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Bitcoin Exchange Value Halves After Chinese Ban

An anonymous reader writes with news of the latest major fluctuation in the price people are willing to pay for Bitcoins. From the article: "China's ban on its financial institutions handling bitcoin causes world's largest exchange to cease trading, halving the value of the currency from $1,000 to less than $500 in a matter of days. The country's central bank took a hard line on Bitcoin in early December when it banned financial institutions from handling the decentralized crypto-currency, and as a result BTC China, the world's largest bitcoin exchange, has stopped accepting deposits from its users." Just watch that line trend downward.

29 of 475 comments (clear)

  1. And this by FooAtWFU · · Score: 4, Interesting

    And this is why we're still decades away from having mortgages denominated in bitcoin. :P

    --
    The World Wide Web is dying. Soon, we shall have only the Internet.
  2. Comparison: Bitcoin is like 'Abortion' in the US.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Totally legal but...

    States do everything to prevent access to it... shutting down clinics left and right..

    And if you do find a clinic you to face a picket line

    Given the responses from all these governments you can tell that Bitcoin is something big... that is.. maybe not the actual coins, but the intellectual underpinnings:

    - Decentralized
    - Limit in coins
    - No one governs/owns

    It is really what the world has been waiting for.. something that can not be corrupted by any government, is safe and fast. The internet needs this

  3. Price not value. by trout007 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Both parties in a trade value what they are getting more than what they give. The person selling the item values the cash higher than the item. The person buying values the item higher than the cash. The price is where the exchange takes place where both parties value what they get more.

    --
    I love Jesus, except for his foreign policy.
    1. Re:Price not value. by Trepidity · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Both parties in a trade value what they are getting more than what they give.

      For a certain definition of value, yes, but not necessarily for the common one. In an idealized market, you do hope this is true for the common definition also: people have independently assessed how much they value some commodity, and offer a price accordingly. The price then converges on some aggregation of values.

      But in real markets, this is often recursive: someone is offering $x for a commodity not because they themselves consider it to have a certain value, but because they think they will be able to resell it for $(x+y), due to market fluctuations. They may themselves consider it a worthless pile of trash valued at $0; day-traders, unlike value investors, don't make trade decisions based on their own assessments of the underlying value of the commodities or equities they're buying and selling. Instead they base their decisions on statistical estimates of market dynamics, independent of whatever the underlying item is and whether it may or may not have any value at all (models often don't even consider the underlying item in the equation).

    2. Re:Price not value. by myowntrueself · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Both parties in a trade value what they are getting more than what they give. The person selling the item values the cash higher than the item. The person buying values the item higher than the cash. The price is where the exchange takes place where both parties value what they get more.

      This is a key part of the economic argument (The "Scrooge" argument) on why giving non-cash gifts is a colossal waste of time and money. It is difficult to know how much another person values something unless they tell you.

      Thats part of the fun of gift giving.

      --
      In the free world the media isn't government run; the government is media run.
  4. "Proof against tyranny" by i+kan+reed · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Kind of a sideline approach here...

    This is the clearest evidence yet that the pro-bitcoin libertarian segment misunderstand how government control works. The argument goes "government prints the money, and tracks the money therefor can tax me." The presumption of bitcoins is if the currency doesn't come from the government, they don't have any means to control it.

    Good ol' actually tyrannical China comes along, and does the thing any government is capable of doing. Saying "if we catch you dodging our system, our system will throw your stupid self in jail." Poof.

    If having a wallet.dat is a crime, the fact that the coins inside of it are encrypted won't protect you.

    1. Re:"Proof against tyranny" by IamTheRealMike · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I think only the most naive anarchists argued that (and I've called them on it many times before in various Bitcoin forums). The gamble being made there is effectively that given a choice, a government would choose not to become totalitarian and oppressive, and would prefer to give up some control over the financial system.

      Well, only an idiot would believe China would do that. They are already totalitarian and oppressive, no surprise they'd be willing to jail anyone who uses Bitcoin.

      In contrast, many European countries are sorting out how they're going to handle it. See the recent announcement from Denmark saying that Bitcoin is fully legal, and people who want to run exchanges don't even have to be regulated as financial institutions at all! It seems very unlikely that the governments of Norway or Denmark are going to start jailing anyone who sells sandwiches for coins.

      America is somewhere in the middle. It's not as free or liberal as most of the smaller European states, but it's not as oppressive as China. Hence the confused approach there where the US government is saying one day Bitcoin is cool and it's all OK, and then next day threatening Bitcoin businesses with jail time. They can't quite decide which direction to go in, it seems.

  5. This is just a clever trick by China . . . by PolygamousRanchKid+ · · Score: 5, Funny

    Now that they have driven the price of bitcoins down, they will now buy up all of them at low prices . . . and then . . . announce that the will accept them as currency . . .

    Profit!

    --
    Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
    1. Re:This is just a clever trick by China . . . by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      Okay, great, so why don't you buy some now and profit too?

      Buying bitcoins seems a lit like buying drugs or hookers. I may want to, but if I haven't done it before, I don't have the slightest idea how to go about it without getting screwed. Or not, in the case of the hookers.

  6. Crypto COMMODITY by brunes69 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I wish people would stop calling these "crypto-currencies", because it is a total misrepresentation of what these things are. They are crypto-commodities. BTC is just like gold right now - it is not used to transact, it is used as a value store - except it is much worse as a value store because it is orders of magnitude more volatile. No one can use BTC as a currency because its value fluxuates so wildly. Everyone who is SUPPOSEDLY using it as a currency just has it pegged to the US dollar with a live update.

    1. Re:Crypto COMMODITY by brunes69 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It does not matter what people intended something for, it matters what it is USED for in actual practice. Until people start actually using BTC as a real currency, it is not a currency.

      I can write a bunch of numbers on post-it notes and claim it is a currency as well - it does not make it one.

  7. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  8. A very happy bureaucrat. by MarkvW · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Somewhere in China a group of Bitcoin-speculating bureaucrats are very happy right now.

    Must make the Bitcoiners really happy to know that their financial world can be so readily disrupted . . ..

  9. Re:i got some bitcoins by paskie · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Yes, just use Electrum or equivalent if running the full-blockchain is too bothersome (it is for most, now). Avoid putting your bitcoins on *any* online account, that is way too dangerous. With Electrum, you don't have to download a blockchain, but only you still have the wallet.

    --
    It's not the fall that kills you. It's the sudden stop at the end. -Douglas Adams
  10. No surprise in the collapse by timholman · · Score: 5, Insightful

    When a couple of my friends started posting "now is a great time to buy into BitCoin" messages on my Facebook feed a couple of weeks ago, I had a feeling the BTC price was about to take a strong downward turn. It is never a good sign when the "true believers" begin actively recruiting new buyers into a price bubble.

    The collapse of BitCoin as a speculative investment is inevitable, and its own success will be its downfall. The speculative frenzy over BTC is based strictly on artificial scarcity. The problem is that there are an infinite possible number of cryptographically signed digital currencies. If only X amount of gold exists in the world, there is no replacement for it, assuming you desire the exact physical qualities of gold. But if only Y digital coins exist, it is trivial to create another digital coinage with a slightly different protocol that behaves exactly the same way as far as a user is concerned.

    The boom in BTC has led to several new competitors, with similar frenzies growing around some of them. And given the low barrier to entry, you can expect more and more competing digital currencies to appear. It is only a matter of time before people realize that they're fighting over a particular set of tulip bulbs while standing in an infinitely large field of tulips. Once that happens, the speculative bubble will pop for good for all digital currencies. In the long run, this is a good thing, because once the speculators are gone, some digital currencies may actually prove useful as a real medium of exchange, with values that don't fluctuate wildly from one day to the next.

    1. Re:No surprise in the collapse by kencurry · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Your point that digital currency value is based upon scarcity, yet nothing prevents a new one popping up anytime is a good one. A sober reality check and one I hadn't though of.

      --
      sigs are for losers (except to point out that sigs are for losers)
  11. Re:Comparison: Bitcoin is like 'Abortion' in the U by Captain_Chaos · · Score: 5, Informative

    "No one governing" the Euro is what almost caused the collapse of the EU over one small state having credit difficulties.

    Wow. It's been a long time since I've seen such a high concentration of ill informed bullshit in one sentence...

    1. The Euro is not "not governed". It is governed by a very strong and independent central bank, namely the European Central Bank
    2. The EU did not "almost collapse". A few countries have received some large loans, all of which still look like they will be paid back in full. At no point was the "EU" in danger, nor even the Eurozone (despite wild speculation in the media), which is what you probably meant
    3. The Euro was not "dramatically volatile" at any point. It's been trading for about $1.20 to $1.40 consistently for the last ten years
  12. Re:Darn! by sunsurfandsand · · Score: 5, Funny

    silly me thought my 5GH miner was going to make me stupid rich...

    One out of two ain't bad.

  13. Re:Comparison: Bitcoin is like 'Abortion' in the U by u38cg · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Yep, except it's total bullshit.

    Apologies, forgot to actually hyperlink...

    --
    [FUCK BETA]
  14. Re:Comparison: Bitcoin is like 'Abortion' in the U by IamTheRealMike · · Score: 4, Informative

    "No one governing" the Euro is what almost caused the collapse of the EU over one small state having credit difficulties.

    Er, no. What people were worried about was that heavily indebted countries would voluntarily choose to exit the Euro so they could inflate away their debts by printing money as fast as possible, and bulk exits of countries from the Euro would cause problems. The "solution", if you want to call it that, was that after resisting for a long time the ECB (actually Mario Draghi) gave into immense political and personal pressure to start open-ended Euro printing in order to essentially reallocate money from savers in Germany and other northern states to heavily indebted, often highly corrupt governments in the south. In order to preserve the fiction that Europe is one big happy family all sharing the same wonderful currency, the ECB agreed to a global tax on all Euro savings everywhere and made lots of people who managed their finances appropriately very very unhappy!

    This is not actually solving any problems - it just sends a powerful message from governments that only suckers try to save money because governments will inevitably confiscate it from you in order to pay for (e.g.) absurdly generous pensions in Greece or elsewhere.

    Bitcoin does not allow governments to do this. If Europe had been running on Bitcoin at the time, then those governments would have had to go through an actual default and inflict the pain on the people who lent them the money - but on the other hand, if Europe was run on Bitcoin, it's very unlikely the southern countries could have got into so much debt in the first place. Who was lending such vast sums to countries that had such basic, fundamental fiscal problems? Banks, of course, banks who knew they would be bailed out (with yet more money printing) if something went truly tits up. They gambled that politicians cared more about keeping the Euro than protecting savers, and they were right. If Europe used Bitcoin for everything, the "moral hazard" of banking would not exist as they would know that nobody could bail them out, and they'd have far fewer deposits to play with anyway (or maybe none). As a result, far less money would have been invested into places like Greece and the economic distortions such huge borrowing allowed would have never happened.

  15. profit by globaljustin · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I've actually profited rather well off of bitcoin

    right, I'm assuming you mean you bought at a low price and cashed out at a high price?

    what I'm wondering is, which BTC to $$$ service you used (Mt Gox?), how often you were able to cash out, what the daily $$$ limits were, what the transfer fees cost, etc.

    I've seen alot of people yammering about BTC but few claim to have made a profit...i'd like to know more about how

    --
    Thank you Dave Raggett
    1. Re:profit by Clent · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I bought $20 USD worth of bitcoins, back when that bought more than one. Around the peak, located conveniently around the same time as black friday, I sold a fraction of one coin for a $250 USD Amazon gift card. The fee was in bitcoins and was (at the time) equivalent to less than $5 USD, I think it was closer to $2.50 USD. The process was not immediate but it took less than 4 hours. When I originally purchased bitcoin, getting it back to USD like this wasn't an option.

    2. Re:profit by Captain+Kirk · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I got 2300 Bitcoin in 2011. I sold 500 at $119.99 earlier this year and bought a nice car. I sold 900 at $997 and am in the process of buying 3 rental apartments for case. I still have over 1000 Bitcoin.

      Once you get Trusted on mt.gox you can withdraw $500k per month. Its not enough to do arbitrage but its not small change either.

      I am not alone - lots of people have made huge profits on Bitcoin and we expect to make more. Its designed to work even if its made illegal to own Bitcoin. The price has always fluctuate violently because the markets are so small and liquidity is so poor. But its the most interesting social experiment on the Internet and I love being part of it.

  16. Re:Bitcoiners on reddit are completely delusional by IamTheRealMike · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The inability to charge back is the #1 reason that prevents any consumer from perceiving it as a safe currency against vendor fraud. It serves no benefit to the consumer.

    Minor correction - dispute mediated transactions have been a part of the design since day one. The problem is lack of surrounding infrastructure like "file dispute" buttons in wallets and the various protocols needed to organise that, companies that run dispute mediation services with those protocols and so on. But there is widespread consensus that it's a good idea and basically, it's just waiting for someone to do the design and implementation work to make it happen.

    Its incredible volatility is the #1 reason that prevents any vendor from seriously adopting it.

    It's certainly a PITA at the moment, yes, although when Bitcoin is out of the public eye and governments aren't busy banning it there have been relatively long stretches of peace and stability. During those times you HAVE seen vendors price things in Bitcoins, actually, although yes most prefer to peg to an exchange rate.

    Over time the instability will go away because governments will all decide on their policies around it, the technology will mature and become boring, most people will have heard about it and decided what they think, etc. The huge volatility you see at the moment is because almost every day there's some important piece of news that affects people's perception of future value.

    As to the /r/bitcoin posters, yes, the over-excitability there is quite something. But that doesn't mean all people who use Bitcoin or like it think the same way.

  17. Re:history, itself, repeat, etc. by Richy_T · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Every sale is also a buy. Derp.

  18. It's like "collectible" comic books all over again by Chas · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "I have zillions of dollars worth of comic books! Wizard says I do!"
    "I have zillions of dollars worth of Bitcoin! The exchange says I do!"

    *Together* Let's cash out!

    "WTF? Nobody wants to buy my comics at massively inflated prices!"
    "WTF? Nobody wants to buy my Bitcoin at massively inflated prices!"

    Cue the Python!

    SCAM! SCAM! SCAM! SCAM! SCAM!

    --


    Chas - The one, the only.
    THANK GOD!!!
  19. Re:thanks by Richy_T · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Amazon doesn't use anything. Bitpay handles the conversion and the supplier of the cards gets paid in dollars (This is something I believe you said was just too difficult to implement in a previous thread). The supplier of the cards gets them from Amazon (and other places) at a discount and makes their profit that way. Bitpay takes a slice so the purchaser pays a slight premium. Then again, if you bought your Bitcoins lower, you probably still come out ahead.

  20. Re:Buttcoins! by larry+bagina · · Score: 3, Funny

    I prefer ass quarters -- they're ribbed for your pleasure!

    --
    Do you even lift?

    These aren't the 'roids you're looking for.

  21. BREAKING NEWS! by GameboyRMH · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Bitcoin value continues to be incredibly unstable! Also the sky is blue and water is wet! More updates as news develops!

    --
    "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel