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Panetta Labels Climate Change a National Security Threat

skipkent writes "Defense Secretary Leon Panetta declared global warming a national security threat [Wednesday] during a speech before an environmentalist group in Washington, D.C. 'The area of climate change has a dramatic impact on national security,' Panetta told the Environmental Defense Fund last night. 'Rising sea levels, severe droughts, the melting of the polar caps, the more frequent and devastating natural disasters all raise demand for humanitarian assistance and disaster relief.'"

46 of 397 comments (clear)

  1. War On Climate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    ... starts now.

    1. Re:War On Climate by RebelWithoutAClue · · Score: 5, Insightful

      And conveniently bypassing Congressional approval too.

      --
      "However beautiful the strategy, you should occasionally look at the results" - Winston Churchill
    2. Re:War On Climate by Jeremiah+Cornelius · · Score: 4, Insightful

      What does this translate into, in real terms? You know, contracts for Halliburton, Bechtel and the gang?

      --
      "Flyin' in just a sweet place,
      Never been known to fail..."
    3. Re:War On Climate by RebelWithoutAClue · · Score: 4, Insightful

      1. The EPA will get it's own SWAT team.

      2. Green subsidies will be moved to the defense budget.

      --
      "However beautiful the strategy, you should occasionally look at the results" - Winston Churchill
    4. Re:War On Climate by Captain+Splendid · · Score: 4, Funny

      2. Green subsidies will be moved to the defense budget.

      Gawd, I hope so. So many heads asploding.

      --
      Linux, you magnificent bastard, I read the fucking manual!
    5. Re:War On Climate by J'raxis · · Score: 4, Informative

      The EPA has a SWAT team. Plenty more examples come up if you search for "EPA SWAT team," too.

    6. Re:War On Climate by fustakrakich · · Score: 4, Informative

      The EPA will get it's own SWAT team.

      Eh ,why not? The NOAA has one. In fact the EPA might already have one. Guns and badges for everyone. Makes 'em feel all important and stuff

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    7. Re:War On Climate by cayenne8 · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Good Lord?!?!

      What do environmental groups need with fucking GUNS and private cops?!?!

      I wonder if there's any way to petition our elected officials, to pass legislation banning agencies from having their own police force and weaponry...? I mean, as far as gun play and all, I'd trust the FBI or Secret Service over these other home brewed forces. IF the EPA needs protection going on a raid...they should maybe have to coordinate with the FBI...keep it simple and separate.

      I don't like the idea of these unelected departments making and enforcing all these rules...but at least lets start and be reasonable and take the 'teeth' out of them a little by mandating they can't have their own weaponized goon squads....

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    8. Re:War On Climate by J'raxis · · Score: 5, Informative

      I wonder if there's any way to petition our elected officials, to pass legislation banning agencies from having their own police force and weaponry...? I mean, as far as gun play and all, I'd trust the FBI or Secret Service over these other home brewed forces. IF the EPA needs protection going on a raid...they should maybe have to coordinate with the FBI...keep it simple and separate.

      And back before the FBI was created, when federal law enforcement was almost exclusively contained within the Treasury department,* whether or not any federal agents should even be armed to begin with, was a controversial political issue.

      Now of course the armed FBI (and the IRS, BATFE, ICE, DHS, and...) is accepted as perfectly normal. Shows how far down the drain this country has already gone, doesn't it?

      _____
      * Because the Federal Government doesn't actually have any constitutionally-granted "police power" to begin with. This power was meant to be retained by the States. Go ahead and try to find it in the enumerated powers clause of the Constitution (Art. I, sec. 8). All the Federal Government can enforce, constitutionally, is tax law. This is why, up until the 1940s, all Federal "law enforcement" was framed as a tax issue. The ATF is actually a tax-enforcement agency, and was part of the Treasury Department until it was moved to the DOJ in 2002 (Pub.L. 107-296, 116 Stat. 2135 (Nov. 25, 2002)). The first federal restrictions on firearms are actually just taxes (72nd Congress, Sess. 2, ch. 757, 48 Stat. 1236 (June 26, 1934)). The first federal marijuana law (Pub. 238, 75th Congress, 50 Stat. 551 (Aug. 2, 1937)) was just a requirement to purchase tax stamps. And so on.

    9. Re:War On Climate by colinrichardday · · Score: 4, Funny

      What do environmental groups need with fucking GUNS

      To show the Republicans that they support the Second Amendment!

    10. Re:War On Climate by slick7 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The EPA will get it's own SWAT team.

      Eh ,why not? The NOAA has one. In fact the EPA might already have one. Guns and badges for everyone. Makes 'em feel all important and stuff

      Why not, DuPont has Xe/Blackwater, the Gutterment has the NDAA. All the American citizen has, is the vote, for all the good that it does. The only person we can look up to is the elected Sheriff and look what THEY (The Hierarchy Enslaving You) are doing to Arpaio.

      --
      The mind conceives, the body achieves, the spirit manifests.
    11. Re:War On Climate by sjames · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Of course, the tax stamps were themselves a sham Constitutional workaround. You couldn't actually get them and even if you could, you were basically admitting to a crime.

  2. No one sees... by houstonbofh · · Score: 3, Insightful

    No one actually sees what is really happening to the climate any more, just what political advantage they can get from it. Because of that it has become just noise.

    1. Re:No one sees... by artor3 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      No, damn it. False equivalency. One side lies about it for political gain, the other is desperately trying to get the public to understand that it is a scientifically accepted truth that must be dealt with.

      Tell me, in what way would flooding in NYC and global famine not affect our security?

    2. Re:No one sees... by Loki_1929 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "That group of politicians are self-serving liars, but this group is benevolent and trying to help everyone!"

      I knew there were still people like you out there, but I thought we'd pretty much fixed this kind of ignorance on Slashdot. I guess we've got some more work to do.

      Here's a hint: neither side gives a shit about you. You're not even a pawn in their little game. At best, you're the chair they rest their fat, sweaty ass on while they play the game and get rich and powerful. That you believe you're on the same side or working towards similar goals is, quite frankly, pathetic.

      If you want to see politicians who aren't stepping on every man, woman, and child to get a little higher up, look for the ones who've been marginalized as fanatical zealots and kooks. After all, in the game of politics, anyone who isn't crushing everyone else to get more money, power, and glory must be a lunatic.

      --
      -- "Government is the great fiction through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else."
    3. Re:No one sees... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yes Yes because no one really checked
      http://www.economist.com/blogs/babbage/2011/03/climate_change
      !!!
      and the initial reluctance to release the raw data had noting to do with the huge effort it took to get permission form all the thousands of individuals and governments who produced it
      www.newscientist.com/article/dn20739-ok-climate-sceptics-heres-the-raw-data-you-wanted.html
      and no one ever went back and re collected it for public release either!!!

      and the freedom of information requests where all completely innocent too!!!
      http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2011/may/25/freedom-information-laws-harass-scientists

    4. Re:No one sees... by clonehappy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I've got karma to burn, so I'll bite. This is the problem with you people, instead of rationally talking about what the problems are and practical things we can all do to help, you jump straight to the end of the world scenario. This makes people tune you out, and you sound like a fool.

      Saying shit like that is the equivalent of saying that if we don't have mandatory internet ID and censorship, that pedophiles and terrorists are inevitably going to break into our homes in the middle of the night and rape our daughters, and take control of the nuclear power plants and run them up to 1000% causing Chernobylfukushimas at every generating station, respectively.

      Both are hyperbole, and do nothing to get logical folks considering your point of view. Try being rational and practical instead of religious and fanatical for a change, and I bet you'll find people are a bit more receptive to your ideas.

    5. Re:No one sees... by artor3 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Which side is the one lying about it for political gain?

      The side that is LYING!! Truth is REAL. I know that it's trendy to deny it these days, but there are such things as objective facts. All of the science proves that global warming is a fact. You don't like it? Too fucking bad, go cry me a river. Your opinions hold absolutely no sway over fact. You can disbelieve climate change, you can disbelieve evolution, you can disbelieve the moon landing, you can disbelieve that passenger jets brought down the Twin Towers, you can disbelieve gravity. But none of that fucking matters. Because truth is true whether you believe it or not.

      And tell me, how is there "political gain" for the Democrats in raising taxes and creating regulations? How does it help them? Cause from where I stand, they'd be able to win a lot more power if, like the Republicans, they simply denied objective fact and promised tax cuts for everyone. They don't do that. Instead they accept the truth and try to deal with it.

      Fuck you for waging this war on objective truth. We cannot survive without science, and we cannot have science without objective truth.

    6. Re:No one sees... by phantomfive · · Score: 3, Informative

      The temperature record since ~1970 is very unlikely to be incorrect, because we have multiple sources, and multiple methods of measuring temperature (terrestrial, different satellites). Their data largely agrees.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    7. Re:No one sees... by DogDude · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The financial gain/loss by the fossil fuel industry dwarfs any political or economic gains anybody else may have.

      --
      I don't respond to AC's.
    8. Re:No one sees... by TubeSteak · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Which side is the one lying about it for political gain?

      The side that doesn't have facts supporting its position.
      Was that a trick question?

      Can we next debate whether or not smoking tobacco is bad for your lungs?

      --
      [Fuck Beta]
      o0t!
    9. Re:No one sees... by mellon · · Score: 5, Insightful

      While your assumption is very simplifying, and thus attractive, I don't think it's correct. The reality is that politicians feel corrupt to us because they live in their own echo chamber, and they do believe a lot of things that are just plain stupid because of that. They listen to the wrong people, the people who have the loudest voices, and choose who to ally with based on what they think is right, or in some cases what they think is beneficial to them.

      Saying that they are just looking out for themselves is oversimplifying. Saying that nothing they say is ever valid is incorrect. It's comforting either to think that politicians are basically good, and looking out for us, or basically evil, and trying to screw us. It's much harder to live in the real world, where they are much more complicated than that, and require our involvement if they are to serve us.

    10. Re:No one sees... by phantomfive · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Panetta is the same guy who compares cyber threats to Pearl Harbor. He sees threats everywhere, and his solution is more DoD funding.

      Seriously, in your earlier post you basically said that everyone who disagrees with you is lying for political gain, and everyone who agrees with you is a sincere communicator. Don't you see a serious logical problem in that? If you don't, I'll make it explicit: just because people agree with you, that does not mean they are kind, sincere, or even right.

      Let me explain how politics works. People will attempt to gain power wherever they can. It doesn't matter if AGW is 110% real, and serious threat with fires erupting on the equator, people dying of starvation, and oceans rising to the Rocky Mountains. Politicians are STILL going to try to use it to their advantage.

      We see this all the time. In the 1950s, communist spies WERE a reality. A guy named McCarthy twisted this fact to destroy his political enemies. In the 2000s, anti-American terrorists WERE a real threat. A guy named George Bush used this fact to invade a completely unrelated country and destroy its government.

      It doesn't matter if an issue is real or not. If it has captured attention, people will try to use it for their advantage.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    11. Re:No one sees... by riverat1 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      NASA does climate research with data from North America only, not valid on world wide scale.

      BwaHaHa!!!!! Do you seriously believe that? And Phil Jones is the only scientist to see the unmanipulated data? What a crock of shit.

    12. Re:No one sees... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      You seem confused so I'll break it down for you:
      Small list of observed facts:
      -Carbon Dioxide, Nitrous Oxide, and Methane Gas are all greenhouse gasses.
      -Human behavior at this time includes producing or releasing these gasses.
      -Government regulators in the United States have mandated that cars run at reduced fuel efficiency to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
      -Our records indicate that average temperature over time has increased.
      -There are lakes of methane hydrate crystals on the ocean floor.
      -Changes in temperature and pressure can cause heavier-than-water liquids and solids to change phase in to lighter-than-water gasses.

      This is a theory:
      -The recorded change in climate is caused by the human release and production of greenhouse gasses.

      These are hypothesis:
      -A tipping point exists where the Earth's climate will cease to be habitable to human life.
      -We have passed, or are approaching this point.
      -Human influence on climate is significant.

    13. Re:No one sees... by artor3 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Seriously, in your earlier post you basically said that everyone who disagrees with you is lying for political gain, and everyone who agrees with you is a sincere communicator.

      That's a very misleading way to phrase it. You're implying that I believe that the liars are lying because they disagree with me. That is false. I believe that they're lying because all of the evidence shows that they are. I disagree with them as a consequence of that fact.

      I'm quite happy to admit when I'm wrong. Example: I voted for Bush, twice. I believed Iraq had WMDs. I believed that the United States wasn't torturing detainees. Go back to my pre-college years, and I was even a creationist! By 2006, the evidence of torture and lack of evidence of WMDs was such that I had to admit that I had been wrong, so I abandoned the GOP that had misled me so. And I was wrong about another thing: I thought at the time that a lot of other people would follow me, and that the GOP would collapse under the enormity of their lies. O, how wrong I was. Most of my former peers simply blinded themselves to the truth. Others rationalized by deciding, "Well, sure, I supported the bad guys, but the other guys are just as bad, so it's okay!" That's a defense mechanism, used by a brain that doesn't want to face its former mistakes.

    14. Re:No one sees... by colinrichardday · · Score: 4, Funny

      Higher taxes + more bureaucracy = bigger government = more power. How do you not see how this helps them?

      It may help them.

      Good Republicans are for smaller, less powerful government.

      Unless you have a working vagina:

      http://www.funnyordie.com/videos/87be7156f5/republicans-get-in-my-vagina?playlist=featured_videos

    15. Re:No one sees... by artor3 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Have you spent a week or two among [Republicans], away from your friends of a similar mindset and comfort zone, where you are forced to interact with them on a minute by minute basis?

      Yup, a week, two weeks, my entire childhood, every single holiday since then. Try listening to your aunt talk about how the Jews are using Hollywood to brainwash society, while your Jewish mother sits awkwardly in the corner. Try watching your supposedly devout Christian father argue that torture is good. Try arguing with your uncle that his daughter, your cousin, is not a "race traitor" just because she's dating a black man. Do all that for decade after decade, and then come back to me and say that these people can be reasoned with.

      Sometimes people really are just too far gone, and society's only option is to move on without them.

    16. Re:No one sees... by artor3 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I wish the Democrats would yank the window around. The sad fact is that they don't.

      Twenty years ago, the Republicans supported cap & trade as a free market alternative to the Democrats' policies. Today, they've renamed it "cap & tax" and it's politically toxic. Their new alternative is to do nothing because they don't even acknowledge the scientific truths that they did years ago.

      Twenty years ago, the Republicans supported the individual mandate as a free market alternative to the Democrats' policies. Today, it's a "government takeover of health care" that will institute "death panels". Their new alternative is to sell state insurance across state lines, meaning that all insurance companies would move to the state with the most lax regulations, meaning the quality of care would drop like a stone.

      Twenty years ago, Medicare was a beloved program and considered untouchable. Today, the Republicans, including their presidential nominee, have announced their intention to end the program, replace it with one that covers only a fraction of seniors' medical costs, and give the savings to the super rich in the form of the largest tax cut in decades.

      Twenty years ago, waterboarding was an evil torture technique used against American servicemen in WWII. Today it's a useful "enhanced interrogation" technique.

      Twenty years ago, a ban on assault weapons was a reasonable compromise in gun control. Today, even after the near assassination of a Representative and murder of several bystanders, we can't manage to pass a law against extended magazines -- weapons that have no purpose other than mass murder.

      The only area in which the Democrats have gained any ground is gay rights. Sorry, but truth doesn't get through to people. The average American is way too stupid to recognize a logical fallacy when he hears one. You can either lose every argument and watch the country go down the shitter, or you can fight fire with fire.

  3. This is not new by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    He's saying what's been said many times before, e.g. this from 2009 about the Pentagons simulations:
    http://www.nytimes.com/2009/08/09/science/earth/09climate.html?pagewanted=all

    "Such climate-induced crises could topple governments, feed terrorist movements or destabilize entire regions, say the analysts, experts at the Pentagon and intelligence agencies who for the first time are taking a serious look at the national security implications of climate change."

    "The National Intelligence Council, which produces government-wide intelligence analyses, finished the first assessment of the national security implications of climate change just last year. "

  4. Re:AGW ? by houstonbofh · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The greenhouse effect creates conditions that will increase plant growth. This removes more CO2. You can TEST THIS YOURSELF.


    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse


    Now go ahead and slaughter me for not posting this AC. I can spare the karma for people who disagree. Feel free to ignore that the science is really split on how the global feedback mechanism actually works. Feel free to ignore that the oceans have not risen and buried Houston, like they said they would for years...

  5. Warning, your videos have been rigged by SuperKendall · · Score: 3, Informative

    There are all kinds of problems with the videos you presented. See here for a very clear step by step instructions and video showing what your videos are claiming to show, have results that have been fabricated:

    Real CO2 in a bottle experiment

    The problem is you and so many others not actually understanding the effects that CO2 really has, and only believing in a simplistic view of warming promoted by your cult leaders.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Warning, your videos have been rigged by ideonexus · · Score: 5, Informative

      Here's Bill Nye's response to WattsUp's experiment, explaining why they failed to reproduce results that have been successfully reproduced over and over and over again by other scientists, organizations, and amateurs.

      What's sad is that the AGW skeptics give so much link-love to this bungled demonstration, that the other experiments get pushed down in the google results. AGW Skeptics are a lot like evolution-deniers in this regard, who also push anti-evolution nonsense to the top of all google results. It must be nice to have so much free time to promote this propaganda, while real science is so careful, nuanced, and time-consuming it gets lost in the politics.

      --
      i ~ Celebrating Science, Cyberspace, Speculation
  6. How convenient... by Shark · · Score: 5, Funny

    Now everybody can be accused of terrorism: We caught this man attempting a global warming attack by emitting CO2 into the atmosphere. In fact, we had to put him down as he would not stop even after being caught, threatening the security of our agents.

    --
    Mind the frickin' laser...
    1. Re:How convenient... by dmbasso · · Score: 4, Funny

      They found a recording from a surveilance camera, where he performed an even worse attack: the release of a greenhouse gas in an elevator, to the horror of the victims.

      --
      `echo $[0x853204FA81]|tr 0-9 ionbsdeaml`@gmail.com
  7. Waiting for the hypocrisy to start by J'raxis · · Score: 3, Insightful

    When anyone who isn't a climate change "expert" voices skepticism on climate change, all the believers pile on, outraged, about how the person isn't qualified to be making such statements, how they're abusing their position/authority to sound like they know what they're talking about, &c.. (Remember Bjorn Lomburg?) So I'm sure we'll see the global-warmers express similar outrage about this, right?

    And... "national security threat"? This is the same government agency that thinks that bearded malcontents hiding out in desert caves is a "national security threat." This is the same agency that spent decades fighting the "national security threat" posed by tiny little countries like Vietnam and Cuba going communist. I seem to remember an awful lot of progressives dismissing the lunacy of the War on Terror and the Cold War. So I'm sure they'll dismiss and mock this latest attempt by the U.S. military to imagine or invent new threats, right?

    Right?

  8. So easy for all of us to solve this, and yet, .... by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Interesting

    it will not happen. The reason is that many nations like China will take advantage of this to build up their own economy and hope that other nations do the heavy lifting. Worse, EU and liberals here fall for the trap of emissions PER CAPITA. It is the WORST IDEA EVER. China has not had a changing population, yet, their emissions went up nearly 10 fold over something like a 20 year period. It is about ECONOMIC OUTPUT and how you cheat at it. And yes, China CHEATS HEAVILY. So do many nations.

    If we want this solved, America is the solution. We are the largest importers. At this time, we should put a tax on ALL GOODS, both local and imported, based on the CO2 (and later add other pollutants) that is emitted from an area. The CO2 should be measured by satellite and it should be a case of (co2 out - co2 in).
    The important part is that the tax is then based as a % of CO2 PER GDP (unleveled) or a combination of CO2/GDP and CO2/land size (deals with farming which can add a lot of CO2).

    If America was to do this, it would impact the world over. Basically, nations that have been working on lowering their emissions will have lower taxes. Those like China which continue to cheat, would have top taxes applied to them.

    Ideally, ALL nations that care should do this. They will encourage all other nations to move quickly towards dropping their emissions.
    Since the economy is fragile, the maximum tax should start low and build yearly. That gives nations time to adjust.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  9. Re:Possibility of GW known since the 1970s/SCEP by houstonbofh · · Score: 3, Interesting

    It is observation of effects. Another term for it is science... They have proposed the same hypothesis for 30 years, and it keeps not being right. The temperature has risen a degree or two, and the seas have not.

  10. Re:The American Way by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Interesting

    And yet, they did not. They have said for the last 8 years that AGW is a threat to global security and ultimately to the West. The scenarios painted over and over show that China runs out of water which is why they are building dams higher up on the rivers. They plan to take the water from India and bangladash. In the mean time, China is helping Pakistan and Burma knowing that they could tie up India and Bangladash with nukes pointed at them.

    Then you have central and southern America which are heavily populated and they will likely have issues with water as well. With the overpopulation that exists there now, ppl will leave to go to Argentina, or northern America. Northern Africa will have massive wars as it dries up further.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  11. War On Climate Change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's the "War On Climate Change" ... get it right.

    The only "obvious" solution is a complete government take over of all things that produce CO2 ... in other words ... socialism. People, Factories, Vehicles, ect ... all property of the state and may only be used if they give the ok, but not before they make you feel horrible about it.

    Who cares that the US Debt:GDP has surpassed 1:1 and that true unemployment is well over 16% ... let’s focus on the climate and stop worrying about that whole economy thing.

  12. Deus (Chevy) Volt!!! by RobotRunAmok · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Be Very Afraid: The Church of The Climate is getting it's own Armed Inquisitition.

    Life Imitates Super Bowl Ad:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ml54UuAoLSo

  13. Re:AGW ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

    Only in some conditions for some plants see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Photorespiration
    Higher temperatures above a certain point decrease efficiency, to differing levels for different plants, and can lead to death or decreased yields. This could well render California's wine industry economically unsustainable with only a few degrees change see http://news.stanford.edu/news/2011/june/wines-global-warming-063011.html.

    It is true that to sea level rises will be minor, more a problem for a few cities on coastal swampland and some protected habitats but this is not the damage that real scientists have been most worried about, at least for America. If you got your idea on climate scientists opinions from newspapers understand that the often twist the subject to use fear to sell the paper and are often too scientifically illiterate to know when they crossed the line form exaggerating into lies. This is a problem they also have with everything form climate yes and diet advice eg super foods and medicine eg cancer drugs and even computer science (have you read a computer security article in a normal newspaper recently?).

    The real problems are smaller but still important like the desertification that is currently happening in places like Texas, Global warming increases average rainfall but also makes it more "patchy" and increases evaporation. Also how do you like hurricanes? Because increased surface temperature and sea level moisture directly drive stronger storms in the American "hurricane ally" http://www.ucsusa.org/global_warming/science_and_impacts/science/hurricanes-and-climate-change.html. How a bout a bit of malaria or Lyme disease ect, as increase temperatures will drive the movement of biting insects. Note that none of these are a global doom scenario but go tell a Texan farmer the drought was not important, even if they do not believe in global warming reality is not a matter of opinion and the pain it has caused them is very real.

  14. Re:Possibility of GW known since the 1970s/SCEP by hey! · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Actually it goes further back than that. In the 1950s climate scientists, reasoning by extrapolation, expected the next climate swing would be toward cooling. If you do a Google Scholar search you'll find papers starting around 1956 suggesting (tentatively) that anthropogenic CO2 generation would drive climate the other way, toward warming. Scientific consensus shifted over the next two decades toward a warming trend.

    My wife was a physical oceanography grad student at the Woods Hole Oceanographic in the early 80s. I distinctly recall her telling me about a symposium in which CO2-driven AGW was discussed. It wasn't controversial -- nobody outside of geophysics and climate research had heard of it. Nor was the position that global warming wasn't happening controversial, although it was increasingly a minority opinion. Over the next two decades I watched the back and forth as evidence for warming per se was challenged, then vindicated in the pages of the journals she read and in geek publications like Science News. It wasn't until about a decade or so ago that the term "global warming" started taking off in the popular press.

    Then there was Al Gore's *An Inconvenient Truth*, which was a blow against actual science having any influence in the public debate on pollution. It's not that the movie was scientifically inaccurate on the whole, although it was stated in much more positive terms than scientists are comfortable using. It's that a lot of people had been taught to hate this man, and for those people scientists and science as a whole was tarred with the brush of partisan distrust as well.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  15. Re:Possibility of GW known since the 1970s/SCEP by hey! · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The average sea level rise in the last few decades has been about 3mm/year. So the sea level rise in the last thirty years has been about 3 inches since 1980. Your situation may vary due to geology. In Alaska sea levels are falling due to uplift of the land.

    Take out a 3mm allen key and ask yourself, would you be able to eyeball that much change from year to year, given that the diurnal tides at Galveston are over two feet, and vary by several inches depending on weather and the moon. That's not counting the effect of wind and waves, which have to be averaged out.

    You *can't* eyeball this magnitude of change without special instruments, even if it happened overnight, and you'd still need a long sequence of measurements to know what you are looking at. The practical effects of recent sea level rise are statistical, rather than directly observable.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  16. I see... FUD by ukemike · · Score: 5, Informative

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climatic_Research_Unit_email_controversy#Inquiries_and_reports

    This issue has been investigated to death by the following organizations:
    4.1 House of Commons Science and Technology Committee
    4.2 Science Assessment Panel
    4.3 Pennsylvania State University
    4.4 Independent Climate Change Email Review
    4.5 United States Environmental Protection Agency report
    4.6 Inspector General of the U.S. Department of Commerce
    4.7 National Science Foundation

    No scientific wrong doing has ever been found. The quotes that the tinfoil heads have used to show that "Phil Jones admitted manipulating data" were taken out of context and completely misunderstood. So please go take your willfull ignorance and hang out with the young earth creationists and the flat earthers, and stop interfering with the rest of us while we try to save our asses and your sorry ass from this building world disaster.

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    -- QED
  17. Re:Possibility of GW known since the 1970s/SCEP by ukemike · · Score: 3, Informative

    I have been hearing that Global warming will cause the seas to rise for 30 years. And yet the concrete piers in the gulf are still at the same level as they were 30 years ago.

    This is the worst sort of nonsensical argument. You equate scientific predictions of sea level rise with a sea level rise that is so large that you would be able to observe and notice it with the naked eye by casual and randomly timed observations when you go to the beach. Did you take measurements? Did you account for tide level when you were there? Were you a kid with a totally different sense of scale 30 years ago?

    No scientist ever predicted a rise so large over the last 30 years that casual observation would be able to observe it. The reality is that the predicted sea level rise has matched the reality quite closely. During the last thirty years that you referenced the three-year-average sea level has risen by about 5cm.
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Recent_Sea_Level_Rise.png

    The scientific predictions I am aware of predict that the rise will accelerate over the coming century. Some effects, especially big systemic effects lag behind the cause. For instance it takes time for rising CO2 to trap the amount of heat to increase average ocean temperature (which requires a gargantuan amount of energy that is really beyond most humans ability to grasp) then it takes more time for the warmer water to undermine the Antarctic and Greenland Glaciers, but if they do start to fall apart in a big way the Army Corps of Engineers will have to really scramble to keep Huston dry.

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    -- QED