There Is Plenty To Cut At the Pentagon
Hugh Pickens writes "William D. Hartung, director of the Arms and Security Project at the Center for International Policy, writes that although we have been bombarded with tales of woe about the potentially devastating impacts of cutting the Pentagon budget 8% under the sequester, examples of egregious waste and misplaced spending priorities at the Pentagon abound. One need look no further than the department's largest weapons program, the F-35 combat aircraft, which has just been grounded again after a routine inspection revealed a crack on a turbine blade in the jet engine of an F-35 test aircraft in California. Even before it has moved into full-scale production, the plane has already increased in price by 75%, and it has so far failed to meet basic performance standards. By the Pentagon's own admission, building and operating three versions of the F-35 — one for the Air Force, one for the Navy and one for the Marines — will cost more than $1.4 trillion over its lifetime, making it the most expensive weapons program ever undertaken. And in an era in which aerial combat is of diminishing importance and upgraded versions of current generation U.S. aircraft can more than do the job, it is not at all clear that we need to purchase more than 2,400 of these planes. Cutting the two most expensive versions of the F-35 will save over $60 billion in the next decade."
As an Aussie who saw the Howard government jump on board with Bush on this overpriced boondoggle (without even considering if other aircraft, American, European or otherwise were suitable for our needs at a cheaper price), cutting it completly and forcing Australia to evaluate ALL the options for aircraft suitable for our defense needs would be a good thing.
I especially love this statement: " By the Pentagon's own admission, building and operating three versions of the F-35 — one for the Air Force, one for the Navy and one for the Marines — will cost more than $1.4 trillion over its lifetime, making it the most expensive weapons program ever undertaken". The implication being even the military thinks it too much, which they don't. Such a statement implies something that doesnt exist, and conveniently ignores that the entire reason for developing a common platform for multiple roles is to save money. Yes, that one single platform is 1.4T. But the thinking was that 3 separate weapon systems to update all 3 branches at would cost even more. When properly executed this type of program does work; shared parts commonality is a real savings. When poorly executed you can end up with an unusable product (re: Naval version of the F-111 that was too heavy and unmaneuverable)
Point is, yes, the man from the CIP, a group dedicated to the eradication of the world's militaries, but particularly the US military, thinks we should cut the military.
Shocking. I love how people for various things never call their organization by their true intentions, but always give it something normal and official sounding, to create a built in bias towards thinking they are legit when they call for things.
The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
And always at the neck. Putting the blame in the dot that is at the very tip of the iceberg makes simple people forget the 10% of it that is over the water, and normal people forget the 90% is below. If just gets considered the cost of starting wars (cyber and real world ones, even if they are disguised as humanitarian, or supporting rebels, or whatever), preserving the (corporate) order, or plainly stripping privacy/spying to all the world, including US citizens, would be evident where the real waste is.
Since the turbine blade cracked, lets look at assembly lines. Did you know the USAF puts 200 of its members on staff at a turbine production plant for quality assurance, and that's just 1 of many engine types they use? Compare and contrast that with all of the major airlines. They operate using the manufacturers warranty. They have nobody on the production lines. It works just fine. That's 200 jobs to cut and save on, but that goes against the grain in bureaucracy because everybody wants to be managing the most amount of people, so no matter how logical the cost reduction, they often are thrown out to further personal ambitions.
Afghanistan? Why not from everywhere around the world?
Look at the Pentagon suppliers for extracting as much money as they can from our defense spending. Good ole Capitalism at its worst.... sucking a Country dry just to engorge defense contractors' executives.
I think that using "tens of thousands of our nation's best and brightest engineers" to build something more useful instead would be a good choice.
There is a case for keeping the F-35B. It is to replace the aging and very outdated Harrier. One of the next hot spots is North Africa. The French and Europeans may not be able to handle it. VSTOL aircraft become very important in those areas and there are no runways to handle conventional jets. Yes, there are drones that can operate in those areas but they do not deal well with dispersed targets like troops on the ground. A drone is a sniper while a ground attacks jet is a machine gun.
If you fired at least 50% of the civilian employees, you would probably barely notice a dent in military readiness since most of the DoD's work is done by the uniformed services and contractors.
Exactly. The sequester is better than nothing at all, but it is frustrating to me that these cuts are across the board. Maybe that's the only way to do it given the current political situation, but not all government is bad - there are a lot of effective government programs that live right alongside the bloated, wasteful ones. Ideally we would cut heavily in the latter and not so much (or even expand) the former. But of course, then someone must determine which category everything falls into ...
There is no need to cut programs or funding. If the Pentagon wants to save billions per year, simply fix the acquisitions process. Pretty much every single defense program in development and production runs over in time and budget. If we simply hold the contractors to the terms of their contracts, we will save tons of money and have equipment that works. Contracts are always underestimated in terms of the time frame and the cost, and yet companies that constantly overrun these still get preferential treatment when it comes to the next contract. And heaven forbid there's a fair competition for a bid: if one of the main contractors doesn't win the bid, they push for and usually get a reevaluation from the military for the bid, and usually end up getting the contract. A simple fix off the top of my head would be that, should a contractor not be able to adhere to the terms of the contract, they should be unable to bid on another contract for a certain period of time. Any other business that was constantly late and over budget would stop getting work and go out of business; so why do we tolerate it with defense companies? We need a strong military, and we need new, modern equipment. What we don't need are programs that run 3-4x over their stated costs or take 15-20 years instead of 10.
The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
The US military should only be used like a flame thrower, to reduce the temptation to meddle, not like a scaple which encourages just that and has kept us at war for the past 90 years.
False dichotomy. If the DoD can't justify spending that money, they won't (look at NASA). Cutting programs like these merely reduce the demand for engineers, it doesn't offer our country any advantages.
while(1) attack(People.Sandy);
We're not broke people. Really. We're not. This is what people in politics call a "Narrative". It's a story to get you to vote a certain way. Specifically to vote for massive tax cuts for the rich so they can pocket all the gains in productivity from the last 50 years.
Cut all the "Waste" you want. It'll never come close or be a drop in the bucket against what the ultra wealthy are taking from you on a daily basis. I tell ya man, dog eat dog capitalism for the poor, socialism for the wealthy...
Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
It also employs tens of thousands of our nation's best and brightest engineers..
Who are unavailable for other tasks due to this programm.
and almost all of it goes to labor (and a big chunk returns in taxes, if not all in economic activity)
As would almost any other type of spending. The difference is, you get planes instead of schools, highways, vaccines or what else could be done with the money.
Also, the money for this programm is coming from taxes so not spending the money at all creates purchasing power all accross the population which might be the best thing for welfare and economy.
If the DoD can't justify spending that money, they won't
Of course they will. The DoD is subject to congressional pork just like everyone else - just look at how difficult it was to cancel F-22 production, even though the DoD said they didn't need any more.
It was difficult to cut the F22, because it was expensive to cut the F22. They have a hard time swallowing that if they ever need more than a couple hundred planes, the cost of spinning back up will be far more than the savings from not getting another couple hundred planes.
while(1) attack(People.Sandy);
I guess there is no longer a need for your services.
I am very small, utmostly microscopic.
There's two separate issues here. The first is the F-35. The other is the offhand comment that sequestration isn't such a bad thing because it'll force the Pentagon to make much needed cuts. I deal with government contractors a lot at work and am a little familiar with the sequestration process, so I can tell you that unfortunately, it just doesn't work that way. With a normal defense budget cut passed by Congress it might. But if sequestration goes into effect, many of the funding cuts are across the board and automatic. The Pentagon often always get to say what is or isn't cut. This means that important stuff gets cut along with the unimportant, because sequestration isn't always based on military necessity. It also means that there will be cuts that don't even make sense. Here's an example. Say that you've got a project to build a submarine. Suddenly sequestration says that you can only do 50% of the project. How do you pull that off? It's a ship. You can't build half of a sub, unless you want to build the bottom half of the hull and row it around like a big kayak. You might try building half the sub now and putting off the rest till later. But by then your hull's gotten rusty and you have to fix it, and the workers have to be rehired, and you end up paying more than if you'd just built the whole thing in the first place. So if you want stuff like the F-35 to get canceled, the right thing to do it is to try to get it cancelled in congress. The generalized sequestration cuts won't target the waste, and will in the end actually create more expenses that we have to pay off.
There is a case for keeping the F-35B. It is to replace the aging and very outdated Harrier.
not a compelling argument. tech has moved on, yes. so has the enemy. fight smarter, not more expensively
No, America's RPVs will always be the best, we can take out anyone anywhere in the world at the touch of a button, without a pilot and for so little cost it's clear the government would use it so much more they're terrified of people calling "skynet!" The old military systems are like PDP-10 processors in an iPhone world.
The F-series has run its course. It's time we admitted it and built a new, cheaper, more agile force without feathering the nests of the fat military contractors.
So over it's service life it would cost roughly the same amount as putting solar panels on 40 million homes. One unneeded airplane that has yet to see a day of service. There's plenty of money to solve our problems it's all being wasted!
OK, so you think this is a one off aberrantcy? That the military requisition and supply chain basically works?
Check this out. This new concept for a troop carrier has been in the works since 2006, hasn't produced anything other than some parts and a bunch of reports and is on target to create something heavier than an M1A1 tank. Just to carry nine soldiers.
If you can't even get a truck right, how are you supposed to develop something actually complicated?
"An elephant - a mouse built to government specifications" (Heinlein)
Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
If the US wold not employ the brightest engineers for military stuff, but would let build them useful things, the US would not be that much behind on those nice technologies for renewable energy (solar panels), electronics, like displays, flash rams, mobile phone, hard drives, car manucatoring, tooling, steel production, trains.
But yes, they developed the most expensive military airplane. Even the EU was not able to waste that much money on the so called Eurofighter (Typhoon). Ok the French separated and spent money on Rafale which is quite similar to the Typhoon.
Rafale: € 64 mio
Typhoon: € 90 mio
F35C: € 180 mio
The is no other way. However, it would be more sensible to find a world governance concept without someone being at the top. But it looks like, that the US overstreched their resources already and are replaced by the Chinese, who will then "rule" for a while until they can't afford being at the top.
We Brits could then convert our not-yet built and now completely useless carriers into novelty cruise liners or something!
A reality show - Catapulting for Stars... Have to think about this, but there are possibilities.
Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
What is the power that kings etc. abuse most? What did our founders, who had experience in such matters, write the constitution for?
To prevent power from concentrating into the hands of one person. To make it hard for the government to start a war without a lot of public buy in. To make it hard for the government to arbitrarily spy on you. To make it hard for the government to arbitrarily imprison you. To make it hard for the government to arbitrarily execute you. The structure of the US government and the Bill of Rights were designed to avoid the insanity of European monarchies.
Look at where we are now:
-- Libya: President can wage war even in the face of congressional disapproval. Result: unlimited power to make war, like a king.
-- FISA, AT&T immunity: Any American can have their privacy violated without so much as bogus warrant.
-- Due Process Free Detention: When the "world is a battlefield" and the enemy is an idea ("terrorism"), there is no limit to where this abuse of human rights can be practiced, and no possible victory conditions defining when the abuse may end.
-- Due process Free Execution: See due process free detention.
Seems to me we don't need to worry about fighting off kings and popes or power mongers abroad. The threat is right here at home -- one we pay for and vote for -- in essence, we are subsidizing our own subjugation.
What changed under Obama? Nothing Good
but besides a strong federal government what do you suggest can stand it's ground against the uber-wealthy? Join or die you know.
I think we forget just how much power the wealthy had up until the end of WWII. What changed was that since everyone came back a war hero they finally felt some entitlement. The felt they'd earned something besides a nasty & brutish death. We've lost site of that. It's the opposite of an entitlement complex. Mitt Romney said that what's wrong with the 47% is they feel entitled to food, housing and healthcare, and nobody though to ask what the hell is wrong with that? Who ISN'T entitle to that?
Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
What is the point of a carrier fleet if you need bases on the ground in Africa?
There's no advanced AA and also no real standing armies to fight. Drones which can loiter will rule the day, and strike missions could be run from carriers easily since they're not going to need the fuel for combat manoeuvering against non-existent air defenses.
Are you arguing to cut spending or to spend the money elsewhere?
I highly doubt the engineers working on the f-35 would be suitable for working on schools, highways, vaccines. However, their use of the materials and applied sciences with pave he way to make those schools, highways, vaccines better through technologies developed to handle the extremes the f-35 will be subject to.
That's actually how most things work, you know. If you buy 400 of something all at once, it's cheaper than buying 200 now and 200 later.
But it's also almost always cheaper to buy 200 total than to buy 400 total no matter how you order them. Just like everyone else, the military needs to figure out what they need when they place the order and they need to get it right or expect additional costs.
The people who agree with your argument to not cut the F22 think they know better than the military how many F22's the military needs. Seems kind of arrogant to me.
The preferred solution is to not have a problem.
If you apply a 20% reduction to the number of pentagon sides, it shrinks to a square. You can go further, and apply a 40% reduction so that it becomes a triangle. But if you apply a 60% cut the pentagon shrinks to a segment. As a consequence workers will find quite difficult to move along the only remaining hallway. The consequences of a 80% cut are left as an exercise to the reader. It should also be obvious that applying cuts that are not multiple of 20% will change the pentagon into a fractal shape, with unpredictable consequences over the productivity of people working inside.
I think that some trimming of the fat is long overdue for the military. It will force them to think about what is really necessary, what is "nice to have", and what is obsolete. It might even force the politicians to think a little more carefully about how the military is used and what its role is supposed to be. (Fat chance?)
As a current member of the DoD acquisition community, there is definitely waste, and nobody knows it more than the insiders. I have a few theories on the subject. One problem is that we are so risk adverse and afraid of buying the next $500 hammer or $600 toilet seat that we have imposed $500 worth of bureaucracy on every $30 dollar hammer we buy. Individual accountability is lost to the system. The entire acquisition process is mindbogglingly complex. I've been to a bunch of acquisition training courses. None of them taught me how to actually do my job "better", all they really did was teach me how to navigate the small piece of the system that I needed to deal with. Most of this crap is mandatated by law. Every time there is some fiasco a new set of checks and balances is imposed, rather than just firing the guy responsible.
Secondly, programs like F-35 are driven at least 51% by political considerations and marketing, not technical or military considerations. For example, what is plan B if F-35 doesn't work out? Answer- None. Not because there couldn't be one, but because if there was one it would jeopardize F-35, so all competition had to be crushed. Why no alternate engine from GE? STOVL is a joke. Why do we want a single engine stealth 5th gen fighter to ever be forward deployed close to the troops (F-35B)? It has nothing to do with real military utility, it has everything to do with keeping partners (RN, Italy) on board. F-35 is not popular in the services, outside of the F-35 program. It is sucking everything else dry.
Now, on the discussion of the current impending cuts. The problem is that it is across the board, with very limited ability for the services to "reprogram" money (move it from one pot to another). Yea, we could probably solve the whole thing by just cancelling F-35, and buy a few more F-16/F-15/FA-18s to get by for a few years, but the services do not have that ability. They have to cut everything equally. This means the fat get skinny, and the skinny (programs that are already at the bone) get dead. In the Navy we've got holes in runways that are not going to get fixed, because repair and construction budgets are cut. Meanwhile, there is an Air Force base that is going to have to stop watering the golf course.
On September 10th, 2001 Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld announced the pentagon could not track 2.3 trillion dollars. To this day, the Pentagon cannot be accurately audited For an institution with organization and discipline as its creed this is laughable. If Congress mandated that they would not receive one penny in funding until they got their house in order this problem would be solved overnight. Unfortunately the power of fear, obstinate Militarism, and the federal reserve corporations ability to manufacture unlimited debt provides no impetus for Congress to take the necessary corrective action.
If a nation expects to be ignorant and free, in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be-T J
You mean Pakistan, that's where most of the Taliban hang out. And the Pakistanis would get their turbans in a twist all over again after the U.S. nailed their adopted favorite son.
So you are saying, the number of engineers and teachers available shall define how much is spent on military engineering and schools?
I believe that demand shall define the amount. If there are not enough engineers to meet this demand efforts shall be made to get more (either through education or hiring abroad). If there are more engineers than needed for military engineering there are two options:
- don't give government money to them and leave it to them to find other useful work
- use government money to hire these engineers for non military projects that are needed
But dveloping airplanes just because you have the engineers is a stupid waste of tax money.
This statement is just wishful thinking "we have more troops than we need in a world in which we will no longer focus on fighting large, boots-on-the-ground conflicts like the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan." Yes, the same thing was said after every single war in the 20th century as well, and was the mantra of the 90s after the Soviet Union fell. No one thought we would be fighting the kinds of wars that happened in late 90s (Serbia, Bosnia, etc.), or the Watson the early 21st century and yet here we are. This is just wishful, hopeful thinking, sure a world without wars like Afghanistan seem possible but let's face facts we didnt suddenly inherit a world filled with peaceful stable nations. There are plenty of screwed situations in the world that will likely cause more wars.
The realy problem with the pentagon is the procurement system. Things costs too much because weapons platform developers can get modifications to their contracts, which means more money, if they don't deliver. They basically play games with the contract, unbidden with a partial solution that appears complete to dod, a well written contract, wich means they did what they said, yt need more money to deliver a complete product. It's all very legal, but its so prevalent that its a sick joke in dod.
Python
"Every gun that is made, every warship launched, every rocket fired signifies, in the final sense, a theft from those who hunger and are not fed, those who are cold and not clothed. This world in arms is not spending money alone. It is spending the sweat of its laborers, the genius of its scientists, the hopes of its children. This is not a way of life at all in any true sense. Under the cloud of threatening war, it is humanity hanging from a cross of iron."
Just a bit of wisdom on this subject from some pacifist coward named Dwight Eisenhower.
I am officially gone from
Listen, if you told the pentagon- we are cutting 10%. You decide where.
A few bad programs might be retained (generals personal favorites) but a lot of bad programs would be cut.
But congress decides. The pentagon tried cutting the laser plane multiple times and congress insisted that it be continued because a powerful congressman had jobs depending on it.
So we need to cut 10% but probably a lot of bad programs will be retained and a few good ones will be cut.
She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
"Trust fund," riiiight.
Know where that "Trust fund" is invested? The safest investment there is: treasury bonds. Know who backs treasury bonds? The treasury, AKA taxes from you and me. Know what the government did with the money it took from selling itself those bonds? Spent it.
So when those bonds mature, guess who's gonna have to pay out?
This is Krugman's idea of a sustainable system. Heh.
My Other Computer Is A Data General Nova III.
Wow, common sense modded down to 0, Troll. I guess there really is a cabal.
"Those who consume the bulk of goods are those who make them. We must never forget this secret of our prosperity."
Nothing.
"Those who consume the bulk of goods are those who make them. We must never forget this secret of our prosperity."
Nice simplistic solution with no solution whatsoever. It is very easy. to say "fight smarter" but much harder to actually do it. By the way, modern fighting will always be more expensive; it is called inflation.
Carrirrs are for coastal areas; Persian gulf, North Korea, Coastal Africa, etc. When one gets a few hundred miles from the coast, carrier aircraft get very ineffective as the spend most of their fuel getting to and from the target.
Drones which can loiter will rule the day,
Combat range of a F-18 Super Hornet is 390 nm. To get to North East Mali it would be 1100 nm. Even with 25% more range that would mean 3 refuelings. At a reasonable cruise speed of 300 knots that would take over 7 hours to get there. Then there is loiter time. To keep a sortie to 8 hours, a very long one for a fighter pilot, and keep one aircraft available over Mali it would require 8 aircraft in the air. Or they could have a vtsol aircraft on the ground within 300 miles. Another issue is speed of deployment and support costs. Do deploy an F-35B would require a few tons of supplies a few maintenance personnel, the aircraft and the pilot. To deploy an F-18A takes a carrier attack group. An F-35B can deploy at a speed of 300+ knots while a carrier group can deploy at 25 knots. Basically they get there faster with a much smaller tail.
A Predator drone can carry 2 Hellfire missiles for a total payload of 200lbs. Combat range of a F-18 Super Hornet is 390 nm. An F-35B can carry 15,000 lbs. It would take 75 drones to carry the payload of one F-35B . Drones are good for dealing with single or concentrated targets. They are almost useless against dispersed infantry in cover. They are great for surveillance but useless for attack. Again, sniper vs machine gun.
Ah, you'll still need your carriers. Given the rate at which the UK constructing Sharia courts and importing people who believe in (over UK law) then you'll need the carriers for sure to wage jihad against unbelievers who haven't yet converted (although France may beat you to it given current demographic trends). I jest - or do I ? :)
Currently American taxpayers fund the defense of Europe and Asia. This is like you providing for, and paying for, electrical service to your neighbor. Were we a wee bit smarter, we would withdraw all military personnel and equipment worldwide and only return on condition that the country in question pay *us* with a reasonable profit thrown in, of course.
Please do not read this sig. Thank you.
Notice how things are going in Syria? I suspect a revolution in the US would be as bad or worse for civilians caught up in it.
The current sequester will indeed cause a lot of problems, and this is rather useless at point that out. The current sequestration requires ALL PROGRAMS to cut 15%. So, the F-35 will have a 15% cut and the guys who maintain the A10s will have a 15% cut, the janitor will have a 15% cut, and the security will have a 15% cut. This is the problem with the sequestration. This was actually on purpose, to make sure that congress actually took care of everything. The thought was that no one would be stupid enough to let this go through, and at the very least the would modify it so that they could cut a weapons research program before cutting the budget for the furnace at the office.
Even if we get past the stupidity of the sequestration, we are still left with the fact that many of the cuts that managers want to make don't align with what cuts congressmen want to make. A great example is that the military knows that operating so many bases is a huge drain on their resources, and it would be much easier to operate a few large bases like Ft. Hood. Unfortunately, a base closure will raise the ire of the local congressman because it hurts the local economy so he fights to keep it. Government organizations have two customers: the public and the congress. They have to make sure that they operate in a way that pleases the public, but then they also have to operate in a way that pleases as many congressmen as possible.
Finally, the bulk of the programs which are being discussed are not the bulk of our spending. DoD and discretionary spending(FAA, Parks, Dept. of etc) only account for about 35% of total spending. Considering that our deficit is about 35%, the only way that this would even balance out is if we zeroed ALL of it. This would mean that every single department of the federal government ceased to exist. No more Departments.(Except for perhaps the treasury). If we did this, we would have no more deficit. Even the most idealistic conservative would agree that this is insane. We can't get rid of the patent office, for example. This entire debate is somewhat pointless.
The only options that would actually be feasible would be some combination of the following: Reducing benefits for social programs, some tweaking of regular government spending, and higher taxes. This isn't an opinion. The only optional part of that is that you might be able to avoid any government tweaks with much higher taxes, but that seems unlikely to pass. This is why the entire thing is so silly. Everyone in Washington knows the score, they just don't want to be the one who has to be the messenger to their constituents.
The truly sad thing about all of this is that Social Security is probably going to get hurt in the process. It is sad because social security has its own paycheck tax(OASDI), and the program has a massive surplus credit. It is just that Washington raided Social Security to pay for other programs, and now that Social Security cannot pay its own way(despite having generated trillions in surplus), people are suggesting that it is a bankrupt program. I don't mention this to make any argument about the program itself, but rather to use it as an example of how much of the argument is manipulated to take advantage of the short memories and general naivety of the American voter. Only in Washington would someone agree to a plan that paid dividends for 40 years but eventually would require interest and go along with it happily until the first bill showed up.
Actually, I was saying that not spending the money in one area does not automagically mean those engineers can be useful or productive in another. But now that you mention it, Yes, the amount of engineers trained should dictate where the money is spent when it comes to defense. And this is not out of line with your entire " efforts shall be made to get more" statement.
You see, a certain amount of military engineers need to be employed at all times in order to continue to advance military technology else we will find ourselves like Russia was at the start of WWII or even worse yet, like Iran and Iraq are today. It's not that they do not have engineers to solve problems for them, it's specifically that they do not have the advanced military engineering capabilities and instead rely on purchasing technology and stockpiling it as other countries develop and implement, then determine it ok to sell to them.
I don't really care what your opinion on that is, we need those engineers and the military tech to advance otherwise we will end up in world wars when crazy idiots do it.
talked about "eviscerating" defense? Or are you talking about all those horses and bayonets?
Again, Narrative. But nice try there.
Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
This one.
Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
also the debt tends to be compounded by a) interest and b) the fact that the super rich use the debt as an excuse to lobby for smaller gov't, which in turn means lower taxes.
/.er's sig: For every complex problem there is a simple solution that is also wrong.
That's sort of the problem. The Narrative is simple: Big gov't has us all Tax to The Max (tm) so we need to cut spending NOW! Simple right? But the trouble is the actual effect is complex. Re-read the first sentence I wrote. It's a complex multi-step trick build on simple rhetoric that appeals to common sense. The trouble is the world isn't simple, and common sense doesn't work.
To put it another way I'll borrow a fellow
Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
Yes, the amount of engineers trained should dictate where the money is spent when it comes to defensse
What if the wrong amount of engineers has been trained? Don't you think it would be wiser to analyze how many engineers are needed to achieve the goals that you are describing and than find projects for them? (You know, this is the demand thing I was talking about) Instead of blindly assuming that the amount of engineers currently available is the right number due to some hidden magic?
This is not entirely true. I work for a small federal regulatory agency. We are not cutting our budget equally across the board on all funding areas. For example, our agency brass has decided that nobody will be furloughed or lose their job and that all the cuts will be taken from contracting funds. And of that, the majority will come from research projects. So an 8% cut to our agency budget is translating to a 40% budget cut to research projects and some other contracts. The agency senior management then asked each low level Division to identify the projects that would be cut in order to add up to the 40%. Each Branch Chief/Division Director was given discretion as to whether they wanted to take a little bit from all of his/her projects, or to simply prioritize each project and then start cutting whole programs from the bottom up until the 40% was reached.
I was offered a chance to work on the "Crusader" program back in about 2001. A mobile howitzer. The idea is sound, but the program was pork all the way. One company doing the software in Minneapolis, another building the chassis in Oklahoma City, some assembly in Denver, basically parts of it were being worked on in all 50 states. So the lobbyest gets to tell the local congress critter that they will be loosing jobs in their state if they cut the program. Well the "Crusader" got cut, but go look at the "Non-Line-of-Site-Cannon", same technology, same do part in every state.
Find your favorite program that is happening in the defense industry. It probably falls in the same pattern, one or more contractor partners have work being done in several states they don't really need that much stuff being done but, it helps keep the lobbyests have a good argument to not cut the program.
The cost of a "program" like this is the lifetime. That is crew training, maintenance, fuel, and every dollar spent on the airplane over its lifetime. Buy several thousand, and guess what, it adds up to a trillion. How many cars are planned to last 30 years, but hey the F-35 variants will be around in 2043, just like the Harrier that was build in the 1970's is still around. It is a different mind set. Sure each new program will cost more than the last one, partially due to pork, but mostly due to simple inflation. The Harrier is really that old, and the F-35 makes a solid replacement for it. The F-16 is almost that old, and there needs to be something else in line for it's replacement (although one could argue, that the F-16 probably has 20 years left in it). The navy really doesn't need it, but it is probably cheaper to operate than an F-18. (It won't replace the A-10, no way, it is too fast, and
I wouldn't fly that so close to the ground. The A-10 has more armor, and two engines, and a bigger gun, it just make sense to have a medium straight winged airplane that is built that tough helping the ground forces).
We have so many people in the pentagon pushing paper these days, it is quite inefficient. Get rid of some of the extra reporting that congress has mandated and we could afford the F-35 and the next aircraft system. (I know people will argue that there will be no more manned aircraft, but I'd believe it when I see it.) I know there is a risk someone is going to take advantage of the guvnment, heck congress has been doing it for years, I guess they hate competition (or not being able to share in the wealth).
There is always a role for a manned aircraft, not just transport (do you really want 300 people riding in a UAV? I know about autopilots, don't give me that). Fighter escorts and close air support are still going to be done with people in the aircraft.
I, for one, wish to welcome our new Anonymous overlords...
Correct Horse Battery Staple: 72 bits of entropy. Enter "Correct H" into google. When it generates the phrase, that's
If you want a first class military capable of defending against all threats known and possibly unknown, you will continually need to create a demand for the engineers and they will continually engineer worth while technology and products with a few failures in between. Some of this tech will be transferred to the private sector and you will benefit from it as well.
We do not live in world where a civilian can just up and grab a gun and defend the country as the only thing necessary any more. We do not live in a world where if we fall behind in our tech and one of our allies decides to become an enemy, we can defend ourselves after the fact because of how advanced and efficient the military forces are. For every measure we create to create strength, an enemy can defeat given enough time. For every defense an enemy can defeat, we lose the advantage and make it more likely military will need to be used.
Defense tech is not like a company where you can compare expenses verses profit. We gave up fighting for spoils of war a long time ago. When an ally or enemy advances enough to make our technology inferior, we either replace it with superior tech or become ineffective and unable to defend ourselves. Of course there is a measure of how many engineers are needed and how many contractors are needed, that is dictated by the abilities of technology. Right now, as we speak, the taliban in Afghanistan and Pakistan can use foreign tech to find where our drones and air craft are so they can avoid detection and capture/confrontation on our terms. Missiles and drone strikes are still killing innocent civilians on those areas. It is not like we will need less tech, less abilities, or less capabilities to hit the bad guys while not injuring the innocents.
Current national debt is 16 Trillion. But yet, there is damn near 2 Trillion on each of these 3 Jets. Sounds like we really just don't give a shit about national debt.
I remember reading this article a while back showing how congress was forcing the military to buy equipment they didn't even want.
Lets get real here. The military could cut a ton of funds and it would have zero effect on readiness. If the military actually had control of some of these decisions instead of stupid politicians. There is a ton of equipment that the military would skip buying, or buy cheaper versions if the government would stop running the DoD as a corporate welfare program. There are lots of bases that can and should be closed and consolidated, but can't for political reasons.
The problem is not that the military is going to lose funding, it that the pork that congress pushes through the DoD in the name of national defence will go under the chopping block.
What is the power that kings etc. abuse most? What did our founders, who had experience in such matters, write the constitution for?
To prevent power from concentrating into the hands of one person. To make it hard for the government to start a war without a lot of public buy in. To make it hard for the government to arbitrarily spy on you. To make it hard for the government to arbitrarily imprison you. To make it hard for the government to arbitrarily execute you. The structure of the US government and the Bill of Rights were designed to avoid the insanity of European monarchies.
You should read some history. The American Constitution was written to make a more powerful central government while attempting to not make it too powerful. America had just gone through almost a decade of independence under the Articles of Confederation and most everyone agreed that the Articles created a useless federal government that couldn't do anything without unanimous support of the States.
That is why they gave the President way more power then the King of Great Britain had. At the time of the Revolution the King had little more power then the current Queen has. A hundred years before the American Constitution was written England had re-realized that Kings having too much power was bad,
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
Sorry for reposting, Slashdot ate part of my post.
What is the power that kings etc. abuse most? What did our founders, who had experience in such matters, write the constitution for?
To prevent power from concentrating into the hands of one person. To make it hard for the government to start a war without a lot of public buy in. To make it hard for the government to arbitrarily spy on you. To make it hard for the government to arbitrarily imprison you. To make it hard for the government to arbitrarily execute you. The structure of the US government and the Bill of Rights were designed to avoid the insanity of European monarchies.
You should read some history. The American Constitution was written to make a more powerful central government while attempting to not make it too powerful. America had just gone through almost a decade of independence under the Articles of Confederation and most everyone agreed that the Articles created a useless federal government that couldn't do anything without unanimous support of the States.
That is why they gave the President way more power then the King of Great Britain had. At the time of the Revolution the King had little more power then the current Queen has. A hundred years before the American Constitution was written England had re-realized that Kings having too much power was bad, had a (second) revolution where they kicked the King out (replacing him with a King and Queen who knew who held the power), made Parliament Supreme and wrote a Bill of Rights and most Americans at the time of the Revolution still considered themselves Englishmen and revolted as their rights as Englishmen were being infringed.
Some of those rights were ancient, the Magna Carta included Habeas Corpus and the whole point of Parliament was that the King could only tax his subjects with their approval. Being proficient with Arms was an ancient responsibility that every freeman had to meet and was written into the Bill of Rights of 1689 as a right (for self defence). Most of the other rights spelled out in the American Bill of Rights were considered ancient Rights which was why the American Englishman was so pissed at them being ignored. Parliament being Supreme had its own problems such as being to over rule the Bill of Rights with a simple law which was another driving force to write a Constitution that was Supreme.
The thing is that the American Constitution was not perfect and most of the authours considered it to be temporary with the idea that after a couple of decades a better replacement would be written based on the lessons learned.
This never happened and now we have the condition where the American President has way too much power. Congress is corrupted by the need to raise lots of money for election purposes and the Senate never did really work out.
The very first proposed Amendment tried to deal with the House of Representatives having to much power concentrated in to too few Representatives. Perhaps ratifying it would improve things, the second proposed one did finally get ratified so it is a possibility. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_proposed_amendments_to_the_United_States_Constitution#Congressional_Apportionment_Amendment
It would be good if something can be done about your list below, ideally in a non-partisan manner but is probably going to take a major Constitutional Amendment, perhaps called for by the States.
Look at where we are now:
-- Libya: President can wage war even in the face of congressional disapproval. Result: unlimited power to make war, like a king.
-- FISA, AT&T immunity: Any American c
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
Are you saying there is no future whatsoever for human-piloted fighter aircraft? "F" is just part of a name.
Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
As long as you ignore the difference between aggression and defense, pacifism makes perfect sense.
"Why are you coddling that murderer? Have you no concern for his victim?"
"His victim is dead; I can't do anything for him. Surely I can reform this murderer, who has been so badly treated by society."
Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
You argument is completely unrelated to mine.
Observe that my argument of analysing demand could well result in the observation that more engineers are needed.
It could also come to the results that there are diminishing returns and that having less engineers will result in almost the same advantage for significantly less money. A demand analysis will show which is the case.
But it seems that you are arguing that more military tech is always better, not matter what.
I suggest that you at once stop producing food and train all these people to be engineers and mechanics to make sure that the taliban don't have better drones than you do.
An F-35B takes a lot more than "a few tons" of supplies and "a few" maintenance personnel.
Compared to the thousands of personnel in a carrier strike group it would be a few tons
Why don't we just take over Bordj Mokhtar Airport in Algeria (or some other random airfield out there) and fly A-10's, F-16s, FA-18s, AH-64, AH-1s, SuperTucanos or any of a number of cheaper alternatives.
If by "take over" you mean "negotiate access to". sure but if they refuse it is not a good idea to "take over" sovereign territory in another country.
Here is the paradox of the F-35B. - It is a stealthy, expensive, STOVL 5th gen fighter. If you need a stealthy 5th gen fighter, you don't want to be based close to that opponent. If you can be based near an opponent with reasonable security, you don't need a stealthy 5th gen fighter.
What if this year you need an aircraft based close to the enemy and next year you need a stealth aircraft to penetrate heavy AA? Do you have two aircraft types that will do each role or do you have one that can do both? The F-35B takes the second approach. One aircraft that can do both roles is less expensive than one aircraft for each role.
An F-35B takes a lot more than "a few tons" of supplies and "a few" maintenance personnel.
Compared to the thousands of personnel in a carrier strike group it would be a few tons
Why don't we just take over Bordj Mokhtar Airport in Algeria (or some other random airfield out there) and fly A-10's, F-16s, FA-18s, AH-64, AH-1s, SuperTucanos or any of a number of cheaper alternatives.
If by "take over" you mean "negotiate access to". sure but if they refuse it is not a good idea to "take over" sovereign territory in another country.
Well that is why the US has a large diplomatic corp. There's a long history of governments suddenly discovering they see a lot of benefits to cooperation: case in point, Pakistan.
Here is the paradox of the F-35B. - It is a stealthy, expensive, STOVL 5th gen fighter. If you need a stealthy 5th gen fighter, you don't want to be based close to that opponent. If you can be based near an opponent with reasonable security, you don't need a stealthy 5th gen fighter.
What if this year you need an aircraft based close to the enemy and next year you need a stealth aircraft to penetrate heavy AA? Do you have two aircraft types that will do each role or do you have one that can do both? The F-35B takes the second approach. One aircraft that can do both roles is less expensive than one aircraft for each role.
This observation hardly seems borne out of empirical evidence, seeing as how the one aircraft to do both roles presently is the single most expensive program in US military procurement - and again - hasn't actually demonstrated that it can fulfill any of those roles.
That's setting aside the fact that the VTOL variant of the craft is not the same one you'd be using for a long-range mission through heavy AA, since the VTOL engine means it can carry less fuel and payload. So, really it's one aircraft on the basis that the shared components might work out cheaper. Which again, is an unproven hypothesis.
Actually, I had no clue what your actual argument was because you jump it around so much. We started this off with you saying something about cutting military engineers to build schools and roads and stuff and I pointed out that those engineers aren't suited for those rolls. You then put something up suggesting that I was saying we should keep military engineers for the sake of keeping them around and I said absolutely we should because without them at the ready, we risk becoming a second rate military reliant upon foreign nations for our technology or a defeated military incapable of effecting our goals.
There are analysis done all the time. The problem you seem to not understand is that without enough engineers for a worst case scenario (which is what military force is traditionally used for- especially in defense), we will lose most all worst case scenarios.
Military tech is a necessity else you end up with things like the draft and millions of unwilling citizens being slaughtered when the fighting is pressed on them. Do you realize that more people die every year from ill intent (read murder, homicide, a chargeable offense under the law) in the state of California then soldiers we lost from Afghanistan and Iraq from 2002-2008. And every soldier we lost joined the military on their own accords. This does not happen without the tech to back it up. Right now, the Taliban uses foreign tech to effectively monitor the positions of our drones in order to evade detection. They glue shards of glass and other things to their transport vehicles in order to defeat our million dollar flying cameras when they go into villages and kill the people for helping us or gather stashed supplies to continue their fights. It is a never ending battle to ensure your tech is capable of doing the jobs that is relied on. It is a never ending battle to ensure our missiles, our soldiers, engage the enemy and not innocents in the area. Without this tech, it get bloody and a lot more people get dead who shouldn't have.
Don't be silly.
or a despot. If you discard the idea that society should make things better you get Anarchy. Welcome to the world of Ayn Rand and Libertarian Paradise (google it). OTOH, If you keep that idea then you're just choosing an arbitrary place to draw the line. In that case welcome to the world of despotism. Say hi to Rand Paul for me.
Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
In the 50's some strategists declared that aerial dogfights are obsolete, until Korea and Vietnam. Also declared that the gun on airplanes has no use... Bad choice.
The "single most expensive program in US military procurement" is a red herring. If you add the program costs for the F-18C/D, F-18 Super Hornet, A-10, AV-8 Harrier, F-22, and F-117 together and add inflation you will come up with a very large number. The F-35 is designed to cover all those roles.
since the VTOL engine means it can carry less fuel and payload
Less is a relative term. Here are the specifications for the F-35A; Combat radius >590 n.mi Max Payload 13,000-15,000+ lbs. Specifications for the F-35b; Combat radius >450 n.mi Max Payload 11,000-15,000+ lbs. By percentage that would be 76% range and almost 100% payload. Yes the specifications for the F-35B are a less bit less but still very respectable.
People are entitled to Medicare and Social Security, but they did not pay for the full future value of those programs. So if they get what they paid for, they'd receive much reduced benefits.
You apparently believe that retirees have an unlimited claim on the earnings of younger generations -- which they cannot have.
your words are rotten at the foundation, it is NOT making things better to take wealth from those who work, by threat of force, and redistribute that wealth to those able bodied people who do not work.
Look at the contractors and businesses that DO business WITH it ! Is it any secret that THE biggest waste of tax dollars IS the military and it's corrupt business associations ? Surprise, surprise, surprise ! ! !
I live near DC. I REALLY don't want to see weapon's designers with "Will make WMD for food" signs.
How long before a contractor Defense Intelligence Analyst realizes that someone else will pay him for his skills--perhaps someone in places where they don't like US very much.
Some people are a tad dangerous to "lay-off".