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How Would Driver-less Cars Change Motoring?

Hugh Pickens writes "BBC reports that as Nevada licenses Google to test its prototype driver-less car on public roads, futurists are postulating what a world of driver-less would cars look like. First, accidents would go down. 'Your automated car isn't sitting around getting distracted, making a phone call, looking at something it shouldn't be looking at or simply not keeping track of things,' says Danny Sullivan. Google's car adheres strictly to the speed limit and follows the rules of the road. 'It doesn't speed, it doesn't cut you off, it doesn't tailgate,' says Tom Jacobs, a spokesman for the Nevada Department of Motor Vehicles. Driver-less cars would mean a more productive commute. 'If you truly trust the intelligence of the vehicle, then you get in the vehicle and you do our work while you're traveling,' says engineer Lynne Irwin. They would mean fewer traffic jams. 'Congestion would be something you could tell your grandchildren about, once upon a time.' Driver-less cars could extend car ownership to some groups of people previously unable to own a car, including elderly drivers who feel uncomfortable getting behind the wheel at night, whose eyesight has weakened or whose reaction time has slowed." Another reader points out an article suggesting autonomous cars could eventually spell the end of auto insurance.

80 of 648 comments (clear)

  1. We already have driverless cars by DontBlameCanada · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Any municipality that allows cellphone use while driving is, essentially, endorsing driverless cars. If someone gets engaged in a deep conversation on the phone, their driving skills drop below that of someone with 0.08% blood alcohol...

    1. Re:We already have driverless cars by IrrepressibleMonkey · · Score: 4, Funny

      If someone gets engaged in a deep conversation on the phone, their driving skills drop below that of someone with 0.08% blood alcohol...

      I'll drink to that! I made this very argument quite recently, but the idiot Judge still took my license...

    2. Re:We already have driverless cars by Khashishi · · Score: 3, Funny

      Maybe we already have driverless cars, but I prefer driverless cars that have an actual robot control system.

    3. Re:We already have driverless cars by Znork · · Score: 2

      Of course, the same applies even more to passengers and children in particular. It's much harder to ignore physical presences than it is to ignore a voice. And it's even harder to ignore a physically present person that actively tries to direct your attention to something beside the traffic, such as pointing and exclaiming 'look at that!'.

    4. Re:We already have driverless cars by Cro+Magnon · · Score: 4, Funny

      Any municipality that allows cellphone use while driving is, essentially, endorsing driverless cars.

      Or maybe population reduction.

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    5. Re:We already have driverless cars by 12345Doug · · Score: 2

      I don't know but more and more studies are proving that's the case. Here's one of them. http://perspect.siu.edu/06_sp/car_talk.html

    6. Re:We already have driverless cars by utuk99 · · Score: 5, Informative

      Most of the studies I have seen on it suggest that cell phone conversation is more distracting for two reasons. The one I see in all the studies is the person on the phone does not react to what is going on in the car. So they keep talking even if something dangerous is going where someone in the car will stop and not expect an answer if you are in a situation that requires more attention on your driving. The second one I have seen suggested, but not as often is that your brain requires more "processing power" to talk on a cell phone due to quality of voice and lack of body language. And yes you would think that looking at the person you are talking to would be more dangerous, but your brain and visual system is designed to take in a wide field with only glances to build on. Most accidents are not caused by a vision problem but an attention problem. See Inattentional Blindness. And here is another study on cell phone vs passenger conversation (Sorry PDF).

  2. There won't be an end to insurance by HeLLFiRe1151 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    There are too many other things insurance pays for besides hitting another car. For example hail storm damage, tree falling on your car or an unavoidable cow jumping in front of you on a bind corner. Not to mention cruising at 50 miles an hour and hitting an ice patch or getting hit by that guy who still actually likes to "drive" his truck.

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    1. Re:There won't be an end to insurance by DragonWriter · · Score: 3, Informative

      There are too many other things insurance pays for besides hitting another car.

      What is being discussed as the end of is (though perhaps not clearly enough identified as) automobile liability insurance. This is, in practice, often bundled with other forms of insurance that also relate to automobiles, but usually only the liability part is mandated for operating on public roadways (and its usually, by far, the most expensive part), and the mandatory liability coverage is used as the wedge to sell the other coverages.

    2. Re:There won't be an end to insurance by penix1 · · Score: 5, Informative

      When they say "the end of insurance" they really mean "our profit margins are going to shrink drastically"

      You got it backwards there sport...Less accidents=less payouts=GREATER profit margins. Insurance has NEVER existed to pay out more than it takes in. That is why they raise your premiums with the first claim.

      And I don't see them reducing the premiums unless they gather a mountain of evidence showing it really is safer. I doubt we will see that in our lifetimes.

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    3. Re:There won't be an end to insurance by Sarten-X · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I'm inclined to think otherwise. There's a booming market for cheap insurance, so insurers will jump at anything they can do to charge lower rates and still turn a profit, just to stay competitive.

      Automated vehicles are a godsend, because it reduces the biggest source of unexpected claims. Add on ancillary features like monitoring your adherence to speed limits, the crime rate where your car is parked for long periods, and the time between maintenance checkups, and the insurer has a nice way to identify their safest clients to offer a well-advertised discount, and their riskiest drivers to raise their premiums.

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    4. Re:There won't be an end to insurance by StikyPad · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Well, right, you hit the nail on the head with that last part. As long as there are manual overrides -- and there will *always* be manual overrides -- there will be people who use it to game the system. In fact, I wouldn't be surprised if human drivers actually drive more recklessly because they know that the automated vehicles around them will always yield, always be aware of the vehicles around them, and always avoid collisions. This would provide a huge disincentive for people to use automated vehicles, especially in rush hour traffic where they're needed most, because the automated vehicle wouldn't be aggressive enough, and the manual driver wouldn't be hindered by the same set of programmed restrictions as the automated vehicle. If people see a measurable advantage to driving manually, they will continue to do it.

      In light of that, I can only think of one way this will work long-term and large-scale, and that's by making manual driving illegal on public roads except in emergency situations. (The penalties for noncompliance could be much more stringent than they are for reckless driving today, because intent would be a given.) I'm afraid anything less will only encourage people to drive like even bigger assholes than they already do.

    5. Re:There won't be an end to insurance by Altus · · Score: 2

      Lets just hope it knows the difference between a deer and a moose.

      You don't want to run into a moose, you really don't.

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  3. Driver-less cars would eliminate car ownership for by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 5, Insightful

    While driver-less cars would allow some people who currently cannot drive to have their own car, it will raise the price of cars so that some people who now can afford to own a car would not be able to afford one. It would also mean that someone other than you would ultimately determine where you could go. For example, only the cars of those authorized to go to certain places would even have the roads to those places in the maps in their cars. Since driver less cars will need to receive roadmap updates, you might discover that a place you went to yesterday was no longer accessible.

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  4. Re:It just doesn't work by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 5, Interesting

    1) First time poster
    2) Post appears within same minute as story, despite being well over 500 words
    3) Subtle plug for Bing maps
    4) General gist of "Google Cars will kill people!"

    Either bonch is again trying out his sockpuppets, or someone is trying to astroturf Slashdot again.

    In the meantime, I look forward to hopping into my Google car and taking a nap while driving to Tahoe. As a matter of fact, driving might become really something you do while you have other things to do - like sleep, eat, work, or just read. I'd love it. There is no reason for anyone to drive.

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  5. Re:It just doesn't work by SJHillman · · Score: 5, Insightful

    America has many well designed cities. And many poorly designed cities. However, if all cars were converted to driverless, then the increased efficiency may be such that you could have far fewer roads because a road could handle that many more cars without becoming congested - especially with some sort of inter-vehicle communication protocol. You could have cars traveling 100 mph almost bumper to bumper on highways that are currently at 55mph. This would allow you to have more roads designated cars-only to avoid many of the pitfalls of mixed traffic. The next step will likely be driverless cars with the option to switch to manual (think Demolition Man) for areas that are not driverless-friendly.

  6. Sounds great by tthomas48 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I think this will be mostly the end of private cars for the majority of us. It seems ridiculous now, but once people start looking at the cost of owning a car versus a well priced car service I think the transition will be fast. Especially among the young.

    We'll probably be able to get by with a fleet of super-effecient driverless taxi cabs. I image paying a couple hundred bucks a month to have car come and pick me up whenever I need one.

    You could get even more efficiency by offering a reduced rate for those willing to share a car. The system could efficiently route, pickup up multiple passengers and dropping them off.

    1. Re:Sounds great by SJHillman · · Score: 3, Insightful

      A good point... a fleet of driverless cars could pick up a person, take them to work, then go ferry around other people when your own car would just be sitting in a lot unused. Of course, snowy weather might might it impractical as a driverless car now has twice the distance to go (first to pick you up, then to where you want to go) and thus twice the chance of getting stuck, going off the road, etc. Hertz and Enterprise would be all over this.

    2. Re:Sounds great by russotto · · Score: 3, Interesting

      A good point... a fleet of driverless cars could pick up a person, take them to work, then go ferry around other people when your own car would just be sitting in a lot unused.

      Would be nice, but doesn't work, because there are times ("rush hour") where everyone is trying to use their vehicle at once. Given that, either the fleet companies would need to have enough cars to cover the peak (which would be prohibitively expensive), or you'd find you couldn't get a car when you wanted one (which, after it occurred a few times, would set you shopping for a personal vehicle).

    3. Re:Sounds great by tthomas48 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Wouldn't work is a bit strong. Currently there's pretty much one car for every person in the US to get to work. That's a huge fleet. Even if you you did simplest blocking you could have 6:00am, 6:30am, 7:00am. 7:30am, 8:00am, and 8:30am slots. Most commutes are less than 30 minutes. With that incredibly simplistic system you just replaced 6 cars with 1. But by dividing the number of cars by 1/6th you've reduced cars on the road, so you've reduced traffic. And by reducing human error you've reduced traffic. So perhaps it'll only take 15 minutes to get those passengers to work. Now you can have 12 slots.

      Add on top of that economic incentives to move your commute to a less popular time (perhaps $1.00 extra per day if you want to leave at 8am), and the numbers start getting very, very feasible.

    4. Re:Sounds great by CCarrot · · Score: 3, Interesting

      A good point... a fleet of driverless cars could pick up a person, take them to work, then go ferry around other people when your own car would just be sitting in a lot unused.

      Would be nice, but doesn't work, because there are times ("rush hour") where everyone is trying to use their vehicle at once. Given that, either the fleet companies would need to have enough cars to cover the peak (which would be prohibitively expensive), or you'd find you couldn't get a car when you wanted one (which, after it occurred a few times, would set you shopping for a personal vehicle).

      Ah, but most of the problem with 'rush hour' is that the majority of those cars are only carrying one, or maybe two passengers.

      A city-wide routing system should be able to plan a route to pick up a dozen or so people who are starting from / traveling to similar places, and get it all done in one vehicle. To prevent it from being just like a bus ride, subway or shared taxi (congested, noisy, kids beside you blaring their youtube videos, people breathing down the back of your neck, etc.), all the designers would have to do is build cars/vans that had segregated one / two / four person compartments, each with it's own external door (think a stretch limo with several doors on each side and a wall down the middle). Then you just swipe your pass/phone/whatever to confirm it's you, get in and relax, ignoring any other pickups or drop-offs until you get to your stop (car could 'bing' you at your stop, in case you dozed off).

      Higher end services could even stock a mini-bar in each compartment, for those who want to unwind a bit before dinner. :o) Or, better yet, you could have the car 'pick up' dinner for you before coming to pick you up (just send it to your local restaurant and have them place it in the compartment reserved for you).

      The possibilities are intriguing, that's for sure...

      --
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  7. Sounds dangerous already by rolfwind · · Score: 4, Informative

    'It doesn't speed, it doesn't cut you off, it doesn't tailgate,' says Tom Jacobs, a spokesman for the Nevada Department of Motor Vehicles.

    Anybody who equates breaking the speed limit as automatic excessive speeding is a tool. The speed limit on my local highway is 55mph, the average speed is close to 70. It's a safe speed. Many areas put an artificially low speed to collect tickets at will.

    In fact, it would be highly dangerous to go 55mph. You'd get rear ended in no time not to mention road rage.

    There is a good rule in driving: when in Rome, do as the Romans do. The rules say one thing, but the reality is, most of the time, that it's far safer to go with the flow than to fight it. Any driving system that doesn't adhere to this within reason is one I don't want to step foot in.

    First, accidents would go down. 'Your automated car isn't sitting around getting distracted, making a phone call, looking at something it shouldn't be looking at or simply not keeping track of things,' says Danny Sullivan. Google's car adheres strictly to the speed limit and follows the rules of the road.

    I wouldn't know about that. My Mac gets the spinning beachball of eternal limbo often enough.

    1. Re:Sounds dangerous already by Bigby · · Score: 2

      Once all/most cars are automated, they would be able to go 100+ mph in areas traditionally 50 mph and 150+ mph in areas traditionally 65 mph. This is of course weather permitting and the road isn't flagged as craptastic.

    2. Re:Sounds dangerous already by dkleinsc · · Score: 5, Insightful

      when in Rome, do as the Romans do.

      You've quite clearly never driven in Rome.

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    3. Re:Sounds dangerous already by SlippyToad · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The speed limit on my local highway is 55mph, the average speed is close to 70. It's a safe speed. Many areas put an artificially low speed to collect tickets at will.

      So are you the asshole who tailgates me through the "no fly zone" on I-65 and then gets pulled over by Indiana's finest 2 miles down the road after you whip past me in a rage?

      Your logic is garbage. I follow the speed limit because I am not paying $150 for a ticket. You can pay that, but I'm not fucking speeding so you can be more comfortable.

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    4. Re:Sounds dangerous already by Ichijo · · Score: 2

      In fact, it would be highly dangerous to go 55mph. You'd get rear ended in no time not to mention road rage.

      In the presence of lawbreakers like the ones you describe, driving is unsafe at any speed. But don't worry, getting rear ended with a closing speed of 15 mph (the difference between 55 and 70 mph) is much safer than a side impact collision or a head-on collision.

      On the Autobahn, it's perfectly safe to drive the speed limit while others whip around you at tremendous speeds. The reason is because slow moving vehicles stay to the right, and fast moving vehicles always pass on the left. Consistency is good for safety. So the moral of the story is, if you're going slower than the normal speed of traffic, stay in the right lane. In fact, it's the law in some places.

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  8. ALCOHOL! by gurps_npc · · Score: 5, Insightful
    They left out drunk driving. It goes away when your car can drive you home from the bar.

    This is in fact the most important feature of the driver-less car. Particularly for teenagers.

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  9. Re:It just doesn't work by SJHillman · · Score: 2

    If I could use my laptop during my commute to/from work, I could shave an hour off my day as the first and last half hour are typically paperwork/desk work anyway. Suddenly I can sleep in 30 minutes later and be home in time to make a much nicer dinner (yeah, I'm my gf's bitch around the house).

  10. Ending congestion? by grimmjeeper · · Score: 2

    Ending Congestion? Seriously?

    Will driverless cars magically create more capacity on the roads so that there is enough space for all the cars that want to drive on the same road at the same time? Because that would be a neat trick.

    1. Re:Ending congestion? by godrik · · Score: 3, Informative

      Well, ending it entirely probably not. But it might seriously decrease it. While automatic/magic drivers will not increase the capacity of the roads, it will use roads much more efficiently and predict traffic pattern. The driver-less car are less prone to accident which are a primary cause of traffic jams. They will remove the wave patterns in traffic caused by starting at a traffic light with some delays between each car.

    2. Re:Ending congestion? by Daetrin · · Score: 2

      Will driverless cars magically create more capacity on the roads so that there is enough space for all the cars that want to drive on the same road at the same time? Because that would be a neat trick.

      Yes. When all the cars are automated speed limits can be raised and the cars will travel in convey formation, each car inches away from the one in front of it. Since each car will know what all the other cars are doing (presuming the system is well designed of course) when the first car see something it needs to slow down for it can instantly tell all the other cars in the pack and they will all slow down together, so no need for stopping space inbetween them. So you'll have more cars packed in a smaller volume traveling faster.

      Furthermore because of that ability to communicate with each other when there is too much traffic on the freeway all the cars will just slow down a little instead of producing the compression waves that currently cause traffic jams/congestion.

      So not quite magic, but it is a neat trick.

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    3. Re:Ending congestion? by ArcherB · · Score: 2

      Ending Congestion? Seriously?

      Will driverless cars magically create more capacity on the roads so that there is enough space for all the cars that want to drive on the same road at the same time? Because that would be a neat trick.

      No, but they would end the caterpillar like motion of congested freeways. Many feel that this is the cause of traffic. One car hits his breaks, so the car behind him does, as does the car behind him and the next car and the next car until the whole thing stops. This is why traffic can remain backed up for hours after the stalled car that started the whole thing has been cleared.

      I've seen a simulation that shows it pretty well.

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    4. Re:Ending congestion? by Xenkar · · Score: 2

      Computer-controlled cars can safely drive bumper to bumper where as humans typically require two to three seconds of following distance to drive.

      Computer-controlled cars won't brake randomly and thus cause traffic jams. They won't play Looky Lou to every damned automobile accident or road construction site.

      Now I enjoy driving. I enjoy the feeling of counter steering before I go through a corner without braking at speeds that would make most car drivers cringe. But I'll gladly give that up or go to a private course if it means screwing over the police.

      No more drunk driving stop points. No more speed traps. No more "I think you went through a red light so here's your ticket, either pay it or come to court on a work day and still lose out no matter what from lost income." Cops will finally be forced to focus on burglary, theft, assault, murder, and rape.

      Hah, who am I kidding, they'll most likely go after non-violent marijuana smokers.

    5. Re:Ending congestion? by Chrisq · · Score: 2

      If ALL the cars were drivereless? Yes. The safe following distance for a driverless car is about 1 foot.

      I had a friend who drove in "demolition derby", and he pointed out that this distance is actually safer than diriving at just less than your thinking distance. If the car in front breaks there is no time to build up a speed differential. That's why they try to get in a line on the demolition track - nobody can hit you fast

  11. Re:It just doesn'twwork by JoshuaZ · · Score: 4, Informative
    I think you may be underestimating what the technology can eventually do. If it becomes sufficiently advanced, automated cars should be able to do the same things that human drivers can. Moreover, in the short term, even in the US, the use of automation will probably be primarily highway driving and switch over to manual control in cities. Highway driving is much more easily automatable because there isn't nearly as much of any the problems you outline (which exist in the US also but to a lesser extent).

    As a side question, why are American cities planned without any personal touch, but so "professionally"?

    To a large extent this is just because they have been planned, whereas many older cities in Europe and Asia were built up well before modern city planning. There are other factors as well- cities that are planned well become less well-planned as time goes on. You see this in Europe with some of the old Roman cities. Also, when one didn't have cars and trucks, smaller alleyways weren't a problem, whereas many expanded American cities happened just as cars were showing up (remember the frontier in the US doesn't close until the 1890s). There's also just a long tradition in the US of careful planning, that's dates back to the very early settlements. New York was gridded out when much of the city was still wilderness, and that started a general precedent. There are some cities that aren't as carefully gridded (such as Boston) but many cities modeled themselves in a similar way to New York. Also, in much of the US land was pretty cheap. Gridding with big roads takes a lot of land up- when you have the room it is easier to do it.

  12. cheaper idea by slashmydots · · Score: 2

    I have a much cheaper solution. Anyone going 45 up the onramp or going 60 in the fast lane or basically anyone driving a Buick and causing a 10 mile backup behind them should be detected and pickedup by a giant robot arm and dropped on a county road instead of the highway. Getting rid of dumbasses that can't drive would effectively double the overall throughput of every highway, guaranteed.
    Also, automation would do nothing for cement trucks and large equipment, which cannot easily be robotized and would still slow down traffic.

  13. Re:It just doesn't work by fifedrum · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I would absolutely use a car that had an auto-drive mode. If everyone did, then you wouldn't even need stop lights or other controls at intersections, or speed limits, as the vehicles would work together to melt traffic into a perfect flow. It might be a bit unnerving at first, watching traffic weaving through intersections, but we would get used to it.

    Google or not.

  14. Re:Driver-less cars would eliminate car ownership by MozeeToby · · Score: 5, Interesting

    And alternatively again, while some people wouldn't be able to afford a car that they have now, some families will be able to get by with fewer cars. Imagine a world where my wife goes to work 30 minutes before I do, and sends the car back for me to use; then I send it to pick up my teenager from school, who sends it back to my wife, who picks me up on the way and we all go home. If we're postulating a world where trust is high enough to read and do work while in the operator's (I hesitate to say driver's) seat, there's a very small jump from there to the car that can go to a destination sans passengers entirely.

    And of course, that says nothing about how it would revolutionize the statistically very dangerous world of truck driving (though I suspect the truck drivers might not be too happy about that, I'm sure they can get a lobby together to make sure that entirely autonomous semi's never get approved).

    Since driver less cars will need to receive roadmap updates, you might discover that a place you went to yesterday was no longer accessible.

    I don't think anyone is seriously considering cars without some kind of manual override. Though in the long term I suppose it's possible.

  15. Same old same old by 0123456 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I remember when flying cars were going to solve all our problems.

    Back in the real world there are a few tests followed by hype followed by 'this invention will solve every problem we currently have!' followed by glowing endorsements of the first release followed by a huge collection of new problems discovered by the early adopters followed by a new technology that will 'solve every problem we have with the last new technology that turned out to be nowhere near as magical as predicted!'.

    Yeah, these cars will be better in some circumstances but they'll be worse in others and they'll create new problems of their own. They certainly won't bring an end to insurance because they will hit things and they will crash and they will leave you with a huge payout to the victims if you're not insured.

  16. It's all fun and games until TrafficNet by HangingChad · · Score: 5, Funny

    On April 21, TrafficNet became self-aware and decided to play a giant game of bumper cars.

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  17. Re:Pundits miss the point by 0123456 · · Score: 2

    If I wanted to wait for a vehicle to turn up every time I had to go somewhere I'd take a bus.

  18. Re:Can already have all that by SJHillman · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The only public transportation that even comes close to all of the advantages of an automated car is taxis... individual vehicles that go from Point A to Point B. Buses, subways, etc all fail hard when you start talking about suburbs, rural areas, etc. Automated cars would be able to handle all of these and more.

  19. Re:It'd make red lights quicker by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It is impossible to do this in a human system. If I am the 4th car in line and just start going and the 3rd person does not, then I rear end him and get the citation. So I have to hesitate to be sure he truly is going before I match his speed.

    The turn signal thing I TOTALLY agree with. How freaking lazy is it to just change lanes without signalling?

  20. Re:It just doesn't work by SJHillman · · Score: 2

    The most navigable cities I've driven through have a layout where most of the city is a typical grid (often North/South/East/West) but have a few major avenues going at a 45 degree angle (NE/SW and NW/SE) just to help cut across the grid. Most of the cities here also have one expressway looping around the outside of the city and another one cutting through the heart of it - between them, you can get fairly close to your destination pretty fast.

  21. Re:It just doesn't work by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    but 127.0.0.1 seems to be just filled with porn

  22. Re:It just doesn't work by leonardluen · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I wouldn't mind having a self driving car, but i have a feeling your view of the intersections of the future wouldn't be safe for pedestrians.

  23. Re:Can already have all that by ArcherB · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Pretty funny: all those "advantages" can already be had by using public transportation. Cheaper too. Kind of easy to overlook nowadays.

    S

    Well, they were not comparing it to public transportation. They were comparing driverLESS cars to cars with drivers. If they were comparing it to public transportation, they would have mentioned things like, you can leave directly from your house, you can change your mind mid trip, you can leave whenever you like and not be tied to a bus schedule, there are no transfers, you can make impulse stops at stores and restaurants, you car does not have "hours of operation", and many many other advantages to driving your own vehicle as opposed to public transportation.

    Eventually, though, this system will be much like public transportation, except with the advantages I listed above. There will be routes designated for driverless travel. For example, the freeways may have a driverless lane, much like an HOV lane, whereas you may have to man the steering wheel while in neighborhoods. Efficiency will be greatly improved with constant speeds and drafting. Maybe not to the level of public transportation, but certainly better than now. It may even be possible to put rails on these roads to power electric vehicles, which would surpass public transportation (it would be more efficient as your vehicle does not have to stop and every single stop and then start back up again). The way I see it, driverless cars could be better than public transportation in every way, maybe with the exception of efficiency.

    In the end, our cars will be more like a small bedroom, living room or office. We'll have a couch and a TV/monitor or a desk with a computer or whatever you want. There will be no steering wheel, gas pedal, or designated seats. If the system works well enough, we won't even need seat belts. Every car will be like a limo without a driver. I don't know if any of us will live to see that day.

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  24. Re:Driver-less cars would eliminate car ownership by geekoid · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Or how about no one no longer needing to own a car becasue they are autmated and have a car sitting not doing anyting is a waste.

    You just pay your 50 bucks a month to be a member of a car pool.
    Buses won't be needed any more, fewer parking lots, less congestion.

    I suspect there will be different kinds of pools at different cost.

    A pool of automated vans that ;pick up 12 people on the way to work, comfort car pool where a luxury car picks yo up. Sports car pool.

    It gets real interesting with automated Motor Cycles.

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    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  25. Yes it will, no more Phantom Traffic Jams by Tekfactory · · Score: 2

    There are problems with people noticing brake lights, stopping and then resuming flow that computers will not have. MOST of the traffic problems are with people stopping, starting and not knowing how to merge with traffic and other drivers not letting them merge. All of these things will go away and while the actual capacity of the road won't change, it will seem like it has increased because people will get off the roads quicker and the capacity is used more efficiently.

    Phantom traffic jams can last for hours, you seem hopelessly stuck going 5 mph or less and then over one hill and its back up to highway speed for no reason, these are Phantom trafic jams, the original source of the problem has been gone for hours, but the backup caused by the backup has caused more backup its like a zombie process for humans, only computers won't have it.

  26. Re:Can already have all that by w_dragon · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Please, tell me how public transit can get me from my front door on a minor city street with no bus service to my parents' house outside of a small town about 30 miles away. Public transit is a fantastic option if you live in a large city and don't leave it very often, but it's no where near good enough to replace a car for a lot of people.

  27. Re:Good Luck by ddd0004 · · Score: 2

    Why does it have to be an all or nothing proposition? Automated cars could exist on the road with human drivers.

  28. Re:It just doesn't work by Sarten-X · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Europe has tons of cities which aren't planned like that

    When London, Beijing, Cairo, and most other ancient cities were first laid out, their main roads connected little groups of buildings, in whatever way was convenient at the time. Maps didn't exist commonly, let alone a postal service, so the only important measure of efficiency was transit time on foot. With nothing else around them, those roads could be made straight, bending only around geographic features. This is clearly evident in rural Africa, where the roads between farms are generally straight, but run at odd angles.

    Newer cities (including all the ones in America, which were all built in the last 500 years) were designed for people and postmen. Cities were expected to have a high population density, so their roads are designed to make the biggest buildings possible: rectangles. Their addressing was designed for efficiency, to the extent where cities like Salt Lake City, Utah have primarily numbered streets, with names being used only for main routes. There are still many odd angles, but they're generally old major routes that the city has grown around. Even landscape is getting ignored in favor of efficiency, with roads often stopping at a river's edge and continuing on the other side.

    All of this means that outside America, Google Car has little use.

    Conveniently, modern routing algorithms have absolutely no problem with any of these designs. Modern algorithms treat the city as a graph of intersections, knowing what intersections connect to what other intersections, how far apart they are (by time, distance, and even traffic density) and knowing what building numbers are between what intersections. The actual placement of those intersections doesn't matter when planning a route, but only when actually making a map for humans to follow.

    In fact they would be fatal to others on the road.

    As I'm sure has been pointed out by others by now, this is ridiculous. An automated car can be just as sensitive as any human-driven car, and often moreso. An automated car has cameras and laser sensors on it, that can poll thousands of points each second to construct a map of the world. Unlike humans, the sensors don't suffer from blindness, distraction, or optical illusions. If there's an elephant in front of the car, the car will know that there's an elephant-shaped object in front of it, and it will recognize the turning lights on its ass. the moment they come on.

    Also unlike humans, an automated car is capable of communicating with other automated cars on the road. Despite what the summary says, they can tailgate, and they can cut each other off. The difference is that they'll be in constant communication at the time, so that if one car needs to stop, it will give plenty of notice to other cars, who will all apply their brakes at the same time at different strengths, so they will decelerate in unison. Cars traveling a half-meter apart on the highway will stop a half-meter apart, too.

    With this communication, it's fully possible for a car to see around corners. Not only are there sonar sensors capable of making a decent guess as to what's approaching, but there are also projects to make stationary sensors, to be placed near intersections. These would watch for regular old dumb cars (and people, cats, dogs, and elephants, too), monitor their position and velocity, and send reports to automated cars in the area, which can then make fully-informed decisions about what to do.

    I doubt Google has thought of this and they will be in for a big surprise when nobody but Americans can use them.

    I can assure you that Google has thought of this. That's why Google Maps works for routes outside the United States, and why self-driving robots have been a major field of research for a few decades.

    --
    You do not have a moral or legal right to do absolutely anything you want.
  29. Re:It just doesn't work by ByOhTek · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Two points

    the ggp post you made, #3 is wrong - it wasn't subtle.

    Also, Bing maps did appear to be faster than Google maps when I tested it just now, but then again, it's less popular, so it's probably getting hammered less. That being said, it was very confused by rather simple directions request. I'll happily take the 3x longer load time for google maps, since it can not only get me within the right zip code, but to the right place.

    Note - this was a simple query - street number, name, and city. Google maps had no trouble, Bing Maps gave me four results, all in the wrong zip coes.

    --
    Self proclaimed typo king, and inventor of the bear destroying coffee table (patent not pending).
  30. Re:It just doesn't work by toastar · · Score: 2

    um... you can do that already if you take the bus. >.>

  31. Re:It just doesn't work by Local+ID10T · · Score: 2

    There is no reason to have pedestrians and motor vehicles sharing the same space.

    Use an overpass/underpass design to keep the cars away from where the pedestrians are. Designate actual bike paths, separate from walkways or motorways.

    In areas with large amounts of foot traffic, such as downtown/shopping/dining districts put in car parks a block or two away, and allow only foot traffic -except for designated cargo loading access points (aka alleyways).

    --
    "You want to know how to help your kids? Leave them the fuck alone." -George Carlin
  32. Re:It just doesn't work by SJHillman · · Score: 3, Funny

    But who would drive me to the bus stop?

  33. Re:End of traffic jams? by Hatta · · Score: 5, Informative

    Traffic is a result of ( volume of cars) > (capacity of road).

    It's not that simple. The number of cars on the road depends on the average speed of the cars. The slower cars go, the longer they'll be sitting on the road taking up space.

    But as the number of cars increases past a certain point, the average speed decreases. People get nervous driving in tight formation, for good reason. This leads to roads never actually being used at capacity.

    If instead we had driverless cars that would form into packs that move at the speed limit, even when the road is nearly saturated, we'll get more cars off the road faster thereby reducing congestion.

    Nifty, huh?

    --
    Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
  34. Re:Isolation by SJHillman · · Score: 2

    The cities are full, we like trees, air, fresh water, fishing and hunting, jobs were more readily available in less urban areas, closer to family and friends, better schools in the rural areas... and much more.

  35. Re:End of traffic jams? by dkleinsc · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Traffic is a result of ( volume of cars) > (capacity of road).

    That's not the only cause of traffic jams. Some other causes, just off the top of my head:
    - Lanes ending, either due to construction or accident.
    - Major exit ramps onto another road with traffic issues. Not only does that screw up the right lane, it also screws up the next lane over with the jerks who drive past the line of cars waiting and then try to force their way into the line.
    - A single slow driver can wreak significant havoc just by cruising down the right lane at 45 mph. The reason is that now the not-quite-as-slow 55 mph driver pulls into the next lane over to pass them, forcing the 60 mph driver into the left lane, leaving the 75-80 mph drivers going insane behind them.
    - Sun glare and other natural conditions slowing down drivers, especially timid drivers.

    --
    I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
  36. Miles Driven Will Go Up by b0bby · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I think if these take off (and I hope they will) we'll see a substantial increase in miles driven. Not just from people sending their cars back home to get someone else (it will be a while before they allow unoccupied driverless cars, I imagine), but from trips which were previously too tedious. If I can come home from work on Friday evening, get in my self driving car with the family, and wake up in Orlando or Cape Cod, I'm much more likely to take such trips over a weekend. I bet it would double the miles I put on in a year; if everyone was doing that type of thing, it'd put a big strain on gasoline supplies. Hopefully their introduction will tie in to increases in efficiency.

  37. City planning could be reinvented by h00manist · · Score: 2

    A huge amount of city planning actually could be called car-planning. Roads, traffic, parking, fines, licencing, pedestrians, safety, refueling, etc. Most importantly, space - roads, parking and car-services stores take up huge amounts of space. Changing the cars changes a lot of how the city works. Every uban planner is always complaing about the limitations cars impose on the possibilities. Look as Masdar cars.

    --
    Build your own energy sources from scratch. http://otherpower.com/
  38. Re:What if bad things happen? by SecurityGuy · · Score: 2

    Right now, you're supposed to maintain sufficient distance from the cars around you that if something happens to them, you have time to react. Cars should never be moving at 180 KPH within centimeters of each other for exactly the reason you state. If the car in front has a mechanical failure and starts decelerating rapidly, the cars around need time to react whether they're driven by people or computers.

  39. Re:It just doesn't work by icebike · · Score: 2

    Efficiency and navigatability, plus, as opposed to London, most American cities have several thousand years worth of city road building experience built right in.

    I suspect you mean thousands of years of road building experience built RIGHT OUT.

    Instead of having to make all those mistakes that you must accept forever, (because the cost to undo them is too high) cities developed later tend to be developed better. Learning from the mistakes of the past.

    But in any event, I fail to see how this issue affects driverless cars. After all, its all in the maps.
    Narrow twisting one way streets would be avoided, just like any good GPS Nav unit avoids them now, unless your destination is one such a street. Route preference can be built into the maps as well. I don't see old-city design issues being a major impediment. Speeds are slower in these places, and the guidance system has time to react.

    Italian drivers are another issue.

    What worries me is the increasing incidence of big-rig drivers to run GPS Jammers just so their cargo can't track its own route. I've had my GPS jump two states away just because an 18 wheeler pulled up behind me. I whipped out my phone only to find it couldn't get a fix either. 10 miles this went on, then the trucker tuned onto a different highway, and everything went back to normal.

    Can the Google cars handle this?

    Do they have inertial nav, or dead reckoning built in for GPS failures, or do they just rely on following a lane to its destination?
    See-vehicle - Avoid vehicle, See Lane - Stay in Lane?
    Do they hit the pot hole at 50mph that the car in front drifted slightly left to avoid?

    --
    Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
  40. Re:It just doesn't work by nschubach · · Score: 2

    doesn't have overly paranoid users thinking that anyone who says anything positive about Microsoft or Apple, or validly criticizes Linux and FOSS

    Reddit has invisible barriers. Voluntary barriers actually. If you don't follow Linux you won't subscribe to any of the Linux subreddits and you never see positive posts about Linux. (Or alternatively: Windows) However, if you express frustration or distaste for the product of topic, you'll get down modded into oblivion. Compare that to Slashdot's single facing main news page and you can see (hopefully) why. If Reddit forced every main story to the front page for every logged in user you'd get a lot of people commenting negatively on "New Microsoft app has Ribbon" stories popping up on their main page. With subscriptions though, you would likely never see this story unless you subscribe to /r/microsoft

    Reddit makes for a great echo chamber. You can subscribe to your favorite topics and get all warm fuzzy news about it all day long and anything that seems too critical will be quickly shunned.

    --
    Every time I start to have faith in humanity, I ruin it by driving to work between 7 and 8 am.
  41. Re:The Best Part by 0123456 · · Score: 2

    Well he assumes it won't be a flying car.

    You're driving along talking to your passenger.

    Suddenly the siren goes off telling you to take over.

    You turn to the wheel. The computer shut down because something disastrous just happened. You have perhaps a few seconds to switch from 'talking to passenger' mode to 'I have to handle a disastrous situation mode that the computer can't deal with and I haven't looked at the road for an hour' mode.

    Are you:

    1. Instantly going to recognise the problem and masterfully steer the car out of it?
    2. Fscked?

    This is almost exactly the same behaviour that killed the people on AF447.

  42. Re:It just doesn't work by mlts · · Score: 2

    Given a choice between Google's AI, or the guy in the other vehicle who is probably incapacitated by some form of recreational substances, i'll take the AI. We already deal with hostile/oblivious/incapable people behind the wheel. At least the AI will be consistent and improve over time with regard to driving decisions.

    Where AIs succeed where people fail are reaction times. Where a rear-ender occurs because someone weaved in a lane, paniced, and brake-checked, an AI would have already detected the event and the vehicle would have slowed down, possibly announcing via some wireless mesh about the emergency stop, causing other car AIs to be able to slow down without as much force. For the most part, the only communication between meat drivers on the road is a middle finger.

  43. Re:Don't forget drunk driving by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 2

    I would like to go to a bar with friends without one of them suffering the fate of the designated driver.

    On the other hand, if you have a problem with drunk dialing, imagine if you had a car that could drive you to your ex's house with a voice command...

    They already have a type of driverless car for that (at least from you and your friend's perspective). It's called a taxi.

  44. Re:It just doesn't work by cayenne8 · · Score: 2
    It would certainly take all the fun out of driving, that's for sure.

    Why would anyone ever buy a Porsche, or Vette or even a high powered Camero again..if you couldn't take it out on the streets and drive it like you would today?

    --
    Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
  45. Re:DUI's and balance sheets. by Marcika · · Score: 2
    Well, it would eliminate some traffic police, traffic lawyer and prison industry positions. But that would be small fry compared to the amount of taxi drivers and truckers that would be out of jobs.

    In the end, whether you see it as utopia or dystopia depends on your confidence level in human nature -- whether you think society can find useful ways of make-work or self-actualization for all the unemployed people made obsolete by progress.

  46. Re:It just doesn't work by Martin+Blank · · Score: 2

    Gross navigation is handled by GPS and fine navigation uses cameras and other sensors to figure out what to do locally or if GPS fails. It has to factor in other cars, after all.

    --
    You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
  47. Re:It just doesn't work by Applekid · · Score: 2

    Why would anyone ever buy a Porsche, or Vette or even a high powered Camero again..if you couldn't take it out on the streets and drive it like you would today?

    For the same reason you don't take a horse on the freeway. Progress is funny like that. Things become obsolete.

    There would be dedicated "amusement roads" for such purposes, much like there are horseback tours today.

    --
    More Twoson than Cupertino
  48. Re:It just doesn't work by mcgrew · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It would certainly take all the fun out of driving, that's for sure.

    If you want to drive for fun, take your damned muscle car to the racetrack and risk your own damned life. I don't need you risking mine by your driving like a moron. Cars are for transportation, not fun... unless you're at the races.

  49. Re:It just doesn't work by ElKry · · Score: 3, Informative

    Self-driving cars not only use a variety of sensors to assess the environment, but also have systems based on algorithms like SLAM (Simultaneous localization and mapping) to help them position themselves relative to the environment, and position landmarks relative to them. All kinds of sensors are involved, but especially laser range sensors which would prevent the kind of problems caused by GPS returning invalid results (the car won't just drive into a wall, it will avoid the wall and reduce the belief associated with the current location). GPS is just an extra sensor, not a bunch of set-in-stone instructions.

    They don't hit the pot hole because there are computer vision systems that, along with the range sensors, can make a reliable guess at whether that is a pot hole or not, and avoid it. Speed would be irrelevant as the computer can react faster, and more accurately than a human driver could.

    When it comes to this kinds of algorithms, sometimes they are *too* efficient, and you have to route around that: a good example is going around walls, in which the car might decide to hug the wall and take a turn very, very close to the corner - but this is not optimal as a) the driver would probably freak out b) Movement and location sensors are not perfect, you always have to consider actuator and sensor noise. So, the algorithms are complemented by a penalty for getting too close to objects, even if it wouldn't cause a collision.

    I hope that helps paint a broad picture of the system to make a bit more understandable.

  50. Re:It just doesn't work by icebike · · Score: 2

    It was in Nevada (and not near any military installation), and I'm pretty sure it was just Joe Contract Trucker.

    That wasn't the first time It happened, just the first time I figured out what it was. My Garmin literally had me in North Dakota one minute, then Texas the next. It was useless. The phone simply couldn't get a fix. The Cell towers told it one thing, but the GPS signal said something totally different.

    Its becoming a big problem. These units are not hard to find, and the problem is becoming fairly serious as even a cursory Google search will find:
    http://arstechnica.com/business/2012/02/uk-research-measures-growing-gps-jamming-threat/
    http://www.newscientist.com/blogs/onepercent/2012/02/gps-jamming-a-clear-and-presen.html
    http://www.jammerall.com/categories/GPS-Jammers/

    --
    Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
  51. Re:It just doesn't work by cayenne8 · · Score: 2
    Seriously?

    Is that a world you'd actually want?!?!

    What happened to car culture in this country...people used to like their cars, work on them..drive them...want to have performance vehicles.

    Sad to see that go...a car shouldn't just be a utilitarian object to get you from place A to place B. Life is too short for that....drive a fun car, and every trip you take is an adventure.

    --
    Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
  52. Re:It just doesn't work by cayenne8 · · Score: 2

    If you want to drive for fun, take your damned muscle car to the racetrack and risk your own damned life. I don't need you risking mine by your driving like a moron. Cars are for transportation, not fun... unless you're at the races.

    If they weren't meant for fun...they'd not sell cars that were fun to drive.

    You don't generally buy a street legal car...to just drive it on the track.

    Like I said on another post...it is sad that one things a car is just a utilitarian object to get from place to place.

    With fun cars, like I've always owned....even the daily drive to work is an adventure!!!

    Life it too short not to enjoy every minute of it you can...even on a drive to the grocery store.

    --
    Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
  53. Re:It just doesn't work by thegarbz · · Score: 2

    Not even taking into account the results, Bing maps just plain makes my eyes hurt. The very muted coloursheme makes it difficult to tell road types apart (with the exception of major highways). Even major metropolitan arterials blend into the background and god forbid they get close to an area zoned as a public park (green on green).

    But nothing ticks me off more than their naming of cities / suburbs. They don't scale down. If I search for a city like Brisbane and zoom to a scale that shows the central suburb and the ones immediately surrounding them, the second "b" covers the entire business district. Along with the already muted tones, a semi transparent letter 3" high in the middle of the screen doesn't do a lot of good either!.

    How about a suburb search. Bing only puts a big dot on the map. When you zoom out that dot is somewhere in the city. Google puts it's marker in, but when you zoom out it highlights the boundries of your suburb so you can not only see exactly where in the city it is, but also how big it is.

    Bing has a long way to go before I'll even consider it viable. It's a pain in the arse to use on a computer and I shudder to think how it would look on my 4" phone screen.

  54. Don't think train/bus vs car; think city vs sprawl by doom · · Score: 2

    Okay, well here is where I'm going to attach my comments, since you guys are at least getting close to my angle on these things:

    An automated car would indeed be more fuel efficient than a human-driven one, largely because human beings are really stupid at driving: they constantly try to push the car faster than the average speed of traffic, and hence do a lot of standing on the gas and the brake.

    (There's another big potential advantage to automated cars, but I bet they're keeping quiet about it in order to keep from scaring people: tailgaiting. If all the cars are computer controlled, they can all brake simultaneously, so there's much less need for big following distances, and hence they can all "draft" each other. Wind resistance is what kills fuel efficiency at highway speeds.)

    By fixing a lot of the frustrations with using a private car, these systems are going to encourage using them in preference to other strategies, there's a potential for huge perverse effects: ultimately this isn't a "green" technology, it's a distraction technology that's going to keep people from working on the real problems. (Note: you can say similar things for electric cars-- in the US half our electricity is generated by coal burning, if your electricity is coal-in-disguise it's cleaner to burn gasoline).

    Just to pick one problem: if you make it easier for people to live with a 2 or 3 hour commute each way, many more people will do that. Even if you double the energy efficiency, if you double the miles they're willing to drive, that would be a wash.

    Another, related angle: one of the big problems the US faces is that after WWII massive amounts of construction was rolled out around the idea that everyone would be driving cars everywhere: the low-density "sprawl" is nearly impossible to retrofit with workable public transit. Does a driverless car sound like a "green-fix" to you? To me it sounds like a "sprawl enabler".

    Energy efficiency and environmental pollution isn't everything, there are multiple other problems associated with a car-centered lifestyle from social isolation to gasoline guts. (Oh boy, door-to-door service! I'll never have to walk *anywhere*! I'll never have to sit near anyone with a different ethnic background! Heaven!)

    (Brad Templeton's energy numbers on transit are interesting, but limited in a number of ways, largely because he's working solely "per mile": if you take a more whole-system view, a city where people are using relatively dirty buses and trains for short-hops is likely to be better off compared to a sprawl where people are using cleanish-cars to drive 20 miles to buy a gallon of milk.)

  55. Re:It just doesn't work by Weaselmancer · · Score: 2

    What happened to the horse culture in this country...people used to like their horses, feed them, trust them like beloved pets. This newfangled Model A is going to ruin all that and replace it with a utilitarian object that can't show you affection or eat oats from your hand.

    Or to put it another way, humankind has been around for about 200,000 years, and have only had cars for the last 100. I think we'll get over it. We have before.

    --
    Weaselmancer
    rediculous.
  56. Re:It just doesn't work by Mista2 · · Score: 2

    Many families could reduce ownership to only one car. Take it to work, instead of having to pay parking all day long, it then returns under its own power to pick up the kids and take them to school, then trundle to the supermarket where it will pick up the shopping ordered online, and packed by a personal shopping bot (or human). At 3:00pm, return to school where a teacher will confirm my car has arrived for them and dismiss them, the car then takes them home, then return to the city to get me from work. If I'm going to be late, just have the car park outside of the city and wait until I'm ready (the main reason I dont use public transport, my schedule varies considerably, and doesnt coincide with bus or train timetables very well.
    Infact, why have my own car for this, just rent a "Jonny Cab" 8)