Slashdot Asks: Are You Preparing For Hurricane Sandy?
Forecasters are tossing around words like "unprecedented" and "bizarre" (see this Washington Post blog entry) for the intensity and timing of Hurricane Sandy, which is threatening to hit the east coast of the U.S. early next week. Several people I know in the mid-Atlantic region have been ordering generators and stocking up on flashlight batteries and easy-to-prepare foods. Are you in the projected path of the storm? If so, have you taken any steps to prepare for it? (Are you doing off-site backup? Taking yourself off-site?)
I plan to avoid scuba diving in Monterey Bay this weekend. Hurricanes are most dangerous in coastal areas, after all...
Charisma is the measure of someone's ability to lie with a straight face.
yeah those 40-mph forecast winds as we get 'slammed' on the east coast are terrifying.
I'd take this more seriously if the media didn't hop all over *every* storm as if it each one was the End of the World as we Know It.
Of course I've done basic prep - but no, I'm not cowering upstairs crawl space in fear of the lower floors getting flooded out.
but I'm fairly sure it's influence over central illinois it probably already covered by my current preparations.
I've got my shotguns, my highway flares, some barbed wire, and an axe.
Wait, I've been following the Zombie Survival Checklist???
Uh-oh.
Man, this place has gone impossibly downhill further since Taco left. Makes me yearn for Roland Piquepaille's slashverts and Michael's political polemics.
After being without power for several days last July I learned a few lessons. I picked up a car iPhone charger and will probably get the WTOP app. I will also probably get extra ice and beer, both commodies which were in short supply after the storms last summer.
"Be grateful for what you have. You may never know when you may lose it."
Maryland here, not too far from DC. I have a 2kW generator with a transfer switch I wired into my breaker box on my furnace's circuit. I always keep a couple of months of food and four 5 gallon cans of gasoline around. I have plenty of oil lamps and fuel. I might loser power, internet, and some perishable items but honestly I'm more concerned about potential property damage than a few days off of work catching up on reading and housecleaning. I'm sure we're not talking about roving gangs of marauders here or anything. The only thing I really need to stock up on is beer. I'll be fine.
1. It won't be either a hurricane or even a tropical depression when it hits the upper east coast next Tuesday according to the National Weather Service( http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/205618.shtml?5-daynl#contents )
...
2. Total Rainfall potential predicted by the NWS for the Pennsylvania , New Jersey, New York and Massachusetts areas is estimated to be - wait for it - a whopping 3 to 7 inches FOR THE ENTIRE FIVE DAYS through Wednesday. ( http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/zoom/Rainfall_Days_1-5.gif )
Didn't we go through this last year with the storm of the century that was supposed to flood New York but never really materialized and aren't we all a bit tired of the ridiculously overwrought news stories that get propagated all over the internet in order to drive page views?
When the NWS puts out a Frankenstorm warning then maybe it's time to get concerned but until then
----- In Your Cubicle No One Can Hear You Scream...
We have a gas stove and the freezer is stocked with ice to keep the beer and food cold for a week or so if needed. We don't need to worry about flooding where I live (they do where I work, but that is not my problem). Outside of that, if the power goes out, I'll just have to enjoy the quiet and read and catch up with the missus. Periods without tech can be nice so long as a tree doesn't take out my house.
Wetsuit? Check!
Tiny board and fin? Check!
Tiny sail? Check!
Windsurfing in 40mph wind? Priceless.
Bring on FrankenSandy!
Been through some storms so I've added some munchies, bought some water, charged a spare car batt for a frend's sump pump and to charge phones, and I cleared the gutters out. I also chatted with my neighbors, we're prepped to help each other out if needed. Pissed I skipped installing the generator I considered last month, betting I'll need it...
Yuck it up but 8inches or more of rain will fuck things up pretty good. Oh, I RainX'd my car windshield too :-)
Build it, Drive it, Improve it! Hybridz.org
Is it a good idea to have your offsite backups in place? Sure, but why wait for a predictable natural disaster as opposed to a man-made one? The whole point of a viable backup strategy is not to have a single point of failure, including a reliance on predictable events.
In an ideal world, I'd have several heavy-duty chain saws at the ready, dripping in anticipation of cutting down wayward trees. But this being the real world, I'll leave my big boy chaps, kevlar gloves, etc. in fantasy-land and hire a professional should a tree make a unexpected entry into our home.
In fact, we're pretty carefree here... spoiled by the reliability of the electrical grid, with the longest off-line period being 23 hours thanks to a neighbor cutting the roots on a street tree, allowing said tree to tumble into the street and taking out two electrical poles in the process. So, no gen set, for example. Living on the edge...
Cleaned the gutters, brought in or strapped down lawn furniture, trimmed a couple of overhanging branches, got a couple of books from the library.
Anything else is already handled. In coastal VA, this is prepped all summer. Water in the secondary fridge and freezer, there is always enough food for a few days (no power? ha!...that is what the grill is for)
So...nothing special.
I'm convinced Armageddon will start with a shortage of booze.
Obligatory xkcd
Considering I live in the Chicagoland area.
If a hurricane can push THAT far inland, I guess I deserve to get drowned/blown away/etc.
Chas - The one, the only.
THANK GOD!!!
Guess the right approach is to pray or join the church of climate change. Sandy is from the Terrify Wallstreet movement.
I don't know if that counts as "preparation" though
I mean I'm no meteorologist, but I don't think hurricane Sandy will hit the Pacific Northwest
We just purchased a quarter of beef that is in the freezer. My wife was insistent that we buy a generator. To humor her (and because its wise to make large purchases such as this when they are spousal authorized), I stopped by a local hardware store to check their inventory (sold out, except for a $4000 cadillac model), and a local big-box store (completely sold out). Another local hardware store was sold out of gas cans even..
So with an economy that is still weak, where does the general populace come up with the $500 - $4000 to buy a generator, that they may never use? Current plan is to try and pick one up AFTER the hurricane (or no-icane), on Craigslist, on the cheap..
There's a f*cking ocean between the question in the headline and me, so no.
Flourescent (adj): smelling like ground wheat.
Unless it comes ashore as a strong Cat-2 or Cat-3, it's pointless to get excited about it.
Most of us who are used to them simply ignore anything smaller.
OMG Tropical Storm winds !
OMG Rain !
-Runs in little circles-
it doesnt matter where it comes on shore, if your not ready to be without power for 3 days, your being lazy and hoping someone else will help you. there has not been a bad storm for a few years in this area, so when one does happen, more dead branches than usual will fall. so even if it is weak lil 40 mile n hour winds, youll most likely be without any power. most people in apartments cannot get things like generators, but i dont want to turn on the news and see how many people were completly unprepared and want me to donate them something.
theres 15 inch or so of rain expected here, and its coupling with a nor-easter. sorta like that 2000 movie, a perfect storm.
lol
H for hurricane
Bread and milk
FWIW... I'm tied to a dock on the GA/FL border. In a boat. With no motor. Sparrow is a sailboat who has weathered far worse than this. We, my 2 cats and I, have weeks of food and full water tanks. Winds here are getting up to 20 knots or so and quite gusty. Am I worried? no. We had a hardy home and sufficient supplies. As I write this, we're rolling around a bit and wind is making the rigging sing. We are warm, fed and safe. I'll put on foulies in a bit and wander the docks to see if all the other boats are ok. Maybe a line has chaffed through or a fender has gunched up. S'ok, these are things easily repaired. And then shed the foulies and enjoy a warm cuppa in my nest...
I'm guessing I know how Timothy is preparing for the storm. Geez, isn't this supposed to be news for nerds? This storm is the front page of CNN, if I want news like this I'll go there...
Buying peanut butter and beer...
It actually did a real number on us in Vermont. In fact it was the worst flooding since 1932 in many places, and the worst ever in some places.
Of course this whole thing may turn out to be nothing. It won't reach hear until Monday and I don't really put a huge amount of stock on weather predictions 3 days in advance. Anyway, we're ready, around here if you're not living in town you are probably always ready.
"Malo periculosam, libertatem quam quietam servitutem." -- Jefferson
And someone should tell you that the moon's orbit is only more or less circular so the tides do get stronger and weaker over the lunar cycle. I guess someone just did :-)
The pros at the National Hurricane Center disagree with your analysis:
Winds as high as hurricane-force are expected to lash exposed areas of the
Northeast/mid-Atlantic states (the coast and topography)...leading
to potentially serious coastal erosion and coastal flooding. The
timing of the full moon and the build-up of tides over multiple
tidal cycles should exacerbate the situation along the
coast...particularly in corners such as the New York bight.
I experienced Hurricane Irene. The hurricane itself was laughable. Just a bit windy. The following 6 days were hell. No power meant food lasted a little longer than the ice cubes did. It meant no internet. It meant my only means of entertainment was whatever battery life I had left in my Kindle.
But I have a laptop now with two batteries and an MP3 player and my Kindle will be fully charged before this hurricane hits. Now all I have to do is stockpile some pornography and the next week or so will be a breeze.
"That storm surge will only be magnified by the full moon this weekend to make it a "dangerous period," Uccellini said."
He is obviously concerned about incidents of licanthropy. They are directly caused by the full moon, as everyone knows.
To all my fellow Baltimorons and Delmarva folks:
This summer's derecho had peak gusts of 66 mph at BWI. That storm lasted a few hours.
Sandy is currently forecast to be right on top of us at 2 on Tuesday afternoon with 65 mph sustained winds. If we're really unlucky, those winds are going to turn through 180 degrees as the core of the storm blows through.
There's every chance that this will turn out to be nothing to write home about. That said, it's a really weird storm that has a lot of non-talking-head meteorologists raising their eyebrows. Take the handful of really stupid simple steps to prepare--make sure you have a few days' worth of non-perishable food and water, have a flashlight with batteries, fill up your gas tank, charge your devices and keep 'em off if the power goes out.
Hope this all putters out, but be ready for a bad one. It could well be.
Obliteracy: Words with explosions
Are you at least aware of the fact that tides are higher during a full moon?
It's called a spring tide, and has to do with the geometry of things and gravity. So if you're already expecting a higher than usual tide, and combine that with storm surge, it will amplify it even more.
Or, do you just feel the need to continuously act like a crusty old bastard who thinks the world is populated with idiots?~
We all know the entire moon is still there (well most of us do), but the geometry of the gravity changes with position -- New Moon and Full Moon leading to the highest tides. So, maybe the expert actually knows more than you do.
Lost at C:>. Found at C.
I'm British, you insensitive clod!
systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
I'm moving my instances and volumes from us-east-1* to use-west-{1,2}* just to be safe. The us-east-1 region has been rather unstable this year. I don't think will survive this.
now we need to go OSS in diesel cars
Hmmmm...I'm in Louisiana and this one is not near me to worry about.
first stop: my local liquor store.
Shut up brain or I'll stab you with a Q-Tip. - Homer Simpson
i live in Florida. Melbourne to be exact. There was a hurricane?
"Several people I know in the mid-Atlantic region have been ordering generators and stocking up on flashlight batteries and easy-to-prepare foods."
Emergency supplies are always on site, including satellite phones (for some reason the idiots in charge think they'll work in a hurricane) and generators undergo monthly testing.
"Are you in the projected path of the storm?"
Yep!
"If so, have you taken any steps to prepare for it? (Are you doing off-site backup? Taking yourself off-site?)"
Automatic nightly incremental backups to a server that is automatically backed up to SAN, which has an off site mirror. Combine that with good vendor response times, and you're set.
My sausage tree didn't grow, does that make me a bad mommy?
First know that flying glass is a huge killer in wind storms. That is why you need to be away from all windows as they may give suddenly.
People go nuts trying to buy food before a storm. Few think to have a sterno stove or some other easy way to heat canned food. Do not cook until all winds have stopped. There is no fire department, no police, and no medical care for days or even weeks. Do not start charcoal fires inside the home.
Realise that grocery stores tend to be hit hard due to their large roofs. In our last Florida storm I had to drive 85 miles one way to buy food as all local stores had caved in or blown off roofs. You may not have electricity for weeks or even months after a storm. Generators will hurt your wallet as it takes a lot of fuel to keep them humming. Keeping enough fuel to power a generator would in itself be risky unless you have a very large lawn. Gas stations will close for weeks and the ones that do sell fuel may have all kinds of water and crud in the product.
The best plan is to leave an area at the first hint of trouble and get hundreds of miles out of the zone. Very few will do that or can afford to do that. If things get really bad having a firearm and knowing how to use it may be a great comfort to you and your family. Frightened people who suddenly are cut off from the world can act out in their fear. Most people are helpful but some get really dangerous.
I speak first hand as being in Florida for over 50 years I have been in high winds all too often.
We're all gonna DIEEEE. Get all the MILKS andTP first.
Downloading my copy of the interwebs right now!
If there's one thing I've learned over my 19 years, it's that YOU CAN LITERALLY NEVER BE TOO SAFE! I plan to spend the duration of the storm cowering in my Portland Oregon attic with a wind up flashlight, weather radio, bottled water, and sealed tin of hard tack biscuits praying the rosary (I'm not actually Christian, let alone Catholic, but I also can't prove that doing this won't help). IT'S IMPOSSIBLE TO SAY WHAT COULD HAPPEN SO BE PREPARED!
Do you want the rescuers to skip saving you because you were that jerk who didn't take the storm seriously and prepare? Do you!?!? Ask yourself what your life and safety are worth!
Whatever you do, folks, do not be prepared. For preparation is terrorism and extemporaneous is patriotism.
Do not be seduced by the evil temptations of self-reliance. Trust in the one, the only, Authori tuh.
Forward! -- Emperor Norton, 2012
The most likely mode of failure for internet access during Sandy is likely to be "the storm knocked out commercial power, then persisted longer than the battery backup power at your service provider's facility or tower".
From the research I did, it looks like the best bet for datacard/hotspot #1 is Verizon. Apparently, they have 8-10 hours of battery backup at all of their cell sites, and 85% (in Florida, at least; not sure whether the statistic was specific to Florida or applies nationwide) have on-site generators that fire up automatically & have enough on-site fuel to run for a week. They also apparently allow you to buy an unsubsidized data card or hotspot on eBay, and activate it for $15 per day (250mb data per day) in a completely adhoc manner, with no strings, minimums, reactivation/inactivity fees, or other sneaky charges.
For some reason, they seem to explicitly NOT allow "day pass" use with PCMCIA/Cardbus/ExpressCard devices, and I'm still trying to find out whether you have to activate it before the storm (or at least have working phone/internet service by some other means at the time you activate it), or whether you can literally buy a $13 EVDO datacard on eBay, throw it in a drawer as a really cheap insurance policy against loss of internet access during a storm, then pull it out, plug it into your laptop, and do the whole process -- payment, activation, and all -- using only the connectivity provided by the Verizon datacard itself.
Apparently, AT&T has a similar "day pass" deal. I didn't bother to research it, because I already have an AT&T phone (Galaxy S3), and since my whole goal was to find cheap "backup plan" options for getting online if my AT&T cell phone lost data service during a storm, I didn't bother to look into them.
For a longer outage, especially if you have Cable internet (which tends to go out shortly after commercial power is lost, and stay that way until the day after it's restored... at least, going by everything I've ever seen from Comcast in Florida), you might want to look into something that's cheaper and less stingy with data, like maybe T-Mobile. I wasn't able to find anything specific about their backup power situation besides references to them having a fleet of portable generators, which suggests that they're worse than Verizon (who already has fixed generators on-site, in place, ready to go), no better than AT&T (call it a hunch, but I suspect that whatever Verizon does, AT&T probably pays lip service to doing as well), and probably at least a little bit worse. My assessment: T-Mobile probably won't stay up until the bitter end of the storm, but if your cable internet is going to be down for a few days or more, they're probably the best option for days #2 and beyond. I'd expect that even if they go down during the storm, they'll be up and running within a day afterwards.
One caveat about used T-Mobile devices... I'm not sure exactly why this is apparently a problem unique to T-Mobile (or at least a bigger problem with them), but apparently it's possible to buy a used T-mobile device after getting T-Mobile to verify that the ESN is 'clean', activate it with your own SIM, use it for months, then have it unceremoniously blacklisted by T-Mobile for something the seller did long after it was sold to you. For example, if someone buys a device on a 2-year contract, replaces it with another, sells the first one to you, then later defaults on the contract. Apparently, Sprint and Verizon keep track of transfers, but T-Mobile just indiscriminately blacklists whatever ESN was on file under the original contract without bothering to investigate further to avoid collateral damage).
Right now, I can't recommend Sprint under any circumstances. Their 3G network sucks so badly right now (with the possible exception of the 3 or 4 places they've semi-finished upgrading), power loss is almost the least of their problems. After Isaac strafed Miami (taking down Comcast and U-verse for about 6-8 hours), I ran speedtest on Sprint & got
Beer. Check. Popcorn. Check. TV warmed up. I'm ready.
Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
In the eye and always prepared for a storm such as this.
We live out in the country. We're always ready. Lack of preparedness is a city thing.
Do your worst mother nature... in fact I DARE YOU to make the hurricane come right at me!
Guarantee she cant make it to michigan... PBBBPBPBPBPT! Mother nature..... you aint got the GUTS!
Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
The chances of wind are .2 - and we all took statistics right? It means more than just somewhat less likely to happen.
.35.
We might get a little blowjob Monday into Tuesday though. That's at
So no need to go prepper crazy. My amateur radio gear is all charged and ready if the shit does in fact hit the fan. And I have ammunition.
I hear it should hit us on Tuesday, as I reside near Worcester, MA. Currently I have taken care of my barn yard and two greenhouses with my brother. We intended to get a jump start on the "action". Tomorrow we will split wood (which has to happen regardless) then get gas for the generator, check and run the generator, prep the chainsaws, gas the trucks, fuel the tractor, field-strip/clean/oil our firearms, get beer, get scotch, cook dinner, yada yada. Then do whatever else is required (I think shower, but my girlfriend is currently not around... sooo if a tree falls, right?) but that really isn't much of a change of habit. I just hope my chickens and crops do ok with the 6-10 inches of rain predicted to hit.
My wife and I travel a LOT for work. We live in the Philly area and are currently commuting to Boston (Westborough) for my long term assignment. I recently bought an '05 Jeep Grand Cherokee to be sure I could commute through just about anything this winter. Didn't think I would be testing its capabilities so soon. I also recently finished my ham radio "go box" -- an 8U Gator hard case with all my ham radio gear installed inside. Only problem is I hadn't gotten around to the battery power yet. I still carry a 100' extension cord.
Current plan is to get to the hotel a little earlier than usual this Sunday and bring enough food for my wife and to survive in the hotel without power for a few days. I need to get back home by Friday evening. The hotel sits on pretty high ground but all routes to Framingham tend to flood. I have a strong suspicion I will be working from the hotel Mon-Wed and some of my peers may be sleeping in airports for a day or two.
I'm married to a redheaded puerto rican. *every* period is dangerous.
Don't blame me, I voted for Kodos
No wait... that was for the election. Hey! It's dual purpose. Sweet.
...and I'm getting the ft817nd charged and set up for NVIS operation. Of course, I'm in cape may county, NJ, so basically I'll be flattened.
i am so very tired....
generator wired into house comcast cable internet verizon 4g tmobile 4g beer Went through the eye of Charley, and was actually scared for my life. Not to worried for this one, but being cutoff and no power stinks, hopefully the above will perform as designed.
Denizens of DC Metro know WTOP News Radio, an all-news/weather/traffic station. Typically, the storm reports are "Brought to you by Giant Food", one of the major local grocery chains. . . . starting ~48 hours before the expected storm. And of course, the stores get slammed with people buying bread, milk, TP, beer, etc. . . But one night, about 10 or so years ago, they let the truth slip out. . . . "This storm is brought to you by Giant Food. . . "
Basically, I haven't done so yet, but I need to get serious about storm preparations tomorrow. I'm in Philly where we expect to get hit hard, and my wife is 9 months pregnant.
We're electric everything here without any gas backups. I'll run out tomorrow and grab propane for the grill, and I've got charcoal and cast-iron, if I need it. We've lined up a generator rental, since we can't find one for purchase, and we're discussing if we want to go forward with it. More likely, I'll get myself an indoor-rated, portable propane heater and some extra tanks.
Not much in the way of dry and canned foods, but I'll pick up what I can tomorrow at the store. Perishables tend to go quick, but the items that actually matter such as cans and UHT pasteurized products, don't go quickly at all. UHT milk will stay good on the shelf for >6 months. Plus, we have enough to last us the next week if I rationed (my wife can't, being pregnant)
Overall, not prepared, but will be... I hope.
Buy enough supplies—canned food and bottled water—before Monday to keep me self-sufficient for months. All the while not realizing that any disaster so severe as to require their use leaves me screwed either way. Then I will go to Starbucks on Tuesday morning for my usual $5 coffee ritual. Remainder of the week is spent around the water cooler discussing the once-in-a-lifetime Perfect Storm that caused many rather severe nuisances. Forget about all the nonperishables I bought until the next holiday food drive pops up months or years later, and give it all away. Repeat the process next time it rains or snows.
It has more to do with the synergistic effects of the gravity of the sun and the moon.
The very strongest tides are at new moon, when the sun and the moon are on the same side of the earth; next strongest is at the full moon. Lowest tides are at the 1/4 and 3/4. Look it up, geekoid.
Why is it that people in the US are whipped into a state of paranoia so easily? An appropriate response is having a few days of fresh water. In the unlikely event that the damage is severe, you can go a long time without food, and even longer without the fucking internet. Harden the fuck up you drama queens. Your founders would bitch-slap you.
it's coming, oh my God...oh...oh...harder...oh my God...
Tides are generally highest when there's a full moon or new moon because that's when the Sun and Moon are in alignment and augment each other.
"he went flying over 50 linear feet before he fell."
The only time I have seen the unit linear feet is in flooring or other material pricing (to differentiate from square feet (area)
So it doesn't make sense in this context (unless you could fly over 50 square feet.
This girl has power, and is not in a big hurry to leave. We are still getting 35 MPH + gusts in Nassau this Saturday morning. Had massive storm surges on the coast, with some roads, hell even a police car, buried in the sand, and just generally just want that tourist to leave the islands.
Some of the Family Islands, Eleuthera, Abaco, Grand Bahama, Cat Island, the islands to the east of Nassau/New Providence, took the brunt of the Storm.
If you fly a parabolic trajectory you may land 50ft further along the ground but took yourself up to 100ft altitude before then. Total distance travelled nearly 250ft.
But if people didn't see your arc, all they know is that you travelled the 50 feet linear distance from your starting point to the end.
There are more things in heaven and earth than are dreamt of in your philosophy.
by not living in the US but Europe :D
Last year we got slammed by Irene and the October snowstorm (the snow storm was 10 times worse). Afterward I created a storm preparation list which I've reviewed this week and was surprise by some of the things that I wrote that I would not think of now. .e.g. spare fuses for generator, charge cell phones, etc.
During Irene I learned exactly what happens to my house as the amount of rain piles up. We can take 6 inches or so but after that the water table rises and my basement starts to leak in certain places. So we are clearing out those places and are prepared with mops, shop vac, backup sump and generator.
This time we won't be able to change what happens, but since we have experience, we know how to at least limit the damage.
The difference between Canada and the USA is that in Canada healthcare is a right and gun ownership is a privilege.
... scientists predict the hurricane may completely change its course and wipe out the whole nation perhaps even separating Italy from the rest of the continent :D
I am over a thousand miles from the sea (in any direction) so I don't think I will even notce.
I've been avoiding Sandy for over a year now. Why do I suddenly need batteries or water or... Oh, the hurricane. I'll take that any day over the ex. Three stores were completely out of real (ie, not tiny key chain-like or slightly bigger) flashlights when I went out today. Might try to grab some head-mounted spelunking lights from Costco tomorrow but if all fails we have plenty of candles and fire is cooooooooool.
making a big bowl of popcorn seasoned liberally with schadenfreude, since I'm in Florida.
the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff
some tropical storm winds.
and rain.
and rain rain rain.
and rain rain rain rain rain.
and rain rain rain rain rain rain goddam will the rain ever stop?!!!
and then some more rain.
Then it's still raining on Saturday.
Now the rain from the backcountry is draining your way.
Mix in the fact that you're not in Florida, so : a) all that rain can't just wash out to sea, and b) the land is less than flat, collecting the rain in low areas, causing every little creek to be engorged and turgidly overlfow it's banks. You might have a bit of a problem.
the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff