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Ask Slashdot: How Would Room-Temp Superconductors Affect Us?

Bananatree3 writes "While we have sci-fi visions of room temperature superconductors like in the movie Avatar, the question still remains: How would the discovery of a such a material impact our everyday lives? How would the nature of warfare change? How would the global economy react? What are the cultural pros and cons of such a technological shift?" And just as important, in what contexts would you want to see it first employed?

262 comments

  1. Perspective, people, perspective by ShooterNeo · · Score: 2, Insightful

    By the standards of the physical universe, "room temperature" is pretty arbitrary. For a spacecraft, keeping superconductors cold is reasonably easy.

    1. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      From a human perspective I am rather fond of living at or around room temperature.

    2. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 5, Informative

      Not really: radiative emission is the only type of cooling you can get in space. Depending how much power you're bleeding off elsewhere on your ship, it could be quite difficult to keep things suitably cool. Especially considering that any part of your ship facing the sun is going to be picking up quite a high thermal load.

    3. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by GreenTech11 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      While you're correct in the second half of your comment, you are ignoring the very good reasons that are driving our search for a room-temperature superconductor. Without doing the calculations, I very much doubt that there is enough fuel on Earth to lift the entire population into a near-Earth orbit, not to mention the massive amounts of infrastructure required to keep them there, (and breathing).

      Therefore, a superconductor which would allow us to eliminate the massive amounts of wastage in our electrical infrastructure is certainly useful. Conveniently, most of Earth is at a "room temperature" or similar, making it a far less arbitrary concept. In terms of effect on everyday life, I like to think that in the long run it'll be beneficial, hopefully removing some of the lack of resources which drives most conflicts. Of course, most of human history is against me on that one, technological leaps like these tend to trigger conflicts in the short term, before providing net benefit to the populations, hopefully we survive the next one.

      --
      Laughter is the best medicine, except if you have a broken rib.
    4. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

      Is it hell, space isn't cold, it is inert. I seriously wish people would stop thinking this.
      The only way heat gets out of things in space is radiative or an infinitely small amount of conductive.
      Direct sunlight on a person would burn them in space, likewise heating up metals and components.

      Space is actually probably harder to cool things down in simply due to sunlight.
      On earth it is pretty easy to have something in shadow and vented so that an incredible amount of heat is exchanged over to the flowing air.
      In space, you can only rely on highly-resistant insulators and/or mirrors to get rid of heat unless you liquid cool things. (which is good too since you can then use that heat inside the ship)

    5. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by forand · · Score: 4, Informative

      This is true but one of the great things about a superconductor is that R (and thus the power dissipated) goes to zero. So while it is difficult to dissipate heat in space, you won't be building up heat in the superconductors themselves.

    6. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 4, Interesting

      "Therefore, a superconductor which would allow us to eliminate the massive amounts of wastage in our electrical infrastructure "

      The wastage in the electric infrastructure, on a whole, is about 7% in the US. Speaking of long-distance transmission only, it's closer to 3%

      There's not much to fix here, so unless the new superconductor is also free, I don't think you'd see the massive uptake people imagine.

      The main upside would be size, not cost. Assuming it has higher current density, piping power into urban areas becomes easier.

    7. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      Space is actually very hot - there may not be many particles, but they are moving fast. The only reason it seems cold is that, even though most things in space will gain heat by conduction, the rate is negligable compared to radiative transfer.

    8. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by virg_mattes · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The idea that the superconductor won't be adding to the thermal load is all well and good, but it doesn't cope with the problem of heat that comes in from solar radiation or heat generated by other parts of the ship like engines. Furthermore, it becomes a self-reinforcing problem, because being unable to dissipate heat makes the superconductor stop superconducting, which only adds to the problem.

      Virg

    9. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by NEDHead · · Score: 4, Insightful

      While these facts may be true on the surface (I haven't actually checked), what you are missing is that most energy production is relatively local, and hence generating capacity is built & run to deal with local maximal demand. Truly efficient long, long distance transmission lines would allow distant capacity to be factored in to the system. Think wind, solar, day vs night etc. There is currently a project (Tres Amigos) designed around a superconducting hub to connect the three major energy networks in the US. In addition there are (at least) plans for several other superconducting trunks, including one to link a number of off shore wind projects. The net efficiency gains for the system as a whole would far exceed the 3-7% mentioned above.

      That said, I am partial to local production, as finely grained as possible, to cover the baseline requirements and minimize the opportunity for system-wide failures.

    10. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by ShooterNeo · · Score: 1, Offtopic

      Put this into your "without doing the calculations" claptrap.

      Just think for a moment. Ok, so there is not enough petroleum on the planet to put everyone into near earth orbit. But, that isn't the only way. ENERGY is what is needed. How might you get enough energy?

      1. Massive solar arrays in space. These arrays could have more surface area than the planet, and generate electricity 24/7.
      2. Thorium and Uranium Breeder Reactors
      3. Covering the earth with solar panels
      4. ??? Fusion???

      The first 3 are solid, there's absolutely no convincing argument that can state that these are more than hard engineering problems. They are absolutely achievable, and we have proofs of concept for all 3.

      How do you use that energy to get to space?

      1. Synthesize chemical rocket propellant from H20 or with CO2 to make synthetic kerosene.
      2. Mass drivers to launch the payloads out of a gun.
      3. Chemically fired mass drivers using hydrogen gas
      4. Laser Launch
      5. ??? Space Elevator ???

      Well, ok, this is an awful lot of aerospace hardware to build to actually move 6 billion and counting folks. Plus their pets. How could you ever manufacture enough spacecraft and vehicles to do this for a cost that could be paid?

      See Nanotechnology, Molecular Manufacturing.

    11. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "By the standards of the physical universe, "room temperature" is pretty arbitrary."

      But as you might know, that's a rather uncommon standard for room temperature.

    12. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Iamthecheese · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That 7% is transmission loss only. Now consider using it in computing to prevent waste heat from being generated. In radio transmitters for better efficiency. In house wiring. In appliances. In cars. In electric cars. Now you're talking about at least a 50% boost. And that's before you consider using it in electric motors and generators.

      --
      If video games influenced behavior the Pac Man generation would be eating pills and running away from their problems.
    13. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I know I am missing something here on the electrical characteristics or the physics of super conductance. But, I thought that you cannot connect a conductor with 0 impedance to a power source without - well, destroying said power source nearly instantly. So while you might be able to use superconducting parts, you would still need to introduce resistance (impedance) into the system at some point in series with the superconductor so that your power source still worked. That resistance would still produce waste heat based on the standard p=ir formula wouldn't it? Again, I am sure this is just me being dense - but it seems to me that the superconductor doesn't really solve waste heat / power in an electric car type system.

    14. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by jpapon · · Score: 2

      I believe the main advantage of superconductors in a car scenario would be highly efficient regenerative braking.

      --
      -- Let us endeavor so to live that when we pass even the undertaker shall be sorry. -- M. Twain
    15. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Not if they're in a room.

    16. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by ceoyoyo · · Score: 3, Interesting

      You need to have resistance in the actual bits that use the electricity to do something useful. The resistance is the electricity being converted into "useful."

      What you don't need is resistance in all the wires that are carrying that electricity around - any resistance there is pure waste, generating heat. And the smaller the wires, the more electricity they waste, which is why processors get so hot.

    17. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by delt0r · · Score: 1

      A really poor electric motor has efficiency as low as 50%. Good ones are well over 90%. In fact if you leave out storage total electrical energy efficiency can and often is in the 80-95% range (generator to motor). For example in electric-electric "gear box" of a locomotive. So replacing everything with supper conductors at best will get you a 20% gain. Not worth it if has to come from Pandora that is for sure.

      However if the critical current density and magnetic field density are high enough, you get a high density and efficiency energy storage system.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    18. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by ChucktheMan · · Score: 1

      This is not a difficult problem. An over-the-road truck is of the same order of complexity as a 2-stage rocket in terms of parts count, We generate probably over half a million heavy trucks per year, so a rocket fleet to move 6 billion to orbit could be done. A better question is why? you would be leaving a place that has air, water and food for places that have none of those.

    19. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by pushing-robot · · Score: 1

      Without doing the calculations, I very much doubt that there is enough fuel on Earth to lift the entire population into a near-Earth orbit

      Well, let's do some (back of the envelope) calculations!

      First, let's assume we build a space elevator or something like it so we aren't wasting energy on rockets. And we'll assume that we can efficiently get power to said elevator.

      Ignoring air drag (since we're presumably using an elevator), it would take about 30MJ/kg to put 1kg into low earth orbit or 50MJ/kg to lift the same weight to geosynchronous orbit. Coincidentally, this is close to the same energy contained in 1kg of oil (~42MJ/kg), though capturing that energy will not be 100% efficient. And the energy required to lift the elevator itself should be considered, though it could recover most of that energy during the trip down. Ultimately, the average ~75kg human would probably take around 2 barrels (~280kg) of crude oil to lift to geosynchronous orbit, or 1.5 barrels to put in LEO. (side note: a long flight in a 747 burns nearly 3 barrels of oil per passenger.)

      7 billion people x 2 barrels = 14 billion barrels. That's less than 1% of the current proven oil reserves.

      Of course, we'd probably want to give people a place to live once they reach orbit, but I can't really estimate the total mass of all the equipment needed to sustain the world's population. It seems feasible that between our proven oil reserves, whatever unproven reserves may exist, and the trillions of barrels tied up in shale, there's actually enough oil on the planet to see everyone off to their new life in space.

      --
      How can I believe you when you tell me what I don't want to hear?
    20. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      [[I very much doubt that there is enough fuel on Earth to lift the entire population into a near-Earth orbit]]

      That's not necessary. You only have to lift a breeding set to orbit (or wherever you want to go), and you make new humans there. The short lifespan of humans makes this plan somewhat equivalent on certain timescales.

    21. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 1

      OK I need wooden stakes, shotguns and grenades, stat!

      With his room temperature body, it's clear that we have among us one of the undead!

      It's not clear whether it's a vampire or the start of the zombie apocalypse.

      But trust no-one, and watch your backs!

      --

      -WolfWithoutAClause

      "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
    22. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by postbigbang · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Motor efficiency would go way high as transducers become more effective, too. Add in transmission line efficiency, less loss from heat transfer, and should the material otherwise have little/no environmental impact, could add huge capacity and make mass transportation vastly more cost-effective through electrically-driven trains and transports overall.

      The cost of manufacture of these superconductors and their overall lifecycle costs have to be known, too. Still, very nice to dream about.

      --
      ---- Teach Peace. It's Cheaper Than War.
    23. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One of the limitations of the current system is long distance transmission. Power companies are reluctant to build and use long distance transmission lines because of the power losses incurred. This keeps power generation local (within a few hundred miles) to power consumption. Having loss free long distance transmission opens up possibilities like putting a large wind or solar farm out in the desert, and transporting the power to a major city a thousand miles away. In fact, you can't even begin to consider solar power on a really large scale unless you can somehow deal with the fact that half the planet is dark at any given time. Imagine transmission lines across the Atlantic and Pacific oceans, allowing power to flow to demand from anywhere in the world. Even more mundane transmission problems can be solved with superconductors. With the events in Japan, the sites available for nuclear power plants are sure to be restricted in the future. Its easy to imagine that the whole west coast would be off limits to the construction of such plants. But if we have cheap practical lossless transmission lines, building power plants inland on more tectonically stable ground becomes a viable proposition.

    24. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by tragedy · · Score: 1

      If the superconductors can be kept out in vacuum, isolated from heat-generating parts of the ship, and shielded from sunlight, then the GGGP has a point. The superconductor could be kept cold with minimal cooling (it would still get some heat radiated from the rest of the ship, re-radiated from solar shields, etc.). The problem is that the kind of setup required may not be very practical in many of the places you'd actually want superconductors, such as in propulsion systems.

    25. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Chalnoth · · Score: 5, Informative

      In practice, you can cool satellites pretty darned far. WMAP is cooled to 90K passively. Planck is cooled to 50K passively. So yes, it is very possible to cool satellites to within the superconductivity range of modern high-temperature superconductors.

    26. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 1

      Space is cold.

      Sunlight is hot -- that is, if you're directly exposed to the Sun, you'll pick up a lot of heat. But reflective parasols are dead easy to make and deploy, and don't even have to mass much (think aluminized mylar).

      And once you're in the shade, you're radiating against a 4K background (unless you're in low orbit around something warmer, against which you can also shade yourself). Cold, cold, cold.

      Yes, conduction and convection in standard Earthbound conditions carries heat more quickly. But if you're trying to maintain a temperature below local ambient, this just serves to dump heat in more quickly. In space, you can almost always radiate into a background that's colder than your working temperature.

    27. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Chalnoth · · Score: 2

      There's also the point to be made that high-efficient power transmission over long distances requires high voltage, and there is always some loss in converting to/from the high voltage power for transmission. I'm reasonably sure that there would be far less required in terms of voltage/frequency conversion with superconducting lines. At any rate, we could still reduce long-distance power transmission costs by improving the grid with current technologies, even without room temperature superconductors.

    28. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Chalnoth · · Score: 1

      The temperature of space is 2.725K. That's quite cold. Now, there are some particles in space that are at much higher temperatures. Obviously the particles streaming from the Sun are quite hot, for example. But their very low density means that they don't have all that much impact on the temperatures of objects in our solar system. For most objects in our solar system, that's set just by the thermal radiation from the Sun, and what the objects in question do with said radiation (how much they absorb and how much they emit).

    29. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by crunchygranola · · Score: 1

      ...Ultimately, the average ~75kg human would probably take around 2 barrels (~280kg) of crude oil to lift to geosynchronous orbit, or 1.5 barrels to put in LEO. (side note: a long flight in a 747 burns nearly 3 barrels of oil per passenger.)

      7 billion people x 2 barrels = 14 billion barrels. That's less than 1% of the current proven oil reserves.

      Of course, we'd probably want to give people a place to live once they reach orbit, but I can't really estimate the total mass of all the equipment needed to sustain the world's population. It seems feasible that between our proven oil reserves, whatever unproven reserves may exist, and the trillions of barrels tied up in shale, there's actually enough oil on the planet to see everyone off to their new life in space [emphasis added].

      Since a system of perfect efficiency is assumed for transporting human body mass up to orbit, we can treat this is only a lower bound (very low, the fact that it assumes the fuel cost is half of a typical long 747 flight is a nice tip off that this is the case). But lets stay with this perfect lift to orbit efficiency thing.

      We can easily make some lower bound estimates of the orbital domicile masses (since it is stipulated that we aren't just launching them into orbit to suck vacuum). We have one in orbit right now, the ISS, which has a crew capacity of 6 and a mass of 450,000 kg, or 75,000 kg per person. This immediately increases the orbital energy cost per person by a factor of 1000, so it becomes on the order of 100 times the current proven oil reserves. Clearly fossil fuels aren't going to do it. To really relocate Earth civilization into orbit of course would require placing all of the Earth's economy in orbit also -- producing food, manufacturing, etc. so the mass and energy budget will be much higher than the ISS calculation.

      --
      Second class citizen of the New Gilded Age
    30. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Creepy · · Score: 1

      The problem with mass drivers is the G-forces squishy things (like people) would need to handle. It may be OK for, say, shooting potatoes into space and getting mashed potatoes, though.

      You missed Geothermal (which I like a lot more than solar), but that only works in some areas. I lived in a solar heated house growing up and we relied more on the very inefficient wood burning fireplace for heat at night. They also needed to be kept clean in winter, which really sucked (especially the roof arrays, which I had to clean with a roof rake, which is basically a 20 foot pole with a flat piece of metal at the end, and I'd have to climb a 15 foot ladder first). Cloudy days would slow the solar heaters, but they still would kick in a couple of times a day. IMO, solar is a nice pipe dream - I'd like to see more thorium reactor research, though.

    31. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Skal+Tura · · Score: 2

      Brushless motors can be already 97-98% efficient. Not much to gain there.
      But transmitting the power from battery, to ESC (Electronic Speed Controller) and finally to motor can gain quite a bit. Currently in RC cars you use extremely fine and expensive wiring, yet they tend to burn out now and then as amperages have gone beyond 400A peaks ...

      House wiring will gain some, but 240V is quite a high voltage.

      Car wiring will benefit a lot, the losses are very significant at 12V DC.

      but most of these will require higher than room temperature superconductors. The last 30-40C increase might be the critical one ...

    32. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Skal+Tura · · Score: 1

      Ehrm, in the loop, closed circuit you need impedance definitively (otherwise it would just be an short circuit). But just connecting the other lead? Nothing happens, as nothing is moving!
      The impedance you say is required is the load, ie. light bulb.

    33. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Skal+Tura · · Score: 1

      Petroleum isn't used for rockets, more potent fuels are. ie. hydrogen used to be common, they've now moved on to even more potent fuels. I think they use solids now...

      There's currently nothing else than few chemical fuels which can put out the required mass velocity to get lift to the orbit. More mass velocity per kg of fuel means more payload or cheaper lift off.

      These chemical fuels are damn expensive to produce. Oil based stuff is VERY weak on this kind of stuff (low velocity, need to add oxygen, low energy density).

    34. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Skal+Tura · · Score: 1

      a modern fireplace is an insanely efficient way to heat up your house ....

    35. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For charging electric cars! Small easily handled cables instead of great tree-trunks to plug in if you want to charge in just a minute or two.

    36. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by wagnerrp · · Score: 1

      The most common fuel for liquid rockets are RP-1 and LO2, RP-1 being very pure kerosene. An LH2 rocket is significantly more efficient than an RP-1 rocket, which is in turn significantly more efficient than any solid fueled rocket. It's damn tough to get a solid rocket just into orbit, and trying to get one just to the Moon would require such a high fuel fraction as to be unachievable.

    37. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unless you're in an unfortunate position between two highly emissive masses, or in a convective medium, any reasonably wide shade will ensure temperatures of a few decakelvins, or less. Even between masses, if you position your baffles correctly, you can have spacefloor temperatures - for at least a while longer. And temperature "flows". Build sufficiently big and hot radiators, preferably in the "shade", and you're on the right track. Very Good Mirrors, might be recommendable. Know what? This is a non-issue.

    38. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by pushing-robot · · Score: 1

      Your calculations are off. I pointed out that (assuming a high efficiency transport mechanism) lifting every human to space would require ~1% of *proven* oil reserves. If we need 1000kg of equipment for every 1kg of human, that would only be 10 times current proven reserves. Considering oil shale alone accounts for roughly three times our proven reserves, plus the other unproven reserves, plus all the unexplored deep sea fields, and then all the coal, methane, propane, and other "fuel" sources, plus all the fuel we can generate synthetically, it's quite likely that we could find "enough fuel on earth" to bring up all the equipment as well.

      And the ISS actually makes a rather inefficient form of housing. If we were looking to build an orbiting residence for seven billion people, we wouldn't make a bunch of long metal tubes—we'd probably make a spherical structure with water and radiation-resistant gear on the outside and paper-thin walls on the inside, which would cut the mass-per-occupant dramatically.

      Since we haven't yet built a truly self-contained ecosystem here on earth, it's impossible to estimate the actual mass necessary to support human life indefinitely. And by the time we're ready to start work on such a project, we could very well end up pulling much of the resources from asteroids or the Moon. But I still think that the GGP's statement:

      I very much doubt that there is enough fuel on Earth to lift the entire population into a near-Earth orbit, not to mention the massive amounts of infrastructure required to keep them there, (and breathing).

      is quite wrong, assuming we can build an even moderately efficient transport system.

      --
      How can I believe you when you tell me what I don't want to hear?
    39. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by forand · · Score: 1

      The point is that overall superconductors reduce the total power to heat output of any spacecraft and we have solved the problem of heat dissipation on spacecraft with the exception of near sun craft. So since we CAN dissipate the heat associated with what we currently produce in spacecraft and thus if we can keep the superconductors at the temp needed to be superconductors. That said I don't know why superconductors would be so useful on a spacecraft except for low noise instrumentation.

    40. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by dbIII · · Score: 1

      However, 7% of several TW is quite a lot.
      Also there are conversion losses. Very high voltages are used in transmission to reduce line losses, and if that step is not necessary due to being able to send current at consumer voltages then that's a lot less loss.
      For an example that comes up here a lot, running entire large datacentres on DC instead of per rack may start to make sense if the superconductivity means that the thickness of the conductor is small enough that the power can be distributed by thin cables instead of great big copper bars. That's a big if considering what happens with the high temperature superconductors at large currents now - they go from superconductor to semiconductor/insulator if you subject them to large currents. The point where that change happens will determine how thick your cables or busbars have to be.

      The big thing IMHO is in electricity generation due to the magnetic properties - attach a generator with lightweight superconducting magnets on current turbines and you get more Watts per unit of whatever you burn or whatever spins the thing than if you used existing heavy magnets.

    41. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by sudonim2 · · Score: 1

      Vacuum isn't cold. It's a vacuum. Like in a thermas. You need a shiny structure with a large surface area facing away from the ship to cool things in space. That's why the shuttle kept the bay doors open in space. It's also why the ISS has those shiny panels near their solar arrays. Also energy input from the sun dies off with the square of the distance. So once you're out about 12-15 AU, you can cool a fluid below the boiling point of liquid nitrogen easily.

    42. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The gas temperature in space is high, but at the typical pressure in space it is meaningless. The radiation temperature in space is very low, around 3K, unless you happen to be close to a sun.

    43. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by rtb61 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Shiny surfaces do not radiate heat well, they reflect heat. Dark surfaces radiate heat, the nature of light generated indicates the real surface area of an object at the molecular level.

      The perverse reality is there is no real profitable way to use superconductors. Superconductors save energy, save costs hence as a technology it is to be bitterly opposed by the insanely rich and greedy.

      Cheap energy is an anathema to greed. The cheaper the energy, the less psychopaths are able to exclude others from accessing the benefits. In psychopathic capitalism it is all about exclusion, owning beach front to deny others access to the beach, owning all sources of production to deny wealth to others and, owning politicians to deny others access to democracy. Ostentatious egotistic posing (driven by psychopathy and narcissism) only has impact when the majority are forced to live in poverty.

      The first use of superconductors is in cheap energy, cheap energy is the enemy of psychopathic exclusivity, so what will happen?

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    44. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by fractoid · · Score: 1

      Superconducting doesn't necessarily mean zero impedance. A coil of superconducting wire will still have inductance.

      --
      Rampant carbon sequestration destroyed the Dinosaurs' tropical paradise. I'm here to help repair the damage.
    45. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Dr_Barnowl · · Score: 1

      If they are shiny on top to prevent solar absorbtion, they are probably dark at the rear for maximum radiation ; the reason you see the shiny side most of the time is that the back side of solar panels is not as photogenic as the sun-facing panels.

    46. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Room temperature is around 22 Celsius or 295 kelvin. This temperature is the most comfortable to live in, as it is not too hot, nor too cold.

    47. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by lavaboy · · Score: 1

      gah. I've been in Europe too long. I read that as "Two Thousand Seven Hundred Twenty Five"K.... that's kinda toasty.

      --
      Steve -- If you have to call it a system, you don't know what it is.
    48. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by 0xG · · Score: 1

      >the insanely rich and greedy
      >anathema to greed
      >psychopaths are able to exclude others
      >psychopathic capitalism
      >deny wealth to others
      >deny others access to democracy
      >Ostentatious egotistic posing
      >driven by psychopathy and narcissism
      >majority are forced to live in poverty
      >enemy of psychopathic exclusivity

      Hey, I'll bet you are really fun at parties...

      --
      A pox on web designers who feel that window.innerWidth == screen.availWidth
    49. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Cheap energy is an anathema to greed. -- Really? Energy is a lot cheaper and more available than it was in the whale oil days. And a gallon of gasoline/petrol is still less valuable than a 1960 USA silver quarter. The psychopaths aren't anywhere near as prevalent in the oil industry as they are in the banking industry.

    50. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you seriously saying there is no profitable way to use a technology because it is cheaper than the earlier alternatives? I think you are confused about this word "profit".

      Cheap new technologies are often opposed by old entrenched interests, but only when it isn't the entrenched interest who stands to benefit from adoption of the new tech. I'm pretty sure power companies would be thrilled to switch to superconducting lines for long-distance transmission if they could, and I'm sure all the MRI machines in your local hospital would use room-temperature superconductors if they were as good as the liquid-helium-cooled ones.

      High critical-temperature superconductors were discovered when I was in college, and for a while all the physics profs were running around like excited headless chickens. But they still haven't made it up to room temperature; mainly they need to be cooled with liquid nitrogen. Still, liquid nitrogen is vastly cheaper and easier to store and transport than liquid helium, which traditional superconductors require.

      But high-TC superconductors haven't taken the world by storm because they're such crappy materials they're really hard to work with-- they're all brittle ceramics that require special manufacturing processes-- and their performance characteristics at high temperatures are nowhere near as good as traditional low-TC superconductors. Not because entrenched interests secretly worked to keep them off the market.

    51. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow! What a rant! You appear to be typical of the paranoids who believe that all rich people are greedy. I am rich by some people's standards, but not very wealthy compared to people I know and deal with, and most of them are generous, happy people. You need to get a life.

    52. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually cheap energy can feed greed. When you aren't spending money on electricity, you are able to spend that money on things that consume electricity. Cheap electricity equals more iPads, electric cars, computers, lightbulbs, etc etc.

    53. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by HArchH · · Score: 1

      What will happen is that people will write more clearly to avoid sounding needlessly pompous when they write ridiculous opinions.

    54. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      I don't see anything particularly wrong with your comment, you shouldn't denigrate yourself like that. It is only a forum, people come here to read and express their opinion, for fun. I know the marketdroid trolls get paid but then speeling, punctation, gamma, werd abuss are they're butt fuck, for the rest of us, sometimes we proof read and sometimes we don't, the sky wont fall, the world wont cease and it's always more fun to annoy the crap out of grammar, spelling and punctuation nazis than it is to proof read.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    55. Re:Perspective, people, perspective by Stargoat · · Score: 1

      The metric system is the tool of the devil! My Gabriel Fahrenheit mercury thermometer has 2 inches at freezing point, 16 inches at distilled water boiling, and that's the way I likes it.

      --
      Hoist Number One and Number Six.
  2. Dinner by Pino+Grigio · · Score: 1

    I could levitate my dinner plate, replacing the need for cushions on my sofa.

    1. Re:Dinner by arth1 · · Score: 2

      Let's be realistic here. Like so many other technological advances, what's going to make it take off is SEX.
      Levitating sex will sell, I have no doubts.

      From there, the applications will (if you excuse the language) trickle down to more mundane uses. I'm sure there are lots of kitchen uses, for example. But sex first, cause that's where the money is.

    2. Re:Dinner by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Levitating sex? Clearly you don't have much sex involving two or more consenting adults if you think this is what would sell.

    3. Re:Dinner by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      The sleeping plates Niven describes in several of his books sound pretty good actually. Although you could argue they're good for sleeping, as well as sex.

  3. CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by Artem+S.+Tashkinov · · Score: 1

    That is where I want room-temperature superconductors first of all.

    100% computational efficiency, 0% heat release, no fans/ventilators/etc, almost completely quite computer (except for rotational HDDs and PSUs).

    1. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by vlm · · Score: 1

      I thought virtually all the loss in a modern processor (post mid-1980s) was reactive not resistive.

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    2. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by amorsen · · Score: 4, Informative

      100% computational efficiency, 0% heat release

      You can't do that. Any non-reversible computation causes an increase in entropy, and reversible computation is not particularly practical. Achieving practical reversible computation would be a leap at least as large as room temperature superconductors.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    3. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by gmaslov · · Score: 5, Informative
      I may be wrong but I don't believe superconducting logic would allow for zero heat release during computations; not unless we also adopt reversible computing, due to the theoretical minimum amount of heat generated whenever an irreversible bit operation is performed. On the other hand, this limit is so low that for all practical foreseeable purposes it may as well be zero.

      </pedantic>

    4. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Reactive losses can be counteracted entirely by load balancing. If processors were mostly reactive loads laptops would last a very long time without a charge.

      Resistance is the resistivity of the material times the length of the conductor over the cross-sectional area of the conductor. Every time you hear a new amazingly tiny feature size for a new processor the cross-sectional area of the conductor is shrinking.

    5. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      You should be able to get a great improvement though. The current semiconductors aren't operating anywhere close to theoretical limits.

    6. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most of the loss is resistance in the transistors themselves. A transistor that is on like a resistor with moderately low resistance. A transistor that is off is like a resistor with higher resistance. Superconductors can't help with that unless you ditch the transistor concept altogether.

    7. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by zAPPzAPP · · Score: 1

      I don't see how superconducting would help with cumputing.
      You want to send as little current into your cpu as possible. The current it does draw results from switching transistors and leaking current through a blocking transistor.
      The logic is based on voltage levels, not current. In an ideal (theoretical) cpu you would have distinct voltage levels over infinite resistors and instantly switching transistors, so that it works without drawing any current at all.
      Superconducting is the last thing you'd want.

    8. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by rgbatduke · · Score: 3, Interesting

      First of all, mod+1 for the reference to the minimum amount of heat -- I knew that such a limit existed but it was good to see the estimate and have links to the formal argument and beyond. Second, while we may or may not be able to reduce the heat released from the bits themselves as they change state, room temperature superconductors will still make two very significant improvements in processor design. First, reducing the resistance of everything BUT the bits will reduce the heat released by a chip by a nontrivial amount, rather a nontrivial fraction -- presuming that one can lay down the superconductor in VLSI circuits and mass produce them, as opposed to build them a molecule at a time. Second, electrical superconductors are usually thermal superconductors as well.

      It is this latter property that is probably by far the most important. Note e.g. this article: http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2003/11/031112072719.htm -- if one were able to make the base of a chip out of a superconductor in good thermal contact with the actual semiconductor matrix a thin film on top of it, and couple that base directly to a superconducting heat sink, one could e.g. produce 10x to 50x the heat in the actual CPU and still remove it fast enough to keep the chip itself sufficiently cool. If the traces within the chip itself were superconducting, if clever use of superconducting material let one reduce the heat associated with switching closer to the limit, so much the better. Ultimately, it would probably mean that one could run chips at higher voltage and higher clock to produce faster reliable switching and still deal with the heat.

      I don't have time to do a formal estimate of the speedup possible, but I'm guestimating that a real thermal superconductor -- one with "zero" resistance to the flow of heat -- suitable for use as the base material for a chip would permit a very rapid scale-up of chip speed by up to an order of magnitude in clock or effective clock. It also might make it possible to build a three dimensional CPU -- one reason chips are 2D is so that one can get the heat out; if one had a thermal/electrical superconductor one could in principle stack up layers and scale performance by one or more orders of magnitude, at first multiple cores on steroids but all at much higher clocks, later true 3d design and layout.

      In any event, the impact would very probably be profound, at least if the hypothetical RTS was cheap and suitable for nanoscale integration as a substrate and/or trace material (and functioned as a thermal superconductor as well as noted).

      Still, I think that simply eliminating resistivity in power transmission would have the greatest societal impact. PV solar power, for example, "instantly" becomes feasible because one can generate in the Mojave and use the electricity in Maine without transmission loss. That isn't huge, that is game-changing enormous. The Sahara become the electrical source for Europe and Africa, India for Asia, etc. Depending on the hypothetical materials magnetic properties (big if, actually!) it may well revolutionize electrical motor design, maglev trains and roadways, and more, but just letting us move power for free to where we use it makes Edison have the last laugh over Tesla -- human civilization can convert to low voltage DC electrical service. A civilization run on 5 VDC would make electrocution a historical oddity from pre-RTS times -- one can manage to kill yourself with as little as 9 volts (see my favorite Darwin Award, "Resistance is Futile" -- http://www.darwinawards.com/darwin/darwin1999-50.html) but 50 mA should be below the fatal threshold even for somebody that tries very hard.

      rgb

      --
      Even when the experts all agree, they may well be mistaken. --- Bertrand Russell.
    9. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's idiotic. Can you imagine the space that would require? And "load balancing" is not the term you want. It's either "neutralisation" (old school radio term) or "resonance". Please show how you would build inductors in a modern IC process, then tell me how efficient it would be, and the area required...

    10. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't know what your point is supposed to be about the resistivity and shrinking - the length shrinks proportionally with the cross sectional area so nothing changes.

    11. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by Carewolf · · Score: 2

      Reversible computing is not that hard, you just have to use reversible operations. You will need an instruction to throw away data though to be Turing complete though, but at least it would make the non-reversible instruction very clear.

      Almost all math operation can be written as a reversible operation by make the operation produce a result and remainder.

      A + B : ADDSUB(A,B) => (A+B, A-B)
      A * B: MULMOD(A,B) => (A*B, A # B)
      etc.

    12. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by dr2chase · · Score: 2

      Unfortunately, not, not for more recent definitions of modern. We lose a pretty fair amount of energy now through "insulators", or so I was told by a chip designer once. Ah, not quite insulators, but "off" MOSFETs: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Subthreshold_leakage

      So we don't need better conductors, we need better not-conductors.

    13. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by fast+turtle · · Score: 1

      The first area I'd love to see improvements are the transportation fields. Think about converting all those commercial trucks/ships to hybrids with better electric motors powered by turbines. Instead of that damn semi getting a meager 6mpg, it could now see 30+ for the same weights and the companies could afford to pay their drivers better. How about practical EV's with usable range in the 1800Km/300 Mile range. Pull into a fuel/recharge station that uses Super Caps in the pump and recharge/fuel in the same time. Makes them usable for me. Could we improve PV efficiency enough to make them worthwhile for the car roof? Get them to 50+ efficiency and I could see driving to work in the morning and regaining 2/3-3/4 of what you used getting there. Almost free fuel then.

      There are so many area's where these could improve our lives. As someone else pointed out, a Space Elevator but instead of 1 we'd need 4 of them placed on the eqautor with a Ring Connecting them. Move heavy industry up there where the power is available and get started mining the asteroid belt. Space here we come.

      --
      Mod me up/Mod me down: I wont frown as I've no crown
    14. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by delt0r · · Score: 2

      So how would you implement a hash function then? Or some iterative functions? Reversible does not work for anything remotely practical. Quite simply there are more inputs than outputs.

      Of course we are so far away from the kT limit per bit that we don't really need it either. At least for a very long while.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    15. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by MattskEE · · Score: 1

      As far as I know all superconductors have a critical current density, above which point the magnetic field generated in the wire exerts enough force on the electrons that the wire is no longer a superconductor, which means at low voltage to sustain the large currents the wires would need to be much thicker. In-town distribution before transformer conversion to +/-120V is often at around 4kV, the superconducting wire would need 800 times the area to run at 5V. The massive current levels would also result in extreme problems designing fuses and switches for substations, power lines, and customer entry points. It's even harder if the current is DC instead of AC because there is no current zero crossing to help extinguish the arc. Distribution and transmission voltages could certainly be lowered, but there will be problems lowering it by over an order of magnitude which probably outweigh the small number of people who electrocute themselves.

      While 9V can be fatal, 40V is a rule of thumb lower safety limit valid under most reasonable conditions. Actual fatal voltages can vary dramatically due to skin resistance varying over orders of magnitude and whether the current path goes close to your heart or not. To be in danger below 40V generally requires (as in your Darwin award) penetration of the skin, or contact over large areas with water.

    16. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Pipe anything you don't need to /dev/null. Problem solved.

    17. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by tragedy · · Score: 2

      length shrinks proportionally with the cross sectional area so nothing changes

      All other things being equal, no it doesn't. The cross sectional area is two dimensional, whereas the length is one dimensional. This is really basic stuff. If you need an illustrative example, consider a bar with a square cross section. We will set the length of our example bar to ten times its other edges. We'll call the length of the cross-sectional square's edges n. So, the cross sectional area will be n^2 and the length will be 10n for any given n.
      For n=10, cross section is 100 and length is 100 so ratio is 1/1
      For n=9, cross section is 81 and length is ,90 so ratio is 9/10
      For n=8, cross section is 64 and length is ,80 so ratio is 4/5
      For n=7, cross section is 49 and length is ,70 so ratio is 7/10
      For n=6, cross section is 36 and length is ,60 so ratio is 3/5
      For n=5, cross section is 25 and length is ,50 so ratio is 1/2
      For n=4, cross section is 16 and length is 40, so ratio is 2/5
      For n=3, cross section is 9 and length is 30, so ratio is 3/10
      For n=2, cross section is 4 and length is 20, so ratio is 1/5
      For n=1, cross section is 1 and length is 10, so ratio is 1/10
      So, by scaling down the length of the bar by a factor of 10, without altering the shape, the ratio of cross-section to length went from 1/1 to 1/10. Scaling down the length by another factor of ten would yield a ratio of 1/100 and so forth and so on.

    18. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by mdmkolbe · · Score: 3, Interesting

      This is an active area of research because at the quantum level everything is reversable. If the hardware implementation difficulties of quantum computers ever get solved, we need to have both theories and "practical" languages to handle it. (By "practical" I mean one that actually looks like programming versus "programming" in terms of Hilbert spaces.)

      My understanding is that to implement a hash function you have one of two choices. The first is to pay the "kT" cost by calling the "erase" operator (i.e. pipe it to /dev/null). The second is to have it generate "garbage" bits. These bits provide enough information for the computation to be reversed and are not hard to define (even for something like hash functions). For example, with a hash function, the data from which the hash was computed can be used as the garbage. By carrying the garbage bits around instead of erasing them, you might be able to (1) use them in some other computation, (2) be able to localize where and when you pay the heat cost of the garbage, or (3) be able to cheaply backtract the computation.

      If you are interested in this, James and Sabry ("Information Effects" POPL 2012, "The Two Dualities of Computation", etc.) are actively developing the foundational theories of a language for programming in a reversable language (disclaimer: the authors are both personal friends of mine). Their stuff might still be a bit heavy for Joe Programmer, but it should be accessable to anyone familiar with higher-order, typed languages.

    19. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So up the voltage to 500V? More Watts at lower Amps. Problem solved.

      What you're describing is pretty much the same problem they had with submarine cables:
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Submarine_communications_cable
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Submarine_power_cable

    20. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by AdamHaun · · Score: 3, Informative

      The inefficiency of modern digital circuits comes from two things:

      1. Leakage through gate oxides (insulators) and switched-off transistors (semiconductor action).
      2. Charging and discharging transistor gates during turn-on and turn-off (capacitance).

      Unfortunately, superconductors won't help with either of those. Even switching power supplies lose a lot of power through transistor switching and diode drops. For most electronic products, imperfect semiconductor devices are a bigger problem than imperfect conductors.

      --
      Visit the
    21. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by rgbatduke · · Score: 1

      Sure, the Darwin award went to somebody that went absurdly out of his way to circumvent the normal resistance of his skin, although I've gotten a hell of a kick messing with 12V car batteries in a rainstorm with just a bit of dissolved corrosion on the poles and my fingers to help get through the skin.

      And also agreed -- the problem with superconductors is that it isn't enough "just" to get zero resistance at room temperature, you need it to remain a superconductor under the kind of loads you intend once you get there. But we are building a fantasy world in the first place with RTSs in the first place, so I'm free to choose the furniture.

      Besides, if we could build a RTS cheaply, then (again depending on its specific physics) that are likely many ways to make an end-run around current limits (although possibly not with DC). For example, building large waveguides with superconducting walls and beaming the energy end to end with large resonant masers. It's difficult even to speculate about the engineering, though, without a concrete material with specific properties to speculate about. In all probability, if we do make "room temperature" with superconductors, the superconductivity we see when we get there will be too limited for most uses. But perhaps not. That's the fun of it -- the science fiction speculation:-)

      rgb

      --
      Even when the experts all agree, they may well be mistaken. --- Bertrand Russell.
    22. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by fatphil · · Score: 1

      "the ratio of cross-section to length "

      doesn't exist. A ratio has no dimensions, the above has dimension 'distance'.
      If you measure it with different units, its value changes. It seems that you were attempting to correct a similar misconception in the parent post, but you've fallen for the same trap as him.

      --
      Also FatPhil on SoylentNews, id 863
    23. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by Carewolf · · Score: 1

      So how would you implement a hash function then? Or some iterative functions?

      As I said, to be Turing complete you need to add instructions that throw away data, but that doesn't mean you can not calculate the same results as we usually do, you just accumulate "garbage" data. Whenever you use an instruction that throws away this garbage the program stops being reversible.

      For many calculations you can keep large parts of the computation reversible, and then only make iterations non-reversible. The more reversible you keep the programming the more power it will be possible to save.

    24. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      I am not a process engineer, so I may be wrong here, but I seem to recall that another big problem silicon chips face is electron tunneling, in which an insulator fails to insulate. Because a superconductor would provide less resistance to electron flow, I would expect a superconductive trace in a silicon chip to be less prone to such problems. If that is correct, then I would expect superconductors to make higher yields possible at smaller die sizes, which would help with one of the causes of inefficiency, assuming that the reduced resistance doesn't just replace one problem with a different problem somewhere else.

      Again, though, IANAPE, so I could be off by a mile.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    25. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think you would see a bigger advantage in inductors and transformers where most efficiency is lost, most of these are in the psu.
      So i think what we would see is smaller more efficient power supply's. now if only we could get rid of leakage current in semiconductors and capacitors we would probably eliminate the need for cooling the computer.
      (Note that the traces inside the CPU can be made with superconductors, and that would also help cool the computer. Though not as greatly as in the inductors because most of the heat generated in a cpu comes from the switching of semiconductors.)

    26. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by tragedy · · Score: 1

      I think you're a bit confused about what I was saying. I was plotting growth of length vs growth of area as an object increases in size without changing shape. The ratios I gave _were_ dimensionless. If I could have put in a graph, I would have, but ascii art typically won't get past the lameness filter, and doesn't come out too well without fixed width fonts. You can't directly compare length units to area units, but you can compare their _growth_. That's why I didn't use units. I didn't fall for any trap.

    27. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It would reduce the RC time constant so yes it would reduce rise and fall time and allow for operation at higher frequency. High end processes use copper(not aluminum) for a reason, it has low resistance. It might also allow for longer interconnects with less clock skew, more hardware on a single core at higher speeds instead of having to partition to multiple cores. Yes you are increasing the parasitic reactance but reducing the time constant should help.

    28. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Pure reactances do not dissipate. This is about as basic as electricity gets.

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    29. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      I looked into this at the 0.35 micron node, and I assume it would apply equally well at smaller dimensions. It is not possible to make a low loss inductor in a conventional semiconductor process, and for the values that would be appropriate (low enough inductance to not degrade performance too much, high enough inductance to allow a substantial portion of supply voltage to appear across the inductor while transistors are switching) a Q of about 1 is all that can be achieved. So, maybe, maybe, a 50% power reduction could be achieved. However, even this little boost introduces problems, as the conductor will see some resonance and there's an added risk of breakdown from voltage stress caused by that resonance. The inductor might not require more area than the gate or flipflop it's associated with, but it would use up (i.e. block) 2 layers of metal, at least, which makes the IC more expensive.

      I think the low Q of the inductor is due to the inductor coupling its magnetic field into the substrate or other lossy bits of semiconductor, so the inductor gets better the higher the metal layer is up off the substrate. That also makes layout more expensive (and less dense).

      In short, if my evaluation was correct, building in inductors is barely possible, but not practical for most applications.

      --
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    30. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by Inoen · · Score: 1

      Why not go all the way and have a thermal wires in addition to electric wires in the house? Need cooling for an electric appliance? Just plug it into the cold socket. Heat for a cup of coffee? Use the hot socket.

      All the heat+cold could be collected in a Stirling engine, or even go all the way back to the power plant for "recycling".

    31. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by rgbatduke · · Score: 1

      Actually a very "cool" idea. Larry Niven used it in his Ringworld series, but it isn't the worse for it.

      --
      Even when the experts all agree, they may well be mistaken. --- Bertrand Russell.
    32. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by delt0r · · Score: 1

      Non reversible is non reversible. If i hash a 1Gbyte file well that is a lot to throw out, ie about 1Gbyte. Even a simple sum of a list of numbers is the same, you don't want a 1Gig sum at the end, you want a ~64 bit number or whatever. Many if not most useful algorithms have much larger inputs to outputs. Since deleting or dev nulling or whatever all that extra information is not reversible, then these algorithms cannot be applied in a reversible way. Since its not reversible, and the argument to solve the fundamental kT cost by using reversible computation is wrong. It can't work for most cases.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    33. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by delt0r · · Score: 1

      Name any useful way to not have just plain silly amounts of "garbage" results for reversibility for even something as simple as calculate the standard deviation and mean of 5 billion numbers.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    34. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by AdamHaun · · Score: 1

      Interesting. Thanks for the info.

      --
      Visit the
    35. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by Carewolf · · Score: 1

      By not throwing away the input.

    36. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by fatphil · · Score: 1

      But you said "the ratio of cross-section to length". That dimension l^2 : l, always.

      --
      Also FatPhil on SoylentNews, id 863
    37. Re:CPUs/GPUs/SOCs/etc by tragedy · · Score: 1

      But when I wrote: "the ratio of cross-section to length" I thought it would be clear to anyone from context (context in this case being the rest of the sentence that you excerpted the quote from) that I wasn't talking about some sort of general cross section to length ratio, but specifically about the relation of the unit-less cross-section to the unit-less length as the length increases and the shape remains the same. You can't just take a portion of a sentence and say: "aha, that phrase, taken by itself, is incorrect!"

      Incidentally, your sentence: "That dimension l^2 : l, always", is incorrect. That is to say, it's correct (sort of) in the context I was using, but since you're ignoring that context in order to claim I'm wrong, it makes you wrong. You haven't specified that the shape remains the same and we're scaling equally in all three dimensions. If the context is a piece of rope with a constant thickness and you change the length, then you aren't going to have any such relationship between the cross-section and the length. If you don't ignore my context, then all the examples I gave work out to l^2:l.

      The thing about this is that we both know that the original poster had a huge misconception about how things scale. We also both know that I don't have that misconception. This means that we should at least be able to agree that you don't think that I misunderstand the concept, you're just being pedantic about how I phrased things.

  4. the answer by Tom · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The most realistic answer, but not the one you want to hear, is: Nobody really knows.

    If history teaches us one thing than it is that we are horrible at predicting the outcomes of anything major. In hindsight, we can "explain" things, but our predictions suck so badly, it's a surprise we haven't given up on the subject. And that's for both experts and non-experts.

    Nobody came even close to predicting the impact of computers. Or electricity. People didn't think WW1 would become the slaughterhouse it did. There are refugees around the globe who are living in "temporary" shelters, waiting to return home because the conflict will surely be over any day now. Some of them have been waiting for a decade and more.

    The real impact of this technology, as most, will most likely not be anything that anyone today predicts, but something that someone in the future comes up with that nobody thought of before. That includes the inventors. I don't think Graham Bell ever thought that "please turn off your mobile phones" would be a screen shown in these newfangled movie theatres that just came about in his time.

    --
    Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    1. Re:the answer by Mikkeles · · Score: 3, Funny

      Well, obviously, like every other industrial advance in the last few hundred years, it will cause cows' milk to sour, the sun to stop rising and setting, and cancer.

      --
      Great minds think alike; fools seldom differ.
    2. Re:the answer by TheRaven64 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You can't predict everything, but you can predict some things. Before the Internet, people could look at networks and think that it would be possible to replace mail order shops and newspapers with a network connection, for example. It's a small leap to go from board games to imagining a machine that could sit in your living room and let you play any board game you wanted on a screen. It's a bigger leap to go from that to the kinds of computer game we have available today.

      There are some very obvious applications for room-temperature superconductors, if they could be made cheap enough. The most obvious is long power lines. For example, a moderate sized solar power plant in the middle of the Sahara desert could provide Europe with most of the power that it needs quite easily, but the transmission losses make it unfeasible. With a superconducting power line, it would be just as cheap as local solar power. Taking this a step further, you could have a power ring going all around the world so that there would always be sun shining somewhere and feeding in power. This would cause quite massive changes to the economics of power generation and distribution.

      Another obvious place is in transportation. Maglev trains can run very efficiently now, but with room temperature superconductors the cost of building the track would be much lower (you could use electromagnets that would permanently keep their charge and wouldn't require cooling).

      Basically, anything that uses magnets or relies on power distribution would suddenly become massively more efficient. More importantly, perhaps, a lot of things that currently use ball bearings and other anti-friction devices could be modified to use electromagnets instead.

      It's also worth remembering that superconductors are not just free of electrical resistance, they also have a constant temperature along their lengths. This would make them perfect for anything involving heat redistribution, if they could maintain their superconducting property up to around 350-400 Kelvin. For example, you could easily make a small fanless computer if you could cote the whole of the outside in a layer of superconductor with a pad touching the top of the CPU - the entire case would be a heat sink, and the CPU would never get hotter than the case. House heating systems would be similarly simplified. Rather than having a boiler that heated water and then pumped it through radiators, your radiators could just be coated in a superconducting material with superconducting wires leading into the boiler. As you heated up the end in the boiler, you'd heat up all of the radiators. More efficient and also simpler to build. Not to mention being easier to extend - you could add another radiator by just running a wire from an existing one...

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    3. Re:the answer by TornCityVenz · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If history teaches us anything, The first use would somehow be related to Porn.

      --
      I Need someone to rebuild a Digitech Digital Delay pedal for me....for me...for me...for me.
    4. Re:the answer by nickersonm · · Score: 3, Informative

      No, superconductors are not thermally superconductive, just electrically. Niven made a mistake there.

    5. Re:the answer by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      This is a typical technologist prediction. I predict, after watching our economy, that there will be SO much resistance from companies who are on one side powerful and on the other side the biggest losers from such developments that it won't happen, no matter how sensible it would be. Instead, we'll probably get the same kind of power plants of today with higher efficiency and people thinking it's great that we now waste less power on transportation.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    6. Re:the answer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Actually current high-voltage direct current (HVDC) lines have remarkedly low losses - Wikipedia says about 3% per 1Mm.

    7. Re:the answer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      About a conductive ring around the globe, would there be a danger of inverting north/south pole if you make too much current flow in the wrong direction around the globe? What if AC is used instead of DC? What would be "too much current"?

    8. Re:the answer by Ironhandx · · Score: 0

      This is a stat I see quoted quite often, and its so wrong I keep wondering how it stays alive.

      Basically over half of the losses actually happen while stepping up the power for transmission or stepping it back down for use at the other end.

      Yes the LINES only lose 3% but the process to step the power up and down lose an additional 4% or more. As the transformers age the loss goes up.

      As solar power is only barely on the edge of viable right now, with subsidies, taking an additional 7% hit pushes it over the edge into non-viable town.

    9. Re:the answer by khallow · · Score: 1

      I predict, after watching our economy, that there will be SO much resistance from companies who are on one side powerful and on the other side the biggest losers from such developments that it won't happen, no matter how sensible it would be

      What won't happen?

      Instead, we'll probably get the same kind of power plants of today with higher efficiency and people thinking it's great that we now waste less power on transportation.

      First, that's the prediction that was made. Second, those people would be right. We're not going to get radically different sorts of power plants because there aren't radically different sorts of power plants to get. They're almost all heat engines in the end.

      And it would be great if we were using a lot less energy on transportation.

      As to "powerful corporations", they haven't ever been powerful enough to prevent the future.

    10. Re:the answer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's also worth remembering that superconductors are not just free of electrical resistance, they also have a constant temperature along their lengths.

      No, superconductors are poor conductors of heat. It's actually one of the properties of superconductors, there's a distinct swing in thermal conductivity near the transition temp, before dropping with temperature.

      "Ordinarily a large electrical conductivity is accompanied by a large thermal conductivity, as in the case of copper, used in electrical wiring and cooking pans. However, the thermal conductivity of a pure superconductor is less in the superconducting state than in the normal state, and at very low temperatures approaches zero. Crudely speaking, the explanation for the association of infinite electrical conductivity with vanishing thermal conductivity is that the transport of heat requires the transport of disorder (entropy). The superconducting state is one of perfect order (zero entropy), and so there is no disorder to transport and therefore no thermal conductivity." Link

    11. Re:the answer by newcastlejon · · Score: 1

      Pity. Is there an analogue (even theoretical) to electrical superconductors that would work along the lines that Niven described?

      A superconductor of heat might be almost as significant a discovery as the electrical ones.

      --
      If God forks the Universe every time you roll a die, he'd better have a damned good memory.
    12. Re:the answer by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      You just put two lines there, each with current in an oposite direction. The same way people do transimission lines today.

    13. Re:the answer by dwye · · Score: 1

      And it would be fattening.

      On the bright side, if we can believe the Roadrunner cartoons, it should make satellite retrieval and anvil delivery fairly easy.

    14. Re:the answer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Superfluid helium, Bose-Einstein Condensates. True thermal superconductors need to be in an identical or overlapping quantum state. In theory, you can get close to the effect you want with carbon nanotubes; but it involves vibrations moving down the tubes which is blocked when they are mixed in with another material, so not in practice.

    15. Re:the answer by khallow · · Score: 1

      If history teaches us one thing than it is that we are horrible at predicting the outcomes of anything major. In hindsight, we can "explain" things, but our predictions suck so badly, it's a surprise we haven't given up on the subject. And that's for both experts and non-experts.

      The reason that we haven't given up is that there is some value in the attempt. And you ignore scope. Predicting what's going to happen in 500 years isn't going to be remotely accurate, but predicting near future applications of superconductors (should they come out today) is not a vast, open-ended problem.

    16. Re:the answer by jpapon · · Score: 1

      you could easily make a small fanless computer if you could cote the whole of the outside in a layer of superconductor with a pad touching the top of the CPU

      Just remember, whatever you do, for god sakes don't touch that computer!! All of the heat in your hand would be sucked out instantly!!!

      --
      -- Let us endeavor so to live that when we pass even the undertaker shall be sorry. -- M. Twain
    17. Re:the answer by fermion · · Score: 1
      We are horrible at predicting, but we do have some potential applications now. For instance, in the US we have three different power grids with three slightly set of specifications. Hooking these up directly is counter-indicated, as failures can cascade into blackouts over large geographical areas, but using superconducting materials it is likely we can connect the three grids. In fact such a project is now underway. The benefit is that blackouts will be less likely as power can be efficiently shared.

      There is another question is do we need 'room temperature superconductivity'. Even if we get to actual room temperature, say 300K, there will still be some level of temperature control as superconductive cables are going to be highly sensitive to temperature. It is not always that 80F is the high temperature, so coolant is going to be fact of life for these conductors for the foreseeable future. Therefore through the 90's the march was to high temperature superconductivity that functioned at around 100K rather than 10K. 100K allows us to cool with liquid nitrogen, which is cheap, widely available, and not so dangerous to use.. In the past 10 years there have been some superconductors that could utilize a chilled water system in a high pressure environment.

      One application we may see is DC transmission of power. Currently much of the power we use is consumed by DC devices. We transform to DC using devices that are usually no better than 50% efficient. We can get to 80% efficient, but that is still is a 20% loss. If we were to supply DC power to the house, then we only need a dc to dc converter which can be upward of 90% efficient.

      --
      "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
    18. Re:the answer by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      The prediction was that we'd get cheap solar power from the Sahara. Won't happen.

      And apparently there are corporations powerful enough to prevent the future. For reference, see content industry.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    19. Re:the answer by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      "Niven made a mistake there."

      Not necessarily. Room temperature superconductors will likely have to work on an entirely different principle to current superconductors. Room temperature superconductivity might well involve ordered behaviour in the phonons as well as the electrons.

    20. Re:the answer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, you always seem to be the real nutter in these threads. Classic obsessive monomania.

    21. Re:the answer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, obviously, like every other industrial advance in the last few hundred years, it will cause cows' milk to sour, the sun to stop rising and setting, and cancer.

      With the media's inevitable "Women, minorities and children hardest hit" meme deployed incessantly.

    22. Re:the answer by Tom · · Score: 2

      You can't predict everything, but you can predict some things.

      In common english, we call this guessing. And when we evaluate examples from the past, we almost always make several mistakes that lead us to believe that our past prediction performance was much better than it really was. Taleb calls that phenomenon "silent evidence", meaning that when we look back, we usually miss a lot of the errors that were made.

      There is one and only one way to correctly evaluate predictions, and that is to keep a spotless record of all the predictions made. If you don't have that complete record, you are pretty much guaranteed to fall for one of the many traps.

      Specifically, the examples you list are true, and I'm sure someone made those predictions. But a thousand other people have made other predictions at the same time that strike us as cute and silly today. We filter those out, or don't give them the credit they deserve, namely the same one that the prediction that came to pass has.

      I'm not talking about the obvious appliances here. It was obvious to WW2-era people that computers would be useful for ballistics calculations. The fact that we use them for that today isn't what is revolutionary, the revolutionary part is the extend to which our entire world runs on computers, and the many things we use them for that nobody really thought about until someone did it. Try to explain the Facebook App on your iPhone to an imaginary WW2-era computer technician.

      My point is that the really revolutionary application will very likely be something that none of us even think about.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    23. Re:the answer by dwye · · Score: 1

      MOD this up, as Informative.

    24. Re:the answer by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      a Space Nutter like Raven here

      Wow, you really haven't read any of my posts in space related stories, have you...

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    25. Re:the answer by TheRaven64 · · Score: 2

      Yup, I accepted that without checking, and on further reflection it appears that it's nonsense. Please consider the last paragraph of my post retracted.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    26. Re:the answer by khallow · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The prediction was that we'd get cheap solar power from the Sahara. Won't happen.

      I certainly won't get cheap solar power from the Sahara, but that's because I live in the US. Europe is a different story and they're already starting prototype plants.

      And apparently there are corporations powerful enough to prevent the future. For reference, see content industry.

      Trying is not the same as succeeding. For example, Cnut the Great tried to command the tide (coincidentally, to show to his subjects the ephemeral power of kings, a point relevant to our discussion today) and we wouldn't claim that he succeeded just because he made an attempt. Similarly, we wouldn't claim that the "content industry" has succeeded in "preventing the future" merely because they've tried legal ploys to maintain their business models.

    27. Re:the answer by tragedy · · Score: 1

      While not a perfect conductor of heat, diamond is incredibly good at it. The rigidity of the crystalline structure is what makes it such a good heat conductor. Diamonds are used as heat sinks in some applications for this reason. The required rigid structure does limit the practicality for some applications. Carbon nanotubes are also very good conductors of heat along their lengths. So, bundles of very long carbon nanotubes could presumably make good flexible heat pipes.

    28. Re:the answer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Pity. Is there an analogue (even theoretical) to electrical superconductors that would work along the lines that Niven described?

      A superconductor of heat might be almost as significant a discovery as the electrical ones.

      It's called Helium II. When liquid helium is cooled to a few Kelvin, it enters a superfluid state. Any heat applied will cause a heat wave, similar to a sound wave, that will dissipate the added heat. Quote the wiki:

      "The thermal conductivity of helium II is greater than that of any other known substance, a million times that of helium I and several hundred times that of copper."

    29. Re:the answer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and cancer

      Only in the state of California.

    30. Re:the answer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      counter-indicated

      contraindicated

    31. Re:the answer by DadLeopard · · Score: 1

      One thing that we could foresee is that it would make solar power viable on a large scale. It would solve the problem of transmission from large scale solar power sources in ideal locations, like the Sahara to their point of use in the rest of the world!

    32. Re:the answer by Skal+Tura · · Score: 1

      ehrm .... So you take a bit, maybe 35% of the solar power radiating to sahara.
      Then you transport that energy to europe ... and guess what? USE that energy. What happens to it at that point? Yeah heat.

      Sahara is quite a light color not sucking up that much, but radiating a lot of the heat back, so when you add the black solar panels more of the energy remains there, being probably close to net +/- 0 or maybe even slightly on the gain side for sahara.

      The amount less radiated back from sahara, some of which would escape earth again, is also less heat all around the earth (scatters).
      But you would also shutdown plants @ europe, resulting in less heat generation there of roughly equal amount. So it will be also at europe +/- 0 difference.
      A lot of that was probably fossil fuels, you can now mark a NEGATIVE net gain on heat(=energy), as less from the fossil fuels is released (like a epic scale battery).
      Less fossil fuels used equals also less Co2, which equals to less heat trapped & gained.
      Turning that very slight heat gain in sahara to an neutral position, if not negative, in total global heat gain.

      So... Rethink a little bit.

      If anything, more of solar energy is being trapped, but at the same time lowered Co2 in atmosphere results in less being trapped by atmosphere ...

    33. Re:the answer by Skal+Tura · · Score: 1

      DC-DC power conversion is actually very tricky, expensive operation. Many times often doing by transforming it back to AC, then back to DC ...

      Also, AC-DC power supplies reach 97% efficiency (in servers) nowadays. Common high end computer power supply does 90% or better nowadays, average computer power supply does 80%+.
      The cheap chinese wall "bricks" are also around 80-85% efficiency mark....

      But let's say, directly DC from solar panels anywhere in the world, without power conversion needs... Yeah that'd be cool, but the amperage requirements makes it unfeasible.

    34. Re:the answer by Skal+Tura · · Score: 1

      AC transformers are only 2 coils at simplest btw. Not much loss can occur there.

    35. Re:the answer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Heat Pipes are the closest thermal analog to superconductors. They are 60 - 300x as thermally conductive as pure copper and were patented in 1942 by an engineer at GM. Details: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heat_pipe#Origins_and_research_in_the_United_States

    36. Re:the answer by bitingduck · · Score: 1

      No, superconductors are poor conductors of heat. It's actually one of the properties of superconductors, there's a distinct swing in thermal conductivity near the transition temp, before dropping with temperature.

      It's a feature that's commonly used as a heat switch in low temperature physics experiments-- a piece of superconductor can be driven normal (so it conducts heat) using a small magnet, then the field is removed and the superconductor is allowed to cool to its superconducting (thermally insulating) state. It works well at very low temperatures, but at higher temperatures (e.g. like high Tc superconductors) there's a lot of phonon transport anyway.

    37. Re:the answer by HaveNoMouth · · Score: 1

      There's already a lot of DC power transmission going on, especially outside the United States. You don't need superconductors for this; you just need high voltage and power electronics. With superconductors, you can do DC transmission at low voltage.

    38. Re:the answer by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Nobody came even close to predicting the impact of computers.

      Individual science fiction stories predicted most of what computers do today, and many things that computers still can't do. That you don't know of those stories may be due to the obscurity of the stories or that "computers" were called by some other name (for instance, "A Logic Named Joe"). I've read more than one story wherein people were so connected to computers that they were essentially unaware of the real world.

      It's not reasonable to expect that predictions will be dead on. One use of what might be called predictions (but should be called warnings) is to prevent bad results, so that the "predicted" future is avoided. Also, when considering what the effect of one innovation might be, it's even more difficult to predict how it will interact with other innovations, particularly if the others don't exist yet.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    39. Re:the answer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Cant prevent the future but you can slow the technology down.

    40. Re:the answer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They are in fact such an extraordinarily bad conductor of heat that they are used for thermal insulation at low temperatures.

      It's a consequence of the fact that all the electrons (which normally conduct most of the heat) condense into a single quantum state and stop being available for heat transport.

    41. Re:the answer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually there is, and it's even closely related as it's also the result of a macroscopic quantum state, in this case superfluidity. See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Helium#Helium_II_state

  5. Where's my hoverboard? by Nick+Fel · · Score: 2

    Warfare? Who'd go to war when they had a hoverboard at home?

  6. in what contexts would you want it first employed? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Better porn. What else is technology for?

  7. Ease the transition to a non fosil fuel energy gen by c0lo · · Score: 1

    SMES.

    --
    Questions raise, answers kill. Raise questions to stay alive.
  8. Seems like a simple answer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Can't we just assume that current applications of superconductors would become more portable and smaller?

    Not necessarily more prevalent or cheaper though. No one said room temperature superconductivity would be cheap.

    1. Re:Seems like a simple answer by realityimpaired · · Score: 1

      There are new applications that can be opened up by having high temperature superconductors, though. Because I work in the telecom industry, one example leaps immediately to mind: if we can devise a high temperature ductile superconductor, we can replace all of the copper telephone lines, and the fiber optic that they're being replaced with, with superconducting lines. These lines would allow for service over a *much* greater distance than even fiber optic (which caps out at about 14km from the ONU), while still offering higher speeds than we can get today.

      It's the resistance in copper lines that limits the telephone service to a certain maximum (about 10km on copper for voice, though that can be extended with load coils), and it's that same resistance that limits the distance for DSL technologies. It's also the main limiting factor for distance in coaxial cables as well. Imagine the impact it would have if we could run a 10 gigabit ethernet cable to a distance of 100km from the CO. High temperature ductile superconductors would make that possible. Even if it stopped being a superconductor past about 40'C, it would still allow us to service *most* of the world's population (there's very few areas where the in-ground temperature is over 40'C and most of them are unpopulated).

    2. Re:Seems like a simple answer by TheLink · · Score: 1

      To me a lot of it depends on how much current the superconductor can hold and what magnetic fields it can endure before losing superconductivity. And how expensive it is.

      If things are ideal you can use it to store large amounts of energy indefinitely (of course if stuff happens it could explode). Such a energy storing method could change things a lot.

      All the other conductivity stuff isn't a big deal- existing technology can already achieve small losses over great distances.

      This sort of energy storage and "fancy magnetic stuff" require the electric current to travel "infinite" distances without loss and hence superconductivity.

      --
    3. Re:Seems like a simple answer by Hartree · · Score: 1

      Another application in telecom is allowing much better filters for the RF sections of cell phones and other radio gear.

      They're already used in some cell phone base stations, as it allows very sharp tuning due to the lack of resistance in the inductors. But, it requires a cryo-cooler system to chill it down far enough to work.

      Room temperature superconductors would likely let them be used in the handsets as well. This would allow packing even more data and channels onto the existing cell infrastructure.

  9. Power lines. by Mercury · · Score: 1

    Assuming that it goes high enough, power disturbation. It's enough of a savings that every decade or so people talk about using current generation superconductors for it, need for cryogenic cooling and all.

    Then making a lot of stuff that uses current superconductors cheaper, like MRI machines and particle accelerators.

    Sure, I bet that there will be _plenty_ of new stuff, but I'm less convinced that anyone is going to be able to predict what that will be all that well.

  10. Horrible... by solidraven · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The first use will be warfare as is always the case sadly. You'll probably first see rail- and coil-guns show up. Next you'll find its uses in radars and specifically in trying to make them useless. Then it will proceed into gimmicks for rich people. After that it'll go to civil scientists (space exploration, particle accelerators, ...) and maybe a few years later into people's houses. Somewhere in between all of that somebody might find a use for it in medicine (other than improving your standard NMRI).

    1. Re:Horrible... by Tim12s · · Score: 3, Funny

      The highest selling application of this will end up in some sort of glowing cat with a pink ribbon sold to kids, that you have to press a button to feed all day.

    2. Re:Horrible... by Tim12s · · Score: 3, Interesting

      No batteries for kids toys. Yup. Thats probably the winning application.

    3. Re:Horrible... by Hartree · · Score: 1

      Indeed. We should give up agriculture because it allows the feeding of larger armies in a given area thus making warfare more devastating. (/sarcasm)

      Any technology from wheels to teakettles to field effect transistors can be put to military or nonmilitary use. I'm not going to give up my coffee pot because the metallurgy that went into it also allows you to make effective firearms.

    4. Re:Horrible... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      we will see what battery industry has to say about that :)

    5. Re:Horrible... by dkf · · Score: 1

      You'll probably first see rail- and coil-guns show up.

      They're already testing rail guns for real. Admittedly they're large, intended as a replacement for conventional naval guns (the benefit is the ability to reduce the size of the magazine, traditionally a weak point on ships with large guns). I have no idea at all if they use superconductors.

      --
      "Little does he know, but there is no 'I' in 'Idiot'!"
  11. tin can telephones by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    replace the string between two tin cans with a room-temperature superconductor and you'd have excellent clarity of sound between my sons room and the kids next door, even when the 'string' isn't taut. That's what I'd like to see first.

    1. Re:tin can telephones by Haxagon · · Score: 1

      I'm wondering what the exact property of a superconductor is that makes this possible? It seems like it would be excellent for use in microphones, artificial ears, and perhaps artificial vocal chords? That's interesting, I've never heard that of superconductors before.

    2. Re:tin can telephones by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      presumably it's ability to conduct sound in a super way

  12. well by strack · · Score: 3, Interesting

    OLED monitor floating in midair. pen floating in midair. FLUX PIN ALL THE THINGS

  13. Re:Ease the transition to a non fosil fuel energy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And how about replacing rare earth metals used as magnets?

  14. patents by jamesh · · Score: 1

    Depending on who discovers it, it might make us take a good hard look at the patent system when the patent holders start screwing over everyone who wants to do anything with it. Especially if the material can be manufactured relatively cheaply and a major part of the cost is the right to manufacture it.

    Even more interesting would be if it was discovered in China or some other country with a (perceived?) history of disregard for foreign IP.

    The technology itself will probably be interesting too.

    1. Re:patents by Courageous · · Score: 1

      I don't know why a discovery grants an intellectual property right...

    2. Re:patents by dwye · · Score: 1

      The first uses and users will probably be military and the intelligence communities, and no government allows patent holders to withhold licensed rights for these. Once that is done, the flood gates will open.

      And it will not matter if the Chinese discover it first - patents are not automatically granted worldwide like copyright.

    3. Re:patents by dwye · · Score: 1

      You're right. It should go to whoever has the biggest or most accurate guns.

      EXIT SARC MODE

    4. Re:patents by Courageous · · Score: 1

      Heh. Using the word "discovery" in an intellectual property rights discussion is extremely sloppy. Admittedly the subject is complicated. But it's quite questionable that someone discovering a natural process should have any rights to it at all. Patents are about developing things, not discovering them, generally.

  15. Re:Ease the transition to a non fosil fuel energy by c0lo · · Score: 1

    And how about replacing rare earth metals used as magnets?

    Superconductor electro-magnets are not permanent ones - the moment you tap into their stored field, it decays.

    --
    Questions raise, answers kill. Raise questions to stay alive.
  16. Re:supercircuits by ledow · · Score: 1

    I don't think it would, because of your assumption.

    Affordable or not, at some point you have to do a cost/value trade-off and it will be a LONG time after they become technically affordable before they give you a manufacturing tradeoff that's *worth* throwing away the 40p fan we use at the moment.

    Like SSD's - been around for YEARS, but still not viable for everything, or even close to it.

  17. prediction by Trepidity · · Score: 1

    All the initial applications will have something to do with high-frequency trading.

  18. Not all that much? by Mr+Z · · Score: 1

    Well, we currently only lose about 6-7% of the electric energy we generate to transmission losses. So, superconducting transmission lines are unlikely to be earth shattering. Someone else posted a link to SMES -- these are superconducting energy storage devices. If those become cheap and plentiful, then we might blunt the distinction between "peak" and "offpeak" electricity use, allowing us to size powerplants more moderately.

    If the material could work in place of aluminum or copper in a semiconductor, it might help cut down the amount of power your PC sucks out of the wall.

    But, in general, I wouldn't expect anything dramatic. A lot of things would just get "a little more efficient."

    1. Re:Not all that much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      6% Percent of the electric energy is still quite a bit of money though. Even with know high temperature superconductors (liquid nitrogen temperature), would save that, for the cost of the cable, plus LN2 cooling, In fact such cables have already been deployed in a couple of cities.

    2. Re:Not all that much? by realityimpaired · · Score: 2

      Well, we currently only lose about 6-7% of the electric energy we generate to transmission losses.

      6% of a trillion-dollar industry is "not all that much"?

    3. Re:Not all that much? by Chris+Mattern · · Score: 2

      Well, we currently only lose about 6-7% of the electric energy we generate to transmission losses.

      And in order to achieve that, it's necessary to keep it quite rare for any large amount of electricity to be transmitted for long distances. With room-temperature superconductors, it's possible for electricity generated anywhere in the world to be used anywhere in the world. That's gonna make for a big change.

      But, in general, I wouldn't expect anything dramatic. A lot of things would just get "a little more efficient."

      You really, really don't have any idea of superconductors are capable of, do you? It's lot more than just making electricity transmission more efficient.

    4. Re:Not all that much? by Andy_R · · Score: 1

      The reason we only lose 6-7% is because we don't build long powerlines, we simply put up with things being built in non-optimal places, and drop projects that have insufficient local demand.

      If that constraint goes, we can stop having to put powerplants right next to steelworks and nuclear plants anywhere near population centres, and solar energy/windfarms/hydroelectrics become vastly more competitive, because it no longer matters that the Gobi Desert, the Himalayas and the bottom of Victoria Falls don't have lots of local industrial demand.

      --
      A pizza of radius z and thickness a has a volume of pi z z a
    5. Re:Not all that much? by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Floating trains and cheap access to orbit. Yup, nothing much would change. Not to mention all the things we haven't thought of yet.

    6. Re:Not all that much? by dwye · · Score: 1

      Well, we currently only lose about 6-7% of the electric energy we generate to transmission losses.

      6% of a trillion-dollar industry is "not all that much"?

      6% in most anything big is not very big, especially if the 6% requires replacing the entire grid to get it. It is just the difference between a 93W and a 100W bulb.

    7. Re:Not all that much? by dwye · · Score: 1

      We put steelworks next to power plants, not vice versa. Steel was built in Pittsburgh because it was close to the coal fields, and relatively easy to transport iron ore on the Great Lakes to a rail-head a bit over 100 miles distant. Aluminum plants were built in the Tennessee valley because of cheap TVA power, the TVA wasn't built to supply the aluminum industry.

    8. Re:Not all that much? by Mr+Z · · Score: 1

      No, it isn't. It's not the kind of change that would bring a "sea change" in how society behaves and expands. It looks more like the level of a good, solid engineering improvement.

      Sure, it'd be a welcome improvement, but it wouldn't be such an earth shattering change so as to question society's ability to handle it. "What are the cultural pros and cons of such a shift?" "Uh... My electricity got $0.0001 /kWh cheaper."

      In other words, with respect to the power grid, there isn't much low hanging fruit there and switching to room temperature superconductors might bring down prices in the long run, but it'd bring them down by the amounts you'd expect from average engineering improvements.

      I'd expect a bigger impact on the grid from SMES, since if you can build enough energy storage capacity in those, then you can filter away the distinction between peak and base load, which is huge! For sporadic-generation renewable energy technologies (wind, for example, depends on the weather), you can collect energy more opportunistically, and have it ready when you need it, and those can be separated in time.

    9. Re:Not all that much? by Mr+Z · · Score: 1
      A superconducting transmission line will eliminate resistive losses, but not radiative losses. Plus, "room temperature" for a superconductor is defined as 0 Celsius. You'd still need to refrigerate most of those lines to guarantee that they can remain well enough below their critical transition temperature. In order to have sufficient current carrying capacity, you need to be somewhat below its superconducting transition temperature.

      Furthermore, from what I recall, superconductivity breaks down when you reach a certain current limit due to the magnetic forces. So even though you have zero resistance, you have an upper bound on current carrying capacity, again limiting how far you can practically sling electricity.

      You really, really don't have any idea of superconductors are capable of, do you? It's lot more than just making electricity transmission more efficient.

      Superconductivity has a lot of other neat effects, but I imagine in the short run room-temp superconductors won't make huge differences right away. Perhaps some of their more exotic physical properties will lead to novel new inventions. But will it change the world inside of a generation like the transistor or the microcomputer both did? Without some plausible theories, it's hard to see how.

    10. Re:Not all that much? by Skal+Tura · · Score: 1

      by that same logic, i'm assuming you are happy with incandescent light bulbs, no leds available, no mobile phone ...

      1 000 000 000 000 * 0.06 = ?

      6% * profit margin = ?
      Yeah, you guessed it right 12%+

      If that's not significant, could you please donate 12% of your income for rest of your life? Thank you! :)

    11. Re:Not all that much? by dwye · · Score: 1

      by that same logic, i'm assuming you are happy with incandescent light bulbs, no leds available, no mobile phone ...

      Well, incandescent bulbs are better when on extension lights while working on the underside of a car (the motto when I was helping Dad was "The job's not over til the bulb breaks"). I certainly would not want CF bulbs for that application, given the likelihood of broken bulbs, and would not want LEDs if they were as fragile, given their price.

      Mobile phones now make up a large portion of the total system even in the USA, not just 6% of all calls, and furthermore no phone lines had to be removed to allow mobile phones (just trunks between the local main office and the local BSC). In the good old Banacek days, when mobile phones were essentially equivalent to ham sets in the car, and limited to a few thousand subscribers per state, they were certainly an ignorable tiny fraction.

      Since my light bulb analogy didn't impress you, imagine Daylight Savings Time moving the clock forward 10 minutes. Lots of work, but little return.

    12. Re:Not all that much? by Dr_Barnowl · · Score: 1

      LED lamps are pretty good for maintenance work. Much more robust than CFLs or incandescents (because they are solid state electronics), lighter, and because they are so efficient, they can run off batteries, so no cable to add extra weight or get tied up in.

  19. Interesting link on history of Tc by turing_m · · Score: 2

    http://skepticsplay.blogspot.com.au/2012/01/superconductors-picture-of-progress.html

    For those wondering, the highest critical temperature as of 2012 is 135K. Room temperature is about 300K. So no, unobtanium hasn't been discovered yet.

    --
    If I have seen further it is by stealing the Intellectual Property of giants.
  20. It is not about "having" it by gweihir · · Score: 1

    It is about producing it in large enough quantity and cheap enough to deploy it. Even than, I expect that changes would be slow and minor, not anything earth-shattering. Why always these stupid fake "visions" where one thing has tremendous impact? The world does not work that way.

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    1. Re:It is not about "having" it by strack · · Score: 1

      yes. it totally does not work that way. one thing never has a tremendous impaCOUGH COUGH CARS COUGH ELECTRICITY COUGH NUCLEAR POWER COUGH THE INTERNET COUGH COUGHct. ahem.

    2. Re:It is not about "having" it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You need to get that COUGH looked at. It sounds bad.

    3. Re:It is not about "having" it by dwye · · Score: 1

      Well, nuclear power hasn't had tremendous impact, or the idea of permanently closing plants after Fukishima would be laughed at by the populace, and those proposing it would be in danger from Green terrorists killing them like Muslim terrorists killing Dutch journalists disparaging Mohammed or Islamic immigrants.

    4. Re:It is not about "having" it by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      I agree with the fact that nuclear hasn't made that kind of impact, but I can also say that my mother was born on a farm in the US that had no electricity, no indoor plumbing, no car, no phone. Today, if I tried to move with my child into similar conditions, I would be are a very real risk of having the government come in and take my child away. Part of that is regional, (suburban CA vs. rural WI) but much more of it is time, and the impact that tech advances have made in a very short span of time.

    5. Re:It is not about "having" it by dwye · · Score: 1

      I agree that rural electrification has had a major impact, almost as much as the Model T and semi-decent roads (almost as much since my WV great-grandfather electrified his house and barn with his own generator long before the power company got out there), just not nuclear power. Damnit.

    6. Re:It is not about "having" it by Skal+Tura · · Score: 1

      when there is profit to be made, things move pretty darned quickly.

      References:
      * Railroad
      * Electricity
      * Phone
      * Mobile phones
      * Computers
      * Internet
      * Aircraft
      * Commercial space travel (Relative to goverment efforts commercial sector is moving damned fast)
      * The friggin' wheel
      * Cars

  21. Electricity storage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wouldn't it allow far more efficient ways of storing and retrieving electricity ? It would make alternative power sources (sun, wind) far more attractive.

  22. There are some interesting applications by Sique · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Maglevs comes to mind - you only once load the magnets along the track, and then they will keep the magnetic field forever.
    Imagine roadrails along the interstates which keep the cars on track. Also the hover car will suddenly be feasible - as soon as the car moves forward, induction will load the magnets inside the car and let it hover along the supra conducting magnets in the road. You can see the effect already today at some science shows where they have supraconducting maglevs. Zero friction against the track, just air friction left. One can imagine subways with supracontucting tracks, which work with air pressure along the tubes.

    Super strong magnets can be build, which you once load with electricity and which then keep the magnetism forever. Construction could get rid of glue and screws, just put the elements together, load the magnets once, and they will keep everything in shape. You could lock your house with magnetic bars, which once locked, keep tight until you unload the electricity from the bars and they open again.

    You could store electricity in giant coils instead of chemical cells, making loading and unloading the electricity much faster, and enabling lots of non-constant electricity creators like windwheels and solar panels to work within a giant grid and finally overcome the problem of the electric base load.

    --
    .sig: Sique *sigh*
    1. Re:There are some interesting applications by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No doubt, but the big question is: does it work in magnetic fields? Current "high temperature superconductors" stop superconducting at very moderate magnetic field strengths, and that makes them mostly unsuitable for electric motor kind of applications. The material of choice is still a classic helium cooled superconductor.

    2. Re:There are some interesting applications by Sique · · Score: 1

      As you can see in this video, it works already with liquid nitrogen, much higher as helium cooled supra conduction.

      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
    3. Re:There are some interesting applications by quintus_horatius · · Score: 1

      Building a large structure using superconducting magnetic connections sounds interesting... Until you have a hot fire and the entire structure collapses.

    4. Re:There are some interesting applications by dbIII · · Score: 1

      You can say exactly the same about large currents (for the same reason), but I think the dream here is high temperature AND high current. Of course if you can't have the latter there is always the option of using a lot of material to spread the load and not having very high current per mm squared or a high magnetic field strength (with a lot of magnets spread out). It then becomes an exercise of comparing costs of materials and fabrication techniques to see if it's worth it or not.

    5. Re:There are some interesting applications by dbIII · · Score: 1

      The above poster is writing about how the materials go from superconductor to semiconductor or insulator at higher magnetic field strengths and high currents. The point appears to be about having strong magnets, not about whether they can be used as magnets as all. Forgive me if I didn't bother to look at your annoying postliterate citation using a video.

  23. More solar and wind power in the USA by forand · · Score: 1

    The US currently loses about 6.5% of the power generated to transmission losses. If we developed a material capable of being used for transmission lines (i.e. super conductive at >60 C and malleable enough to be made into wires) we would gain that back promptly which would also reduce our carbon emissions. It would become far more economically viable to build large scale solar and wind power farms in the central areas of the USA (further from the large population centers) as one would not be losing as much to transmission losses.

  24. THE POWER! by jsprenkle · · Score: 0

    If the semiconductor has a high flux density quench then we could make a small toroidial coil and dump a large current into it. The stored power could then be extracted by magnetic coupling using a coil wrapped around it.

    There's a down side though if you can store large amounts of power. If you break the circuit the power will need to go somewhere and you get a large explosion. It would make a good bomb, EMP weapon, replacement for gun powder (rail gun anyone?), car battery, etc. (I'm using this in my up coming MMO)

    If you can store really large amounts of power then why bother with small power plants? Take your town battery to Niagra Falls, charge it up, then truck it back. No more power distribution grid problems and power loss over long haul lines.

    --
    - I've got bad karma because I won't parrot everyone else's opinion
    1. Re:THE POWER! by crunchygranola · · Score: 1

      ...

      There's a down side though if you can store large amounts of power. If you break the circuit the power will need to go somewhere and you get a large explosion....

      Unless of course you do something reasonable like providing a quench protection/management system, like just about every high power superconductor magnet in the world already does.

      There are a number of ways for dealing with this - segmenting the magnet into sections so that the entire system is not at risk, having energy dump resistors that absorb the energy, having a coolant that boils off through a relief valve system to remove the heat in a managed way, etc.

      --
      Second class citizen of the New Gilded Age
  25. "Would you like some Cold Fusion with your order?" by PolygamousRanchKid+ · · Score: 1

    Well, we would need plenty of cheap electricity to power all those super superconducting super devices. I guess the DOA Superconducting Super Collider might have a second chance.

    --
    Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
  26. Power storage, and power transfer. by Gnaythan1 · · Score: 1

    storage: if there is no loss, can you make a ring of superconductor material, and start feeding dc power into that ring letting it spin around and around the hoop... feeding it more and more... then letting it sit till you need it, at which point you tap in and pull it out... theoretically this ring could hold a HELL of a lot of electricity.

    transfer... most of the power from an electrical generation station, nuclear, hydro, coal, whatever... is lost in the wires getting it to where its needed... if the wiring had no loss, our current infrastructure would have at least twice the power available to do work.

    1. Re:Power storage, and power transfer. by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      There's a limit for storage. Superconductors lose their superconductivity in the presence of magnetic fields over a threshold strength that depends on material used. This is why record-breaking electromagnets still use the really thick coil of copper construction.

  27. Red Wine Consumption by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well, Red Wine Consumption would go through the roof!

  28. puppeteers are gonna pwn us. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Great, until thos damn puppeteers devise a virus to unexpectadly turn them into dust Then all or our floating buildings will come crashing down around us. Thats gonna suck.

  29. energy transfer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Low loss energy transfer from solar power plants in Sahara desert to Europe, which will allow Europe to abandon fossil fuels.

  30. one word..... by Dolphinzilla · · Score: 1

    Hoverboard !

  31. Well, to begin with... by bertok · · Score: 5, Informative

    Most people think of superconductors as merely a "perfectly efficient" conductor. While this is true, it just scratches the surface of what's possible with superconductors. Using superconductors just to improve efficiency wouldn't be that big a deal by itself. It would improve battery life a little bit, and maybe drop bulk electricity transmission overheads, but not by much, and certainly not immediately. Making most superconductors into high-tensile wire is a non-trivial exercise, even if cooling isn't a problem -- and it will be! Just because a material is discovered that can conduct at "room" temperature isn't helpful for wire outdoors in direct sunlight, or in a hot environment inside high-temperature machinery. Last but not least, superconductors have current and magnetic field limits that increase as they are cooled past the transition temperature. A superconductor with a transition temperature of 26C would probably have only a few limited applications above 20C.

    The other uses are more interesting, and often more amenable to thermal control:

    The Meissner_effect provides magnetic shielding, which is useful for all sorts of things, like amplifiers, or for protecting sensitive electronics. This is also what causes magnets to levitate above Type 2 superconductors. I assume that a room-temperature superconductor would be Type 2, so levitation would likely be possible.

    The London moment could be used in gyroscopes and the like.

    Josephson junctions provide all sorts of functions, like ultra-sensitive magnetic field sensors (think hard-drives and MRIs).

    Still, all of that is a bit... meh. I mean sure, you get less noise in your now ultra-sensitive amplifier, and electricity will cost 10% less than it would have otherwise in 30 years. Is this life changing? Probably not really.

    A much more interesting potential application than all of those combined is Rapid Single Flux Quantum digital circuitry. That stuff makes silicon look like vacuum tubes. Think 100GHz+, self-clocking, 1000x as efficient as CMOS, and manufacturable now, with only the cooling requirement the big down-side. If RSFQ could be made to work at room-temperature (or even near it), you could be looking at a sudden massive leap forward in computer power like never before. For example, with a power draw 1000x lower, it would be possible to stack every chip in a typical computer into a little "cube", with much shorter wire lengths, and hence, latencies. We can't do this now, because that cube would literally melt in seconds form the heat.

    The reality-check of all this is that many MRI machines are still cooled by liquid helium, even though superconductors that work at liquid nitrogen temperatures have been available for a while. This tells you a lot about the limitations that might restrict the application of even a hypothetical room-temperature superconductor. For example, ultra-sensitive sensors and RSFQ may not work at all, because the tiny signal quanta may be swamped by the background thermal noise. Similarly, manufacturability of wire and maximum magnetic field strength is a key requirement for a lot of applications, like MRIs and electric motors.

    Personally, I suspect that the first room-temperature superconductor will be initially manufacturable in bulk only as a thin-film, so expect the first decade or two to be mostly about improved circuitry and sensors more than anything else. This might be closer than people think. For example, there's a harmless quack who claims to have achieved superconductivity at 28C by manufacturing extremely complex copper-based crystals as a thin layer between two different traditional copper-based superconductors. Assuming for a second that he's onto something, it gives you an idea

    1. Re:Well, to begin with... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It would be 'life changing' in a data center. How much do they waste in electricity going into heat? How much air con is that on top of the computers themselves? Instead of needing megawatts to run data centers you need as much as say a couple houses today with full on AC in the middle of the summer. Yet still have the same compute power.

      Another thing it would change is compute time. Resistance is what drives what clock rates we are at mostly today. As you get past a particular clock rate things heat up too much and you get wrong results.

      Solar panels gain a decent amount as most of their energy is lost to heat.

      Resistance is what creates heat in most of the things we use. Yeah it would lower your overall electrical usage by say 10%. But you may also be able to eliminate 40%+ of your AC bill... Plus its 10% efficiency gain.

      Also if you could make a wire out of it and make it long enough you could probably achieve picoseconds ping times instead of nanosecond on the internet. There are high speed traders out there that would trade both their parents in for a pack of gum for that sort of power.

      Today right now though. It is merely the dreams of dreamers...

    2. Re:Well, to begin with... by bertok · · Score: 1

      It would be 'life changing' in a data center. How much do they waste in electricity going into heat? How much air con is that on top of the computers themselves? Instead of needing megawatts to run data centers you need as much as say a couple houses today with full on AC in the middle of the summer. Yet still have the same compute power.

      That kind of thing is not "life changing though". Think about it -- we've had a factor of 100,000x reduction in watts/mips over the last few decades, yet datacentres require more heat and power than they used to!

      Even if some room-temperature superconductor allowed another 1000x fold reduction in power usage (which is huge), all you would see is 1000x as much computer equipment stuffed into the data centre.

      The OP was asking what life and social changes would we expect. My point was that at least initially, not much.

    3. Re:Well, to begin with... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You also get to build wideband tunable high-Q antennae. Normally, it's not possible to build high-Q low-frequency antennae because the 'R' term in your tuned RLC circuit reduces the Q. So room-temperature superconductors are a big win for broadband wireless communications, even without such exotica as Josephson Junctions.

    4. Re:Well, to begin with... by sydbarrett74 · · Score: 1

      Also if you could make a wire out of it and make it long enough you could probably achieve picoseconds ping times instead of nanosecond on the internet.

      You're off by many orders of magnitude. Latencies across the 'net are measured in milli-, not nanoseconds. The best superconductors theoretically possible can't overcome the fact that nothing moves faster than light. Even if there were no latency at a given network hop, nor at either end, and photons moved at 100% the speed of light in an optical fibre (which doesn't happen), those photons would still take roughly 16 milliseconds to traverse the approximately 3000 miles from one end of the continental US to the other.

      --
      'He who has to break a thing to find out what it is, has left the path of wisdom.' -- Gandalf to Saruman
    5. Re:Well, to begin with... by wvmarle · · Score: 1

      For the wire part: traditional superconductors are metallic (pure metals and alloys) materials that superconduct typically at temperatures of <20 K - those should be "easy" to cast into wire. Metals are naturally flexible and malleable.

      The current "high-temperature" (around 130 K give or take) superconductors are ceramic in nature, and ceramics are very hard to get into shape. The shape is created when the material is manufactured and that's about it. So no wonder they're not used in coils or so, it's nigh impossible to make wires out of.

      Do we really know already what causes superconductivity? And understand it in a manner that the critical temperature of superconductivity in materials can be predicted theoretically? That would be a key issue. When we know how superconductivity works, we could design materials with the right properties, instead of using the trial and error method. We could possibly find other classes of materials that superconduct, and that are malleable.

  32. Tough to predict by msobkow · · Score: 2

    It's rather tough to predict the impact of room temperature semi-conductors without knowing a lot more about the specifics of the technology.

    For example, is the material suitable for long-haul power lines? Does it have the tensile strength to be deployed as multi-kilometer wiring? If it is, we can expect to see a dramatic improvement in the efficiency of power distribution, resulting in delays in the deployment of new power plants because the old ones would suddenly be delivering 10-20% more power to the home/business instead of losing it in the wiring.

    Is the material suitable for fine wiring? If so, we may see some marginal improvements in the power drain of general electrical and electronic equipment.

    No matter what happens in this field, we can expect that the military will be the first to apply the technology. They're really the only ones with the budget to become "early adopters" of such a shift in technology, other than research prototypes coming out of the likes of IBM.

    All in all, though, I really wouldn't expect a very dramatic shift in power systems, though. Efficiency is great, but it rarely is an earth-shattering improvement.

    Improving the efficiency of transmission doesn't change the speed of transmission, so it really wouldn't affect the raw computing horsepower of machines, just their power consumption. It's not like anyone has been talking about any superconductors that could replace the metal wiring layers on VLSI chips -- having a material and being able to vapour deposit or lithograph the material are two dramatically different technologies, and it could be decades after the discovery of the material before someone comes up with a practical way to use it on the microscopic scale of chips.

    Personally I'm more interested in some of the "light switch" technologies that are being experimented with, because those technologies could change the fundamental physics of computing far more dramatically than reducing power consumption would.

    --
    I do not fail; I succeed at finding out what does not work.
  33. Air hockey. by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

    Now without air.

  34. Porn by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "And just as important, in what contexts would you want to see it first employed?"

  35. What will happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    1) It will be too expensive to use commercially for the first ten years
    2) As the price comes down it will appear in boutique products that filter down from the filthy rich to the merely well-off
    3) Once the price hits a certain point it will appear in every day products and energy consumption will drop.
        a) Energy costs will then skyrocket
        b) The feds will mandate an updating of the "grid"
        c) Trillions in taxes will go into adding this material to power lines
    4) The cost of the material will rise once more and stabilize, bringing wealth to everyone who is already wealthy and nothing will change for the rest of us

  36. Dire Prediction... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So far, the history of man has shown that major new techs are typically used to kill people before they are adapted into more civilian uses

  37. Unlimited range Power Distribution by lkcl · · Score: 1

    it would be world-changing, without a shadow of doubt. imagine having transatlantic cables the thickness of the present internet fibreoptic cables that distributed terawatts of power as well as information. it would not need to be high voltage, so there would be no risk of arcing.

    now imagine those cables running across the world's deserts, to a massive array of solar collectors.

    now imagine those cables running to deep ocean temperature-differential power stations (water 1 mile down is 3-4 centigrade lower temperature: you can get about 100 megawatts out of that).

    now imagine those power generators - distributed across the world so that they continuously generated power - connected into that world-wide, world-accessible power distribution grid.

    you basically would never have the problem of running out of electricity, ever. it's not to say that people in african countries would not try to shimmy up the telegraph poles with crocodile clips in order to try to filch off some power, so you'd have to take that into account and provide them with easy-to-access power sockets at ground level in order to make it unnecessary for them to try to plug themselves into what would be effectively an infinite current sink that could turn them into ash within milliseconds if they tried leeching it, but apart from that little problem you'd basically be able to solve the world's power needs at very little cost per human.

    1. Re:Unlimited range Power Distribution by ShooterNeo · · Score: 1

      Cool visions, alas, physics is a bitch. Superconductors do not have limitless current capacities/cross sectional area, and the higher temperature ones tend to have lower limits.

      Not saying we couldn't do it, but the cables don't need to be thin as a pencil.

      For that matter, they don't need to work at room temperature, either. There are commercial application using liquid nitrogen cooled superconductors for hot spots in the power grid.

    2. Re:Unlimited range Power Distribution by dwye · · Score: 1

      imagine having transatlantic cables the thickness of the present internet fibreoptic cables that distributed terawatts of power as well as information. it would not need to be high voltage, so there would be no risk of arcing.

      Limited current densities, due to its own induced magnetic fields quenching its superconductivity. Anyway, who is going to sell the current across the Atlantic? Both sides need all that they can generate.

      now imagine those cables running across the world's deserts, to a massive array of solar collectors.

      Now imagine North Africans NOT holding Europe hostage, or just whacking the cables for fun.

      now imagine those cables running to deep ocean temperature-differential power stations (water 1 mile down is 3-4 centigrade lower temperature: you can get about 100 megawatts out of that).

      First, the limitations on deep ocean thermal generation are primarily that it is a heat engine, with organic fouling running a close second. And, of course, 100 MW is not a very big generator.

  38. Easy by inhuman_4 · · Score: 1

    While it can be hard/impossible to predict how they will effect us in the long term, I think it is quite easy to predict what will happen in the short term.

    First, if we do get room temperature superconductors working at a reasonably useful scale, they will be expensive. The first batch of any new technology is expensive because: 1) Manufacturing capacity is still being built. 2) Recovering research costs. 3) Little in the way of competition.

    So any use of these superconductors will have to 1) Be used by people with large budgets. 2) Be used by people willing to take risks with unproven technology. 3) Have the technical skill and know how to actually make use of room temperature superconductors. So who fits the bill? Same people as always: 1) Military, 2) Scientific Research, 3) Very large corporations (ie. typically the ones who can get massive government contracts.).

    Military: I can think of a few applications: Replacing catapults on aircraft carriers. Rail guns (massive current creates a lot of head in the wiring, not just the rails). Electronic warfare (ie. high powered radar/jammers, miniaturization). Active stealth with powerful magnets.

    Scientific community: Atom smashers like the LHC could become much much cheaper if they didn't need to cool the superconductor magnets. Same thing for fusion reactors. Anything using a lot of current: ie. lasers, plasma physics, etc.

    Large corporations: Power transmission lines. Those big DC super high voltage lines would be good candidates. Power substations near large power stations (especially nuclear). Maglev trains, industrial flywheels, exotic electric sports cars, aircraft (to cut down on cabling weight), industrial batteries, anything in space.

    The key point is that there are many, many uses for room temperature superconductors before they get cheap enough to use in consumer goods. This is one of the technologies that can be immediately applied all over the place.

  39. Two words: by jduhls · · Score: 1

    Quantum locking!!!!!!!

  40. Power Suits and Luddite Paste by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well, first we'd build Warhammer 40K power suits. Then the copper industry would attempt to sue the superconductor industry out of existence.
    Then we'd paste the copper industry with the aforementioned power suits. Possibly whilst wielding sledgehammers.

  41. DC vs AC by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In superconducting transmission lines, AC still sees impedance. It's only DC that sees zero impedance. An interesting question might be whether or not superconducting t-lines would push enough benefits in the DC direction for us to see DC t-lines.

    I would want to say "maybe at the highest voltage levels but not for the lines running right into your house".

    (IANAE yet.)

    1. Re:DC vs AC by leuk_he · · Score: 1

      Well the currrent near-roomtemprature superconductors are current limited anyway. THey loos super conductance when a too large current is flowing.

      However strong magnetic fieldsare still an option.

      The other great advances will be in sensors. You can very accurate sense magnetc fields and thus electricity.

  42. Superconductor batteries? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    We tend to think of superconductors primarily as infrastructure for transmission of electricity. But think about how it can be used to *store* energy! I'd really like to see an analysis in this direction - how much energy can be stored in a coil, and what would be some problems with it.

  43. Fusion reactors by Sgs-Cruz · · Score: 1

    Workable high-temperature (i.e. room-temperature) superconductors would make magnetic fusion reactors (tokamaks) a lot cheaper. This is one of the things that would be a game-changer for fusion.

    --

    Karma: pi (Mostly due to circular reasoning in posts).

  44. Flying cars? by Vingborg · · Score: 1

    If it won't facilitate flying cars by the year 2020, I'm not interested.

    --
    For the sufficiently clueless, even trivial applications of common sense are indistinguishable from wisdom
  45. Small Hadron Collider by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

    If things are ideal you can use it to store large amounts of energy indefinitely

    If the critical field strength is so high that it is a practical energy storage device then building a far smaller version of the Large Hadron Collider would be possible. At the moment the LHC is limited by the largest _reliable_ magnetic field strength we can create. If we can replace those with magnets 100 times more powerful which do not need liquid helium cooling then we could shrink the ring from 27km round to 270m round - or increase the energy of the LHC by an order of magnitude or so.

    1. Re:Small Hadron Collider by Hartree · · Score: 1

      I don't think field strength is the limiting factor in the diameter. Anytime you accelerate a charge you get radiation of energy. It's one of the main sources of energy loss in large circular accelerators.

      At higher power, that sets the minimum diameter for being able to boost the particle without losing a huge amount of energy to synchrotron radiation.

      See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Synchrotron_radiation

      It's one of the reasons people talk about building linear colliders as a next step in particle accelerators.

    2. Re:Small Hadron Collider by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

      I don't think field strength is the limiting factor in the diameter.

      It is for proton machines. The synchrotron radiation goes as 1/m^5 IIRC so while this is the limiting factor for light particles like electrons for protons, which are ~2,000 times more massive, the limiting factor is magnetic field strength not synchrotron radiation. The linear collider you mention is designed to do precision studies of new physics from the LHC and this requires an electron/positron machine hence, in that case, synchrotron is an issue just not (yet) for protons.

  46. It would make rooms a lot colder. by fizzup · · Score: 1

    Could you imagine? You'd have to collect all that condensed air...

  47. Well... by Cute+Fuzzy+Bunny · · Score: 1

    ...we'd sure stop giving a shit about what happens in the middle east, south america and a variety of other places. All countries full of poor people would be treated pretty much the way we treat most African nations...cant name them, couldnt find them on a map, dont care about what happens in them.

    I think it'd be a most wonderful thing. We'd probably meddle in others affairs a lot less.

  48. better portable device battery usage by VanHook · · Score: 2

    The DC to DC conversions inside portable electronic devices would get a lot better. All the circuits inside the devices would be more efficient. It might enable some kind of better battery technology also. Room temp superconductor is not going to be able to be produced on a large scale at low price anytime soon after discovery, so transmission lines are the last thing on the list to get made.

  49. it will be a welcome addition by nimbius · · Score: 2

    to see some room-temperature semiconductors in the future. keeping the quantum computer in the living room has been a tough job lately. Ive found that while the couch and the area rug dont mind hovering below absolute-zero, the cats certainly dont appreciate it very much.

    --
    Good people go to bed earlier.
  50. Impossible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You people go on that any power system that achieves "perpetuum mobile" (never refer to it in English, you won't sound smart) and has to be modeled as an open system is absolutely impossible. You then site a law of thermodynamics that doesn't apply and isn't true in an open system. Windmills are okay, though. And so are photovoltaics. But you say there is no other fundamental asymmetry in our universe that would provide energy into an open system. We understand the origin of matter, electromagnetism, etc. so well that we know for a fact that all has been discovered, etc. You all think that any power system claiming to somehow extract power from a gradient in space-time itself should be dismissed as impossible without a second thought.

    Yet, none of you have a problem with room temperature (23 degrees C) superconduction? Please tell me what scientific principle allows for it.

    I guess as long as the pseudo science has been covered in your favorite sci-fi story, then it's possible. Otherwise, it's preposterous for you to even consider it.

  51. Re:Ease the transition to a non fosil fuel energy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Storage is not generation, fool.

  52. actually not a problem by Chirs · · Score: 2

    If you use reversible logic blocks you can still run non-reversible algorithms...as i understand it you could reverse it on the CPU that ran it forwards, but when you write the result to permanent storage or put it out on the network you throw out the extra information (wasting some energy) and it becomes no longer reversible.

  53. M$ Office, RTSC PC edition by mrflash818 · · Score: 1

    A much more interesting potential application than all of those combined is Rapid Single Flux Quantum [wikipedia.org] digital circuitry. That stuff makes silicon look like vacuum tubes. Think 100GHz+, self-clocking, 1000x as efficient as CMOS, and manufacturable now, with only the cooling requirement the big down-side. If RSFQ could be made to work at room-temperature (or even near it), you could be looking at a sudden massive leap forward in computer power like never before. For example, with a power draw 1000x lower, it would be possible to stack every chip in a typical computer into a little "cube", with much shorter wire lengths, and hence, latencies. We can't do this now, because that cube would literally melt in seconds form the heat.

    Skynet Clippy on M$ Office RTSC edition, for a RTSC PC?! *shudder*

    --
    Uh, Linux geek since 1999.
  54. Maglev by ironman_one · · Score: 1

    First Maglev tranis would be an obvious aplication Then Accelerators and maybe fusion power and thisd annd last railguns

  55. Economy reaction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For starters, they'll cost a fortune, which will make them not very widely deployed. Slowly, the Chinese will make them cheaper and cheaper, meaning more and more people will be able to afford them. Then there will be a tipping point, where Apple sticks their logo on superconductors and sells it to the hamsters... I mean masses. By this time, they will be so "normal" that no one will notice that a transition has happened. You know... like any other kind of technology out there.

  56. More efficient computers, richer rich folks by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

    Not a big impact to everyday life, not much to write sci-fi over. I think the biggest change is that the old Sahara Mass Solar Power idea could become viable.

    --
    "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
  57. I'd have to answer your question with a question by Anti_Climax · · Score: 2

    The practical considerations for applications it ends up in depend tremendously on how much it costs. If this room temperature supercondictor costs more than the current cryogenic cooling of a conventional superconductor, because it's made from a super exotic material or requires a prohibitively expensive process to manufacture, it's not likely to displace it from most current applications, let alone get into many new ones. Of course that still depends on the price difference; If they're comparable you'll see some change over. Power companies would love it, but if the conductor costs significantly more than the percentage of power they are losing to resistive heating in a given section, it won't get changed. Chip applications may be a notable exception if it's not terribly expensive, but they have the additional consideration of manufacturing: if it can't be laid down on silicon in a process that is compatible with the current lithography, they are almost certainly going to stay in a niche market for a long time even if the bulk material is dirt cheap.

    So folks can do the Glass half full thing and figure out places where it can be used, but without an answer to "How much does it cost" there is no way to predict the paramount information of where it *will* be used.

    --
    Even people that believe in pre-destiny look both ways before crossing the street.
  58. Storage/transfer of energy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Not only could we transfer energy at little loss, we could store it indefinitely with no loss. This would solve a good portion of our energy concerns, like we could harvest energy from unreliable sources (like wind) without the need to have generators running for redundancy. We could also harvest energy from places which provide a lot but nowhere near the demand (like wind) and transfer it without much loss. The most effective technology we have in storing energy right now is a dam, we pump up water at slow times and drain it at peak times, kinda old-fashioned if you ask me!

  59. Liquid Hydrogen Transmission Grid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Rather than waiting on the material science advances of the coming decades, why don't we put some nuclear reactors out in the ocean, hydrocrack the sea water using high pressure electrolysis, and then pipe this liquid hydrogen & surprlus electricity back to the coast lines using insulated pipelines loaded with magnesium diboride (MgB2) low temperature superconductor?

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magnesium_diboride

    Who cares if a reactor goes Chernobyl or Fukushima out in international waters in an ocean already chock-full of uranium?

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uranium_mining#Recovery_from_seawater

    By submerging the reactor core in a nitrogen filled bubble in the great depths of the ocean, the ambient pressure makes confinement a trivial task, with the 75ATM of a boiling water reactor being only 750 meters from the surface. This serves a dual purpose of making the high pressure electrolysis safer, and reducing the pressure differential required to maintain liquid hydrogen at it's critical temperature.

    All of the above points enhance reactor safety and reduce construction costs exponentially. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Square-cube_law)

    The economic motive for building these at the equator would translate to existing infrastructure for space launch platforms to be built closer to the equator than Cape Canaveral.

    http://quicklaunchinc.com/
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=1IXYsDdPvbo

    Using liquid metal reactors could reduce the operational oversight due to their inherent safety:
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liquid_metal_cooled_reactor

    Google has an autonomous car. I've been in a nuclear reactor operating room. These reactors could be dropped in the ocean like boat anchors and would need no oversight to speak of. If the consequences and probability of a meltdown are non-existent, you could have a teenager at the surface playing video games in a fishing boat with a big red button labeled "SCRAM".

  60. SKATEBOARDS by pillbug88 · · Score: 1

    Duh. The very first application is a non-technical one: the skateboard. It will change the world.

  61. Re:Ease the transition to a non fosil fuel energy by skids · · Score: 1

    But storage is a critical component to a diverse power grid that includes opportunistic generation/collection, so yes, this would help green energy, as well as energy efficiency in general. Which is wy people already make money doing it.

  62. First usage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Levitating bearings in all forms of transform
    Levitating high-speed trains
    Cables for charging electric cars
    Cabling within electric cars
    Motors within electric cars (eliminating the cost of cooling)
    Domestic and industrial induction hobs
    Stylish electric heating units (big induction hobs)
    Cheaper, smaller and more accessible medical imaging devices (MRI scanners)
    Electric shielding for audio equipment
    maybe also efficient radio antenna and iPhones that have good reception without compromising style?
    Tank armour that slows incoming projectiles before they impact?
    magnetic railguns on gunships to reduce maintenance costs of the guns versus explosives.

  63. Re:Ease the transition to a non fosil fuel energy by skids · · Score: 1

    Viewed as simply a low resistance wire, you are using them as a winding, and going back to the basic excitiation motor/generator design just with a much lower excitation winding resistance (just that of the junction.) So yes, that constitutes "replacing the rare earth magnets" which are basically used as a replacement for excitation coils in the first place. Really their application depends on the field strength they can maintain. Were it high enough to eliminate the need for ferromagnetic cores, the improvements could be pretty drastic.

    If they were cheap and durable enough there would be a good market for superconductors in motor/generator setups (there already are such motorsin large scale application using high temperature superconductors where the cooling is affordable) and levitative bearing applications, however, we're just as likely to discover low-rare-earth formulations for PMs as we are room temperature superconductors.

  64. It depends by davidannis · · Score: 1

    The first applications will be price dependent. If the superconductor is really expensive (and I suspect it will be at least initially) then you need high value applications that use relatively little material (like MRI machines). While long distance electrical lines to wind farms in Kansas and solar power plants in the desert would be cool they probably won't be cost effective. Similarly, motors in cars: probably not tremendously cost effective, but I'd bet electrically powered military drones will use them in their motors.

  65. Troma! by Belial6 · · Score: 1

    You don't count the existence of Troma Studios to be a major impact? How could we have TromaVision without nuclear power?!?!?!?

    1. Re:Troma! by dwye · · Score: 1

      I thought they always used toxic waste. :-)

      OTOH, without nuclear fallout, don't we lose most of the classical Japanese monster movies? OK, nuclear WARFARE is majorly significant.

  66. New backyard toy by Charcharodon · · Score: 1
    I'd finally be able to install that rail gun I've always wanted out back so that I ca drop hypersonic kinetic kill payloads on what ever jack hole is blathering on in the media about some idiotic topic.

    It's my Constitutional right to be able to bare rail guns, so I don't want to hear about it from all you pinko-commies.

  67. Let me just say, by TheInternetGuy · · Score: 1

    If this means I have to keep my room temperature at 98kelvin, I am dead set against it.

    --
    If my comment didn't sound as good in your head as it did in mine, then I guess we all know who's to blame
  68. Fiancial quote from epSos.de by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Steady drop of copper prices, if the provided superconductor is cheaper.

  69. Brain-machine interfaces by thisisauniqueid · · Score: 1

    Room-temperature semiconductors would enable the construction of at-home MEG systems, which would quickly become a far more interesting and powerful technology to construct a brain-machine interface with than an EEG. The only problem is, you'd need to wear a Faraday cage around your head...

  70. Actually answering the question. by databaseadmin · · Score: 1

    With room temp super conductors the reduced i^2-r heat is nice.

    But copper is pretty cheap. That room temp super conductor would have to have quite a low price tag on it to replace copper transmission lines. So I doubt electrical-$ losses would drive users to adopt it.

    There are situations where the i^2-r heat makes choices for you. Being liberated from those decisions, is most likely the place where you would see i^2-r loss elimination decisions. CPUs and other compact electronics comes to mind.

    But, that is just an incremental change. A few more Ghz on your processor at best.

    The thing that is REALLY novel about super-conductors is the Meisiner effect.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Meissner_effect

    Imagine a floating table.
    Imagine a floating bed.
    Imagine a floating car lift at a service station. turn the heater on, it drops to the ground, drive the car onto it, pour cold water on it, and up the car goes.

  71. Uses for room temp superconductors by iMactheKnife · · Score: 1

    If they don't need power hungry refrigeration, they are useful as"

    - Nearly 100% efficient storage batteries
    - Protection against ionizing radiation
    - A really good regenerative braking system, maybe no engine needed.
    - High speed vehicle suspension system, like maglev trains and cars
    - Railguns
    - If they can sustain high Tesla fields they might be good for armor against metal shrapnel
    - Ion drive space ship engines
    - Lossless spinning reserve power generation
    - Better sound reproduction using magnetostriction drivers
    - Research into magnetic monopoles
    - Magnetic refrigerators using magnetic hysteresis effects - extremely efficient
    - Plasma torches
    - Your turn to be creative

  72. unobtainium not first in avatar by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As much as I liked avatar, the site this took me said that unobtainium was first used in avatar. this is actually false. it was used in a movie called "The Core".

    Also it is an engineering term used since at least the 1950's.

  73. Don't do it ... it's a Puppeteer trap! by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
    No, seriously.

    Puppeteers

    --
    Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"