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3 Habitable-Zone Super-Earths Found Orbiting Nearby Star

astroengine writes "Gliese 667C is a well-studied star lying only 22 light-years from Earth in the constellation of Scorpius, but it appears to have been hiding a pretty significant secret. The star has at least six exoplanets in orbit, three of which orbit within the star's "habitable zone" — the region surrounding a star that's not too hot and not too cold for liquid water to exist on their surfaces. Astronomers already knew that Gliese 667C had three worlds in orbit, one in the star's habitable zone, but the finding of three more exoplanets, two of which are also in the habitable zone is a huge discovery. Finding one small planet in a star's habitable zone is exciting, but finding three is historic. 'The number of potentially habitable planets in our galaxy is much greater if we can expect to find several of them around each low-mass star — instead of looking at ten stars to look for a single potentially habitable planet, we now know we can look at just one star and find several of them,' said Rory Barnes, of the University of Washington, co-author of the study, in an ESO press release Tuesday (June 25)."

203 comments

  1. Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by dunsel · · Score: 2, Funny

    I'd like to get more information about these worlds before I die. Also, I'd like to know if I would really get my own planet if I went "Full Mormon" so I can prepare accordingly.

    1. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by thue · · Score: 5, Informative

      Only 22 light years away! If you go at the same speed as voyager 1, then it will only take 382122 years to get there!

    2. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you'd like to know more about these worlds before you die, then we should be launching a specialized telescope, not exploratory robots.

    3. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I didn't realize exploratory robots could travel there and back in your lifetime. Will you be living ~800,000 more years then?

    4. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by FatdogHaiku · · Score: 1, Funny

      I'd like to get more information about these worlds before I die. Also, I'd like to know if I would really get my own planet if I went "Full Mormon" so I can prepare accordingly.

      I too have questions. I need to know if high speed internet is available (tcp over warp?)...
      although with a bunch of wives I could just stage my own girl on girl action...

      --
      You have the right to remain sentient. If you give up the right to remain sentient, you will be elected to public office
    5. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by tgd · · Score: 1

      If you'd like to know more about these worlds before you die, then we should be launching a specialized telescope, not exploratory robots.

      Or investing in either cryogenics or machine digitization of human consciousness.

      Because without one of the two, its just plain not going to happen.

    6. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why that's only 5307 Lorne Greenes!

    7. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      I don't know about that, last time we sent a signal that way it ended up with a transformers ripoff and we certainly don't want that to happen again.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    8. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by Earthquake+Retrofit · · Score: 1

      Or investing in either cryogenics or machine digitization of human consciousness.

      Because without one of the two, its just plain not going to happen.

      If it's any comfort to you. I'm working on the second.

      --
      Fifty years of Yippie! 1968-2018
    9. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Or use a better propulsion and enjoy the slower aging of high speed travel.

    10. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't age slower. You just arrive faster. From the point of view of the ship, it could travel faster than speed of light. But from outside, it will not and it will age less.

      Time, funny thing.

      Anyway, to get relativistic effects, we would need much better propulsion than anything we have thought of so far. Science fiction for now.

    11. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by sabri · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Or investing in either cryogenics or machine digitization of human consciousness. Because without one of the two, its just plain not going to happen.

      Zefram Cochrane disagrees with you... :)

      --
      I'm not a complete idiot... Some parts are missing.
    12. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by jbolden · · Score: 2

      From the point of view of the ship, it could travel faster than speed of light

      No from the point of view of the ship once you are going fast the other planet isn't very far away so it shouldn't take long to get there.

    13. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by rvw · · Score: 2, Funny

      I'd like to get more information about these worlds before I die. Also, I'd like to know if I would really get my own planet if I went "Full Mormon" so I can prepare accordingly.

      I too have questions. I need to know if high speed internet is available (tcp over warp?)...
      although with a bunch of wives I could just stage my own granny on granny action...

      FTFY!

    14. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by kenwd0elq · · Score: 2
    15. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by JakeBurn · · Score: 1

      How would digitization of human consciousness help someone know what's going to happen 328,000 years from now? Its the same as a robot but with a dead human's personality. Cryogenics, like you said, or some other form of stasis is about the only way any human will see something outside our solar system for the next dozen generations or more.

    16. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by Gr8Apes · · Score: 2

      Check out the Orion program, from the 50s

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    17. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by crutchy · · Score: 2

      isn't there a borg transwarp conduit near earth somewhere we can hijack?

      better yet... if i'm assimilated i might get to hang out with the borg queen... rawr :)

    18. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by crutchy · · Score: 1

      Time, funny thing.

      time has a sick, twisted sense of humor

    19. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by crutchy · · Score: 1

      Cochrane didn't do shit except get extremely drunk... it was all La Forge who saved his ass... Cochrane just pressed the 'go' button and took all the credit at the end

    20. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by crutchy · · Score: 1

      tcp over warp?

      that would be just fucking fantastic... popup ads at warp speed

    21. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by crutchy · · Score: 1

      at least they didn't smack us in the eye with a monolith

    22. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      granny on granny action...

      because polygamists always marry adult females.

    23. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by FatdogHaiku · · Score: 2

      Kirk: Scotty, the Penis Enlargement ads are overwhelming the system, we need more power!
      Scotty: Captain, I'm giving you all we've got! We even added Viagra to the Di-lithium crystals but now they're poking holes in the containment vessel! Oh, If only someone had not answered that ad for Hot Green Babes!
      Kirk: Err... yes... a mystery...

      --
      You have the right to remain sentient. If you give up the right to remain sentient, you will be elected to public office
    24. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by slick7 · · Score: 1

      I'd like to get more information about these worlds before I die. Also, I'd like to know if I would really get my own planet if I went "Full Mormon" so I can prepare accordingly.

      Are these "discoveries" a prelude to disclosure?

      --
      The mind conceives, the body achieves, the spirit manifests.
    25. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      NO, the theory of relativity is wrong. What is implies is that you can never technically reach the speed of light (as you know speed is measured as distance divided v by time) , as for the observer who is not moving and you as a moving object the distance is the same. The time for the one moving is really slower than the time for the one observing from the side. So imagine that you reach the speed of light, according to the one standing, but then you as moving and time going slower for you, you have not really reached the speed of light.

    26. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by HiThere · · Score: 4, Interesting

      By all means use a better propulsion system. Ion jet rockets probably are the best currently buildable. But you will still need to limit your top velocity, or you will be damaged by interstellar dust particles. Grain of sand is probably the worst to deal with. Too small to see in time to dodge, and too large to shield against. Of course, if you were going faster even smaller particles would be more dangerous. My guess is that this factor would limit you to 0.1c, but that's a wild guess. I could easily be off by a factor of 10 in either direction.

      Perhaps it would help if the vehicle were preceeded by a balloon filled with ice (water). But that's rather hard to see through, and hard to manuver if you need to dodge something too large.

      And the more complex you make things, the more likely it is you'll experience a breakdown along the way.

      Still, one thing that we really need to do is send one of these things with an on-board telescope of moderate power. Have the ship spin slowly, and stream the pictures back to earth. You don't need a fast transmission rate as one picture/week at any given angle should suffice, and half or a quarter of that would be acceptable. But this would give us a LONG parallax line. (N.B.: I'm not talking about something with high resolution, or infrared capability, and any other exotic capability. I'm presuming that the pictures would be stitched together with software after being received. So the buffer would only need to hold one image at a time.)

      Now it's true that this wouldn't show much about the target system within our lifetimes, but it might show us a great deal about things off to the side. And it would test many of our estimates of distance (which, to be frank, rest on reasonable but not directly testable assumptions). That said, even this would only directly test distances about near bodies. It's not a long enough baseline to directly test Cephid variable distances, except a few. And I'm only expecting it to verify what is already known. But it would allow us to test our model of the local 3d starspace against direct imagery.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    27. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by Mateorabi · · Score: 2

      Well, no MORE than a factor of 10 in ONE direction.

      Though if you are de/accelerating the whole time, 50/50, then you'll only be hitting the peak speed near the middle part of the journey. Also, after the half way point you are facing ass (rocket) forward: hopefully the output from the thrusters could be designed to help deflect small particles in the way. So it's only the 35-50% mark to worry about.

      --
      "You saved 1968." - Ms. Valerie Pringle to the crew of Apollo 8

    28. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by rtfa-troll · · Score: 0

      Anyway, to get relativistic effects, we would need much better propulsion than anything we have thought of so far. Science fiction for now.

      So so informative seeming. So so wrong. Relativistic effects are clearly visible in the GPS system.

      Now, the statement "to get a useful proportional reduction in perceived trip time from relativistic effects we would need much better propulsion.." would be true. The problem is not, however, with the maximum rate of acceleration; we already do many G acceleration and 1G continuous might be a very good way to go. The problem is that we have no reasonable way of fuelling such a rocket

      --
      =~ s,(.*),<sarcasm>$1</sarcasm>,g if any_point_you_wish();
    29. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by fox171171 · · Score: 2

      Though if you are de/accelerating the whole time, 50/50, then you'll only be hitting the peak speed near the middle part of the journey.

      I would assume that the switchover point would not be at the 50/50 point of the voyage. Presumably you are losing mass (fuel) enroute, and therefore could hit the brakes a little past the 50/50 point.

    30. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      I just wanted to know...why in the fuck did they waste 90% of the money on the douchebags, when they had the funny old sailors on the battleship? For fucks sake get rid of the douchebags on the destroyer and just make the movie about the old guys dragging the old ship out to fight one last battle against long odds...that would have been fucking GREAT.

      You could have had the destroyers and the aliens trash each other until its just one alien battleship and had the last floundering destroyer call pearl and warn them what was coming and the old guys would be "Not again, not on our watch dammit!" and they'd fire up the mighty Mo for one last great battle, live or die they are gonna hold the line...that would have been a fucking fantastic movie, instead we get a bunch of numbnuts lead by a moron whose big hero moment is....to realize he is too fucking stupid to lead the boat and hands it over to the Japanese captain, just terrible.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    31. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Cochrane didn't do shit except get extremely drunk...

      You are shockingly dumb.

    32. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by crutchy · · Score: 1

      most movies released nowadays are full of over the top computer generated effects (michael bay films should come with a warning for people with epilepsy) and empty plots

      i think the last one that actually held my interest through the whole movie was avatar, mainly because it had the pretty night time fluorescent scenes and it had Michelle Rodriguez in her classic kick ass role... i'm also a bit of a movie score junkie (unfortunately only one or two avatar tracks are worth listening to more than once)

    33. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by peawormsworth · · Score: 1

      You don't age slower.

      Yes you do. From the perspective of men who did not travel it would take 382122 years (using the above posters estimate). But from the perspective on the ship it would take less time. The people on earth would see the people on the ship move and age much slower then if they had stayed on earth. On the ship, everything would seem normal and they wouldnt feel like they are aging slower, but looking back to earth it would appear that everyone else is aging much faster. So it would not take 5307 Lorne Greene lifetimes (from above post). It would take less lifetimes on the ship.

      You cannot have relativity work both ways to deny time dilation. Either you look from the perspective of earth and observe the aging process is slowed in the ship. Or you look from the perspective of the ship and see that people on earth age much more quickly. The natural perspective is from earth as that is where most of us would be and so... the people on the ship WILL age more slowly.

      It seems whenever this comes up. Some people want to deny the time dilation effect as a perspective issue. But it is not just a consequence of the time for light to travel between distances. It is real in that when the ship returns far less generations will have expired on the travellers then those remaining on earth. So in effect, the travellers will have travelled into the future using accelleration.

    34. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think a slightly inflated balloon (see the Echo balloon satellites for reference) would do, or even a spin stabilized circular foil. Every collision on these speeds will turn both the particle and substantial part of what it hits to plasma, that should dissipate pretty quickly in the hard vacuum of space or at least should not penetrate any more shielding layers (but you should still have some additional layers, just in case - see the "Whipple shield" used on ISS for reference :) ).

    35. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      time has a sick, twisted sense of humor

      The mentality that is sick and twisted is likely to be the one imputing motive and perception to an inanimate insensible characteristic of nature.

      Do you think that asteroid intended to wipe out the dinosaurs to make ecosystem niches available for cockroach-eating tree-rat's descendants?
      (Not quibbling over whether it was a comet or an asteroid, and whether it was actually what killed the dinosaurs ; both decidedly questionable points.)

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    36. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by Maritz · · Score: 1

      From the point of view of an outside observer you do age slower.

      --
      I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
    37. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      I consider Bay and Abrams the STDs of movies, because just like an STD their lens flare gasoline explosion bullshit just spreads like fricking crazy. Like I said Battleship COULD have been a truly great movie, a flick about a bunch of tough old bastards facing long odds and refusing to give up, instead it ended up another Bay style "How much douchebaggery and SFX can we stuff into a movie" snorefest.

      The sad part is i have seen movies made for less than Bay spends on Red Bulls that could run rings around Bay and Abrams when it came to plots and making you actually think, check out "The Man From Earth" if you want an example, that movie didn't cost even 50k but had a better sci-fi plot than the last 4 Bay and Abrams movies put together. They took the most basic of premises, what would it be like to be truly immortal but not have the ability to "turn" others, and used it to make a damned interesting movie, while all Bay and Abrams do is crank the fireballs (and lens flares in the case of Abrams and his followers) up to 11, no thought required and in fact lack of thought required thanks to their plots not making a lick of sense.

      I have NO problem with CGI if you need it to tell a good story, LOTR and The Avengers spring to mind, but with Bay and Abrams it all feels like nothing but cynical cash grabs. Maybe its me but when I see one of these I'm always left feeling there was a meeting where they said "Hey just have lots of douchebaggery for the bros and asplosions and its all good,fuck plot, characters, or pacing, the sheeple will bite anyway" and sadly they are often correct, just look at the Transformers franchise where you can almost feel the hatred Bay has for the audience, even he has gone on record saying how much he hates making "movies about toy robots" but as long as he keeps the formula, a little T&A, mix in some racism and sexism, throw in lots of assplosions? The masses will keep buying that shit. I believe it was Confused Matthew that said "Well at least they are in the movie theater instead of behind the wheel or in a voting booth" and I have to say I agree, the kind of people that cheer those movies frankly make me weep for society, it looks more and more like idiocracy is just a warning like 1984 instead of a comedy.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    38. Re:Launch exploratory robots ASAP! by crutchy · · Score: 0

      bay films might be better if they had a frame rate 2-3 times what they are, but that would likely cost a lot more to produce

      i remember a cinema experience in sydney when i was a teenager where the seats had rollercoaster type safety bars and the film they played was at something like 72 fps and the rows of seats moved small amounts with the film (it was a race in space or something like that) and i remember it feeling literally like being upside down even though the seats were only actually moving tiny amounts, but apparently the combination of small movement and high speed film makes for a wild ride because at the end i was holding onto the bars so tight and my hands were sweating profusely that it was as good as any rollercoaster. i imagine a michael bay film could be potentially awesome with motion seats like this and a cranked up framerate.

      foreign films are often good in that they have really good plots, they usually have no stereotypical treatment of sex issues/scenes (they don't dramatize them to be like some magical or supernatural experience like many US films) and they are low budget/low cgi.

  2. "lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    22 light-years from Earth means that we can't really consider moving there...

    1. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by dadelbunts · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Maybe not today. But 22 light years is pretty close in galactit terms. Even at half the speed of light you can get there in less than a lifetime. Technology tends to advance forward you know. 150 years ago the thought of getting from N.Y to London in 8 hours was the stuff of fantasy. Today its an everyday thing.

    2. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Actually, it really does. If you're looking for a star such that a space shuttle can fly there in a week or two, I have some surprising news for you. If you're looking for a star that's conceivably reachable by a generation ship, this is it.

    3. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by Dahamma · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but if we send a radio message now there is a good 0.000000000000000000000000000000000000001% chance an intelligent civilization that has developed on one of those planets will get it and we will have a response 44 years later. We should therefore earmark billions of dollars for this work and get right on it!

    4. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by roc97007 · · Score: 2

      It would take a leap in some branch of technology, true. (Perhaps several.)

      --
      Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    5. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yet.

    6. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      But 22 light years is pretty close in galactit terms.

      You made a huge boob in your post.

    7. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, it really does. If you're looking for a star such that a space shuttle can fly there in a week or two, I have some surprising news for you. If you're looking for a star that's conceivably reachable by a generation ship, this is it.

      This. Lob a few probes at 0.05-0.1c and get there in 200-500 years. Robots + frozen embryos + artificial womb = GECK. Decant a few sprog 20 years away from destination and let the robots teach 'em. Each colony does the lather, rinse, repeat thing every 1000-2000 years, and slowly spread pockets of sentience across the galaxy. The tech isn't there yet, but we're probably less than 100 years away from filling the required technological gaps.

    8. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'd suspect that the odds are much better than that. If both of us selected an individual molecule out of the entire local group, the odds are better than 1e-38 that we selected the same one.

    9. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by tragedy · · Score: 5, Interesting

      150 years ago the thought of getting from N.Y to London in 8 hours was the stuff of fantasy. Today its an everyday thing.

      Yeah, but 11 years ago getting from NY to London in less than 4 hours was an everyday thing (if pricier than other flights). Now it's unheard of. The only planes in service that have the speed and range don't regularly make that kind of trip and they don't take passengers. Modern enthusiasm for advances in technology seems to be limited mostly to whatever the latest smartphone is. Also, the people clamouring for those more advanced smartphones also typically have no clue whatsoever about the actual tech specs of them and are typically just being led around by the nose by marketing. Some of us are very pessimistic about the future of real technological development, at least in the short term.

    10. Re: "lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you mean "invasion fleet 22 years later"?

    11. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      You've made a serious mathematical or other error in your calculation - wow. It's not a 0.000000000000000000000000000000000000001%, it's actually a 0.000000000000000000000000000000000001% chance!! Maybe you miscounted the number of intelligent civilizations?

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    12. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      SETI Funding

      Contrary to popular belief, no government funds are allocated for its SETI searches

      Granted, they may receive funding for other things, but not for the searches. Please, please, please. If you're going to babble about earmarks and costs and basically make up numbers, can you please at least tie it to something that has to do with the topic or even your own point? You do your arguments no justice when your points are not only off-topic but are fundamentally meaningless.

    13. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Oh of course. I assume we'll go from jet planes (800KM/H) to half the speed of light (500000000KM/H) in the same amount of time we went from 8KM/H to 800KM/H.

      Right?

      As long as we're making stuff up and wishing and not actually talking about anything that's ever going to be practical, I propose we go at 3/4s the speed of light instead.

      I think my daydream is better than your fantasy.

    14. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe not today. But 22 light years is pretty close in galactit terms. Even at half the speed of light you can get there in less than a lifetime. Technology tends to advance forward you know. 150 years ago the thought of getting from N.Y to London in 8 hours was the stuff of fantasy. Today its an everyday thing.

      at 1079252849 km per hour (speed of light) = 22 years.
      at half the speed of light = 44 years.
      at 50000 km per hour (current top speed achieved in space by humans - o.k., no citation!) = ... too many lifetimes!

    15. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 1

      "Even" at 0.5C? You'll need to travel closer to light speed and be able to accelerate at a pretty spanky rate to average that speed. Getting a manned ship to 0.1C with a reasonable acceleration might be hard but doable with next-century tech, but anything more is rather far fetched unless there is some fundamental breakthrough in energy generation, propulsion or physics in general (warp drives or wormholes). Hey, I'm hoping to see this happen just as much as the next guy, but it's not looking good.

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    16. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by tragedy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The problem is, we don't even have space shuttles any more. We're technologically regressing as far as air and space go. Still, if we ever manage to get our act together well enough to actually build something like a generation ship, 22 light years away is pretty close, relatively speaking.

    17. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by julesh · · Score: 4, Funny

      But 22 light years is pretty close in galactit terms.

      You made a huge boob in your post.

      A Freudian nipple-slip, I suspect.

    18. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by julesh · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Technology has always advanced in fits and starts. That enthusiasm for a particular field has waned and our achievements in it have regressed does not mean it will not begin advancing again.

    19. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I personally believe the industrial revolution is over, or at the very least strongly waning and that we'll see much less "game changer" type inventions in the coming decades. The next greatest cell phone just doesn't compete to going from horse and buggy to automobile. I have hopes that 3d printing will have some pretty amazing economical effects once you can order blue-prints from amazon and have your widget made in minutes.. but I have my doubts that we'll see anything really game changing in the future of technology. I hope I'm wrong.

    20. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by odigity · · Score: 2

      That's true if you think the government's "space program" is the measure of human progress. That's what you get for pinning your hopes and dreams to a bureaucracy funded by money stolen from people at gun-point.

      The private space industry, on the other hand, is growing and succeeding at quite an optimistic rate, relative to what most people though was possible 10-15 years ago.

    21. Re: "lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by l0n3s0m3phr34k · · Score: 1

      PKD beat you to that...the 1953 short-story Imposter, and the 2001 movie of the same name! They where from Alpha Centauri, but still...

    22. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Self-driving cars.
      As an extension: Robots with vision and generalized capabilities.

      Generalized AI.

      Space resources.

      Extreme health improvements.

      Nanotech.

      3D printers is a small detail in the grander picture (though important).

    23. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by HeckRuler · · Score: 2

      Um, yes, the industrial revolution is certainly waning. But we've experienced the digital revolution (computers) and the information revolution (the Internet) since then. The Renaissance before that and the agriculture revolution, and that thing where they invented tools from rocks were all similar "big changes" that are still having ramification but have more or less played themselves out. The rate of revolutions has increased so much that many don't see the difference between the digital one and the information one. All of them more or less depend on the technology of the one before it.

      The change from horse'n'buggy to automobiles took a decade. Think of the cell phone today compared to the one in 2003. Everyone is walking around with a amazingly fast, ultra-connected computer in their pocket. Honestly, the biggest hold-up is the culture shock. Nobody is really using those computers as much as they could, and the guy that suggested "hey, how about we actually use these cameras that we carry around" gets labeled as a "glasshole".

      So yeah, just sit there complaining that the industrial revolution is waning while you instantaneously communicate with a distributed crowd spread out across the world on a whim.

    24. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by the+gnat · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Modern enthusiasm for advances in technology seems to be limited mostly to whatever the latest smartphone is. Also, the people clamouring for those more advanced smartphones also typically have no clue whatsoever about the actual tech specs of them and are typically just being led around by the nose by marketing.

      Or, alternately, modern enthusiasm for technology is directed towards products that can be profitably mass-produced and are within the financial means of the average middle-class consumer. The Concorde was both expensive and money-losing, and the side effects (sonic boom) were more than most people wanted to deal with. (Although I sometimes wish we could use the same logic to ban Bluetooth headsets.)

      Unfortunately there are lots of technologies like this, where the know-how and manufacturing capability exists, but the economics and other practical aspects make it unsustainable. I don't think it reflects negatively on modern consumers that they aren't willing to support huge, expensive projects like this, or the International Space Station, etc., simply because technology enthusiasts think they look cool. Having been on intercontinental flights in both directions in the last year, I would love if I could cut the flight times in half. But neither my budget nor my employer's budget would allow me to take the Concorde if it were still in flight, so I don't know why I should be excited about that idea, any more than I'm excited by the availability of fully-reclining seats.

    25. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      LOL! No we're not. It's just militarized and top-secret now. The public space program was just a nation building and jobs program. You can be sure that the Navy, Air Force, and many other lesser-known agencies have a very active space program.

      I have reason to believe that we have fully developed technology that can reduce the effects of gravity and inertia on the mass of aircraft by quite a bit (80%+). You'll see it in public domain in 50 to 100 years.

    26. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by Patch86 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      But we as a species are still quite capable of it. Concorde was basically a passenger jet with military spec engines; expensive as hell and incredibly noisy, never exactly a great commercial idea. Basically just another penis-waving contest for the British and French governments. Both the engines and the technology to make the vehicles are still available (and massively improved), it's just there's less appetite for intra-governmental penis waving than there was a few decades ago.

      Technology continues to march onwards, and I'm sure supersonic passenger flights will return as soon as the technology reaches a point where it is commercially viable. Just because people prefer to spend their money on pocket-sized super-computers (by the standards of the date when Concorde first flew) than marginally faster trans-Atlantic travel, doesn't mean the world is entering a technological dark age. Quite the reverse, in my opinion.

    27. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by xevioso · · Score: 1

      I see everyone is keeping abre...oh never mind.

    28. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think you need to use your imagination more. Something as 'mundane' as safe self-driving automobiles could have 'game changing' effects on society, and are almost certainly possible in the coming decades.

    29. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ten years ago getting from N.Y. to London (or Paris) could last less than 4 hours.

    30. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by Kjella · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Yeah, but 11 years ago getting from NY to London in less than 4 hours was an everyday thing (if pricier than other flights). Now it's unheard of.

      Yes but it was sort of like the pony express shutting down their rush service because the telegraph arrived, maybe that sucks if you wanted to send a package but for the 95% that wanted to send a letter the telegraph was faster and better. Not every aspect of every old service is going to be preserved by the new ones, there will always be some regressions in the overall picture. Even though we're making incremental improvements I doubt we'll see any revolutionary changes in things like jet propulsion, internal combustion, gas turbines and whatnot - it's just minor tweaks to squeeze more efficiency out of it.

      The overwhelming number of changes I expect is for things to get smaller, smarter and for more and more things to go electronically rather than physically and applying brute force. Maybe you get another 5 mph on the interstate but the main difference is an AI that drives itself. My dream of "real technological development" would be things like having nanobots to destroy bacteria, viruses, toxins, cancer cells, cure genetic diseases and prevent aging on the cell level. In the future maybe we all have personal assistants like only the rich have today, only they're robotic. It couldn't be done today because to have servants somebody would have to be the servants, but we could all have a robot the way we all have cell phones.

      I'm not going to bash the system we have today, I can go down to the grocery store and buy a finished meal, pop it in the microwave and put the dishes in the dishwasher but it certainly could be taken to the next level where I just tell a robot I'd like spaghetti bolognese today and it'd shop, cook like a professional chef, serve and clear the tables when I'm done. Having a washing machine and a dryer is also rather relaxed, but again being able to throw dirty clothes in the bin and have them sorted, washed, dried, ironed if applicable and put back in the closest by themselves would be even better. Roombas and electronic lawn mowers are just a shadow of what robot housekeepers and gardeners could be. In short, even if I don't see flying cars on the horizon I see plenty things that could make life in 2013 seem rather primitive compared to 100 years from now.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    31. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Yes, but it also doesn't mean that we'll continue ever onwards into space. According to you we should be using "massively" improved steam engines if we were having this conversation in 1898.

      Things change. What if they change towards biotech, green energy and a more sustainable social model, and not a single person will ever fly faster than sound again, or go beyond LEO? What then?

    32. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      "The private space industry, on the other hand, is growing and succeeding at quite an optimistic rate"

      Oh my yes, they're going to the same place... Wow. Ever heard of OTRAG? Why not? You make it sound like there was no private space industry 10-15 years ago... Who do you think built all the rockets and engines so far? Hobbyists?

    33. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by Kjella · · Score: 1

      Still, if we ever manage to get our act together well enough to actually build something like a generation ship, 22 light years away is pretty close, relatively speaking.

      Voyager has been underway for 36 years and is less than 0.002 light years from earth so it's 10,000+ generations away unless we can go much, much faster. And the concept of generation ships is exactly the opposite, they're massive constructions big enough to sustain a civilization that move very slowly between stars. If we send "humans" I expect it'll be frozen embryos or electronic DNA sequences to be reconstructed on site on a massive rocket ship that'll still take hundreds of years. A light year sounds so short until you realize that if you've traveled 7.5 times around the world you've gone one light second. Only 31,556,925 more to go in order to make a light year.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    34. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by Dahamma · · Score: 1

      Contrary to popular belief, no government funds are allocated for its SETI searches

      True as of 1995, when the government withdrew support. Not true for many years before that. Personally I think we have plenty enough issues to deal with at the moment that we should keep it that way for now. My point is this article is an "interesting factoid" but to all but a small minority of astrophysicists and enthusiasts is not exactly "historic"...

    35. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by tragedy · · Score: 1

      Voyager has been underway for 36 years and is less than 0.002 light years from earth so it's 10,000+ generations away unless we can go much, much faster

      Ion engines have been demonstrated to work. Solar sails may also be practical for acceleration in the inner solar system. Accelerating at a very conservative one ten/thousandth of standard gravity, a craft using some such constant acceleration system would be going faster than Voyager 1 in less than 7 months even without a gravity assist. After accelerating as long as Voyager has been, it would be travelling more than 60 times as fast relative to Earth. That would make for a trip of about 6500 years. That's still plenty of generations and is certainly a longer term project than anything humans have ever undertaken, but it's at least scraping the edge of the realm of possibility.

    36. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by tragedy · · Score: 1

      The Concorde was both expensive and money-losing, and the side effects (sonic boom) were more than most people wanted to deal with.

      The Concorde was expensive mainly because it didn't go into mass production. The sonic boom concerns were largely ridiculous. It was killed pretty much entirely by the one fatal crash and then 9/11.

    37. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      Maybe because it's easier to expand in inner space vs. outer space. In this case virtual worlds rather than real ones.

      That reads like something from Mondo 2000. Sorry.

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    38. Re:"lying ONLY 22 light-years from Earth"...! by Patch86 · · Score: 1

      We do have massively improved steam engine technology; do you think that applications where steam is still used are still using technology from the 19th century? Steam turbines are THE key technology in the vast majority of electricity-generating power plants in use today. All that happened there was that new and better technology supplanted it in the "vehicle power" space.

      In the space travel field, we're massively more advanced than we were a few decades ago. We have deep space vehicles with ION engines. We have a Mini Cooper sized robot on Mars which was landed by a rocket-powered hover crane. We have a football-pitch sized permanent outpost in LEO. We have a deep space probe about to make the first ever flyby of Pluto and exploration of the Kuiper Belt and Outer Solar System. Since 2008 the first and only probe in history to make a near approach of Mercury has been happily orbiting and collecting data (note: Mercury is officially the most difficult planet in our Solar System to reach).

      There hasn't been much Moon golf in the last few years, admittedly, but that doesn't mean that space technology hasn't been making huge leaps forward.

  3. Me too! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Me full Mormon planet too, lol.

  4. Re:"Nearby star" by MozeeToby · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Everything is relative. 22 light years, ludicrously far away in every day terms, is a hop skip and a jump in astronomical terms.

  5. Firefly by SJHillman · · Score: 1

    I'm still waiting for us to find the five-star system from Firefly. We could use dozens of plants and hundreds of moons to terraform.

    1. Re:Firefly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Maybe someone can start by successfully terraforming Detroit

    2. Re:Firefly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can't wait to terraform my own gorram moon!

  6. Re:"Nearby star" by gstoddart · · Score: 5, Informative

    That's funny as hell...

    Why so? In context of just how freakin' big a galaxy or the entire universe is, 22 light years is pretty damned close. The Milky-way alone is > 100,000 light years across.

    Not even 25 years ago the prevailing belief was that there wouldn't be that many stars with planets, and now we're finding them pretty much constantly.

    One of the terms of Drake's equation is how many stars have planets, and that proportion has been steadily climbing.

    So if we're finding this many planets in an astronomically-relative 'nearby', then throughout the rest of the galaxy we have to assume there's just vast amounts of them. Start factoring in the sheer number of galaxies, and even if we'll never meet them, it seems probable that somewhere else would likely have evolved life by now.

    --
    Lost at C:>. Found at C.
  7. Re:"Nearby star" by roc97007 · · Score: 1

    "nearby" is relative. At 80 miles, the beach is nearby relative to, say Germany. But I still wouldn't want to walk there.

    --
    Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
  8. Scorpius? by h4rr4r · · Score: 2

    I think I will be avoiding the peacekeepers thanks.

  9. Really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    'The number of potentially habitable planets in our galaxy is much greater if we can expect to find several of them around each low-mass star — instead of looking at ten stars to look for a single potentially habitable planet, we now know we can look at just one star and find several of them,' said Rory Barnes, of the University of Washington, co-author of the study

    While seemingly true, this statement is misleading. Having found 3 habitable planets around a single star, it does not follow that all stars have 3 habitable planets. Or even that any other star has 3 habitable planets. I really hope this was just a statement made out of context...otherwise...it just makes me sad.

    1. Re:Really? by tragedy · · Score: 1

      While seemingly true, this statement is misleading. Having found 3 habitable planets around a single star, it does not follow that all stars have 3 habitable planets. Or even that any other star has 3 habitable planets. I really hope this was just a statement made out of context...otherwise...it just makes me sad.

      The point is that planets in the habitable zone are clearly not so rare (either that or we've gotten really, really lucky looking for them). I agree that it does not follow that all stars have three habitable planets. However it does make the odds vanishingly small that no other star has three habitable zone planets.

    2. Re:Really? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 2

      The solar system called "Sol" also has three planets in the habitable zone. Besides Earth a second one, Mars, was likely once habitable. Venus for some reason got a veyr dense very CO2 heavy atmosphere. With less CO2 it likely would harbor life.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    3. Re:Really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Venus is already at the edge of the habitable zone. Thanks to that CO2 it reaches a surface temperature of 462 degrees Celcius, but it would still be pretty hot if it had an Earth-like atmosphere.

    4. Re:Really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The solar system called "Sol" also has three planets in the habitable zone. Besides Earth a second one, Mars, was likely once habitable. Venus for some reason got a veyr dense very CO2 heavy atmosphere. With less CO2 it likely would harbor life.

      Our star system is called "the Solar System." Our star is called "the Sun," or, alternatively, "Sol." Our star system's name is not Sol, though you could call it "the Sol System" if you really wanted to.

  10. Have this methods actually been checked? by Hentes · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There are many exoplanet claims with both the transit method and the Doppler method. What I'd like to see is use them in the same systems to see whether they yield the same results. Right now, these are only predictions, not discoveries, and they are hard to verify.

    1. Re:Have this methods actually been checked? by Spy+Handler · · Score: 1

      we can check them as soon as the Vulcans give us the warp drive.

    2. Re:Have this methods actually been checked? by FingerDemon · · Score: 5, Funny

      They didn't give it to us, they waited to contact us until we had it. Turn in your nerd card.

      --

      "Contrarily the lookaside buffer might not be the panacea... "
    3. Re:Have this methods actually been checked? by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 4, Funny

      we can check them as soon as the Vulcans give us the warp drive.

      Dude this is a serious discussion and you're bringing up a FANTASY!! The Vulcans won't give us warp drive - we have to invent it on our own before they show themselves.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    4. Re:Have this methods actually been checked? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Vulcans wouldn't give us warp drive. They only contact species that already have warp drive.

    5. Re:Have this methods actually been checked? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 2

      If a system can be checked with the transit AND the doppler method, you can be asured they use both. However 90% of the systems where you can use the doppler method can not be examined via the transit method. (Wrong angle of the eclipse)
      They are discoveries. Just because you don't grasp the science makes them not "just predictions".

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    6. Re:Have this methods actually been checked? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Its funny because the story line there is pretty fantastic - as a truly logical species that saw humans develop warp drive after tearing each other apart in suicidal global thermonuclear war the only course of action would be to slag the entire planet to make sure they didn't escape the solar system.

    7. Re:Have this methods actually been checked? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can we hurry up on inventing warp drives then? That Tepal was pretty hot and/or Doctor Selar!

    8. Re:Have this methods actually been checked? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can't check most of the systems with the transit method, as it depends on having Earth lying roughly in the plane of the other stellar system. Hopefully the JWST will be able to directly image some of them.

  11. Red Dwarfs by Omegaman · · Score: 2

    One problem that has not be determined is how do planets deal with the inherent variability with Red Dwarf stars. There are many, many more red dwarfs than other types of stars and their expected life expectancy is longer the estimated end of the universe. But their small nature makes their energy output more variable than a star like our sun.
    Does the long life, and greater number of Red Dwarfs significantly boost the drake equation? Does the variable energy output reduce the drake equation?

    Unfortunately, we will all probably be long dead before we find out.

    1. Re:Red Dwarfs by Nyder · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, we will all probably be long dead before we find out.

      Don't be a smeg head

      --
      Be seeing you...
    2. Re:Red Dwarfs by tgd · · Score: 2

      There are many, many more red dwarfs than other types of stars and their expected life expectancy is longer the estimated end of the universe.

      I'm not sure "end" means what you think it means.

    3. Re:Red Dwarfs by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 1

      One problem that has not be determined is how do planets deal with the inherent variability with Red Dwarf stars.

      What problem? The planets don't care one bit.

      Does the long life, and greater number of Red Dwarfs significantly boost the drake equation? Does the variable energy output reduce the drake equation?

      It's all rather academic, since plausible values for the DE cover such a wide range that you can reasonably make it come out with pretty much any answer you want. AIUI it was never really meant to put to practical use, and is more of a contemplative notion.

      --
      systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    4. Re:Red Dwarfs by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

      the inherent variability with Red Dwarf stars

      I was going to say: Lister, Rimmer, and Cat were the same stars throughout the series. Only Kochanski and Kryten really changed.

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    5. Re:Red Dwarfs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You forgot about Holly, you vindaloo snarfing ingoramus.

      Cheers,
      Rimmer

  12. Re:"Nearby star" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    After launch, if there was a method to constantly accelerate then decelerate an exploratory robot around 1g, it would take about a year to approximate the speed of light and another to stop. Without any screw ups, the transmissions of its observations of the planets would be received within 50 years. Still not close. Just sayin'.

  13. Sure, we only need to move people 1.3M x faster by PeterM+from+Berkeley · · Score: 1

    It took us 200 years to increase normal-ish transport speeds from 5mph to 500mph. (Though bulk transport is still more like 30mph.)

    We've got a LOT of technology to develop if we want to increase normal-ish transport speeds from 500mph to 1/2 light speed.

    It's just about a million times faster than current tech. Even if you assume we get 100x speedup every 200 years, that's another 600 years of tech, though of course I concede that development doesn't need to be 100x every 200 years.

    Making this even worse is the fact that energy required (nonrelativistic) goes as v^2. So we need ~10^12 as much energy to move stuff at 1/2 light speed (actually worse due to the relativistic factor.)

    Your confidence in technology is nice, but I for one find the numbers involved downright sobering.

    --PM

    1. Re:Sure, we only need to move people 1.3M x faster by jbolden · · Score: 1

      It goes up v^2 because of friction. Not such a huge problem in space. The cost is likely to be linear once we escape from earth's gravity with materials.

    2. Re:Sure, we only need to move people 1.3M x faster by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      "It goes up v^2 because of friction. Not such a huge problem in space"

      You're so stunningly stupid I don't even know what to do. Usually I just link to some baby-talk level physics page but you're in another league of stupid.

    3. Re:Sure, we only need to move people 1.3M x faster by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are such a moron.

    4. Re:Sure, we only need to move people 1.3M x faster by jbolden · · Score: 1

      M=F*A
      V = A*T

    5. Re:Sure, we only need to move people 1.3M x faster by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      F=MA please.

  14. Stupid Question of the day! by Xaedalus · · Score: 4, Interesting

    There's plenty of data both pro and con about sending a probe to explore and the timeline necessary. Has anyone ever thought about seeing if perhaps another race has sent a probe at us? And if so, how would we spot it?

    --
    Here's to hot beer, cold women, and Glaswegian kisses for all.
    1. Re:Stupid Question of the day! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's plenty of data both pro and con about sending a probe to explore and the timeline necessary. Has anyone ever thought about seeing if perhaps another race has sent a probe at us? And if so, how would we spot it?

      your ass would hurt... duh.

    2. Re:Stupid Question of the day! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Check Uranus!

    3. Re:Stupid Question of the day! by sl4shd0rk · · Score: 3, Insightful

      perhaps another race has sent a probe at us? And if so, how would we spot it?

      Most likely the probe would contain simple life forms which would try to blend in with society by assuming places of privileged power. The kind of power to pass legislation or create policies to give them better leverage over the populace as a whole.

      It would not be difficult to spot, however it would be difficult to extricate them once they become resident as they would almost certainly ascertain some control over local and national media in order to sway public opinion in places where rhetoric and ignorance can easily give them political footholds in which to extend their residence.

      --
      Join the Slashcott! Feb 10 thru Feb 17!
    4. Re:Stupid Question of the day! by PPH · · Score: 1

      But we could always check their birth certificate.

      --
      Have gnu, will travel.
    5. Re:Stupid Question of the day! by Kjella · · Score: 2

      A probe would probably be meant for observation, not communication since it's so much easier to just boost the signal if there's someone answering at the other end. I think we'd already know if there was a probe in orbit, if it's in transit or just doing a fly-by it'd be a silent black speck of dust we'd have no chance of detecting.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    6. Re:Stupid Question of the day! by MozeeToby · · Score: 2

      If it's here and it wants to be spotted it would have announced itself by now. If it doesn't want to be spotted we don't have any realistic hope of spotting it. Keep in mind, anyone out there with routine interstellar travel of any kind, even just with automated drones, is more than likely to be hundreds or at least tens of thousands of years ahead of us technologically.

      That said, it's always possible that the machinery only wakes up every so often. If it only sticks it head out to look around every 10000 years or so it might have missed us last time (or we might still be below it's detection threshold but I find that hard to believe personally). So, we could examine the asteroid belts, and the trojan asteroids around the gas giants, looking for things that give off an anomalous amount of heat or have a higher than expected metal content. Logically any plan to explore the galaxy is going to rely on something like von Nueman probes; that is to say probes that get to their destination and build a few hundred copies of themselves to send to the next start system (and to provide redundancy in this one).

    7. Re:Stupid Question of the day! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      hmmm, I thought he was obviously referring to certain politicians who appear totally unfamiliar with the operation of the human female reproductive system. Aliens, every last one of them. Except that guy, he's just a nerd.

    8. Re:Stupid Question of the day! by Livius · · Score: 3, Insightful

      A genuinely alien form of life could not "blend in" and acquire a position of power. A complete lack of human empathy and morals would give them away.

      Oh....

    9. Re:Stupid Question of the day! by neil_rickards · · Score: 1

      "Existence" by David Brin takes a fictional look at exactly this question, along with a number of other existential threats. It's very readable with some interesting science and a good plot

  15. Re:"Nearby star" by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 0, Troll

    Not even 25 years ago the prevailing belief was that there wouldn't be that many stars with planets

    Was it?

  16. Re:"Nearby star" by fustakrakich · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Right now it doesn't matter if it were 1.5 light seconds away. We can't get there. It may as well be in another universe. By the time we can conveniently travel that far, the whole concept of distance will be meaningless. For the sake of argument, yes, 22 light years is closer than 13 billion, but for now, in practical terms, the distance is infinite. If you already bought your ticket, I would suggest you ask for a refund.

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
  17. Re:"Nearby star" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But that is the good thing about space travel. You can't walk.

  18. Re:"Nearby star" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well, we have already proven we can get 1.3 light seconds away, land and return.

  19. Re:"Nearby star" by grep_rocks · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I think in the context of the Fermi Paradox finding lots of habitable planets is _bad_ news because it invites the question "so where the hell is all the intelligent life on all these habitable planets" the aswers to that question indicate a term in the drake equation is close to zero, hopefully it isn't the term that indicates the length of time a technological civilization exists....

  20. Re:"Nearby star" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Bullshit, you didn't even get your numbers right with that hyperbole. Orders of magnitude are tough, but not entirely unworkable.

    Mars is 22 light MINUTES away, and we can get there reasonable well if we had a mind to.

    If you can get up to a decent fraction of the speed of light, energetically very expensive I'll grant you, a ship could get to one of these worlds in 100 years or so. That's a long time, but it's not so long as to be considered infinite or unworkable. If you take the point of view that's it pointless to consider how far our grasp can extend, of course we'll never get there.

  21. Re:"Nearby star" by BaronAaron · · Score: 1

    Right now it doesn't matter if it were 1.5 light seconds away. We can't get there. It may as well be in another universe.

    1.5 light seconds is roughly the distance to the moon. If we had another Earth like planet that close (assuming a somehow stable orbit and ignoring geological and evolutionary impact) you could be vacationing there right now.

  22. Re:"Nearby star" by Beardmonster · · Score: 0

    It's great news that so many planets are found, and obviously the chances of extra-terrestrial life are higher if there are more planets, but saying that such life is "probable" is pure speculation. We still need to know under what circumstances life can start and how likely it is to get going given the right circumstances to calculate the odds. Until then any guess is just a hunch. No matter how many planets there are, it's still possible that the odds against life is greater.

  23. Re:"Nearby star" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Errr. Yes it does. 1.2 light seconds is closer than the moon - so we could get there.

  24. Re:"Nearby star" by Kypt · · Score: 1

    I don't know...1 light second is 186 282 miles which isn't THAT far

  25. Re:"Nearby star" by gstoddart · · Score: 1

    Right now it doesn't matter if it were 1.5 light seconds away. We can't get there.

    Ummm, the moon is 1.5 light seconds away, and Mars is 4 light minutes away. We can, and have, send stuff to both of those, so 1.5 light seconds isn't this intractable distance you think it is ... if you were walking it would essentially be infinitely far away. But with rockets from the 60's it was more like a few days.

    I'm not suggesting we're going to reach these any time soon, but you have to remember that relative to the scales we're talking about, 22 light years in astronomical terms is a very close distance.

    I haven't bought a ticket, but you need to re-think your concept of what is 'infinite' and what kind of distances are truly insurmountable.

    --
    Lost at C:>. Found at C.
  26. Re:"Nearby star" by isorox · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Right now it doesn't matter if it were 1.5 light seconds away. We can't get there. It may as well be in another universe. By the time we can conveniently travel that far, the whole concept of distance will be meaningless. For the sake of argument, yes, 22 light years is closer than 13 billion, but for now, in practical terms, the distance is infinite. If you already bought your ticket, I would suggest you ask for a refund.

    22 years means you can send a message and get a response in your lifetime.

  27. Re:"Nearby star" by IANAAC · · Score: 1

    1.5 light seconds is roughly the distance to the moon.

    And when was the last time we had humans on the moon? Distance doesn't matter all that much when we don't care enough to continue exploration of what's already reachable.

  28. Re:"Nearby star" by roc97007 · · Score: 1

    But even in space "nearby" is relative. We can reach Mars in a reasonable amount of time, using technology that's the space equivalent of "walking". Reaching even the nearest star is a whole 'nother story. Something else needs to be invented in order to achieve that. Or as someone smarter than I once said:

    “Space is big. You just won't believe how vastly, hugely, mind-bogglingly big it is. I mean, you may think it's a long way down the road to the chemist's, but that's just peanuts to space.”

    (Well, who did you *think* I was going to quote??)

    --
    Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
  29. Re:"Nearby star" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  30. Re:"Nearby star" by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 2

    The Fermi Paradoxon is no paradoxon.

    The most evil sin all over the universe is: man made self replicating machines.

    No sane race ever will do that: crafting self replicating machines and letting them lose on the universe.

    In the time spans we are talking about: all things you could imagine will go wrong with "replicators". You don't need to read SF to grasp that. At Fermis times no one really thought that out. So his idea is sticking Round as "paradoxon".

    Would YOU with all the SFs you have seen support a "self replicating" machine being send to another star system? Just to multiply there and go on?

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  31. All three planets are probably tidally locked by Xerxes314 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I'm not sure what difference this makes to the actual habitability of the planets, but all of these are tidally locked. That is, the same part of the planet is always facing the star (and thus baked) while the same part faces empty space (and thus freezes). A thick atmosphere might transport heat and make things more uniform, but none of these are what one would naively think of as "habitable". In fact, all planets in the "habitable" zone of such small stars are going to be tidally locked. Wikipedia actually has a nice summary of the problem of tidal locking in small stars.

    On the other hand, they might have very interesting moons.

    1. Re:All three planets are probably tidally locked by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why assume they're tidally locked? With three planets in that zone, they're almost certainly not, because their mutual gravity would probably prevent it. There's a good chance some or all of them have rotation/orbit resonance, like Mercury (at 3:2, 3 rotations per 2 orbits), but 'locking' is actually fairly rare in bodies whose rotation rate we can actually determine.

    2. Re:All three planets are probably tidally locked by Xerxes314 · · Score: 2

      Well, they're all much bigger and closer than Mercury, which would amplify the effects of tidal drag. Mercury avoids full locking by having a large eccentricity. None of the planets in the habitable zone (c,e,f) have substantial measured eccentricity, but the uncertainty is large enough that it might be possible for them to get into a 3:2 resonance. Even in a 3:2, the planet would still face the star for weeks at a time; the resulting temperature fluctuations might actually be more inhospitable than full locking.

  32. Alpha Centauri by Ralph+Spoilsport · · Score: 0

    and its sister stars are only 4 LY away. One would think we'd have gone over them with a fine tooth comb and all we've found is 1 molten hell hole around Cb. Why? Wouldn't even a smallish planet be a lot more visible around AC, Cb, or pC than some galaxy 13.6 billion LY away?

    --
    Shoes for Industry. Shoes for the Dead.
    1. Re:Alpha Centauri by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Checking out Alpha Centauri isn't that easy. In a multi-star system, it's tricker to sort out wobbles that might be induced by planets from the very clear ones produced by the other stars. Techniques of exoplanet detection are sensitive to the masses and orbits of said exoplanets, in particular of the inclination of those orbits relative to us (inclied more that a few degrees and the planet never eclipses the star, a few more than that and spectroscopic velocity shifts aren't detectable either.)

      That said, we're pretty sure that Alpha Centauri B has at least one largish planet orbiting well inside (ie hotter than) B's hab zone.

      (Also, your terminology is wrong. Multiple stars use upper case letters, planets lower case. Thus the suspected planet around Alpha Centauri B is alpha Cen Bb.)

  33. "Habitable" by ildon · · Score: 1

    I feel like this submission title has greatly lowered the bar for "habitable."

    1. Re:"Habitable" by Frobnicator · · Score: 1

      They are likely habitable in the same way both Mars and Venus are habitable.

      We most likely would need to provide our own self-enclosed biosphere, but that is not completely unreasonable.

      The key thing is temperature. Mercury is 400'C during the day. Uranus is -150'C during the day. In either case the travelers will need to continuously heat or cool their biosphere using a lot of energy. Trying to keep the biosphere warm during interstellar travel will be an issue since interstellar space is around -260C according to Wikipedia, but the journey would likely be short relative to a permanent settlement on a nicely warmed planet. You've got to keep the biosphere warm or have everything in some sort of cryogenic state, but that is only during transit.

      By the time we have the ability for interstellar human travel 22 light years away, constructing a self-contained bubble of Earth-life on the planet will be a small thing.

      In that respect, by once we have the ability to transport human life through interstellar distances the planets seem very habitable.

      --
      //TODO: Think of witty sig statement
    2. Re:"Habitable" by ildon · · Score: 1

      They are likely habitable in the same way both Mars and Venus are habitable.

      I know, I was being snarky.

  34. Re:"Nearby star" by roc97007 · · Score: 2

    I think in the context of the Fermi Paradox finding lots of habitable planets is _bad_ news because it invites the question "so where the hell is all the intelligent life on all these habitable planets"

    Obviously you're unaware of Oliver's Solution to the Fermi Paradox: They discovered reality tv. Then civilization collapsed.

    --
    Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
  35. Re:"Nearby star" by Patch86 · · Score: 2

    There are no humans on the Moon because there's nothing to do on the Moon. There are only so many kilos of regloith you can ferry back and rounds of low gravity golf you can play before there's no point spending the billions to go back. If and when someone thinks up a useful reason to go back to the moon (e.g., a way station for missions to further afield) then I'm sure we'll be back.

    If the Moon were an Earth-like world, I'm sure there would be a McDonalds serving Moon Burgers up there by now.

  36. We can't get there, but should try talking by Animats · · Score: 4, Interesting

    We're finding enough potentially habitable exoplanets that it's worth sending messages to them. Some might have a civilization. It's time for SETI to start transmitting.

    This is quite possible. Arecebo could communicate with a similar installation across the galaxy.

  37. Re:"Nearby star" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Assuming they have SETI, right?

  38. This is great news but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm excited about the news of habitable planets being more common-place in our galaxy (and probably the universe) than previously thought. The thing is, WHEN are you people going to stop this big bang and evolution nonsense ? Every time scientists discover that the potential for life is greater in greater, you do realize that they're also proving that creationism is more and more likely than evolution. The reason is that, the more habitable planets that exist, the more I question WHY we haven't seen any visitors yet or seen any evidence of their existence? We can't get to them but, if our universe is most likely teaming with life, I would think we would have made contact by now.

    The reality is that God created life ON EARTH.

  39. Re:"Nearby star" by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

    The 'insurmountable' doesn't exist. The impractical is a little different. And to me, without faster than light travel, dragging our meat bags around to 'nearby stars' does not seem practical. I will grant that only greed and politics prevent regular service to the moon, it is they that make it seem as distant as an extrasolar planet.

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
  40. Re:"Nearby star" by Livius · · Score: 4, Funny

    No sane race ever will do that

    So, homo sapiens will be the first.

  41. Re:"Nearby star" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For instance if you were to ping a space craft in orbit, the latency would be 44 years.

  42. Re:"Nearby star" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yes, but 'getting to' is not the same as 'landing on'. Or do you want to land at a decent fraction of the speed of light?

  43. Re:"Nearby star" by ImprovOmega · · Score: 1

    I rather liked the sci-fi "Fermi Answer" given in Ian Douglas's Heritage/Legacy/Inheritance trilogies: a xenophobic race with a massive Darwinian survival complex decimates every other species that gets close to star travel technology and literally bombards them back into the stone age.

    Or perhaps even more likely there's just nothing to detect out there because their "indistinguishable from magic" technology doesn't operate in ways we can detect and all of their EMF shells from bygone eras passed us long ago. And they just have nothing to say to a bunch of primitives like us.

  44. Re:"Nearby star" by Molochi · · Score: 1

    I don't think sending self replicating machines would be any more "evil" than sending the self-replicating people that would design them. With a machine you could at least tell it not to wipe out an indig population in an conflict over mutual survivability. You can't expect the current model of humans to do that.

    --
    "The Adobe Updater must update itself before it can check for updates. Would you like to update the Adobe Updater now?"
  45. Re:"Nearby star" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's essentially guarenteed that we're not alone in the universe.

    500 billion galaxies.

    300 billion stars in the Milk Way alone (which is either an average, or even a small-ish galaxy)

    At least 10 planets per star we're thinking (we only have 8, and we're relatively barren we think).

    So like, 1.5 quadrillion planets. Then you need to factor in moons for those planets. 10 per, maybe? Earth only has 1, but we're the exception - Jupiter has 67 moons - and our planets are relatively small because we're a relatively small system - a super-earth would likely have many moons each with a high likelihood of Panspermia.

    Large stars likely have way more planets than small ones, and bigger planets as well (based on Kepler equations for likely orbital/mass relations), bigger planets likely have more moons and bigger moons. So, the Sol system (our own) only has 8 planets and like 100 moons - but think about the system of planets that must orbit something like Antares or Betelgeuse (let alone VY Canis Majoris) - potentially there could be hundreds of planets in a single system, each with tens if not hundreds of moons.

    The odds that we're alone in the universe are at best 1 in quadrillions: pretty unlikely! It's at the point where it's feeling silly to even keep debating it.

  46. Re:"Nearby star" by ryb · · Score: 2

    Passengers on a manned flight at 1g acceleration/deceleration would experience it as only 6.2 years according to this.

  47. Re:"Nearby star" by Kjella · · Score: 1

    Yes, it should also be noted that we've put no humans on the moon but NASA, ESA, Japan, India, China have all had missions to the moon since and Russia is also planning new missions after they stopped the Luna program in 1976. Mostly what we lack is a compelling reason to send people, it's been done and even repeated a few times so it's a bit like after the first 10 people had been on Mount Everest there's not really much to be proven that we could climb it again. I'd say go straight for Mars, break some new ground not just revisit the old ones.

    --
    Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
  48. Re:"Nearby star" by war4peace · · Score: 4, Interesting

    100 years of travel for 22 light years away.
    That's 50 years of acceleration and 50 years of deceleration to travel 22 light years.
    So you have to accelerate for 50 years and travel 11 light years in the process.

    What's the calculated acceleration?

    22 light years is 208,200,000,000,000 km.

    Average speed to get there in 100 years is 208,200,000,000,000 km divided by 3,153,600,000 seconds, that's 66019.8 km/s. You need to reach that speed in 25 years of acceleration. That's 0.08 m/square second. Easily achievable, provided you don't have to carry half of Earth's mass in fuel. I think even ionic drives can get that sort of acceleration.

    Ideally, considering an acceleration of 1g (constant, disregards time spend in orbit or maneuvering around, etc) you could reach 283,940 km/s in exactly 11 months (335 days).

    Now all we have to do is come up with a perfectly working Bussard reactor... (http://www.ibiblio.org/lunar/school/InterStellar/Explorer_Class/Bussard_Fusion_systems.HTML)

    --
    ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
  49. Assumptions by smash · · Score: 1

    Given that the only solar system we have even partially explored has at least one potentially habitable planet, why is the constant assumption made that te vast majority of other systems are entirely uninhabitable? Are we really THAT arrogant to think our system is so unique? Based on the evidence in our sample size of one, surely the logical assumption would be that there are plenty of other similar systems?

    --
    I run: Windows, OS X, Linux, FreeBSD. Just because you have a hammer, doesn't mean everything is a nail.
    1. Re:Assumptions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are we really THAT arrogant to think our system is so unique?

      Just think what a sap it would be to our collective human egos to find out we are a lowly example of the rule, not the exception!

  50. Re: "Nearby star" by Mabhatter · · Score: 1

    Self replicating machines don't have to be intelligent. Even if they only replicate some kind of marker or beacon to plant as they go. The only way to get ahead of the sheer numbers is to spend time planting seeds and signposts with directions to the other habitable planets. Give races something to shoot for and see if they show up.

  51. News like this always make me so depressed... by waltew · · Score: 1

    For every habitable but uninhabited planet we find, the human race becomes more and more special. I don't want to be that special kid...

    1. Re:News like this always make me so depressed... by iggymanz · · Score: 2

      how would we know if these were uninhabited or not? coming will be systems that can analyze the atmosphere of these planets and look for signs of free oxygen, products of life, and products of civilization. it's an awesome time to be alive!

    2. Re:News like this always make me so depressed... by waltew · · Score: 1

      I like your enthusiasm. I just wonder where they are, intelligent life. If planets are so common, where are our brothers and sisters? Bacteria? Your mama.

    3. Re:News like this always make me so depressed... by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      how long have we been able to send signal over interstellar distances with any possible hope of detection?, probably not until 1970s. Same answer for listening. the search has only just begun.

  52. Re:"Nearby star" by gstoddart · · Score: 2

    And to me, without faster than light travel, dragging our meat bags around to 'nearby stars' does not seem practical.

    Dude, I never said it was practical, or that we'd be doing it.

    This is an article about astronomers discovering new planets. In their parlance, they are 'nearby'.

    Nobody is saying "close enough to get there", they're saying "holy crap, on a galactic scale, that's pretty damned close".

    The insurmountableness of the distance isn't what's the point, because nobody is yet talking about surmounting it. The cool part is that they've found it, 3 of them in fact, a 'mere' 22 light years away, all of which could be in the zone where liquid water could exist.

    The universe must simply be teeming with planets which have the potential to have life as we know it (or at least chemically similar enough that we can postulate its existence).

    We may not get there, but at this moment light from Sol which left in 1991 is reaching these planets.

    That, my friend, is some heavy shit.

    --
    Lost at C:>. Found at C.
  53. Re:"Nearby star" by HiThere · · Score: 2

    There are a lot of potential answers. Many of them are negative, but some of them are only "sort of" negative. E.g.:

    1) The population is plugged into the local analog of the cloud, and doesn't want to put up with the low latency required by interstellar travel.

    2) Artificial environments are so much nicer than natural planets, that nobody is interested in them.

    3) TV is already one of the more effective suppressers of birth-rate. The internet is a close second. So populations just stop growing. People have more interesting things to do than taking care of kids.

    4) An authoritarian government doesn't want to allow colonies to escape to breed rebels. And it's effective. (N.B.: This could be a welfare state, a plutocratic state, or any of various other varieties, and perhaps different planets have different choices.)

    5) Perhaps many races can't live in low gravity, or can't stand the stresses of liftoff.

    There are, of course, lots of more negative answers, like resource depletion, gray goo, etc. But we don't need to presume that the answer is always the same, or even that we know all the potential reasons yet. I've heard one argument from economics that because of intrest it's impossible for any interstellar colony to ever pay off the costs of founding it. Maybe. Or maybe that's just another hurdle that makes things more difficult. Many species may have a fear of heights or of falling that makes space flight unendurable.

    Note that each of these answers only reduces the proportion of races that will engage in interstellar flight....or at least will impinge on us after doing so. And there are many other answers.

    Here's another one: We may be among the first generation of planets with enough heavy metals to produce a form of civilization that can lead to space flight.

    That said, do note that "super earths" are not a good place to develop spaceflight. The Earth itself is heavier than optimum, but this much gravity may be needed to hold onto viable development conditions. And how important was the moon? Some arguments have held that not only the existence of the moon, but the way that it was captured is crucial. (Note that it stabilizes the Earth's axial tilt.)

    So, while I find the Fermi Paradox troubling, I don't find it insoluble.

    --

    I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  54. Re:"Nearby star" by __aaltlg1547 · · Score: 1

    And I thought my internet was slow in the 90s.

  55. 9 years to get there by goombah99 · · Score: 2

    if you accelerate constantly a 1g for 11 light years and then decelerate at 1g fo 11 light years it takes 9 years to get there in your rest frame. in earth frame time this is much longer so you cant just come back in 18 earth years, but you can come back in 18 of your own.

    --
    Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
  56. the concorde is a fuel guzzler by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Moving from subsonic to supersonic speeds, the efficiency of wings, falls by more than a half. The energy efficiency of thrust also falls by more than a half from high subsonic turbofans, to mach 2 turbojets. The Concorde gets ~17 seat miles per gallon. A modern airliner get ~75 seat miles per gallon. Fuel consumption also effects range. So, there is a reason the United States does not have any supersonic bombers. Fuel costs might go higher in the future, and there is talk of modern turboprop airplanes that travel ~400 mph, with higher fuel efficiency.

    1. Re:the concorde is a fuel guzzler by tragedy · · Score: 1

      All true, but not entirely fair to the Concorde since you're comparing modern airliners to a 35+ year old aircraft. Back then, the efficiency gap was much smaller. If development on supersonic passenger craft had kept up, the gap would have stayed smaller even though the advantage would always go to subsonic craft (until you start getting into the area of sub-orbital shuttles).

      Fuel consumption also effects range. So, there is a reason the United States does not have any supersonic bombers.

      Well, I would say that there is a reason and it's called missiles. I would say that, except for the B1-B. It's slower than a Concorde, but still supersonic, and it has a range of 7000+ miles.

  57. Super Earth or Super Venus by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Big planets would likely as not be volcanic hell-holes with crushing atmospheres due to greater gravity.

  58. Re:"Nearby star" by Jesrad · · Score: 1

    Too bad at least one of these planets is already inhabited by a sentient species.

    --
    Maybe we deserve this world ?
  59. Re:"Nearby star" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    By definition, no sane race other than humanity could ever create man-made self replicating machines.

    On the other hand, organic life is made up of self-replicating machines.

  60. Re: "Nearby star" by bejiitas_wrath · · Score: 1

    That is why we have the Butlerian Jihad to free humanity from thinking machines. "The mind of man is holy".

    --
    liberare massarum ex ignorantia, clausa descendit molestie.
  61. Re:"Nearby star" by Tyr07 · · Score: 1

    We don't seem to have intelligent life on our own planet, why expect it on any other planets?

  62. Re:"Nearby star" by lugenude · · Score: 1

    Relativistic journeys calculator here: http://www.cthreepo.com/lab/math1/ Gives 6.2 years (moving frame) or 24 years (earth frame) to get there, assuming constant 1G accel, deccel. I've spent longer (subjective) than that waiting for a British train.

  63. Re:"Nearby star" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As you get closer and closer to light speed the energy required to keep a constant acceleration rate goes up exponentially. So it's not easy to keep a steady acceleration rate of 1g. This should be true for all propulsion methods that shoot stuff in the opposite direction of where you're going.

  64. Re:"Nearby star" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    By the time we can conveniently travel that far, the whole concept of distance will be meaningless.

    The technology to feasibly travel 22 light-years and FTL technology are not even remotely comparable. Right now we have neither, but those discoveries will be many generations apart, if the latter is even possible.

  65. Re:"Nearby star" by war4peace · · Score: 1

    Does the calculator account for speed of light limitation? (you can't go faster that 296K km/s)
    I think it does, my manual calculations got me pretty close to that.

    Ideally, for a human crew, the ship should alternate acceleration and deceleration so that the perceived gravity is always at 1G. Otherwise, you would accelerate for 1 year, then spend 4 years in zero gravity, then decelerate for 1 year at 1G, which is highly NOT recommended.

    --
    ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
  66. Re:"Nearby star" by lugenude · · Score: 1

    Others have chewed over this calc in more detail, different subthreads. To increase perceived G you can always spin the ship. Also, the relativistic round trip doesn't require high peak acceleration to be doable in 6.2 years moving-frame, but it does require *massive* speed: as others have said, once you have got up to 0.6c (relative to the galactic frame) the vague fluff of stray protons etc that are floating around in deep space starts to look like concrete. The main problem for the moment is reaction mass: the Apollo rockets were mass ratio > 19:1 [(fuel+reactionmass):(everything else)]. To burn for twice as long you need to square the fuel, because you are also carrying your reaction mass. There is a lot of loose talk about ramscoops, but they seem like a pretty insane engineering challenge: the practical solution that seems more likely is to develop a super-dense energy storage technology like antimatter, so that reaction mass can be pushed out harder and we don't have to carry as much of it. Once that happens, ramscoops might be the next step but interstellar probes at least would start to make sense without them. AFAIK a human-survivable round trip to gliese (20-40 years, moving frame) would be doable quite soon using nuclear engines such as UF6-water design.... but those babies are not certified for terrestrial launch. Frankly I wouldn't even want one in orbit around my home planet thankyou very much.

  67. ping by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    With a round-trip-time of at least 2x22a to, lets say a rover, you really have to resort to mosh in oder to ssh into that box.

    1. Re:ping by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      quantum particle entanglement communication would be the only way.....

      speaking of entanglement, my daughter keeps getting a toy fan tangled in her hair!! grrrr

  68. Re:"Nearby star" by abies · · Score: 1

    It has to be the timespan of technological civilization. For all we know, there should be no proper civilisation on Earth in few hundred years. Tragedy of the commons will make sure of that. It makes sense for everybody to exploit Earth in short term instead of trying to branch out to space in any real way. And when at some point it will be obvious that it doesn't scale, there will be not enough free/cheap resources available to make that jump. And then big asteriod will appear...
    That is, if we don't nuke ourselves into oblivion beforehand in name of some ancient deity...

    Putting 1000 people on Mars/Asteroid Belt in self-sustaining environment would probably cost same amount (of cash/energy/resources/whatever) as feeding billion of people on earth for their lifetimes. As long as people think that maximizing earth population is overall goal of mankind, there is no chance of any change. And we have it encoded in our genetic and memetic makup. And probably same happens for every civilization out there.

    Regarding self-replicating probes... We might have been hit by one 4 billion years ago - DNA+microbes are a lot better nanomachines than clockwork automatons.

  69. Re:"Nearby star" by bmcage · · Score: 1

    And how important was the moon? Some arguments have held that not only the existence of the moon, but the way that it was captured is crucial. (Note that it stabilizes the Earth's axial tilt.)

    So, while I find the Fermi Paradox troubling, I don't find it insoluble.

    Interesting point. But from a sample of one, one cannot do science. As the planet formation models from before the exoplanet discoveries show, one cannot do viable science based on a sample of one.

    Here is how it will work: we will be able to detect spectra of planets within the next 50 years. Based on that, live will be found on many, few, or none. Based on that the models will be adapted, and all nerds on /. in 2060 will fail to understand how we in 2013 did not see how it all really worked, as it's so obvious.

  70. Re:"Nearby star" by the+gnat · · Score: 1

    Some arguments have held that not only the existence of the moon

    One of my favorite ruminations of this sort is in AE Van Vogt's "The Voyage of the Space Beagle". At one point the titular intergalactic ship lands on a remote planet on the rim of the galaxy, which has only a single rocky planet with no moon. A highly advanced civilization once lived there but died out - because they had no moon, no nearby rocky planets, and no stars with planets within hundreds of light years. So they had no "stepping stones" to develop interplanetary travel, and never made it to interstellar travel. Humans, on the other hand, were able to mount a manned mission to another body within 70 years of developing flight - just because it's so damn convenient. And Mars provides a convenient (if vastly more difficult) next step.

  71. Re:"Nearby star" by war4peace · · Score: 1

    ...Or a Bussard Reactor, which uses interstellar Hydrogen as fuel. Basically, you don't carry the fuel with you, but gather it as you go. An even more interesting feature is that the faster you go, the more fuel you get...
    Of course, this all is highly theoretical at the moment, but finding super-Earths so close (astronomically speaking) should only encourage research efforts in that direction.

    --
    ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
  72. Re:"Nearby star" by hutsell · · Score: 1

    Passengers on a manned flight at 1g acceleration/deceleration would experience it as only 6.2 years according to this.

    AC's get no respect, especially when gamers can game their replies for mod points by trumping the original post about an an idea above your comment. If you're into moderation rep, then guessing the right comment to reply to is a gamble. Better luck next time.

    --
    Yesterday's Weirdness is Tomorrow's Reason Why
  73. Re:"Nearby star" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There are no humans on the Moon because there's nothing to do on the Moon. There are only so many kilos of regloith you can ferry back and rounds of low gravity golf you can play before there's no point spending the billions to go back. If and when someone thinks up a useful reason to go back to the moon (e.g., a way station for missions to further afield) then I'm sure we'll be back.

    If the Moon were an Earth-like world, I'm sure there would be a McDonalds serving Moon Burgers up there by now.

    There's cheese. Billions of pounds of cheese we could be mining.

  74. Re:"Nearby star" by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

    22 light years... These guys have seen the entire run of MacGyver by now. Let them figure out how to get here

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
  75. Energy to accellerate to 1/2 light speed by PeterM+from+Berkeley · · Score: 1

    OK, so I gave a crude, nonrelativistic calculation of how much energy increase would be required to accelerate from 500mph to 1/2 the speed of light.

    I came up with a number, based on the nonrelativistic equation "E=1/2 m * v^2" and added the remark that my estimate was off because of my neglect of relativity.

    I explicitly deny that "goes up v^2 because of friction" is true. Furthermore, the relativistic equation isn't even that hard. Let's start with this:

    E_kinetic = m * (gamma-1) * c^2 where
    gamma = 1/sqrt(1-v^2/c^2)

    For 1/2 speed of light, (gamma-1) = 0.1547.
    For 500mph, (gamma-1) = 2.78 x 10^-13.

    To compare the two, note that
    E_kinetic(1/2 c) / E_kinetic(500mph) = (.1547/2.78x 10^-13)
    which yields an energy ratio of 5.56 x 10^11.

    So to increase "normal" transport speeds from 500mph to 1/2c, we only need to use 556 billion times more energy.

    --PM

    1. Re:Energy to accellerate to 1/2 light speed by jbolden · · Score: 1

      It isn't that hard. The issue is v^2 energy.

      I'm in a car. I use the same amount of energy to accelerate each second. Say acceleration is 5 mph/ sec^2
      Time = 1, 1 energy used, 5 mph
      Time = 2, 2 energy used, 10 mph
      Time = 3, 3 energy used, 15 mph
      Time = 4, 4 energy used, 20 mph

      etc.... Note that energy between 5 and 10 is a double and between 10 and 20 is a double not a quadruple. The energy required for instant acceleration is a square but that's not what's happening here.

  76. Okay but.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well there are inhabital planets we can use if we screw up ours. Thats good and all but how do we get there? 22 light years is a long way. We'd need a faster than light speed meens of travel or a neer light speed travel and advance cryopreservation technology.

  77. Okay but.... by jbee02 · · Score: 1

    Well there are inhabital planets we can use if we screw up ours. Thats good and all but how do we get there? 22 light years is a long way. We'd need a faster than light speed meens of travel or a neer light speed travel and advance cryopreservation technology.

  78. Perfect illustration of Dunning-Kruger effect by PeterM+from+Berkeley · · Score: 1

    Well, I must say I'm really grateful to you for the perfect demonstration of the Dunning-Kruger effect.

    This is it:
    From Wikipedia, "The Dunningâ"Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly rating their ability much higher than average."

    And you're an extremely illustrative case, because even though about four people told you that you were wrong (some more politely and some less), you PERSIST in your belief that E != 1/2 m v^2 (approximately).

    I mean, we collectively didn't even manage to inject enough doubt into you that you'd take the trouble to look it up instead of continuing to support your mistaken position in public. Either you're a troll, or you're a REALLY textbook case of Dunning-Kruger.

    As for your car, do you REALLY think that you use the same energy every second, continuously and linearly like you claim? I mean, don't you HEAR the engine rev up to higher RPM before it (or you) shifts gears down again? D'you know what that higher RPM means? It means more power (and power, for your information is defined as energy per time).

    As for my calculation of some 500 billion times more energy required to accelerate to 1/2 light vs. 500mph, I showed my work, and you can find the basic equation I used on:
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kinetic_energy#Relativistic_kinetic_energy_of_rigid_bodies

    Anyway, I'm going to see if I can preserve this thread as a case study in Dunning-Kruger (or perhaps internet trolling), though even if you are a troll, it's STILL a great demo of Dunning-Kruger.

    --PeterM

    1. Re:Perfect illustration of Dunning-Kruger effect by jbolden · · Score: 1

      You aren't the first 4 people who I've seen memorize a formula without understanding it. Try smacking your head into a brick wall and then smacking your head equally fast into the same wall with a pillow to slow you down. I understand you don't think there is a difference in energy.

      Finally. RPM does not mean more power it means more rotations. Power / energy is torque and that is the rate of acceleration i.e. how fast you can increase the RPM not what RPM you are traveling at.