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European Scientists Make a Case For a Return To the Moon

MarkWhittington writes "While the official target of NASA's space exploration program remains exploring Earth approaching asteroids, the case for a return to the moon has been made from a variety of quarters. The most recent attempt to make a case for the moon is in a paper, titled Back to the Moon: The Scientific Rationale for Resuming Lunar Surface Exploration, soon to be published in the journal Planetary and Space Science."

285 comments

  1. We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Interesting

    Write this down. M.A.R.S. That's right! Mars, bitches!

    1. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by Runaway1956 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yes, Mars. But, the moon is closer, cheaper, easier. The moon also provides a staging point from which to launch to Mars, and points beyond. Unless I am seriously mistaken, infrastructure and assets on the Moon won't degrade, or at least will degrade very slowly compared with infrastructure and assets built on earth.

      The moon is a very valuable resource, and development of that real estate should commence immediately. The moon is no longer a "goal", but a "waypoint".

      The only reason we don't have multiple bases on the moon now, is that mankind has it's collective head up it's collective ass. My nation, which actually put men on the moon, wastes more resources on the invasion of other nations than it would have taken to build and maintain a base capable of housing 1000 personnel. Of that much, I'm certain. I suspect that said base could be much larger, and that maybe a few satellite bases might have been built with all the money wasted in Viet Nam, Iraq, and Afghanistan. Some of our lesser actions could probably have paid for one of those small satellite bases.

      Oh yeah. Read my third sentence again. Points beyond. To me, Mars should just be considered a practice mission. Plant a real colony, close to home, for practice, so that we can do the same further out. We NEED to spread out, so that a single epidemic, or a catastrophic event doesn't wipe us out!

      --
      "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
    2. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When you're top dog, you have to kick somebody's ass everyone once in a while to remind everyone else you're top dog. Doing this seems to be more important to us Americans than accomplishing great scientific and technological feats....I don't really understand why.

    3. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by camperdave · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The moon would make a lousy staging point. Why loft things out of a gravity well, then drop them back in, only to loft them out again. It is an utter waste of time and propellant. Assemble stuff in Earth orbit, then go directly (or as directly as orbital mechanics lets you go).

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    4. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by Endovior · · Score: 3, Insightful

      This. The moon doesn't really have much going for it but 'fairly close'; if you want a staging point, you're far better off with a space station of some kind. That way, you're not only even closer then the moon, but you don't have that pesky gravity well imposing an additional cost.

    5. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by ongelovigehond · · Score: 1, Informative

      We NEED to spread out, so that a single epidemic, or a catastrophic event doesn't wipe us out!

      There's no realistic way of spreading beyond Mars. And Mars itself isn't really a better place to survive a catastrophic event. It would make more sense to build a couple of deep underground (or underwater) bunkers on earth, where a few people can take shelter from this catastrophic event. It would be several orders of magnitude cheaper, and more effective. At least, when the event has passed, you can climb out, and breathe the air, drink the water, and grow food.

    6. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      But it has gravity which makes it easier for humans (less bone loss).

      Underground lunar facilities would provide shielding against cosmic rays (also better for humans).

      There's *stuff* on the moon we can mine & use on site (as opposed to launching it from earth).

    7. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by MachDelta · · Score: 4, Interesting

      If we can refine fuel and materials from lunar ores (possible, in theory) then the moon would make a great staging point to fuel up or perform final assembly for long missions. Instead of trying to lift obscene quantities of fuel and finished materials out of a much bigger gravity well, you just boost up the hard to build stuff with as little fuel as possible, and then slap it all together with moon-tape and ExxonMoonble.
      It would also be much more durable than an orbital station, especially if it's partially subterr.. uh, sublunar.

      Basically, the argument is that it would be the better long (long) term investment that would eventually pay itself off. And heck, maybe there's an argument for doing both and baby-stepping our way into space (earth->orbit->moon->phobos->titan->???->orion slave girls!!)

    8. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "is that mankind has it is collective head up it is collective ass."

      -Anonymous spelling nazi

    9. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by TFAFalcon · · Score: 2

      What if the 'event' takes generations to pass? Or never passes at all? Sure we don't have the technology to easily survive on Mars/Moon right now, but we'll need to develop it eventually, or go back to living in log cabins once resources on Earth run out.

    10. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by ongelovigehond · · Score: 1

      What's so special about this technology that it will let us live on Mars in luxury, but condemns us to living in log cabins on earth ? Why won't the resources on Mars run out just as they do on earth ?

    11. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by TFAFalcon · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Sure they'll run out, but it will give humanity time to figure out how to expand to the next pile of resources, AND give us experience in extracting them in non-terrestrial conditions. Or we can wait on Earth for a few hundred years, until resource depletion and resulting wars make it impossible to ever develop the technology we'd need.

    12. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by ongelovigehond · · Score: 0

      I think you underestimate the amount of time and effort we would need to set up a viable colony on Mars that would be living self-sufficiently, and was capable of growing itself. We don't even have a clue how to safely land a heavy transport vehicle, let alone an entire semiconductor manufacturing plant. And for what ? Saving the abstract notion of "humanity" for a little while longer. Face it, humanity is going to disappear at some point in time. If the earth has been turned inhabitable, humans will do the same on Mars, and probably a lot quicker. After Mars, there's no other place to go.

    13. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by Kjella · · Score: 4, Informative

      If we can refine fuel and materials from lunar ores (possible, in theory) then the moon would make a great staging point to fuel up or perform final assembly for long missions. Instead of trying to lift obscene quantities of fuel and finished materials out of a much bigger gravity well, you just boost up the hard to build stuff with as little fuel as possible, and then slap it all together with moon-tape and ExxonMoonble.

      All other things equal, yes. Unfortunately heavy mining equipment usually depends on big diesel engines that need diesel and water as coolant, neither of which are easily available on the moon. So for power we'd need great fields of solar panels or something similar and without coolant dry mining would require far more frequent changes of drill heads. Then you have the same issue with smelters, they require huge amounts of energy so add more solar arrays. Then you need huge hydraulic presses to make it into sheet metal, again another power hog so add even more solar arrays. And we still only have sheet metal.

      Ore mining is heavy industry, like really heavy industry. Here on earth it seems so basic, only costing a few dollars but on the moon it would actually be a very, very complicated and expensive project. It would be a great achievement if we even manged to create fuel for an empty return rocket, mining ore is extremely much harder. And even if we could do that, it wouldn't make sense to send a rocket down to the moon to bring fuel back up, only make it a bit cheaper to do a moon mission. Going directly to Mars really has few disadvantages that I can see.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    14. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by shoehornjob · · Score: 0

      ^^^^^^What he said^^^^^^ Also it couldn't hurt to kill all the defense contractors....just to be sure. Just sayin.

      --
      "We are just a war away from Amerikastan. When god vs god the undoing of man." Dave Mustaine
    15. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by TFAFalcon · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Moons, asteroid belt, orbital stations. No other place to go at all. And if we get good at making those, there is no reason not to build a generation ship and start exploring the galaxy. Yes, humanity is going to end, but there is no reason not to try and make that end distant as possible.

    16. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The moon is great for things that require a lot of support infrastructure to produce a lightweight, but valuable product. Semiconductors come to mind as an example of such a product, but production is better suited to Earth. Perhaps there's another manufacturing process that would benefit from no atmosphere and low gravity?

      Farming would be another thing to consider. The moon has a significant gravity well, but it's also huge relative to anything we could construct (9.37 billion acres). If the entire world population had an equal share of the moon, each person could have 1.38 acres.

      Phobos is a better materials target if it can be used.
      It's so small that its escape velocity is under 25 mph. If we don't mine it, it's going to crash into Mars anyway.

    17. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by Runaway1956 · · Score: 0

      Top dog, big dog, yellow dog, black dog. Every dog is just a son of a bitch - unless it's the bitch. This is why I never wanted to run with the "Big Dogs", at the wheel of a truck, on a motorcycle, aboard ship, or wherever. That big dog is just a son of a bitch.

      --
      "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
    18. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by Runaway1956 · · Score: 1

      I am pretty sure that "no realistic way" only means that "I can't imagine how we might accomplish this".

      By "realistic way", are you referring to the technological status of the tenth century, the fifteenth, the twentieth, or the twenty fifth centuries? Personally, I'm here in the 21st century, and today's technology seems to be up to the task of putting men anywhere in the solar system, if we choose to put them there. What's lacking is the desire, the drive, to put them out there.

      You will note, please, that I did not say that we could put men anywhere in the solar system, and at the same time make them comfortable, happy, wealthy, or even guarantee a return trip. I merely say that we can put men there.

      But, that is really beside the point, right now. There are a number of missions that are better done via robotics, before we actually get serious about colonies, anywhere beyond the moon. And, we're at least 50 years away from giving serious consideration to a colony anywhere beyond Mars.

      What's needed is, a sense of mission. The longest journey begins with a single step, and we've not yet taken that first step.

      --
      "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
    19. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by Runaway1956 · · Score: 1

      Bingo. You've said it all. Mr. ongelovigehond appears ready to give up, roll over and die at the first sign of adversity.

      "Oh, my home has been destroyed by (fire, flood, war, famine, global warming, giant asteroid, invasion of yucky viruses from Andromeda - any or all of these) so I'll just roll over and die, and tell my children to do the same!"

      His monkey ancestors would be ashamed.

      --
      "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
    20. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by Runaway1956 · · Score: 0

      To bad you're an anonymous coward. I'd like to know something. If Ralph owns a red car, would it be Ralphs car, or would it be Ralph's car? I always thought that a possessive pronoun should have an apostrophe. Could be that I am wrong here . . . Oh, wait. The spell checker agrees with me! Ralphs is a mis-spelled word, while Ralph's is not! Whoot!

      --
      "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
    21. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by ongelovigehond · · Score: 1

      Since the rest of the solar system is even more hostile than Mars, "beyond Mars" was referring to interstellar travel. In addition, today's technology isn't up to the task of setting a man on the surface of Mars without killing him. Maybe you mean technology that we could potentially develop in the next decade(s) if we put a lot of effort in it.

    22. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by Runaway1956 · · Score: 1

      I believe that you are wrong. We have the technology to put a living man on the moon. So far, we simply have not engineered the mechanism with which to do it. We have the same sort of rockets that landed men on the moon, repeatedly. Said rockets, beefed up to deal with Martian gravity, could certainly do the job. Not to mention, parachutes and/or wings will work on Mars. The atmosphere is different, but there is an atmosphere. The glide ratio may suck, but there is a glide available. We have the tech, we just need some engineering.

      --
      "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
    23. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by camperdave · · Score: 1

      The moon is great for things that require a lot of support infrastructure to produce...

      The moon is terrible for things that require a lot of support infrastructure to produce...

      FTFY

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    24. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by camperdave · · Score: 1

      Oh, so now you want not only to drop stuff down a gravity well, but you want to bury it as well. Perhaps you think you can land on the moon and dig your way to Mars?

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    25. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by ongelovigehond · · Score: 1

      Landing in a vacuum is easy using a rocket engine. That's proven technology. Landing in thick earth atmosphere is also proven technology. Landing exhaust flame first with supersonic speeds through the Martian atmosphere, with unpredictable side winds, is unexplored territory. Heat shields, parachutes and wings need to be really big on Mars to be effective in the very short time it takes from orbit to surface. Unfolding really big structures and keeping them intact at supersonic speeds is also unexplored territory. The glide ratio sucks so bad that with earth-sized wings or parachutes, you'll still be going supersonic when you crash into the ground. I agree that in theory it's just a matter of engineering, but it's quite difficult engineering, and you can't really test it anywhere else but on Mars, which makes it rather expensive and time-consuming to try out different ideas. That's why a manned landing would probably take a few decades.

    26. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why loft things out of a gravity well, then drop them back in, only to loft them out again. It is an utter waste of time and propellant.

      Not all gravity wells are equally deep. Obligatory xkcd. Note the insert specifically: "This is why it took a huge rocket to get to the moon but only a small one to get back."

      If some of your spacecraft can actually be assembled from lunar materials, then that's mass you never need to lift out of the much deeper Earth gravity well.

    27. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who says we can't use water on the moon as theorized many times to cool things? Or use electrically powered mining equipment?

      None of this is beyond the scope of our technology today, and heck you can use a fission reactor and have that as your energy source.

      With water on the moon, this is not only possible and feasible but fairly cheap assuming there is enough water there.

      All it takes is water in the end. There are numerous studies that show this and any realistic base put anywhere just needs a local supply of water and everything else is gravy. The only issue which you never caught was that the infrastructure needed to start this process costs quite a bit to leave the Earth's gravity well.

    28. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by camperdave · · Score: 1

      What rocket parts are you going to build on the moon? Seriously? Rocket engines are hand made from special alloys and ceramics, and precision machined parts. Guidance computers: They need refined copper, tantalum, aluminum, carbon, plastics, and of course, pure silicon. The easiest parts to build would be the fuel tanks, and that would take aluminum, lots of aluminum. Lots of aluminum will require cranes, and hydraulic presses and machinery, all of which would have to be shipped up from Earth. Of course, by the time you've shipped them up, you've got lots of unused fuel tanks sitting around.

      By the time you get a rocket built out of lunar materials, we would have been on Mars for 50+ years.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    29. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by wagnerrp · · Score: 1

      It's not like the energy needed to get into space is all that expensive. The only reason spaceflight is as costly as it is, is because we have a thick atmosphere to go through to get there. In order to keep heat and drag losses down, we have to go straight up, and hold off acceleration until we get through the thick stuff. If we didn't have that atmosphere to worry about, launching from a magnetic rail several hundred kilometers long would cost a couple orders of magnitude less than our current chemical fueled rockets.

      That's exactly what we have on the Moon. You mine all your structural materials (aluminum) from the Moon. You build the thing on the surface of the Moon. You magnetically launch the whole gargantuan craft into orbit for dollars per kilogram, with a modest apogee kick motor. Launching from Earth sucks. Anything we can do to reduce how much we launch from Earth is a good thing.

    30. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by wagnerrp · · Score: 1

      Yes. You can make a decent cement out of Lunar soil. Send robots up first to manufacture thick cement domes, and you have ready-made habitats, safe from radiation and micrometeorite damage. You keep talking about "dropping stuff down a gravity well". You act as if everything we use is going to need to be sourced on Earth.

    31. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by camperdave · · Score: 1

      So how do we go about producing this aluminum? How many tons of lunar ore do we have to extract to get one ton of aluminum? Where do we get the excavators and drills to extract this ore? Which explosives do we use for the blasting? Where do you get the forges to cast the aluminum, the hydraulic presses to form the aluminum, the cranes to move the formed aluminum? Are you planning on having a huge pressurized machine shop to build these rockets in, or are you going to have people walking around in space suits? Where are you going to get the greases, and the ceramics, and the plastics, and the welders and other tools you need? Once you get it built, where is the fuel going to come from? What sort of launch facilities are you going to need? Are you going to launch right from the manufacturing site, or are you going to use some sort of crawler to take the rocket to a launch-pad?

      As you say, it's not like the energy needed to get into space is all that expensive. What is expensive is the INFRASTRUCTURE and the INDUSTRIAL BASE needed to convert raw materials into usable spacecraft. We have that industrial base here. We have the infrastructure here. On the moon, there is nothing, and it will be a long, long time before it becomes more economical to launch from there rather than from here. Especially if your goal is simply to reach Mars.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    32. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by camperdave · · Score: 1

      You act as if everything we use is going to need to be sourced on Earth.

      Yes. For the next hundred years or so, it will be. By the time we get lunar resource utilization up to the point where it is remotely helpful on a trip to Mars, we will already have a colony on Mars using Martian resources.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    33. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by lennier · · Score: 1

      We NEED to spread out, so that a single epidemic, or a catastrophic event doesn't wipe us out!

      There's a slight problem with this theory. Space colonies aren't going to be initially self-supporting, so they'll require constant resupply and dependency on Earth. Even once they do achieve economic self-sufficiency, a web of shipping links are still going to remain across the solar system for tourism and export reasons. So the act of spreading out itself will create a space shipping infrastructure which will neatly carry epidemics or wars to all the different outposts. Same problem as with one planet, just magnified.

      And seriously, nothing short of Sol going nova (which no appreciable space colonisation program is going to survive either) or some kind of not-yet-invented black hole weapon which could literally erase the planet will ever make Earth less habitable than Mars. Nuclear war, climate change, plague and asteroid impact combined aren't going to make space a more inviting prospect than, say, Antarctica or the Australian outback.

      If human survivability were really the goal, then a much better return for investment would be funding the development of small sealed greenhouses on Earth that could be deployed to desert regions. Once we can do that at will, then we can try moving that technology to space, where it's much harder. But it doesn't seem likely that we'll ever be in the position of having a dead Earth and living space colonies. 'Cause we could always just drop a colony-pod on the radioactive post-nuclear ruins of New York (or crawl back out from the mineshafts), and voila, Earth is back in business.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    34. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by lennier · · Score: 1

      Bingo. You've said it all. Mr. ongelovigehond appears ready to give up, roll over and die at the first sign of adversity.

      "Oh, my home has been made slightly uncomfortable by (fire, flood, war, famine, global warming, giant asteroid, invasion of yucky viruses from Andromeda - any or all of these) so I'll just survive it all like we have for 10,000 years."

      Fixed.

      Fire, flood, war, famine, global warming, giant asteroid and Andromedan viruses combined are never going to render Earth less habitable than Mars.

      There simply isn't any actual sensible reason to go into space in order to survive catastrophe. Go to space to explore, certainly. But there's no conceivable disaster - short of a solar supernova which would also melt the rest of Sol system - that could make Earth harder to live on than any of the other planets out there.

      Take the moons of Jupiter - please! Io gets 36 Sieverts of radiation a day, for and Europa gets 5. One Sievert is fatal to humans. Attempt no landing there, indeed. There's no way even a full-scale nuclear war on Earth could compare with this.

      And resource failure on Earth? No, we've still got all the resources right here; it's just that we're using them. If we tried recycling rather than just tossing stuff into landfills, we'd suddenly get all those minerals back.

      Manned space exploration really isn't a solution to anything except the political problem of "what do I do with these converted ICBM launchers while I'm waiting for WW3?"

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    35. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by wagnerrp · · Score: 1

      Explosives? Drills? Blasting? Rockets? Launchpads? You've got entirely the wrong idea about these things.

      The Lunar soil is on average about 10 meters thick with some 8% aluminum by weight. You don't have to excavate for anything, you just scoop it right up off the ground. Refine it using various magnetic, evaporative, and electrostatic methods. That gets you large amounts of silicon, iron, aluminum, magnesium, and calcium, while small amounts of alloying metals can be brought up from Earth. Large scale refinement and manufacturing would require large scale facilities, but something small scale would not be difficult to set up. It could certainly be done within a few years, with a smaller budget than the ISS.

      You don't launch from the Moon using rockets, you do it magnetically. Start small. A few dozen meters of linear motor would be enough for bulk payloads. Any surface water on the Moon evaporates and is lost, but the Moon does have sub-surface ice available for reclamation. Water means hydrogen and oxygen, which means fuel. Your deep space craft would only have to get themselves to low Earth orbit, before being refueled by cargo from the Moon. Remember, humans can't loiter around in the Van Allen belts for weeks as an ion drive slowly circles up to escape velocity. They need those high thrust chemical engines.

      Keep extending that launch rail. At a kilometer or two, the acceleration is low enough to handle more complex structures. Once you hit around 100km, the acceleration is low enough to safely launch humans. The key issue is that this is not all-or-nothing. You don't need the whole massive facility in place to start reaping the benefits from it. Start slow, and build up to something bigger, all the while getting valuable experience in living on alien worlds.

    36. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by ongelovigehond · · Score: 1

      There's a difference between caring for myself and my children, and caring for "humanity" a million years from now, especially when saving "humanity" means that a few thousand people get to go to a space colony, and the other billions can just die on earth. What exactly are you saving here ? We're letting thousands of species go extinct on earth right now without as much as blinking an eye, but we have to go through insane amount of trouble to save one particular kind of hairless ape in some unknown future ?

    37. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by Runaway1956 · · Score: 1

      Perhaps, my friend, you might remember, and tell us all, how the earth came to have a moon.

      If my recollection is collecting properly, I think that a giant asteroid DID strike the earth. The sumbitch was so massive, and moving so fast, that it sorta kept on going, after striking the earth, then wobbled into an almost stable orbit. I say "almost stable" because that big bastard is supposed to fall back to earth in - ohhh - I can't remember now, maybe a billion years. Maybe only a couple hundred million years.

      So - question is - how "habitable" was the earth, in the first couple millenia after that big bastard did it's billiard ball act on us?

      I realize that no one was around to take measurements of seismic activity, global warming (or cooling) or atmospheric properties and conditions. But, I strongly suspect that in those millenia, the earth could not support advanced life forms. I'm quite sure that it was all given over to single celled life forms, and maybe some plankton.

      Now - here's a "What if" for you. Suppose that another asteroid, somewhat smaller than the moon - hell, even 10% of the moon's mass, should happen along, and hit the moon head on? A ten percent loss in the moon's orbital momentum would likely result the in the moon falling out of the sky much sooner than predicted.

      Now - want to take bets on the habitability of the earth after that happening? How deep a cave do you think that it would take to protect the remnants of humanity from conditions above?

      I'm afraid that, like most people, you simply think on to small a scale. The earth can be rendered less habitable than any of the frozen planets, which are all less habitable than Mars.

      --
      "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
    38. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by GreyFish · · Score: 1

      With a self replicating lunar factory of course:

      http://www.islandone.org/MMSG/aasm/

      With the advances in machine vision and CAD/CAM we have these days it would be fairly straight forward. We might have to ship up a fair amount of fluorine for the metallurgical stuff tho...

    39. Re:We should follow Dave Chapelle's lead by wiedzmin · · Score: 1

      My nation, which actually put men on the moon

      Allegedly.

      --
      Bow before me, for I am root.
  2. We're still /. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    Please link to the actual journal submission, not some article from the Yahoo! Contributor Network...

    1. Re:We're still /. by timothy · · Score: 3, Informative

      Yeah -- sorry about that, now fixed. I'd deleted it (the Yahoo version was wrapped in a spammy wrapper), inadvertently not put in the clean version until just now.

      timothy

      --
      jrnl: http://tinyurl.com/c2l8yr / foes: http://tinyurl.com/ckjno5
    2. Re:We're still /. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mod parent up.

    3. Re:We're still /. by Nimey · · Score: 1, Offtopic

      Is sir of the opinion that /. ever had standards?

      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
    4. Re:We're still /. by arth1 · · Score: 1

      Is sir of the opinion that /. ever had standards?

      Believe it or not, but Slashot has set many standards.
      Not lately, no.

    5. Re:We're still /. by Stargoat · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Slashdot was once the gold standard of IT information websites. The community was vibrant and rambunctious. It was interesting, funny, and frustrating. I'm not entire sure what happened. Maybe the Internet grew up around us. Like the Old West, someone fenced the cowboys away. Maybe we got rid of the goofs that were our necessary yeast. Dunno. But it's not the same Slashdot it was a decade ago.

      --
      Hoist Number One and Number Six.
    6. Re:We're still /. by damm0 · · Score: 3, Funny

      Yeah, it's been a long time since I got a goats.cx link, and my life is better for it!

    7. Re:We're still /. by shentino · · Score: 1

      As part of his resignation did Cmdrtaco get banned from slashdot entirely or did "not able to post" only mean he couldn't submit stories as an editor anymore?

  3. Well, then that settles it. by Lord+Kano · · Score: 5, Funny

    Since "European" scientists are in board, maybe the Obama administration will agree to it.

    LK

    --
    "Hi. This is my friend, Jack Shit, and you don't know him." - Lord Kano
    1. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 2

      Maybe the europeans can get some governments with brains that aren't enamoured with self destructive austerity and fund it themselves as a giant european wide jobs programme.

      Which is basically what EADS is already, so it's just throwing more money at them.

    2. Re:Well, then that settles it. by clarkkent09 · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Right, just when you are drowning in debt it's time to spend billions on a massive program to do something with no commercial value whatsoever. You can just as easily create jobs by paying people to scratch their butts but guess what, broken window fallacy is called fallacy for a reason.

      --
      Negative moral value of force outweighs the positive value of good intentions.
    3. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure, if intelligence reports that there are terrorists on the moon, Obama will start a Return to the Moon program in no time.

    4. Re:Well, then that settles it. by khallow · · Score: 1

      I still don't know why they're calling it "austerity" instead of "prosperity". Seems a really bad propaganda fumble. The whole point is some short term sacrifice now so that the countries in question can have a great economic future. "Austerity" emphasizes the cod liver oil swallowing part of the process, not the goal.

      For a more successful example of propaganda, take "jobs programme". They'd probably fund more jobs just dropping money out of helicopters (or doing nothing for that matter). But it conveys this wonderful sense that they're creating jobs as a result.

    5. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Darkness404 · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Exactly, and that wealth either has to be created by fraud (printing money) or by theft of those people creating real wealth (taxation).

      We need to focus less on "jobs" and more on producing wealth. Creating jobs means nothing, we need to focus on creating true wealth.

      --
      Taxation is legalized theft, no more, no less.
    6. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      Because it's cutting peoples jobs and income, which is making them less prosperous, which is reducing spending, which is making everyone else less prosperous, which is, in turn reducing government revenue, leaving them less money to pay people and having to cut more, making the economic future look bleaker, and less prosperous.

      The whole point is that short term sacrifice has destroyed greece, caused a double dip recession in the UK, and left all of europe wallowing in a debt crisis they can't get out of because austerity is shrinking economies and leaving them no path to growth. It's also destroying 'confidence' in their ability to recover, because everyone with money to lend realizes you can't cut your way into prosperity in bad economic times.

    7. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Borrowing money isn't fraud, and raising taxes isn't fraud. Nor is taxation theft. Taxation is agreeing that some things are best for the state to manage and paying for those from everyone.

      You need to focus more on jobs, which will create wealth. Cutting spending is creating a spiral of destruction in its wake that is destroying wealth left right and centre. Without jobs there's no demand, without demand there's no production and no innovation, without which there's less demand, and less wealth.

    8. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Darkness404 · · Score: 0

      The government produces no wealth of its own, everything it spends must either be created by the means of fraud (fiat currency) or force/theft (taxation). The problem with Europe is that Europeans have put blind faith in their governments to take care of them and elected politicians to steal from those actually producing wealth to give to those who produce no wealth of their own. Because of the sky high tax rates, most people producing wealth have moved most their operations offshore. This has dried up the income of the governments so they have to keep borrowing to keep their promises, of course debt is unsustainable so eventually it collapses like we are seeing today. Mix this with a (fiat) currency union with both strong economies like Germany and France, and weak economies like Italy and Spain and you have a recipe for disaster.

      --
      Taxation is legalized theft, no more, no less.
    9. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 1

      I still don't know why they're calling it "austerity" instead of "prosperity".

      Because it will take 20 years of austerity before Europe returns to prosperity.

    10. Re:Well, then that settles it. by nospam007 · · Score: 0

      "Right, just when you are drowning in debt it's time to spend billions on a massive program to do something with no commercial value whatsoever. "

      The money that states spend have never any commercial value whatsoever. (schools, military, infrastructure,...)
      Stuff with commercial value is done by commerce.

    11. Re:Well, then that settles it. by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      Right, just when you are drowning in debt it's time to spend billions on a massive program to do something with no commercial value whatsoever.

      I'm a bit confused. So everything that a government does should have a "commercial value"? If it has "commercial value," why should governments even be involved? Shouldn't private industry be able to do it?

      So are you saying that it's okay for the government to have projects like the Space Shuttle, which was going to have it's launches subsidized by carrying private satellites into orbit? After all, putting satellites into orbit has "commercial value." So the government should lock out private enterprise--can't have that annoying competition after all--and do these things themselves so that they can make money?

    12. Re:Well, then that settles it. by 0123456 · · Score: 1, Offtopic

      Taxation is agreeing that some things are best for the state to manage and paying for those from everyone.

      Really? So I can agree that those things aren't best for the state to manage and not pay for them?

      No, I didn't think so.

      You need to focus more on jobs, which will create wealth.

      Jobs do not create wealth. Jobs are a cost. If you think jobs create wealth, you should be eliminating all technology and promoting a Pol Pot-style 'back to the land' movement.

      Cutting spending is creating a spiral of destruction in its wake that is destroying wealth left right and centre.

      Cutting government spending frees up money for private uses. Sucking money out of the real economy to spend on useless government non-jobs makes you poor.

      The problem is that the governments which have had bloated borrow and spend policies are also typically the same countries that have been pushing regulations that have destroyed much of the private industry in their nation. So they're fscked either way.

    13. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Western nations need to refocus on society, and place the almighty economy (and "jobs") back in the realm of serving society, not the end-all be-all single-greatest-force-on-society it seems to have become. We need to ask, what kind of society do we want to live in, what are we achieving as a society, and how should we shape this one aspect of our society to serve our needs. Serving "the economy" had a good run for a while, but clearly, its time is almost up; we need to employ a new method for a few generations, I think.

    14. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "We need to stop sending humans into space until we can justify an actual need to do so. "

      Like wiping the dust off the solar panels because the engineers couldn't be bothered to install a dustwiper on the robots?
      Or to clean a blocked wheel?

    15. Re:Well, then that settles it. by 0123456 · · Score: 0

      The whole point is that short term sacrifice has destroyed greece

      Lying their way into the Euro and then following a borrow-and-spend policy has destroyed Greece. For years their economy was based on easy credit which has now gone away, and the Euro doesn't allow them to devalue their currency the way they always used to.

      caused a double dip recession in the UK

      The British economy has been a joke for years. For a decade or so it's been based on borrowing more and more money to sell houses to each other while exporting factories to Eastern Europe. And it's going into a recession despite the very borrow and spend policies you promote, because there's no real economy left.

      and left all of europe wallowing in a debt crisis they can't get out of because austerity is shrinking economies and leaving them no path to growth.

      That's like complaining that you borrowed $100k on your credit cards and now you're having to cut spending to pay it back. The solution is not to get another credit card and borrow more money on that to pay the interest on the existing cards.

      It's also destroying 'confidence' in their ability to recover, because everyone with money to lend realizes you can't cut your way into prosperity in bad economic times.

      Europe has no 'ability to recover' without massively slashing regulation and taxation. Which won't happen before a catastrophic collapse.

    16. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Darkness404 · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Borrowing money isn't fraud, but printing money (which is the logical consequence of borrowing more money than a government can pay back) is fraud because it devalues the worth of each currency unit, a bit like deciding to say a pound is 400 grams and not ~453 grams, so everyone thinks they are getting a pound with ~453 grams but instead getting a pound with a lot less weight.

      The dictionary defines taxation as "A compulsory contribution to state revenue" the dictionary defines theft as "the wrongful taking and carrying away of the personal goods or property of another".

      Theft is compulsory, so is taxation. Both theft and taxation happen with a threat of force. Really the only difference is one is a guy in a T-Shirt with a baseball bat and a pistol and the other is a guy with a suit with a book of "laws".

      If taxation was not compulsory (as in, you would pay for what you use and nothing more, just like any other service) it would not be theft. But it isn't.

      Jobs do not create wealth. If I pay you to sit on your butt all day and do nothing (and call it unemployment benefits or whatever), you have a job, but you are creating no wealth. We could create more jobs if we got rid of ATMs and replaced them with physical tellers, but we'd lose wealth. The government produces no wealth of its own, everything it produces is with stolen revenue, cutting theft does not destroy wealth. Europe has been suicidal since the second world war when it decided it was going to start punishing wealth creators by increasing taxes and support those who produce no wealth of their own. Overtime those who produce wealth naturally moved outside of Europe where they could keep more of their wealth while those who produce no wealth of their own demanded more of the wealth. It is exactly what caused the collapse of the Roman empire: a worthless currency, expensive wars, a mass exodus of wealth producers, a welfare state and a large bureaucracy.

      --
      Taxation is legalized theft, no more, no less.
    17. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Really? So I can agree that those things aren't best for the state to manage and not pay for them?

      No, I didn't think so.

      You're welcome to feel so. If you can convince enough other people that you're correct, then you'll get the policies you want.

      Since almost none of us live in an absolute consensual society, mostly because it's impractical to measure out the benefits precisely, you'll just have to accept that you won't get complete individual authority.

      Sorry. Maybe if you can convince the rest of us that your way is better, you can get that implemented. I have yet to see any advocates of it actually articulate a method of implementation, but maybe you can try.

      Until then, the rest of us don't want you leeching off the products of our labors, so you'll pay up. Or ship out if you want.

      Jobs do not create wealth. Jobs are a cost. If you think jobs create wealth, you should be eliminating all technology and promoting a Pol Pot-style 'back to the land' movement.

      That presumes an assumption about jobs as an absolute, which is an unfair one to make. But you're quite incorrect in asserting that jobs do not create wealth.

      Actually, it does, because jobs are labor. Labor is one of the best ways to increase wealth. Human endeavbor. Perhaps you knew that, but decided to dickishly make an argument about use of terms instead of substantively contribute to the discussion.

      However, we don't think that simple employment in whatever you want is the better way to do things. Give us credit enough to think that some labor is more productive than others.

      Cutting government spending frees up money for private uses. Sucking money out of the real economy to spend on useless government non-jobs makes
      you poor.

      No, sucking money out of the real economy to put in fancy bank accounts makes us all poor. Or even just putting them in mattresses. Cutting government spending actually reduces the money circulating in the economy since that happens without intervention.

      The problem is that the governments which have had bloated borrow and spend policies are also typically the same countries that have been pushing regulations that have destroyed much of the private industry in their nation. So they're fscked either way.

      Yeah, blame the job destroying regulations again. Keep doing that. If only children could still be worked to death, it'd improve the coffin industry or something.

      See, I can manufacture some emotion-driven analogies too. But at least I'm honest enough to admit it.

    18. Re:Well, then that settles it. by 0123456 · · Score: 0

      Western nations need to refocus on society, and place the almighty economy (and "jobs") back in the realm of serving society, not the end-all be-all single-greatest-force-on-society it seems to have become.

      Uh, the whole problem with Europe is that 'society' has been considered more important than the economy. Now they've poisoned the Golden Goose and are running around trying to figure out how to revive it without abandoning socialism... which is the very poison that's killing it.

    19. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Darkness404 · · Score: 1

      Actually, those things (except for war which is a terrible thing with no benefits) do have commercial value and should be done by private companies. The government's schools are little more than prisons preventing young adults from creating wealth ( look at http://www.khou.com/home/Honor-Student-Jailed-for-Absences-153847275.html ) spewing propaganda and poorly preparing students for basic life. Infrastructure can easily be created by private companies. Anytime there is a resource that needs to be moved, a private company will provide a way to get it out. Consider the following scenario: a logging company purchased a large chunk of land with many trees on it, the only thing is, there are no roads to get the lumber out. If it makes economic sense to buy the land, the company will create the infrastructure needed to move the logs throughout the land and to a location to sell them. Over time, if there is a need for the public to get to and from the logging area, the company will charge the users for maintenance of the infrastructure and improve it and a road is built without the government's involvement.

      --
      Taxation is legalized theft, no more, no less.
    20. Re:Well, then that settles it. by 0123456 · · Score: 0

      Feel free to ignore reality, but eventually it will come back and bite you in the ass just as it has in Europe.

    21. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Yep, that is exactly it. Seriously. This isn't 1850. We understand a great deal more about economies than we used to, and *now* is definitely the time for massive government spending. Otherwise we'll keep wallowing around waiting for someone to try massive government spending to kick up demand. And I don't know about you but waiting for the chinese to spend their pile of 2 trillion dollars, and hoping they spend it on stuff we make, at some unknown abstract point in the future doesn't seem like a good economic plan.

      It's not actually a fallacy. For an example, see Japan, because of the Tsunami their economy grew year on year about 4.7% (http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/japan-raises-january-march-economic-growth-estimate-to-12-percent-amid-disaster-recovery/2012/06/07/gJQAQASYMV_story.html) Spending is spending. Considering the tsunami cost them about 2.3% of GDP, and they've seen 2.9 percent net growth mostly from reconstruction they are net ahead, and reconstruction isn't over yet. The new windows are better than the old ones so to speak. Education, health care, roads etc. have no more commercial value than that which we place on them. Space exploration is absolutely no different. EADS was largely organized and funded by government because as a commercial enterprise all of the precursor companies were wholly uncompetitive. That *investment*, which was made on the backs of taxpayers, notably rich ones, kept 100 000 direct jobs in europe, + all the spinoff jobs that would have otherwise gone to the US and boeing etc. Investing in space exploration now is probably not the most efficient stimulus plan available to europe, but it wouldn't be all that big of a stimulus plan anyway. 100 billion euros a year is probably less than a 10th of the spending they need.

      Most of europe isn't drowning in debt. Quite the contrary, the only country drowning in debt is really greece, with italy a distant and not particularly serious second. Greece's debt problem is compounded because as they make cuts to government spending they're driving down the ability of those workers to spend, which is reducing private sector demand, contracting the economy, making their debt proportionally larger. They're fucked because the thing to do in this situation is either be Florida, and have a large portion of your spending be buffeted by the 'federal' (european) government, think medicare, social security etc, which wouldn't devalue just because one local area is having a bad time, or to devalue their currency to encourage a growth in exports. Europe won't go along with a federal union, and they can't devalue their currency... so they're boned. They are effectively trapped on a gold standard.

      When you're drowning in debt you need to either shrink the value of that debt relative to your foreign holdings (devalue your currency), or grow your economy, or both, since one will naturally lead to the other. Since every country in the world cannot devalue against each other, and we've all devalued quite a bit against china there's not much to be done there.

      When times are good and the economy is booming, that's when the government needs to lay people off. Right now, paying them to scratch their butts (lets call it unemployment) would be better than what they're currently doing. When the economy needs jobs you need to start laying them off from the public sector. When the private sector won't hire the public sector needs to, or else you start contracting the economy in a spiral.

      To use another example of the broken window not actually a fallacy is how WW2 spending pulled economies out of recession. The new deal and so on in the US were essentially the same thing, a start if you will. Building a huge amount of stuff that was of no commercial value created jobs for the better part of 7 or 8 years (depending on where exactly you where), and that boom continued on well after because you had a demobilizing of public sector workers (soldiers) into the private sector as the economy grew.

      Part

    22. Re:Well, then that settles it. by The+Evil+Atheist · · Score: 2

      Both theft and taxation happen with a threat of force.

      What about using things that taxes pay for while refusing to pay taxes. Is that theft? If society allows you to opt out of tax, will you accept that you are forbidden to interact with society unless granted permission? Or will you force society to interact with you and force society to accept that you won't contribute anything to its maintainence? Anyone that argues taxation is "force" in effect argue everything is force, making nothing unforced and thus an absolutely useless measure of ethical worth. If taxing people is force, then people wanting to use public roads without paying for them is forcing society to foot the bill for them. Every libertarian is just a monarch waiting to happen.

      --
      Those who do not learn from commit history are doomed to regress it.
    23. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Darkness404 · · Score: 1

      Of course you wouldn't be able to use the roads unless you'd pay for them, I can't walk into Wal-Mart, pick up whatever and walk out can I? It's hardly a revolutionary concept to pay for what you use and only what you use. Even in areas where roads are paid for by theft, you still have to pay tolls to use some roads, such could be a way of paying for them without taxation. Commercial vehicles would also be charged and would simply pass on the costs to customers in the form of shipping charges, bus fares, etc. when they used those roads.

      The current method of taxation steals from those who provide the most to society in order to pay for those who either produce nothing or produce less. In doing so, it penalizes those who produce and rewards those who do not.

      --
      Taxation is legalized theft, no more, no less.
    24. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      The whole point is that short term sacrifice has destroyed greece

      Lying their way into the Euro and then following a borrow-and-spend policy has destroyed Greece. For years their economy was based on easy credit which has now gone away, and the Euro doesn't allow them to devalue their currency the way they always used to.

      caused a double dip recession in the UK

      The British economy has been a joke for years. For a decade or so it's been based on borrowing more and more money to sell houses to each other while exporting factories to Eastern Europe. And it's going into a recession despite the very borrow and spend policies you promote, because there's no real economy left.

      All true. So what do you do about it now? In the UK they need to invest in industries that will create jobs. Waiting for someone with money to come in and start a new industry in the UK could take a very long time. In greece it's the same problem, but if the solution to everything was just kicking them out of the euro that would have happened already. Kicking greece out won't help spain, italy, ireland, portugal etc.

      and left all of europe wallowing in a debt crisis they can't get out of because austerity is shrinking economies and leaving them no path to growth.

      That's like complaining that you borrowed $100k on your credit cards and now you're having to cut spending to pay it back. The solution is not to get another credit card and borrow more money on that to pay the interest on the existing cards.

      It's also destroying 'confidence' in their ability to recover, because everyone with money to lend realizes you can't cut your way into prosperity in bad economic times.

      Europe has no 'ability to recover' without massively slashing regulation and taxation. Which won't happen before a catastrophic collapse.

      Personal finance is not economics. Please don't confuse the two. But since you need a personal finance type analogy I'll give you one. Lets say you have a business with 100k in debt. At high interest. And the bank wants its money. Are you going to slash inventory, and reduce operating hours in the hopes of getting a positive balance? The bank won't go along with that plan and will foreclose on you because you can't make the money back. If you go to them and say "look, with 20k more I can expand into these new markets that will make me money I might actually be able to pay you back properly" they might go for it. They all need to spend, to get people working and spending, to create private spending to supply the demand they should have.

      Slashing regulation I might agree with. Taxation.... er... not really, but kinda. Depends where you are. That's part of the problem. Rich greeks can just move to somewhere with lower taxes within the EU (more importantly so can spaniards and italians who can simply move one country to the east sort of thing), which reduces the tax base they have to work with. It's like slashing spending in california so schools suck so rich people move to Oregon so their kids get decent schooling but commute to california, robbing the tax base making them cut money on schools further. The eurozone needs a political union or a trans-national social insurance system (say health care, pensions, education and defence, they already have agriculture) if it wants to remain a currency union. That's essentially what the US government spends its money on (health, defence, pensions are about half of the US federal government). On the whole europe needs more taxes (just as the US does) obviously, they're running deficits while the wealth gaps are widening and businesses are sitting on large piles of cash, but trying to raise taxes piecemeal would be utterly pointless if it wasn't across the whole eurozone. That's, incidentally, significantly harder in the eurozone than the US since the spread of wealt

    25. Re:Well, then that settles it. by arth1 · · Score: 1

      I still don't know why they're calling it "austerity" instead of "prosperity". Seems a really bad propaganda fumble. The whole point is some short term sacrifice now so that the countries in question can have a great economic future. "Austerity" emphasizes the cod liver oil swallowing part of the process, not the goal.

      It's not what you call it that's the problem, it's what you serve.
      If, instead of disgusting cod liver oil, you served fresh poached cod liver, it would be a delicacy. Sure, some would malign it without even having tasted it, but it would be more palatable to most, and very palatable to those with a developed palate.
      In the economic sense, the austerity measures themselves are not palatable at all. So drop them, and dig up the ones that are, even if less conventional.

    26. Re:Well, then that settles it. by The+Evil+Atheist · · Score: 1

      If economy, material worth, is all that matters, why the fuck do we keep even a modicum of society or civilization? Why shouldn't we make the economy work for society? Why the fuck don't we just go back to tribalism and feudalism? Why the fuck don't we just abandon modern society and reinstigate the divine right of kings and nobles? Worship people with material worth as having some mystical quality that makes them above the rest of society.

      --
      Those who do not learn from commit history are doomed to regress it.
    27. Re:Well, then that settles it. by nedlohs · · Score: 0

      Printing money is only fraud if it claims to be backed by something that doesn't actually exist. In the case of the US, they can print as much as they want without evey committing fraud. Sure print to much and you destroy the economy (people with wealth spend their resources trying to protect that wealth from the resulting inflation instead of doing economically beneficial stuff).

    28. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The notion that those who make the most money are necessarily those providing the most to society is naive at best. The notion that only those who make less money benefit most from taxes is not only naive, it's backwards -- the rich benefit disproportionately from services like national defense, police, contract law, etc., not to mention the benefit they get from having a greater population base from which to draw skilled workers and sell their products. The notion that graduated taxation "rewards" those who do not make money is utterly absurd -- they still make less money after taxes. That's not a reward! If you find a case where person A has a higher pre-tax income than person B, but a lower post-tax income, that's fucked up and rewarding those who make less money while punishing those who make more money.

    29. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      And you're living in a fantasy land thinking there's any other good solution than fiat currency. Taxation is not theft. At least not when democratic governments do it. Taxation is the people voting to use their collective bargaining power to buy services.

      What sky high tax rates are you talking about? You can't on one hand claim sky high tax rates are murderous and then claim france and germany are strong economies (who are not as highly taxed as the nordic countries, most of whom are doing even better) and then say spain italy (and presumably) greece aren't. there's no strong correlation there. France and germany are both taxed, and spend, more than spain, with italy less than france but more than germany, and greece is way down the list.

      The US spends significantly less as a percentage of GDP on total government spending (and taxation) than anyone else and has a massive deficit which it's paying next to nothing in interest on. It also has higher unemployment than Canada or Germany (by quite a lot) despite a significantly lower tax burden, but lower unemployment than france.

      Indefinite borrowing is only unsustainable if you are borrowing faster than GDP growth for an extended period, and when the economy is doing well so you're never trying to balance the books (which relatively pays off debt). Japan has over 200% of GDP in debt and is paying 0.8% as it's 10 year rate, France is paying 2.6% even though they're at like 90% of GDP in debt. Right now in Europe and the US the economy is doing badly... so now is when you want to use the ability to borrow to get the economy going again and get employment back up to fuel demand, or devalue against a large economy to drive exports. The problem with this plan is that you can't devalue easily against the chinese, and they won't import anyway, and you can't devalue against each other.

      If your alternative to a fiat currency is 'real' fake money, like gold, then you end up trapping everyone in a situation like greece. Not that gold, or well... any physical thing doesn't have all sorts of its own problems with inflation, deflation, manipulation etc.

    30. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Darkness404 · · Score: 0

      But it -does- claim to be backed by something which doesn't exist, at least to millions of Americans. The entire language of the current US dollar (in fact the entire banking system) is meant to deceive. Consider the name "Federal Reserve" in everyday language reserve would mean it is a federal department that held things in reserve, so in the minds of millions of Americans the "Federal Reserve" conjures up images of a huge vault filled with gold. Similarly, a "Federal Reserve Note" has slowly changed over the years. If you pick up an older (series 1950 and before I believe) it said that the Federal Reserve would pay to the bearer on demand fifty dollars (or whatever) and was "Redeemable in lawful money" (which the constitution states should be coined, meaning, no paper money). Later they just changed it to be "Fifty Dollars" (or whatever) and just called it "legal tender". I bet if you ask the average person on the street they'd say the US dollar was still backed up by gold!

      But at the end of the day, even if we can accept the dollar being paper, it still acts as a measuring stick. We'd call a butcher dishonest if they said a pound contained only 10 ounces, but yet the government can still be honest by devaluing the "measuring stick" of the US dollar?

      --
      Taxation is legalized theft, no more, no less.
    31. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 2

      What would you propose it be backed by then? Gold? Land? Because if you want to know how much gold you'd need you're in for a problem. And when someone asks for gold you don't have... well. That's why you're not on the gold standard isn't it?

      Money is a representation of wealth. If you actually had to have all that wealth hanging around in reserve to back up the notes it wouldn't be circulating. And someone would just find whatever your currency is backed by (or based on) and manipulate that. A gold mine in south africa would literally be making US money. And when they sell to the chinese in exchange for cell phones, shoes and computers the chinese can then flood the market with cheap worthless gold and your money is worth more being based on paper.

    32. Re:Well, then that settles it. by khallow · · Score: 1

      Because it's cutting peoples jobs and income

      That's an interesting assertion. You have evidence that that's going to happen? I see instead that some pretty dumb policies have borne fruit in Greece as well as elsewhere. All I can say is that if a little short term sacrifice can destroy Greece, then I don't see the point of the country. Just end it and come up with something better.

      The double dip recession is a classic sign of what happens when you bail out banks and other failed businesses rather than end them. Often they fail again (the second dip) because the problems that led to the recession never went away.

      It's also destroying 'confidence' in their ability to recover, because everyone with money to lend realizes you can't cut your way into prosperity in bad economic times.

      I'd call that a "talking point" for spending more public funds on pork not an actual belief held by most people with money.

      Sure you can cut your way into prosperity. You don't just cut everything, you cut the stuff that fails. And the surviving businesses become attractive for loans and investment because suddenly there's less competition for their markets and their costs went down. Lower costs and higher profit margins. Even if no one were to loan money, the recession would naturally end.

    33. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      Printing money isn't just because of borrowing. Devaluing your currency makes your economy competitive*, and it's preferable to have inflation to deflation. Since populations are generally growing, as is productivity etc. you need to print enough to keep up with that growth, and you're better to slightly overshoot than under.

      Education produces wealth btw, and government healthcare saves wealth. Government can also produce wealth by balancing risk and collectively providing services which would be difficult to manage individually.

      Jobs do actually create wealth when they flow money around. That's how you create wealth. I give you 20k to sit on your arse, you spend 20k to buy a house, which creates a house and increases the number of houses by one. The person who make the house buys a software management system for his company, which I sold him. That's what drives the entire economy.

      *everyone else that matters either pegs their currency to a fiat currency, or has their own. If they devalue against you that makes them more competitive than you. If you devalue against them it makes you more competitive against them. You can't devalue against each other.

    34. Re:Well, then that settles it. by khallow · · Score: 1

      If your alternative to a fiat currency is 'real' fake money, like gold, then you end up trapping everyone in a situation like greece.

      No, doesn't work that way. If you play the debt games with a currency that can't be inflated, then you end up like Greece. If you don't, then you don't end up like Greece.

    35. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Darkness404 · · Score: 1

      Taxation is not theft. At least not when democratic governments do it. Taxation is the people voting to use their collective bargaining power to buy services.

      So it's alright when enough people say its ok? So if a gang of X (X being the number of people when it is ok for the theft to be morally justified) corner you at gunpoint and let you vote with them if they should rob them. Democracy is 2 wolves and a sheep voting on what they want for dinner.

      What sky high tax rates are you talking about? You can't on one hand claim sky high tax rates are murderous and then claim france and germany are strong economies (who are not as highly taxed as the nordic countries, most of whom are doing even better) and then say spain italy (and presumably) greece aren't. there's no strong correlation there. France and germany are both taxed, and spend, more than spain, with italy less than france but more than germany, and greece is way down the list.

      I don't mean to correlate the tax rates between the various European countries and their relative prosperity, merely that Europe has higher tax rates than, say, most of Asia, the Caribbean, most of the Americas, etc. Germany and France have thrived mostly because of their previously solid foundation before the adoption of the Euro.

      The US spends significantly less as a percentage of GDP on total government spending (and taxation) than anyone else and has a massive deficit which it's paying next to nothing in interest on. It also has higher unemployment than Canada or Germany (by quite a lot) despite a significantly lower tax burden, but lower unemployment than france.

      Really? Because when you look at it, the US is quite high. Not as high as Europe of course but a lot higher than the places where people are looking to invest their money in such as Hong Kong, Singapore, Chile, etc. When you look at the US tax burden you also have to look at the fact that the US taxes worldwide income if you are a US citizen which most other countries do not.

      If your alternative to a fiat currency is 'real' fake money, like gold, then you end up trapping everyone in a situation like greece. Not that gold, or well... any physical thing doesn't have all sorts of its own problems with inflation, deflation, manipulation etc.

      A situation where the government borrows a crap-ton of money on useless stuff? A situation where the voters expect the nanny-welfare state to take care of them all their life? Etc. The things that led Greece to this crisis isn't because they have a currency they can't control, instead they can't get out of the crisis the easy way by hyperinflating their currency (something Greece has enjoyed doing since ancient times!) and instead actually have to cut spending and get their affairs in order with an unwilling public.

      --
      Taxation is legalized theft, no more, no less.
    36. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      and which reality is that? That effective honest taxation can buffet your society from the worst of economic down turns (as in say sweden, norway, germany) or the fantasy that cutting spending will lure the confidence fairy to spur growth like in Spain and Greece?

      You're living in 80 year old long discredited fantasy land. The fact that policy makers in europe are living in the same long discredited fantasy land should tell you that they either are trying to force some other plot (a fiscal union) behind the scenes or that Europe is totally fucked. Because what you want isn't working, hasn't worked, and is just making things worse.

    37. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Runaway1956 · · Score: 1

      Drowning in debt? Well - let's put people to work, building spacecraft, building colonies, producing oxygen, water, and food - etc ad nauseum. Let's go to the moon, and the economic problems will begin to cure themselves. There's JOBS out there!

      --
      "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
    38. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Darkness404 · · Score: 0

      Devaluing your currency only makes it competitive in the short term. A short lie until people realize that it really is worth less than what it was.

      Education can produce wealth, government education merely redistributes the wealth and more times than not ends up in the negative. Government health care may "save" wealth, but at what cost? Of course it might be economically efficient to only have one service provider in the short term, but in the long term it is a net loser because there is a lack of competition and innovation.

      Jobs do not create wealth, they just flow money around. If you pay me $20K and I buy a house with that $20K what wealth has been gained? None, assuming you don't get $20K of enjoyment out of watching me sit on the ground all day. It is simply the broken window fallacy. Wealth can be created if I'm productive. Say for instance I'm a farmer and I grow tomatoes. I'm in essence creating wealth because tomatoes are valued products and without the product of my life and my energy, those tomatoes would not be in existence. If I trade those tomatoes in for a chicken and I value the chicken more than the tomatoes and the person values the tomatoes more than the chicken (as would have to happen for trade to occur) wealth has been created. I'm better off with the chicken and the chicken farmer is better off with the tomatoes.

      What has happened with the economy is we've put more emphasis on jobs than wealth. In all honesty, the only reason why we have unemployment is that we have a payroll tax and minimum wage and health insurance requirements making unskilled workers often not worth the cost to hire. If the wants of humanity are infinite, so are the number of jobs. The problem is, there's a good chunk of Americans not worth the ~$7.45+ an hour to hire them because they might only make $5 an hour in added revenue.

      --
      Taxation is legalized theft, no more, no less.
    39. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Runaway1956 · · Score: 2

      "Jobs do not create wealth. Jobs are a cost. If you think jobs create wealth, you should be eliminating all technology and promoting a Pol Pot-style 'back to the land' movement."

      You probably have the same degree in economics that the top bankers have. You know, those bankers who bankrupted the entire banking industry just a few years ago. Those bankers who are still, today, making insane gambles on derivatives and speculation.

      Without jobs, there is no wealth. You breakfast wasn't produced by magic, nor was it donated to you for free because some hands out on the farms wanted to see you enjoy your breakfast. Your ignorance is astounding. Even more amazing, is the fact that so many morons in government and big business think the same way. In my post above, I mentioned that mankind has it's collective head up it's collective ass. Your statement helps to prove my own statement.

      --
      "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
    40. Re:Well, then that settles it. by khallow · · Score: 1

      Kicking greece out won't help spain, italy, ireland, portugal etc.

      Kicking out countries that can't cut it would sure help the rest. I think the mistake here was attempting full integration with weak economies and societies. If they had stopped at dropping most trade barriers, they wouldn't have a problem with Greece. But integrating all those disparate societies together just didn't work.

      Lets say you have a business with 100k in debt. At high interest. And the bank wants its money. Are you going to slash inventory, and reduce operating hours in the hopes of getting a positive balance? The bank won't go along with that plan and will foreclose on you because you can't make the money back. If you go to them and say "look, with 20k more I can expand into these new markets that will make me money I might actually be able to pay you back properly" they might go for it. They all need to spend, to get people working and spending, to create private spending to supply the demand they should have.

      Now, if the bank is pretty stupid, sure they might go with plan B, "doubling down" on a bad investment in you. You have high interest rates because you are a huge risk. Adding another 20k of debt onto that risk is throwing good money after bad.

      Let me introduce a variation of plan A. You tell the bank that you can't pay them back. You're going to slash inventory and reduce operating hours in the hopes of getting a positive balance. Now, they can foreclose on your business and get cents on the dollar. Or they can forgive a significant fraction of the loan, own a good sized, but non-controlling piece of the business and get a better return overall. Their choice.

      They choose right? Then you trim the business and you have less debt weighing you down. Good position for when the recovery happens. They choose wrong? Then you walk away from the business and let the bank foreclose on it. That's a real plan.

      The eurozone needs a political union or a trans-national social insurance system (say health care, pensions, education and defence, they already have agriculture) if it wants to remain a currency union.

      Suuuure. I think the problem here is the erroneous assumption that political unions, trans-nationa social insurance, etc has positive value. This mess wouldn't exist if these things really were beneficial.

    41. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      War has commercial value. Defending your assets (including your entire country) from being stolen by someone else is valuable. In fact economic value is primarily what people actually fight over. Control of valuable resources, territory etc. are all economically valuable. It's only since WW2 that we've even had a concept of fighting in say libya over the right to self determination, which, itself is a form of economic value (redistribution of libyan wealth), which we hope to profit from eventually.

      Your scenario isn't considering the concept of a catalyst. If that logging area is in BC, and they need a road to california, that's a really huge investment for relatively little return given the length of road required. If the government does it, and lets anyone use it, then the timber company can log, a fishing company can set up on the coast etc. And they can all move the goods around, and they can then collectively pay for the road. If then the logging company gets taken over by a lunatic who loots the company for all of its money and runs off to switzerland the road is doesn't go through some ownerless transition period preventing anyone else along it from legal access.

      The interstate highway system, telecoms systems, power distribution etc. also prevent the wasteful duplicate provisioning of resources (multiple private roads or lines to the same place), can ensure competitive access or use of the relevant resources rather than a monopoly exploiting it against anyone else, and because well... private companies couldn't afford the investment, because the payoff period is too long to be competitive with other, completely unrelated industries. The nuclear power industry competes with the scissors making industry for capital, since it's completely unrealistic for major long term projects to do that the government has to step in and provide some sort of incentive or direct investment.

      Airbus and EADS being a good example, as it took almost 10 years for them to launch their first major product, and a lot longer than that to become a major player in the industry. In this case I wouldn't use profitability but total market/revenue as the metric, as they took about 30 years to catch up to Boeing, but now have a huge number of people employed profitably (albeit barely profitably)

    42. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      And if someone else plays games with the thing you use as a currency you also end up like greece. And there's bugger all you can do about it.

    43. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Right, just when you are drowning in debt it's time to spend billions on a massive program to do something with no commercial value whatsoever.

      Right on, brother! Let's bomb some Afghan poppy fields instead! That has tremendous commercial value.

    44. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Taxation is not theft. At least not when democratic governments do it. Taxation is the people voting to use their collective bargaining power to buy services.

      So it's alright when enough people say its ok? So if a gang of X (X being the number of people when it is ok for the theft to be morally justified) corner you at gunpoint and let you vote with them if they should rob them. Democracy is 2 wolves and a sheep voting on what they want for dinner.

      yep. And if you don't like it, go somewhere that lets you choose whether or not you're going to pay taxes at all. Like greece. Or pakistan. Seriously. Pay off the right people and your tax bill will magically disappear.

      What sky high tax rates are you talking about? You can't on one hand claim sky high tax rates are murderous and then claim france and germany are strong economies (who are not as highly taxed as the nordic countries, most of whom are doing even better) and then say spain italy (and presumably) greece aren't. there's no strong correlation there. France and germany are both taxed, and spend, more than spain, with italy less than france but more than germany, and greece is way down the list.

      I don't mean to correlate the tax rates between the various European countries and their relative prosperity, merely that Europe has higher tax rates than, say, most of Asia, the Caribbean, most of the Americas, etc. Germany and France have thrived mostly because of their previously solid foundation before the adoption of the Euro.

      yes actually, you did. France and Germany had solid foundations before the euro in part because they had large tax bases.

      The US spends significantly less as a percentage of GDP on total government spending (and taxation) than anyone else and has a massive deficit which it's paying next to nothing in interest on. It also has higher unemployment than Canada or Germany (by quite a lot) despite a significantly lower tax burden, but lower unemployment than france.

      Really? Because when you look at it, the US is quite high. Not as high as Europe of course but a lot higher than the places where people are looking to invest their money in such as Hong Kong, Singapore, Chile, etc. When you look at the US tax burden you also have to look at the fact that the US taxes worldwide income if you are a US citizen which most other countries do not.

      Yes, really, it's not high at all. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_tax_revenue_as_percentage_of_GDP France is at 44%, germany at 40, canada at 32, the US at 27. That's total government (so the sub national states/provinces/local governments). The US taxation on all overseas persons is inconsequentially small, as it taxes income only over 90.

      Chile, Singapore and Hong Kong have much lower costs than the US, or are much closer to useful markets. The vast majority of countries with any money are higher than the US. The only notable exception is Taiwan, which collects US handouts. Chile I will point out has about 1/4 the per capita income that the US does (1/4 the per capita costs). And HK and Singapore are both cities, so don't really hold up under comparison to a full country. If you count HK as part of China (which it is) china is at 17%, and you know why everyone is moving there, and Singapore would I guess count as part of malaysia but doesn't really.

      A situation where the government borrows a crap-ton of money on useless stuff? A situation where the voters expect the nanny-welfare state to take care of them all their life? Etc. The things that led Greece to this crisis isn't because they have a currency they can't control, instead they can't get out of the crisis the easy way by hyperinflating their currency (something Greece has enjoyed doing since ancient times!) and instead actually have to cut spending and get their affairs in ord

    45. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      That's an interesting assertion. You have evidence that that's going to happen?

      Uh... what exactly do you think austerity is? We can't have our own facts here. Cutting spending means slashing salaries and laying people off. It doesn't mean anything else. It's not *going* to happen, that *is happening* that's what austerity is. If you cancel and order for a ship then the people who were going to make the ship don't have a job anymore. If you lay off a teacher they aren't a teacher anymore. In good economic times they transition to the private sector. In bad economic times they are unemployed. Which is what they are.

      I see instead that some pretty dumb policies have borne fruit in Greece as well as elsewhere. All I can say is that if a little short term sacrifice can destroy Greece, then I don't see the point of the country. Just end it and come up with something better.
       

      Um... What about this is short term? There's no 'short term sacrifice' that will fix this. That's the problem.

      The double dip recession is a classic sign of what happens when you bail out banks and other failed businesses rather than end them. Often they fail again (the second dip) because the problems that led to the recession never went away.

      You're basing this on what exactly? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greek_government-debt_crisis specifically the section on counter measures talks about how much the greek government has cut. What do you think happened to those people? They stopped spending because they have no income. That contracted the overall economy.

      It's also destroying 'confidence' in their ability to recover, because everyone with money to lend realizes you can't cut your way into prosperity in bad economic times.

      I'd call that a "talking point" for spending more public funds on pork not an actual belief held by most people with money.
       

      Fair enough. If you came to me for a plan to start a business asking for 30k when every other similar business was asking for 300k I'd think you were lying. Investors charge higher interest rates because they don't think they will get their money back. That's 'confidence'. Cutting spending hasn't produced the oft discussed 'confidence' that will drive interest rates down. In fact it needs to be the other way around. Would you put your money in greece at 2% interest? Right. You know as well as anyone else they're very unlikely to pay it back. If they had a credible plan to get enough money to pay it back the interest rates would be lower.

      Sure you can cut your way into prosperity. You don't just cut everything, you cut the stuff that fails. And the surviving businesses become attractive for loans and investment because suddenly there's less competition for their markets and their costs went down. Lower costs and higher profit margins. Even if no one were to loan money, the recession would naturally end.

      That would be the so called 'confidence fairy' which has yet not materialized. It might also mean a significant contraction of the economy. It's the estonia example. A 20% drop in the economy followed by a 5% uptick is considered 'growth'. The problem with 'cutting what fails' is that you and I disagree on what fails of course. But right now, what's failing is demand, and it's failing because people keep cutting spending. Businesses are sitting on cash piles because they have no demand to invest in. If they just started spending the money all together at once it would life the economy out of recession. But they won't.

    46. Re:Well, then that settles it. by camperdave · · Score: 1

      The other difference between taxation and theft is that you have a say about the taxes. You vote for your government. You say what gets taxed and what doesn't. Don't blame the tax man for taking what you've told him to take.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    47. Re:Well, then that settles it. by spauldo · · Score: 2

      What is your definition of wealth?

      I drive highways and cross bridges that I helped pay for. I use public parks - I've got a four year old who loves the outdoors, and we've got a number of public recreation areas around that he just loves. I pay $25 a year to fish on public waters, and the state makes sure the lakes are stocked and the fish aren't diseased.

      I've got a pickup truck that sits in my driveway all week while I'm away, and lo and behold, it's always there when I get home - no one steals it while I'm gone. I don't have to pay an armed guard to sit on it while I'm away from home. There's no one living in my house that's not supposed to be there.

      I go to the store with absolute faith that I won't be buying poisoned food. I don't worry that my kid's toys will be painted with lead paint. I trust my water.

      To me, that's real wealth, not some technical definition out of a first year economics textbook. The government creates it. They use my tax money to do so.

      Now, am I forced to pay taxes? Sure. And you know, I really, really wish there was a third option besides "pay or get your wages garnished". I'm thinking something like a reservation - an area in New Mexico or something where people can go live without government. Inside the fence, you're on your own - what you have is what you can keep.

      That third option isn't for me, by the way. It's so people who think they're better off without government can see what it's like. I think Locke described that sort of life best - nasty, brusish, and short.

      --
      Those who can't do, teach. Those who can't teach either, do tech support.
    48. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      Kicking greece out won't help spain, italy, ireland, portugal etc.

      Kicking out countries that can't cut it would sure help the rest. I think the mistake here was attempting full integration with weak economies and societies. If they had stopped at dropping most trade barriers, they wouldn't have a problem with Greece. But integrating all those disparate societies together just didn't work.

      Lets say you have a business with 100k in debt. At high interest. And the bank wants its money. Are you going to slash inventory, and reduce operating hours in the hopes of getting a positive balance? The bank won't go along with that plan and will foreclose on you because you can't make the money back. If you go to them and say "look, with 20k more I can expand into these new markets that will make me money I might actually be able to pay you back properly" they might go for it. They all need to spend, to get people working and spending, to create private spending to supply the demand they should have.

      Now, if the bank is pretty stupid, sure they might go with plan B, "doubling down" on a bad investment in you. You have high interest rates because you are a huge risk. Adding another 20k of debt onto that risk is throwing good money after bad.

      Let me introduce a variation of plan A. You tell the bank that you can't pay them back. You're going to slash inventory and reduce operating hours in the hopes of getting a positive balance. Now, they can foreclose on your business and get cents on the dollar. Or they can forgive a significant fraction of the loan, own a good sized, but non-controlling piece of the business and get a better return overall. Their choice.

      They choose right? Then you trim the business and you have less debt weighing you down. Good position for when the recovery happens. They choose wrong? Then you walk away from the business and let the bank foreclose on it. That's a real plan.

      The eurozone needs a political union or a trans-national social insurance system (say health care, pensions, education and defence, they already have agriculture) if it wants to remain a currency union.

      Suuuure. I think the problem here is the erroneous assumption that political unions, trans-nationa social insurance, etc has positive value. This mess wouldn't exist if these things really were beneficial.

      Sure, kicking all of the countries out of the Euro except france germany and the benelux countries would work. That's whats going to happen because of austerity anyway.

      Your definition of stupid and mine vary. It depends how credible the plan is. If you have nothing to take of value, or if your business plan is good it could be worth more investment. If your plan is "I'm going to take 20k and buy gold" well... the bank could buy gold itself. It doesn't need you.

      Does social security have value? Do pensions? The reason florida hasn't exploded but greece and spain have is because people who benefit from medicare and social security in florida aren't suddenly on much contracted incomes because the housing bubble burst. In any single currency area except the Eurozone money is transfered from regions doing well to regions doing badly, not necessarily directly. The military base pays soldiers the same just because the local car factory shut down for example. One option (not necessarily a good option, but an option) for Europe is to federalize into a single megastate like the US, with certain things insured at a federal level, so local economic problems only damage an area and not wreck it completely. Think about federal disaster aid from the oil spill as another example.

      Whether or not they are beneficial is hard to say. Is any country better off being a country or would they be better off broken apart? How small do you want to make places. Certainly from the outside delaware, new york, california texas would all appear to be better off separately. The

    49. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 2

      Theoretically that would work, as long as you could guarantee and indefinite demand for lunar or martian colonies. Actually you could do that, it wouldn't solve all the economic problems, but if you could guarantee funding for space research for say, the next 30 years (insofar as governments ever make guarantees), you would create jobs, spur demand which would create more jobs. Naturally the problem with this plan is that the payoff from all of that investment may never match the investment, directly or indirectly. Certainly not colonies anyway.

      10 billion dollars a year though (or 10 billion euros). Or even 100. That could be reasonably guaranteed, and would put a million people to work at least, and their demand would then create a couple of million ancillary jobs (in retail, construction, automotive etc.). Granted, the Eurozone has 35 million unemployed people, 2 or 3 million would help, but they need more like a 300 or 400 billion euros in spending. 100 billion euros bailing out spanish banks would have been better spent over the last 2 years putting a half a million people per year to work in spain.

    50. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 2

      Also, the euro can be inflated. Germany is strongly resisting that plan, probably because they're trying to force through a fiscal union or to get greece to leave the euro. But 3-4% inflation in the eurozone would do wonders for the debt problems.

    51. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Taxation is theft - it is the wealthy, agreeing with themselves, to take everything of value from everyone else in the world. In particular, it is the wealthy in the US agreeing with themselves to take most of what other US citizens have and everything from everyone else in the world, or bomb them, assassinate them, imprison them, disenfranchise them and otherwise dismantle their societies until there is no one left with the will or ability to oppose US based industries taking whatever they want.

      Without morality there is no justice, without justice there is no hope, without hope there is no incentive to work, without incentive to work there is no production and no innovation, without which there's less wealth.

    52. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      Devaluing your currecy only makes it competitive in the short term, until you have an inflow of capital that causes your currency to appreciate again. Your relative buying power within the country does diminish, it's only foreign buying that's affected buy a currency devaluation. When you're the US this is basically everything, because everything is made somewhere else, except houses, cars and airplanes, you know, small stuff.

      If the 20k is used to build a house (or more like 200k) then it has created wealth. It created a house. I could have created the house myself. But if I already have a house I don't need another one sort of thing. And yes, that's exactly the argument you made about the tomato and chicken farmer. I added a middle man to help me distribute the wealth I have that isn't isn't being used. Governments can tax this money away from people who aren't spending it (the growing wealth gap) or they can borrow it from those same people. Either way, the net effect is a new house created, and more people working. Jobs *do* create wealth. The argument you made illustrates how. If the private sector won't create the job and is sitting on un used cash then it's not generating wealth.

      Um... you realize that to lower the minimum wage you've just moved jobs to china right? The minimum wage has actually gone down in real buying power, quite a lot. How much has that helped? Right. It hasn't. It's just reduced the wealth of the people in the bottom quartile, and left them without the means to be mobile.

      Government healthcare seems to produce better outcomes in the short and long term. Compare the US healthcare system to france, the UK, canada etc. The US spends a lot of money on ineffective innovations in healthcare. All of the countries with healthcare have different approaches and do quit a lot of research. They just refuse to actually use it unless it can be proved beneficial. Naturally, like all science, the US has a big economic advantage here. But that's not because of healthcare spending.

      I don't know why we're rehashing an 80 year old debate were your long since discredited positions keep coming up honestly. it's not like this is new. The great depression had the same arguments, and it was people on the side of government spending and national healthcare that eventually dragged the economies out of that mess. Much of that was forced government spending due to wars, but government spending none the less. All of that spending gave soldiers and workers piles of money for defending things, not actually producing anything of long term value (your misguided definition of wealth) which in turn meant they created demand for things which had longer term value when the war was over.

    53. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Abso-F****ING-lutely!! Borrow enough to put the economy back on cruis control for another 50 years. After that I will definitely not care any more and all you young F***ERS can go F**K yourselves into global environmental collapse.

    54. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Lord+Kano · · Score: 1

      Rich greeks can just move to somewhere with lower taxes within the EU (more importantly so can spaniards and italians who can simply move one country to the east sort of thing), which reduces the tax base they have to work with. It's like slashing spending in california so schools suck so rich people move to Oregon so their kids get decent schooling but commute to california, robbing the tax base making them cut money on schools further.

      That's very much what is happening in the US. The middle-class and wealthy are able to move out of highly taxed urban areas to live in suburban areas with lower taxes, less crime and better schools. How do the urban areas respond? By raising taxes! Which in turn drives more people out. I don't know what the solution to the problem is, but I know what the solution isn't.

      LK

      --
      "Hi. This is my friend, Jack Shit, and you don't know him." - Lord Kano
    55. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you mean those bankers who have made record profits and enjoyed ever increasing pay raises and record breaking bonuses? I'm sure they feel really bad about how they "bankrupted the entire bankding industry" - they're hurting so bad. They aren't taking any risks - never have. You're the fool.

    56. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Worship people with material worth as having some mystical quality that makes them above the rest of society"

      Do you mean like Bill Gates and Steve Jobs? They are (at least one is and the other was) a few hundred billion above the rest of society - material wealth was heaped upon them beyond all rationality or justice - what is worship but that?

    57. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do those tax rate comparisons try to normalize things like the US payroll or self-employment tax? Many Americans are unaware of their true tax rate because their employer is paying a large tax proportional to the employee income level, without the employee seeing it on their income statements nor tax returns.

    58. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It was the blowing up of most of Europe that 'saved' the world economically, which it really didn't. We had to rebuild it (the ultimate broken window fallacy), the US industrial base was untouched and true some government spending for cheap production sites such as a the Defense Plants Corporation helped because those industrial sites were later sold to capitalists for cheap. Most of the excess cattle of human populace in the Euroland was dislocated, killed or otherwise rendered unable to compete, so the US ended up with a much higher standard of living.

      The standard of Living in the United States was much better than the rest of the world until the era of Reagan militarism, it recovered a bit under Bush-Clintonian post Cold War good feelings and then has proceded to go back down ever since.

    59. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because all the elections I have voted in are first past the post rather than proportional, my vote has never made any difference to the outcome and I have not had any say about the taxes I have been forced to pay. In fact, I have had a say that has made a difference when faced with threats and violence on the street. I don't blame the tax man, he's just a poor galoot who has had all moral decency ground out of him as he does his job. I blame our political and legal systems which advertise democracy and justice but don't deliver - if you think about it, it's a bit like diet plans and McHealthfood - it seems most people never learn and keep binging on both.

    60. Re:Well, then that settles it. by rolfwind · · Score: 1

      Borrowing money isn't fraud, and raising taxes isn't fraud. Nor is taxation theft. Taxation is agreeing that some things are best for the state to manage and paying for those from everyone.

      So let's say a state taxes you at 100% because you're of Mexican heritage. It's passed by all the elected officials much like the Nuremberg Laws, so there is agreement. Makes it some grand agreement, right?

      Get real. Contracts require consensus from everyone involved, laws don't. Rather than waxing poetic like an idiot trying to make the idea conform to your political ideology, just realize taxes just are. There's very little the average person can do to change them, other than leave the country, if that's allowed (I believe ex-convicts aren't allowed a passport, iirc, so tax evaders watch out) but that's also not always a viable option.

      So don't try to assign some bogus morality to the whole thing. I pay my taxes, and I hope the next guy puts in his share just out of a sense of fairness, but it doesn't make us better or worse people - especially in this age of loopholes and thousands of pages of rules, where a rich guy can legally fulfill his obligation paying less than me (which your argument would support because that was what was agreed to by society as a whole via representatives). Gandhi evaded salt taxes and that didn't make him a bad person.

      You need to focus more on jobs, which will create wealth. Cutting spending is creating a spiral of destruction in its wake that is destroying wealth left right and centre. Without jobs there's no demand, without demand there's no production and no innovation, without which there's less demand, and less wealth.

      The Paul Krugman line of economic thought, going back to Keynes. He keeps this mantra too. I don't buy it because....

      The whole thing is that the state is really bad at creating jobs. It usually defaults to toll collector type ideas, a job which benefits no one except a select few and raises no one's standard of living versus, say, a doctor or dentist or roofer. And then we do need to improve our whole infrastructure, but then the $1T or so bill from 2009 was supposed to start doing that, and all the money that went in my local area was utterly wasted, with no accountability, I wouldn't say it is a huge leap to suppose that this repeated often elsewhere.

      Idk what the right solution is, but it seems we have this huge balloon here, and every time it deflates, people are screeching for someone to pump it up. And this has been the case for decades, not just since 2008. Every little bump in the road, "stimulus!" Hell, we've been living with the lowest interest rates since I remember in my entire lifetime. Stimulus is a lot like drugs, imo, and the more you take, the less effective it becomes and more painful to boot. IMO, the necessary corrections needed (see Wall St. bailout) are never allowed to take hold before we stimulus it away and we just keep pumping the bubbles bigger and then get outraged at how big the resulting debt is with one side of our mouths while crying for more of it with the other.

      No states have been able to come out from more than 260% total credit market debt (Great Britain, 1815-1900, from dismantling a Napoleanic countering military force/navy and the industrial revolution). We're at least over 350% iirc, sometimes more depending on the parameters used. If you look at us since the 1980s, our borrowing has been at a 45 degree line at the least:
      http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3389/3261573312_50932bdcf7.jpg

      All that tells me is that as a society, we've been living in the mistaken belief that the future is ALWAYS going to be bigger. I don't believe that will be the case. One of the fundamentals driving modern economies is energy and the cost of it. We can't get around this, we need cheap energy. But it keeps getting more expensive, since 2000

    61. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Inflation only helps them if their debt is denominated in their own currency. If it is, inflation is equivalent to defaulting on a portion of their debt. So, if you really believe 15 years of inflation is a just and effective solution then you should also agree that defaulting on their debt is a just and effective solution: in an otherwise stable financial system (i.e. one that can absorb the loss) there is not really any difference.

    62. Re:Well, then that settles it. by buchner.johannes · · Score: 1

      When you say "grow your economy" you mean investing from debt (taking more credits). Some countries already have difficulties paying their rates.

      As you mentioned Greece as an example -- they have a problem with corruption and tax evasion. That can't be solved by throwing more money at it. Greece is not really comparable to Japan.

      --
      NB: The message above might reflect my opinion right now, but not necessarily tomorrow or next year.
    63. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      He's right in that jobs don't create wealth. Work creates wealth. For the generated wealth it doesn't matter if that work is done by a self-employed worker, by an employee, by a slave or by a robot. What differs is how the resulting wealth is distributed.

      If jobs created wealth, the east block states would have been incredibly wealthy because there everyone had a job.

    64. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Kjella · · Score: 0

      Most of europe isn't drowning in debt. Quite the contrary, the only country drowning in debt is really greece, with italy a distant and not particularly serious second.

      Greece, Portugal and Ireland have required emergency measures so far. Spain and Italy both have huge problems, I don't think you understand what is happening here. Do you know the credit card death spiral? Where you take up more debt to pay interest on your current debt sinking deeper and deeper into a hole you can't get out of and will eventually collapse because the credit runs out? Spain was circling the drain on their last debt auction, yes your right in an economy you must keep the money flowing. But if they spend even a little more the creditors are going to shut them down, same as they would an individual that's piling on the debt like there's no tomorrow.

      That's like pulling the emergency brakes, everything will come to a screeching halt. The government can't just say they'll spend the money anyway if they can't borrow on the ECB won't let them print money. Besides, printing money without any substance only leads to massive inflation because nobody want to actually lose money, if you have a 10% inflation I'd want a 12% interest or everybody will pull out. Sure if the EU stood fully behind the struggling countries but Germans aren't interested in taking on billions of debt from all the PIIGGS, particularly not with an election in a little over a year.

      If Sunday's election in Greece leads to their collapse I think Spain will follow shortly, all the dominos are stacked and we're just waiting for the Lehman Brothers. And this time we're not on a high like in the financial crisis, it would not take much to create a really, really deep depression. I have the feeling that I'm watching a train wreck in slow motion, as long as it was on the rails it was okay but once it's off the rails you know it's going to end badly. I don't think we've hit rock bottom just yet, the problems have moved around but they're not solved.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    65. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also, the euro can be inflated. Germany is strongly resisting that plan, probably because they're trying to force through a fiscal union or to get greece to leave the euro. But 3-4% inflation in the eurozone would do wonders for the debt problems.

      No need to spill conspiracy theories. Germany is strongly resisting the plan for the exact same reason why Germany tried to its own currency from inflating before. Indeed, if it had not been the guarantee of low inflation in the contract of Maastricht, Germany would never had agreed to go into the Euro to begin with. Keeping the currency stable was one of the top priorities of Germany since the very first days of the D-Mark. And the success of Germany during that time tells you that cannot have been too wrong, after all.

    66. Re:Well, then that settles it. by progician · · Score: 1

      We don't have manned missions at the moment, only a single lab on LEO. So there's nothing to stop either. You need robotic missions first and than crewed ones to the point of establishing an relatively autonomous outpost.

      With 1/6th gravity of the Earth with no atmosphere makes the moon more ideal gravity well than the Earth for launching shit to space.

      You can only work out how to support human life in space if you, with the preliminary checks and experiments on other living beings, send humans in to space and, even more importantly, to other celestial objects. The Moon is the closest of such an object, so it makes sense to start right their.

    67. Re:Well, then that settles it. by cheekyboy · · Score: 1

      These days, govts hire, independent commissions to work out new taxes just so they can not be blamed for new taxes.

      Also I some govts outright LIE, and say, NO CARBON TAXES EVAH!!!

      Yet, 50% of people didnt vote for it, the other half, knew it wouldnt be around.

      And now we have a carbon tax in AU, that not a single person was privy to before voting.

      Yeah, sure, we get to choose, bull shit.

      Vote for #3 from now on, kick the shit out of both top 2 parties, piss them off.

      --
      Liberty freedom are no1, not dicks in suits.
    68. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You miss his point. He was stating that jobs (the expending of materials and labor to produce goods and services) does not create wealth, he should have clarified that jobs are not wealth. The finished goods and services (the things consumed) are wealth. I believe he was trying to state that simply increasing the labor expended to produce finished products does not ensure an increase the wealth created, and that is correct. He was trying to elaborate upon "work smarter, not harder." Capital is also an input to production and increasing productivity through capital investment, in addition to increasing materials and labor inputs, will increase total output and expand an economy if the output is aligned with demand.

    69. Re:Well, then that settles it. by MrAngryForNoReason · · Score: 1

      Actually you could do that, it wouldn't solve all the economic problems, but if you could guarantee funding for space research for say, the next 30 years (insofar as governments ever make guarantees), you would create jobs, spur demand which would create more jobs.

      The problem with the plan is that the money has to come from somewhere. If you suddenly pump the space exploration budget by 100 billion dollars a year then either taxes go up, or the national debt goes up. That debt can only go so high before your credit rating is degraded, as we are seeing happen to countries all around the world at the moment. The effect of that is that borrowing your next 100 billion is difficult and more expensive.

      Borrowing money to create jobs only works if the result of those jobs is a larger tax base, otherwise there is no way to pay the money back. Which is exactly the problem a lot of countries are currently in.

    70. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Kjella · · Score: 1

      You probably have the same degree in economics that the top bankers have. You know, those bankers who bankrupted the entire banking industry just a few years ago. Those bankers who are still, today, making insane gambles on derivatives and speculation.

      They privatized the gains and socialized the losses, how are they stupid? Make a fat bonus check in the good years, cry for a bailout in the bad years, I think many IT people would be happy to crash the IT industry if they could get the dotcom wages back for 5-10 years before the implosion. If you've made enough money for a solid nest egg, who cares? Wait it out, change careers, retire, whatever... the wall street bankers aren't hurting any more than those who rode the dotcom wave.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    71. Re:Well, then that settles it. by TFAFalcon · · Score: 1

      If things are heading for a collapse, then why waste so much money bailing out banks that are going to fold anyway? It's not like they are spending the money propping up the economy. And wouldn't that money be of more use after the collapse, when we'll know which companies are still good candidates for being rescued?

      Right now countries are in debt 'death spirals', but it's not just because they are overspending. It's also because the banks demand higher interest on the 'old' loans, since the countries are now looking weak. But at the same time, those banks are the ones that will be hurt if a country defaults. So why are the tax payers expected to bail them out? Let them go broke, pass laws to reclaim any bonuses paid in the years the banks were giving bad loans, then use those funds to create new banks.

    72. Re:Well, then that settles it. by khallow · · Score: 1

      Your definition of stupid and mine vary. It depends how credible the plan is. If you have nothing to take of value, or if your business plan is good it could be worth more investment. If your plan is "I'm going to take 20k and buy gold" well... the bank could buy gold itself. It doesn't need you.

      I'll just point out that in the real world, such plans tend far more often to the incredible than the credible. And any borrower who says they just need borrow more and then they'll be able to pay you back, is just an invitation for the bank to lose more money than it already has. Just saying that's how it usually plays out.

      Does social security have value? Do pensions?

      So do sport cars. Should the state buy me one? Social security is a very affordable, selfish interest. You already have the means to buy it with your income. If you choose not to, then I see absolutely no reason for society to take up that role. In other words, your lack of planning is not my responsibility. If you want a much smaller safety net for extreme bad luck, then that's a different story. But you'd be spending a lot less on it.

      My view is that you are justifying the EU on the basis of dubious social programs. If the individual states really can't afford such programs, or if such programs make them completely uncompetitive compared to other states, then that's a solid indication to me that the programs in question shouldn't exist. I think it's the height of folly to instead attempt to create a superstate merely so that one can create an oligopoly for providing social programs. Where's the control on that superstate?

      The EU, for example, already has a number of undemocratic aspects to it and I just don't see it improving. If that's really what you need for cushy social programs, then frankly, you're better off without them.

    73. Re:Well, then that settles it. by khallow · · Score: 1

      And if someone else plays games with the thing you use as a currency you also end up like greece. And there's bugger all you can do about it.

      They have to have that power first. It's worth noting here that any "game playing" with the Euro, namely, inflating the currency, would only benefit a huge debtor like Greece. They didn't do that and Greece hoisted itself on its own petard.

    74. Re:Well, then that settles it. by MistrX · · Score: 1

      I love to agree with you but there is one little detail:

      Without demand, there will not be jobs.
      No jobs, there is no demand.

      It's a vicious cycle.

      That said, space exploration might create a ton of jobs in all fields but since this is not a guarantee and in the short term cost a lot of money, governments rather invest in waging war due to the short term money it produces for them (oil etc.).

      Politicians are only concerned with their terms as politicians. When they made the money, they leave and another one fills the spot with their own agenda.
      I get this feeling that the politician as public servant doesn't really exist anymore.

      In the last few decades, were there any politicians of importance in the western world with a longterm vision? Please name them so they can duly be credited.

    75. Re:Well, then that settles it. by khallow · · Score: 1

      Because it's cutting peoples jobs and income

      That's an interesting assertion. You have evidence that that's going to happen?

      Uh... what exactly do you think austerity is?

      Cutting out some rent seekers and other parasites so that there are more jobs and income collectively for society.

      Um... What about this is short term? There's no 'short term sacrifice' that will fix this. That's the problem.

      Ok, dump Greece then. Their problems don't have to be anyone else's problems.

      The double dip recession is a classic sign of what happens when you bail out banks and other failed businesses rather than end them. Often they fail again (the second dip) because the problems that led to the recession never went away.

      You're basing this on what exactly? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greek_government-debt_crisis specifically the section on counter measures talks about how much the greek government has cut. What do you think happened to those people? They stopped spending because they have no income. That contracted the overall economy.

      They're in the process of finding jobs that don't involve them sucking wealth from their fellow citizens by force. This is the short term sacrifice.

      That would be the so called 'confidence fairy' which has yet not materialized. It might also mean a significant contraction of the economy. It's the estonia example. A 20% drop in the economy followed by a 5% uptick is considered 'growth'.

      So what? One has to compare it to other options. For example, Estonia could just borrow a bunch of money, spend it in ways that promptly leave the country, and still see that 20% drop and 5% rebound. Same economy and same outcome, but far more debt and a bunch of people making noise about how all that debt prevented a worse disaster.

      The problem with 'cutting what fails' is that you and I disagree on what fails of course. But right now, what's failing is demand, and it's failing because people keep cutting spending. Businesses are sitting on cash piles because they have no demand to invest in. If they just started spending the money all together at once it would life the economy out of recession. But they won't.

      The thing is recessions will end on their own anyway. The demand, the supply, or whatever happens to be lacking, will come back. There's no evidence that government borrowing and spending improve that outcome. That's just the sorry state of modern economics.

      To the contrary, we have examples, such as Japan and Greece that indicate that extreme levels of debt didn't help. Many other developed world governments have done a serious amount of huffing and puffing without obvious net benefit either.

    76. Re:Well, then that settles it. by necro81 · · Score: 1
    77. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Nesa2 · · Score: 1

      "honest taxation" -

      You sure made me laugh on that one.

    78. Re:Well, then that settles it. by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      Really? So I can agree that those things aren't best for the state to manage and not pay for them?

      No, I didn't think so.

      Well, you can't just agree that murder isn't a crime and start killing people either, but that is the "tyranny" of democracy I'm afraid.

      Jobs do not create wealth. Jobs are a cost.

      Jobs do create wealth, and lack of jobs is a cost. If people have jobs they have money to spend on things, which creates a market for the goods and services businesses create. Also businesses need to employ people to generate wealth for them, and if a particular job does not generate more income that it costs to provide you are doing it wrong.

      Furthermore when people are out of work they need state support, a cost to us all. Okay, you advocate no such support, but even then it will cost you because people with no wealth have little incentive not to steal yours. You could pay for private police to protect yourself, but that too is a cost.

      Cutting government spending frees up money for private uses.

      Only if it comes with a tax cut, and currently there is no reduction in taxation (except for millionaires, but that was purely political) because the money is needed to pay off the deficit.

      Even if it were accompanied by tax cuts it would still cost you more. Lack of universal high quality healthcare means you have to pay for your own, and it will definitely cost you more. Plus if you can't pay for it and get cancer or something you will probably go bankrupt and die. Similarly if you had to pay for roads, police, the military, rubbish collection, education and all the rest of it through private for-profit schemes you would be worse off.

      Also your country would be screwed as student subsidies dry up and the next generation of workers can't afford to get a good education, leaving you lacking the skills you need to create wealth.

      Government spending stimulates business. That spending goes to the private sector in the form of contracts and sales, and because the government is reliable it creates confidence and a strong base to grow a business on. I'm not saying it's perfect but the alternative just doesn't work.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    79. Re:Well, then that settles it. by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      Most of europe isn't drowning in debt.

      Thanks for saying that. There was an interesting fact on the BBC today. If seen as a single country the EU actually has a better looking balance sheet than both the US and United Kingdom. There may be a couple of struggling states but overall the Eurozone is still doing really well, and the member states are far better off in than out.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    80. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      Your definition of stupid and mine vary. It depends how credible the plan is. If you have nothing to take of value, or if your business plan is good it could be worth more investment. If your plan is "I'm going to take 20k and buy gold" well... the bank could buy gold itself. It doesn't need you.

      I'll just point out that in the real world, such plans tend far more often to the incredible than the credible. And any borrower who says they just need borrow more and then they'll be able to pay you back, is just an invitation for the bank to lose more money than it already has. Just saying that's how it usually plays out.

      Sure, which is why people get foreclosed on. And in the real world austerity is shrinking economies, which is why they are on the verge of getting foreclosed on.

      Does social security have value? Do pensions?

      So do sport cars. Should the state buy me one? Social security is a very affordable, selfish interest. You already have the means to buy it with your income. If you choose not to, then I see absolutely no reason for society to take up that role. In other words, your lack of planning is not my responsibility. If you want a much smaller safety net for extreme bad luck, then that's a different story. But you'd be spending a lot less on it.

      Social security is a relatively small amount of spending for small safety net. Government pension plans are not actually a safety net, in that they're earned pensions. Medical care is a massive safety net for a big cost in absolute terms, but because it's aggregated over a large area it's not so bad. And yes, if a car becomes cheap enough and transportation critical enough the government can and will provide you a car essentially. It provides you unemployment and welfare and that will eventually be enough to cover a cheap car. As it is it's enough to cover a bus pass which is functionally the same thing. In fact they provide public transportation for just this sort of thing. Because not everyone can afford a car yet, and collectively buying into the infrastructure for trains is valuable. The public also generally build and own the road the sports car would drive on already.

      My view is that you are justifying the EU on the basis of dubious social programs. If the individual states really can't afford such programs, or if such programs make them completely uncompetitive compared to other states, then that's a solid indication to me that the programs in question shouldn't exist. I think it's the height of folly to instead attempt to create a superstate merely so that one can create an oligopoly for providing social programs. Where's the control on that superstate?

      What's to control the power of any federal government? The fact that you ignore evidence of the effectiveness of social programmes I can't help you with. They're a giant insurance system, and you can't do better than a government guarantee. You can (and should) supplement them where appropriate, but you can never personally be prepared for an aircraft crashing into the world trade centre and wiping out hundreds of billions in value in airlines and destroying a number of companies housed there. Social insurance is just that, insurance, it provides a guarantee of a baseline of income which is enough to not starve to death on, and enough to cover medical care that will save your life if you get cancer twice by the time you're 30, and will keep paying until you're 80, where a private insurer will run and hide from that if they can.

      You're exactly wrong on 'if they can't afford it individually they shouldn't exist'. Should arizona and texas be handed back to mexico because they couldn't defend themselves in a fight against mexico alone? Same problem. Seriously. Exactly the same problem. Should florida be denied social security because of a housing bubble there? Should louisiana because they got hit by

    81. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      That's not a conspiracy theory. Those are literally the only two choices for the euro. Fiscal union, or start kicking out countries that are weak. Which will quickly be all of them except france germany and the benelux countries, and in that situation they'd be better to split back up entirely.

      Germany kept inflation low, but could also devalue the mark against the dollar to keep boosting exports. Their exports are competitive at the current rate. The greeks aren't. Devaluing the euro would be good, except there's no one to devalue against. If the euro devalues against the dollar the dollar will have to try and devalue against he euro. You can't devalue against each other.

      It's actually a balance of payments problem. Within the eurozone other countries really should be devaluing against the mark. But they can't, because it's the same currency. During the pre euro and early euro eras money flowed to the periphery, overvaluing those economies. Now they're stuck at that over valuation and can't get out of it. Germany could keep inflation low because as they devalued against the dollar everyone else devalued against the mark, keep their prices low etc. That would be fine now. But isn't possible. So given the non option, basically the only option is for the whole eurozone to devalue its debt through inflation (which again, doesn't need to be radical 3-4% a year isn't all that much), and form some broader political union which glues all the budgets together, or to break apart.

    82. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      Sure.

      the money would need to be borrowed or taxed from people who have money but aren't spending it. Seriously. It's not complicated. Business have big piles of cash, the wealth gap is increasing there are places to borrow money from. A space programme is probably a better plan for the US than europe, in that the US has people with relevant expertise who are unemployed and can borrow money from itself at next to nothing. Europe as a whole could borrow money, or france and germany could borrow money relatively cheaply, but greece and spain could not.

      Although you're wrong in the "your debt can only go so high before the credit rating is degraded". Credit rating don't matter. Interest rates matter. Those two should be related. But aren't. If you can borrow money like Japan with 200% of GDP in debt at 0.8% interest for 10 years, and 1% inflation well.. the debt will actually be worth less when you go to pay it off.

      If they could create jobs that would spur demand by borrowing money that would be sufficient. That would pick up demand, get the private sector spending again to meet that demand, and you end up with the so called virtuous cycle going, which would increase the tax base etc. Then when the economy isn't in the toilet is the time to start making cuts. Governments have been doing the exact opposite of what they should be doing, which is spending in a downturn and cutting spending in an upswing. Instead they were spending when times were good and and cutting when times are bad.

    83. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      Cutting out some rent seekers and other parasites so that there are more jobs and income collectively for society.

      Jobs are jobs. People who don't have jobs don't spend. People who don't spend don't have demand, no demand means no hiring and no spending.

      And yes, dumping greece from the Euro would help them were it not for the challenges involved in exiting the euro and the fact that they have debt in euros owed to banks in the rest of europe they'd never be able to pay in that scenario. But their problem is the same as everyone else in the euro, balance of payments problems and local economic problems they can't address by devaluing a currency which would be the least painful way out of the mess.

      They're in the process of finding jobs that don't involve them sucking wealth from their fellow citizens by force. This is the short term sacrifice.

      They're not in the process of finding other jobs. I don't know where you're getting that idea from. Unemployment is rising, and the overall economic base of greece is contracting. It's short term in the sense that they will be in a death spiral for decades like this, but sure, on a centuries long scale this might be short term.

      The thing is recessions will end on their own anyway. The demand, the supply, or whatever happens to be lacking, will come back. There's no evidence that government borrowing and spending improve that outcome. That's just the sorry state of modern economics.

      that's the state of 19th century economics and long discredited. Recessions won't just magically end on their own (and by what mechanism exactly?) Governments *can* and *have* demonstrably created demand. For the most extreme example feel free to look at WW2. Now the trick is someone will start the ball rolling, probably not greece. If demand picks up in the US for example because they stop with austerity that demand will eventually, and potentially quickly, cascade into europe. And the chinese won't spend it on anything european or american for the moment. The most obvious example of this is germany in the early 50's. Their economy, having been flattened was in a bad state. Then demand picked up around the world for goods as everyone else was fighting the korean war. German labour was available and cheap, so guess what, they got money and jobs and had huge growth. That was government spending, just not their government.

      Japan is actually an example of extreme levels of debt helping quite a lot. They have 200% of GDP in debt, paying 0.8% interest as their 10 year rate. They have almost no unemployment relatively and they are actually kicking up a bit of growth now that they borrowed enough money to get things going again rebuilding from the tsunami. Japan is an example of how if you chronically undershoot a stimulus you can at least not end up in a massive economic death spiral. They are a strong case for 'spend more, a LOT more' because spending just a little at a time prevents disaster but it never really kicks things back into gear. Greece is different, in that they are bound to the euro. If they were never in the euro we wouldn't even need to be having this conversation because they would have devalued their currency boosted exports (and tourism) and moved on by now.

    84. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      Honestly, I'm not sure. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_spending gives a good comparison. Actually that's probably a better metric than taxation, because tax bases plummeted due to the economic downturn.

      The US, Canada, most of europe, japan are all in and around the 35-45% range as total government spending as a percent of GDP. France being an outlier up around 52 and taiwan being down at like 20. Where exactly the taxation comes from to pay for it is secondary, and the gap between receipts and spending is the deficit (including the non federal level).

    85. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      Devaluing isn't defaulting*. But yes, if they could simply pay back .96^n where n is the number of years in future times the value of their current debt that would contribute to solving the problem as well.

      Since they're being asked for 28% interest rates or something crazy they would actually be better off to devalue by like 26% and pay (1.02)^n back. Which is essentially what the bailouts are. Other countries are lending them money to pay off their expensive debt with cheaper debt. Like getting a 5% loan from the bank to pay off your 22% credit cards. Banks go along with this (even when they also own the credit cards) because they'd rather get some money they know they can get than have you go bankrupt. European countries are going along with this because they'll be on the hook if greece can't pay back their banks and the banks need to be bailed out.

      Keep in mind inflation helps anyone who has debt in that currency as well. If you have a mortgage for 300k and you can lock in at a say 5% interest rate 4% inflation means your net interest rate is only 1%, whereas 0% inflation means your net interest is 5%.

      *Keep in mind that devaluing still pays the face value. That's a guaranteed investment. In any investment portfolio you want some in government bonds because in the vast uncertainty that is the private market you know you'll at least get this much in government bonds. That creates a degree of stability and safe savings. Losing 1% on government bonds is better than losing 10%. The Dow peaked at 13.9k and is now 12.5k. Sure, in the extremely long average the DOW will always outperform inflation, but it depends *when* you need money where you want it saved.

    86. Re:Well, then that settles it. by virg_mattes · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Oh, here we go again with this canard. The breakdown that always seems to escape those who claim that taxation is theft is that firstly, taxes exist because the taxed population chose to create the tax load, and second, paying for what you use and only what you use is an absurdly inefficient way to run a society. Sure, you think it's fair to pay for the roads you use. But pay with what? Did you pay for the infrastructure necessary to create and secure the money you're using to buy your groceries, or do you have to work out a barter or deal with a bunch of incompatible currencies? We did that back in colonial times, and tossed it aside in favor of a central treasury because it's nightmarishly inefficient. The Interstate Highway system came into being because the "pay for what you use" concept simply didn't get the job done. There are a thousand examples of how this works, and the simple fact that virtually every society on Earth uses taxation should clue you in that it's probably not nearly as bad an idea as you'd love to believe.

      I can't walk into Wal-Mart, pick up whatever and walk out can I?

      No, but you can get to the parking lot and you can enter the store without fear that it'll collapse on you and you can buy stuff with a reasonable assumption that you'll get what you're paying for and you can trust that they won't just beat you up and take the money you brought and so on and so on, all because society decided that individuals having to secure all of that personally makes for a crapsack world. If you think you can do better, there are places you can go such that you pay only for what you personally use, but they're far away from most other people and you'll find that you spend an inordinate amount of time and energy just surviving.

      The current method of taxation steals from those who provide the most to society in order to pay for those who either produce nothing or produce less.

      It is to laugh. Do you really think that those with the most income are necessarily the ones who contribute the most to society? If so, you're unrecoverably naive. If you think that money is the measure of value, then I'll thank you to tell me what Paris Hilton has done to earn the vast millions of dollars she has access to. If she hadn't been born into it, she'd be a waitress somewhere in middle America and we both know it. Society is full of people who create value in excess of their paycheck and people who drag in tons of money without contributing much at all, so the whole "steals from the rich" argument falls apart in that regard.

      Theft is compulsory, so is taxation.

      Taxation isn't compulsory. This isn't the Soviet Union. Taxes are just a requirement for being a U.S. citizen, so if you don't want to pay taxes to the U.S. government, then leave the country and renounce your citizenship, and nobody will stop you. However, if you want the benefit of being a U.S. citizen, then you have to pay taxes. As I said above, there are many places in the world where paying taxes isn't required, and you could avail yourself of any number of those places if you don't like taxation. Just don't sit here with your safe drinking water and your anti-fraud legislation and your right to ask for aid if random chance turns you into one of those "less productive" people and whine about having to pay for it. Walk the walk, and all that.

      Virg

    87. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      Honest taxation is actually what the US has and Sweden has. Greece and pakistan have dishonest taxation.

      Honest taxation means that if the tax rate is 15%, you, me, and everyone else pay 15%. Dishonest taxation is if the tax rate is 15%, and you pay 15%, but I pay 0, because I bribed an official to look the other way or forget about the purchase. The fact that I paid 5% as the value of the bribe doesn't matter, because it's not gone into government coffers.

      And sure, the US is not *as* honest as some places. But it is actually one of the most honest, despite a self reporting income tax system.

      Sure, the US system it's easy to legally avoid taxes, by paying off politicians to give you a lower tax rate, and by following rules to your advantage. But you can't bribe an IRS official out of your tax bill, and on the whole it seems like americans are pretty good about honestly disclosing how much money they make when it comes to tax time.

      (http://images.businessweek.com/mz/10/32/1032_econtaxes16.pdf, although the bottom graphic doesn't actually have numbers on it, it conveys the point. The first chart is useless, as it is looking at total underground economic activity, not per capita)

    88. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The fiscal union isn't a "plot" or anything of the sort, it is agreed upon by all the individual parliaments of the member states. While I agree with you that jobs are a good thing, it is also necessary for governments not to collect more debt. Most governments are already in debt, and the fiscal union, various emergency solutions and a bunch of recent actions from the European bank are there to solve this problem. This is also the reason we have budget cuts. So, yes, investing in jobs is good, but a government shouldn't invest money it doesn't have. In Spain and Greece (and Italy, and previously Ireland), the debt is so high that it causes problems; they are clear examples of why we need budget cuts now in addition to stimulations for jobs where possible.

    89. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Its amazing to me that the debate mostly centers around spending. We cannot fix our problems by increasing taxes or government spending. We cannot fix our problems by cutting government spending.

      We need to fix our problems (both basic things like unemployment as well as the deficit) by *growing* the economy. So changes we make, should look towards that.

      Government spending is historically the most inefficient way to get anything done, and those jobs are often subject to political whims rather than any lasting economical principles (e.g. demand).

      So, I am an advocate of reducing spending *and* reducing taxes, as well as reducing the amount of regulation that makes it so difficult for anyone to start or run a business. (Small business being the main economic engine, we should do everything possible to help encourage people to start new businesses, and to help those that are running be successful.) The dems plans to tax the "wealthy" (anyone who makes more than $250K) are most likely to hurt/discourage those people starting just these business, while having a negligible impact on the uber-rich that they like to cite as examples of people who don't pay enough taxes.

      Democrats laughed at Regeanomics and trickle-down theory, but in retrospect it *worked*. Don't penalize success, but *encourage* it. That's what capitalism is about, folks. The counter example of this is communism, which I think history has shown to be an utter failure in just about every country where it has been tried. Socialism is a giant leap in that direction. Its nice to have noble goals like jobs for everyone, nobody goes hungry, and ultimately economic equality, but such noble goals lead to dark places. Counter-intuitively, greed is good -- without greed you don't have capitalism or competition, and we would all be far far worse off.

      So, the next time you're at the polls, remember that. Your well-meaning actions could do a lot of harm. As they say, the road to hell is paved with good intentions. And, every turn is towards the left. :-)

    90. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      Erm... not really no.

      The US standard of living and most of europe track pretty nicely from the late 50's until reagan yes. Then the Europeans start to 'fall behind' as their societies stayed relatively equal while the US become more unequal.

      But none of the rest of what you wrote is particularly accurate. Yes, germany was a wreck until about 56, and italy was about the same wreck it was before the war until about 1970. But the UK and France were humming along quite well within a decade of the war being over. Their whole invading egypt in the suez crisis didn't exactly do them any favours however.

    91. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Runaway1956 · · Score: 1

      How much does Apple have, in liquid assets alone? Yes, Sir, you are right on target with your post. The rich (both individuals and corporate) have an obligation to reinvest all that money, to provide for the next generation.

      If they aren't smart enough to figure that out, then eventually, one of the upcoming generations will strip all that wealth from them, and re-invest in whatever fashion that they see fit. Unfortunately, during such a violent upheaval, there will be other crooked, dishonest SOB's trying to take a cut of the newly redistributed wealth.

      --
      "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
    92. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nor is taxation theft. Taxation is agreeing that some things are best for the state to manage and paying for those from everyone.

      "Agreeing"? And what of those who don't agree? Your state will send men with guns to collect, won't it?

      Thief.

    93. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      Borrowing money isn't fraud, and raising taxes isn't fraud. Nor is taxation theft. Taxation is agreeing that some things are best for the state to manage and paying for those from everyone.

      So let's say a state taxes you at 100% because you're of Mexican heritage. It's passed by all the elected officials much like the Nuremberg Laws, so there is agreement. Makes it some grand agreement, right?

      Actually it does. it's called the tyranny of the masses. And it's why countries have various layers of laws to prevent discrimination or to enshrine 'rights' etc. But yes, the government in its entirety is entitled to tax as it sees fit. And has in various countries. Including over 100% taxation in sweden at once point.

      Get real. Contracts require consensus from everyone involved, laws don't. Rather than waxing poetic like an idiot trying to make the idea conform to your political ideology, just realize taxes just are. There's very little the average person can do to change them, other than leave the country, if that's allowed (I believe ex-convicts aren't allowed a passport, iirc, so tax evaders watch out) but that's also not always a viable option.

      And you proposing going where that's tax free exactly? You're the one who needs to get real. Suggesting an absurdity does not validate your argument. Governments everywhere collect tax and provide services. The "average" person actually does decide what that money is spent on in through voting, which is a method of averaging. You don'd need a passport to leave btw. You need a passport to enter a country that requires you have a passport. Which used to, for example, not include canada. If you're a convict in the US you can travel anywhere that will accept you. It's not the US government stopping you.

      So don't try to assign some bogus morality to the whole thing. I pay my taxes, and I hope the next guy puts in his share just out of a sense of fairness, but it doesn't make us better or worse people - especially in this age of loopholes and thousands of pages of rules, where a rich guy can legally fulfill his obligation paying less than me (which your argument would support because that was what was agreed to by society as a whole via representatives). Gandhi evaded salt taxes and that didn't make him a bad person.

      In the eyes of the british it did. In eyes of the majority of indians the tax was unfair, and they voted by non violent revolution in a non democratic society. And yes, rich people can and do pay for laws convenient to them. If you don't like it vote people into office who will prevent it. If you want to be practical about it create a house of lords where the 700 richest americans are guaranteed a seat. Money will always buy influence in politics, it's the job of the commons to balance that with the will 'of the people' so to speak.

      You need to focus more on jobs, which will create wealth. Cutting spending is creating a spiral of destruction in its wake that is destroying wealth left right and centre. Without jobs there's no demand, without demand there's no production and no innovation, without which there's less demand, and less wealth.

      The Paul Krugman line of economic thought, going back to Keynes. He keeps this mantra too. I don't buy it because....

      You don't like evidence based decision making? His argument in fact is that the stimulus from 2009 was woefully inaequate and that you wouldn't see much effect because it wasn't big enough. And he was basically right.

      Idk what the right solution is, but it seems we have this huge balloon here, and every time it deflates, people are screeching for someone to pump it up. And this has been the case for decades, not just since 2008. Every little bump in the road, "stimulus!" Hell, we've been living with the lowest interest rates since I remember in my entire lifet

    94. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      Well the member states are better off than the US. Greece in particular and spain would be better to have never joined the Euro area. Of course some sort of political union to manage certain aspects of finance would go a long way to fixing that problem.

    95. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      Well they are comparable. The greeks are borrowing money to pay off debt in a currency they can't devalue. The japanese are borrowing money to invest in a currency they control.

      The reason they have the huge disparity is because greece is in a death spiral of borrowing money to pay for money it borrowed, and it can't reduce the value of the debt, create exports or attract tourists by lowering prices. Japan on the other hand can make its exports more competitive and drive demand. Greece alone couldn't do a stimulus plan, it should be eurozone wide and greece would be the primary beneficiary (per capita) of a well targeted plan.

      E.g. (and I'm not seriously suggesting this). A space programme with a launch pad and assembly area in greece. Or a eurozone tourism pact, where you can travel from any eurozone country to any other eurozone country and get government cash back based on where you go. Go to greece, get 25% back from the EU fund. Go to germany, get 5% back. (And yes, those numbers are entirely made up).

    96. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      Right, it should be the ECB printing money, because he PIIGS are in a credit card debt spiral, they need to borrow more money, but at a lower rate, to get rid of the expensive debt and then get their economies going. it doesn't need to be massive inflation. 3-4% would do the trick.

      And yes, austerity is putting on a proverbial emergency brake in the middle of a highway when your car is in trouble. It was bad that you were only going 80% the speed everyone else, now you're about to cause a pileup. if you can't get out of the way (exit the eurozone) you need to speed up, or someone needs to help drag you along faster.

      Sure if the EU stood fully behind the struggling countries but Germans aren't interested in taking on billions of debt from all the PIIGGS, particularly not with an election in a little over a year.

      I understand perfectly well what's happening. And this is it. The germans know full well that their refusal to allow the ECB to increase its inflation target has been a disaster for the so called PIIGS, and that austerity has ravaged the economy in spain and greece, has flatlined ireland and is about to catch up to Italy. They are either trying to force through a political union as a 'you can't afford not to' or they're trying to get those weak countries to exit the euro. The latter seems foolish because then they'd have debts, including with german banks in euros that they'd never be able to pay and the germans would be on the hook then anyway.

      And yes, austerity has led to a near complete collapse of the greek economy and the spanish economy, which is why they need bailouts of various sorts, which will, and has, essentially pushed those two into a depression sized slump. They will take the rest of the eurozone with them without a fiscal union or massive bailouts. The germans are playing a very dangerous game. Whether they are doing so for political reasons or abject stupidity is hard to say, but probably political reasons as you said.

    97. Re:Well, then that settles it. by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      Jobs do actually create wealth when they flow money around. That's how you create wealth. I give you 20k to sit on your arse, you spend 20k to buy a house, which creates a house and increases the number of houses by one.

      That's the broken window fallacy. If you give me 20k to sit on my ass, wealth is transferred but none is created. The carpenters and plumbers and electricians actually building the house are creating wealth. However, there are some jobs that don't directly create wealth, but support the creation of wealth -- the CEOs and accountants, etc.

    98. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      No, inflation would benefit any debtor in the Eurozone. Personal and private. And all countries in the Eurozone have public debt. It would benefit greece the most, but anyone in germany with a 300k euro mortgage would see that mortgage decrease in relative value. Even that bastion of economic stability germany has 80% or so of GDP in debt, which 5 or 6 years ago we would have claimed was too high (and, in fact they did, by having targets less than that for Eurozone debt).

      The countries that would benefit most from inflation are admittedly the ones with the most relative debt. Greece, Italy, Ireland, Portugal France, Germany are all up over 80% (with the first 4 at or above 100 and France getting close). Spain is down around 70% of GDP in debt.

      And yes, without inflation Greece is screwed, if greece implodes then they'll take a number of european banks with them, who will in turn need to be bailed out by their governments or the eurozone will collapse (or more likely both), and it will cascade through the whole system. Or.. you know, they could actually try and solve the problem before it gets to that stage.

    99. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      In this case I'm not sure it's that the US cash holders (rich people and corporations) are all necessarily opposed to more taxation. Certainly as a corporate matter taxation would mean you have less shareholder money and is therefore bad, but in practice most of them aren't stupid. They can't voluntarily pay tax, because that would make them uncompetitive for investment dollars. But if everyone was taxed well, that would move more money around.

      The wealth gap in the US is reflects a fundamental problem, that rich people have money, are getting more of it, and aren't spending it. They literally have more money than they know what to do with. However you phrase it, that's not helping anyone. Borrowing it at negative real interest rates would make them feel like they're not being taxed more, taxing it would well... not require borrowing it.

    100. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      if you don't want to pay taxes to the U.S. government, then leave the country and renounce your citizenship

      That is far too harsh, if you don't want to pay taxes you have many other options available to you in the US. I live in the U.S. I know a lot of people who make what they need and frequently barter or get payed under the table. Some of them fill out tax forms every year to say they are just scraping by and don't have enough to contribute to taxes. Some of these people are too lazy to do even that, but I never heard of them getting into trouble.

      I, like most people, chose to be employed over-the-table so to speak and drive my registered, road usage taxed car on county roads to my job where I get all sorts of worker protection, but there are alternative ways, and remote communities where you can live tax free, easily in the US if you like.

    101. Re:Well, then that settles it. by EuclideanSilence · · Score: 1

      I would propose that the dollar be backed by not having any more being printed, except for damaged currency, and exchanging for other units (10 cents printed to exchange for 1 dime returned, etc). Thus the value of the dollar increases over time instead of being trimmed off of by Special Friends of the Federal Reserve, often called "over seas investors".

      Gold has the advantage of not being printable or destroyable, so it would be better than today's system in many ways. Unfortunately, arbitrarily choosing 1 commodity, or a set of commodities, to represent currency is still going to be a variation of the government "picking winners and losers" (forgive my use of such a political phrase). The real issue is removing the special treatment that our federal reserve system gives some parties over others, and a currency of fixed amount is the first step in that.

    102. Re:Well, then that settles it. by khallow · · Score: 1

      And in the real world austerity is shrinking economies

      Again , where's the justification for this claim?

      Social security is a relatively small amount of spending for small safety net. Government pension plans are not actually a safety net, in that they're earned pensions. Medical care is a massive safety net for a big cost in absolute terms, but because it's aggregated over a large area it's not so bad. And yes, if a car becomes cheap enough and transportation critical enough the government can and will provide you a car essentially. It provides you unemployment and welfare and that will eventually be enough to cover a cheap car. As it is it's enough to cover a bus pass which is functionally the same thing. In fact they provide public transportation for just this sort of thing. Because not everyone can afford a car yet, and collectively buying into the infrastructure for trains is valuable. The public also generally build and own the road the sports car would drive on already.

      So let's view the claims. Social security is a "relatively small amount of spending" even though it's the second largest item in the US federal budget.

      Government pension plans are "earned" even though they pay well in excess of whatever value the employee provided.

      Medical care is a massive safety net for a big cost in absolute terms, but because it's aggregated over a large area it's not so bad.

      The US has the worst problems here but every developed country out there is suffering from growing medical care costs. And for a simple reason. If you don't have to pay directly for your medical care costs, then there's no incentive for you to control your consumption of medical care.

      And yes, if a car becomes cheap enough and transportation critical enough the government can and will provide you a car essentially.

      What's the point? You can buy, drive, and service your own car, completely negating any need for government in this area.

      Because not everyone can afford a car yet, and collectively buying into the infrastructure for trains is valuable.

      There's also costs. Trains aren't free. If as frequently occurs, the cost is less than the benefit, then you'd just wasted the resources of your society.

      The public also generally build and own the road the sports car would drive on already.

      So what? Why should that support the argument that government should be buying my sports cars for me?

      You're exactly wrong on 'if they can't afford it individually they shouldn't exist'. Should arizona and texas be handed back to mexico because they couldn't defend themselves in a fight against mexico alone?

      Texas could hold it's own. It's just not that small and very well armed. Meanwhile Mexico has been a joke militarily longer than it's been a country.

      The fact that you ignore evidence of the effectiveness of social programmes I can't help you with. They're a giant insurance system, and you can't do better than a government guarantee.

      Sure you can. You can get insurance from an entity that you can sue for redress, if they renege on your contract. Can't do that with a government agency with sovereign immunity.

      Social insurance is just that, insurance, it provides a guarantee of a baseline of income which is enough to not starve to death on, and enough to cover medical care that will save your life if you get cancer twice by the time you're 30, and will keep paying until you're 80, where a private insurer will run and hide from that if they can.

      In practice, it's taking from the relatively poor young and giving to the relatively wealthy elderly. Shouldn't such a program give to those who need it the most?

      You can (and should) supplement them where appropriate, but you can never pers

    103. Re:Well, then that settles it. by khallow · · Score: 1

      Jobs are jobs.

      Nonsense. Some jobs create more jobs. And some jobs destroy other jobs. My job could be to manage a large workforce enabling other workforces to do more. My job could be collecting and spending a government mandated fee on some mundane activity such as owning a TV or buying a writable CD. The former creates more jobs. The latter destroys them. Jobs are not jobs.

    104. Re:Well, then that settles it. by lennier · · Score: 1

      Democracy is 2 wolves and a sheep voting on what they want for dinner.

      Your understanding of relative ecosystem predator-prey ratios intrigues me and I would like to tour your wildlife reserve.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    105. Re:Well, then that settles it. by khallow · · Score: 1

      The breakdown that always seems to escape those who claim that taxation is theft is that firstly, taxes exist because the taxed population chose to create the tax load, and second, paying for what you use and only what you use is an absurdly inefficient way to run a society.

      "Chose to create the tax load"? With all the talk of corruption and rent seeking in government one should wonder who really is creating the tax load. Just because I am unable to get my society and government to strive for sensible taxation, regulatory, and spending policies doesn't mean I chose to create the current tax load. Far from it. But I get carried along for the ride just the same.

      Similarly, how can one label the simple and parsimonious "pay for what you use" as inefficient when it's blindingly obvious that being forced to pay for things that are poorly used or even not used at all, is less efficient.

      For example, would we consider it more efficient to be forced to pay a blanket fee for soda (say $100 per month for all the soda you can drink)? Somehow I doubt it. The only thing efficient about this is the exercise of force.

    106. Re:Well, then that settles it. by khallow · · Score: 1

      Spending is spending

      So spending to cure world hunger is equivalent to spending to infect everyone with a virus that causes severe incurable arthritis. This reminds me of your similar jibe jobs are jobs. Here's a clue. Jobs and spending are not at all equivalent.

    107. Re:Well, then that settles it. by khallow · · Score: 1

      No, inflation would benefit any debtor in the Eurozone.

      I meant "gaming" of a currency wouldn't harm Greece in the least not that Greece was somehow uniquely poised to take advantage of inflation of the Euro. I suppose one could deliberately deflate the Euro as part of the gaming, but that hasn't happened.

      And yes, without inflation Greece is screwed, if greece implodes then they'll take a number of european banks with them, who will in turn need to be bailed out by their governments or the eurozone will collapse (or more likely both), and it will cascade through the whole system. Or.. you know, they could actually try and solve the problem before it gets to that stage.

      Greece is screwed right now. Even if they avoid the current threats, there will be more where that came from, a year or ten from now. Austerity, that naughty term that gets you in a tizzy, is an integral part of the solution to Greece's problems. It's not going to help in the short term. But until they eliminate a considerable portion of their spending and jobs which aren't productive, they will always have more such problems.

    108. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Since "European" scientists are in board, maybe the Obama administration will agree to it.

      LK

      Maybe we can fly Obama to the moon along with Bush, Rice, Clinton and some other dick-tators

    109. Re:Well, then that settles it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hobbes. It was Thomas Hobbes, the state of nature is 'solitary, poor, nasty, brutish and short'.

    110. Re:Well, then that settles it. by virg_mattes · · Score: 1

      With all the talk of corruption and rent seeking in government one should wonder who really is creating the tax load.

      "I didn't vote for the guy" is a pretty standard dodge when it comes to responsibility for government. If you stay and continue to vote and otherwise participate in U.S. government then I count that to mean you consider it better than leaving for somewhere that fits your ideas better.

      Just because I am unable to get my society and government to strive for sensible taxation, regulatory, and spending policies doesn't mean I chose to create the current tax load. Far from it. But I get carried along for the ride just the same.

      Your inability to convince enough people to agree with your ideas about taxation, regulation and spending indicates that they are not popular enough to change the way things work now. "Everyone who doesn't see things my way is a sheep!" is also a pretty common dodge for unpopular ideas.

      Similarly, how can one label the simple and parsimonious "pay for what you use" as inefficient when it's blindingly obvious that being forced to pay for things that are poorly used or even not used at all, is less efficient. For example, would we consider it more efficient to be forced to pay a blanket fee for soda (say $100 per month for all the soda you can drink)? Somehow I doubt it. The only thing efficient about this is the exercise of force.

      Try it for something like a water treament plant or pesticide regulations, then. It's easy to find examples where pay-as-you-go works better when you work with edge cases, but for lots of infrastructure and regulatory stuff there's no efficiency in micropayments because there's so much stuff to handle. Do you really think it would be more efficient to pay separately for every little thing that needs to be handled by governance like paying your thirty-five cents for the officers who keep the battery factory from pouring waste into a nearby stream and the dollar you owe to run the local court and the half-penny for each traffic light on your commute? That doesn't even consider differentials like paying more for one traffic light than the next because fewer people drive under it. I can't see any rational argument that would keep that from being a bookkeeping nightmare for everyone involved, and the effort necessary to control it would cost far more than any tax fat that I can imagine.

      Virg

    111. Re:Well, then that settles it. by spauldo · · Score: 1

      Ah, thanks. I can never keep my victorian philosophers straight.

      --
      Those who can't do, teach. Those who can't teach either, do tech support.
  4. Research and Development by KermodeBear · · Score: 4, Interesting

    To me, there's incentive enough to return to the moon simply because of the research and development that would occur. The space program that sent us to the moon the first time brought forth incredible advances in all kinds of areas. We should keep pushing our own boundaries and explore the unknown not simply because it's there, but because we have the opportunity to develop stronger / more efficient / less expensive / generally better tools at the same time. Make the results of the new research available to the public at large and everyone benefits.

    It's a use of my tax dollars that I can support without reservation.

    --
    Love sees no species.
    1. Re:Research and Development by NalosLayor · · Score: 5, Interesting

      We haven't "Lost the ability" -- we simply don't have factories set up to manufacture that particular rocket. The "orbital propellant depot" concept -- made viable by the "new space" companies and their radically cheaper rockets has been much denigrated by the entrenched space lobby in congress, but the simple fact is, we now have experience in assembling modular craft in orbit (ISS), and thanks to modern computers and materials, spacecraft can be appreciable lighter. Plus, thanks to those same technologies (and better lunar surveying done in the last few years), we can robotically pre-land much of the equipment needed to mount a lunar expedition. Sure, the mission profile would look different, and building the hardware to land on and return from the moon would still cost billions, but the Falcon Heavy, which is really just a falcon 9 modified, will be ready within the next few years. With a green light today and consistent funding, we could easily have a permanent lunar presence by the end of the decade. I would guess the total cost would be less than ten billion dollars, if we were able to keep the government pork under control.

    2. Re:Research and Development by rgbrenner · · Score: 4, Informative

      And that trip to the moon cost $150 billion (in 2010 dollars). OF COURSE it brought about new discoveries, inventions, tools, etc-- IT WAS $150 BILLION! Saying that we discovered new things in the process of spending that much money does not mean we should automatically do it again.

      If our true motivation for a trip to the moon is to develop new things, then we have to ask: does spending that money on a trip to the moon result in more inventions than spending it on the National Institutes of Health? or the National Science Foundation? or the Department of Energy?

      The NSF got $7 billion last year... the Dept of Energy got 24 billion.. and NASA got 18 billion (+ we spent another 8 billion on military space funding (GPS, etc)).

      Have you seen the list of discoveries just by the NSF? Here's a short list of 587 recent discoveries. There's more for computing, engineering, math, nanoscience, physics:
      http://www.nsf.gov/discoveries/index.jsp?prio_area=5
      http://www.nsf.gov/discoveries/index.jsp?prio_area=8
      http://www.nsf.gov/discoveries/index.jsp?prio_area=9
      http://www.nsf.gov/discoveries/index.jsp?prio_area=10
      http://www.nsf.gov/discoveries/index.jsp?prio_area=11

      and that's what they did with $7 BILLION!

    3. Re:Research and Development by NettiWelho · · Score: 1

      Invensting in future = not using all assets towards maximizing next quarter profits = soon-to-be-ex-ceo.. Maybe if the US government socialized the costs like with corn and oil.

    4. Re:Research and Development by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 2

      The return on that $150B investment has been many, many times that amount. How much return on the NSF investment is there in an equivalent 10 years since the money was spent?

      Maybe the NSF has an even better rate of return. Even if you exclude the incomparable inspiration of the Apollo programme. All that means is that we should spend $150B again on space R&D, and on NSF R&D. Instead of on war and the banks.

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    5. Re:Research and Development by rgbrenner · · Score: 1

      the Dept of Energy got 24 billion

      That's for the entire DoE.. DARPA received $3 billion

    6. Re:Research and Development by rgbrenner · · Score: 2

      All that means is that we should spend $150B again on space R&D, and on NSF R&D

      If we have $300 billion, why should we spend half of it on a LESS productive program?

    7. Re:Research and Development by NemoinSpace · · Score: 1

      Just thought I'd do a public service announcement and declare your comment -1 total hogwash.
      Anything more would just be ranting over foolishness.

    8. Re:Research and Development by bertok · · Score: 1

      Can you imagine a Manhattan project style funding of new science?

      Imagine throwing $150B at, say, fusion power research.

      Instead of a one-off trip to some rock, we'd be well on the way to eliminating global warming and boosting industry through lowered energy costs.

      Once developed, the work required to construct thousands of fusion plants would keep far more people employed than the space program ever did.

    9. Re:Research and Development by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The return on that $150B investment has been many, many times that amount.

      Really. How much then?

      NASA tries to tie every piece of technology it can to the manned space program to call it a spin-off. Many of these are iffy and the rest are urban legends. The big spin-offs seem to come from robotic programs and aircraft tests (non-manned spaceflight). There is very little that can be attributed to manned space flight, and it certainly doesn't add up to a value of $150 billion.

      But go ahead and tell me how NASA manned spaceflight invented computers, the Internet, touch pads, microwave ovens, GPS satellites, etc. Or tell me how NASA has completely transformed medicine in the last 30 years by putting humans in orbit around the Earth.

    10. Re:Research and Development by rgbrenner · · Score: 2

      No kidding. Remember the /. interview with MIT fusion researchers? They said we are about $80 billion away. So that's quite a margin of error if you budget 150b.

      ITER cost 17 billion. We're going to wait a decade for work to complete on it.

      It's less than 1 year of NASA's budget.

    11. Re:Research and Development by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is there any evidence that "incredible advances in all kinds of areas" would not have happened without the Apollo program?

      Hey, I watched the first landing on TV. I still think it was a very damn cool program. I just reject utterly the idea that we would not /advance/ without that program.

      That's a basic fallacy kin to 'Aristotle is a Greek therefore all Greeks are Aristotle.' Let's drop that rubbish argument and find out why we really should go to the moon, or do other things.

    12. Re:Research and Development by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Why isnt the free market all over the development?"

      No fucking customers on the moon. We'll send _you_ then at least we'd have a customer for a grammar book.

    13. Re:Research and Development by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 1, Insightful

      The return on that $150B investment has been many, many times that amount. How much return on the NSF investment is there in an equivalent 10 years since the money was spent?

      Maybe the NSF has an even better rate of return. Even if you exclude the incomparable inspiration of the Apollo programme. All that means is that we should spend $150B again on space R&D, and on NSF R&D. Instead of on war and the banks.

      No it has not. The return on the $150B investment has been virtually non-existant. Why? Because the government, who invested the $150B didn't get to profit from the returns on that investment. Private businesses did. These same businesses were also paid for their services and products, so they made a profit from the actual work performed and a windfall from all of the discoveries that the government or should I say the people paid for.

      If NASA had been allowed to patent the inventions created for the space program, they wouldn't need government funding today.

    14. Re:Research and Development by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Promoting the idea of Government held patents? Are you kidding me!?

    15. Re:Research and Development by rgbrenner · · Score: 1

      You do have to give him credit for an interesting idea. If NASA really has invented so much that has benefited society, then IF they had patents, they would be able to fund a moon base or whatever.

      IF research agencies did have patents.. it would ensure that we never shot ourselves in the foot by cutting their budget. Not only could we clearly point to their earnings from patents to justify their benefits to society, the agency would be able to fund itself even if it wasn't Congress' pet project of the week.

    16. Re:Research and Development by cavreader · · Score: 1

      What makes you think Fusion research is not being funded or actively being researched around the world? Until the science (ie. math) is deemed feasible off the blackboard why should the government throw 150B at them? And as far the space program goes why does nobody ever mention the US X3-B vehicles and derivative projects built using information collected from the old space shuttle program. There has has been a stealth capable unmanned reusable space shuttle in use for 2+ years with a manned version already being prototyped. Why should the US waste any more time and money playing delivery man to the ISS? Chances are good the US has already used the ISS project to gather, refine, and test certain technologies and processes so they can build an orbital satellite of their own capable of providing everything from human living quarters, labs, docking services, to serve as the starting point for orbital industry construction?

    17. Re:Research and Development by arth1 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If we have $300 billion, why should we spend half of it on a LESS productive program?

      Because the sum of returns is bigger.
      If a > 0 and b > 0, then a + b > a.

      Also, if you believe that doubling the funding for the currently most effective research will lead to twice the research or more, you are wrong. There is no synergy effect in research, rather the opposite - a law of diminishing returns. You want to financially back single projects instead of heap funding, because the latter gets eaten by bureaucracy - especially the kind of bureaucracy put in place by conservatives to make sure everything is done as cheaply as possible costs an awful lot of money. NASA could become more effective again if the cuts were done among the paper pushers and bean counters, and not the engineering side.

    18. Re:Research and Development by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      The government gets taxes from the increased revenue of the businesses you're talking about.

      But that's besides the point. Public investments pay off in private income in America. And in improved living conditions. The government payoff is leadership, and in teaching the Russians that we could do in space during the Cold War what we did in the Pacific during WWII: ramp up tech and production to bring it right in their face and beyond.

      Of course NASA shouldn't keep a monopoly on the tech it develops. It should transfer it to American developers, as it has. If anything it should hold less, especially now that so much NASA work is for spies and so not shared.

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    19. Re:Research and Development by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      NASA doesn't need patents to fund a Moon base. We have a government that just spent $1.5 TRILLION on a lying waste of time and lives in Iraq for a ('nother) decade. We could have spent that on a Moon base and a Mars base instead, and been as smart as we instead were stupid.

      If NASA had patents that it made money from instead of transferring it to private developers, the overall US economy wouldn't be as good, since the tech wouldn't have taken root in general production as it has. American lives wouldn't be as good. The return in taxes in the 40 years since Apollo on the tech Apollo developed wouldn't exist.

      These patents just choke innovation and income, except for the few government enforced monopolists who benefit from them. It's a terrible idea, that is surprising in that it hasn't been done in this country of terrible private economic ideas.

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    20. Re:Research and Development by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      You know we landed people on the Moon, too, right? Or do you think that's just an OJ movie?

      What you're disputing is common knowledge. If you're going to deny it, you have to prove it with better than Anonymous Coward assertions. You can't. Pipe down.

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    21. Re:Research and Development by WrecklessSandwich · · Score: 1

      Correct. My understanding was that they weren't destroyed so much as that some of the fine details (fasteners and the like) were simply poorly documented to the point that you can't just dust off the schematics and build one.

    22. Re:Research and Development by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      Because there's only so much return NSF is giving. I'm waiting for you to document the return on $150B spent on NSF in a comparable period, say 1993-2002 with 10 years to show for it, compared to NASA's 1961-1970 ROI by 1980.

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    23. Re:Research and Development by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can't argue against that logic. Moon rocks are very valuable. Btw, thanks for the strawman.

      And who am I to debate against common knowledge? NASA has created spinoffs worth multiples of $150 billion due to manned spaceflight. And that's the truth. And common knowledge. Don't debate it, even if I can't think of a single spinoff worth $1 billion. That's the gist of your argument, right?

      Really, you should be the one posting as an AC. A low 6 digit UID isn't going to save your credibility in this argument.

    24. Re:Research and Development by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      You're nobody. Post a fact already, or just shut up.

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    25. Re:Research and Development by rgbrenner · · Score: 1

      I'm waiting for you to document the return on $150B spent on NSF in a comparable period, say 1993-2002 with 10 years to show for it, compared to NASA's 1961-1970 ROI by 1980.

      That's an interesting test. So you want to cherry pick NASA's time period? Why not compare it for the same period as the NSF. NASA's funding for 1993-2202 was more than enough for them to show incredible advances in a wide range of areas. So where are those advancements?

      Also, $150 billion is a lot of money. NASA has received many times that amount. I do not think the NSF has received that amount in its ENTIRE HISTORY.

    26. Re:Research and Development by rgbrenner · · Score: 1

      By the standard we use to calculate NASA's return on investment, the NSF has given us many projects, including:

      THE INTERNET
      While it was originally run by DARPA, NSF became involved by the late 70s, and by the mid-80s was the primary financial support for the system. Without the NSF, the internet may have died before it got anywhere.

      This is more involvement than NASA has with many of the technologies proponents claim credit for.

      So following the same logic, the NSF has repaid itself many many many times over, at a multiple much higher than NASA has managed to accomplish.

    27. Re:Research and Development by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here's a fact. NASA manned spaceflight really doesn't create spinoffs, but it keeps the public interested in space. This allows NASA to continue to have a modest budget to do Earth exploration and interplanetary exploration, which is real science. It also allows it to have a big enough place in the government that many Congressmembers will try to protect it.

      Voyager wouldn't have happened without Apollo; and the HST, MERs, and tons of other exploration and science programs wouldn't have happened without the Space Shuttle. The longer we go without manned spaceflight, the less valuable other programs appear. People are exited by astronauts because they can imagine themselves in the same place. But most people will never be excited by probes and rovers, no matter how useful they are to science.

    28. Re:Research and Development by spauldo · · Score: 1

      We wouldn't go in a Saturn V. What would be the point? It's obsolete. There were already a lot of changes planned for the second manufacturing run that was cancelled, and we've learned a thing or two about rocketry in the last forty years.

      (Oh, and there's one on display at the Davidson Space Center in Huntsville, AL, including the electronic components and engines - check it out if you're ever in that area, because it's definitely worth it.)

      The Saturn V was an awesome piece of engineering that has earned its place in the history of space exploration, but its day is done.

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    29. Re:Research and Development by camperdave · · Score: 1

      We have actually lost the ability to go to the moon as the designs of the Saturn rocket were destroyed by NASA. Going to the moon would be the same as going for the first time again with everything being reresearched. This is probably largely the reason it hasn't happened.

      Oh Boo Hoo! NASA doesn't have the plans for a Saturn anymore. It's not like Lockheed and Boeing and the others stopped building rockets. They still know how to do it. How do you think Cassini got to Saturn, or Spirit and Opportunity got to Mars? Magic pixie dust and happy thoughts?

      If you wanted to build a car, would you dust off the Model-T plans ( How many auto mechanics are skilled at making wooden components?), or would you start with something a little more modern? Ditto with the Saturn-V. We have modern rocket builders using modern techniques, and materials that allow for more powerful and more efficient rockets, but you want to use technology from a zinc plated, vacuum tube society, and fly to the moon on something made with stone knives and bear skins.

      That we haven't been back to the moon is due to decisions made in Washington, not due to decisions made in Houston, or Kennedy.

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    30. Re:Research and Development by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But that would make nasa like a..business. every good conservative knows that government cannot be allowed to run a business!

    31. Re:Research and Development by bertok · · Score: 1

      What makes you think Fusion research is not being funded or actively being researched around the world? Until the science (ie. math) is deemed feasible off the blackboard why should the government throw 150B at them?

      The whole point of doing the research is to get to that point. Asking for certainty before funding research ends up with no research and no progress. At this stage, the problems are fairly well known, and solvable, given sufficient money, which they're not getting.

      And as far the space program goes why does nobody ever mention the US X3-B vehicles and derivative projects built using information collected from the old space shuttle program. There has has been a stealth capable unmanned reusable space shuttle in use for 2+ years with a manned version already being prototyped. Why should the US waste any more time and money playing delivery man to the ISS? Chances are good the US has already used the ISS project to gather, refine, and test certain technologies and processes so they can build an orbital satellite of their own capable of providing everything from human living quarters, labs, docking services, to serve as the starting point for orbital industry construction?

      All of that is pointless. Re-usable space-planes are only worthwhile if they're cheaper than non-reusable craft, and none of the previous ones ever were (Shuttle, Buran), and none of the current or proposed ones are either. When you're paying $1000 per kg or more, bringing back tons of stuff back down to Earth is pure, unadulterated waste. Most space-plane designs are boosted by a rocket, and aren't rockets themselves. They're nothing more than a heavy wrapper for the payload. I mean, seriously, look at it, it literally sits on top of a traditional no-reusable rocket like a warhead! I guarantee you that it was designed either to return satellites for purely military purposes, or purely as a pork program.

      I have heard of realistic designs for re-usable spaceplanes that would bring launch costs down, but the X3-B isn't it. I do think that putting $150B towards re-usable space launch technology that has a chance of lowering costs might bring a good return on investment, particularly because a lot of the proposals could also do double duty as hypersonic or semi-orbital passenger aircraft. The Skylon spaceplane comes to mind. There are other designs out there too, but they're all woefully underfunded.

      My point was that going to the Moon is nowhere near as useful, and not cost-efficient. We wouldn't get anywhere near as much technology out of it that's useable on Earth.

      In-orbit manufacturing is the same. You'd need a worthwhile destination outside Earth's orbit first for the economics of orbital construction to make sense. There is nothing in our solar system even remotely worth sending squishy humans to. Every planet except Earth is either a frozen rock, an overheated rock, a lump of ice, or a ball of gas. There's no life out there, no aliens to meet, no technology to pick up, no unobtanium to mine. There are rocks here, at more convenient temperatures!

    32. Re:Research and Development by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A 1% royalty to NASA over patents they offered to the private community would not have kept them from being put to use in the private economy. I don't know if it would have been enough to fund moon bases, but it would guarantee a rather predictable income stream for planning multi-year projects instead of things starting, then dying on the budgetary whims of the US congress.

    33. Re:Research and Development by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      So we don't have the plans behind the whole rocket. I'm pretty sure that the subcontractors (Rocketdyne, McDonald Douglas, Boeing, Lockheed, Northrop Grumman, and their new owners in some cases) still have their individual parts, or way better versions of them.

      If you seriously think that a mission to the Moon would be starting with a blank sheet of paper, you're off your axle.

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    34. Re:Research and Development by MachineShedFred · · Score: 2

      Especially since the subcontractors that actually made the important bits inside of a Saturn V (Rocketdyne, Boeing, Northrup Grumman, Lockheed) are still around, and probably still have their plans for those bits. Maybe even newer versions of those bits that work on better cheaper stuff, constructed of lighter materials, as moon missions are 100% about weight first.

      Bombers used to have 40-litre V-12 engines in them, but nobody other than nostalgists and collectors pine for the pre-jet era...

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    35. Re:Research and Development by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 1

      The government gets taxes from the increased revenue of the businesses you're talking about.

      But that's besides the point. Public investments pay off in private income in America. And in improved living conditions. The government payoff is leadership, and in teaching the Russians that we could do in space during the Cold War what we did in the Pacific during WWII: ramp up tech and production to bring it right in their face and beyond.

      Of course NASA shouldn't keep a monopoly on the tech it develops. It should transfer it to American developers, as it has. If anything it should hold less, especially now that so much NASA work is for spies and so not shared.

      That is a common misconception. NASA, like military spending, funds huge amounts of research (or jobs and income, if you wish). However, the people (taxpayers) whose money government spends don't see a benefit. Take any technology you want. Individuals are taxed, their taxes pay private companies to develop products and those products are sold to the government (requiring more taxes) and also sold back to the public. When the government subsidizes businesses, particularly large corporations, it is just another form of welfare, corporate welfare. When those same corporations, then take the technology and build products with it in Asia, there are no jobs created in the US with it. There is just the transfer of wealth, from the taxpayers to the shareholders of the corporation. Those same corporations and shareholders then pay back some of those funds to re-elect sympathetic members of congress to perpetuate the process. And the cycle continues.

      If you really want to know how the system works, it is quite simple, follow the money.

    36. Re:Research and Development by dkf · · Score: 1

      I would guess the total cost would be less than ten billion dollars, if we were able to keep the government pork under control.

      So... no chance of that happening. (Remember, the opposite of progress is Congress!)

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    37. Re:Research and Development by k6mfw · · Score: 1

      uhmm, ya know, I read all kinds of opinions and discussion. Here are a couple that illustrates this whole "colonizing space fallacy." Maybe we will have moon bases or on Mars but anyone counter these items?

      from Rocketpunk and MacGuffinite, http://www.projectrho.com/rocket/macguffinite.php

      • Manned Space Stations
        There actually was a pretty good MacGuffinite back in the 1950's: Manned space stations. Werner von Braun had it all figured out in Collier's magazine. [snip]
        Ironically NASA destroyed this. NASA's push for computing power led to the development of the transistor and integrated circuit. Suddenly you could make weather satellites, communication satellites, and spy satellites "manned" by a few cubic centimeters of electronics. Bye-bye MacGuffinite.
      • Colonization
        I'll believe in people settling Mars at about the same time I see people setting the Gobi Desert. The Gobi Desert is about a thousand times as hospitable as Mars and five hundred times cheaper and easier to reach. Nobody ever writes "Gobi Desert Opera" because, well, it's just kind of plonkingly obvious that there's no good reason to go there and live. It's ugly, it's inhospitable and there's no way to make it pay. Mars is just the same, really. We just romanticize it because it's so hard to reach.
      • [space launch vehicles] If you build it, they will come:
        This approach is an expensive leap of faith, but it actually might work. The basic idea is to just assume that there is some marvelous MacGuffinite out in space. So you create a company that provides affordable surface to orbit transport service. With such services available, suddenly you'll have an entire planet full of entrepreneurs trying figure out a way to make it pay. You don't have to figure out the MacGuffinite(s), they will. All you have to do is make a reasonable profit off the people who have figured it out (or think they have). Remember, in the California Gold Rush of 1949, it was not the miners who grew rich, instead it was the merchants who sold supplies to the miners.
      • Politics
        I recently came across an amusing variation on the "If You Build it" argument. The subject was the US transcontinental railroad, with construction starting in the 1860s. In his book Railroaded: The Transcontinentals and the Making of Modern America, author Richard White points out that there was no economic reason for building the railroad. The motivation was mostly political. Which is a plausible motive. After all, politics was the main driver behind NASA's Apollo moon program.

      ----------- end quotes from website -----------

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    38. Re:Research and Development by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But we set foot on the moon. It wasn't meant to bring us profit, that is why government did it and not a private industry. We could go back to the moon for well under 50 billion with modern technology, but with a meager budget of 150 billion we could do massive manned research set up across the surface of the moon, setting up full radiotelescope arrays, regular super-telescopes without atmosphere to worry about, geology stations to measure the internal geology of the moon, conduct physics experiments, learn about the formation of the solar system by studying the impact rate with simple sample cores from the ground, etc.

      But yea, we should also increase funding to the NSF by at least 20x. Those two massive projects (return to moon and massive investment in science and technology) could, with great ease, take up less than 6 months of the budget for the wars in the middle east, from the US spending side. So I would have no problem spending that much money going back to the moon, making new heroes, exploring new frontiers.

      The true motivation is to put mankind on that shiny disk in the sky, and set foot on the face of something so majestic primitive people called it a god.

    39. Re:Research and Development by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not to mention the inspiration. Who gives a shit about science today? Woo, go work in a fucking lab. Send people to the fucking moon, to mars, and every starry eyed kid is going to go into the best program they can find and become a scientist somehow.

    40. Re:Research and Development by cavreader · · Score: 1

      The X-37 line of vehicles debunk the assertion that the US has giving up space technologies since they retired the old shuttles. The X-37 is also vastly cheaper with a 75% reduction in the turn around time when compared to the old shuttle. In essence they took all they learned from the old space shuttle program and applied the knowledge to build a new generation of re-usable space craft. The entire project is an US Air Force sponsored project to build a vehicle that is faster and much more maneuverable than the old shuttle. Imagine a vehicle capable of interdicting another countries satellite and either making changes to it's orbit or destroying it if needed. Ground based anti-satellite missiles or lasers can only destroy satellites in low orbits and any attempt would leave a trail back to whoever made the attack. The next step should be the construction of a totally new space station with docking abilities that can eliminate the costs associated with ground based launches. Reaching a desired orbit has always been the most expensive and dangerous part of the process.

    41. Re:Research and Development by lennier · · Score: 1

      NASA's funding for 1993-2202 was more than enough for them to show incredible advances in a wide range of areas. So where are those advancements?

      1. REDACTED
      2. Missiles
      3. REDACTED attached to missiles
      4. Spy satellites
      5. REDACTED attached to spy satellites.
      6. REDACTED attached to spy satellites attached to missiles.
      7. REDACTED attached to spy satellites attached to missiles, with wings
      8. REDACTED attached to spy satellites attached to missiles, with wings, but on the Internet.
      9. Spy satellites, but in High Definition, and on the Internet.

      Wait, you wanted civilian technological breakthroughs from the US space program?

      10. Being hit by REDACTED.

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    42. Re:Research and Development by khallow · · Score: 1

      especially the kind of bureaucracy put in place by conservatives to make sure everything is done as cheaply as possible costs an awful lot of money.

      We could do so much, if only those mean conservatives weren't trying to hold us accountable. I can't take such poorly thought out libel seriously. I doubt you even have a clue who creates such bureaucratic rules or who benefits from such. Also, I find it a bit odd that you have no care for whether the money actually gets spent for the purpose you want it spent for. That's one of the bigger points of accountability.

      Somehow, magically, that money is going to do what you want it to do, even if there's no incentive for the recipients to do so.

    43. Re:Research and Development by bertok · · Score: 1

      So basically what I said: its purpose is military. Blowing things up is one hundred percent wasteful, this new space plane just wastes slightly less.

      Meanwhile, there are real problems to solve that are struggling for funding. Not just here on Earth, but in space too. Too many space probes that could have done valuable science have been cancelled for lack of funding!

    44. Re:Research and Development by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      That's not a fact, that's an objectively an unsupported opinion. In fact the two paragraphs are logically incoherent.

      You should shut up. But I won't notice, because this thread is a total waste of time I won't continue. Goodbye.

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    45. Re:Research and Development by arth1 · · Score: 1

      Also, I find it a bit odd that you have no care for whether the money actually gets spent for the purpose you want it spent for. That's one of the bigger points of accountability.

      Oh, I care very much. I'd rather see 5 million dollars be spent without accountability than 5 million spent to ensure that another 5 million gets spent properly. Because the latter is even more expensive.

      omehow, magically, that money is going to do what you want it to do, even if there's no incentive for the recipients to do so.

      Oh, but see, that's the funny thing. I don't know whether the scientists and engineers are going to spend it to do what I want to do, but I have high hopes, because these are productive jobs.
      On the other hand, I know that every red cent spent on an accountants, bean counters or reports will send exactly 0 grams into space. They don't actually produce anything - you can't load a payload onto "accountability".

      Overhead is what kills NASA.

    46. Re:Research and Development by cavreader · · Score: 1

      Well they have not blown anything up yet! But I think the capability should be available if needed. Better safe than sorry.

      As far as funding goes the easiest way to get it is to pitch a project or line of research as having possible military related applications. Even if the claim stretches the truth you would find getting government funding a lot easier than just trying to obtain funding for pure science projects. The bumbling morons in Congress would only try and make sure if any project was funded the project would benefit their home jurisdictions in some way. Asking them to evaluate potential scientific benefits would be a waste of time. Even their "scientific advisers" are to political and often just as uninformed as those they are advising.

      The space probes have displayed remarkable ingenuity. Sending software patches to one of the Mars probe is impressive to say the least. Hell, most people can't keep their own servers patched on their local networks let alone something 227 million km away. The Mars project and the Deep Space One probe are just two of the probe related missions. I don't remember hearing of any specific space project being canceled because lack of funding. A really cool project would be constructing a manned base on the moon. We could learn so much from just making that effort. It would take a long time to do but I think it is worth doing. Government R&D funding may shrink but there are other non-government related organizations who pay for R&D in hopes of creating something they can make money on. Plus there has been quite a few very wealthy individuals donating very large sums of money to R&D efforts in a number of fields. The funds are out there so you shouldn't just rely on the government for funding. Plus anytime the government gets involved it turns into a giant cluster fuck so if I was looking for funding they would not be my top choice.

    47. Re:Research and Development by khallow · · Score: 1

      Oh, but see, that's the funny thing. I don't know whether the scientists and engineers are going to spend it to do what I want to do, but I have high hopes, because these are productive jobs.

      I do consider that an odd belief to have. Scientists and engineers aren't inherently productive any more than anyone else.

      On the other hand, I know that every red cent spent on an accountants, bean counters or reports will send exactly 0 grams into space. They don't actually produce anything - you can't load a payload onto "accountability".

      Then you don't get the point of accountability. Accountability insures that your tax money does what you want it to do. Without that, you're just throwing money away. In your example above, you criticize spending $10 million to get $5 million of intended spending, saying you'd rather spend $5 million to get $0 million of intended spending. The way I see it? 50% going where you intend is better than 0% going where you intend.

    48. Re:Research and Development by arth1 · · Score: 1

      I do consider that an odd belief to have. Scientists and engineers aren't inherently productive any more than anyone else.

      Um, yes, they likely are. That's why they work in these fields. It's self-reinforcing.
      They may be unpredicatably productive, which I think is what MBAs and they politicians they've hired dislike. Those guys want to know the ROI, which just doesn't make sense with science. It's trying to force a square peg through a moebian bottle.

      Accountants, on the other hand, we know the productivity of. Zero.
      They're like police. Instead of adding more police to control crime, it's far cheaper to spend money on reducing the underlying reasons for crime. (And conservatives don't get that one either.)

      In your example above, you criticize spending $10 million to get $5 million of intended spending, saying you'd rather spend $5 million to get $0 million of intended spending. The way I see it? 50% going where you intend is better than 0% going where you intend.

      In the first case, the overhead is an unknown between zero and $ 5 million.
      In the second case, the overhead is $10 million.
      Yes, I'd take the first any day.

      Reduce the overhead and increase the risk, and you'll save expenses. And yes, there's a risk - the unknown, which is what science is about. You can't have science and a conservative culture where you attempt to know what you put in and know what you get out. That's stagnation. And just look at NASA, and how it has stagnated, proportional to how the screw of control has been tightened. To boldly go fill out the paperwork.

    49. Re:Research and Development by khallow · · Score: 1

      Accountants, on the other hand, we know the productivity of. Zero.

      No, "we" don't. Accountants are derivative support staff. If they're supporting something inherently unproductive, then they'll be unproductive. If they're supporting something very productive, then they'll be productive as well.

      Instead of adding more police to control crime, it's far cheaper to spend money on reducing the underlying reasons for crime.

      An underlying reason for crime is that the risk of getting caught is thought to be less than the reward. An effective police force helps reduce crime by increasing the perceived risk of getting caught.

      Similarly, accountants are most effective when people think they are being watched and can get caught. And accountants work in much the same way as police, by providing disincentive to committing fraud or whatever.

      As I noted, it's better to spend $10 million for $5 million of your desired activity, than $5 million for $0 million. I think it's highly delusional to think that somehow spending less money on fraud is somehow better than spending money on your chosen activity.

  5. If budgets matter, EU cares less than US by rgbrenner · · Score: 5, Informative

    The US is spending 25.7 billion (17.7 billion NASA, 8 billion for the military (GPS, etc)) on space in 2012

    ESA spent 4 billion Euros (about $5 billion)... a total of 413 million EU on human space flight.

    There's a lot of talk in the paper about "global" exploration of the moon. I can only assume that means they don't plan on increasing that.

    1. Re:If budgets matter, EU cares less than US by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The US is spending 25.7 billion (17.7 billion NASA, 8 billion for the military (GPS, etc)) on space in 2012

      ESA spent 4 billion Euros (about $5 billion)... a total of 413 million EU on human space flight.

      There's a lot of talk in the paper about "global" exploration of the moon. I can only assume that means they don't plan on increasing that.

      That's why the EU is making a case to return to the moon -- so somebody else will foot the bill for them.

    2. Re:If budgets matter, EU cares less than US by kanto · · Score: 1

      The US is spending 25.7 billion (17.7 billion NASA, 8 billion for the military (GPS, etc)) on space in 2012

      ESA spent 4 billion Euros (about $5 billion)... a total of 413 million EU on human space flight.

      There's a lot of talk in the paper about "global" exploration of the moon. I can only assume that means they don't plan on increasing that.

      ESA has 19 member countries and even some of them have space organizations of their own so the spending you cite is inaccurate. The EU actually has 27 member countries, 6 applicants for membership and additionally Switzerland and Norway are in ESA but not in the EU. Don't ask me how this correlates with the eurozone...

    3. Re:If budgets matter, EU cares less than US by crazyjj · · Score: 0

      That's why the EU is making a case to return to the moon -- so somebody else will foot the bill for them.

      Isn't that what most of Europe is best at?

      --
      What political party do you join when you don't like Bible-thumpers *or* hippies?
    4. Re:If budgets matter, EU cares less than US by rgbrenner · · Score: 1

      so the spending you cite is inaccurate.

      The figures from the ESA for spending by the ESA are inaccurate?!?

    5. Re:If budgets matter, EU cares less than US by kanto · · Score: 1

      so the spending you cite is inaccurate.

      The figures from the ESA for spending by the ESA are inaccurate?!?

      Comparing EU spending to the US by just mentioning ESA is inaccurate as there are a bunch of national space organizations with their own budgets and ESA is not EU's agency.

  6. Anything Please by GeneralTurgidson · · Score: 5, Interesting

    We need kids engaged in science and exploration, not killing terrorists or idolizing warfare. Bring back the coolness of space exploration and the meaning of the word "hero"

    1. Re:Anything Please by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the hero is never the scientist behind it all to actually make it work, its the astronaut plucked from the military, just like Neil, Buzz, and John

    2. Re:Anything Please by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 3, Funny

      Unless they get the girl. Then they're the hero.

      Maybe if the scientist is a girl and gets the guy who's a fightin' astronaut. After all, we're all grown up now, right?

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    3. Re:Anything Please by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, because the first space program totally obliterated war.

    4. Re:Anything Please by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We need kids engaged in science and exploration, not being terrorists or idolizing warfare.

      FTFY

    5. Re:Anything Please by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Until the individual scientist is viewed (and paid) like the athlete, investment banker, doctor, lawyer, etc. you aren't going to get kids engaged in it. Why go to college for 8 years and run up so much debt that you will never be able to buy a house when for a lot less work and money, you can have a career that pays a lot more to boot?

    6. Re:Anything Please by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Bring back the coolness of space exploration and the meaning of the word "hero"

      We tried that. And the results to date has been four long decades of bitching and whining about the workaday non heroic stuff that has to be done too.

    7. Re:Anything Please by GNUThomson · · Score: 1

      After all, we're all grown up now, right?

      You are new here, aren't you?

    8. Re:Anything Please by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What debt? They pay you to get a Phd. Getting into the high paying jobs lawyer/doctor/dentist/MBA is what will put you in a crapload of debt. If I took the PhD route for Chemistry right now my total debt would be 4500 which is what I carry over from my undergraduate years.

  7. Because Earth Is Doomed by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1, Offtopic

    One way or another humans will render the Earth uninhabitable by humans. Sooner or later.

    The only way to give humans a chance to survive our own suicidal idiocy is to colonize other places. The Moon is the obvious necessary step towards that.

    There's plenty of other reasons to make it worthwhile until the Earth is done. But let's get started already. There's a chance that spreading somewhere else might take the pressure off and postpone the inevitable down here.

    --

    --
    make install -not war

    1. Re:Because Earth Is Doomed by rrohbeck · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I have a feeling that even a ruined Earth is still way more hospitable than Mars, let alone other places.

    2. Re:Because Earth Is Doomed by khallow · · Score: 1

      I have a feeling that even a ruined Earth is still way more hospitable than Mars, let alone other places.

      But not more hospitable than a developed city on Mars or elsewhere. Your same argument applies to places on Earth such as the verdant wilds of Africa and the harsh desert of the US southwest. But people would rather live where the economic opportunities are rather than the plentiful hunting grounds of Africa.

      The thing is, we can turn a lot of the harsh parts of space into comfortable space for us. And if in the process, we make a place that has more economic opportunities than Earth, then we'll also see people desire this "less hospitable" place over Earth.

    3. Re:Because Earth Is Doomed by rossdee · · Score: 1

      "One way or another humans will render the Earth uninhabitable by humans. Sooner or later."

      Whereas the Moon is already uninhabitable by humans.
        It would be easier to re-terraform a polluted, climate-changed earth than to terraform the moon.

    4. Re:Because Earth Is Doomed by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 1

      One way or another humans will render the Earth uninhabitable by humans. Sooner or later.

      The only way to give humans a chance to survive our own suicidal idiocy is to colonize other places. The Moon is the obvious necessary step towards that.

      There's plenty of other reasons to make it worthwhile until the Earth is done. But let's get started already. There's a chance that spreading somewhere else might take the pressure off and postpone the inevitable down here.

      The moon and mars, etc. are already uninhabitable by humans. If humans do make the earth uninhabitable, which is questionable, then why not just build the habitats here?

    5. Re:Because Earth Is Doomed by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      One scenario is the Earth overrun by killer robots bent on revenge for the time after we created them as our slaves. Especially if the robots are nanotech diseases we use against each other in an armageddon. Places in space without killer robots would be better.

      And that's just off the top of my head. Fact is homo sapiens has to diversify from this single failurepoint planet. Or go down with it.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    6. Re:Because Earth Is Doomed by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      The main point is just not to be on this planet when we bathe it in exterminating radiation, or whatever hideous and total fate we have in store for it. Even if Earth is easier to make reinhabitable than someplace new offplanet, if we're not offplanet when we take it down, we're not going to get a chance to make it anywhere again.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    7. Re:Because Earth Is Doomed by jfengel · · Score: 0

      But let's get started already.

      Get started on what? Making the rest of the celestial bodies uninhabitable by humans?

    8. Re:Because Earth Is Doomed by Sperbels · · Score: 1

      One scenario is the Earth overrun by killer robots bent on revenge for the time after we created them as our slaves

      I'm on board, but I think we would actually have more luck achieving our goal if you kept this to yourself and let others make the persuasive arguments instead.

    9. Re:Because Earth Is Doomed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because we already know WHY other planets are uninhabitable and so can begin working on the technology to overcome those reasons.

      Who knows what the hell we might to do to this planet to force ourselves off of it. It could be something so (relatively) quick that we have no time to counteract it.

    10. Re:Because Earth Is Doomed by MMC+Monster · · Score: 1

      The once concern is a gamma ray burst enveloping the start system, eradicating all life. If we manage to leave the system prior to that happening, humanity could potentially survive indefinitely.

      You and I? Dead within a hundred years.

      --
      Help! I'm a slashdot refugee.
    11. Re:Because Earth Is Doomed by lennier · · Score: 1

      I have a feeling that even a ruined Earth is still way more hospitable than Mars, let alone other places.

      But not more hospitable than a developed city on Mars or elsewhere.

      And why are you going to be able to develop that city on Mars where it's hard to do, yet not on Earth where it's easy to do?

      The problem is that Space is really really really really inhospitable. Even compared to the most unthinkable total-disaster scenario on Earth. Some of the moons of Jupiter get multi-Sievert/day of ionising radiation; a single Sv will make you very sick, several will kill you. This is orders of magnitude greater than, say, Hiroshima after the bomb.

      Plus, on Earth even after a plague, you get oxygen and water for free just with a bit of decontamination, like running it through a solar still. In space? You have to melt the ice with a nuclear reactor yourself, if you're lucky enough to have ice to start with. And uranium to fuel your reactor. Odds are you'll be importing your uranium from Earth anyway, because that's where we already have the infrastructure to do it.

      But people would rather live where the economic opportunities are rather than the plentiful hunting grounds of Africa.

      And the economic opportunities are going to be where the people are, which is still going to be Earth.

      The thing is, we can turn a lot of the harsh parts of space into comfortable space for us.

      But we don't actually know that we can do that at all. The only times we've tried on Earth to build a closed-cycle biosphere, we've failed. And at the end of the day, we're going to find it a lot easier and cheaper to build lots and lots of partially closed environments on Earth, than a single fully closed environment in space. So Earth wins yet again.

      Colonising space is a nice dream, really it is. And for the purposes of scientific exploration, sure. But the numbers for abandoning Earth in favour of space simply don't stack up. Earth's always going to be the best real-estate in this solar system, unless something really unimaginable - alien intervention verging on magic, for instance - happens.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    12. Re:Because Earth Is Doomed by lennier · · Score: 1

      The once concern is a gamma ray burst enveloping the start system, eradicating all life. If we manage to leave the system prior to that happening, humanity could potentially survive indefinitely.

      Since at the fastest speeds we have currently available - the Voyager probes - it will take on the order of 50,000 years to get to the nearest star, I'm not convinced that we have the capability to escape anything going wrong with Sol at all. If it blows up, we're toast, game over. Colonies or no colonies.

      I mean, unless we can invent Warp Drive FTL physics, which would change the interstellar game completely. Which is why all except the hardest of hard SF scenarios just assume that we have FTL. Because the reality of space as we know it now, with the best science we have, is that we simply can't get to anywhere out there on timescales of less than millennia.

      I understand that this conclusion is Not What We Want To Hear, since we grew up on Star Trek and Star Wars fantasies of near-instant interstellar travel. And really that dream is all about reliving the last 500 years of the Age of Colonisation. But the universe is not a contractually bound to fulful our wishful historic fantasies. There doesn't actually have to be a new New World out there, no matter how much we want to be Christopher Columbus II.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    13. Re:Because Earth Is Doomed by khallow · · Score: 1

      And why are you going to be able to develop that city on Mars where it's hard to do, yet not on Earth where it's easy to do?

      Because there are factors far more important than the relative hospitality of the location or ease of construction such as freedom, opportunity, and available physical infrastructure.

      But people would rather live where the economic opportunities are rather than the plentiful hunting grounds of Africa.

      And the economic opportunities are going to be where the people are, which is still going to be Earth.

      At one point, Africa was pretty much where the people were, being thought to be the original home of homo sapiens. Yet it isn't any more. My thinking here is that space will at some point be where the people are rather than Earth, in large part because that's where the economic opportunities will be.

      Colonising space is a nice dream, really it is. And for the purposes of scientific exploration, sure. But the numbers for abandoning Earth in favour of space simply don't stack up. Earth's always going to be the best real-estate in this solar system, unless something really unimaginable - alien intervention verging on magic, for instance - happens.

      Or merely bureaucratic governments and moribund societies. It's not magic.

  8. Canned Ape by KeensMustard · · Score: 4, Interesting
    Unfortunately, although a good summary of possible research that could be conducted on the moon, this paper seems primarily to be a vehicle for advocating for humans to be sent back to the moon. To do this, it makes constant reference a to single paper (Crawford, 2004) which purports that human missions are superior because:

    1. Mobility: humans are more mobile than probes. This ignores the fact that, for a fraction of the cost of sending a human (say 50%) a robot could be developed and sent which was far more mobile than a human. Robots also don't need to be trained or selected - astronauts have a fixed cost per unit that doesn't reduce significantly by volume - 10 astronauts cost approximately 10x as much as one astronaut. Whereas the per unit cost of a robotic probe reduces per unit at volume - building 10 probes doesn't cost 10 times as much as building a single one.

    2. Presupposing that humans are better at drilling than robots. However, this fails once again to take into account that the constraint is the size of the drill - human missions require larger rockets, which coincidentally allows for a larger drill to be carried. Robotic missions launch with smaller rockets. Solution: use the big rocket. Launch a couple of probes at once, with big, capable drills. No need for the spurious meat bag attachment.

    1. Re:Canned Ape by Beryllium+Sphere(tm) · · Score: 3, Informative

      The science director for the Mars rovers estimated that a trained human could do what a rover does in a day in 45 seconds.

      That's three orders of magnitude improvement in productivity to set against the admittedly staggering costs of transporting and supporting humans.

    2. Re:Canned Ape by ongelovigehond · · Score: 3, Insightful

      After analyzing 1000 rocks, the chance that the 1001th rock is going to provide some new information is getting small. The only difference is that the rover takes a few years to analyze those rocks, while a trained human could do it in a few days. After that, it's probably better to send some new instruments, and look in a different place. Now compare the time and effort it would take to send a trained human to Mars, and have him survive for a few days, compared to the effort to send a small rover and have it survive for a few years. It's not so obvious the human still wins.

    3. Re:Canned Ape by Bensam123 · · Score: 1

      I think you and a lot of people seem to think that the immediately foreseeable best result is always the best one. Of course it can be cheaper if it's done with drones, but do we plan on doing everything in space with drones? What about when we actually have to go up there or do anything in space? Our expertise is limited by our limited confrontations and environments in space.

      You first have to actually get established and work out all the kinks before you decide one and only one method is the best method. You can do BOTH of them at the same time. Humans with robots augmenting them and cut down on the manpower. But getting humans there, having the first hand knowledge of operating in space, of finding problems and resolving them, having the entire concept of living in space develop over time is extremely important.

      Imagine what would've happened if we first started waging war with drones instead of with actual people flying planes. How do you think that would pan out in the future? Somethings you need to do first before you can approach the best solution because a lot of knowledge is simply lost in the process if you skip around it. And yes, failures are very important too...

      Just no one wants to fund such things. No one wants to be the first one to dump craptons of money into something and everyone wants the optimal solution that nets them big money. Things don't always work like that and if you plan on waiting that long someone else will jump on things and you just get to pick up the scraps after everything is said and done which ranges from monetary, to emotional, to spiritual.

    4. Re:Canned Ape by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

      I think you and a lot of people seem to think that the immediately foreseeable best result is always the best one.

      I would say that I, like many people, have very narrow parameters when it comes to predictions about the future. I don't envision a return to the steam era of train travel, of horse and buggies, or of manned spaceflight. I don't envision us returning to the technology of yesteryear because the circumstances where that sort of things happen are very rare, and in that circumstance I don't imagine spaceflight will be a priority anyway.

      Of course it can be cheaper if it's done with drones, but do we plan on doing everything in space with drones?

      Yes - minus some tourism or historical re-enactments.

      You first have to actually get established and work out all the kinks before you decide one and only one method is the best method. You can do BOTH of them at the same time. Humans with robots augmenting them and cut down on the manpower. But getting humans there, having the first hand knowledge of operating in space, of finding problems and resolving them, having the entire concept of living in space develop over time is extremely important.

      I've heard this said before, but unfortunately usual result is I end up hearing some magical thinking. If you have a reason that human spaceflight is important that is not linked to magical thinking, then I'd be happy to think on it.

    5. Re:Canned Ape by KeensMustard · · Score: 1
      I imagine that for a rover or probe, one day is like another, and they don't really care about how long it takes to do something. Which is the primary reason why they are the future of space exploration. In flight you can switch them off, and then on again when needed. They run on sunlight - or on a nuclear battery. And if we need them to move about quickly, then build a fast one. The reason we don't have fast ones is because slow ones are cheaper and still get the same work done in the end

      There's a reason why every time someone wants to demonstrate that humans are superior to rovers or probes, they use Mars. It's because everywhere else, robots are the clear winners. Venus - too hot for humans, too big to land them and have them take off again. Asteroids - too small, human propulsion would fail. Outer planets - too far away, too much gravity or radiation. In every other case, machines are clearly superior.

      And Mars is boring. Easily the most boring planet in the solar system. Why we should we waste time and money on Mars when we could visit the exciting places - Europa, Titan, Venus, Neptune. Sniff at comets, poke at asteroids.

    6. Re:Canned Ape by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      beautifully put but at some point, we want our child apes to look up at the moon and know that canned apes are up there inspiring them. We are wonderful apes when we're at our best.

    7. Re:Canned Ape by Jellodyne · · Score: 1

      The fact that humans are stronger, smarter, more flexible, etc is the reason to do robotics missions -- robotics is the field which needs the scientific development. Robotics is the field where we need a new Manhattan Project. Robotic space exploration, mining, and manufacturing. The moon, and moreso the asteroid belt contains all the raw materials we will ever need (not to mention enough precious metals to completely crash the market for them). The sun provides 24 hour solar energy in space, not to mention there are probably uranium bearing asteroids, and the nuclear waste can be dropped into the sun or safely dumped on a cold rock in the middle of nowhere. Sufficiently advanced robotics which could mine the materials and build the fabs to replicate more smart robots, you've got unlimited labor. So what could we accomplish with unlimited labor, energy and raw materials? What couldn't we accomplish?

      Anyway, all that is not going to happen overnight, but I say we develop advanced robotic missions to the moon, and go back in person once we have a fully functional robot-built moon base with life support systems and a big tank of rocket fuel standing by for the return trip. Everything we need to make that happen is up there, some assembly required.

  9. Yes. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Both the US and Western European countries should be spending substantially more on space programs, and revitalizing the manned space program is the best way to do that.

    A space program is the best way to stimulate the economy:

    - no military or civilian lives lost (a handful of astronauts will probably die in accidents, but the numbers are orders of magnitude less)
    - dependable revenue stream for private industry, not a one-shot stimulus encouraging reckless spending
    - home industry can be favored over China, Brazil, etc.
    - competitive procurement, no (necessary) giveaways to unproven startups with a promising technology
    - creates a stable long-term demand for engineers, encouraging university students in their career choice
    - the growth in the economy creates good paying jobs and tax revenues for the government, which may well be sufficient to erase the induced deficit (this is what happened with military spending during WW II)

    And it's something that the US and other countries can be remembered for 500, 1000, 2000 years from now, assuming that the human race is around that long.

    1. Re:Yes. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Interesting

      - espionage, industrial accidents
      - government welfare propping up industries no one wants
      - assembled in USA, made in China does not help
      - avoiding giveaways by giving contracts away
      - creates another welfare class of engineers and scientist, which is why we cant get a fucking thing done as it is, the current ones just work from grant to grant
      - artifical growth sustained by welfare

      And its something no one will give a fuck about in 500 years as they wonder why we squandered all this time and money doing something pointless when we could have been working on more sustainable energy, food, and water ... ya know the things that really matter, unlike a nerds star trek wet dreams

  10. Platinum! by bigpat · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Forget the space race, let the space rush begin! Let's mine some asteroids!

    Seriously, once space exploration can be economically self sustaining, self perpetuating, then maybe we can get somewhere.

  11. lunar geology .. is not that interesting. by savuporo · · Score: 0

    From the conclusion: Summarising the above, we see that the lunar geological record still has much to tell us about the earliest history of the Solar System, the origin and evolution of the Earth- Moon system,
    Yawn. I am an almost certified space nut, and i could not care less. Science for science's sake for cost of billions is just not worth it.
    Now if this bunch got together and declared that they support lunar return for more useful reasons like exploiting its potential resources or developing and giving shakeout to critical technologies for figuring out if we could eventually settle it, while doing a bit of interesting science along the way, i would be all ears.

    --
    http://validator.w3.org/check?uri=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.slashdot.org Errors found while checking this document as HTML5!
  12. Men were not meant to live in space by NicknamesAreStupid · · Score: 1

    Long ago, someone once said, "Man cannot fly." And in the sense he meant it, it is still true today.. You can't flap your arms and propel yourself like a bird. However, mankind has learned to fly to the moon, something no bird could every do. In the same sense, man will not live on the moon or any other planet. Our physiology is too delicate for alien environments, even if we find one with nearly identical atmosphere and climate. We would be as welcomed as any foreign body (think 'War of the Worlds'). To get a very faint sense of the challenge, move to Mumbai or Bangkok and start drinking the tap water and eating their fresh food. Of course, the challenge will not stop us from trying.

    However, as technology advances, it will become so much cheaper to send a machine, which can be built for space, that humans will always be a prohibitively costly payload. Sure, there will be a colony on the moon, but people will not thrive in a pressurized can at 1/6th our gravity. Mars, too. However, machines can be built for those environments. As they become more sophisticated, they can adapt, too. At some point, they may evolve to become indigenous.

    Humans may evolve, too. However, our inherent advantage, created by billions of years of evolution, may tether us to this planet forever. Not a bad thing, either. At the point when what we create evolves beyond what we are, it may not make a difference.

    1. Re:Men were not meant to live in space by k(wi)r(kipedia) · · Score: 1

      Humans may evolve, too. However, our inherent advantage, created by billions of years of evolution, may tether us to this planet forever. Not a bad thing, either. At the point when what we create evolves beyond what we are, it may not make a difference.

      Agreed. Living in space only makes sense when humans become machines. It's not sexy and isn't as inspiring as "The Right Stuff" , but the billions to be spent on an exploratory mission to Mars are better spent developing artificial intelligence and cybernetics. Maybe Mars is still a feasible goal for a conventional space program. But beyond that, the solution lies in android or cyborg astronauts.

    2. Re:Men were not meant to live in space by iris-n · · Score: 1

      As a matter of fact, I was in Bangkok two weeks ago. Ate their food, drank their water, no problem. The heat, on the other hand, did bother me.

      --
      entropy happens
  13. No. by Darkness404 · · Score: 1
    No. We can employ people sitting on their butt too, but that doesn't produce wealth, government space programs also do not produce wealth when you figure in how much is spent.

    the growth in the economy creates good paying jobs and tax revenues for the government, which may well be sufficient to erase the induced deficit (this is what happened with military spending during WW II)

    Um... no. You aren't creating tax revenues for the government because everything is taken from tax revenues... from the government. By your logic I should employ myself and write myself checks and make myself a millionaire! The decreased deficit from WWII came because the dollar became more worthless because tyrant-in-chief FDR stole the nation's gold and revalued the dollar (and declared gold clauses illegal) meaning that the amount of money the government had to pay for any contract denominated in dollars (which all domestic contracts had to be because gold clauses were illegal) decreased. The government in essence declared that a pound was not worth 16 ounces but instead only worth 9 ounces.

    --
    Taxation is legalized theft, no more, no less.
    1. Re:No. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's true. The elites of the world will own the moon I suppose the way things are going. That's probably how they justify their theft - they could never create colonies on the moon in a conventional orthodox manner. They probably already have their own secret bases on the moon - a bit like the movie Moonraker

    2. Re:No. by lennier · · Score: 1

      By your logic I should employ myself and write myself checks and make myself a millionaire!

      Sure! It worked for Zuckerberg, didn't it?

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
  14. Create wealth, not squander it by volmtech · · Score: 0

    In stead of blasting hundred's of billions into space and and a trillion a year playing whack the Taliban, how about we invest in electronics fab labs, American auto factories, textile mills, Southern invasion prevention measures. Borrowing one and a half trillion every year making bombs and rockets to nowhere makes a few defense contractors rich but are really just make work jobs that pull money out of the economy. We need to invest in energy independence. That means refinery's, pipe lines, transmission lines. Factories and mills where Americans can get a job. We are in an economic war. Business can not be allowed to import goods just to make an extra dollar of profit. Yes, your new iwhatever will cost more, and Walmart's shelves might get a little bare but more people will have money to spend and taxes for welfare and unemployment will drop. Out fifteen trillion dollar economy will keep rolling along. There will still be plenty of pork for greedy pols to grab. We have hundreds of thousands of collage graduates and none of you can figure out how to create wealth? Any one can con or steal someone else's money. Distributing tax money to people so they can just spend it on useless stuff does nothing to in cress the amount of money, just different people have it. The Earth is not in a crises. India and China are increasing their energy usage daily. If we turn out all the lights and sit in the dark, world wide carbon usage will still in cress. We need to spend the next twenty years building up our economy. Then from a position of wealth we can explore alternative energy sources. The worlds brightest minds are working on it and when renewables become reliable and sufficient for our needs we can switch over. Collages and universities wont close, just now more graduates will be able to find a job. The first person that says Smoot-Hawley I'm going to find you an beat like a rented mule. How could the economy get any worse? Government insures no one starves or loses their home. During WWII Compan s sacrificed profits for the war effort, millions had their lives uprooted and hundreds of thousand died. In four or five years of the same kind of effort we could create another Manhattan Project. Put every able bodied person to work. attack unemployment at the source and mobilize a well trained army in a coordinated production effort. The dieing part is optional.

  15. No costs - no case by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's not much of a case. There is no estimate of the cost of the research they advocate nor of the sacrifices that would be made to fund the research and, therefore, no evidence of a net benefit.

  16. Trade-offs by dumky2 · · Score: 1

    Papers such as these are great at pointing benefits, but do little to address costs. The question is not, is going to the moon useful, but rather, is going to the moon worthwhile?
    I have become very skeptical of governments taking on such well-intentioned programs as governments are ill-equipped to evaluate such trade-offs as they do not collect the benefits or bear the costs. Instead, governments collect the benefits of appearances (as opposed to actual success) and shift the costs.
    If those scientists can convince Buffett or Gates, there is a chance the proposal makes sense. If the can convince politicians, fat chance.

    --
    These comments are mine; I do not speak for my employer.
  17. Space is a better first goal by gmuslera · · Score: 2

    Energy gathering, asteroid mining, making materials maybe too complicated to do in a planet, or just manufacturing with the resources gathered up there, thats a more direct and shorter term return of investment, if you could do things that would please both people that care about knowledge and people that care about money, then better. And could ease things for future moon missions.

    1. Re:Space is a better first goal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually space homesteading would be the best first step.

      Pissed of at your world government? The UN getting you down? Fucking Monsanto Fucking up your Fucking Bee's?

      Live in a self contained bubble on the moon! Be your own economy. Hurl rocks back at earth and laugh maniacally in triumph!

      So in reality what we need is civilian tech, and civilian manpower capable of starting the moon-homestead rush.

      I would be one of the first ones to launch my hairy ass out to L2 for the fucking fun of it.

  18. What is wealth? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Everyone seems to focus on GDP, but that merely measures economic churn, not wealth production. If you want to grow the GDP, introduce lotteries with 99% of the take returned to the gamblers, with a daily draw and legalized borrowing to buy tickets. A few will go bankrupt to avoid their debts but many will prosper and, with appropriate advertising, the daily economic turnover will soon dwarf manufacturing, agriculture and traditional service industries. If you want people to be wealtier, throw out the economists (if they knew what they were talking about there would be no global financial crisis) and the financial services industry (if they had any integrity, morality or liability there would be no global financial crisis) and focus on education, manufacturing and agriculture - the real engines of real wealth - in the short term, and democracy (the real thing - not the fiction perpetuated by the two-party, first-past-the-post "democratic" election systems current in several countries lately) and population control in the slightly longer term. And, while you're about making fundamental changes, stop spending so much on imperialist aggression.

  19. Iron Sky? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And they shall find out who's on the dark side...

  20. ESA != EU by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    ESA is not the EU's space program, it's the all-European space program.

    1. Re:ESA != EU by IrquiM · · Score: 1

      No, it's neither. ESA are some European countries, both from within EU and outside (Norway & Switzerland), with Canada as a groupie and a few hang-arounds (Turkey etc.).

      --
      This is blinging
  21. Idiot turd by cheekyboy · · Score: 2

    Dude, paying 2m people to build a space station/and infrastructure is way better than having 2m cafe workers, or 2m tax accountants, or 2m cops, or 2m parking insepectors, or 2m taxi drivers.

    If you attempt the impossible, then you create new industries, new techs, new methods, and learn stuff.

    Now go back to your C-64 and be happy with the same tech forever.

    --
    Liberty freedom are no1, not dicks in suits.
  22. all income taxes pay bank loans, not services by cheekyboy · · Score: 1

    Read the balance report.

    All income taxes, (not much really), all goes to pay of all bank loans.

    All your paid for services come from corporate taxes, sales taxes, business taxes, trade taxes, local taxes and fines.

    So what does modern govts pay for?

    Nothing, I have to pay for everything.
    Parking
    Food
    Gas w/taxes.
    Lawyers arent free, all cost $.
    Most education isnt free any more.
    Most medical services arent free, or the crap ones are free. Good ones cost an arm or leg.
    Public transport, mostly privitized now, and isnt cheap.
    Nothing is subsidized for the average man.

    Who gets the goodies?
    Old people and their discounts.
    People with children and their tax discounts, so they pay no tax.
    Corporates and their 'discounts in tax rates'
    Big corps, who get electricity 1/3d retail price.
    Disabled people.
    Illegal immigrants get lots of shit free.

    Over the last 15 years, ive paid for everything, the govt has paid crap all. And your local upkeeping is just based on local city taxes from services.

    --
    Liberty freedom are no1, not dicks in suits.
    1. Re:all income taxes pay bank loans, not services by Sir_Sri · · Score: 2

      Um... 15 years you say? Were you in public school in 15 years? Were you *ever* in public school? The fact that the rest of the public can read this post because *they* were in public school means you benefit because you can communicate with them.

      Ever had to call the police? No? Good. Because much of government is a giant insurance system. If you don't have to use it that means nothing has gone horribly wrong. Ever been invaded or bombed by a foreign power? In 15 years. Why yes, yes you have. And your military has seen fit to convey the point to anyone else that gets the same idea just what will happen to them. If someone happens to steal your stuff and run it across state lines you *can* call the police.

      Lets go down the list shall we:
      Parking: And you got to the parking lot how? On who's roads? Ever had to park in a different city. How did you get there?

      Food: You're still alive. This means the department of agriculture is doing its job limiting the amount of toxic shit that gets in your food. Ever bought beef? How do you know it's beef? What counts as beef that can be labeled beef? Right. Government inspections and labeling. That doesn't mean they don't make some spectacular mistakes, but most of the time the system hums along.

      Petrol (what you called 'gas'): And where exactly did those oil supplies come from, who had the facilities to try and clean up the mess from the deepwater horizon oil spill and where did the first round of disaster aid come from. Not BP.

      Lawyers: Ooh ooh, I'm a lawyer I'll charge you 500 dollars an hour for my advice on how to get rid of your citizenship so you don't have to pay taxes. Except i'm not actually a lawyer. Who makes sure that a lawyer is actually a lawyer, and prosecutes people who fraudulently represent themselves.

      Education: We covered this one already. But at a federal level education spending, paltry as it is, is mostly for backing student loans to keep interest rates down. Sure you have to pay, but you pay less under this scheme than if you were going through banks. On the other hand, this way you can get a degree in english at the same interest rate as a degree in engineering.

      Medical care: Sure, you're an american. If you can live to 65 you get decent healthcare, or if you get a government job or have a spouse with a government job. If not you're fucked. Because for they money the US government spends on healthcare every civilized country in the world provides healthcare to everyone. But if you're between the ages of 18 and 65 and not a government worker, go fuck yourself. Doesn't make any sense to me either. Of course if you land in an emergency room and *can't* pay because you go bankrupt from the expense the government will have paid the bill for you through an insurance system. Otherwise all medical care would be 'cash upfront'.

      Public transport: Can you sit anywhere you want on the bus? Define 'cheap'? A single ride one way on the New York subway is 2.50. Which is about 20 minutes of work at minimum wage.

      Who gets the 'goodies'?
      Old people... yep. they paid into the same insurance system you pay into. Live to 65 to collect.
      People with children. Erm... how about children? Are you *ever* going to have kids? On average everyone has 1.005 children in the US (2.01/woman is the fertility rate). So sure, the government is subsiding that investment in the future for everyone who has a kid. Which is on average everyone.
      Yep, Corporations buy their way into preferential laws. In the UK rich people have their own part of government, it's called the house of Lords. However you do it, rich people will *always* collectively influence government to their benefit, and always have.
      Disabled people. yes, those poor people who had some tragic accident befall them. Feel free to get hit by a bus to collect disability. Remember that part about government being a giant insurance system, and when you don't collect it means nothing went horribly wrong? Ya, disabilit

  23. Economy of scale only valid for large need by fritsd · · Score: 1

    I think you are approaching the mining problem from a wrong perspective:

    From all that you say, the conclusion should be that we need a small solar panel factory first. And in order to mine its raw material, we need to tape a shovel to its side so the astronauts can shovel regolith dust into its input funnel.

    No need to start launching or building something like Bagger 293 until you have a need for 240 000 m^3 of raw material per day!

    Assuming the production needs are for one or two buildings and a dozen small rockets per year, a "fool's stick" (metal shovel on one end and a fool on the other) should suffice for the ore collection phase.


    Maybe a small table-top factory that can produce a crude amorphous Silicon solar cell the size of a large button, with Calcium or Aluminium wires, can be built somehow(*). Then you need a small robot to arrange and solder the solar cell buttons outside in the sunlight and presto, you've got a growing power source.
    Time is probably much cheaper in the beginning than raw power. Germany built those Bagger (in German) things because their heavy industry in the Ruhrgebiet had a large need for "Braunkohl" in the '70s. On the Moon you only need industry for your own base and maybe to launch volatiles and fuel to Moon orbit where they can be tugged to orbital destination or attached to a large (Mars) rocket.

    Apropos, anybody here on Slashdot who actually read De Re Metallica by Georgius Agricola? I'm a bit too lazy, but that level of technology (16th century) probably gives hints for energy-appropriate resource extraction methods. Although fire and water are probably hard to come by on the Moon :-)
    I've got the modern English translation from Project Gutenberg but haven't got around to studying it yet.

    (*) Please disregard the hand-waving.

    --
    To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
  24. Moon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You make good fiscal points and we do need to scrutinize government spending and make sure money is spent efficiently.

    For me it should be a beachhead into space - a place to have a decent heartfelt attempt at a community with a purpose - namely developing and testing new space engines and telescopes. That's my vision for the moon, and ultimately it would probably involve disconnecting the moon from the global economy for it to work. It would have to find a way to be self sufficient - really a completely different way of civilization. It might not be possible today but some time in the far distant future. If we don't start we'll get nowhere.

    I can envision a colony being set up in a crater for for protection from direct light, using a system of mirrors and lenses to channel light to the colony so that it has a natural light source in daytime. Solar arrays would power the colony with ease.

    A large opaque dome would be the result of lenses used to scatter light and a blue/white/yellow filter to create natural conditions.
    Quartz crystal can filter out harmful UV light. It would need to be a crater with water nearby in abundance, and in any case water would have to be recycled and re-purified.

    Radiation-shielding would be needed to prevent exposure to harmful cosmic rays. Water is the key I think. Is there enough water on the moon. You can't recycle it all.

    For this to ever become a reality, I envision plants being grown from the minerals on the moon - preferably sourced on the moon - essential again really in 1/6 gravity so that would require proof of concept on the moon itself long before any community is set up there.

    My overall feeling about the paper - good choice of planet, wrong choice of goals. Step one would be how we can cheaply, and sustainibly attempt to form a colony on the moon with it's own energy, food and life sustainibility. Long before we have telescopes and science going on there, I think we need to make sure it can sustain itself without outrageous cost and burden on the Earths taxpayers.

    My science goals - Robots to mine the moon for raw materials, robots (assisted by humans) to develop plants (maybe even GMO'd) that can handle 1/6 gravity and are resilient enough over time. Solar powered maintenance robots that can diagnose and fix some problems as a backup. Robots to carry out gravity experiments - how to create 1g on the moon. Much of this research would be carried out on Earth but eventually, we would need to deploy a system for testing on the moon that can produce 1 g in a local gravitational field.

    I think it's a pipe dream for now. We need to develop robots first that carry out these long duration experiments with only small human involvement from Earth periodically.

    It would be very challenging, and require great minds.

  25. cybernetics/automatons cylons.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    maybe we need cybernetics then - autonomous robots.

  26. exaclty by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Make it useful and beneficial. A tolerable pre-cost that pays for itself / pays itself off.

    So I guess more moone surverying missions then - bigger better moon surveyor missions.
    But I still think there's things we can do now like harvest biomass on the moon and sell it to Earth.

  27. haha by berniemne · · Score: 1

    Meanwhile ISS will be abandoned in 6 months lol. Anyway our only hope is China.

  28. But you are mistaken... by Radical+Moderate · · Score: 1

    "...infrastructure and assets on the Moon won't degrade, or at least will degrade very slowly compared with infrastructure and assets built on earth."

    Moon dust is incredibly sharp and jagged, because it isn't constantly blown by wind and eroded by water. And it's very fine, the result of being pulverized by asteroids. So you have very fine, extra gritty grit working it's way into everything that isn't hermetically sealed. Bad news for anything with moving parts.

    Personally, I'd rather spend money on moon bases than on making wars and maintaining our empire, but that ain't happening.

    --
    Never let a lack of data get in the way of a good rant.
  29. How big is this case? by mfnickster · · Score: 1

    It better be damn big, I need leg room and head room. I should be able to tilt my seat ALL the way back, too!

    You know, never mind. Forget it! I ain't going to the moon in no damned CASE!

    --
    "Slow down, Cowboy! It has been 3 years, 7 months and 26 days since you last successfully posted a comment."
  30. Your radiation information is incorrect by tlambert · · Score: 1

    Specifically, the LRO mission demonstrated that the moon itself is a source of radiation, so burying yourself in it is probably a bad idea, unless it doesn't go to any real depth, and you are willing to seriously dig down.

    http://news.discovery.com/space/moon-radiation-gamma-rays.html

    -- Terry

  31. Returning to the Moon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    When Kennedy announced the race to the moon he wanted to be able to put nuclear weapons the size of a school bus within a mile or so of the Kremlin. That was far to crass to admit in Camelot, so this bullshit was launched. The moon is a dead rock, they found exactly what the scientist's predicted,nothing of value. There were no real gains beyond payload and accuracy. Nixon knew this and promptly cancelled the lunar program and scrapped flight hardware that went to several museum's where they decompose this very day. Getting to the moon is very easy compared to getting back alive. Getting back alive has little miltary value unlike payload and accuracy.

    We are all adults, so please put the bong down, turn off the TV and give up the StarTrek/Buck Rogers dreams. Mankind is vastly closer to the stone age than we are to interstellar travel.