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Lawmakers Seek Information On Funding For Climate Change Critics

HughPickens.com writes: John Schwartz reports at the NY Times that prominent members of the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate are demanding information from universities, companies and trade groups about funding for scientists who publicly dispute widely held views on the causes and risks of climate change. In letters sent to seven universities, Representative Raúl M. Grijalva, an Arizona Democrat who is the ranking member of the House committee on natural resources, sent detailed requests to the academic employers of scientists who had testified before Congress about climate change. "My colleagues and I cannot perform our duties if research or testimony provided to us is influenced by undisclosed financial relationships." Grijalva asked for each university's policies on financial disclosure and the amount and sources of outside funding for each scholar, "communications regarding the funding" and "all drafts" of testimony. Meanwhile Edward J. Markey of Massachusetts, Barbara Boxer of California and Sheldon Whitehouse of Rhode Island. sent 100 letters to fossil fuel companies, trade groups and other organizations asking about their funding of climate research and advocacy asking for responses by April 3. "Corporate special interests shouldn't be able to secretly peddle the best junk science money can buy," said Senator Markey, denouncing what he called "denial-for-hire operations."

The letters come after evidence emerged over the weekend that Wei-Hock Soon, known as Willie, a scientist at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, had failed to disclose the industry funding for his academic work. The documents also included correspondence between Dr. Soon and the companies who funded his work in which he referred to his papers and testimony as "deliverables." Soon accepted more than $1.2 million in money from the fossil-fuel industry over the last decade while failing to disclose that conflict of interest in most of his scientific papers. At least 11 papers he has published since 2008 omitted such a disclosure, and in at least eight of those cases, he appears to have violated ethical guidelines of the journals that published his work. "What it shows is the continuation of a long-term campaign by specific fossil-fuel companies and interests to undermine the scientific consensus on climate change," says Kert Davies.

64 of 394 comments (clear)

  1. Interesing... by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 3, Insightful

    SO, they're only investigating the funding sources of people who disagree with their position.

    Well, that couldn't be biased at all, now could it?

    --

    "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    1. Re:Interesing... by Kvathe · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Absolutely, we need to know the facts! Who is funding all 12,000 studies supporting AGW and how the hell did they get $14B to spend buying scientists?!

    2. Re:Interesing... by FooAtWFU · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Meanwhile in Europe where one party's politicians don't spend as much effort trying to use global warming as a bludgeon against their political enemies (and an excuse to funnel public money to their friends) popular acceptance of "climate change is a real thing to worry about" seems to be higher. How about that, hmm?

      --
      The World Wide Web is dying. Soon, we shall have only the Internet.
    3. Re:Interesing... by packrat0x · · Score: 5, Insightful

      When Congress also demands "information from universities, companies and trade groups about funding for scientists who publicly [accept or] dispute widely held views on the causes and risks of climate change," then I'll care about what "prominent members of the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate" think about climate change.

      It's not like members of Congress understand the "research or testimony" anyways. Nor do members of Congress care what others have to say; they use testimony as an opportunity for themselves to give speeches disguised as questions.

      --
      227-3517
    4. Re:Interesing... by alen · · Score: 4, Informative

      and the wall street banks were salivating at the thought of trading carbon credits
      your point being?

      a lot of money to be made on "green" crap

    5. Re:Interesing... by Sique · · Score: 3, Informative

      At one time, most people thought the earth was flat. That didn't make it factual.

      The correct sentence should have been: "At one time, most people thought the people of former times thought the earth was flat. That didn't make it factual."

      There never was a time when people, who were really interested in the actual shape of the earth thought it was flat. There have been models of a flat earth, but they existed solely because no one actually cared about the real shape. It was just assumed in the models to be flat because it wouldn't have made a difference anyway. Old Germans believed the world was a tree -- but just in the sense that the World Tree Yggdrasil made for some nice stories. They never tried to map their trips assuming they would be walking along the bark of an actual oak.

      As soon as the necessity arised to know about the real shape, it was pretty clear from the beginning that the earth was round.

      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
    6. Re:Interesing... by jbdigriz · · Score: 2

      "PKB", I think, is the term you are looking for here.

      Obviously, all private funding for science should be required to be funneled throught Lessig's superpac to be vetted and pasteurized for social responsibility, political correctness, and overall greenness. I nominate Hugh for the job. ;-)

      Funding is less of an issue to me than the allegations of fraud on both sides of this "debate".

    7. Re:Interesing... by jo_ham · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It depends - reputable scientists disclose all of their funding sources when publishing so you usually don't have to investigate it. Given the pretty major snafu with Willie getting caught and his clear position in opposition to a large published majority, it's not unreasonable to check into actual funding sources, not just those he and others like him have reported.

      It's not uncommon to be funded by large industrial groups, even in areas that you would typically not expect - for example, BP funds a lot of non-fossil-fuel energy research at academic institutions which is totally fine, but if you receive money from them then you have to disclose it, regardless of what your results are.

    8. Re:Interesing... by jo_ham · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You can find that out by looking at their published work - it's standard practice to disclose your funding sources when publishing or presenting.

    9. Re:Interesing... by Bartles · · Score: 2

      Yes. That's a pretty good summation. Those organizations being governments who want to assert more control over their people.

    10. Re:Interesing... by Oligonicella · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Do you have any problem with investigating *all* scientists working on climate, or only on one side of the issue?

    11. Re:Interesing... by alvinrod · · Score: 4, Insightful

      A two party system practically guarantees that any major issues will devolve into a for and against and then basic tribalism takes over and people choose sides not based on merits or evidence, but simply based on which group they belong to. There are even some scientific studies that suggest presenting strong evidence will do little to actually change these beliefs. A lot of people don't care about global warming all that much and only assume a position based on their party ideology.

      We need to change the voting system to something that breaks up the two party system. That will remove a lot of the idiotic deadlock over some of these things that should be moved to the non-issue category.

    12. Re:Interesing... by Cro+Magnon · · Score: 3, Insightful

      We need to change the voting system to something that breaks up the two party system. That will remove a lot of the idiotic deadlock over some of these things that should be moved to the non-issue category.

      Sadly, the only thing both parties agree on is the two party system.

      --
      Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
    13. Re:Interesing... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      >The letters come after evidence emerged over the weekend that Wei-Hock Soon, known as Willie, a scientist at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, had failed to disclose the industry funding for his academic work. The documents also included correspondence between Dr. Soon and the companies who funded his work in which he referred to his papers and testimony as "deliverables." Soon accepted more than $1.2 million in money from the fossil-fuel industry over the last decade while failing to disclose that conflict of interest in most of his scientific papers.

      > At least 11 papers he has published since 2008 omitted such a disclosure, and in at least eight of those cases, he appears to have violated ethical guidelines of the journals that published his work. "What it shows is the continuation of a long-term campaign by specific fossil-fuel companies and interests to undermine the scientific consensus on climate change," says Kert Davies.

    14. Re:Interesing... by jo_ham · · Score: 3, Informative

      Do you have any problem with investigating *all* scientists working on climate, or only on one side of the issue?

      No, where did I say that I did?

      Scientists are routinely investigated. Not just climate scientists but all scientists of all disciplines - it's part of the process. Accounting for the money used to fund your research is a major part of modern science and it is carefully tracked and audited, as are the sources used by groups and individuals.

      It is your responsibility to disclose them in your published work, but that doesn't mean that people aren't also going to check if you don't - that's exactly why this story exists and why it is important. He didn't do so and an investigation caught it. This sort of financial scrutiny of scientists is not uncommon, and it happens to *all* scientists, even ones who don't work on climate science.

  2. Honest politicians by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "My colleagues and I cannot perform our duties if research or testimony provided to us is influenced by undisclosed financial relationships."

    That line from the mouth of a politician is pure gold. Pot, meet Kettle.

  3. Congress needs to butt out of science! by CajunArson · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'm tired of these evil republicans going on witch-hunts after scientists! Those evil right-wingers hate anyone who disagrees with their religion and [interrupted, whispers]..

    Oh wait, this is a brave Democrat who is uncovering a vast evil conspiracy because some evil slimeball had the gall to say that global warming is real but that the apocalyptic predictions of natural disasters made by the religion of Environmentalism aren't supported by real facts*.

    Carry on, burn him at the stake, expose all of his emails because only those who exercise the faith properly have a right to privacy.

    * Seriously, it's now considered blasphemy to say that Global Warming is real but that the world hasn't ended. You know what's funny? Those wacky Christian radio guys who predict the end of the world at least have the decency to admit the world didn't end the next day. Being in the religion of Environmentalism means you don't even have to exercise that level of introspection.

    --
    AntiFA: An abbreviation for Anti First Amendment.
    1. Re:Congress needs to butt out of science! by andydread · · Score: 2

      Yes politicians need to butt out http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/T... https://www.youtube.com/watch?... who cares if they poisen us for profits. When oil companies were paying scientists to say lead in gasoline was a good thing politicians shouldn't have done a thing.

  4. If only... by JBMcB · · Score: 2

    If only there was some way of detaching politics from science.... Hm....

    --
    My Other Computer Is A Data General Nova III.
  5. Financial Relationships by sycodon · · Score: 5, Informative
    --
    When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    1. Re:Financial Relationships by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      that is one fucking huge gravy train. I am sure no one will be influenced by this funding.....

  6. The Liars by mtrachtenberg · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Well, I suppose it's a good thing if it can be demonstrated that the Koch Brothers and other fossil fuel interests are behind the vanishingly small number of still-reputable scientists issuing climate change lies. But, really, when you have 98% or 99% consensus, you don't need to wonder if the 1 or 2% are lying or just wrong. There are no areas in life where we find ourselves unable to operate with a consensus of 98% or 99%.

    So the problem is not that a few scientists are wrong, or willing to be bought. The problem is that the people we elect are willing to destroy the planet for the benefit of their reelection. And the problem is that substantial numbers of voters are stupid and so incredibly self-interested that they are willing to trade their children's future for some politician's "promise" of "jobs, jobs, jobs."

    Capitalism as we see it is a complete failure, allowing 85 individuals to control equivalent assets to several billion people, and legally treating the destruction of the planet as just another externality. "Democracy" as it is practiced in the United States is a game played by advertisers and strategists; really, all you need do to understand the depth of the fraud is to realize that advertisers "buy" points with advertising buys. It's not a democracy if you've learned you can predictably alter the point spread with a "buy" of a certain size.

    There is no longer *any* legitimacy to our national-level institutions, and for the Senate or House to "investigate" fraud is a joke.

    1. Re:The Liars by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 2

      The problem is the politicization of science. When the majority look for truth, and base their assessment foremost upon the credentials of men with the title of scientist rather than the evidence and results produced by science, we have already failed. We have done little more than replace religious texts that are only to be read and interpreted by scholars, with scientific journals that are only to be read and interpreted by scholars.

      The entire point and improvement that the scientific method is to bring is removing the reliance on authority and corruptible humans and replacing it with subjective, testable and provable evidence instead.

    2. Re:The Liars by fustakrakich · · Score: 2

      You don't need 'legitimacy'. You gotta have faith!

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
  7. Re:The real junk science by itzly · · Score: 2, Informative

    Of this there can be no argument. It is established fact.

    So you will have no problem proving your claim ?

  8. Think about it. by khasim · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If 95%+ of scientists agree with each other ... and are NOT all paid by the same corporations ...

    but the scientists who disagree with them ARE all (100%) paid by the same corporations ...

    I think you're implying bias on the wrong side.

    1. Re:Think about it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      I thought that the claim about consensus was based on peer reviewed papers that had been published and not on the public stance of individual climate scientists.

      The following article looked at 12,000 papers and found a 97% consensus regarding human-caused global warming.
      http://skepticalscience.com/97-percent-consensus-cook-et-al-2013.html

      I'm curious as to what data you used to determine that the 95% consensus statement is a proven lie. Care to elaborate?

    2. Re:Think about it. by Straif · · Score: 2

      I believe the critiques of all of the 95+% papers (and if you google it you will find many) are based on the fact that their filtering criteria are generally poorly conceived of and executed and the methods used to gauge the pro/con aspects of the paper are highly bias.

      These papers generally start by using limited databases to perform their searches on, then they use poor keyword/phrase filtering to select/eliminate candidates. For at least one paper (possibly Cooks) the blind analysis was also shown to not actually be blind. In other words the reviewers used knowledge of the papers authors as well as a discussions amongst themselves to influence their rating of it.

      So a paper that states at some point that "humans have had some impact on climate" is rated as pro AGW although the paper itself may not give any quantifiable value for that impact or even state the impact was significant. Meanwhile papers that may point toward causes of climate change completely unrelated to human activity were not even included in the counting because of key word filtering.

      It's the same methodology a lot of managers use when they want to give a promotion to their favorite employee but union or corporate rules prevent favoritism. They massage a posting for a new job that is so specific as to eliminate all other candidates, even if those specifics don't actually have any relation to the job being advertised. There is a chance their friend was the best suited for the new position but the methodology used to hire them puts the results in doubt.

      --
      Of course that's just my opinion...... you could be wrong!
  9. Re:Inquisition by Sique · · Score: 4, Insightful

    They just play the denier's game. Attacking AGW folks because of funding was one of the first games the deniers played, as they couldn't come up with enough solid science on their side.

    --
    .sig: Sique *sigh*
  10. Re:Inquisition by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I see, so pseudo-skeptics can be as shrill and hyperbolic as they please, and that's just fine, but the scientific community is just supposed to endlessly take it up the rear.

    What are you afraid of? That it will turn out most of the shit people like you believe is bullcrap invented by the Koch Brothers?

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  11. Who dares speak against the King?! by fustakrakich · · Score: 2

    Come out! And accept your punishment, with shall be death by burning at the stake! You're a witch!

    Fuck all this! Make the damn politicians who write the damn laws reveal their sponsors! Then maybe they can complain about other people

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
  12. Politics, science & religion by Alwin+Henseler · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If only there was some way of detaching politics from science.... Hm....

    Easy: make sure to elect only religious people as politicians. So they won't need to bother with science, and can base laws & regulations on holy books alone. While in the meantime, the rest of society can use actual science to discover how the world around us works (and improve our lives in the process).

    Oh wait...

  13. Re: Inquisition by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

    Same as we did on the "lead in gasoline isn't harmful", "asbestos is safe to breathe" and "smoking tobacco doesn't cause cancer" instances, yes.

    Industry runs the same playbook over and over, and reasonable people counter it the same way each time...

  14. Re:Who are these people? by BoberFett · · Score: 2

    You're referring of course to the billions of people around the world who drive cars, use electricity, burn trees for heat, or any other activity which contributes to climate change, yes?

    Convince the world to go back to a pre-industrial standard of living, and all the industry funded "science" in the world won't make a difference. There won't BE a fossil fuel industry.

  15. Re:Seriously? by jo_ham · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Now the politically correct enforcers are going to jackboot all over anyone who has a different opinion?

    Obviously if they don't agree with us, they must be corrupt or worse.

    That's some Nazi shit right there.

    No, the fact that he has been caught not disclosing his funding sources and been caught breaking ethical guidelines is what makes him corrupt.

    Just a thought.

    Disclosing your funding source is standard practice. Not doing so is very sketchy.

  16. Re:Attack the messenger... by jo_ham · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Soon's paper was fine. No lies, no fabricated data... And he attempts to explain the obvious elephant in the room: Why Climate Models Run Hot, which they obviously do.

    Read more...

    http://www.breitbart.com/big-g...

    Billions and billions of dollars have been squandered on this boondoggle. No wonder so many people don't accountability.

    Your source is suspect there, I'm afraid.

    If his papers are fine then why did he not disclose his funding source? That's rule one about publishing your work. To not do so is very sketchy.

  17. Re:Inquisition by dave420 · · Score: 3, Funny

    So you are claiming that transparency is fascism. O...K...

  18. Re:Seems to Me by jo_ham · · Score: 2

    That shutting down funding of a contrary point of view is not exactly scientific best practice.

    Who said anything about shutting it down?

    All they want is for him to disclose who is funding him, as is standard practice in science.

  19. Re:Attack the messenger... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    AHAHAHAHAHAHA. You're citing Breitbart of all news sources and trying to claim they're... fair and balanced.

  20. Re:Inquisition by Sique · · Score: 4, Insightful
    The standard argument is that climate scientist have to claim the existence of AGW, otherwise they would lose their tenure, their grants or whatever their finance support is.

    Now this just uses the same argument: Climate sceptics have to doubt AGW, because otherwise they would lose their financial founding. And to support that, the lawmakers want to actually know who founds the climate sceptics.

    --
    .sig: Sique *sigh*
  21. Re:The Real Lie - faking statistics by dave420 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The old appeal to authority. Nice. Well, Dyson is a physicist and mathematician, so his opinion on this matters exactly the same as yours - not a jot.

    You're doing a great job of discrediting yourself - no one else needs to even bother.

  22. Re:Who are these people? by dave420 · · Score: 2

    Burning trees for heat is as close to carbon neutral as you can get (hint: they're made from carbon removed from the atmosphere).

  23. Re:The real junk science by itzly · · Score: 3, Interesting

    All the article does is highlight a few carefully selected weather stations where the temperature records have been adjusted. It doesn't explain why the adjustments were incorrect. It also doesn't show what the unadjusted temperature record would look like if you took all the station data.

    Luckily, somebody else did that: http://judithcurry.com/2015/02...

  24. Re:Inquisition by Captain+Splendid · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Hey, Liberals are nazis now, so transparency being fascism is perfectly cromulent in this worldview.

    --
    Linux, you magnificent bastard, I read the fucking manual!
  25. Re:Inquisition by Bartles · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Powerful people in government going after citizens who are critical of the party line. That's what smells.

  26. Re:Inquisition by davydagger · · Score: 2
    Lets be be fair, and that 90% of everything you see on TV is bought and paid for by someone with an agenda. What I'm affraid of is muck raking turning into a one side politically oriented witch hunt that is "only right when I do it". Anti-capitalist "exposes" will be done by one group of capitalists against another, while feverntly blocking their own funding sources.

    We can't get the same standards for police brutality that exist in Fergeson to be applies in LA, Chicago, or New York City. We can't get the same standards of ethics you have on the oil industry to apply to Big Media, Big Pharma, and of course the Globalization cartel.

    Muck Raking has been turned into an extortion racket. I'm not taking part.

  27. Re:Inquisition by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Insightful

    So investigating a conflict of interest is now "going after citizens"?

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  28. Re:Inquisition by LoyalOpposition · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What are you afraid of? That it will turn out most of the shit people like you believe is bullcrap invented by the Koch Brothers?

    I'm afraid that people like you are absolutely certain of what you believe, and that one of the things you believe is that none of your beliefs were influenced by anyone with a motive.

    ~Loyal

    --
    I aim to misbehave.
  29. Re:Inquisition by Captain+Splendid · · Score: 3, Funny

    That's some grade A word salad there.

    --
    Linux, you magnificent bastard, I read the fucking manual!
  30. Re:Inquisition by itzly · · Score: 2

    Funny. Very few governments seem to be willing to do anything except sit on their asses.

  31. Re:Inquisition by itzly · · Score: 3, Insightful

    one of the things you believe is that none of your beliefs were influenced by anyone with a motive.

    Of course they were. Just like your beliefs. That in itself doesn't help us determine which are true, though.

  32. Re:Inquisition by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 2

    Well I suppose you would support an equal amount of investigation into the funding of those that might be considered GW activists, you know, to make sure they are not funded by the renewables industry, or their lobby or other activist organizations?

    Personally, I think when science allows itself to get into witch hunt mode, it is damning itself to staying there. Scientist should stand up and say "we got this, politicians, please stay out of it".

  33. Re: Inquisition by thePicket · · Score: 5, Insightful

    You have no idea what you're talking about. The principle is called full disclosure, has nothing to do with the inquisition, and is required by every respectable scientific journal and research institution. Willie Soon's problem is not that he had received money for research (all kinds of industries finance all kinds of research all the time), but that he failed to disclose the fact (well, bragging to his sponsors about his papers as "deliverables" certainly didn't help his reputation either). A wider disclosure check is not inappropriate in this context.

  34. Re:Inquisition by MightyMartian · · Score: 2, Informative

    Bull-fucking-shit. AGW is about the observation that increased CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere lead to increased energy in atmospheric systems, increased surface temperature, increased ocean temperatures, and increased absorption of CO2 into the oceans leading to acidification.

    This idea that the laws of the fucking universe somehow have to abide by YOUR political ideology is so ludicrous as to make me believe you either a fucking moron or a religious fanatic.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  35. Re:Inquisition by MightyMartian · · Score: 2

    You're comparing asking a researcher why they received large amounts of cash from groups with obvious and well known biases to AGW research to McCarthyism?

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  36. Re:The point is he understands real science by Pope+Hagbard · · Score: 2

    Because they're on the same team, silly. Dyson says things he agrees with and that's all that matters.

  37. Re:Inquisition by MightyMartian · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The difference is that no one is going to go to jail, and the worst repercussions are likely to be the researcher in question is taken to task for not reporting his funding sources.

    Are you fucking retarded?

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  38. Re:Inquisition by d34thm0nk3y · · Score: 2

    I wonder how much funding George Soros and his cronies have into this now?

    We could look into that. But according to you (here) it would be a witch hunt. So I guess we can't look into conflicts of interest.

  39. Re:Consensus is NOT Science by MightyMartian · · Score: 2

    I see. So the fact that the overwhelming majority of linguists believe French, English and Urdu all descend from a common mother tongue mean that the consensus proves Proto-Indo-European studies are false?

    You're talking bullshit, and sounding like a simpering moron.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  40. Re:Inquisition by MightyMartian · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The denier in question is a scientist, who has taken large amounts of money from the fossil fuel industry without reporting it in his papers.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  41. Re:Inquisition by Bartles · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The funny thing is, I can't tell which side you're talking about.

  42. Re:Inquisition by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 2

    It isn't the "scientific community" that is making this demand, it is the people that fund the "scientific community"

    Nope, its the people who have to listen to the same "experts" (who mostly aren't climate scientists) repeating the same arguments that disagree with the vast majority of actual climate scientists. And they want to know if there is something going on here - like the experts being paid by the same people as those who insist that they know more about climate science than actual climate scientists. You know, Senators like James M. Inhofe and people like the Koch brothers.

    --
    Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
  43. Re:Consensus is NOT Science by riverat1 · · Score: 2

    Consensus is the exact opposite of science. If we went with the consensus, the Earth would be flat, the sun would revolve around the Earth, the moon would be made of cheese, etc. Science is questioning *everything*. Anybody who says there is a consensus in AGW and opposition is to be silenced or downplayed is anti-science.

    What are *you* afraid of?

    You don't understand what a scientific consensus is. In science a consensus exists when there are no longer arguments among the practitioners of a science about a particular point in that science. It's not something they vote on, it just happens organically.

  44. Re:The Real Lie - faking statistics by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 2

    The old appeal to authority. Nice. Well, Dyson is a physicist and mathematician, so his opinion on this matters exactly the same as yours - not a jot.

    You're doing a great job of discrediting yourself - no one else needs to even bother.

    You are grossly overstepping in your zeal to disprove your opponent. Unless of course you really do think physics and math aren't relevant to computer modelling of... statistical estimates for changes in radiation absorption based on multiple variables. You know, the very heart and soul most important component of the greenhouse effect.

    Dyson's opinions as portrayed in the linked article include:
    Question: ...was that article substantially accurate about your views?
    Dyson:
    He had his agenda. Obviously he wanted to write a piece about global warming and I was just the instrument for that, and I am not so much interested in global warming. He portrayed me as sort of obsessed with the subject, which I am definitely not. To me it is a very small part of my life. I don’t claim to be an expert. I never did.

    Later he makes his position on various items known:

    I was involved in climate studies seriously about 30 years ago. That’s how I got interested. There was an outfit called the Institute for Energy Analysis at Oak Ridge. I visited Oak Ridge many times, and worked with those people, and I thought they were excellent. And the beauty of it was that it was multi-disciplinary. There were experts not just on hydrodynamics of the atmosphere, which of course is important, but also experts on vegetation, on soil, on trees, and so it was sort of half biological and half physics. And I felt that was a very good balance.

    After describing the work at Oak Ridge and a general assessment by everyone about the interconnectedness of the climate across disciplines:

    It’s a problem of very complicated ecology, and to isolate the atmosphere and the ocean just as a hydrodynamics problem makes no sense.

    Thirty years ago, there was a sort of a political split between the Oak Ridge community, which included biology, and people who were doing these fluid dynamics models, which don’t include biology. They got the lion’s share of money and attention. And since then, this group of pure modeling experts has become dominant. I got out of the field then. I didn’t like the way it was going. It left me with a bad taste.


    What’s wrong with the models. I mean, I haven’t examined them in detail, (but) I know roughly what’s in them. And the basic problem is that in the case of climate, very small structures, like clouds, dominate. And you cannot model them in any realistic way. They are far too small and too diverse.

    So they say, ‘We represent cloudiness by a parameter,’ but I call it a fudge factor. So then you have a formula, which tells you if you have so much cloudiness and so much humidity, and so much temperature, and so much pressure, what will be the result... But if you are using it for a different climate, when you have twice as much carbon dioxide, there is no guarantee that that’s right. There is no way to test it.

    Dyson doesn't seem particularly overstepping his knowledge. He doesn't seem to be 'denying' things. He's just putting forward some pretty reasonable skepticism. Notably, the IPCC repeatedly observes as well that the impact of clouds is the single biggest unknown in current modelling, largely because it's so very, very hard to model accurately.