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Antares Rocket Explodes On Launch

sneakyimp writes: The Antares rocket operated by Orbital Sciences Corporation exploded on launch due to a "catastrophic anomaly" after a flawless countdown. No injuries are reported and all personnel are accounted for. According to the audio stream hosted by local news affiliate WTVR's website, the Cygnus spacecraft contained classified crypto technology and efforts are being made to cordon off the wreckage area. Additionally, interviews of personnel and witness reports are to be limited to appropriate government agencies so that an accident report can be generated. This accident is likely to have a detrimental effect on the stock price of Orbital Sciences Corp, traded on the NYSE. The Antares rocket's engines are based on old soviet designs from the '60s. While this is sure to be a blow to NASA due to the cost, it may well boost the fortunes of SpaceX, a chief competitor of Orbital Sciences. Both companies were recently awarded resupply contracts by NASA.

96 of 443 comments (clear)

  1. Flawless Countdown by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Hey, at least they got the hard part right.

    1. Re:Flawless Countdown by Alex+Vulpes · · Score: 2

      It sounded like "avionics power nominal".

    2. Re:Flawless Countdown by Megane · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Lots of amateur videos linked here: http://spaceksc.blogspot.com/2...

      --
      #naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
    3. Re:Flawless Countdown by wooferhound · · Score: 2

      Did he say FIVE or FIRE ?

      --
      We are Dead Stars looking back Up at the Sky
    4. Re:Flawless Countdown by Hognoxious · · Score: 4, Funny

      Other companies run system diagnostics and verify that things are proper as part of the countdown

      Other companies don't use systemd.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  2. Orbital by Geccoman · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I have friends that worked on this rocket. Some were there for the launch. Orbital is going to have serious problems because of this.

    --
    I'm on a chair.
    1. Re:Orbital by brainboyz · · Score: 5, Informative

      Ya think? They're charging 1.9B for 8 launches, versus SpaceX's 1.6B for 12. Loss of vehicle on a production launch is going to rain hell on someone.

    2. Re:Orbital by Geccoman · · Score: 4, Informative

      And it's not the first time they've blown up rockets rather than shooting them into space.

      --
      I'm on a chair.
    3. Re:Orbital by dbIII · · Score: 4, Insightful

      They probably will but they shouldn't have serious problems just because of a failed launch. You can't progress in something difficult if every setback is seen as a showstopper, which I suppose is why governments have been prepared to pay the price of an occasional rocket failure while private enterprise has been steering clear of funding it up till now.
      Nobody went broke over Apollo 1. This is nowhere near as serious.

    4. Re:Orbital by erice · · Score: 4, Insightful

      And it's not the first time they've blown up rockets rather than shooting them into space.

      Well, yes, but that happens to everyone in the launch business, including SpaceX. Doing it on production launch is not good for business though.

    5. Re:Orbital by Savage-Rabbit · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Ya think? They're charging 1.9B for 8 launches, versus SpaceX's 1.6B for 12. Loss of vehicle on a production launch is going to rain hell on someone.

      “I guess the question I'm asked the most often is: "When you were sitting in that capsule listening to the count-down, how did you feel?" Well, the answer to that one is easy. I felt exactly how you would feel if you were getting ready to launch and knew you were sitting on top of two million parts -- all built by the lowest bidder on a government contract.”
        John Glenn

      I suppose buying from the higher bidder does not guarantee better performance. One thing you can be sure of, the bozos who gave Orbital the contract will be first among those to escape unscathed from this FUBAR.

      --
      Only to idiots, are orders laws.
      -- Henning von Tresckow
    6. Re:Orbital by glwtta · · Score: 5, Informative

      And it's not the first time they've blown up rockets rather than shooting them into space.

      To be fair, the mechanics of the two things can be very similar.

      --
      sic transit gloria mundi
    7. Re:Orbital by deathguppie · · Score: 4, Interesting

      SpaceX has yet to lose a production launch vehicle. Odds are it will hit them eventually, but it's price to product. If your competition can't provide a better launch record for non-test vehicles then you've lost the customers confidence. I'd rather pay 134 million per vehicle than 316 million per vehicle if the chance of loss is relative.

      --
      once more into the breach
    8. Re:Orbital by tibit · · Score: 5, Informative

      Contrary to popular bullshit propaganda, the popular U.S. rocket launches are all done by businesses, not NASA. NASA provides program management, mission design for their own payloads, and so on, but they were never in rocket-making business, ever. Both Apollo and Space Shuttle were managed by NASA, but designed and built by subcontractors. Launched too. NASA has more input into design of their science payloads, but even then it's design only, not manufacturing. That's done by subcontractors still.

      The only difference between the "commercial" launches and those prior to that is the amount of NASA management involvement. From the business standpoint, nothing much has changed between the "noncommercial" and "commercial" launches.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    9. Re: Orbital by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 2

      More's the pity. And how cool if they could make rainbows come out too!

      Only on the Teletubbies.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    10. Re:Orbital by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

      The loss of Apollo 1 almost killed the entire project. 1) It set the development back so far they almost didn't make the deadline and 2) there was a LOT of "why are we doing this expensive thing anyway, and now we're KILLING people?" Read Eugene Krantz's book and it's there in other sources; lots of NASA people thought they'd be looking for jobs.

      Not only that, but it killed three of my favorite childhood heroes, Grissom, Chaffee, and White. Horribly killed.

    11. Re: Orbital by Michael+Woodhams · · Score: 3, Informative

      You can insure against loss of payload on launch.

      I would expect that Orbital Sciences is liable for damage to the payload and had insured themselves, but I have no direct knowledge. Even if they are covered for direct costs, it is still bad for them.

      --
      Quattuor res in hoc mundo sanctae sunt: libri, liberi, libertas et liberalitas.
    12. Re:Orbital by hey! · · Score: 2

      Well, I'm not sure we have enough data yet to make statistically valid characterizations of each company's relative reliability.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    13. Re:Orbital by penguinoid · · Score: 2

      Just say that Orbital offers a lot of "bang" for your buck.

      --
      Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
    14. Re:Orbital by wooferhound · · Score: 5, Informative

      In the news conference they said that the rocket lost upward momentum at 12 seconds and the Range Safety Officer pressed the destruct button at 20 seconds

      --
      We are Dead Stars looking back Up at the Sky
    15. Re:Orbital by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Assuming constant chance of failure across their rockets, a Agresti-Coull estimate of the confidence interval of SpaceX failures gives a 97% chance it is below 16%. Other posts below give that as the failure rate for Orbital Sciences in the last 5 years. If looking just at Antares, it would be 20%. In other words, there is enough data to be statistically valid (which doesn't guarantee being right though).

    16. Re:Orbital by TapeCutter · · Score: 2

      Magellan, Columbus, Cook, all the great European explorers were government funded science projects. Same is true today, NASA and ESA are both in the space exploration business. Private sailing ships and spacecraft will always boldly go where government craft have already been.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    17. Re: Orbital by sjames · · Score: 2

      Yes you can, and at those prices you factor the insurance cost into the launch cost. The more times a payl;oad has been lost on a platform, the more expensive it becomes to insure a payload on that platform. So this explosion has increased the actual cost to customers of future launches by orbital.

    18. Re:Orbital by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 2

      There's a big difference between "we want to send up stuff, work with us to design and develop a vehicle" and "we'd like to send some stuff up using that nice rocket you have there". To use a car analogy, it's the difference between outlining the design for a car and asking Toyota to work out the details and build you one, and flagging down a cab (or buying a cab and have the driver set fire to it once you reach the destination, since these aren't reusable rockets). That's a bit more than shifting the risk around a little. That's my take on what "commercial space flight" means: private companies instead of public organisations leading and funding the design and development of (new) space craft, assuming *all* risk for the project and for market economics. It's not new (OS have been around for a while already) but it does appear to be taking off (ha ha) lately.

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    19. Re:Orbital by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 2

      Well, where else would you find experts at blowing up flying things than in the Air Force? :-)

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
  3. Look on the bright side by Chocolate+Teapot · · Score: 5, Funny

    The ISS crew will get their pizza for free now.

    --
    Modest doubt is called the beacon of the wise. - William Shakespeare
    1. Re:Look on the bright side by brainboyz · · Score: 2

      Delivery in 20 months, or your pizza's free?

    2. Re:Look on the bright side by LifesABeach · · Score: 3, Funny

      ISS Crew: "We ordered Deep Dish, NOT Extra Crispy!" And where are the Buffalo Wings Dipping Sauce?

    3. Re: Look on the bright side by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      There's no such thing as a free launch.

    4. Re:Look on the bright side by Nimey · · Score: 5, Funny

      ICBM silo art: delivery anywhere in the world in 20 minutes or your next one's free!

      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
  4. Re:AI did it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    The office coffee machine is next.

  5. CNN is reporting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    no indications of terrorism linked to the destruction of the rocket.

    1. Re:CNN is reporting by Chocolate+Teapot · · Score: 5, Funny

      It was aimed at ISS, not ISIS. I can see how that could be misunderstood though.

      --
      Modest doubt is called the beacon of the wise. - William Shakespeare
    2. Re:CNN is reporting by TWX · · Score: 2

      Someone at the station must have been watching Earth II again...

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
  6. Re:There's a reason why... by TWX · · Score: 4, Interesting

    You mean, it wasn't a good idea to reuse those 40-year-old Russian engines even when two of them have been shown as defective before this launch?

    --
    Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
  7. Horrible track record by Beck_Neard · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Is it just me or is Orbital Sciences' track record extremely poor? Something like half their rockets fail and they give nothing but excuses. Their Taurus rocket had a 33% failure rate http://www.cnet.com/news/nasa-...

    It may be time to look into how they manage their company.

    --
    A fool and his hard drive are soon parted.
    1. Re:Horrible track record by Nemyst · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It's even worse when you notice that their tagline is "Innovation You Can Count On."

    2. Re:Horrible track record by Teancum · · Score: 3, Informative

      Given the cost of the payloads, even a 5% failure rate is unacceptable.

      Which is why you buy launch insurance in the first place. I don't know how NASA wrote into the launch contract about massive failures like this, but anybody who sends stuff up on rockets is well aware that they explode. It is the nature of the business. Those companies who haven't had a massive failure like this one are just plain lucky... and all of them know it too.

      Certainly a launch provider tries to do things that don't purposely cause a launch failure (the launch of the Challenger not withstanding), but anybody who claims 100% success rate and doesn't sweat the next launch is flat out lying.

      Otherwise a 5% failure rate for less than 20 launches simply means bad luck instead of incompetence. If anything, earlier launches are more likely to have problems because there are far more unknowns too. All launchers eventually have failures, and many of those failures are just as spectacular as this one.

    3. Re:Horrible track record by HannethCom · · Score: 4, Informative

      You mean like this?
      http://www.nasaspaceflight.com...

      Two of their engines have blown caught fire, or blown up on the test harness. This adds a third explosion. They have successfully launched 3 times. Thus 3 time engines have blown up and 3 successful launches. Depending on how you look at this you will get different percentages.

      4 engines have been destroyed, 6 have operated to their objective. You could also look at it as there are 3 disasters and 3 successes. You could also look at it that there have been 3 successful launches and 1 failed launch.

      The way I look at it is that Orbital has cost NASA probably a few billion dollars in failures, and thousands of man hours. Two of those failures have been this year. I would call that pretty abysmal.

      --
      Microsoft, Apple, Google, Amazon what's the difference? All steal money from devs and control with walled gardens.
    4. Re:Horrible track record by arth1 · · Score: 4, Funny

      It's even worse when you notice that their tagline is "Innovation You Can Count On."

      One two boom four boom boom seven eight nine boom...

    5. Re:Horrible track record by pavon · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Nobody includes failures during component testing into the failure rate of a rocket. Doing so is completely meaningless and disingenuous.

    6. Re:Horrible track record by Teancum · · Score: 2

      Given the track record, the insurance premium must be in the vicinity of 50% of the payload cost.

      Shows what you know about satellite payload insurance and how it applies to the vehicles made by Orbital Science.

      It isn't half of the launches that have failed either... that was a statistic made up out of the GP's hind end and not based upon facts.

    7. Re:Horrible track record by NormalVisual · · Score: 2

      "Innovation You Can Count On, But Too Many Pieces To Count"

      --
      Please stand clear of the doors, por favor mantenganse alejado de las puertas
    8. Re:Horrible track record by sconeu · · Score: 4, Funny

      Kind of like Toyota's slogan

      "Toyota... Moving forward.... Even when you're jamming on the brakes!"

      --
      General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
    9. Re:Horrible track record by Dereck1701 · · Score: 2

      The minotaur series was basically a bunch of mothballed US ICBM & rocket hardware bolted together. Almost half of the launches were suborbital, and those that weren't were quite small for satellites, most less than half the weight of the Mars Science Lab rover. I suppose its nice that they're using up the old military stocks, but there's a big difference between using old military hardware that cost massive amounts of money to develop and was created with the major safety margins required for carrying nuclear warheads and building your own rocket system.

  8. Re:There's a reason why... by Chocolate+Teapot · · Score: 5, Funny

    Yep. There's no such thing as a free launch.

    --
    Modest doubt is called the beacon of the wise. - William Shakespeare
  9. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by TWX · · Score: 3, Informative

    Honestly at that height I don't think it would have mattered that much. Either the buildings of the launch facility were going to have debris rained down upon them from above, or were going to have their walls in the vicinity of the ground explosion absorb the debris.

    There have been reports of vehicles damaged, but I think those are erroneous, confusing the destruction of the launch vehicle with possible damage to ground vehicles. There shouldn't have been anything not inside-and-under-cover given the destructive power of the launch anyway.

    The ground explosion did take out two of the four towers around the pad, but I'm amazed that the worklights on the remaining two towers stayed functional. They were on through the end of NASA TV coverage a moment ago.

    --
    Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
  10. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by PPH · · Score: 4, Informative

    intact

    Not quite. There appears to have been a failure/explosion in the vicinity of the engines. Either a combustion chamber or turbopump failure from the looks of it. From that point on, the whole thing just 'sat back down' (tanks intact).

    Good video of it on 4chan /pol/ and here.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  11. How could they mess this up??! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    I mean it's not like it's rocket science...

    1. Re:How could they mess this up??! by savuporo · · Score: 4, Informative

      This might sound strange, but there is very little science in rockets. Its mostly engineering, QA, process management and such. Also, accounting.

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  12. Rocketry is Hard by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This is hard stuff and there will be set backs. I want as many competitors to succeed as possible. I hope they keep trying and have more success.

    As much as I think Elon Musk is cool guy right now, I don't want his companies to have a monopoly on commercial space flight, solar power and electric cars 20 years from now.

  13. Designs from what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

    Soviet designs from the 60s, but Russian rockets are our only ride now. Aren't those also based on Soviet designs, possibly also from the 60s? If it's not a design flaw, maybe there's something about the Soviet/Russian construction process that's missing. It's probably like having somebody's cookie recipe. You swear you followed it; but your kitchen is different. There are timings and processes that the person who gave you the recipe isn't even aware of; because they're subconscious. If they find a cause, I bet it boils down to something like, "well of course we case harden those gears after we fit them, it was just the way things were done and nobody ever thought about it".

    1. Re:Designs from what? by DerekLyons · · Score: 5, Insightful

      By the average standards of the modern space technology, Russian space hardware ranks as 2040 design. I know that sounds strange

      No, it doesn't sound strange - it sounds like what it is, which is complete and utter bullshit. They have a few things ahead of everyone else, they have a few things on par with everyone else, and they have a lot of things that are in fact engineering time capsules from the 50's, 60's, 70's, and 80's.

    2. Re:Designs from what? by dunkelfalke · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It is not the same. Glushko - stubborn as a mule and a squealer - never believed that it was possible to make a so high performant LOX/kerosene engine and so Korolev went to the Kusnetsov design bureau which previously built airplane engines (like the one for Tu-95 or Tu-154). Kusnetsov proved Glushko wrong with NK-33, so Glushko tried to one-up this with Energia's RD-170. So, not the same design, only similar.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
  14. What I want to know... by Type44Q · · Score: 5, Funny

    What I want to know is if there's any truth to the rumors that Musk was seen leaving the area with an empty Stinger launch on one shoulder and a shit-eating grin on his face...

  15. OT by sootman · · Score: 5, Funny

    Dear Slashdot,

    I fail to see how the 13-year-old story about game design, "A 'Vow of Chastity' For Game Designers", is a related story, as indicated in the panel below the story between the "previous story" and "next story" links. Seriously, WTF? Less than worthless.

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  16. Re:This really sucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I thought Orbital Science actually had a rather poor record in recent years, this may just be the final nail in their coffin.

  17. Re:Awww, diddums faww down go boom? by Kaenneth · · Score: 4, Funny

    No, it went boom, THEN fell down.

  18. Re:All very sad by RightwingNutjob · · Score: 2

    NASA has had its careless streak too. See Challenger and the investigation that followed. But realistically, this is what happens whenever you do things in one-see, two-sies instead of in bulk. If the Air Force only had one fighter plane and only flew it once every few months, you can bet there would be a lot of failures for a long time before everyone settled into a voodoo flight ops mentality and nothing new was tolerated at all because the cost of failure was so high.

  19. Video of the explosion from 3000ft by grouchomarxist · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Video of the Orbital Sciences Explosion at Wallops from a Cessna flying at 3000ft. Note that the video is pretty noisy so you'll want to turn your sound down.

  20. 40 year old engine. by Bo'Bob'O · · Score: 5, Informative

    The summery isn't quite correct. The engines aren't based on an engine from the 60s. These -are- the engines built by the soviets in the 1970s. These things are 40 years old.

    The RD-180s used by the Atlas-V are built new, despite their relationship to the abandoned Energia/Buran. The NK-33s that are used by the Antares sat for decades in a Russian warehouse.

    1. Re:40 year old engine. by x0ra · · Score: 3, Interesting

      You forgot to mention that the engines have been re-purposed and upgraded by Aeojet in between. It's not as it they were put on the rocket straight from the Russian warehouse.

  21. Re:All very sad by tibit · · Score: 2

    I hate to point out that NASA was never in rocket-making business. Everything launched was made by subcontractors. NASA only provides various payloads, and in the past provided program oversight. Everything that NASA launched that you might recall was in fact done by the private sector. Including all elements of Apollo.

    --
    A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
  22. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by rahvin112 · · Score: 2

    There is generally a launch monitoring bunker within a few hundred feet of the pad. This bunker is populated by scientists and engineers during the launch so that they can abort the launch immediately if a problem develops. At least at NASA, these people drive their own personal cars to the bunker. The bunker is hardened to survive rocket debris impacting the building but the parking lot is just that, an open lot. NASA has burned up LOTS of cars with exploding rockets. I saw pictures of about 20 some odd cars burned right to their frames after they were doused in burning rocket fuel from a rocket that exploded. I have no idea who bought them new cars but I know I would have been expecting someone else to pick up the tab if it had been my car.

  23. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by PPH · · Score: 3, Funny

    That dog died 40 years ago somewhere in Siberia.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  24. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by pz · · Score: 3, Informative
    --

    Put my fist through my alarm clock with its ding-dong death inside my ear. - The Blackjacks.
  25. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Payload, plus collateral damage, plus market capitalization loss, plus reputation damage, plus value of future lost contracts, etc. $1B might actually be on the low side.

  26. As I said earlier by WindBourne · · Score: 4, Interesting

    http://slashdot.org/comments.p..."> Antares will launch less than 20 times in its lifetime. In fact, probably less than another 5. NASA is not likely going to use them to provide goods for the ISS since they are expensive for what they bring.
    OSC is a company that really has NO control of its systems. Basically, it farms out most everything, so it must depend on all others. Even now, the Antares uses old Russian engines, and counted on Russia to do the quality control.

    Until OSC controls all aspects of its systems, similar to how SpaceX works, they will NEVER be able to do a launch system reliably.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  27. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by mbone · · Score: 2

    You know that's kind of old school. There is this new technology called "digital communications" which means that they can read the instruments from miles away, removing the need for the bunker since the mid 1960's or so. There were no bunkers for the Saturn V (I believe the first Saturn I flights still had them) or the Shuttle - everything was monitored from ~ 3 miles away. At the Cape the Range Safety Officer looks at computer screens at the Range Operations Control Center at Cape Canaveral Air Force Station (probably 10 or 15 miles from the NASA launch sites on Merritt Island), and I am pretty sure similar practices are followed at Wallops.

  28. Re: That's the part that "counts" (groan) by the+gnat · · Score: 2

    The whole "commercial" launch thing is a misnomer. It's business as usual, except that this time NASA does less micromanagement, and there are some new faces at the table. That's all.

    And the contracts won't be cost-plus, meaning the contractors don't have a blank check and projects will actually have to stay on budget. There may be legitimate arguments why this is a bad idea for a national space program (personally, I disagree), but it does represent a rather large change from the way launches were done in the past.

  29. Re:Awww, diddums faww down go boom? by NormalVisual · · Score: 4, Funny

    Actually, it went boom, fell down, and we got a second boom for no added charge.

    --
    Please stand clear of the doors, por favor mantenganse alejado de las puertas
  30. Not really by WindBourne · · Score: 2

    OSC does NOT have a strong program. The fact is, that Antonio has continued to give up all of the design and construction to others. OSC owns less of this rocket, than ULA owns of their atlas first stage.
    Go look at Pegasus and the various Minotaurs/Taurus launch systems and you will see that they do NOT have a great track record.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  31. Re:Anything radioactive explode in the boom? by recharged95 · · Score: 2

    Having worked for their GN&C team, it's usually due to cost cutting. OSC has been on the lower cost side to support all those NASA science and non-DOD missions--which are done on shoestring budgets.

    OSC has been able to prove resuse/integration vs ground up designs can be as effective, it's just they are losing sight that QC is more important than monte carlo simulations (which sells in that business). Likely due to gov't pressure to keep the same processes in the face of SpaceX's clean sheet approach.

    From the video, sure looks like a mechanical failure, not fuel pump, not control software, not ops error. Definitely a black eye for a good team of folks and a lot of questions.

  32. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Megane · · Score: 5, Funny

    And I think the launch pad area might need a fresh coat of paint or something...

    --
    #naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
  33. Rearden Rocket by PopeRatzo · · Score: 5, Interesting

    You're going to love this:

    https://twitter.com/hormiga/st...

    Another great victory for the private sector. Rocket science is hard. It's not like we've been launching rockets for half a century or anything.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  34. Elon Musk Called it Two Years Ago by catchblue22 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Elon Musk called it two years ago in this interview.

    Musk: The results are pretty crazy. One of our competitors, Orbital Sciences, has a contract to resupply the International Space Station, and their rocket honestly sounds like the punch line to a joke. It uses Russian rocket engines that were made in the ’60s. I don’t mean their design is from the ’60s—I mean they start with engines that were literally made in the ’60s and, like, packed away in Siberia somewhere.

    --
    This and no other is the root from which a tyrant springs; when first he appears as a protector - Plato (423 to 327 BC)
    1. Re:Elon Musk Called it Two Years Ago by jafac · · Score: 4, Informative

      This is largely Orbital's *schtick*: they are basically in the business of repurposing old, obsolete hardware, and using them for launch vehicles. Antares is the follow-on to Taurus, and Pegasus and Minotaur are repurposed Peacekeeper stages. They're cheap. But they're really not in competition with SpaceX, because Orbital launches mainly smaller payloads.

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    2. Re:Elon Musk Called it Two Years Ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      They're not Russian, they're Soviet and actually built in the Ukraine, in Dnepropetrovsk.

  35. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by rahvin112 · · Score: 4, Informative

    I received a tour of the restricted launch site areas due to my company have a contract with NASA at cape Canaveral. This was just after 9/11 when everything was shut down for security reasons (I have a photo of myself standing in front of the Apollo 1 launch pad memorial). The photos I saw were less than a year old. I can't say more but the launch was a failed classified launch and that may very well be the reason the bunkers were still used.

    I don't know why they use them, I don't know why they need to be so close but I do know what I saw. A bunker heavily damaged (and all the surrounding vegetation was burned to the roots) where the damage was very recent. He also showed us photo's of the burned out cars, minivans and pickups taken by our "tour guide" who worked for our company and was giving us a tour of the cape. I may have pictures of the launch bunkers somewhere, but there was one next to every cluster of pads that I remember seeing. I can't recall if our guide ever said why they used the bunkers, 15 years ago is more than my memory can handle for such mundane details.

    There is one thing I'll never forget about the cape though, which was how well preserved the wetlands are because NASA is using so little of the ground. There were alligators sunning themselves on nearly every road we went down.

  36. Sabotage by uvajed_ekil · · Score: 3, Funny

    Hmm, now who would want to see Orbital fail? Would anyone stand to benefit from that? Any companies that they are competing with for contracts or investment? Hmm...

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  37. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by demachina · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Pretty sure NASA has blown more on Constellation, Orion and SLS, launchers to no where that never launch, than SpaceX has spent on successful development of 2 new rockets and Dragon1, and will probably spend on Falcon Heavy, Dragon 2 and their reusable program.

    NASA's problem is not insufficient funding. Its inefficiency, bureaucratic bloat, corrupt contractors, and the inability to build or do much of anything in the vacinity of its manned space program. JPL and a few others places are doing fine but they are an exception to the rule.

    Some people at Orbital probably do need to be sacked for trying to use 40+ year old Russian engines, the engines are actually that old not just the design. Some people at NASA probably should be sacked for buying in to a contractor proposing such a flawed concept.

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    @de_machina
  38. Who won the "will it clear the sea wall" pool? by JT27278 · · Score: 2

    I did some work at years ago at Wallops Flight Facility. Whenever a untested or otherwise dubious rocket was scheduled to launch there would be a "will it clear the sea wall" pool. I'm sure there was heavy action on this one.

  39. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Luckyo · · Score: 5, Informative

    You know, it's that same old regurgitated bullshit. And it smells like it.

    Do you know WHY they use 40+ year old Russian engines? Because they are better than anything West has to offer.

    Let me underscore that part for you
    _anything_ that West has to offer.

    They have closed circuit rocket engine technology. By definition, that is going to be at least about 15% more efficient than any open circuit that is the only technology west has in orbital lifting rocket engines. Thanks for private corporation known as Lockheed Martin, that didn't believe that closed circuit was possible to do until Russians literally put a working engine in their lab and test fired it for them in 2000s. Because it was too inefficient to research the technology in more detail. Russians had to blow up something like 30 rockets to get it right. Tolerance limits on closed circuit are apparently far more tight, and that's not just the engine but all the relevant systems.

    Private sector is really good at developing off existing base level development to practical development, but it's utterly terrible at actual base level development that is needed for practical development, but doesn't result in practical applications on its own. That's why much if not most if that kind of development is done in universities and government labs. And rocket engines are in desperate need of base research right now because of long term lack of funding. This has nothing to do with "inefficiency, bureaucratic bloat, corrupt contractors" or anything of a sorts. It has everything to do with the fact that they were given no funding to develop baseline research for better rocket engine technology.

    Private corporations will have to blow up their share of rockets to get it right. They're banking on better simulation software in existence, but that can't simulate everything due to sheer amount of unknowns or uncertainties when it comes to rocket science. That's why rocket science is HARD, even by modern standards.

  40. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by sjames · · Score: 2

    The design is great, no problem with using it today, why screw with what works.

    OTOH, the engines themselves are 40 years old. That is a different story. They were made and have just been sitting in storage. 40 years is a long time for things to go wrong bad. Apparently they were not sufficiently re-conditioned before use.

  41. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

    Do you know WHY they use 40+ year old Russian engines? Because they are better than anything West has to offer.

    It seems to me that in order to be better, they have to deliver their payload, and not explode. When they blow up, their effectiveness falls off to zero real quick.

    --
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  42. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Chris+Mattern · · Score: 4, Funny

    Do you know WHY they use 40+ year old Russian engines? Because they are better than anything West has to offer.

    Yeah, western engines don't blow up on launch half as well as these do!

  43. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Megane · · Score: 4, Interesting

    NASA's problem is not insufficient funding. Its inefficiency, bureaucratic bloat, corrupt contractors, and the inability to build or do much of anything in the vacinity of its manned space program.

    And the Congress/Senate. They've both been requiring them to do stuff that protects existing pork projects AND constantly cutting their funding.

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  44. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by dunkelfalke · · Score: 2

    Not quite single use. From what I remember even though the engines were originally meant for a non-reusable rocket, they were manufactured to withstand up to 15 firings. Kusnetsov overengineered them for prospective future use. Thus Aerojet would be able to test-fire each engine several times before passing them to Orbital Sciences.

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  45. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 4, Informative

    Do you know WHY they use 40+ year old Russian engines? Because they are better than anything West has to offer.

    Define "better".

    They have closed circuit rocket engine technology. By definition, that is going to be at least about 15% more efficient than any open circuit that is the only technology west has in orbital lifting rocket engines.

    Bullshit. SSME uses the same cycle. With LH2/LOX, no less. But why do you care about the technology? I don't think it matters HOW the launch is accomplished as long as the costs are as low as possible. Whatever works and is cheap and sustainable is better than fancy stuff that's expensive. Whether fancy stuff is desirable is dependent on what it brings and what it costs. Unless you can make it work cheaply enough, it's not worth it.

    Thanks for private corporation known as Lockheed Martin, that didn't believe that closed circuit was possible to do until Russians literally put a working engine in their lab and test fired it for them in 2000s.

    I have absolutely no idea what you're talking about! As I said, the Space Shuttle had been using this for two decades by then. And The Integrated Powerhead Demonstrator by Rocketdyne was even more advanced, and is basically what SpaceX is working on now.

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    Ezekiel 23:20
  46. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 3, Informative

    No, the physical units are mothballed engines from the 1960s. And there's a limited supply of them. It's even worse than the RD-180 situation - not only do the engines come from a questionable supplier, but the manufacturing line doesn't exist anymore (the Russians are apparently considering re-launching production, but so far I'm not aware of them doing anything along those lines; they still have dozens of the old engines to use). It's no better than the preserved F-1 engines in this respect. I have no idea what Orbital Sciences plan to do about that.

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    Ezekiel 23:20
  47. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 3, Informative

    There were 13 launches of Falcon 9, a total of 130 engines, and one of them failed, but that still seems like a pretty good success rate. The redundancy of the engines in the first stage definitely comes in handy.

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    Ezekiel 23:20
  48. Re:There's a reason why... by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 3, Informative
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    Ezekiel 23:20
  49. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

    I'm only repeating what a couple of different experts interviewed on the subject said. I did a little research, it seems that explosive failures are usually not connected to the engines but rather the fuel supply or storage system.

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  50. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by T.E.D. · · Score: 4, Funny

    Do you know WHY they use 40+ year old Russian engines? Because they are better than anything West has to offer... Russians had to blow up something like 30 rockets to get it right.

    Make that 31.

  51. Re:Awww, diddums faww down go boom? by jpvlsmv · · Score: 2

    No, it went boom, THEN fell down.

    So, we built a second one. That one went boom, fell down, then sank into the swamp.

    But the third stage stayed up. And that's what you'll have lad, the strongest launch platform in these isles.

  52. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by laie_techie · · Score: 2

    Do you know WHY they use 40+ year old Russian engines? Because they are better than anything West has to offer.

    It seems to me that in order to be better, they have to deliver their payload, and not explode. When they blow up, their effectiveness falls off to zero real quick.

    From what I understand, the rocket was veering off course, so they activated a self-destruct mechanism.