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Dispatch From the Future: Uber To Purchase 2,500 Driverless Cars From Google

First time accepted submitter Dave Jurgensen writes "Uber has said it will be purchasing 2,500 of Google's self driving GX3200 cars to be used around America. They are hoping to have their first set of driverless cars on the road by the end of the year. From the article: 'Uber has committed to invest up to $375 million for a fleet of Google’s GX3200 vehicles, which are the company’s third generation of autonomous driving cars, but the first to be approved for commercial use in the U.S. The deal marks the largest single capital investment that Uber has made to date, and is also the first enterprise deal that Google has struck for its new line of driverless vehicles.'" Update: Yes, this is a piece of speculative fiction.

282 comments

  1. Don't wanna be first... by bosef1 · · Score: 2, Informative

    I don't want to be the first one to post this, but "What could possiblie go wrong?".

    1. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Nidi62 · · Score: 5, Funny

      "What could possiblie go wrong?".

      My question is, how do we give a car analogy when the story is already about a car?

      --
      The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
    2. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Sasayaki · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Lots of things. And they will.

      But statistically, it'll probably be better than having humans behind the wheel. Not that this will stop anyone the first time the car backs over a kid, despite their excellent safety record.

      --
      Check out my sci-fi book "Lacuna" at http://goo.gl/MVxX8
    3. Re:Don't wanna be first... by h4rr4r · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That they have a lower crash rate than humans and we are all forced to switch to them.

      Not sure that is going wrong though.

      If they can reduce the fatality rate, and the eventually will, it will not matter if different folks die only that less die. This is the same thing as vaccines. You trade X deaths for X/Y deaths, while those latter deaths are unlikely to be the same folks.

    4. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Skater · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Given my experience with the idiot drivers on the roads, I'm going to say, "Not much that hasn't already."

    5. Re:Don't wanna be first... by h4rr4r · · Score: 2

      They will be far less likely to back over a kid, or confuse pedals like oldsters around here love to do. This is because the outside of the car can be covered in sensors instead of being a hinderance to visibility to the driver.

    6. Re:Don't wanna be first... by notanalien_justgreen · · Score: 2

      The google car already has over 300k miles on it without a single at-fault incident. Although I thought the law required a person to be in the car ready to assume control at all times?

    7. Re:Don't wanna be first... by arpad1 · · Score: 1

      The question ought to be "what could possibly(sic) do wrong ten years from now?"

      RTFA, baby since the rocket scientists who now run slashdot can't be bothered to do it for you.

      --
      Minutus cantorum, minutus balorum, minutus carborata descendum pantorum.
    8. Re:Don't wanna be first... by ArsonSmith · · Score: 5, Interesting

      My guess, the list of people waiting on organ donors will get longer.

      --
      Paying taxes to buy civilization is like paying a hooker to buy love.
    9. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      Hello, I'm Johnny Cab, where can I take you tonight?

    10. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Yo dawg I heard you liked car analogies so ..

    11. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OK, I admit it - I did not RTFA and I am not going to. Are you telling us that the first purchase is in 10 years? If so, what a crock. Uber won't be around in 10 years - I am sure that even they know this. This must just be a "we will give you some cash now if you tell people that you are going to buy a bunch of our cars in the future, when you will be out of business" deal.

    12. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The question ought to be "what could possibly(sic) do wrong ten years from now?"

      "Sic" in that context is generally short for "sic erat scriptum" i.e. "thus was it written", explaining that you've adopted the wording or spelling of the orginal including any errors. You did not follow the spelling of the original, you corrected it.

      Captcha: Crankily

    13. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Jeremiah+Cornelius · · Score: 2

      I'm arming my Jag with an RPG pod.

      --
      "Flyin' in just a sweet place,
      Never been known to fail..."
    14. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My question is, how do we give a car analogy when the story is already about a car?

      You relate it to something else so that it becomes understandable on a reciprocal basis. For example:

      The United States with President Obama is a lot like a driverless car, only more so.

    15. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

      > I don't want to be the first one to post this, but "What could possiblie go wrong?".

      Apparently less than with human drivers.

      They need to make these loaded with cameras for the inevitable lawyer scams. Then scammers, in conjunction with scam lawyers, can't get into a he said it said argument.

      --
      (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
    16. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The google car already has over 300k miles on it without a single at-fault incident. Although I thought the law required a person to be in the car ready to assume control at all times?

      That is laudable, but you need to look at the big picture: 300k miles is not really a good safety record considering how many miles are driven a day. Even if it went double that before an at fault accident (600k miles) with the number of miles driven in the US, that amounts to 5 million accidents a year. Since they are starting small (2500 out of 250M total us passenger vehicles) that's .01% of the total, which suggests a potential accident rate of 50/year (again assuming they make it 600k miles per accident) just with this trial group. An at-fault accident a week will _ruin_ the reputation of the driverless car in short order, it will never get beyond this pilot.

      In short, let's hope that the actual safety record manages to go much farther than 300k miles.

    17. Re:Don't wanna be first... by interkin3tic · · Score: 1

      Well it's kind of like a Ford Thunderbird muffler.

      These cars are driverless, and that analogy was made without me controlling where it was going. Does/did Ford even make Thunderbirds? I assume they have mufflers.

      I guess the lesson here is that we should be very concerned with driverless cars.

    18. Re:Don't wanna be first... by rudy_wayne · · Score: 1

      Startup company plans to spend hundreds of millions of dollars. What could possibly go wrong. Right, Webvan?

      Maybe Google will make a little money selling some cars before Uber goes bankrupt.

    19. Re:Don't wanna be first... by loufoque · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That's not going to happen.
      Reducing the fatality rate is only a political argument to make people accept speed cameras, which in turn generate a lot of profit for the state.

      Driverless cars would render speed cameras useless, so they will never be mandated.

    20. Re:Don't wanna be first... by kannibal_klown · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Agreed, 300,000 miles without an accident isn't that awesome.

      I've probably come close to driving around 300k in about 16 years and I have yet to have an accident. I HAVE had a number of close calls, and I will admit every now and then one of those close calls would have been my fault had there been an accident (legally and realistically).

    21. Re:Don't wanna be first... by somersault · · Score: 1

      From TFA

      The company hopes to have its first set of driverless cars on the road by the end of the year, introducing a new service called uberAUTO using those vehicles in one or two of its markets at first. Based on the reception there, Uber says it could have the service available in up to 10 markets by the end of next year.

      Not sure what the "what could go wrong 10 years from now" has to do with anything. Apart from cars being hi-jacked remotely. Outside of that, everything else seems to be a plus over driven cars. I mean, I love driving for fun, but commuting is boring.

      --
      which is totally what she said
    22. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Nadaka · · Score: 2

      Yo dawg is already a car analogy as it originates from that "Pimp Yo Ride" show or whatever its called.

    23. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Nadaka · · Score: 3, Funny

      You mean one that automatically and effectively drives effectively and avoids obstacles? That doesn't seem very appropriate considering the number of random obstacles that the house has thrown up that Obama managed to crash into.

    24. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Nadaka · · Score: 2

      I am pretty sure the average person has an at fault accident more often than 300k miles driven.

    25. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Nadaka · · Score: 2

      The good news is that they are already loaded with camera's. As camera's are a component of their collision avoidance sensor suite.

    26. Re:Don't wanna be first... by jellomizer · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The technology Double Standard.
      If a person does it, they have a particular fault rate, if the rate is low enough they get credited as really good job.
      If a computer does it, and they have a fault rate that exceeds the human fault rate by good factors, and it still fails, the idea is a disaster.

      In general people don't like giving up control, and doesn't like doing the math to see if they are better off.

      The automated driver, has a key advantage, it doesn't get distracted from driving, its primary goal is to get you from point a to point b as safe as possible. It doesn't get distracted by those bad drivers it is just an obstacle to avoid, after it avoided it, it isn't getting all pissy from it. Or if it is stuck in traffic, it will just drive the same without getting stressed about getting late.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    27. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >The google car already has over 300k miles on it without a single at-fault incident.

      The standard shouldn't be "at fault" either, there are many situations at-fault that can be "caused" by the driver of the non-faulting car. For example, if the Google car has no idea that a yield sign is hidden by a bush and fails to slow for a round-about.

    28. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't want to be the first one to post this, but "What could possiblie go wrong?".

      the word possibly?

    29. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the human driver fucks up, you get to sue them/claim on their insurance policy etc. and your sucess rate is likely to be high.
      If the computer driver fucks up, you get to sue one of the biggest companies in the world. Nuff said.

    30. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also at fault accidents could result in software updates to reduce the accident rate for all cars.

    31. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Dare+nMc · · Score: 2

      I have see playback from these sensors (not from a google car though) it is better than most any camera. IE it is a 3D representation that shows exact speed and direction + distance of everything around, overlaid with the actions the vehicle is attempting. About the only "issue" I see, is that dense fog/snow/rain can affect most of these sensors just about as bad as a person. The problem arises, that these vehicles will likely be programmed to not overdrive their visibility to stopping distance. Many people who drive in these conditions are used to taking additional risk, to keep moving. I suspect these vehicles will not be "at fault" in the conventional sense for going to slow, but that doesn't mean they won't be sued as in the way.

    32. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Good thing, then, that a robotic car could consult a road map with all road signs on it in real time - unlike a human driver who wouldn't ever know about a yield sign like that.

      PS: I don't know whether it does this now, I know it'd be more sensible than relying on vision only.

    33. Re:Don't wanna be first... by tlhIngan · · Score: 2

      One should note that we're inching towards driverless cars faster than you can imagine.

      Things like cruise control were the first step. Now we have lane awareness (where it alerts you If you start to drift from your lane), forward accident detection and prevention (applies brakes if you start approaching an obstacle in front), auto-cruise control (keeps you paced with the car in front automatically), parallel parking assistance, radar, etc.

      The driverless car probably won't come as one go, but all the technology spinoffs are coming fast and furious now.

      And it'll be popular when people realize they could text and do other things during the otherwise boring commute (boredom was one of the most cited reasons for distracted driving, or why people text and drive).

    34. Re:Don't wanna be first... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 0

      Incident. It's not an "accident", stop disclaiming responsibility. It's some moron somewhere that did something stupid. Wrong tires, fucking with the radio, texting, trying to corner in an unsafe area, even a civil engineer designing a blind curve that's impossible to reasonably and safely navigate (sometimes you can't take the utmost precaution because it's unreasonable--and sometimes what's necessary IS unreasonable and would make the throughway unusable).

      I'm tired of people taking vocabulary as a security blanket. Whenever I bring this up, they try to explain that it's just "words"--but then we have people telling us we can't say "shit" and "fuck" on TV and we can't offer to black people as "niggers" and I'm like "so what's the difference then?"

      Collision. Traffic incident. No accidents, only stupidity and failure. Driving down the road 85mph on really shitty cheap tires worn bald with radial, take a hard turn, slam the brakes and hit a teenager driving. "Shit, I got in an accident.." no you were being a retarded asshole and your complete and total negligence and disregard for safety and sanity ended badly. A temporary lapse of focus isn't an "accident" either; it's a failure, it happens, we all do it all the time, usually somebody else slams on their brakes and gives us the finger. Luck.

    35. Re:Don't wanna be first... by mrchaotica · · Score: 1

      ...a road map with all road signs on it...

      HA HA HA HA HA You think such a thing actually exists??!!

      Speaking as a traffic engineer, I'd like to inform you that we're not nearly that good. (mostly because most of our work is poorly funded by the government, so the results are barely adequate, at best). For example, the functional classification map (that labels streets as "local," "collector" or "arterial") for Atlanta was last updated around 1970 -- that's over forty years ago. And you think we have the resources to go around mapping yield signs?! We still submit plans to the state DOT as printouts on paper, for crying out loud!

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    36. Re:Don't wanna be first... by PRMan · · Score: 1

      I have driven about 250,000 miles in my life and I have been in 6 accidents, 3 of which were at least partially my fault. Google is doing WAYYYY better than me.

      --
      Peter predicted that you would "deliberately forget" creation 2000 years ago...
    37. Re:Don't wanna be first... by somersault · · Score: 1

      Google's definition of "accident":

      Noun
      1. An unfortunate incident that happens unexpectedly and unintentionally, typically resulting in damage or injury.
      2. A crash involving road or other vehicles, typically one that causes serious damage or injury.

      Accidents can also be caused by chance, but the word itself doesn't have to mean that. When someone says there was an accident somewhere, they aren't (necessarily) implying that nobody was to blame.

      I think replacing human driven cars with these things would save a lot of lives.

      --
      which is totally what she said
    38. Re:Don't wanna be first... by PRMan · · Score: 1

      Not everyone is THAT money-grubbingly corrupt. I used to work with cops and traffic engineers and they care very much about public safety and are willing to spend their budgets to improve it. The press loves to point out the money-grubbers (and they exist) but most people are not that way.

      --
      Peter predicted that you would "deliberately forget" creation 2000 years ago...
    39. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Moses48 · · Score: 1

      Yet we call bandages "Band-Aids". We use a lift to go down. In the south they order a "Coke" when they're actually ordering Pepsi. It's common use has made it mean crash, even if it was on purpose. Hell, even the government accepts the terminology now: http://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/2012/tables/12s1103.pdf

      Stop being such a pedant. If you know what someone means, and they communicate it in a generally accepted manner, there is no need to get uptight. It's the meaning of the words, not the actual words. If you always take things literally then I'm sorry you have to deal with people.

    40. Re:Don't wanna be first... by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Not that this will stop anyone the first time the car backs over a kid, despite their excellent safety record.

      The Google cars have backup cameras, radar, and bump sensors. They have been specifically designed and tested to not run over kids/pets while backing, under many different light and weather conditions. So your scenario is very unlikely to happen.

      A much more likely scenario: After self driving cars are common, some human driver backs over a kid, and people ask why we should continue to allow humans to drive.

    41. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The article starts with a publication date. Which reads "July 25, 2023".

    42. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Aha, its not perfect, so it shouldn't be on the roads. And we wonder why cool new stuff never ever gets past the idea stage these days, unless it is coming from China or United Arab Emirates.

    43. Re:Don't wanna be first... by somersault · · Score: 1

      Ah, I see. Even if I'd read that (and I filter out dates at the start of articles just the same as I skip most Slashdot comment titles, unless the comment itself doesn't seem to make any sense), I maybe would have thought it was a typo. Well, that's pretty fucking lame. Guess we're stuck with manual cars for now.

      --
      which is totally what she said
    44. Re:Don't wanna be first... by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Agreed, 300,000 miles without an accident isn't that awesome.

      Yes it is! Many of those miles are not cruising the freeway, but on a test track under conditions that were designed to cause an accident. Test dummies have been used to simulate pedestrians stepping into traffic. Other cars pull in front, or cut off the Google car, or drop objects onto the road. The self driving cars have been able to avoid thousands of accidents where a human would likely not have been able to react in time.

    45. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then scammers, in conjunction with scam lawyers, can't get into a he said it said argument.

      In court, humans are frequently fighting an uphill battle in a "he said, it said" debate.

    46. Re:Don't wanna be first... by nickybio · · Score: 0

      And nice guys always finish first. . .

    47. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Rogue974 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      A quick search reveals this:

      http://mashable.com/2012/08/07/google-driverless-cars-safer-than-you/

      And their math says 165,000 miles per accident for a person.

      This one below says 5.7 crashes per million miles driven for women and 5.1 crashes per million miles. That gives you 175K or women and 196,078 for men. A bit off from the first, but not too far off.

      http://www.scienceagogo.com/news/19980516133725data_trunc_sys.shtml

      There are a few other links. So while you say 300,000 miles without a single at fault incident is not that good, it is almost twice what people do from the articles I can find.

      While having any accidents will trigger panic and people screaming how terrible this is and how it should be banned, if people examine the data it says that at the present 300K we would reduce accidents by nearly 30%-50%. If it goes to 600K without an incident, we just reduced accidents and deaths to 25-30%% of what they were.

    48. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...a road map with all road signs on it...

      HA HA HA HA HA You think such a thing actually exists??!!

      Speaking as a traffic engineer, I'd like to inform you that we're not nearly that good. (mostly because most of our work is poorly funded by the government, so the results are barely adequate, at best). For example, the functional classification map (that labels streets as "local," "collector" or "arterial") for Atlanta was last updated around 1970 -- that's over forty years ago. And you think we have the resources to go around mapping yield signs?! We still submit plans to the state DOT as printouts on paper, for crying out loud!

      Why bother waiting for you to map them, when Google Street View can do it? Why do you think their much lauded algorithm is called "Mapreduce"? They have been planning on taking over meatspace for a long time.

    49. Re:Don't wanna be first... by cjjjer · · Score: 1

      Yeah but put them in a big city where there are pricks that will try and cause them to crash.

      This reminds me of the scene from I, Robot where Will Smith says this http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0343818/quotes?item=qt0474786

    50. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is exactly what the driver's ed teacher taught.

      An accident is what happens in your pants when you had one too many burritos at one of the many "roach coaches" in town which are exempt from food sanitation laws.

      A collision is what happens when someone, somewhere failed to obey the law. This could have been mechanical failure (still driver's responsibility), hurp-durp (not watching, texting, etc.), poor skill (not realizing a lane is slowing down during a change, causing a rear-ender), or just pure shit happening.

      Calling it an accident trivializes the property damage and human injury or life loss that comes from someone's inattention or willful negligence. This isn't to say that I'm perfect, but it is good to just call a spade a spade sometimes.

    51. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, but google has google maps. Whos says they can't gather their own info?

    52. Re:Don't wanna be first... by SecurityGuy · · Score: 1

      You think a company like Google, that sends cars down every road taking pictures every 10n feet or so where n is small, is relying on your maps, do you?

      I don't.

    53. Re:Don't wanna be first... by mlts · · Score: 1

      If the autopilots have a common database they can reference, if one vehicle has trouble with an area, it can be noted and placed on a GPS map, so subsequent vehicles can take precautions (such as changing to the left lane to avoid potholes, noting that bicycles tend to be on a road, so slow down at a crest of a hill, etc.)

      Of course, this info can be hacked to cause abuse, but that that is a solvable problem.

    54. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Cameras. Not Camera's. Stop that.

    55. Re:Don't wanna be first... by ad1217 · · Score: 1

      I agree with what you are saying with one exception: the word "literally" should never mean "not literally."

    56. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 1

      Lots of things. And they will.

      But statistically, it'll probably be better than having humans behind the wheel. Not that this will stop anyone the first time the car backs over a kid, despite their excellent safety record.

      Think about that. These are going to be used as taxis in New York. So, not only will you have to be able to get one, but it will have to figure out where you are going, whether you speak with an accent or not. Of course, you could just type your destination into your smart phone and forgo the talking, but if the car can't get the voice recognition algorithm correct, then that makes the safe driving algorithm suspect.

      Then who is going stop all sort of stuff from happening in the back seat? Will the next person really want to sit in other's bodily fluid? Or what if two people want the same cab? Will the car choose or will they fight it out and winner take all?

      It seems that self-driving cars have fewer complications for individual drivers instead of as a fleet of taxis, but then, you could always still keep a taxi driver in them defeating the point of having them in the first place.

    57. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 1

      They will be far less likely to back over a kid, or confuse pedals like oldsters around here love to do. This is because the outside of the car can be covered in sensors instead of being a hinderance to visibility to the driver.

      Really? statistically, what is the likelihood of a taxi backing over a kid or even being driven by a senior citizen. These are self driving cars for consumers, these are commercial vehicles such as taxis and delivery vehicles.

      As for covering a vehicle in sensors instead of being a hindrance to visibility to the driver, the same visibility requirements exist for human driven vehicles and self-driven vehicles because humans have to be able to drive self-driven vehicles on occasion, so if you need to cover all the windows with sensors, it isn't going to work.

      If your main concern is backing over things, they've had dash board cams and backup sensors for years now.

    58. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      300k miles is not really a good safety record

      Oh? How many miles have you driven since your last accident?

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    59. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      After self driving cars are common, some human driver backs over a kid, and people ask why we should continue to allow humans to drive.

      For the same reason we allow humans to raise their kids or even adopt instead of sending them off to a 24-hour robotic nursery. Slippery slope indeed.

    60. Re:Don't wanna be first... by aitikin · · Score: 1

      Considering that the average person needs (depending greatly upon your state) about 3k miles under your belt before you get a license...I'd say that instills a lot more confidence.

      --
      "Don't meddle in the affairs of a patent dragon, for thou art tasty and good with ketchup." ~ohcrapitssteve
    61. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 1

      The google car already has over 300k miles on it without a single at-fault incident. Although I thought the law required a person to be in the car ready to assume control at all times?

      I drive an original 1973 VW Beetle every day with over 300K miles on it without a single accident (at-fault or otherwise). I would not use that statistic to say that all VW Beetles are safe vehicles. Just because a small handful of these cars have been tested does not mean that they are safe in the real world. To do a proper study, you have to have a large enough sample size. Maybe that has been accomplished, because that probably only needs around 1,000 vehicles. However, testing those 1,000 vehicles in different locales and conditions would seem to require more than 300K miles to have a statistically valid sample size.

      I'm not knocking what google has accomplished, but really, has the car been tested in enough scenarios that it is safe or is it safe enough that the cost of making it safe outweighs the cost of the likelihood of injury (kind of like Ford and the Pinto)?

    62. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Google's definition of "accident":

      Noun
      1. An unfortunate incident that happens unexpectedly and unintentionally, typically resulting in damage or injury.
      2. A crash involving road or other vehicles, typically one that causes serious damage or injury.

      Accidents can also be caused by chance, but the word itself doesn't have to mean that. When someone says there was an accident somewhere, they aren't (necessarily) implying that nobody was to blame.

      I think replacing human driven cars with these things would save a lot of lives.

      In risk management there is a big difference between incident and accident. When two airplanes fly too close (what is call a near-miss), that is an incident. If they actually hit, that is an accident. All accidents are incidents, but not all incidents are accidents. What is needed to evaluate the google car is the incident rate, not the accident rate. Why? To minimize accidents, you need to minimize incidents. If google cars are involved in a high rate of incidents, even if they avoid accidents, then the risk of an accident is high.

      Think of it this way. Most teenagers do not have accidents, but they do have incidents. Accidents always occur from incidents, so insurance premiums are higher on teenage drivers. It is not the accident rate that is important in evaluating the self driving cars, it is the incident rate. Because even with low accidents, if there are high incidents eventually there will be high accidents.

    63. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Guys were saying "Yo Dawg" before you were even old enough to watch TV.

    64. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So...it has come to this...

    65. Re:Don't wanna be first... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      So, we should stop calling 13 year olds "children," and consensual sex with them "rape." They're "young adults" and what you had is "consensual sexual contact with a minor."

      We really should; but the example tends to underscore certain emotional responses people have to meaning. Calling collisions and other vehicular incidents "accidents" disclaims responsibility. Accidents have consequences; accidents happen and that's okay, they can't be prevented and we should really accept them, nobody is wrong, we make amends for the damage done but have no real moral responsibility.

      That's how you get Volvo drivers.

    66. Re: Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      nice try statist. Now stfu and let the adults speak.

    67. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 1

      Agreed, 300,000 miles without an accident isn't that awesome.

      Yes it is! Many of those miles are not cruising the freeway, but on a test track under conditions that were designed to cause an accident. Test dummies have been used to simulate pedestrians stepping into traffic. Other cars pull in front, or cut off the Google car, or drop objects onto the road. The self driving cars have been able to avoid thousands of accidents where a human would likely not have been able to react in time.

      So you are saying that the 300,000 miles is in a laboratory controlled environment instead of a real world environment? Boy that instills confidence, because we all know how realistic that is. I wonder how many Boeing 787 had battery fires in their controlled test environments instead of real world environment? I would hazard a guess of not too many or the problem would have been addressed before releasing the plane. Controlled tests can only go so far. Obviously if you fail the controlled ones you will fail the real world ones, but passing controlled tests doesn't mean it will pass real world tests.

      Hopefully, you are just posting without knowing and the google researchers actually did most of their testing in the real world and not on some test track. Otherwise, the vehicles shouldn't be allowed until proven safe.

    68. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I suspect my personal reaction would be, "I've got complete records of the conditions and the car was going at a programmed safe speed for those conditions. You can continue to file your personal liability suit if you'd like, but I'll just give my records to the prosecutor's office and request that they open a reckless endangerment charge."

      Anon, 'cos law office people that aren't NYCountyLawyer get bit 'round these parts.

    69. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 0

      I am pretty sure the average person has an at fault accident more often than 300k miles driven.

      I'm pretty sure you are wrong or the average person's car insurance would be significantly higher than it is today. Assuming you are correct, more than one would equate to at least 2, so that would be at least 1 at fault accident every 150,000 miles. Full coverage with 300,000 liability is around $900/year assuming you are over thirty in this part of the country. Driving 15,000 miles/yr would mean 1 accident per 10 years, so the insurance company will collect 10,000 from you in premiums and potentially pay out $325,000 in claims (300,000 liability and 25,000 vehicle). If the average person is so likely to have an at fault accident, how would the insurance company stay in business in that business model (which was intentionally over simplified for this example)?

      No, the fact of the matter is that most people never, ever are involved in an accident at all. That is why insurance, while not cheap, is relatively so compared to the cost being insured. Think of it like life insurance. A 20 yr old can get some pretty cheap life insurance, why? because the likelihood of the insurance company paying is very small. The same can not be said for an 80 yr old.

    70. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Rakishi · · Score: 1

      Your bad assumption is that the vast majority of accidents require paying out the full liability and vehicle coverage. They don't.

      Traffic statistics, btw, are 3.1 billion vehicle miles driven per year and around 10 million accidents. Or in other words one accident every 300k miles.

    71. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 1

      Not that this will stop anyone the first time the car backs over a kid, despite their excellent safety record.

      The Google cars have backup cameras, radar, and bump sensors. They have been specifically designed and tested to not run over kids/pets while backing, under many different light and weather conditions. So your scenario is very unlikely to happen.

      A much more likely scenario: After self driving cars are common, some human driver backs over a kid, and people ask why we should continue to allow humans to drive.

      By the time a bump sensor responds it is too late. As for backup cameras, radar, etc. It is all a matter of physics and how fast the car can decelerate versus how fast the object is moving that just came into its field of so called awareness. Chances are, backing out of a driveway will be slow enough that unless the kid is on something moving quickly, it will stop in time. On the other hand, most often, children aren't hit directly from behind but glance off the rear fender and fall beneath the wheel. It is hard to see how a google car will prevent that.

    72. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nah, I live in Michigan, with No Fault Insurance. Which means it's neither parties fault, and that essentially means it was an ACCIDENT.

    73. Re:Don't wanna be first... by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      So you are saying that the 300,000 miles is in a laboratory controlled environment instead of a real world environment?

      No. I am saying 300K miles as a mixture of highway and test track. There has been plenty of both.

    74. Re:Don't wanna be first... by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      Your amount really only includes worst case scenario. Plenty of accidents happen where the damage is less than $25,000. I would say the vast majority of people have cars that are worth less than $10,000. Also, $300,000 for liability might be right in some cases, but most of the time that won't happen. I guess in the US it's more likely, as they don't have universal health care, but I still don't see the average payout being anywhere over $10,000. Many accidents will simply go unreported because people don't want their premiums to go up, or get demerit points on their license.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    75. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 1

      You think a company like Google, that sends cars down every road taking pictures every 10n feet or so where n is small, is relying on your maps, do you?

      I don't.

      Google says it uses government sources for their maps and traffic data, so, while probably not the paper maps, it probably is the same government GIS data that the paper maps are generated from.

    76. Re: Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They relaunched thunderbirds with the retro mustang redesign in 2005, but I think they discontinued them in 06 or 07.

    77. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, taxi drivers may join the ranks of candlestick makers, buggy whip manufacturers, and loom operators. Besides that, I really don't see a lot going "wrong" since humans drive so badly. It can't possibly get worse with the #1 cause of accidents out of the loop. As to cab drivers, those poor schmucks don't earn diddly shit, at least here in Springfield. They're all on food stamps, meaning the government is propping them up. Cabbies would be better off serving McBurgers.

    78. Re:Don't wanna be first... by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Most often, children aren't hit directly from behind but glance off the rear fender and fall beneath the wheel. It is hard to see how a google car will prevent that.

      Maybe they use a camera with a wide angle, or multiple cameras/radars, or some other obvious solution to an obvious problem.

    79. Re:Don't wanna be first... by You're+All+Wrong · · Score: 1

      When I was a young kid, and I first heard "literally", I presumed it was something to do with "literature", stuff like Harper Lee or Shakespeare - i.e *fiction*. It must have taken years before I actually checked its dictionary meaning (its literal meaning, one might say), and had quite a shock. Now, every time I see someone "misuse" the word, I initially think "no it wasn't, you're exaggerating ", and then think back and mellow to a "well, you might imagine a diarist (or journalist) writing that" stance, and let it pass. Language changes; this isn't the grossest perversion of the language that I've seen.

      --
      Your head of state is a corrupt weasel, I hope you're happy.
    80. Re:Don't wanna be first... by bmk67 · · Score: 1

      I'm pretty sure that the average person is a member of a much, much larger sample size.

      I don't know whether it's reasonable to draw conclusions from a 300K mile trial, but I'm pretty certain that comparing that to the average person is going to be problematic.

    81. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 0

      Your bad assumption is that the vast majority of accidents require paying out the full liability and vehicle coverage. They don't.

      Traffic statistics, btw, are 3.1 billion vehicle miles driven per year and around 10 million accidents. Or in other words one accident every 300k miles.

      However, that assumes that people only have one accident and yet a few posts up is a person who has had 6 in 300K miles. You can't calculate accident rates that way. My bad assumption is based on the actuarial reports of our own self insured auto fleet. Yes, I over simplified it, but, basically, of the 100 drivers we have statistically less than 10% of them will be in an accident in any given year. Our drivers average about 80,000/yr. So in one year, they drive the equivalent of what the average person does in four. Statistically we would expect 10 drivers to be involved with accidents of some sort this year. Accidents even include another vehicle backing into our parked vehicle (something likely to be the case with a google car, too, and actually the number one reported accident). In addition, the 10% rate is for being involved in any accident. The study shows the same 100 drivers being involved in an accident that they were at fault in is less than 2%.

      A 10%/yr accident rate does not mean that in 10 years all 100 drivers will be in an accident any more than a 50/50 chance of having a boy means that every family with two children will have a boy and a girl. Each probability stands on its own for each new year (or birth in the boy/girl example). Some routes are more prone to accidents then others as are some drivers. We have drivers with over 10yrs experience and 1M miles without a single accident.

      My point is that you can not evaluate risk or mitigate it with something as simple as taking the number of accidents and dividing by the number of people. That will only yield meaningless numbers. The insurance industry has a whole "science" built around actuarial studies to understand the risk involved with insuring drivers and how to mitigate that risk. While that process is much to complex to deal with adequately in /., it should be enough to state that a handful of google cars not having any accidents is no more relevant risk wise than a handful of Ford Focus' not having any accidents.

      Google cars probably are as safe as people are implying they are, but it would be better if there was industry standard data to support that claim. Lack of such data means there is just anecdotal data and that really isn't data at all.

    82. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 0

      Your amount really only includes worst case scenario. Plenty of accidents happen where the damage is less than $25,000. I would say the vast majority of people have cars that are worth less than $10,000. Also, $300,000 for liability might be right in some cases, but most of the time that won't happen. I guess in the US it's more likely, as they don't have universal health care, but I still don't see the average payout being anywhere over $10,000. Many accidents will simply go unreported because people don't want their premiums to go up, or get demerit points on their license.

      Your insurance company is insuring against the risk associated with whatever you policy states, so if you have a vehicle worth 25,000 and 300,000 in liability, that is the risk they calculate your premium on. If that premium is $900/yr, then the risk of them having to pay out is very low, which is the point I was trying to make.

    83. Re:Don't wanna be first... by kannibal_klown · · Score: 1

      Considering that the average person needs (depending greatly upon your state) about 3k miles under your belt before you get a license...I'd say that instills a lot more confidence.

      Wow, must be a newer requirement, I don't recall that one from back in the day. Granted that was 16+ years ago for me in NJ.

      To get my permit it was just a written exam (at 16).

      To get my license (at 17) I needed a written exam + eye exam + driving test + proof of X hours of behind-the-wheel-training. The last bit was with a driving school.

      I want to say the student-driving was between 4-6 hours but I can't be certain because it was so long ago; but definitely less than what would be needed for 3,000 miles which probably would have been around 75 hours splitting between road and highway.

      Obviously I practiced a lot with my parents in the car when I had my permit, but that was only for a year and I doubt I got ~75 hours of behind-the-wheel time with them.

    84. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      From the Dave-Jurgensen-is-a-tool dept

    85. Re:Don't wanna be first... by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      The problem is how you go from "driver-assist", to "driver-no-longer-responsible". That's quite a big leap. Even this Google car requires that you be paying attention, and ready to take control if something goes wrong with the auto-pilot. And if you add on so much automation that the car can effectively drive itself, but the person is still expected to be paying attention, you run into a whole bunch of other problems, because most likely after driving 10,000 km and nothing bad happening, the driver will get lazy and stop paying attention. And that's when things get dangerous. A bunch of people relying on cars to handle every situation, when they were never designed to.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    86. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      Municipalities could be underfunded because they will no longer be able to write as many traffic tickets? Does that count as something going wrong?

    87. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      While I agree, the fact that we accept 'bad' to mean 'good', I'm thinking you are not going to convince people to stop using 'literally' to mean 'not literally'.

    88. Re:Don't wanna be first... by ColdSam · · Score: 1

      Jeez, Joe. How many dumb excuses are you going to manufacture in a feeble attempt to discredit self-driving cars? Just about every circumstance you mention happens today with regular taxis and current drivers. Do you think NYC taxi drivers today get 100% fidelity in understanding the destinations of their passengers? It's far more likely that the driver himself will have an accent, but even then you are not accounting for the millions of passengers who speak little or no English. The reality is that even with real taxi drivers the destination will increasingly be communicated non-verbally. You punch in where you want to go on your smart phone and the car picks you up, drops you off and you get charged automatically. No struggling to understand which Hyatt you mean, or who gets which cab.

      For whatever reason, you don't like change, but please try a little harder to come up with some plausible problems that don't exist today. Just about every post you've made on this thread is filled with faulty assumptions and bad math.

    89. Re:Don't wanna be first... by ColdSam · · Score: 1

      Clearly, whatever you say will be twisted into some unrecognizable distortion by this guy. Everyone else knew what you meant.

    90. Re:Don't wanna be first... by cold+fjord · · Score: 1

      Maybe you missed it, but the car is fictional, just like many of the reports of positive change coming from the Obama administration. At least the House is blocking the path over the cliff.

      --
      much of left-wing thought is a kind of playing with fire by people who don't even know that fire is hot - George Orwell
    91. Re:Don't wanna be first... by ColdSam · · Score: 1

      That is not the point you were trying to make and it it wouldn't be relevant anyway. But everyone else already knows that, so I won't elaborate.

    92. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In the south they order a "Coke" when they're actually ordering Pepsi.

      Wait, I live in the deep south, and we always say that about people in the north! No one does that here, we thought that was you guys!

    93. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Nadaka · · Score: 1

      Yea... no. The house is diving head first off an entirely different cliff.

    94. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      To get a large enough sample size, the vehicles need to be on the road. If you couldn't buy a VW Beetle until it had several million miles of on road testing, you likely would not have a 1973 VW Beatle with 300k on it.

    95. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He's not referring to the phrase "yo dawg". He's referring to the meme that starts with that particular phrase.

    96. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      It will prevent that by having 'eyes' at the rear bumper looking both left and right for objects approaching. Human drivers, at best, have a rear pointing camera on the back of the car. The backing out of a driveway scenario is one in which an automated car has a massive and clear advantage in safety. Particularly with glancing off a rear fender.

    97. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      Voice recognition is harder than collision avoidance. There is also nothing stopping the cab company from making a video conference connection to the cab when a new passanger enters the cab. Having a couple of dispatchers back at the office replacing several dozen cabbies is a big cost savings. Humans at the office can do the voice recognition and type in the address on behalf of the passanger.

      The two way video/audio system used above would prevent virtually all of the 'inappropriate' behavior. Of course, you are making the assumption that stuff doesn't happen in the back of cabs with human drivers now.

      The place that I would expect to see self-driving make a good start is in high end RVs. If the cost of the self driving system is (pulls number out of a hat) $20k, adding the cost to a $40k car prices it out of reason. Put that $20k self driving system in a $120k+ RV and you have a close enough wiggle room in the price to get it through. People buying $100k to $200k motor homes, also have enough room in their entertainment budget that an extra $20k isn't going to shock them. Then consider that RVs are going to be used by people who really want to spend time in the back of their vehicle. For most vehicles, while it would be nice to sleep or read while traveling to your destination, motorhome owners would be at their destination during the drive if the vehicle could drive itself.

      While they are at it, they should make the RVs electric to boot. RVs already carry a huge amount of weight in batteries and they frequently carry a generator to charge those batteries.

    98. Re:Don't wanna be first... by aitikin · · Score: 1

      When I got my license, Illinois required something like 20 hrs behind the wheel, I know they upped it since I went through so I figured a requirement would be around 50-75 now and 3k would fall in line with that. Of course, it is Illinois, I could've just bought it with a large *ahem* donation...

      --
      "Don't meddle in the affairs of a patent dragon, for thou art tasty and good with ketchup." ~ohcrapitssteve
    99. Re:Don't wanna be first... by njnnja · · Score: 1

      this isn't the grossest perversion of the language that I've seen.

      The worst I know of is the fact that the prefix 'in-' means "not" or "the opposite of" and "flammable" means easily set on fire. So therefore, "inflammable" must mean "not easily set on fire." As in, "Don't worry about accidentally burning the house down, I coated the walls of the fireplace with inflammable material"

      However, the "literally" thing is probably the most annoying perversion of the language.

    100. Re:Don't wanna be first... by kannibal_klown · · Score: 1

      It might have been 18-20 hours for me too... honestly it was too far back to remember. I *thought* it was 3 chunks of 2hr a pop. But maybe it was 5 x 4hr or something.

      Still, 75 is a bit high. Especially if you have to pay for the driving school... that's almost 2 full work-weeks of time so you're handing over a really large paycheck to someone.

    101. Re:Don't wanna be first... by ColdSam · · Score: 1

      These problems are only solvable if you bother to spend a minute to think about them. Who has time for that? I'll believe self-driving taxis can work the day they're finally able to put a man on the moon.

    102. Re:Don't wanna be first... by cayenne8 · · Score: 1
      Interesting.

      When I was growing up, you got your learners permit at 14yrs, where you could drive with an adult in the car...at 16yrs you could get your license.

      I never bothered with the learners permit, and I wasn't really interested in driving till I was 16yrs. But the test was only a written test, and a short driving test which consisted for me, with nothing more than driving across the st. from the police station to and abandoned shopping center, pulling into one of the parking spots in the empty parking lot, and then driving back.

      There was no requirement for driving schools or hours behind the wheel or anything.

      Hell, I never really tried parallel parking till about 15-20 years after I got my license...never had to really.

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    103. Re:Don't wanna be first... by kannibal_klown · · Score: 1

      I take it all back. Things have changed in NJ since then but it's still 6 hours of driving school... to get the permit.

      Since then they've added probationary licenses at 17 years with a full license at 18 years. As opposed to "back in the day" when you went straight from permit at 16 to full license at 17 assuming you passed the test.

    104. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Laxori666 · · Score: 1

      These would be some good reasons for a privatized road system.

    105. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Laxori666 · · Score: 1

      We can always program backdoors into the driverless cars to have them cause an accident when an important person needs an organ.

    106. Re:Don't wanna be first... by ColdSam · · Score: 1

      But will that scenario (drivers getting bored) be any worse in terms of total number of accidents? I don't think so.

      I think a far more likely scenario is that an alert (or semi-alert) driver will overreact to a situation that the self-driving car is safely in control of. No doubt part of the driving algorithm will not just to to make the car drive safe, but to make it always appear safe to the passengers (which might actually sacrifice some safety or speed).

    107. Re:Don't wanna be first... by kannibal_klown · · Score: 1

      Lucky with the parallel parking... depending on your exam-giver, failing the parallel parking of the driver test meant failing the entire thing and having to come back next month. Some testers didn't care, others (like mine) said failing the parking-test was the equivalent of getting into an accident. Of course, taking my test in a a 1980's Buick made things harder than my friends in their parents' new Civics and such.

      Since my test though, I've only had to parallel park like 3 times in 16 years... and 2 of those times there were 2 spots back-to-back so I didn't have to worry about getting in there.

    108. Re:Don't wanna be first... by HyperQuantum · · Score: 1

      The automated driver, has a key advantage, it doesn't get distracted from driving, its primary goal is to get you from point a to point b as safe as possible.

      <pessimist mode> What if this thing gets used by a transportation company, and they reprogram it with a new primary goal: to get the cargo from point a to point b as fast as possible?

      Don't underestimate the power of capitalism (also called "greed").

      --
      I am not really here right now.
    109. Re:Don't wanna be first... by halltk1983 · · Score: 1

      On the other hand, they're a lot less likely to discriminate based on race, based on prior experience with tipping.

      --
      Watch for Penguins, they eat Apples and throw rocks at Windows.
    110. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Moses48 · · Score: 1
    111. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's not impressive at all.
      300 000 miles for a car, IS impressive. But what people aren't saying, is that transportation has been automated for quite some time now.

      In that comparison, you should add all the air miles logged by most commercial aircraft, because 95% of the time, computers were doing all the flying.

      I'm curious how Uber is going to solve the vandalism problem.

    112. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Moses48 · · Score: 1

      Fair enough. I thought you were being a pedant and wanting literal meaning like many lawyers do. I'm completely with you on avoiding words that have connotations that aren't desired.
      Have you ever head the college student petition to ban the chemical compound Dihydrogen Monoxide? He got enormous support, even from people that knew that H20 is fine. Why? Context. People don't listen to each word and their meaning, they listen to a sentence and tones and connotations. They hear "chemical" and stop right there.

      See: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dihydrogen_monoxide_hoax

    113. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 1

      Hmmm, they must have changed the design, but unless it has 360 vision, the most common backing accident with a child is with the child along side the vehicle and then somehow getting under the wheel, whether by reaching for something or falling or reaching for the moving vehicle or any number of scenarios. I guess an intelligent car can just sit and do nothing while a child is within 10 feet of it or turn over control to the manual driver.

    114. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 1

      These problems are only solvable if you bother to spend a minute to think about them. Who has time for that? I'll believe self-driving taxis can work the day they're finally able to put a man on the moon.

      Of course one can rush to production and skip all of the analysis you seem so glib about and spend your time in court with a bunch of lawsuits or you can spend the time up front analysing what could go wrong and come up with ways to mitigate the risk. The choice is totally yours.

    115. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Gavagai80 · · Score: 1

      I was responsible for an accident 13 years ago, it doesn't affect my insurance prices at all (nothing beyond 5 years is considered), and I've driven about 60,000 miles since. Can't say I know many people who've never been in any sort of accident ever, either.

      potentially pay out $325,000 in claims

      ... but more likely a few hundred dollars in claims per accident. Most accidents are not fatal, they're fender benders or leave a few scratches and dents. Many don't even result in a claim at all.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank
    116. Re:Don't wanna be first... by ColdSam · · Score: 1

      Only in your head is 20 years off a "rush to production." But yes, many of the problems will take many years to solve, however, not the FUD you're throwing out there. Those "problems" are in some cases actually benefits, others of your "problems" have already been solved and the rest can be solved by half the posters to slashdot if they are not afraid of trying (which obviously you are). What's next, are you going to complain that the animatronic driver is not lifelike enough?

    117. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 1

      Jeez, Joe. How many dumb excuses are you going to manufacture in a feeble attempt to discredit self-driving cars? Just about every circumstance you mention happens today with regular taxis and current drivers. Do you think NYC taxi drivers today get 100% fidelity in understanding the destinations of their passengers? It's far more likely that the driver himself will have an accent, but even then you are not accounting for the millions of passengers who speak little or no English. The reality is that even with real taxi drivers the destination will increasingly be communicated non-verbally. You punch in where you want to go on your smart phone and the car picks you up, drops you off and you get charged automatically. No struggling to understand which Hyatt you mean, or who gets which cab.

      For whatever reason, you don't like change, but please try a little harder to come up with some plausible problems that don't exist today. Just about every post you've made on this thread is filled with faulty assumptions and bad math.

      I'm not sure why you think my name is Joe, probably from my nickname, but that is just from a persona from something unrelated. However, I actually embrace change. Particularly, I embrace change in technology fields. However, as any other VC will tell you, it's not all about the technology, but the perception of the technology by the public.

      For instance, it is well accepted that betamax was better technology than vhs, but for a number of reasons the best technology did not win. Likewise, when technology is overhyped in what it can or will do, that may do great for initial sales, but it hurts investors, particularly VCs. That's why, if you look closely, Google and Google's engineers aren't hyping up the cars.

      Yes, they are a great piece of technology and they have the potential to change transportation. But they don't claim they will be accident free. They don't claim that they will solve all of these various problems that you see people claiming and they even admit they will create new problems. Now why would they do all that? Because they know for the cars to be successful, they need to avoid the hype. The last transportation vehicle that was overhyped was promoted as unsinkable and it sank. Google does not promote the cars as uncrashable. Their own research shows that statistically their cars will be involved in accidents. Chaos theory guarantees it. No, what Google promises is that their vehicles will be less likely to be involved in an accident than a human driven vehicle. There data also supports that but that is a far cry from what people are claiming. They do not claim it will be the safest vehicle. They do not claim it won't prevent every kind of accident. The do not claim it will bring world peace and feed the hungry and everything else. They simply claim that it will be less likely to be involved in an accident than a human driven vehicle. That in itself is still pretty impressive.

      All of the rest of the discussion, and you can believe me or not, but they have been going on with Google and VC and potential commercial buyers are involved with the public perception. That is where things like language barriers or using smart phones or body fluids come from. They are all mentioned in Google's investor literature and are in areas that they are working on addressing.

      Google is releasing these first vehicles in the commercial market instead of the consumer market. Why? Because it is easier to convince a CEO or CFO of the value in practical terms instead of all of the hype. The technology pretty much speaks for itself. On the otherhand, what commercial accounts will be interested in is the impact to the bottom line and the ROI.

      Things like having a car pick you up after keying something in on your phone isn't going to happen anytime soon. Most states don't even allow google's car and those that do require a driver behind the wheel. Eventually those laws will change, but states will be slow to change until the technology has proven

    118. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 1

      Only in your head is 20 years off a "rush to production." But yes, many of the problems will take many years to solve, however, not the FUD you're throwing out there. Those "problems" are in some cases actually benefits, others of your "problems" have already been solved and the rest can be solved by half the posters to slashdot if they are not afraid of trying (which obviously you are). What's next, are you going to complain that the animatronic driver is not lifelike enough?

      You know, since you brought up the whole man on the moon thing. One only need to look at NASA's AS-204 (Apollo 1) tragedy to see what rushing designs can do. Nobody is saying to sit on these cars for 20 years, but by Google's estimate, it will take 20 years before there are enough of such vehicles on the road to effectively mitigate the risk from drivers not driving these cars. Don't like the 20 year number, go talk to Google. They are actually pretty forthright with the capabilities and limitations of the vehicles. They are trying to protect themselves from the over-hype that is flying around about these vehicles.

      And if, as you believe, that 1/2 the posters to slashdot could solve the remaining problems Google is facing before going live, well, maybe Google should hang out here more often and pick their brains. One would think, though, that their engineers are better equipped to deal with the issues than the average slashdotter. But who knows, maybe you are right. If so, it's time to unload some Google shares.

    119. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      Why wouldn't a car have 360 vision? You also wouldn't need 10 feet. People back into things because they don't see them. Someone diving for the wheel is going to be pretty rare. A kid riding a bike along the sidewalk and the driver who is 6 feet into the driveway not seeing the kid and hitting them with the back of the car that is on the sidewalk is going to be much much more common.

    120. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And as the tech improves the average will likely rise from 300+ to 600+ and beyond while humans are likely to stay exactly where they are now.

    121. Re:Don't wanna be first... by ColdSam · · Score: 1

      Are you going to tell us one more time that rushing designs is not a good thing? You preach the obvious as if it were insightful and/or relevant. It's neither, so unless you are going to create a compelling argument that these cars are being rushed to market too soon you might consider dropping this redundant argument. Hint: presuming that nobody will solve the problem of how to input an address into a computer within the next 20 years is probably not going to help your position.

      by Google's estimate, it will take 20 years before there are enough of such vehicles on the road to effectively mitigate the risk from drivers not driving these cars. Don't like the 20 year number, go talk to Google.

      Do you have a reference for that? I'm guessing that you are totally misunderstanding or misrepresenting what they've said, as you have in just about every post you've made here.

      And if, as you believe, that 1/2 the posters to slashdot could solve the remaining problems Google is facing before going live, well, maybe Google should hang out here more often and pick their brains. One would think, though, that their engineers are better equipped to deal with the issues than the average slashdotter. But who knows, maybe you are right. If so, it's time to unload some Google shares.

      Yes, the Google engineers working on the project are much, much smarter than the average slashdotter, but once again you have completely misunderstood what's been said to you. This happens so often it seems like it must be willful ignorance on your part. But to be even more abundantly clear, those Google engineers are indeed going to be hard at work solving the problems that you haven't even considered. NOT the ridiculous problems you've pulled out of your butt that hardly deserve mentioning other than indicating that (despite the mysterious inside info you have which requires multiple NDAs) you have zero technical knowledge on self-driving cars work, taxi services, or car sharing services work.

      So I'm not shorting Google, I'm shorting your company. Although I will have to consider the possibility that your business model is just to pretend to be incredibly dumb on slashdot so that other slashdotters will give you all their clever ideas for free.

    122. Re:Don't wanna be first... by ColdSam · · Score: 1

      Nothing you say in your post contains any insight nor is it relevant to what I've posted or anything else any reasonable person has stated in this thread. If you think Google is smart because they are not claiming their cars will be uncrashable then you have an extremely low bar for smart.

      BTW, today I can have a car pick me up after just keying something in my phone and I can even have it drop me off where I want to go without ever saying anything to the driver. So your definition of "any time soon" is also way off.

      so don't assume by my re-voicing concerns already raised by other VCs that this somehow means I am anti technology ...

      That's not why I think that that and that's probably not why many of your posts have been modded down. It's that your comments are either ill-informed or poorly thought out. In the few cases they have been accurate they have been obvious. You keep trying to sound like a reasonable knowledgeable person, but the only person you're successfully debating is the strawman you've constructed to make yourself sound impressive.

    123. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the numbers should theoretically go down even more (fewer accidents per million miles) if the number of 'less safe' human-driven cars decreases as the number of 'safer' computer-driven ones increases.

    124. Re:Don't wanna be first... by KingMotley · · Score: 2

      He wasn't suggesting covering the windows, but most humans only have 2 eyes. Autonomous cars can be looking in every direction, all at the same time. They can be watching the side mirror to make sure they are backing up straight AND the rear view mirror to make sure your unattended child didn't run behind the car AT THE SAME TIME. Personally, I view this as both a win for saving lives, and a loss for circumventing natural selection.

    125. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lots of things. And they will.

      But statistically, it'll probably be better than having humans behind the wheel. Not that this will stop anyone the first time the car backs over a kid, despite their excellent safety record.

      Think about that. These are going to be used as taxis in New York. So, not only will you have to be able to get one, but it will have to figure out where you are going, whether you speak with an accent or not. Of course, you could just type your destination into your smart phone and forgo the talking, but if the car can't get the voice recognition algorithm correct, then that makes the safe driving algorithm suspect.

      Then who is going stop all sort of stuff from happening in the back seat? Will the next person really want to sit in other's bodily fluid? Or what if two people want the same cab? Will the car choose or will they fight it out and winner take all?

      It seems that self-driving cars have fewer complications for individual drivers instead of as a fleet of taxis, but then, you could always still keep a taxi driver in them defeating the point of having them in the first place.

      You have no imagination, and I am glad Google aren't filled with people like you.

      Think about it, if taxis are automated, why would it depends on voice recognition? Do vending machines have to take voice orders to work? ATM? The simplest way would be a touch screen with a map (Google Map, surprise!) where you can just pin down your destination, or search for it just like how you do it in, guess what, Google Map!

      More, it could have a scanner for barcodes, QR, whatever, so hotel ads could include a barcode that you can scan to tell the taxi where you want to go.

      There are dozens of quick and easy way to tell a machine where you want to go, and you HAVE to pick the most impractical one. Are you afraid of new things?

    126. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 1

      Why wouldn't a car have 360 vision? You also wouldn't need 10 feet. People back into things because they don't see them. Someone diving for the wheel is going to be pretty rare. A kid riding a bike along the sidewalk and the driver who is 6 feet into the driveway not seeing the kid and hitting them with the back of the car that is on the sidewalk is going to be much much more common.

      Google's own research shows that a kid riding a bike down the sidewalk is not a problem (so do most accident reports). On the otherhand, their own research shows that backing up while people are standing next to the vehicle is problematic, especially if a young child is present. Should somebody be standing next to a vehicle with a young child while the vehicle is backing up, no. Do people stand next ot a vehicle with a young child while the vehicle is backing up, yes. The car cannot protect against every stupid act. For instance, there are not sensors under the car looking to make sure I am not standing there with my foot behind the tire and if I am, my foot will most likely get run over. Or there isn't an AI program running that is trying to decide if the kid throwing a baseball in the next yard is going to try and intentionally hit the car with the ball. Chances are if he does, depending on where he is throwing from, the car is going to get hit.

      But there are sensors that look for kids and animals and obstacles that are behind the vehicle or may be moving towards being behind the vehicle while it is backing up. AI can't solve for every random case (well it can, but it would be cost prohibitive). Instead it tries to solve the most likely scenarios, particularly the ones with the greatest likelihood of injury or death.

      That's not a criticism of google or the technology. It's just a recognition that as in everything, you have to make choices.

    127. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 1

      Are you going to tell us one more time that rushing designs is not a good thing? You preach the obvious as if it were insightful and/or relevant. It's neither, so unless you are going to create a compelling argument that these cars are being rushed to market too soon you might consider dropping this redundant argument. Hint: presuming that nobody will solve the problem of how to input an address into a computer within the next 20 years is probably not going to help your position.

      by Google's estimate, it will take 20 years before there are enough of such vehicles on the road to effectively mitigate the risk from drivers not driving these cars. Don't like the 20 year number, go talk to Google.

      Do you have a reference for that? I'm guessing that you are totally misunderstanding or misrepresenting what they've said, as you have in just about every post you've made here.

      And if, as you believe, that 1/2 the posters to slashdot could solve the remaining problems Google is facing before going live, well, maybe Google should hang out here more often and pick their brains. One would think, though, that their engineers are better equipped to deal with the issues than the average slashdotter. But who knows, maybe you are right. If so, it's time to unload some Google shares.

      Yes, the Google engineers working on the project are much, much smarter than the average slashdotter, but once again you have completely misunderstood what's been said to you. This happens so often it seems like it must be willful ignorance on your part. But to be even more abundantly clear, those Google engineers are indeed going to be hard at work solving the problems that you haven't even considered. NOT the ridiculous problems you've pulled out of your butt that hardly deserve mentioning other than indicating that (despite the mysterious inside info you have which requires multiple NDAs) you have zero technical knowledge on self-driving cars work, taxi services, or car sharing services work.

      So I'm not shorting Google, I'm shorting your company. Although I will have to consider the possibility that your business model is just to pretend to be incredibly dumb on slashdot so that other slashdotters will give you all their clever ideas for free.

      Reread the original article. While not associated with Uber, you will find insight as to the reason for the NDAs and whether or not I know what I am talking about or not. For record, I know more about self-driving cars and taxi services than you could possibly imagine. Here's a hint. If this endeavour is successful, our investors will make a lot of money. If it's not successful they will still make a lot of money, just for different reasons. You see, when you play your cards right and invest in key pieces of underlying technology required to make things happen, you win regardless.

      Too much said already. Go wait for consumer grade self driving cars or whatever. That's not where the money is and Google knows it, at least not yet.

    128. Re:Don't wanna be first... by mjwx · · Score: 1

      I don't want to be the first one to post this, but "What could possiblie go wrong?".

      Probably less than what would go wrong with a Toyota Camry with an average American driver at the wheel.

      However the media beat up will go to 11.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
    129. Re:Don't wanna be first... by mjwx · · Score: 1

      The problem is how you go from "driver-assist", to "driver-no-longer-responsible". That's quite a big leap.

      The problem is, this has happened already.

      People think that park assist, lane assist, brake assist, collision detection has already convinced bad drivers that they are safe driving well beyond their capabilities. We're only a matter of time before someone crashes their Ford Kuga (or whatever it's called in the US) and sues Ford because the collision detection system didn't stop it (ignoring the fact the driver was driving dangerously in the first place)

      Realistically, if you cant stay in your lane without a buzzer to tell you if you're out of it, how can we expect you to control the car when you accidentally switch off ECS whilst fiddling with the stereo (whilst on the phone).

      We really need to ask people if they get bored driving, if they answer yes we then need to take away their license. Driver assist technologies wont help when the drivers attitude is the problem.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
    130. Re:Don't wanna be first... by ColdSam · · Score: 1

      Reread the original article. While not associated with Uber, you will find insight as to the reason for the NDAs and whether or not I know what I am talking about or not. For record, I know more about self-driving cars and taxi services than you could possibly imagine.

      I grant that you may indeed have some insight or special knowledge, but it's really a shame because the only thing that you might possibly have an informed opinion on is the one thing you can't talk about. Darn the luck.

      Too much said already. Go wait for consumer grade self driving cars or whatever. That's not where the money is and Google knows it, at least not yet.

      Once again you flaunt your victory over your strawman. Good job proving us all wrong that consumer ready self-driving cars are not coming out in the next model year. But apparently YOU still think that the reason for this is that Google can't figure out how to enter an address into a computer and that they will have to wait for perfect speech recognition and a universal translator. You're right, but I hope this kind of lucky guess is not the secret to your VC business.

    131. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      And with that, a self driving car can avoid more accidents than a human because the self driving car can work from more information than a human is physically capable of gathering in any car produced to date.

    132. Re:Don't wanna be first... by ArsonSmith · · Score: 1

      I'm sure 60 minutes will rig one to back over a kid intentionally.

      --
      Paying taxes to buy civilization is like paying a hooker to buy love.
    133. Re:Don't wanna be first... by ArsonSmith · · Score: 1

      "A much more likely scenario: After self driving cars are common, some human driver backs over a kid, and people ask why we should continue to allow humans to drive."

      A much much more likely scenario: 10 kids a day are backed over by human drivers, but when one kid sometime in the first 10 years is run over by a self driving car they outcry will be instant and vicious. Self driving cars will be nothing more than a historical dream.

      --
      Paying taxes to buy civilization is like paying a hooker to buy love.
    134. Re:Don't wanna be first... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      That was pretty funny. The same thing happens with "chemicals" and "preservatives" (one of the best preservatives in certain contexts is Vitamin C...) as with "Genetically Modified Food". We can cross-breed plants all day and get weird hybrids and such, then inbreed them and try to avoid genetic defects... hell, all navel oranges are cloned, and all Haas avocados come from cuttings or seeds from one tree that's a hybrid. No way to test if these are safe, since we're just slamming shit together; but if we insert a single, controlled, understood gene into something, suddenly it's probably got formaldehyde and poisonous proteins that will cause kidney failure.

      Then there's stuff like Round-Up (they say it's safe; studies are showing this is entirely untrue) versus Hydretain. Round-Up was supposed to be safe, but seems to be extremely toxic to marine life; doesn't break down as fast as it should and runs-off; and gets into the food supply, now showing up in kids' blood and causing weird hormonal issues. Hydretain... you can drink it, it's safe, it'll make water go into your intestines and you'll shit a lot, nice stuff; people will look suspiciously at anything like that and go, "Stop pouring toxic chemicals all over golf fields! This is why honey bees are dying and whales are going extinct!"

      People are nuts.

    135. Re:Don't wanna be first... by kannibal_klown · · Score: 1

      That's not impressive at all.
      300 000 miles for a car, IS impressive. But what people aren't saying, is that transportation has been automated for quite some time now.

      In that comparison, you should add all the air miles logged by most commercial aircraft, because 95% of the time, computers were doing all the flying.

      I'm curious how Uber is going to solve the vandalism problem.

      True, planes are on auto for a majority of the time. Add up all of the auto-pilot time used this year alone and we're talking about millions of miles.

      But... as complex as flight is... it's not as chaotic as road-driving. Cars cutting you off, pedestrians walking into traffic while staring at their phones, cyclists deciding to merge into traffic 20MpH under the speed limit without looking behind them, idiots running red lights, near-complete stops while going 60MpH. Presumably they've been testing for all of this stuff... sudden chaotic things that the AI has to compensate for within milliseconds or risk death.

      Don't get me wrong... auto-pilots in planes have to compensate for a LOT: speed vs lift, 3D space, following the route, alarming if radar picks up something it shouldn't, keeping the mechanisms working just right, etc. But it's not that chaotic unless there's a bird-strike or mechanical failure that it has to compensate for. And usually by that point alarm bells are telling the pilot "Something's wrong, take the controls"

    136. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The car in the story may not exist, but driverless cars do.

    137. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Meski · · Score: 1

      How many roads are there where you can drive off entirely different cliffs?

    138. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Meski · · Score: 1

      Is that the one that Lady Penelope drives?

    139. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Meski · · Score: 1

      He wasn't suggesting covering the windows, but most humans only have 2 eyes. Autonomous cars can be looking in every direction, all at the same time. They can be watching the side mirror to make sure they are backing up straight AND the rear view mirror to make sure your unattended child didn't run behind the car AT THE SAME TIME. Personally, I view this as both a win for saving lives, and a loss for circumventing natural selection.

      Ok, and for a hypothetical situation where saving person x would kill driver y?

    140. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Meski · · Score: 1

      I agree with what you are saying with one exception: the word "literally" should never mean "not literally."

      Even when you use quotes to mean not? It's become so prevalent to use these to obsure the meaning of English that I probably agree with you.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scare_quotes

    141. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Meski · · Score: 1

      This is exactly what the driver's ed teacher taught.

      An accident is what happens in your pants when you had one too many burritos at one of the many "roach coaches" in town which are exempt from food sanitation laws.

      That's 'at-fault' - you ate the burrito, and then consciously farted afterwards, knowing what was going to happen.

    142. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Meski · · Score: 1

      Interesting.

      When I was growing up, you got your learners permit at 14yrs, where you could drive with an adult in the car...at 16yrs you could get your license.

      I never bothered with the learners permit, and I wasn't really interested in driving till I was 16yrs. But the test was only a written test, and a short driving test which consisted for me, with nothing more than driving across the st. from the police station to and abandoned shopping center, pulling into one of the parking spots in the empty parking lot, and then driving back.

      There was no requirement for driving schools or hours behind the wheel or anything.

      Hell, I never really tried parallel parking till about 15-20 years after I got my license...never had to really.

      Parallel parking, the way the DMV tested it, was shitty. 2 poles, which is nothing like the visibility of 2 cars, because the back one tended to fall into your blind spot. And the distance between the poles is typically smaller than the distance between cars IRL. Then try it with a large station wagon like I learnt in. On the good side, it means I can parallel-park practically any car now.

    143. Re:Don't wanna be first... by Meski · · Score: 1

      I blame the stationary give way sign that totalled one of my cars completely. (It still seemed a trivial amount of damage for a write-off)

  2. worst idea since flying cars by slashmydots · · Score: 1

    All it takes is one single person to get hit by one of these and they're illegal in 50 states. Since Toyota can't even get their software straight in a non-driverless car, I'm thinking this is going to be a disaster. Then there's security. Yeah, it's Google but still, someone needs to mass hack these cars and crash them to prove that auto makers and security is about as great a pair as a 2 year old and a grenade.

    1. Re:worst idea since flying cars by h4rr4r · · Score: 1

      1. Incorrect, so long as it kills less people it will be fine.
      2. Toyota had a market problem not a software problem. They were simply old geezers confusing the pedals.
      3. there is no reason why good security could not be used in driverless cars.

    2. Re:worst idea since flying cars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Recently I've been watching older relatives struggle with lack of mobility. For example, my stepfather is no longer able to drive and is completely dependent on my mother to drive him everywhere. If I should be lucky enough to live that long, I hope there are self-driving cars to improve my quality of life. I they are, I will buy one.

      If self driving cars were available now for a reasonable price I would own one now. Not for driving me to the store but for the daily commute to work. There's plenty I could do in the 60-90 minutes I spend total each day commuting. I would also love to be able to do something else besides drive on long road trips. I'm not looking forward to the 7 hour drive to Atlanta for DragonCon this week, or the return trip. I could do a lot with that 14 hours.

    3. Re:worst idea since flying cars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      1. Incorrect, so long as it kills less people it will be fine.

      Have you met many people or seen them on TV? You are correct in that it will be better if it kills less people than cars with drivers. However, that isn't how the unwashed masses will see it. It also isn't how the media will present it either. The media will have headlines like "robot car plows through crosswalk, kills 2 - where are the three laws now?" Joe Sixpack (as in beer; not as in abs) who can't afford a driverless car will rant about those damn 1 percenters and their godless death cars. The earlier statement about them being made illegal in all 50 states is closer to the truth.

    4. Re:worst idea since flying cars by Vanderhoth · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think the GP is right. Reasoning is that if there's one accident where a human is killed the media will exploded with stories of how cars are coming to life and killing everyone that gets near them.

      I can also imagine people who oppose driverless cars will be going to great expense to try and trip them up, causing accidents. There are some people, that no matter how extensive the evidence is that driverless cars kill fewer people by huge margins, are going to try and stop their adoption. So many people are killed by human error while driving it doesn't even make the news anymore, but I guarantee one driverless car accident will be international headlines. Like 3D printers being used to print guns. Forget the fact they can do anything else like printing organs, food or prototyping innovative ideas. OMG they print guns quick start the presses the masses must know of this injustice.

    5. Re:worst idea since flying cars by Githaron · · Score: 1

      1. Incorrect, so long as it kills less people it will be fine.

      While I would hope this is true, I would find it more likely that the news media would play the deaths up for their own gain and cause masses to have unfavorable opinions of the technology. A four year old dieing in a firey blaze because of something that the majority would probably already by distrustful of likely cause the technology to be banned or highly contrained, statistics be damned.

    6. Re:worst idea since flying cars by prefec2 · · Score: 1

      In future and today you can use self-driving car, at least in urban areas. They are called buses, trams and commuter rail. They work quite perfectly. In addition there are taxis. All these means of transportation work fine for elderly people (at least if they use modern equipment). And yes, I know they are not driver-less, but you do not have to drive yourself and in certain cities commuter rail services are already really driver-less, like in London or Nuremberg.

    7. Re:worst idea since flying cars by kannibal_klown · · Score: 1

      1. Incorrect, so long as it kills less people it will be fine.
      2. Toyota had a market problem not a software problem. They were simply old geezers confusing the pedals.
      3. there is no reason why good security could not be used in driverless cars.

      Actually, the OP is probably correct about #1. He's not talking about logic, he's talking about human reaction.

      All it will take is 1 robot-car to hit a single person and the news will have a field day. They will whip up the population into a frenzy with "Murderous robots on your highway? News at 11" Seriously, they will hit this issue HARD because in their view it's just all kinds of s*xy... Robots, death, fear-of-the-unknown, making-the-news-team-seem-sympathetic, etc.

      Meanwhile politicians will jump on the bandwagon and try to outlaw them in their state.

    8. Re:worst idea since flying cars by Vanderhoth · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Public transit is a very sub-par replacement for owning your own vehicle to go where you want when you want. The's a bus stop right across from my house, but it takes two hours in the morning and two hours in the evening commuting to work everyday by bus. It's fifteen minutes in the morning, fifteen minutes in the evening by car and there are a number of other inconveniences I don't have to deal with. Like not being allowed to take my coffee on the bus, spending an hour waiting for a bus that's suppose to come every fifteen minutes, not having dirty sick scummy rude people coughing and sneezing allover me everyday and whenever I decide to go for a longer trip to Ontario, North Carolina or the hour and a half drive to my in-laws I can come and go as I please.

      Cabs are acceptable for a once in awhile thing, but are too expensive to use on a regular basis.

    9. Re:worst idea since flying cars by Shimbo · · Score: 1

      All it takes is one single person to get hit by one of these and they're illegal in 50 states.

      You may be right but I doubt that would make a significant difference by the time they're ready for the mass market.

    10. Re:worst idea since flying cars by Skater · · Score: 1

      FYI: A drone crashed into a crowd, causing several injuries, at an event near DC over the weekend. No whip up so far.

    11. Re:worst idea since flying cars by Dare+nMc · · Score: 1

      While Google navigation does a great job of getting a person with a smart phone, and ability to use it around on multiple transfers. I am not sure that people too blind to drive are going to do well roaming around in the streets trying to see, is that the #5 or the #6 bus.
      From what I see currently most Americans just give up traveling (at least without a able companion) at this point in life, if the driver-less vehicle gives a familiar trusted enclosure, that always knows how to get me home no matter how frustrated I am, I am sure I will feel comfortable traveling much later in life than otherwise. Is that a overall good thing; is a different question.

    12. Re:worst idea since flying cars by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 1

      "Skynet ran over my dog!" GP is right in that such an accident will be a marketing disaster... but it will only be a temporary one. However I am less worried about PR than about pet owners or parents suing the crap out of Google. If a human driver runs over your kid, there's only so much cash to be had from the driver, besides a jury might well rule that it was an accident and that the driver was not at fault. But in case of driverless cars, an accident translates readily into a defective product in the eyes of a jury, letting the grieving parents tap into a limitless corporate account. After all, if the product wasn't defective, it would avoid all accidents except those where someone would go out of their way to cause one.

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    13. Re:worst idea since flying cars by kannibal_klown · · Score: 1

      A small personal-type of drone, as opposed to large military drone, weighing only a couple of pounds of only injured a couple people. In other words, a remote control helicopter with a camera crashed.

      Robot car driving at lethal speeds where the smallest mistake could kill someone... will eventually hit someone.

      One is a s*xier story than the other. Trust me, when a robot car hits and hurts someone.... anchormen around the world are going to need to make sure their desks aren't made of glass otherwise the camera will show the world just how excited they are about delivering this "vital story"

      The public's reaction will depend on a number of factors, but it ending with "bans" on robot cars is a high probability
      - Was the victim a child? A photogenic teen? A mother of 3?
      - How bad was the accident
      - Are "witnesses" flocking to the camera saying "oh my god the humanity"

    14. Re:worst idea since flying cars by MikeMo · · Score: 1

      Being an old geezer, I take a bit of exception to this. In addition, the fatal crash that started Toyota's problems had no old geezers.. You can listen to the rather horrifying 911 call here.

      As an aside, agism is just as bad as sexism, racism, homophobism, etc. Oh, and by the way, you'll be one, too.

    15. Re:worst idea since flying cars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Indeed there are certain thing where public transport has to be improved. Not living in the US, I could see some progress here. First, they changed the height of the bus stop and started using low-floor buses resulting in easy access for people with a buggy or those wheeled walking frames. The bus numbers are really big, so most elderly people should be able to read them. Even though blind or nearly blind people cannot read them. Therefore, they should have audio feedback. Nowadays people can just ask the driver. In addition the timetable and bus route displays a the bus stop could use a bigger font especially for the routes. In the bus, the next station is announced via audio and also visually. The display is also presenting the next three or four stops, so you can get prepared. At more important bus stops displays show the next buses and their arrival times or remaining minutes. The readability issues can be fixed. And I think it is much easier to fix them then to implement working cheap self-driving cars, which can be operated by people who are unable to drive.

    16. Re:worst idea since flying cars by invid · · Score: 1

      Think of the billions of dollars this will save all the big corporations that require road transportation. This is going to get rammed through the legal system, and rammed as hard as campaign cash can ram it.

      --
      The Moore-Murphy Law: The number of things that will go wrong will double every 2 years.
    17. Re:worst idea since flying cars by h4rr4r · · Score: 1

      You mean the one that did not know to shift a car into neutral?

      Makes me wonder how they train state troopers.

    18. Re:worst idea since flying cars by LordLimecat · · Score: 1

      However, that isn't how the unwashed masses

      Careful, your contempt is showing.

    19. Re:worst idea since flying cars by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      However, that isn't how the unwashed masses

      Careful, your contempt is showing.

      Nothing but undeveloped, unevolved, barely conscious pond scum, totally convinced of their own superiority as they scurry about their short, pointless lives.

      There, fixed it for you.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    20. Re:worst idea since flying cars by timholman · · Score: 1

      In future and today you can use self-driving car, at least in urban areas. They are called buses, trams and commuter rail. They work quite perfectly. In addition there are taxis. All these means of transportation work fine for elderly people (at least if they use modern equipment). And yes, I know they are not driver-less, but you do not have to drive yourself and in certain cities commuter rail services are already really driver-less, like in London or Nuremberg.

      Get back to us when that bus, tram or train can drop your off right at your door. Walking half a mile or a mile from the bus stop to your home may not be a big deal to you, but it can be a very big deal to the elderly and infirm, not to mention a mother carrying groceries and shepherding a couple of kids.

      And taxis? Where I live, you have to call the taxi company 30 minutes in advance if you want a pick up. Then you're dealing with the human factor, i.e. a driver who passes you by because you don't look "right" (i.e. you're a minority), or tries to cheat his fare by taking the long way to the destination. It happens all the time, even in large cities where taxis are much easier to find. Me, I just finished dealing with my credit card company where a taxi driver skimmed my card a few months back and started making small charges to my card weeks later, hoping I wouldn't notice.

      Self-driving cars that are dispatched by smartphone will be fast, they won't pass you by because of your skin color, and they will take you to your destination by an optimal path. They will use existing infrastructure and will be scalable according to population density. They will, in fact, eliminate the money hole known as "mass transit" in all but the most densely populated areas.

      Self-driving cars can't get here fast enough, as far as I'm concerned.

    21. Re:worst idea since flying cars by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      Google can afford lawyers. Lots and lots of lawyers. More lawyers, more imposing lawyers than Fido's owners can. Really bad analogy.

      A slightly better one would be an auto insurance company suing Google (or it's holding company / subsidiary or whatever legal arrangement they make). Then it's lawyer on lawyer action (ewwww....). Still and all, you have to think that Google's admin team has figured this out. After all, we did. And made suitable arrangements.

      Poor Fido, here's a couple hundred bucks, get a new puppy. We'll even throw in some dog food for you. Smile for the cameras!

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    22. Re:worst idea since flying cars by MikeMo · · Score: 1

      Yeah, ya gotta wonder that no one thought to take it out of gear or turn it off. There were actually two events similar to this one, but I can't find the other. It was also a case of a long conversation with 911 and no one thought of those then, either. I guess the 911 operators aren't trained to solve caller's problems.

    23. Re:worst idea since flying cars by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      The best part is that those people that still insist that not owning your own vehicle is a good idea can use the self driving taxis.

    24. Re:worst idea since flying cars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Try writing an unambiguous and complete sentence.

    25. Re:worst idea since flying cars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is because US public transport tends to suck.
      There are places on earth where PT vastly outperforms cars. For the english speaking world, London should be known. But there actually several cities.
      It's mostly a matter of network density, vehicle frequency and comfort, but that's about it.

    26. Re:worst idea since flying cars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There definitely places in the world where the population density is too high for everyone to use cars for their transport needs. But traditional public transport (busses and trains) is also very hard to get right.

      I live in Singapore which supposedly has a good public transport system. But last Friday, for example, I get to the bus stop at 6pm. I'm exhausted and I'm all congested and I ache all over with a nasty cold. Having a cold I would have preferred to take a taxi (for my own comfort and also to avoid infecting others on the bus). But it's essentially impossible to catch a taxi during peak hours. And a license to own a car costs USD $50K - out of my league.

      So, anyway, my bus comes by at 6:10pm - which wouldn't have been too bad - except that it was too full to pick up new passengers - didn't even stop. OK, in theory my bus comes every 10 minutes - shouldn't be too bad. Well, this time it's 25 minutes. But this bus at 6:35pm only has few spaces left on the front step. The crowd at the bus stop surges forward and I'm not one of the lucky few. Another 15 minutes and the third bus comes by at 6:55pm. It's also too crowded to even squeeze onto the front steps. But the bus driver open the back door. I reach in through the packed bodies, tap my card on the card reader at the front and then run to the back and squeeze up onto the steps by the back door. Only a 55 minute wait for a bus that's supposed to come every 10 minutes.

      And that's not just an isolated incident. This morning, for example, I spent an hour waiting for the bus and the train - with only half an hour of actual transit time - for a total commute time of an hour and a half.

      Incidentally, it's interesting that the local Singaporeans don't complain or grumble at all. In the US there'd be some angry faces and some grumbling and maybe even the occasional one fingered salute when the overfull bus drove by without stopping. But the Singaporeans are totally silent with totally blank expressions. I guess all the caning they received as children in the schools of Singapore was very successful in teaching them to never do anything that might be interpreted as criticism of the government.

    27. Re:worst idea since flying cars by Eivind · · Score: 1

      That's just silly. Human drivers kill people all the time. What matters is relative safety. If a autonomous car is demonstrably safer than a average human driver it makes zero sense to allow the latter while outlawing the former.

    28. Re:worst idea since flying cars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Meanwhile, in the civilized part of the world..

      This morning I got up, showered, got dressed and walked 200 meters to my nearest PT stop.
      The runs-every-5-to-8-minutes bus was in, half packed. The three subway lines run every 7 minutes, each (on average less than a 3 minute wait), and are never* too full.

      Oh, and the tram runs every 8 minutes, and is never* full.

      No matter which option I take, I arrive at the commuter rail within 10 minutes, no matter how much traffic is on the streets (since busses and trams have right of way).

      The commuter train goes every 6-15 minutes, and usually has right of way on its tracks.

      Today it took me 40 minutes to get to work, of which 5 were waiting for the commuter train, and 12 were spent walking from the train station to the office.

      It's roughly a 10 mile trip, which takes 20 minutes when there's little to no traffic on the streets.
      Most days it's a 45-50 minute drive, including finding a parking space.

      Bad days, it's a 90 minute drive.

  3. Jeez, did you even READ the article? by new+death+barbie · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's dateline is 2023. It's fiction. NOT news.

    --

    It's supposed to be completely automatic, but actually you have to press this button.

    1. Re:Jeez, did you even READ the article? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is Slashdot, even the "editors" don't read the articles.

      Watch as the majority of commentards take the story at face value.

    2. Re:Jeez, did you even READ the article? by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      No, I stopped at the headline "Disbatch from the future"

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
    3. Re:Jeez, did you even READ the article? by Em+Adespoton · · Score: 1

      It's dateline is 2023. It's fiction. NOT news.

      Not only is it fiction, ,but

      Uber has committed to invest up to $375 million for a fleet of Google’s GX3200 vehicles....

      They've only committed to invest up to $375 million in 2023??? That's going to buy what, a fleet of 500 cars?

    4. Re:Jeez, did you even READ the article? by HideyoshiJP · · Score: 1

      I'd say that's more likely to buy a fleet of 500... candy bars.

    5. Re:Jeez, did you even READ the article? by Thruen · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I'm seeing a problem with internet news...
      http://www.designntrend.com/articles/7363/20130826/report-2-500-google-robo-taxi-driverless-cars-will-take.htm
      http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2402047/Would-hail-cab-driven-ROBOT-Rumours-Googles-self-driving-cars-day-form-robo-taxi-service.html
      http://www.efinancehub.com/uber-has-decided-to-invest-up-to-375-million-for-google-inc-nasdaqgoogs-gx3200-sedans/122229.html

      There's more, too. How scarey is it that this is being reported as news elsewhere based on an article from TechCrunch that opens with a date ten years in the future in bold letters? They didn't just not investigate, they didn't read the article they then based their own articles on. At this point, I'd be surprised if it wasn't on Fox tonight.

  4. april 1st? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    First post. And article is dated 2023. Oh Slashdot, how hast thou fallen?

  5. Work of speculative fiction by simonbp · · Score: 4, Informative

    Unless TechCrunch has a time machine, this is a work of speculative fiction. The dateline of July 25, 2023 should be a dead giveaway, but since when did the Slashdot edittors ever RTFA?

    1. Re:Work of speculative fiction by guttentag · · Score: 1

      ...since when did the Slashdot edittors ever RTFA?

      Not since they upgraded to the new JohnnyDot editorless publishing system. If you turn the sound up on your computer while submitting a story, you'll hear Robert Picardo's voice asking, "Please state the nature of the stuff that matters emergency."

      (Picardo's voiced the JohnnyCab robot in Total Recall, and his face was used as the model for the robot. He also played the holographic doctor on Voyager and the robotic bureaucrat who thought he could run Stargate Atlantis.)

    2. Re:Work of speculative fiction by Frosty+Piss · · Score: 1

      In any case, the current crop of Google Cars might have good stats, but they are stats generated under very controlled situations, such as not in rush hour LA traffic. Or rush hour downtown city traffic.

      --
      If you want news from today, you have to come back tomorrow.
    3. Re:Work of speculative fiction by rsborg · · Score: 1

      Unless TechCrunch has a time machine, this is a work of speculative fiction. The dateline of July 25, 2023 should be a dead giveaway, but since when did the Slashdot edittors ever RTFA?

      A speculative /. repost waiting to happen. I've now read it all. Brilliant way of guaranteeing page-hits and comment threads.

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  6. Not real! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The dateline on the original article should have been a clue: "July 25, 2023"

  7. Jonnycab 1.0 by otis+wildflower · · Score: 1

    EOM

  8. Submitter didn't read article. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's satire/fiction/humour "from the future."

  9. Early April Fools? by hawguy · · Score: 4, Informative

    It's bad enough to have April Fools come once a year and have to wade through the fake posts, but it's far from April 1st.

    From TFA: "Dispatch From The Future: Uber To Purchase 2,500 Driverless Cars From Google July 25, 2023 "

     

    1. Re:Early April Fools? by h4rr4r · · Score: 1

      You are not supposed to read the articles.
      Get off my LAWN!

  10. How about... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    We heard you like car analogies, so we put a car analogy in your car story...

  11. ha ha by rgbrenner · · Score: 1

    very funny slashdot.. you got me again.. apparently, everyday is april fools day.

  12. Uber will purchase cars from google in.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    2023?

  13. First we get browser shortcuts by Anubis350 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    and now this fake piece of trash. What the hell's going on with the slashdot editors in the last couple days? I don't usually gripe about articles, but this is a little sad...

    --
    "goodbye and hello, as always" ~Prince Corwin, from Zelazny's Amber series
    1. Re:First we get browser shortcuts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Next up:
      Kramerica Industries uses old plastic toys to qualify for XPrize Oil Spill Cleanup
      Smartwatch comes with app to wake you up and tell you the weather.
      What's the next great transportation innovation since the Hyperloop? Conveyor belts on the city streets to whisk people around more quickly.
      Using meat slicers for low-cost biopsies to send to 23andme.
      Man sues Apple for missing the marathon again when the do-not-disturb bug occurs.
      Jackie Chiles wins big settlement from Starbucks: Spray-on Caffeine for life.
      Ask Slashdot? How can I stop my snail mail?

    2. Re:First we get browser shortcuts by oodaloop · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Wait a few hours for the dupe.

      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    3. Re:First we get browser shortcuts by CmdrPorno · · Score: 1

      I've said this many times before, but when CmdrTaco left, it was the beginning of the end for Slashdot. The writing was on the wall for a long time before that, but Malda's departure was a very clear demarcation of where the site was headed. We're witnessing a slow death spiral. Within 10-20 years, Slashdot will no longer exist in its current form. It will be gobbled up by Gizmodo, Techcrunch, CNet, or the likes, and eventually merged into their conglomerate and redirected to the parent company's site.

      --
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    4. Re:First we get browser shortcuts by Nemyst · · Score: 1

      Well at least with this you'll be able to say "dupe!" when an article pops up in July 2023 about this, so there's some value... I guess?

    5. Re:First we get browser shortcuts by StripedCow · · Score: 1

      Also, I don't want any self-driving car.

      A self-cooking stove is what I'm looking for!
      (No, it's not called a microwave)

      --
      If Pandora's box is destined to be opened, *I* want to be the one to open it.
  14. Good old capitalism by P-niiice · · Score: 1

    A news story from the future that is pretty much unavoidable.

    I see the benefit of driverless cars, but people need jobs too. We need to think about that when we eliminate jobs instead of demonizing the unemployed. If companies and society are putting these people out of work, we need to do something. Our increasing productivity is producing a class of unemployable people. IMO, If we don't want that, we should hire these people to do what robots could.

    1. Re:Good old capitalism by king+neckbeard · · Score: 3, Insightful

      We don't need jobs. We need food. We need shelter. Jobs are a means for which we obtain the resources to obtain those things. If robots can do everything, we can live in a very different kind of economy, basically proto-Star Trek. Don't ruin that with the notion that we need jobs.

      --
      This is my signature. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
    2. Re:Good old capitalism by mark-t · · Score: 2

      When robots can do a task faster, cheaper, and more reliably than humans, it's inevitable that they will be replaced.

      People have been fearing machines causing long-term and large scale unemployment since the cotton gin... history shows that actual unemployment increases caused by replacing workers with automation are not anywhere nearly as massive as was feared by some beforehand, but also extremely temporary.

    3. Re:Good old capitalism by losfromla · · Score: 2

      I think that for every displaced worker, some kind of habitation and space should be set aside for these newly unemployable. If they are essentially being made redundant to the continuation of the human species maybe a reserve is where they belong. I'm thinking along the lines of intentional communities, not ghettos. Very open, no support provided but also no economic output expected. Just put them out on nice fertile land where they can thrive outside of the hustle and bustle. No they won't be sterilized, their (our?) numbers will be naturally controlled by resource scarcity.

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    4. Re: Good old capitalism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Better solution: give everyone a basic income, let them educate themselves with MOOCs, hold challenges (such as Google bug bounties, Xprize challenges, challenge.gov). Technology allows us to automate many jobs and frees us to pursue our own natural creativity and instinct for wonder. Create money (as banks do) and give it directly to people, instead of using it to create more debt than can be paid back (because banks don't create enough money for everyone to pay back their loans plus interest; thus to pay back your loan you have to make someone else default on theirs).

    5. Re:Good old capitalism by internerdj · · Score: 2

      Actually, psychologically, we do need jobs or at least meaningful tasks. However, we do need to rethink how we allocate the fundamental necessities given greater and greater productivity from less and less labor. We also need to think about what we do with human potential if we reach a place where labor isn't necessarily tied to survival.

    6. Re:Good old capitalism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can adapt very quick to GP "Star Trek" world very quick. Unfortunately the future could also evolve to a "Blade Runner" type of society (or Star Trek DS9).

    7. Re:Good old capitalism by king+neckbeard · · Score: 1

      I'll agree with meaningful tasks as being important, but that doesn't necessarily translate to jobs in the sense we know them today. We could devote our time to self enrichment, artistic expression, and other such tasks in ways that we never could before because they aren't financially viable. Our tasks would have more meaning to us, leaving us more fulfilled. Now, that's not to say that there aren't going to be issues, especially in the transitional phase, but they are relatively minor in comparison to the gains to society.

      --
      This is my signature. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
    8. Re:Good old capitalism by P-niiice · · Score: 1

      I happen to agree with you. Totally. But at the very least, let people work....don't automate them out of work and then complain that they're not working.

    9. Re:Good old capitalism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Some would argue that that need is already failing to be met when it comes to the overwhelming majority of jobs today.

      I don't know a single person who sees their job as something that fulfills a psychological need rather than a means to finance their lifestyle.

    10. Re:Good old capitalism by scamper_22 · · Score: 1

      So long as there is a single *job* that has to be done by humans, we all have to be concerned with jobs.

      This is one of the reason why I'm a big proponent of work sharing as opposed to welfare.

      Just picture yourself as one of America's corporate workers today. Slugging it out in brutal competition, 50 hour work weeks, being push and push to squeeze out every last ounce of productivity... and then being told... we need to tax you more to give some people free money... hey relax... it's good for you, they will buy things and stimulate the economy which is good for your company.

      That's not going to sit well. Whereas, if you told this corporate worker, maybe you could work 20 hours / week and share the load with this other worker and you can both live a more comfortable life... let less wealthy life, they'd be more up to it.

      I fully agree with you that in some ideal world where robots do all the work, we should embrace it.

      I'm more addressing the mentality that comes with people saying to not focus on jobs and instead on food.... That typically means people thinking we should be handing out free money to people. And sadly, it is these free-money people who don't think that we still have jobs that are done by people.

      Be it the civil unrest in Greece, where fruits still need to be picked; and they're picked by nameless migrant workers.

      Or be in in North America, where people want free money to buy clothes; made by nameless textile workers in Asia.

    11. Re:Good old capitalism by blue+trane · · Score: 1

      Give everyone a basic income. Stimulate their natural creative instincts and capacity for wonder with free education (MOOCs), challenges (Google bug bounties, Xprize, Netflix prize, challenge.gov), and open source collaborative efforts (wikipedia, linux, free open source languages like python, ruby, etc.).

      The focus should be on innovation and the advance of technology, because knowledge is what is likely to raise survival fitness the most by better enabling us to predict and adapt to sudden catastrophic change.

      As long as we keep advancing knowledge and technology, we can create as much money as we want.

      Right now, banks create as much money as they want (see Q&A with Neil Barofsky, from about 50:35 to 51:13, where Kevin Puvalowski testifies that $23.7 trillion was created after the 2008 crash), but they automatically attach debt and interest to it. They've created a situation of artificial scarcity where, to pay back your loans, you have to make someone else default on theirs, because there isn't enough money in existence for everyone to pay back all their loans.

      Debt-free money is exactly what we need. As Lincoln realized, when he printed over $400 million greenbacks to raise money without increasing taxes or borrowing it.

    12. Re:Good old capitalism by blue+trane · · Score: 1

      I forgot to close that link so it went to the end of the paragraph. But the point stands: we create money all the time, but give it to institutions like banks, instead of empowering individuals. We, the voters, should change that.

    13. Re:Good old capitalism by Chibi+Merrow · · Score: 1

      I see the benefit of driverless cars, but people need jobs too.

      I fail to see what job would be eliminated by my purchase of a driverless car.

      --
      Maxim: People cannot follow directions.
      Increases in truth directly with the length of time spent explaining them
    14. Re:Good old capitalism by scamper_22 · · Score: 1

      Like I said... so long as there is a single job that needs doing... we have to be concerned with jobs.

      I'm not arguing that governments don't print money and give it out to which ever group they want.

      Giving people a basic income that would give them a decent life (good housing, food, internet...) and any work that HAS to be done will have a hard time being done.

      Sure, a lot of the 'nice work' will get done. Research will get done. Some education, some healthcare, some art...

      But who would pick fruits, sew mass clothing, work in the mines for lithium to power rechargeable batteries... when there is a basic income that provides a decent life?

      The details are very important.

    15. Re:Good old capitalism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I see it the other way around. I see that people will chase after more trivial things to fill their time. Those who really want to do meaningful jobs will have to claw their way up and prove themselves worthy of one of the few spots ...and if there happens to be a lot of competition for a particular job/position, it will be televised as entertainment for the rest of us. Bread and circuses to the max.

    16. Re:Good old capitalism by StripedCow · · Score: 1

      If robots can do everything, we can live in a very different kind of economy, basically proto-Star Trek.

      And you think that if a big multi-billion dollar corporation owns robots, the whole of society will benefit?
      In what version of capitalism would that work like that?

      --
      If Pandora's box is destined to be opened, *I* want to be the one to open it.
    17. Re:Good old capitalism by mjwx · · Score: 1

      Actually, psychologically, we do need jobs or at least meaningful tasks. However, we do need to rethink how we allocate the fundamental necessities given greater and greater productivity from less and less labor. We also need to think about what we do with human potential if we reach a place where labor isn't necessarily tied to survival.

      A meaningful task is not necessarily a job.

      If I didn't need to work for money, I'd spend my time on a variety of other projects (project car, modding and perhaps even making games). Others may describe a meaningful task as art, dancing, socialising or raising children.

      In a time after scarcity where we dont need to spend so much time on simple survival, the current ideas on how to allocate resources will not apply (capitalism and socialism in all of their forms require scarcity to function). The saddest part I think is that currently, I doubt humans are currently capable of this kind of thinking and that some will see a meaningful task in war.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
    18. Re:Good old capitalism by blue+trane · · Score: 1

      If you want fruit, you pick it. Or you work on a challenge to make a robotic picker. Already people are working on this: http://www.keprtv.com/news/local/Robots-replacing-fruit-pickers-Not-quite-but-a-new-machine-is-changing-the-industry-170891701.html

      3D print clothing. Design robots to mine. Very often the workers are the ones who know the most about the job, and with education can design the tools to automate their job.

    19. Re:Good old capitalism by king+neckbeard · · Score: 1

      If we reach post-scarcity in regards to at least most of our needs, then capitalism and other economies become obsolete. Capitalism is a solution to the problem of scarcity, so in the absence of scarcity, it is no longer needed.

      --
      This is my signature. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
    20. Re:Good old capitalism by king+neckbeard · · Score: 1

      The tasks you mention are more or less among the simplest to automate. Menial, relatively simple tasks, many of which could be done by a trained chimp.

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    21. Re:Good old capitalism by king+neckbeard · · Score: 1

      In my experience, we tend to seek meaningful tasks on our own, but are more or less trained in the practice of putting that aside to 'get work done.' We suppress an innate drive and over time, it sticks, and often in more areas than intended. But, if we stop this practice, then it will come back into being a major part of our lives. It is, however, quite possible that many people alive today may not be able to do this, and it could take generations to wipe that habit out.

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    22. Re:Good old capitalism by scamper_22 · · Score: 1

      yes... and when we have robots that can do those tasks, then it will be easier to have such a utopian society.

      Until such a time, the basic income needs to be thought out very carefully.

  15. Who? by space_jake · · Score: 1

    Who the hell is Uber?

    1. Re:Who? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Who the hell is Uber?

      1) It's a company that acts as a dispatcher for unbooked livery/hackney/limousine/towncar drivers. They make it possible for drivers to find customers on short notice during their downtime (in exchange for a hefty cut of the proceeds).

      2) It's an app that lets you call a car to your current location, and it displays realtime car location, driver photo, car photo, license plate, and driver's phone number. You can say inside, call a car, know how long it will take to arrive, and get notified when it's outside. The dispatch company bills your credit card based on the distance traveled, so you don't need to have cash. They charge about 1.5x what a taxi would cost, but the cars are much nicer.

      In a nutshell, they've tapped into otherwise idle resources and used existing personal phones to facilitate the transactions. It's only available in large cities where there is a sufficient quantity of idle licensed livery drivers.

  16. Elder drivers by wolfguru · · Score: 2

    I can forsee a state where older drivers who can no longer safely drive themselves can maintain a portion of their independence by using these to be able to get around without requiring someone else to taxi them from place to place. Simple destinations such as family member's homes, stores, doctor and medical offices, and other common destinations could be pre-programmed into the vehicle's memory, with a simple menu to select a destination. A "specify your destination" feature could be used for those who retain the ability to decide where they wish to go, and either locked out or require an authoritative OK when the elder gets beyond being certain of being able to specify new destinations safely. Combine this with a search feature that would allow stores, restaurants and other destinations to provide their coordinates to the driverless car network, and it would go a long way to making the elder but still active population safer while still more independent.

  17. Jamming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I wonder how much fun it will be to use a GPS jammer on roads infested with driverless vehicles?

    1. Re:Jamming by losfromla · · Score: 1

      Fun for a little while, because after the first couple such tricks the cars will be provided with adequate local information to do feature based navigation and the gps will be used only if available. I'd be surprised if they didn't already work this way.

      --
      Only I can judge you.
  18. OH... by 93+Escort+Wagon · · Score: 1

    I read the article, but didn't note the date - so I was rather confused by a story about some mega-delivery company I'd never heard of that mentioned facts that weren't remotely true!

    But, even in 2023... How is this supposed to work? They're a delivery company - are the customers supposed to be on the honor system, coming out to the curb and taking only the packages addressed to them? The basic idea doesn't really work, unless the car also has fold-out legs and can walk up to the door...

    --
    #DeleteChrome
    1. Re:OH... by losfromla · · Score: 1

      A little roll-out car (like a beefy roomba with arms) drops off the correct packages at the customer's doorstep. Some of these little buggers can handle stairs so even that won't be an impediment. Locked apartment buildings will require special provisions (yes, the doors might be hackable but so are the current ones).

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    2. Re:OH... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Uber is not a delivery company.

      They are a car rental company.

  19. I read this article earlier this morning... by malakai · · Score: 1

    ... and I was laughing at the posters on TechCrunch that read it as anything other than fiction. Including the people arguing over whether a private companies stock price could jump 10% in a day....

    I made a mental note not to visit that website anymore, their users failed my mental Darwinian challenge.

    Now I fire up Slashdot for my post coffee 'news' blitz, and I'm left with a bitter taste in my mouth that has nothing to do with over roasting of beans.

    I'm having a sad nostalgia moment where I feel this community is the old guy talking about how he used to be the star athlete back in high school.... glory days.

  20. wat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Slashdot go home, you're drunk.

  21. Trust the NSA? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Interesting

    Do you trust the NSA to provide you transportation without eavesdropping on you?

    What happens when you discuss "terrorism" or "bombs" in the car?

    What happens when you are working on a story that threatens the intelligence services?

    http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Journalism/2013/08/22/Rolling-Stone-Journalist-Hastings-Feared-Car-Was-Tampered-With-Before-Fatal-Crash

  22. wild business? by retech · · Score: 1

    I've thought, since first seeing the google car, that zip car would do well to have a fleet of them. A car that arrives where and when you need it and drops you off... it's perfect for them. And they can offer rate plans. If you don't want to spend premium and be the only person in that car with a single destination you can opt to have up to 3 other people coordinated with your ride.

    Likewise, Amazon, could do well to use them for delivery on their same day service. If you click on a button saying you'll be at the delivery spot in a certain time window it would be an ideal service. The car honks, you get your package after swiping your CC in the slot.

    I suspect that by 2016 we'll see a good many companies/services using autonomous cars.

    1. Re:wild business? by aviators99 · · Score: 1

      How much do you want to bet?

  23. I wouldn't assume the editors noticed it's a joke by rebrane · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The editors of the Daily Mail didn't.

  24. imagine when all of the drivers lose their jobs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Instead of a cab driver there is a cab "minder". He sits in the front but doesn't touch the controls. Instead his only job is lift people's bags into the trunk and chat with the passengers. He is a temp worker at 30 hours a week, paid minimum wage (+ the temp agency's cut).

    All of those people who have no skills beyond their meager abilities to process sensory input and turn the results into mechanical action. All of them replaced by machines and possibly minimum wage, no-benefits, temp workers.

    1. Re:imagine when all of the drivers lose their jobs by tompaulco · · Score: 1

      Instead of a cab driver there is a cab "minder". He sits in the front but doesn't touch the controls. Instead his only job is lift people's bags into the trunk and chat with the passengers. He is a temp worker at 30 hours a week, paid minimum wage (+ the temp agency's cut).

      All of those people who have no skills beyond their meager abilities to process sensory input and turn the results into mechanical action. All of them replaced by machines and possibly minimum wage, no-benefits, temp workers.

      Yeah, right. Once elevators got buttons, how long did we keep elevator operators around? Same with cabs. Another quarter million on the government teat.

      --
      If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
  25. More pressure on low income labor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Great. Let's put the taxi drivers out of work too. That's not going to put additional pressure on other low income fields. Nope.

  26. They were going to change their name, too... by oneiros27 · · Score: 1

    But it's already taken ...

    There's companies in both California and Hawaii, likely others.

    --
    Build it, and they will come^Hplain.
    1. Re:They were going to change their name, too... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What about "robocab"?

  27. Fooled DailyMail and eFinanceHub... by Thruen · · Score: 1

    Check out who was fooled by this article, maybe use Google to dig up a few more...
    http://www.designntrend.com/articles/7363/20130826/report-2-500-google-robo-taxi-driverless-cars-will-take.htm
    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2402047/Would-hail-cab-driven-ROBOT-Rumours-Googles-self-driving-cars-day-form-robo-taxi-service.html
    http://www.efinancehub.com/uber-has-decided-to-invest-up-to-375-million-for-google-inc-nasdaqgoogs-gx3200-sedans/122229.html

    I know, scarey right?

    1. Re:Fooled DailyMail and eFinanceHub... by Nick · · Score: 1

      You forgot to mention Slashdot :)

      --
      Fuck Ajit Pai
  28. Just in: Slashdot testing new autonomous editors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In a surprise move Slashdot has ordered 10 Google autonomous tech editors at a cost of 3 billion ( only $3 in 1806 currency ).

  29. Think About It! by b4upoo · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Although this article is a spoof it should point to another issue. We are well aware that robotic transport is close at hand on a large scale. And this is a perfect example of an issue that no one is confronting. As it has occurred in other trades we will see misery applied to a very large number of professional drivers. They will simply be out of work, permanently. And then there is a ripple effect. The diners that serve truckers, cab drivers and others will close or lay off workers. Motels will do the same. Even sales of items such as CB radios could take a hit.
                    I would not be overly shocked to learn that robotic vehicles displaced five million workers in the US. Although nobody is entitled to earn a living we will have to create an economic system that makes certain that all people are well paid without regard for whether they work or not. People without good pay checks can not purchase nor can they pay taxes. Unemployment and under employment will shift the tax burdens to those who work and it will also collapse or limit the income of businesses leading to an ever deepening, chronic poverty.
                    We are now confronted with a social reality that forces a sea change in our economic and political beliefs. We have no options at all other than to create a very socialistic society. Human labor, whether physical or mental, is in decline as far as value is concerned. I strongly suspect that our youth have glimpsed that which explains their lack of concern with education and their willingness to participate in activities likely to destroy them whether that be surfing a thirty foot wave, racing a motorcycle or shooting heroin.

    1. Re:Think About It! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      An extra number of cars must be built - given the safety concerns, it would be trivial to make a law specifying manufacture within the US.

      Perhaps 200 million extra new cars over 10 years, 20 million a year. Pay an average of $50K for each vehicle, that's a $1 trillion per year stimulus. $200,000 a year for each unemployed driver.

      Hopefully there is a way to make the math work for everyone.

    2. Re:Think About It! by herbalt · · Score: 1

      A new technology replacing human labor is nothing new. Mechanization has been "taking jobs away" from humans at least since the industrial revolution. For a large-scale change as you mention, it would more than just a few months, so if driverless vehicles were to take over, fewer and fewer people would become drivers anyway. The scary thing is not technology replacing humans, rather it's how despite technology humans still have bullshit jobs and why that kind of progress systematically benefits those already well-off instead of the masses.

    3. Re:Think About It! by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      We are well aware that robotic transport is close at hand on a large scale.

      As far as I can tell, it is as close as flying cars. Yeah, there are prototypes, but........

      We are now confronted with a social reality that forces a sea change in our economic and political beliefs. We have no options at all other than to create a very socialistic society.

      We have other choices. How many people lost their jobs when the car (and tractor) was invented? Yet somehow we survived without a very socialistic society. The same thing is extremely likely to happen again.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    4. Re:Think About It! by StripedCow · · Score: 1

      And what adds to the bitterness is that the grand-grand children of our scientific heroes (Albert Einstein, etc) will end up being put out of work by the technology created by their grand-grand parents. In the meantime, the executives of a big advertisement company are laughing their way to the bank.

      --
      If Pandora's box is destined to be opened, *I* want to be the one to open it.
  30. Ironic... by Steve_Ussler · · Score: 0

    As many airports and cities are banning Uber and other similar services...

  31. Trashdot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    After the breaking news about reopening closed tabs which has been around for at least a few years somehow being the same as "Ctrl-Z for the entire Internet" and now this story which was initially presented here as a credible news story when it has a date in 2023 on the source, Slashdot should rebrand itself as Trashdot.

  32. Inevitability by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Tooling along the highway, suddenly your auto-car pulls itself to the side of the road, flips on the hazards, and dead-locks the doors and windows. A computerized voice emanates from the stereo system:

    "Attention: during the terahertz scan of your vehicle at the last VIPR checkpoint, trace amounts of potential contraband were detected. Please remain where you are, with your hands visible, until the response team arrives and gives you further orders."

    It's an inevitability.

    - CanHasDIY

  33. Go for it by TheSkepticalOptimist · · Score: 1

    Stop all the talk and just get these things on the road. The sooner the concept fails the sooner we can move on. I also don't want to see a post to ONE car driving safely down the road, I want to see a highway where 40-50% of the cars are autonomous intermingling with some of the dumbest drivers on the planet.

    I'd rather strap myself into a coffin and be shot across the country in a big metal straw before I get into an autonomous car driving down the highway with other humans..

    --
    I haven't thought of anything clever to put here, but then again most of you haven't either.
    1. Re:Go for it by Nick · · Score: 1

      You do realize that commercial jet airliners are for the most part flown via a software program, right? The pilots have manual overrides which I'm sure a self driving car in the future would as well - and I realized roads/expressways are much more congested than at 30,000+ ft but the point is that we have a metallic tube with wings, flying around the globe that is mostly computerized these days, and the most dangerous thing about that is getting inside a human controlled car to drive to get to said plane.

      --
      Fuck Ajit Pai
  34. I can't wait... by FunPika · · Score: 3, Interesting

    ...for these to become common in states like Massachusetts. The amount of anger from the average driver in that state would be incredible to see (having to sit behind a car that is programmed to strictly adhere to the posted speed limit, not try to beat red lights, and will not respond to any form of road rage directed towards it).

    --
    After years of not using a signature, I am going to make one to say the following: Fuck Beta
    1. Re:I can't wait... by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      lol that WOULD be hilarious.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  35. Re:I wouldn't assume the editors noticed it's a jo by pr100 · · Score: 1

    It's a pretty good rule of thumb that anything in the Mail is wrong. So I guess that's consistent...

  36. So I was right by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

    I saw the summary just before I went to lunch...came back and tried to find details on the Google GX3200 autonomous car. Results for "google gx3200 -uber" give nothing about any cars.

    Refresh page and...yeah, it was a bunch of marketing bullshit.

    --
    "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
  37. Tmp obstruction, sheriff says roll down window... by neurocutie · · Score: 1

    I really don't see how these vehicles can actually work in real-live driving situations... Supposing there is an accident, or other temporary traffic re-routing... the local cop wants you to roll down your window, and he is going to TELL you where to drive to get around this obstruction... Or deer running across the street... I'm sure VERY hard to detect (I can barely see them myself coming off from the side...) Or small things in the road that you want to avoid (potholes, glass, etc) Or avoiding certain streets but only during certain times or days of the year or certain sporadic happenings (parties, riots, drug street wars, or snow, flooding, etc)

  38. Statistics by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 1

    You simply cannot calculate the chance of having an accident that way. Driving 300,000 miles in Montana is going to be different than driving 300,000 miles in New York City. If you want accident statistic rates, one need look no further that auto insurance. If it was a matter of dividing total mileage by number of accidents, none of us could afford our premiums.

    If your articles don't make sense. The first one, the pro google article (what would you expect them to tell you about the safety) claims that people have 1 accident per 165,000 miles driven (not taking gender into question). The second article, even if men drove the same as women, would be 1 accident every 175,000 miles. Averaging the 2 rates given yields a rate of 1 accident approximately every 186K miles and in reality the number would be higher as there are more male drivers than female drivers. But even at the 186K figure that is 13% greater than the first article's number. Now, it has been a long time since I studied statistics, but a 13% variance in something that is measuring a finite set seems that there is bad data somewhere.

    In reality, it goes back to Mark Twain's there lies, damn lies and statistics. Without valid samples, statistics are pretty much meaningless. Without knowing the types of accidents, any projections on deaths are meaningless (how many of those accidents are in parking lots or while parallel parking?). If your goal is to reduce fatal accidents, you can do that now, by lowering speed limits. That would be more effective now versus 20 years from now, the earliest projection when google cars will reach enough percentage of vehicles on the road to impact highway safety).

    Until then, all we know is the project accident rate for a google car. Your insurance company has that same figure for you, too and they figure your premium on it. If you premium is manageable, then you are not an insurance risk and you are no more likely to be in an accident than a google car. If it is high, then you are. Plain and simple. Insurance companies are in business to make a profit and they are pretty good at analyzing the risk involved with insuring drivers.

    1. Re:Statistics by gnasher719 · · Score: 1

      You simply cannot calculate the chance of having an accident that way. Driving 300,000 miles in Montana is going to be different than driving 300,000 miles in New York City. If you want accident statistic rates, one need look no further that auto insurance. If it was a matter of dividing total mileage by number of accidents, none of us could afford our premiums.

      Another thing to consider: How bad are these accidents? I've been in accidents with very little damage because someone (sometimes me) made a stupid little mistake. Do self driven cars make stupid little mistakes? Like reversing into a low wall, accidents while parking a car, and so on? They are all accidents with very little impact. If self driven cars only are involved in big accidents, that would make them worse than "1 accident in 300,000 miles" would suggest.

    2. Re:Statistics by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      No, they are not. I used to write insurance rating software. You know those companies that would offer to compare rates against different companies to get you the lowest price? In California, we were the major supplier of the software that does that. With that, we had very close contact with all of the insurance companies, as their agents would use our software to quote rates.

      Contrary to 'common knowledge', auto insurance policies are not well thought out mathematical calculations. They are kludge on top of gut feeling on top of assumption on top of more layers of kludge, gut feeling and assumption. What a large number of the companies do is just clone a competitor's plan, and than change calculations based on what they assume will give them good results. I can't count the number of times I called a company to get clarification on their calculations and the response I got was "I don't know. How are you calculating it? We will just calculate it the same way you do.".

    3. Re:Statistics by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 1

      No, they are not. I used to write insurance rating software. You know those companies that would offer to compare rates against different companies to get you the lowest price? In California, we were the major supplier of the software that does that. With that, we had very close contact with all of the insurance companies, as their agents would use our software to quote rates.

      Contrary to 'common knowledge', auto insurance policies are not well thought out mathematical calculations. They are kludge on top of gut feeling on top of assumption on top of more layers of kludge, gut feeling and assumption. What a large number of the companies do is just clone a competitor's plan, and than change calculations based on what they assume will give them good results. I can't count the number of times I called a company to get clarification on their calculations and the response I got was "I don't know. How are you calculating it? We will just calculate it the same way you do.".

      That's interesting because when auditing insurance companies, regardless of what premiums they charge they need to come up with the IBNR and various other claims data and they have to be able to show that their premiums charged and reserves on hand are enough to satisfy the various statutory and accounting requirements. I have no doubt that there is pricing pressure, but, from the actuary and accounting side, the marketing pressure is ignored, unless they are willing to take a qualified audit opinion, which most insurance companies are not. But maybe California rules are different than other states, but that still wouldn't explain how they get around GAAP and the auditing standards.

    4. Re:Statistics by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 1

      Better watch it, as I have found out on this thread, posting anything even remotely critical of Google's vehicle is a sure way to get modded down. Only time will tell how safe Google's vehicles are. I have a good idea, but several NDAs keep me from elaborating. I will point this out. The goal of Google's cars were never to be accident free. That was determined early on to be cost prohibitive. No, Google only promises that it is safer than human drivers, which is a much lower standard to beat.

      This is smart of Google. The last time a vehicle was touted by a manufacture as the safest, the word used was unsinkable and that was a titanic mistake. Google doesn't want to make that mistake. They know it is impossible to account for every contingency and it is likely that the vehicles, once in wide spread use, will be involved in accidents (although most likely they will not be the cause of them). Google's engineers know that even the best AI can't see around blind curves or break the laws of physics to avoid something unexpected. At best it will do better than a human at worst it will do no worse.

      If you want accident free driving, it's not going to happen. Chaos theory would indicate that it is impossible. However, if you want self driving cars with an acceptable level of risk (whatever that level may be), then that is possible. That is what Google is developing.

    5. Re:Statistics by ColdSam · · Score: 1

      According to the poster you are replying to there are no such things as small accidents - every accident results in a total loss of the vehicle and the maximum liability damage. But let's ignore that for now.

      It's a valid question regarding the different spreads of the amount of damage, but nobody worth listening to will just say that car X is safer than car Y simply because it has fewer accidents per mile. But the 1 in 300,000 stat for Google cars is pure speculation. The current driving record is simply a promising indication of how safe the car currently is (better than people think) and how much better it can be in 5, 10 or 20 years.

      It's also speculation that accidents in a self-driving car would be more serious. Certainly some minor accidents like you mentioned will be avoided a self-driving car, but there will certainly be some (at least in the short term) that a human driver would have avoided that a Google car does not. But even more important is that it's quite reasonable to surmise that many accidents that would be considered serious would be far more catastrophic with a human driver at the wheel. A self-driving car will often be able to minimize an accident even when it can't outright avoid it (e.g. it might prevent the car from getting pushed into an intersection in a rear end collision or it might drive into a sign post rather than get t-boned by a previously undetected car).

    6. Re:Statistics by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      All of that is non-sequitur to the fact that their rates are not based on good math. The accountants don't care how you determine your price. They just care that the amounts coming in and going out are what has been declared as the amounts that should be coming in and going out.

    7. Re:Statistics by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 1

      All of that is non-sequitur to the fact that their rates are not based on good math. The accountants don't care how you determine your price. They just care that the amounts coming in and going out are what has been declared as the amounts that should be coming in and going out.

      Almost. The independent auditor definitely doesn't care what the amounts are but does care that they are calculated and recorded appropriately. Insurance companies (and any company that is self-insured) has to post a liability for the unfunded part. So, if the actuarial reports show that you have an IBNR (incurred but not reported) liability and claims in process and projected claims that exceed the reserves created through your funding, you still have to post the liability and associated loss. That loss and associated liability lowers shareholders equity and if it is large enough could make the insurance company (or self-insured company) balance sheet insolvent where they have more liabilities than they have assets. If that occurs, the state could step in because the insurance company can cover its obligations or if a self-insured company, creditors can force the company into bankruptcy.

      As such, the accounts and auditors, being independent, don't care what premiums the company charges, however, the CFO and BOD do. Sure, policies need to be priced to be competitive in the market, but not so much that they lose money or shareholder equity per contract written. Corporate officers can be held liable for not exercising due diligence including pricing policies for contracts.

      So, it is safe to say that if contracts are being priced without rhyme or reason just because of what some other insurer is pricing them then either a) there is enough excess profit in the contracts that it is not an issue, or b) the risk calculations from the other insurer for the locale being covered are similar enough for the company in question. Anything else would deplete company assets.

    8. Re:Statistics by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      a) there is enough excess profit in the contracts that it is not an issue, or b) the risk calculations from the other insurer for the locale being covered are similar enough for the company in question.

      It is a little bit of each of these. Insurance companies are not businesses that usually start up on a shoestring. While things may have changes somewhat since I was in the industry, when a new insurer would enter the business, they would look at their competitor's policy manuals and pick one that looked like it would work for them. They would then make a few minor tweaks, and start writing policies. The fact that the competitor was still in business was a pretty good sign that the policy calculations would produce a profit, or at least wouldn't lead to huge losses. Then, as they gain experience in the market, they would make tweaks and adjustments based the experience they get. If they calculate wrong, they might have some short term losses, but they then just increase rates to a point that they are not losing money again. So, all of the accounting worries that you point out end up having no real bearing on the price of the product.

      Thus when people think that 19-25 year olds have 30% higher rates because of some the auto insurance companies did some kind of thorough analysis of driving ability and likelihood of getting in an accident, they are wrong. Analysis might have been done at one time, a long long time ago. But, after hundreds or thousands of copy, paste, and gut feeling kludges, they now have only a passing relationship to any real world statistics.

    9. Re:Statistics by bingoUV · · Score: 1

      at worst it will do no worse

      I take serious exception to this. At worst, it will do worse than a human. Obviously. It is worst, remember?

      CPUs are excellent at doing arithmetic. This doesn't mean there wasn't an famous and funny Intel CPU bug that reported 2+2=3.999999 or something like this.

      --
      Bingo Dictionary - Pragmatist, n. A myopic idealist.
    10. Re:Statistics by booch · · Score: 1

      The last time a vehicle was touted by a manufacture as the safest, the word used was unsinkable and that was a titanic mistake.

      I think you may have forgotten (or never heard about) the Bricklin SV-1. A big mistake, for sure -- but never touted as unsinkable.

      --
      Software sucks. Open Source sucks less.
  39. Re:Tmp obstruction, sheriff says roll down window. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I really don't see how these vehicles can actually work in real-live driving situations...

    That's because you're not using your imagination, and seeing problems rather than possibilities.

    Supposing there is an accident, or other temporary traffic re-routing... the local cop wants you to roll down your window, and he is going to TELL you where to drive to get around this obstruction...

    I can see many ways this would work. Driverless doesn't have to mean that you have no control over what the vehicle is doing.

    Automatic navigation systems have been able to "find alternate routes" for years. The occupant might just push a button and the car finds an alternate route.

    If you want it to be done without occupant intervention, in fact, driverless cars could make it *easier* to do things like temporary traffic rerouting.

    A high tech approach would be that if you know in advance that certain roads are going to be off limits due to some sort of event you could conceivably upload that information into a public database that could then be used by the self driving cars to route around any damage. In fact, long-distance traffic could be made aware of this and plan routes accordingly to avoid congestion.

    A low tech approach would be to construct some kind of markers, that could either be some kind of IR beacons (similar to what are used to stop your robot vaccuum to go in a certain place) or even signs designed to be machine-readable that would tell the system "this road is no good for 500 meter. Find another road." It would be relatively simple to come up with a vendor-independent standard to do this. The technology to do this is easy today, and could be done for a few bucks.

    Probably the right approach is to do both. Build "road blocked" signs that when deployed use GPS and mobile data to upload data to some server somewhere, and that also act as a beacon for traffic that for some reason can not receive this data as a redundancy.

    Or deer running across the street... I'm sure VERY hard to detect (I can barely see them myself coming off from the side...)

    Or small things in the road that you want to avoid (potholes, glass, etc)

    I would imagine that a self-driving car could do a better job avoiding these kinds of things than a human because of the myriad sensors they could employ. In comparison, human vision is very limited. I could imagine a self-driving car driving safely in the dark using heat cameras, radar or ultrasonic sensors looking in all directions. But most likely that wouldn't happen, since it would be scary for the occupants and would be potentially hazardous to other road users relying on light to see and react to other cars.

    Or avoiding certain streets but only during certain times or days of the year or certain sporadic happenings (parties, riots, drug street wars, or snow, flooding, etc)

    Again, this could be done with the system detailed above. It is even conceivable that a self-driving car might detect an obstacle on a road and report that fact to other cars on the road causing them to choose an alternate route.

    None of this requires any kind of exotic technology, it is mainly a software and integration problem at this stage. It doesn't even require constant internet access (although it can make the system work a lot better, it is not advisable to make it safety-critical).

    Even today, Google Maps has a "traffic" layer that shows how congested a certain road is. I believe this is sampled from cell phones and GPS data. Imagine how much more accurate that info could be if all autonomous cars were to report on congestion.

    Self-driving cars present far more opportunities than problems. Learn to see them. :-)

  40. accidents by msblack · · Score: 1

    What happens when one of these vehicles is involved in a collision? Could be caused by the truck running over a bicycle or another vehicle striking the autonomous vehicle.

    --
    signature pending slashdot approval
  41. What motivates Google? by dorfed · · Score: 1

    All this talk about Google making autonomous cars makes me wonder why Google wants us to ride around in them? Is it so we can be exposed to more advertising? Should we spend every awaken moment wanting new products, and just consume? Whats next? The Google bed, where you can dream about the next big thing in personal hygiene products and streaming video services in your sleep?

    --
    New signature coming soon.
    1. Re:What motivates Google? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Google wants the technological singularity to happen as soon as possible. The cars have two purposes: 1) To record video from all roads and upload hourly or oftener. 2) To be used as a weapon when the robots take over (Read Robopocalypse).

  42. And I thought Slashdot couldn't get any worse by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 1

    "My favourite keyboard short-cut" was bad enough, but now we can submit any old made-up bullshit and get it posted as fact on Slashdot?

    --
    systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
  43. Dubious reporting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In the end of the article, it says Uber's shares are up 10% because of this news. Uber is a private company. There are no shares traded. Is anyone even editing or reading the whole article.

  44. fuck you by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Try, really try not to post FAKE "NEWS".

  45. Very little on the face of it. by bdwoolman · · Score: 1

    These self driving vehicles are doing extremely well so far. Hundreds of thousands of miles with no at-fault accidents. And they could hardly do worse than people. Chimps could hardly do worse than people. Really. We suck at driving. Thirty thousand dead last year in the US. That is 10 times the number of people killed on 9/11 every year. And it is 75% (roughly) of the number we lost in the Vietnam war. When I see what other people do behind the wheel these days I really start to want this tech in place. Texters, talkers, make-up artists, wankers, DJs, nursemaids, tipplers and tokers... anything but driving. Time for the bots. "Home, Hal."

    I was not in the least confused by this article. I guess I read the dateline. Let's see. If it really takes another ten years then we'll lose another 300,000 lives.

    --
    "No fear. No envy. No meanness." Liam Clancy
  46. lawyers are salivating by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Im sure there are a whole lot of lawyers just waiting for trhe lawsuits that will result from accidents when thes 'driverless' cars are found to be largely incompetant when used for more general purposes.

    Big suits should kill that company pretty quicks (if not force grounding all those vehicles and taking the whole thing as a writeoff (assuming they have any profits left to write off against)

    Maybe our government should buy a whole lot of these (taxpayer paid for of course) they are always looking for new trendy ways to squander the publics money.

  47. 2000lb guided missles under hacker control... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Seriously, what could go wrong? What happens when they clog up interstates with "accidents" and Americans can't get their widgets?

  48. I wish by neminem · · Score: 1

    When I saw the title "dispatch from the future", I assumed it would be a BS "article" saying that the author was hoping this would happen eventually. But it was written in such a way as to make it look like it was actually a "dispatch from the future" in that Uber just hadn't bought the cars yet, but were actually in discussion with Google about buying them as soon as they were available.

    I liked that read better. Now I'm sad.