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Dennis Tito's 2018 Mars Mission To Be Manned

Last Thursday, we discussed news that millionaire Dennis Tito was planning a private mission to Mars in 2018, but details were sparse. Now, reader RocketAcademy writes that Tito has provided more information about the tip, and that he intends the mission to be manned: "Dennis Tito, the first citizen space explorer to visit the International Space Station, has created the Inspiration Mars Foundation to raise funds for an even more dramatic mission: a human flyby of the planet Mars. Tito, a former JPL rocket scientist who later founded the investment firm Wilshire Associates, proposes to send two Americans — a man and a woman — on a 501-day roundtrip mission which would launch on January 5, 2018. Technical details of the mission can be found in a feasibility analysis (PDF), which Tito is scheduled to present at the IEEE Aerospace Conference in March. Former NASA flight surgeon Dr. Jonathon Clark, who is developing innovative ways of dealing with radiation exposure during the mission, called the flight 'an Apollo 8 moment for the next generation.'"

233 comments

  1. Very VERY stupid idea... by nweaver · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Whats the point? You're shoving many extra tons (between person and life support), and you have to put it on an orbit that brings it back home, and for a payload that can do little more than look out the window and go "ohh, pretty" while being irradiated for years outside of the protection of the Earth's magnetic field.

    Even if the mission goes 100% to plan, the cancer risk alone is probably a death sentence for the two passengers.

    --
    Test your net with Netalyzr
    1. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by fufufang · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Whats the point? You're shoving many extra tons (between person and life support), and you have to put it on an orbit that brings it back home, and for a payload that can do little more than look out the window and go "ohh, pretty" while being irradiated for years outside of the protection of the Earth's magnetic field.

      Even if the mission goes 100% to plan, the cancer risk alone is probably a death sentence for the two passengers.

      Q: "Why climb Mount Everest?"
      A: "Because it is there."

    2. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Whats the point?

      Picture, if you will, photos of the lucky couple kicking back with a Coca Cola and packet of Wise dehydrated beef stroganoff, while prominently wearing their North Face jackets with the Hillary 2016 poster behind them. You get the idea.

    3. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by LongearedBat · · Score: 2

      Sure, except most people don't seem to care much for the Mars missions that curently do take place. However, sending a human there might well be enough of an "Apollo 8" moment to reignite peoples interest in going to Mars - possibly even enough to fire up another space race.

      Also, if we're ever to colonise Mars, we must start sometime to work out those logistics problems that you mentioned. So why not now?

    4. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by SpeedBump0619 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah, you know we should have saved all the money on the whole Gemini program and Apollos 1-10 and just gone straight to the moon. This iterative approach to new discovery is for the birds.

    5. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by sconeu · · Score: 4, Insightful

      A man's reach should exceed his grasp, or what's a heaven for?

      -- Robert Browning

      --
      General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
    6. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      So... we should just straight-up give up on manned spaceflight? Because aside from Earth sciences and materials research, that's pretty much ALL we've done so far.

    7. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by flayzernax · · Score: 2

      Lol nice one, this thing probably just funded itself in the future right there. Talk about buying celebrities.

      Fuckin ex-JPL goon in first "civilian" in the employ of top secret god knows what Eisenhower alien fiasco lizard person bullshit.

      Just an Illuminati stooge I bet. Sorry big man with the bucks to make a publicity stunt out of human achievement, f your not a goon. I hope you succeed in bringing people to mars.

    8. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Charliemopps · · Score: 0

      You are whats wrong with modern society. Go watch TV, let the grownups do something worthwhile for once.

    9. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Q: "Why climb Mount Everest?"
      A: "Because it is there."

      That was a reason to climb the mountain, not walk around it. Landing people on Mars would enable them to do a lot of scientific exploration. A fly-by is pointless. We would learn nothing about Mars that couldn't be done with an unmanned orbiter. We would learn nothing about humans in space that we couldn't learn in Earth orbit.

    10. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 2

      Also, if we're ever to colonise Mars, we must start sometime to work out those logistics problems that you mentioned. So why not now?

      Efficiency, mostly. All medical research must eventually have human(or sometimes veterinary) application to count as useful; but humans are lousy enough research subjects(ethical whining, long lifespans, tendency to wander off and introduce uncontrolled variables, etc.) so we generally start with something simpler and cheaper, that can be run on a much vaster scale with the same money.

      In the same vein, if we were serious about confronting the challenges of building self-sustaining colony type environments, we could probably run 100 sealed-building experiments in parallel on earth(where lift costs nothing, parts can be purchased at the hardware store, and the entire team doesn't have to suffocate if the experiment fails, rather than just modifying some parameters and starting over) for the price of a single one offworld.

      Just as medicine goes to clinical trials eventually, there will be questions that can only be answered by actually putting actual people under actual conditions; but so much of the prep work is easier to do in ground experiments.

    11. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by CRCulver · · Score: 1

      Agreed. It's wasteful to try to develop all this tech for biological organisms to survive in space, when in a few decades the human race will reach the Singularity and then will be able explore space considerably more easily in machine bodies.

    12. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Jarik+C-Bol · · Score: 2

      If we're ever to colonize mars, we're going to need to find a way to restart its magnetic field. Whole process is moot without it, the magnetic field is what keeps solar wind/radiation from stripping the atmosphere off of earth, and the lack thereof is why mars atmosphere is so thin and useless.

      --
      I've decided to Diversify my Holdings. I've divided my cash between my left and right pockets, instead of all in one.
    13. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by hawguy · · Score: 4, Informative

      Even if the mission goes 100% to plan, the cancer risk alone is probably a death sentence for the two passengers.

      It's right there in the article:

      The expected total radiation exposure is below NASA’s accepted lifetime limit for a middle-aged crew, Dr. Clark said. Clark expects that radiation exposure would result in a 3% excess cancer risk over the crew’s lifetime.

      You may dispute the numbers (but I don't see how you could, given that the details of the spacecraft aren't known), but I think many people would be willing to take that risk - smokers probably face worse cancer odds than that.

    14. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Granular · · Score: 1

      Which is the same reason that Venus has no atmosphere...

      --
      "Suspicion Breeds Confidence"
    15. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by dbIII · · Score: 1

      we could probably run 100 sealed-building experiments in parallel on earth

      There's been quite a few of those done, including a Russian one where Xeon was used as a filler gas instead of Nitrogen with the Mars atmosphere in mind. It would be very difficult to make a perfect copy of Earth air from the gas available on Mars so that's why they were looking into the long term effects of something that would be a bit easier to put together.

    16. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's a process that takes millions of years.

    17. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The whole point is to show if it is possible for a manned exploration crew to even handle the trip. You don't go all in the first time with space travel. That's a good way to get a bunch of people killed.

    18. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To the ordinary person this will be exciting at first but then, when they find out that it's just two people locked in a small space for 501 days only to see Mars from far away, the reaction will be a resounding "Meh!"
      In fact none remembers the names of the people that first circled the moon nor that this happened at all before Armstrong's landing.

      At least is private money. The only scientific result will be the study of the two people irradiated with galactic protons for 501 days.
      Engineering : interesting
      Wow factor : low/mediocre
      Science : almost nil for the cost/fail

    19. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Smallpond · · Score: 1

      Consider it the Apollo 10 of Mars exploration.

    20. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 2

      The moon was a 3 day voyage though, not a 500 day one. Spending 500 days and however much money just to circle mars and come back is a dangerous waste, especially if you're going to send people - who, while on a spaceship - can't do anything more then a probe could.

    21. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      He has spoken the truth and he has to be marked as "Flame bait" and "Fucking troll".
      So much for intelligent discussion here.
      What is this mission trying to achieve ? We know already that:
      1) We can send large payloads to Mars (having sent countless smaller ones)
      2) We can keep humans alive in confined space for almost the required time (already done in LEO)
      3) Some people can survive the ordeal of being locked up for 18 months in a small space (numerous experiments)

      This can only demonstrate the bleeding obvious that, if we can do 1), 2) or 3), we can probably do it at the same time.
      Other than that, nothing.

    22. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Jeremi · · Score: 2

      However, sending a human there might well be enough of an "Apollo 8" moment to reignite peoples interest in going to Mars - possibly even enough to fire up another space race.

      Contrariwise, it might well end up as more of a "Challenger disaster" moment, with all hands lost and a corresponding loss of public confidence in the feasibility of manned space exploration. But I guess that's the risk you gotta take...

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    23. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      They're in very risky territory. Outside the earth's magnetosphere, things are much much worse than LEO.(where pretty much every astronaut except the Apollo ones spend all their time.)

      There is a good paper on it here:
      http://ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/casi.ntrs.nasa.gov/20070010704_2007005310.pdf

      They estimate a dose of 1.03 Sv for a 600 d mars flyby, which would be just over the lifetime limit for most space agencies.

      Also:
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Health_threat_from_cosmic_rays

      5% brain death seems like a pretty serious problem....

      I'd add that these are conservative estimates for dose. An unlucky event like a solar flare could make things much worse. A solar flare is sometimes predictable, so astronauts might be able to hide behind extra shielding(like their water supply). This would prevent acute radiation poisoning, but still substantially increase lifetime dose.

    24. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 5, Interesting

      We would learn nothing about Mars that couldn't be done with an unmanned orbiter. We would learn nothing about humans in space that we couldn't learn in Earth orbit.

      We will learn that in 2018 you can buy, privately, enough hardware to fly to Mars.

      Around the same time, there will be a company selling private space stations for less than some people spend on second homes. (Or on racing yachts. Or unstable private artificial islands.) Some billionaires gamble (ie, lose) more each year (for fun) than it will cost to orbit the moon, in a couple of years.

      Tito will spend less than one third of one year's worth of the ISS budget. Or 1/70th of the estimated development cost of the SLS. Or about the same cost as a Shuttle mission (depending on what you count.)

      To fly past Mars. Just because he feels like it.

      Double the cost of this Mars flyby and you could put human boots on Phobos. That's well within the spending power of any modest developing nation. From hardware purchased privately and available to anyone. A basic lunar base for a couple of billion. A flyby of Jupiter for $3-5b.

      The world changed, and the world's national space agencies are still playing with dead rats in the gutter pretending they have a space program.

      --
      Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
    25. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by fufufang · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Q: "Why climb Mount Everest?"
      A: "Because it is there."

      That was a reason to climb the mountain, not walk around it. Landing people on Mars would enable them to do a lot of scientific exploration. A fly-by is pointless. We would learn nothing about Mars that couldn't be done with an unmanned orbiter. We would learn nothing about humans in space that we couldn't learn in Earth orbit.

      Well, people don't live on top of Mount Everest. They come back home. Dismissing the significance of this mission is like dismissing the significance of Apollo 8.

    26. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 4, Insightful

      and however much money

      Around a billion.

      About the same as the average cost of a Shuttle mission. 1/18th NASA's annual budget. 1/3rd of what they spend on ISS every year. Slightly more than 1/3rd of what they spend each year developing SLS in the hope that they will, perhaps, be able to fly a crew of 4 around the moon and back in 2021 after 15+ years of development.

      --
      Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
    27. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by camperdave · · Score: 3, Informative

      Science : almost nil for the cost/fail

      On the contrary. There will be a lot of science done. It will be in the realm of long duration space travel and its affects on humans, rather than on gathering data on Mars, but there is plenty of opportunity for science on such a mission.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    28. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Dutchmaan · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "Around a billion." I'll believe that when I see it...

    29. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you are willing to pay for the trip I'm sure that we can change the mission to something that you find worthwhile.

    30. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That implies a decision to allow what we currently consider life as we know it to be confined on earth and destroyed with it.
      While intelligence certainly is worth to protect and spread it seems a bit hasty to say that life is worthless before we have even found a proper definition for it.

      I guess we can bring bacteria and other small organisms with us to make sure that there is something that we can guide evolution from but keeping even simple organisms alive for thousands of years in a confined space could be just as hard as keeping current humans alive.

      There is also a self-failing prophecy in your statement. You are essentially saying that "We shouldn't pursue progress because future progress will make current progress obsolete.". There is no such thing as an isolated field of science and we need to pursue all fields if we want progress to happen on all fronts.

    31. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by DerekLyons · · Score: 0

      . Dismissing the significance of this mission is like dismissing the significance of Apollo 8.

      Since this mission hasn't happened yet - dismissing it's significance is like dismissing the significance of an extra speck of dust on my desk.
       
      Get a grip people. The flight isn't even funded yet, let alone the hardware developed (a significant hurdle all on it's own), let alone actually flown. It's a long, rough, rocky road from here to there - enough with the reverent fanboi drooling already.

    32. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      We will learn that in 2018 you can buy, privately, enough hardware to fly to Mars.

      That's an assumption (one of many in your post) not a fact (notably absent in your post) - there is a difference between the two.

    33. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Xeon is a CPU. Did you mean Neon, Xenon, or some mix of the two?

    34. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "space travel and its affects on humans" has been done to death in LEO. Microgravity, living in confined spaces, all done over and over again.
        If the spacecraft is not properly shielded then it will be sort of new but in the category of "lengthy exposure to radiation".

    35. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > A fly-by is pointless.

      Hand in your geek-card at once. You are grumpy and boring.
      Let people go to Mars because it is fucking there. That's the reason we're doing this, "science" on Mars is just as pointless, it's done for the sake of doing new stuff, doing complicated stuff, doing stuff that no one did before, doing stuff because, well, what else is there to do in life?

    36. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by TedRiot · · Score: 1

      Q: "Why climb Mount Everest?" A: "Because it is there."

      Sometimes also in form of "Because I can", which is almost equivalent

    37. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by strikethree · · Score: 1

      We would learn nothing about humans in space that we couldn't learn in Earth orbit.

      I would not be so certain of that.

      --
      "Someone needs to talk to the tree of liberty about its ghoulish drinking problem." by ohnocitizen
    38. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We can create a virtual one with a giant coil. We already know how to run long cables around a larger planet, the problem is that it could require a lot of maintenance for a very small colony. We might need a population of millions to make it feasible.

    39. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by flyingfsck · · Score: 1

      ...the money could be used to feed all the hungry children in Africa for 10 million years and prevent global warming...

      The poor will always be with us.

      --
      Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
    40. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, in 2018 we'll see if it is a fact. I, for one, am curious about the outcomes...

    41. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by runeghost · · Score: 1

      Better this than giving it to the banks. And the U.S. government has handed them hundreds of billions.

    42. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Xest · · Score: 1

      Well we would learn something, whether humans can cope with such a long mission knowing that on the way there they will at least be the first humans to set eyes on the planet. That's quite different to testing whether people can spend the same amount of time bored to death with no real such excitement ahead for them just orbiting the earth or whatever. Humans aren't simple creatures, simple things like the hope of getting to see a different planet with your own eyes may well be enough to get you through such a mission.

      But there's more to it than that, this is clearly intended as a first step - just as we didn't send people straight to the moon, we sent them up into orbit first, we first need to see if we can get people to Mars and back, once we've done that we can think about trying again but this time actually landing them on Mars, and what's more, for a privately funded initiative like this, a successful first mission would all but guarantee funding for that second mission. What you wont get however, is funding to go straight to Mars and land on it from the outset because it's too risky without any evidence you can even get in the vicinity of the planet first, let alone land on it.

    43. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by khallow · · Score: 1

      You are essentially saying that "We shouldn't pursue progress because future progress will make current progress obsolete.".

      I'm sure there's a flaw somewhere in your argument. And I'll see what that flaw is once the Singularity comes.

    44. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by gsslay · · Score: 2

      We would learn nothing about Mars that couldn't be done with an unmanned orbiter. We would learn nothing about humans in space that we couldn't learn in Earth orbit.

      So I guess humanity should just stop doing stuff that we already think we know the answers to. You have absolutely no idea what might be learned, and nor does anyone else until it's tried.

    45. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      Obviously you use the "because it is there" version when talking about space travel. So why bother adding that?

    46. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by gsslay · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Excellent policy. But why start with space exploration? Space exploration has some very useful applications for now and our future. Let's ban the spending of millions on films, tv, sports, music, entertainment, vacations, celebrations, art, fancy food and alcohol. All this non-essential crap that waste the Earth's resources and could be better spent on new energy technologies, food production and clean water preservation.

      Sure, life would be dull and joyless. But I guess that's the price you pay when you get to ban use of resources on things you don't like.

    47. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Rogerborg · · Score: 2

      What's the point?

      Not because it is easy, but because it is hard.

      Also, we might find out how is space babby formed.

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
    48. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by progician · · Score: 1

      But, if private space industry can send humans for a flyby, perhaps for the same cost, they could just send hardware that allows for humans to land, perhaps to land a load of rocket fuel. Would make more sense, and perhaps would cost the same money. Few tons at a time... Or perhaps partner up with NASA/ESA/Whathaveyou, and send an extra month to control some probes down there, with better response time, and use this window for more detailed surface exploration just by being there. Flyby, and see the planet from the window strikes me as complete waste of resources, which aren't that abundant.

      Btw, bit of a tangent, but what if in similar vein to the landing with Opportunity, would not be viable to send rocket fuel to Mars, in smaller packages, thus reducing the complication with landing a single large load, and than collect them?
      As I understand, it is a more resource effective to launch smaller loads many times, than launch a big load in a single launch. Perhaps a crewed Mars mission, should compromise from:

      1) A space ship assembled in orbit, made of these blow-up Bigelow modules. The volume matters a lot for keeping humans sane over the mission. They need as much space as they can get.
      2). the fuel and the engine. If we don't want to do things at a single launch, perhaps it is possible to shorten the length of the journey by spending more launches from Earth to orbit.
      3) Launch for the rocket fuel for the return, and scatter them in to smaller packages for landing.
      4) Launch the life support and scientific equipment as a separate load that goes lands before humans.
      5) Send a crew and food, which could be spoiled by radiation.

      I think that the idea of sending everything at once is the problem. The list above could span over decades as the biggest concern, the organic parts, humans and their food is the only one that must go in the same launch and have limits how much they can spend in space. The degradation isn't really a big problem, only for microcircuits.

    49. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by progician · · Score: 1

      As long as you don't put all future hope in this single mission, and we start educate the public that in the real world, even the most rigorously planned, simulated and component tested mission is subject of trial and error, than it shouldn't be a problem. It is the politics of space that is fucked up in this regard, as it was conceived in an era of national dick waving and cold war.

    50. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by progician · · Score: 1

      No, not at all. But crewed space flight is very resource heavy investment, so we must make sure that if humans leave this planet for a space mission, they go for something more specific, than just being locked in a can with a few days of looking out the window to Mars. That's at the heart of the criticism of the ISS mission, but at least there there's space for experiments, and that is the first frontier to test our technology for space missions. Never the less, just to send people to see how their piss acts in space isn't really good investment IMHO.

      I don't think it is wise by any standard to make half-hearted missions, while we could just "save up" for a fully committed mission, and let those people land, or stay in orbit and make valuable research.

    51. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by SonnyDog09 · · Score: 1

      Man's first trip to the moon, we just orbited it and came back. You need to be able to do that right before you can think about landing.

      --
      Your "fair share" is NOT in my wallet.
    52. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by dreamchaser · · Score: 1

      What was the point of orbiting the Earth with the Mercury program? Same thing. It's a first step.

    53. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by argStyopa · · Score: 1

      "...the cancer risk alone is probably a death sentence for the two passengers."

      Last time I checked, simply being alive is a death sentence.
      The question is what you do with that life while you have the chance.

      I'm 45, so nobody wants me for a mission like this; but my kids are grown and my wife wouldn't particularly miss me - I'd cheerfully trade the rest of my life for a chance to be on that mission.

      --
      -Styopa
    54. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Dan9999 · · Score: 1

      None of what you say is true. Being in space actually pushes food and water technology forward faster than "where it's happening" as you say. We're here and we have the option of using the resources available without trying to maximize output and that option is more often than not taken. In space there is no choice but to do the best we can with whats available because it costs so much for anything to actually be available. This leads to increases in technology for maximizing the output of available resources.

    55. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by DrXym · · Score: 1

      To land you must first know you can get there and back, gaining knowledge about human endurance, stress along the way. That said, 2018 is ridiculously, insanely short period of time to even contemplate such a mission. It would require a module analogous to the ISS for starters.

    56. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The moon was a 3 day voyage though, not a 500 day one. Spending 500 days and however much money just to circle mars and come back is a dangerous waste, especially if you're going to send people - who, while on a spaceship - can't do anything more then a probe could.

      MARS500, the 500-day ground-based experiment to see if people could cope with the isolation over time, worked out just fine.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MARS-500

    57. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Dan9999 · · Score: 1
      It's not as simple as the same time. They won't get emergency supplies, space between the planets is different than leo, it will be the first time in modern history that humans will be too far from other humans to be able to have a live conversation with any technology available, any current decisions in the process of being made about whether to pand people on mars will be heavily affected by the results of this trip.

      Also when we do land on mars ij the future it will be nice to know that a lot of the variables will have been answered so the smaller unknown can be focussed on... the engineers will he happy about this one.

      In addition the social value, space travel seeds inventive thought here on Earth and hopefully gets people to think of the larger picture.

    58. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by taylorius · · Score: 1

      Climbing mount Everest vs. walking round it is a bad analogy. Walking around a mountain is something that many people could do easily. Sending a manned spaceship to loop around Mars, then travel safely back to Earth is most definitely not. I imagine such a mission will teach us a great deal about what is required to make such trips reliably and routinely. Then with a few such trips under humanity's belt, we start thinking about landings.

    59. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      NASA likes to make sure they bring their crew back alive, there's probably a good reason Tito is asking for a random couple rather than doing it himself...

    60. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you think he'll be preparing to pay for a landing within 18 months of the first mission? Because, I think travel time and Mars' gravity well might have a thing or two to say about that.

    61. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by taylorius · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The mission isn't supposed to find out anything new about Mars. It's about the problems associated with the trip itself. That's enough to be going on with. After the mission, I can practically guarantee there will be a succession of scientists and engineers giving presentations, saying "It turns out that...". There's no substitute for actually doing it - and if we want to reach the stage where we're regularly sending colony ships full of people to Mars, sending the first one just to loop round is in no way "a waste".

    62. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Not to mention, that mission should be banned for the waste of earth's resources that could better be spent applying new energy technologies, food production and clean water preservation.

      Why would that money be better spent? It's worth noting here that we spend far more than the alleged billion dollars on each of these things. And there isn't that much really that an extra billion dollars can do now. The enduring problems (such as governments which fail to deliver infrastructure for clean water) aren't due to a lack of funding.

      But if it gets spent on a successful Mars flyby, then that money was spent developing a new capability that humanity didn't have before.

    63. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by mjr167 · · Score: 1

      Look at us still talking when there's science to be done...

    64. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Ambiguous+Coward · · Score: 2

      You're right, we shouldn't give a shit about anything until it's already said and done.

      --
      Their may be a grammatical error, misspeling, or evn a typo in this post.
    65. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by smooth+wombat · · Score: 1

      however much money just to circle mars and come back is a dangerous waste

      It's his money, and whomever else contributes, and can do what they want with it. Or are you saying people should be told how to spend their money ala me being forced to pay for my neighbor who smokes, which is dangerous, health insurance?

      --
      We will bankrupt ourselves in the vain search for absolute security. -- Dwight D. Eisenhower
    66. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by kryliss · · Score: 2

      We choose to go to the moon. We choose to go to the moon in this decade and do the other things, not because they are easy, but because they are hard, because that goal will serve to organize and measure the best of our energies and skills, because that challenge is one that we are willing to accept, one we are unwilling to postpone, and one which we intend to win, and the others, too.

      - JFK

      --
      --- If the bible proves the existence of God, then Superman comics prove the existence of Superman.
    67. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      And... that's exactly the reply I expected, putting words in my mouth in order to justify further fanboi drooling. I didn't say "don't give a shit". I said "this is a paper proposal, let's stop treating it as if it were already mission accomplished".

      There's a difference between the two, plainly obvious once you remove your blinders and rose colored glasses.

    68. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why does everyone keep worrying about the radiation? Robert Zubrin, ex-head of NASA debunked this in his "The Case for Mars" book. Water is an extremely good radiation blocker. There is a projected lack of hydrogen on Mars. Thus anyone visiting needs to bring lots of water. Design the craft to have all of the water stored in tanks surrounding the inner living capsule.

      He was very detailed about how much water would be required, and how it was feasible. Yet we keep hearing the SAME argument over and over again. If he's been proven wrong sinc his book, I've never seen it in print.

    69. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by GodfatherofSoul · · Score: 2

      I got slapped in a bar for that once.

      --
      I swear to God...I swear to God! That is NOT how you treat your human!
    70. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm pretty sure the first people to climb Mr Everest weren't thinking about the scientific exploration. They were thinking "I'm going to be the first."

    71. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by fgodfrey · · Score: 1

      Not really... Apollo 10 was everything landing on the moon was except the actual landing. The command module went into orbit, which meant it had to have enough fuel on board to do a burn to get back to Earth. The Lunar Module was mostly fueled (supposedly not completely fueled because they were afraid the astronauts would actually land if they had enough fuel to do so) and it did a deorbit burn, descended toward the surface and then did another burn to get back to the command module. This proposed mission isn't even Apollo 8, which went into lunar orbit.

      Maybe Dragon can be turned into a Mars lander capsule and maybe a Falcon Heavy can launch a manned landing mission, but *this* capsule and *this* mission aren't really a dress rehearsal for landing or even for putting humans into Mars orbit (where they could, for instance, directly control a rover). It seems mostly like a publicity opportunity. That doesn't make it a bad idea to *do* (I'd love to see it happen, especially with private money because it may encourage the much more expensive landing mission to happen), but nobody should be fooled into thinking that it's one step away from actually landing.

      --
      Go Badgers! -- #include "std/disclaimer.h"
    72. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Farmer+Pete · · Score: 2

      Did you just say that alcohol was non-essential? What the hell?

    73. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ahhh Haaaa Hahaahah heehheehee hohohohooh ha ha ha

    74. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by painandgreed · · Score: 1

      We will learn that in 2018 you can buy, privately, enough hardware to fly to Mars.

      Whatever you're on, I think I want some. There is a lot of tech that still needs to be developed for a three year journey even for a fly by around Mars. A human habitable space station for long term independence in deep space will require quite a bit of research to get done. We can probably do one in earth orbit. A second with what we learn for a trip around the moon. Then a third for a trip to Mars. Before we go to Mars, we will need to learn a good deal about radiation shielding and zero g repair, construction, and fabrication. In the time that it will take to get to Mars and back, those that go will have to be prepared to fix broken things with more than duck tape and the parts of a lander they can no longer use. By 2018, they will not even be able to put such a station into earth orbit.

    75. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The point... oh short-sighted complacent one... is that North America has been out of putting humans in space for decades now. No, those basically pointless probes on Mars don't count... that's just flinging mechanical devices wherever they can, and does absolutely nothing towards getting human life off this rock. Well, maybe if they develop new propulsion technology in the process, but for putting humans through space, it's next to pointless.

      Honestly, thank GOD that some rich person is actually willing to front the money, because the USA has gone completely anti-outer-space for people. The USA is fine with just letting humanity rot on this planet until a nuclear war starts up and wipes all life off of earth.

      So as comfortable as you are with the human race dying out over time, at least there's a few people on the planet with both the resources and a look towards the future.

      And hell, do you realize how much awesome technology was developed and invented during the first space race (which I might remind you was over 50 years ago!!!! Way to do sweet fuck all in the way of human space travel since then, USA)? Imagine if that much effort was put into technology again, with today's knowledge, materials, and scientists.

      We need far, far more people like Dennis Tito, and a HELLUVA lot less people like you around.

    76. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Ambiguous+Coward · · Score: 1

      No, you flat out dismissed it simply because it hasn't happened yet. If people flat out dismissed interesting new developments--as you did, in your own words--just because they were in the very earliest stages, then the Apollo missions never would have happened because they were as insignificant as an extra speck of dust on your desk.

      Getting things like this done requires people getting excited about it before it happens.

      --
      Their may be a grammatical error, misspeling, or evn a typo in this post.
    77. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And one thing that might be learned that comes to mind right instantly... is using our significantly better technology, science, and materials than what we had in the fucking 60's... to develop far better, safer, and more efficient means of getting humans off this rock that I honestly doubt will remain un-nuked into oblivion in the next 20 years.

      So at least ONE person on earth is deciding to put money towards finding a way to make a human able to both get off the planet, a fair distance from it, for an extended length of time.

      And who knows, in 5 years, with SOMEONE finally deciding to spend a few dollars on developing space technology... since no government wants to spend more than fifty bucks on it... maybe a way will be developed where it won't take 500 someodd days, but signficantly less. We would never know otherwise, since NO GOVERNMENT ON EARTH GIVES THE SLIGHTEST OF TWO SHITS ABOUT LOOKING INTO THIS.

      Sorry, not yelling at you, gsslay. Just pissed off at the fact that the USA, and most of the planet in general, seems to have absolutely, completely given up on putting people in space or getting off earth as a whole.

    78. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So fucking what, you fucking pussy. Everybody dies. You stay here and live your safe boring life. I say, go go gadget spaceship. :)

    79. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Really? I just don't get you guys anymore. Stop with your idiot 'rational analysis'. This isn't about what makes sense. It's about dreams. Don't you fucks have any left?

    80. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by fritsd · · Score: 1

      I don't know if it's because Slashdot is an American forum, but has everyone already forgotten the experiments of dr. Valeri Polyakov on himself during his 14 month stay on Mir?
      Mind you our TV news showed him looking quite weak when he got out of the Soyuz. I think he needed to be carried (don't remember that well).

      And how about last year's Russian-ESA-Chinese Mars 500 psychological isolation experiment, that was fascinating to follow as well, and those men *knew* they were just sitting in a tin can in Moscow, which must surely have made the psychological pressure even harder. Imagine eating Russian canned food for 500 days (and a few fresh vegetables, thank Bog) while you *know* that you could sneak out for a quick pint and meal somewhere in Moscow instead.

      I don't mean to be trolling, but it seems sometimes that if something is not done in the USA, it is off the radar of the American public and/or swept under the carpet as "yes, but WE are going to do it MORE and BETTER after we have secured the funding".

      Be glad some poor sods from other countries have already done these kinds of experiments for you!!
      Let us all pray that Brassica Chinensis grows well on a spaceship.

      Hmm... stir-fried Chinese cabbage...

      --
      To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
    81. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by fritsd · · Score: 1

      Good point :-)

      --
      To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
    82. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by snadrus · · Score: 1

      ban the spending of millions on films, tv, sports, music, entertainment, vacations, celebrations, art, fancy food and alcohol

      I think most people would trade the first 5 (the fruits of copyright) for zero gravity, space walks, more technical advancement which makes us use less resources than we did before, Ex: many now would rather watch a 3D nature show than take a vacation there.

      life would be dull & Joyless

      Or actually find life (social situations, teaching children).
      We wouldn't gain anything from banning alcohol or from banning the others either.

      --
      Science & open-source build trust from peer review. Learn systems you can trust.
    83. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by camperdave · · Score: 1

      Mir was inside the Earth's magnetic field, and thus Dr Polyakov was spared the worst of the radiation the Mars travellers will receive. As far as the Mars 500 test, there's a vast difference between being in space, in a weightless environment, with ever increasing communication delays and absolutely no hope of rescue versus being in a completely Earthlike environment with instantaneous communication and a chicken switch.

      However, your point about non-Western science being largely off the radar to Westerners is valid.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    84. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So when China, Japan, India, and some South American consortium are on the moon, they can point to here and say "Yep, the Yanks are pussies, hiding behind price tags and afraid to admit their technologically 3rd, economically 2nd, and have a generation coming that don't even pull up their pants." I am soooo glad the American century has passed. Keep arguing and pointing at grapes you think are sour.

    85. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 2

      The point of Tito's plan, the reason it sneaks under the line of possible, is because the 2018 window allows him to lift enough mass on a single launch for a free-return flyby around Mars. One launch of, say, the Falcon Heavy is being listed at $125m, but call it $150m by 2018.

      The same mission profile would get you a Venus flyby mission, and probably a number of possible asteroid targets. But outside of the 2018 window, you will not get to Mars in one launch.

      Likewise, to go into Mars orbit would mean two launches, maybe three, because you need enough fuel to enter and leave Mars orbit (plus extra hardware if you want to land on Phobos/Deimos.) If you want to land on Mars, you are going up another order of magnitude. Your mission profile means a dozen launches, plus entirely custom hardware. It's a classic NASA proposal.

      But if Tito can pull off the flyby, it demonstrates that any nation can order this hardware off the shelf. If the flyby costs Tito $1b, a Phobos mission might cost only $2-3b. That's what NASA spends in a year on the ISS. Orbiting the moon (Apollo 8) would be vastly easier than Tito's Mars flyby, a $150m FH launch and a relatively unmodified Dragon-crew capsule. You wouldn't even need the inflatable module or extra life-support. $250m per flight, well within the affordability of a small nation. A private moon landing would probably be close to the $1b (for the extra hardware), still within range and ambitions of a third of the developing countries on Earth. And what Tito does is show them that they can. They don't need to wait for NASA or ESA or Ruscosmos, they can take the lead.

      --
      Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
    86. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 1

      Space station? Lander? Zero g construction? Did you ever read the proposal?

      --
      Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
    87. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Better this than giving it to the banks.

      Anytime you try to justify an expenditure by pointing out another expenditure that is even stupider, you have lost the argument.

    88. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Jarik+C-Bol · · Score: 1

      what?
      A localized magnetic field may protect a dome from radiation, but large scale terra-forming/colonization is going to need a global magnetic field to protect and allow the very existence of a thicker atmosphere. The power needed to operate a global artificial magnetic field would be absolutely stupefying.

      --
      I've decided to Diversify my Holdings. I've divided my cash between my left and right pockets, instead of all in one.
    89. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Jarik+C-Bol · · Score: 1

      gravity *and* magnetic field. Mars low gravity, combined with its weak magnetic field, does bad things to its atmosphere.

      --
      I've decided to Diversify my Holdings. I've divided my cash between my left and right pockets, instead of all in one.
    90. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by LongearedBat · · Score: 1

      Why not shield ships and colonies using smaller magnetic fields, rather than trying to magnetise an entire planet?

    91. Re:Very VERY stupid idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...and prevent global warming...

      How are you going to prevent something that's already happening? You mean 'halt global warming' or possibly even 'reverse global warming' surely?

      But money is already being spent on investigating and mitigating global warming. And aren't we talking about a private investor spending their own money on this venture? Are we getting to a point where people are not allowed to spend their own money on what they choose?

      I bet the amount of your own money that you spend on pursuing your own leisure and interests could feed at least one starving child in Africa for 20 years, or some length of time that would improve their life. Why aren't you doing it? Why dammit?!

  2. Radiation shielding by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What kind of radiation shielding is the mission going to have? If they get hit by a solar flare event they'll probably be dead.

    1. Re:Radiation shielding by flyingfsck · · Score: 1

      ...and if they don't they won't. One takes one's chances.

      --
      Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
  3. Pissed by anagama · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Stories like this sort of pisses me off. There are a lot cool things we could be doing if, as a nation, America used it's wealth for good instead of evil. But we'd rather spend trillions enriching the very few via wars/police state crap to prevent fewer deaths than dog bites cause (*), or on bailouts for the very rich and unscrupulous. What a fucking waste.

    * http://thinkprogress.org/security/2011/08/25/304113/chart-only-15-americans-died-from-terrorism-last-year-less-than-from-dog-bites-or-lightning-strikes/?mobile=nc

    --
    What changed under Obama? Nothing Good
    1. Re: Pissed by Radres · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think if you re-read his post you'll find he's actually on your side, numbskull.

    2. Re:Pissed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fuck you.

    3. Re:Pissed by Jeremi · · Score: 2

      But we'd rather spend trillions enriching the very few via wars/police state crap to prevent fewer deaths than dog bites cause (*)

      If only 15 Americans died from terrorism last year, doesn't that mean the prevention is working? ;^)

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    4. Re:Pissed by anagama · · Score: 1

      I know your comment is tongue in cheek, but it won't be seen that way by many. The fact is, there is no amount of money that can be spent to prevent all terrorism. There is certainly some amount that it is wise to spend, but the edge cases will always make it through. I'm thinking of Breivik or McVeigh/Nichols -- Lone Wolf types. We should just accept that within reason, like how we wear seat belts and have airbags in cars. The utility of vehicles causes to accept some rational risk despite the fact that deaths in car accidents are some multiple of 9/11. If we addressed terrorism like we did driving, we'd actually be able to go somewhere as civilization. Instead, we take all the utility inherent in massive amounts of money, and squander on evil at home and abroad. If cars were terrorism, we'd be driving around in million dollar, mile wide marshmallows that went 3 mph and got 10gal/mile.

      --
      What changed under Obama? Nothing Good
    5. Re:Pissed by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

      Going to Mars is evil? Sign me up.

    6. Re:Pissed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      learn to read, k?

    7. Re:Pissed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lisa, I want to buy your rock.

    8. Re:Pissed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I'm thinking of Breivik or McVeigh/Nichols -- Lone Wolf types.

      Oh, you can prevent those kind of acts by throwing money at them, the problem is that you can't do it the "American" way by hiring more cops and equipping them with more weapons.
      To prevent those things from happening you need to invest heavily in public schools and social security make sure that the teachers and parents have time to recognize when there is something wrong with a child. You will also need change society to make mental illness considered just as normal as any other disease and make sure that proper treatment is available for everyone. This will of course not happen until people realize that this would be good for everyone and not only for those who receive education/treatment.

    9. Re:Pissed by progician · · Score: 1

      Also, that way there would be a chance that we would have a larger part of the population that is capable to contribute to space exploration.

    10. Re:Pissed by Phrogman · · Score: 1

      I agree completely, but to do so would likely require a reduction in the lifestyle of some of the population - particularly that portion of the population who has the most money and therefore the most power. It is not therefore going to happen.
      A lot of rich people probably like the fact that there are poor people, not just as bodies to step on on their way to the top but as a way to provide a contrast to *show* they are richer than those other people. Plus of course you need to have people that are poorer than you to be able to employ them as servants, body guards, cooks, housekeepers, factory workers etc. Asking the wealthy to share their wealth with the poorest folks is not going to go over well in a lot of cases, and it will go over just as badly with those who *aspire* to be in the upper classes, since they won't want to see the level of lifestyle they want to achieve be limited in any way.
      And yes, I am well aware that there are plenty of philanthropist types who are actively spending a large part of their wealth on charitable institutions. Gates for example.
      Those people are not the majority of wealthy people, just the ones that make the news the most because they are the exceptions.

      --
      "The first time I got drunk, I got married. The second time I bought a chimpanzee, after that I stayed sober" Arian Seid
    11. Re:Pissed by IndustrialComplex · · Score: 2

      I'm sorry but I don't see how you can possibly make that statement given that Breivik was from Norway. Don't they 'heavily invest in public schools and social security' there?

      --
      Out of modpoints but really liked a post? 1BDkF6TtmmeZ3yqXbz9yhdYVqRYnwFoXDj
  4. I think I must have missed something by MOSFET+Explosion · · Score: 1

    Unless I'm misunderstanding what was in the article, they seem to be sending two people almost 2 years in space to just fly around Mars and their not even going to land there.

    1. Re:I think I must have missed something by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

      Unless I'm misunderstanding what was in the article, they seem to be sending two people almost 2 years in space to just fly around Mars and their not even going to land there.

      Isn't it obvious? Humans have such well demonstrated qualifications for 'floating around in irradiated hard vacuum doing not much of any particular interest'. Robots aren't nearly as good at that...

    2. Re:I think I must have missed something by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Why would you be misunderstanding? Even the summary says the flight will be 'an Apollo 8 moment for the next generation'.

      Oh right, here's the extra information for products of the American education system: Apollo 8 only orbited the moon. It didn't land. Landing didn't happen until Apollo 11. :-)

    3. Re:I think I must have missed something by Fluffeh · · Score: 1

      No, that's about the sum of it.

      Sort of cool from one aspect - first folks to go somewhere outside the earth's orbit, but sort of a letdown from the other angle - as it is nothing more than a sight-seeing trip. It might almost be argued that it makes more sense to send the same folks out to one of the larger asteroids - at least they could land there...

      --
      Moved to http://soylentnews.org/. You are invited to join us too!
    4. Re:I think I must have missed something by MOSFET+Explosion · · Score: 1

      I wonder if theres any asteroids out there with the right velocity and direction they could rendezvous with, and do some actual science.

    5. Re:I think I must have missed something by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is just a publicity stunt. How many rockets has Tito launched? How many manned orbits around the Earth have been completed by his "team"? If you try to fly with this clown, you will just get blowed up on the launch pad, or if it makes it out of the atmosphere it will loose navigation and you will drift until you die. What fun. If this was so easy to do, someone else would have done it by now.

    6. Re:I think I must have missed something by Tim+the+Gecko · · Score: 2

      "Sort of cool, but..." sums it up. A moon landing mission launched 440 days after Apollo 8 splashed down, and there was hardly a great deal of media interest in Apollo 13 until the explosion. So a trip of 501 days could be a bit longer than our collective attention span.

      Also Apollo 8 was part of a series of missions culminating in a moon landing less than a year later. And it wasn't competing with awesome robots wandering around and sending color pictures from the surface as the tourists whizzed past.

    7. Re:I think I must have missed something by hawguy · · Score: 1

      This is just a publicity stunt. How many rockets has Tito launched? How many manned orbits around the Earth have been completed by his "team"? If you try to fly with this clown, you will just get blowed up on the launch pad, or if it makes it out of the atmosphere it will loose navigation and you will drift until you die. What fun. If this was so easy to do, someone else would have done it by now.

      I think that he'll have test fired some rockets (or buy them from someone who has). And it's not like navigation relies on a GPS sitting on the dashboard of the space craft - I'm sure NASA would even be happy to give some course correction help, they've got lots of real rocket scientists that will be watching the project closely if it ever takes off (pun intented).

    8. Re:I think I must have missed something by dbIII · · Score: 2

      I think the idea is to do only one incredibly hard thing at a time until you get it right. I hope I dumbed it down enough.

    9. Re:I think I must have missed something by petsounds · · Score: 1

      Yeah, he's not developing his own rocket and capsule system; he'll be contracting that out. Probably to SpaceX for the rocket. His team will probably act more like a design feasibility and mission control team.

    10. Re:I think I must have missed something by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How many manned orbits have SpaceX completed? How many trips to the moon?

    11. Re:I think I must have missed something by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      I do actually wonder if there's a built in assumption there that if you do something sufficiently grandiose you'll get a lot of extra help for free. You have to imagine that if it looked like people were actually going to be launched that we'd see a few other projects aimed at increasing their survival (i.e. launching supplies ahead of time etc.) and/or contingency planning.

    12. Re:I think I must have missed something by Jeremi · · Score: 1

      Isn't it obvious? Humans have such well demonstrated qualifications for 'floating around in irradiated hard vacuum doing not much of any particular interest'. Robots aren't nearly as good at that...

      Sarcasm aside, I think that's the point -- to demonstrate that humans can survive the trip. (Of course, it might just as easily show that it can't be done, or at least that it shouldn't be done, depending on how the astronauts fare health-wise)

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    13. Re:I think I must have missed something by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 1

      (i.e. launching supplies ahead of time etc.)

      There's no orbit where supplies launched ahead of this flight can be reached by it. It's not the sort of mission you are thinking of.

      --
      Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
    14. Re:I think I must have missed something by camperdave · · Score: 1

      Ask me next year and I'll give you a non-zero answer.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    15. Re:I think I must have missed something by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      Supplies in Mars orbit (or on it's surface) could presumably be reached.

    16. Re:I think I must have missed something by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 1

      As I said, this is not the kind of Mars mission you are picturing. It's a flyby. Once they launch they will have enough fuel for tiny course changes. The rest of the trip relies on gravity. The capsule will be going tens of kilometres per second when it passes Mars. Anything in Mars' orbit is unreachable. Anything on the surface is a thousand times more unreachable. The only orbit that matches theirs is the one they are on. So if you wanted to send extra supplies, you would have a second rocket launch the supply ship at the same time and into exactly the same orbit as the main mission.

      --
      Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
  5. What would be great by fustakrakich · · Score: 5, Funny

    The ship comes back with an extra passenger or two..

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    1. Re:What would be great by Tough+Love · · Score: 1

      It will probably come back with a few micrometerites embedded in its hull.

      --
      When all you have is a hammer, every problem starts to look like a thumb.
    2. Re:What would be great by serbanp · · Score: 1

      giving birth in space? they better stock up on baby formula too when planning the life support cargo...

    3. Re:What would be great by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

      The ship comes back with an extra passenger or two..

      It's a good thing that flippers might actually work in low-density fluids at zero G; because fetuses are total wimps about radiation...

    4. Re:What would be great by BumpyCarrot · · Score: 1

      I did read the summary and wonder whether the guy is an Arthur C. Clark fan.

      The follow-up mission carries a monkey. He's the pilot.

      --
      Do you see what I did there?
    5. Re:What would be great by crunchy666 · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't rate this funny... Think of the scientific research possible? A human born in zero gravity?

    6. Re:What would be great by 0dugo0 · · Score: 2

      Don't let the breastapo hear this. The breast milk mafia has enough political clout to ban spaceflight with an insufficient stock of breasts.

    7. Re:What would be great by hawguy · · Score: 1

      The ship comes back with an extra passenger or two..

      I don't think any responsible parent would attempt to conceive a child in high-radiation conditions. They'll probably use implantable birth control to prevent any unwanted "accidents".

    8. Re:What would be great by timeOday · · Score: 2

      Um, how much do you know about the female body?

    9. Re:What would be great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That was our plan at Weyland-Yutani regarding LV-426. A fucking Warrant Officer (of all people) messed it up, though.

    10. Re:What would be great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Two goes in, three comes out! Two goes in, three comes out!

    11. Re:What would be great by Rogerborg · · Score: 1

      Um, how much do you know about the female body?

      Just that it better get back in the space-galley and bake me some moon pie.

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
    12. Re:What would be great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Past child bearing age" is the big clue.

    13. Re:What would be great by mjr167 · · Score: 1

      Lots of people don't *intend* to have children...

    14. Re:What would be great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Given that he is on /. he probably hasn't had interaction with the female body since infancy.

    15. Re:What would be great by Sigg3.net · · Score: 1

      They usually *intend* to go through the motions however...

    16. Re:What would be great by Dabido · · Score: 1

      But Dr Manhattan doesn't need to hitch a lift, he can get back on his own.

      --
      Sure enough, the cow costume was hanging up next to the superhero outfit and sailors uniform. (S,Spud)
  6. Crash and colonise by MichaelSmith · · Score: 2

    Landing and living on Mars might actually be safer than a cruise back to Earth and a 10g landing, after two years of microgravity. A better idea would be to send older people, land them on Mars and schedule resupply missions.

    1. Re:Crash and colonise by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

      Given the cost of sending somebody, sending an old person seems like a very unwise investment in terms of expected mission years per dollar...

      You'd pretty much want the youngest you could get, subject to the restriction that they be old enough to exhibit basic human competence and keep the ethicists off your back... The communications delay is short enough that subject matter experts can be consulted from earth, and RF is much cheaper than meat when it comes to shipping 'wisdom and experience' across interplanetary space.

    2. Re:Crash and colonise by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

      You'd pretty much want the youngest you could get

      Yeah but then you have to commit to keeping them alive for longer, in this scenario.

    3. Re:Crash and colonise by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I like the idea but putting enough infrastructure on the ground on Mars for them to continue to live even with resupply (an ongoing cost) probably bumps the cost up an order of magnitude.

    4. Re:Crash and colonise by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

      Or just make sure that they don't find the 'tragic accident circuit' or die in some particularly low-PR way before you have need to trigger said circuit.

      It wouldn't do at all to have hours of increasingly labored gasping, crying, and inchoate begging broadcast across the globe; but some young explorers with stars in their eyes becoming the first humans to (as aseptically and off-stage as possible) lay down their lives in the noble cause of Space Exploration? Bring on the hagiographic documentaries...

    5. Re:Crash and colonise by Jarik+C-Bol · · Score: 1

      old people are harder to keep alive. Ever try to do tech support for your grandmother over the phone? now imagine trying to walk her through a medical procedure like a heart stint with a 20 minute communication delay. The elderly (age 65 and over) made up around 13 percent of the U.S. population in 2002, but they consumed 36 percent of total U.S. personal health care expenses. That number has only gone up in the last 11 years, thanks to an aging baby boomer generation. And you want to send them to mars?

      --
      I've decided to Diversify my Holdings. I've divided my cash between my left and right pockets, instead of all in one.
    6. Re:Crash and colonise by MichaelSmith · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I envisage landing at the Hallas low point, for the highest temperatures and highest atmospheric pressure. The crew would dig or drill for water and use photovoltic power to extract oxygen from the water. They may also use oxygen and hydrogen in fuel cells for energy storage. They would land with two years of food, but they would have an inflatible habitat which could be used to grow some food as well.

      One concern is the life of their pressure suits. Lunar fines are very abrasive and Apollo surface suits had a short working life. Martian fines may cause similar problems.

    7. Re:Crash and colonise by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

      old people are harder to keep alive

      But they will have less time for the long term consequences of radiation exposure to be an issue. I agree with your arguments about health though. The right people would need to be sent.

    8. Re:Crash and colonise by Panoramix · · Score: 2

      I think the point is, if you're going to put people on a rocket and shoot them to Mars, in the understanding that, no matter what happens, they're going to die there, won't ever see Earth again, it might just be easier to find takers, and generally to sell this idea to the public, if you aim for 60+ aged who already lived their lives here.

      I know people that age who are still in great shape, and maybe some would be willing to set off for one last adventure. Who knows. Tough one, that.

    9. Re:Crash and colonise by tftp · · Score: 1

      if you're going to put people on a rocket and shoot them to Mars, in the understanding that, no matter what happens, they're going to die there, won't ever see Earth again

      Then your best choice would be dead people. They don't need any life support, and they won't die again in the middle of the mission. They will do just as good as anyone else, after being confined to a small tin can for a year. A flyby? They are ideal for that, considering how much work they need to do on the way there and back.

    10. Re:Crash and colonise by Panoramix · · Score: 1

      Yes, but if the whole point is to learn how to keep people alive up there, the dead are rather limited use. Not very photogenic either, for the obligatory shot of some guy planting a flag.

    11. Re:Crash and colonise by catchblue22 · · Score: 4, Informative

      One concern is the life of their pressure suits. Lunar fines are very abrasive and Apollo surface suits had a short working life. Martian fines may cause similar problems.

      I don't think the fine particles on Mars will for the most part resemble those on the Moon. Mars has had wind blowing the particles around for a very long time, smoothing out the rough corners on the particles. The Moon clearly has no wind. The particles on the Moon likely formed via meteorite impact ejecta, either from shattered rock or by condensation from vaporized rock. After formation, there would likely be less corner erosion of fine particles due to the lack of wind. Thus the Moon's fine particles are quite abrasive.

      --
      This and no other is the root from which a tyrant springs; when first he appears as a protector - Plato (423 to 327 BC)
    12. Re:Crash and colonise by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 2

      We haven't really had that much trouble with the rovers though, and they get covered in dust. They've all well outlived their operational lifespan.

    13. Re:Crash and colonise by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

      Yeah but its all metal bearings, etc. With the pressure suits on apollo it was grasping tools and rocks. The gripping surfaces of the pressure suit goves eroded badly.

    14. Re:Crash and colonise by tftp · · Score: 2

      Yes, but if the whole point is to learn how to keep people alive up there

      There is very little to learn. We already had ground simulations of the flight, and they were generally unsatisfactory. Humans cannot sit in a tin can for two years and retain sanity. That alone overwhelms all the other issues, of which there are many. The best solution for keeping humans alive during the flight to Mars is to make the flight short - say, a day, or two. Until that happens nobody in his right mind should spend years of his life being a lab rat.

      A robot can do planting of the flag just fine, if that's the only reason to send a meatbag up there. There will be no public interest in this event anyway, even if your spacefarers survive the year of confinement and recycled water/food and don't kill each other. Man and a woman - strong emotions swing both ways; as they say, "Heaven has no rage, like love to hatred turned." But OK, let's say those travellers warily emerged from the lander and made a few shaky steps (even in the lower gravity of Mars.) What next? Do they just hammer a flag into the ground and leave? Do they, in the great numbers of two, start to study the whole planet? No, of course not. They aren't even going to land, per Tito's scenario, and there will be nothing to show, nothing to celebrate. The spam in the can may just as well never leave Earth.

      I'm far from being against spaceflight. But you need to be always reasonable and sane. It just doesn't make any sense to send people for that long and that far. They are likely to die, and there is nothing to be gained from this flight. The money should be instead invested into making more efficient vehicles that can, as matter of fact, traverse the distance much faster and thus make access to Mars far more realistic. Nuclear power? Perhaps, if that works. New physics? Always welcome. But sending people on this voyage is just as practical as crossing the Atlantic on a reed raft. Is it possible? Yes, if the stars are in a favorable position (literally, in case of Mars.) But is a reed raft, or a torora boat like Ra II, a viable transport between the Old and the New worlds? Not in a thousand years. You need something that gives you a half-decent chance of getting there alive, and doesn't take forever. Trips of Thor Heyerdahl took about 3 months each, sometimes with stops at various ports. Those trips were done on Earth, where the air is free and the ocean full of fish is a foot away.

      So, Mr. Tito, if your money burns through your pocket, take it and build a space elevator. That would be a worthy endeavor. Once that is in place we can start thinking about building larger ships, nuclear-powered, that take water as reaction mass and can travel to the Moon, to Mars, or to the Belt within reasonable time. That's the way to go.

    15. Re:Crash and colonise by hawguy · · Score: 3, Informative

      There is very little to learn. We already had ground simulations of the flight, and they were generally unsatisfactory. Humans cannot sit in a tin can for two years and retain sanity. That alone overwhelms all the other issues, of which there are many

      Russia, the EU and China conducted a joint simulation with mission lengths of 15, 105 and 520 day durations. After the 520 day mission:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MARS-500#Experiment_stages

      The 520-day final stage of the experiment, which was intended to simulate a full-length manned mission, began in 3 June 2010 and ended on 4 November 2011.[8][9][10] This stage was conducted by a six-man international crew, consisting of three Russians, a Frenchman, an Italian/ Colombian and a Chinese citizen.[10] The stage included a simulation of a manned Mars landing, with three simulated Mars-walks carried out on 14, 18 and 22February 2011.[11][12] The experiment ended on 4 November 2011, with all the participants reportedly in optimal physical and psychological condition.[10]

      In January 2013, the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences reported that four of the six crew members had considerable problems sleeping, and some avoided exercise and would hide away from the others, in behaviour compared to animal hibernation.[13]

      Insomnia and exercise avoidance doesn't sound all that unsatisfactory. Though I don't think it's possible to truly simulate a mission to Mars here on Earth when the participants know that if things go very bad, they are just an escape hatch away from help. I think the only way to do a true simulation would be if the participants really thought that they were in a space capsule, which is pretty hard to do when gravity gives it away.

      They had 6000 volunteers for the long mission - I suspect that an actual mission to mars will result in many more volunteers, despite the risks.

    16. Re:Crash and colonise by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Same AC here. That could work. You'd have to include enough power to keep the habitat warm too. Probably the best power source for them would be a nuclear reactor similar to the ones used on spacecraft only bigger. That would last a decade or more. With PV you'd have to have enough batteries to last overnight and through the occasional dust storm.

    17. Re:Crash and colonise by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Well, not AC anymore and I blew some mod points. Oh well.

    18. Re:Crash and colonise by tftp · · Score: 1

      Yes, I was referring to that experiment, and I was aware of the outcome. IMO it is "generally unsatisfactory" because you cannot have astronauts in such psychological condition anywhere. One angry or suicidal man can kill everyone. Even if he kills himself, what to do with his body? Stuff him into a spacesuit and hope that it is airtight for a year? What nerves of carbon nanotubes you must have to eat, live and relax a foot or two away from a decomposed body?

      There were other experiments as well, also on Earth, that resulted in poor psychological compatibility. Generally, all astronauts go through these tests because life in the LEO is not particularly exciting either.

      They had 6000 volunteers for the long mission - I suspect that an actual mission to mars will result in many more volunteers, despite the risks.

      I think most of those volunteers are unfit for a spaceflight just because they have volunteered - and by doing that proved that they are not reasonable people :-)

      Also you can find plenty of eager volunteers for anything in many mental hospitals. This doesn't make them competent. All children under 8 will gladly fly too; does it mean anything?

      But the key point here is that the voyage is so long and so difficult and delivers so little, that any reasonable person would question its value. If you are really itching to launch a 10 ton craft to Mars, launch robots. They will actually land, and they will survey the planet. This is necessary anyway if you have serious plans on ever colonizing it. Don't even bother designing new robots, just make more of those that are already roaming the planet. That would be also a good use of money. Or hang tens of satellites over Mars, for survey and as repeaters for communication and positioning. Those robots will appreciate the gesture; future explorers will be very insistent on these facilities, since there isn't too many cell towers on Mars, and there is no other method of communication with away parties.

      Though I don't think it's possible to truly simulate a mission to Mars here on Earth when the participants know that if things go very bad, they are just an escape hatch away from help. I think the only way to do a true simulation would be if the participants really thought that they were in a space capsule, which is pretty hard to do when gravity gives it away.

      One Sci-Fi short story actually reverses your proposition. Martian exploration crew is repeatedly trained on Earth, in a chamber that simulates Mars as well as it can be; but the help is always a button press away. However during yet another training astronauts unexpectedly discover that they are on Mars, not on Earth, and that the help is not coming if they need it. One astronaut immediately goes bananas; another manages to put him and himself into hibernation before their automated ship returns them to Earth.

    19. Re:Crash and colonise by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can we send ALL of them? Thats a 36% saving on the health care costs that can go into development of the program.

    20. Re:Crash and colonise by Panoramix · · Score: 2

      Um. Alright. I wasn't really commenting on Tito's plan, but rather on MichaelSmith's notion of a one-way trip, at the start of this thread (which, btw, has been proposed, seriously). But sure, let's get serious if you want.

      I do see a point in sending meatbags to Mars. Not for the sake of a flyby, or that joke about the flag, but ultimately to attempt to live in Mars for extended periods of time. Staying in Mars, in some sort of habitat, establish a permanent presence in another planet. I think achieving this should be considered a more pressing issue than it actually seems to be. I'll come back to this in a minute. But a flyby may be useful, to assess what exactly it takes to get there.

      First though, I'm not sure you've got your numbers right. Valeri Polyakov stayed 14 months aboard that tin can, Mir. Sergei Krikalev (who's spent 800+ days in space) stayed 10 months while the USSR dissolved. Aleksandr Kaleri has spent almost as long - he was in the ISS couple years ago (and the man is 56 btw). And so on. Now of course there have been side effects, both physiological and psychological, but, to my knowledge none incapacitating, and none permanente in the long-term. So I'm not quite sure, when you say "Humans cannot sit in a tin can for two years and retain sanity", what are you basing this opinion on? I'm not an expert, but given these numbers, well. To me, it sounds very hard alright, but not impossible, or even unrealistic.

      You also said, "We already had ground simulations of the flight, and they were generally unsatisfactory". Could you elaborate? I only know of Mars-500, an experiment conducted by a few years ago where they isolated a crew to simulate a trip to Mars. I recall they all completed the experiment, no one went bonkers aboard and started killing the others, really. I seem to recall there were issues concerning lack of sleep, which of course is serious and needs addressing. It may be part of the reason why ISS astronauts take sleeping pills now. In any case, experiments like Mars-500, valuable as they are, can't simulate microgravity or what I think will be the worst issue, radiation. So I do see a point in those lab rats in a tin can, harsh as the whole notion is.

      I hear you on that part about research, that's always a necessity. But I don't think there's a reason why it must be one or the other, we could have a manned mission *and* research into new technologies. Thing is, and again I may be misinformed, but I don't think we're even close to develop technology that could cut the flight time substantially. I mean, we don't even have the science, the theoretical groundwork, on which to base such a technology. Travel to Mars in a day or two, you say? Come on, man, get real. That's going to take a very, very long time to achieve, and I don't think we should wait that long.

      The reason why I see this is a pressing matter is: I think it's paramount for us, as a species, to hedge our bets, as it were. To make living in another planet, if not economical or practical, at least feasible. Because we don't know when the next Chixculub rock is going to hit, we don't know when we'll face a pandemic that wipes life on Earth, it can happen any time. And I think it would be immensely valuable to know that such a scenario wouldn't necessarily mean the extinction of the species.

    21. Re:Crash and colonise by CAIMLAS · · Score: 1

      No, for something like this, you'd probably want a young adult at the youngest. Hopefully you can find those who are either biologically or culturally unable/unwilling to have children, as such drives are somewhat disruptive to plans. Eunices or priests, maybe? Or just common IT types and a hooker or two...

      If you send old people, they will lack the drive and creativity young people do. For this specific case, 35 might as well be "old".

      If you send people much younger than 18, you're going to run into a problem of irresponsibility and emotional/mental problems as they reach young adulthood (when most mental illness becomes evident, at least with men; it doesn't seem to manifest until menopause with most women).

      Panic and "oh shit" mistakes resulting from lack of life experience, and a diminished ability to deal with extraordinary scenarios, are going to be way, way more costly than sending another person. "Yeah, you remember Jim? No, not the first Jim, the second Jim that came here and ran over Habitat Dome 1 and killed the first 30 people on planet? Yeah, apparently his sister is 12 now, so she's coming out here. Get ready..."

      --
      ~/ssh slashdot.org ssh: connect to host slashdot.org port 22: too many beers
    22. Re:Crash and colonise by CAIMLAS · · Score: 1

      Radiation?

      Dude, it's going to take them 2 years in hermetically sealed microgravity to get there! I'm 30, and I've not had the need for a doctor in over a decade. My grandmother has been going to the doctor almost every month since she was 60 for one reason or another (and she's 80 now), and she's a healthy old person, comparably.

      Dying from radiation poisoning is the least of their concerns for something like this. Simply dying of what would amount to 'exposure' is probably pretty high on the list. Sending anyone over 50 would be stupid; anyone over 40 foolish, and honestly, anyone under 20 similarly brash. The end goal here would not be to 'preserve their life', it would be to explore (presumably). Who cares if they die? It's their choice on whether or not they'd want to go on the adventure.

      --
      ~/ssh slashdot.org ssh: connect to host slashdot.org port 22: too many beers
    23. Re:Crash and colonise by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why should we care if we are extincted some day? What does it matter.

    24. Re:Crash and colonise by tftp · · Score: 2

      I wasn't really commenting on Tito's plan, but rather on MichaelSmith's notion of a one-way trip, at the start of this thread (which, btw, has been proposed, seriously)

      I remember seeing that, but that is even more ridiculous :-)

      So I'm not quite sure, when you say "Humans cannot sit in a tin can for two years and retain sanity", what are you basing this opinion on?

      Mir and ISS operators were always, at all times, 1 hour away from Earth. They could always jump into Soyuz, press a button and within an hour or two, depending on the rotation of Earth, they'd be on terra firma. Cosmonauts were trained to do basic medical procedures, but if any of them gets ill or injured they would leave the station and go to Earth. This is not going to happen during the Mars trip. If a spacefarer needs a complex surgery, his buddies are the best approximation of a surgeon. Their surgical experience? Maybe 30 minutes, trying to cut up a dog and then put it back together.

      Yet another factor is boredom. Space station is naturally a busy place, with many experiments going on, with many observations to make, with many pieces of machinery needing alignment or repair. Guest expeditions would be coming and going; cargo ships would be arriving and making you unload tons of junk, and then to load the vacant space with tons of other junk that you are done with. Fresh food would be shipped to them at every opportunity; their families would be on the video and audio link every week or however often they wanted, and there is no communication delay. In other words, the station crew felt needed, and they were needed. They were worked hard by the Mission Control for their own good.

      Most of that will not be available on a year-long trip to Mars. There will be no guests or ships coming or going. The communication will be delayed to the point of being hard to talk:

      At the perihelion opposition, at 56 millions km from the Earth, a distance as short as 0.37 AU (1 AU = 149.56x108 km), it takes 3 minutes and 7 seconds for a signal emitted by the DSN to reach Mars. But when Earth and Mars are the farthest apart at 2.52 AU, it takes 20 minutes and 57 seconds to transmit the same radio signal.

      I presume you won't fly when Earth and Mars are the farthest apart, but even 3 minutes will surely throw a monkey wrench into your chat. You'd be better off just sticking to email.

      The travellers will not have much of science to do on the way. They cannot do better than automated scientific instruments; those do not get tired, they don't forget, and they have sharper eyes than any human. The humans themselves would be the only experiment, actually.

      There will be a considerable fear of a failure of the life support system. Such things are possible, and accidents of that sort did happen on space stations in LEO. But there, as I said, you can always escape. There is no escape from the Mars spaceship. Apollo 13 got into a similar predicament, and they barely survived - even though the Moon is nearby. If a similar accident happens on a Mars trip, those guys and gals are just as good as dead. The accident can occur not just because the machinery fails but also because of a meteor damage, or of radiation damage, or just because something randomly failed. A motor burns up that pumps sewage, and the motor is not accessible from the inside, and the ship is too small to allow an airlock. What do you do now? You depend on that sewage for your water, and there is no other way to process it. This fear will wear people down. None of that fear was present in the ground simulation. How well will you sleep on an old, rusty World War II bomb that can go off at any time?

      So I do see a point in those lab rats in a tin can, harsh as the whole notion is.

      Very well. Get a few monkeys and send them up to Mars. See how your automated ship works, and how their life support system operates. Monkeys can't repair it? Excellent; the test is eve

    25. Re:Crash and colonise by Ecuador · · Score: 1

      Why older people? It would be best for humankind to send young, experienced professionals, like telephone sanitizers, hairdressers, management consultants etc. It would be good for morale of future missions if they know that upon arriving they can get a good haircut and have clean telephones.

      --
      Violence is the last refuge of the incompetent. Polar Scope Align for iOS
    26. Re:Crash and colonise by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

      Problem is, that giant space goat which looks like it is going to hit Mars next year.

    27. Re:Crash and colonise by Panoramix · · Score: 1

      Oh yes, mineshafts, I love that one, let's do that as well, sign me up. What's the required men to women ratio, again, doc?

      So what you're saying is, it would be (1) more boring than ISS, and (2) quite a bit more dangerous. I'm sure both are true - discovery and exploration have always been very risky, and this would be unprecedented so I'm sure it won't be a walk in the park. I'm not sure, but I don't think it would be boring and dangerous enough to be impossible. I am sure, though, that that hasn't stopped us before.

      A colony on Mars won't be self-sufficient for a very long time, even if they get their water from the planet, and produce their own oxygen and grow their vegetables and stuff. It may take a century or more, if we ever manage to have factories there, to produce parts and things they'll need. But to use your own words: "It would take infinitely long if you never start."

      What I don't get is why you seem to assume that it's one thing or the other. It seems to me that you're implying that, if we send a manned mission to Mars, we won't develop better technology here. We can do both. It could be that we will solve the transport issue before we solve self-sufficiency away from Earth, or it can happen the other way around, I don't think you, me, or anyone else can predict now how it'll play out. So predicating the solution of a hard problem on solving another first, that may be less or maybe much more difficult, does seem a tad self-defeating. Especially when I don't see a hard dependency, both problems can be tackled at the same time, without waiting.

      Anyroad, gotta get to work. Some quick notes I thought of while reading your post, that I have no time now to edit into a proper reply:
      * You get used to email, really, and you don't need low latency to stay in touch with friends, and get movies and videogames. Or, radical notion here, books.
      * It could be that very earthly jobs, like in the military or law enforcement or what you have, are riskier anyway, it's not as if we don't take risks every day (we as a species, I mean.. felt embarrassed and a bit ashamed about that "we", from the comfort of my safe living room).
      * It's not about repopulating Earth, it's about survival of the species by any means necessary, even if it means evolving to live elsewhere and that we can't go back. Mars is certainly harder than Earth, it probably won't be viable, but we'll want to try other places eventually. Out there, away from the solar system. And hey, we have to start somewhere, and Mars seems easy enough. Considering.
      * Good luck with PETA letting you send a couple monkeys. Mark me words, it'll be easier to send humans anyway. Heh.
      * To the AC asking why should we care... that doesn't even deserve an answer. We'll get extinct one day, guaranteed, but we're going to go down fighting, because that's who we are. Humanity ftw.

      Laters.

    28. Re:Crash and colonise by tftp · · Score: 1

      Anyroad, gotta get to work.

      Same here. But just a few comments:

      Oh yes, mineshafts, I love that one, let's do that as well, sign me up. What's the required men to women ratio, again, doc?

      Same on Earth and on Mars. And the same mineshafts. You wouldn't want to live on the surface of a planet that has very little atmosphere and very little magnetic field.

      it would be (1) more boring than ISS, and (2) quite a bit more dangerous.

      And (3) far less valuable. Heroes usually don't mind to die for a good cause, but there isn't much of a good cause in a mere trip there and back, without even landing.

      But to use your own words: "It would take infinitely long if you never start."

      It's the well known paradox of spaceflight. If your industry makes spaceships that are faster and faster with every year, a spaceship launched in the year 0 will be overtaken by a spaceship that is launched later. There was also an episode in ST:TNG where Enterprise picked up an ancient sublight transport that was loaded with the B Ark type personalities.

      In this case it is pointless to make a 2-year trip if within 10, or 20 years you can make it in a far more reasonable time frame. The difference between your point and my own is that starting work NOW on nuclear propulsion will affect the end result either linearly (at worst) or as x^y. But if you start sending people on rickety spaceships, you will spend all your treasure on doing that, and there will be nothing left for research and construction. Then your end result will be affected as x^-y, or even as -x^y. Why to do that? Those 10 men on Mars will not be of any practical use to anyone. 100 men, or 1,000 will start making a difference - but you need real spaceships to deliver them and the supporting resources.

      If I may put it differently, you need to climb to the roof. One way to do it is by making a huge slingshot and firing people at the roof, one at a time, with no guarantee of survival. Another way is to take your time and build a ladder. I am voting for the ladder. We aren't *that* desperate to land people on Mars. If we can judge the chance of being hit by a large meteor, one was in 1905, another was in 2013, and none would be extinction events. There was none since written history, and geology tells us there was none for quite a while. As a side effect, spaceships with nuclear propulsion can be used to avert the strike; a Martian colony cannot do that.

      both problems can be tackled at the same time, without waiting.

      The dependency is in the fact that we as a planet don't have enough treasure to send people to Mars, especially if they need to land there and to establish a colony. This is ONLY because our spaceflight technologies are too primitive. This is where you start working. We do not want to send people to a sure death if waiting 10, 20 or 50 years would be far more efficient. Besides, we just don't have the money. Ask Obama. Tito, with his mere Millions, is not even a player - you need Billions to mount an expedition that has a prayer.

    29. Re:Crash and colonise by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      So, Mr. Tito, if your money burns through your pocket, take it and build a space elevator.

      I doubt anybody would let him. Space elevators of the tethered type that are most useful have one serious drawback: catastrophic failure drops them on the planet, at orbital velocities. More to the point, the thing is so long that it wraps right around the planet in its fall (how much depends on whether or not the failure involves a complete break in the structure, and if it does, where). Yes there's a lot of water at the equator, but there are also enough countries that getting a tethered elevator built is unlikely as long as humans are humans.

    30. Re:Crash and colonise by tftp · · Score: 1

      Make sure that if the tether fails the remaining pieces of tape are cut into manageable chunks (10 or 100 miles long) by explosives. That is, if the tether is manufactured as a continuous tape. If it already comes as $n miles long chunks and you join them, then the joints would be the best place for those emergency disconnects.

      IMO, the danger is not significant even if you do nothing. The fallen wires of the high tension power grid are more dangerous, and we have more of them. What would happen to a city if you throw a dozen of foot wide, 50 mil thick tapes of plastic onto it? They will be very light, but they wouldn't be infinitely strong to cut through Kilimanjaro. They'd be only strong enough to support themselves up to the geostationary orbit, plus to support the mass of the loaded climber.

      If the space elevator is not built then we have to sit back and await the new physics, such as antigravity and teleportation and extradimensional travel. Without any of that we will never have enough resources to launch enough mass to the LEO. If we do, we will pollute the atmosphere to the point of extinction, doing a better job than any meteor from outer space. Rockets are very dirty, and not just when you launch them. Most of the poisons come when you are making them, starting with mining the ores. Most of the fuel (aside from LOX-H fuels) is derived from oil, so we will be short of that too.

    31. Re:Crash and colonise by dryeo · · Score: 1

      Mars-500 was fairly spacey (19,000 cu.ft) compared to sharing a capsule. My wife and I get along pretty good and have spent a lot of time together. We still need time in separate rooms to not drive each other nuts.

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
    32. Re:Crash and colonise by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      There are a couple of assumptions involved in either scenario. In mine (really Kim Stanley Robinson's), a tethered elevator is a very substantial construction with an embedded superconductor running through the center of it. To lift significant mass requires a substantially powerful climber, and let's face it, beamed power is inefficient and dangerous. Not just potentially dangerous in the event of failure, either. Dangerous all the time, even under normal operating conditions. So the collapse of an elevator is at least as dangerous as the collapse of any high tension wire, as far as electricity is concerned, and it's most likely more dangerous than that because the mass of structure required to support both a power cable and the mass of multiple climbers large enough to be useful is large in its own right.

      An elevator 50 mills thick is not a proposal I'm familiar with. That sounds like something that requires new physics, like nanoassembly of macroscale single-molecule structures.

      Then again, any tethered elevator has that problem...

      I'm fine with rockets. Cheap rockets, SpaceX style. They anticipate having a fully reusable first stage capable of soft landing by 2016, and unlike everybody else, they're believable and are well on their way to operational hardware. Grasshopper can take off and soft land itself already.

      Nobody believes space industry has a chance in hell of operating at large scales in LEO using terrestrial mass. The mass has to come from somewhere else. We'll launch the minimum required to get a hold of in situ resources and that will be that, as far as launch is concerned. And no, I'm not talking about Near Earth Asteroids, either, whizzing by in oddball orbits that would require tremendous delta-v to capture. No, I'm talking about a readily accessible chunk of mass already very conveniently in Earth orbit. We call it Luna.

      Even human colonization is going to be largely in situ. A population will be launched and then set about reproducing (as humans do) and the vast majority of substantial off-Earth population will be born off Earth to begin with. There are simulators on the Internet for simulating off Earth human populations using real world numbers, and they all make it clear that ideas about moving a substantial amount of Earth's population off Earth is ludicrous.

  7. Build an automated city first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Build an automated city on Mars first. A habitat is needed so that people can land there and have something waiting. It would be even better if the automated city were busy harvesting water and splitting it into H2 and O2 for the return trip.

    Before you do any of that, get international agreement that contamination of Mars is acceptable. Once humans land there, it's inevitable.

    An "Apollo 8" for Mars just seems like a really bad idea.

    IMHO, the tech for exploring Mars has to come from the mining industry. Yes. Mining. Start with ultra-automated mines on Earth. Then, Mars-adapt that technology and send it there. Ditto for construction. Come on miner/builder-bots guys, build us some Mars bots and get 'em on the job.

    1. Re:Build an automated city first by hawguy · · Score: 2

      Build an automated city on Mars first. A habitat is needed so that people can land there and have something waiting. It would be even better if the automated city were busy harvesting water and splitting it into H2 and O2 for the return trip.

      Before you do any of that, get international agreement that contamination of Mars is acceptable. Once humans land there, it's inevitable.

      An "Apollo 8" for Mars just seems like a really bad idea.

      Who's willing to pay for it? This guy is willing to fund a non-stop trip to mars and back, sounds like he just wants to see some man (and woman) reach mars before he dies.

      If you want to fund an automated city on Mars, go for it - build a compelling case and shop the idea around to some billionaires and see if you can get it funded. That's probably easier than getting politicians to give NASA enough funds to do it.... or worse, trying to build an international coalition of national space agencies to do it.

      IMHO, the tech for exploring Mars has to come from the mining industry. Yes. Mining. Start with ultra-automated mines on Earth. Then, Mars-adapt that technology and send it there. Ditto for construction. Come on miner/builder-bots guys, build us some Mars bots and get 'em on the job.

      I don't know if you've seen earthbound ultra-automated mining but it's typically built of very heavy steel, not something you can easily get to Mars until asteroid mining is available (and this research is in-progress). Mines on earth of more interested in replacing human labor with machines so use big machines to process large quantities of materials.

    2. Re:Build an automated city first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who's willing to pay for it?

      Apparently not this guy, and that's a shame. He'd rather put on a freak show than make some actual progress.

      I don't know if you've seen earthbound ultra-automated mining but it's typically built of very heavy steel, not something you can easily get to Mars

      That would be part of the "Mars-adapt" aspect I mentioned. It's built of heavy steel on Earth because that's cheap and durable. Moving it around on Earth is cheap. Mars-adapting that technology means using materials of comparable strength, but lighter. Titanium? Not sure. Not my job; but you get the idea.

      Actually, NASA is on the right track here. Their robot actually drilled into the surface recently. Now we just need to get a lot more drills up there. Yeah, drill baby drill... on Mars!

  8. Re:There will be problems... by Frosty+Piss · · Score: 2

    sorry to burst your cum-bubble, but jizz and vag spoo and sweat dries very quickly.

    Well, perhaps, but it will still be floating around unless it connects with a surface before it dries.

    And if it does dry and continue to float about, will that be a respiratory issue?

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  9. Re:There will be problems... by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 5, Interesting

    sorry to burst your cum-bubble, but jizz and vag spoo and sweat dries very quickly. The answer to your bukkake question is that it will be possible at a somewhat greater distance than on earth. the only thing left for you to fantasize about it how the place will *smell* after the mission is done. I find it ridiculous that they talk of sending a middle aged couple because of radiation concerns regarding sperm and egg, plenty of young couple opt to be made sterile by one means or another, tubal ligation or vasectomy or whatever. deep space porn rights could help offset cost of mission.....

    Control of biological...undesireables... is actually a bit tricky in space. Lots of problems that just solve themselves when you have an entire planetary atmosphere to work with just don't when you have a few thousands or tens of thousands of liters of atmosphere along with whatever climate control you packed with it.

    Both Mir and the ISS developed moderately nasty mold problems, and Mir even had a number of horrid water globules hiding behind rarely used access panels growing various vile slime.

    It isn't obvious that sexual fluids would be worse than mere sweat(might actually be less troublesome, since there is a strong evolutionary imperative in favor of mechanisms that keep other microorganisms from hijacking our gene transfer mechanism for their own ends); but we know that mere sweat and exhaled water vapor are enough to really gross up the place.

  10. Bah, Robomakerbots instead. by Malenx · · Score: 1

    How about instead of people, we send a few robots and some self-contained factories with which to build more. Once things are up and running, we can start constructing a base via remote control.

    1. Re:Bah, Robomakerbots instead. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why don't we just build one robot smart enough to manufacture other robots and look out for itself without human intervention. It could be like a neural network in the sky. We could call it Skynet.

    2. Re:Bah, Robomakerbots instead. by tftp · · Score: 2

      How about instead of people, we send a few robots and some self-contained factories with which to build more.

      Do that here, on Earth, first. It would be even easier, given that we know a lot about this planet. Make a robot that, once dropped off in, say, Himalayas, will do whatever is necessary to assemble another one. When that happens we will discuss flying such a robot to Mars.

      IMO, it would be a challenge to even find one human - or one group of humans - who'd be able to pull that off. Many alternative history books were written where such scenarios are proposed, studied - and rejected as improbable. The threshold of building a factory that makes semiconductors is absurdly high. One robot, or one human, will not be able to do it. You have to bring up the whole technological civilization to just produce all the chemicals that go into manufacturing of semiconductors. A robot will need a few thousand years to spiral it up, starting with stone tools and likely having to invent unique technologies on the spot as it discovers new minerals and new environmental conditions.

    3. Re:Bah, Robomakerbots instead. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How about instead of people, we send a few robots and some self-contained factories with which to build more.

      Because that's not a real thing.

  11. 101kPa? by Machupo · · Score: 1

    Wonder why they are assuming sea-level atmosphere inside the pressure vessel... long term human habitation has been recorded near 6000m (less than 50kPa).

    --
    *insert pithy sig here*
    1. Re:101kPa? by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

      You still need all that gas, even though you could run at a lower pressure, so it might as well be stored where it gives you some extra radiation shielding and thermal inertia.

  12. Apollo 8 Moment by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 2

    The problem is that Earthrise is going to be kinda lame.

    1. Re:Apollo 8 Moment by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

      Plenty more great views to share though. The crew of this vehicle will be the first to see the solar system from a totally different perspective.

    2. Re:Apollo 8 Moment by feedayeen · · Score: 1

      The problem is that Earthrise is going to be kinda lame.

      At least you get an 'Earthrise' on Mars, you can't do that s*** on the Moon.

    3. Re:Apollo 8 Moment by Jeremi · · Score: 1

      At least you get an 'Earthrise' on Mars, you can't do that s*** on the Moon.

      Sure you can. Start on the "dark side" of the moon and start walking in a straight line. Eventually you will see the Earth rise. (As an added bonus, you can make the Earth sink back down again simply by retracing your steps -- what power!)

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    4. Re:Apollo 8 Moment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Apollo 8 did not use a free return trajectory. They entered lunar orbit, stayed a while, then left lunar orbit and came home. Apollo 13 used a free return trajectory, which makes this Mars idea more like that flight. The explosion in the SM was the only reason free return was used, so this Mars idea seems a lot more like a disaster than a mission.

  13. Re:There will be problems... by hawguy · · Score: 2

    The sleeping quarters are going to look like a Jackson Pollock under the blue lights! Seriously, how do you cum on someone's face in zero G? If I'm doing it "doggy" and pull out right before I fire my huge load like a rocket, will the force blow me into the wall and hurt my back? And I mean, seriously, unless there is some kind of environment vacuum system to suck all the cum and sweat and other liquids out of the room space, by a few months into this thing, the whole place will be filled with free-floating globs of cum and pussy juice. On second thought, I'M IN!

    I don't know if you've spent much time with a girl, but after a few weeks of constant contact with no breaks and no showers, there's not going to be a whole lot of sex going on.

  14. Re:There will be problems... by Frosty+Piss · · Score: 2

    I don't know if you've spent much time with a girl, but after a few weeks of constant contact with no breaks and no showers, there's not going to be a whole lot of sex going on.

    On the contrary, it will me like rutting animals. There will be nothing else to do. In fact they should take the Kama Sutra and a video camera, and sell the rights to Vivid Entertainment... And of course they will have to sign up a couple who are HOT looking and so forth...

    --
    If you want news from today, you have to come back tomorrow.
  15. How will they get a craft ready by 2018? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Orion's life support is too heavy for the Delta IV heavy, and it is only good for several people for a few months. NASA has spent over a few billion dollars on Orion, and it is still not ready. How will they build and test a capsule to support two people for 1 1/3 years in 5 years? Not to mention a bigger rocket will be needed, and no, the Falcon Heavy will not have the power to push an Orion massed craft past Mars. Heck, only early studies of galactic cosmic on the brain have been preformed, and they show that high energy iron is not good for the brain.

    1. Re:How will they get a craft ready by 2018? by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

      What makes you think that the craft has to be assembled first and then lifted into orbit? Building it in space from pre-fab modules is much more practical.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    2. Re:How will they get a craft ready by 2018? by RocketAcademy · · Score: 1

      SpaceX has been working on Dragon a longer than Lockheed's been building Orion. I was first heard about it back in 2003.

  16. Re:There will be problems... by amiga3D · · Score: 1

    I have to say that the sex drive doesn't give a shit. It's like ugly girls in the absence of pretty girls. Suddenly they start to look damn good. If you don't get any pussy for a long time they look fucking fabulous. After a few weeks you just want to get laid and your mind adjusts to anything it has to in order for it to work out.

  17. Radiation! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The ISS LEO experience tells us very little about the radiation environment that they will spend the large majority of their time on during a mars mission. Even at solar minimum and ignoring the possibility of a solar flare, these people are going to be subjected to an extraordinary amount of radiation. It is much much nastier outside of the protection of the earth's magnetosphere. Odds of death by radiation poisoning or just serious damage due to long term exposure to medium levels of ionizing radiation are very high. In the event of a solar flare or errant impact from a cosmic ray, death would occur in a number of days.

    The technical paper largely ignores this critical issue. Which means they're unlikely to be successful. On the plus side, the equivalent of sitting next to a reactor core with a few millimeters of aluminum shielding is an excellent contraceptive.

  18. sending canned humans to mars and back ... by giampy · · Score: 1

    I hope this gets actually done soon, so we can call it a day and get back to more interesting concepts like building a base in the south pole of the moon (using robot), or trying to build space elevators, or placing shades in the L1 point to regulate global warming, or, you know, maybe funding actual science (e.g. gravitational wave detectors, and plenty of other very cool missions).

    --
    We learn from history that we learn nothing from history - Tom Veneziano
  19. Why a mixed crew by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Why send a man AND a woman? Does he think people cant go 501 days without sex? I got that beat in spades. Sign me up. ....posting anonymously in shame.... :)

    1. Re:Why a mixed crew by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      No sex... and a 1,200,000ms server lag.

    2. Re:Why a mixed crew by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      No sex... and a 1,200,000ms server lag.

      So, just me and a copy of Fallout 1/2/3/New Vegas, and Morrowind/Oblivion/Skyrim. Sign me up, not the AC that started this thread, but I've lived that life for the past 15 years.

      8 hours to maintain the ship, 8 hours to play video games, 8 hours to sleep. Beats working for a living.

    3. Re:Why a mixed crew by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your game rig would probably use more power than the whole spaceship. Good luck catching enough sunlight with solar panels once you are near mars.

      Besides, if you are such a gamer, you will pull your hair when you realize your favorite game has an update, and all earthlings can play it, yet you have to wait another year, or download it with 150bps, whichever is faster.

  20. Where does... by DiSKiLLeR · · Score: 1

    Where does one sign up?

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    You can tell how powerful someone is by the magnitude of the crime they can commit and be able to get away with.
  21. Re:There will be problems... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Very informative, "fuzzyfuzzyfungus." Are spores etc your line of work?

  22. Maybe a Venus flyby is easier by wisebabo · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Have they done a similar study for a Venus flyby? The launch dates might be more forgiving, the target a bit closer, the trip length might be a shorter and the delta-V requirements a bit less. Most important maybe the earth re-entry requirements would be a little less extreme. It is a 14km/sec aero-capture maneuver prior to re-entry that would, in some scenarios, put the vehicle in an elliptical, battery power only, 10-day trajectory beyond the moon (not to mention abusing the heat shield TWICE) just to reduce G-forces!. And there's only a 6km entry "window" between burn-up and bouncing off the atmosphere on an escape trajectory!

    I mean since this trip is mainly a (very useful) test of long duration deep space flight with very limited "observation" of an already well-studied planet (there are currently three orbiters and two rovers on Mars), does it really matter which planet we flyby? Since the trajectory for this mission already takes it inward almost to Venus' orbit, they will be exposed to the same levels of solar heat (and radiation). Mars is, of course, more relevant for future long term exploration but other than the P.R. value there is not much more that would be gained over going to it versus Venus.

    On the other hand, if somebody forks up the money for this tomorrow, please ignore everything I said. Mars or bust!

    1. Re:Maybe a Venus flyby is easier by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A Venus flyby was looked at in the late 60's as part of the Apollo extension project - where they were looking at other follow on uses for the saturn 5's and CSM hardware. In the end the Apollo-soyuz flight and skylab were all that came out of it.

  23. Re:There will be problems... by bkmoore · · Score: 2

    you mean they're sending Silvio Berlusconi up there?

  24. What if she gets pregnant? by batistuta · · Score: 1

    Seriously. On a 501-day trip, intercourse will happen at some point. If it gets too wild, she could get pregnant. And having a baby in the middle of such a mission will be a major catastrophee. They should really make sure that the two humans in this mission are sterile. I don't see it worth of taking any chances.

    1. Re:What if she gets pregnant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Did you go to School in Texas? We have these things called "contraceptives" that can be used to stop impregnation, even when God wills it!

  25. Just what Mars needs by DrXym · · Score: 1

    Anyone who boarded a rocket in 2018 for a manned trip to Mars is more likely to become a frozen corpsicle. It's a seriously short period of time to plan, design, construct, schedule, launch and assemble essentially a second space station and crew and set it on course around Mars and back again. If it happened at all it would cut so many corners it would border on reckless. Make it 8 or 10 years, and maybe it might be feasible.

    1. Re:Just what Mars needs by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      Five years is quite reasonable. Think SpaceX timescales, not NASA timescales. SpaceX might even get the contract to do it. There are very few other contenders. They even have some orbital life support experience now, though not with humans present. If they got the contract, I'd expect they'd find and hire some people with long term ISS design experience. Given SpaceX's track record of development times, their current corporate knowledgebase, and their current corporate culture, five years is well within the realm of possibility.

      Not all of the organizations with space experience are as hidebound and bureaucratically crippled as NASA.

    2. Re:Just what Mars needs by DrXym · · Score: 1

      Its only reasonable if you have no appreciation of the complexity. Even the most successful commercial space ventures are barely beyond putting things in orbit let alone the order of magnitude complexity of putting them around another planet and successfully retrieving them. It would be impossible in that short time frame to design, construct, launch, assemble the various modules of such a craft, including all the fuel, water and oxygen necessary in that amount of time.

    3. Re:Just what Mars needs by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      I have a fine appreciation for the complexity, and I am quite certain that its precisely the same order of magnitude as the operations SpaceX is already engaged in. Launching fuel, water, and oxygen into orbit as payload is blindingly trivial for an organization that is already building proven rockets. SpaceX is already in the business of manufacturing their own tanks for fuel and liquid oxygen and launching them into orbit. It's what rockets are made of and made for. Sizing a tank to fit as payload on a Falcon 9 would take an afternoon, and that includes the design review to check the math of the person who did it. The design even comes with internal anti-slosh baffles, so they can launch liquid water rather than having to go through the fuss of freezing it. They already have on-site liquid oxygen handling equipment: they use it to load oxidizer onto the rocket. Loading it into the payload would be a trivial modification. Likewise for fuel. They already have on-site water handling, in the form of the deluge system for noise and pad protection. Again, modifications to load payload is trivial.

      Once the pieces are in orbit, the next step is on-orbit assembly. Dragon has already rendezvoused with the ISS twice now, and will do so again the day after tomorrow. Proof that SpaceX has on-orbit assembly capability already, and they're only getting better at it.

      Are you going to try to claim that calculating the ballistics is beyond them? Nonsense. A high school kid can calculate burn times to get to Mars, given the starting numbers. It took a rocket scientist to invent the rocket equation, but it only takes the barest understanding of algebra to use it.

      So what's left? Design of the craft itself. They have 5 YEARS to do that part. I think they could handle it. I think they could handle it without even interrupting their current development schedule significantly. The Dragon team already has detailed, validated, design experience in the necessary regimes. More than enough, since the proposal doesn't include landing anybody on Mars.

      Robert Heinlein famously wrote "Once you're in orbit, you're halfway to anywhere." That's not hyperbole. It's literally mathematically true, in terms of energy expenditure. In terms of power, it's actually easier to go from Earth orbit to anywhere else than it is to get into Earth orbit in the first place, because your rate of energy use can be (and almost always is) lower, and you don't have to deal with atmospheric turbulence and the vibration it induces, or atmospheric pressure, and the stresses it induces.

      I'm absolutely certain SpaceX has the necessary institutional knowledge to design and build a successful manned Mars craft in 5 years. The one and only thing they don't have publicly demonstrated skill in is long term null-G inhabited structure design, and the only part of that they're missing is the "long term" part. I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if they actually do have such in-house knowledge already, having hired ISS or Mir engineers. If they haven't, and got the contract, they could have their pick of the best and brightest in the world who have already done it at least once, and possibly twice, in the case of Russian engineers.

      Is the problem complex? Yes. Is the problem more complex than the problems SpaceX has already solved? Not even a little.

    4. Re:Just what Mars needs by DrXym · · Score: 1

      I'm absolutely certain they have the knowledge too, or could obtain it. It's simply a matter of time and logistics. Short of throwing all resources and an unlimited budget at the problem cannot be done in 5 years. Not by SpaceX, not by NASA. It's totally unrealistic to even assume they could.

  26. 501 Days? by Westwood0720 · · Score: 1

    501 Days with the same person? 501 days with a WOMAN!?

    *spins office chair around to glance at woman sitting at the desk behind me*

    I'd jettison myself after 501 minutes. Hell with THAT.

  27. Send a GAY couple (not a troll!) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Ok, one of the reasons for sending an older couple is so that the woman is post-menopausal and thus you won't have to deal with the possibility of pregnancy, the ickyness of the menstrual cycle (and additional weight for "feminine hygiene" products which is a line item in the life support planning!) and hormone cycles. I guess the planners then presume that the man should be equally old (I guess they are discounting the possibility of, as they say here in Vietnam, "old airplane young pilot" :)

    Why not avoid all that and send a gay couple? In that case you could pick two (men) who are in a stable long term relationship already. They wouldn't have to be (as) old as menopausal considerations as well as pregnancy (and post mission children) wouldn't be an issue. With the old age requirement gone you could get two individuals at the peak of physical and mental fitness.

    Anyway, I don't know if that would turn off some potential sponsors but it might entice others (how much money could the rainbow coalition raise?).

    On the other hand, sending two women, while re-introducing the possible menstrual cycle requirements (unless both were post-menopausal) might be worthwhile because of the potential weight savings. The life support is modeled on two seventy kilogram males, two fifty kilogram females would consume appreciably less. So sending a lesbian couple to mars would have its own benefits.

    Ok, cue the jokes! :)

    1. Re:Send a GAY couple (not a troll!) by Gavagai80 · · Score: 2

      Why not just send one person? You only have to take half the food, your tiny space is less cramped, and the mental pressures of being isolated can't be worse than those of being stuck in a tiny room with someone for two years.

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      This space intentionally left blank
  28. Cancelled Due To Devastating Comet Impact ? by Mad+Bad+Rabbit · · Score: 1

    Before anyone sinks too much money into this mission, perhaps we should wait and see whether a 50-km wide comet is going to slam into Mars in 2014 ?

    It would suck if there's nothing left to see but ash clouds and a 500 km wide magma lake.

    --
    >;k
  29. Why not create a space carrier first? by master_p · · Score: 1

    A space carrier with rotating sections for gravity, nuclear propulsion, and some form of thick protection against the radiation (either thick plating or a magnetic shield or a combination) would be a much better approach.

    With such a vehicle, manned space travel between Mars - Earth would become a commodity.

  30. Getting there isn't the problem by GodfatherofSoul · · Score: 1

    It's getting there with a ship that will provide an ethically adequate living environment for the crew. I'm not too interested in seeing play-by-play on an astronaut's decent into madness.

    --
    I swear to God...I swear to God! That is NOT how you treat your human!
    1. Re:Getting there isn't the problem by Westwood0720 · · Score: 1

      I'm not too interested in seeing play-by-play on an astronaut's decent into madness.

      I for one would rather enjoy viewing the breaking point of that exact moment coming up on LiveLeak or something. =D

  31. Re:There will be problems... by Luyseyal · · Score: 1

    Why do you think they're bringing the wife? HOUSECLEANING

    -l

    /totally kidding, do not reply if you are humor-impaired.

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  32. 20 million to build the enterprise. by flayzernax · · Score: 1

    http://www.buildtheenterprise.org/cost-mass

    Your one of the richest people with the best connections on earth Denis.

    Do you want to captain your own ship? I sure as hell would.

    Your halfway there In 1972, he founded Wilshire Associates, a leading provider of investment management, consulting and technology services in Santa Monica, California. Dennis Tito serves an international clientele representing assets of $12.5 trillion.[2]

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dennis_Tito

  33. Mars Direct plan for return fuel by fritsd · · Score: 1

    A similar plan called "Mars Direct" is outlined in Robert Zubrin's "The Case for Mars". It's a fun read!
    The idea is to use a simple factory to make the return fuel in situ. Then when the factory reports after a few years that the return fuel storage tanks are full, you launch the actual mission, knowing that the crew can probably return safely once they make it to the first Mars landing site.
    I don't like their idea of using some kind of nuclear power plant for the compressor and Sabatier process, surely it can be done with solar power, it will just take several years longer. Their idea is to "bring your own" hydrogen, compress Mars air of 95% CO2, and make water, methane, and oxygen. It sounds simple and brilliant.
    And I think that they should park another factory next to it to manufacture solar cells from doped amorphous silicon :-)

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  34. Typo - should be Xenon by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Whoops!
    Anyway, there is a very good Wikipedia page about the atmosphere on Mars. The numbers given vary seasonally as the carbon dioxide comes out as snow!

  35. no Donate Now button by WhiteDragon · · Score: 1

    I'm surprised they don't have a Donate Now button. I know they plan to raise a lot of their money from "philanthropic" (i.e. large) donations, but I think a lot of slashdotters would love to donate a few bucks.

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  36. "Don't tell me that man doesn't belong out there." by Vidovix · · Score: 1

    "Man belongs wherever he wants to go--and he'll do plenty well when he gets there." Wernher von Braun, Time magazine, 1958