French Nuclear Industry In Turmoil As Manufacturer Buckles
mdsolar writes with bad news for France and its nuclear industry. "France's nuclear industry is in turmoil after the country's main reactor manufacturer, Areva, reported a loss for 2014 of 4.8 billion euros ($5.3 billion) — more than its entire market value. The government of France, the world's most nuclear dependent country, has a 29% stake in Areva, which is among the biggest global nuclear technology companies. The loss puts its future — and that of France as a leader in nuclear technology — at risk. Energy and Environment Minister Segolene Royal said Wednesday she asked Areva and utility giant Electricite de France to work together on finding solutions, amid reports of a possible merger or other link-up. The government said in a statement that it's working closely with Areva to restructure and secure financing, and would 'take its responsibility as a shareholder' in future decisions about its direction. Areva reported Wednesday 1 billion euros in losses on three major nuclear projects in Finland and France, among other hits. Areva has lost money for years, in part linked to delays on those projects and to a global pullback from nuclear energy since the 2011 Fukushima accident."
And i will say it again : nuclear power is prohibitively expensive.
Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
Almost one fifth of that loss is due to a reactor in Finland which they seem to be unable to complete. The prototype sort of reactor is almost a decade behind schedule and has sucked around ten billion dollars of Finnish tax payers money. The French are incompetent and the Finns just plain silly for going on with this.
..And France is sinking like a rock. This is just one example.
They were caught red-handed cutting corners at the Olkiluoto site in Finland. Finns take security very seriously and hence the plant is already years late..
once you have reactors, you're stuck with them for the better part of a century and when shit goes wrong, it goes really wrong.
can we start switching over to solar panels and batteries yet? seriously, we are bombarded by free power every single day!
Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
Nuclear used to be cheap when directly connected to military money (and thus to tax money). Now it has to stand more and more on its own feet. I think it just ain't worth the hassle.
Makes me sad for the great French people who have been enticed to over-invest in this dud
Olkiluoto 3 was originally supposed to be in commercial production in 2009. Then it was postponed to 2011. Then 2013. And now, at the earliest, perhaps 2015. The whole project schedule has been overly optimistic and there have been numerous quality issues in welding, components and such. Apparently Areva was surprised about the Finnish officials being so strict about the quality guidelines and also failed to deliver all the design documentation to them in time (because in here, you simply don't build shit like this without plans). In 2009 they also threatened to delay the start of the final construction phase until TVO made changes to the contract in favor of Areva.
In 2012 Areva estimated the building costs being around 8,5 billion euros, which is quite a bit more than the shipping price of 3 billion.
So yeah, don't buy nuclear reactors from the French. Or cars for that matter.
Are they just incompetent, or do they do most of their work for the same government that owns a third of their stock and not have a lot of experience with real customers?
They are both!
Also, Areva's reactors are so extremely large that special equipment is needed to make them. See this PDF file: How to Make Nuclear Cheap - The Breakthrough Institute. Quote: "Very large Gen III+ reactors have experienced construction delays and cost overruns."
Insurance, PR+NIMBY, and overpriced clean up make nuclear expansive. A realistic price for clean up and removing the cruft without removing the security and nuclear is not as pricey. Alternatively force coal to have zero radioactive emission like nuclear, and see how far you cheap electricity goes. Coal at the moment is allowed far more pollutant and far more radioactive emission than nuclear is allowed.
C. Sagan : A demon haunted world:
http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0345409469/
visit randi.org
I guess they are incompetent because they are having the same trouble with another reactor in France.
For a long time Areva was complaining that TVO, the company that bought the reactor in finland, was not doing everything required and that the safety requirements where somehow wrong, but since they have the same trouble in France with very favourable regulators - they must be incompetent.
The main problem has been to automation system. For the nuclear reactor safety standards, there must be two completely separate systems, so the other can be used as backup. I believe they have had a lot of trouble in creating two systems that are really separate, so that the other can really be used as a backup. Actual construction work at the site has been slowing down, because the designs just could not be finished.
There is something particular with the EPR and Olkiluoto 3 that is worth pointing out.
For the building of a french nuclear plant, the usual workshare is the following: Areva delivers the reactor equipment, while the EDF utility acts as the prime contractor for the construction of the plant.
For Olkiluoto 3, Areva took the lead, and operated as a turnkey plant manufacturer. This was actually part of a power struggle between Areva and EDF. You can see it did not turn out well.
Newer EPR plants (Flamanville, Taishan) reverted to a more traditional workshare.
Besides, Olkiluoto, Flamanville, and Taishan are the first third-generation reactors to be built, so delays aren't that surprising.
But since plants then run for decades, a few years' delay won't make much financial difference.
In the mean time, the new Berlin airport is several years behind shedule, and it's just an airport
"The government of France, the world's most nuclear dependent country, has a 29% stake in Areva"
Not according to Areva it hasn't.
http://www.areva.com/EN/financ...
"Today, public sector holdings (CEA, the French state and CDC) of group capital has risen close to 87%. 4% of AREVA’s share capital is float."
The French have a peculiar way of privatizing stuff. It sort of looks like the companies are private, but the state still ultimately owns them. And all these "private" companies are acting like global players. The problem is whose money are they playing with?
No, your children are not the special ones. Nor are your pets.
Just so people won't miss it. It's on the 20th, not the 23rd.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_eclipse_of_March_20,_2015
Additionally, over Germany it will only be a partial eclipse.
Nevertheless it's going to be interesting to see how our systems will cope. I can't find the article anymore but the solar capacity change will be somewhere between 5 to 15GW in only a few minutes.
Stealing Keys from PCs using a Radio:
Cheap Electromagnetic Attacks on Windowed Exponentiation
http://www.cs.tau.ac.il/~trome...
"Overview
We demonstrate the extraction of secret decryption keys from laptop computers, by nonintrusively measuring electromagnetic emanations for a few seconds from a distance of 50 cm. The attack can be executed using cheap and readily-available equipment: a consumer-grade radio receiver or a Software Defined Radio USB dongle. The setup is compact and can operate untethered; it can be easily concealed, e.g., inside pita bread. Common laptops, and popular implementations of RSA and ElGamal encryptions, are vulnerable to this attack, including those that implement the decryption using modern exponentiation algorithms such as sliding-window, or even its side-channel resistant variant, fixed-window (m-ary) exponentiation.
We successfully extracted keys from laptops of various models running GnuPG (popular open source encryption software, implementing the OpenPGP standard), within a few seconds. The attack sends a few carefully-crafted ciphertexts, and when these are decrypted by the target computer, they trigger the occurrence of specially-structured values inside the decryption software. These special values cause observable fluctuations in the electromagnetic field surrounding the laptop, in a way that depends on the pattern of key bits (specifically, the key-bits window in the exponentiation routine). The secret key can be deduced from these fluctuations, through signal processing and cryptanalysis."
###
Cryptology ePrint Archive: Report 2015/170
http://eprint.iacr.org/2015/17...
"Stealing Keys from PCs using a Radio: Cheap Electromagnetic Attacks on Windowed Exponentiation
Daniel Genkin and Lev Pachmanov and Itamar Pipman and Eran Tromer
Abstract: We present new side-channel attacks on RSA and ElGamal implementations that use the popular sliding-window or fixed-window (m-ary) modular exponentiation algorithms. The attacks can extract decryption keys using a very low measurement bandwidth (a frequency band of less than 100 kHz around a carrier under 2 MHz) even when attacking multi-GHz CPUs.
We demonstrate the attacks' feasibility by extracting keys from GnuPG, in a few seconds, using a nonintrusive measurement of electromagnetic emanations from laptop computers. The measurement equipment is cheap and compact, uses readily-available components (a Software Defined Radio USB dongle or a consumer-grade radio receiver), and can operate untethered while concealed, e.g., inside pita bread.
The attacks use a few non-adaptive chosen ciphertexts, crafted so that whenever the decryption routine encounters particular bit patterns in the secret key, intermediate values occur with a special structure that causes observable fluctuations in the electromagnetic field. Through suitable signal processing and cryptanalysis, the bit patterns and eventually the whole secret key are recovered.
Category / Keywords: side channel, electromagnetic analysis, RSA, ElGamal
Date: received 27 Feb 2015, last revised 3 Mar 2015
Contact author: tromer at cs tau ac il"
#####
EOF
The only way you can have losses that exceed your net-worth is if someone has given you a huge amount of money that they really shouldn't. Typically, it means the banks gave these guys credit beyond even the most loose definition of sanity.
More and more I'm thinking that the fantasy worlds we live in when we play roleplaying or computer games are much closer to reality than the fantasy world of the financial industry.
Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
Death per kilowatt, etc.
Many of these nuclear costs are because of irrational fear. If no amount of safety is enough, no amount of spending will be enough.
Nuclear is already far safer than other power generation, including numbers from Fukishima.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/jamesconca/2012/06/10/energys-deathprint-a-price-always-paid/print/
Nuclear is cheap.
Nuclear (specifically fission) power generation is cheap. All the safety systems, regulatory oversight, large construction projects, waste management/disposal, licensing, project management, environmental impact, financing and maintenance of nuclear power are tremendously expensive. And you cannot separate the power generation from the rest of those items.
Well as an example, the new thorium reactors don't even need cooling as the reaction is cut off immediately when there's a failure.
Thorium reactors don't need cooling? I think you don't understand the physics involved. Some newer reactor designs have passive cooling systems which are (theoretically) safer but they still need and have cooling systems. Fission generates heat which is used to drive turbines. If you have heat you must have a cooling system. It takes a substantial amount of time for a fission reactor to cool even once the reaction is shut down and you have to have some form of cooling system in place to do that.
Just recently: 100k people killing in an Oil War in Iraq.
Face it: we are programmed by a bunch of morally corrupt people with religious fervour. They call themselves "green".
..thats true.
The rest of the world will be powered by fission and fusion. See China.
Regarding the Maoists - they have been smoked out of China only to resurface in Berlin and Washington.
If we would simply let the plants de-radiate for 200 years, disassembly would be much cheaper.
It is only the Maoists, in the pay of the oil-gaz-war industry, who set goalposts such that all competitors to oil and gaz are "too expensive".
Ahh, but delays actually make a huge difference.
http://www.phyast.pitt.edu/~bl...
It sounds like the European anti-nuke nutjobs have been paying attention to how the American crazies killed off the American nuclear industry.
See that "Preview" button?
..they fuck especially poor Germans (and we have a lot of those, most having a fulltime job) especially hard.
Nuclear will make baseload 24/7/365 with PLANNED downtime, while the Maoist Energy Sources (MESS) will only make energy when the god of Collectivism decides to GRANT us energy.
The Daimler plant here switched to GAZ for electricity production. I am sure Vlad Gazman likes having us by the balls.
Both the Russkies and the Chinese build fission reactors. LOTS of them, actually.
Just in the morally rotten west (thanks to all the Maoist propaganda operators who needed to monetize their AgitProp Dreck - oil and gaz were willing to pay) we are scared to hell from nuclear power.
If we were just remotely as "rational" and "enlightened" as we claim to be, we would build as many nuclear reactors as the Russkies and the Chinese. The truth is that we have become Sheeple who are willing victims to the AgitProp Wolves of all shades.
Just compare the number of people killed by nuclear/kWh and number of people killed by other sources of electrical energy. You will figure that with CURRENT reactors, it is the most humane technology of all.
It just does not resonate with Big Oil, Big War and Big Gaz.
Nothing to see here. Move along.
Most parts of the Chernobyl exclusion zone are already inhabited by very healthy animals again. Actually, they have better chances of survival because insane home sapiens does not want to convert this piece of land into something economical, too. Like we do with the last 1000 or so Tiger's territory.
Thats the same argument as yours.
I guess Mr Fusion had a bigger impact than we thought
For each kWh of your nice solar cells, you need one kWh of "backup" from those nasty, evil, baby-eating monopoly-capitalists* and their coal, nuclear, oil, gaz plants. Plus you can only operate your useless solar energy under massive subsidies from the electriciy consumers. Otherwise NOBODY would "use" it.
It makes as much sense as Maos "millions of small iron mills". And the solar cell bull comes from (western) Maoists, who have grown into power by being sellers of first-rate propaganda and by sucking up to the REAL masters of the western world (finance and military).
*It is of no concern to the Maoist AgitPropers that the most successful nuclear operator is the state-owned EDF. They must be somehow evil capitalists, too, according to the Little Book.
They are in the similar ballpark, but without the horrendous dismantling costs. And renewable costs actually go down with time, not up. Also Germany still doesn't have a place for long term storage of nuclear waste. So I'd say long live Maoist Energy Sources.
I am also fine with natural gas, to be honest. Russia has been a reliable supplier even during the worst cold war days.
"It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
I'm certain there is someone who will partner with the failing company . . .
Westinghouse's AP1000 is facing delays in China and the US causing huge cost overruns. http://chronicle.augusta.com/n...
Solar power displaces the use of those fuel based methods. They are used less, not more.
I see two possible outcomes for Germany: either the currently operating nukes will be kept running, or the nation's baseload will to totally converted over to lignite, in which case the Greens will declare a great victory. Carbon matters for Greens when it suits them.
I looked at all the comments. There don't seem to be any that mention the underlying issue. Areva makes HUGE reactors. Management of large constructions causes expensive problems. Dealing with a disaster in a huge reactor is also far more difficult.
Quote: "Generally, modern small reactors for power generation are expected to have greater simplicity of design, economy of mass production, and reduced siting costs. Most are also designed for a high level of passive or inherent safety in the event of malfunction."
The Areva design does not have "passive or inherent safety".
...has all nuclear operations problems solved. No real accidents in US Navy nuclear reactor ops so far. And they operate as many reactors as france at one time in much more difficult circumstances.
Compare that to the uniformed fuckers of Britain and Russia. They manage to leak from their reactors all the time. Because they have a relaxed attitude to engineering. Rickover booted the politicos and social engineers out of the USN reactor business. He was much hated for this.
But - Results matter.
It isn't a matter of "the opponents" not being able to "defeat nuclear on science" (whatever that means), it's simply that nuclear industry couldn't beat THEIR competitors with engineering and sound economics. Sorry to hear you're such an impudent whiner about the matter.
...we have millions-strong armies of unemployed people in our semi-socialist paradises of France an Germany. Technically, we could make them proud miners in Thüringen, Sachsen and Bayrischer Wald, extracting Uranium from the rocks. Surely we could find Thorium somewhere between Warsaw and Lissabon, too.
But you know what ? "Europe" is a bunch of ideologized (socialism being a top desease), dumbass pussies and losers and we rather have millions on Social Security, rioting with police then and now (they are bored).
Real stuff ? We import that from China.
The Russkies did what I wrote in east Germany. Because some none-pussy needed U235 NOW.
What you are calling a growth curve is often called a learning curve. It is the idea that costs reduce as more of the technology is deployed. People get bright ideas as they work in the field, going to greater scale means more can be produced with less labor, etc... You are correct that nuclear power gets more expensive with time. http://thinkprogress.org/clima... There are technologies where the more common behavior is seen. Wind and solar power are growing exponentially owing to lower and lower cost as more are deployed. At their current growth rates either can replace all the world's energy demand around the year 2035. http://www.realclimate.org/ind...
flibe or lockheed. or get a candu, but the first two are better options for the future
No, Brown Coal would be a win for Germany, the Maoists hate Germany, so it must be GAZ. Russian GAZ.
"Removing that 1% of power is done by simply pumping a few m^3 of fresh water/minute into the depressured reactor "
What about ITER? Isn't that 20 year old project in France? What's taking so long?
The reactors in Fukushima did EXACTLY what was written on the tin. It was the local idiots who operated the reactor without protection against Tsunamics. When the water was boiling from Nachzerfallswärme, the idiots were to scared of the incompetent higher-up social engineers to 1.) simply vent the reactor and 2.) pump in fresh water using fire engines. That would have cooled the fuel pipes effectively and avoided a core-melt.
So we got corium. Because they could not ensure the flow of cooling water. AS EVERYBODY WITH A FECKING CLUE KNEW. There is no such reactor which can be turned off without coolant flow and without serious issues. NONE.
Somebody should have telefoned the Japanse Defence Minister and ask for Mobile Fire Pumps Airlifted ASAP. Instead they were paralysed in the critical five hours immediately after the Tsunami.
The reactor did what it was designed for - including the containment of the corium.
safety regulations and studies need to be removed. Let the companies build the reactors without any oversight, and costs will go down a ton. As for the waste, there is no real need to dispose of it... we'll end up making good use of it in a few decades. Paranoia and over regulation is retarded and the bane of western civilization.
No, this is not meant to be sarcastic. We're too worried about stuff that is safe, and try to bubble wrap everyone.
FYI, I live within 25 miles of 2 reactors, and would have 0 concern if one were built 500 ft away. The technology is much safer than walking across the street... Heck, its safer than shoveling my driveway.
...recently paid for the externalities of OIL. Just 100k folks "collateralized" to hell.
How do you ACCOUNT for that, Mr Green-Moaist ?
Nuclear will make baseload 24/7/365 with PLANNED downtime
are you saying nuclear has NO unplanned downtime ?
Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
It should be called "Gas-Wende". Because that is what it REALLY is. There are days when we have not much sun and not much wind. Gaz from Russia With Love is used at these times. The whole solar/wind crap only "works" because of Extra Taxation by forcing utilities and consumers to accept this useless electricity.
Large companies like Daimler build their own gas-powered electricity generation stations.
Uranium was an awful decision for power generation, chosen only because it could also be used in weapons.
Thorium is a waste product in mining, and it only comes in one naturally-occurring isotope, so it doesn't need expensive enrichment like uranium.
Thorium reactors follow the U-233 decay chain, and run entirely as a liquid, low-pressure system, which can be diluted easily and, if necessary, mixed with boron for complete emergency control.
Conventional uranium fuel comes as metallic rods - which cannot be diluted. High-pressure uranium reactors should be universally retired - they are expensive and unsafe.
Renewable costs don't go down with time. Windmills break down and solar panels lose efficiency as they get nearer to their end of life.
Just go ask California or anywhere else which has had these for 20 years.
This is a loss of $24,090 per employee. In the US, this company would fire 1/3 of its employees, demand the rest work 60 hour weeks and would recover in two years from a loss like this. None of that can happen in Europe. Instead the government will give them a 'loan'. They can't really buy more shares to resolve the issue at this point since the shares should be worth nothing.
*nt*
Those dangers pale to uncertainty and mismanagement caused by political instead of scientific evidence and method based environments.
Other energy sources would be vastly more costly if their waste products weren't already grandfathered in to the public mindset and their true impacts to safety and environmental impact (which is far more spread out than the catastrophic results failures induced by idiocy and insanity cause newer power sources) were actually measured and factored in to the comparison.
Bingo, we have winner there. So if governments internalized externalities by charging polluters to pollute, making the price of coal reflect its true cost, then the price of nuclear energy would be more favorable in comparison than now. Without those conditions, we are now all subsidizing the most polluting forms of energy generation, such as coal, by making polluting free.
I know the free market libertarian types will scream bloody murder about the proposal that pollution be taxed, just because it is a tax and they reflexively hate all taxes. But hold on you free market libertarian type people! If the government returned payments from polluters directly to the public in the form of checks, instead of letting the crooks who run our government squander it, then the net tax rate would be zero because the total tax dollars collected from polluters would equal the total tax dollars returned to the public. There is a redistributionary aspect to this tax, and those are typically regarded as a bad because they create price distortions. But in this case it is a good because it corrects, not creates, a price distortion by redistributing dollars away from polluters in proportion to the cost of their polluting.
There is a noteworthy point there: taxation is not a burden. The burden of Government is not taxation but instead spending inefficiency. Consider the following: You can go to the grocery store and pay $2.00 to buy a bag of onions. Alternatively, the government can tax you $2.00 and provide you bag the same bag of onions. The tax payer is rationally indifferent to those alternatives, therefore the tax is not a burden to the tax payer. What makes government a burden is spending inefficiency: In actuality, the government taxes you $2.00 and instead of giving you $2.00 worth onions it buys a tobacco farmer subsidy, anti-marijuana law enforcement, spyware to read your e-mail, and corporate welfare in the form of bad loans to Solyndra or some other boondoggle. What fraction does go to anything which is of value to the public, such as perhaps housing, is filtered through government contractors who capture most of the dollars for themselves and creates unemployment by offering an incentive to not work.
Because the public would pay money for the government not to do some of those things government spending efficiency can be negative. For example, with low government spending efficiency the cost to the tax payer of a $2.00 tax could be $3.00 if the government uses its $2.00 to purchase $1.00 worth of harm to the taxpayer. With high government spending efficiency, the cost to the tax payer of a $2.00 tax could be $-1.00, that is, the tax payer gives up two dollars but gains $3.00. In practice that does not happen. If it did then Wall Street investors would all have been replaced by government bureaucrats, if they can earn that rate of return.
So if the government both taxes pollution and returns the tax revenues to the public as dollars then taxation is not a net social burden. And the reduction in pollution is a net social benefit.
Ceci n'est pas une signature.
I am also fine with natural gas, to be honest. Russia has been a reliable supplier even during the worst cold war days.
You may wish to ask Ukraine about how reliable a supplier of natural gas Russia is.
"95% of all Slashdot
Those animals are less healthy and have more genetic disorders and lower life expectancy than before. It just "feels" right that they should do better without humans, but they aren't. Except those species that we deliberately go out of our way to remove from near us.
They are WORSE OFF. But if they last to breed, genetic damage doesn't really matter as long as they make it approximately alive past birth.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
My Other Computer Is A Data General Nova III.
Since the CEA is a French public institution, this makes the French states owning more than 80% of Areva http://www.areva.com/EN/financ...
I think you misunderstand liberalism, pollution has a cost to other people, ignoring them is not libertarian.
Don't you know it is now both immoral and criminal to think beyond the next quarterly report?
A lot less than solar and wind.
Downmodding is the refuge of the weak. Don't downmod, make a better argument!
solar and wind downtime can be predicted hours in advance. unplanned nuclear downtime can't. That's a big difference.