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The Cost of Caring For Elderly Nuclear Plants Expected To Rise

mdsolar writes with this story about the rising costs of keeping Europe's nuclear power plants safe and operational. Europe's aging nuclear fleet will undergo more prolonged outages over the next few years, reducing the reliability of power supply and costing plant operators many millions of dollars. Nuclear power provides about a third of the European Union's electricity generation, but the 28-nation bloc's 131 reactors are well past their prime, with an average age of 30 years. And the energy companies, already feeling the pinch from falling energy prices and weak demand, want to extend the life of their plants into the 2020s, to put off the drain of funding new builds. Closing the older nuclear plants is not an option for many EU countries, which are facing an energy capacity crunch as other types of plant are being closed or mothballed because they can't cover their operating costs, or to meet stricter environmental regulation.

249 comments

  1. Another Brilliant Revelation by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The cost of caring for elderly _____ is expected to rise;

    1) Nuclear Plants
    2) Houses
    3) Windmills
    4) Cars
    5) Solar Installations
    6) People
    7) Factories
    8) Roads
    9) Bridges
    ...and the list goes on.

    Another amazingly useful submission to slashdot.

    1. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This user mdsolar submits a lot of stories. All of them are negative about nuclear power.
      Isn't that an interesting pattern?

    2. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by UnknownSoldier · · Score: 0, Troll

      And something positive about radiation is ... ?

      Gee, maybe you want to trade places with the Fukushima residents? No? Thought so.

      --
      Energy can neither be created nor destroyed, only recycled. Black Holes = in, White Holes = out.

    3. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Tyrannicsupremacy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      mdsolar more like mdSHILLER

      --
      http://i.cubeupload.com/T6cyLu.png
    4. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Type44Q · · Score: 4, Funny

      And something positive about radiation is ... ?

      Spiderman, the Hulk and microwave ovens all come to mind... ;)

    5. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Theory is he sells Solar shit.

      This is just gorilla marketing.

    6. Re: Another Brilliant Revelation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      There are very few positives to radiation. There are, however, very many positives to nuclear power, which is what this article is about.

    7. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by rogoshen1 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I'd love it if a nuke plant was built in my town. Would source a ton of decent paying jobs as well as bring some infrastructure improvements. But alas, Lane County (OR) is a designated "nuclear free zone". =/

    8. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

      There's nothing positive about radiation, but even taking into account Three Mile Island, Chernobyl, Fukushima & every other Nuclear accident on the books as a form of power it has caused far fewer deaths & far less ecological damage then any other power generation method. Hundreds if not thousands of people are constantly dying drilling for oil and digging for coal a year to fuel those plants, nuclear has maybe has a handful of deaths a year associated with it.

    9. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It's almost as if Chris Dudley is a reseller for the Southern Maryland Electric Cooperative and has a vested interest in scaring people away from nuclear power to buy his solar panels as if there's no way the two can co-exist.

    10. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      Radiation? Radiation is almost, but not quite, a non concern.

      Radioactivity? That's a potential problem.

    11. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by brambus · · Score: 1

      Will happily do. Do you know of any attractive real estate trading at low prices there ATM?

    12. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 0

      Yes! And note also that every insightful post in response to one of these is modded Troll. Nice Team Greenpeace they have going there.

    13. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The rational response to this situation is that when the cost of keeping some old X running gets too high, you replace it with a new and improved X. But in this one case, no.

    14. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by AndrewBuck · · Score: 2, Funny

      No need to worry, I have it on good authority from all the libertarians who frequent this site that you can easily move to a more nuclear friendly town. No need to stay in that oppressive communist hellhole where you live now.

      -AndrewBuck

    15. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ever see the charts of deaths per terawatt for nuclear power? Nuke plants are off the scale compared to other energy generation technologies. It is no wonder why it is being decommissioned left and right.

      [citation needed - preferably from those alleged "charts of deaths" you're talking about]

    16. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by onkelonkel · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Sorry. Wrong.

      Nuclear has by far the lowest deathprint.

      http://www.forbes.com/sites/ja...

      --
      None of them can see the clouds; The polished wings don't care.
    17. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A mine collapses and kills people then you get a bang, some bodies, and the emergency is largely over save for the rescue effort.
      A reactor goes bang then you've got bodies and an emergency that could go on for 10,000 years or more.

      We're finding that the free energy of these nuclear reactors is far from free...

    18. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by pjt33 · · Score: 4, Funny

      And something positive about radiation is ... ?

      An alpha particle?

    19. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      This is just gorilla marketing.

      Someone should contact the appropriate authorities - this man is located in the United States, and I'm pretty sure selling primates is illegal.

    20. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by plover · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Actually, I was thinking about the radioactive iodine isotope the doctors used to successfully treat my wife's thyroid cancer. That's something very positive about radiation.

      --
      John
    21. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by UnknownSoldier · · Score: 1

      Good-luck getting past: NIMBY.

    22. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Hmm... I wonder how much EWEB would have to raise their rates to cover the cost of building a nuclear power plant?

    23. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by UnknownSoldier · · Score: 1

      Let's conveniently ignore the damage to the environment too ...

    24. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by rogoshen1 · · Score: 1

      Just slap a fucking Nike and/or Oregon Ducks logo on it, and Phil Knight will foot the bill.

    25. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by BarbaraHudson · · Score: 2

      Without radiation, our planet wouldn't have a molten core, plate tectonics, or LIFE - at least not "life as we know it." And that's not counting solar radiation (infra-red through ultraviolet) that makes our orbit the "Goldilocks zone for life."

      --
      "Transparent" is a shit show that trades on every stereotype going. A man in drag is NOT a transsexual.
    26. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by MrL0G1C · · Score: 2

      Forbes didn't do any research they merely took the figures from this bunk: http://nextbigfuture.com/2008/...

      The estimates for deaths from Chernobyl range from 4,000 to 500,000 guess which figure 'nextbigfuture' picked.

      He also ignores all uranium mining deaths.

      He also makes an absurd arbitrary assumption that 30% of all construction deaths from falling from heights are due to solar!!!!!

      That page isn't a paper, it isn't peer reviewed, it's a blog and it's 6 years old (before Fukushima)

      --
      Waterfox - a Firefox fork with legacy extension support, security updates and better privacy by default.
    27. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      LOL

    28. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by MrKaos · · Score: 2

      This user mdsolar submits a lot of stories. All of them are negative about nuclear power. Isn't that an interesting pattern?

      This user AC makes a lot of ad hom attacks and defensive comments about nuclear power. Isn't that an interesting pattern?

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    29. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Radiation has always been in the natural environment. There are radioactive isotopes in your body right now that contribute a significant amount. And I'm not talking about ones artificially introduced into the environment, I'm talking about materials that have always existed in the Earth or radiating down from space. It's physically impossible to avoid.

      Among the artificial sources of radioactivity that go into the average exposure people receive annually, people volunteer to receive a lot of it, such as X-rays, as a part of medical diagnostics. Radiation is also used to diagnose cancer using artificial isotopes to indicate metabolic activity, and radiation is also used to kill cancerous tumors. Why would people subject themselves to something inherently damaging? Because it's beneficial when used properly.

      Your rhetorical question doesn't even make sense. Sure, there's nothing positive about the artificial radiation sources around Fukushima. Sure, radiation does damage to the human body. But that doesn't mean it isn't a net positive when properly applied. Like most things.

    30. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sun is nuclear powered, so in fact you are wrong. Also wind is basically sun powered (nuclear again).

      He is not negative towards nuclear power, he just likes to keep nuclear at a safe distance (1Au).

    31. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      And something positive about radiation is ... ?

      Not sure if you're referring to the universal force conjugates that allow particles in the universe to interact, or the more restrictive set of alpha and beta particles that are responsible for coupling fission reactions, but either way I'm pretty positive about the whole arrangement.

      From sunlight, heat, radio waves, sound and mechanical contact in the former, to Tera genesis and the evolution of humans in the latter, I would say it's worked out pretty well.

      Positrons and protons are fairly common positive radiation, in the literal sense.

      And since it's likely you meant radioactivity, some positive aspects of technological harnessing of radioactivity include:

      Gamma irradiated food, PET scanning, radio-nucleotide imaging, radiological mutation studies*, radioactive tracers, smoke detectors and trace gas detectors, radio-thermal generators and fission power reactors. I consider all of those positive technologies.

      -puddingpimp

      * My grandfather worked at an institute where they used radioactivity to accelerate mutations in tree species to study mutations and diseases. Today radioactivity is used to induce cancers in mice, which while not positive for the mice, turns out to be very useful for humans to evaluate cancer treatments.

    32. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The rational response to this situation is that when the cost of keeping some old X running gets too high, you replace it with a new and improved X.

      That's called externalising costs which is not acceptable for nuclear plants, and is not acceptable for coal and other large thermal plants either. It ought not to be acceptable for automobiles and cellphones, but we seem to not care so much about pollution when it's broken up into lots of small chunks.

      The rational lifecycle equation is when the cost of keeping some old X running gets higher than the cost of replacing it AND decommissioning and recycling old X, you replace it with a new and improved X AND decommission and recycle old X.

      Luckily for my car, someone will pay me $500 to take my junker away to recycle the steel, though I imagine bad things happen with the other parts that are left over.

      I don't think anyone is going to pay to take away a radioactive reactor core for recycling, but there is plenty of periphery on-site at a nuclear plant that can be safely scrapped, recycled or reused. Things like backup generators and secondary and tertiary cooling systems are not left radioactive after operation.

      My thinking on the matter is that reactors are one of the most expensive parts of a nuclear plant to construct as they contain an enormous amount of steel and concrete, it would be ideal if plants were cycle decommissioned. That is, shut the reactor down, put the fuel into storage, strip back the periphery to the minimum required to contain the reactor, and build a new up-to-date plant on the same site, reusing the reactor vessel, reinforcing it if necessary. In practice there's probably a bunch of stuff on-site that is perfectly serviceable and can be reused in the rebuilt plant design.

      Scrapping the plant, leaving the radioactive reactor core in place, and building a replacement reactor somewhere else sounds like the least sensible course of action.

      -puddingpimp

    33. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by webnut77 · · Score: 1

      Hundreds if not thousands of people are constantly dying drilling for oil and digging for coal a year to fuel those plants

      That's because picking uranium off the uranium tree is so much safer.

    34. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      No, it is not more interesting/pattern than noting that baseball players and baseball watchers occationally meet in stadiums. (It is his hobby!)

      If you want pro nuclear stories, post them yourself. Everyone can post stories to /.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    35. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Not that the paper is wrong or anything but:
      a) uranium mining deaths are comparably low to other mining activities as it doesn't generate as much respirable fines.
      b) 30% is unrealistic I agree. In my country 2 years ago the number was 70%. Yes that's right, 70% were due to solar and it's quite easy to see why. Large companies with large HSE policies and large safety focus don't kill people as easily as backyard cowboys who look to earn a quick buck by climbing on the side of a tall roof. Though I imagine that the article cherry picked this number from a western country with HSE standards.
      c) Before you dismiss the Chernobyl death toll also realise that some Fukushima death toll quotes includes stress related heart attacks and any number of deaths that may have occurred anyway. Officially and unofficially Fukushima's death toll stands at 1 and the radiation released is likely to kill people only in the thousands with some really pessimistic estimates.

    36. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And because we're pumping all the Thorium into the air instead of doing something useful with it.

    37. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you want to talk about "completely ignoring damage to the environment" you can start with Wind/Solar Energy causes which just happens to be worse than Nuclear. Leave it to a lib to crucify someone for knocking down a bird's nest then praise someone for setting up wind turbines and wiping out an entire ecosystem of fowl.

    38. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is much safer, actually. Funny how anti-oil/coal liberals are against clean energy technologies that don't do near as much damage to the environment. As if Fukushima or Chernobyl making a few square miles uninhabitable is worse than the entire human race along with all land based life dying off because of global warming.

    39. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      Actually, I was thinking about the radioactive iodine isotope the doctors used to successfully treat my wife's thyroid cancer. That's something very positive about radiation.

      Thyroid cancer is also a consequence of ingesting radio cesium. Obviously I'm not saying this is how your wife got cancer however nuclear medicine to cure cancer is a whole lot different from nuclear industry that causes cancer and, I think that is the OP's actual point.

      Also - I'm very happy for you and your wife to have beaten cancer, I watched someone very close to me suffer and die from brain cancer because the family was suspicious of nuclear medicine, it's a horrible way to go.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    40. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by MrKaos · · Score: 2
      I don't see any bias in the Scientific American article that mdsolar has linked to. Facts are facts, you either accept them or you do not. If you are able to post any good news stories about nuclear power, then post them.

      If the story was about how some machine wears out over time would you call that 'negative'? A nuclear power plant is a machine, it doesn't work forever and is quite a valid topic for discussion. The only negative characterization is the one that you have made.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    41. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      The rational response to this situation is that when the cost of keeping some old X running gets too high, you replace it with a new and improved X.

      Scrapping the plant, leaving the radioactive reactor core in place, and building a replacement reactor somewhere else sounds like the least sensible course of action.

      -puddingpimp

      The reason this is done is because the reactor core is extremely radioactive and some isotopes are also activated. Furthermore it's not possible to recycle the core because of neutron enbrittlement of the reactor vessel. This is why they are left in place, so the radio-isotopes can decay.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    42. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      Things positive about radiation:

      Sunlight.
      Radio.
      Nuclear medicine.
      Smoke detectors.

      Don't be an ass.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    43. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's what happens when you play host to a college that wishes they were Berkeley in 1968.

    44. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      Yep, off the bottom end of the scale compared to everything else.

      More people die falling off their roofs while installing solar power in one year than have died from nuclear electrical generation in total.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    45. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, because clearly they are just going to put some boards over the windows and a nice padlock on the door, and walk away.

      Or, back here in the real world, when they decommissioned the Trojan Nuclear Generating Station, they removed the core, wrapped it up for shipping, barged it to Hanford, and interred it with lots of other highly radioactive waste.

      Yep, they barged that highly radioactive waste right through a major metro area (Portland), and not even one person died.

    46. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by MrL0G1C · · Score: 1

      WHO like to pretend the death toll from Chernobyl etc are very low, they fiddle the figures by ignoring cancer deaths that can't be proven on an individual basis to be due to Chernobyl. Obviously, ignoring most of the increase in cancer deaths looks good for nuclear. Ukraine estimate up to 500,000 deaths due to Chernobyl, naturally some Ukrainians are biased due to Russia-Ukraine issues. WHO estimate 4,000 deaths.

      Crap like:

      the panel said it was difficult to determine that a causal link existed between the childrenâ(TM)s cancers and the [Fukushima] triple meltdown

      after a 50% increase in Thyroid cancers. How can anyone trust cancer figures from these people?
      http://enenews.com/50-increase...

      Re Solar roof deaths, HSE need to strike down companies with poor safety standards, that is an issue that can be dealt with. But there is a big difference between someone choosing to go up on a roof and someone dying of cancer because of an accident a thousand miles away.

      In the UK HSE is strict, a roofer who didn't properly supervise went to prison, company was fined £250,000.

      --
      Waterfox - a Firefox fork with legacy extension support, security updates and better privacy by default.
    47. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      just out of curiosity, when the hard rain falls, society implodes, and the grid goes down (stay tuned kampers, coming soon to a planet near you!), WHAT and WHO are going to be maintaining the nuke plants so they don't -you know- blow up and spew radioactive shit everywhere ? ? ?
      'cause, i'm not too worried about coal/etc plants blowing up when the grid goes down and we enter the second (last) dark ages...

    48. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And something positive about radiation is ... ?

      And from his sig:

      Energy can neither be created nor destroyed, only recycled. Black Holes = in, White Holes = out.

      UnknownSoldier appears to have a very weak grasp of physics.

    49. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You mean the damage caused by making solar panels? Or the damage caused by burning fossil fuels? Or the damage caused by damning rivers for hydro? Don't forgot that wind and solar haven't prevented the construction of a single conventional plant because they are too unreliable and people don't like it when the power goes out. Sorry, Nukes win hands down in every category.

    50. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by UnknownSoldier · · Score: 1

      > Sorry, Nukes win hands down in every category.

      Let's turn off our brain. Solar panels don't kill people when they don't work correctly.

    51. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No. It's just evidence of the particular bias held by that user.

    52. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Neither do modern nukes.

    53. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You need to carry a Geiger counter around and start measuring radiation everywhere.
      Radiation is everywhere. Animals produce copious amounts of beta and gamma rays. We are continuously exposed to gamma and beta radiation all the time.
      You are subject to more radiation by being in close proximity to another human or a large animal than alone.
      I'm diagnosing you with a condition called radio phobia. Since you can't see radiation, you can't quantify it, so any mention of radiation you start getting the wrong idea.
      A truckload of banana's set off radiation detectors used to prevent smuggling of radioactive materials into the USA.
      There is actually studies that show that a little radiation exposure is better than none. Its like a vaccine that keeps your body capable of dealing with larger radiation doses when they do occur. The concept is called hormesis.
      Ohh, love those Spiderman and Hulk cartoons on TV. You do know those are mythical creatures BTW ?
      BTW, Three Mile Island killed zero people, caused zero cancers. Chernobyl did killed a little over 100 people. Fukushima killed zero people due to radiation, caused zero cancers.
      While nuclear power kills next to nobody, coal kills 200 thousand people/yr worldwide. Natural Gas as whole kills hundreds to a thousand/yr worldwide.
      Rooftop Solar PV puts together two of the top 10 deadliest professions in the world (Roofing + Electrician).
      Wind turbines are maintenance hogs (per TWh of electricity produced).
      E'Nuf said.

    54. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It actually is much safer. The whole nuclear energy supply chain killed around 2000 people since its inception (mining, processing, enrichment, fuel fabrication, nuclear reactors, reprocessing/waste handling, deaths from nuclear accidents).
      A single big hydro dam burst in the 70s killed 200 thousand people in China. Hydro kills hundreds/yearly.
      Coal kills 200 thousand yearly worldwide. Natural gas kills hundreds to a thousand yearly worldwide.
      In the last 10 years there was a single nuclear related death in the USA. It was a uranium mining accident. In the meantime, how many people died in coal mines alone ?
      Stop with the anti nuclear FUD. Nuclear IS safe. The roots of the anti nuclear power movements come from paid environmentalist groups desperate to keeping their paychecks. Greenpeace has a yearly budget of 300 million USD ! There has been talk about many extremely unethical events inside Greenpeace management in the last decades, including golden parachutes, non disclosure deals for people living (in exchange for those golden parachutes).
      There actually is some indication that Greenpeace (and similar groups) attacks the nuclear industry getting funding from the coal/natural gas companies, in exchange for pretending coal is all good !

  2. Ready to massively reinvest in new plants? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Because the alternative is to piss away a shit tonne of capital on retrofitting dangerous known-flawed designs in perpetuity.

  3. I hope it doesn't get too costly. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We might see more elderly nuclear plants being put into homes.

  4. Falling energy prices and weak demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Which imaginary world are you living in? Energy prices are high and evergy companies have been raking in massive profits for years.

    1. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      Energy prices in Europe have been declining for a while now: http://www.platts.com/pressrel...

    2. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Come to Germany. Prices are falling below production cost, it's great!

      At my home, (rural) we also produce, via solar, around 110% of we use.

    3. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by bobbied · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Citation please?

      There are a number of nuclear plants which are not being kept in operation due to the advent of cheap, clean, natural gas. Fracking has increased the production of old wells and opened up new areas to energy production. So much that wholesale electricity prices have been falling (along with retail prices). This has hammered the nuclear industry (along with solar and wind power) who are facing rising costs (due to inflation, as well as plant age), not to mention other fuel sources such as coal are suffering too. This low natural gas price is not expected to rise for at least the next decade.

      So, electric power has NOT been an industry to rack in billions of ill-gotten profits. They make profits, but many are facing the cold hard fact that their current set of generation capacity fueled by nuclear or coal is not going to be financially viable in short order. They are currently on a natural gas fired plant building binge, while shuttering their existing plants. I don't see this trend changing anytime soon.

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    4. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Energy prices in Europe have been declining for a while now: http://www.platts.com/pressrel...

      Electricity rates have been rising in America. Perversely, this is because of falling demand. Electricity consumption peaked in 2007, and has been falling since then. Falling demand should mean lower prices, but most generators are protected monopolies that are guaranteed a profit. So falling demand means that fixed costs must be spread over fewer kwHrs.

    5. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If it makes you feel any better. My electricity rate here is 7 cents/kWh and dropps to 5 per kWh after 1000 kWh of usage. It's not time based.

      I live in the northeast.

    6. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by brambus · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Interesting article. Couple of important quotes from it:

      “German power prices for March 16 delivery turned negative as wind power output rose above 24-GW combined with stronger solar production,” Franke said.

      Translation: we've overproduced by such an amount that we're paying for people take our crap.

      If the legislative environment weren't such that grid operators were forced to take unneeded generation, wind & solar would have to be curtailed and you'd see the owners of those facilities cry bloody murder, because that's lost revenue and a big hit to ROI. What's funnier is that this situation isn't going to get less frequent with more wind & solar buildout, it's going to get more frequent. Much, much more. The politicians have essentially made grid operators pay for the unreliability of wind & solar, instead of the people who actually own the thing and earn money from it. It's like making a public transport company pay for the lost wages of people who continuously oversleep and show up late for work, despite the public transport running on time.

      Contrary to many wind & solar advocates' claims, negative energy prices are not good - it means something's seriously messed up in the grid.

      At continental Europe’s most liquid natural gas trading hub, the Dutch TTF, the average price of day-ahead natural gas was €22.76/MWh in March, down 4% on February and down 29% year-over-year.

      “The decline has accelerated in recent days,” Richardson said. “TTF prompt delivery gas has dropped below €20/MWh in early April trade, the first time we’ve seen it this low since December 2011. Norwegian gas flows have been healthy and demand for heat and storage have been low.”

      So a significant part of the cheap power price is also natural gas, which is most decidedly not renewable and not zero-CO2.

    7. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The reason why natural gas is dirt cheap and putting baseload plants out of business is largely because the gas cannot be stored, if it is not used where it is generated it is wasted. My guess is more pipeline infrastructure and gas liquification plants will come online over the next 10 years or so to stabilize the market.

    8. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > So much that wholesale electricity prices have been falling (along with retail prices).

      You obviously don't live in Ontario.

    9. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > Electricity rates have been rising in America [inflationdata.com].

      Because there was no major CAPEX for about 30 years. Nothing says profit like doing nothing and getting paid for it.

      As to the real costs of generation, they've continued falling throughout. Which is what you'd expect, as the tech gets better. Right now base load on the Ontario interconnects is selling for (checking as I type...) 2.37 cents/kWh. This is around the lowest is has *ever* been, NOT accounting for inflation (when you add that, it's WAY the lowest). Last night it was negative.

    10. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 4, Interesting

      > Translation: we've overproduced by such an amount that we're paying for people take our crap.

      Another translation: due to decreased economic activity as industry moves to China, along with improved efficiency in household consumption and in the market in general, the existing generation assets we have are no longer needed as overall demand lowers.

      Example: Ontario has been decommissioning nukes and coal plants for 10 years now and still has negative pricing at night. Exact same reasons.

    11. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > You obviously don't live in Ontario.

      Wholesale prices in Ontario have been falling for several years. You can track them in realtime here:

      http://www.ieso.ca

      I think you're confusing wholesale and retail. Retail rates have been rising. That's because Ontario Hydro didn't spend a dime on the network for 45 years and the entire grid needs replacement, while running up about $20 billion in debts due to Darlington and Ernie Eave's brilliant "keep the price low" plan which really meant "run up Hydro's debt". As both of these effects are addressed, you get to pay more. We're nowhere near finished, so get used to it.

      The same is true for practically every other north american jurisdiction, I don't know enough about europe to say.

    12. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by bobbied · · Score: 1

      The reason why natural gas is dirt cheap and putting baseload plants out of business is largely because the gas cannot be stored, if it is not used where it is generated it is wasted. My guess is more pipeline infrastructure and gas liquification plants will come online over the next 10 years or so to stabilize the market.

      I don't know where you live, but storing natural gas is routinely done here, even without converting it to liquid. It is also routinely piped long distances, including to my home, for use. It is not just wasted at the point of production.

      So I'm not sure what you are talking about. If you are talking about shipping it to foreign markets, then LNG is required, but that's not what I'm talking about. I'm talking about domestic production and use.

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    13. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by cheesybagel · · Score: 2

      So a significant part of the cheap power price is also natural gas, which is most decidedly not renewable and not zero-CO2.

      Things are a lot worse than you think. The fact is the electric power prices went down in Germany because coal prices are down. Why are they down? The US has a natural gas glut and has been exporting the excess coal, which is not required anymore, to countries like Germany.

      Germany has been trying to get off natural gas because the major supplier to Central Europe is Russia and you know how they are. *cough* Ukraine *cough*.

      The Wind and Solar are window dressing. Coal is used to generate 45.8% of the electricity used in Germany while Wind and Solar combined are 17.1%. As Germany is winding down its Nuclear power plants they are building new Coal power plants to replace them.

      If the trend continues the US will actually reduce its CO2 emissions in the next decade while countries in Europe like Germany will increase CO2 emissions. If you care about that.

    14. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by cheesybagel · · Score: 3, Interesting

      German steel producers have already said they will move elsewhere if the electric power prices don't come back down again. It is uncompetitive to manufacture steel in Germany at current prices.

    15. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      Europe? We are going to be paying for the windmill overconstruction for the next 20 years with guaranteed profit contracts for generated power regardless if it is required or not.

    16. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > It is uncompetitive to manufacture steel in Germany at current prices

      It is uncompetitive to manufacture steel anywhere that has any sort of realistic exchange rates.

      What, you didn't notice that steel companies in the US, Canada, England, France and Japan are also shutting down?

    17. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      The German people have decided to make their grid serve them, not profit making companies. It's a very socialist thing to do so I can understand why it seems so strange to Americans.

      As well as solar people are buying grid infrastructure. Towns are buying or building a grid that suits them, not the energy companies. The end result will be that electricity production is basically a non-profit endeavour, mostly run by nationalised companies and local government.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    18. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by MrL0G1C · · Score: 1

      Contrary to many wind & solar advocates' claims, negative energy prices are not good - it means something's seriously messed up in the grid.

      OMG panic, it's terrible, renewables have caused there to be cheap electricity, won't somebody think of the profits.

      --
      Waterfox - a Firefox fork with legacy extension support, security updates and better privacy by default.
    19. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by brambus · · Score: 1

      Like for example the people who built the renewables and took out huge loans to be able do so? Loans they must repay? Are you seriously suggesting you don't understand that those pretty wind turbines and shiny solar panels cost real money to make and install?

    20. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by brambus · · Score: 1

      While I agree that it's a fool's errand trying to reduce CO2 emissions without a large-scale reliable zero-CO2 baseload power source, I'm not convinced that CO2 emissions by Germany and Europe at large are going to increase in the future. The data seems to suggest a downward trend and while I do think that this trend will hit definite limits unless the generation side is radically addressed (and what the Germans are doing isn't going to cut it, for various other reasons), it isn't entirely obvious simply from trend data. In order to claim that CO2 emissions from these places will rise, you need to make some pretty broad technical assumptions and I'm not prepared to commit to firmly.

      Now as for whole-world CO2 emissions, there the historical data is much more clear: emissions will continue increase unless something really drastic is done.

    21. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by brambus · · Score: 1

      This is another possibility and it's actually the one less catastrophic, as these are old plants not capable of load-following and are thus mostly written off. Operating them is, from a utility's point of view, sensible as long as commercial value can be extracted. So as long cost of overproduction is lower than earnings at other times, all is well. At the same time, the surplus money can be used to construct new plants that can load-follow. However, renewable projects aren't yet "old" in order to be written off (well, maybe a few, with the heavy help of subsidies), so for them to be getting an overall lower earning in the years to come is very, very bad. And what's worse is that the problem will amplify (due to their intermittency and uncontrollability) the more they are deployed, which sends a very bad signal to investors: the later you invest or the more people invest, the more risky the investment (in fact, this is how pyramid scheme risk works, though for different reasons; I'm not saying RE projects are pyramid schemes).

    22. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by dryeo · · Score: 1

      Here in BC the government cut income taxes by 25% and have been making up the shortfalls from hydro so prices are really going up. They also want to build a new large damn on the Peace river for liquifying natural gas for export (they think they're going to make a fortune exporting gas) which will jack up our prices and flood a lot of nice farmland.
      We have some ideal country for solar which combined with hydro would help the load as it produces best in the summer when the reservoirs are low but the first test just started and wind hasn't even been looked at.

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
    23. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Whole sale prices have fallen in many parts of America.

    24. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Negative prices are always better higher prices in the energy business.

    25. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Funny that France's industry complains that it pays higher prices than Germany's industry while already getting electricity below production cost.

      http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-03-17/france-s-industrial-giants-call-for-price-cap-on-nuclear.html

    26. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Yeah, and you have no clue.
      It makes no sense for an outsider to pick up a few or dozen random unrelated notes in the news and trying to grasp a general picture from it.

      Hint: we have summer right now, we have lots of renewables right now: so, day ahead demand for GAS IS DAMN LOW! (No one is heating, e.g.)

      Your conclusion: So a significant part of the cheap power price is also natural gas, which is most decidedly not renewable and not zero-CO2. is compete bollocks.

      Unlike the US, Europe uses gas mainly for peak load - with gas turbines. As we have to much power all the time, due to wind and solar, we don't need gas turbines, but use pumped storages right now.

      Hence as we don't need gas, we don't use gas: the price drops.

      Germanies share of power produced by gas is at the 1% edge. Just recently we got a few 'normal' gas plants that replace coal. So perhaps we are now in the 2% area over the whole year.

      You are mixing up cause and effect because you draw uninformed conclusions from facts you don't understand.

      Hint: I work/worked in that area.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    27. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Yeah, with having the most important and most healthy steel industry of the planet.
      Perhaps you should check the stock value and share prices of the majour german steel producers.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    28. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Basically every single statement is wrong.

      a) Electric prices go down due to the huge effect of wind and solar, not because of cheap coal.

      b) germanies import of coal from the USA is close to neglectible, it is under 20% of total coal imports (and did not really change recently) I believe the increase of coal imports was something like from 16% to 19% of our total consumption, not counting that our total consumptin dropped by 20% versus 1997 ... so bottom line the USA are exporting LESS than before, but cover a higher percentage of our import. Yes, calculations with percentages are a bitch if you omit the absolutes :-/

      c) Gas imports of germany from Russia etc. are not used for electricity, they are used by factories needing gas, and households in winter, *cough* *cough*

      d) coal is used in germany to produce 45% of the electricity: on some days. At other days 50% comes from solar and wind. Google: Fraunhofer institude, renewables.

      e) germany is not building new coal plants to replace nuclear plants. New coal plants are build because they are either under construction since a decade or to replace old coal plants (which are simply old or to dirty or to inefficient) Bottom line the absolute capacity of coal power production is dropping.

      f) germany might increase, perhaps, the CO2 emission for a year or so, above the level of last year. But that will be below the level of 1997. So: who cares? And in a few years our CO2 ourput will go down dramatically.

      So: 15 times debunked ... sigh.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    29. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      And which point did you try to make?
      That the guys who took a loan and build a wind turbine actually have to pay one to take their power? Is that your point?
      A quick glance ... 10 seconds thinking (well, I need that long sometimes when I'm completely drunk) should make clear: hm, that can not be it! So what is the reason for negative prices?! Why does germany still has so much wind power if the wind mill owners have to pay that one even takes that bloody wind power? Should be a no brainer that there is something 'behind it' and that your first glance conclusions must be wrong.
      Homework: figure what your misconception is.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    30. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Natural gas is the most easiest and cheapest way to store 'energy'.
      But you are right, such storages and gas plants will come online, as many wind advocates suggest to use the excess power to create hydrogene and feed that into the gas grid, deluting it, so to say. And buy gas back when you need a peak gas plant.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    31. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And isn't this cheap gas in Europe being exported from the USA?

    32. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Translation: we've overproduced by such an amount that we're paying for people take our crap.

      Another translation: due to decreased economic activity as industry moves to China, along with improved efficiency in household consumption and in the market in general, the existing generation assets we have are no longer needed as overall demand lowers.

      Example: Ontario has been decommissioning nukes and coal plants for 10 years now and still has negative pricing at night. Exact same reasons.

      It is also why Entergy decommissioned Vermont Yankee this year.

    33. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The German people have decided to make their grid serve them, not profit making companies. It's a very socialist thing to do so I can understand why it seems so strange to Americans.

      That's just delusional. This thought process would never occur to most people. (there may be some behind-the-scenes corporate deals and such that may influence energy policies, but I assure you the cultural theory are floating of is totally non-existent in this situation).

      Most of the people who are against Germany's power policies cite below points:
      1. Germany isn't an ideal candidate to push solar heavily because the climate doesn't support solar well (overcast climate, high latitude (seasonal variability)).
      2. Currently, consumer electricity prices in Germany are many times other industrial nations. And there are still frequent blackouts.
      3. Power output of solar isn't constant and unlike wind power, it's a systemic problem with no great solutions. (Power storage - expensive. Power selling - not much profit since it's not during peak hours, certainly not enough to make it economically worthwhile to build the solar panels. much less to continue expanding them. Consumer demand shifting - difficult to implement; demand over time is mostly inelastic). There's a reason people keep bringing this up. It's a fundamental, basic problem with trying to use solar power for base load, with no current feasible solution.
      4. There is a perception that the movement grew following the Fukushima earthquake, and as such is easy to see this as being primarily emotion driven. Regardless of if this is true or not, it is still very clear that nuclear plants in Germany were aggressively and hurriedly shut down and decommissioned following the Fukushima earthquake, which generally isn't a great strategy.
      5. Driving up the use of highly polluting power sources to fill in the gaps (coal) as result of (3.).

    34. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      only 1 problem, the energy price has gone way up not down due to wind/solar

      Do a fucking search for energy stats in europe.

    35. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by TheRealHocusLocus · · Score: 1

      The politicians have essentially made grid operators pay for the unreliability of wind & solar, instead of the people who actually own the thing and earn money from it. It's like making a public transport company pay for the lost wages of people who continuously oversleep and show up late for work, despite the public transport running on time.

      This is the most apt and brilliant analogy for this issue I have yet seen... suitable for framing!

      --
      <blink>down the rabbit hole</blink>
    36. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by MrL0G1C · · Score: 1

      Everything costs money to make and install. Really not sure what your point is.

      Solar:
      http://www.theecoexperts.co.uk...

      You'd be crazy not to install solar if your roof is pointing the right direction in the UK.

      These power grid guys have worked out how to deal with the fluctuations:
      Fully Charged - Electrical energy storage and its place in a low carbon future.

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      Waterfox - a Firefox fork with legacy extension support, security updates and better privacy by default.
    37. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by brambus · · Score: 1

      we have summer right now

      Article is from April 8, 2014 and says "fifth consecutive monthly decline in March", so the decline has in fact started over the winter. My guess is you didn't really read it, did you?

      day ahead demand for GAS IS DAMN LOW! (No one is heating, e.g.)

      As you completely misunderstood that the article isn't about summer, this remark is entirely off base.

      As we have to much power all the time

      The article also talks about price drops across Europe, not just Germany and the sections I was referring to in my quote specifically address natural gas trading at the Dutch TTF, where many European countries trade, not just Germany. Moreover, the article opens with "The Platts Continental Power Index* (CONTI) fell 8.4% in March to €35.06 per megawatt hour (/MWh) ".

      I realize I could have been a bit more explicit in saying that I think a significant part of the cheap power prices across Europe is due to cheap natural gas.

      we don't need gas turbines, but use pumped storages right now

      As usual with your statements, reality tends to disagree.

      Germanies share of power produced by gas is at the 1% edge

      Damn, do I really have to fact check everything you say? Even this is trivially shown to be false. In fact, you are wrong by an order of magnitude (it's actually 10.6%).

      It is amazing with what steely-eyed conviction you can be so wrong, yet feel so superior.

      You are mixing up cause and effect because you draw uninformed conclusions from facts you don't understand.

      And that coming from somebody who didn't read or understand the first sentence of the article under debate: "continental Europe recorded a fifth consecutive monthly decline in March ". Oh the irony is so sweet.

      Hint: I work/worked in that area.

      And yet you can't read a graph or table or even do the most rudimentary fact-checking of what you say?

    38. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by TheRealHocusLocus · · Score: 1

      There are a number of nuclear plants which are not being kept in operation due to the advent of cheap, clean, natural gas.

      Yes, such as the Kewaunee Power Station which went offline in 2013 despite that it is in good condition, has maintained a healthy balance sheet, perfect safety record, operating license extended to 2033 ad six months' fuel in the reactor.

      All because Dominion is riding the natural gas 'glut' at this brief moment in time. Also, the triggering of decommission status of a nuclear plant releases the funds set aside for that purpose creating a temporary vulture-culture 'industry' that employs many.

      But it is all so short-sighted, an act of outright corporate vandalism. One of my working plans if (perhaps when) the economy and grid breaks down or some disaster strikes, was to relocate to Carlton Wis and help to maintain and defend this plant. The defending of operational nuclear power plants being a sensible course of action for any apocalyptic future suggested in the (excellent) novel Lucifer's Hammer.

      Now Calrton, Wisconsin would never be a beacon of hope and assured survival in some grid-down scenario, it's just a town that will have to take its chances with the rest.

      If there is a dark moral to this story... if you are a goose which lays golden eggs, do not let yourself be acquired by Dominion Energy.

      --
      <blink>down the rabbit hole</blink>
    39. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by brambus · · Score: 1

      Why does germany still has so much wind power if the wind mill owners have to pay that one even takes that bloody wind power?

      Because as long as the negative price is less than the state-subsidized feed-in tariff, they are net making money, even though at this point it's just from an artificial subsidy. Erase the feed-in tariff and they'd simply engage the brakes and stop some of the wind turbines as soon as the price reached the upkeep cost for the plant (since beyond that point the plant would be generating a net loss). A couple of important quotes to support my statement (since, you know, I do like to source what I claim):

      • page 2: "Second, Germany’s renewable energy policy grants priority dispatch and fixed feed-in tariffs for renewable electricity generation. Renewable electricity can be fed into the grid whenever it is produced, regardless of energy demand, and in-feed can be switched off only if grid stability is at risk (Bundesnetzagentur, 2011)."
      • page 3: "Grid operators are obliged to feed-in renewable electricity independent of the market price."
      • page 3 (footnote): "The operator continues to receive feed-in tariff payments even if the installation is disconnected from the grid due to capacity constraints of transmission cables."
      • page 33: "Currently, renewable energy is not exposed to any market risk in Germany due to guaranteed feed-in tariffs. A more market-based system would give incentives to realign renewable electricity supply with demand."
    40. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Germany is NOT building new coal plants to replace the closing nuclear ones. Germany was closing many old coal plants before the decision to also ditch nuclear was made, and the new ones being built are replacement for those. In fact many of the new ones have already been cancelled, and the total number will not match the number or output of the old ones.

      Coal just isn't economically viable any more in Germany. The new plants, despite being cleaner and more efficient, and better able to ramp up and down to meet demand are unlikely to ever make a profit.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    41. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Reminds me of the bankers who threatened to leave if more regulations were put in place. Either individually or as entire offices they were all going to up roots and move outside the EU, taking their families with them presumably.

      Never happened though. In the end they failed to live up to their pure capitalist ideals and put things like family and friends first. If German steel plants were going to do the same they would have moved to China long ago, just to shave a few pennies off their costs.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    42. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > It is also why Entergy decommissioned Vermont Yankee this year.

      That an Hydro Quebec practically giving away power.

      Did you know there's half a year of Canada's entire electrical use stored in Grande Baliene as I write this? HALF a YEAR.

    43. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by brambus · · Score: 1

      Everything costs money to make and install. Really not sure what your point is.

      Yes, everything, including the renewable generation equipment. If you remove the feed-in tariffs for renewables and tell them to operate at the real market price, they'll hate it. If you remember, there's this thing called LCOE which dictates the minimum electricity price at which your plant will be profitable over its planned life time. Having the cost of electricity go down is not good for high-LCOE sources like wind & solar, it's terrible, because it pushes them into insolvency. Their initial ROI plans estimated for the cost of power to go up as fossil fuels get depleted, which would make them profitable, not for it to go down. You'll see this effect strengthen over the years as subsidies go down and the number of times of overproduction (and thus excessively low prices) goes up. Here's just a few to give you a taste:
      Prokon insolvency is part of a crisis of the Wind energy industry
      After Prokon: Windwärts announces insolvency
      Indebted windpark developer: Windreich announces insolvency

      You'd be crazy not to install solar if your roof is pointing the right direction in the UK.

      Sure, and you know why? Read further down on that website:

      How do I make money with solar panels?
      Solar panels allow you to earn money in the following three ways:
      Feed-in tariff rate – 14.38p/kWh: Firstly, the government pays you for the electricity you generate and use, this typically add ups to about £400 per year for an average 3kW panel. The Feed-in tariff is tax-free, index-linked and lasts 20 years.
      National Grid sell back rate – 4.77p/kWh: The government also pays you for the electricity you produce but don’t use. This gets sold back to the grid and will earn you about £60 per annum.

      My EDF bill listed as 12p/kWh that I paid to the generator to supply me: me -> 12p/kWh -> generator.
      This website suggests that with solar the government pays me to use electricity? government -> 14.38p/kWh -> me? For my electrical consumption? WTF? This is a completely messed up system that is ass-backwards. Imagine if everybody were doing this. A quick back of the envelope calculation comes to about 8 billion GBP. And that doesn't mean the UK wouldn't need a grid - these systems are still grid connected. At best it would take a bit off the demand (since residential use is only a small portion of electrical consumption).

      These power grid guys have worked out how to deal with the fluctuations:

      Honestly, your argument is a promotional fluff piece for a battery storage supplier about a pilot project at 6 small sites? Wonderful talk about how they love the community, hug trees and save the environment? The question isn't whether it can be done - of course batteries can store energy, that's not at dispute here. The question is: is it economical? Small pilot projects mean nothing. You can spend a whole lifetime coming up with brilliant solutions to the wrong problems. Do the quantitative analysis, only then can you begin to grasp the scale of the problem.

    44. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by MrL0G1C · · Score: 1

      Re batteries, The purpose of the video is to show the potential of battery storage. Anti-renewables people like to claim there is no viable solution to the variability of wind and solar, clearly that isn't true.

      Re solar price, Yes there are subsidies for renewables, but those subsidies aren't even needed now, the payback for a roof solar system is about 6 years with subsidy and 12 years without. I can understand the initial reasoning for the generation subsidy but even I think that should be phased out with that information being clearly given.

      To reiterate, solar will still pay for itself without subsidy, solar panels are still 80 to 87% efficient after 25 years. ( http://energyinformative.org/l... )

      Tesla batteries work out to about $240 per Kwh. The implication there is that you could store a days worth of electricity for an average UK household in just $1608 (962gbp) worth of batteries. And battery technology is advancing rapidly, the cost is falling by 10-15% per year.

      --
      Waterfox - a Firefox fork with legacy extension support, security updates and better privacy by default.
    45. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by MrL0G1C · · Score: 1

      Higher than fossil fuel LCOE for wind, solar at utility level right now maybe but that is about to be consigned to history if one looks at the way costs are moving. Solar is already cheaper at the residential level (grid parity) in most of the world.

      Yes some companies might go bust, that's capitalism, like it or loathe it. But regardless, by the end of this decade renewables will be by far the cheapest method of electricity production and the video I linked shows is one of the many solutions to the intermittency of wind and solar, geothermal is another solution which could potentially supply 20% of Britain's electricity - more than is needed to support 100% renewable electricity generation. Hydro can also be used in a stop-start manner.

      Nuclear is expensive and getting more expensive, renewables is less expensive and getting a lot cheaper every year.

      --
      Waterfox - a Firefox fork with legacy extension support, security updates and better privacy by default.
    46. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by brambus · · Score: 1
      The LCOE for renewables is often times artificial, because it's kept low by tax subsidies, feed-in tariffs and outsourcing renewable intermittency to other power sources. This will disappear with higher penetration, as subsidies disappear and as the intermittency becomes a major drive behind the cost of the plant. If, for example, a wind farm were to account for the costs of buying, maintaining and running of its gas peaker backup plant, you'd see the LCOE run down the drain pretty damn quickly. Another problem is going to be generation curtailment as higher and higher peaks during production are going to be suppressed and the revenue generated there isn't going to get paid out.

      the video I linked shows is one of the many solutions to the intermittency of wind and solar

      The video you showed is just a feel-good fluff piece by a manufacturer with no quantitative data and cost analysis. If you were to really rely on this method alone and honestly account them to the renewable guys, they'd look terrible.
      For example, just last december Germany would have had a whole-grid shortfall of ~4.66TWh for about 4 days, had they built 5x as much wind & solar (for a combined capacity above 300GW - mind you, current nameplate installed generation capacity in Germany is only ~180GW). How much would just the raw batteries cost to hold that? A cool ~$1 trillion. That's about $25000 per household per decade (a German household is ~2 people), just to provide the backup needed to power the whole grid off of renewables. And that's before we get to the cost of the wind & solar installs & the grid upgrades needed to carry the often times >150GW spikes in generation.

    47. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      The question was not a question you where supposed to answer.
      It was a question where you where supposed to think!

      To clarify, I repeat the question: Why does germany still has so much wind power if the wind mill owners have to pay that one even takes that bloody wind power?

      Unfortunately your sources are not corretly interpreted, and your further explanations don't fit to the context.

      Look again to the question above!

      The correct answer you should have given is: "Erm, that is strange, that does not make sense!"
      Right! It does not make sense! So what is your conclusion? Hm? Hm?
      Hint: it is certainly not the owner of the Wind Mills who is selling his power for a negative price! So who is it?
      Wow, you see, simply copy pasting random sentences from 'studies' you don't understand, makes no sense (and glancing over the study, it is done by a undergrade student of economics ... I doubt she understand enough about the power market, but I keep that link and read it next days more deeply.

      Ah, yes: it is left for you to figure which 'participants' at the european energy spot markets come into situations where they 'voluntarily!' sell their power for a negative price, and why.

      But no fear: if no other european expert solvs the riddle for you, I answer it next days or in the next 'brain dead thread' why the european/german system 'can't work'.

      Hint: it is cheaper to sell power for a negative price than not producing and selling it ...... that is interesting, isn't it?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    48. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Nevertheless your conclusions where wrong, but I stand corrected for now about the percentage of gas contribution to german power (I will recheck it as the number sounds absurd high).

      However it decreased from 14% to 10% over three years, so 'cheap gas' as you proclaimed did not lead to an increase of power production via gas, as you proclaimed.

      So regardless of percentages: you are wrong :)

      So, now I have to figure who is producing electric power from gas ... peerhaps I can find a culprit :)

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    49. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      Just because there is more US coal in the market the worldwide coal prices go down regardless if it is all being bought by Germany or not.

      The 45.8% electricity generated from coal is the average over an entire semester. Yes there will be some days where wind and solar give you 50%. There will also be other days where it gives zilch. On average, in a semester, solar and wind generated 17.1% of total electricity requirements.

      6.3% of electricity in Germany is being generated using natural gas. So while the numbers are low it is not zero. In fact the more variable generators like wind and solar you have in a system the more backup hydroelectric and natural gas fired power plant backup peaking plant capacity you require in a grid.

      The absolute capacity of coal power production is dropping slightly but the total electric production dropped as well as industry moves to China and elsewhere. The fact is the coal power production is more or less stable and ready to increase in the middle term

    50. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by brambus · · Score: 1

      Hint: it is cheaper to sell power for a negative price than not producing and selling it ...... that is interesting, isn't it?

      It isn't, it's just pure horseshit. If cost of stopping manufacture is zero (as is the case for wind power), keeping the wind turbines running is pure nonsense, provided that grid stability isn't in danger. Running wind turbines isn't entirely free - it wears the machine out. Look, it's really no that not complicated: as long as the wholesale price does not drop below approx. -8ct/kWh to -5ct/kWh, they make money, simply on the feed-in-tariff. Remove that feed-in-tariff and they'll stop feeding in pretty damn quickly.

    51. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by MrL0G1C · · Score: 1

      The CLNR project is funded by Ofgemâ(TM)s Low Carbon Network Fund and electricity distribution network operator Northern Powergrid.

      Doesn't sound like a 'manufacturer' to me. The point was not to see if the particular project would be cheaper but more to investigate the effectiveness of different levels of storage and to have something concrete upon which to base future cost estimates. The cost today is not what the cost 2-5 years will be when the cost of battery storage and solar continue to plummet.

      Gas peaker electricity is very expensive, far higher than nuclear etc. I think it could easily be replaced by replacing hydro with wind, solar etc and then only using the hydro when wind output is low, geothermal is also ideal for this kind of situation, Germany is investing a lot in geothermal, hopefully that will bring down the price of that tech a lot.

      I agree that there is no magic simple just build a million solar panels and that's it done scenario. Yes, managing power grids is complicated, that doesn't mean that solar + wind +storage + hydro + geothermal etc can't make up 90%+ of the energy mix.

      Did the sun stop shining for 4 days, did geothermal potential disappear? Anyway I think it would cost a bit less than a $trillion and of note Germany are already spending about over $200,000,000,000 a year on electricity, so from a long term perspective a day or two of country size storage could be a good investment - after battery technology and price improves.

      Geothermal sources could supply Germany's electricity needs 600 times over,

      http://www.renewableenergyworl...

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    52. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      In fact the more variable generators like wind and solar you have in a system the more backup hydroelectric and natural gas fired power plant backup peaking plant capacity you require in a grid.
      That is nonsense.
      Now as we have some renewables to replace coal plants, we need more coal plants to adapt/adjust to the variability of the renewables? Why are the old coal plants not enough?

      but the total electric production dropped as well as industry moves to China and elsewhere.
      Srm, we talked about germany. Not about the USA. We don"t relocate work to China. And we reduce power consumption of existing industries. Obviously if the electric power consumption of a factory is reduced, the country produces less electric power.

      The fact is the coal power production is more or less stable and ready to increase in the middle term
      That is not a fact, but your perception/conclusion. And both is wrong.

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    53. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by brambus · · Score: 1

      Again, you need to read the words I wrote. That paragraph had dick-all to do with Germany. I explained it again and again. Here, read it again:

      I was referring to in my quote specifically address natural gas trading at the Dutch TTF, where many European countries trade, not just Germany

      So it doesn't matter if Germany were running its energy production on pixie dust, natural gas prices still have a significant on the whole-european market, which is what I was talking about.

      Nevertheless your conclusions where wrong

      You misunderstand the time frame and subject matter the article was talking about (winter, not summer, electricity, not heating fuel) and I'm the one who's wrong? God you're a joker.

    54. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Ah, you start to think, but you simply don't get the challenge? Is that a language barrier thing or simply comprehension?

      Ofc the wind mill owner is not selling his power for a negative price.

      However I really wonder what is so hard in grasping the concept.

      The rest of your post has nothing to do with the 'topic'.

      Start thinking out of the box ... so, again: who is it who is selling electric power for a negative price, and why?

      Rofl, you believe it is the feed in tariff, rofl. Cant you read? I proclaimed now several times: it is not the wind mill owner who sells electric energy for a negative price!!!
      So how do you come to the stupid idea the wind mill owner is nevertheless selling his power for -5 to -8 cent and makes profit via feed in tariffs???!!! Why do you insist on that? Why can't you take up the challenge: "Hm, assuming angel'o'sphere is right, what would be the reason that an (unknown) someone would sell power for a negative price (and equally interesting: who would buy it)?"

      Again, in case you need shouting: the wind mill owner sells its power either for the feed in tariff, or for MORE! He has no need to sell power for a negative price as he always gets minimum the feed in tariff, that is the reason why we have it by law :).
      So again:
      it can't be the wind mill owner who is selling it for a negative price!!!! (In fact wind mill owners get the full feed in tariff even if the grid operator has to disconnect them from the grid, they get payed for power they don't even feed in. Because it is the grid operators fault if he can not handle the power sources connected to his grid [whith whom he has a contract, to exactly do that].)

      The question remains: who is it and why ...

      Your complete chain of arguments makes no sense at all as you simply did not invest the time so far to actually understand how power grids (how the european power market) work(s), and hence all your conclusions and wild speculations are WRONG

      So keep your "pure horse shit" to yourself until you at least have grasped the basic concepts :)

      Final hint: the EU has 750 million inhabitants. The USA has 315. Obviously everything you claim "it can't work", "it will be doom in the near future", "it will be doom in the end" affects more than double the amount of people than living in the USA. The market (power market) and the rules for it, are set up since 20 years. Just because it is only since 5 years on /. you only recently noticed. So, thank you for your concern about negative energy prices :)
      Do you really think a country like France, or Italy had agreed to 'legislations' that define 'how the market' works, for 750 million citizens (approaching a billion soon if we expand as planned) if it does not work?
      Is that your conception how governments work and how multi national organizations with a supra national government work?

      Well, to be honest, your plus point is: you are not shouting that you are an (american) electric engineer (who has no clue how a long distance high voltage transportation grid works [in europe]), so there is still hope that you might learn.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    55. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by brambus · · Score: 1

      Doesn't sound like a 'manufacturer' to me.

      CLNR is a project of a grid operator, Northern Powergrid, British Gas (guess why they're there) and a couple of universities. The tech being displayed in the video is NEC Energy Solutions Inc: http://www.neces.com/index.htm

      It'd be like me posting videos to the nuclear plant Vogtle construction project and claiming that, "Nooo, Westinghouse sponsoring the video? How dare you even imply sir!" Of course manufacturers will sponsor sleek presentation videos, it makes them look good.

      I think it could easily be replaced by replacing hydro

      Hydro is already developed to ~75% in Germany, so pretty much maxed out.

      geothermal is also ideal for this kind of situation

      Extremely site- and capacity-limited and can also produce unintended consequences (like earthquakes) - geothermal essentially works like fracking and I think we both agree that that's not a good approach.

      that doesn't mean that solar + wind +storage + hydro + geothermal etc can't make up 90%+ of the energy mix.

      Of course it doesn't, it depends on the location and availability. Norway is 95%+ hydro, because they are sparsely populated and have lots of resources. Germany is the exact opposite - densely populated and with not many hydro resources. Iceland, meanwhile, is pretty small and basically a geothermal bomb, so naturally geothermal there is great and they've built it out like crazy. The problem is when you try to get high penetration of intermittent sources - that would be your wind & solar - that generate sporadically and cannot be dispatched on demand. If the wind & solar guys sort their intermittency & cost, go for it, but I don't see this happening any time soon because of the fundamental physics of it.

      Did the sun stop shining for 4 days

      In German & UK latitudes, the sun pretty much stops shining for about 1/2 of the year - there's no way around this, it's just orbital mechanics. While we perceive the days as pretty much similarly bright, it's simply because our eyes are logarithmically sensitive, but in fact the shallower insolation angle combined with shorter daytimes and increased precipitation and cloudiness means that the shortfall is significant. At that point you need to rely on wind, which though most strong during the colder seasons, can still have 1-2 week long periods of significant lulls (again, on order of 10x). So that necessitates either insane amounts of energy storage or a second, fairly inefficient "peaker", backup grid that you maintain just for this purpose.

      "Geothermal sources could supply Germany's electricity needs 600 times over," - Werner Bussmann, CEO of the German Geothermal Association

      Yeah, no possible reason to stretch the truth. Another reason to suspect he might have been a little overlight on the truth factor is that 4 years after that article had been written, geothermal electricity production in Germany didn't even amount to 0.1% of just the renewables. Geothermal for home heating in geologically-active places, sure, it can work - Iceland is the example. But for large-scale power production in dense continental areas like Germany it's just not going to work.

    56. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      No, that was mot what you where talking about.
      Hint: click 5 times back back back and read your own post.
      You claimed: as gas prices are collapsing at the Dutch TTF, obviously Germany is producing more power with cheap gas, and that produces CO2 (contradicting its plans to reduce CO2)
      I pointed out (wrong in an order of magnitude) that we don't produce much power from gas, and in later posts I pointed out, the total production of power from has was reduced previous 3 years by nearly one third.
      So your strange conclusion Germany is producing more power from gas and hence saves coal and hence is still producing CO2: simply was wrong

      And now you are coming back the article all the time ... I did not read the article, I did mot comment on it. I commented on your conclusions. I don't care about it. I care about your conclusions. I pointed out your conclusions are not fitting. If you want to insist that the article is right, sure, perhaps it is, why not, I don't care. Your conclusion remains wrong. That was my point. And I explained those points now in 4 or 5 posts.

      --
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    57. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by brambus · · Score: 1

      No, that was mot what you where talking about.

      Mind reading again?

      You claimed: as gas prices are collapsing at the Dutch TTF, obviously Germany is producing more power with cheap gas.

      I dare you to quote me to this effect. You won't be able to do it, because nowhere in that paragraph did I refer to Germany, nor to an increase of gas use, nor to an increase in gas use in Germany.

      So your strange conclusion Germany is producing more power from gas and hence saves coal and hence is still producing CO2: simply was wrong

      At no point did I claim that Germany, or anybody is using more natural gas than coal. What I did claim is that the reduction in wholesale electricity price is due in significance to cheap gas.

      I did not read the article, I did mot comment on it.

      Then how the fuck can you comment on my conclusions, when my conclusions are drawn from an article you didn't even read. How can you honestly claim I'm wrong, when you haven't even examined my data?

      I pointed out your conclusions are not fitting.

      Not fitting what? Your dreams? Perhaps.

      Your conclusion remains wrong.

      And to support your claim of me being wrong you present: dick-all evidence. No analysis of market data, just one data point that's wrong by an order of magnitude; and a complete misunderstanding of the time frame of the events discussed. You didn't even understand the point I was making, because you didn't read what I was responding to. Your ineptitude at debate is bewildering.

    58. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Well,,then keep your children off from your computer:
      http://slashdot.org/comments.p...
      Or who ever abused your good name, good day.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    59. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by MrL0G1C · · Score: 1

      I disagree about the video, your video is about power generation, the video I posted is about the grid and ensuring supply when there is the complication of clusters of residential solar having been installed.

      Can't say that I believed the "Geothermal sources could supply Germany's electricity needs 600 times over" statement, but Germany seems to have much better solar potential than Britain.

      Agreed, geothermal is well suited for community heating.

      geothermal electricity production in Germany didn't even amount to 0.1% of just the renewables.

      Got to start somewhere, Photovoltaics went from 0.6GWh in 1990 to 28,000GWh in 2012, the last 2 decades of investment are starting to pay off now.

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    60. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by brambus · · Score: 1

      I disagree about the video, your video is about power generation

      The subject matter is inconsequential, what matters is the relation of the manufacturer to the maker of the video, which is obviously at conflict here.

      Can't say that I believed the "Geothermal sources could supply Germany's electricity needs 600 times over" statement

      Then don't quote them and link to them, as that implies you agree with that. Anyway, glad we cleared that up.

      Germany seems to have much better solar potential than Britain.

      Germany has varied potential. The north is pretty poor, comparable to the UK, whereas the south is modestly better (though nowhere near as much as mediterranean countries). However, the suitability for an intermittent source is less important. What's more important is whether it can be used to construct a grid at large scale and with a decent fraction of generation and for wind & solar that is, as yet, quite uncertain. If the storage or backup question is sorted, then the answer is a cautious "maybe yes", because many more pieces need to fall in place for it happen (e.g. sourcing of materials for and disposal of solar panels, grid control infrastructure, market strategies for storage units, etc.).
      At present, however, it remains largely unsolved, with Germany simply curtailing other dispatchable load sources or selling off the excess, often at a loss, to foreign markets. This will hit an inflection point pretty soon as renewables start to reach 100% grid demand in peak production times, which by my estimates it's going to happen when overall generation from wind & solar hits around 20-25% overall production (ATM it's lower because of hydro & biomass produce ~35% of the RE share and ~10% of the total share), as that appears to be the relation between average output and peak output (roughly linked to the capacity factor, about 3:1 for wind and about 7:1 for solar PV in general).
      When this situation kicks in, you're going to start to see ever increasing frequency of wind & solar generation curtailment by grid operators to keep the grid stable and that's when the real weeping and gnashing of teeth is going to start, as curtailed generation is lost revenue for the respective generators. That is not to say that legislative remedies for this situation don't exist - you can always call it a case of insufficient transport capacity to neighboring countries for export and just collect your feed-in-tariff anyway, which obviously puts a big grin on the faces of wind & solar generator operators, but it's at the expense of the rate and tax payers (essentially paying for energy nobody needed in the first place) and it only delays the eventual problem slightly when neighboring countries get saturated and start saying "no more".
      Ultimately, though, I don't worry about the rich west. We can afford to overpay for lots of stuff, rig our food prices, build out expensive infrastructure and essentially pay for toys. We're just the top 1 billion who can afford such games. I worry about the other 6, soon to be 7 billion who are getting the hell out of poverty, increasing their energy demand and do so by buy burning the cheapest fuels (which will only get cheaper by us avoiding to use them), the environmental consequences be damned.

    61. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by catprog · · Score: 1

      if the feed in tariff is 3c . Then so long as the operator can sell power for more then -2.9c he will do so.

      (possibly even -3.1 if their was a cost in shutting down)

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    62. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by catprog · · Score: 1

      Unless you still have to pay the 12/KWh for your usage.

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    63. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by MrL0G1C · · Score: 1

      âoeAnd worldwide subsidies for fossil fuels remain six times higher than economic incentives for renewables.â
      http://www.iea.org/newsroomand...

      If we stopped that then we would see a cleaner energy mix, the west's subsidies of fossil fuels helps bring down fossil fuel prices for everyone.

      I agree that increasing renewables will stabilise the price of fossil fuels whilst most are predicting sharp rises in fossil prices, but then Russia and the middle east hold over 2/3rds of the worlds gas supply so we should be careful not to be too dependant on gas, the UK only has 3 years worth of reserves left now / we are importing about half of our gas.

      Half the worlds population won't leave poverty anytime soon if we keep controlling the markets with futures and companies like Nestle and Lever who don't give a crap if people die due to their products and practices. We control 'developing' countries with WTO rules and world bank loans, whilst we don't practice what we preach (subsidies).

      Whether or not the grids curtail solar and wind energy is typically a governmental choice rather than a grid operator choice. If your objective is to cut CO2 and fossil imports then it makes sense to take every bit of renewable energy available and only fire up the fossils to fill the gaps. The situation may reach a point where the govt will have to pay some generators to maintain idling equipment as a backup. As wind and solar reach the point where they can exist without subsidy, those subsidies can be moved to geothermal and battery/energy storage R&D.

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    64. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by MrL0G1C · · Score: 1

      IDK why residential consumers aren't offered variable rates that match grid electricity supply cost more closely, like economy-7 on steroids. Car-charging, washing machines, dryers, dishwashers and storage heaters can all be timed. A more revolutionary idea would be to have the grid signal these devices to turn them on (in a staggered manner).

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    65. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by brambus · · Score: 1

      Because quite frankly residential users are too unattentive to care about such details as when to run their devices. And even if the devices could be staggered, all that does is smooth out the very peaks of the load curve and even then only gently. You need to consider that residential electricity use is only ~25% of all electricity use. The rest is business and industry and you're not going to tell a car plant to stop production for a few days - they've got tight production and purchase schedules and any slow downs or stops there cost the plant millions. Electric arc furnaces that recycle steel & aluminum can easily exceed a few hundred MWs (that's a rate of power consumption almost like a large city) and these guys have already taken all economically sensible measures for efficiency (since power is the second largest item on their cost structure, right after the raw materials) and they can't stop either, because they've got train loads of the stuff coming in and out daily. Public lighting can't power off, we need it for safety.
      Put simply, industry puts a hard limit on what can be realistically curtailed on the load side, so even if you were able to control residential use entirely, you'd only get the load curve down by ~10-15% - nowhere near enough to solve the intermittency issue.

    66. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      Renewables are highly variable and you need backup peaking power plant capacity including natural gas fired power plants and hydroelectric to cover production shortfalls which you would otherwise not require if you were using a baseload plant be it coal or nuclear. Coal and nuclear power plants cannot ramp electric production up or down quickly to cover renewable shortfalls.

      You are deluding yourself if you think part of the German industry is not being lost to places like China. Just ask Grundig, Telefunken, Krups, how well their businesses are going. As for automobiles currently the German industry is safe in Europe thanks a lot of protectionist laws preventing car imports which were originally designed to prevent competition by Japanese car manufacturers. Even then the Chinese will not be happy just with importing vehicles from Germany forever, while the Japanese already control most of the US car market.

    67. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      That makes no sense.

      What operator do you mean? The plant operator? If the feed in tariff is 3c, WHY SHOULD he sell for less? Actually: he cant sell for less! The grid operator will pay him the feed in tariff.

      The only one who can sell power for any price is a power plant that is not bound to feed in tariffs but is operating at the free market. If a wind plant e.g. would relinquish the feed in tariff and would operate at the free market e.g., why would it want to sell power for a negative price? (HINT: it won't get a feed in tariff now, obviously, but the price it is asking for).

      As I said in other posts: it is not the wind plant that sells power for a negative price. So if it is not he wind plant ,who else can it be? Obviously only a fossil plant or a nuclear plant. A no brainer. And with that hint it should be easy for anyone with a little bit of understanding how power plants work to figure when and why such plant operators might consider to sell power for a negative price (to other power companies, not to end customers)

      So if you can not figure it, ask later again :D

      --
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    68. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Renewables are highly variable and you need backup peaking power plant capacity including natural gas fired power plants and hydroelectric
      No you don't. First of all during the transition to renewables, you still have the old plants. So you most definitely don't need an extra new plant for the new renewable you have built.
      Second, you simply back up one renewable plant with another renewable plant. At least that is how we do it.
      Third: the variability you fear is overrated.

      would otherwise not require if you were using a baseload plant be it coal or nuclear.
      A base load plant can not be used to "back up" a renewable plant. They run at a fixed output which is usually at the edge of 90%. As so many /. ers you don't know what base load actually is.

      You are deluding yourself if you think part of the German industry is not being lost to places like China.
      Ah, now it is parts. Sure China is taking over markets, but that does not necessarily mean that Germanies industry is either cut down or "migrating" to China.
      As for automobiles currently the German industry is safe in Europe thanks a lot of protectionist laws preventing car imports which were originally designed to prevent competition by Japanese car manufacturers
      That is complete nonsense, there never was any protective law to prevent car imports. It would be against any "fair trade" agreement anyway.

      --
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    69. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by catprog · · Score: 1

      I think I see the confusion.

      Wholesale price = -2.5c + feed in tariff 3c = .5c profit.

      I was calculating the feed in tariff separate from the wholesale price.

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    70. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      No, you are even more confused.

      Either you sell the energy to the spot market, or you sell it for the feed in tariff. You can not have both, or you would basically sell the energy twice.

      There is no "wholesales price".

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    71. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by catprog · · Score: 1

      I see, that is different then what I thought it was like.

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    72. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Well, now as that is settled.

      Indeed to much wind leads worst case to negative energy prices, but there are plenty of other reasons that can cause that. Note: not for typical customers, but at the spot market (works like a stock market, companies put there buy and sell orders for power and power transmissions)

      So, e.g. I plan to run a coal plant for 18 hours at 4GW and the other 6h of the day at 2GW. In the middle of that 18h period I have to buy wind because there is overproduction of wind (as a grid operator I'm obliged to buy the wind power, hence I pay the feed in tariff). Lets say I'm now producing 2GW to much power with my coal plant, I have only two options: ramp the plant down ... which goes relatively slowly ... have it run on lower capacity for a while and then ramp it up again *OR* I can sell the power, if there is a buyer.

      Power deals work like shares at a stock market, however you usually combine a few deals, e.g. a power deal and a transportation deal.
      So, now it is only a question of "costs" due to ramping down and ramping up the plant versus simply producing "to much" energy for 2h. As long as it is cheaper to sell the excess energy for -2c per kW/h than to power down and power up the plant, I rather sell it.

      Keep in mind, such deals are done "amoung friends". That means one power company is buying power from another one. The typical situation is, that a "transportation grid operator" has to much power (of course also power producers may have to much for various reasons, e.g. a steel plant is not taking the power it has ordered because of a malfunction/accident). That means if I sell you today lots of power for a negative price, very likely YOU or someone else will sell ME in a few days similar power. Also negative priced ... but ofc everything will be likely different, total amount and time of day etc.)

      In the long run that means those negative price deals equal each other out and no one really has a loss (except those guys who got beaten at the market because they could not compete with a negative price).

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    73. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      That is complete nonsense, there never was any protective law to prevent car imports. It would be against any "fair trade" agreement anyway.

      Typical German delusion. The truth is free trade for you, concede in things like apparel, footwear and other things you scarcely manufacture in the first place and screw anyone trying to get into your automotive and machine tool markets.

      http://www.autonews.com/articl...
      http://europe.autonews.com/art...

      First it was the informal quotas - 'voluntary' agreements that lasted for decades and kept Japanese car sales in western Europe capped at 10 to 15 percent of the market.

      In other words the Japanese had their sales capped at 10 to 15% of the market in Europe for years.

      When they built UK transplants in the late 1980s and early 1990s their share seemed certain to grow. Who knew that the pound would strengthen and that Britain would weaken as an industrial base?

      In other words the Japanese were then FORCED to build plants in the EU to be able to sell cars in the EU.

      Then there are the tricks companies like Volkswagen play in the European market. Where they finance car sales via their own bank which has lower interest rates than the rest of the Eurozone and can do this without currency transfers or bank transfer fees like an Asian manufacturer would need to do. In other words they sales are being inflated by German interest rates.

      German car sales are no miracle. If the protections came down their sales would come down as well.

      http://www.globalpost.com/disp...

      During the five-day talks -- a key session before the European Union's review in April of whether Tokyo has made progress in eliminating trade barriers -- abolition of EU tariffs on Japanese automobiles was also a main topic of discussion.

      The review, a year after the negotiations began, will be conducted to decide whether to continue the free trade talks based on how much effort Japan has made to eliminate nontariff barriers, especially in the railway sector.

      The two sides agreed earlier to exchange proposals on scrapping or lowering tariffs at an early date. A senior Japanese government official has said that they were striving to exchange offers by April.

      Japan, which wants to expand its auto exports to the European Union, plans to propose scrapping tariffs on EU wine in stages so it can draw a concession from the 28-country bloc in the automobile sector.

    74. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      Here more:
      http://uk.reuters.com/article/...

      Japanese companies export about 500 billion yen (3.16 billion pounds) of auto parts to the EU every year and are charged about 3-4.5 percent in tariffs by the EU, according to the business daily.

      The EU offered a 90 percent tariff elimination except the 10 percent duty on automobiles and 14 percent on LCD televisions, according to the newspaper.

    75. Re:Falling energy prices and weak demand? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      So trade tariffs are an 'law to prevent imports'? Wow, you have a strange idea what laws are.
      Perhaps you should invest some time to figure what goods are tariffed/tolled in Japan instead of riding in your strange idea about 'the EU prevents/limits Japanese car manufactures in selling cars in europe' even the links in you other posts don't make sense.
      A trade agreement, based on whatever, is not a limitation by law.
      Next try?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  5. Which? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    And the energy companies, already feeling the pinch from falling energy prices and weak demand

    Closing the older nuclear plants is not an option for many EU countries, which are facing an energy capacity crunch

    Wait, which is it, is there too much electricity or not enough?

    1. Re:Which? by MRe_nl · · Score: 2

      I read it as "as other types of plants (i.e. Coal) are being closed or mothballed because they can't cover their operating costs, or to meet stricter environmental regulation".

      i.e. "there's not enough clean energy being produced and some of the older other (non-nuclear) types of plants are as dirty/dirtier than nuclear"?

      --
      "Kill 'em all and let Root sort 'em out"
    2. Re:Which? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Actually, there is to much power. Much to much.
      There are some strong exporters, depending on time of year and daytime, like Swizerland, Germany, Denmark and Norway, also some eastern countries that especially deliver power when they already are at peak and the west is at 10:00 in the morning.

      Since a few years, nearly two decades, the neighbours started to build up plants for export as well. During the time when the European spot market and all the market rules got forged.

      Meanwhile many countries either have a huge overcapacity, noteable Germany (over 25% of peak) and France, but also the above noted nations, or they have a huge volatile renewable share, like Denmark, Portugal and Spain (ofc also Germany).

      That means the overproduction which France or Swizerland has gets a very strong competition from Portugal, Denmark, Spain and Germany when exception good wind and solar situations kick in. Like a sunny and also windy day in lets say octobre or january. Wind means Portugal and Denmark and Germany push huge amounts of wind power on the market, solar means Spain and Germany, and to a noticeable extend Swizerland is pushing energy on the market.

      If both is combined, which is happening more and more often, conventional plants have to be shut down or idle.

      Mini introduction: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=... ... which offers interesting 'side links'.

      France 'silently' :) has meanwhile up to 10% of its peak load (on good days ofc) covered with wind and solar as well.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  6. Article tries to condemn nuclear, fails by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "Closing the older nuclear plants is not an option for many EU countries, which are facing an energy capacity crunch as other types of plant are being closed or mothballed because they can't cover their operating costs, or to meet stricter environmental regulation."

    In short: While nuclear isn't perfect, it currently sucks less than any other alternative available.

    (Renewables just aren't scalable enough yet.)

    --
    retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    1. Re:Article tries to condemn nuclear, fails by gurps_npc · · Score: 2, Informative
      No. Let me correct that bit of foolishness on your part.

      While nuclear isn't perfect, the paranoia about potential nuclear accidents means it isn't commercially viable.

      In fact, coal processing has killed more humans from radioactivity than nuclear power in the United States and also in the world.

      Also, hydro electric dams destroy and threaten to destroy a greater ecological area than nuclear power plants do.

      The problem with nuclear power is simple ignorance. Most people don't understand it, and basically just think: Nuclear? as in the bombs? I don't want that in my back yard.

      Coal is a far worse fuel. But it's deaths are spread out over the entire world and over decades, rather than all together in one lump sum. Moreover, when we have a coal accident, it kills the wildlife, while when we have a nuclear accident, it creates a wildlife preserve that the animals love: http://www.nytimes.com/2014/05...

      --
      excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
    2. Re:Article tries to condemn nuclear, fails by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 2

      > While nuclear isn't perfect, the paranoia about potential nuclear accidents means it isn't commercially viable.

      That, or maybe...

      1) the $7.60/W CAPEX, which is over seven times that of wind or natural gas
      2) the multi-year lead times which means significant economic risk in an era of they-can-only-go-up interest rates
      3) construction costs that invariably go very very wrong and leave the investors holding the bag
      4) banks which have been watching all of this for 40 years and consider it to be a toxic investment

      Yeah, or maybe it's a bunch of patchouli scented long-hairs that are keeping the industry down. Like they way they kept down hi way construction, urban sprawl and whale hunting. Its a sad comment on an industry who's own supporters claim it's been brought to its knees by a group that can't get a job at Starbucks.

    3. Re:Article tries to condemn nuclear, fails by cheesybagel · · Score: 0

      The major reason for the large capital expenditure of nuclear power is that a lot of reactors are quite large and need expensive containment. There are proposals to build modular reactors which would address this problem like the South African Pebble Bed Modular Reactor. The Chinese also have some projects like that.

      Hydropower also is a large capital expenditure generation method and just like nuclear it ends up being cheap in the long run.

      Nuclear fuel prices are going to crash down even further as centrifuge separation becomes commonplace while the maintenance costs are also much less with increased plant automation requiring much less people to operate the plant.

    4. Re:Article tries to condemn nuclear, fails by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > The major reason for the large capital expenditure of nuclear power is that a lot
      > of reactors are quite large and need expensive containment.

      Too true.

      > There are proposals to build modular reactors

      Proposals. When someone bends metal, let be know.

      > Hydropower also is a large capital expenditure

      Not even close. Excluding China for the simple reason that I don't believe either their accounting or their exchange rates, the last two hydro super-projects were Itaipu and La Grande, which both came in just over $1 a watt, ~$1.20 for Itaipu and a little less for La Grande. This is no small feat considering the locations of both. Of course they were built before concrete doubled in price, but even considering that they would be *far far* less expensive than any Gen III reactor. Grand Inga is budgeted at $80 billion, around $2/W, based on the latest materials costs.

    5. Re:Article tries to condemn nuclear, fails by riverat1 · · Score: 0

      The problem with nuclear power is simple ignorance. Most people don't understand it, and basically just think: Nuclear? as in the bombs? I don't want that in my back yard.

      The problem with nuclear power is the cost. It's more expensive than most other ways of producing electrical power and unlike solar and wind which still have a downward price curve nuclear is getting more expensive.

    6. Re:Article tries to condemn nuclear, fails by MrL0G1C · · Score: 1

      I've been modded troll for debating against nuclear before, recommend you contact admin, that's a dirty way to try to win an argument.

      You are right of course, 5 years from now the debate will be over. Solar reached grid parity for 99% of the worlds residential populations - 105 countries 2 years ago.

      Married with geothermal and up and coming mass storage technologies, renewables will take the market - money talks.

      --
      Waterfox - a Firefox fork with legacy extension support, security updates and better privacy by default.
    7. Re:Article tries to condemn nuclear, fails by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "In fact, coal processing has killed more humans from radioactivity than nuclear power in the United States and also in the world. "

      That's nonsense. It's lost in the background of natural sources. It sounds all scary if you talk about so much uranium or thorium suspended in the atmosphere from coal ash, but given that the Earth already has plenty of those radioactive elements all over its surface in dust and rocks, and there is great variation due to bedrock type and altitude, it's a miniscule drop in the bucket whether you're talking about routine operation of a nuclear power plant or routine operation of a coal fired plant. There's no significant difference in routine operation. They dump out similar amounts of diferent types of radioactive materials, and the effect is very, very small. Where the difference occurs is in the event of an accident. If a coal-fired plant blows up, there won't be an orders of magnitude pulse in radiation, including isotopes that biological systems accumulate like strontium-90.

      There are lots of valid reasons for discouraging coal-fired plants versus nuclear ones rather than this silly argument.

    8. Re:Article tries to condemn nuclear, fails by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In fact, coal processing has killed more humans from radioactivity than nuclear power in the United States and also in the world.

      And nuclear will do that for another 240.000 years until Pu, U, etc are gone. Think again.

    9. Re:Article tries to condemn nuclear, fails by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the support but I don't care much about how someone mods me. Besides my karma's been pegged on excellent for longer than I can remember. I've considered starting to troll just to see how long it would take to drop it back down but I'm not a troll at heart :)

      It always surprises me how the nuclear power fanboi's are so unrealistic about the cost of nuclear power. I'm not against nuclear power per se but unless they can cut the cost by more than half and still operate safely they don't have much of a chance to compete against oncoming renewable power sources.

      It will be interesting to see how it all shakes out once (if?) they complete the new nuclear power plants in Georgia and South Carolina.

    10. Re:Article tries to condemn nuclear, fails by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Coal processing has not killed more than mining uranium by "processing", those agrs old myths are debunked since 30 years.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    11. Re:Article tries to condemn nuclear, fails by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      You also have the problem of location. Implied by cooling.
      Basically, if you shut of an old plant, there likely is only the option to build the new one right besides it (rivers have not enough water in summer to cool that many plants). Germany at least has no safe options left, after meanwhile 'everyone' knows that ALL our plants are in seismic dangerous places. Except you perhaps want to try the russian idea and have 'special' nuclear reactor ships in the sea. For germany that would mean: instead of having not enough grid capacity to transport ALL of the wind power from north to south: we won't have enough grid capacity to transport the nuclear power, ouch!

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    12. Re:Article tries to condemn nuclear, fails by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Closing the older nuclear plants is not an option for many EU countries, which are facing an energy capacity crunch as other types of plant are being closed or mothballed because they can't cover their operating costs, or to meet stricter environmental regulation."

      In short: While nuclear isn't perfect, it currently sucks less than any other alternative available.

      If by "sucks less" you mean has lower marginal cost you are right. Ofcourse, if you have to decide whether building new plants of a certain type makes sense it is the levelized cost which matters and nuclear totally sucks with respect to this. And this is the true reason nobody invests in nuclear. (ofcourse, nuclear fanboys here have all kinds of other conspiracy theories why this is the case)

      (Renewables just aren't scalable enough yet.)

      Not sure what you mean. Germany has 30% renewables. And no, the grid is not unstable (although there are challenges). Pumped-storage is underutilized (because solar matches demand quite well). And it is certainly easier to scale renewables beyond that level than nuclear. Even for baseload nuclear is not really economical, scaling it beyond baseload does not make sense at all.

    13. Re:Article tries to condemn nuclear, fails by Uecker · · Score: 1

      Give it up. The nuclear fanboys on slashdot will not believe it.

      The nuclear industry itself states that this is the reason they don't build nuclear power plants (John Rowe):
      http://www.bloomberg.com/video...

    14. Re:Article tries to condemn nuclear, fails by gurps_npc · · Score: 1

      Your information is correct for plants built in the 1970s It is incorrect for modern plants built using everything we learned from Russia, Japan, etc.

      --
      excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
    15. Re:Article tries to condemn nuclear, fails by gurps_npc · · Score: 1

      Your information is correct for plants built in the 1970s It is incorrect for modern plants built using everything we learned from Russia, Japan, etc.

      --
      excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
    16. Re:Article tries to condemn nuclear, fails by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      No. Let me correct that bit of foolishness on your part.

      And allow me to educate you a bit.

      While nuclear isn't perfect, the paranoia about potential nuclear accidents means it isn't commercially viable.

      In the US the Nuclear industry requires legislative constructs, like the Price Anderson Act and provisions in the 2005 Energy act to cover its liability, as insurance companies won't touch it. Coupled with decommissioning costs, the very ones all of these reactors in the actual topic of this discussion refers to, further lessens its commercially viable.

      The peer reviewed science regarding the net energy return of the entire nuclear industry using industrial standard measurements for industrial activity shows a net loss. This is because the current nuclear industry extracts, at best, in operational commercial reactors, 0.3% of the energy contained in nuclear fuel before reactors can no longer use them as fuel. Wall street knows this and knows it is a poor investment.

      Of course there are there out there who will pipe up with the 'but breeders argument' when they actually mean to talk about burners, then IFR blah blah. To which I will answer that materials technology for those reactors do not exist and whilst I support development for, it isn't viable for the same reasons, and more, that makes existing reactor technology not commercially viable. Decommissioning the reactor after a paltry 40-60 years service for a fuel whose fissile ash is radioactive, and highly toxic for 600years*20 half lives.

      In fact, coal processing has killed more humans from radioactivity than nuclear power in the United States and also in the world.

      Well as the IAEA has interdiction rights over WHO publications in all matter nuclear, worldwide, that claim has very little credibility.

      I'd be happy to review any credible data you have to link cancer to the natural radioisotopes from the coal industry. So which radio isotopes does the coal industry emit and what micro-nutrients they analogue? The coal industry should be controlling their effluents as much as the nuclear industry should be controlling theirs however it is a simple matter of physics that a chemical fire from coal cannot create enriched radioisotopes.

      No one can link the enriched radioisotopes from the nuclear industry to cancer deaths because funding for the science to know what to look for was cut. An absence of data on how many deaths the nuclear industry has caused simply means the data wasn't collected. The *fact* is we don't know how many deaths the nuclear industry is causing. The fact is radioisotopes are in the environment. The fact is radio isotopes present as micro nutrients to metabolisms. The fact is they bio-accumulate. The fact is they cause cancer. The fact is they do genetic damage. The fact is the decay in geological timeframes.

      This constant attempt to maneuver the argument to deflect criticism of the nuclear industry "because coal is so bad" is so old and tired now. Coal *is* bad, coal sux, coal kills coal blah blah - I completely agree - Nuclear is still worse because the decay rate of radioisotopes, bio-accumulation, cancer, genetic damage over decades to thousands of years is poorly understood by our I want everything now! modern man mentality.

      Also, hydro electric dams destroy and threaten to destroy a greater ecological area than nuclear power plants do.

      Chernobyl made approximately 3650sqKm uninhabitable, I suppose Fukushimas destruction of ocean biology doesn't count. We get it Hydro bad, forests drowned, wild life displaced, villages immersed - Nuclear is STILL worse. Dams don't cause thousands of years of genetic damage to the environment, they cause stoned fools in boats to go fishing and skiing on an artificial lake.

      The problem with nuclear power is simple ignorance.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    17. Re:Article tries to condemn nuclear, fails by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      We'll see how it goes for those two new Vogtle plants. They're already charging their customers in Georgia over $10/month to help pay for them even though it's years until they come online.

    18. Re:Article tries to condemn nuclear, fails by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Germany's electricity production in the first 7 months of 2014 is 9.6% wind, 7.5% solar, 10.1% biomass and 3.8% hydro. To achieve this pitiful amount of wind and solar production, Germany has 34.6GW of nameplate wind capacity and 37.4GW of nameplate solar capacity, more than any other category of power producers. Despite this, 7.5GW of biomass generates more electricity than either wind or solar, while 12GW of nuclear produces slightly less electricity than wind and solar combined. To say nothing of dirty coal.

      Given the resources Germany has invested so far and the results so far (barely 17% of electricity, >400 g/kwhr CO2 emissions) it's clear that intermittent resources cannot scale. To reach 100% of average electricity usage would require a nameplate capacity for wind and solar of more than 350GW and that would still require reliable backup, which in Germany means coal.

    19. Re:Article tries to condemn nuclear, fails by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      Renewables just aren't scalable enough yet

      I don't know why some people continue to repeat this statement. The technology alone is plenty scalable.

      If you mean some of these things though:
      1. We would need to invest in more energy storage mechanisms (pumped hydro, molten salt, batteries, etc..)
      2. Aspects of our energy grid need updating to more efficiently and easily handle fluctuations in power generation.
      3. etc...

      Well then yeah... it isn't perfectly scalable like existing power generation is, but wind farms, solar arrays, etc.. by themselves are perfectly capable of scaling in energy output to well beyond our current needs. Some countries are already nearing 50% renewable energy use right now. And Didn't Germany have 1 day of 100% renewable use just recently?

      Renewable are ready right now. It will take local, state, and federal governmental commitments over a period of time (not one election cycle) to implement them properly though. And yes it will cost money to do right, and no it won't bankrupt the country or cause electricity prices to go crazy. Slow, steady, even paced change. They problem we have now though, is a lot of people continue to through out blanket statements like:

      Renewables just aren't scalable enough yet

      And unfortunately about half our current Congress critters either believe that, don't care, think God will handle everything, or would prefer to keep getting big fat election checks from the current energy companies.

      Renewables are a non-starter if we don't attempt to even start.

      Despite that, my state of Oregon is currently generating ~14% of its electricity from wind, with a goal of 25% combine renewable use by 2025. Others states are also pushing ahead, despite "renewables not being ready" according to half of slashdot.

  7. Elderly Nuclear Plants? by JWSmythe · · Score: 4, Funny

    I didn't know nuclear plants were powered by the elderly. They told me grandma passed, and was in a better place. No one said that was inside a reactor.

    --
    Serious? Seriousness is well above my pay grade.
    1. Re:Elderly Nuclear Plants? by Type44Q · · Score: 4, Funny

      Soylent voltage?

    2. Re:Elderly Nuclear Plants? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hear, Hear, Grandmapocalypse is near!
      Don't click the cookie! Close your portals to the cookie dimension!

    3. Re:Elderly Nuclear Plants? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, you idiot Elderly Nuclear Plants are radiative house plants that the elderly own. The elderly get them out of spite knowing if they get cancer it won't really matter to them, but they can ruin things for the younger generation. Once they pass away, someone has to care for these plants. It's a serious problem.

    4. Re: Elderly Nuclear Plants? by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

      Only if you're in a nuclear family.

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
    5. Re:Elderly Nuclear Plants? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Too late for me. Grandma's cookies are something I've always had a Jones for.

  8. mdsolar has posted another anti-nuke submission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Let's keep this in perspective. It was submitted by mdsolar.

  9. Oh look, it's mdsolar by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Either this is a "true believer" who worships and genuflects on PV panels, or a fossil fuel industry astroturfer. Did we really need another fact free FUD fest on this subject? In either case, his claims need to be taken very critically. I don't see any reasonable hope that mankind's energy needs can be met with only PV and other "renewable" sources. The numbers do not add up. Look up the French Revolution for an example of pretending that politics > math.

    Bottom line: Until the last coal plant is shuttered, nuclear power needs to be a major, perhaps THE major, source of electricity if we care to preserve a global ecosystem even faintly resembling that of pre-industrial times.

    1. Re:Oh look, it's mdsolar by MRe_nl · · Score: 2

      Although I largely agree with your skepticism (and am intrigued by the sentence "Look up the French Revolution for an example of pretending that politics > math",would you care to expound on that?), I think your view lacks the perspective of the vast improvements that can be achieved with efficiency/ economy/ frugality.
      http://www.energyrealities.org/chapter/meeting-our-needs/item/per-capita-energy-consumption/erp327B7C729A3B31D2B
      A relatively simple ten percent reduction in the top ten energy using countries would alleviate a massive amount of necessary production.

      --
      "Kill 'em all and let Root sort 'em out"
    2. Re:Oh look, it's mdsolar by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      The reason why the west is in trouble is because we became dependent on singular sources of energy. America at one time was at 75% dependant on Coal, though we are now, below 40% coal and dropping (America will be below 25% coal by 2020).
      Europe, as a whole, actually hit over 80% coal, and still remains over 50% coal. However, with the situation with Russia, coal is expected to jump again.
      China is currently at around 80% coal (and it is GROWING, not shrinking).

      What these show, is that when you make a SINGULAR source be your energy, you do not have the capability to remove it fast.
      What is needed is a diversified energy matrix, in which no singular source is above 33%, if not 25%.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    3. Re:Oh look, it's mdsolar by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      See here.

    4. Re: Oh look, it's mdsolar by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      there is one sentence in your comment thats says: "it is impossible for me to live off-grid." maybe because you are a energy hog?
      the point is that if you could live off-grid then you could remove the battery banks and convert to on-grid and be completely neutral.
      it is important to remember to not just give up and keep lining the pockets of "world destroyers".
      solar pv on-grid is very simple. you can ignore the latest iPhone for 600 us dollars, continue to use your old phone for one more year and instead buy a complete 500 watt pv system, panels, cables, inverter and all.
      but I guess ... it just impossible.

  10. Better than building new ones! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yes, operating and maintaining old nuclear reactors with outdated designs prone to meltdown is certainly safer than building new ones using better designs with more fault tolerance, and everything we've learned about nuclear disasters in the last 30 years. /sarcasm

    1. Re: Better than building new ones! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's no such thing as a meltdown prone nuclear reactor. We've had 4 or 5 meltdowns in the last 45 years, and there are hundreds of reactors.

    2. Re:Better than building new ones! by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      It is if the cost of the raw materials has doubled in the last couple of years.

      http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/WPU132?data_tool=XGtable
      http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/WPU1321?data_tool=XGtable
      http://www.infomine.com/investment/metal-prices/copper/all/

    3. Re: Better than building new ones! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's no such thing as a meltdown prone nuclear reactor. We've had 4 or 5 meltdowns in the last 45 years, and there are hundreds of reactors.

      http://www.fact-index.com/l/li/list_of_nuclear_accidents.html

      I had to press PgDn 7 times to get over this list of nuclear accidents and that's until year 2000. (No Fukushima included)
      Reality is closer to 1 accident per reactor then to your statistics.

  11. Failure of the 20th-Century Environmental Movement by PvtVoid · · Score: 5, Insightful

    For all of the laudable successes of the Environmental Movement in the late 20th Century (e.g. bans on DDT and chlorofluorocarbons, regulations to reduce sulphur dioxide emissions, habitat preservation), the anti-nuclear movement has to count as one of its great failures. These old plants are dangerous, and becoming increasingly so. Knee-jerk opposition to the construction of new nuclear facilities has made all of us less safe by encouraging obsolete plants (like Fukushima) to be patched together for another few decades because there is no alternative to meet power demand. Knee-jerk opposition to any waste respository has resulted in the highly dangerous on-site storage of spent fuel.

    Environmental opposition to nuclear power has made nuclear power vastly more dangerous than it needs to be, which appears to be a deliberate strategy: if you are convinced beyond any reasoning that something is too dangerous to be used at all, then it becomes paradoxically sensible to work to make it as dangerous as possible so that other people will agree with your preconceived notions about the hazards. I'm not sure if this effect has a name yet. Proof by suicide?

  12. Operating Cost by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Every power plant, whether it's fueled by oil, natural gas, coal, hydro or nuclear costs more to maintain as it gets older. Why is this news?Does the submitter think that only Nuclear power plants cost more to maintain as they age?

    1. Re:Operating Cost by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Every power plant, whether it's fueled by oil, natural gas, coal, hydro or nuclear costs more to maintain as it gets older. Why is this news?Does the submitter think that only Nuclear power plants cost more to maintain as they age?

      Because if you want to shutter an old coal plant, you take it apart and recycle the metal, clean up some old spills and start over. Nucs are a tad harder to recycle.

      And, until we get our heads our of our respective asses and deal with the nuclear waste issue, it's going to get harder and harder.

  13. Meanwhile in Russia by rogoshen1 · · Score: 0

    Putin is rubbing his hands together in glee. His money pit is almost finished, letting him finally go swimming in Rubles like Scrooge McDuck.

    If the cost of energy continues to fall would that potentially entice the EU into forgoing improvements/maintenance on domestic (is it still considered domestic in this case?) production -- wouldn't that pretty much necessitate importing from Russia? And who is to say the current dip in prices is anything more than a blip on the radar?

  14. That's Because No New Ones Have Been Built by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Instead of spending more keeping the old ones running, we really should have built new cheaper and safer reactors. Instead vast amounts of money have been wasted on renewable energy while nothing has been spent on nuclear.

    In the UK £120billion has been spent in the last five years on renewable energy (mostly wind) and yet we're facing the prospects of blackouts and brownouts. To make up for the shortcomings of renewables we'll have to burn more fissile fuels. Furthermore energy costs are rising to absurd levels to pay for these obscenely inefficient forms of power generation.

    Had that £120billion been spent on nuclear we would have a cheap supply of energy that would more than meet our needs.

    1. Re:That's Because No New Ones Have Been Built by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 2

      > we really should have built new cheaper and safer reactors

      Newer designs are not cheaper. In fact, in spite of herculean efforts on the part of the industry, they're generally more expensive.

      There are basically three "newer" designs that are actually available on the market, the EPR, AP1000 and ABWR. Other designs like the APWR, ACR-1000 and similar are dead, while others like the VVER are unlikely to be sold outside Russian client states, who get them basically for free.

      Here's a current report on all of the ones that are still standing:

      EPR, four under construction, one approved for short-term:
      Olkiluoto's EPR is currently billed at E8.5 billion, about three times the original estimate. Construction is halted.
      Flamanville's EPR has gone even higher.
      Taishan's EPR's are both at least two years behind schedule (they were supposed to be on the grid last year, now they're scheduled for next year). I don't know what that does on the cost side in China.
      Hinkley Point C is, well, no one really knows what's going on any more

      AP1000, four under construction in China, four in the US, several others approved:
      Summer's two AP1000s are both delayed at least 18 months, leading to a credit rating drop for the companies involved.
      Vogtle's two AP1000 reactors are already billions over budget, and have just announced another series of delays. Delays cost $2 million a day.
      Sanmen and Haiyang are both at least a year behind schedule. Haiyang 1 was last updated to begin operation in May,
      Levy County's two AP1000 last accounting put it over $11 a Watt, at which point Duke gave up and kept everyone's money.

      That's not to say this is universal, nor the fault of the designs. Spiralling material costs account for much of this. But having your costs controlled by time of construction on one hand and materials costs on the other is a bad place to be, they often conflict. If you want to get the materials cheaper you have to wait, which drives up soft costs, if you try to get it quicker to help there you drive up materials costs. And when interest rates are at historical lows and materials costs are skyrocketing, these sorts of things are going to happen.

    2. Re:That's Because No New Ones Have Been Built by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow! Facts!

    3. Re:That's Because No New Ones Have Been Built by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > Wow! Facts!

      Sort of, I cut off the entire bottom of the post somehow. Here's the status of the other Gen III and similar systems that are not currently on the market:

      GE/Hitachi ABWR:
      The first Gen III design to be built.
      Two successful starts in Japan, another four delayed. Very *very* bad startup CF due to problems on the turbine side, but suspect that will improve somewhat. It had better, or these will be cash disasters on the Darlington A scale. All turned off following Fukishima, not helping their CF at all.
      Taiwan reactor hopelessly delayed.
      US reactors delayed and then cancelled.
      Further sales appear extremely unlikely.

      System 80+
      Not really a Gen III design according to some, but on the list for completeness. Three S80's (not the 80+) built at Palo Verde. No further sales prospects. Team and design purchased by GE, Combustion Engineering left the industry.

      Mitsubishi APWR:
      Built to compete with ABWR in Japan and US. No sales, effort cancelled. Misubishi is likely out of the industry, but who knows now.

      AECL EC-6 and ACR-1000:
      Only real sales prospect was for a ACR-1000 at Darlington B. Rumors of a second plant for industrial steam for oil sand production turned out to be a mistake. Darlington cancelled in 2013 after price came in way higher than the government could afford ($26 billion was the low estimate).
      AECL was immediately broken up and the reactor design department sold off to a Quebec engineering firm for a few million dollars, along with a massive tax write-down that was more than they paid for the company.

      Siemens:
      Out of the industry. Part of EPR, but managed to avoid that nightmare just in time.

      B&W mPower:
      B&W has essentially closed their reactor division.

      All of UK:
      Out of the industry. Considering purchase of EPR for Hinkley, but given their experiences with that design it's anyone's guess what will happen.

  15. We are SOO doing this wrong by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Interesting

    These sites have land close to cities (efficient), cooling, transmission lines, generators, etc. Basically, the problem with the old reactors is that they are old and are second generation.
    What should be happening is that we should put on-site NEW multiple small 3+ gen reactors, such as mPower, to handle the loads, providing power/money for the company, while they take down the OLD reactors.

    At the same time, we need to do a 4th gen reactor that will burn up the 'nuclear waste', and leave only 5% of the volume as well leave it safe in under 200 years (as opposed to 20,000+ years).

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:We are SOO doing this wrong by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Two problems with your plan. Firstly you can't just build a new plant or new reactors on the old site. Removing the old ones takes decades, and the spent fuel pools need to be dealt with as well. Existing UK plants are looking at between 40 and 90 years for decommissioning and clean up.

      Secondly the reason no one is building reactors to burn up existing waste is that they are uneconomical and risky to develop. The only people trying are governments in China and India who ate willing to throw money at the problem in the hope of becoming the world's garbage men.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    2. Re: We are SOO doing this wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      First, new reactors are added regularly to sites. In fact, in america, all of the current construction is doing just that.

      Secondly, a number of sites have already Benn decommissioned and were done in less than 10-15 years. For example, ft. St. Vrain along with Zion plant took less than 10 years.

      Third, it makes good economic sense to continue the sites with new fail-safe reactors, esp if they can use the 'waste' and convert it into a fraction of volume and years being dangerous.

    3. Re:We are SOO doing this wrong by WindBourne · · Score: 1
      The Below was actually mine, so I am re-posting it here since I know that many ppl ignore ACs.

      First, new reactors are added regularly to sites. In fact, in america, all of the current construction is doing just that.
      Secondly, a number of sites have already Benn decommissioned and were done in less than 10-15 years. For example, ft. St. Vrain along with Zion plant took less than 10 years.
      Third, it makes good economic sense to continue the sites with new fail-safe reactors, esp if they can use the 'waste' and convert it into a fraction of volume and years being dangerous.

      It is far far better for these companies to keep the sites open, running safe nuclear, while cleaning up the old mess.
      In addition, just as we are looking to build new safe reactors, it would be useful to come up with a rail-road based plant that will take the old nuke waste, and convert it into fuel for reactors like transatomic's, or flibe's. Upon converting a bunch, or perhaps all, then the plant is simply moved to another site that is being decommissioned, OR, is itself sent to be decommissioned (too old; better tech; or perhaps just too contaminated).

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  16. Re:Failure of the 20th-Century Environmental Movem by WindBourne · · Score: 2

    Darn it. After I posted, I realized that I had moderation power. I would have modded you up.
    I consider my an environmentalists, but a sane one. Hell, the primary reason why I became Libertarian was because both dems and pubs are responsible for so much destruction.
    We desperately need an energy mix, not depending on just ONE TYPE of energy. Right now the greenies push wind/solar. Yet, BOTH depend on the sun, which means that if say yellowstone erupts, or China attacks and uses clouds over America first (China is working very hard on weather control and they DO consider it a form of military weaponary), then we would lose much of our power at the very moment that we need it the most.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  17. How is this anti-nuke? by WindBourne · · Score: 2

    I see nothing on there that makes it anti-nuke. I DO see him pointing out a REAL problem, which is that many of the old reactors are being extend past their lifetimes and NEED to be taken down. BUT, they really need to be replaced by new ones, not other forms of energy.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  18. Re:Failure of the 20th-Century Environmental Movem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Follow the money. Who benefits from nuclear failure? That would be traditional energy sources (oil/ng). So who was funding the anti-nuclear movement?

  19. Re:The true cost of nuclear power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Spread that FUD some more.

  20. Which? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Both, there is too little demand because of years of energy saving campaigns (energy saving appliances, CLF/LED lights, etc) and too little power because they've been shutting down plants. Same thing has been going on there in the US, utilities arguing they have to raise their prices because of lower demand from energy savings & solar/wind integration after years of arguing that they had to impose smart metering & higher prices because the grid was being overloaded by too much power usage.

  21. How is this suprising? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    How is this in any way suprising? Putting it in car terms:

    The Cost of Caring For Elderly Model T Fords Expected To Rise.

    The fact that new plants have been banned for many years, we don't have anything in the US to compare the costs to. New technology would probably be much less expensive to maintain, but they are not permitted such updates for fear of a nuclear explosion. No companies are doing much development for new plants that are not going to be built.

    We could probably be waving bye to the Middle East if the anti-nuke idiots didn't have such clout. But, they prefer burning oil and coal (and global warming) to nuclear power.

    It' does make a nice political platform to garner votes from the usefull idiots the Democrats favor.

  22. Re:The true cost of nuclear power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

    Nope. Horribly misinformed you are. Not worth discussing with you until you are educated on what currently available technology can accomplish, let alone near-future tech requiring only a handful of years of dedicated research.

    Because I usually have to spell this out - I do NOT want you to change your opinion. I only want you informed so you stop spouting entirely incorrect information. There can be no discussion without agreement upon the basic science being discussed.

    Start with just these two examples (out of many) and then let's talk:
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Integral_fast_reactor
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Candu

  23. Re:The true cost of nuclear power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Informative

    Sensationalism bullshit. Highly concentrated and deadly waste can be consumed by a molten salt reactor reducing the half life to ~300 years. Deep Geological Depositories such as Yucca Mountain could store the waste for that 300 years.

  24. Re:The true cost of nuclear power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If it's too radioactive to be dangerous, then it's still can be used...

  25. Re:The true cost of nuclear power by digsbo · · Score: 1, Informative

    No. Get past your fear, embrace salt reactors, and use that "Waste" as fuel. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M...

  26. Re:The true cost of nuclear power by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 2

    That's the strategy, folks: prevent nuclear reprocessing plants from getting built, so you can complain about the long-term nature of the spent fuel that reprocessing would have consumed.

  27. Failure of the 20th-Century Environmental Movement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yup, that's the problem with not building any new nuclear plants. You left with only OLD ones !

  28. Re:The true cost of nuclear power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why the great concern about killing a handful of people thousands of years from now? More people have died in the world in the time it took me to write this than would likely die from exposure digging a thousand foot deep shaft thousands of years from now. Think about it:

    You dig a shaft and no one that goes down it ever comes back up, how soon is it before you stop sending people down it and fill it in?

  29. Alternate headline by penguinoid · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Nuclear power plants have greater value than first anticipated, so we're keeping them for longer than originally planned.

    --
    Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
  30. The true cost of coal power by penguinoid · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The true cost of nuclear power is practically infinite, because we have to insure that highly concentrated and deadly waste must not come into contact with people's bodies for somewhere between 100,000 and 1,000,000 years into the future, depending upon the waste.

    The true cost of coal power is practically infinite, because we have to insure that highly dispersed and deadly waste must not come into contact with people's bodies for somewhere between 10,000,000,000 and over 10^33 years into the future, depending upon the waste. (the latter is the lower limits on the half-life of mercury)

    We have only had a writing system for 5,200 years (roughly speaking, the length of recorded history). How many people on Earth today could read a radiation warning written in cuneiform 5,200 years ago (or today)? Many civilizations on Earth have had periods of scientific and technological decline, and we've all read articles about knowledge from Ancient Rome or, more recently, the Renaissance being rediscovered today. How can we guarantee persistence of any scientific or technical knowledge?

    How are we supposed to convey the message: "Don't touch any of this, or pass it around. You and anyone who touches this will die not instantly but within months of a painful death, perhaps after you have traveled a great distance" for 200x the length of recorded history?

    How are we supposed to convey the message: Um, could you guys put all this mercury, uranium, and greenhouse gases from our coal power plants back into the ground for us? We were too lazy to do it ourselves, we were hoping you guys wouldn't mind. Also don't eat any fish from the ocean, they're full of poisonous mercury, sorry about that.

    --
    Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
  31. Re:The true cost of nuclear power by brambus · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Reprocessing is just one step. In order to achieve a true closed cycle, we'll need fast neutron waste burners. We've built them. We've got designs ready to go. Some pilot commercial plants have already been built. And we've got refinements in the pipeline that will make them even better. Unfortunately, the modern environmental movement has turned into a religion and some of them are mistaking Slashdot for their soap box.

  32. Re:The true cost of nuclear power by cjestel · · Score: 1

    How are we supposed to convey the message: "Don't touch any of this, or pass it around. You and anyone who touches this will die not instantly but within months of a painful death, perhaps after you have traveled a great distance" for 200x the length of recorded history?

    It's simple, you label it as being cursed. Worked so well for all the tombs we've found....

  33. re: nuclear waste by King_TJ · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Agree completely with your comments, although the nuclear waste issue still strikes me as one that few people are taking seriously enough. The reaction is always the same, "Don't load that stuff on a train that travels through MY city!" "Don't bury that stuff anywhere near MY place!" So it winds up sitting right where it started, on-site at the plant, where it's, to say the least, not an ideal storage location.

    We've seen a lot of technical innovation in the last 50 years or so, which makes me question why we can't seriously look into developing a new type of power generator that can use all of this "spent" radioactive waste as fuel? Even if the costs to construct it were prohibitive in the sense of it generating enough electricity to be profitable? It would seem to be a cheap solution as a place to put waste coming from the existing reactors.

    As long as the nuclear waste contains so much energy, it's this dangerous to handle or store -- that means there's got to be untapped potential left in it.

  34. Both a supply crunch and falling prices? by Atmchicago · · Score: 2

    How is there simultaneously a supply crunch and drop in prices? If there is a crunch, then prices will be raised until demand drops to an appropriate level, or more capacity will be built... unless major market distortions are in play which disrupt this relationship. I don't get it.

    --

    You can lead a horse to water, but you can't make it dissolve.

    1. Re:Both a supply crunch and falling prices? by man+bear+nerd · · Score: 1

      So the fear of radiation from a failing nuculer power plant is keeping America from building new plants to replace the old ones? what is the cutoff date for these old plants the day after they fail. btw if fukushima is your reason for not building a new power plant remember it took a mag.9.0 earthquake and a tsunami and failed later do to a fuel safety issue. chernobyl is no reason as it was the soviets they cared nothing for the environment or it's own people oh shit bad example just like america

    2. Re:Both a supply crunch and falling prices? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Yeah, that is the brain dead idea 'how markets work' in the idea of the general public of america.
      ThT was perhaps true 200 years ago, when sailing ships transported news about market changes.

      If you want in our days to see a market opportunity for a new power plant you have three simple hurdles: money, planning/legislation/regulation/license and the actual building.

      Now comes the complex problem: everyone around you who has the money: has the exact same idea.

      And now comes what makes you bankrupt: the one who finishes first takes all the cake. Getting all this realized takes 10 years or more!

      So you are not betting your money against the market: you are betting your abillity to actually conduct a 10 - 20 years construction project (plus your money) based on a market situation you have right now. With absolutely no idea how the market will be in 20 years: hint, in 20 years a 2MW solar plant to power my village will cost 'close to nothing'. The construction time of such a plant with off the shelf parts will be months, if not weeks. The power it produces will be on a 1cent per kWh base. If you want to bet a nuclear or even coal plant against that: good luck!

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  35. Re:Failure of the 20th-Century Environmental Movem by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 1

    The "Environmental Movement" is not one homogeneous group of people. There are tons of sensible, evidence-based people like myself that have always been pro-nuclear. Then there are the non-evidence based folks who are terrified of "radiation" and rub crystals of themselves to cleanse their chakra.

    I would like to think that I'm in the mainstream and they're the fringe.

  36. Re:Failure of the 20th-Century Environmental Movem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    And what makes you think the solution to old, creaky, leaky, explodey reactors is to build more new reactors? Did you think the new reactors would 'replace' the old reactors? That's a bit naive. What these new reactors guarantee is that there'll be twice as many old, creaky, leaky, explodey reactors in 30 years time. We're fantastically bad at decommissioning old reactors that'll we'll be happy to extend our 50 year design to 100 years or 200 years and beyond.

    Creating a bigger problem is not a solution.

  37. Re:The true cost of nuclear power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Surprise! The government doesn't want to eliminate the waste because it can be used to make bombs. Those fast breeder reactors we keep hearing about? Yeah...they'll NEVER happen.

    Anyway, the nuclear waste will have naturally eroded to nothing before Yucca Mountain ever opens so we have nothing to worry about. Actually, the entire universe will have collapsed and recycled into a brand new universe before Yucca Mountain ever opens. Actually, that would solve our nuclear waste problem nicely...

  38. Weak demand vs. capacity crunch by Ichijo · · Score: 2

    "[E]nergy companies [are feeling] the pinch from...weak demand..."

    "[M]any EU countries...are facing an energy capacity crunch"

    The above two quotes contradict each other. The first says there's weak demand, but the second says there's a "capacity crunch" (a shortage) which means there's too much demand. So which is it, a surplus of energy or a shortage of energy? It can't be both.

    Resolving this contradiction will lead to the real problem. Then we can think about ways to solve it.

    --
    Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    1. Re:Weak demand vs. capacity crunch by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "[E]nergy companies [are feeling] the pinch from...weak demand..."

      "[M]any EU countries...are facing an energy capacity crunch"

      The above two quotes contradict each other. The first says there's weak demand, but the second says there's a "capacity crunch" (a shortage) which means there's too much demand. So which is it, a surplus of energy or a shortage of energy? It can't be both.

      Resolving this contradiction will lead to the real problem. Then we can think about ways to solve it.

      Re read the full sentence -- they face the crunch in the future -- because they are planning to close plants ... and it takes a decade to get a big baseload plant built -- permitting, funding, pricing and all that

      also, demand is weak now because globally the economy sucks ...

      so it is hard to go as ask for funding to build a new baseload plant, which will have to be paid for in rates while customers and regulators see weak demand

      same issue in the USA ... got to build it, got to replace it, got to maintain it ... the cost of everything is going up ... but most businesses and residential users are seeing their incomes shrink, or at least not grow ...

      wait till interest rates start to rise ... eventually they will

      we live in interesting times, in Chinese curse sort of way

  39. Re:The true cost of nuclear power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The government has had a surplus of weapons grade materials for years, hell the number of nuclear warheads in the US has been declining since the 1960s! They currently have a SURPLUS of materials, not a shortage. But don't let facts stop your sensationalism.

    Will Yucca ever open? Who knows, but the more FUD and sensationalism decreases it's chances. But that's for political reasons, not technical ones.

  40. Re: nuclear waste by gurps_npc · · Score: 2

    We have already done that. But the anti-nuke fear mongers are holding that technology back, by preventing funding for new power plants. You can read more about it here: http://transatomicpower.com/

    --
    excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
  41. Re: nuclear waste by rogoshen1 · · Score: 0

    Thank Jimmy Carter for that one.

  42. Re:Failure of the 20th-Century Environmental Movem by Medievalist · · Score: 0

    Ah, Rush Limbaugh's famous "Greenies made nuclear power unsafe" meme. A darling here on slashdot, despite so many annoying facts that tend to discredit it.

    In the Real World ®, American Greens are the most ineffective political movement since the vegetarians. They have accomplished pretty much nothing since Nixon signed the Clean Air Act. The real actors are the majority of hard-headed average Americans (who are hardly "green", but who are sensible enough to know they don't want or need nuclear power) and the simple realities of market economics.

    The cold hard truth is that no private entity has ever made an economically viable terrestrial nuclear fission power plant. Ever. Only socialist and totalitarian regimes can do it, because they can effectively ignore insurance costs, which the USA shouldn't (and although the Price-Andersen subsidies do exactly that, US plants still aren't cost-effective). In a truly free and fair market it would cost far more money for construction, insurance, and decommissioning than an operator could ever possibly recoup. Even the ultra-right wing Cato Institute admits this!

    But terrestrial fission power plants are a masturbatory fantasy akin to Steampunkery, only with less whimsical charm. A fever dream of a world that never was, full of steam engines and glowing rocks. They are an obsolete and unnecessary technology fetishized by aficionados, who often seem to be quite willing to give up any form of representative government or free market if only they can have their beloved nuke plants. No tax burden is too high! Because it's not a reasoned argument for them, it's an obsession. So blaming the failings of their fellow travelers on their opposition fits their mindset perfectly - it couldn't possibly be the fault of the nuclear operators that they purposely built the cheapest, least safe designs allowed by law! It must have been those devil-greens! It's their fault!

  43. Re:Failure of the 20th-Century Environmental Movem by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 0

    > I consider my an environmentalists, but a sane one.

    Perhaps you might want to stop referring to yourself in the multiple when telling us how sane you are.

    Sorry, couldn't resist.

  44. Re:Failure of the 20th-Century Environmental Movem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    >In a truly free and fair market it would cost far more money for construction, insurance, and decommissioning than an operator could ever possibly recoup. Even the ultra-right wing Cato Institute admits this [reason.com]!

    In a truly free and fair market, you'd be able to sue for the air pollution coming out of your neighbour's car, for the air pollution from the refinery, and for the pollution generated from various electricity manufacturing (assuming you live close enough to prove it makes it to your property). This is all the way from solar tiles, the manufacture of which is incredibly dirty, up to and including coal plants (for the obvious).

    Nuclear is only expensive if you can download the costs of other tech onto others... socialism at work, my friend.

  45. Hanford is WHOSE fault? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Maybe the educated nuclear aficionados out there can explain why the cost overruns and sloppy disposal work are the fault of greenpeace members.

    1. Re:Hanford is WHOSE fault? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think you meant "Greenpeace & Sierra Club & Obama Bin Laden". But it's still a solid 7/10 troll. Bravo!

  46. Re:Failure of the 20th-Century Environmental Movem by WindBourne · · Score: 0

    yeah, I wish that we had editing on /. at times.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  47. Re:Failure of the 20th-Century Environmental Movem by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 0

    We ALL do.

  48. Re:Failure of the 20th-Century Environmental Movem by Medievalist · · Score: 1

    If you actually do the research, nuclear makes pollution too. Lots of it. Only coal is really significantly worse (and coal is way worse).

    And although solar panels are pretty dirty to manufacture (because most of them are made in China using electricity from coal plants under a lax environmental regime) their long service life makes up for it - you'll note that the brownwash jobs that the anti-solar people push out every month always significantly misstate service life and always use China's data, ignoring the clean European producers. Don't buy that meme, either! The real problem with solar's the same as with nuclear, it's simply not economically viable. (Although it might be in the future, if we end up subsidizing solar R & D the way we've subsidized the oil industry over the last 100 years).

    Take a look at the real data instead of the memes. Only socialist and totalitarian states can have terrestrial nuclear fission plants, for exactly the reason you gave - in essence, you have to force people to pay costs they don't want in order to provide fission plants they don't need.

    Your point about externalizing costs is certainly valid, though. Everybody's misrepresenting the true costs of all forms of power production at this point!

  49. Re:The true cost of nuclear power by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    Hmmm. While IFR would help, Candu will not. It is not a breeder.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  50. Re:Failure of the 20th-Century Environmental Movem by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    For all of the laudable successes of the Environmental Movement in the late 20th Century (e.g. bans on DDT and chlorofluorocarbons, regulations to reduce sulphur dioxide emissions, habitat preservation), the anti-nuclear movement has to count as one of its great failures. These old plants are dangerous,

    Yes, the anti-nuclear movement told you that would happen, but you ignored them. That was a failure, but it was largely yours.

    Environmental opposition to nuclear power has made nuclear power vastly more dangerous than it needs to be,

    Riiiiiight. Blaming the victim, real nice. It's not the environmentalists' fault that these old plants are dangerous. That's your fault. You put yourself in the pro-nuclear camp; you want to be there, you can take your share of the responsibility for making this situation possible. Instead, of course, of blaming the people who warned you. Fuck you for that.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  51. Re:Failure of the 20th-Century Environmental Movem by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

    You present a false choice. Nuclear or dirty fossil fuels.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  52. Re:Failure of the 20th-Century Environmental Movem by khallow · · Score: 1

    The energy source you are looking for is "coal". There's little actual competition between nuclear power and oil or natural gas. There are very few petroleum power plants and they tend to be in areas that have a lot of petroleum. Natural gas as a prevalent near-base load power source (rather than peaking load generator) is a recent phenomenon.

    And why would any of these industries support environmentalists? In the short term, environmentalist opposition doesn't shut down nuclear plant competitors. In the long term, they'll get burned for any support they provide. The people who oppose nuclear power also strongly and deeply oppose fossil fuels too.

    I think a much better explanation is public hysteria surrounding the word, "nuclear". It's bad enough that technology names have been changed to sound less threatening (for example, "nuclear magnetic resonance imaging" getting renamed to "magnetic resonance imaging" in the medical industry).

  53. Re:Failure of the 20th-Century Environmental Movem by Prune · · Score: 0

    The ban on DDT, which you quote as a success story, is the main reason that malaria still kills millions today. Despite your defense of nuclear power, you still managed with that comment to jump onto the environmentalist propaganda bandwagon.

    --
    "Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason."
  54. Re:Failure of the 20th-Century Environmental Movem by forand · · Score: 1

    I agree that there was a great failure in the US to build out newer nuclear plants in the latter years of the 20th century. Unfortunately it isn't as clear as you state. Energy produces were spreading mis-information if not lies about nuclear power while the Environmental people were crying about the waste. Nuclear power is NOT without its drawbacks. I remember vividly having a PG&E rep come into our class and go through her whole spiel which included numerous falsehoods. When I called her on it she was literally dumbfounded that anyone would know enough to question her falsehoods. It took me YEARS to realize that while PG&E wasn't being trustworthy about nuclear power the other options where worse (generally). So the energy companies themselves hold some of the responsibility for the failure to build new generation nuclear reactors. People do not like being lied to or mislead and often will assume your goals are suspect because of it.

  55. Re: Failure of the 20th-Century Environmental Move by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    if we dont build it in the first place then we dont have to "save ourselfs" by replacing them.
    srsly sounds like doing a deal with the devil and then he squeezes you for more ... or else.
    isnt that a bit like corruption? once you start taking money under the table you cannot stop because "exposure" can now we used as leverage.
    nuclear is a mistake for carbon based life forms. but like any drug addict its hard to stop once you are hocked.

  56. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation (5 SIGHs) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And pro nuke spamming is also an interresting pattern!

  57. Re:Failure of the 20th-Century Environmental Movem by PvtVoid · · Score: 1

    The ban on DDT, which you quote as a success story, is the main reason that malaria still kills millions today. Despite your defense of nuclear power, you still managed with that comment to jump onto the environmentalist propaganda bandwagon.

    I am an environmentalist. Leftie as all hell, thank you very much.

    With respect to DDT, I cited that deliberately, despite the fact that malaria does indeed take a huge human toll which could (in principle) be mitigated by widespread used of DDT. The problem is the tradeoff: Wholesale collapse of ecosystems is too high a price to pay for even millions of human lives, because the long-term result will be even more lives lost, and more suffering inflicted. The bacteria are going to win, eventually. Burning down our own house to prevent that is both futile and self-destructive.

  58. Re: The true cost of nuclear power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Candu can use unenriched fuel and burn it to a lower radioactivity than it came out of the ground with, to say nothing of "spent" fuel from a once through cycle. On 1960s technology.

  59. Re: The true cost of nuclear power by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    And the lightwaters, while requiring more enrichment initially, will leave less after the fact, than what came out of the ground. IOW, like Candu, they also burn up a SMALL PORTION of it.

    OTOH, MSRs, and IFRs can take what Candu and others can NOT use, and burn up 95% of it. And all at a fraction of the price

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  60. Re:Failure of the 20th-Century Environmental Movem by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    Erm, you are mixing up stuff.

    The anti nuclear horde always pointed out that the current plants are not safe. (And on top of that they don't want new ones).

    And now you try to use that as a stick against them? Hey, lets build new nuclear plants (which are 'safer' ... but does that imply 'sade'?) so we can replace the old unsafe nuclear plants? Wow, and why did no one from the 'establishment' agree with them the last 50 years that the plants we operate said 50 years are unsafe? Wow, now as it seems convenient, for what ever reason, people start to agree?

    If you have now 10billion dollars and build nuclear plants from it, instead of solar or wind plants (especially in Europe, China, India, Indonesia) you are simply plain stupid.

    There is no way you earn more money with a nuclear plant.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  61. victory of stupidity by Tom · · Score: 1

    TFA is factually wrong on many counts.

    The main reason we don't get new reactors in most european countries are political, not economical. In fact, power companies are doing fine and nuclear power is highly subsidized, mostly indirectly. New plants are expensive only on paper.

    But the political culture has moved many countries into a very strange corner. Because the public dislikes nuclear power and wants it gone, but politicians don't (bribery, lobbyism, desire for energy-independence or wisdom in planning the future carefully - make your pick), you cannot get permission to build a new plant in many countries, but you can keep your old one running and extend its lifetime.

    The second reason is economic, but of a different kind: Since these plants were originally designed for 20-30 years, which are long past, their value in the financial statement is 1 Euro. Which gives them incredibly cute key figures - they look really good in financial analysis. Actually, in reality too, because due to stupid/bought laws, the government will pay for large parts of the waste disposal, and the amount companies need to pay into a fund to pay for deconstruction is, by many experts opinion, only a fraction of what is needed. But once they actually deconstruct most of the plants, the game is up. Like any good scam, you need to keep it going as long as possible.

    So thanks to management-think in both politics and business, we have some of the oldest nuclear power plants in the world, right next to some very large cities.

    And, btw., I like nuclear power. I wouldn't mind having the old plants replaced by modern ones. But I agree with the anti-nuclear-power people that right now, we have the worst possible solution.

    --
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  62. Article tries to condemn nuclear, fails by Invalidator · · Score: 1

    If the original article used actual statistics, perhaps you would not have made this foolish comment. According to the latest (2014) statistics from the EU (http://ec.europa.eu/energy/publications/doc/2014_pocketbook.pdf): Nuclear accounts for 11.7 percent of World Electricity Generation and renewables account for 20 percent.

    If we look at energy production (2011), nuclear accounts of 5.1 percent and renewables for 12.9 percent.

    --

    ~_~ Not tonight, dear, I have a modem.

  63. Re:The true cost of nuclear power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And all tombs we found were opened almost imediatly after that. :D

  64. Re:Failure of the 20th-Century Environmental Movem by PvtVoid · · Score: 1

    Erm, you are mixing up stuff.

    The anti nuclear horde always pointed out that the current plants are not safe. (And on top of that they don't want new ones).

    And now you try to use that as a stick against them?

    The plants weren't unsafe when they were built. They are unsafe now because they are far beyond their design lifetime. We have better plant designs now. Why is this so hard to understand?

  65. Re:Another Brilliant Revelation MOD PARENT UP by MrKaos · · Score: 1

    That page isn't a paper, it isn't peer reviewed, it's a blog and it's 6 years old (before Fukushima)

    Totally informative, the mod you deserve, but I see the nuclear mod trolls are out in force suppressing information to push their fanboi barrow.

    --
    My ism, it's full of beliefs.
  66. Duh. by DarthVain · · Score: 1

    1) Anything we built that is several decades old will need increasing amounts of maintenance.
    2) Environmental regulation has increased costs over the last several decades.
    3) Inflation has increased over the last several decades.

    All of this means that the cost of caring for these facilities will increase. Notice I didn't say nuclear once in any of that.

  67. Nuclear Fleet? by tmjva · · Score: 1

    I was not aware Europe had a nuclear fleet. I thought all their ships except UK and some French submarines used other means of propulsion.

    (Humor, no need to reply.)

    --
    Tracy Johnson
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  68. Re:Failure of the 20th-Century Environmental Movem by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    The fact that they are beyond their designed lifetime makes them not 'more unsafe'.
    After all they get routinely maintained.

    They are exactly as safe as they where when they where designed and crafted. Likley even safer as they likely got improved due to improved materials and improved control etc.

    Same question to you: Why is that so hard to understand?

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  69. Re:Failure of the 20th-Century Environmental Movem by catprog · · Score: 1

    I thought it was DDT resistant mosquitoes

    t can be estimated that at current rates each kilo of insecticide added to the environment will generate 105 new cases of malaria

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

     

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