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Yellowstone Supervolcano Even Bigger Than We Realized

The Washington Post reports that the "supervolcano" beneath Yellowstone National Park (which, thankfully, did not kill us all in 2004, or in 2008 ) may be more dangerous when it does erupt than anyone realized until recently. Scientists have today published a paper documenting their discovery of an even larger, deeper pool of magma below the already huge reservoir near the surface. From the article: On Thursday, a team from the University of Utah published a study, in the journal Science, that for the first time offers a complete diagram of the plumbing of the Yellowstone volcanic system. The new report fills in a missing link of the system. It describes a large reservoir of hot rock, mostly solid but with some melted rock in the mix, that lies beneath a shallow, already-documented magma chamber. The newly discovered reservoir is 4.5 times larger than the chamber above it. There's enough magma there to fill the Grand Canyon. The reservoir is on top of a long plume of magma that emerges from deep within the Earth's mantle. ... “This is like a giant conduit. It starts down at 1,000 kilometers. It's a pipe that starts down in the Earth," said Robert Smith, emeritus professor of geophysics at the University of Utah and a co-author of the new paper. ... The next major, calderic eruption could be within the boundaries of the park, northeast of the old caldera. “If you have this crustal magma system that is beneath the pre-Cambrian rocks, eventually if you get enough fluid in that system, enough magma, you can create another caldera, another set of giant explosions," Smith said. "There’s no reason to think it couldn’t continue that same process and repeat that process to the northeast.”

27 of 152 comments (clear)

  1. Darn rabbits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    Where's the kaboom? There was supposed to be an earth shattering kaboom.

    1. Re:Darn rabbits by tnk1 · · Score: 5, Funny

      No boom today. Boom tomorrow. There's always a boom tomorrow.

    2. Re:Darn rabbits by husker_man · · Score: 2

      Boom. Boom boom boom. Boom boom. Boom! Have a nice day.

  2. Interesting, but that is all by s.petry · · Score: 2

    Seems like these stories always come with quite a bit of fear mongering. We all died without the new findings, and we still die with them. *shrug* Kind of like fretting about a giant asteroid impact. Some things are out of our control, and fear/panic won't change that.

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    -The wise argue that there are few absolutes, the fool argues that there are no probabilities.

    1. Re:Interesting, but that is all by tnk1 · · Score: 5, Informative

      Yes, it could cause what we'd think of as a "nuclear winter". Which is really how it would do most of it's global damage. The ashfall would also be off the charts, but likely confined to North America.

      Basically take the entire Yellowstone park, dig out every cubic centimeter of dirt and rocks from the surface down to the lava reservoir and just throw all of that into the stratosphere. All at once. Of course you don't want to be in the radius where the heavy stuff starts coming down on you, and that will probably be a number of entire states under significant debris.

      The rest of the world will merely need to deal with the sun being blotted out for a few years. This is what happened when Mount Tambora erupted which was only a "normal" VEI-7 eruption. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1...

      Spoilers: The Year Without A Summer (1816) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Y...

      A supervolcano is VEI-8+

      Note that they are supposed to be 1/10,000ish year events. Thereabouts, that seems sort of high. While Yellowstone might not go off any time soon, there are other places that might much sooner.

      The Toba eruption about 74,000 years ago is thought to have caused a genetic bottleneck in humans were we were cut down to the mere tens of thousands of people in the entire world.

      Toba being principally responsible for this bottleneck is disputed, but it should also be pointed out that humans at that time were fairly mobile, so their strategy for survival would probably not be possible for most of us. Our ancestors at the time didn't rely on agriculture and with humans only in the millions in population, we could have probably foraged and moved.

      Humans today... well let's just say that our urban populations would not have the ability to switch hunting grounds.

      I'm not sure any of the known calderas are actually thought to be ready to blow in the near future, but Yellowstone was supposed to go off in 600,000ish year intervals and I believe we're overdue. It doesn't mean it will go off any time soon, just that it's starting to look like it is time again, assuming that the characteristics of the lava reservoir are similar to last time.

  3. Hasn't hurt yet by tomhath · · Score: 4, Informative
  4. Drill now and extracting the thermal energy by Camel+Pilot · · Score: 4, Interesting

    And maybe mitigate or eliminate a possible extinction event down the road.

  5. Re:GeoThermal Energy anyone? by Tablizer · · Score: 3, Insightful

    That's what I keep thinking: too bad we can't mine all that energy such that we'd be killing two birds with one stone: getting energy AND draining the heat from that spot, reducing the risk or magnitude of a volcanic explosion.

    It's kind of like using ocean water to solve coastal droughts: all that water sitting right next to us, but no practical way to turn it into potable water. It's a tease; at least with current technology.

  6. Re:Here's to hoping they don't find oil by Twinbee · · Score: 3, Interesting

    That's been mentioned before, but apparently the very act of drilling could weaken the structure to force it to erupt.

    Having said that, one might be able to drill from a decent angle to maintain structure integrity as I've shown here.

    --
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  7. Capture some smoke, ash particles before they spre by myid · · Score: 2

    Chile's Calbuco volcano erupted on April 22, "at around 1800 local time". The second picture in this article shows the eruption at sunset. From that picture, you can see that the ash and smoke from the eruption have begun to spread. According to this web page, sunset in Chile these days is about 7:10 pm. So about an hour after the eruption, the clouds of dust and smoke had already started to spread.

    Does anyone know if the smoke and ash particles are magnetic? If so, then maybe we can cut down on their spread through the atmosphere, by putting billions of magnetically-charged balloons into the atmosphere above Yellowstone, just before the eruption. Hopefully they would attract some of the smoke and ash particles, and eventually fall back to the earth.

    (Of course, this assumes that we'll have a few hours warning before the eruption, and that the balloons are all ready to go.)

  8. Bonus by gremlin_591002 · · Score: 2

    Living just northeast of Yellowstone means never having to worry about saying goodbye. It'll be over so fast you'll miss it.

  9. Obvious solution by silvermorph · · Score: 2

    Build a trench from yellowstone to the grand canyon.

  10. Re:Whats it burning? by Black.Shuck · · Score: 5, Funny

    I have a question. Just what is being consumed to keep such a monstrous magma chamber X2 burning? Coal? Oil? something is keeping it molten.

    The souls of the damned.

  11. Deccan Traps by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 2

    A super volcano could be extinction event if it is big enough.

    Not unless it is a lot bigger. The one that occurred around the time of the extinction of the Dinosaurs gave rise to the Deccan Traps.

    To put the scale of this extinction-level eruption in context the article mentions that the new, larger chamber under Yellowstone contains enough magma to fill the Grand Canyon which according to here is 4,170 cubic kilometres. The Deccan trap eruptions produced 512,000 cubic kilometres over 30k years. A Yellowstone eruption would certainly cause a lot of devastation over a large area of North America but its peanuts compared to an extinction level event.

  12. Thank Goodness by turkeyfish · · Score: 2

    Thank goodness the republicans have cut funding for projects like these out of the new NSF geosciences budget.

    The last thing we need to do is learn about the risk associated with living on our planet. No doubt it will be far better if the residents of Wyoming, Montana, Idaho and points east never worry about science and certainly a lot cheaper just to refer to such potential catastrophe as the "rapture". After all, who needs scientists when we have Michelle Bachmann?

  13. Re:It is also a supervolcano. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative
    Posting as AC because I just moderated.

    The most recent VEI8 was Taupo, only 24,500 years ago. Previous was Toba, 74k years ago, Neither was an extinction event.

    We've had quite recent VEI7: Tambora (1815), Samalas (1257), Taupo {again) (180) and Thera (1620BC). None of these was remotely an extinction event (though it probably sucked to be a Minonan at the time).

    If Yellowstone pops at VEI7 it will suck to be near and there will be a long, cold winter or two, worldwide. VEI8 will be worse, which is to say very bad. But the Southern Hemisphere should be slightly better. Note that the Aborigines have been in Australia for over 40,000 years, so they survived the nearby Taupo bang.

  14. Re:Speak For Yourself by Pope+Hagbard · · Score: 2

    Uh, Maine is still there.

  15. Re:It is also a supervolcano. by khallow · · Score: 5, Informative

    I thought it was widely known that when Yellowstone finally does go up, that will be an extinction-level event. Most of the planet will become completely uninhabitable for decades.

    Not true. We need to remember that there are more than 100 known caldera eruptions of the Yellowstone hotspot as it migrated from eastern Oregon to its present location over the past 16 million years. None of these eruptions, including the big eruption of 2 million years ago, are tied to known global extinction events over this time period.

    Sure, if you were a plant or animal with a limited range too close to one of these supervolcano eruptions, you were out of luck, but we don't see global impact over the known lifespan of the hotspot. If it were remotely as bad as you claim, we would have seen some obvious signs of it in the fossil record, which we don't.

    Further, why would the Earth's atmosphere become unbreathable? Sure, there's a lot of ash and gases released in a supervolcano eruption. But the Earth's atmosphere is much bigger than that and most of those gases, aside from carbon dioxide and other relatively insoluble gases, would wash out in rain. The remnant that remains in the stratosphere wouldn't have much effect precisely because of how little there is in the stratosphere.

    Prepping for this is a joke. No power, no running water, no crops, no breathable air on the surface, for years and years. Your basement shelter won't keep you alive for a month under those conditions.

    Enough lead time and you can prep for anything nature throws at you other than universe-scale problems like the heat death of the universe. Maybe even that can be managed successfully though I'm not feeling up to it.

  16. Re:Here's to hoping they don't find oil by MachineShedFred · · Score: 5, Funny

    Be sure to save game first - you may need to re-load if you don't get it quite right.

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  17. Re:It is also a supervolcano. by MachineShedFred · · Score: 2

    Enough lead time and you can prep for anything nature throws at you other than universe-scale problems like the heat death of the universe. Maybe even that can be managed successfully though I'm not feeling up to it.

    Yeah, so we know that the sun will burn out in ~5 billion years. Get cracking.

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  18. Re:Here's to hoping they don't find oil by Gavagai80 · · Score: 3, Funny

    Just wait for winter, it'll snow a lot at Yellowstone and that should put the volcano out.

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  19. Re:Here's to hoping they don't find oil by dave420 · · Score: 2

    Some forms of life on Earth have survived these eruptions before, but there are no guarantees humans would be so lucky.

  20. Re:Here's to hoping they don't find oil by GNious · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Having said that, one might be able to drill from a decent angle to maintain structure integrity as I've shown here.

    I fully expected goatse or rickroll or something - very disappointed!

  21. Re:It is also a supervolcano. by Hognoxious · · Score: 5, Funny

    Yeah, so we know that the sun will burn out in ~5 billion years.

    I read that the first time as 5 million.

    Had me in a bit of a panic for a moment.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  22. Re:Here's to hoping they don't find oil by jeffmeden · · Score: 2

    Here's to hoping they don't find any oil there, given the earthquakes it's caused in OK.

    The magma is so close to the surface that there won't be the usual layer after deeper layer of hydrocarbons to go after.

    Better yet: Here's hoping they find oil near the surface, extract it, and then turn the oil deposit wells into geothermal loops.

    What an opportunity! We can extract high quality geothermal energy from the site AND cool the rock near the surface to prevent an eruption.

    Disclaimer: I am not a geologist so this probably makes no sense at all

  23. Re:It is also a supervolcano. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    Maybe you will. I plan to live forever, possibly as a fish, or maybe a sentient brassiere.

  24. A couple thoughts on Yellowstone by pebear · · Score: 2

    1. The Russians came out last week and stated that they were specifically targeting Yellowstone with nukes as a way to take out at least 2/3 of the US. They seem to think if they can get penetration with several nukes they can kick off an eruption. Crazy Russians. Maybe we do live in a glass house after all. 2. Since we seem to be able to create earth quakes by simply dumping salt water and waste water into miles deep caverns below West Texas and Oklahoma why can't we use that water to cool and solidify and artificially stabilize the magma chamber. In Iceland they were able to cool lava flows and they have saved several towns by pumping cool ocean water on the on coming lava flows. You would think that we can truly become masters of this planet.

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    Paul E. Bahre