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The Auto Industry May Mimic the 1980s PC Industry

Posted by Soulskill on from the as-long-as-my-car-gets-a-turbo-button-i'm-ok-with-it dept.

An anonymous reader writes: An article at TechCrunch looks at some interesting parallels between the current automobile industry and the PC industry of the 1980s. IBM was dominant in 1985, employing four times as many people as its nearest competitor. But as soon as Windows was released, the platform became more important for most end users than the manufacturer. Over the next decade, IBM lost its throne. In 2015, we're on the cusp of a similar change: the computerized car. Automakers, though large and well-established, haven't put much effort into building the platform on which their cars run. Meanwhile, Google's Android Auto and Apple CarPlay are constantly improving. As soon as those hit a breakthrough point where it's more important for a customer to have the platform than the manufacturer's logo on the side, the industry is likely to resemble a replay of the PC industry in the 1980s.

9 of 287 comments (clear)

  1. Oh please by Viol8 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Hardly anyone over the age of 25 cares about the eye candy touchscreen and gadgets in the car. They either car about space for kids and/or general crap, fuel economy, performance or looks or a combination of the above. Everything else can be done on a smartphone.

    1. Re:Oh please by CanHasDIY · · Score: 5, Informative

      Um, the PC industry has been regulated since at least the 1950's, and the Internet was created via a socialist military experiment.

      Did you forget the sarcasm tags?

      --
      An enigma, wrapped in a riddle, shrouded in bacon and cheese
  2. So, we're going to get Toyota clones? by NotDrWho · · Score: 4, Insightful

    IBM wasn't undone by the platform, they were undone by the CLONES running the platform. And at the end of the day, a car is still 99% hardware. It takes a lot to build one, and I can't envision a world where cars can be easily home built from standard parts.

    --
    SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
  3. Year of Linux... by JoeCommodore · · Score: 4, Funny

    So, are we talking about the year of Linux on the Blacktop?

    --
    "Enjoy what you're doing! If it becomes drudgery, you're doing it wrong!" - Jim Butterfield
  4. You're dying off by Overzeetop · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I disagree with the premise of the article, as there are quite a few things about automobiles which are independent of the OS the in-vehicle entertainment and nav console - much more than a beige box pc.

    However, it's worth noting that people over 25 are dying. Old people (over 25) as a market segment will change dramatically over then next 30 years as nearly everyone over 50 will no longer be in the market for an automobile. The "money" demographic will shift to those who are just now getting their driver's licenses.

    I do find it depressing that, in an age where interactivity with personal devices can be done in an agnostic way, more and more interfaces are becoming OS specific.

    --
    Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
    1. Re:You're dying off by NotDrWho · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Yeah, but the 20-year-old who wants a cool software suite in his car today will be a family man who just wants plenty of room tomorrow. Eighteen year olds have a nasty, but consistent, tendency to become 30-somethings.

      When I was 18 I drove a Camaro with a kick-ass sound system and it was good.
      When I was 35, I drove a mini-van with many screens to distract the kids and it was good
      When I was 45, I drove a Camaro again, because I wasn't good.
      When I was 55, I drove a Mercedes and it was very good.

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    2. Re:You're dying off by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      Yeah, well you just wait until my YouTube movie career takes off, dad! Then me and Ben and Del are going to be famous, and rich! And we're not going to have to live in your stupid house anymore!

    3. Re:You're dying off by dj245 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      While those Gizmos may be cool and fun, they are no longer your major concern. Now this isn't all that bad, you are more mature and comfortable with yourself, things don't bother you so much, but you also need such distractions as well.

      I thought like that for a long time, then one day I realized that I had optimized "fun" almost entirely out of my life. I am a lot happier now that I make sure to budget for "fun" things. Going through life without frivolous, but fun things was negatively affecting my mental condition. The joy of saving a dollar can only take you so far.

      --
      Even those who arrange and design shrubberies are under considerable economic stress at this period in history.
  5. tech industry looks like auto industry of 1910s by peter303 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    There were hundreds of automobile startups in the 1900s-1920s until standardization and consolidation. Electric and steam vehicles were competitors before internal combustion won out.