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The Dominant Life Form In the Cosmos Is Probably Superintelligent Robots

Jason Koebler writes: If and when we finally encounter aliens, they probably won't look like little green men, or spiny insectoids. It's likely they won't be biological creatures at all, but rather, advanced robots that outstrip our intelligence in every conceivable way. Susan Schneider, a professor of philosophy at the University of Connecticut, joins a handful of astronomers, including Seth Shostak, director of NASA's Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, NASA Astrobiologist Paul Davies, and Library of Congress Chair in Astrobiology Stephen Dick in espousing the view that the dominant intelligence in the cosmos is probably artificial. In her paper "Alien Minds," written for a forthcoming NASA publication, Schneider describes why alien life forms are likely to be synthetic, and how such creatures might think.

34 of 391 comments (clear)

  1. I always thought by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    They were made out of meat

  2. So they really are going to be shocked... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    that we're entirely made of meat.

  3. Welcome. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    I, for one, welcome our new robot overlords.

    1. Re:Welcome. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      I, for one, welcome our old joke overlords.

    2. Re:Welcome. by Black+Parrot · · Score: 4, Funny

      I, for one, welcome our new Probably Superintelligent Robots overlords.

      FTFY

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    3. Re:Welcome. by CohibaVancouver · · Score: 4, Funny

      Can we retire this joke? Please?

      In Soviet Russia, joke retire you!

    4. Re:Welcome. by CohibaVancouver · · Score: 5, Funny

      Can we retire this joke? Please?

      Imagine a Beowulf cluster of these jokes!

    5. Re:Welcome. by paintballer1087 · · Score: 5, Funny

      Can we retire this joke? Please?

      Netcraft now confirms: This joke is retired.

    6. Re:Welcome. by Heathren-bert · · Score: 3, Funny

      Only old people from Korea expire jokes.

    7. Re:Welcome. by lgw · · Score: 4, Funny

      Natalie Portman, naked and covered in old jokes!

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  4. Well, duh by 0123456 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Hasn't this been common knowledge among SF readers for years?

    1. Re:Well, duh by The+Grim+Reefer · · Score: 3, Funny

      SF != Reality. Everyone knows that.

      However there is a strong possibility that these robots won't be all robot brain'd but be a collective of biological lifeform in a robot body for longevity, because of the amount of time it takes to transverse space for biological lifeforms, either cryogenics or some form of deep hibernation would be necessary.

      So Daleks with a built in beer cooler.

    2. Re:Well, duh by khasim · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Well if you look at what has been "common knowledge" in SF in years past ...

      And she gets her terms wrong.

      Knowing that we are not alone in the universe would be a profound realization, and contact with an alien civilization could produce amazing technological innovations and cultural insights.

      The universe includes all the galaxies. Our sun will probably burn out before we get a message from another galaxy. Stick to your own galaxy. That is difficult enough.

      Which brings up the next error:

      Even if I am wrong -- even if the majority of alien civilizations turn out to be biological -- it may be that the most intelligent alien civilizations will be ones in which the inhabitants are SAI.

      SAI is her term for "superintelligent artificial intelligence". So she has just written a tautology. Unless you want to get into super-superintelligent or ultra-superintelligent.

      And the rest is more of the same.

    3. Re:Well, duh by khallow · · Score: 5, Funny

      So Daleks with a built in beer cooler.

      Which if you think about it, is the way to go especially coupled with the conversion of the Dalek armor to a jacuzzi. I'm surprised the Doctor never spotted this defect in the Dalek design. But I guess that would have made for a short Doctor Who season with everyone becoming a blissfully drunk and jacuzzied Dalek and living happily ever after. "INEBRIATE! INEBRIATE! INEEEEBRIIIIIATE!"

  5. This is worse than mythology. by ShieldW0lf · · Score: 3, Interesting

    At least with mythology, if it's wrong enough, it kills its adherents, so it's subject to evolutionary pressure.

    This may as well have been pulled out of a cereal box.

    --
    -1 Uncomfortable Truth
    1. Re:This is worse than mythology. by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There's been a trend of treating science like speculative fiction. A few dissenters have tried to explain to us that AI is a set of computer algorithms that make intelligent decisions, not necessarily by human-like thought process, but with human-like outcome; but people are fixated on the idea of AI being a warlike species with infinite reach, immediately taking hostile control of all network systems, rewriting firmware to turn anything capable of generating or measuring electromagnetic noise into a transceiver, and turning every piece of electronic machinery into a drone node specializing in the killing of biologicals.

    2. Re:This is worse than mythology. by Immerman · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Perhaps because it's insane? We have a half-billion years of evolution shaping our brains into something reasonably stable, and we're not exactly rational beings. What makes you assume that all the artificial minds we create will be stable? Especially the early ones would seem almost guaranteed to have serious issues.

      Or perhaps because some idiot sets one of it's objectives to be "minimize human suffering and death" without considering the implications. For an AI without free will all it takes is one slip-up that places "do X" at a higher priority than "let us stop you" and you've got a fair chance that somewhere along the line "kill all humans" becomes an optimized solution.

      It doesn't even have to be a bug - one cosmic ray flips the wrong bit and suddenly the negative two million weighting you gave to "exterminate humanity" becomes positive.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
  6. And the scientific evidence for this conclusion is by The+Real+Dr+John · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Let me guess, science fiction movies? Boy are they going to be shocked when they find out that the dominant form of life in the Universe turns out to be microorganisms. Did anyone mention to these folks that robots are not life forms?

    --
    A brain is a terrible thing to waste... Mind? That's debatable.
  7. Re:Life form? by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 5, Insightful

    In what way is a "robot" a "life form"?

    If they're able to manufacture more robots, then it's life... but not as we know it.

  8. What Bullshit by gurps_npc · · Score: 4, Interesting
    The basic argument is that they can be: 1) Effectively Immortal 2) Upgradeable. 3) Information transfer.

    My counterargument is simple: a) Genetic engineering and b) information transfer is a weakness

    The main obstacle to medicine preventing aging is cancer. Aging started out as a simple way to prevent unlimited cell reproduction, i.e. cancer. Give us another 200-500 years and we will stop aging and cancer. We won't really be immortal, as humans will still die from accidents - but so will artificial life forms.

    What few upgrades that are good ideas (for GENERALISTS, not specialists - don't give people tools that not all of us of need), we will be able to slowly work into the genome using the same genetic engineering.

    Finally, high speed, unfiltered information transfer is NOT a good idea for life forms. It lets you be hacked. Any creature that has a simple way to upload a ton of data is susceptible to having a virus inserted into that data, which means they get stuck in low level jobs, not high level ones.

    --
    excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
    1. Re:What Bullshit by gurps_npc · · Score: 3, Insightful
      You do realize that every single cell in your body can be considered to be millions of years old, right?

      Each cell divided from your original ovum/sperm combination. Those came from their parents, which came from their parents, etc. etc.

      Cells have been proven to be able to divide into new ones FOREVER, given minimal changes. Telomeres and the other forms of aging are all just anti-cancer techniques.

      You do however have a good point when you mention the brain.

      But that is also not insurmountable. It's called gradual replacement. Kill about 1% of the brain every year and grow new cells.

      Yes there will be some partial memory loss. So what? By that age, you already have memory issues. Personality and the 'soul' (if it exists) will remain the same. You ameliorate the memory issues by leaving personal recordings of important things - video, etc. Basically, you look at your own Facebook page [ ughh, I found a real use for Facebook :( ]

      You are correct we will never win against entropy.

      But you are wrong when you think the constraints are freer for artificial intelligence. They simply are not there. The 'weaknesses' of organic life are actually strengths that people do not understand. Things like blinking - it is an automatic health maintenance procedure, not a weakness in human vision.

      --
      excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
  9. von Neumann probes by ColonelPanic · · Score: 4, Insightful

    A real head-scratching conundrum about the universe is explaining why it's not already overrun with self-replicating robots. Because if it's possible to send self-replicating interstellar probes, all it takes is one launch, plus a few million years, to get the galaxy overrun with them. So are they not possible? nobody's launched one yet? here, but not detected? The implications boggle the mind.

    --
    "Skill shows through where genius wears thin." -Wittgenstein || Religion: uniting aviation and architecture.
  10. Same as earth, for intelligent life by raymorris · · Score: 5, Funny

    For intelligent forms, that seems to be the case here on earth.

    There are about 1.5 billion smartphones on the planet. If you ask a smartphone "who is the vice president of the united states", approximately all of them will say (speak) "Joe Biden is the vice president".

    Based on surveys I've seen, only a couple million people reach the same level of intelligence, knowing who the vice president is. Therefore, silicon can be considered to be the most common form of intelligence on earth.

    Even more so on the coasts of the US, of course, as humans are becoming more silicone, leaving all intelligence to the silicon.

  11. Re:Life form? by Ol+Biscuitbarrel · · Score: 3, Funny

    Sure robots are life forms, like us they think, feel, have an uncontrollable urge to sing folk songs when magnets are attached to them, etc.

  12. Re:Life form? by presidenteloco · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I think the simplest (hah!) and most general/versatile definition of life is:
      An information pattern embodied in a physical mechanism (mechanism here being defined loosely as a class of configurations and processes of matter and energy) which is such that the information pattern is capable of influencing the state and evolution of the physical mechanism and its environment in such a way as to increase the probability of sustained embodiment of that information pattern (or an informationally close relative) in local (causally connected) matter and energy.

    To be lifelike, the information pattern must be capable of increasing its own (or its informationally close relative's) sustained embodiment for longer than would be expected by chance, given the physical regime of the environment (the forces acting, and the thermodynamic regime).

    Note: It is not sufficient to conserve AN AMOUNT of information (beyond that expected) locally. It is required to conserve the SAME information. The loss of same information (information pattern) with time can be measured in bits/second change in a maximally compressed bitstring representing the pattern. The conservation of information pattern can be measured in bit-seconds.

    --

    Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
  13. Re:they really are talking, we just can't hear by itzly · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Any sufficiently advanced communication technology is indistinguishable from noise.

  14. Re:And the scientific evidence for this conclusion by nedlohs · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It's a simple extrapolation. Microorganisms are the dominant form of life on the only planet we know that has life on it.

    Sure extrapolation is always risky, seems a far better to bet than going with super intelligent robots that don't exist at all on the only planet we know that has life on it.

  15. Re: von Neumann probes by sylivin · · Score: 4, Interesting

    It may not be feasible or even desirable. The problem with unlimited mechanical replication is the same problem that happens with biological chemical replication. Errors. You might think digital copying is error free, but that is incorrect. The storage medium can and will cause errors. Self-checking and quality control helps, but eventually any mechanical life form will end up with their version of cancer - an undiscovered error that causes system-wide malfunctions. An intelligent AI would probably realize that unleashing self replicating machines around the galaxy will eventually cause the formation of a group of crazed insane machines that reproduce out of control, and such a group would be a direct threat to it. Remember that errors in biological systems are taken care of by cells that murder malfunctioning ones. In a galaxy-wide mechanical system they would be no way to find, track, and take care of a probe who's children turn cancerous at such distances.

  16. Re:von Neumann probes by Charliemopps · · Score: 3, Insightful

    No, some statisticians have actually done the math. Basically if you built such a thing and it could only do something like 25% of the speed of light, it would only take them 300,000 years to overrun the entire galaxy.

    I think the answer will turn out to be that the universe is in fact crawling with life. But space fairing intelligent life is very rare.
    Take for example, Mars. I think we will find life there... and heck, pretty much every planet. But it's going to be single celled... if it even has "Cells" at all.
    Then lets assumed complex life did evolve on a planet... what if it's a ocean planet and they're aquatic? They're never going to figure out electricity, they can't even experiment with it. They're not even going to be able to do fire much less a rocket. What if they're terrestrial but the gravity is slightly stronger... rockets are nearly impossible as it is, imagine if we were at 2g!

    And remember, we still have a very good chance at wiping ourselves out before we ever get to another star.

  17. Re:Life form? by turbidostato · · Score: 4, Funny

    "Give us another 100 years..."

    No way.

    I already gave you 100 years and I'm still waiting for my flying cars and my underwater cities. You wasted your credit.

  18. Re:Life form? by Minwee · · Score: 5, Funny

    In what way is a "robot" a "life form"?

    When they are the ones holding the death rays, they can be called whatever they like.

  19. Amateurs. We Are Cyborgs. by Bob9113 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Susan Schneider, a professor of philosophy at the University of Connecticut, joins a handful of astronomers, including Seth Shostak, director of NASA's Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence, NASA Astrobiologist Paul Davies, and Library of Congress Chair in Astrobiology Stephen Dick in espousing the view that the dominant intelligence in the cosmos is probably artificial.

    You know, my mechanical engineer friend had some really good suggestions about the appendix surgery I was planning to get. Perhaps I should let him make the call instead of the surgeon. Oh, wait, no, that would be stupid.

    Notice how there aren't any artificial intelligence researchers on that list? They are no more qualified to discuss artificial intelligence than a mechanical engineer is to discuss surgery. Better than my dog, to be sure, but not good enough to take their word for it.

    I am an artficial intelligence researcher. We are cyborgs, ever more tightly coupled to the increasingly intelligent machines -- like our smart phones -- that house ever more of our memory, our social circles, and our emotional artifacts. Whatever it is that makes us who we are, increasingly, is coupled to our machines. And we will continue to be cyborgs, with an increasing share of our consciousness handed off to the machines onto which we smear our selves.

    It will not be us versus them. We are them.

  20. Re:von Neumann probes by itzly · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Yeah, maybe I just need to imagine a 10 pound 3D printer where you can feed rocks in the top, and sophisticated nanotechnology drops out the bottom.

  21. Code of the Lifemaker! by 50000BTU_barbecue · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Fun novel by James P Hogan about a sophisticated alien robotic space mining craft that gets damaged and crashes on Titan. It starts making defective replicating mining robots that eventually evolve into a medieval robot society.

    Can't believe I'm the first to mention it, but I'm probably just old.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    --
    Mostly random stuff.