NASA: Huge Freshwater Loss In the Middle East
dstates writes with news from NASA about the state of available water in the Middle East. From the NASA article: "'GRACE data show an alarming rate of decrease in total water storage in the Tigris and Euphrates river basins, which currently have the second fastest rate of groundwater storage loss on Earth, after India,' said Jay Famiglietti, principal investigator of the study and a hydrologist and professor at UC Irvine. 'The rate was especially striking after the 2007 drought. Meanwhile, demand for freshwater continues to rise, and the region does not coordinate its water management because of different interpretations of international laws.'" dstates adds:
"Water is a huge global security issue. To understand the middle east, you need to understand that the Golan Heights provides a significant amount of the water used in Israel. Focusing on conflicts and politics means that huge volumes of valuable water are being wasted in the Middle East, and this will only exacerbate future conflicts. Water is a serious issue between India and China. And then there is Africa. U.S. food exports are in effect exporting irrigation water drawn from the Ogallala aquifer. Fracking trades water for energy, and lack of water limits fracking in many parts of th world. Think about it."
...we'll soon run out of it.
We should be conserving this precious natural resource. It's not renewable, you know!
Time to get on with large-scale de-salinization efforts.
It would be nice to think that a regional water shortage would pull these countries together to solve a mutual problem.
And I've recently been in the market for the London Bridge; have one for sale?
Someone needs to convert all that oil into water. Now THAT would be a miracle!
Water is a vital ingredient in beer!
reduce their population. Problem solved.
Yeah, I know it sounds stupid but Saddam Hussein drained 7,700 sq miles just to try to flush out people during the first gulf war. Before that the British had tried to drain all that fresh water out of there to stop the breeding of mosquitoes. Which, in the near future, is going to be looked back upon with disgust.
I don't think people yet understand or truly appreciate how much destruction they can bring to ecosystems. I wish conservation was given more respect than treating advocates like tree hugging hippies that have no clue about industry and economy. The area between these two rivers was once so lush and full of life that it was thought to be the origin of the Garden of Eden myth.
My work here is dung.
Extracting energy requires clean water.
Everything and everybody needs clean fresh water.
Basically, no matter what we do, we will always be on a negative slope in terms of water conservation.
Also, lord knows that people will not want to drink recycled water.
I sure know I often need a fresh drink or two after a good fracking.
The link in dstate's addendum already contradicts the sentence it's used in. The Golan Heights tributaries provide less than 20% of the freshwater used in Israel, and the original source is no longer functional. Moreover, Isreal recently completed a huge desalination plant, which provides a massive amount of freshwater (almost to the point of export). This winter, the Sea of Galilee nearly reached full levels, something that hasn't happened in over 20 years.
Not to mention that he linked to a footnote source on wikipedia. Not exactly a reliable source of information.
Quite a bit of Israel's water consumption is already either from desalination (domestic) or recycled (agriculture) water. It created quite a spike in the water prices, but otherwise greatly increased Israel's water reserves (the Kineret, as well as a couple of big underground reservoirs, one of them shared with the Palestinians).
Shachar
It's common knowledge that nobody over there bathes.
We knew we'd reach this point inevitably. Earth is finite, and humanity keeps reproducing.
Now we've hit the point where resources are limited. By the rules of nature, this means we're going to fight it out and someone's going to hoard the resources. They will then outreproduce others and replace them.
A game changer could be a nanofilter that desalinates water, but that could make the problem worse. If every nation on earth was able to keep overpopulating, the resulting land clashes could be catastrophic.
In the meantime, take careful notice of where you are. You want to be able to tell your grandchildren (or fellow Mars base refugees) where you were when the water wars began.
In other words... (NRSFW)
Nobody will care, since it'll only be illiterate poor brown people dying of thirst and hunger and they're a dime a dozen. If it were white people, things would be a lot different. /s
At the end of the day, it's merely self interest, coupled with the ability to maintain those interests, which matters. Such is the world that soulless neoliberalism has wrought.
Ok. Seriously. There is a problem, but there are solutions too. Water conflicts have been around for a long time now in the Middle East since the beginning of civilization tiself.
4500 years ago, the control of irrigation canals vital to survival was the source of conflict between the states of Umma and Lagash in the ancient Middle East. 2700 years ago, Assurbanipal, King of Assyria from 669 to 626 B.C., seized control of wells as part of his strategic warfare against Arabia. In the modern era, the Jordan River Basin has been the scene of a wide variety of water disputes. In the 1960s, Syria tried to divert the headwaters of the Jordan away from Israel, leading to air strikes against the diversion facilities. The 1967 war in the Middle East resulted in Israel winning control of all of the headwaters of the Jordan as well as the groundwater of the West Bank. In these cases, water was certainly an important factor in both pre- and post-1967 border disputes.
But contrast this to cases in Africa, like the Okavango delta (the world's largest inland delta) which through a negotiation by Angola, Botswana and Namibia has received a fresh lease of life. I think the key is how likely countries are to negotiate rather than go to war. The current Middle East does not seem like a place where cooperation can or will replace conflict.
What's the fracking problem?
Just like our shortage of oil has pulled the west together.
Exactly. It's all there in desalinization. This is just a little more expensive currently.
Like electricity to the home, in 100 years politicians will be taxing it.
(-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
Dear Middle East, we are happy to trade you our water for your oil. -- The Western World
I really shouldn't have used someone else's email address for this account.
Earlier in the year, while pointing out several areas across the globe suffering significant droughts, the other person asked: "Well, where is it all going?" I had no ready answer. I guess the oceans? Though I thought the sea level rises were due mainly to ice melt (even more water!), not increased rainfall and runoff.
Even ten years ago it was getting obvious that the main problem we'll face this century isn't energy it's water. People worry about cheap energy but cheap or even availibility of food should be the bigger concern. In the US we won't face a lack of water but it'll get expensive and food prices are likely to double and could triple or more in adjusted dollars. If you're spending a $100 a week what happens when that's $200 or $300? Some families I'm sure the number is already $200 or more a week. They'll face $400 to $600 food bills. That's $1,600 to $2,400 a month. It'll equal or exceed their mortgage. That was mostly from droughts and higher chemical prices. If the water used to irrigate those crops is polluted then the prices could be much higher. We can simply spend more of our cash on food. The third world will starve.
What I want to know is why, in 2013, my fucking easy cheese still has that nasty hard cheese plug in the nozzle after its first use. Can we not solve this fucking problem?!?!
Oh, you mean like the GCC? :) Now, it's a long way from finished, but it's what you asked for.
The Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf, also known as the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is a political and economic union of the Arab states bordering the Persian Gulf and located on or near the Arabian Peninsula, namely Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates. Jordan and Morocco have been invited to join the council.
On 6 March 2012, the six members of the GCC announced that the Gulf Cooperation Council would be evolving from a regional bloc to a confederation, in possible response to Arab democratic unrest and increased Iranian influence in the region.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cooperation_Council_for_the_Arab_States_of_the_Gulf
Now we have those bastards where we want them. It's time for them to decide what's more important: water or Islam?
if you haven't read it, you should.
The key reason the Moon has to revolt is that they realize that shipping grain down to the Earth really means sending water on a one way trip. Luckily, North America and other countries are all part of the same ecosystem on Earth, but the original article's point of shrinking the Ogalla aquifer by exporting grain is the exact same point as in Heinlein's novel from the 60's.
I understand that for poor (3rd world)people, and for wasteful agriculture, the cost of water is a big deal and should be managed, but the _actual cost_ of desalinated water is ridiculously low for a first world country, and will never be an issue. According to wikipedia (I'm lazy), as of 2005, it was 0.2 cents (US) per gallon. I pay at least an order of magnitude more than that right now in the US, getting water from Lake Michigan - clearly the "cost of the water" is mostly things other than "making" clean water - presumably it's the infrastructure for moving it around, and oversight / corruption. My monthly water bill is over $30, and I don't use the 500 gallons a day that my $30/month should buy - and I'm guessing processing Lake Michigan water is 1-2 orders of magnitude less expensive than desalination.
Now if you want cheap corn and beef and certain consumer goods (paper for example), then if water gets more expensive, agriculture and industry will have to quit wasting it - but they will, because it won't be cheap anymore. Funny how changing the price does that. Oh wait, no it isn't funny, it's basic economics - when something is nearly or actually free, people use it without a thought.
How you make it "not free" when anyone can put in a well and pump until the aquifers are empty is a different, mostly political issue. Presumably a tax on the sale of things that require water for their production would be the simplest, but there are smarter people than me who can figure that part out.
Remove oil and what fills the void?.... could it be ground water?
The submitter "dstates" has presented the results of study as being essentially Israel vs the rest of the region. This is coming from his bias & not the study itself as the video is centered on the Tigris/Euphates basin (Turkey/Syria/Iraq) where the loss of water reserves is much more severe.
Because you see, a Palestinian suffering from thirst is apparently somehow worse than an Iraqi...
Democracy is a sheep and two wolves deciding what to have for lunch. Freedom is a well armed sheep contesting the issue
HHO powered vehicles...
We have invented modern taboos, such as any restriction on any person wanting to do anything in any place at any time is bad, and not only is it bad, but it's literally Hitler.
China isn't fooled, and so they're not only limiting population, but using eugenics to improve the abilities of their population.
It's going to be interesting when the next war comes about. Chinese supermen versus the obese sofa-bound citizens of Western liberal democracies.
Generally I agree. The exception might be spaceflight cheap enough to displace most of our population to Mars.
I watched the documentary "Ice Pirates" back in the 80s. It shows a far future without much water, and people turning to piracy to get it. I bet they never knew how quickly we'd be getting to that point.
Oh and Bruce Vilanch.
Just FYI:
In a normal, non-drought year, Israel gets seven billion cubic meters of precipitation. However, only about a quarter is collected in the aquifers or above-ground reservoirs and the Kinneret. The rest is either lost to evaporation or as surface run-off into the sea.
Two thirds of Israel’s land mass qualifies as desert (defined by annual rainfall levels below 10”). The Galilee in the north receives about 35” of rain a year and Tel Aviv about 20”, while Eilat gets only 1”. So, 2/3 of the rain in Israel falls on only 1/3 of its land mass.
Measures to Curb Consumption
In 2009 and 2010, household water consumption decreased to the lowest levels in 20 years, due to an aggressive public relations campaign as well as economic penalties.
Average bi-monthly water bill for a family of four in a major city:
Nov-Dec 2008 – NIS 308.4 - $88.11
Nov-Dec 2009 – NIS 1,189.4 - $339.82 (drought tax = NIS 680 - $194.28)
Nov-Dec 2010 – NIS 796.6 - $227.60
Non-conventional water resources: desalination and wastewater recycling
Israel’s main concern is its capacity to supply water for household use.
Domestic consumption makes up 38% of total water usage in Israel.
Israel currently supplies just under 50% of household water needs with desalinated water produced in three different facilities. Its goal is to construct a few more plants and supply all household needs by 2020.
The agriculture sector in Israel accounts for 56% of the country’s total water usage. The Water Authority aims to reduce the agriculture sector’s use of potable water so it can be saved for domestic consumption.
Where will the water for agriculture come from? High-quality purified wastewater.
Israel recycles 75% of its effluents—the highest rate in the world. Spain comes in second at 13%. Even still, vast amounts of treated water are lost to the sea simply because there are not enough reservoirs to store the water. Israel’s goal is to utilize 95% of treated wastewater by 2020, making continued reservoir construction vital.
You can live without oxygen for 3 minutes, on average, if not a bit longer.
You can live without water for 3 days, depending on the environment.
You can live without food for 3 weeks, but in the case of Americans more like 3 months.
You can live without gasoline forever.
Now, can any of you bright people guess the order of importance of the above resources ?
so they can stop raping Jordan??
I';m not the GP. Whatever man.
You know, sometimes, I get so pissed off at shit that I need troll. Just to strike out at someone - without doing harm and what better way than as an AC on /. .
I need a release. I try talking to poeple but they insist on giving advice when none was asked for - I'll ask when I want it from folks that I believe who are qualified to give it - thankyouverymuch.
I can see why the GP is so pissed off - and I'm a bleeding heart Environmentalist who thinks that mussels in the Gulf trump golf course in Atlanta - lest of all lawns in suburbia.
But that's just me and the GP probably hates my fucking guts.
No worries. Hate away. I hate him too. We're even.p/>Between us, there maybe a rational outcome. Hopefully.
Everyone else is too apathetic.
It's us noisy obnoxious two-bit opinionated assholes who make changes ....
Suck it rational person!
I wonder how much water is now being stored in the increased population of humans and domesticated animals.
Using wikipedia articles on average water in a human body and world population growth you get about 40billion liters of water being stored in humans in the year 1800, up to 280billion liters being stored in humans in the year 2012. A more indepth study would be interesting.
For desalination and filtering plants, it seems one of the bigger obstacles is energy. So if we had cheap (renewable) energy, we could also have more abundant potable water .
Let's hurry up and evolve to live off salt water. Go forth, and have sex with sweaty people.
Like electricity to the home, in 100 years politicians will be taxing it.
Actually, it already is basically taxed - at least in the US. Most of the water systems are municipal operated. Call it a fee or a tax...the money is going to the government at some level.
"A plan fiendishly clever in its intricacies"- Homer Simpson
Any beef with each other? Did you miss anything? Yes, absolutely! :)
There's certainly the external threat from Iran, and the Shi'a population in many of the countries are less than happy with their Sunni rulers. Did I mention Iran? They're quite protective of Shi'as; be it during the recent uprising in Bahrain or the current war in Yemen [on Saudi Arabia's border]. There's always the threat of homegrown terrorists who wish to establish a theocratic state (Sunni). Saudi Arabia has been battling its own extremists for years now. Iraq already attacked Kuwait once and wanted to move on Saudi Arabia. Today Iraq is mostly a threat because of instability.
However you seem to have missed the real point of the GCC's plan; to come together and create a confederation for economic and social development. They're not banding together because of threats - they're planning ahead. How long will the oil last? What do they live off afterwards? They have to develop their economies, industries, educate and train the population and be less reliant on foreign workers [from Asia and the West].
As for India and Pakistan, that's not their problem as those are Asian countries. Israel is obviously not loved by the GCC countries.
Does fracking require fresh water? Why not use salt water / dirty water.
Some people die at 25 and aren't buried until 75. -Benjamin Franklin
I'm assuming you're referring to nuclear warfare here; if wrong, please correct.
I don't know if any nation at this point intends to use its nukes except if (a) someone else launches first or (b) it is invaded and the invaders are winning.
It's too unstable to use except as a final act.
The core philosophy behind them is that preserving "the earth" is more important than preserving man.
Wrong. The core philosophy is that those two concepts are one and the same.
Teddy was an avid hunter. Hunters are, without question, the most conservation minded people I know. I realize it's common to think of them as the big bad hunters killing animals but anyone who knows anything about hunting understands it is much much more than that. Teddy understood that well.
Modern day tree huggers? Not so much....
Fracking trades water for energy, and lack of water limits fracking in many parts of th world.
So what we need is less water!
Here come the zombie creating virus we are all now preparing for .....
We have been warned by Hollywood countless times, yet our greed still pushes us to go out there and bring back
things that are not from here.... mmmmm... wonder what sort of DNA might be encased inside the meteor that
some scientist could bring back to life.....
We will ship them one gallon of water for every fifty gallons of sweet crude oil they ship us. Or maybe we can just save a lot of trouble and let the mid-east dry out and blow away.
Do I get an inkling that Israel will claim that water is a national defense issue and usurp more land?
Well, not really. Israel imports substantial quantities of grain (approximately 80% of local consumption) What does that have to do with water? Grain trade is essentially a trade of water, in concentrated form. Growing wheat, for example, takes 584 lbs of water per lb of crop produced (it might even be worse, since I'm not sure if that is the entire wheat plant or just the grain). So importing 1 lb of wheat equates to importing about 600 lb of water. Maybe we think "water" means drinking water or taking showers, but that is a minuscule fraction of overall usage.
So this is an anti-fracking post. I was wondering what the subtext was.
The Turks have built numerous dams on the Euphrates 'n Tigris & their tributaries & are diverting a significant percentage of their waters that traditionally flowed through to Syria & Iraq.
In some cases this could be considered an act of war.
The Turks have built numerous dams on the Euphrates 'n Tigris & their tributaries & are diverting a significant percentage of their waters that traditionally flowed through to Syria & Iraq.
In some cases this could be considered an act of war.
Just this month new wind-farm energy dropped in cost to the point that it's now cheaper per kilowatt hour than new coal fired electricity generation. BTW that includes taking into account issues related to storage & peak loads.
The fact is that the 500 000 Israeli settlers in their colonial outposts in the occupied West Bank use about ten times the water that the millions of Palestinians do in the West Bank. Fact is it's the gardens, farms, pastures, groves & orchids of West Bank Palestinians that are the most efficient Water wise - they have no choice, the Israeli settlers steal 95% of their water.
What the fuck? We're not running out of water. What we don't have is storage.
(Speaking for the US here, but) the civil engineers have, for decades, engineered every city to make water RUN OFF as fast as possible, downhill.
Then we wonder why the Mississippi and the Ohio and the Missouri fucking flood every year.
But it's fucking ILLEGAL up here in Colorado, where the water falls highest, to dig a wee pond to hold some, or even to put a rain barrel at the bottom of your downspout.
This isn't a science problem, it's a political problem. Oh, and hey, watch this! We stop so much water running back to the ocean... we check those rising sea levels!
There's oceans full of water that evaporate into fresh water and fall on the land... but only so much falls in a year. Hold the water ON THE LAND. This is a fuckin' no-brainer, people. Get out the bulldozers, build ponds, cut swales, trap the water.
That I'm right, and you don't like it, doesn't mean I'm a troll.
At the rate of lacking water accessibility we should consider the obvious need that people have: *) Water Yes, one simple thing - water. Should we deprecate gold as being the finite value of things and replace it with water? /J
# # #
We're at seven billion people now. Do you think that number is going to go down?
I agree with you.
Here's what fuzzy is parroting:
This argument, which is not proven science, suggests the following: as technology and wealth improve likelihood of survival, people tend to have fewer children. That which technology does not do, birth control will also.
The main evidence for this, in this article's view, is that in fewer than half of the nations on earth, population growth has declined, and it took us as a whole longer to add the 7th billionth person than it has to add the previous billion.
The article is shoddy science for a number of reasons.
First, the nations that are declining in population tend to be the wealthier ones or ones aided by immigration in becoming so. Related to that is that the nations which are dropping in birth rate are importing large immigrant populations.
Second, the delay in adding the seventh billion may have very little significance. A few tragedies or droughts, some instability or disease, and a delay can happen. That's even assuming our estimates are right, since we're estimating that seven billion and when it occurred.
Finally, the article ignores the path of history. The poorer tend to outproduce the wealthier, which tends to make wealthy nations poorer and less stable, which tends to increase the birth rate as well.
Further, many of our magic cures like antibiotics are no longer guaranteed barriers to disease. In addition, many diseases are mutating. Life expectancy rates of a modern nature may be a blip on the radar.
As you noted, we're already at a stressing point. We don't need to look much farther than the collapse of fish stocks to see that we're trying to feed too many people.
The Slate article is suspect for another reason: Slate tends to pump out these feelgood articles every year or so encouraging us not to think about any problem that contradicts popular notions of fre
Rev. 16:12 Then the sixth angel poured out his bowl on the great river Euphrates, and its water was dried up, so that the way of the kings from the east might be prepared.
so they can stop raping Jordan??
Ah yes, your deep interest and breadth of knowledge of the subject are overpowering. ... ... ...
"The Israel-Jordan Treaty of Peace serves as an excellent example of how value can be created and trust can be enhanced. It also demonstrates how innovative technologies and a collaborative administration can not only facilitate problem solving but also introduce important means for enhancing sustainable solutions that are acceptable to all sides.
Technological and scientific creativity facilitated the section of the treaty dealing with water (Annex II). The treaty specifies that Israel may extract twelve million cubic meters (MCM) of water during the summer and thirteen MCM in the winter from the Yarmouk River. In exchange, Jordan is allowed to “store” twenty MCM of its water in Lake Tiberias in Israel during the winter. Israel agreed to help Jordan find additional water using desalination technology. This dovetailed nicely with Israel’s long-term desalination program. (In fact, in its recently released National Water Plan, Israel stated that it intends to meet 70 percent of its water needs through desalination by 2040).
Escaping the trap of zero-sum thinking means recognizing that water is not a fixed resource. When water is conserved or used more efficiently, it is as if more water were added to the supply side of the equation. Since the 1950s, Israel has worked to develop new technologies, such as drip irrigation, that use much less water than traditional methods. Jordan and Israel have both worked to improve their water infrastructure so less is lost to leakage and evaporation. Both Israel and Jordan also reclaim wastewater for agriculture and desalinate seawater. These methods formed an important part of the 1994 peace treaty, where Israel received groundwater rights in exchange for increasing the supply of desalinated water that it could share with Jordan.
Because Jordan has highly seasonal flows and no water storage capacity, the Jordanians needed a system that allowed them to transfer water into Israel’s Lake Tiberias in the winter. They had to be able to count on Israel to release that water back to Jordan during the summer. Because the Jordanians believed that the treaty would be honored, they now have the water they need during the summer. Thus, more water was not actually created through this storage-and-release commitment, but the arrangement allowed more effective use of the available supply. If negotiators from different countries can focus on ways of increasing their “virtual” water supplies through cooperation, then they are not as likely to get bogged down in disputes over who gets how much of a limited supply."
http://www.sciencediplomacy.org/perspective/2012/water-diplomacy
In being able to drink the ocean long before freshwater supplies dry up.
...about a million gallons. Tasty, too; I drink it.
Let's trade for some oil, gold, whatever.
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