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The Golden Gate Barrage: New Ideas To Counter Sea Level Rise

waderoush writes "What do Google, Facebook, Yahoo, Oracle, LinkedIn, and Intuit have in common? They're just a few of the tech companies whose campuses alongside San Francisco Bay could be underwater by mid-century as sea levels rise. It's time for these organizations and other innovators to put some of their fabled brainpower into coming up with new ideas to counter the threat, Xconomy argues today. One idea: the Golden Gate Barrage, a massive system of dams, locks, and pumps located in the shadow of the iconic bridge. Taller than the Three Gorges Dam in China, it would be one of the largest and costliest projects in the history of civil engineering. But at least one Bay Area government official says might turn out to be the simplest way to save hundreds of square miles of land around the bay from inundation."

30 of 341 comments (clear)

  1. Or... by nick357 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    ...maybe put that brainpower into solving the actual global problem, rather than finding a bandaid solution to the local symptom....

    1. Re:Or... by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I've kind of given up on that. Between the noxious attacks by oil company shill organizations like the Heartland Institute, halfwits who buy into anything that means they can fool themselves for a few more years, and a total lack of meaningful political will, I think we're fucked.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    2. Re:Or... by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Informative

      You are aware, I trust, that it is rising.
      http://oceanservice.noaa.gov/facts/sealevel.html

      It's more pronounced in some areas than others, but still, it's rising. So if you live in a low-lying coastal area, then this ought to be of concern to you.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    3. Re:Or... by bhlowe · · Score: 3, Informative

      Why is it more pronounced in some areas? There is only one ocean.... A rise in the pacific ocean will raise the level of all other "oceans". Could it be that some land masses are sinking? An 3-4" rise over the next 100 years is unlikely to impact anyone currently alive and living in the Bay Area . Wake me up when ocean front property stops going up in value.

    4. Re:Or... by dkleinsc · · Score: 4, Informative

      Why is it more pronounced in some areas?

      Because the ocean isn't perfectly even. Tidal forces, wind and waves, currents, plate activity, volcanoes, it's constantly flowing every which way. I'd be surprised if the sea level rose exactly the same amount in Oahu and Cardiff.

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    5. Re:Or... by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Insightful

      when and if sea level actually starts to rise... we'll talk.

      Human activity does not just raise temperatures. It also raises the rate of increase. If you have taken calculus, and know what a derivative is, then it is not "h" that is increasing but dh/dt. So if we wait till sealevel rises, it will be too late. It is like refusing to get off the railroad tracks until you can actually see the train hit you.

      The denialists made the same "show me the evidence" remark about the ice caps a decade ago. Today there is a million square miles of open water where there was previously ice for more than ten thousand years.

    6. Re:Or... by jittles · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Why is it more pronounced in some areas? There is only one ocean.... A rise in the pacific ocean will raise the level of all other "oceans". Could it be that some land masses are sinking? An 3-4" rise over the next 100 years is unlikely to impact anyone currently alive and living in the Bay Area . Wake me up when ocean front property stops going up in value.

      When I was in school I took a class called "Violent Weather" and the textbook for that class indicated that the Western Pacific has more water volume than the Eastern Pacific because wind and currents pool the water up in the east, and that the water must be pushed deep under the surface to go back West. This water current typically releases its flow off the coast of Chile/Peru, if I remember correctly.

    7. Re:Or... by mpaque · · Score: 5, Informative

      > when and if sea level actually starts to rise... we'll talk

      Water level measurements from the San Francisco gage (CA Station ID: 9414290) indicate that mean sea level rose by an average of 2.01 millimeters (mm) per year from 1897 to 2006, equivalent to a change of eight inches in the last century. The rate of rise has increased to about 3 mm per year over the past 15 years.

      This is the oldest tidal guage in continuous operation in the United States, and is located near the Golden Gate.

      http://www.energy.ca.gov/2012publications/CEC-500-2012-014/CEC-500-2012-014.pdf

    8. Re:Or... by riverat1 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The complexities of sea level is a fascinating subject. Ocean currents and prevailing winds can cause the water to pile up higher in places that it would otherwise be. The gravitational attraction of the Antarctic ice sheet causes sea level to be higher for thousands of miles around the continent than it would otherwise be. IIRC it's about 20 feet higher along the coast of Antarctica. More here.

    9. Re:Or... by dywolf · · Score: 5, Informative

      Essentially your starting point is inherently invalid: a rise in the Pacific Ocean wont necessary result in a raise of all the other oceans. As pointed out, already the Pacific Ocean is higher than the Atlantic. This is most easily seen at the Panama Canal, where there's only 50 miles of seperation, yet a 30 foot difference in elevation (which when talking about oceans, is a HUGE difference in volume). You'd think there would be flow around the continents to even out the sea levels, but thats ignoring how the difference came to be int eh first place. The difference is created and maintained by the thermohaline circulation of the ocean.

      Simiarly tides aren't uniform around the world. Some places the tidal range is less than a foot. Other's its >30 feet. The record is 53 feet, located somewhere in Nova Scotia (i think). Local geography (water basin shape/size) and local gravity distortions (mountains/valleys) all have an effect on tides.

      Water flows. Changes in water level aren't instantaneous. Even ignoring any of the internal currents, tides, geography (that would affect flow rates), and the thermohaline circulation inherent in the ocean and assuming the ocean has a prismatic uniformity of nature, the ocean is so large that even small changes in sea level would take a long time to propogate worldwide. And as point out, some differences in sea level wont propagate.

      And of course the ocean ISNT uniform in nature. its very dynamic, precisely because of its large size. the thermohaline circulation has a lot to do with why the ocean doesnt have a uniformity of elevation worldwide, and is probably similarly responsible for the most different rates/amounts of local sea level rise. then there's still the tides and such as well on top of that.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
  2. SanFran would be the new NOLA. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Let's build an extremely complex system of levees in an area prone to high magnitude earthquakes.

    What could possibly go wrong?

  3. Re:So... by ColdWetDog · · Score: 5, Funny

    I'm sort of neutral about Google, but drowning those other three companies in salt water sounds like a net plus to me.

    Keep the heat on. Lets put a whole bunch more shrimp on the barbies! (They'll probably go extinct in a couple of decades anyway).

    --
    Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
  4. So, who pays? by timeOday · · Score: 5, Interesting
    In general it is good to make people accountable for the costs of their own actions. In the case of global warming, many of the people who burned much of the fossil fuel will be dead by the time the consequences occur, and in addition it's a global cause.

    I wonder if we wouldn't just be better off writing some laws now that say, "look, don't come crying to us when your expensive beach-front property goes underwater. Factor that into the price before you buy."

    We need a carbon tax just to speed the transition to less less-polluting energy sources; if we instead use that money to repair thousands of miles of coastline and keep burning fossil fuel, we solve nothing.

  5. Suck some silicon valley ego out of the bay by JoeyRox · · Score: 4, Funny

    That should be good for a few feet of water.

  6. Amazing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    According to NOAA, the actual average sea level rise over the last 100 years has been about 2 MILLIMETERS per year, or 200mm/century, or about 8 inches per 100 years. Here's the official data http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends_station.shtml?stnid=9414290. If you look at the chart you'll see that the trend has actually dropped to about zero mm / year for the last 30 years.

    So, in light of this, we need the biggest engineering project in history?

  7. huh by phantomfive · · Score: 3, Funny

    Google, Facebook, Yahoo, Oracle, LinkedIn, and Intuit have in common? They're just a few of the tech companies whose campuses alongside San Francisco Bay could be underwater by mid-century as sea levels rise

    And all this time I thought Global Warming would be a bad thing. Is there any way we can speed this up, get those companies under water faster?

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  8. NOT approved by the Emperor! by Thud457 · · Score: 4, Funny

    If Emperor Norton didn't come up with the idea, it's just ridiculous blue-sky dreaming.

    --

    the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

  9. Re:So... by MiniMike · · Score: 3, Funny

    I thought it was a statement that one of those other companies just couldn't be counted on.

  10. Re:Those places must suck to work in today... by Comrade+Ogilvy · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Or add four feet of dirt.

    The water portion of the SF Bay was once twice the size it is right now. The reason those pieces of commercial (and residential) real estate are vulnerable is they are built on areas that once were 6 inches underwater at hide tide. They are not underwater every single day because dirt was shipped in.

    They shipped in four feet of dirt to create the problem. How about we solve the problem with four more feet of dirt?

    As for the barrage, the ecological costs would be enormous. A few merely massive pumping stations is not going to prevent the bay water from becoming a smelly cess pool polluted by agricultural runoff and much worse from the residential areas. It is a fun idea for civil engineers, but we are wealthy enough here to employ less tricky solution that will be more reliable.

  11. Re:So... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    Our *three* weapons are fear, and surprise, ruthless efficiency...and an almost fanatical devotion to the Pope

  12. Re:So... by jythie · · Score: 5, Insightful

    With cash reserves like their's, they can just move instead. There is nothing special about the land they are using... the historical reason such projects made sense in the past was they were reclaiming farmable land, which is not quite as interchangeable as corporate parks.

  13. Re:So... by TheNastyInThePasty · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This article is one of the dumbest things I have read in a long time. Not only is the dam system stupid but there's no way these companies would actually do this. It's so much cheaper and easier to just move to a new location.

    --
    The best thing about UDP jokes is I don't care if you get them or not
  14. this makes no sense at all by sribe · · Score: 3, Insightful

    So, in order to protect against a rise in sea level of no more than 1 foot in the absolute worst case, they need to build a system of dams, locks and pumps greater than 600 feet high???

  15. Re:So... by roc97007 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Well, of course. Even if for some reason the companys elected to stay, they'd naturally expect the government to build the structures using taxpayer money.

    --
    Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
  16. Re:So... by roc97007 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    ...or old oil tankers? :-)

    --
    Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
  17. Re:So... by TheNastyInThePasty · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Suddenly though the plot of Pacific Rim becomes a perfect metaphor for global warming. Our leaders pushing people to build giant dams to protects us from the monsters coming from the sea that are unleashed by a greedy class of beings that want only to strip our world of all its resources. None of the solutions actually working until the problem is attacked at its source.

    --
    The best thing about UDP jokes is I don't care if you get them or not
  18. Re:So... by Frobnicator · · Score: 3, Insightful

    With cash reserves like their's, they can just move instead. There is nothing special about the land they are using... the historical reason such projects made sense in the past was they were reclaiming farmable land, which is not quite as interchangeable as corporate parks.

    It is not just San Francisco that is worried. Water levels won't just rise in that one city.

    Turns out people have already done research on who lives in low-lying coastal regions. About 10% of the global population will likely need to move. 2/3 of the world's largest cities would be swamped or submerged.

    The United States might lose only 5% of its land. Countries like India will lose half of their land. Some island nations will be completely uninhabitable.

    Even if sea walls cost quadrillions of dollars globally to delay the eventual flooding of the land, that is likely still cheaper than such a massive sudden loss of existing infrastructure. It is cheaper (for a few centuries, at least) to spend a few trillion dollars protecting major cities than it is to completely rebuild the cities elsewhere.

    Yes the people will need to eventually move through both a planned migration and normal population growth. Relocating 10% of the global population in just a few short decades is a much harder problem to solve, and a much more expensive proposition, than to build the massive walls around existing large cities.

    --
    //TODO: Think of witty sig statement
  19. Re:So... by Mr.+Firewall · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Precisely.

    The "Climate Change" that threatens these companies is the economic climate of the former Golden State.

    At 3.25 inches per century (the current rate of sea level rise in California), by the time those campi have been inundated some tens of thousands of years from now, all of those companies will have either moved or gone under -- not from water, but by the flood of taxes and regulations in the Golden [Fleece] State.

    --
    In times of universal deceit, telling the truth gets you modded -1 Troll
  20. sudden loss of existing infrastructure by NotQuiteReal · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It is not so sudden if you have a 50-100 year warning... so it would be cheaper to move, just not all at once. Start now by placing incentives in place. It is not in the public interest, for example, to provide government insurance for known coastal flood zones.

    Like so many problems, it is not an all or nothing deal. Declare now that public funds will not be used for massive dyke projects, and publish a reasonable timetable describing tapering off of any flood coverage, such that the percentage of coverage is zero in 50 years. You can't fight nature, but there will be no end of people willing to take the money to try.

    --
    This issue is a bit more complicated than you think.
  21. Re:So... by killkillkill · · Score: 3, Funny

    You act as though the ground in San Francisco could sudden shift and tear the seawall apart.