolutely necessary sacrifice for the greater good of humanity. No, those deaths were because some idiotic bureaucrat couldn't be bothered to listen to qualified engineers. Far as I am concerned that guy should be 1) sued by the families for wrongful death and 2) tried for involuntary manslaughter. Apparently legal action is the only thing that makes thick-headed organization-type bureaucrats wake up and take notice, cf. the insanity coming out of the public schools. No amount of logic or expertise or forewarning seems to have any effect on them.

      While NASA has it's share of bureaucrats; the real problem is not that they are thick headed or unwilling to listen; rather it's a systemic organizational problem that is not unique to NASA or the government. Everything from misunderstanding the risks involved (it was safe last time so it must be safe now); how data is presented and the tendency for technical people (much of NASA's leadership are technically trained) to disagree on what the data represents leads to a poor decision (in retrospect).,/P>

      It's a lot easier to say "That was wrong" after the fact than before.

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    98. Re:In perspective by UnknowingFool · · Score: 2

      I agree with you on your point but one thing that bothers me about the Columbia disaster was NASA bureaucracy fell into same pattern as Challenger. NASA engineers spotted the foam hit on review of the launch. Unfortunately they could not get any detail images of the area that was struck while the Columbia was docked as the positioning of the shuttle was such that the space station cameras could not see it. They asked for satellite images (and repositioning). Denied. They asked for an EVA with a camera. Denied. They asked for a short delay in the return to study the problem longer. Denied. In essence they were asked to proved it was a danger with one manager actually arguing it would be bad for PR to delay the shuttle return for safety concerns.

      --
      Well, there's spam egg sausage and spam, that's not got much spam in it.
    99. Re:In perspective by OneSmartFellow · · Score: 0

      There's no such thing as an accident

      A bit harsh when humans are involved.

      I'm walking down the street, get 'distracted' by a hot looking girl (oops, forget this is slashdot), and bump into you. You on the other hand were walking down the street towards me, and looking at the Apple Store shop window (proving that you really are a dweeb instead of a geek), and weren't really paying attention to me approaching. Is this an accident ?

    100. Re:In perspective by torgis · · Score: 1

      Facts are facts, but as soon as they're written on a media, they become opinions. There are no facts written down. None. Just the opinion of the person writing about said facts.

      I don't follow this logic.

      Let's take an irrefutable fact, such as 2+2=4. In the abstract, it doesn't matter if I'm talking about the theory of the math behind it, the symbolism of using numbers to represent concepts or actual objects, or the like. 2+2=4, simple as that. If I have two apples, and two more apples, I have 4 apples. So 2+2=4, and that's a fact.

      Since I wrote it down, is it now my opinion? That would mean that, somewhere out there, someone has an equally valid but differing opinion on the matter, such as 2+2=potato. I don't buy that at all.

      Facts are irrefutable, that is the nature of a fact.

    101. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Should we count the 2 lives lost in a helicopter crash looking for the Columbia debris? Or do you have to be an astronaut to be tallied in the US space exploration deaths?

    102. Re:In perspective by paiute · · Score: 1

      You don't work for a corporation where safety is first. You do not understand what process safety is. No one was pushing the boundaries of space by pushing O rings beyond their safety limits. This was a preventable accident. Your specious arguments don't prove otherwise.

      I have worked for corporations where safety was first. Guess what - they still had accidents. Not as many as corporations which didn't give a shit, but nonzero nevertheless. Murphy was right. A system will eventually find all of its points of failure. Process safety is designing systems to minimize the number of those points.

      --
      If Slashdot were chemistry it would look like this:Cadaverine
    103. Re:In perspective by torgis · · Score: 1

      Ah, no. The concept of 1+1=2 is an assumption, and that is Peano's opinion to boot. The underlying logic, that taking one instance of an object and another instance of an object and combining them together yields two instances of that object, is a fact. 1+1=2 is just the symbolism we use to represent that.

    104. Re:In perspective by Multiplicity · · Score: 1

      Human life is overrated.

    105. Re:In perspective by Minwee · · Score: 1

      As someone who doesn't bike regularly, I've completed a century (100 mile ride) in less than 5 hours. 200 miles in a day should be no problem for an experienced racer, and even 400 miles is probably not outside the realm of possibility.

      Spending the next three days travelling in circles at 17,285 mph may be a bit more challenging, but you probably have a nicer bike than mine.

    106. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wait...

      So if I wrote "I just ate an apple." It becomes an opinion even though I really ate an apple?

      And all those college engineering text books that contains countless equations are all opinions?!

      And that 1+1 can really be equal to 11!?!?!

      *head explodes* (from stupidity of comment)

    107. Re:In perspective by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Except in this incident there was a substantially higher chance of failure, and they new it.

      Everyone knows mission are dangerous. That is why there is a very high standard of quality.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    108. Re:In perspective by Zeromous · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This is why management has no business in risk analysis. Management needs to stick to risk *reporting* and decision making based on a proper risk assessment carried out by engineers ESPECIALLY when lives and billions in equipment are on the line. You are really just saying the same thing as the parent post, except that it is somehow acceptable (or at the very least understandable!) that, managers are making poor risk assessments. It's neither acceptable nor excusable.

      It's an awful strawman to point out that hindsight is always 20-20. Of course it is!

      --
      ---Up Up Down Down Left Right Left Right B A START
    109. Re:In perspective by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      17 American lives (the Russians have lost a few, too) in fifty years compared to 45,000 lives every single year in auto accidents? Sounds to me like NASA's safety record os pretty damned impressive. As is the ESA, Russia, and everybody else's.

    110. Re:In perspective by vagabond_gr · · Score: 0

      Accident? Two nerds walking down the street, outside their mother's basement. That's criminal negligence.

    111. Re:In perspective by Picass0 · · Score: 1

      Apples and oranges.

      The Apollo 1 accident occurred due to a previously unknown quality of velcro. Nobody involved in the design of the capsule had any reason to suspect velcro could spontaneously combust in a pressurized high oxygen environment. Apollo 1 blindsided engineers.

      Challenger and Columbia were both accidents that were warned of in advance by engineers. Challenger didn't have to launch that morning and Columbia could have waited while repair/rescue options were weighed.

      At the end of the day space exploration is risky and does require an amount of boldness. But not stupidity. NASA needs to listen to the guys with the slide rulers instead of the guys getting phone calls from Washington.

    112. Re:In perspective by b4dc0d3r · · Score: 2

      "What if it was you/your family" is an appeal to emotion. I'm afraid people have berated you for suggesting gp be modded down for expressing an opinion, but no one seems to have pointed out this fallacy.

      My family would have been proud to see me dedicate my life to what is essentially science and discovery for the good of all people. They wouldn't focus so much on the dead part, they would focus on the benefit to people part.

      Knowing what little has been made public of the families of astronauts, I would say they are proud of their families as well, and knew there was some risk involved.

      And, although in hindsight Boisjoly was correct, there was no way to know that at the time, in enough certainty to delay the launch. Previous launches with the same design and same problem had held together. This was the only real evidence they had, and no one could quantify how much colder it had to get for the blow-by to get past the second seal.

      If you want to base your opinion on hindsight, I fault Boisjoly for not having experimented on the effects of different temperatures for the entire year after the previous flight. In fact, a lot of discussion and testing occurred, and it was deemed to be within safety tolerances. Against the data, he was the boy who cried wolf.

      Taking emotion out of the argument, he was wrong. but in hindsight, when you investigate everything already knowing what the outcome was, he happened to be right. He very well could have ended up being that annoying guy who was wrong, based on the Rogers report. This covers items 3 and 6 mostly, of the findings, and the only thing that supports your assertion that it could have been avoided is finding 5 and part of 4. NASA were made aware and continued anyway, because everything pointed towards it not being a problem. Until you review every bit of data, again in hindsight. Finding 4, insufficient tracking, would have made this stand out as an issue to investigate, and would have supported his argument, had it been properly implemented. Not having that, he was pissing in the wind.

      In other words, they did a lot to try to avoid a disaster, and like every other person on the planet, they are subject to mistakes both in individual actions and collective procedures. Assuming you can't tell the future, and can't change the past, I don't see any way this could have gone in any other direction. They made the right choices based on badly implemented procedures, and it ended badly, as expected.

      http://history.nasa.gov/rogersrep/v1ch6.htm

    113. Re:In perspective by geekoid · · Score: 1, Insightful

      post modern bullshit.

      I was born in the United States of America. FACT.
      You post on /. - FACT
      Satellites are in orbit - FACT

      In science a fact is on objective and verifiable observation.
      This is why Germ Theory is a theory AND a fact.

      Also why 1 + 1 = 2 is a fact.
      It's observable, it reproducible.
      Peano's axioms helps explain that fact.

      The trouble here is, you are talking out of your ass. So, what? a BS?

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    114. Re:In perspective by Trails · · Score: 1

      Your confusing the micro and macro views.

      Your post can be reduction ad absurdum'd to "Well, our murder count for the year is low, so let's let this murderer go free".

      From a marco view, I agree. 17 lives lost for 50 years of space exploration is not too bad. Comparing it with pioneering days is a bit apples and oranges, but overall I would say NASA is decidedly more risk-averse than the English Gov't was wrt their explorers in the 1500's.

      From a micro view, i.e. viewing the Challenger disaster in a vacuum, it was the result of mismanagement and arrogance. It had avoidable errors and the mgmt mentality that led to this should be guarded against.

    115. Re:In perspective by cant_get_a_good_nick · · Score: 1

      (This is going to be incredibly insensitive torwards those lives that were lost, but it has to be said.) 17 lives lost in the last 50 years of U.S. space exploration really is not too bad.

      17 Lives lost because space exploration is hard and risky is one thing. 17 Lives lost because people ignored people who knew what they were talking about and pushed through anyway is a tragedy.

      It's not the lives - people die every day. We're all going to go some way, some day. But these lives were lost to arrogance, and ignorance.

      I read this article last night, and when I read that he couldn't watch the launch because he KNEW it would blow up, it made me sad. Then he was forced out, because he was right and put egg on the faces of his superiors (maybe "superiors" should be in quotes).

    116. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The night before that launch, I questioned whether launching a vehicle like that was a good idea in sub freezing temperatures-and I'm just a BSEE. That launch was simply SO anti common sense that it was destined to fail.

    117. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We should all thank $DEITY that pussies like you weren't around in the time of Magellan. NASA is in the business of exploration, not commuter transit.

      The point that Boisjoly tried to make is that he felt NASA is no longer in the business of exploration, but in the business of being NASA.

    118. Re:In perspective by DVega · · Score: 1

      The problem I see with your argument is that we are not doing any real space exploration. We are not sending people to mars, or building a moon station, or mining asteroids. We are only doing recreational travels to low earth orbit.

      I am sure that there are many people who would accept risking their lives in other to set foot on Mars. Unfortunately it seems we are retreating from Space.

      The Earth will inevitably perish. If not by our own actions, or by some tragic natural disaster; the Sun will simply die out. To have a chance to survive we must face space exploration.

      Carl Sagan reminds us why we need Space Exploration

      --
      MOD THE CHILD UP!
    119. Re:In perspective by alexo · · Score: 1

      Which you would have gotten had you read the article. We're dealing with facts not opinions. Opinions carry no weight.

      Opinions carry far more weight than facts. Facts are raw data that mean little without a (subjective) context. Opinions, on the other hand, create policy.

      For example:
      The physics underlying aerospace engineering are a matter of fact.
      The decision to put a man on the moon was a matter of opinion.

    120. Re:In perspective by dragonhunter21 · · Score: 1

      No, it's not an accident. Both you and I were distracted while we should have been focused on walking. Every failure can be traced back to a human at some point in the line.

      --
      Sent from my CR-48
    121. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In fact, if you are making the leap from integers to objects, then even 1 + 1 = 2 is not rigorously defined.

    122. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Um. Why are you arguing about abandoning spaceflight? That's so far afield of this discussion that it doesn't even count as a straw man. The discussion at hand is specifically about engineers communicating their findings to those with authorization to *delay* (not cancel, not abandon the mission completely) a launch. No one's arguing against risk itself. The argument is about the abuse of authority for political and rhetorical purposes. "We can't stop this launch; people may think we're pussies," or "We can't stop this launch, they'll pull our funding." If we're going to use bad analogies to previous explorations, then what you're saying is that the Arctic expeditions shouldn't have been slowed down when somebody said, "hey, I need to go get some skis." Some other comment in the same vein as yours mentioned Magellan, whose death wasn't tragic in this same way, as if Magellan's voyage wouldn't have happened at all with "naysayers" around. These guys aren't naysayers. They're the people saying, "hey, Magellan, don't you need sails on that ship?" And you know what, he got the sails, and nobody remembers those naysayers because they were listened to, giving all of us these great historical examples of boldness and bravery.

      In the case of the shuttle disasters, somebody said, "Hey, don't you need sails for that ship?" and the response here of "Don't be a pussy; this is a risky exploration!" is not at all germane to anything related to this discussion.

      I haven't seen every comment in this discussion, but nobody is claiming to "never [want] to put another human on a rocket again." That's ludicrous. Those of us arguing that the grandparent shouldn't have tried to "put the positive spin" on this are saying if you put people on rockets, listen to the people that build the rockets. That's all. Don't listen to politicians, the public, and certainly not slashdot commenters like ledow.

    123. Re:In perspective by zildgulf · · Score: 3, Insightful

      From my perspective the race to launch the Challenger in freezing weather was indeed "go fever". It was strange that the flight was being delayed over and over again due to relatively minor technological and meteorological reasons and yet when an unusually strong cold front hit Georgia, Florida, and the Carolinas, that is when the guys at NASA said go, even though the Space Shuttles were not designed to launch in freezing weather. Mechanical device operate differently in such cold weather. Even in Atlanta I had trouble starting and keeping my car running that morning when it was less than 10F. I thought the launch would be delayed yet again since this was a more serious problem than a faulty sensor or a cloudy day.

      Remember that when the ambient temperature is around 30F that water seeps into cracks and then ice forms and expands potentially damaging equipment that is not winterized. I know that having outside equipment not winterized is unthinkable in the Northern US but the cost of winterizing equipment that is not to be used in freezing temperature in much of the Southern US is considered a big fat waste of money. It would be like buying snow tires in Miami, a place that rarely gets snow. Also rubber and some soft plastic equipment when exposed to 30F can become stiff and more breakable depending on its composition. If you depend on this equipment being flexible and it is not at cold temperature and then you try to use it bad things can happen.

      The Challenger disaster felt different to me than the Columbia disaster. On the surface the Columbia disaster seemed to be the same thing but I don't think it was a disaster that the average person would've predicted. I remember someone telling me that the Challenger blew up and I said distinctly "It wasn't supposed to launch today, it was too cold to launch". I can't say the same for the Columbia disaster. The Challenger disaster felt more like "go fever" than the Columbia disaster.

    124. Re:In perspective by FatAlb3rt · · Score: 2

      You are a complete douche bag. There, I started mine like you started yours.

      Your utter lack knowledge is shining through. Manned spaceflight is a calculated risk. You do not stop any time lives are at risk or we'd never fly. You take steps to minimize that risk to an acceptable level. Sometimes that doesn't work.

      I worked in flight design in Houston for 8 years, so my perspective is probably a bit more refined than the one from your armchair.

    125. Re:In perspective by Tim4444 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Nova did a program about the Columbia investigation. After running through the possibilities, the team finally sat down and worked out the expected velocities and forces involved with an impact with the foam debris. Nobody believed that foam could do any real damage so they finally tracked down a spare wing section and shot a piece of foam at it. The video is pretty damning and now it all seems so obvious. However, I got the impression that beforehand even the engineers had put this one in the acceptible risk column.

    126. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think that if the boat builder building one of Magellan's ships went "hang on, we still need to caulk this, else you'll sink", he probably would have put things off for a couple of hours (or days) too. What's a day or two in the course of history? ;-)

    127. Re:In perspective by djl4570 · · Score: 1

      All three fatal accidents were predicted and avoidable:
      Apollo I - Vendor told not to raise issue of pure oxygen design again.
      Challenger - O-ring leakage documented on previous cold launches.
      Columbia - Damage from ice at launch previously observed.
      The roots of these failures can be traced to the autocratic management culture established by Kris Kraft in the early years of NASA. Such management devolves into a culture that punishes dissent and sets the organization up for another fatal accident.

    128. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you've figured out a way to prevent 'human negligence and pure bullheadedness', you're in line to get the Nobel prize every year for the rest of your life.

      (Which one? All of them.)

    129. Re:In perspective by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 1

      This is why management has no business in risk analysis. Management needs to stick to risk *reporting* and decision making based on a proper risk assessment carried out by engineers ESPECIALLY when lives and billions in equipment are on the line.

      You seem to have misunderstood what I am saying. Engineers (and many NASA managers are engineers and did the very same job that your "engineers" are now doing) produce conflicting opinions, make mistakes, and are subject to the same type of biases in their professional work as in the rest of their lives. It's not as simple "the engineers say don't go" and management said go; rather it's a set of diverse results and opinions that need to be considered when a decision is made.

      You are really just saying the same thing as the parent post, except that it is somehow acceptable (or at the very least understandable!) that, managers are making poor risk assessments. It's neither acceptable nor excusable.

      Understandable is different than acceptable - unless you seek to understand why a certain decision is made you can't fix the underlying problem; all you do is (maybe) change the participants in the next bad decision. the underlying organizational cause still exist and have a similar impact on decision making. Acceptable? No Understandable? Yes.

      It's an awful strawman to point out that hindsight is always 20-20. Of course it is!

      That's hardly a straw man but a very real consideration in post event investigation. It's very easy to go in and say "here's where you screwed up" and very difficult to determine why they screwed up. I've seen far too many investigations that conclude "human error" and never get to the probable causes of the error and so the problem is never fixed; it just happens again to another person.

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    130. Re:In perspective by Wain13001 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      ... that taking one instance of an object and another instance of an object and combining them together yields two instances of that object, is a fact.

      Exactly! that's why when I take my soup and pour another soup into it I have 2 soups! Fact!

    131. Re:In perspective by zildgulf · · Score: 1

      This was not the case in Challenger. It would be like a car mechanic telling you that gasoline is spewing all over the engine and if you drive it it will burst into flames and you will die; then you decide to drive the car anyway and died in a fire as a result.

      Also just because we can't hold a 100% safety standard in space means we do not try??? We don't try to fix glaring problems that can result in death?? It would be one thing if the O-rings were tested for cold weather and worked and then the Challenger blew up because the O-rings didn't seal as tested. That would've been more acceptable. That would've been a learning moment for operations because we couldn't have known about it. What if someone walking in space gets hit with some tiny space debris and dies, which is a foreseeable risk. We accept that risk. The Challenge disaster doesn't fit that. The engineers who built the o-rings, not some crackpot or outsider, said they would fail when they did. They knew the Space Shuttle was not to be launched below 50F. This is one of the reasons the Shuttle launches in Florida and not in Newport News, VA, both of which are considered "Southern" Cities.

    132. Re:In perspective by LoyalOpposition · · Score: 1

      The underlying logic, that taking one instance of an object and another instance of an object and combining them together yields two instances of that object, is a fact.

      It's your opinion that "1 + 1 = 2," once having been written down, has as its underlying logic that taking one instance of an object and another instance of an object and combining them yields two instances of that object. It was Peano's opinion that "1 + 1 = 2" meant that if you took the unique natural number that was not the successor of any natural number and found the successor of that number then you would find something that was also a natural number. Which rather was Pieroxy's original point.

      ~Loyal

      --
      I aim to misbehave.
    133. Re:In perspective by networkBoy · · Score: 3, Insightful

      And of all these fatalities, only Challenger was genuinely preventable.
      All the other deaths happened as a result of an accident (though I have my own feelings about Columbia*), and those accidental deaths were accepted by those who took the risk as possible. Do we want them to have died? no. Could we have prevented it? Yes, with hindsight.

      Challenger was an example of everything that is broken in the space program, much how we harp on megacorps here for not looking longer term then the next quarter or possibly the next year for business results, the NASA management looked no farther than "This launch is being simulcast to thousands of schools for the first teacher in space. Launch the SOB we don't want to disappoint the kiddos." Well I have a news flash for them, us kiddos (I was watching live in my 6th grade class) were beyond disappointed, my teacher was weeping in the back of the room, and all of a sudden space was no longer wondrous, but rather scary for most all of us.
      -nB
      * Columbia was preventable had NASA not embraced the tree huggers and switched to a CFC free foam for the main fuel tank. The new foam had a higher porosity and poorer adhesion. Let's face it, there are not enough shuttle launches in a year to appreciably matter when it comes to CFC emissions from making the foam insulation, and the SRB exhaust is much worse for the environment anyway. /rant

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
    134. Re:In perspective by JDG1980 · · Score: 1

      The computer (or phone, or tablet) you're using to type that comment is a direct result of the effort to put man into space. The space program gave us the integrated circuit.

      Nonsense. Even NASA's own web page on spinoff benefits doesn't go as far as to make this claim; it seems to be restricted to the fringes of the space-nutter crowd. According to Wikipedia, the antecedents of the integrated circuit date to Germany in 1949, and the first example of what we would today think of as an IC was developed by Jack Kilby at Texas Instruments in 1958. (Robert Noyce was doing parallel work at Fairchild Semiconductor and had a working example a few months later than Kilby.) NASA wasn't even founded until mid-1958 so it would be difficult to claim they had anything to do with these developments. They didn't invent microprocessors either; that was Intel, which created the 4004 CPU for use in a calculator, not the space program.

      While there have been some decent tech spin-offs from the space program in general, there have been very few that can be directly attributed to manned spaceflight. From a cost-benefit perspective it is very difficult to justify shooting people into space rather than spending that same amount of money on R&D back here on Earth.

    135. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If a crewman pointed out a hole in his boat, I'm pretty Magellan would have stopped long enough to fix it.

    136. Re:In perspective by sznupi · · Score: 1

      Depends on what you mean by "a vehicle like that" - Russian launches for example routinely happen in (low) sub freezing temps (compounded by often strong wind of the steppe) - and in fact the only launch of Buran likely happened in such temperatures, too (middle of November, early morning; 60+ km/h wind 3+ hours & 2 orbits later at the nearby landing strip; too bad no snow yet, would be apt, with a name of the vehicle meaning "blizzard").

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    137. Re:In perspective by networkBoy · · Score: 2

      Since you're both douche bags.... ;)

      I do believe you are both rather correct, but looking at separate issues.
      oh_my is harping specifically on management ignoring the rocket scientists specifically tasked with knowing if it is safe to launch, and to that end he is correct. Then he goes and generalizes it, which, I suspect is where you take issue.

      You point out that spaceflight is inherently dangerous, this is true. Everyone signs on knowing it could be their last trip, the Apollo guys knowing it could be a 1 way trip to the moon, where they would eventually suffocate... I think that'd be worse than blowing up myself. But even you have to admit that in the case of Challenger it was a needless loss of life caused by (mis)management stupidity and pigheadedness.
      -nB

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
    138. Re:In perspective by k6mfw · · Score: 1

      > 17 lives lost in the last 50 years of U.S. space exploration really is not too bad

      Also consider why numbers of deaths is so low is we rarely launch people into space. And now the safety is really good because we cannot launch anyone (though not counting foreign launch vehicles in this sentence). During the 1960s, the space race was a "war" and the Soviets were scary so if lives were lost then it was the price that had to be paid. What is surprising is how little was lost, during that time more astronauts and cosmonauts were lost in plane crashes than spaceflights including America's first black astronaut Bob Lawrence (was a test pilot and PhD when he was only 30). I think real tragedy was accidents i.e. Apollo 1, Challenger, Columbia could have easily been avoided.

      --
      mfwright@batnet.com
    139. Re:In perspective by davydagger · · Score: 1

      They have destroyed $5 billion worth of hardware and 14 lives because of their nonsense.

      (This is going to be incredibly insensitive torwards those lives that were lost, but it has to be said.) 17 lives lost in the last 50 years of U.S. space exploration really is not too bad considering how many lives where lost during other times of exploration, pioneering eras and the building of industry. I think NASA tries to be perfect and after all they are rocket scientists, but to assume that NASA is the only place that has mismanagement is incredibly naive. Look at the rest of government. Look at the military. Look at the FDA for crying out loud. Am I saying that you should have deaths? No, what I'm saying is that you need to have a little perspective. Only 17 lives lost in 50 years means that you're at least doing something right to safeguard all the other lives that you saved through careful proceedure and cool heads.

      I think the point that was being made is that it was deaths that could have been prevented if the powers that be listened to someone who knew what they where talking about.

      I agree, accidents DO happen. Its tragic, and no one is perfect. But when you have information that could save someone's life and sit on it for personal or "political" reasons and a preventable death happens, its noteworthy.

      you know, like the exploding ford pinto fiasco in the 1980s.

    140. Re:In perspective by networkBoy · · Score: 1

      Fine then, I will stipulate to every space related "accident" being preventable.
      Some of these incidents were acceptable risk, even if there was the possibility of risk mitigation.

      Using rad hardened parts and still getting a rad induced error (has happened): mitigation triple up on flight electronics and use the voting system. result: we would not have sent both mars rovers, likely neither because of the cost.

      Unshielded electronics short out in LEO (or GEO, or GTO): add shielding, making the payload heavier, requiring more fuel for station keeping. Engineering likely did the risk assessment and chose less shilding to lower cost over something that certainly was less than 1% probability, likely less than 0.1%.
      etc.
      most of the accidents could be prevented: true. At what cost? slower space development progress, higher cost, etc.
      One place where you will not get any argument from me is Challenger and Columbia. Both those were immensely preventable.
      -nB

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
    141. Re:In perspective by networkBoy · · Score: 1

      I don't think most people would find it acceptable if one of our clinical trials said 'drug X is pretty dangerous and will likely kill people' and we shrugged and put it out anyway.

      I know of one case/class of drugs where this is a true statement, and yet is considered acceptable (but again the tradeoff is worse): Chemotherapy drugs. Some of those are downright nasty, of course if you don't take them you are guaranteed to die... but they do have a much higher risk of death than normal meds.
      -nB

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
    142. Re:In perspective by unjedai · · Score: 1

      There's no such thing as an accident

      ac ci dent
      Noun:
      An unfortunate incident that happens unexpectedly and unintentionally, typically resulting in damage or injury.

      There are such things as accidents. You're just misunderstanding the definition.

    143. Re:In perspective by FatAlb3rt · · Score: 1

      You're right, I took exception to the generalizations. Especially from someone who is likely a complete outsider. I no longer work at JSC, but I know what the culture is like and I had been there for 5 yrs when the Columbia accident happened. Utter lack of safety? No, I thought the steps taken toward safety were over the top.

    144. Re:In perspective by Moof123 · · Score: 1

      Agreed, however look at it as 17 lives out of just 555 people in space (wikipedia total for all nationalities). Scale that up with the arenas covered by the FDA and it would be like them choosing to ignore Mad Cow disease for a couple decades in terms of the order of magnitude of Fail.

      All that said, the episode of management ignoring sound engineering advise has been a cautionary tale for many, likely saving many uncounted lives in desperate fields by helping to give engineers a little more backbone in the face of bone headed management.

    145. Re:In perspective by ArsenneLupin · · Score: 1

      Only 17 lives lost in 50 years means

      Given how few people actually travelled on those rockets and space shuttels, those 17 lives are actually quite a huge percentage, much higher than any other mode of transportation.

    146. Re:In perspective by spam4rakesh · · Score: 1

      Death is inevitable, everyone has to die and no matter how hard we try, we cant prevent all deaths. Some deaths are natural and some not, without death, the cycle of live and diversity will be disrupted. The important part we should learn from these deaths is where we made mistakes and never repeat them again. If we are able to do that then their death is not in vain.

    147. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, no, it's pretty high, you're simply not comparing it to the relatively low total number of US astronauts. Percentage-wise it's not going to look that great compared to other eras of exploration.

    148. Re:In perspective by Moof123 · · Score: 1

      29 total deaths in either space flights, or training for space flights out of 555 total astronauts is what I did up. With a death rate of ~2% per person in space that is awful by almost any measure.

    149. Re:In perspective by Zeromous · · Score: 1

      Very much not confused thank you.

      >produce conflicting opinions, make mistakes, and are subject to the same type of biases

      Management has no business assessing risk as they are susceptible to efficiency bias. When 3 engineers tell you about a high probability of fault, you had damn well listen when it comes to mission critical. (Can we agree the shuttle is mission critical?) Managers should take their cues about fault probability from engineers, not a statistics class they took once. When it comes to mission critical, all management should be saying is "How do we mitigate this risk?".

      >Understandable is different than acceptable -

      This is why I separated the two. It's not acceptable. It's not understandable. It's incomprehensible. I cannot grok how putting 2.5 Billion in 1986 dollars up in smoke was good management, or even comprehensible in the situation we discovered after the fact.

      >That's hardly a straw man but a very real consideration in post event investigation. It's very easy to go in and say "here's where you screwed up" and very difficult to determine why they screwed up.

      I think you had missed my point when you made this comment. I don't think anyone here is arguing about the value of a proper Root Cause Analysis during the post-mortem. The problem here though is far more sinister, where politic trumps reason: engineers and extremely high risk profiles not being accepted by management. In fact in most risk-averse business scenarios, the mere fact that something is so polarized/politicized is a major indicator that risk analysis needs to be revisted before proceeding.... So it's not useful to point out that hindsight is 20/20 when the issue here is clearly using foresight to mitigate extreme risk.

      --
      ---Up Up Down Down Left Right Left Right B A START
    150. Re:In perspective by DerekLyons · · Score: 3, Interesting

      My 2: 17 may be a low number, but 3 is a much lower one, and you only needed to hear your engineers!

      That's just the thing - they listen to their engineers. Right up until the point where the engineers changed their stories. And that's the part of the tale that Boisjoly et al have spent the last quarter century refusing to acknowledge.
       
      The tale starts in the late 60's/early 70's when NASA codified the standards for the Shuttle's segmented solids.* The item in question reads something like "There shall be zero leakage or blow by at segment joints". Well, during testing of the SRB's - they started getting small amounts of leakage and blow by at the segments joints due to joint roation. So, the engineers added a backup O-ring, and despite the fact that the backup was occasionally damaged and leaked... The engineers told management the problem was under control and that it was safe to fly.
       
      So, they went ahead and flew... And the problems with leakage and blow by continued to occur. The engineers insisted that with some minor modifications to the joint, the problem would go away.** In the meantime, the engineers insisted that is was safe to continue to fly.
       
      The comes the evening of January 27th... and the engineers change their story. Now, it's not safe to fly. Management, understandably are just a wee bit confused - is it safe to fly or not? Worse yet, the engineers cannot provide a sound engineering rationale for the sudden reversal of their position.
       
      Since the engineers couldn't or wouldn't do what they were paid to do - the managers did what they were paid to and made the call to launch. And that call was made in a large part because they did listen to their engineers, who had repeatedly told them that the problem was under control and it was safe to fly.

      The moral of the story? Managers aren't saints. But neither are engineers.

      * No, despite all the ill-informed commentary you've heard over the years, monolithics were not a viable option. It's extraordinarily difficult to pour them such that the grain is sufficiently uniform along it's length. It's virtually impossible to pour them in matched pairs. It's virtually impossible to handle them without damaging the grain.

      ** This is why the revised design was available so fast after the accident - the design process was already underway.

    151. Re:In perspective by spire3661 · · Score: 1

      Satellites are in orbit of what? The earth? the sun? the milky way? The local galaxy group? The answer is yes to all these questions. THe point im making is, in a universe interpreted by the human mind, there are no facts, merely observations we hold to be true for the time being. By declaring what facts are, you are wading deep into philosophical territory.

      --
      Good-bye
    152. Re:In perspective by spire3661 · · Score: 1

      Im sure glad i dont live in your world of faultless humans. HUMANS MAKE MISTAKES, its our nature, as is forgiveness.

      --
      Good-bye
    153. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Causation and accidents are not mutually exclusive. Pretty much any unplanned event is an "accident", but you assign blame depending on where the event falls between "No one predicted it" and "It was pretty obvious that it was gonna happen". It would seem the Challenger accident was much closer to the second...

    154. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You missed the point entirely.

    155. Re:In perspective by spire3661 · · Score: 0

      You're an idiot. Spend more time with people, fall down, laugh, make mistakes, be human.

      --
      Good-bye
    156. Re:In perspective by spire3661 · · Score: 1

      And in the process make no progress.

      --
      Good-bye
    157. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That would be a great recipe for discouraging anyone from taking any risks. We already have doctors scared to give opinions or even definite advice without spending gobs of money on unneeded tests because we've become a nation of blame seekers backed up by lawyers.

      were entirely foreseeable and preventable

      Only in hindsight is it so obvious. Trial lawyers of course like to pretend everything is obvious at the time it is happening.

      It's not like the deaths were a result of limitations of our knowledge, or an absolutely necessary sacrifice for the greater good of humanity.

      So no one should take any risk to their life unless they are running to save someone from a fire or jumping into the water to save a drowning person? Sounds like a cowardly way to live and what you consider "good for humanity" is purely your opinion.

      sued by the families for wrongful death

      Those astronauts knew what they were getting into. The families have no right to demand anything, the astronauts were grown adults responsible for themselves. They weren't going on an amusement park ride.

    158. Re:In perspective by torgis · · Score: 1

      You are a complete douche bag.

      modded +2 informative. Welcome to slashdot. :)

    159. Re:In perspective by DerekLyons · · Score: 2

      If I remember the Challenger report correctly it was mentioned that the O-ring problem was not unique to STS-51L, it had occurred on previous flights and NASA were well aware of the effects of subzero temperatures on the compounds used. It took the destruction of Challenger for the issue to finally be addressed with a seal redesign

      You remember it mostly correctly - but there's more to it.

      1. The cause of the leakage was joint rotation (not cold), and had been known to engineers and management since the early 70's.
      2. While the cold contributed to the problem - most of the damage on previous flights had actually occurred at temperatures far higher.
      3. The engineers insisted that leakage was a minor problem and that it was safe fly while a redesign was underway.
      4. The redesign actually was underway months before the loss of Challenger.

       
      Seriously, it's a myth that the problem was unknown and was primarily caused by the cold (though the cold made it worse).

    160. Re:In perspective by Patch86 · · Score: 1

      See now what you've done there is change the meaning of the word "accident"...

      http://www.thefreedictionary.com/accident
      accident n.
      1.
      a. An unexpected and undesirable event, especially one resulting in damage or harm: car accidents on icy roads.
      b. An unforeseen incident: A series of happy accidents led to his promotion.
      c. An instance of involuntary urination or defecation in one's clothing.
      2. Lack of intention; chance: ran into an old friend by accident.

      Nobody says accidents aren't preventable, or that they occur purely by random chance. And accidents aren't necessarily blameless- if something is accidental, it means there was no intent to do it. That makes no statement as to whether there was negligence or idiocy involved.

      It's probably not a brash statement to say that almost all negative accidents are caused by negligence of some sort.

    161. Re:In perspective by mhajicek · · Score: 1

      I would say it's actually an assertion, a matter of definition. How do you define "2"? It's one more than "1". It's just like saying "1+1=X", except that we as a society get a bunch of variable declarations in grade school.

    162. Re:In perspective by mhajicek · · Score: 1

      1 / 2 = 2. If I take a chunk of cheese and divide it in 2, I have two chunks of cheese.

    163. Re:In perspective by CaptainPhoton · · Score: 1

      As I'm currently writing some C++ software, I find this tangential thought experiment fun. With C++'s operator overloading, all possibilities such as 1+1=3 and 2+2=potato can be accomplished.

      Facts are facts, but communication of the facts can fail if we don't agree on how to interpret the written symbols (operator+ in this case). :)

    164. Re:In perspective by mhajicek · · Score: 1

      If your memories are programmed, you may truly believe that you just ate an apple, when in fact you haven't. The outside observer would likely disagree with you.

    165. Re:In perspective by hobarrera · · Score: 1

      There's no "-1 Disagree" moderation option because that's what the reply button is for.
      Anyway, I think he made a good point. 17 people die exploring outer space, while hundreads die for far less. Their live count, but it's still a small figure.

    166. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Those engineers over-engineer systems because people always push the specs. Engineers complain when you are pushing the over-engineerd specs.

    167. Re:In perspective by mhajicek · · Score: 1

      You are relying on language to communicate the idea. If there are an infinite number of linguistic societies in the universe, then there is at least one that writes the value of 2 as "4" and the value of 4 as "2". To them, "4+4=2" would be true, and "2+2=4" would be false.

    168. Re:In perspective by torgis · · Score: 3, Informative

      Ok, let's get technical then.

      The proof starts from the Peano Postulates, which define the natural
      numbers N. N is the smallest set satisfying these postulates:

      P1. 1 is in N.
      P2. If x is in N, then its "successor" x' is in N.
      P3. There is no x such that x' = 1.
      P4. If x isn't 1, then there is a y in N such that y' = x.
      P5. If S is a subset of N, 1 is in S, and the implication
      (x in S => x' in S) holds, then S = N.

      Then you have to define addition recursively:
      Def: Let a and b be in N. If b = 1, then define a + b = a'
      (using P1 and P2). If b isn't 1, then let c' = b, with c in N
      (using P4), and define a + b = (a + c)'.

      Then you have to define 2:
      Def: 2 = 1'

      2 is in N by P1, P2, and the definition of 2.

      Theorem: 1 + 1 = 2

      Proof: Use the first part of the definition of + with a = b = 1.
      Then 1 + 1 = 1' = 2 Q.E.D.

      Note: There is an alternate formulation of the Peano Postulates which
      replaces 1 with 0 in P1, P3, P4, and P5. Then you have to change the
      definition of addition to this:
      Def: Let a and b be in N. If b = 0, then define a + b = a.
      If b isn't 0, then let c' = b, with c in N, and define
      a + b = (a + c)'.

      You also have to define 1 = 0', and 2 = 1'. Then the proof of the
      Theorem above is a little different:

      Proof: Use the second part of the definition of + first:
      1 + 1 = (1 + 0)'
      Now use the first part of the definition of + on the sum in
      parentheses: 1 + 1 = (1)' = 1' = 2 Q.E.D.


      In purely mathematical terms, 1+1=2.

    169. Re:In perspective by Pieroxy · · Score: 1

      All your F.A.C.T.S can be challenged by basic logic. For instance, 1+1 = 10 is my fact, and it seems it's not the same as yours.

      Also, we're not in a science class, so why should we endorse the scientific definition of facts? Ask a philosopher, and you'll get another answer. An historian? A third.

      If anything, Einstein taught us that everything is relative. Including your so-called "facts".

    170. Re:In perspective by Pieroxy · · Score: 1

      Didn't the GGP wrote "If you are so sure, maybe you shouldn't say it. Right?"

      That's what I was replying to. I think.

    171. Re:In perspective by Pieroxy · · Score: 2

      1+1=10 dumbass. 2 is not a valid digit.

    172. Re:In perspective by Pieroxy · · Score: 1

      There was a study (too lazy to google) about exposing a group of people to some extraordinary event and then asking them about it. They invariably disagree about what happened. Each has its own opinion. But they witnessed the same "fact" or let's say the same experience.

      Some will say that what you did to the apple was not "eating" because eating is for the purpose of nourishment and you did it for the purpose of an experiment.

      And 1+1 = 10. It depends on which base you count.

    173. Re:In perspective by Solandri · · Score: 1

      Columbia was preventable had NASA not embraced the tree huggers and switched to a CFC free foam for the main fuel tank. The new foam had a higher porosity and poorer adhesion. Let's face it, there are not enough shuttle launches in a year to appreciably matter when it comes to CFC emissions from making the foam insulation, and the SRB exhaust is much worse for the environment anyway. /rant

      Normally I'm all for a rant against environmental extremism or pointless environmental symbolism. But CFCs were phased out globally as of 1994. Almost nobody made them anymore by 2001. It may simply have been that the CFC foam became too difficult to produce and too expensive to use, and the CFC-free foam was deemed a suitable replacement without fully considering the consequences of foam impacts.

    174. Re:In perspective by qeveren · · Score: 1

      1+1=10 is entirely equivalent to 1+1=2, you're simply using another number system to represent it. It has nothing to do with opinion.

      Opinion in this case would be 'binary is superior to decimal'.

      --
      Don't just stand there, get that other dog!
    175. Re:In perspective by DerekLyons · · Score: 2

      From the political contracts that needed segmented boosters for inland transport

      [sigh] Not this myth again.
       
      Monolithic boosters were rejected on multiple grounds.
       
      It was virtually impossible to pour them with consistent characteristics along the grain. It was extremely difficult to pour them with consistent performance during the burn. I.E. the motors required consistent and predictable characteristics both longitudinally and radially.) There were difficulties in ensuring complete and even mixing. There were difficulties due to turbulence during the pour. There were difficulties in curing due to the lower portions being under great pressure due to the weight of the propellant above them... Smaller grain segments reduced or eliminated these problems.
       
      These problems also prevented another key requirement from being met - they could not produce matched pairs of boosters. Unbalanced thrust could produce excessive stress on the external tank structure or even exceed the Shuttle's control limits and cause it to tumble. Again, smaller grain segments reduce or eliminate these problems because left hand and right hand segments could be matched from the same pour.
       
      There was also another problem - handling the bastards. At the scale of these motors, they aren't stiff - they will actually flex when being rotated from vertical to horizontal (being lifted from the mold and readied for transport) and again when being rotated from the horizontal to the vertical (when being taken off the transport and readied for installation). This flex, even though it was minor, could delaminate the grain from the case and the tension and compression loads could physically damage the grain. And there was no getting around the need to handle them thus - because they needed to be cast nose down, while they flew nose up. The flex and stress on smaller segments is negligible.
       
      Another handling difficulty was the sheer weight of the thing. This wasn't just a problem that could be solved by getting a big crane either... You see, the lower portion of the grain bears the weight of all the grain above it - and the grain is actually somewhat flexible. (It's called solid fuel, but it's not really solid like a rock... it's much closer to tire rubber than anything else... it can and does deform under stress.) Not only would the grain change shape as it flowed, but it could also tear itself apart under it's own weight. With smaller segments, these stresses are manageable.
       
      Yes, maybe these problems could have been solved with sufficient time and money, but NASA had neither and they did have an ace in the hole: There was no flight experience with large monolithics, but there was at least limited flight experience with large segemented boosters.
       
      So in the end, NASA chose exactly the type of solution everybody seems to think they always should make, especially with manned craft... Fiscally conservative. Schedule conservative. Technically conservative. And, with the knowledge available to them at that time, safety conservative.

    176. Re:In perspective by tjbp · · Score: 0

      In 5 nested comments we've gotten to progress == loss of human life. I think a better case for lack of progress is expressing binary opinions in an argument that obviously demands compromise.

    177. Re:In perspective by silverspell · · Score: 1

      No, it's not an accident. Both you and I were distracted while we should have been focused on walking. Every failure can be traced back to a human at some point in the line.

      Sounds like a variation on the just-world hypothesis, except instead of blaming the victim you're simply insisting that blame can always be assigned. It reminds of me of a line in Nietzsche: "Every suffering sheep says 'I suffer: it must be somebody's fault.'"

    178. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > NASA is in the business of exploration

      That's not their only business. You don't get to do space exploration without the science, fool.

    179. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've seen a lot of bad management in my life, but my stint at NASA saw the worst.

      After the official report on the second disaster, we had a center-wide meeting to discuss the problem. People said to the leadership "you don't listen to us". So they announced that they would take a week long hiatus at a resort to study the issue, and that was the last we heard of it.

      This is not a hindsight is 20/20 kind of issue.

    180. Re:In perspective by Boronx · · Score: 1

      It's a fact for particular objects and particular definitions of the word "combine". It's not a universal fact. There are some domains in the real world where the assumption 1+1 = 2 seems to be true, and others where it seems to be false.

    181. Re:In perspective by hey! · · Score: 2

      A priori the question might be a lot trickier than you are representing. Given the inherent dangers of the enterprise and the complexity of the system involved, there were probably at any given time some plausibly fatal scenarios. You can't launch a system like that with a standard of "provably safe". If you didn't put a positive face on the data, the system might *never* launch. Arguably a determination to launch in the absence of compelling evidence of likely failure represents an implicit acceptance of risk.

      Look at the overall safety record of the Space Shuttle. Would *you* accept a ride into space at those odds? If everyone involved would accept that failure rate rather than have the program scratched, the program was safe enough from a risk/benefit standpoint.

      After the fact, shooting the messenger for being right is just plain stupid and irresponsible. It serves no purpose at all.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    182. Re:In perspective by networkBoy · · Score: 1

      CFCs are still available for specialty applications, a waiver is required from the EPA, and for you or me that is no easy feat. For NASA this should have been doable. IIRC there were several studies on the new foam and it was found lacking in insulation qualities and adhesion qualities, what I don't know is if they put 2 and 2 together: lower insulation == greater porosity, which == more water can be adsorbed and frozen. Poorer adhesion means more likely to fracture and fall off. Combined, the added water weight makes the adhesion issue worse, and also increases the mass of the striking element, thus increasing the damage. WRT Columbia, the chunk that fell off hit a particularly unfortunate part of the shuttle and was unusually large, in all other cases the damage was a non issue. Statistically Columbia was possible, but highly unlikely, I accept that, but I don't have to like it.
      -nB

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
    183. Re:In perspective by tomboalogo · · Score: 0

      "Management, understandably are just a wee bit confused" - this is management's normal state of mind. If it isn't on a spreadsheet, they don't get it.

    184. Re:In perspective by mhajicek · · Score: 1

      Then don't mod it, reply to it and make your point.

    185. Re:In perspective by PT_1 · · Score: 1

      As someone who doesn't bike regularly, I've completed a century (100 mile ride) in less than 5 hours. 200 miles in a day should be no problem for an experienced racer, and even 400 miles is probably not outside the realm of possibility.

      Hmm... Fair point.

      I've just done a bit of Googling, and it seems you're absolutely correct; it looks like Greg Kolodziejzyk holds the record, who managed 647 miles within 24 hours.

      I retract my original comment. :-)

    186. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Boisjoly and the engineers at Morton Thiokol faxed that data over- the incomplete data that showed no correlation between cold weather and o-ring failure. If you read the transcripts, they had no solid data/evidence aside from a hunch and anecdotal evidence regarding the coloring of the o-ring on cold weather days. NASA didn't produce that data.

    187. Re:In perspective by tomboalogo · · Score: 0

      It was one of the saddest days of my life and made me want to give up engineering. At work, any manager that came near me that day got a dirty look and if needed a 'Fuck off' to hasten them on their way.

    188. Re:In perspective by silverspell · · Score: 1

      I don't care if 15 astronauts died in that disaster (the stoppage in space exploration in the other hand isn't, but that's another debate). You can all argue with me as much as you want, those astronaut live doesn't worth more in my eye as human being than the millions that die around the world each week. Sometime, I found it deeply immoral that we put so much value in people only because we see them in the news.

      Strawman argument on multiple levels, the biggest of which is that "we" think that the dead astronauts are worth "more" than the people who die through famine, disease, war, and so on. Death is an abstraction to most people to begin with, and the human mind can't really comprehend tens of thousands of dead, especially when they're people about whom we know nothing and to whom we have no connection. Hence the quotation attributed to Stalin (which probably didn't originate with him, but it looks likely that he said a version of it): "A single death is a tragedy, a million deaths is a statistic."

      The counterpoint to that, though, comes from the Talmud: "Whoever saves one life saves the world entire." And what that acknowledges is the particularity of human compassion and cognition: we can't grasp what it means for ten thousand to die, but we can grasp saving one specific life -- and that when ten thousand lives are saved, then that experience isn't just a large number couched in abstraction, but represents the experience of saving one life, ten thousand times over.

      In saying that you don't care about the dead astronauts, but do care about the tens of thousands, you're essentially saying that for you, caring is a political act, expressed not in terms of empathy but in terms of strategy. Fine, if that's your bag. But if there's no reason to care about 15, there's really no reason to care about ten thousand. It's just those same 15, multiplied by...heh, a rather devilish number.

      As soon as death becomes a matter of indifference to you on the most human level -- the level where you can see their faces, hear their stories, know that they're generally accomplished and intelligent people who gave more to their societies than they took -- then it's hard to believe that your empathy suddenly kicks in when it's a sea of meaningless strangers who are doing the dying.

    189. Re:In perspective by squiggleslash · · Score: 1

      Every accident is preventable... after the fact

      Or before the fact, as in this case.

      This was a launch going ahead despite the fact that people in a position to stop it knew that there was an extremely likely chance there'd be a tragedy. This isn't like the Titanic where a collection of bad circumstances conspired to cause a serious accident. This was utter and compete managerial negligence. And lest you think that, hey, maybe the "problem" was in the structure of management of the launch, no, it wasn't, that structure was exactly the one designed to prevent exactly this kind of failure. Every entity had a veto on launch, so that if experts in one entity knew there was a problem, they could prevent it from happening. That veto was not applied, and there is no explanation as to why other than negligence.

      BTW, the FAA today has an experimental aircraft program. You can make a single engined plane up to (I think) 2,000lbs in weight in your back yard, and you're allowed to fly it. I'm sure some people have been killed as a result, but you can bet they weren't because someone with a position to stop a flight knew that a plane had a serious safety flaw, and said "Go ahead anyway".

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    190. Re:In perspective by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      NASA isn't about travel at all, it's about scientific discovery. And we should all thank $DIETY that you're not in charge of NASA. Only fools take risks unnecessarily.

    191. Re:In perspective by silverspell · · Score: 1

      Human life is overrated.

      Is yours, or does that only apply to other people's human lives?

    192. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or if the outside observer's memories are programmed to believe that my memories were programmed to believe that I just ate an apple, to make the observer think that I only thought that I ate an apple when In fact I did eat an apple... That would still make the fact that I ate an apple a fact.

      I'm sorry but that argument is ludicrous. Stop making up hypothetical extensions to an argument to try to prove some post modern philisophical BS of a point. Care to test the opinion about the existance of gravity by taking a step out of a second story window?

    193. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Space Shuttle flew 135 missions. We lost 2 of them. So one shuttle blows up ever 67.5 launches. This is horrible. Imagine if a car, bike, train, plane, boat, etc, went up like a bomb every 67 times you used it?

      It's pathetic that Russia Soyuz rocket are so much safer then the ours. I do not consider Russia a explanatory country when it comes to safety.

    194. Re:In perspective by Multiplicity · · Score: 1

      Is yours, or does that only apply to other people's human lives?

      That applies to me and to you too. Does that mean I won't try to survive, or expect you won't? Nope. Does that mean that me or you dying "is a disaster" because a human life is lost? Also nope, for fucks sake.

    195. Re:In perspective by dragonhunter21 · · Score: 1

      Not every accident has lethal or even serious consequences. Those that do, however, should be accounted for. Should we launch rockets without any QA because hey, shit happens?

      --
      Sent from my CR-48
    196. Re:In perspective by dragonhunter21 · · Score: 1

      Perhaps, but NASA did know about the foam strike within 2 hours of launch. They didn't know the extent of the damage, but they did now that a piece of foam had struck the orbiter. Quoth Wikipedia:

      NASA's chief thermal protection system (TPS) engineer was concerned about left wing TPS damage and asked NASA management whether an astronaut would visually inspect it. NASA managers never responded.

      --
      Sent from my CR-48
    197. Re:In perspective by Eloking · · Score: 1

      Nice read (would have modded up if I could). Especially the Stalin quotation, love it!

      And your mostly right. Unless I know the person, I try to treat every human being equally. Of course, I'm not that drastic (especially in this case since I'm actually...er...studying aerospace).

      Also, I don't care "as a political act". Let's just say I feel bad about caring for a girl who died in a accident only because she on FOX news

      --
      Elok
    198. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow, are you full of it or not? You can disagree without the pointless insults. I was just pointing out that sometimes the guy with a brain is a pessimist, and not to be relied upon since they'll try to fool you. An analysis after an incident only confirms what already happened, it doesn't mean that the person was in the right.

      But if you want to err on the side of caution, you'll eventually reach the point where you do nothing.

      Go with that.

    199. Re:In perspective by dragonhunter21 · · Score: 1

      You missed the point. Yes, there are accidents, but there are no freak accidents. Phobos-Grunt falling out of the sky, Columbia, Challenger, the Mars Climate Orbiter- all of these can be traced back to a human either screwing up or missing a screw-up. In other words, all preventable. In the case of Columbia and Challenger, we knew that the orbiters suffered from these problems and knew they could cause exactly what happened to each of them- and yet, we ignored it.

      --
      Sent from my CR-48
    200. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There was a study (too lazy to google) about exposing a group of people to some extraordinary event and then asking them about it. They invariably disagree about what happened. Each has its own opinion. But they witnessed the same "fact" or let's say the same experience.

      Except those studies are used to show psychological effects on people's short term memory when undergoing duress. Those types of studies have nothing to do with fact vs. opinion. There is also a reason why the recounts of each individual is not regarded as a fact.

      Regardless of who observed who doing what, a fact doesn't magically change into an opinion once it's written down.

      Some will say that what you did to the apple was not "eating" because eating is for the purpose of nourishment and you did it for the purpose of an experiment.

      Now you're just trying to re-define words and situation to favor your argument... *roll's eyes*. I ate an apple. Simple as that, it was on my desk, now bits of it are in my body and the core is in a trash can.

      And 1+1 = 10. It depends on which base you count.

      Except it doesn't matter which base you count it in... 1 + 1 = 10b = 02h = 2 is the same statement. It doesn't matter how you choose to represent it. If you have one physical entity and you somehow receive another physical entity, you now have 2 physical entities.

      Making plays on language and pretending you don't understand the context of the presented argument isn't the solid way to support a point.

    201. Re:In perspective by treeves · · Score: 1

      Well, we now know he is not a partial douchebag, whatever that is.

      --
      ...the future crusty old bastards are already drinking the Kool-Aid.
    202. Re:In perspective by treeves · · Score: 1

      Some even have positive consequences. Take the discovery of penicillin, for example.

      --
      ...the future crusty old bastards are already drinking the Kool-Aid.
    203. Re:In perspective by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      Your sense of proportion is just as badly flawed. The risk of something dangerous slipping past the FDA is about as high as your risk of laughing to death.

      The most dangerous thing you do is drive a car. 45,000 Americans die on the highway each year. During the Vietnam war, not a single year went by that more Americans died on the highway than on the battlefield.

      No, I tale that back -- sitting down and eating that Grand Whopper is even more dangerous; hundreds of thousands per year die from heart attacks.

    204. Re:In perspective by jo_ham · · Score: 1

      Perhaps change that to petrol. Diesel isn't really all that flammable - you can even put fires out with it.

    205. Re:In perspective by dragonhunter21 · · Score: 1

      True. However, consider the potential negative effects of improper laboratory sterilization procedures. Ebola Reston, anyone?

      We shouldn't rely on accidents to get work done. If it happens, great. But more often than not, the most good that'll come out of an accident is your smoldering corpse being used as a case study in industrial safety.

      --
      Sent from my CR-48
    206. Re:In perspective by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 1

      Management has no business assessing risk as they are susceptible to efficiency bias. When 3 engineers tell you about a high probability of fault, you had damn well listen when it comes to mission critical. (Can we agree the shuttle is mission critical?) Managers should take their cues about fault probability from engineers, not a statistics class they took once. When it comes to mission critical, all management should be saying is "How do we mitigate this risk?".

      But that is not the crux of the issue - management's role is to assess the risks presented by the engineers and determine an acceptable curse of action in the face of differing assessments. The real problem lies with the organization - from the engineers who assess the risks and presented the results to the managers who made the decision to launch. Until the systemic organizational issues are fixed these types of things will continue to occur.

      >Understandable is different than acceptable -

      This is why I separated the two. It's not acceptable. It's not understandable. It's incomprehensible. I cannot grok how putting 2.5 Billion in 1986 dollars up in smoke was good management, or even comprehensible in the situation we discovered after the fact.

      Actually, it is both very understandable and important to understand what lead to the decision - understanding is the first step to fixing.

      >That's hardly a straw man but a very real consideration in post event investigation. It's very easy to go in and say "here's where you screwed up" and very difficult to determine why they screwed up.

      I think you had missed my point when you made this comment. I don't think anyone here is arguing about the value of a proper Root Cause Analysis during the post-mortem. The problem here though is far more sinister, where politic trumps reason: engineers and extremely high risk profiles not being accepted by management. In fact in most risk-averse business scenarios, the mere fact that something is so polarized/politicized is a major indicator that risk analysis needs to be revisted before proceeding.... So it's not useful to point out that hindsight is 20/20 when the issue here is clearly using foresight to mitigate extreme risk.

      The real problem, IMHO, is that no one was able to clearly quantify the risk in a manner that made people understand the real risk and take the right action, which lead to the loss of the vehicle and the crew.

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    207. Re:In perspective by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      Every accident is preventable... after the fact.

      No accident is preventable "after the fact" unless you have a time machine. This accident was preventable before the fact. Just as this "accident" that killed two dozen men that someone should have gone to prison for negligent homicide for.

      I don't think anybody at Morton or NASA was criminally negligent (I could be wrong) but in the Virginia "accident," the explosion was the result of repairs costing more than the saftey violations they were repeatedly fined for. Usually if you break a law, any law, and someone dies, you go to prison.

      Unless you're rich, of course, and kill someone just to get richer.

    208. Re:In perspective by couchslug · · Score: 1

      ALL lives are eventually lost. To do nothing out of terror that some may be lost early is absurd.

      Consider the MANY dead test pilots, and the FEW dead astronauts. They SHARED the idea that risk is acceptable and loss is tolerable because they knowingly chose to risk their own loss!

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    209. Re:In perspective by Zeromous · · Score: 1

      >- management's role is to assess the risks presented by the engineers and determine an acceptable curse of action in the face of differing assessments
      >The real problem lies with the organization - from the engineers who assess the risks and presented the results to the managers who made the decision to launch

      No, it was very well established in the "post mortem" that the decision to launch was made for mostly political reasons, in the direct face of engineer's risk assessments. It was found assessments, if any had very little to do with it. It is not Managements job to re-assess risk. Engineers both quantify and qualify risk. Management ignored these risks for political gain.

      >Actually, it is both very understandable and important to understand what lead to the decision - understanding is the first step to fixing.

      No it is not, it was unmitigated risk taking by NASA management. I don't know what the hell you're off about on understanding what happened. Of COURSE. You seem to be the only person on the planet who DOES NOT understand what happened, why it happened, or what risks were identified prior to launch.

      >The real problem, IMHO, is that no one was able to clearly quantify the risk in a manner that made people understand the real risk and take the right action, which lead to the loss of the vehicle and the crew.

      Really? because this dead fellow we're discussing was very much able to quantify the risk of shuttle failure (Not just due to frozen brittle gaskets) to something like 1 in 50 launches. Hey, a few dozen launches later....

      --
      ---Up Up Down Down Left Right Left Right B A START
    210. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're dealing with a Space Nutter. Facts don't interest them. Grandiose claims and outright lies are their bread and butter.

      For them, nothing at all existed before 1961. NASA invented EVRYTHING. The wheel, the circle, the lever, Teflon, you name it. It's the only way to justify the extravagant waste of manned space "exploration". Because as you've shown, it doesn't take much to utterly demolish Space Nutter lies.

      Oh, and welcome to my "sane, rational and logical person" list! :)

    211. Re:In perspective by couchslug · · Score: 1

      "It creates a lot of cognitive dissonance to acknowledge that we're actually ok with letting some people die, because we don't like to tell ourselves that we allow that sort of thing. But we're still going to make the tradeoffs."

      People worry about dying in ways unlikely to kill them, then contract "diabesity" from eating factory "food" and being slothful. Both are perceived as "safe" activities. Their toll in suffering, premature debility, and death dwarfs war, auto accidents, and the space program.
      The toll for the US space program is less than a days worth of auto accidents.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    212. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, the O-rings weren't subjected to liquid nitrogen temperatures. A better demonstration was made during the hearings, when Richard Feynman took the O-ring material and put it in the glass of ice water sitting in front of him for a few minutes. When it came out, it didn't snap back to its original shape, indicating that it wouldn't do its job of sealing the gap if the were parts expanding or contracting.

    213. Re:In perspective by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      You're right that many technological advances came from space travel, but not about ICs.

      Early developments of the integrated circuit go back to 1949, when the German engineer Werner Jacobi (Siemens AG) [1] filed a patent for an integrated-circuit-like semiconductor amplifying device [3] showing five transistors on a common substrate arranged in a 2-stage amplifier arrangement. Jacobi disclosed small and cheap hearing aids as typical industrial applications of his patent. A commercial use of his patent has not been reported.

      The idea of the integrated circuit was conceived by a radar scientist working for the Royal Radar Establishment of the British Ministry of Defence, Geoffrey W.A. Dummer (1909â"2002). Dummer presented the idea to the public at the Symposium on Progress in Quality Electronic Components in Washington, D.C. on May 7, 1952.[4] He gave many symposia publicly to propagate his ideas, and unsuccessfully attempted to build such a circuit in 1956.

      A precursor idea to the IC was to create small ceramic squares (wafers), each one containing a single miniaturized component. Components could then be integrated and wired into a bidimensional or tridimensional compact grid. This idea, which looked very promising in 1957, was proposed to the US Army by Jack Kilby, and led to the short-lived Micromodule Program (similar to 1951's Project Tinkertoy).[5] However, as the project was gaining momentum, Kilby came up with a new, revolutionary design: the IC.

      Robert Noyce credited Kurt Lehovec of Sprague Electric for the principle of p-n junction isolation caused by the action of a biased p-n junction (the diode) as a key concept behind the IC.[6]

      Jack Kilby's original integrated circuitNewly employed by Texas Instruments, Kilby recorded his initial ideas concerning the integrated circuit in July 1958, successfully demonstrating the first working integrated example on September 12, 1958.

      Sputnik was launched the same year the first IC was constructed.

    214. Re:In perspective by prisoner-of-enigma · · Score: 2

      You're overlooking something huge: no matter what the images showed, there was nothing that could be done to save Columbia short of launching another shuttle on a rescue mission. There was a heated debate post-disaster that management decided not to do the photorecon because they'd already decided nothing could be done even if the photos showed damage. The engineers said they might've been able to throw something together for a rescue mission for the crew; Columbia was deemed irrepairable by even the most optimistic engineers.

      While one can't question the bravery of anyone attempting such a rescue mission, the logic of it is tough to reason out. Launching another crew on another shuttle that could easily suffer the same damage is questionable. Then you'd have two dead crews and two lost shuttles.

      --
      In the end they will lay their freedom at our feet and say to us, Make us your slaves, but feed us. - Fyodor Dostoyevsky
    215. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only 17 lives lost in 50 years means that you're at least doing something right to safeguard all the other lives that you saved through careful proceedure and cool heads.

      How are you doing "something right" when at least 14 of those lives could have easily been saved?

      How is it that you said "only 17 lives lost". Is life that cheap and worthless?

      And yes, everybody knows that Management is bad in other areas of government, and in the banking industry, and in the Catholic church, and in the protestant churches, and in various other industries?

      Why be an apologist for mismanagement that causes death?

    216. Re:In perspective by demachina · · Score: 1

      The shuttle is immensely more fragile than an expendable booster. In particular the thermal protection system (the tiles) were known to be extremely vulnerable to ice strikes, its why they put a thermal blanket on the external tank. Capsules on top of the stack are much less vulnerable, compared to the Shuttle which sits alongside the entire length of the stack, which is why no one is considering ever doing that design again, it was flawed and everyone came to realize it, and they paid for it in both accidents.

      There simply was NO good reason to continue with a launch on that abnormally cold of a day in Florida when there was ice all over the launch pad and there were signifcant risks of broken pipes, etc on the launch pad even.

      They could have waited a day and they would have never had a problem. They delay shuttle launches all the time for weather, since the tiles can't stand flying through clouds or rain either.

      Its likely though often denied that senior managers felt pressure to launch that day because Reagan was going to give a speech that night praising the teacher in space and NASA. The White House didn't even have to explicitly pressure them to stay on schedule, the NASA managers just had to know what kind of a mess it would be for him to give that speech if they hadn't launched, and Reagan controlled their purse strings so they needed to make him happy and make him look good.

      --
      @de_machina
    217. Re:In perspective by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      Then only fools get to actually live.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    218. Re:In perspective by tragedy · · Score: 1

      Yeah, poor widdle confused managers getting these changing stories from those evil engineers. Except that it's a load of nonsense. They didn't suddenly change their story. It was already known that the o-rings hadn't been tested in such extreme cold and that there was a danger. The engineers were _not_ changing their story. Going from "it's probably safe to launch in normal conditions although there's a real concern about the design" to "it's not safe to launch in these unusually cold conditions since there's a concern about the design, no testing has ever been done in these conditions, and we think the design is probably going to fail".

      Even if the fantasy scenario you're painting were true, it still has managers ignoring engineers saying that the launch will be unsafe. If the managers rationale for concluding that the launch will be safe is because "the engineers said so", it's a logical fail to conclude that the launch is still safe by discounting the professional opinion of the engineers. Either they know what they're talking about, and you shouldn't launch, or they have no idea what they're talking about so you shouldn't launch. Unless the managers somehow believe that they've known what they were talking about in the past and just suddenly stopped. If the managers believe that, then they aren't qualified to do their jobs.

    219. Re:In perspective by quacking+duck · · Score: 1

      NASA manned spacecraft will never get safer or less expensive, thanks to the way it's (not properly) funded and (not really) supported by the American people and the politicians they vote in. Designing rockets by committee and political compromise, as you noted, is a recipe for disaster.

      But, you're mixing metrics when you say we lost 2 shuttles and 14 crew in 50 flights over the 30 year history of shuttle operations. Within that 30 years there were 135 launches, two of which ended in disaster. I have no idea where you got "in 50 flights" from; even between Challenger and Columbia there were 86 successful launches--which rounds closer to 100 than 50.

      By contrast, and this is not to diminish the actual loss of crew and vehicles with the shuttle, there were 29 manned US missions prior to the shuttle: 6 Mercury, 10 Gemini, and 13 Apollo. No in-flight deaths, but Apollo 13 came close, and Gemini 8 had major in-flight emergency as well. That's 2 major malfunctions in 29 flights (3 in 30 if you count Apollo 1), compared to 2 in 135 shuttle flights, despite the shuttle being a far more complex system.

    220. Re:In perspective by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

      It is if you spray it on a nice hot turbocharger. Petrol boils off and blows away far too quickly to be much of a risk.

      Now what *is* really nasty, is brake fluid. Sticky, not very volatile, worryingly low flashpoint...

    221. Re:In perspective by quacking+duck · · Score: 1

      Addendum to my post: it was not meant to excuse the fact that management issues were largely responsible for the Challenger and Columbia disasters, whereas the earlier malfunctions were technical or the result or not following procedure (IIRC Apollo 13's cryo tank was dropped just an inch or two during command module assembly, and they failed notice the replacement was a newer unit was built to updated electrical spec for later command modules, so the tank's internal temperature sensor got fried and couldn't warn the crew that it was burning off the insulation off the oxygen tank's internal wiring).

    222. Re:In perspective by quacking+duck · · Score: 1

      You were doing great until you pulled the "Columbia disaster due to environmentalists" card.

      According to the Columbia Accident Investigation Board report, Columbia's tank, ET-93, was built before the new environmental regulations came into play. ET-93 used the old CFC-11 foam.

      So, now that you know they were using the old CFC-using foam, and the "tree huggers" had nothing to do with it, how does that change your feelings about Columbia?

    223. Re:In perspective by jayrtfm · · Score: 1

      yeh, but the quality sucked until NASA poured enough money and QA into getting them reliable enough for a manned mission. Then the IC manufacturer's marketing department was able to use the "its good enough to get us to the moon so it's good enough for your application" to sell them.
      So NASA gets the credit, much like Steve Jobs gets the credit for the iPod and not Kane Kramer

    224. Re:In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What matters, and the point that is being made which you have totally missed, is that at least some of those "only 17 lives lost" could have been prevented by management not being willfully dismissive of the very warnings which could have prevented those particular losses. It's one thing to have a space accident where an astronaut is lost. It's another thing entirely to have engineers warning you of a dangerous situation and to purposely dismiss their warnings. (I stop short of suggesting that it is literally homicidal, but others apparently did not.)

    225. Re:In perspective by terjeber · · Score: 1

      Lives lost per year is an utterly meaningless measurement. What if only 17 people took part in exploration over those 50 years? That would have been pretty bad. The number of lives lost in this particular exploration seems rather high. The number of astronauts and the number of trips is vanishingly small compared to the number of people participating in (for example) the exploration of the West. Yes, we have to expect losses, but that is too high.

    226. Re:In perspective by terjeber · · Score: 1

      Yes, he does. His "stats" are meaningless. It is not the number of dead per year. What if only 17 people took part in this over the past 50 years. It is the relative number of deaths compared to the number of participants in the endeavor. 17 seems rather high given the low number of astronauts and the low number of trips.

    227. Re:In perspective by Pieroxy · · Score: 1

      you're simply using another number system

      Exactly. What we use to communicate is a language. All of them have their biases. They are heavily based on preconceptions and implied meaning that change regarding whoever is reading and whoever is writing. Hence, when "a fact" is written down, it is de facto interpreted by the one writing it down, and it will again be interpreted by someone reading it. It has ceased to be a fact and is now an interpretation of a fact.

    228. Re:In perspective by networkBoy · · Score: 1

      It is interesting to say the least. I accept that is a factoid I did not know.
      Of course I could spout off that "that means the tank was too old, likely the foam was deteriorated" or something, but I don't think that would be the case. I suppose I will go with that it is one hell of an unfortunate situation.
      -nB

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
    229. Re:In perspective by treeves · · Score: 1

      Who said anything about relying on them to get work done? The whole thread has been basically about definitions: what is an accident?
      My point was that while some definitions include something about accidents generally having negative or undesired effects, the definition is not strictly limited to those.
      I tend to be pretty cautious myself, and I've watched a few safety videos, too. I notice they usually use computer animations nowadays and don't actually show anything gory, but they can be interesting to watch. "Why the hell did they do THAT?!"
      You can watch some here.
      I remember the one titled "Half an Hour to Tragedy" had a big wtf moment, when people went back in the convenience store...that was filled with propane gas.

      --
      ...the future crusty old bastards are already drinking the Kool-Aid.
    230. Re:In perspective by Tastecicles · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the clarification. I've seen cold affect silicon rubber seals and know what it does; coupled with mechanical stress it isn't pretty. The gasket basically disintegrates. With what I use them for* there's no practical alternative that I've found (high mechanical stress, rapid changing environmental conditions including widely variable differential pressure change) but when I do, I'll let Thiokol know.

      *waterproof seals on ingress points of vehicle electronics, gas seals and blowback prevention on air rifles, regulated pressure butane systems, that sort of thing.

      --
      Operation Guillotine is in effect.
    231. Re:In perspective by dbIII · · Score: 1

      So how on earth do you get "We should try to eradicate death" out of that?
      Take the extra minute if you like and then explain why we shouldn't think you are an idiot that is full of nothing but shit and wind that you've let explode onto this web forum.

    232. Re:In perspective by dbIII · · Score: 1

      I didn't say they were, just that the concept of glass transition temperature in synthetic rubbers was know even to a lot of children well before the disaster. I think the children watching it could extend their understanding to "making it cold" instead of merely assuming that only liquid nitrogen would do it.
      It shows how badly NASA's management structure was broken that it took a dying Nobel laureate that was effectively immune to any threat to dare to get the evidence from the engineers and put it before the inquiry.

    233. Re:In perspective by dragonhunter21 · · Score: 1

      Oh yeah, the CSB has some great videos. I haven't watched "Half Hour to Tragedy", though. The CSB site is full of accidents people should have seen coming.

      --
      Sent from my CR-48
    234. Re:In perspective by Pieroxy · · Score: 1

      Again, the GGP said something else: My 2: 17 may be a low number, but 3 is a much lower one, and you only needed to hear your engineers!

      By his account, and the way I understand it, there is no effort that is too big to save one life. Therefore, we should spend all the humanity's energy trying to save all lives. Since there is not limit in the effort justifiable to save one, imagine to save all!

      You know, it was just a little sarcastic. I don't think there's any need to go all out on me like that. Unless you've got nothing better to do that is.

    235. Re:In perspective by dbIII · · Score: 1

      By his account, and the way I understand it, there is no effort that is too big to save one life

      It appears you dragged in some baggage from elsewhere to read into it something that was not there in that single line.

      If you are going to go around insulting people based on your own imagination why do you expect others to read it without reacting? Anyway, that's my reaction. The hypocracy of your "Think for a minute" after posting something that showed a clear thoughtless kneejerk response is a bit of an insult to anybody reading it.

    236. Re:In perspective by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Translation: You'll grasp at any straw to put all the blame on management and completely absolve the engineers of any blame - even if that requires disbelieving reality and rejecting evidence that runs contrary to your deeply held religious faith.

      Conclusion: You're an idiot.

    237. Re:In perspective by Maritz · · Score: 1

      For instance, 1+1 = 10 is my fact, and it seems it's not the same as yours.

      This strikes me as disingenuous. 10 in binary and 2 in decimal are equivalent. Just because you can think of a billion ways to represent the number doesn't mean there's any fundamental difference. I've seen this ferocious debate about the word 'fact' pop up on /. a few times. For me at the end of the day there's philosophical truth and there's the approximation of it that works in real life. If you dispute the 'fact' of gravity being attractive for example, then simply jump off a tall building.

      --
      I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
    238. Re:In perspective by SlovakWakko · · Score: 1

      I don't agree with you. Look at the numbers at http://space.kursknet.ru/cosmos/english/other/stat_kk.sht NASA spends a lot of money, sever times more than the Russians, and with all this effort it manages to kill more people just because at the critical moment politics prevails over reason - that is more than mismanagement, that's really stupid, selfish, and arrogant. NASA did way more man-flights than USSR/Russia, but on the other hand the Russians spent much more time in space. I guess they figured out that the really dangerous parts are the launch and re-entry :)

    239. Re:In perspective by UnknowingFool · · Score: 1

      No one knows what could have been done because there was never an attempt. You could have said the same about Apollo 13: "They were going to die anyways, let's not focus any efforts on rescuing them.". As for immediate rescue, they didn't have to send another shuttle, they could have sent up Soyuz capsules (which the Cosmonauts relied on until the shuttle was reinstated). It would take many more capsules but in under a minute, I came up with a plan; imagine what the engineers could have done.

      --
      Well, there's spam egg sausage and spam, that's not got much spam in it.
    240. Re:In perspective by dave87656 · · Score: 1

      Still, this guy should have been taken somewhat seriously. He had over 20 years of experience, had been working at the company that developed the SRB's for several years, and was ignored even after showing his managers photographic evidence of damage being caused to the O-rings by cold weather with several of his colleagues on the team agreeing.

      Good points. I agree with others that it's easy to focus on the one engineer who said "Don't fly" and make a villain out of the manager who took the advice of the other engineers who said it was okay to fly. But, with evidence as solid as his and with his credentials, the manager should have erred on the side of safety.

    241. Re:In perspective by tragedy · · Score: 1

      That's a pretty poor translation. Look, you were trying to absolve management of all responsibility by claiming that they were being misinformed by their engineers who suddenly and unexpectedly changed their story at the last moment. For starters, that just wasn't true. It was a colder day than they'd ever tested in. They had a range of acceptable temperatures, and the temperature that day wasn't in that range. It was _too cold_. There's no simple way around the fact that, to launch a giant controlled explosion outside operating parameters, you need consensus from your engineers. When you don't get it, you can't just say "you're changing your story, I'm launching anyway!"

      In fact, even if your assertion that the engineers suddenly changed their story was true (it wasn't, conditions changed, as I pointed out), then that would throw the previous assertions that launching was safe into doubt as well. In that case, only a fool would launch.

      Translation: I'm putting the responsibility for the launch on the heads of those responsible for making the decisions.

    242. Re:In perspective by sznupi · · Score: 1

      The failure mode on that cold day was hardly due to non-expandability: Ares V stack WOULD ALSO DISINTEGRATE in the event of SRB burning through one of its attachment points, and wrecking havoc...
      The end result really had nothing to do with side-placement of the orbiter, TPS, or overall fragility.

      Plus, part of the point was a side note how the Soviets apparently didn't think much about inaugural launch of their shuttle (also side-attached) in conditions when NASA probably would prefer to have its hw in hangars - but then, they worked since the beginning with reality of the Kazakh steppe (or even Plesetsk Cosmodrome, not far from Arctic Circle...), and didn't bothered with segmented SRBs; also their heat shield implementation - which BTW was launched through heavy cloud cover - was possibly somewhat better, reportedly suffering only marginal damage in its inaugural flight (again, through heavy cloud cover) ...of course, most likely, largely because it was done a decade later, with problems better understood.

      And anyway, protecting TPS is not the only role of external tank thermal blanket, and the simplest demonstration of that is: the foam is sprayed also on parts of the ET which have no chance of shedding ice onto the orbiter. It also maintains the quality of cryogenic propellants; during launch, it keeps the structure within design temperature limits - and, by the same property, assures low altitude (predictable, within impact boundary limits) ET breakup.

      Of course: yes, expendables are more sensible overall, you don't have to convince me of that - there was plenty more wrong than side-attachment with the concept of glorified Flash Gordon style glider contraption, riding on popular myths, (merely) appearing to the masses as something as sleek as, say, Concorde (but in space!!111); a spacecraft wasting most of its launched mass on airframe.
      It was just a bit... pointless, and outright stupid with its treatment of safety. Pointless in how it was demonstrably a very suboptimal approach - all boiling down to how it didn't really deliver on any of its premises and promises, while eating the funds (both implementations). Stupid not only in the sense that over-complication impacted safety (~= costs!) for no real gain, also in how it was presented like just as safe as an airliner, using some very flawed metrics (which Feynman pointed out in his report).
      And yeah, stupid ~politics... (also with both implementations)
      (you can see in large part of my visible recent comments how I'm often frustrated at this, how the shuttles probably retarded progress for at least two decades; also at myself, sort of, for being so easily taken as a kid by "cool spaceplane")

      PS. Sorry for late post, an old email client script reminded me the discussion expires; better late than never, I guess.

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
  2. Get his name right! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    It's *Roger* Boisjoly, like TFA says.

    1. Re:Get his name right! by jcreus · · Score: 1
    2. Re:Get his name right! by MiniMike · · Score: 5, Funny

      You must be an engineer, as they're ignoring you too.

    3. Re:Get his name right! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Slashdot "editing" staff is well versed in ignoring pesky things like facts or even basic spelling.

  3. A prize nomination? by samjam · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Perhaps he should be nominated for the not-yet existing Bradley Manning prize for integrity in the face of overwhelming odds.

    1. Re:A prize nomination? by Whalou · · Score: 4, Informative

      He won the AAAS Award for Scientific Freedom and Responsibility in 1988.

      --
      English is not this .sig mother tongue...
    2. Re:A prize nomination? by Rotag_FU · · Score: 5, Interesting

      While not a prize, he is someone who has been effectively immortalized in engineering ethics classes, at least in the US. The Challenger incident, and his participation of it, are studied in some depth right alongside the Tacoma Narrows and Quebec River Bridge incidents. Admittedly I speak from a relatively small sample size (direct personal experience plus anecdotal evidence from ~10 other engineering colleagues), but the samples are from geographically diverse schools in the US. I'm curious if this case is studied in engineering ethics classes abroad?

    3. Re:A prize nomination? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You mean the Bradley Manning award for being an angry child the punches women, throws tantrums and doesn't read what he releases. Let's call it the Darling of the Left and excused for being an Abusive Manchild award. After all, it's ok that he beat up a woman, as long as he's on our side! He's a hero!

      http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/video/2011/may/27/bradley-manning-wikileaks-iraq-video

      http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2075943/Bradley-Manning-trial-Wikileaks-suspect-punched-female-superior.html

      http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2822182/posts

    4. Re:A prize nomination? by wienerschnizzel · · Score: 5, Insightful

      has been effectively immortalized in engineering ethics classes

      Herein lies the problem. The lesson needs to be taught in Management 101 classes.

    5. Re:A prize nomination? by samjam · · Score: 1

      That's the guy. I wonder if you took the time to read what you just posted? Maybe he beat up a woman; he didn't kill unarmed civilians, but he grassed up those who were. I don't think the fact that he may have beat up a woman erase their crime or means he should have kept quiet about it.

      A decent manchild will acknowledge his faults and not "tit-for-tat" be quiet about other peoples abuses.

      And maybe he threw tantrums but removal of due process is certainly a bigger tantrum, don't you think?

    6. Re:A prize nomination? by Rogerborg · · Score: 1

      Dredge the bottomless pit of sludge that is Slashdot for long enough, and one can very occasionally find a gleaming nugget of pure gold. Well said, sir.

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
    7. Re:A prize nomination? by Arashi256 · · Score: 0

      If you want to be taken seriously, including a link to a Daily Mail "article" is not the way to exude credibility. Often, the DM just makes stuff up. Fact.

    8. Re:A prize nomination? by aitikin · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I'm actually burning mod points that I used because I just have to point out that, I have a Bachelor's of Science in Business with a focus in Management (long title for BS of Management degree), and this topic and topics like it never came up. Not once. Not ever. This is more than a, "gleaming nugget of pure gold," as Rogerborg put it, it's a solid bar of it.

      Management (myself included to a mild extent, that extent might be why I'm so low on the management totem pole) is far too often worried about getting the numbers right or getting things done for the sake of getting them done instead of getting them done well, right, safely, or not getting them done at all if any of these aren't and can't be the case. I am striving to make sure that, when my employees tell me we will not get this done in time unless we cheat the numbers, I tell them, okay, let's see if we can get as much help as we need for this (again, low on the totem pole). I'm of the mindset that a job should be done right rather than just done. Shame it seems I'm the only one within my company.

      --
      "Don't meddle in the affairs of a patent dragon, for thou art tasty and good with ketchup." ~ohcrapitssteve
    9. Re:A prize nomination? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I will offer a counter-anecdote: I also have an undergraduate degree in business, with concentrations in Management and Finance, and this was covered as a case study in one class. It was part of a unit on what essentially amounted to the anatomy of clusterfucks, how easily preventable disasters still happen and why terrible decision making prevails in these cases.

      In fact, a subtext of the almost all the classes in both tracks was that people are bad at assessing risk, especially for rare events, and how context can distort this process, leading to obviously suboptimal outcomes. This was before the recent financial crisis, but post Enron and Long Term Capital management, and both of those cases were discussed in detail at various points.

    10. Re:A prize nomination? by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Perhaps he should be nominated for the not-yet existing Bradley Manning prize for integrity in the face of overwhelming odds.

      That would require integrity. But the reality is that he (and the other Thiokol and NASA engineers) insisted for years that despite the SRB not meeting spec ("there shall be no leakage") that it was safe to fly. Then he changed his story, and subsequently has insisted the changed version is the truth.

    11. Re:A prize nomination? by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      I'm actually burning mod points that I used because I just have to point out that, I have a Bachelor's of Science in Business with a focus in Management (long title for BS of Management degree), and this topic and topics like it never came up. Not once. Not ever.

      The you either slept through or skipped the classes where it was covered - or you went to cheap ass diploma mill school. I know many people with management degrees - and each and every one of them either took a full course on ethics or encountered it piecemeal across other classes.

    12. Re:A prize nomination? by Aeron65432 · · Score: 1

      I can't speak for all programs, but as an MBA student, this is taught in MGMT101. (organizational behavior)

    13. Re:A prize nomination? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Canada is still relatively close, but these same incidents are also covered in many (perhaps most) engineering ethics classes up here.

    14. Re:A prize nomination? by sChatwin · · Score: 1

      I *do* teach this in managment classes - specifically Project Management 101. The aim is three-fold - get students to better understand risk/return, to get them to understand that presentation matters and finally that risks are often complex and you need to encourage sometimes reticent people to talk and then pay attention to them. The real wow! that the students generally get is the sheer size of engineering. Lay out a 1/4" diam. piece of rope in a 12' diameter circle to show what the O ring really looked like. The diagrams don't convey it.

    15. Re:A prize nomination? by aitikin · · Score: 1

      Based on your definition, every business I've ever seen violates ethical standards because they put people at risk, often for even slight rewards. I definitely was taught ethics in nearly every one of my courses (I understand and understood ethics before I got to college, maybe that's why I come across as not knowing this), however I never learned from this case or any case directly correlating to it until yesterday. The closest I ever got to learning about a case like this was in Employment Law where we discussed issues such as the Ford Pinto Recall and how, while it was terrible, its defect was, "...actually commonplace..." but media perception makes all the difference.

      On a wholly separate note, I'm surprised that no one wanted to make mention that, without the Challenger disaster, we probably would have had something similar or more devastating within five years given how NASA was progressing and bending the safety of their technology.

      --
      "Don't meddle in the affairs of a patent dragon, for thou art tasty and good with ketchup." ~ohcrapitssteve
    16. Re:A prize nomination? by dave87656 · · Score: 1

      Thank You. That is exactly the point.

    17. Re:A prize nomination? by dave87656 · · Score: 1

      And maybe he threw tantrums but removal of due process is certainly a bigger tantrum, don't you think?

      I'm surprised there isn't a bigger public outcry about this. I got scared when we installed electronic unverifiable voting machines. I knew we were done for when we got rid of due process. Scary times indeed. I just hope we wake up, just a little, and restore democracy and due process.

  4. Re:How is this "news for nerds" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Did he use Linux or something?

    Please hand in your nerd badge at the exit before you leave.

  5. Re:How is this "news for nerds" by jcreus · · Score: 1

    Because it's also stuff that matters, yet what he said didn't matter a lot to [whoever's fault was], apparently.

  6. Seems to be a management thing by evil_aaronm · · Score: 1

    It's not the same scale, but I've had similar arguments with my manager about the quality and safety of the products we develop and even thought I'm the one who knows the code and how it works, he's the one that decides that we don't need to fix it and that it's "good to go." How well does it work? Bring up a simple informational screen and the system crashes.

    These airheads seem to think that just because they're in a position of authority, they must be right.

    1. Re:Seems to be a management thing by NoNonAlphaCharsHere · · Score: 0

      Two hours after the explosion I was saying (and several people have reminded me that I did) that the cause was probably some middle manager screaming at an engineer "WHADDYA MEAN I CAN'T SHIP ON TIME!!??!!".

  7. Space is hard by giorgist · · Score: 1

    In every disaster you will always find somebody that predicted it and that includes clairvoyants. If these guys did not have a strong enough case, there where up against the others that made a better case then them. NASA should and has been held accountable for its wrongs. Do not forget that going to space is hard, real hard and NASA designed and flew the space shuttle which was the most complex machine by a margin and it hardly had any prototypes.

    The other options are spend a hell of a lot more money ensuring safer rides or don't go (or possibly fix what is wrong with NASA).

      I think NASA a has a good balance considering its successes and now the private sector is being baby stepped into taking some of the roles.

    1. Re:Space is hard by demachina · · Score: 5, Insightful

      All of the Morton Thiokol engineers responsible for the O rings were telling them to stop, they new the O rings had issues with cold temperatures. It was an anomolously cold day in Florida. It almost never freezes at Kennedy but that morning there was ice all over the launch pad. Even setting the O rings aside it was enormously foolish to launch that morning and it was pretty obvious they should postpone a day until temperatures weren't aberrant.

      As I recall Reagan was giving a speech about the space program and timing it to coincide with the launch and the teacher-in-space and the bureaucrats were unwisely feeling political pressure to launch with all engineering and safety factors screamed for them to stop.

      --
      @de_machina
    2. Re:Space is hard by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      do you work for NASA?

    3. Re:Space is hard by blueg3 · · Score: 3, Informative

      Note that this message didn't actually get to NASA. Morton Thiokol engineers told their management that they should delay the launch. The report from Morton Thiokol management to NASA, however, said that the launch should be no different from previous (successful) launches.

    4. Re:Space is hard by zildgulf · · Score: 1

      I am no clairvoyant but I knew launch the Challenger in freezing weather was a really bad idea I didn't predict the Columbia disaster. I knew there was lots of reasons why Shuttle take-offs and landings were done in warm climate locations. I knew that "winterizing" equipment in Georgia and Florida is considered a waste of money. We in Atlanta don't stock pile millions of tons of road melting salt and chemicals like Chicago has to. We in Atlanta get crippling snow/ice just once every few years. We don't have thousands of snowplows because we don't get snow that often. We in Atlanta know when equipment is not properly "winterized" and you use it in freezing and damp weather really bad things happen. We saw it all of the time. Boisjoly had a very strong case in that at below 50F that the O-rings won't fill the gap. What Kilminster forgot is that an engineer should NEVER take off his engineering hat and put on a manager hat. Engineers have public responsibilities that managers often don't.

    5. Re:Space is hard by dave87656 · · Score: 1

      I knew there was lots of reasons why Shuttle take-offs and landings were done in warm climate locations

      The reason they are done in FL is that the closer they are to the equator the more push the rotation of the earth has to propel them into orbit. That's why Russia launches from the Ukraine, ESA from French New Guinea. You can launch from further north, but you are closer to the earths axis so you aren't going as fast. It's like a Merry Go Round: if you stand close to the center, you're not going as fast as when you are hanging on to the outer edge.

      Launch location has very little to do with the warmth of the climate.

    6. Re:Space is hard by dave87656 · · Score: 1

      Correction: Russia launches from Kazakhstan.

  8. So why isn't Kilminster behind bars? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    He killed 14 people, so why isn't he in jail?

  9. Really? by Lumpy · · Score: 2

    " NASA managers didn't listen to the engineers."

    This is different from any place else? CEO's and executives are convinced they know more than the engineers. And when they don't listen and fail, They BLAME the engineers.

    This is Modus Operandi of any corporation and Government agency.

    Guess what executives, engineers do know a whole lot more than you do.

    I know the solution, any time engineers reccomend against something and management does it anyways and a failure happens. 1st the executive has to take all responsibility for the failure. Financial and moral.

    2nd, every engineer gets to kick the executive in the nuts two times.

    --
    Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    1. Re:Really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Two questions.

      1) What if the executive has one nut, or no nuts?

      2) Is it two kicks per nut, or two kicks in total?

      Once we have ironed out these questions, I'm sure all mismanagement will cease!

    2. Re:Really? by hipp5 · · Score: 1

      CEO's and executives are convinced they know more than the engineers.

      And engineers assume their perspective is the only one that matters. Part of being a manager is hearing input from every group in the company/organization/unit and evaluating their various perspectives to make a decision. Engineering considerations are only one aspect of a successful operation. Sometimes it's better to release a sub-optimal product (from an engineering perspective) for other benefits in timing, marketing, financial efficiency, etc.

      I'm not weighing in on the correctness of the management decision in this case; I don't know enough of the details. But the statements you made seem to me to be very self-centred and naive of the complexities of the world.

    3. Re:Really? by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      Says an executive that does not want to be kicked in the nuts by the engineer.

      What is wrong with forcing the Executive to bear ALL The responsibility of his decisions?

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    4. Re:Really? by grep_rocks · · Score: 1

      I have heard this line of BS many times before - "it is complex" "I have to weigh lots of variables together" - what they really mean is that there are politics involved and they don't want to upset anyone else - in this case people died because the manager didn't want to stand up to the next layer of management and say there was a problem - he would rather take a chance with peoples lives then expend an ounce of political capital, what a motherfucker - US management is so obsessed with the circle jerk of just trying to please everyone above them while treating their subordinates like servants that they can't possibly let reality get in the way, and if shit does happen they blame the guy who warned of the problem - this has to change someday or the US is fucked, maybe the Chinese can run this country better then our current set of narcissitic, sociopathic managers.

  10. prevention is the key by bigbangnet · · Score: 3, Insightful

    When an engineer says don't go with the launch. Sorry but just stfu and listen to him. FFS, he's not the idiot citizen who doesn't know squat. He's an engineer and 3 of them argued...wow. And the management still didn't listen. It leaves a sour taste in my mouth. On top of that, I'm not an american and I'm very touched by this story, news and especially those lost lives. All of that could of been avoided and they would still learned from their mistake, corrected the problem and go forward with the launch later. My question is: what happened to the guy who still said let's go with the launch ? Did he get accused of murder ?

    1. Re:prevention is the key by Rogerborg · · Score: 0

      He's an engineer and 3 of them argued

      Five, not three. But hey, close enough, we can't all do kindergarten arithmetic or the words read be good at.

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
    2. Re:prevention is the key by geekoid · · Score: 1

      of course not.

      Also, the 3 engineers could have gone to the press.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    3. Re:prevention is the key by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      When an engineer says don't go with the launch. Sorry but just stfu and listen to him. FFS, he's not the idiot citizen who doesn't know squat. He's an engineer

      He's an engineer that spent over a decade working a design he knew did not meet spec ("there shall be no blowby"), and never said a word. Why should I believe him when he suddenly changes his story?

    4. Re:prevention is the key by bigbangnet · · Score: 1
      sorry for the mistake, it was 5...dont know why I had three in my head. Anyway

      not meeting spec and ability to save lives are 2 different things. I mean, theres a point where you dont meeting the minimum spec which could be fine. But if those are not met and lives could be lost...sorry there but I wont go forward. I think that's what happened with those engineer and those management monkey's didn't listen.

      You should believe him cause those guys tried to save them. The management didn't care. They probably thought of money, power, politics or all of the above lol. Curious they weren't charged with murder. If I had money, I would do that.

  11. Wrong perspective - already knew it was a bad idea by dbIII · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Look kid, it's not a case of always doing things right. It was a case of people coming in that were not doing things right and as a consequence getting others killed. The Russians had that problem as well, for instance an idiot in charge of a project forcing people to take stupid shortcuts at gunpoint and getting hundreds killed in an explosion. Yes, bad management happens a lot but that's no excuse not to put projects with severe consequences of failure under adult supervision instead of some horse judge that has powerful friends.

  12. NASA not any different today by HangingChad · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Both Boisjoly and McDonald were blackballed for speaking out.

    I think that's the bigger issue here. NASA really hasn't changed, they're the same arrogant, top heavy, risk adverse organization they bloated into during the 80's. You'd think they would have been humbled by seeing heavy lift moved over to the Russians, but it hasn't dented their attitude one bit.

    It's not the lives that were lost, it was the circumstances surrounding the loss and the general lack of accountability afterwards. Engineers who try to sound warnings still will get blackballed. Nothing really changes when you have the problem dictating the solution.

    --
    That's our life, the big wheel of shit. - The Fat Man, Blue Tango Salvage
    1. Re:NASA not any different today by Z00L00K · · Score: 2

      Not very different from any other business you will encounter.

      "Shit happens" is the attitude and many in the top layer gets a good payoff and goes on to their next job as a punishment.

      --
      If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
    2. Re:NASA not any different today by nitehawk214 · · Score: 1

      Both Boisjoly and McDonald were blackballed for speaking out.

      I think that's the bigger issue here. NASA really hasn't changed, they're the same arrogant, top heavy, risk adverse organization they bloated into during the 80's. You'd think they would have been humbled by seeing heavy lift moved over to the Russians, but it hasn't dented their attitude one bit.

      It's not the lives that were lost, it was the circumstances surrounding the loss and the general lack of accountability afterwards. Engineers who try to sound warnings still will get blackballed. Nothing really changes when you have the problem dictating the solution.

      I agree. Someone might ask "If NASA management is so risk-adverse, why did they let these tragedies happen?" It is simple, when management is risk-adverse it has nothing to do with the well being of expendable employees or others. They are adverse to the risk of the hell they will catch if a project falls behind or an organization loses money or customers, or risk-adverse to themselves losing face. Good managers that take responsibility are sacrificed by the ones covering their own asses, leaving only bad managers left.

      And let us be clear, if NASA had delayed these launches, some Senator would have raked the managers over the coals for wasting so much taxpayer money, even though it was the right thing to do. So they decided to chance launching with the known flaws in the hopes that everything would turn out fine as it had in the past and they would not lose their jobs.

      --
      I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
    3. Re:NASA not any different today by k6mfw · · Score: 1

      > if NASA had delayed these launches, some Senator would have raked the managers over the coals

      Also other influential people, i.e. media. I remember the day before when launch was delayed because whiteroom closeout crew could not get the door mechanism removed from the Shuttle door, took so long they missed the launch window. News people made comments like, "NASA can't get anything done on schedule, unlike 20 years ago they could launch this, launch that without all these delays!" Geez, I guess some of these guys forgot the 60s or didn't read history if too young to remember. Gemini had all kinds of delays, plus Apollo particularly The Fire.

      When Challenger blew up (I was not watching TV), someone came running into the room, "Challenger blew up!" The first thing I said, "That's bull----! News is just exaggerating" as I was thinking they are still ongoing with diatribes such as the stuck door mechanism. However, shortly after I realized what really happened.

      --
      mfwright@batnet.com
    4. Re:NASA not any different today by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      I think that's the bigger issue here. NASA really hasn't changed, they're the same arrogant, top heavy, risk adverse organization they bloated into during the 80's.

      That's the urban legend. The reality is that all that got started as the Apollo program got rolling, and only got worse as time went on. (And that applied to engineers as well as management.)
       

      it was the circumstances surrounding the loss and the general lack of accountability afterwards

      How many of the engineers who insisted a faulty design that failed to meet spec ("there shall be zero leakage") was safe to fly were held accountable? Like so many, you're reaching for any reason you can find to blame management - but you're doing so by cherry picking which parts of the story to base your beliefs on.
       
      Engineers aren't saints, and they aren't always right.

    5. Re:NASA not any different today by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "...arrogant, top heavy, risk adverse organization..."

      One might speculate that a truly "risk averse" organization would tend to be overly cautious -recommending mission cancellations unjustified by known fact.

  13. Misplaced modifier by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Robert Boisjoly Dies At 73, the Engineer Who Tried To Stop the Challenger Launch"

    73 tried to stop the Challenger Launch?

  14. Re:Joseph Kilminster ? by Z00L00K · · Score: 1

    I'd rather trust Lemmy Kilmister instead...

    --
    If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
  15. wrong perspective by wienerschnizzel · · Score: 2

    That is not the right perspective. It's like putting a one time murderer "into perspective" by saying he managed not to kill anyone in the previous 50 Yyears of his life and therefore he must be doing something right.

    Killings have to be considered on a case-by-case basis. perpetrators need to be punished and lessons need to be learned.

  16. Whistle-blower ostracization by drobety · · Score: 4, Insightful

    From the 1987 LA Times article:

    And for that, there was an additional private cost: resentment on the part of those who had been hoping to avoid, at least in part, official blame. It came from corporate executives, and from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Morton Thiokol's biggest customer. And it came from colleagues fearful that too much exposure of truth might hurt business and cost them their jobs.

    "If you wreck this company, I'm gonna put my kids on your doorstep," grumbled one. Someone finally dubbed the engineers "the five lepers."

    This is the sad reality: Whistle-blowers are often the target of ostracism from their contemporaries, while usually unanimously admired later in historical context. It's still not easy to be a whistle-blower, if anything, it's harder than ever.

  17. Problem Recognized EARLIER by Rudolph Krueger... by BoRegardless · · Score: 5, Interesting

    When the bids went out to professional engineers in the aerospace seal business, my friend, now gone sadly, was asked to bid on the large O'Ring seal design for the shuttle booster rockets.

    He did his basic expansion calculations on what temperature changes would do to the large diameter structure and came to the conclusion it would not work and replied declining to quote with a note that it didn't seem to be workable because of basic physics.

    Rudolph's opinion was never seriously taken and we know the result.

  18. Worth Mentioning by elkto · · Score: 2

    It is worth mentioning that CONTRACTIALY the SRB’s were rated to handle such weather. Who failed there? Why is this not mentioned or reported?

    Then there is Lockheed’s nonsense with changing over the foam insulation on the Shuttles external tank to an “Environmentally Friendly” one which exacerbated the issue of blowing holes into the flight vehicle. Somebody knew enough about the potential problem to get a exemption from the EPA to use the old foam, yet the new foam was utilized.

    1. Re:Worth Mentioning by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've seen a report where the engineers who build the SRBs didn't want NASA to fly with them any more and redesign the SRBs.
      In the original specification it was mentioned that any kind of damage on the o'rings was a show stopper, that if it ever happened it needed to be redesigned.

      But after a couple of damaged o'rings some people believed it would not cause any real problems, because it didn't before. And every time the shuttle came back with damaged o'rings their believe became stronger.

      Check this out, quite a funny presentation as well:
              http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jK_r0F51CFI

  19. it was inevitable by PJ6 · · Score: 1

    Groups of people tend toward internal modes counter to their purpose. The larger and longer-lived the group, the stronger this effect. It's easy to think we're intelligent and capable beings when you look at individuals, but on larger scales our true nature becomes clear. Unnecessary disasters will always plague large engineering projects, because we're more like monkeys than ants.

    1. Re:it was inevitable by plopez · · Score: 1

      Humans basically are monkeys, apes to be exact.

      --
      putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
    2. Re:it was inevitable by Mal-2 · · Score: 1

      This is known by the Law of Committees: "None of us is as dumb as all of us."

      --
      How is the Riemann zeta function like Trump rallies? Both have an endless number of trivial zeros.
    3. Re:it was inevitable by tomboalogo · · Score: 0

      flinging poop at each other. This effect is called .................... Slashdot

    4. Re:it was inevitable by plopez · · Score: 1

      and politics. Seriously, when you start thinking of people as apes, things about human behavior start to make more sense.

      --
      putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
  20. A few words for the man by A10Mechanic · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I prefer to remember him as the cool guest lecturer and advisor we had at Weber State for the NUSAT program. Keen intellect, razor sharp, and driven. There's more to the man than just Challenger.

    1. Re:A few words for the man by ItsJustAPseudonym · · Score: 1

      Thanks for that description.

      Now I imagine that man in the "management review" before the launch, incredibly frustrated because the facts didn't seem to be getting the proper respect. That must have hurt a lot.

  21. Corruption in management is universal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It took courage for the engineers to speak up and back their assertions and warnings, but more to the point, there had to be irrefutably compelling evidence for them to do so. That is what I find so disturbing. It is an unfortunate paradox that, in big business (and let's not fool ourselves; NASA is big business), priorities are different for upper management than they are for those doing the actual work... and the brains and ethics do not lie in management, regardless of venue.

    Ron McNair was in the physics program at MIT with my brother-in-law, and they were extremely close for numerous reasons. Ron was brilliant, selfless, deeply touched the lives of many young people, was a phenomenal father and husband, and a gift to his community and beyond. His future was exceedingly bright. Ron was like an uncle to my nephew, who was four when he watched uncle Ron that day. For very personal reasons as well as universal ones, I wish management had done something right for a change.

  22. Re:Joseph Kilminster ? by Whalou · · Score: 1

    You cannot make this shit up.

    I think you just did.

    --
    English is not this .sig mother tongue...
  23. His first name was Roger, dammit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    That is all. Also, kinda late to the party with this news.

  24. Incomplete Information by trout007 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Here is some perspective. The question is how many of these types of warnings are issued every flight? It's very similar to when environmental groups oppose every development project. If you go out every time warning of disaster eventually a disaster happens and you are proven right. But what is the alternative? To never build? To never fly?

    Anyone who has ever designed anything critical always has a feeling they may have missed something. There is a phase called analysis paralysis (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Analysis_paralysis) . It is when you never do something because you are always checking another scenario in which it may fail.

    Whenever any complex system fails there will always be a record of someone warning about it because that is what engineers do. In fact it is obvious after the fact. We always think of ways something can fail. But with limited time and limited budget we can't follow all of those lines of thought to their conclusion. You have to prioritize the risks and accept them to get things done.

    --
    I love Jesus, except for his foreign policy.
    1. Re:Incomplete Information by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The alternative was to fly when it was a little warmer. In which case no one would have died. These guys weren't opposing every flight, they wanted the goddamn thing to fly, but blowing up after leaving the launch pad isn't flying.

    2. Re:Incomplete Information by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You have to prioritize the risks and accept them to get things done.

      Exactly, but it is quite obvious they didn't do that here. And you missed one thing in your Risk Analysis. You don't simply prioritize the risks and accept them. Sometimes - you fix them. Doh.

  25. Lets look at this objectively by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Can you expect to walk to your fridge without incident? generally yes.

    Can you expect to drive 50 miles without incident? generally yes but quite often (this mornings commute) no.

    Can you expect to achieve orbit, the shuttle must accelerate from zero to a speed of almost 28,968 kilometers per hour (18,000 miles per hour), a speed nine times as fast as the average rifle bullet. without incident ever? no you cannot.

    Someone is not insensitive for pointing out the risk involved in such a new and very dangerous procedure

    1. Re:Lets look at this objectively by Punko · · Score: 2

      Can you expect to walk to your fridge without incident? generally yes.
      But if someone tells your wife that the floor isn't safe and she tells you to go ahead anyway, does this change your argument ?

      Can you expect to drive 50 miles without incident? generally yes but quite often (this mornings commute) no.
      If the radio news says road conditions are dangerous and you go ahead anyway, does this change your argument ?

      Can you expect to achieve orbit, the shuttle must accelerate from zero to a speed of almost 28,968 kilometers per hour (18,000 miles per hour), a speed nine times as fast as the average rifle bullet. without incident ever? no you cannot.

      When your technical teams break out of normal behavior to clamor for delay to for technical reasons indicating why failure risk is unusually higher than normal or when points of failure are identified, but not mitigated for whatever bureaucratic reasons then you have failed. Failed. FAILED. People died, not because of known risks taken, but by negligence of their superiors. There is no forgiveness, no release from this kind of failure.

      --
      If only we could fall into a woman's arms without falling into her hands
    2. Re:Lets look at this objectively by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The engineers do share some responsibility for being unable to communicate their positions sufficiently well to persuade "management" (which, you must realize, includes people who are *also* very capable and experienced engineers.) It's not enough to know something and share your dire warning. You still have to sell it. Without the benefit of 20/20 hindsight, I don't think anyone was certain enough in their convictions to, say, notify the astronauts themselves. Or chain themselves to the gantry. Or pull a gun on the mission commander and relieve him of his duty. Or anything radical like that. At the end of the day, they did back down, saving their own skin instead of really pressing the matter in a way that *could not* be ignored.

  26. Not one more funeral by plopez · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I was working for a large, not directly tech related (though they do some research) Federal Agency last year and the word came down that the "Chief" (the highest ranking civil servant, not appointee) was unwilling to kill more people. We had a work stoppage, training classes etc. And the attitude of "Well, adjusted for man-hours of work we kill fewer people than other agencies." was unacceptable. He claimed he was tired of flying out fro D.C to attend funerals.

    So we did training classes and any employee is now supposed to be able to cry "Stop!" when something starts to get too hazardous without consequences. During the classes employees who tried to use the argument "Well, adjusted for man-hours of work we kill fewer people than other agencies." were "hammered" for missing the point. *The point is a culture of safety where one loss is unacceptable.*

    I find that sane and sensible.

    Will it work? Who knows. It will probably take a few years to find out.

    --
    putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
    1. Re:Not one more funeral by zildgulf · · Score: 1

      "Well, adjusted for man-hours of work we kill fewer people than other agencies."

      Didn't the Russian say that about their Nuclear Electricity Generating plant before Chenobyl?

    2. Re:Not one more funeral by gnasher719 · · Score: 1

      So we did training classes and any employee is now supposed to be able to cry "Stop!" when something starts to get too hazardous without consequences. During the classes employees who tried to use the argument "Well, adjusted for man-hours of work we kill fewer people than other agencies." were "hammered" for missing the point. *The point is a culture of safety where one loss is unacceptable.*

      If you are paid by tax payers money, then people had to work to create the taxes, and when people work, accidents happen, and some people die. So someone who is really good at statistics can probably figure out that X million dollars taxes spent = 1 person dead due to a work related accident. Therefore, spending X million dollars or more in taxes to save one life is counter productive. My guess is that X is somewhere between 5 and 10.

    3. Re:Not one more funeral by plopez · · Score: 1

      At the time we were told we had a large, in the tens of millions of dollars, sum of money encumbered by workers comp claims. I think you can be *more* effcient by being safe due to fewer lost work hours, lower insurance costs, lower costs training replacements etc. Put that into your equation and see what happens.

      After both Columbia and Challenger the shuttle fleet was grounded. How much did that cost? How much money was lost due to the reduced lift capacity of the fleet? How much money was lost compensating the survivors? How much money was lost replacing the lost crew members?

      1) Your analysis is simplistic and
      2) I find your position immoral

      --
      putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
    4. Re:Not one more funeral by plopez · · Score: 1

      I don't know, but it wouldn't surprise me. Corporations do that too, BTW.

      --
      putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
  27. Re:In perspective In perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They have destroyed $5 billion worth of hardware and 14 lives because of their nonsense.

    (This is going to be incredibly insensitive torwards those lives that were lost, but it has to be said.) 17 lives lost in the last 50 years of U.S. space exploration really is not too bad considering how many lives where lost during other times of exploration, pioneering eras and the building of industry. I think NASA tries to be perfect and after all they are rocket scientists, but to assume that NASA is the only place that has mismanagement is incredibly naive. Look at the rest of government. Look at the military. Look at the FDA for crying out loud. Am I saying that you should have deaths? No, what I'm saying is that you need to have a little perspective. Only 17 lives lost in 50 years means that you're at least doing something right to safeguard all the other lives that you saved through careful proceedure and cool heads.

    14 out of how many? What is the percentage of lives lost in space exploration vs other pioneering eras?

  28. You do deserve to be modded down by arcite · · Score: 1

    They have destroyed $5 billion worth of hardware and 14 lives because of their nonsense.

    (This is going to be incredibly insensitive torwards those lives that were lost, but it has to be said.) 17 lives lost in the last 50 years of U.S. space exploration really is not too bad considering how many lives where lost during other times of exploration, pioneering eras and the building of industry. I think NASA tries to be perfect and after all they are rocket scientists, but to assume that NASA is the only place that has mismanagement is incredibly naive. Look at the rest of government. Look at the military. Look at the FDA for crying out loud. Am I saying that you should have deaths? No, what I'm saying is that you need to have a little perspective. Only 17 lives lost in 50 years means that you're at least doing something right to safeguard all the other lives that you saved through careful proceedure and cool heads.

    Sometimes, Failure really is not an option. If you want to work at the highest levels, you need the highest standards, and you need managers who keep pushing for the highest standards, no matter ego, emotion, or pride. Your kind of thinking leads to failure.

  29. So here's a crazy question... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So how much would it have cost NASA if they had delayed the launch and investigated the concerns? I'm not singling out NASA, I mean-- how much would it have costs to resolve the issues with the DeepWater Horizon prior to its devastation of the Gulf of Mexico? As I see it, the problem is that we don't train managers to have anything but the shortest term vision and understanding of consequences.

    I mean, empirically if you presented the case as: You can delay the launch, address the concerns, and make sure its safe (to the best of your ability) OR you can rush the launch, satisfy the politics, and run the risk of killing people and destroying billions of dollars worth of hardware-- most reasonable people would probably conclude under most circumstances that they should investigate the matter and launch when satisfied.

    What is it about LEADERSHIP/MANAGEMENT, whether in Congress, Wall Street, or a federal agency like NASA that encourages people to exaggerate trivial priorities (from the long term standpoint) in favor of taking what would otherwise be unreasonable risks? What about our culture needs to change in order to raise the value of long term vs. short term thinking?

  30. Experts are experts by dbIII · · Score: 1

    And engineers assume their perspective is the only one that matters.

    When it's an engineering issue that should be pretty obvious, just as if it's a financial issue you get the perspective of the people that know about financial issues.
    Or to put things bluntly, when it's an object that exists in reality no amount of purely wishful thinking is going to change it - you need to do real things to do so instead of thinking up some words to use as some sort of silly incantation to pretend everything is OK.

    But the statements you made seem to me to be very self-centred and naive of the complexities of the world

    You actually wrote that referring to somebody else's words and not your own? Here's the thing, no amount of blind confidence is going to change some object that exists without actually doing something to it. That's the realm of engineers etc. You can set the parameters but they have to actually do something to take vague dreams and produce real outcomes. When things need to be know you don't ask the guy that says "bridge that river" but instead ask the guy that designed it or the methods used to build it.

  31. Awful caption, as usual by BrunBoot13 · · Score: 0

    Sorry Soulskill, but you need to have someone proof your captions, as they are consistently of poor quality. This one got the subject's name wrong, and appears to imply that the number 73 was an engineer.

    --
    I understand that English is a living language, but I object to changes arising merely from repeated errors.
  32. Because it was Mulloy and Mason by G3ckoG33k · · Score: 5, Informative

    Because it was Larry Mulloy and Jerald Mason. From http://ethics.tamu.edu/ethics/shuttle/shuttle1.htm

    Marshall's Solid Rocket Booster Project Manager, Larry Mulloy, commented that the data was inconclusive and challenged the engineers' logic. A heated debate went on for several minutes before Mulloy bypassed Lund and asked Joe Kilminster for his opinion. Kilminster was in management, although he had an extensive engineering background. By bypassing the engineers, Mulloy was calling for a middle-management decision, but Kilminster stood by his engineers. Several other managers at Marshall expressed their doubts about the recommendations, and finally Kilminster asked for a meeting off of the net, so Thiokol could review its data. Boisjoly and Thompson tried to convince their senior managers to stay with their original decision not to launch. A senior executive at Thiokol, Jerald Mason, commented that a management decision was required. The managers seemed to believe the O-rings could be eroded up to one third of their diameter and still seat properly, regardless of the temperature. The data presented to them showed no correlation between temperature and the blow-by gasses which eroded the O-rings in previous missions. According to testimony by Kilminster and Boisjoly, Mason finally turned to Bob Lund and said, "Take off your engineering hat and put on your management hat." Joe Kilminster wrote out the new recommendation and went back on line with the teleconference. The new recommendation stated that the cold was still a safety concern, but their people had found that the original data was indeed inconclusive and their "engineering assessment" was that launch was recommended, even though the engineers had no part in writing the new recommendation and refused to sign it. Alan McDonald, who was present with NASA management in Florida, was surprised to see the recommendation to launch and appealed to NASA management not to launch. NASA managers decided to approve the boosters for launch despite the fact that the predicted launch temperature was outside of their operational specifications.

  33. Risks inherent with any man made objects by realsilly · · Score: 1

    Man if fallible. Yes, lives were lost and they were indeed tragic, and I don't want to see more lives lost, but every astronaut or engineer who understand what they do and where they do their work understands that there exists risks, and if an accident occurs, it is result of that risk. The early space program here in the US was wrought with peril because man made the machines man flew in, some flew, some crashed and burned. No one wants to yell "My Bad" when big $$$'s are lost or people are injured or killed, but if they did then man could learn from that mistake.

    Science and technology will continue to be tested it to extreme limits, and with that comes the risk. I'm not saying that knowledgeable engineers should be ignored, but rather their voices should be heard so that those taking the ultimate risk directly with their lives or the bureaucrats making those Go, No Go decisions for those taking the risks have enough information to make a judgment call.

    Every scientist, engineer, astronaut, etc knows that he or she face risks in the name of their profession.

    I take a risk getting into my car every day that it won't explode, or that other drivers on the road will follow the rules or can read the signs.

    --
    Life takes interesting turns, but the most interest is when you're off the beaten path.
    1. Re:Risks inherent with any man made objects by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Yes, but their is a different between the underlying risk of launching a ship into space, and launching even though a known defect has appeared.

      An unforeseen piece of foam hitting the wing is different then engineers saying the seals aren't seal properly and this specific launch has an extremely high chance of failure..

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    2. Re:Risks inherent with any man made objects by realsilly · · Score: 1

      I don't disagree with you.

      However, if you agree to risk in your job, you agree to all risk, if you would not agree to all risk, no matter where the risk initiated, then you don't have to assume it.

      In this particular tragic case, the risk the astronauts took was to believe in the people who built the shuttle, the science officers, the safety engineers, and the bureaucrats all did their job and didn't ignore potentially hazardous situations, they lost that gamble because leaders refused to accept the subject matter experts warnings. The astronauts willingly got on that shuttle, they assumed the risk.

      Was their sacrifice in vain? I really hope not, for future generations and the wealth of knowledge brought to light from the shuttle disaster.

      --
      Life takes interesting turns, but the most interest is when you're off the beaten path.
    3. Re:Risks inherent with any man made objects by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They may have agreed to risks. They certainly never agreed to accept reckless criminal negligence.

  34. An interesting theory by RogueWarrior65 · · Score: 1

    I read somewhere that the Columbia disaster would have never happened had NASA stuck to the original design of the fuel tank. Originally it was white but the orange foam was added later because NASA quit using CFCs to refrigerate the propellant. The theory concludes that NASA caved to the environmentalist movement resulting in the death of the Columbia crew.

    1. Re:An interesting theory by geekoid · · Score: 1

      and it's wrong. So stop spreading it.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  35. He spoke at my elementary school when I was in 4th by Pezbian · · Score: 5, Interesting

    When I was in 4th Grade, I had the good fortune to meet Boisjoly and a couple of other engineers from Thiokol. It wasn't like meeting a national celebrity or anything because I grew up in Brigham City, Utah, which is close enough to Thiokol that you can see the smoke plumes from booster tests rise up over the western mountains.

    At my school, a group of fellow students and I had the opportunity to hold a demo model o-ring just like the ones used to join the booster segments. These demo units were just the ones that didn't pass muster for actual use. The group and I held one o-ring spread out in a full circle and nearly covered the entire floor of the classroom. They're huge and didn't feel like the household o-rings I was used to. I could definitely see something like that getting stiff or brittle at low temperatures. My memory is hazy, but I'd almost compare it to a Neoprene type feel.

    I mentioned Challenger and how I learned about the o-rings (my grandpa, who also got me started in Electronics, told me about it). The engineers seemed surprised that a ten year old kid would know, let alone care, about that kind of thing.

    Among the other visual aids the engineers brought, there was a piece of spongy SRB fuel with a couple of ingredients missing so as to make it inert. It was Boisjoly who calmed me down after I was angry with myself for breaking the piece in half while checking the flexibility of the material to see just how sponge-like it was.

    For years after that, while still living in Brigham City, I got to see booster segments passing through town (can't take the freeway) on the way to Thiokol (now ATK) on the back of massive semi trailers with police escorts and utility workers leading the pack with tall poles on the front of their work trucks to make sure the lines over the roads would physically clear the booster and then holding the wires out of the way if there wasn't enough clearance. I always thought back to holding that o-ring and how truly massive it was.

    I only ever saw one booster test and that was back in 2003. The dead-silence for the first few seconds (speed of sound, you know?) is eerie. After that, even from over a mile away, the noise hits you like a freight train. Those o-rings are charged with holding back a truly ridiculous amount of force.

    --
    In a world of the blind, the one-eyed man is king--and the two-eyed man is a heretic.
  36. Roger, not Robert by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roger_Boisjoly

  37. I worked at Morton Thiokol by geekoid · · Score: 1

    during this incident. I said it then, and I'll say it now:
    Why didn't he go to the press? Hell, he wasn't alone. If all the engineers went to the press, they would have stop the launch.
    Hell, and bogus bomb threat would have delayed it until it was warmer.

    He tried to go through the system. When the system failed he just returned to his desk.

    Yes, it may have cost him his job. Unless MT let their PR handle it.

    I was not an engineer, and I was completely outside and unware this was going on.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    1. Re:I worked at Morton Thiokol by HBI · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Probably because he would have been instantly fired. Keeping your kids fed and housed is probably more important than seven strangers. Cold, yes, but also true.

      --
      HBI's Law: Frequency of calling others Nazis is directly correlated with the likelihood of the accuser being Communist.
  38. CFCs were the puffing agent, not a refrigerant by Pezbian · · Score: 1

    The CFCs weren't used for refrigeration of the tank, they were the puffing agent for the foam. Modern CFC-free foam production process uses steam to puff the foam particles. The steam process foam crumbles far more easily unless you add adhesives of some sort, which make the foam heavier, i.e. something you don't want in a spacecraft.

    --
    In a world of the blind, the one-eyed man is king--and the two-eyed man is a heretic.
  39. Ultimate Accountability. by DarthVain · · Score: 2

    Easy Solution:

    Take one such "manager" and put him on the thing for take off. If they believe it is safe, let them put their money where their mouth is.

    Call it a 10,000$ a pound insurance policy.

    In the future they may want to make hiring light/small/tiny managers standard procedure. It may have the unintended consequence of allowing for the now larger engineers to physically push management around and intimidate them.

    1. Re:Ultimate Accountability. by dragonhunter21 · · Score: 2

      The ultimate test of safety: Knowing everything you know about it, would you ride it? If not, why?

      If your vehicle fails this test and you let it fly, you should be held accountable for whatever human and material costs are incurred as a result of it.

      --
      Sent from my CR-48
    2. Re:Ultimate Accountability. by fritsd · · Score: 2

      I heard an anecdote that they did precisely this at Otis elevator company; to prove that a new emergency brake system worked, their director went in an elevator with the new system and then they cut the cable. It worked. And you can't make advertisements better than this.

      --
      To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
    3. Re:Ultimate Accountability. by DarthVain · · Score: 1

      Yeah I saw a YouTube video a year or so ago (I'm sure its still floating around out there if you want to find it), from a company (in Texas I believe) that made bulletproof glass for armored cars.

      Yes. In the video the owner of the company hides behind the glass, and an employee (who humorously remarks its not everyday you get to shoot your boss) takes out a gun (I can't remember if it was a pistol or an M16, I think it might have been a M16), and fires a bunch of shots right at him (3+).

      Obviously it worked, or it wouldn't have been be posted. Anyway that's some confidence in product!

    4. Re:Ultimate Accountability. by kelemvor4 · · Score: 1

      Easy Solution:

      Take one such "manager" and put him on the thing for take off. If they believe it is safe, let them put their money where their mouth is.

      Call it a 10,000$ a pound insurance policy.

      In the future they may want to make hiring light/small/tiny managers standard procedure. It may have the unintended consequence of allowing for the now larger engineers to physically push management around and intimidate them.

      One of the problems with that is cost. The other is that the manager probably isn't qualified to actually do anything useful ON the shuttle, so he'd be literally wasting the oxygen he breathes.
      It would probably be better to just try the guy who ignored the engineers for negligence, possibly manslaughter. Put him in jail and let the incident serve as a warning to his replacement.

    5. Re:Ultimate Accountability. by DarthVain · · Score: 1

      He would have a job, that of hostage! :)

      Though managers being what they are, likely some might intentionally try and scuttle the shuttle just to free up a potential position for advancement...

    6. Re:Ultimate Accountability. by tomboalogo · · Score: 0

      Well they toss the manager out after they reach orbit........... I mean it's just a manager.

    7. Re:Ultimate Accountability. by dragonhunter21 · · Score: 2

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l9W164GvlYs

      I'm not even around guns, and I want to buy one of these now.

      --
      Sent from my CR-48
  40. Re:Joseph Kilminster ? by fritsd · · Score: 1

    His excellency the minister of Overkill. I don't know if he can be trusted to fly a Space Shuttle though..

    --
    To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
  41. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  42. ATK ridding Thiokol background? by k6mfw · · Score: 1

    Talking with someone who worked at Thiokol for eight years, when he left he felt ATK seemed to wanting to get rid of the Thiokol name and history like it is ATK that was the SRB leader for all these years. Any Thiokol employees want to chime in on this? post AC?

    --
    mfwright@batnet.com
  43. The First Award Given To Boisjoly by Baldrson · · Score: 1

    I presented the first award given to Boisjoly and team for their ethics and integrity in the face of bureaucratic opposition. Accepting on their behalf was team leader Arnie Thompson at the first annual meeting of the National Space Society.

  44. Who was really in charge? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Read "Challenger Revealed" by Richard C. Cook to find out. Page 475 spills the beans. Challenger was not a NASA managed launch - the direction came from Pennsylvania Avenue. Yeah, some poor NASA soul (probably with a mortgage and a kid in college) has his/her hand on the launch button, but the orders apparently came from the head of the executive branch of the US government.

  45. You don't need Einstein to support your case. by Medievalist · · Score: 1

    If anything, Einstein taught us that everything is relative. Including your so-called "facts".

    We already knew that before Einstein. He added an exception to the rule, which is the observable speed of light in a vacuum.

    And that's why everybody else calls it "The theory of Relativity" but Big Al himself called it "The theory of Invariants". He postulated that other invariants might exist, but the speed of light in a vacuum was the only one he believed he could prove to be real.

  46. Tenure by srobert · · Score: 1

    I'm an engineer myself. What concerns me is that both Boisjoly and McDonald were blackballed and their careers ruined. Moral to the story: If you can't afford to be the whistleblower, keep your trap shut. Sorry, but in a similar situation, I would only document my objections, and that I had submitted my recommendations and kept my mouth shut afterward. (Now I have to post anonymously).
    The concept of tenure starts to make sense here. Appointing a few people, whose livelihoods are independent of their ability to speak their minds without regard to what powerful people think about it, could prevent the types of incidences that occurred with the Challenger and Columbia.

  47. Re:Problem Recognized EARLIER by Rudolph Krueger.. by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

    While the cold contributed to the problem - the real problem was joint rotation, the flex of the case when the propellant was ignited and came up to pressure. This caused the joint to open up and leak, even at temperatures well above freezing and well within the operational guidelines.

    So, no, he wasn't correct. He wasn't even close.

  48. so tell me who "That Guy" was. by Medievalist · · Score: 1

    Disclaimer: I was in a blast bay at Morton Thiokol's small motor division when Challenger exploded, helping US President Ronald Reagan provide cruise missile technology to a bunch of Wahhabist Islamists from the Saudi ruling family who were looking for a vehicle for nuclear warheads from Chechnya.

    ...those deaths were because some idiotic bureaucrat couldn't be bothered to listen to qualified engineers. Far as I am concerned that guy should be 1) sued by the families for wrongful death and 2) tried for involuntary manslaughter.

    The Morton Salt boys had bought out Thiokol Chemical Corporation. The Thiokol engineers said "Don't launch" and the NASA bigwigs said "Yo, Morton drones, make those guys shut up!".

    So who's at fault? Was it the Morton boys? Their underlings at Thiokol? Was it NASA? Or was it the White House, who told NASA the bird had to fly? Was it Reagan, who had a speech planned for the occasion, and was at least nominally in charge at the White House? Do you really think you can know the answer?

    PS: if you've got that one, please let me know about the Kennedy assassination, too - I've never really believed Arlen Spector's "magic bullet" version.

  49. Incomplete Data Lead to Decision to Launch by Aeron65432 · · Score: 1

    NASA wasn't aware of the link between subzero temperatures and o-ring failures. Boisjoly and Morton Thiokol engineers tried to convince NASA of the issue, but the only evidence they provided was incomplete and showed no correlation. This is the data they provided- http://courses.cs.vt.edu/cs3604/lib/WhistleBlowing/challenger.1.gif This is the FULL data that Morton Thiokol did not present in arguing to delay launch- http://www.d.umn.edu/~cstroupe/f11/4260/assets/tufte_o_ring_damage.jpg

  50. Enough with the "Blame the Treehuggers" BS already by Ellis+D.+Tripp · · Score: 4, Informative

    Before you spout off about the ET insulation foam having been reformulated without CFCs, try reading the CAIB report (volume 1, Page 51), which specifically states that the portion of the foam that broke loose was the OLD CFC-based formulation.

    http://caib.nasa.gov/news/report/pdf/vol1/full/caib_report_volume1.pdf

    The story about the reformulated foam causing the Columbia accident is largely the doing of Rush Limbaugh, who seized on a lie from one of his typically ill-informed listeners, and kept repeating it until it became accepted as fact by everyone on the right.

    http://mediamatters.org/research/200508090007

    --
    Remember "News for Nerds, Stuff that Matters"? Help make it a reality again! http://soylentnews.org
  51. it's ROGER BOISJOLY by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Dammit, Soulskill, can't you read anymore?

  52. His name is ROGER, not ROBERT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Please fix it.

  53. Asshattery by SwimsWithTheFishes · · Score: 1

    Don't forget that in the wake of the Challenger Disaster, there was a Commission that was tasked with the investigation. ONLY the last minute theatrics of Dr Feynman with the ice-water and the O-Ring material succeeded in getting his conclusions included in the official report. As an Appendix. His findings were not even going to be reported; findings which supported Robert Boisjoly. So not only did Asshattery lead to the Disaster, it continued in full force undiminished after it. This Asshattery lead to Robert Boisjoly and some of his colleges being "banished", ironically for being right. There is NO EXCUSE for this. None. If this is common everywhere and not just in NASA, even less excuse as then EVERYONE should be on guard. Robert Boisjoly is a hero, we lack people of his caliber. I mourn his loss.

    --
    *click**beep**beep* Scotty, One to Mod up!
  54. Boisjoly faxed the incomplete data over? by dgharmon · · Score: 1

    Boisjoly faxed the imcomplete data over, ya don't say :o

    That isn't strictly accurate, NASA had known of problems with the O-rings since at least 1977. And a Shuttle launch had experienced failure of the primary O-rings on two of the joints the previous January 24, 1985. On the evening before the disaster, at a teleconference, Morton Thiokol engineers had recommended the launch be cancelled if the temperature dropped below 53F. This was overruled by NASA and senior people at Morton Thiokol. A good six months before the disaster Boisjoly wrote a memo detailing the problems with the O-rings and cold weather.

    --
    AccountKiller
  55. Re:Enough with the "Blame the Treehuggers" BS alre by stevesliva · · Score: 0

    The story about the reformulated foam causing the Columbia accident is largely the doing of Rush Limbaugh, who seized on a lie from one of his typically ill-informed listeners, and kept repeating it until it became accepted as fact by everyone on the right.

    http://mediamatters.org/research/200508090007

    Credulity when it comes to pithy stories about "tree huggers" getting their comeuppance? Inconceivable! Why be skeptical?!?

    --
    Who do you get to be an expert to tell you something's not obvious? The least insightful person you can find? -J Roberts
  56. Engineers changed their stories? by dgharmon · · Score: 1

    "That's just the thing - they listen to their engineers. Right up until the point where the engineers changed their stories. And that's the part of the tale that Boisjoly et al have spent the last quarter century refusing to acknowledge. by DerekLyons

    That's a very interesting take on the subject, but tell me something, do you mind providing verifiable third party citations for:

    01. Boisjoly et al changed their stories and spent the last quarter century refusing to acknowledge this.

    02. NASA codified the standards for the Shuttle's segmented solids in the late 60's/early 70's - without reference to O-rings.

    03. That engineers never told management about problems with the O-rings.

    04. Engineers insisted that with some minor modifications to the joint, the problem would go away.

    05. Engineers change their story on the evening of January 27th.

    06. Engineers never provided a sound engineering rationale claiming the O-rings were unsafe.

    07. Engineers repeatedly told management the Shuttle was safe to fly.

    --
    AccountKiller
    1. Re:Engineers changed their stories? by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Since you ask for citations for things I never said, you can fuck off.

      But the whole sordid story of the SRB and O-ring design history is all right there in the Rogers Commission report.

    2. Re:Engineers changed their stories? by tragedy · · Score: 1

      The Rogers Commission report is 204 pages. Since you're making kind of extraordinary claims (that the working engineers essentially conspired to snow management about the safety of the solid rocket boosters), do you mind telling us what pages to look on?

    3. Re:Engineers changed their stories? by tragedy · · Score: 1

      Actually, just started a re-read on the repot and at the start of chapter 5:

      Those who made that decision were unaware of the recent history of problems
      concerning the O-rings and the joint and were unaware of the initial
      written recommendation of the contractor advising against the launch
      at temperatures below 53 degrees Fahrenheit and the continuing
      opposition of the engineers at Thiokol after the management reversed
      its position.

      So, the Rogers Commission report quite explicitly states that the Thiokol management went from saying there was a problem to saying there wasn't one, while their engineers continued to tell them there was a problem. So that seems to contradict the claims you made pretty directly.

    4. Re:Engineers changed their stories? by dgharmon · · Score: 1

      "So, the Rogers Commission report quite explicitly states that the Thiokol management went from saying there was a problem to saying there wasn't one, while their engineers continued to tell them there was a problem. So that seems to contradict the claims you made pretty directly."

      Well, yea !!!

      --
      AccountKiller
  57. not 101, but... by KingAlanI · · Score: 1

    I remember hearing the Boisjoly story in one or two of my upper-level business classes (don't recall which; one was an ethics class and one was something called Systems Analysis And Design)

    --
    I listen to both RIAA and non-RIAA stuff if I like the music, tangential business/politics nonwithstanding.
  58. At Least Get His Name Right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm sure almost everyone has said this, but his name was Roger not Robert and since it's been a day since this has been posted, perhaps it should be changed. Roger deserves that.

  59. Saw this coming.... by jerunamuck · · Score: 1

    Not to say I told you so cuz I didn't.
    but
    Back in 85 I passed on an opportunity to transfer to the Shuttle Program at Rockwell. A decision I stressed over for a month. It was why I got into aerospace to begin with. My childhood dream was to be an astronaut, or at least part of that community. The problem was that I'd learned that office politics, national politics, and budget are the driving forces that make decisions, not engineering. At the time, and probably still today, management is filled with people promoted by a variation of the Peter Principle; "people are promoted to their highest level of incompetence". Since you can't fire anyone the only way to get rid of dead wood is to promote them out of your department. As a result critical decisions are made by people without the competence to make them. This was the reason I left my child hood dreams of being an astronaut to join the private sector. I could no longer turn a blind eye to the mindlessness about me. Sure, the engineering challenges and creative people that make up the rank and file were great. But, the office politics were deadly!

  60. Re:How is this "news for nerds" by dave87656 · · Score: 1

    Because he's an engineer.

  61. Group non-think is everywhere by justthinkit · · Score: 1
    I worked on MAATS, the Military version of CAATS (PDF). I used a $50,000 network simulation tool to test load the control tower networks to ensure they could handle the maximum load. Some towers were spec'd to use 10Mbps Ethernet, others were to use 100Mbps Token Ring. Surprise, surprise, in simulation after simulation, the 10Mbps networks couldn't handle the load.
    .

    My (and my CAATS predecessor's) results were not what the PHBs wanted to hear. They shaved down traffic loads and tried everything they could. Eventually, using loads not at all like what was planned, they got a number they could have a good night's sleep with.

    This went on for many many months. I found others in other parts of the project with similar stories -- one was a bug finder who reported bugs that were never fixed in future versions of the program.

    One day my PHB was at a meeting with his peers and they asked him a question he couldn't answer. He ran out and got me. I went to the meeting, answered the question and then flatly stated that the network spec'd could not handle the loads. This brought quite a reaction, with one "expert" (on conference call) immediately disagreeing. The only insightful remark made was from the top guy at the meeting who practically whispered "Why wasn't I told about this?"

    BTW, part of the network spec was that all design documentation be available for reading and printing. Many of the manuals were not text but scanned images (who knows why, but it gives you some idea how backward big companies can be). One day, at lunch time, I decided I want to print 2 or 3 documents. The next thing you know I get a call from an excited network administrator asking what was I doing, I was saturating the network! A 10Mbps network.

    --
    I come here for the love
  62. Nonsense is inescapable by 192939495969798999 · · Score: 1

    It's one thing if your dimwitted construction boss makes you use 4x4's when 2x4's will do, but this is the space shuttle, you'd think they could source someone who can do the following:
    1. listen to an engineer when they are telling you its gonna blow up
    2. realize you dont want it to blow up
    3. take the stand necessary to make sure it doesnt blow up

    Whenever i try to watch a launch live, they cancel it from like slight wind or a bird within 5 miles, I don't understand why they HAD to launch that day with such a big objection. Note: I saw the challenger live... i won't ever forget that.

    --
    stuff |