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Prospects Rise For a 2015 UN Climate Deal, But Likely To Be Weak

An anonymous reader writes with news that a global climate deal seems to be on the horizon. "A global deal to combat climate change in 2015 looks more likely after promises for action by China, the United States and the European Union, but any agreement will probably be too weak to halt rising temperatures. Delegates from almost 200 nations will meet in Lima, Peru, from Dec. 1-12 to work on the accord due in Paris in a year's time, also spurred by new scientific warnings about risks of floods, heatwaves, ocean acidification and rising seas. After failure to agree a sweeping U.N. treaty at a summit in Copenhagen in 2009, the easier but less ambitious aim now is a deal made up of 'nationally determined' plans to help reverse a 45 percent rise in greenhouse gas emissions since 1990."

145 comments

  1. Er by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    " too weak to halt rising temperatures."

    You mean the rising temperatures that have already been halted?

    1. Re:Er by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      That hottest year in 1998 did give opportunity for a lot of profitable agenda driven nonsense; remember to live as Al Gore says, not as he does with his 20+ family equivalent carbon footprint (give the hypocrite some credit, it used to be 30+ until he put some "green" tech in his mansion)

      Of course, the fact of global cooling showing that most the issue was cyclical rather than man-driven might get notice even from the unwashed masses soon

    2. Re:Er by itzly · · Score: 1

      That hottest year in 1998

      According to NASA, the years 2005, 2007, and 2010 were hotter. On the 5-year average, all the years 1999-2011 were hotter than 1998. Source: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gist...

    3. Re:Er by microbox · · Score: 1

      Look up cherry-pick in the skeptics guide to science, 'cause that's just what you did on a decadal trend.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    4. Re:Er by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Biggest Cherry Pick of all is choosing the late 1800s as a starting point for comparisons.

    5. Re:Er by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      Those years were "hottest" only on a multi-year averaging system. I'm not denying we've had a hot spell.

    6. Re:Er by itzly · · Score: 1

      The years 2005, 2007 and 2010 were the hottest on single year basis, not averaged. See the source link I provided. And based on records from Jan through Oct, it looks like 2014 is going to end up in the top 3 again, which means that there will be 4 years that were hotter than 1998, which was an outlier year with record high El-Nino.

    7. Re:Er by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh noes! We broke teh fuckin planet! Save us, Algore!

      :: runs around the room flapping my arms like a faggot ::

    8. Re:Er by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That hottest year in 1998

      According to NASA, the years 2005, 2007, and 2010 were hotter. On the 5-year average, all the years 1999-2011 were hotter than 1998. Source: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gist...

      Except, well, back in 1999, 1938 was significantly hotter than 1998.

      Amazing how 1938 has gotten cooler in the past 15 years, three quarters of a century after 1938 happened.

    9. Re:Er by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Biggest Cherry Pick of all is choosing the late 1800s as a starting point for comparisons.

      Yes whenever anyone starts looking at the data from where the data begins I begin to suspect cherry picking too ... No wait.

    10. Re:Er by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      I938 may have been hotter in the contiguous US but globally it wasn't anywhere near the hottest year.

    11. Re:Er by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We have data from before that via proxies and historical records. Fucking Mike Mann based his fucking Hockey Stick on Proxies...one fucking tree's worth.

      Regardless, what YOU are saying with your comment is that the last 6 billions years mean nothing because we don't have temps from monitoring stations.

      Dumbass.

    12. Re:Er by Kariles70 · · Score: 1

      Which of course explains why last winter it was so cold that all of the Great Lakes froze over after not having done so in more than 100 years. Yep. Any "hotter" than this and we'll go into another ice age.

    13. Re:Er by Kariles70 · · Score: 1

      It has never been as hot in the world as 1936. Its been a long time since Canadian border states had temps at 121 degrees Fahrenheit. Would that the planet were actually as hot as they used to say it would get we would have a whole lot less energy used in the wintertime. Of course that has not happened. It won't happen either but it would really be good if it did. It would also be nice if there were no more snow exactly like the Hadley Climate Research Center said in the year 2000: "We have in all likelihood seen our last snowfall. Snow would become a rare and exciting event. Children would grow up not knowing what snow looked like." Who says all that tax money given to them was a waste?

    14. Re:Er by conquistadorst · · Score: 1

      We often miss an important distinction between weather and climate. We don't have very good accuracy with weather year over year. Hell, we can't even predict the weather over the next 10 days, forget next year. Weather can wildly change week over week, year over year. Climate on the other hand measures changes over vast periods of time, 50 years, 100 years, 10,000 years, etc. Those are easier to guess because they're at a global "macro" level. The concern regarding global warming is at the climate level, not the weather level. All the hoopla over global climate change is all around the climate temperature rising a mere few degrees over the next 100 years. Between now and then it's expected we'll have hot and cold spells varying from month to month, year to year. Record breaking cold snaps and hot snaps are just examples of changing weather. Looking at just single hot years and cold years in varying weather patterns is like a pharmaceutical focusing on but a few patients during a live human drug test and ignoring the 1,000 others.

    15. Re:Er by tbannist · · Score: 1

      It has never been as hot in the world as 1936.

      Yes, it has. Globally every year since 1990 has been warmer than 1936.

      Its been a long time since Canadian border states had temps at 121 degrees Fahrenheit.

      Actually, that would be Steele city in North Dakota on July 6th, 1936. No other Canadian border state has ever recorded a temperature of 121 F. Also note that North Dakota and south Dakota both recorded record lows of -60 F and -58 F in 1936. However, as previously pointed out, North America is about 4.8% of the world's surface and around 16.5% of the land area A record-shattering warm year in the U.S. might be barely noticable in the global record. On average, the 2000-2010 decade was 0.5 C warmer than the 1930-1940 decade. Which means for 1936 to lift the global average, the average temperature in North America would have be 10 C above average for the entire year, if the rest of the world was experiencing merely average temperatures for the decade.

      It would also be nice if there were no more snow exactly like the Hadley Climate Research Center said in the year 2000: "We have in all likelihood seen our last snowfall. Snow would become a rare and exciting event. Children would grow up not knowing what snow looked like." Who says all that tax money given to them was a waste?

      That's not an accurate quote. Even the quote you gave contradicts itself. It's also important to note that he was talking about 20 years from when he said that, and if you check your calendar you might note that it's not 2020 yet. Additionally, I'd bet he actually said "if the current trends continue" but it was dropped from the quote in the article because it wasn't pithy enough with the qualifier. Of course, we have seen a reduction in the rate of warming in surface air temperatures since 2000 so it may take longer to get there than he predicted, but the world has continued to warm, so it may still come to pass that England sees very little snow.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    16. Re:Er by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      MS River already closed to ship traffic this year too, earliest ever. Also one of the latest starts to the season.

    17. Re:Er by khallow · · Score: 1

      Climate on the other hand measures changes over vast periods of time, 50 years, 100 years, 10,000 years, etc. Those are easier to guess because they're at a global "macro" level.

      And they're harder to guess because one has to wait 50, 100, or 10,000 years to see if the predictions come true. Climate predictions don't suffer from the chaotic behavior of weather, but they do suffer from systemic bias of the climate modelers.

    18. Re:Er by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      lol!!!

  2. King Obama will agree to it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just to spite the elected officials.

  3. How Much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Deal will be all about redistributing wealth.

    1. Re:How Much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      or rather, making politicians and "scientists" wealthier.

    2. Re:How Much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All those super-rich scientist. Oh yeah baby, I'm giving up my trading job to do something useless, but well remunerated like science.

    3. Re:How Much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Full professors averaged $110,488 per year at all institutions with academic ranks.

      Nothing to sneeze at.

  4. By prospects, they mean concessions.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I suspect that this means that the US will trade money and aid and relaxed tariffs to countries in exchange for vague and empty promises for future control of greenhouse gases as was was done with the embarrassingly bad "agreement" with China.

  5. Too weak because humans are not the cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The sun is the #1 driver of weather. Read the NIPCC reports at nipccreport.org

    1. Re:Too weak because humans are not the cause by microbox · · Score: 1

      If only the sun's output showed a trend. Gee, a bunch of ideologues with ties to industry providing you with the "truth" of climate change, eh? Sad.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    2. Re:Too weak because humans are not the cause by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      If only the sun's output showed a trend. Gee, a bunch of ideologues with ties to industry providing you with the "truth" of climate change, eh? Sad.

      Actually, the amount of relevant radiation that reaches the earth shows a pretty compelling correlation with global temperatures. It's certainly a better correlation that the CO2 concentrations.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    3. Re:Too weak because humans are not the cause by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      You want ties to industry? How about cap and trade being written by the same geniuses that gave us credit default swaps? At the end of the day you can wave whatever flag you want because the only "solutions" being pushed are nothing but a reverse robin hood scam where the actual polluters get carbon "indulgences" while those that can't afford to offshore their wealth get royally fucked in the ass to benefit the 1%...surprise surprise, the rich getting richer by stealing what few cents out of each dollar they don't already hoard.

      Its nothing but a case of "tighten your belt peasant to save teh earf!" being sold to ya by guys like Rev Al Gore who sips his wine while riding in a fleet of SUVs to his McMansion...but he is "green" because he pays himself carbon credits from his own company LOL! It just shows you how badly the greenies have been had, when a guy can take money from his left pocket and put it in his right and get credit (as well as a tax break) for being "carbon neutral" LOL!

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    4. Re:Too weak because humans are not the cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nope, sun spots and the Sun's output are being monitored by the SOHO satellite and others. Temperatures have not tracked with them.

    5. Re:Too weak because humans are not the cause by jcupitt65 · · Score: 1

      Are you sure? Here's the usual solar activity / climate graph and there's no clear correlation between the Sun's activity and temperature, but a very obvious link to CO2.

      The article you link shows how cosmic rays can seed cloud formation, which may well be correct, but I don't think there's any evidence of the next step, increased temperature.

    6. Re:Too weak because humans are not the cause by dave420 · · Score: 1

      They don't, and I have a suspicion that you know it, otherwise you really need to reappraise where you get your information from and your understanding of "scientific method".

    7. Re:Too weak because humans are not the cause by Kariles70 · · Score: 1

      If there were a link and CO2 were causing global warming then it would be warmer now being that there is more of it now than there ever was in modern times. Unfortunately it is now colder than its been in most people's lifetimes. People are having to use more heating oil and nat gas to stay warm in the winter than ever before.

    8. Re:Too weak because humans are not the cause by jcupitt65 · · Score: 1

      It is warmer now than it's ever been in modern times, according to the people who try to measure global temperature. Here's the NOAA global temperature since 1880:

      http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/service/global/glob/201410.gif

      I realise that it's horribly cold in a lot of the US at the moment, but globally the world is very warm.

    9. Re:Too weak because humans are not the cause by tbannist · · Score: 1

      You want ties to industry? How about cap and trade being written by the same geniuses that gave us credit default swaps [nakedcapitalism.com]? At the end of the day you can wave whatever flag you want because the only "solutions" being pushed are nothing but a reverse robin hood scam [youtube.com] where the actual polluters get carbon "indulgences" while those that can't afford to offshore their wealth get royally fucked in the ass to benefit the 1%...surprise surprise, the rich getting richer by stealing what few cents out of each dollar they don't already hoard.

      You're American. Everything your country does is part of "a reverse robin hood scam".

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    10. Re:Too weak because humans are not the cause by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      It's a peer reviewed paper. I kind of trust that better than "Dave the pot smoker" on /.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    11. Re:Too weak because humans are not the cause by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      Why just since 1880? No "modern times" before then? We at least have writing for at least 4000 back, if not further. Why stop at 1880? Hmmm??

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    12. Re:Too weak because humans are not the cause by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      First, you're looking at a propaganda site. I don't know where that graph is from, but the "forcings" don't work, and most of the assumptions made in the forcing models have been invalidated by observations. For instance, many used a parameter for forcings based feedbacks from increasing humidity that assumed net increase in temperatures, but it turns out, from long-term observations, that net temperatures decrease with increased humidity (due to cloud cover, which can insulate at night, but the total cover over time shows that the filtering effect of clouds during the day produces more than enough cooling to make up for it.

      Many of the other forcing mechanisms that were used in climate models have been invalidated as well. I don't know which models have incorporated which of these tweaks, I don't follow it that deeply. But it looks like C/(W/m2) is either worthless or 1.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    13. Re:Too weak because humans are not the cause by jcupitt65 · · Score: 1

      HadCRUT goes back a little further, 1850:

      http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature/HadCRUT4.pdf

      There aren't sufficient historical records to go back much further with direct measurement. You have to start relying on proxies, like tree measurements and ice cores.

    14. Re:Too weak because humans are not the cause by jcupitt65 · · Score: 1

      I think all the solar activity graphs look like that, they are based on the same satellite data. For example:

      http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/0/0d/Solar-cycle-data.png

      How can increased solar activity be causing global warming if solar activity is not increasing? Isn't it more likely that the huge increase in CO2, a strongly-warming gas, is the cause?

  6. What did China promise? by schwit1 · · Score: 2

    The agreement allows China to continue building coal-powered plants, expand its economy and cement its place as the world's leading polluter -- perhaps even doubling its output until 2030 or some year around that time, when China's carbon emissions are expected to peak.

    At that point, the Chinese promise that they will implement some vague action plan at some vague point in the future. All we need to do is trust them. The agreement contains no binding language requiring any goals to be met.

    1. Re:What did China promise? by 0123456 · · Score: 2

      Exactly. China promised to do nothing, other than make Obama look like a dumb-ass.

      As for a 'UN Climate Deal', they'll announce a glorious new agreement in 2015 that doesn't require anyone to do anything unless anyone else does. And the only people who'll actually do anything will be Obama and the suicidal EU nations.

    2. Re:What did China promise? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The agreement allows China to continue building coal-powered plants, expand its economy and cement its place as the world's leading polluter -- perhaps even doubling its output until 2030 or some year around that time, when China's carbon emissions are expected to peak.

      At that point, the Chinese promise that they will implement some vague action plan at some vague point in the future. All we need to do is trust them. The agreement contains no binding language requiring any goals to be met.

      Yep, it's just a deal for the sake of making a deal. Obama is desperate for anything to crow about - a bad deal that Obama can claim credit for is more important to him than concrete results.

      Which is why the Chinese didn't have to give up anything. Obama's position is so weak the Chinese basically agreed to do what everyone knew at least two years ago was going to happen anyway:

      China's emissions expected to rise until 2030, despite ambitious green policies

      And even then, there's no concrete numbers to hold China to anyway.

    3. Re:What did China promise? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Study this chart.

      Now, notice where China is compared to the USA and Canada.

      Do you think the Chinese leaders don't bring this type of discrepancy into the discussion? Maybe if we're real quiet, they won't notice.

    4. Re:What did China promise? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course, and this is why you can see the air in nearly all Chinese population centers. Because, you know, they're so green.

    5. Re:What did China promise? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Study this chart.

      Now, notice where China is compared to the USA and Canada.

      Do you think the Chinese leaders don't bring this type of discrepancy into the discussion? Maybe if we're real quiet, they won't notice.

      Hmmm, first thing I saw was this:

      This article is outdated. Please update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. (December 2011)

      Way to go, Einstein.

    6. Re:What did China promise? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Any substantial cuts in carbon emissions will only be made by countries that are majority white. Self loathing white people want to destroy their own economy. The East has no such suicidal desires. This is why the west will fall within the next 50 years.

    7. Re:What did China promise? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

      China promised to do nothing, other than make Obama look like a dumb-ass.

      Obama didn't promise to do anything either. Under American law, no international agreement is binding unless it is ratified by the Senate. Chance of that happening in this case: 0%.

      What Obama "promised" is what America is on track to accomplish anyway. Vehicle fuel efficiency is rising. Shale gas is replacing coal. Electricity consumption is falling, as people go from incandescent to CFL to LED, and CRT to flat screen.

    8. Re:What did China promise? by reboot246 · · Score: 1

      . . . other than make Obama look like a dumb-ass.

      That's really not so hard to do. He makes W look like a freaking genius, and I thought that was nearly impossible.

    9. Re:What did China promise? by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Exactly. China promised to do nothing...

      And yet their green energy generation capacity is skyrocketting faster than many other countries in the world. In other news the Denmark didn't make any major green energy promises either but now derives 40% of its energy from Wind. As always actions speak louder than words.

      So let's look at action then:
      US renewables growth last year was 16% China's was 28%
      Ok ok so there's a size difference between the two:
      US increased by 8 millions of barrels of oil equivalent, China increased by 9.6m.
      So they are putting in more renewables than USA at present, but what about the longer run?
      Since 2008 USA has increased by 29.1m, china has increased by 39.3m

      China grew primary energy last year at almost double the rate as the USA did.

      Without any glorious promises or enforceable targets, China has gone from next to nothing in 2008, to installing nearly the same capacity as the USA (not as a percentage, but as a value of energy output) last year, and next year they are projected to install more renewables as a percentage of change in primary energy consumption than the USA. So while you're complaining about a lack of promises they are quickly overtaking us in the conversion to green energy. You're right, Obama is going to look like a dumb-ass but for all the wrong reasons.

      By the way, Per capita the USA is producing more greenhouse gases than China from every source I could find. See China may have double the USA pollution, but they have 4 times the people. Why not focus efforts on the stupidly oil rich nations that burn the stuff pretty much just for fun because they can, but otherwise aren't focused on because they have a smaller population than China?

      *Numbers taken from the BP statistical review of world energy

    10. Re:What did China promise? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Consider:

      W was what the leftist media worked 24/7 to make him look dumb.
      Obama has the leftist media singing his praises and lying day and night to prop him up and has his dumb image.

      Truth is when O was still smokin weed , Bush was fllying a fighter jet.

  7. no hope for political solution by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    The only way to reduce carbon emissions is to improve our technology to the point that non-emitting technologies are cheaper than emitting technologies. Electric cars, etc.

    The reason politicians won't come to a meaningful agreement is because the population doesn't want it. Most people aren't willing to give up their car (or even double the price of gas) for the sake of global warming.

    It would be easier to get everyone to agree to switch to nuclear energy than to agree to meaningful limits on CO2 emissions, and you should be familiar with how difficult of a political problem that is. People don't want to switch to nuclear because of.........actually I don't really know why, but even in countries that actually want to do something about CO2 (like Germany) are switching away from nuclear, so that tells you how hard the problem is.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  8. Senate approves international treaties by sideslash · · Score: 1

    News Flash: the Republicans are taking control of the Senate in January.

    1. Re:Senate approves international treaties by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Obama doesn't need any Congressional approval, he is now the Emperor of the US. Just ask him, he said he couldn't make illegals legal because he wasn't emperor, but he did last week so I guess he is.

    2. Re:Senate approves international treaties by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The percentage of this thread that is recycled mush from talk radio is about 60 percent, up from the usual 15 percent.

    3. Re:Senate approves international treaties by microbox · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I think that "skeptic" groups specifically target slashdot as a way to skew the conversation in their favor. "The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts." -- Russell

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    4. Re:Senate approves international treaties by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yes, eco fool's and fanatics are so certain of themselves, that they have led us down the path of stupid useless solutions (windmills/solar) and condemned the only practical technology (nuclear) that would help by scaring us with lies...
           

    5. Re:Senate approves international treaties by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      I noticed that too, did anti-science spammers get a pay rise recently?

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    6. Re:Senate approves international treaties by jayveekay · · Score: 1

      It requires a 2/3rds majority of the Senate to approve a treaty. The Republicans have had enough seats to block any treaty for a long time, and have done so in the last few years. Putting the Republicans in the majority doesn't change their ability to block treaties.

    7. Re:Senate approves international treaties by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      No, they're just getting more and more desperate as reality continues to argue against them.

    8. Re:Senate approves international treaties by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Newsflash, Democrats will sweep back into power in a big way in 2016 (Jan 2017).

    9. Re:Senate approves international treaties by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...and treaties are still overall limited by the constitution as well as requiring congressional approval.

  9. No such thing as 'global warming' by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Which is why they renamed it 'climate change', which means nothing, but is MEANT to mean 'catastrophic man-made global warming' every time they say it...

    www.climatedepot.com

    1. Re:No such thing as 'global warming' by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      It was climate change before it was global warming. Gilbert Plass published a paper in 1958 titled "The Carbon Dioxide Theory of Climate Change". The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change was created in 1989. "Catastrophic" was just something the climate science deniers added so they could try and mock climate change.

  10. Not easy to go nuclear, though it's the answer by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    It would be easier to get everyone to agree to switch to nuclear energy than to agree to meaningful limits on CO2 emissions

    Even though going nuclear is the only practical solution, I don't think it's any easier - you have decades of people devoted to scaring people about anything nuclear, and those groups are still around piping that tune - even to the clear detriment of the earth and environment. They just are too afraid to do anything else.

    even in countries that actually want to do something about CO2 (like Germany) are switching away from nuclear, so that tells you how hard the problem is.

    Exactly my point, if even GERMANS can't be rational about this there is no hope for anyone.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Not easy to go nuclear, though it's the answer by rubycodez · · Score: 2

      plenty of smarter countries have a full-on nuclear program, too bad the USA isn't one of those.

    2. Re:Not easy to go nuclear, though it's the answer by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      And most of those are trying to move away from nuclear.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    3. Re:Not easy to go nuclear, though it's the answer by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      no, India, China, Russia, and South Korea are not

    4. Re:Not easy to go nuclear, though it's the answer by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      Exactly my point, if even GERMANS can't be rational about this there is no hope for anyone.

      The German people have been systematically zombified on this and other issues. They are getting fed a lot of propaganda, they've been led around by people like Hermet Kohl and Angela Merkel for so long they just don't know any better.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    5. Re:Not easy to go nuclear, though it's the answer by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      they've been led around by people like Hermet Kohl and Angela Merkel for so long they just don't know any better.

      Angela Merkel has never led anyone anywhere. She just waits to see which policy is going to be most popular, and then she jumps in front of it.

    6. Re:Not easy to go nuclear, though it's the answer by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Nuclear power's biggest problem is how expensive it is. In the US right now new nuclear power plants can't be built without federal loan guarantees and the liability coverage of the Price-Anderson Act. As wind and solar continue to drop in price it's going to be difficult for nuclear to compete in the long run.

    7. Re:Not easy to go nuclear, though it's the answer by Kariles70 · · Score: 1

      The government is the last holdout against nuclear power. It is the only thing preventing us from going to 100% carbon free pollution free energy tomorrow. Even though it is safer than flying in an airplane, far safer than riding in a car or crossing the street, our government is run by environmental quacks who would like to prolong the non-problem to be able to control and manipulate gullible sheeple like they did with the Obamacare fiasco. So it won't be solved anytime soon even though it could be. If we went to nuclear tomorrow, they'd have to dream up another false boogey-man to scare the sheeple with.

    8. Re:Not easy to go nuclear, though it's the answer by Kariles70 · · Score: 1

      Wow. The mark of a true "leader". Following "consensus". Good thing she wasn't in charge of Germany in the late 1930s.

    9. Re:Not easy to go nuclear, though it's the answer by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      US investors are free to pump money into new nuclear capacity if they want to, but they don't. Too expensive, and if government funding gets cut they might never see a profit. There are also a multitude of things that can go wrong (not just meltdowns, things like premature ageing or the discovery flaws that are costly to fix) so it's a fairly risky investment. The countries that are building new capacity all offset the risk with government subsidy.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  11. B-b-but but, Rush says Climate Change is a hoax! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's all a hoax from Al Gore and those liberal institutions like the New York Times.

    RUSH LIMBAUGH said that! And so did other intellectual giants of our time, including

    Michelle Bachman.
    Sean Hannity.
    Sarah Palin.
    Ted Cruz.

    ALL of these internationally acclaimed experts agree on one thing ... that there is no man-made climate change! Ask any one of them!

  12. China's promises are worthless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Guardian published this 2 years ago:

    China's emissions expected to rise until 2030, despite ambitious green policies

    Now, read Slate from a couple of weeks ago regarding the "great" climate deal Obama agreed to with China:

    A Real Deal

    The Chinese commitment is not a commitment to any specific value of emissions but rather a commitment that the country’s emissions will peak by 2030, and thereafter will not increase. The deal does not specify whether and by how much emissions will decrease after 2030, but the significance is that China is committed to get off its exponential emissions track by 2030.

    Lovely. The Chinese basically agreed that yes, the Earth is already round. Obama got rolled.

  13. The fate of by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ManBearPig is 'unknown'.

    1. Re:The fate of by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm sooper cereal.

  14. dizi rehberi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the United States and the European Union, dizirehberi.org but any agreement will probably be too weak to halt rising temperatures.

  15. Really!?!?!? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You guys are still promoting this warming scam? None of those "scientific" models have even come close to what has happened. ALL of their predictions have been completely wrong. Yet you still promote this nonsense.

    1. Re:Really!?!?!? by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      Well, what else are they gonna do? No-one in the real world is going to hire them to do a real job.

    2. Re:Really!?!?!? by microbox · · Score: 1

      It's amazing how replete with projection "skepticism" is. You probably don't even know what that means, and almost certainly couldn't process it if you did.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
  16. Re:B-b-but but, Rush says Climate Change is a hoax by operator_error · · Score: 1

    It isn't just the right-wing media pundits who are climate deniers. Look no further than the new House Majority Leader from the great coal state of Kentucky, re-elected with money from the Koch Brothers, (who are kinda big on coal). Or the Frackin' State of Oklahoma Senator James Inhofe, chairman of the United States Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works, who disagrees with 800 actual scientists on the matter, since forever. In fact James Inhofe wrote a anti-science book, titled "The Greatest Hoax: How the Global Warming Conspiracy Threatens Your Future", and among other things he oversees the Environmental Protection Agency.

    http://www.amazon.com/The-Grea...

    http://stateimpact.npr.org/okl...

  17. Single-year does not make a decadal trend. by microbox · · Score: 1

    A single year does not a trend make. It's a decadal trend. Average the temperatures on a decadal basis, and you will see that there was never an abatement from warming. Furthermore, most of the heat (90+%) goes into the oceans, which makes them rise (because they expand) and the signal is much less noisy. No abatement there either. And besides, 1998 wasn't the hottest year on record -- that's is an ambiguous statement -- and it was hot because of a record El Nino. The next record El Nino will blast 1998 to bits, unless there is some mitigating circumstance such as huge volcanic eruptions in the same year. And I say all of this fully aware that you cannot possibly understand it -- being a "skeptic" and all.

    --

    Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    1. Re:Single-year does not make a decadal trend. by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      Yes I agree that one year doesn't make a trend. However there definitely was a cool period in the 20th century, so your claim of no abatement from warming is rejected because of reality.

    2. Re:Single-year does not make a decadal trend. by itzly · · Score: 1

      You claim "the fact of global cooling showing that most the issue was cyclical rather than man-driven", but where's the proof ? Just based on this (short) trend, it's impossible to say what the cause is. For instance, it could be a human-driven warming trend, combined with a cyclical cooling phenomenon.

    3. Re: Single-year does not make a decadal trend. by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 1

      Not only are multi-year trends important, also energy imbalance is more important then temperature. The entire greenhouse effect is about the global energy imbalance and temperature is just a proxy measure of that.
      We've been measuring that energy imbalance by satellite for a few decades now and seen a net of more in than out, as expected.
      Here is a big trick though, that imbalance should also be growing as we dump more and more CO2 into the atmosphere. Or more importantly, the degree to which our activity affects the trend of that Imbalance is important to our long term impact. The IPCC notes from the satellite record, with very high confidence, that since 2001 there has been no trend to the global energy imbalance. If you also look at projected and actual temperatures in the latest IPCC report, measured temp is tracking the very low end of projections, which show pretty manageable temperature changes for the next hundred years.
      So there is a scientific consensus under all this. The planet is warming. We are contributing. No need to panic yet though as the severity of our impact is still under investigation and there are many reasons to believe that adaptation may be worlds more efficient than large scale forced and rapid emissions reductions.

    4. Re: Single-year does not make a decadal trend. by rs79 · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry, you're full of shit and don't have a clue what you're talking about. When you disagree with NASA and CERN and the fossil record you better be able to also drop an SUV on mars from a rocket powered skycrane and hold all the worlds antimatter.

      The IPCC has not been right about anything, ever, and if you don't think 75% error is meaningful then 2+2=7 is for you.

      You wouldn't happen to be the recipient of a climate grant would you?

      "The problem is we don't know what the climate is doing. We thought we knew 20 years ago. That led to some alarmist books – mine included – because it looked clear-cut, but it hasn't happened,” Lovelock said.

      “The climate is doing its usual tricks. There’s nothing much really happening yet. We were supposed to be halfway toward a frying world now,” he said.

      “The world has not warmed up very much since the millennium. Twelve years is a reasonable time it (the temperature) has stayed almost constant, whereas it should have been rising -- carbon dioxide is rising, no question about that,” he added.
      "'I made a mistake'

      As “an independent and a loner,” he said he did not mind saying “All right, I made a mistake.” He claimed a university or government scientist might fear an admission of a mistake would lead to the loss of funding."

      Oh fuck. The F word. F-f-f-f-f-uding.

      https://web.archive.org/web/20...

      "Warming" -> http://www.nature.com/nclimate...
      http://www.nature.com/nclimate...
      http://www.climate.gov/news-fe...
      http://www.nasa.gov/press/2014...
      http://www.theregister.co.uk/2...
      http://blog.nj.com/njv_paul_mu...
      http://opinion.financialpost.c...
      http://www.populartechnology.n...
      http://tigger.uic.edu/~pdoran/...
      http://www.climatechangedispat...
      http://news.ku.dk/all_news/201...

      If you have some other explanations of all these or proof of a warming world this might be a good time to drag it out.

      http://www.spring.org.uk/2012/...

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
    5. Re:Single-year does not make a decadal trend. by Kariles70 · · Score: 1

      If CO2 were a greenhouse gas it would actually be hotter than its ever been before, not cooler. For instance, the Great Lakes would not have frozen solid last winter and took until nearly July to completely melt if it had actually been as hot as they claim it was supposed to be back in 1992. Particularly since it had not been that cold since 1912. Record breaking cold is a fact and reality that don't fit with the Climate cult's dogma so they resort to things like trying to say the past did not happen as per the Maunder Minimum, Medieval warm period, not understanding that Greenland was once green, etc.

    6. Re: Single-year does not make a decadal trend. by Kariles70 · · Score: 1

      It warmed so much we now have record breaking cold. Instead of no artic ice like they said we now have record breaking ice. Instead of record breaking heat we have record cold. Everything they predicted would happen is wrong. There are now over 50 official excuses as to why its not hot. This winter we'll probably be fed another new reason Global Warming never made it here.

    7. Re: Single-year does not make a decadal trend. by Kariles70 · · Score: 1

      Don't worry. Some will try to visit the arctic places including the antarctic and get stuck in the record amount of ice that their Atari that they programmed themselves told them would be gone long ago. Then they'll have to be rescued by an icebreaker ship, which will then get stuck in the ice that was not supposed to be there. Actually this has already happened.

      Its like getting someone to admit Bigfoot is a fake. There are simply too many people making money off of the hoax to ever get someone to stand up and admit they made the whole thing up for money just like Roger Patterson did for Bigfoot. So the Legend of Sasquatch er, Global Warming, lives on.

    8. Re:Single-year does not make a decadal trend. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ns. Good luck in having no snow in 5y given the record breaking snowfalls last winter, and a good start of possibly breaking those this year, coupled with the same quoted 1999-2011 time period saw some of our coolest summers ever, along with 2014 summer.

    9. Re: Single-year does not make a decadal trend. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There IS a trend.

      So you fail your claims right from the off, dearie.

  18. Temperature? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So what if we can't halt temperature rises? Maybe we should strive to just stop pollution. If it halts temperature increases, good. If it doesn't, we tried. Either way, we get clean air, water, etc.

    1. Re:Temperature? by Troed · · Score: 1

      I fully agree with you - but - carbon dioxide is not in any way "pollution". It's plant food. It has likely contributed to our greening planet, which has caused deserts to shrink and our food output to reach record highs.

      Either we explicitly want to cut down on CO2 production due to our skilled models saying it will hurt us - and/or we stop various forms of pollution. It's very unscientific to pretend there the same thing.

    2. Re:Temperature? by itzly · · Score: 1

      According to current definitions of "pollutant", CO2 fits the bill. http://www.skepticalscience.co... And "plant food" and "pollutant" are not necessarily mutually exclusive. Phosphate is also a plant food and a potential pollutant at the same time.

    3. Re:Temperature? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      please stop quoting that site, it's so full of bullshit

    4. Re:Temperature? by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      According to current definitions of "pollutant", CO2 fits the bill.

      According to Skeptical Science. Which is kind of like saying that under current definitions of "safe", cigarettes fit the bill (according to Philip Morris).

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    5. Re:Temperature? by dave420 · · Score: 1

      If you actually read the site you'd see that the definition comes from the EPA. Linking to that particular page when this nonsense crops up saves time, as that page shows that calling CO2 is accurate in the English language, and also under EPA guidelines.

      If it's clearly so wrong, debunk it. We can wait.

    6. Re:Temperature? by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      as that page shows that calling CO2 is accurate in the English language, and also under EPA guidelines.

      Clearly your English needs some work, I can't tell WTF you're trying to say, here.

      I see you've gone from quoting a propaganda site to a tyrannical armed bureaucracy that directly funds that propaganda, and many others. I don't think that's better.

      The only thing about the Federal government worse than the IRS is the EPA.

      As for EPA's determination of CO2 as a pollutant, the Office of Inspector General review their finding, and concluded that not only did they not follow basic scientific method in coming to their conclusions, but they didn't even follow their own guidelines (this from the report):

      EPA’s TSD Peer Review Methodology Did Not Meet OMB Requirements for Highly Influential Scientific Assessments

      EPA fulfilled the statutory requirements for notice and comment rulemakings mandated in the Administrative Procedur e Act and in Section 307 of the CAA, and employed several of its processes de signed to ensure data quality.

      EPA did not maintain a record of its respon se and disposition of comments for the two TSDs that accompanied the proposed and final rules. Additionally, the panel’s results and EPA’s response to the panel’s results were not made available to the public as is required for a peer review of a highly influential sc ientific assessment. We also noted that this panel did not fully meet the independence requirements for reviews of highly influential scien tific assessments because one of the panelists was an EPA employee. The OMB bulletin for peer review states that “scientists employed by the sponsoring ag ency are not permitted to serve as reviewers for highly influential scien tific assessments.” See appendix A, question 5, for a more detailed discus sion of the expert panel process.

      no supporting analytical inform ation was available to show how EPA made its determination prior to dissem inating the information. EPA’s guidance for assessing the quality of externally generated information does not provide procedures or steps for assessing outs ide data or requirements for documenting such analysis.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
  19. Deal is the opposite to what you think. by microbox · · Score: 1

    The deal is actually the opposite. America doesn't really need to do much to meet Obama's target. The natural market-driven growth of renewables will do it, so long as the GOP doesn't play pick the winners and losers by slapping regulations. (*cough* Kansas *cough*). It may well cost the US consumer $0. China, on the other hand, is deploying huge amounts of new energy, and will fundamentally need to shift their plan in order to have emissions peak in 2030. But they want to do it anyway, since -- pollution, and they will be at the bleeding edge of renewables technology with will own carbon by 2030. Heck, wind is already price parity with coal, and solar is dropping fast. See Levelized cost of electricity by source. And I say all of this knowing that you cannot understand it, because you are a "skeptic" with the "truth". (Somehow not a contradiction -- but that's human nature for you.)

    --

    Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    1. Re:Deal is the opposite to what you think. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      With this completely bullshit accounting we can prove that unreliable and insanely expensive renewable energy that will never come close to meeting any of America's energy needs is actually cheaper than fossil fuels because we blame virtually every single thing that is wrong with society on fossil fuels. If you disagree you are an evil skeptic. Yadda Yadda Yadda.

  20. Hurry up and stop natural climate change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    BEGINNING about 1,100 years ago, what is now California baked in two droughts, the first lasting 220 years and the second 140 years. Each was much more intense than the mere six-year dry spells that afflict modern California from time to time, new studies of past climates show. The findings suggest, in fact, that relatively wet periods like the 20th century have been the exception rather than the rule in California for at least the last 3,500 years, and that mega-droughts are likely to recur.

    In medieval times the California droughts coincided roughly with a warmer climate in Europe, which allowed the Vikings to colonize Greenland and vineyards to grow in England, and with a severe dry period in South America, which caused the collapse of that continent's most advanced pre-Inca empire, the rich and powerful state of Tiwanaku, other recent studies have found.

    Does Tiwanaku's fate await modern California?

    Only true believers in a world without technological development can help California avoid its completely natural droughts now.

    http://www.nytimes.com/1994/07...

  21. Re:no hope for political solution by KeensMustard · · Score: 1
    Actually it's the politicians who don't want it.

    I've never met anyone who can argue successfully against action on climate in an open debate. The whole denialist movement is merely a desperate papering over of the fact that a small number of people don't want to do anything about climate change.

    Why?

    Well, generally they can't even articulate that.

    Very few people actually fall into this category, fewer still sincerely believe that rhetoric, the problem with dissonance is that it is hard to keep straight in your mind. So in an open debate, denialism always loses.

    Not that this is a problem for politicians, they are well versed in the art of not engaging in open debate, and lie sufficiently well that they can pretend to take action, and at the same time make sure that the short term interests of their fossil fuel industry patrons are protected.

  22. Congress Has Authority To Remove The President by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Twenty-fifth Amendment to the Constitution of the United States of America

    Ref. Wikipedia.org

    Section 4. Whenever the Vice President and a majority of either the principal officers of the executive departments or of such other body as Congress may by law provide, transmit to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives their written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office, the Vice President shall immediately assume the powers and duties of the office as Acting President.

    Thereafter, when the President transmits to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives his written declaration that no inability exists, he shall resume the powers and duties of his office unless the Vice President and a majority of either the principal officers of the executive department or of such other body as Congress may by law provide, transmit within four days to the President pro tempore of the Senate and the Speaker of the House of Representatives their written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office. Thereupon Congress shall decide the issue, assembling within forty-eight hours for that purpose if not in session. If the Congress, within twenty-one days after receipt of the latter written declaration, or, if Congress is not in session, within twenty-one days after Congress is required to assemble, determines by two-thirds vote of both Houses that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office, the Vice President shall continue to discharge the same as Acting President; otherwise, the President shall resume the powers and duties of his office.

    This is how Congress can remove Mr. Obama from the Office of President.

  23. Wow! by fredrated · · Score: 1

    The freaks are really posting today.

    1. Re:Wow! by Pope+Hagbard · · Score: 1

      You see a lot of that on some websites when hot-button issues like climate change are discussed. For example, on Ars Technica there are almost always brand-new accounts posting the same old denier crap on every AGW thread; most likely a popular nut site like Drudge or WND will post a link, or someone in their forums.

  24. Doing nothing is one of the best option by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Doing nothing or even better consuming all fossil fuels as fast as possible is one of the best option there is at this point to ensure that future generations will live in harmony with Mother Earth.

  25. Or, to sum it up... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Outside the USA, there are grown-ups." Shocking.

  26. Re:no hope for political solution by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    I've never met anyone who can argue successfully against action on climate in an open debate.

    Well, since you are being the judge of 'successful,' I'm not surprised you've never seen that. You are no different than most people in that you don't like to lose your own argument.

    In the case of climate change, people and politicians are happy to help the environment. You will rarely see a politician who says he wants to hurt the environment.

    It's only when you get down to specific propositions that people object. How much are you willing to help the environment? Are you willing to double the price of gas (to decrease demand)? Are you willing to significantly increase your electric bill? The answer to these for most people is no, they aren't.

    But if it's just 'doing something', sure, I'm in favor of 'doing something,' as long as it doesn't negatively effect me.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  27. The hypocrites convene! by felrom · · Score: 1

    So let me get this straight:

    Delegates (ie, representatives and their entourages, servants, security, family, etc) from 200 nations will all be taking their private jets to a city located in a subtropical desert during the summer, where they'll sit around for a week in luxurious air conditioning discussing an agreement that they may decide to agree to a year later when they all travel by private jet to Paris to do it all over again.

    And we're expected to take these people seriously when it comes to what they say concerning carbon emissions, global warming, and how to stop it? If they wanted to be taken seriously, they'd hold the meeting using Skype and live stream it for everyone to watch, but then they couldn't enjoy the luxury of emitting a hundred million tons of CO2 to have their discussion about how to emit less CO2.

    What a bunch of clowns!

  28. Holy Profit by SenseiTim · · Score: 1

    There will be no strong environmental law as long as American corporations have the same rights as human beings. Holy Profit trunmps the environment--and everything else.

    1. Re:Holy Profit by khallow · · Score: 1

      There will be no strong environmental law as long as American corporations have the same rights as human beings.

      There are two problems with this claim. First, it doesn't follow. Strong environmental law is not at all precluded by corporate personhood or rights of anyone. Second, corporate personhood doesn't mean that corporations have the same rights as human beings. What rights they have are deemed necessary in order for the human members of the corporation to exercise their rights. So by the construction of the legal fiction, corporate personhood grants exercise of a limited subset of human rights.

    2. Re:Holy Profit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Strong environmental law is not at all precluded by corporate personhood or rights of anyone

      Actually, that is only true if corporate personhood is achieved via free markets. But that's not how corporate personhood exists today.

      Corporate personhood today is a legal construct heavily regulated by government(s). Unlike the free market where the pie grows over time, government power is a zero-sum game.

      This is why the whole climate debate has become so political. People are not trying to further seek the truth (you know, like science). People are fighting over government power. There's only so much government power to go around. Climate scientist want some, mostly at the expense of corporations. Corporations obviously don't want to see their power stripped. Thus, we get the debate.

    3. Re:Holy Profit by khallow · · Score: 1

      Your argument is completely irrelevant. Strong environmental law is not at all precluded by corporate personhood or rights of anyone. Since this is a bizarre US-centric argument, I'll also point out that the US actually has strong environmental law and there is no history of it being significantly limited by corporate personhood. Even seriously unconstitutional laws like Superfund (which created ridiculous ex post facto penalties for past, lawful behavior) were allowed to stand.

    4. Re:Holy Profit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the US actually has strong environmental law... Superfund

      Superfund is actually an example of lack of strong environmental law.

      Superfund is NOT a strong environment law. It is a strong forceful-sucking-up-people's-wealth law, but it is incredibly inefficient and weak at actually doing the job it's supposed to do i.e helping the environment.

      So it's actually the other way around: there is actually no history of strong environment law existing as strong corporate personhood exist. Not as long as government is so involved in corporate personhood.

    5. Re:Holy Profit by khallow · · Score: 1

      Superfund is actually an example of lack of strong environmental law.

      No. Try again. Just because it's not effective in outcome doesn't mean it's not strong environmental law. And once again, this has nothing to do with the status of corporations in the US.

  29. The cult of Nuclear power is insufferable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nuclear energy isn't "smarter" at all. In fact is one of the worst options out there.

    1. Re:The cult of Nuclear power is insufferable by Kariles70 · · Score: 1

      Oh really? Well then you had better get the nuclear submarines, aircraft carriers, and other nuclear power sources like the sun to just shut down.

    2. Re:The cult of Nuclear power is insufferable by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

      Only if you want to rape the earth with a chainsaw is nuclear the worst option.

      People who are against nuclear may as well set fire to an acre of tires in their back yard, it would represent a tiny fraction of the pollution you have caused from the continued and future use of coal plants, you dirty bastard.

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  30. Re:no hope for political solution by sumdumass · · Score: 1

    The problem is the people in general. They do not want to be inconvenienced, burdened, overly taxed, or told they have to go without something they are already taking for granted while wealthy and rich people gets to still enjoy it. It is a step backwards in society from any rational sense of reality.

    This is why the governments who are concerned should not be trying to force more expensive tech onto people, they should not be trying to tax them in hopes that someone will get fed up and create a better alternative before replacing the government and ignoring their concerns. The governments, the UN, all those concerned, should be investing in direct research to make cleaner alternatives and perhaps even cleaner fossil energy sources that are both cost competitive and safe which could be implemented by any country at little to no royalty costs. If instead of Kyoto requiring countries to tax energy use in excess of so much emissions or penalizing some countries while ignoring others (Seriously, out of 157 or so countries, only 37 had limits on carbon emissions and of those 2 had limits they would reach in the future) and instead put as much effort and attention into researching and developing energy sources that would effectively meet those goals while being cost competitive, we would likely not be talking about this right now. We would likely either realize there isn't good alternatives or be instituting them as they are more productive and profitable.

    But it would seem that everything done is for some other agenda. You can see those agendas if you look around enough.

  31. Re:no hope for political solution by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

    I'm in favor of 'doing something,' as long as it doesn't negatively effect me.

    Burning coal is "doing something" and it is negatively impacting everyone..

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  32. Climate change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hey, there's my daily Climate Change (TM) article. I thought you were starting to neglect your propaganda duties for a minute there.

  33. Good grief... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A) A "maybe in 2030 or so" from China isn't even a shadow of a close approximation to anything leading to or vaguely reminiscent of a promise.
    B) WHAT global warming? The hockey stick is proven bunkum, the ice caps are expanding, not melting, and temperatures have been stable for 20 years.

    I won't (yet) say that global warming is a hoax, but the evidence for THAT being so is more conclusive by far than the evidence for global warming itself.

    1. Re:Good grief... by dave420 · · Score: 1

      B) PLEASE read the scientific papers on this subject, as they do not claim that. The only possible way you can believe those claims to be true is if you go elsewhere for your science education. The land ice is shrinking massively, and sea ice is expanding, and temperatures have been increasing for 20 years, just not as much as expected, which has been countered by the rise in sea temperatures.

      Please enlighten yourself, as you seem intelligent, but you get your science information from non-scientists.

  34. A world crisis bigger than the sky. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The good news folks is atmospheric concentration of CO2 can be highly locally variable. When driving through the Coastal Half Moon Bay agriculture district (on Highway 92 if you live nearby) I have even seen 380 ppm CO2 on my hand held CO2 meter. Yes plants do absorb CO2. Unfortunately, deforestation such as turning the Amazon rainforest into toilet paper, and huge cuttings in the Western USA not visible from the highway (but painfully intensely obvious if you take a daytime jet from SF to Seattle... get a right side rear of plane window seat) have reduced the growing plant benefits greatly.

    We need to roll CO2 concentrations back to 1960 levels fast. The State of California's CO2 equivalent emissions reduction goals were a great idea. I don't have the paper at hand, but one analyst says some of the California emissions reductions are being accomplished by buying product from overseas instead of generating CO2 by making it in California.

    The atmospheric CO2 concentration problem is a big problem. It's appearances are so sparse in it's manifestations that the climate change deniers and the climate change acknowledgers are not so far apart. The atmospheric CO2 concentration problem is as big as the sky. In America we have had three or four Energy Crisis events. Every single one of these Crises has caused the oil companies to do the obvious: pump more oil. Now we have the Fifth Energy Crisis - plenty of meticulously burned gasoline and now more combustion products than the atmosphere should hold. Every CO2 molecule vibrates in the infrared frequency range. It now fills the sky and blankets the earth. Every consumer desire for another tank of gasoline has been satisfied. Every person my age in America has driven 300,000 miles and generated enough CO2 to raise a 400 foot by 400 foot square column of the earth's atmosphere to 400 ppm CO2 concentration. Figure it out yourself: 22.7 mpg, gasoline weighs 7 lb per gallon, approximately 10 lb CO2 per gallon gasoline burned (ignoring the niceties of molar weights). Air weighs 14.7 lb per square inch.

    The roar of denial and the greedy push to burn just a few more gigatons of coal has real economic underpinnings. Constructive reduction in CO2 emission requires programs that understand those forces. An obvious easy change is we really need to immediately jump to 50% vehicle mile reduction with ride sharing. That will make the waste of the daily commute a bit more obvious. Ride sharing will also release a huge amount of immediate cash not spent on petroleum. That cash should have multiple good uses. Provide a beefy unemployment insurance program that will support a relaxation of the transportation social need matrix. Make it economically feasible for everybody to re-employ themselves with a short commute. Provide statutory support for employee initiated job exchange. Lots and lots of people to buy a new electric car thanks to the money paid by daily commute riders.

    For the anxious accountants of corporate Aamerica, we should provide a similarly beefy time value of money relief program that will support a relaxation of the return-on-investment forces that propel commerce at the outer boundary of fast.

  35. Re:no hope for political solution by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    Way to take phrases out of context.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  36. Re:no hope for political solution by khallow · · Score: 1

    I've never met anyone who can argue successfully against action on climate in an open debate. The whole denialist movement is merely a desperate papering over of the fact that a small number of people don't want to do

    Why should we care about what you think "successful" means? Use of the term, "denialist" indicates you aren't serious about debate. But I'll put forth a serious argument in case you decide to change your mind.

    I grant that there is global warming and it probably is due in large part to human activities, particularly, greenhouse gas emissions and albedo changes. But there are plenty of problems going from that to asserting that we should act on it, particularly, the recent calls for reducing human carbon dioxide emissions by 80% by 2050.

    First, the evidence for catastrophic anthropogenic global warming is poor. The data sets gets really tenuous once you get further in the past than an actual temperature record (about 150 or so years ago). And actual measurement of global mean temperature is much more recent with satellite measurements. The most important parameter in climatology today, the temperature forcing of a doubling of atmospheric CO2 levels is unknown to at least a factor of 3 (1.5 C per to 4.5 C per is current IPCC estimate).

    Second, the evidence for urgency concerning global warming is similarly poor. Extreme weather (particularly of any sort that is not a temperature high) is particularly dubious with poor statistical records of most such data past the 20th Century. Similarly, there's no evidence for a tipping point in the near future or damage from sea level rise or ocean acidification. It's all vague claims. Much is made of the increase in flood insurance claims while ignoring that most of the increase in these claims come from the US and are due to the US's very generous and cheap public flood insurance.

    Third, there is a persistent bias by both scientists and policy makers towards exaggerating the effects of climate change. The numerous climate change models used over the past couple of decades have overstated global mean temperatures. Climategate showed that climatologists would have substantial disagreement over scientific issues, but hid those problems from the public. Several scientists (most notably Michael Mann) are notorious for consistently churning out poor but politically convenient research in content and timing.

    A recent pause in global warming resulted in a search for the "missing" heat. Currently, that discrepancy is asserted to be heat absorbed by the oceans, but it is just as likely to have been radiated to space. Why look for the former, but not the latter?

    Economic effects of AGW are consistently skewed in favor of portraying AGW as more harmful and portraying distant future costs as more harmful. Similar biases exist in policy makers, most notably the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) which has consistently exaggerated the research and pushed one particular solution: radical CO2 emissions reduction. Similarly, we have vast spending among developed world governments based on the assumption that AGW is an urgent matter.

    And let us not forget the media who routinely eagerly exaggerates what claims are made.

    Fourth, the economics of CO2 emission reduction is severely understated. People routinely ignore the economic impact of environmental regulations over the past few decades. That resulted in the massive movement of industry to the developing world from the regulated developed world.

    The current proposals to heavily reduce CO2 emissions are at least of the same scope (due to the impact on energy production and transportation). So what makes this current proposal likely to create economic opportunity rather than a second wave of economic transfer of industry, commerce, and wealth to the developing world (and other non-complying regions)?

    My view is that you need to have a better reason than some vague suspicion that AGW

  37. Question Climate Change Schizos can't answer: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What is the optimal temperature for Earth?

  38. Re:no hope for political solution by dave420 · · Score: 1

    You simply saying that all the research into AGW is poor and that it's all spun etc. doesn't make it so. You really are a denialist, and it's tragic that you are so caught up in this game you can't even use your own brain. You are a real human being who has handed over their thought processes to others. Again - it's tragic.

    I could point you to many sources which show you're wrong, but I've seen others do just that and you still come back as if those interactions never happened.

  39. Re:no hope for political solution by Kariles70 · · Score: 1

    Tragic is having grown adults look at the Great Lakes freeze solid and not thaw completely until late June of this year and claim the planet is "hotter than its ever been before" despite record breaking cold. It has not been that cold since 1912.
    When you can deny actual observed reality because an "authority" told you to disbelieve reality you will believe anything you are told by that authority no matter how false it is. You lose the argument by hollering "denialist" at anyone that doesn't go along with the con. If the people that hurl that phrase about were told by the same authorities that Jews were causing global warming there would be another holocaust. To save the planet, of course.

  40. Re:no hope for political solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    > A recent pause in global warming resulted in a search for the "missing" heat. Currently, that discrepancy is asserted to be heat absorbed by the oceans, but it is just as likely to have been radiated to space. Why look for the former, but not the latter?

    Dear gods. We know the heat hasn't been radiated to space, we have satellites that measure this. While you may have some points in the rest of your text, this single failure shows you don't know the first thing about the topic.

    Repeat after me: the fact that the earth is absorbing more energy than it is emitting is not something that is even the slightest bit in dispute. The only question is: where is the energy going (probably the ocean).

  41. this is a joke like China agreement with America by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    CO2 will continue to rise as long as we stay with per capita normalization, which is based on estimates in nations like China and India, combined with ignoring nations like China and India.
    The fact is, that CO2 emissions is NOT tied to ppl, but GDP. As such, normalization needs to be based on emissions per GDP.
    In addition, many nations love to cheat on information about estimates. What is needed is a single means of measuring all over the world. That is what OCO2 will bring us. It can measure CO2 flowing IN and OUT of a nation.

    The best solution is for nations to put a tax on consumed goods predicated on where the parts come from and the amount of CO2 / GDP from the worst nations. In this fashion, it rewards nations that lower theirs (or stays low), while punishing those that are too high.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  42. Re:no hope for political solution by khallow · · Score: 1

    You simply saying that all the research into AGW is poor and that it's all spun etc. doesn't make it so.

    Indeed. I've described the sort of problems (not at all a complete list I might add) that do make all that research in AGW poor. It's those problems, not my words that are at issue here.

    I could point you to many sources which show you're wrong, but I've seen others do just that and you still come back as if those interactions never happened.

    I require evidence not sources. So many people just don't get that dropping links is not the same thing as providing evidence. The key property of evidence is that it allows me to distinguish between hypotheses, such as between "climate change requires us to cut carbon dioxide emissions by 80% by 2050" and "we know which side of our bread is buttered and are presenting our research in a politically convenient light in order to preserve our funding".

    This is part of the deeply unscientific rhetoric surrounding advocacy of the catastrophic AGW theory.

  43. Re:no hope for political solution by khallow · · Score: 1

    We know the heat hasn't been radiated to space, we have satellites that measure this.

    I used to think the same until I realized the first place that people had looked for the "missing heat" was the polar regions. Why? Because it was the only surface region which wasn't covered by an extensive network of weather stations and weakly covered by satellites.

    Well, these regions also happen, particularly in the Antarctic, to be places where high altitude ozone and water vapor, both significant greenhouse gases, happen to be particularly low. That means a pathway for heat to radiate to space which is not well studied.

    Repeat after me: the fact that the earth is absorbing more energy than it is emitting is not something that is even the slightest bit in dispute. The only question is: where is the energy going (probably the ocean).

    I wrote earlier "I grant that there is global warming" so I already agree with this assertion. It is not in dispute by me. What is in dispute by me is both the degree of warming (which seems consistently exaggerated) and what, if anything, we should do about it.

  44. China? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Are you serious? China agreed to "peak" in 2030 so they have gone from 1.5 Gt/yr in 1980 to 7.5 and will be around 12 and that is going to achieve what exactly? Now if you could get them to clean up all the other pollutants coming out of their plants I could live with extra CO2.

  45. Dr Brown From Duke Uni and his take by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is all based on models that have never been shown to work. They are in epic fail mode. Totally wrong assumptions and computations. GIGO.

    If you want to read a great explanation of why the IPCC models are broken beyond belief there was a great article describing that and all the other problems with climate science by Dr Brown of Duke university

    http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/10/06/real-science-debates-are-not-rare/

    Here is an interesting thought. We had a minor el-nino this year with warming in the north pacific so next year we are due for a la-nina. Given that we are in the negative phase of the PDO it will be a very cold year starting next fall. That is due to la-ninas being stronger and el-ninos being weaker during a negative PDO phase.

    So the "Gore Effect" will be in full swing next fall and they will have their meeting in freezing temps!

  46. Ice Age Coming!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So the "ice age is coming" of the 1970s becomes "global warming" in the 1980s/90s and has now morphed into "climate change" because the warming stopped 14-18 years ago. "Climate Change" is so nice because they won't have to change their scam's name every time the climate does something they don't expect .... like CHANGE! For goodness sake climate is always changing and humans for all their arrogance have very little to do with it. Urban heat island is proven and CO2 might have a 1 degree C change for each doubling.

    A question for everyone who thinks that CO2 controls the climate. How long with rising CO2 and flat or falling temperatures before you admit your theory is wrong? 20 years? 30? Never?

    All 5 of the major datasets (RSS, UAH, HadCRUT4, GISS, NCDC) show no warming for between 14 and almost 18 years. In that time CO2 has risen 8-10%.

    Here are 2 predictions. First I predict that CO2 will continue to increase because China and other countries don't care about CO2. They don't even care about real pollutants much less CO2. Second I predict it will get colder over the next 20-30 years. Why?

    Dr Libby in the 1970s said that "looking forward it will stay cold until the mid 80s (it did), then it will warm by about 1/4 degree F until the end of the century it did), then it gets cold". When asked how cold she was predicting a 1-2 degree F drop with an outside chance of a 3-4 degree drop.

    Dr Easterbrook in 2001 said the PDO was done it's positive warm cycle and that we were in for 25-30 years of cold weather. How cold? We have his good, bad and ugly predictions based on previous negative cold phases of the PDO.

    Why do I join with them and side with their predictions? While past performance is not a guarantee of future correctness it is a lot better record than the IPCC and their dozens of models of which none have been accurate. They are all based on CO2 controlling the climate and the other 2 are all cyclical natural cycles. I'll go with those who have a good track record at predicting future climate. Dr Libby is the most impressive as her prediction is 30+ years going and still accurate.

    If you want to read a great explanation of why the IPCC models are broken beyond belief there was a great article describing that and all the other problems with climate science by Dr Brown of Duke university. It even includes a post he made on slashdot about it.

    http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/10/06/real-science-debates-are-not-rare/

  47. No, it's tied to people by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Every person uses something that produces CO2. Therefore it depends on people, not GDP.

  48. Re:no hope for political solution by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    You simply saying that all the research into AGW is poor

    The predictions are poor. Or do you just ignore the studies that have shown that the computer models don't match reality?

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  49. Re:no hope for political solution by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

    Well, since you are being the judge of 'successful,' I'm not surprised you've never seen that.

    I'm using fairly standard criteria - said criteria being based your ability to provide verifiable proof of your assertions. What did you think? That mere rhetoric would convince us?

  50. Re:no hope for political solution by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    I'm using fairly standard criteria - said criteria being based your ability to provide verifiable proof of your assertions. What did you think? That mere rhetoric would convince us?

    I don't think there's anything that will convince you. If someone provided proof, you would find a way to explain it away.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  51. Re:no hope for political solution by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

    Well, you'll never know unless you or one of your buddies actually post some proof, some day.

  52. Re:no hope for political solution by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    Here's the real problem:
    Every time someone proposes a solution to climate change, people don't want it. It's not just politicians. That was the fact that started the thread, and it still stands.

    Sure, if 'do something' means turning off your lights when you leave the room, people favor it. When it comes to doubling the price of gas, people don't.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  53. Re:no hope for political solution by KeensMustard · · Score: 1

    Why should we care about what you think "successful" means?

    You've engaged in fallacy. Nobody cares about your feelings. If you can post proof of your numerous assertions, then post it, otherwise your assertions remain in the realm of paranoid delusion. e.g:

    First, the evidence for catastrophic anthropogenic global warming is poor. The data sets gets really tenuous once you get further in the past than an actual temperature record (about 150 or so years ago). And actual measurement of global mean temperature is much more recent with satellite measurements. The most important parameter in climatology today, the temperature forcing of a doubling of atmospheric CO2 levels is unknown to at least a factor of 3 (1.5 C per to 4.5 C per is current IPCC estimate).

    So essentially you are saying that in fact, the situation could be MUCH WORSE than what is predicted by current models. And this would motivate us to not take action on climate change why?