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Apple to Buy Back $10bn of Its Shares and Pay Dividend

floydman writes "Apple has said it will use its cash to start paying a dividend to shareholders and to buy back some of its shares. The technology giant said it would pay a quarterly dividend of $2.65 per share from July. It will buy back up to $10bn of its own shares starting in the company's next financial year, which begins on 30 September 2012. Apple CEO Tim Cook said, 'We have used some of our cash to make great investments in our business through increased research and development, acquisitions, new retail store openings, strategic prepayments and capital expenditures in our supply chain, and building out our infrastructure. You'll see more of all of these in the future. Even with these investments, we can maintain a war chest for strategic opportunities and have plenty of cash to run our business. So we are going to initiate a dividend and share repurchase program.'"

301 comments

  1. In case anyone was wondering when Tim Cook... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    ...would assert himself as his own CEO, keep in mind that this never would have happened under Steve Jobs.

    1. Re:In case anyone was wondering when Tim Cook... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tim Cook asserted himself just 2 weeks after he became CEO, before Steve Jobs passed away. Cook reinstated Apple's charitable gift matching program which Jobs had killed in 1997.

    2. Re:In case anyone was wondering when Tim Cook... by hairyfeet · · Score: 2, Interesting

      And I say give the man credit as its a DAMN SMART move. There are a ton of hedge funds and other portfolios that won't touch a stock no matter how hot if it doesn't pay a dividend and now Apple will be considered a blue chip to those firms. i wouldn't be surprised if you see 20%, hell maybe even 30% uptick on their stock. If I had the cash to spare i know what stock I'd be buying right this minute and it wouldn't be Google or MSFT, it'd be Apple.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    3. Re:In case anyone was wondering when Tim Cook... by ronocdh · · Score: 2, Insightful

      i wouldn't be surprised if you see 20%, hell maybe even 30% uptick on their stock.

      If that wouldn't surprise you, then you don't know what you're talking about. Seems to me you either have some Apple stock and you'd like to see it go up further than you think it will without your blathering, or you genuinely have no idea how stocks mature. The company with the largest market capitalization in the world undergoing positive growth of 20-30% in under six months? Keep dreaming, buddy.

    4. Re:In case anyone was wondering when Tim Cook... by PostScience · · Score: 1

      The company with the largest market capitalization in the world undergoing positive growth of 20-30% in under six months? Keep dreaming, buddy.

      It was the already world's largest company before it's recent run up, from $450 to $600. So, not only is it possible, it's already happened once before. Obviously there are limits to how big a company can get, but Apple is not even approaching those limits.

    5. Re:In case anyone was wondering when Tim Cook... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Apple already is the single most popular stock held by mutual and hedge funds, long before any dividends.

    6. Re:In case anyone was wondering when Tim Cook... by dgharmon · · Score: 1

      > Tim Cook asserted himself just 2 weeks after he became CEO, before Steve Jobs passed away. Cook reinstated Apple's charitable gift matching program which Jobs had killed in 1997 ..

      What reasons did Jobs give for doing this in 1997 and do you have any links for the above?

      --
      AccountKiller
    7. Re:In case anyone was wondering when Tim Cook... by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      You seem to think the market is about logic when its not, its about trends and flows and feelings. Hell as another pointed out it was already the biggest corp on the planet at $450 a share, now its over $600, that's 25% right there. Just you watch the positive buzz from this will send them up 20% on the stock price.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
  2. Context? by TaoPhoenix · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Any finance experts here? What does this buyback do? It probably makes the remaining shares more valuable, but are there any nasty angles to this?

    --
    My first Journal Entry ever, in 8 years! http://slashdot.org/journal/365947/aphelion-scifi-fantasy-horror-poetry-webzine
    1. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

      More importantly, if it reached over 50% ownership of its own shares would it become sentient?

    2. Re:Context? by LordKaT · · Score: 5, Informative

      There are some medium-long term downsides to this, should Apple fall hard in the long term (ie; tablets prove to just be a trend, iPhone sales fall, etc...), but this is what investors have been waiting for. This is a fairly large buyback, which will inflate the price of the shares even more, but it's a small amount of money for Apple to be investing in itself.

      This will more than likely force AAPL above $600 for the remainder of the financial year (and probably closer to $700).

    3. Re:Context? by stevel · · Score: 5, Informative

      Stock buybacks indeed make the shares more valuable. Paying dividends can entice some institutional investors to buy shares which they would not otherwise do. As long as Apple keeps sufficient cash on hand, this is a general win.

    4. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, repurchased shares are 'retired' and are not held or controlled by the board.

    5. Re:Context? by Billly+Gates · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It means Apple (according to many guru's and those on Wall Street in this day and age) think they do not know how to invest in themselves and what is valuable. Instead they feel to give the money back to the shareholders as they can invest in the money better than they can. Apple's stock price went down after the bell opened, but did go up in pre-trading (why is that legal ?)

      However, my opinions are more old fashioned and feel Apple should give money back to its owners after they invested the risk duh. Doing so in old school theoretical sense means they want less pressure on quarterly results and on just raising the share price and giving investors some of their earnings back eleviates this and allows for the same amount of money for slower growth from investors. Which is what the the thinking was even if that is rejected for newer investors as growth not revenue is everything.

      If I made you a partner in a company but didn't pay you because Hairyfeet, might just pay you then you will be on my ass to rise the share price as you see no return anyway. If it goes up then you gain money. That is how Apple has been operating since 1997.

      Apple is trying to eleviate that.

      It also is a little disapointing as Apple could start a 4G network to compete with the big boys, use the money for more R&D, or pay their Foxconn employers more and educate them to work for Apple China through scholarships. But Apple did not want to take that risk.

    6. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      getting ready to crash

    7. Re:Context? by vlm · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Not arrogant enough to call myself an expert, but using made up numbers, if you had 100 shares outstanding, and $10B in the bank, this is claiming you have nothing in the pipeline...

      Option 1 to raise the value of outstanding shares by investing : Spend the dough on R+D or marketing or creating new markets or buying a productive company or "productive activity in general"

      Option 2 buy the shares, dropping the supply in the wild to 90 shares, lower supply at constant demand equals higher price.

      In the short run opt 2 makes the most money. In the long run opt 1 destroys the company. To some extent opt 1 means they can't think of anything productive to do with the money, so they're giving it back. Frankly this might be true.

      To some extent its a vote of non-confidence in the execs or general market pessimism... if the execs were enhancing shareholder value by 10% per year (made up number) then diluting the existing shares by issuing 1% more shares to give to the execs seems "OK" to the stockholders because they're still getting 9% rate of return (again, made up). However if you expect the stock to flatline or drop, then the stockholders will get pissed off at the idea of paying 1% of their capital to the execs... even if the rest of the market tanks 50% and apple flatlines, that capital loss will still piss off the shareholders.

      Also note that we live in a centrally controlled economy and the tax implications are wildly different if the $1 lives in book value (cash per share) aka paper profit which is a capital gain at a date of your choice in the future, vs $1 in dividends this year taxable as dividend income this year. On the date of record or whatever the exact term is, the stock drops in price by about the value of the share. If your dividend tax rate is high enough you can sell before that date and buy after that date, at a standard commission of course for each trade, which might be less than your tax loss. Assuming you believe in relatively constant taxes and relatively constant valuation.

      The TLDR version is they are pessimistic about the future and can't think of any way to avoid problems.

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    8. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Less shares available (buyback) and more people interested in buying shares (because they pay dividends) means that their shares value will increase.

    9. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      So, all they want to do is concentrate power? The one share to rule them all?

    10. Re:Context? by Space+cowboy · · Score: 2

      The stated intent of the buyback is to prevent dilution of outstanding shares when Apple gives RSU shares to its employees. I guess that means they spend $15B/year on their employee share bonuses.

      Simon.

      --
      Physicists get Hadrons!
    11. Re:Context? by vlm · · Score: 1, Informative

      In the long run opt 1 destroys the company. To some extent opt 1 means

      Blast it I mean option 2.

      Although known incompetence in management could mean trying to expand would just destroy the company, so some simply give the money back thru option 2 rather than trying to dotcom themselves... This is kind of rare due to peter principle but it does sometimes happen. Most of the time giving up on future growth means you're not expecting future growth means eventual death of the company

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    12. Re:Context? by squidflakes · · Score: 0

      As others have said, it raises the price of the stock, but it does it through two mechanisms. First, it raises the price by scarcity. Fewer Apple shares being traded means the price goes up from demand. Apple is one of the small handfuls of companies that has never had a stock split and maintains a very high individual share value, and a surprisingly high demand.

      Second, when the buy orders start to come in, and the price goes up from demand, this tends to drive interest. A staggering number of investors don't follow buy low-sell high, they tend to buy near the top of a stock's curve and sell near the bottom because of what is probably an emotional response to stock pricing. When the price is rising, they want to be part of the trend. When stock prices are falling, they hang on to shares with the hope that the stock will rebound.

      Anyway, this means that any upward movement on the part of Apple stock will trigger a buy wave that will only send the price higher.

      Hidden downsides?

      Less cash-on-hand in case something goes wrong, but that is unlikely given Apple's zombie-like resilience, at least in the near term.
      Stock holder intransigence. If they start getting used to a dividend, there will be some complaints the dividend ever stops. This isn't a huge deal but it has triggered sell-offs in the past when the company was least able to deal with them. (think Ford right around 2006. They stopped paying, institutional investors didn't see a value in the stock, trigger sell-off)

    13. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's worth noting that at the current share price, $2.65/quarter amounts to a ~1.8% return from dividends. That's a pretty low rate of return. Which more-or-less means that the stock price is still very much based on expectations of future growth in the company (and thus increase in the value of the stock itself). This is a pretty sensible prediction: Apple are still well-positioned to make money and branch into new areas.

      On the other hand, it does shift Apple stock ever-so-slightly into the land of more-stable/less-risky investment. With a few % dividend return, you can invest in AAPL and not worry so much about short-term successes or failures. This is indeed a rather cheap way for Apple to maintain the value of their stock, and draw in new investors.

    14. Re:Context? by blueg3 · · Score: 2

      The buyback is intended to offset exercised employee stock options, so the net effect is intended to be that the existing shares retain their current value (rather than being diluted by the new shares).

    15. Re:Context? by LordSchnitzel · · Score: 3, Informative

      No, it doesn't make the remaining shares any more valuable. Right now the market cap is ~$500 billion, and the liquid assets are known to be about $100B, so the non-liquid asset part of the company is ~$400 billion. When apple buys back the shares, the number of shares in circulation goes down, but so does the market cap, since now it's ~400 billion + ~90 billion assets. These should exactly match. You can imagine this as the board separating out the bits of the company that are apple's ip, employee capital, buildings etc, and the bits of the company that are just the ownership of a huge wadge of cash. They're getting rid of the latter without touching the former. You would expect this to not impact the share price in itself.

    16. Re:Context? by glrotate · · Score: 0

      Amen. This shows that Cook realizes that once the Jobs product pipeline has dried up, Apple will struggle with innovation.

      He is basically beginning the transition to a stagnant company from a growing one.

    17. Re:Context? by nedlohs · · Score: 2

      A share buyback shouldn't change the share price (though of course in practice...). It reduces the number of available shares but it also reduces the wroth of the company (it now has less cash) - by equal amounts.

      If a company had 100 shares and a price of $10 and bought back 10 shares. Then there are now 90 shares, but the company has $100 less cash on hand. Before the buy back the company was valued at being wroth $10*100 = $1000. It should now be worth $1000-$100 = $900 - and there are 90 shares left so $900/90 = $10 is stil the share price.

      It essentially works the same as a dividend payment, but reduces tax liability.

      The main downside is that (like a dividend) it's an indication that Apple doesn't think it can generate better than market returns on the cash (since if it could that would be better value for shareholders than paying it out as a dividend/share buy back). But when you are talking about the amount of cash Apple has that shouldn't be news.

    18. Re:Context? by tverbeek · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "To some extent opt 1 means they can't think of anything productive to do with the money, so they're giving it back. Frankly this might be true."

      Or (getting in touch with reality briefly) it means that they can't think of anything that they need 100 billion dollars for, but they think that merely tens of billions of dollars, plus the ongoing profits from their money-printing iProducts, will be enough working capital for what they do have planned.

      --
      http://alternatives.rzero.com/
    19. Re:Context? by ILongForDarkness · · Score: 1

      It should make the shares more valuable. It could end up not getting fully adjusted for, or alternatively it could hype up the stock more (investors expecting even more buy backs in the future for example). But at least in theory all metrics increase (earnings per share, profit per share etc) and things should exactly adjust.

      Personally I say ... about freaking time they did something with the money. It is okay to have a war chest, but you actually have to go to war sometime in a reasonable amount of time. Otherwise your investors are effectively paying for a money market account (or whatever income producing junk the company piles the money into). I don't need to pay broker commissions to get a GIC :-)

    20. Re:Context? by vlm · · Score: 1

      Agreed. Its hard to believe, but if they're arrogant enough to think they're the highest ROI corporation in the entire world, then they can't make money by purchasing some other industry, even in a quasi-legal holding corporation kind of way, so they may as well give the money back.

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    21. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      I have two Finance degrees and close to a Master's.

      1) In theory the stock buyback would do nothing to the value of shares. The remaining shares would own a bigger part of the company, but this company is ten billion dollars less valuable. In an efficient market, this would offset

      Fact: We do not operate in an efficient market.

      2) Investors will look at this as a signal that the company is bullish on its future, and you will see a disproportionate rise in the stock.

      Essentially, Apple is saying "our shares are undervalued". They have more information than the general public (hence the inefficient market comment). Apple says it is willing to buy at this low price, so th market says "time to buy".

    22. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As others have said, it raises the price of the stock, but it does it through two mechanisms. First, it raises the price by scarcity. Fewer Apple shares being traded means the price goes up from demand. Apple is one of the small handfuls of companies that has never had a stock split and maintains a very high individual share value, and a surprisingly high demand.

      AAPL has 2-1 split three times before.

    23. Re:Context? by LordKaT · · Score: 1

      You have to understand something important here:

      I'm karma whoring for the next Apple thread. :)

    24. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Apple market cap: $550 billion
      Shareholder equity: $90 billion

      That's a boatload of expected future earnings implied in that difference right there. The dividend return is total crap, and only a fool would buy back shares that are priced this high. (For the uninformed: you buy back shares when they are CHEAP so you can re-issue shares when the stock price is higher later on to keep investment money flowing through the business.) This is short-term thinking by Cook to maximize his parachute, plain and simple.

      My best estimate is that Apple shares should be priced around $130-$150/share, not the idiotic $600 that people have bid it up to. If I had the cash to short Apple stock over the long term, I would do that.

    25. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Around February 2011, Jobs had to properly step back from the company as his illness was beginning to bite, he still hung around as best he could but this is the point where he really had to step away from the day to day running of the company, and Cook took over.

      This is also about the point at which Apple's legal attacks really started to escalate, whilst there had been some before the sheer number and weight of the attacks - the amount of money being put into the legal attacks at this point increased massively.

      Shortly after the iPad 2 was released, it was an "okay" update on the first one, but relatively lacklustre. It was hard to think much of that at the time, but it and the increase in legal attacks started to really set the stage for what was going on at Apple.

      The June/July period came and went, with no iPhone release, it didn't seem too big a deal but when the iPhone4S eventually came, it came late and was a major dissapointment, being little more than a weak incremental upgrade, much like the iPad 2. Similarly, iOS 5 brought nothing new to the table, and contained mostly updates that simply copied long held Android features. But regardless, for the iPhone 4S it didn't really matter because it still sold- and in record numbers, but when you examine what happened here it's quite telling, todays news only further demonstrates Apple's problem.

      They're out of ideas.

      Here's why:

      Ignoring the point that all hardware and software releases have brought really little new to the table, with Siri being perhaps the most innovative thing (but still ultimately little more than a voice to text interface for Woflram Alpha) you have to look at Apple's actions.

      They started off by starting to sue serious competition like crazy - companies that were pushing out devices that were a genuine threat to their sales. The next issue was the realisation that the iPhone 4S looked really, really, weak, so to release on their usual yearly mid-year cycle would've not netted great sales, their plan was to delay it, and try and back up sales to people invested in the Apple ecosystem a few months such that the sales that would've been spread more evenly over the second half of the year in the usual iPhone release cycle were compressed into a much smaller period, making for great headline numbers, but at the expense of sales that dissapointed the markets in the earlier quarter.

      Now step forward to today, and we've got Apple's announcement that they're going to spend money to inflate their share price, rather than continue to inflate it based on the continued strength of their innovation and the sales growth that has netted them.

      I don't think anyone's going to argue that Apple is still going to be making an absolute bucket load of cash, but what's happened here is quite interesting - this is really the point at which it seems clear Apple has accepted that it's hit or nearing it's peak based on innovative product based growth, their last 3 key product refreshes (the iPhone 4S, and iPad 2 and 3) have been rather uninteresting.

      I never really liked Jobs, but it's become clear that without him, Apple is just another tech company, and like Microsoft before them they've now peaked and are about to plateau. The share buy back is likely the point at which their share price will peak, and then they'll slowly decline as Microsoft's did before them to a level at which they'll stabilise - still placing them as a major technological company, but not the runaway "Apple's bigger than Polan" type of headline hysteria we see today.

      They've had a good run but this last year coupled with the next year is their turning point. The change from innovation to lawsuits, delaying to build up expired contract demand, and now to spending 10% of their total cash pile to grow their share price artificially, rather than organically are the key points demonstrating a changing tide.

      Many fanboys will tell you it's different, many will tell you that I'm wrong to suggest Apple product X wasn't lacklustre a

    26. Re:Context? by ILongForDarkness · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Exactly. What worth 100B dollars could Apple buy that they also could have a good fit with? They aren't about to buy SAP or controlling interest in oracle, or 2 HP's, or 3 Dells, or 5 Nokias, etc. There just aren't enough big enough targets out there, and even if they are they are pretty much worthless because Apple wins by having their systems completely designed as a integrated whole in house. I can't see how Apple + a Facebook, or HP or something makes sense. They still would be two completely different companies so all the "synergies" that deal-makers always like to conjure up are not so easy to imagine.

    27. Re:Context? by busyqth · · Score: 2

      It seems like you think Apple has zero value apart from it's cash.
      I think you're wrong.

    28. Re:Context? by bhcompy · · Score: 1

      Draw in new institutional investors, while preventing casual investors from entering the party.

    29. Re:Context? by manoweb · · Score: 1

      They should buy Hollywood!

    30. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can see a Foxconn takeover making sense. Perhaps a chip foundry somewhere? Intel's assets in Israel would be a good fit, too, since we're talking pie in the sky stuff.

    31. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      Your TLDR version is wrong.

      Corporate investments are (in theory) all about how to get the best return. Cash is a powerful asset, and can be used for all sorts of stuff. A company paying dividends/doing buybacks is signalling the market that they don't have an option that produces a return for shareholders that beats the market, for that particular piece of money.

      Holding cash causes a loss in value due to the inflation. AAPL is saying that they don't have a market-beating option for that chunk of money. Thus, they give it back to the shareholders (so they can get a better return). Likewise, the buyback will push up stock value (a return for shareholders), at least in the short-term, and consolidates control. Which the company believes is a better use of the money right now.

      Note that (I'm 99% sure) this is a special dividend - they aren't committed to it for ever and ever (like some companies). They still invest like crazy in R&D, and have said they will continue to do so. They just don't have $100B worth of R&D opportunities that will generate a market-beating ROI, in their opinion.

      This doesn't say anything about pessimism or avoiding problems - it's an ROI thing. A regular dividend from a tech company would be a discouraging sign, esp. one with as much growth lately as AAPL, in the markets they play in. I think this just says they made a shitpile of money, and couldn't spend it fast enough on worthwhile stuff. That's all.

    32. Re:Context? by Ihmhi · · Score: 1

      You talk almost as if you were a sage or mystic, and it unsettles me all the more.

      I get what you're saying about the market and all, but when I hear things like "consumer confidence" and all I feel as if the entirety of Wall Street is based on some sort of weird financial voodoo instead of any actual merit (on the part of companies).

    33. Re:Context? by dwightk · · Score: 2

      You know Cook's parachute doesn't deploy for 10 years, right? It half deploys in 5 years.

      --
      Like anyone can even know that
    34. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      When shares and capital collide, they vanish and in the process radiate investor relations marketing.

      Control over the company is divided among fewer shares and the balance sheet total is reduced. "It becomes a smaller company that belongs to fewer shareholders." That's why buying back shares is fundamentally a bad sign. It means the company is running out of ideas what to do with the money. Of course sitting on the money when you're not doing anything with it is an even worse signal.

    35. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Buy low, sell high. Looks like a good time to get out.

    36. Re:Context? by alen · · Score: 1, Insightful

      i have a lot of apple products at home, but what innovation?

      nice laptops, check. they have been around for years
      MP3 player? did it better than others
      smart phone, apple just made it better
      tablet, apple made it better as well.
      TV? rumor is apple is going to make it better later this year
      apple TV? don't like it too much. love my PS3 and xbox and roku seems better

      is there some device i'm missing that i just have to have? do i really need a wearable computer?

    37. Re:Context? by gl4ss · · Score: 1

      So, all they want to do is concentrate power? The one share to rule them all?

      essentially, all the people who own stock own the corporate buybacked stock. so yea, if you'd end up as the last person holding stock..

      --
      world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
    38. Re:Context? by phantomfive · · Score: 2

      No, repurchased shares are 'retired' and are not held or controlled by the board.

      Not always, they can also be left in the treasury, available for reissue at a later date.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    39. Re:Context? by methano · · Score: 1

      Thanks, that clears everything up.

    40. Re:Context? by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      I can see a Foxconn takeover making sense.

      No. That makes no sense. Then Apple would be directly responsible for the conditions there. Also, it's legally impossible.

      Intel's assets in Israel would be a good fit, too, since we're talking pie in the sky stuff.

      You mean, since we're talking pure, anonymous, cowardly bullshit. We're talking about one of the most contentious regions on the planet, Apple would only be buying themselves headaches.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    41. Re:Context? by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      Whenever a politician/economist/pundit talks about "confidence", he is either deluded or lying. This "confidence" word is really useful like that. It means anything from "suckers are more willing to part with their money" to "magical thinking will save the day".

    42. Re:Context? by DrLang21 · · Score: 1

      The buyback probably won't have significant impact on the share value since the market cap is over 500 billion. What it will do is provide Apple with a financing safety net should they run into hard times again. They will have those shares that they can sell to raise capital.

      --
      I see the glass as full with a FoS of 2.
    43. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Having a lot of cash is not a good sign for a business though. It means they don't know what to do with it (ie. the management is clueless).

      With that said, in this market it's hard to tell because after the last couple crashes businesses started hoarding cash due to the uncertainty.

      How about hire some more people? There is still a massive amount of unemployed right now. Meanwhile businesses have been jacking up prices while simultaneously decreasing quality and value. Which in turn causes people to cut back even more, which causes businesses to increase prices, which causes people to cut back, ... This situation is an implosion waiting to happen.

    44. Re:Context? by JazzHarper · · Score: 2

      Your example would be correct if the company were valued based solely on the current cash divided by the number of shares--10% less cash and 10% fewer shares would result in the same share price. However, the value of a share is a function of the earnings and expected growth rate of those earnings, not just the cash on hand. A buyback, if large enough, can increase the earnings per share by reducing the number of shares, even for a mature company with a slow growth rate.

      However, in this case, the buyback is relatively small and may only offset the increase in the number of shares (dilution) caused by restricted stock and option grants made to employees, so I would not expect it to move the stock price noticeably.

      Also, the difference in tax liability is for the shareholder, not the company. The shareholder must pay taxes on dividends every year, but capital gains are not taxed until the shares are sold. The company pays taxes on earnings, either way.

      The main driver of Apple's stock price is earnings growth. Even at today's price, Apple shares are cheap, in terms of price/earnings multiple, compared to other tech companies and particularly compared to companies with similar growth rates.

    45. Re:Context? by Billly+Gates · · Score: 0

      Call me old fasioned (Yes I took finance in school), but it doesn't matter how much money a company has if you do not get paid for owning the company.

      Non dividend shares are no different than bit coins? Worse, as people actually paid money for them unlike using their GPU to create them. It is a big scam.

      They only worth Apple Stock is what someone else will pay for it. That is a bubble my friend. If you own something just to flip and it does not even generate an asset that is a dangerous situation that the new finance gurus do not see. At least flipping houses you could rent them and get some money.

      It is unrational and you assume the share price is statistically always in line with company performance. Sometimes it is, and other times it is not just like the .com craze a decade ago.

      Paying a dividend puts less pressure on raising its stock price. But Apple did not do it with a large amount of money. Just a very small amount so it has plenty of cash left. Keep in mind there is also irrationality that if you have too much money it is bad too. That is why banks were pressured to keep buying bad loans in 2004. The CEOs would have been fired if they sat on their cash. Again, that is proof of the insanity of the market.

    46. Re:Context? by phantomfive · · Score: 5, Insightful

      My best estimate is that Apple shares should be priced around $130-$150/share, not the idiotic $600 that people have bid it up to. If I had the cash to short Apple stock over the long term, I would do that.

      lol now we know why you don't have the cash. At the rate Apple is making money, if their stock were $130 a share, they could buy back all of it by the end of the year.

      Also stop looking at the absolute number of stock price, because it's unimportant. You need to consider the total value of the company VS total profits. At a P/E ratio of 15, Apple IS cheap, unless you think they are not going to be able to keep making money like they are now (a case could be argued to that point, but you haven't done that).

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    47. Re:Context? by El+Torico · · Score: 1

      Why on earth would they want to purchase Foxconn? That would only open them up to more criticism in the West and more hazards (corruption, theft, anti-foreign sentiment, etc.) in China. As for Israel, it's a country who's also good at industrial espionage.
      Let someone else do the dirty work of manufacturing. Apple just has to keep the hype machine going and occasionally toss out something "sleek". That's going to be difficult enough.

      --
      In the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is usually crucified.
    48. Re:Context? by bws111 · · Score: 1

      This makes no sense. Market cap has absolutely nothing to do with assets or liquidity of the company. It is simply the share price times the total number of shares. The only thing it is useful for measuring is how much it would cost to buy the entire company.

      The reason for stock buybacks is to 'return value to the investors'. You can do one of two things to return value - increase the share price, or pay dividends. Since Apple has a history of not paying dividends (the current exception seems to be a one-time thing), it is assumed that this action will raise the share price.

      Whether or not the market cap changes as a result of this is purely up to the stockholders.

    49. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Looks like a good time to get out.

      After the Ex-Dividend date.

    50. Re:Context? by DarkOx · · Score: 2

      If APPL leaves the number of shares out standing constant, and retains them as treasury stock it does dilute the voting power of investors. Part of this may be to free the board and management to take more independent actions.

      --
      Repeal the 17th Amendment TODAY! Also Please Read http://www.gnu.org/philosophy/right-to-read.html
    51. Re:Context? by Strangelover · · Score: 1

      The ars technica article tells a bit more: "[]the company expects to spend $10 billion starting in fiscal year 2013 and continuing for three years, "with the primary objective of neutralizing the impact of dilution from future employee equity grants and employee stock purchase programs." I don't know much about finances, but I know what happened to HP. Swapping a portion of the current shareholders against Apples own employees may help prevent a disaster like that for Apple.

    52. Re:Context? by mrxak · · Score: 2

      It's hard to argue that the products you named are lackluster if each time they sell better than the previous product. Perhaps you were unimpressed, but consumers loved them all and as a business, that's all that matters.

      Stock markets may have been unimpressed by announcements, but Apple has the highest market cap right now, so clearly they're doing something right. Shareholders are apparently stupid, and have no idea what customers like, but each time Apple comes out with an earnings report, or says how many iPhones sold or whatever, the stock price shoots back up again when shareholders realize they were wrong about the new products and customer's willingness to buy them like crazy. Stocks will fluctuate, but the trend here is clearly quite positive.

      Your argument about Apple suing rather than innovating is a bit silly, too, since Apple is suing to protect their innovations from companies who can't. Are you really going to argue that having an extensive patent portfolio is a sign that Apple has no ideas?

    53. Re:Context? by Qzukk · · Score: 1

      is there some device i'm missing that i just have to have?

      Behold: The iPpliance line! Its sleek aluminum will make this refrigerator look just marvelous in your kitchen! The multitouch screen gives you access to all your recipe apps and integration with the Apple iTunes store makes reordering your milk a snap!

      --
      If I have been able to see further than others, it is because I bought a pair of binoculars.
    54. Re:Context? by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      I was hoping they'd buy Comcast and implement a la carte channel pricing.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    55. Re:Context? by DarkOx · · Score: 1

      This is another vaild point. Dividends attract anyone wanting to hold a stock, and higher share prices usually attract institutional rather than retail investors (Know anyone personally who owns a share or BRK.A?). Doing those two things is a strategy for reducing volatility in share price.

      --
      Repeal the 17th Amendment TODAY! Also Please Read http://www.gnu.org/philosophy/right-to-read.html
    56. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

      Or pay a livable wage to it's people, god forbid management not have solid gold shitters while the people who actually do the work not have to scramble paycheck to paycheck.

    57. Re:Context? by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      I didn't assume the valuation was entirely cash/number of shares. However cash is a component of the value of the company and one that is very easy to evaluate.

      Take the 100 shares at $10 company. Say it only has $200 cash on hand, which means $800 of the valuation is made up of other things. The calculation doesn't change at all - the company is worth $900 since it has $100 less cash on hand.

      Now given markets aren't perfect and different companies can leverage cash to different extents it isn't actually going to be 1 for 1. But since we are only dealing with a small portion of the cash it will be close enough. If a company decided to use 95% of its cash to buy back shares it's not going to work the same since those small errors will magnify - but that isn't the case here.

      And I meant for the shareholder for the tax liability - that seemed too obvious to need to state.

    58. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm sorry, but "start a 4G network"?

      Maybe I don't understand the world, but seeing as right now there's a massive spectrum shortage, what spectrum would they use to start this 4G network?

      Or do you assume that Verizon, ATT, Sprint and T-mobile would be kind enough to sell them some of their precious spectrum? I guess they could buy the D block of the 700MHz band, but seeing none of the other wireless carriers wanted it because of all the government restrictions on it for public safety, I doubt Apple would want it either.

    59. Re:Context? by rsborg · · Score: 5, Informative

      Shortly after the iPad 2 was released, it was an "okay" update on the first one, but relatively lacklustre. It was hard to think much of that at the time, but it and the increase in legal attacks started to really set the stage for what was going on at Apple.

      The June/July period came and went, with no iPhone release, it didn't seem too big a deal but when the iPhone4S eventually came, it came late and was a major dissapointment

      Do you work for the Enderle Corp or some "technology analyst" firm that feels they can ignore market reality? Those products you state as "disappointments" were the best-selling and most profitable products of their respective markets. Just because you can't see past the horizon doesn't mean the earth is flat.

      --
      Make sure everyone's vote counts: Verified Voting
    60. Re:Context? by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      Also, I would think the dividend would do far more for the share price than the share buy back.

      There must be a few funds that have dividend restrictions on what they can own that would love to get some of Apple's stock price growth into their numbers but can't because it doesn't meet their compliance rules.

    61. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the buyback is meant to be in an amount equal to what it expects to issue to its employees, so it should be a wash, as far as the P&L goes, because they're buying from the market, but issuing new shares at the same time.

    62. Re:Context? by Anthony+Mouse · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Essentially, Apple is saying "our shares are undervalued". They have more information than the general public (hence the inefficient market comment). Apple says it is willing to buy at this low price, so th market says "time to buy".

      I think it's important to point out something else here: They just have a huge pile of cash and nothing to do with it.

      What they could do is issue it all as dividends, but that actually makes the share price go down. Because you start with a company that has ~$140B in cash, and you end up with a company that has the same non-cash assets but now has $120B in cash. Obviously the latter company is not worth as much money, because it doesn't have as much cash. The shareholders start with a share in a company worth $550, the company issues the dividend and the shareholders end up with a share worth $530 and $20 in cash. The cash has to come from somewhere and it comes out of the share price.

      Allowing the share price to go down like will cause a lot of people to be unhappy. It's especially bad for employees who have stock options.

      Doing the buyback instead has a lot of advantages, primarily as a result of leaving the share price where it is while still giving investors who want cash a way to get it without diluting their ownership stake in the company. If the company buys back 5% of its outstanding shares and you tender 5% of your holdings, you end up with cash in your pocket but no smaller percentage ownership of the company, and the employees and others who don't want the share price to go down are happy to see that it hasn't.

    63. Re:Context? by Billly+Gates · · Score: 2

      How about making it better as innovation?

      Too many companies are on the race to the buttom and it really shows. They do not listen to consumers and always try to pull a fastone on them.

      Wall Street is schzo in this regard as they reward companies for doing this. In Business School the good companies invest in long term strategies are better picks. Apple is included in this. If you watch undercover boss on TV, the first thing every CEO says is "I will go in and look for inefficines and ways we are wasting money to reduce costs". Then they get all butt hurt when they see all their employees overworked to the point of losing returns because of the insane cheapness. It is every single episode I see.

      Apple is old school when companies did not only focus on cost and instead on value. If others followed their league they would be worth more than their competitors.

      Seriously the Apple Iphone was lightyears ahead of anyone when it came out. It was better and not made from some cheap marketing guys in Tiawan. But real thought with pretty icons, GPU graphics, HTML 5, etc. The WindowsMobile 6.5 team were trying to catch up to IE 6 pocket addition to give you an idea how far behind they were when they scoffed the Iphone.

      Steve Jobs is a great CEO and I rank him as high as Bill Gates.

    64. Re:Context? by L3370 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This should not be modded insightful, and the person should be glad that they posted as AC.

      $130 per share would barely cover the amount of PURE CASH the company holds, let alone there assets in real estate, patents, office furniture/equipment etc.... Factor in other details such as...oh I dunno... actual profits... projected earnings and other profit making assets, one could argue that this is one of the few companies IN THE WORLD that deserve such a high valuation. How many multibillion dollar companies can you name that have the same profit margins as Apple? That's a tough list to compile. How many companies beat analyst estimates nearly every single quarter and post record profits on a regular basis?

      Your opinion on share buyback is sound, however. It's popular right now to believe share buybacks are a waste of money. Investors don't seem to be moved very much by this gesture now days. You can rightfully argue the buyback plan is a waste, but on paper less stock available should equal more value per share.

    65. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Doesn't really matter. The dividend is priced into the share.

    66. Re:Context? by swb · · Score: 2

      Why would a stock buyback do nothing in theory to share price?

      It seems like there's an assumption that there's no demand for the stock or the needed shares for a buyback are 'excess' shares otherwise unavailable through normal markets.

      It seems to me under normal market conditions, a stock buy-back of meaningful volume should increase share price at least minimally because the buyback is taking shares out of the marketplace -- reducing supply without an increase in demand should result in increased prices, right?

    67. Re:Context? by um...+Lucas · · Score: 1

      It's higher than either Cisco (1.58%), IBM (1.45%) or Oracle (0.8%). Not as high as microsoft or intel, but still.

    68. Re:Context? by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      Making it better is what innovation is all about.

    69. Re:Context? by flanders123 · · Score: 1

      is there some device i'm missing that i just have to have? do i really need a wearable computer?

      You are putting the cart before the horse. First Apple (re)invents a device, and THEN, you can't live without it. Get with the program. :-)

    70. Re:Context? by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      Has that ever really been an issue, though? Under Jobs, were they really constrained by shareholders?

    71. Re:Context? by jesseck · · Score: 2

      You talk almost as if you were a sage or mystic, and it unsettles me all the more.

      Isn't that how economics work? No one knows, they just make educated guesses and hope they come out correct at the end.

    72. Re:Context? by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      They're also issuing a dividend to shareholders at the same time. Both actions, issuing the dividend and buying back the stock, mean that they will have less cash on hand, making them that much less valuable as a company.

    73. Re:Context? by ILongForDarkness · · Score: 1

      Foxconn has low margins and a lot of customers not Apple. They could very well lose the business of the other customers. Apple has crazy high margins. It is really hard to think of something both profitable enough and where the Apple brand wouldn't hurt rather than help. For example: buy HPs consulting business, or a big chunk of Google or MS say (would be funny turn around). Yeah okay but Apple isn't really seen as a enterprise partner (starting to change but still).

    74. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      No, you are just missing the difference between innovation and invention. It seems you think the former means the same as the latter.

    75. Re:Context? by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      Or he simply got tired of all the bitching from the Wall Street people about not offering dividends.

    76. Re:Context? by Surt · · Score: 1

      The market isn't that efficient. It wishes it was, but it isn't.

      --
      "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
    77. Re:Context? by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      I like how you simply gloss over the whole, "Did it better than others" as not being innovation. Making things consumer friendly, easy to use like they did is very hard to do. Look at the MP3 players before the iPod came out. They largely all sucked. They had capacities which were measured in MBs, they sounded horrible, and they were difficult to load up and use.

    78. Re:Context? by tomhath · · Score: 1

      a stock buy-back of meaningful volume should increase share price

      It's not really supply/demand, it's an investment of their cash. They spend cash to buy the stock. Less cash should drive the stock price down, fewer shares outstanding should drive it back up to the same point.

    79. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's REFINEMENT, big difference.

    80. Re:Context? by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      The other thing is, Wall Street has been bitching and moaning about offering dividends with that war chest for a long time now. Maybe they just got tired of dealing with it.

      Given their massive cash reserves, I don't think this hurts their R&D spending a bit. And sure, they could buy some company, but who?

    81. Re:Context? by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      No, not in the least. That would be completely orthogonal to why they outsource the manufacture of their products in the first place.

    82. Re:Context? by ILongForDarkness · · Score: 1

      The problem at least my understanding of it, is that a lot of the expensive channels (espn, fox etc) in a cable package are subsidized by the junk in the cable package. The cable provider pays for the channels and bundles them in such a way to try to target a family unit effectively. Since a large number (majority?) of households are now single adult/roommates maybe that will change. The problem will be people not willing to pay for all the high cost channels. Say $10 for expn, $5 for fox, $5 for CNN etc. People will say I'm paying 60% of the cost for 20% of the channels might as well keep my cable package.

      Where it could win out I think is if they could renegotiate the prices with the channels. Ie. since our customers have specifically picked your channel we know they will be watching it. Thus you'll get more eyeballs for your ads and can sell them for more. So take more money from your advertisers and give us a lower rate. I'm not sure who watches TV now anymore anyways, other than sporting fans. I watch TV maybe 1 hour a week. Anything else I want to watch I download so I have no commercials, don't have to get a dvr, find out when something airs so I can set it up etc. Just check online every couple days see what I missed I want to watch and download away. Then again I live in a country that doesn't have internet piracy laws (yet) so no problems :-)

    83. Re:Context? by s73v3r · · Score: 2

      The June/July period came and went, with no iPhone release, it didn't seem too big a deal but when the iPhone4S eventually came, it came late and was a major dissapointment

      A "major disappointment" that happened to sell more units that month than any other smartphone did all year, and became the highest selling smartphone in the world.

    84. Re:Context? by dgatwood · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You're pulling your punches. Apple has a little over a hundred bucks per share in cash position, and made about $20 per share in Q4 2011. So the GP is suggesting that Apple's value should be based on their current cash position plus one quarter worth of sales, which means after you take out the cash, the company would have an effective P/E ratio of 0.25.... That's so far removed from proper investing advice that it's absurd. Such a low P/E ratio would make sense only for a company on the verge of bankruptcy.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    85. Re:Context? by Joe+Decker · · Score: 1

      It's not particularly nasty. The fact that they're doing both share buybacks and dividends is a little imperfect, but falls well short of evil.

      In one sense, the two are similar. Some of the "value of the company" is returned to its owners. In the case of a dividend, it's obviously pretty even-handed, in the case of a buyback, it tends to be too, those whole sell into the buyback get paid off, those who don't effectively end up with their shares being worth proportionally more.

      However, you generally want to do one, or the other, not both. Roughly speaking, if the stock is undervalued, you want to do a buyback, if the stock is overvalued, you want to issue a dividend. There's maybe a little adjustment you should do for this because of tax policy. Being unclear about which is better for investors is commonplace and, to be fair, often a compromise that reflects the fact that "overvalued" and "undervalued" are often debatable. So it's not "evil" or even "oh my god stupid", just a little bit meh, IMHO.

    86. Re:Context? by Joe+Decker · · Score: 4, Informative

      By itself it is (here) a small concentration of power, roughly speaking offset in Apple's plan by the deconcentration of power that happens when they issue new shares of stock for stock option grants and so on. No big deal.

      Another way of thinking about it is that there's a lot of money sitting around that isn't actually doing much for it's share owners. It's making maybe a couple percent in government bonds. By returning some of the "wealth of the company" to owners, it allows those owners to decide how they want that additional money invested. If Apple could make a new product that cost $50B to make and returned a good profit on that, it'd be much better for investors if they didn't issue a buyback. But it doesn't do anyone much good for a cash pile that big to just sit around in low-yielding bonds, unless it can eventually be put to work.

    87. Re:Context? by s122604 · · Score: 5, Informative

      In theory the stock buyback would do nothing to the value of shares. The remaining shares would own a bigger part of the company, but this company is ten billion dollars less valuable.

      yah, um, well sorta...
      You are distributing some of your cash pile, but it's cash you aren't using. Buying back shares, means you are reducing the float, which means earnings per share goes up, which makes the P/E multiple go down (and Apple's PE multiple is fairly modest to start)..
      These are all good things.
      The dividend isn't much, but it does help to draw in dividend-ased mutual fund managers who, by their fund's charter, have to invest in stocks that pay dividend. Also IRA, and Roth based investors will often automatically reinvest the dividend, essentially doing a "buyback" for you..

      One other thing to note is that, the plan anounced today is still modest. Even if apple only manages to grow 1/3rd the rate analysts predic, their cash pile will still grow, albeit at a much more moderate pace.

    88. Re:Context? by tompatman · · Score: 1

      I'm amazed how many people on this thread miss the point of the dividend. Apple is looking for new investors and right now many mutual funds can't own apple because they have a policy of owning only dividend yielding stocks. By paying a dividend, those funds can start buying.

    89. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They should at least buy the MPAA and RIAA and dissolve them!

    90. Re:Context? by coinreturn · · Score: 3, Informative

      Apple is one of the small handfuls of companies that has never had a stock split...

      Wow, do some research before you post - AAPL has split 2-1 on three separate occasions.

    91. Re:Context? by Bogtha · · Score: 5, Insightful

      when the iPhone4S eventually came, it came late and was a major disappointment

      Er, no. Firstly, it wasn't late. Apple don't announce far-off release dates for the iPhone. People speculated that Apple would release June-July time, but that speculation was wrong. That's not the same thing as "it came late".

      Secondly, it wasn't a disappointment. They are selling them as fast as they can make them. The trouble is that supposed "analysts" were trumpeting the iPhone 5 that could grant wishes and came with a free unicorn. Those analysts had to turn around and call it a disappointment to avoid saving face. It happens for every Apple product launch. They sold 4 million in their first three days on sale. In what world is that a disappointment?

      Similarly, iOS 5 brought nothing new to the table, and contained mostly updates that simply copied long held Android features.

      iOS 5 had Newsstand, which gets Apple a piece of the magazine industry, iCloud, which nets them subscription fees and improves apps across the board, and it can now be used without any computer at all, which appeals to the people who want a phone but don't care about computers. I have an Android phone, and that's not true for any of it (it's supposed to be usable without a computer, but after about six months, an update arrived that could only be installed through Windows).

      Many fanboys will tell you it's different, many will tell you that I'm wrong to suggest Apple product X wasn't lacklustre as I've claimed - that's fine, but I'm merely talking from a point of view of the markets

      The market has spoken and the market adores the iPhone 4S. Sales are fantastic and share price is steadily rising. You don't have to be a fanboy to see that.

      --
      Bogtha Bogtha Bogtha
    92. Re:Context? by fast+turtle · · Score: 2, Informative

      There's an actually simpler reason and it's based upon both the law and Generally Accepted Accounting Principles. The first element is Retained Earnings. The IRS generally allows a maximum of 20 percent retained earnings and it's also codified into the GAAP rules (CPA's follow them). What this means is that about 80 percent of the cash Apple has on hand can be seized as a Tax, which gets the board sued, maybe they end up paying part of that out of their pockets and fired for failing their fidicuary responsibility. How does a company avoid this issue. They either pay a dividend to shareholders (declared is no longer retained earnings) or as buy back their stock, which reduces the cash on hand and as Apple has stated, they'll be doing both.

      What I suspect has happened, is that the IRS basically told Apple the same thing they did MS. Either start paying out a dividend or you will loose 70-80 percent of that money as a special tax and now that Jobs is gone, the RDF is fading, thus Apple has to do something or loose the cash.

      There are a few accepted exceptions to this 80 percent rule and they are as I stated, declared dividends, open negotiations with funds designated (those investments/purchases Apple made) and many others that I don't know of.

      One thing that Apple could be planning is buying back enough stock to delist the company. In other words, they could take it private, which changes the retained earnings rule quite a bit. A good example of this is the Bershire Hathaway Stock. Highly valued but not publically traded nor is the company a public company. Google it.

      --
      Mod me up/Mod me down: I wont frown as I've no crown
    93. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The shareholders trusted Jobs. I doubt they have the same trust for Cook.

    94. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      AAPL Market Cap = $556b revenue: ~110b
      Walmart Market cap = $208b revenue: ~447b
      Exxon market Cap = $410b revenue: ~433b

      The real question to a company the size of apple is where and how do they achieve future growth, and what risks are associated with this growth. Yes the ipad, ipod, iphone, etc.. have been wildly popular and profitable. However, the value of a company is by definition the present value of all future cash flows. This begets the question, "can apple continue to generate $110billion in revenue with near 25% net margins for the next 5, 10 years? Can they continue to grow at greater than 10% / year at this rate, putting them at 200billion in revenue by 2019?" If they can't, or if you think there is risk they won't be able to, then the valuation is high.

      As for the buyback, given the risks and current valuation, would you the shareholder rather receive cash, which you can reinvest as you see fit, or would you prefer management buy more of apple's stock at current values? It is the shareholder's money after all.

      Growth gets much harder to achieve the bigger you get. Also as the products mature, margins will likely compress. Tree's can't grow to the sky, just as companies can't become 100% of global GDP.

    95. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Apple is selling based on the current impression that they are a luxury item. They sold that image heavily in the past, but now it's hard to argue that they are a specialty market tailored to those that, "Think Different." What the parent above mentioned about Apple being out of ideas is accurate. Their products have quickly become derivative instead of driving.

      There is a cultural inertia to Apple's sales. It's a status item and will continue to be for the near term. However, the technology market moves quickly and no matter how good the horse and buggy is eventually someone just wants an automobile. And even if that's a bit of hyperbole consider that Apple will not be able to hold onto its profit margins in the face of competitors that frankly do make a comparable product. The competition will bring down prices enough over time that even the cult-of-Apple won't be enough to maintain sales.

      The long term outlook for Apple is that they will be a major, major corporation but will not bring in the revenue they have had in the last few years. Apple really hit the markets at the right times for their last few products and it paid off immensely, but it was a fluke of genius and timing that will be nearly impossible to repeat. Eventually, cultural awareness that Apple is not a luxury item (lack of exclusivity) will erode their brand image. Steve Jobs was immensely talented at polishing Apple's image and going forward without him, without innovation, and with tons of competition spells stock price peaking.

    96. Re:Context? by dionye · · Score: 0

      oh the wonder of "market reality". I am sure before the housing crash in the states, everyone was saying the same thing when the few people who point out that the subprime load market was doom.

      what AC said are all valid point. step back and ask yourself as a geek, is what apple selling really that much better than all the android model out there? why is it selling 10, 100X better? because it is cool to have a i-device. but something can only stay cool for so long. when people finally wake up to that reality, the party is over. it might not happen this year, but if apple don't pull another rabbit out, it will be exactly as AC said. apple stock will drop and stablize at much lower than current price.

    97. Re:Context? by Oceanplexian · · Score: 1
      Wow, there are a lot of points here that don't really hold up.

      They started off by starting to sue serious competition like crazy

      This I can agree with. Apple has gone off the deep end suing competitors. At the same time, you can't ignore the fact that Google ripped off Apple at early stages in the game (http://www.technobuffalo.com/companies/google/android/android-before-and-after-the-iphone/), and the new Samsung devices has an uncanny similarity to the iPad.

      companies that were pushing out devices that were a genuine threat to their sales

      None of these devices are a threat to Apple's sales. iPads are outselling every other device 8-to-1. The constant barrage of marketing and advertisements from their competitors doesn't seem to be having any effect.

      this is really the point at which it seems clear Apple has accepted that it's hit or nearing it's peak based on innovative product based growth

      This is really unbelievable. Do you really think Apple has to create a new type of iDevice every year? Did you follow Apple through the mid-00s? Apple has gone years without releasing new product categories and just updated existing ones until they were polished. The iDevices were a continuous work in progress. I'm sure plenty of the ideas in the pipeline were just physically impossible because the technology didn't exist at the time of creation (Retina Display, "every-band" radios, Siri). Even more importantly, the fact that Apple is still polishing their product, still releasing software updates for old devices, and is now focusing on financial stability instead of the latest pump-and-dump scheme, makes me appreciate them more as a company. If you've followed Apple throughout their history, this is nothing new and they have always operated this way.

    98. Re:Context? by timeOday · · Score: 1

      There are some medium-long term downsides to this, should Apple fall hard in the long term

      I suppose that's a downside for the job security of Apple employees. But really, a company shouldn't have a safety net THAT big. If you've lost money for, say, 7 years in a row, whatever you once were doesn't mean anything anymore and your chances of coming back are little better than an upstart with the same venture capital, and maybe less. I think it's a pity that a fad company, like Crocs (those 1-piece moulded shoes) can't just have a few great years, then distribute their windfall back to investors and call it a day. Instead companies cling to "life" as long as possible, until they've burned through all the profit they ever accumulated and then go into debt. What's the point of that?

    99. Re:Context? by Caerdwyn · · Score: 1

      At Sprint's current valuation, Apple could buy Sprint with petty cash. Hell, they could buy a majority of Google's publicly traded shares. The entire reason Apple is sitting on a mountain of cash is that they're smart enough to not get into low-margin businesses with limited growth opportunities. Phone carriers are consolidating, not diversifying. Also, if Apple were to compete directly with AT&T and Verizon, they'd drop the iPhone in an instant. As it is, the carriers fork over a ton of cash to Apple for the privilege of being able to resell the iPhone (and in the process the carriers make a lot of money too), and Apple happily sells to everyone.

      Why in the world would Apple WANT to get into the carrier business? Whatever else can be said (fairly or falsely) about Apple, "stupid" is nowhere on the list.

      --
      Everybody gets what the majority deserves.
    100. Re:Context? by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      > That's REFINEMENT, big difference.

      Nonsense. Even the original Latin root innovare means to change or renew.

    101. Re:Context? by tomhath · · Score: 1

      Stock buybacks give the remaining stockholders a proportionately larger stake (because there are fewer outstanding shares) in a company that's worth relatively less (because the cash they had before was spent retiring their own stock), so it should be a wash. But it also sends a signal to investors that company management thinks the stock is a good deal at it's current price.

      Paying dividends will entice investors who want income. It doesn't matter to investors who buy the stock hoping the price will go up. Although it also sends a signal that management thinks the extra cash won't be needed in the future.

    102. Re:Context? by tibit · · Score: 2

      Walmart may have a market cap of 50% yearly revenue because they have razor-thin margins when you compare them with Apple. They have got much less of a cushion should things turn bad, compared to Apple.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    103. Re:Context? by HnT · · Score: 1

      It also is a little disapointing as Apple could start a 4G network to compete with the big boys, use the money for more R&D, or pay their Foxconn employers more and educate them to work for Apple China through scholarships. But Apple did not want to take that risk.

      For me it makes sense they didn't - they are sort of a "supplier" for Big Telco and Big Telco wouldn't be too friendly when their "supplier" suddenly competes in their market. Also, they have no reason to pay Foxconn more, they have said it countless times they are an international company and thus not a charity. Also, "working for Apple China" is probably impossible since Foxconn also manufactures for a lot of other smartphone, tablet and other electronics companies. Apple doesn't really own any factories there nor should they - foxconn obviously does great leveraging the same production lines for Samsung, htc and others. This is microchips, not heavy industry where one tiny screw might require a readjustment of the whole assembly line.

      --
      "Only one thing is impossible for God: To find any sense in any copyright law on the planet." - Mark Twain
    104. Re:Context? by mattack2 · · Score: 1

      Are there instances of this "retained earnings special tax" having been imposed upon companies we've heard about? (I tried googling, but found mostly definitions of the term on various sites.)

    105. Re:Context? by mattack2 · · Score: 3, Informative

      A good example of this is the Bershire Hathaway Stock. Highly valued but not publically traded nor is the company a public company. Google it.

      Wait, WHAT?

      BRK-A and BRK-B are two different classes of Berkshire Hathaway shares, traded publicly on the NYSE.

    106. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'll save you some googling. Apple would not take itself private. That doesn't make sense. You sound confused because Berkshire Hathaway is definitely a public company. Trades under A shares and B shares, BRKA and BRKB.

    107. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Its funny how stocks began as a way to share in the profits of a company but it has become so perverted that actually paying out reasonable dividends would lower the value of the stock. What is the point of owning stock? We are so far from reason.

    108. Re:Context? by Uberbah · · Score: 2

      Apple is selling based on the current impression that they are a luxury item. They sold that image heavily in the past, but now it's hard to argue that they are a specialty market tailored to those that, "Think Different." What the parent above mentioned about Apple being out of ideas is accurate. Their products have quickly become derivative instead of driving.

      Word salad - look at Apple's competitors in the smartphone market and they charge the same kinds of prices that Apple does. And remember when the iPad 2 came out and was actually cheaper than the competition.

    109. Re:Context? by steelfood · · Score: 2

      Interesting thing is, this is where the "mythical man-month" concept applies. If they threw all $100B around for future investments, it doesn't mean they'll get anywhere close to 10x the amount of returns as if they only spent $10B.

      So in effect, they really do have more money than they can spend.

      --
      "If a nation expects to be ignorant and free in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be."
    110. Re:Context? by gorzek · · Score: 1, Insightful

      As much as we might like to reduce economics to pure science, it doesn't work that way. It's driven just as much by emotion as it is cold, hard numbers. How else do you think things like the dotcom and housing bubbles occurred? People were investing on advice as simplistic as, "Hey, you heard about this Internet thing? Better get on board or you'll miss out on millions!"

      The same applies just as much to public companies. It's not as if most stockholders have any idea what's going on at Apple from a day-to-day basis. Investor decisions are made based on gut feelings and educated guesses, or they're made with the benefit hindsight, but never with perfect information.

      After all, if we had perfect information about the economy in real-time, all the time, there'd be no reason to let humans do the investing at all. Just assign computers to parse that information and make all the decisions, since the information is perfect (and we are assuming, of course, that it is true information.)

    111. Re:Context? by matunos · · Score: 1

      The most likely result will be to counteract the dilution of shares due to conversion of employee stock options.

    112. Re:Context? by gorzek · · Score: 1

      So, what, once someone invented the wheel, there was no way to innovate on that? Finding ways to use two or four wheels together wasn't innovation?

      Taking an existing idea and making it better is innovation. You're confusing innovation to mean only "invention," which is inaccurate. All inventions are innovations, but not all innovations are inventions. (Cue someone coming by to tell me that many inventions which receive patents aren't innovations at all. Yeah, yeah, I get it. But if you accept something to be an invention, then it is also an innovation. However, something need not be a new invention in order to be innovative. That's the only point I am going for here.)

    113. Re:Context? by KZigurs · · Score: 1

      Uhm? Are you under any illusion that wall street ISN'T based on weird financial voodoo?

      But seriously - yes, the people that work in WallSt are brilliant, no questions asked. Alas they are still just human. And yes, 99% of the market is smoke and mirrors. Weird financial confidence trickster voodoo.

    114. Re:Context? by mattack2 · · Score: 1

      Since Apple has a history of not paying dividends

      Apple has a *RECENT* history of not paying dividends.

      http://investor.apple.com/dividends.cfm

    115. Re:Context? by squidflakes · · Score: 1

      Yeah, my bad. The most recent one was in 2005, right smack in the middle of the years I worked in finance, and boy do I feel like a complete dumbass.

    116. Re:Context? by KZigurs · · Score: 1

      Given the fact that fair few of my friends with fairly interesting insights and connections are talking about impeding repeat of 2008, just on a larger scale, I wouldn't be surprised if it turns out that apple reinvests fair few bn into something tangible soon. New headquarters in 20 capital cities across the world, in example.

    117. Re:Context? by mehtars · · Score: 1
      One big thing is taxes:

      share buy backs would not incur a double taxation that a dividend might.

    118. Re:Context? by mehtars · · Score: 1
      Foxconn makes terrible margins on their product. (10-14 %)

      Why on earth does it make sense to buy foxconn? Foxconn does not have anything proprietary that a dozen other assembly mfg companies in China can do.

    119. Re:Context? by quacking+duck · · Score: 1

      Wikipedia starts its page on innovation with this: "Innovation is the creation of better or more effective products, processes, services, technologies, or ideas that are accepted by markets, governments, and society. Innovation differs from invention in that innovation refers to the use of a new idea or method, whereas invention refers more directly to the creation of the idea or method itself."

      Has Apple invented anything recently? Not really--or if they have, it's behind the scenes and not a distinct product.

      But "Doing X better" where "better" translates to better acceptance by the market (not necessarily you individually), definitely meet this definition of innovation.

      This includes simplifying things for normal users, the same way an automatic transmission is an innovation over manual. Heck, it's a great car analogy: Apple walls off iOS, automatic transmission walls off the driver from everything above gear 2 ("takes away user's freedoms!"), and adds to the cost of a new car.

    120. Re:Context? by KZigurs · · Score: 1

      You couldn't be more wrong. The trick is that Apple has managed to do that elusive trick that everybody has been chasing (and mainframe manufacturers in the 80/90's were so much enjoying) and have built up an ecosystem. Working, lucrative ecosystem where money flows.

      In the retail market, apart from Amazon, nobody else has managed to even get close. Apple focus these days isn't on products (although feck me - they still manage quite all right and iPad 3* is actually quite impressive), it's on maintaining healthy ecosystem. It's not quite as easy as just releasing a new iThing every few months. And they get all the volume discounts giving us better hardware for less money (once subsidies are taken into account).

      *I'm not an apple fanboy. My primary phone is Samsung Galaxy SII, my Macbook Air 11" has Windows partition and I have an android tablet on my desk.

    121. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have two Finance degrees and close to a Master's.
      So in other words, what you're about to tell us is at least 60-70% BS.

      2) Investors will look at this as a signal that the company is bullish on its future, and you will see a disproportionate rise in the stock.

      Essentially, Apple is saying "our shares are undervalued". They have more information than the general public (hence the inefficient market comment). Apple says it is willing to buy at this low price, so th market says "time to buy".

      Yup. That's a bit more than half that's pure bullshit. Apple has some different motives, and the market isn't just inefficient, it's irrational and crazy. Trying to predict what will happen by assuming rational well thought out behaviour is bound to fail.

    122. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the posts in this article reflect how the 99% do their financial analysis then it's clear I'll always be rich and you'll always be poor.

    123. Re:Context? by narcc · · Score: 1

      i have a lot of apple products at home, but what innovation?

      I haven't puzzled that one out yet either.

      nice laptops, check. they have been around for years

      If you didn't mind using an obscure OS with few apps than a WebOS smartphone :)

      MP3 player? did it better than others

      Except for all the other, better, products on the market at the time. See Taco's infamous description from a zillion years ago. That, and the need-to-have-or-no-one-will-know-how-cool-you-are white ear-buds were total garbage. Really, they were awful.

      smart phone, apple just made it better

      Unless you wanted or needed to do things like copy/paste or multitask (like the standard BB at the time) or send MMS like just about every dumbphone of the time, or didn't need to type much, or or or ... The only thing it did really well was web browsing -- nice, but for PIM, messaging, and voice, it was total shit (terrible battery life in that first version as well). You couldn't even install apps on it like just about every other phone, smart or dumb. I'm really struggling to see how they "made it better". All things considered, it hardly qualified as a smartphone and feature-wise was second-rate compared to the average dumbphone.

      tablet, apple made it better as well.

      This is highly debatable, as we've seen in countless discussions elsewhere. If you want to see innovation in the tablet and smartphone market, take a look at WebOS and RIMs tablet -- both are way ahead of the curve in terms of UI.

      TV? rumor is apple is going to make it better later this year

      Better how? Apple is going to make a product, sure. But the Apple logo doesn't make it automatically better than existing products.

    124. Re:Context? by narcc · · Score: 1

      Look at the MP3 players before the iPod came out. They largely all sucked. They had capacities which were measured in MBs, they sounded horrible, and they were difficult to load up and use.

      You fail history forever.

    125. Re:Context? by ejasons · · Score: 1

      What worth 100B dollars could Apple buy that they also could have a good fit with?

      They could fund the war(s) in the middle east for less than a year. (Just to add some perspective...)

    126. Re:Context? by macslut · · Score: 2

      For the informed: maybe the shares are CHEAP compared to what they will be in the future. Really, given the growth rate of Apple, I don't see how the shares could come back down any time soon, unless there's some major end-of-world-like catastrophe.

      "My best estimate is that Apple shares should be priced around $130-$150/share"

      What the hell is your estimate based on? The P/E ratio is already about average for the market if going by TTM (trailing 12 months), which is flawed since Apple's business has been doubling every year. Still, be conservative and go by TTM and Apple is right where it should be.

      Your estimate of $130 a share, even with a conservative TTM approach, gives it a P/E ratio of 3.5! It gives it a market cap of $117 Billion, which is just about what their cash on hand will be at the end of next quarter.

      Forgetting the cash on hand, you're still estimating Apple's market value to be *less* than the projected revenue for the year...not smart for a company with a profit margin that's over 25%.

      "If I had the cash to short Apple stock over the long term, I would do that."

      I wonder why you don't have the cash. /s

      Look, we get it, you're an anti-apple fanboy, but you're better off sticking to the one-button mice comments.

    127. Re:Context? by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      Typically share buy-backs are the means by which option holding executives and inside traders dump their stock without deflating the stock price. All those insider trades of stock are directly aligned with the share buy backs, to hide stock that is actually losing value.

      We're talking typical corporate psychopath inc here, where corporations are run to empower and enrich it's executives and screw the workers, customers and especially the investors (they are the juiciest targets having lot's of money to target).

      For me share buy backs always meant one thing. Corporate executives who had lucked out and achieved success more by guesswork than effort and having no real idea where to go from here, other than cashing in their stock options for maximum return before it all goes sour. Dividends of course are normally demanded by suspicious institutional investors demanding to see some real returns on their long term investments.

      Stock buy-backs keep everything looking pretty and shiny, until the day after stock price collapse and everyone wandering WTF happened.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    128. Re:Context? by macslut · · Score: 1

      "iPhone 4S, iOS 5, iPad 2...nothing new...out of ideas"

      I'm guessing whenever any new Apple product comes out, you comment, "it's not good enough and far behind the competition". The product takes off and then when the new version of the product comes out you say, "it's a disappointing update, nothing new". All the while you talk about "lack of real innovation". Meanwhile from the iPod to the iPad, we've seen overwhelming success after success, including not only new products, but updates to products as well.

      Don't expect 5 years from now that the iPad is going to be significantly different from the original iPad...thin, display, touch, about 10", glass, etc... There's only so much you can, or more importantly *should*, do with that. However, do expect it to be selling well, and to be getting very high marks in customer satisfaction.

    129. Re:Context? by Billly+Gates · · Score: 1

      Yeah and I would take a modern high quality car than a Model T or one of the terrible Yugo's of the past.

      Yes it is only a a refinement, but to me it is innovation and why Ford, Honda, and Hyundai are still in business while Yugo is not.

    130. Re:Context? by Anthony+Mouse · · Score: 1

      The problem comes from two places: The first is the tax law. Taxes in the US favor share price appreciation over dividends, because the share price appreciation doesn't get taxed until you sell the shares (and in the meantime you collect interest on the would-be tax dollars), but the dividends get taxed immediately. It's kind of a stupid rule, but the most obvious way to fix it is to stop taxing dividends. That would have the effect of greatly increasing economic efficiency, because all the corporations that currently hoard cash and invest it in stupid nonsense like government bonds (which just encourages Uncle Sam to issue more debt) would instead give it to individual investors, who are more likely to invest in startups and things that actually help the economy. But it would have the consequence of lower taxes on "rich" investors, which is politically unpopular.

      The second problem is created by the first: Because corporations are encouraged not to issue dividends by the tax laws, they can either hoard money or buy back stock, both of which result in a higher share price compared to issuing that amount in dividends. And for most corporations that aren't Apple-sized, hoarding money is in the interests of the corporation's executives, because it reduces stock price volatility (because more of the stock price is the value of its cash reserve, which is independent of the business decisions of the management and the fate of the market the company is in), and because it provides a buffer to stave off bankruptcy during hard economic times or colossal management screw ups, and because it makes the company a less attractive takeover target for larger companies that might come in and replace the management because the buyer would have to pay the value of the cash reserve in addition to the value of the company itself.

      The problem is that any company that isn't in the Fortune 500 then starts accumulating cash which it can't actually issue as dividends at any point thereafter, because doing so would actually reduce (rather than merely fail to increase) the share price, and cause certain types of shareholders (especially employees with stock options) to revolt. So you get companies hoarding cash, which they can't issue as dividends, and which they don't spend, they just buy low-risk investments. It's kind of an economic fail, but again, the only particularly good way to fix it is to stop taxing dividends so that stockholders will actually want companies to pay them, and you immediately run into the "tax cut for the rich" problem.

    131. Re:Context? by ILongForDarkness · · Score: 1

      So sad about 1M per crazy killed.

    132. Re:Context? by nonguru · · Score: 1

      It improves earnings per share as it the company buys share on the market and then cancels them.

    133. Re:Context? by SteeldrivingJon · · Score: 1

      "In theory the stock buyback would do nothing to the value of shares. The remaining shares would own a bigger part of the company, but this company is ten billion dollars less valuable. In an efficient market, this would offset" The stock buyback isn't very big, and will probably just keep the exercise of restricted stock grants (or options, whichever) from diluting the stock much.

      --
      September 2011: Looking for Cocoa/iOS work in Boston area Cocoa Programmer Quincy, MA
    134. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      how about:

      truetype fonts
      magsafe plug
      300 dpi screen for smartphone
      multitouch trackpad
      OS X
      Siri

      "What innovation", lol. They have literally changed the world, and that's why they are sitting on a mountain of cash and you are sitting on your smelly chair in your mom's basement.

    135. Re:Context? by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      It's not clear to me why you think revenue is more important than profit.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    136. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When things get bad WMT outperforms as a result of average consumers being poor. WMT is going down in value as a result of the economic recovery picking up.

    137. Re:Context? by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      The dividend is less than 1/2%. That's less than a typical day's price variation. It simply isn't significant.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    138. Re:Context? by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Apple's trailing PEG is 0.145, which is very low. Normally, a trailing PEG of 1 is considered safe, and by that metric Apple should be priced at 4130 (which I don't think is reasonable.) Your $130-$150 range would give Apple a P/E of about 4 and a P/S of about 1, which are values for stagnant companies. If Apple gives strong signs that its growth had ended and profit margins collapsed, those values would become reasonable, but not now.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    139. Re:Context? by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Another possibility is to split (spin off) part of the company. This probably isn't an option for Apple because it's too homogeneous.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    140. Re:Context? by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      As long as unemployment "insurance" is 99 weeks and the ruler is a vain kleptocrat, new hiring is like slipping a noose around your neck.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    141. Re:Context? by tibit · · Score: 1

      I don't think Walmart's prices are anything special. Several chain grocers near the local Walmart have very similar prices.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    142. Re:Context? by Formalin · · Score: 1

      The company that made Yugos still exists, moreover, they still made the model that was exported to the US until very recently (2009?).

      These days they've switched back to making Fiats under licence, though.

    143. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Any finance experts here? What does this buyback do? It probably makes the remaining shares more valuable, but are there any nasty angles to this?

      It makes the remaining shares more valuable both because the buyback concentrates the value, but also because shares which pay dividens are more attractive to investors. You make money while you hold the shares, you see, instead of hoping for a sudden spike in stock prices right when you need to sell them. It also prevents people from simply dumping the shares when the price suddenly goes up... even if the price goes down you'll still get dividend payouts, so you can be in a situation where the shares are worth less than you paid for them but still end up making money off the deal if you hold onto them.

    144. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The reason for stock buybacks is to 'return value to the investors'. You can do one of two things to return value - increase the share price, or pay dividends. Since Apple has a history of not paying dividends (the current exception seems to be a one-time thing), it is assumed that this action will raise the share price.

      In layman's terms, do you want some of your stock value today, or would you like to wait until you retire and hope that the company's stock value has gone up enough to make you a profit?

      It also makes serious investors a lot less likely to "dump" the stock when it has an unexpectedly good day on Wall Street, since it's more appealing to hold onto the stock and earn dividends than to sell it for a quick profit. It makes the stock more attractive to serious, long-term investors and less attractive to the short-term investors and day-traders. And you want long-term investors, not short term ones, when at all possible.

    145. Re:Context? by Xest · · Score: 1

      "It's hard to argue that the products you named are lackluster if each time they sell better than the previous product."

      To be fair this isn't true, the market is growing, for smartphones and tablets, but Apple's marketshare is declining from their peak. Their smartphone marketshare globally for example is down to about 15% from 20%+, and their tablet marketshare is down to about 60% from 90%+.

      What this means is that whilst yes they're selling more than they did previously, as a proportion of the total market, they're selling a lesser share than the combined total their competitors are selling. A declining marketshare means that as as more people enter the market, and as existing people buy new devices, if a lesser proportion of those people buy Apple, then Apple's products have become less popular.

      This doesn't mean that people view Apple's offerings as lacklustre per-se, there could be other arguments for their decrease in popularity in the growing market - i.e. that late adopters of smartphones/tablets are the sort of people who aren't inclined to buy Apple for whatever reason, but consumer opinion that the newer Apple products are less enticing than previous models were at the time is bound to be at least a factor to some extent.

    146. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hence why he claimed the market to be inefficient

      I think what you are looking for are an efficient market, based only on actual merit at every point of time, something which the market has never been.

    147. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "None of these devices are a threat to Apple's sales. iPads are outselling every other device 8-to-1. The constant barrage of marketing and advertisements from their competitors doesn't seem to be having any effect."

      How is this possible when Apple's tablet marketshare has declined from 90% down to around 55 - 60%?

      "If you've followed Apple throughout their history, this is nothing new and they have always operated this way."

      Yeah, and we know how it ended last time. Unfortunately there'll be no return of Steve Jobs this time.

    148. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My best estimate is that Apple shares should be priced around $130-$150/share, not the idiotic $600 that people have bid it up to. If I had the cash to short Apple stock over the long term, I would do that.

      Wow, another day, another anonymous coward on Slashdot telling us Apple is about to crash. Ok, maybe THIS will be the time it happens. Oh, and then 2012 can be year of Linux on the desktop.

    149. Re:Context? by Kelbear · · Score: 1

      http://www.cbiz.com/page.asp?pid=8438

      To clarify GP's post, It's not actually based on GAAP, but on a tax basis. Companies track both GAAP and tax basis accounting. GAAP is for for financial presentation (they must be kept consistent with everyone else's financial presentation, i.e generally accepted accounting principles), and 1 book for tax purposes (kept consistent with U.S tax treatments). However, with regard to the calculation of accumulated earnings vs. retained earnings, they are nearly the same thing.

      The law he's referring to is detailed in the link above. You can simply google for more authoritative literature, but I'm linking this article because the authoritative literative is gobbledy-gook unless you have time to digest it. This article explains it in layman's terms.

      The tax on accumulated earnings on C-Corp is to avoid having them being used as a means of deferring income tax for their owners. But since companies may need to build up cash for big undertaking, there is an exception: Most companies dodge the accumulated earnings by demonstrating to the IRS that they have a plan for how they will use all that cash buildup to grow their business. Slashdot has discussed this subject many times since the death of Steve Jobs, "Where do they go from here?". They are conceding that they can't think of any new projects that would require so much cash, so they are releasing some.

      IAACPA

    150. Re:Context? by MisterSquid · · Score: 1

      Given that Apple labored for the better part of the decade under the "beleaguered" banner all the while operating well outside industry norms, I doubt Apple would care what anyone says about them, let alone make business decisions based on what others say.

      --
      blog
    151. Re:Context? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It shouldn't affect the price of the shares at all, in theory. For Example, if a company is worth $100 billion and they have 1 billion shares, then each share is (in theory) worth $100. Buying back $10 billion worth of the shares is 1/10 of the shares, so after the buy back the copmany will be worth $90 billion and there will be 900 million shares, (I'm using short scale billions, 1,000 million to be equal to a billion. Can never remember which countries use long and short scale) all still worth $100.

      The giving of dividends however also affect the stock price, so if they give $2.50 per share in dividends, and there are 900 million shares, they will give to their stockholders $2.25 billion, and the company will go from being worth $90 billion to $87.75 billion. So the share price will also drop to $97.50 a share.

      Of course, during the six months between dividend payments the company will hopefully be making money. So hopefully maybe it it will be worth $95 billion by the time the dividend payment comes up and the shre price will be at $105.55 a share before the payment. Then the company pays the dividend and will drop to being worth $92.75 billion and the share price will be $103.50.

  3. The beginning of the end by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    That's how decline starts.

    1. Re:The beginning of the end by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, IBM is totally fucked! Oh wait, no they aren't.

  4. Lawsuits by Nerdfest · · Score: 2, Funny

    "We have used some of our cash to make great investments in our business through increased research and development, acquisitions, new retail store openings, strategic prepayments and capital expenditures in our supply chain, and building out our infrastructure,"

     
    Hmmmm ... strange there's no mention of their legal department. They seem to be investing more there than in research and development.

    1. Re:Lawsuits by jesseck · · Score: 1

      increased research and development, acquisitions

      That's your legal department- patents, copyrights, and buyouts. Of course, this also goes hand-in-hand with some real innovation, products, and legal involvement is standard with acquisitions.

    2. Re:Lawsuits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You missed the following quote:

      Even with these investments, we can maintain a war chest for strategic opportunities and have plenty of cash to run our business.

      In business speak, you don't use the term "war chest" unless you're talking about lawsuits, either going on the attack or defense.

    3. Re:Lawsuits by rwise2112 · · Score: 3, Funny

      you don't use the term "war chest" unless you're talking about lawsuits, either going on the attack or defense.

      Or actual war. Maybe the iTroopers will march on Google.

      --

      "For every expert, there is an equal and opposite expert"
    4. Re:Lawsuits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Its ok, as they'll only be half as effective but cost twice as much.

    5. Re:Lawsuits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      In business speak, you don't use the term "war chest" unless you're talking about lawsuits, either going on the attack or defense.

      That's interesting, mostly because you're completely stupid.

      In business a war chest, or cash mountain is a stash of money set aside to deal with unexpected changes in the business environment, or to use when expansion possibilities arise. The term originates with the medieval practice of having a chest, literally, filled with money to open in time of war.
      Today companies can use accumulated cash or rely on quickly raised debt which costs less to carry when you don't need it. This is not always a reasonable substitute, as the debt available to a company typically drops as a result of the same actions that require the war chest to be opened.

      A "war chest" is a reserve of funds in case you need it - for acquisitions, research, or anything else. Of course, it sounds better to call it a "war chest" than "Tim Cook's special rainy day piggy bank."

      Jesus fucking christ, you people will look for any excuse to paint Apple as nothing but a patent troll. Look at their products, and you can see that's clearly not the case, but then, nobody ever accused the fandroids of having an excess of common sense.

    6. Re:Lawsuits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      And Apple doesn't really have R&D. They just have D.

    7. Re:Lawsuits by RyuuzakiTetsuya · · Score: 1

      Something that steve jobs learned early in his life. you can't march on *anything* in Birkenstocks.

      --
      Non impediti ratione cogitationus.
    8. Re:Lawsuits by L3370 · · Score: 1

      The term "war chest" also relates to funds that can be used on company acquisitions.

    9. Re:Lawsuits by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      That would look strange, a bunch of hippies doing good looking kung fu moves on one side, and a bunch of technocrats throwing everything, and the kitchen sink out of their fortress.

  5. Probably won't affect cash position by busyqth · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It looks like this will cost Apple about $10 Billion a year, but their cash position has been growing faster than that recently. So, I'm guessing all it will do is slow down the rate of growth of their cash.

    1. Re:Probably won't affect cash position by Space+cowboy · · Score: 3, Informative

      Its actually slightly higher than that - they're forecasting $45B over 3 years, but your point stands.

      Simon

      --
      Physicists get Hadrons!
    2. Re:Probably won't affect cash position by avandesande · · Score: 1

      Ipad sales were horrible over the weekend and the stock buyback is done to preserve the stock options of the board of directors when the stock crashes.

      --
      love is just extroverted narcissism
    3. Re:Probably won't affect cash position by Space+cowboy · · Score: 1

      If you listened to the actual recording of the conversation, you'd hear someone (can't remember who) ask how iPad sales went. Tim Cook said he wasn't going to talk much about it on this conference call, but that Apple had a record opening weekend of iPad sales.

      So, I don't think they were horrible...

      Simon

      --
      Physicists get Hadrons!
    4. Re:Probably won't affect cash position by Kenja · · Score: 1

      Depends. Now that they're actually paying their investors back they should see an increase in their stock price.

      --

      "Have you ever thought about just turning off the TV, sitting down with your kids, and hitting them?"
    5. Re:Probably won't affect cash position by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How is the flying pig project coming along?

    6. Re:Probably won't affect cash position by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As it turns out, a sufficient thrust to weight ratio is surprisingly easy to achieve with off-the-shelf components and software. We're in the process of closing a deal for a significant batch of USAF surplus RATO systems and JDAM sets.

      Integrating a whole-airframe parachute is planned for the next iteration.

    7. Re:Probably won't affect cash position by avandesande · · Score: 1

      No lines, plenty of stock are what I am hearing.

      --
      love is just extroverted narcissism
    8. Re:Probably won't affect cash position by mrxak · · Score: 1

      Apple said they were going to do their fastest rollout ever, so that has to be taken into account.

      Also, looking at ship times right now, 2-3 weeks just to get one built for you. That doesn't sound like plenty of stock to me.

    9. Re:Probably won't affect cash position by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No Lines

      http://www.buffalonews.com/business/article766339.ece
      http://www.latimes.com/business/technology/la-fi-tn-apple-new-ipad-launch-roundup-20120316,0,7085737.story
      http://content.usatoday.com/communities/technologylive/post/2012/03/the-new-ipad-crowds-hit-stores-for-launch/1#.T2dhiXhLcUU

    10. Re:Probably won't affect cash position by Jeremy+Erwin · · Score: 1

      No lines for me. I bought mine fairly late in the afternoon, too.

    11. Re:Probably won't affect cash position by KZigurs · · Score: 1

      pre or post buyback?

    12. Re:Probably won't affect cash position by KZigurs · · Score: 1

      And four latest iPads in my sight when coming into office on Monday. They used to be rare, but somehow I suspect that real physical sales work better than supply chain choke.

    13. Re:Probably won't affect cash position by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      http://arstechnica.com/apple/news/2012/03/apple-moves-3-million-ipad-3s-over-launch-weekend.ars

    14. Re:Probably won't affect cash position by thetoadwarrior · · Score: 1

      We'll have to wait and see but it is a fairly minor upgrade even if the screen is very nice. I suspect it's selling well but it's not a revolutionary leap in technology so I wouldn't expect everyone to all of the sudden decide their ipad2 is shit and replace it.

    15. Re:Probably won't affect cash position by quacking+duck · · Score: 1

      Your post was obviously before the Apple's late-afternoon announcement, but they said they sold 3 million iPads over 3 days, including online pre-orders that were delivered Friday. It's not clear if this includes non-Apple retail stores.

      Plenty of stock means they were anticipating *more* retail sales, so it's true that they over-estimated initial demand. Hurts their mystique a little, we'll see how the markets react tomorrow.

  6. No toys? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What, no DARPA-inspired cheetah bots and fleets of quadracopter-based Manhacks to hunt down Mike Daisey? Boring....

  7. I seem to remember by squidflakes · · Score: 5, Funny

    Didn't Steve Jobs say something like "Apple will only pay dividends over my dead body."

    Too soon?

    1. Re:I seem to remember by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      And the joke sails right over your head.

    2. Re:I seem to remember by Muramas95 · · Score: 2

      not soon enough

  8. They've got it backwards by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 2

    The fundamental principle behind stocks is to buy low, and sell high. Not the other way around.

    1. Re:They've got it backwards by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      not if they think the price will go higher. in which case today's price IS low.

    2. Re:They've got it backwards by Billly+Gates · · Score: 1

      Keep in mind Apple has buyout programs for its CEO and other employees that are long term oriented.

      They will dillute the value of the shares. This is only a small payout and will keep the price high so the employees can earn their hard owned money without tanking the stock. It is commendable for them to do this as many 401ks are tied to their employees. Many CEO's payshit, but promise a nice stock buyback and 401k for their hard work, then turn around and dillute the shares and steal from their own employees when it goes public and the CEO buys a nice Porshe and a yatch.

      Look up Zanga? What assholes, I would quit in discuss. As greedy as Apple is at least they respect their employees more and of course this investors do not want to loose their precious share price when employees start dilluting and cashing out shares.

    3. Re:They've got it backwards by Sir_Sri · · Score: 4, Interesting

      You're thinking like a poor person. When you're rich, you buy at whatever price, but you buy enough to drive the price up even more, usually with someone else's money first, and then you sell.

      In the case of Apple and their 100 billion dollar cash on hand, they're pretty much right in principle on this though. 100 billion dollars cash on hand isn't giving enough ROI, and people can make better use of that money themselves than Apple can, if apple could use 100 billion dollars for something it wouldn't have it lying around collecting interest on overnight bonds and crap like that.

      The stock buyback is pretty normal, use some of the corporate cash to drive up the paper value of the company, thereby enriching shareholders without them having to pay tax. Paying a dividend of 1.7% of the value of the stock seems like they're trying to ease into this.

    4. Re:They've got it backwards by Anrego · · Score: 2

      The stock market stopped making sense a long time ago.

      It now operates in a seperate reality. The reality is completely ass-backwards, but everyone has agreed to work within it in the hopes that it favors them.

    5. Re:They've got it backwards by necro81 · · Score: 1

      One philosophy of stock buybacks is for a company to execute it when it feels that it is undervalued (i.e., still buying low, compared to a future high). It is not unreasonable to think that Apple still has room to grow.

    6. Re:They've got it backwards by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The fundamental principle behind stocks is to buy low, and sell high. Not the other way around.

      You forgot about HOLD! buy/sell/HOLD
      You're HOLDING it wrong!!!

    7. Re:They've got it backwards by KZigurs · · Score: 2

      You are drunk.

      And since I am drunk and I'm noticing this - you probably are really drunk. Have some water, this should help with dehydration tomorrow.

  9. When I was a boy... by blind+biker · · Score: 4, Insightful

    When I was a boy of 11 or 12 years of age, I asked about how publicly traded companies and shares work. I was told that you own piece of a company through the shares, and so you receive a share of the profits, as well.

    Somehow, this basic concept got completely wiped out by most hi-tech companies since then. So much so, in fact, that when Nokia or Apple does this payments, people are a bit puzzled.

    --
    "The agriculture ministry is not in charge of Gundam" - Japanese ministry official.
    1. Re:When I was a boy... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      I'd say you got a very basic breakdown of how stocks work when you are a young boy. Dividends aren't always a part of the package, and that was the case way back in the olden days before tech companies too. I'd venture to say that most people gain cash on their stocks by selling them or borrowing against their "worth" in their portfolio. Dividends are nice, but don't typically pay for yachts and East Side apartments.

    2. Re:When I was a boy... by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      When I was a boy of 11 or 12 years of age, I asked about how publicly traded companies and shares work. I was told that you own piece of a company through the shares, and so you receive a share of the profits, as well.

      Somehow, this basic concept got completely wiped out by most hi-tech companies since then.

      That's not a "basic concept", its a misrepresentation that probably was intended as a lie-told-to-children but which failed in its own basic purpose.

    3. Re:When I was a boy... by busyqth · · Score: 2

      There is no difference in this regard between big business and small business. If you are the sole owner of a small business, then every year you have a choice of whether to reinvest all of your profits in the business or take some out for your personal use. Either can be a valid choice depending on the circumstances.

    4. Re:When I was a boy... by vlm · · Score: 2

      Somehow, this basic concept got completely wiped out by ...

      ... socially engineered tax laws.

      If a company book value is $10 I wanna decide when to pay taxes on that $10, not have them decide to dole out $1/year of taxable income or whatever. The difference in marginal tax rate can be very high in the US, a substantial amount of lost money. I'd be pissed if I was near retirement age and owned APPL because I'd lose "lots" of money to taxes.

      If we were a little less central govt controlled, and there were no tax implications, I'd STILL argue that if I bought a billionth of APPL then the intelligent thing is for them not to waste time and money shuffling paper to pay a dividend and instead let me cash in my billionth when I want to. To some extent wanting commission-free dividend payout checks is old world thinking, like from the 70s when sales-commissions were triple digit fees... In the modern era commissions are low enough to not matter as much anymore.

      I do own enough electric company stock to nearly pay my electric bill using the dividends... Yes that IS a lot of dough tied up in utility stock, like about a car's worth of stock... Its kind of like buying my own solar array (or, my own nuke, I guess) but there is much less maintenance work involved for me. I think it would be funny if they ever formalized the relationship and merged the dividend office with the payment office allowing me to directly apply my dividends to my bill... but no, I get a hefty quarterly check and pay a e-bill out of my checking account monthly. Maybe I could ask them to deliver my dividend check to the billing office "care of account number blah"? In my infinite spare time I'll look into that.

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    5. Re:When I was a boy... by SpinyNorman · · Score: 1

      There's a distinction between companies that are growing earnings fast (as tech companies often are) and those that are in solid businesses but with little growth (e.g. utlity companies, or mature tech companies like Microsoft and IBM whose fast growth days are probably behind them).

      For the slow or non-growing companies that are plenty profitable but not actually growing, then paying out earnigns in the form of dividends to shareholders makes sense - you get little growth in the share price, but get your dividends as the reward for owning the stock.

      However, for fast growing companies, a dividend doesn't really make sense - if the comany can reinvest profits and grow the company and share price at, say, 20% a year, then would you really prefer they use their cash to give you a 1-2% dividend instead? If the company can't usefully invest cash to grow the business faster, then maybe a share buyback makes sense if the stock is cheap or reasonably valued.

      Of course there are also plenty of slower growing companies that fall in the middle of this spectrum, where a small dividend may make sense.

      For Apple, whose stock people are buying because of it's explosive growth, to start pay a dividend, doesn't seem to make much sense. It's essentially saying that they have run out of ideas on how to grow the company (or at least have more cash than ideas), and they anticipate growth slowing such that a dividend is their best use of cash.

    6. Re:When I was a boy... by ath1901 · · Score: 1

      Exactly. The whole point of owning shares is to receive a part of the profits (dividends). Stock buy backs is also a way to reward stock owners since it increases the value of the remaining stocks.

      The only reason to buy stocks in a non-dividend paying company is if you believe:
      1. The company will grow and invest a lot and once their profits have multiplied they will pay huge dividends making up for the lost time.
      2. A bigger fool will come along and buy your shares once the price has increased a lot.

      This is a sound move of Apple. If they had continued refusing to pay dividends despite HUGE profits, all their investors would have to hope for (2). The question now is of course if the payoff is enough to motivate the share price ($500 per share, $2.65 quarterly, $10 bn buy back etc) but I leave that as an exercise for the reader...

    7. Re:When I was a boy... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, that really is how public investment is supposed to work The profits might be paid thru dividends, or thru the secondary-market value of the stock going up (which is something that came along later), but profits-in-exchange-for-capital is precisely the original concept behind investment. By saying "no it isn't", you're telling what's know as a lie-told-to-investors, intended to muddy the waters, confuse them, and hopefully get away with their money.

    8. Re:When I was a boy... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That explanation makes perfect sense and is reasonable.. which is largely why it's false ;p

      The stock market as I see it is a big game.

      I mean the basic principle of it all spells this out. People buy stocks for the most part for the purpose of selling them to someone else, who has the same idea. It's very rare that someone actually wants a stock for any other purpose than selling it to someone else.

      The whole second market confuses me. The first one makes sense.. you buy into a company which you think has a good idea in hopes that it pans out and you make a fortune. The second one, where people just perpetually bounce their stocks around at different prices .. it's eerie.

    9. Re:When I was a boy... by Billly+Gates · · Score: 2

      No.

      15 years ago this was the truth. The basic concept was true before the HUGE gain in stock prices. Investors noticed when the DOW went from 3,000 to 15,000 in just 10 years! That growth corrupted them and now expect it.

      With those growth rates of course dividends looked paultry. In reality low interests and borrowed money inflated those prices from actions of the FED and no real wealth was created. Today people are demanding this growth and if they can't get it they buy HFT computers to rip other people off to get it.

      So if you do not pay a dividend but your shares gain 300% in value then who cares if you make money? That is the age and stuff that is taught in finance today and why wages are declining. Share price is king and because there is no dividend your 401k is dependent on constantly rising share prices.

      This system needs to end as many are predicting another stock crash or bond market crash.

    10. Re:When I was a boy... by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

      Well, the point of owing shares is future free cash flows to the investors, technically speaking. Which leaves us with 2 more reasons.

      #1: Long Term Capital Gains are normally tax at a lower rate than Ordinary Income (i.e. Dividends). So If I have a choice to the company giving cash to me by a stock buyback, which I would sell my shares at the LTCG rate, or ordinary dividends - I would chose the stock buyback.

      #2 The second is psychological. People who buy dividend paying stocks expect a nice, smooth dividend. Often they are retirees suffering from Money Illusion. The point being, if Apple (or any other company) paid out all of their profits the dividends would zig zag all over the place and people / the market will always overact to the quarterly news instead of focusing on the long term prospects of the company. Better to underpay the dividends, so it can be nice and smooth. If the cash gets too high, do a stock buyback - people who buy the stocks for the dividends will tend to ignore this.

    11. Re:When I was a boy... by DragonWriter · · Score: 3, Insightful

      No.

      15 years ago this was the truth.

      No, it wasn't true 15 years ago, nor was it ever true.

      The basic concept was true before the HUGE gain in stock prices. Investors noticed when the DOW went from 3,000 to 15,000 in just 10 years! That growth corrupted them and now expect it.

      The "basic concept" that profit-sharing was the sole purpose of stock ownership has never been true as anything other than a gross and misleading oversimplification of a complex topic useful, if anything, as an introduction from which people would learn more -- i.e., a lie-to-children; sharing in net profits -- i.e., profits after reinvestment -- has always been a feature of joint stock companies, but a preference against reinvestment over redistribution has frequently been common throughout the history of joint stock companies, particularly ones where shares were readily tradeable assets, as is the case certainly with publicly traded companies.

      Investors noticed when the DOW went from 3,000 to 15,000 in just 10 years! That growth corrupted them and now expect it.

      Leaving aside tax treatment, for publicly traded stocks with an active market, increases in market value are essentially interchangeable with dividends, since with a an increase in stock market value investors can sell a proportional share of their stocks and extract the increase in value, and with a dividend investors can spend the dividend to acquire new shares to increase the total value of their holdings in the stock in question.

      Investors came to prefer appreciation of stock value to dividends much longer than 15 years ago (I remember stories about this in the 1980s when I was in my teens) because dividends was taxed as normal income whereas income derived from stock value increases was taxed as capital gains (particularly, when the stock is held for more than one year, is taxed as long-term capital gains.)

      As a result, management -- out of fiduciary duty to investors -- over time more and more sought to return value to investors through stock appreciation rather than dividends. So, instead of volatility in dividends based on market performance, you see more constant (and usually zero) dividends, and more volatile stock prices.

      In 2003 tax policy changed to temporarily tax dividends as capital gains, but even though that change has been extended its always been a temporary cut with a programmed end date, and so predictably has had little effect on long-term strategy, though it does reduce the disincentive to one-time dividends.

      With those growth rates of course dividends looked paultry. In reality low interests and borrowed money inflated those prices from actions of the FED and no real wealth was created.

      Stock market bubbles due to factors like the ones you cite (without regard to whether they are accurate for the bubble you are trying to explain) demonstrably occur even when it is more usual to pay out dividends, since all they require is having a market in the stock. Dividends or the lack thereof are a minor factor, since the whole issue of bubbles is that the appreciation of market value is much greater than anything then is justified by assets on hand (including retained profits), so the choice to reinvest profits or distribute them as dividends is immaterial in the formation of market bubbles.

      So if you do not pay a dividend but your shares gain 300% in value then who cares if you make money? That is the age and stuff that is taught in finance today and why wages are declining.

      No, its not. None of that has anything to do with wages. (Sure, the total share that is returned to investors limits the amount available for any other costs, including wages, but whether it is returned in stock value appreciation or dividends is immaterial.)

      Share price is king and because ther

    12. Re:When I was a boy... by Jeremy+Erwin · · Score: 1

      Dividends appeal to "Fixed Income" investors-- who invest in bonds and stocks in the hope of living off the small, but reliable income from their portfolio. Tech stocks don't.

    13. Re:When I was a boy... by quickgold192 · · Score: 1

      Why would anyone want to buy a stock that doesn't pay dividends? I know, you'll sell it when the price of that stock goes up. But the price of the stock is a result of people wanting to buy it. Which brings me back to my first question: why would anyone "invest" in a company that is not going to pay you back for your investment? Where is the money coming from? Poor souls who are buying it hoping that future poor souls will buy it from them for more?

    14. Re:When I was a boy... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Seriously? You're arguing against Billly Gates on investments?

    15. Re:When I was a boy... by tjb · · Score: 1

      The share represents equity in the company - at some threshold price, somebody is going to want that equity because the company, as a going concern, is inherently valuable if it generates profits (and often even if it doesn't). How those profits are distributed is almost entirely irrelevant.

      Put another way, for example, at what price would it become worth it for Qualcomm to just straight up purchase Texas Instruments rather than compete with them? Pick your number $X where you think they would consider, and TI is worth at least $X...

    16. Re:When I was a boy... by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      Why would anyone want to buy a stock that doesn't pay dividends?

      The same reason as anyone would want to buy any other asset that doesn't provide payments during the period of ownership: the combination fo use value of the asset during the period of the ownership (for a stock, this is voting rights) and appreciation in resale value during the period of ownership. People buy lots of investments without the expectation that the investment will pay them money during the period they hold it.

      Even when you aren't talking about publicly traded companies, that's frequently why people buy equity shares in a business.

      (The basic thing underlying value is the claim that stockholders have on the net assets of the corporation in the event of dissolution; for a healthy going concern, the stock value will often be significantly higher than the current net assets of the corporation, representing the belief of investors that the corporation is likely to improve its net asset position before dissolving.)

      But the price of the stock is a result of people wanting to buy it.

      Yes, market value -- of any asset -- is based on the expectation of utility by potential purchasers. So what?

      Which brings me back to my first question: why would anyone "invest" in a company that is not going to pay you back for your investment?

      Which brings me back to the answer to your first question; the same reasons people invest in any other kind of asset.

      Where is the money coming from?

      The money to invest is coming from the people investing, the same as with any other asset.

    17. Re:When I was a boy... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There has always been "investment" and "speculation". The two have got somewhat conflated recently.

    18. Re:When I was a boy... by mehtars · · Score: 1

      Lets say you owned a business that was returning 30% per year on the amount invested by you, why would you want a dividend? The best you can do with a risk free cash investment is 3-5% in the bank, if even.

      In a vacuum if the continually resulted in a 30% return, it would be better to compound your money there.
      The key thing is you need to buy stocks cheap ie as close to per share book value as you can.

    19. Re:When I was a boy... by complete+loony · · Score: 1

      IMHO that's how things should be.

      You buy a chunk of a company, the company gets the cash from the sale to invest, the company profit's from their investment, you are paid your share of the profits. And if you later wish to sell your piece of the company, it should be valued based on the income stream it generates.

      But it seems the market is only really interested in asset speculation. And since you can borrow money against shares, taking out a loan and paying interest on that loan is cheaper from a tax liability point of view. Which is really fucked up.

      --
      09F91102 no, 455FE104 nope, F190A1E8 uh-uh, 7A5F8A09 that's not it, C87294CE no. Ah! 452F6E403CDF10714E41DFAA257D313F.
    20. Re:When I was a boy... by stanjo74 · · Score: 1
      Yes, it seems to work this way from where we stand - the poor stiffs. However, to those with first order access to the money supply, the game is different.

      It's not about supply/demand for stocks, but about supply of money that need to find a home. Imagine, every morning, you wake up to a suitcase of money by your bed. And since it's a guarantee that the suitcase will be there every morning no matter what (the FED makes it so), you just have to go buy something with it. In a sense, there is forced buying of the stock market. It is secondary which company you buy (maximize the ROI).

      Small investors are just collecting pebbles in front of the steamroller. There will always be a buyer (the big guy) to your shares as long as the money supply is increasing (and the FED is more hawkish than ever to keep it so).

  10. Re:woohoo by dabooda · · Score: 1

    I sort of share your view but keep in mind that most investors will want a company to keep all of its profits and NOT pay dividends while the company is still able to make a larger return on that retained profit.

    Apple has so much retained profit that it can't use it fast enough to stimulate growth. So the best thing to do is to pay some of that profit off as a dividend.

    To put it another way: retaining profit and not paying dividends is the thing a company should do while it can still grow. If a company can make 30% return on equity (number out of thin air) then you want them to keep the equity they create so they can make another 30% next year. When that return on equity drops to below what you can get investing in another company or a bank account then give the investors the profits and let them put in other shares or just in a bank account.

    Think of investing as a higher interest earning bank account that requires you to do a shit-tonne of analysis to make sure your money is always invested in the right place.

    --
    "Yeah Tommy, before Zee Germans get here ..."
  11. Re:intresting factoid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Please learn: how to spell "interesting", "originally", "dividends", and "screwed".
    Also, when it is appropriate to capitalize words, such as nouns (Apple, Steve Jobs), as opposed to every other word.

  12. And at current share price by MikeRT · · Score: 1

    It's still only about a 0.5% return.

    Exxon, which is about half as profitable (~8% profit vs Apple's ~17% profit margin), puts out a 2.2% yield.

    I'm not a big fan of big oil, but one of the things that really gets me about the hypocrisy is that when people ask what big oil does with all of that profit, the answer is "they pay out fat dividends to their tens of millions of shareholders." Exxon is practically cheap as hell compared to many of its small competitors; 5-10% yields from healthy companies are easy to find.

    1. Re:And at current share price by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 3, Informative

      Well it's more like a 2% return because it gets issued quarterly.

      10% yields are fairly unusual, and are typically a sign that a company is hurting. They are often the result of a big dive in a company's stock and are likely to be reduced because the thing that caused the company stock to dive is that their profits are diving - and the dividends are paid out of profits. Sometimes you see 10% dividends in highly leveraged situations or from companies that have special tax treatment. Be careful with these as these dividends can be volatile or require some gyrations on your part at tax time.

      If you are a dividend investor the key thing is the long term record of increasing dividends. Apple isn't a blip on the radar compared with some of the better companies in this regard.

  13. significance? by blackfrancis75 · · Score: 1

    The dividend is $2.60, per one APPL share at $565.
    I don't trade stocks, but is this really a significant payout to shareholders?

    1. Re:significance? by blackfrancis75 · · Score: 1

      sorry, AAPL share at $593

    2. Re:significance? by iONiUM · · Score: 2

      The price of the stock is unrelated, but the dividend in relation to the amount of cash apple has and their earnings is very low. But, that's the idea, it's a "token dividend", just to get the ball rolling. Presumably, they will increase the amount in the years to come, assuming they continue to be successful.

    3. Re:significance? by whoda · · Score: 1

      For the funds that have a few million shares, it will make for a great year-end bonus for the fund manager.

    4. Re:significance? by necro81 · · Score: 1

      The price of the stock is unrelated

      When evaluating whether a company is a good investment as a dividend stock, one will often look at the dividend compared to the share price, also called the yield. Lots of blue-chip companies have yields of 1 - 5%. One could think of it in similar terms to the yield on a bond. This is one reason why people are putting huge amounts of money into the stock market - despite the volatility of share prices (even though, on the whole, they've been trending upwards for a year or two), certain classes of stock are yielding much better than other places you could put your money (e.g., savings accounts, treasury bonds, etc.)

    5. Re:significance? by trongey · · Score: 1

      It depends on how significant the shareholder is.
      Someone like Cook with 13k or so shares will make some nice pocket change.
      He basically announced that he's giving himself and the other officers or board members a small bonus.

      --
      You never really know how close to the edge you can go until you fall off.
    6. Re:significance? by blackfrancis75 · · Score: 1

      Quite small, yes. It's another $30K to a guy who can afford $7.7M worth of AAPL

    7. Re:significance? by JazzHarper · · Score: 1

      Fund managers are paid out of fees, not dividends. Dividends are passed through as distributions.

      Shareholders of growth/hedge funds holding Apple stock will not be too pleased by this dividend, as they would much rather have capital gains than dividend distributions.

    8. Re:significance? by EmagGeek · · Score: 1

      It's a dividend yield of about 1.8% at current share price, so a little better than a savings account, but a lot more risky.

      If I wasn't buying before, I'm REALLY not buying now. They're pledging about 2/3 of their normal operating profit to pay a dividend that is not even close to being in the "income stock" universe. That's a bad place to be, IMHO. You're sacking 2/3rd of your profit to pay a little better return than a savings account.

      I own a bunch of dividend stocks in large companies that pay 4-6% with reasonably low risk, and I own some REITs that are paying 10-20% dividend yield (albeit with huge risk since interest rates have nowhere to go but up). AAPL doesn't meet the criteria of a low-risk stock, because their numbers of late seem "too good to be true."

      I dunno, I am just not buying it.

  14. The bean counters are back by bussdriver · · Score: 0

    I thought it would take a little longer before the wall street bean counters started destroying Apple. Wonder how quickly Google will shift into super villain when their leadership goes...

    Maybe Jobs was building up to buy back a big stake in itself freeing it from so much control from the bean counters which nearly killed it previously. Bad times need cash reserves; use savings fund or issue shares - but to pay dividends, that makes it into a big loan with the risk of having to pay for the borrowed money (instead of the gamblers paying for it.)

    I realize modern MBA religion is 150% against conservatively structured business models and running fully leveraged is the only option (management never suffers from such risky positions they put everybody else into.)

    1. Re:The bean counters are back by Billly+Gates · · Score: 1

      It is only a big loan if you do not pay dividends as the only way you can gain money is if it gains value. Unless you own HFT computers to short the stocks.

      If you gain dividends there is less risk

    2. Re:The bean counters are back by bussdriver · · Score: 1

      Not really; a loan involves interest - something real. Paying dividends is similar to interest on a loan. If they have no dividends then sure they must raise PERCEPTION of value to have the stock price rise - but perception does not cost in real money like dividends do. Selling higher priced stock comes at the expense of the buyer who thinks it is worth it -- they can issue more shares and raise a lot of capital without having to pay back a penny to anybody; unless they have dividends which cost THEM directly.

  15. Excellent move by Apple by AdrianKemp · · Score: 1

    They've had a rough patch with the whole Foxconn and Jobs ordeals. Although the stock has performed amazingly well given the situation it never hurts to buy a little extra confidence.

  16. Looks like no US factories by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Not that there was any hope anyhow but ironically this will make it nearly impossible for them to move operations back to the US since the cash is coming strictly from US accounts. Apparently they are unwilling to repatriat the money earned overseas so the plan will drain most of the US cash reserves. The joke is it could be an elaborate plan to bring the foreign money home by telling the government they need an exemption to repatriat the money so they can build US factories. Not likely but it would be a clever plan to force the government's hand to give them a massive tax break. In truth I think they were just running out of space in their mattress and had to do something with it all. It's not like you can just pay workers better wages with it:-)

  17. Math fail. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    $2.65/qtr * 4 = $10.6/yr
     
    AAPL's share price (as of 11:39AM EST) was $594, making a yield of 1.78%.

  18. Google, pay attention by rudy_wayne · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Larry Page needs to spend some time learning from Apple. I don't like Apple but I have to give them credit for one thing -- they haven't wasted billions of dollars on stupid pointless crap (driverless cars, etc) and buying a hundred companies a year that they shut down and abandon a year later.

    1. Re:Google, pay attention by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wish Google would pay a dividend.

    2. Re:Google, pay attention by bendilts · · Score: 1

      The acquisitions that work have been well worth the cost of all the failed acquisitions combined. Android, maps, docs, Youtube, Doubleclick, etc. Well, Youtube may not be making cash right now, but it sure brings in a lot of users to Google properties.

    3. Re:Google, pay attention by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      Buying your own stock and issuing dividends is essentially admission that you don't have any idea of what to do with the money.

      Companies that buy their own stock are notorious for having bad timing.

      In this case the timing of the dividend is crummy too because it's pretty likely that by this time next year the tax rates on dividends will be a lot higher than they are now.

    4. Re:Google, pay attention by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Driverless cars are a stupid investment right up until the point that every auto manufacturer is paying Google license fees and patent royalties. Why are investors so shortsighted?

    5. Re:Google, pay attention by AdrianKemp · · Score: 0

      You're just very confused is your problem.

      Apple's reserves are oh-so-close to enough to buy a controlling stake in Google.

      They have half of Google's market cap in *reserves* Anything they do with that money would be a silly risk that would tarnish a track record that is nothing but stunning of late. Instead they've chosen to effectively freeze their cash reserves at $100B (they're making more per year than they've planned to spend)

      They are in a situation where they literally cannot spend the money, share holders would revolt if they started doing stupid shit with it and there just aren't enough useful things to do to burn through that kind of money.

      You should learn something about business and economics before calling the single most profitable and wealthy company out on their strategies.

    6. Re:Google, pay attention by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      Apple is neither the most profitable or wealthiest company. They merely have the highest market capitalization.

      Perhaps you should learn something about economics and business.

    7. Re:Google, pay attention by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Buying your own stock and issuing dividends is essentially admission that you don't have any idea of what to do with the money.

      Hand waving. Companies buy back stock all the time - for the principal reason of consolidating control amongst the major shareholders as well as increasing the value of their own holdings. Number of ideas has nothing to do with it.

      Apple is neither the most profitable or wealthiest company. They merely have the highest market capitalization. Perhaps you should learn something about economics and business.

      Perhaps you should be a little less snotty. How many other companies have $100 billion in cash sitting around?

    8. Re:Google, pay attention by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      The concern is that they are so consistently half assed about it, buying companies only to lose interest in what they purchased six months later. Right now they can get away with it, but it's not a healthy habit to have. What if Google has a 'lost decade' a la Apple in the 90's?

    9. Re:Google, pay attention by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Android was one of those hundred companies.. doesn't seem so stupid now

    10. Re:Google, pay attention by leiz · · Score: 1

      Not going to happen. Google has a dual class shares. Class B Google stock gets 10x more votes.

      http://www.investopedia.com/articles/fundamental/04/092204.asp

    11. Re:Google, pay attention by Patch86 · · Score: 1

      All R&D looks like "stupid pointless crap", right up until you come up with a best selling product. It's the classic case of Kodak and the world's first digital camera; pointless R&D, which was poo-poo'd- right before it became the next big thing.

      Google are already pushing to get their gadgets into car dashboards (satnav and whatnot); if they play their cards right (and if it works) their driverless car technology could be huge- and the market lead, the patents, everything, will be all theirs. Or it'll turn out to be a duff, and it's only a few million dollars wasted.

    12. Re:Google, pay attention by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      larry still has a huge warchest of 45 Billion dollars.
      what do you expect him to do with the money if not do aquisitions and R&D, (instead of investor pandering like what apple is doing)

    13. Re:Google, pay attention by AdrianKemp · · Score: 1

      Actually, they are the most profitable company. They have lower absolute profits than exxon, but the margins are higher.

      Wealthiest? they have the largest cash reserves of any company in all of history. They *also* have the highest market capitalization. Not to mention book value, free cash per share or any of the other dozen metrics that all say Apple is the wealthiest company out there.

  19. If only I had been an Apple fanboy... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I would have been buying shares of Apple in 1997. How could I have known? Most of the later Pre-G3 PowerMacs were shit, with only a few exceptions (9600). They seriously did seem doomed. Instead, someone gave me some shares of Gateway as a gift, my parents wouldn't let me sell it, and seven years later I got a check for twelve cents. Now I'd have to choose between getting a crown on a tooth and a share of Apple. I guess not everyone can win everytime.

  20. Order of magnitude more by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Not arrogant enough to call myself an expert, but using made up numbers, if you had 100 shares outstanding, and $10B in the bank, this is claiming you have nothing in the pipeline....

    The problem is, Apple has $100B in the bank.

    You just can't spend that kind of money, not without buying solid-gold toilet seats or other absurd assets. It's ridiculous. Apple has no problem funding ongoing R&D just out of what it makes quarter to quarter. No need to dip into the corporate savings account for that.

    Buying back your own stock is basically saying, "Look,we have money to invest. We could invest it in gold, or US treasuries, or orange juice futures, but we think that the best possible investment in the world is Apple stock, so we're going to buy that."

    1. Re:Order of magnitude more by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not really. Companies don't invest in their own stock. The shareholders are the real owners of shared held in a company's treasury. A stock buyback is best though of as an optional dividend, giving shareholders the ability to take whatever earnings they want, while supporting the market price by providing a ready buyer.

  21. Does this mean they will not invest in lawyers? by erroneus · · Score: 1

    Obviously they are now shifting their priorities a bit. So will this mean they aren't going to rely on lawyers to protect their territory and their flat things with rounded corners?

  22. You solved your own riddle by SuperKendall · · Score: 2, Interesting

    you buy back shares when they are CHEAP so you can re-issue shares when the stock price is higher later on

    Yes, pretty obviously someone (or quite a few people) know a lot more about Apple's current share price being cheap or expensive. Since the only one in a real position to know is buying back shares, you end up looking rather foolish...

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:You solved your own riddle by crgrace · · Score: 1

      you buy back shares when they are CHEAP so you can re-issue shares when the stock price is higher later on

      Yes, pretty obviously someone (or quite a few people) know a lot more about Apple's current share price being cheap or expensive. Since the only one in a real position to know is buying back shares, you end up looking rather foolish...

      Financial history is FULL of cases where companies lost money through buybacks over time. Like corporate mergers, then end up losers more often than not.

  23. I was hoping... by cmarkn · · Score: 5, Funny

    they'd just take all that cash and buy Microsoft, lop off the deadwood at the top and spin off three or four little companies to build iOS apps.

    --
    People should not fear their government. Governments should fear their people.
    1. Re:I was hoping... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >lop off the deadwood at the top

      as thrilled as the remaining four developers would be, I hardly think that's a reasonable use of Apple's money.

    2. Re:I was hoping... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      they'd just take all that cash and buy Microsoft, lop off the deadwood at the top and spin off three or four little companies to build iOS apps.

      Microsoft's current market capitalization is about $270 billion. Buying 5% of that would cost $13.5 billion -- plus the effort to gather that much of the company, plus the legal wrangling before Apple (or anybody) could impose its will on the target.

      Corporate warfare ain't cheap.

  24. Offsetting stock options by charnov · · Score: 1

    Apple has a huge amount of stock options that dilute the stock if they do not keep up with buybacks. They have been doing this for decades.

    --
    [RIAA] says its concern is artists. That's true, in just the sense that a cattle rancher is concerned about its cattle.
  25. disproportionate, but not in the way you think by SuperKendall · · Score: 0

    2) Investors will look at this as a signal that the company is bullish on its future, and you will see a disproportionate rise in the stock.

    Apple has obviously been very bullish on the future for some time and the stock has remained wildly depressed.

    I don't see the current actions changing that at all, Apple will remain heavily under-valued because people do not understand how Apple can be so successful nor do they understand the very large market Apple has left with easy expansion options into.

    The dividend will get some more investors in but I doubt that will change the price much. Instead Apple's quarterly earnings will continue to drag the stock upward against the will of the market.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:disproportionate, but not in the way you think by Patch86 · · Score: 1

      Wait, you think that Apple is undervalued- Apple, as in the manufacturer of walkmans and laptops, and as in the most valuable company in the world? Apple, who's phone product has recently slipped in market share according to its rivals? Who (until now) pay no dividend, and who's success has historically always been tied to their ability to pick "the next big thing" successfully every few years?

      I'm not trying to say Apple is a dead company or anything daft like that- it isn't, it's a very successful company, and a company which is likely to keep being very successful. But to call them "heavily under-valued" is madness.

  26. Prevent who? by SuperKendall · · Score: 0

    preventing casual investors from entering the party.

    Anyone can still buy stock you know...

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Prevent who? by bhcompy · · Score: 1

      Anyone can still buy a Learjet, too.

    2. Re:Prevent who? by s73v3r · · Score: 1

      When prices get this high, though, that kinda shuts out a lot of people from actually being able to purchase.

    3. Re:Prevent who? by Spy+Handler · · Score: 1

      you don't have $600? I have that much in my pocket right now and I work as an IT grunt.

    4. Re:Prevent who? by bhcompy · · Score: 2

      More like forcing you to put your eggs in one basket. You can invest that 600 in one stock and hope it doesn't lose value or diversify it across 15 stocks and be much more flexible to market fluctuations

  27. Apple is going to be stagnant. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I also have a degree in Finance and a Masters ( dumbest fucking thing I ever did.)

    Essentially, Apple is saying "our shares are undervalued".

    Or, they don't have a clue what to do with the money because they're out of ideas; which is a bad sign. Granted, distributing the money to stockholders is a hell of a lot better than an acquisition (acquisitions almost always involve paying waaayy too much for the target. ).

    In my opinion (which is not much better than anyone else's), this is a bad sign. It is a sign that Apple is becoming stagnant and the iPad, iPhone, iTouch, and everything else they currently make is it. After the Apple gizmo fad wears off, they'll go into their cash cow phase - you should remember that from your strategy class.

    1. Re:Apple is going to be stagnant. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Apple does the right thing each time they get rid of Jobs then they go stagnant.

    2. Re:Apple is going to be stagnant. by am+2k · · Score: 1

      I wonder how they're planning to get him back next time. Investment into the Umbrella Corporation?

    3. Re:Apple is going to be stagnant. by nonguru · · Score: 1

      For all the people claiming degrees in finance amd masters degrees the insights are remarkably naif. A large pile of cash, not otherwise intended for acquisitions or for internal investment, returns about 1% domestically (USA). That is a failure of investment; better to return cash to the shareholders and let them decide where to invest it. (I'm sure savvy investors can get better than 1%.) Acquistions - and internal investments - can often be more about empire-building than good investment. And, at the end of the day, as companies mature their market value is ultimately dependent on the future cash dividend stream growth. High capital growth is not forever. (Even Apple occassionaly makes mistakes. Jobs' obssession with cash holdings came about from nearly going bankrupt, not prudent capital management.)

    4. Re:Apple is going to be stagnant. by Chriscypher · · Score: 1

      It's that kind of thinking which led to Steve Jobs being drummed out of Apple by the Board of Directors in the first place, who thought Apple had outgrown it's startup leadership. It's not an "Apple gizmo fad", but a company which (under visionary leadership) has transformed the world multiple times, with:
        * the first microcomputer (Apple ][)
        * first GUI user interface (Macintosh)
        * first useful mp3 player (iPod)
        * first useful desktop certified UNIX (OSX)
        * first useful smartphone (iPhone)
        * first useful tablet computer (iPad)
        * &etc
      My point is that, as a company, they have a decades long track record of providing groundbreaking, useful technologies. They have had flops. They may not be the first to market in a niche, but when their products ship they come to define the niche.

      The biggest threat to Apple IMHO is that it:
        * concentrate too much on consumer and ignore enterprise level solutions
          - why does not OSX server have built-in iOS policy enforcement features? (instead of relying on 3rd parties) etc etc etc.
          - why has the MacPro line not been updated still long after xServe discontinued?
        * corporate management brain rot redefines Apple as a "cash cow" instead of continuing the tradition of useful and world transforming innovation established by Jobs & company.

      They can continue to push current technologies down the road, with faster/larger capacity devices, but this is incremental improvement. How far can they push the "digital hub" paradigm? What's the next innovative paradigm? What can they do new?
        * iTV (if they can make it not suck like AppleTV)
        * enterprise deployment and management solutions, better business quality scheduling and groupware built-in

      For the last decade I have looked at the market capitalization of stocks like RIM, Motorola, Nokia, Dell, HPQ, MSFT as fodder for Apple growth. This has been immensely profitable to me. The numbers at Apple look great at this market cap, it should be sustainable as phone and computers have fairly limited lifespans and computer market share had lots of room for growth. But how far up is up? Management at Apple must be genuinely visionary, and not what generally passes for this across the industry.

      --
      "You have liberated me from thought."
    5. Re:Apple is going to be stagnant. by rastos1 · · Score: 1

      I have two Finance degrees and close to a Master's. .... Essentially, Apple is saying "our shares are undervalued".

      I also have a degree in Finance and a Masters ... Or, they don't have a clue what to do with the money because they're out of ideas; which is a bad sign.

      So let me get this straight. We have a clearly defined activity on the market. And two people with top-level education in the area. And they have completely opposite explanations. No offense guys, but if the economy is driven by such level of understanding, then it explains a lot about current state of affairs.

  28. Re:woohoo by Hatta · · Score: 0

    Think of investing as gambling. Yeah, you can read up on the odds all you want, but at the end of the day the house wins. As a society, we just shouldn't force our citizens to gamble if they want to be financially responsible.

    --
    Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
  29. Pharma by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How many multibillion dollar companies can you name that have the same profit margins as Apple?

    Pharmaceutical companies have been doing it for decades - MUCH longer than Apple.

    Then there are private (non publicly traded) businesses that are doing even better and will not go public because it will spoil the party.

    Publicly traded businesses are the bottom of the barrel.

  30. nonsense by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

    Cook will have to pay ordinary income on that dividends. I am sure he rather sell his stock for cash and pay long term capital gains.

    See Modigliani and Miller "Irrelevance of dividend policy". They say that in a efficent world it does not matter if the company pays a dividend or not. Dividends are not efficent to pay out from a tax viewpoint. He's not doing this for selfish short term reasons. (Short Term being the imporant part here.)

  31. Apple is doing great, but now what? by Animats · · Score: 3, Insightful

    First off, there's no place Apple can park that cash that provides a return anything like what their own operations generate. So a dividend is appropriate.

    Second, the big threat to Apple is lower prices. Apple has great margins, but that only lasts if the competition can be fended off. Hence the litigation.

    The computer industry in general had this problem. For a while, it looked like the future of personal computing was $99 netbooks, sold in bubble-packs in the stationery section of drugstores. This had the industry terrified. The mobile industry saved them, by creating a direct connection between the customer's wallet and the cell phone network operator. Apple saved them by offering a premium product at a higher price point. Microsoft saved them by crushing the Linux netbook industry. What we have now are mobile personal computers that cost $3000 over the 3 years of the phone contract.

  32. Dividends are theoretically null by Tuan121 · · Score: 1

    I don't think most people understand the concept of dividends.

    The main criticism is that company profits are much better used when re-invested back into the company. Why would you be excited that a company is giving away it's money instead of re-investing in itself to make itself more profitable in the future? Now, if you personally don't want to see your "gains" re-invested, then you have the choice to just sell a portion of your investment and take the profit without affecting the company (assuming you don't have some massive position where a sell would affect the stock price, which is the normal case).

    Dividends are usually also taxed twice. The company has paid taxes on it's profits, and the shareholder pays income tax on the dividend payment. Whereas taking your gain from selling the stock is independent of any tax the company has paid.

    Dividends also give this false impression of extra profit. When a company pays a dividend, the stock reduces by virtually the same amount of the dividend that was paid. Thus you aren't theoretically getting anything extra. If your share was worth $30 and the dividend is $3, you receive $3 in cash and now your stock is worth $27. So, paying the dividend is not giving anything extra to shareholders. If anything, it forces you to manually rebalance your portfolio to account for the dividend. Now this may not be a big deal on a normal basis, but it's still something to consider. i.e., you put $100 in dividend paying stocks and $100 in nondividend paying stocks. If the dividend paying stocks have paid out $10, you now have $10 in cash, $90 in dividend paying stocks, $100 in non-dividend paying stocks. Your portfolio has changed balance simply because of dividends.

    Some practical uses of dividends are receiving cash from your investment that is taxed at a more favourable rate than short-term capital gains and not having to act (i.e., sell shares) to receive income. So that can be a convenient point.

    Now sure, you can argue that Apple is an extreme case.. after all who the hell has $100b in cash just sitting around. So I'm not really trying to apply the normal aspects of dividends to this situation. But these are facts worth noting in general. Dividends should not, in theory, be a "good thing". Thus even though you can argue dividend paying stocks do tend to perform better than non-dividend stocks, the reason is not the dividend itself. It may just be the company was in good enough shape to pay dividends, whereas a company losing value is probably not in a position to pay dividends.

    1. Re:Dividends are theoretically null by coinreturn · · Score: 1

      Dividends are usually also taxed twice. The company has paid taxes on it's profits, and the shareholder pays income tax on the dividend payment. Whereas taking your gain from selling the stock is independent of any tax the company has paid.

      Wrong. Dividends can be paid even where there is NO profit. See WWE for the last few years.

      Dividends also give this false impression of extra profit. When a company pays a dividend, the stock reduces by virtually the same amount of the dividend that was paid. Thus you aren't theoretically getting anything extra. If your share was worth $30 and the dividend is $3, you receive $3 in cash and now your stock is worth $27.

      Wrong again. That might happen in an ultra-efficient market, but in reality - no. Investors looking for income, see a dividend-paying stock as good. Apple formerly at, say, $500 and no dividend looks better at $500 with dividend.

      If anything, it forces you to manually rebalance your portfolio to account for the dividend.

      If you see this as a problem, there are dividend reinvestment programs (DRIP). Yes you pay taxes on the dividend, but it is canceled by the basis. Of course, tax preferential treatment of capital gains tilts the field.

  33. Psycho by ebvwfbw · · Score: 1

    The market cap on Apple is way way to high. They are larger than Exxon Mobile and probably a bunch of other companies like IBM combined? No, they aren't. Their stock has been way over valued for a long time. When it falls, I bet it will fall fast and people will be jumping from windows because of their losses. I sold them over a year ago and I'm just amazed it hasn't come crashing down yet. Ready to buy once it hits $10/share.

    1. Re:Psycho by mattack2 · · Score: 1

      Please explain how/why the stock "has been way over valued for a long time."

      Check the P/E ratio, and other commonly used metrics that investors use to determine what a fair price for a stock is.

    2. Re:Psycho by ebvwfbw · · Score: 1

      Market cap. Multiply the shares by the price per share. That's the cap. That should not exceed the value of the company. Where it is right now way exceeds the value, that's why it's psycho (the way a Financial advisor put it to me - "IT'S PSYCHO! JUST PSYCHO!"). Here we are talking about a gadget company. You don't have to have what they make. You have to have Gasoline, as in the case of Exxon Mobile. You have to eat as in the case of companies like General Mills, Kraft, etc.. Apple requires a junior Edison to survive. He's gone and they don't come around very often. Probably 1 in a few billion. Unless they have someone that they are not telling us about, there is one way for the stock to go. Down. Sooner or later, probably sooner. Even if Jobs remained, it would run out sooner or later as well. Even Edison ran out of gas after a while. Just think, what is to stop Microsoft from owning this market, or someone else? Apple could be like last months trash this time next year. For example Blackberry. Just a few years ago they had more money than they could spend. Today they are a has been. Nobody I know wants anything they make. Often that is how I can tell where a sales guy is in the pecking order. Does he still have a Blackberry? HP Could have owned this market, then they shot themself in the foot with that European guy who ran it into the ditch as fast as he could. My opinion is he wanted his golden parachute ASAP! He got it. Too bad, they had a very promissing technology.

      What you see is a classic bubble if there ever was one. What made people "invest" in Apple? It certainly wasn't a dividend. P/E is only relevent if you expect a dividend. I know, hard to believe. Otherwise, it's really gambling. There is no rational for buying a stock other than to hope it goes up, down if you think you can short it, or it will pay a dividend. The former is gambling, the later is investing. Gamblers can get rich, very rich. More often they go bust. No doubt some people will make a pile of money on this either way. Most will lose their shirt, if they are lucky. More if they aren't. Don't kid yourself though, it's gambling. BWTHDIK? I'm just yet another slashdot guy. Whatever you do, don't take stock advice from here. You'll either love me (you didn't lose a pile of money) or want to kill me (Stock went way up after this and you lost a pile of money....). No thanks. Do your own research. Do what you think is right.

      How have I done in the past? Sure, I've lost my shirt and pants before. I've also killed the market. Over 2500% in just a few days. Those days are long gone. May come around again in 3-5 years, we'll see. That or a real bust. Perhaps a devestating bust if things don't improve. Again, WTHDIK? I'm a working stiff.

    3. Re:Psycho by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "(the way a Financial advisor put it to me - "IT'S PSYCHO! JUST PSYCHO!""

      fire him.

  34. Real Estate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Apple should probably just start buying real estate (or MAKING it, like they do in Japan).

  35. GAAP by glodime · · Score: 3, Informative

    Where did you hear about this 20% percent retained earnings rule (20% of what?)? I've never heard of it. I would venture a guess that if that was a real GAAP or FASB or IASB or IRS guideline that most if not all publicly traded companies would run afoul of it. It sounds like you are conflating something related to accounting for subsidiaries with an IRS tax rule.

    FYI:
    Berkshire Hathaway is a publicly traded company. I have no clue why you'd think that it is not. It's stock symbols are BRK.A and BRK.B (class A and B shares, respectively). Here is a link to its SEC 10-K for 2011:
    http://www.berkshirehathaway.com/2011ar/201110-K.pdf

  36. All that money... by willaien · · Score: 1

    How about lowering your profit margins by 50% to only a 75% markup and enter into more markets?

  37. Ahh crap... by AlienIntelligence · · Score: 1

    It really is the end of the world this year.

    -AI

    mild ribbing aside, kudos, another step in the right direction

    --
    For me, it is far better to grasp the Universe as it really is than to persist in delusion
  38. 1.7% Dividend Yield by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yeah, I can do much better elsewhere, thanks.

  39. They should have bought Tesla Motors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Apple should have brought the electric car to the market by buying Tesla and integrating the cars with their existing tech and retail expertise.

  40. Re:woohoo by dabooda · · Score: 1

    A lot of people treat it that way and that's where value investors make their money.

    Take a listen to Roger Montgomery's latest ASX podcast/talk

    Audio: http://secure-au.imrworldwide.com/cgi-bin/b?cg=av&ci=asx&tu=http://www.asx.com.au/podcast/asx-investor-hour-2012021.mp3
    Slides: http://secure-au.imrworldwide.com/cgi-bin/b?cg=av&ci=asx&tu=http://www.asx.com.au/documents/slides/asx-investor-hour-20120221.pdf

    His philosophy gels well with nerds like us. He likes to treat his investing as if he were buying a whole business instead of little numbers on a screen.

    --
    "Yeah Tommy, before Zee Germans get here ..."
  41. Re:woohoo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No, think of investing as buying a stake in a company. You may not be able to own a major stake in Apple but you can own a small slice of it. Essentially public companies are owned by our society. If the average schmo would rather waste his money on beer, video games and rims for his car instead of buying ownership in America's greatest companies that's his problem.

  42. Re:woohoo by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

    Gambling is at best a zero sum game. The fact that we live in a civilization with corporations, houses, cars, and other possessions, voluntary employees, and stockholders strongly suggests that stock investing as a whole is a positive sum game. That there is risk involved does not make it gambling: there's risk involved in leaving your money in a savings account (where "inflation" beats compound interest), the risk is just less at the bank. If you think it's gambling, you aren't doing it properly.

    --
    Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
  43. Re:woohoo by Hatta · · Score: 1

    I don't want to buy a business. I want to put in an honest day's work and get paid a fair amount. That fair amount should be enough, if I'm responsible and save for me to retire on. The fact that we force our retirees to gamble with their retirement is appalling. The fact that we allow that to be used as political leverage (you can't enforce the laws against investment banks, think of my 401K!), is even more so.

    --
    Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!