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Edward Teller: Father of the Hydrogen Bomb

pigrabbitbear writes "Edward Teller, the father of the hydrogen bomb, had a thing for nuclear bombs. He wanted them bigger, smaller, faster, used in ways that no one had thought of before or since, and always more of them. He suffered no fools, and though he would be more vilified than any other American scientist in the 20th century, he always dismissed his critics as lacking in common sense or patriotism. Amid Cold War paranoia and fears of the Soviet nuclear program, the stakes were simply too high: for the free world, building the most powerful weapon in history was a matter of life and horrible death."

82 of 352 comments (clear)

  1. Wonder what Mr. Teller thinks of Iran? by Taco+Cowboy · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Now that Iran wants to have nuke, what would the opinion of Mr. Teller be?

    --
    Muchas Gracias, Señor Edward Snowden !
    1. Re:Wonder what Mr. Teller thinks of Iran? by starfire83 · · Score: 5, Funny

      Bomb them.

    2. Re:Wonder what Mr. Teller thinks of Iran? by MightyMartian · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If Iran ever dared to use such a weapon against anyone, it would be the last thing it ever did. China and Russia will tolerate the Ayatollahs to a point, but to actually launch an attack against anyone else, that would be intolerable even by their standards. All support would end instantly and Israel and the United States would be given carte blanche to deal with Iran as they chose. The Iranian airforce and navy would be wiped out, most of its military installations of any size would be destroyed, it would be left with an army and a bunch of poorly armed Basij who are only useful as cannon fodder, except the cannons would be bombing from 40,000 feet. I suspect the Ayatollahs' regime wouldn't last a month. The regular army, who has no great love for the Basij or the Revolutionary Guard, would probably arrest or just simply start shooting them, because the very few nuclear weapons that Iran would have would be useless, or worse than useless, once the necessary infrastructure to launch attacks was crippled or turned to slag.

      The fact is that as nasty as an attack by a second rate power like Iran would be, it's not something that could be repeated. Places like North Korea and Iran do not have the resources to build vast stockpiles of nukes. Once the oil dries up, they won't even be able to afford to maintain what they've built by that point.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    3. Re:Wonder what Mr. Teller thinks of Iran? by Taco+Cowboy · · Score: 2

      Bomb them

      Who bombs who ?

      --
      Muchas Gracias, Señor Edward Snowden !
    4. Re:Wonder what Mr. Teller thinks of Iran? by starfire83 · · Score: 5, Funny

      They bomb them.

    5. Re:Wonder what Mr. Teller thinks of Iran? by DigiShaman · · Score: 2

      While that scenario sounds very plausible and rational, you failed to take into account one major aspect in all this. Iran's leadership is being driven with radical religious convictions. Or so we're lead to believe. The upper echelon espouses the 12th Imam (2nd coming of Christ) and them providing the instruments by which to make that happen. Talk is talk and power is power. So who really knows if these are heart felt convictions or just a ruse by which to project political power and authority above and beyond religious talk. But when Iran makes threats, don't simply brush them aside. At the very least, they may just settle for the effects of an EMP. That alone would be devastating to anyone's infrastructure in place.

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    6. Re:Wonder what Mr. Teller thinks of Iran? by MightyMartian · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If you want my personal opinion, Iran is a thinly veiled military dictatorship that uses religion as its unifying ideology much as the Soviets and the Chinese use(d) Communism. The Basij are all very swirly eyed, but I don't get the feeling the country is actually run by similar types.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    7. Re:Wonder what Mr. Teller thinks of Iran? by Black+Parrot · · Score: 4, Insightful

      They will build the bombs and they will use the bombs, no, they won't bomb anyone, but rather, they will use the bombs they have accumulated to blackmail the world

      Blackmail the world into... ...not invading them? ...letting them build nuclear bombs? ...letting their politicians be dicks and say outrageous things?

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    8. Re:Wonder what Mr. Teller thinks of Iran? by Concerned+Onlooker · · Score: 2

      That kind of blackmail only works if you're the only country with a nuclear bomb. If they aren't "dummies" as you say then they will also realize that they can't actually use it either. So, back to square one with the normal, everyday brutality of "regular" war that people on this planet seem to love so much.

      --
      http://www.rootstrikers.org/
    9. Re:Wonder what Mr. Teller thinks of Iran? by artor3 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      If Iran ever dared to use such a weapon against anyone, it would be the last thing it ever did.

      Most likely true, but what if we're in a situation where the Iranian regime is already facing its end? For example, I believe they have another election coming up. I expect it will be stolen just like the last one. And perhaps like the last one, there will be widespread protests. So far, pretty reasonable, right?

      But let's say that the protestors, inspired by the Arab Spring events, push harder this time, and actually get close to toppling the regime. Given Iran's abuses of its own people last time, I doubt they'd hesitate to employ the same tactics used in Syria and Lebanon - outright war against anyone opposing them.

      There could be no help from the international community if they had nukes, because if the regime thought they were really going to fall and that their rulers would end up like Gaddafi, they have no reason not to pull out all the stops. If you're really facing down an angry mob that wants to tear you limb from limb, using a nuke is a GREAT option -- it is the ultimate punishment for those who have done this to you, and it buys you time while your enemies regroup. Time which you can use to try to get out of the country, or at least surrender to the International Criminal Court (which does not employ capital punishment, unlike your former subjects).

      All the fear-mongering about them nuking Israel is a ruse. The Middle Eastern dictators need Israel as a bogeyman to scare their citizens, and Israel plays right into their hands by acting the part quite regularly. Tehran wants a nuke to ensure the survival of their regime, nothing more, nothing less. The Iranian people would be wise to oppose such a development, not that their opposition is liable to have any effect.

    10. Re:Wonder what Mr. Teller thinks of Iran? by NicknameAvailable · · Score: 2

      Unfortunately being the top power on Earth takes money, something the USA no longer has.

      Technically money is a construct no country on Earth has (other than China) - and it's only a pretty good approximation of labor to begin with. The USA has (for the moment) the freest civilization on Earth, and thereby the best place for innovative minds to go. Our labor defines us, and we are, by and large, the intellectuals that created the modern technological age. Whether that is a self-defeating system that dies due to the powers granted to a few bad people by new technological innovations, the complacency of the average voter, a combination of the two or something loosely related remains to be seen - but currently the USA is still on top (even in regard to China, they manufacture a lot, we design most of it - all the USA has to do to maintain it's lead is be free introduce harsh tariffs on exported labor).

    11. Re:Wonder what Mr. Teller thinks of Iran? by Taco+Cowboy · · Score: 2

      Leaders who promote suicide bombings rarely wear the vest themselves

      To be more precise --- it is the old geezers who were behind the suicide bombing, but it is the young ones who end up blowing themselves to bits

      --
      Muchas Gracias, Señor Edward Snowden !
    12. Re:Wonder what Mr. Teller thinks of Iran? by tnk1 · · Score: 2

      Well... if it was an existential threat to their system, their power and even possibly their lives, they might well launch. The Soviets had their empire, there was no need to nuke NATO unless something drastically changed, but be aware, at least some of the Soviet military leaders were known to have believed a nuclear war was winnable.

      Now take Iran, which is probably a lot less pragmatic than the Soviets were, and give them a bomb. I agree, their possession would not mean they'd launch at the first opportunity, but they could parlay that new influence into a situation were they could make Iran immune from an actual conventional attack. In turn, that could mean that Iran would be a safer haven for all sorts of very ruthless and ambitious sorts who were like-minded with the current regime.

      And let's not underestimate the crazy factor. The Iranian people, in general, are not crazy or even particularly evil. The problem is, the Iranian people don't have any practical control over their government at all. In that situation, all it takes is a (bigger) nut-job to make it into power there, and they've got the regime all set up to allow a launch to be feasible. In the US, the President would likely be obeyed if he ordered a retaliatory launch, but if it was for something other than pure defense, he might well find himself disobeyed and someone might finally dredge up the whole "Congress declares wars clause" and there's nothing that says "war" like an ICBM. In Iran, the government doesn't have checks and balances, it has a blank check to do whatever it wants, as long as the Supreme Leader signs it. And the Supreme Leader is a religious fanatic.

    13. Re:Wonder what Mr. Teller thinks of Iran? by shiftless · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Well... if it was an existential threat to their system, their power and even possibly their lives, they might well launch.

      And wouldn't they have ever right to?

      The Soviets had their empire, there was no need to nuke NATO unless something drastically changed, but be aware, at least some of the Soviet military leaders were known to have believed a nuclear war was winnable.

      Just as many Americans also believed. Yet a nuclear war never did happen. Why is that?

      Now take Iran, which is probably a lot less pragmatic than the Soviets were

      Why? Because our government and their friends want you to believe so? Do you really think Ahmadinejad and the Ayatollahs have maintained control for so long by being stupid? Do you really think they want to "end it all" and be nuked into oblivion, which would be the clearly inevitable result of using a nuke against another country?

      The problem is, the Iranian people don't have any practical control over their government at all. [...] In Iran, the government doesn't have checks and balances, it has a blank check to do whatever it wants, as long as the Supreme Leader signs it.

      Just like the United States!

      In the US, the President would likely be obeyed if he ordered a retaliatory launch, but if it was for something other than pure defense, he might well find himself disobeyed

      Ever heard of "plausible deniability"? It's a product of U.S. politics! Of course the President can't just launch nukes at will. But if the missile detection system malfunctions, as it is later determined, signalling an incoming attack, and the President orders an all-out retaliatory strike based on this data......well, who can blame him right?

    14. Re:Wonder what Mr. Teller thinks of Iran? by Evtim · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Just to add a point about China and Russia. I don't know what is the stance of China with respect to Iran, but before the Russian elections last week Putin published enormous "letter" outlining his platform and very clearly stating his opinions about all kinds of domestic and international issues. On the subject of Iran the message was clear - Russia will not tolerate Iran with nuclear weapons, period. However Russia will not lightly agree on military intervention as a "solution"; in fact they will oppose it at every turn. "Reasons for this position" - asks Mr. Putin - "look what happened everywhere where there was an intervention".

      Hard to argue against, isn't it?

    15. Re:Wonder what Mr. Teller thinks of Iran? by St.Creed · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Fat chance they'd get any of that.

      If they started blackmailing, the political position of their remaining allies would quickly become totally untenable. They could give hints, saying "well... we'd like to have more influence on the security council... nudge nudge wink wink"... but that's about it.

      As a deterrent to actually invading them when they start shooting dissidents in lots of 10000, now that is quite another matter. It would be very effective in doing exactly that - which is why a nuke is a bad thing mostly for the Iranians themselves, and not so much anyone else.

      --
      Therefore, by the (faulty) logic you're using, you're just a cow with a keyboard - osu-neko (2604)
    16. Re:Wonder what Mr. Teller thinks of Iran? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 4, Funny

      Mrs. Teller to her husband: "Oh Edward, all you think about is A-bombs... all you talk about is A-bombs. Your beautiful house is full of bits and pieces of A-bombs... your books are all about A-bombs... every time you sing a song, it is in some way obliquely connected with A-bombs... everything you eat has to have 'atomic' incorporated in the title... Your whole life is becoming obsessively atomic, you know. Why do I have to hang from this bloody bomb casing all day? Don't I mean anything to you?"

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    17. Re:Wonder what Mr. Teller thinks of Iran? by Black+Parrot · · Score: 2

      Blackmail the world into... ...not invading them? ...letting them build nuclear bombs? ...letting their politicians be dicks and say outrageous things?

      Oh, I am sure the Iranians have given it a lot of thought

      They could blackmail the world to give them other high-tech stuffs that they do not currently enjoy - such as space technology

      They could blackmail the world to give them the veto power on the UN security council

      They could do much much more than what you and I can ever imagine, if they were to own nukes

      Just like North Korea does, huh?

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
  2. They Saved The World by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The fact is that without the atomic bomb, WWIII most certainly would have happened between the West and the USSR. The attacks on Hiroshima and Nagasaki raised the stakes of another general war between the remaining Great Powers so enormously that a war like WWII would no longer be possible.

    As horrible as these weapons are, they stopped the most terrible war the world would have ever known.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    1. Re:They Saved The World by DigiShaman · · Score: 3, Informative

      Revisionist crap. The Japanese were hellbent on taking the pacific to a lesser extent, a large chunk of China. They managed to capture its east cost pretty well. Now that I think about it. Diplomatically, I really wonder how the Chinese government thinks of America in this regards. We bloody well saved their ass!

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    2. Re:They Saved The World by MightyMartian · · Score: 5, Informative

      It served two purposes:

      1. It demonstrated to the Soviets, who had massive forces amassed in Eastern and Central Europe that the West now possessed a weapon deliverable by high altitude bomber that could kill thousands.

      2. It prevented the Soviets from seizing large parts of Japan by forcing a quick surrender to the Americans. An invasion of the main islands would most certainly have taken long enough that the Soviets could have moved to occupy Japan themselves. As it was, the Russians seized the northernmost parts of the Empire proper and hold them to this very day.

      3. It stopped the war very quickly and forced an unconditional surrender. There was even less game-playing that the fragments of the Third Reich had tried to play.

      As to the larger point you try to make, the Japanese leadership's actions even after the first H bomb were hardly singular in wanting to surrender.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    3. Re:They Saved The World by profplump · · Score: 4, Informative

      It's not the same China. The government that we saved in WWII lost control of the mainland in 1949. The government that we saved is now commonly known as Taiwan, and in comparison to the PRC they are quite friendly.

    4. Re:They Saved The World by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The Chinese admired the Americans quite a lot. Even Mao tried to make overtures, not wanting to be totally reliant on the Soviets, but the Americans had this bizarre fixation on Chiang Kai-Shek and the Kuomintang (Churchill made special note of this unreasonable obsession in his History of WWII), even after the Communists had driven them off the mainland. The strict anti-Communist stance lead the Americans to miss an opportunity at rapprochement and drove Mao completely into the Soviet sphere, and continued support for the Kuomintang, who weren't exactly all that pleasant when they were running China, pissed a lot of Chinese off.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    5. Re:They Saved The World by mjwx · · Score: 3, Interesting

      2. It prevented the Soviets from seizing large parts of Japan by forcing a quick surrender to the Americans.

      As early as 1944 the Japanese began sending out feelers for peace, a conditional surrender were the Japanese terms. The big mistake was sending their envoy's through the Soviet union which wanted no peace between the Allies and the Japanese.

      I highly doubt it would have come to a prolonged attack on the Japanese home islands before a conditional surrender was hammered out. Japan had no desire to become part of the greater Soviet Union and would have surrendered to the Americans before that happened and the Americans did not want the casualties from a prolonged fight. Also, the Soviets were very reluctant to get involved in China. The Soviets only began their campaign against parts of Japanese held China and Mongolia on 8 August 1945, a major part of this was that it was a requirement for the Soviets to join the Pacific war in order to keep territories annexed in Eastern Europe (agreed to by Stalin, Churchill and Truman at Yalta, they cut up Europe before the war ended), The Instrument of surrender was signed on 8 September 1945, less then a month after the Soviets joined the war.

      Not that I question the decision of the US at the time, The soviets prevented the Americans from even knowing that Japan was talking of surrender but the Soviets would never have been a real part of the Japanese invasion, for no other reason then logistics most of the transports the Soviets had were American Liberty ships and no landing ships to speak of.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
    6. Re:They Saved The World by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Revisionist crap. The Japanese were hellbent on taking the pacific to a lesser extent, a large chunk of China. They managed to capture its east cost pretty well. Now that I think about it. Diplomatically, I really wonder how the Chinese government thinks of America in this regards. We bloody well saved their ass!

      Nationalism keeps people from saying that other countries saved them, and before long no one remembers.

      How many people in the USA remember that the French made the American revolution possible? Lafayette St in Durham NC is named after the French general who volunteered to travel from France to Virginia to fight the British at his own expense. In the height of the build-up the Iraq war, I was in a restaurant a few blocks away from that street. People at another table made a big show of ordering "freedom fries".

    7. Re:They Saved The World by khallow · · Score: 4, Informative

      Actually the Japanese were trying desperately to negotiate a surrender even before the FIRST use of WMD against them.

      The surrender effort didn't have credibility. Sure, some Japanese were trying desperately to negotiate a surrender, but other Japanese with more considerable authority were preparing for a brutal and bloody defense of the Japanese homeland at almost any cost. Those who would surrender not only had to negotiate with the US, they had to do so with their own people who advocated a war of attrition.

      The atomic bombs tipped the scale decisively in favor of those who advocated surrender. The US demonstrated a weapon that could kill countless Japanese soldiers and civilians at little cost to the US. No war of attrition could succeed against that.

      And one sees a difference in results. Instead of powerless officials making secret and irrelevant appeals through diplomatic back channels, the Emperor of Japan radioed a nationwide order to cease fighting and lay down their arms, and that order was obeyed. That's the difference that the use of those two atomic bombs wrought.

    8. Re:They Saved The World by Tumbleweed · · Score: 2

      Wow, that's amazing. If Japan wanted to surrender, it wouldn't have taken TWO atom bombs to make them do so.

    9. Re:They Saved The World by Black+Parrot · · Score: 2

      Revisionist crap. The Japanese were hellbent on taking the pacific to a lesser extent, a large chunk of China. They managed to capture its east cost pretty well. Now that I think about it. Diplomatically, I really wonder how the Chinese government thinks of America in this regards. We bloody well saved their ass!

      Nationalism keeps people from saying that other countries saved them, and before long no one remembers.

      How many people in the USA remember that the French made the American revolution possible? Lafayette St in Durham NC is named after the French general who volunteered to travel from France to Virginia to fight the British at his own expense. In the height of the build-up the Iraq war, I was in a restaurant a few blocks away from that street. People at another table made a big show of ordering "freedom fries".

      Yeah, people are dicks.

      However, I wouldn't assume that French support for the US rebellion was a matter of charity or pre-Revolutionary enlightenment. France and England had been trying to gouge each other's eyes out since... oh, shortly after 1066.

      It took the unification of Germany to convince them they could get into the same bed together.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    10. Re:They Saved The World by Black+Parrot · · Score: 2

      No kidding. The Japanese government didn't even surrender after Hiroshima.

      And even after the second bomb, the warlords only surrendered because the Emperor told them to.

      And even then they still managed to swing one exception to the Allies' demand for unconditional surrender.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    11. Re:They Saved The World by Black+Parrot · · Score: 3, Informative

      No. Japan was losing the war badly, but vowed to fight to the last person rather than surrender. I'm no fan of nuclear weapons but I have to admit that the overwhelming show of force saved millions of lives.

      Yeah, after seeing the movies of Japanese civilians on the islands (Saipan?) jump off cliffs with their babies to avoid capture by the Americans, the thought of an invasion of the home islands really makes you shudder.

      And the Japanese were reinforcing the area where the landings were planned, bringing a number of divisions back from the mainland, IIRC.

      Tradition says the US was expecting to take a million casualties. Heaven knows how many they would have inflicted.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    12. Re:They Saved The World by Black+Parrot · · Score: 2

      Wow, that's amazing. If Japan wanted to surrender, it wouldn't have taken TWO atom bombs to make them do so.

      Sure it would... they needed to see the parity bit.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    13. Re:They Saved The World by siddesu · · Score: 3, Informative

      This is quite far from a "fact", in fact, the facts point in the completely opposite direction. By the end of WWII, the USSR was not in a position to fight another world war, or even a local war. It was, in fact, not in a position to fight any wars except proxy skirmishes until about the end of the 1970s. The evilness of the regime towards its people aside, the country was devastated by WWII, its male population decimated or worse, its infrastructure heavily dependent on Western aid, and on top of that the USSR had to support extending communism in half of Europe. If you believe that was free, you're wrong.

      By many accounts, the real reason for the huge nuclear buildup on both sides of the iron curtain had, after a while, not so much to do with the threat that was addressed by the nuclear weapons, but more to do with the prestige and the resource allocation benefits that manufacturing nuclear weapons brought. In other words, it was a classical case of a principal-agent problem where the goal of the principal (maximizing safety) was not aligned to the goal of the agents (maximizing power of nuclear arsenal).

      I believe this is also known as not allowing a mineshaft gap.

    14. Re:They Saved The World by rockout · · Score: 2

      Complete lie. You could make an argument that Japan would've surrendered after the first bomb, and the bombing of Nagasaki wasn't necessary (we made no attempt to secure a surrender in the few days in between). However, to say they were looking to surrender before the bombing of Hiroshima is a fabrication, plain and simple. You deserved to get modded down for that and I'm glad you were.

      --
      I've learned that they're worthless, so I don't read AC comments anymore.
    15. Re:They Saved The World by AmiMoJo · · Score: 3, Informative

      The problem is you deliberately targeted civilians in both cases. There were plenty of military only options, plenty of sparsely habited areas that would have been equally effective demonstrations.

      Those civilians were innocent. Caught up in a war they didn't want. Their slaughter cannot be justified.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    16. Re:They Saved The World by slew · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Sorry, but reality is a bit more complicated. China was basically in a civil war at the beginning of WWII. Japan had basically already taken over Manchuria (there was a movie about this "the last emperor"). To help keep Japan in check, first we gave money and supplies to the KMT (basically chiang kai-shek govt) to help them fight the Japanese, but they turned out to be incompetent, so then we gave money to CCP (basically mao and his supporters of the communist party). W/o money from the US, it is likely that both "governments" would have been defeated by the japanese. Of course that's a bit simplification, but when a countries is in a civil war and fighing the Soviet Union & Japan at the same time (ironically, germany was allied with china for a short time, until they flipped sides joined with Japan against the Soviet Union, but I digress), it isn't very simple...

      As you mentioned, the KMT is now one of the parties in Taiwan (currently holding power), but the DPP is a taiwan opposition party which breifly held the presidency from 2000-2008. So in many respects, the KMT, DPP and CCP are really sort parties, not "governments", per-se. Nominally, you'd think the DPP would be the most friendly to the US, but since the DPP supports taiwan independence, we are oddly more aligned with the KMT (and the CCP in mainland china) on this issue. Politics makes strange bedfellows...

    17. Re:They Saved The World by golden+age+villain · · Score: 2

      Yeah, people are dicks.

      However, I wouldn't assume that French support for the US rebellion was a matter of charity or pre-Revolutionary enlightenment. France and England had been trying to gouge each other's eyes out since... oh, shortly after 1066.

      It took the unification of Germany to convince them they could get into the same bed together.

      Completely true. But let's be realistic here, when was the last time a country went to war as a matter of charity or enlightenment again? Wars are waged for territories, resources or influence one way or the other. One party has an aggressive policy of resource gathering or conquest, diplomacy fails, it escalates and eventually provides a casus belli to one or the other party. Of course, to sell it to Joe Sixpack, it is faster to wrap it with religion or moral.

    18. Re:They Saved The World by antifoidulus · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Says the person who knows absolutely NOTHING about the actual history. The decision to surrender was far from unanimous even AFTER the two atomic bombings, even AFTER the Russia declared war. There was basically an almost open military revolt after the Emperor agreed to surrender, and had the atomic bombs not been dropped the revolt would have gotten much more support, and the war would have dragged on, probably inducing massive starvation not only in Japan, but in even worse in it's colonies as Japan was shipping out as much food as it could from Korea, Taiwan and elsewhere.

      Also, there were no "purely military" targets. The defense for the planned invasion of Kyushu was almost entirely civilian, and any military production facilities were generally located well within city limits, so again, you show you have absolutely no idea what you are talking about, but feel it necessary to be self-righteous anyway.

    19. Re:They Saved The World by khallow · · Score: 2

      Speculation.

      So what? You have a better approach you want to share?

      Had the bombs been used on uninhabited areas or purely military targets first we would know if they would have surrendered. Instead you went straight to nuking innocent civilians and then tried to retroactively justify it.

      It's worth noting here that it worked. I don't see the point of discussing "purity" of military targets or the degree of innocence of civilians who are contributing substantially to a war effort. Rebut the arguments actually used rather than projecting bogus morality on a different era.

      The bombings were tests on human subjects as much as strategic attacks.

      So what, even if it were true? The double standard here is repulsive. The US could have done a lot more tests on human subjects than that in Japan once the islands had been subjugated, but they didn't. Japan probably killed more people than were lost in the atomic bombs, just through human testing. Yet we don't hear you complain about that.

    20. Re:They Saved The World by careysub · · Score: 2

      Actually the Japanese were trying desperately to negotiate a surrender even before the FIRST use of WMD against them. The idea that WMD somehow prevented deaths or suffering is total bullshit. It was a matter of the US asserting itself as the dominant military power, and Japan was a soft enough target to cop 2 WMD attacks. Interesting how the victors frame their attrocities.

      Sorry, the Supreme Council for the Direction of the War (SCDW, or the "Big Six") who actually ran the country were not only NOT involved in any way with attempts to negotiate surrender. The official policy, and the only one they ever discussed, was Ketsu-Go, a final apocalyptic battle where (the Army claimed) they would inflict such heavy casualties on the Americans that they Americans would grant Japan favorable terms (no occupation, and continuation of the present government). It was impossible (due to Army opposition) to even bring up the subject of ending the war in any other way.

      The few feelers of negotiation came from low level functionaries in Europe who acted without the support or knowledge of their own government. The U.S. recognized that these were worthless. The discussion between the closest thing to a true "peace representative" on the SCDW, Foreign Minister Togo, and Ambassador Sato in Moscow (monitored by the U.S.) shows Togo denying any possibility of negotiating surrender, despite Sato's repeated insistence that that was the only option available.

      You are repeating a myth with no basis in fact.

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
    21. Re:They Saved The World by aintnostranger · · Score: 2
      Nothing of that makes a scratch on the "Their slaughter cannot be justified".

      "everybody is doing it" is not an acceptable justification.

    22. Re:They Saved The World by MightyMartian · · Score: 2

      Well, that and the fact that Chiang-Kai Shek was a rather nasty bastard and the KMT never was able to really convince the Chinese people that it had their interests at heart. Of course, they were wrong to assume that Mao did, but still if the KMT hadn't been such vicious assholes, maybe people would have felt a little less inclined to join the Reds.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    23. Re:They Saved The World by dwye · · Score: 2

      Those civilians were innocent. Caught up in a war they didn't want. Their slaughter cannot be justified.

      Tell it to the Japanese about China, especially the Nanking Massacre. Those Japanese civilians were caught up in a war that they LOVED, right up until they started getting bombed on a regular basis.

  3. Teller and Oppenheimer by mbone · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Teller destroyed the career of Robert Oppenheimer for no damn good reason, after which his own graduate students shunned him.

    I have no interest in anything to do about him.

    1. Re:Teller and Oppenheimer by Alomex · · Score: 4, Informative

      First of all, even if he opposed it that doesn't mean you get to accuse him of being a communist.

      But in reality the situation was more complicated than that. Oppenheimer (and others) also opposed Teller's design because they thought it wouldn't work. Teller took it personally and set out to destroy them. But those others were right and in the end the H-bomb that Teller help built was based on a design of Ulam's.

  4. I'm sure the man was brilliant by Nursie · · Score: 2

    And his work has brought the state of research into nucleur physics forwards by huge leaps and bounds.

    OTOH some of his critics were right. We didn't and don't *need* the hydrogen bomb.

    But that said, for a given yield a fusion bomb will give you considerably less radioactive nastiness so it does have advantages over fission, and I can empathise with a man who thought huge explosions were pretty cool.

    1. Re:I'm sure the man was brilliant by mug+funky · · Score: 3, Informative

      actually, you get more fallout. much more.

      the fusion part of the design doesn't provide the lion's share of the yield - as proved by Castle Bravo. it was designed as a ~3Mt design, but thanks to the U238 tamper and all the very fast neutrons the fusion stage provided, they ended up with 15Mt that they were quite unprepared for.

      most of the yield comes from fissioning the U238 tamper, which gives a ton of fallout. Pu239 fission initiates the fusion stage, which provides craploads of neutrons which will fission the U238.

    2. Re:I'm sure the man was brilliant by dido · · Score: 3, Informative

      Well, it the hydrogen bomb was a bomb that could be scaled up to as large an explosion as one wanted, as the Soviet Union proved with the Tsar Bomba. They replaced the U-238 tamper with lead, and still got an explosion of 50 megatons or so, the largest man-made explosion in history. Had they kept the uranium, it would have been around 100 megatons. Unlike fission weapons, where the fission of the uranium or plutonium in a chain reaction will cause the supercritical mass to blow apart after only a fraction of the material has fissioned (up to perhaps only 20% fission for implosion-type weapons, as low as 1% for gun-type weapons like the Little Boy bomb used on Hiroshima), limiting the size of the explosion, a hydrogen bomb can become as big as one would like, provided the raw materials are available.

      --
      Qu'on me donne six lignes écrites de la main du plus honnête homme, j'y trouverai de quoi le faire pendre.
  5. I'd so much like to see one of those explosions by manoweb · · Score: 2

    I wonder what the memories of the staff that saw those explosions "live" are. It must have been a magnificent show. The best of the human intellect to unleash the most destructive rage of destruction.

  6. His son... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    ...Paul Teller taught at UC Davis in the 80's and 90's(maybe still does). When I took his philosophy of science course(PHI 108), on the first meeting with the TA, he said "Don't ask him about his father".

  7. Salami tactics by martin-boundary · · Score: 4, Interesting

    If Iran ever dared to use such a weapon against anyone, it would be the last thing it ever did.

    Not necessarily. Suppose Iran used a nuke against North Korea? Would the world approve or disapprove? China would disapprove, but America might not. The UK probably would approve. Who would retaliate against Iran? Who would be allowed to bomb or even nuke Teheran? Overall, the question is difficult to answer, and that means there's a shade of gray.

    Now let's say Iran used a nuke on some slightly less evil place, but still evil. Would that turn the *whole* world against Iran, or would the support be divided, with slightly more countries against than if it was North Korea?

    At what point would the *whole* world unanimously support wiping Iran off the map? If Iran attacked America? If Iran attacked one of the former Soviet states? What if Iran attacked Zimbabwe?

    1. Re:Salami tactics by mug+funky · · Score: 4, Insightful

      the rules of MAD are still in place i think. nuke anyone at all, and you're as good as nuked yourself.

      countries with nukes are diverse enough that you couldn't bomb one ideology without pissing off some nuclear power. we have communists (China), mafia states (sadly Russia), capitalist states (USA, UK), social democracies (France, sort of), Islamic states (Pakistan), and India which is kinda a bit of everything. then there's Israel... the whole political spectrum in all it's shades of madness and reason have nukes.

    2. Re:Salami tactics by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Not necessarily. Suppose Iran used a nuke against North Korea?

      If Israel sees a missile launched from any of the nuclear sites in Iran, I doubt they're going to wait to see where it's aimed before striking with all they've got.

    3. Re:Salami tactics by phantomfive · · Score: 2

      Not necessarily. Suppose Iran used a nuke against North Korea? Would the world approve or disapprove?

      At that point, no one would object to retaliation. The only question would be if anyone wanted to retaliate. But if they did, then no one would stand in their way.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    4. Re:Salami tactics by shiftless · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Not necessarily. Suppose Iran used a nuke against North Korea? Would the world approve or disapprove?

      You're missing the point.

      The point is:

      Why in the world would Iran want to nuke anyone? It makes absolutely zero military sense Do you really think Ahmadinejad or the Ayatollahs are that stupid?

    5. Re:Salami tactics by fremsley471 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Your point is the crux of the debate, yet is not being discussed. They're as likely to use it as NATO/Russia*/Pakistan, etc. So what is this war-mongering and chest-beating all about? The simplest answer is that once a Bomb is acquired, Iran becomes less vulnerable, reducing likelihood of invasion/overt military action. For some, that can't be considered.

      The next question is "Why is this reduced vulnerability considered such a seriously bad thing by Israel?", which is what Western commentators should be discussing. Can't be simply all about Middle Eastern hegomonies, but what are the other concerns?

      *is it only Russia that have atomic devices or do other former SSRs still have relic weapons? Would Russia have recently knackered Georgia if they had them still?

    6. Re:Salami tactics by f3rret · · Score: 2

      *is it only Russia that have atomic devices or do other former SSRs still have relic weapons? Would Russia have recently knackered Georgia if they had them still?

      After the break-up for the Soviet Union all nuclear weapons stationed in the republics were moved to Russia. There is some debate whether all of them made it back.

      --
      Admit nothing. Deny Everything. Make Counter-accusations.
    7. Re:Salami tactics by giorgist · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Here is an answer ...

      If Iran launches a nuke ... it will be game over for Iran.

      If a nuke carried by a truck blows up suddenly in <insert city> it might be hard to find the "made in Iran" sticker.
      Let alone it may have had a "made in Israel" sticker, but they might find a "made in Iran" sticker anyway just for shits and giggle and turn Iran into glass anyway.

      This mad principal only applies to super powers. The best way to defeat your enemy is to make the big bully hate you, otherwise known as a false flag, but that would never happen now would it.

      G

    8. Re:Salami tactics by nusuth · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I copy and paste without shame:
      http://homepage.mac.com/msb/163x/faqs/nuclear_warfare_101.html

      The Nuclear Game - An Essay on Nuclear Policy Making

      When a country first acquires nuclear weapons it does so out of a very accurate perception that possession of nukes fundamentally changes it relationships with other powers. What nuclear weapons buy for a New Nuclear Power (NNP) is the fact that once the country in question has nuclear weapons, it cannot be beaten. It can be defeated, that is it can be prevented from achieving certain goals or stopped from following certain courses of action, but it cannot be beaten. It will never have enemy tanks moving down the streets of its capital, it will never have its national treasures looted and its citizens forced into servitude. The enemy will be destroyed by nuclear attack first. A potential enemy knows that so will not push the situation to the point where our NNP is on the verge of being beaten. In effect, the effect of acquiring nuclear weapons is that the owning country has set limits on any conflict in which it is involved. This is such an immensely attractive option that states find it irresistible.

      Only later do they realize the problem. Nuclear weapons are so immensely destructive that they mean a country can be totally destroyed by their use. Although our NNP cannot be beaten by an enemy it can be destroyed by that enemy. Although a beaten country can pick itself up and recover, the chances of a country devastated by nuclear strikes doing the same are virtually non-existent. [This needs some elaboration. Given the likely scale and effects of a nuclear attack, its most unlikely that the everybody will be killed. There will be survivors and they will rebuild a society but it will have nothing in common with what was there before. So, to all intents and purposes, once a society initiates a nuclear exchange its gone forever]. Once this basic factor has been absorbed, the NNP makes a fundamental realization that will influence every move it makes from this point onwards. If it does nothing, its effectively invincible. If, however, it does something, there is a serious risk that it will initiate a chain of events that will eventually lead to a nuclear holocaust. The result of that terrifying realization is strategic paralysis.

      With that appreciation of strategic paralysis comes an even worse problem. A non-nuclear country has a wide range of options for its forces. Although its actions may incur a risk of being beaten they do not court destruction. Thus, a non-nuclear nation can afford to take risks of a calculated nature. However,a nuclear-equipped nation has to consider the risk that actions by its conventional forces will lead to a situation where it may have to use its nuclear forces with the resulting holocaust. Therefore, not only are its strategic nuclear options restricted by its possession of nuclear weapons, so are its tactical and operational options. So we add tactical and operational paralysis to the strategic variety. This is why we see such a tremendous emphasis on the mechanics of decision making in nuclear powers. Every decision has to be thought through, not for one step or the step after but for six, seven or eight steps down the line.

      We can see this in the events of the 1960s and 1970s, especially surrounding the Vietnam War. Every so often, the question gets asked "How could the US have won in Vietnam?" with a series of replies that include invading the North,extending the bombing to China and other dramatic escalations of the conflict. Now, it should be obvious why such suggestions could not, in the real world, be contemplated. The risk of ending up in a nuclear war was too great. For another example, note how the presence of nuclear weapons restricted and limited the tactical and operational options available to both sides in the 1973 Yom Kippur War. In effect neither side could push the war to a final conclusion because to do so would bring

      --

      Gentlemen, you can't fight in here, this is the War Room!

    9. Re:Salami tactics by nusuth · · Score: 3, Informative
      --

      Gentlemen, you can't fight in here, this is the War Room!

  8. Wrong bomb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    As to the larger point you try to make, the Japanese leadership's actions even after the first H bomb were hardly singular in wanting to surrender.

    A bomb != H bomb. The U.S. dropped two fission bombs on Japan. Thank heavens we haven't dropped any Tellar-Ulam, a.k.a. fission-fusion, a.k.a. hydrogen bombs on anyone.

  9. Fortunately by Black+Parrot · · Score: 4, Funny

    Thank goodness, now that the Cold War is over we have the War on Terror, so we can still dismiss critics of more spending for unnecessary weapon systems as "lacking in common sense or patriotism".

    --
    Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
  10. Why the Right Wing Progaganda? by Required+Snark · · Score: 3, Insightful
    This post is clearly intended to legitimatize the right wing push to attack Iran.

    Is there any other reason to lionize Teller at this moment in time? The text of the link includes the phrase "a matter of life and horrible death". In other words, an existential threat to Western Civilization. The implied parallel is that Islam and international Communism are similar threats to the West. If Teller is a hero for his position, the all the Republican presidential hopefuls are also heroes for calling for an attack against Iran. And Obama, along with anyone else who advocates caution, is a spineless traitor who want to destroy democracy.

    Pure right wing propaganda.

    Instead of looking back more then 60 years to the late 1940's, let's consider a much more recent and infinitely more relevant event: G. W. Bush's invasion of Iraq. This was a war of choice, and has emerged as the single worst policy mistake in the history of the USA. It cost the US and it's allies hundreds of billions of dollars, tens of thousands of US casualties, and over one hundred thousand civilian causalities in Iraq.

    It made Iran much more powerful, and alienated the entire world from the US. All the European leaders who supported the war fell out of favor. Radical Islamic movements, who really do want to destroy the West, have much more influence in Islamic politics. Even with the nominal end of combat, no one knows when it will really end or how much it will cost, in both life and treasure. We still don't know how badly screwed up we are over this.

    And now Republicans, who lied their teeth out over Weapons of Mass Destruction in Iraq, are screaming that WE MUST ATTACK IRAN RIGHT NOW!!! So someone decides it's time to raise H-Bomb Teller from his crypt, wrap him up in the stars and stripes, and declare that he saved civilization from the Godless Hoards. Meanwhile, G. W. Bush, who is very much alive and well, is completely missing. He is so off the charts it's like he never existed.

    As far as the Republicans and the mainstream media is concerned, Clinton left office, the world hibernated for 8 years, and then Obama took over. Now there is talk of more war in the Middle East, and no one even speaks the name of Bush. It's not like someone asked his opinion and he responded "no comment". No one is even asking. He has been edited out of history, like in 1984.

    This topic is a de facto intelligence test. If you looked at it and wondered why anyone would be saying these kinds of things about Teller then you pass. If you saw nothing unusual, you failed. Given the kind of comments I've seen so far, everyone reading Slashdot is politically brain dead. If there was some way I could turn off life support for all the flat-lined Slashdot readers, I'd do it in an instant.

    --
    Why is Snark Required?
    1. Re:Why the Right Wing Progaganda? by argStyopa · · Score: 2

      "If there was some way I could turn off life support for all the flat-lined Slashdot readers, I'd do it in an instant."
      Anyone else see the irony of a person ranting about the brutality of George Bush's arbitrary and brutal war, posting in a public forum that he would unhesitatingly MURDER the people that disagree with him?

      And that folks, is what passes for public discourse on policy issues in the USA.

      Note to the OP:
      "...And now Republicans, who lied their teeth out over Weapons of Mass Destruction in Iraq, are screaming that WE MUST ATTACK IRAN RIGHT NOW!!!"
      2 points:
      1) you might want to check which party holds the presidency, and thus sets foreign policy.
      2) Those darn Republican liars! Wait, no:
      "One way or the other, we are determined to deny Iraq the capacity to develop weapons of mass destruction and the missiles to deliver them. That is our bottom line." President Clinton (D), Feb. 4, 1998.

      "If Saddam rejects peace and we have to use force, our purpose is clear. We want to seriously diminish the threat posed by Iraq's weapons of mass destruction program." President Clinton (D), Feb. 17, 1998.

      "Iraq is a long way from [here], but what happens there matters a great deal here. For the risks that the leaders of a rogue state will use nuclear, chemical or biological weapons against us or our allies is the greatest security threat we face." Madeline Albright (D), Feb 18, 1998.

      "He will use those weapons of mass destruction again, as he has ten times since 1983." Sandy Berger (D), Clinton National Security Adviser, Feb, 18, 1998

      "[W]e urge you, after consulting with Congress, and consistent with the U.S. Constitution and laws, to take necessary actions (including, if appropriate, air and missile strikes on suspect Iraqi sites) to respond effectively to the threat posed by Iraq's refusal to end its weapons of mass destruction programs." Letter to President Clinton, signed by Sens. Carl Levin, Tom Daschle, John
      Kerry, (all D)

      "Saddam Hussein has been engaged in the development of weapons of mass destruction technology which is a threat to countries in the region and he has made a mockery of the weapons inspection process." Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D, CA), Dec. 16, 1998.

      "Hussein has ... chosen to spend his money on building weapons of mass destruction and palaces for his cronies." Madeline Albright, Clinton Secretary of State, Nov. 10, 1999.

      "There is no doubt that . Saddam Hussein has reinvigorated his weapons programs. Reports indicate that biological, chemical and nuclear programs continue apace and may be back to pre-Gulf War status. In addition, Saddam continues to redefine delivery systems and is doubtless using the cover of a licit missile program to develop longer-range missiles that will threaten the United States and our allies." Letter to President Bush, Signed by Sen. Bob Graham (D, FL,) and others,Dec, 5, 2001.

      "We begin with the common belief that Saddam Hussein is a tyrant and a threat to the peace and stability of the region. He has ignored the mandate of the United Nations and is building weapons of mass destruction and the means of delivering them." Sen. Carl Levin (D, MI), Sept. 19, 2002.

      "We know that he has stored secret supplies of biological and chemical weapons throughout his country." Al Gore (D), Sept. 23, 2002.

      "Iraq's search for weapons of mass destruction has proven impossible to deter and we should assume that it will continue for as long as Saddam is in power." Al Gore (D), Sept. 23, 2002.

      "We have known for many years that Saddam Hussein is seing and developing weapons of mass destruction."

      Sen. Ted Kennedy (D, MA), Sept. 27, 2002.

      "The last UN weapons inspectors left Iraq in October1998. We are confident that Saddam Hussein retains some stockpiles of chemical and biological weapons, and that he has since embarked on a crash course to build up his chemical and biological warfare capabilities. Intelligence reports indicate that he is seeking nuclear weap

      --
      -Styopa
  11. A Limerick by rafial · · Score: 2

    A bellicose feller named Teller
    That prominent atom bomb seller
    Promotes with aplomb
    The hydrogen bomb
    And tells the uncertain they're yeller!

    -- lifted from the back column of a science mag of my childhood

  12. Re:Why is HE the most vilified? by Alioth · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Because of this:

    What separates them is intent. Teller knew full well he was designing the weapons to end industrial civilization. Teller was deliberately designing stuff to kill people.

    Thomas Midgley Jr. didn't know when he was developing the things he was developing that they were anything other than helpful to society.

  13. It's all in how you frame it by shiftless · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It does not matter to the Iran Government what happens to its people in the process, including perhaps allies deciding to wipe out Iran if Iran decides to use the bomb.

    Right, because it's the Iranian government's fault that the United States and it's pals chose to place unwarranted embargoes on Iran, crippling its economy. If the U.S. attacks Iran, it will be because it was "forced" to (at gunpoint, apparently), not because it purposely decided to against all reasoning.

    And depending on the area attacked by allies oil prices will be much much higher, if they could still use the oil.

    Yes, high oil prices is totally the first thing I think of when I imagine the negative effects of blowing people's father's and sons limbs off, bombing homes and cities into rubble, and laying waste and death to a peaceful society.

    The other problem with anyone who decides to attack Iran using the bomb is the fallout to surrounding countries

    Right, because the fallout IN Iran isn't a problem at it.

    Iran seems hell bent on building the bomb, and the embargo's do not seem to matter to them.

    Right, refusing to capitulate to a bully's demands is the same as "not caring" if someone bullies you.

    Attacking there nuclear hideouts, or facilities seems to be the only way to end it now or disrupt there plans..

    False dichotomy because who the hell says we need to "end it now" or "disrupt there (sic) plans"?

    WE DON'T. WE NEED TO START MINDING OUR OWN FUCKING BUSINESS.

  14. Stupid and evil by fnj · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Yes, we think Ahmadinejad and the ayatollahs are that stupid. Plainly.

    Next question.

  15. Communists != Muslims by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Rules of MAD don't apply to Islamic regimes the same way that they did to Communists. Sure, the Communists (Soviets & Chinese) were evil, but they were at least rational about it - while they undoubtedly wanted to wipe out their enemies, they themselves wanted to survive. Which is why deterence worked during the Cold War. During that time, there were a lot of espionage & terrorist acts pulled off by the NKVD/KGB, but how many suicide bombings does anybody remember that the Soviets did?

    This does not apply to Islamic states. If they get hold of nukes and have the confidence that they can destroy their enemies, they'd be only too happy to do it, even if it means a nuclear retaliation. The entire phenomenon of suicide bombers makes it clear that they'd be happy to pay the price if they can have some guarantee that they'll wipe out their enemies - like Israel or India. The only reason Pakistan hasn't done it as yet is that they don't have enough nukes to wipe out India, and their long range missiles don't cover even most of India. The reason Iran hasn't done it to Israel is that they've not completed it as yet.

    It's bad enough that Pakistan has nukes, and the only reason they're not a threat to the US is that they don't have the ICBMs that can get anywhere even close. Iran getting them would be just as ugly. Also, just like Muslims hate Infidels, within the ummah, there are the various sectarian divisions, like the Shia vs the Sunni. Saudi Arabia can't stand the idea of a Shia Iran having the bomb, because that's the sort of power it needs to convert entire Sunni populations to Shia (like in the case of Lebanon). So Iran's getting nukes will start an arms race where oil-rich countries like Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, et al will pay Pakistan to give them a part of their arsenal. Even in Iran vs Israel, the Saudis won't want the Shia to look like heros of the Islamic world for wiping out the Jews.

    1. Re:Communists != Muslims by olau · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You're being irrational. Suicide bombers are employed as a last resort against a technically superior enemy. I'm sure that if you go back in time, you'll find that all major religions have had suicidal fighters in one way or another. It has nothing to do with religion.

      The fact that you conclude that the communists "undoubtedly wanted to wipe out their enemies" just shows how narrow you're thinking about this. The tragedy of an arms race like in the cold war is that both sides are building weapons out of fear of an attack. It's madness.

    2. Re:Communists != Muslims by jimbolauski · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Suicide bombers are pawns, they have been manipulated into killing themselves to murder other people. Their commanders are not so "dedicated to the cause" that they become suicide bombers. World leaders love their power and will do anything to keep it, nuking another country is a sure way for them to lose that power, which is why they won't do it. MAD still works for countries, the real worry with nukes is if they fall into non-state actors hands, with little to lose when retaliation happens they are the biggest danger. Even then the origin of the bomb will be found and the country that supplied it probably be dealt with in the same manor, Afghanistan comes to mind as a good example but there would be many more participants.

      --
      Knowledge = Power
      P= W/t
      t=Money
      Money = Work/Knowledge so the less you know the more you make
    3. Re:Communists != Muslims by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The key there in what you said is "confidence that they can destroy their enemies". No one in the leadership of Iran is confident that they can destroy their enemies, not today, not tomorrow, not when they finally break through and get the bomb. Hell, we could even spot them a half-dozen ICBM's and they would not have that kind of confidence. Iran is a second rate power. Hell - Iran is worse than a second rate power. Iran is a third rate power. And all the nuclear weapons in the world are not going to change that.

      Could Iran, within a few years (assuming a fairly robust weapons program) launch a highly effective nuclear strike on Israel. Yes. But Israel isn't their primary enemy - not even close. While the destruction of Israel may be their primary goal, their primary enemy is (as it always is when the interests of the United States are involved) the USA. And no amount of catching up is going to let Iran even put a dent in the mighty military-industrial complex that is the USA. Lets say they drop a nuke on Israel. The USA possesses enough nuclear capacity to turn Iran into a sheet of glass. However that's only the weapon of last resort - Iran won't get nuked because there's no need to nuke Iran (and possibly provoke other nuclear powers and setting off a nuclear war). No one that matters (China, Russia, the UK and France) would even bat an eye at a conventional retaliation against Iran after a nuclear attack (much the same as Russia more or less let NATO conquer Afghanistan - a nation traditionally at least partially in their sphere of influence - after 9/11). The USN closes of the Straits of Hormuz and launches enough cruise missiles to make "Shock and Awe" look like one of those cheap $25 firework sets. The USAF turns any and all military installations into rubble (using lessons learned from the conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan). NATO special forces "liberate" key Iranian oilfields to ensure the free flow of crude to the allies and drop in on any place where there is even a click on the Geiger Counter to secure any remaining atomic weapons. Eventually ground troops launch a concentrated attack and Iran falls. Iraq fell within 20 days. Iran may take slightly longer but I'd put the over-under at about 45 days.

      In the mean time there is absolutely no way for Iran to make the USA do any more than wince. Even assuming they could sneak a nuke into the US to be used by suicide bombers, what are they going to do? Blow up New York? Ask Bin Laden how well that worked out for him in the end. Even if they managed to somehow get three into the country and detonate them more or less together that still doesn't put a dent in the USA's industrial capability. And now you have US armed forces and citizens who want nothing more than to see your head on a pike.

      Nukes are just a show piece. They're good for making people afraid. They're great one off attacks. But unless you've got enough to win a war in one shot (and there's no way Iran gets to this point) then the true power is in the navy and (to a lesser extent the air force). To win a war, especially against the USA you need to be able to project your force over a great distance. Iran doesn't have a chance.

    4. Re:Communists != Muslims by careysub · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Rules of MAD don't apply to Islamic regimes the same way that they did to Communists. Sure, the Communists (Soviets & Chinese) were evil, but they were at least rational about it - while they undoubtedly wanted to wipe out their enemies, they themselves wanted to survive. Which is why deterence worked during the Cold War. During that time, there were a lot of espionage & terrorist acts pulled off by the NKVD/KGB, but how many suicide bombings does anybody remember that the Soviets did?

      ...

      How short the memories.

      During the Cold War the hysteria-mongers routinely argued that the Communists could not be deterred because they cared nothing for human life - arguments trotted out for this view were the tens of millions of deaths in the Stalinist and Maoist purges and engineered famines, the way life was literally thrown away in Gulags, and in WWII how millions of Soviet soldiers were carelessly sacrificed for negligible battlefield effect (and the same with Chinese and North Korean soldiers a few years later, and North Vietnamese and Cambodian soldiers decades after that). Various quotes by Lenin were commonly repeated (some of them fictitious*) to show the utter ruthlessness, and that their messianic belief in the inevitable victory of Communism made them indifferent to the possibility of nuclear war since Communism would survive.**

      And most of the statements about Communist behavior were true. But a big difference is it was never the leadership, the state itself that was put at risk. Nuclear weapons change that completely. That alone makes the whole claim completely invalid.

      *The favored fake quote, often repeated was this one: "What does it matter if three-fourths of the world perish, if the remaining one fourth are good communists?" attributed to Lenin.

      **Counter-evidence, like Stalin's decision not to seize West Berlin, Khruschev's hasty back-down in Cuba, and the striking intolerance to taking casualties in the 1980s after the Afghanistan invasion were ignored.

      This "Islamists are insane and are not afraid of nuclear war" is just a retread of the same Cold War tripe.

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
    5. Re:Communists != Muslims by jackbird · · Score: 4, Informative

      I was unaware the Japanese Imperial Navy indoctrinated their kamikaze pilots in Islam.

      Nor the Viet Cong with their suicide bombers.

      And that's just the conflicts I can think of off the top of my head involving the USA.

    6. Re:Communists != Muslims by rbrander · · Score: 2

      Ah, callow youth. Trust me, child, we heard all this about the Commies back in the day.

      They were *fanatically*, *suicidally* dedicated to their evil ideology. Or the Top Bosses had deep bunkers and cared nothing for the survival of their zombiefied slaves. Or they were just so insane they actually believed they could simply win a nuclear war, get all our bombs before we could launch them...by smuggling in bombs and planting them on our open society. The same way they supported world-wide terrorism. (Yes, we had terrorism in the 20th century too, honest. Except for the 9/11 one-off, the worst years were actually the 80s, by event-count or body-count.)

      And I think I missed a few scenarios, all of which required us to keep our powder dry, allow no missile gap, and, preferably, just do a first-strike...since we could win with "acceptable losses".

      Fortunately, non-crazy people prevailed, and here we are, listening to you. Again. Same crap, different boogieman. This one has about 1% of the Soviet Union's military budget, so you can imagine how funny it sounds to those who've heard it before when it at least WAS a largish "empire" instead of one little barely-industrialized country.

    7. Re:Communists != Muslims by khallow · · Score: 3, Informative

      No religion had suicide bombers - except Muslims.

      We also ignore nominally secular organizations like the LTTE (the "Tamil Tigers") in Sri Lanka who conducted hundreds of suicide bombings.

      but the same mindset that inspires individual suicide bombers to blow themselves up where they can cause the maximum damage also applies to the leadership of countries who are willing to let countless of their own people die if they can wipe out their enemy in the process.

      Or doesn't. There's plenty of reason to suspect hypocrisy in the upper ranks of Islamic-themed terrorist organizations.

    8. Re:Communists != Muslims by bjdevil66 · · Score: 2

      This does not apply to Islamic states... wiping out the Jews.

      Wow - just... wow. This is an arrogant, ignorant and xenophobic rant, full of half-baked stereotypes and generalizations, all based on a broad and ignorant stereotype that has led to sporadic wars between Christian and Muslim cultures for over a millenium.

      I suggest that you rent the movie Persepolis and watch it. It may remind you that 99.9% of the people living in Iran are not an "Islamic state". Instead, they're people just like us, with a nutjob regime that they need to get rid of by themselves. (I think we've proven without a doubt (again - until the next generation has forgotten our learned lessons) that nation building and preemptive strikes to change regimes is nothing more than a trillion dollar waste of resources and human lives.)

  16. The Nazis could have kept Teller by blind+biker · · Score: 2

    The Nazis could have kept Teller and a huge bunch of other excellent Jewish scientists, if only their grotesque racism didn't blind them, and push the Jewish scientists to the West (the USA mostly).

    I think we can be all very thankful for the Nazis' idiocy, because their anti-Jewish propaganda might just have saved the world.

    --
    "The agriculture ministry is not in charge of Gundam" - Japanese ministry official.
  17. What the fuck? by Any+Web+Loco · · Score: 2

    Surely you're not serious?!

    1. Re:What the fuck? by Jawnn · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Surely you're not serious?!

      I believe that he is. He lets Fox News shape his "fair and balanced" view of the world. I mean, after all, all Muslim's are potential suicide bombers. Right? So it follows that all "Islamic" states have the same suicidal thoughts.

  18. Re:Radioactive signature by QuantumPion · · Score: 4, Insightful

    No. IAANP and that is hollywood fiction.

  19. "Conditional Surrender" vs Unconditional Surrender by SummitCO · · Score: 2

    You need some better understanding of the Japanese culture at the time. They wouldn't have surrendered to the USA to avoid the Soviets. They were not the Germans. The goal was to fight to the last and they didn't care which barbarian flag was going to fly after they all gloriously sacrificed themselves to the Emperor. Yes, they sent out peace feelers, but that is more than a little red herring as you present it. If you research the subject and discover what the Japanese had in mind as acceptable terms for a cessation of hostilities: there would be no occupation by foreign troops, the Japanese would keep some of their conquered territories, Japan would disarm itself. Even Gar Alperovitz admitted to this in his book that popularized the idea that we were primarily trying to intimidate the Soviets (this was merely an incidental bonus). The Japanese were NEVER going to agree to a surrender with an occupation and war crimes prosecutions as long as they figured they could bleed the Americans to their terms in a bloody protracted conflict. Plenty of the leadership did not want to surrender even after two bombs; there was a coup attempt in order avoid the unconditional surrender. The Allies would NEVER accept the Japanese idea of a conditional surrender. They (including the Soviets) committed to unconditional surrender because they knew 1. There must never be any doubt that the Japanese and Germans were TRULY beaten 2. It was necessary to completely reform the culture. Failure to accomplish these goals after WWI directly resulted in the mindset behind the Nazi rise to power in WWII. The Nazi party line was very much: "We were never really beaten in The Great War, but rather betrayed by Communists and Jewish traitors in our government. Germany should be resurgent and reclaim its honor." It is very easy to see a resurgent Japan had they been allowed conditional surrender.

  20. The Middle East nuclear arms race in context by DragonWriter · · Score: 2

    Rules of MAD don't apply to Islamic regimes the same way that they did to Communists. Sure, the Communists (Soviets & Chinese) were evil, but they were at least rational about it - while they undoubtedly wanted to wipe out their enemies, they themselves wanted to survive.

    Muslims, like Christians, American patriots, Communists, and people with lots of other belief systems, have a notable and vocal subgroup that holds that it is better to die than to live in circumstances where there values are not realized.

    OTOH, that obviously doesn't make them particularly special -- every group to which MAD has applied has had the same kind of groups (and the USSR, China, and USA also had regimes that were, publicly at least, convinced that they had survivability measures in place to allow the regime to survive a large-scale nuclear exchange, so as well as the "live in our preferred manner or die" element, there was also the "nuclear war is winnable" element to contend with.

    The entire phenomenon of suicide bombers makes it clear that they'd be happy to pay the price if they can have some guarantee that they'll wipe out their enemies - like Israel or India.

    No, it doesn't, because suicide bombers, you'll note, aren't generally from the privileged classes that lead the countries -- their usually from social groups oppressed by even the local government, and affiliated with organizations opposed to their local governments. Suicide bombers are from groups that have nothing to lose, but those aren't the people making decisions about national strategy.

    The people making decisions about national strategy have lots to lose, and generally have expended considerable effort to acquire and secure those things that they would stand to lose.

    The only reason Pakistan hasn't done it as yet is that they don't have enough nukes to wipe out India, and their long range missiles don't cover even most of India.

    Pakistan doesn't want to destroy India, it wants to control territory over which it has had conflict with India since the two countries became independent countries. Both the Pakistani and the Indian nuclear forces exist in large part to deter the other from extreme action in regard to that ongoing conflict (though India's also exists as a counterbalance to China).

    The reason Iran hasn't done it to Israel is that they've not completed it as yet.

    Iran hasn't launched on offensive war anywhere since the Islamic Revolution (they have been the victim of a war launched by Iraq with the support of the US -- and Kuwait and Saudi Arabia; interestingly, since then, the states that initiated and backed that war against Iran have since fought two additional wars among themselves, starting right after the end of the war with Iran.)

    Also, just like Muslims hate Infidels, within the ummah, there are the various sectarian divisions, like the Shia vs the Sunni. Saudi Arabia can't stand the idea of a Shia Iran having the bomb

    Most of the Sunni-ruled states that can't stand Iran having the bomb can't stand Israel having it either, so Iran having it doesn't really change things.

    So Iran's getting nukes will start an arms race where oil-rich countries like Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, et al will pay Pakistan to give them a part of their arsenal.

    The Middle East/North Africa nuclear arms race has been going on a long time -- including various states in the region purchasing nuclear weapons technology from Pakistan -- and the main catalyst for it is Israel's nuclear arsenal, not the maybe-someday Iranian one. So Iran can't start a nuclear arms race in the region, because Israel did that decades ago and its still going on -- Iran getting nuclear weapons would be a product of that arms race, not its initiator.