Slashdot Mirror


States That Raised Minimum Wage See No Slow-Down In Job Growth

An anonymous reader writes: The U.S. Department of Labor has released data that some proponents of raising minimum wage are touting as evidence that higher minimum wage promotes job growth. While the data doesn't actually establish cause and effect, it does "run counter to a Congressional Budget Office report in February that said raising the minimum wage to $10.10 an hour, as the White House supports, would cost 500,000 jobs." The data shows that the 13 states that raised their minimum wages in January added jobs at a faster rate than those that didn't. Other factors likely contributed to this outcome, but some economists are simply relieved that the higher wage factor didn't have a dramatically negative effect in general.

21 of 778 comments (clear)

  1. Crazy by drsmithy · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Economic activity is increased by more people having more money to spend ?

    Inconceivable !

    1. Re:Crazy by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      States with the healthiest job situations were the first to increase minimum wage.

      Inconceivable.

    2. Re:Crazy by drsmithy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Nonsense and propaganda. You cannot state anything until those increases actually kick in and are in effect for some time.

      Actually I feel pretty confident stating that if more people have more money, economic activity will increase.

      Minimum wage is actually minimum ability.

      No, minimum wage is setting a floor on living standards.

      It cannot extract non-existing money from small business, but it can prevent people with abilities that are below minimum wage from finding jobs.

      If a business can't employ someone for minimum wage, then their business model is broken. They are basically saying that their product or service is of such little value, that people will not pay enough for it such that the workers involved in delivering that product or service can live a bare existence lifestyle.

    3. Re:Crazy by Ichijo · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Economic activity is increased when wealth is transferred from people who "hoard" money to people who put it right back into the economy as soon as they receive it.

      --
      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    4. Re:Crazy by ranton · · Score: 5, Informative

      States with the healthiest job situations were the first to increase minimum wage.
      Inconceivable.

      Well, it should be noted that only 5 of the states that raised the minimum wage this year have a Gross State Product per person above the national average (Connecticut, New York, New Jersey, Washington, Colorado). The other 8 have below average economies, but are still gaining jobs at a faster rate. Also if you look at the job growth in 2013, these 13 states may have outperformed the average by 0.065% but they are on track to beat the average by 0.3554% this year.

      So it looks like these states do not have the healthiest job situations, but still performed better than those who did not raise the minimum wage (by this ridiculous metric that is).

      A better metric is comparing how job growth is growing or stalling. The four states with the highest minimum wages are California, D.C., Oregon, and Washington, who all have minimum wages about $9 per hour. Of those four areas, job growth has slowed by 27% on average year over year (comparing June 2013 - May 2014 to June 2012 - May 2013). If you look at the four states with the lowest minimum wage (Arkansas, Georgia, Minnesota, Wyoming), their job growth has grown by 26% on average year over year. So if you want to compare the trend of job growth increasing or decreasing, it looks like raising the minimum wage does hurt significantly.

      source

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
  2. Duh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    That is because the additional money goes back into the local economy and not into an offshore account.

    1. Re:Duh by BonThomme · · Score: 5, Funny

      but who will speak for the unemployed Swiss Bankers?

  3. Re:Local testing works? by BlueMonk · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Moving to the state whose laws work best for you may work for people who can move, but I expect the people affected by these laws are pretty closely representative of the set of people who can't move.

  4. Economists by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 5, Funny

    It's a bit baffling how "some economists" weren't fully cognisant of what would happen when the minimum wage was raised. I mean it's not as though it's the first time it has happened, the effects should be well known by now. Kind of reminds me of the old joke:

    A mathematician, an accountant and an economist apply for the same job.

    The interviewer calls in the mathematician and asks "What do two plus two equal?" The mathemetician replies "Four." The interviewer asks "Four, exactly?" The mathematician looks at the interviewer incredulously and says "Yes, four, exactly."

    Then the interviewer calls in the accountant and asks the same question "What do two plus two equal?" The accountant says "On average, four - give or take ten percent, but on average, four."

    Then the interviewer calls in the economist and poses the same question "What do two plus two equal?" The economist gets up, locks the door, closes the shade, sits down next to the interviewer and says "What do you want it to equal?"

  5. Re:Short-Lived? by Ardyvee · · Score: 5, Informative

    If you read the rest of the summary, they do make the note that while they can't say that that growth is the result of increasing the minimum wage, it doesn't negatively affect it either.

    --
    I don't care if I'm wrong. I only care about everyone obtaining something from the discussion.
  6. Re:Local testing works? by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Show me an area with a high minimum wage and I'll show you an area with a large illegal labor force making less.

    I travel all around the country and that's a very constant result. If you want to increase wages then 1) invest in education, and 2) change Free Trade to Fair Trade.

    Actually, why don't you show us? Give us the stats, man, or you're just one more trickle downer refusing to accept the idea that people who make some money, spend some money.

    --
    The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  7. Re:Local testing works? by BlueMonk · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I also wonder if some of our illegal labor problems could be solved if there were a law making an exception for illegal immigrant workers that required any employer caught hiring illegally to pay minimum wage to all such workers (with no option to lay them off or withhold payments until they found other work, returned home voluntarily, or the employer legitimately declared bankruptcy), and made those workers legal citizens to the extent that they would not fear reporting any employer paying them less than minimum wage. The goal would be not so much to improve or increase immigration (illegal or otherwise), but to deter illegal hiring by holding the employers participating in such practices responsible for the people they hire that way, if they haven't treated their employees fairly from the beginning (can't produce records of paying minimum wage for as long as evidence for employment exists).

  8. Re:Short-Lived? by Bengie · · Score: 5, Insightful

    When it pays more to be unemployed, just having jobs isn't enough, you need jobs that pay a livable wage.

  9. Re:Local testing works? by Ash+Vince · · Score: 5, Informative

    Moving to the state whose laws work best for you may work for people who can move, but I expect the people affected by these laws are pretty closely representative of the set of people who can't move.

    Even when people are supposedly more mobile, moving is a big thing for most people so they do not do it.

    Here in the UK we had a 50% tax rate imposed on the very richest a few years ago. There were lots of stories about how this was going to drive away people who were successful abroad but in the end it made very little difference because while these sort of exceeding rich people might threaten to take their family somewhere else, but then when they talk to their wife and she refuses to move more than a 20 minute drive from her family and refuses to move the kids out of school and away from their friends.

    A few years ago I wanted to move to the states as there were few companies that I could have worked for that might have appreciated a few niche skills I had picked up in their field. Although I would have been a ton financially better off in the states and we could have bought a much bigger house to start a family in than the 3 bedroom London house we have now, my wife would not have moved that far away from the family support. I could have explained how the US tax code would have benefited us until I was blue in the face but she simple wouldn't have cared enough to pay attention.

    The idea that people will move is just a scare story that the rich use to try and maintain the ability to pay less in taxes or employers use to justify being able to pay as little in wages as possible.

    --
    I dont read /. to RTFA, I read /. to offend people in ignorance.
  10. Re:Local testing works? by volmtech · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I grew up in a farming area in the 1950's. Before welfare blacks and poor whites picked the produce. They were the migrants, working South to North. After harvesting apples and potatoes in Maine and Vermont they went back to south Florida for the winter. After welfare they didn't need to do that so the growers who had depended on them made agreements with work crew leaders to bring in illegals.

  11. Re:Local testing works? by Albanach · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Allow me to take these blinders off of you and show you the entire industry that is hiring illegals to pick your produce. In fact, do a search for "H2 workers" and be amazed by the wonders of our legal system.

    You seem thoroughly confused. You talk about an industry of illegals and then suggest we look at those legally here on H2B visas as an example.

    Are you suggesting that there's a huge amount of US workers just waiting to pick fruit and plant pine trees? And the only thing holding them back is that the minimum wage is too high?

  12. Re:Local testing works? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 5, Insightful

    JAIL TIME for those that hire the undocumented.

    Jailing non-violent people is idiotic. America already imprisons more people than any other country. The solution to illegal immigration is to deal with the fundamental causes. Mexico is no longer a net source of immigration (as many Mexicans return home as arrive). The biggest net sources are Central American countries experiencing extreme drug gang violence, such as Honduras and El Salvador. Ending the drug violence will allow these countries to stabilize and create local jobs for their people. And the best way to do that is broad legalization, which is already successfully happening in Colorado and Washington. Other states will hold referendums on legalization this November. We should be jailing a lot less people, not more.

  13. Re:Local testing works? by kosh271 · · Score: 5, Informative

    Are you suggesting that there's a huge amount of US workers just waiting to pick fruit and plant pine trees?

    I would say for for a thousand bucks an hour, you'd have people lined up around the bloc to pick fruit and plant pine trees. (1000$/hr is a silly high wage, but it makes a point that higher wages will drive workers to a job)

    The problem is that with the glut of ultra-cheap labor, the wages for picking fruit and planting pine trees has not increased enough to drive workers to these jobs. When a business utilizes the ultra-cheap labor, the only way for other businesses to match their competitor's prices is to also utilize the ultra-cheap labor. Businesses following the rules will struggle to get by and possibly close down - being unable to cut costs as much as the businesses that aren't playing by the rules.

    Unless the government steps in and severely punishes the use of illegal immigrant labor, the problem will persist.

  14. Re:Local testing works? by guises · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Namely, our native poor aren't as desperate as they used to be.

  15. Re:Local testing works? by Rob+Y. · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This whole attempt to steer the discussion to one of illegal immigration is a cute trick, but it skirts the real issue. The minimum wage (which hasn't been adjusted for inflation in decades) isn't enough for someone working 40 hours a week (whether picking fruit or stocking aisles at WalMart, etc) to live on without some form of public assistance. So either:

    1) Accept this - and lobby for public assistance to make up the difference instead of against it.
    or
    2) Accept that the wage needs to be raised, because it's more important to the American ideal for a full time worker to be able to support themselves - if not themselves plus their children, than it is for employers to be able to squeeze every last bit of profit from their labor.
    or
    3) Admit that you're okay with America not being a place where all people who work can afford food, shelter and health care (i.e., perhaps not The Greatest Country On Earth (tm)).

    But the point of the article is that the argument that 'raising the minimum wage will kill jobs' has been disproved. To continue to scream it is to lie. But many of those are the same ones still touting that 'lower tax rates raise revenue' - despite the fact that that's not really what the Laffer curve says - and experience shows that we're on the part of the curve where that's not true anyway. In other words, it's a lie, based on a fantasy and/or propaganda - in the face of actual experience that demonstrates the opposite. That letting gays marry will destroy marriage and hurt children. I could go on...

    --
    Posted from my Android phone. Oh, I can change this? There, that's better...
  16. Re: Local testing works? by guspasho · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's called basic human dignity, and if you think working a full-time job should not by itself be enough to support oneself, you clearly do not believe in it.