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Pluto's Outer Moons Orbit Chaotically, With Unpredictable Sunrises and Sunsets

StartsWithABang writes: Few things in this world are as regular as sunrise and sunset. With the application of a little physics, you can predict exactly where and when the sun will rise or set from any location on Earth. Thus far, every world in our Solar System — planet, moon and asteroid — has had the exact same experience as us. But out in the Kuiper belt, Pluto is different. The only known world in the Solar System where a significant fraction of the system's mass is not in a single component, the outer moons of the Pluto-Charon system provide a unique environment to study how planets might behave in orbit around binary stars. The amazing takeaway? The rotational part of the orbit is chaotic; the worlds tumble, and hence sunrises and sunsets are no longer predictable.

92 comments

  1. Ethan by Whiteox · · Score: 1

    Well the last link is Ethan, the first one is broken and the middle one shows a grid of potatos.

    --
    Don't be apathetic. Procrastinate!
    1. Re:Ethan by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      Well the last link is Ethan, the first one is broken and the middle one shows a grid of potatos.

      So they went full potato on us?

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  2. Add one to your bounce rate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Click link
    Medium.com
    Click back

    At this point you could be posting next weeks lotto numbers, I still wouldn't read it.

    1. Re:Add one to your bounce rate by jandersen · · Score: 3

      Yeah - and I thought that the "Turn off adverts" option would block medium.com SPAM.

    2. Re:Add one to your bounce rate by Lord+Crc · · Score: 1

      Serious question: what's with the medium.com hate? I really don't get it.

    3. Re: Add one to your bounce rate by O('_')O_Bush · · Score: 1

      It might have more to do with citing a blog in a science article.

      --
      while(1) attack(People.Sandy);
    4. Re:Add one to your bounce rate by jandersen · · Score: 1

      Serious question: what's with the medium.com hate? I really don't get it.

      This is not hate, by engineering standards, only mild scorn. Speaking for myself, I like good factual information backed by references if possible - Wikipedia matches that in many cases, so something like that, or perhaps articles on Science Daily:

      http://www.sciencedaily.com/in...

      The thing about medium.com is that it is targeted for a completely different audience; the people that like modern 'nature programs', with lots of movie-style cutting, funky sound-track, replayed sequences etc - probably very artistic, but tedious and drawn out ad infinitum and with very little factual information. Or, perhaps a bit like BBC's Horizon series, which also tends to be tediously sparse on real information (and I am a great fan of BBC in general, it has to be said).

  3. Do they really mean "chaotic"? by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 2

    The rotational part of the orbit is chaotic; the worlds tumble, and hence sunrises and sunsets are no longer predictable.

    "Rotating around more than one axis" doesn't automatically mean chaotic, does it?

    Also there was this quote from the article:

    If you were on a fixed point on the surface of Nix, you’d see the Sun rise in the east on one day, then at an ever-changing angle over the next few days, and eventually it would rise in the west, cycling through in chaotic fashion.

    Aren't "cycling" and "chaotic" mutually exclusive?

    Even on Earth the Sun rises in an "ever-changing position" at an "ever-changing angle," but we don't call that chaotic.

    --
    systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    1. Re:Do they really mean "chaotic"? by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 2

      Or to put it another way, do they mean it really isn't predictable (perhaps because of all the gravitational influences in the area), or that the math is just a bit harder?

      --
      systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    2. Re:Do they really mean "chaotic"? by jandersen · · Score: 3

      A tip that can save you a good deal of wasted effort: if the link is to medium.com, they probably havn't got all that much of a clue. Medium.com is a glossy magazine on par with "Heat", "Hello" and the like; I can't imagine anybody with technical or scientific insight wanting to waste time on it.

    3. Re: Do they really mean "chaotic"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Aren't "cycling" and "chaotic" mutually exclusive?

      I last studied chaos at undergraduate level in the late 90s but, in short... no. Cyclic behaviour emerges naturally from (some) chaotic processes. I'd love to go into more detail but, like I said... late 90s, not really looked much at it since. I do remember some very nice simulations :)

    4. Re:Do they really mean "chaotic"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is medium.com affiliated with dice.com?

    5. Re:Do they really mean "chaotic"? by srussia · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yes. It's an n-body dynamical system.

      --
      Set your phasers on "funky"!
    6. Re:Do they really mean "chaotic"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      They mean it's chaotic in that a small change in initial conditions throw your predictions completely off. It's "a bit harder" like the Mandelbrot set is "a bit more complicated than" a circle.

    7. Re:Do they really mean "chaotic"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I can't say anything about the math, but the video does look as if there is a phase change into chaotic behavior, i.e. the satellite "tumbles out of control". Here Nix's oblong shape helps turning it into a "wobbly duck". IIRC chaos means that a tiny change in initial conditions at time T can cause an arbitrarily big change at time T + delta T, thus making the result unpredictable (in spite of there being an exact formula for it) because there is always a measuring error.

    8. Re:Do they really mean "chaotic"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes. We unlike sunrise on Pluto's moons, we get these stories every day like clockwork, predictably from the same submitter each time.

    9. Re:Do they really mean "chaotic"? by michelcolman · · Score: 1

      Anyway, who cares about sunset when you're that far away, the sun is just a star in the sky that's a bit brighter than the others

    10. Re:Do they really mean "chaotic"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      "Rotating around more than one axis" doesn't automatically mean chaotic, does it?

      There is the so called Tennis Racket Theorem, that when you have an object with no symmetry in the moment of inertia, it is unstable when trying to spin around the intermediate axis (this effect has been known about longer than the dates on wikipedia and should be in any intro mechanics book that is at the Lagrange equation level). And that doesn't require gravity, but gravity can make the process definitely chaotic in the actual physics definition: small changes to initial conditions cause diverging trajectories.

      Even on Earth the Sun rises in an "ever-changing position" at an "ever-changing angle," but we don't call that chaotic.

      In a simplified system, nutation is a regular oscillation and no chaotic. In the real world, there are a lot of things that affect the rotation of the Earth including things we can't predict now (shift of parts of the crust). In principle it is all mechanics so it would still be chaotic in the sense that small changes have diverging trajectories, but we don't have enough information to come even close to making a detailed prediction beyond the regular oscillations.

    11. Re:Do they really mean "chaotic"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Chaos in physics and math just mean that near by starting points will diverge exponentially with evolution of the system. It requires the system to be determinant, meaning if you had perfect knowledge of the starting point, you could work out an exact prediction for the far future. But since there are errors in measurements (or other minor influences not being modeled), predictions made from your measurement will be ok for a while, but eventually diverge from the actual measurements.

      So in a sense, to answer your question, it is both and neither. The system is determinant, predictable in the short term, but not long term. The math is not necessary hard, as some very simple mathematical systems can express chaotic behavior, although some of the analysis techniques developed for chaotic systems are not exactly simple math either.

    12. Re:Do they really mean "chaotic"? by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

      Aren't "cycling" and "chaotic" mutually exclusive?

      No. On earth, the weather cycles from hot to cold and back to hot again on a yearly basis, yet it is still chatoic.

      Chaotic doesn't mean completely unpredictable, what it means more or less is that for a tiny error in initial conditions, errors in your prediction will grow exponentially over time, but only up to a point. Once you've diverged far enough it no longer makes sense to talk in terms of errors.

      The Pluto system is still constrained by physics, so the objects will continue to rotate and they will continue to orbit and they are still gravitationally bound so nothing's going to go flying off to alpha centauri.

      Again, much like the weather: it's chaotic but still has many predictable elements. For instance I can predict that a hurricane (or if you prefer, tropical cyclone) will never hit London. Hurricanes are hot core systems and those simply don't progress past 40 degrees or so, because the ambient temperatures become too low. Any huge storm hitting London will be a cold core system.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    13. Re:Do they really mean "chaotic"? by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

      Aren't "cycling" and "chaotic" mutually exclusive?

      No. Chaotic systems cycle-- look up, say "strange attractor". Or even google "cycle AND chaos theory."

      What makes it chaotic is that the phase of the cycling is predictable in the short term, unpredictable in the long term.

      --
      http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    14. Re:Do they really mean "chaotic"? by Maritz · · Score: 1

      The Pluto system is still constrained by physics, so the objects will continue to rotate and they will continue to orbit and they are still gravitationally bound so nothing's going to go flying off to alpha centauri.

      From TFA: "Rather than rotating about a single axis, Pluto’s moons Nix and Hydra tumble chaotically as they move around the Pluto-Charon system. Sure, the revolution of their orbits isn’t all that chaotic—they’re in stable, resonating orbits with one another—but the rotational part is!"

      Yes, they will continue to rotate, I may have missed where someone suggested they wouldn't, but I don't think anyone did. The rotation about an axis itself being chaotic is the claim. Not the orbit.

      --
      I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
    15. Re:Do they really mean "chaotic"? by Noah+Haders · · Score: 2

      in westeros the cycles of summer and winter are chaotically unpredictable.

    16. Re:Do they really mean "chaotic"? by kanweg · · Score: 2

      "the sun is just a star in the sky that's a bit brighter than the others"
      A bit very much brighter star than the others, actually:

      http://blogs.discovermagazine....

      It is far more bright than the full moon.

      Bert

    17. Re:Do they really mean "chaotic"? by rahultyagi · · Score: 1

      I had never bothered to make this calculation, but always sort of assumed that the Sun would look like a disc from those distances... very small but still with a disc shape easily discernible by naked eye. This made me do the calculation. Turns out that the Sun looks almost exactly the same size from Pluto (at perihelion) as Venus does from Earth (at their closest distance)! However, venus at its closest is bright enough to cast discernible shadows and Sun's absolute brightness is a LOTTTT more than venus. So, yes, you are right. just another star in the sky that is however *much* brighter than anything else. For religions starting on pluto, you can easily bet against anything other than the Sun or Charon being their chief deity.

    18. Re:Do they really mean "chaotic"? by Solandri · · Score: 1

      The rotational part of the orbit is chaotic; the worlds tumble, and hence sunrises and sunsets are no longer predictable.

      "Rotating around more than one axis" doesn't automatically mean chaotic, does it?

      That actually brings up another possible explanation. The rotational analogue for "mass" is "inertia". But unlike mass which is a scalar, inertial is a tensor - a 3x3 matrix. Rotation is only stable around the minimum and maximum inertial axes. If you try to spin an object around a different axis, its rotational axis will oscillate between the minimum and maximum axes, like a ball oscillating back and forth in a bowl between the minimum and maximum potential energy. In other words, it will tumble in a seemingly chaotic pattern, until you realize this oscillation is going on.

      When designing spacecraft, extra care is taken to distribute mass so as to make sure the inertia tensor is symmetric along the axes where your thrusters will impart rotation. That way firing a thruster causes a predictable rotation, rather than tumbling.

    19. Re:Do they really mean "chaotic"? by towermac · · Score: 1

      Hm. Predict again:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/T...

      "...hurricane-force winds and rough seas in London"

      http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-297...

      "The woman died in central London..."

    20. Re:Do they really mean "chaotic"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In other words, it will tumble in a seemingly chaotic pattern, until you realize this oscillation is going on.

      It isn't even close to a chaotic pattern as defined in physics though, and saying it looks chaotic is just muddying the waters. When you start applying outside n-body forces on top of that though, you will get truly chaotic behavior.

    21. Re:Do they really mean "chaotic"? by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

      And you didn't read what I actually wrote. Tropical cyclones start in the tropics as hot core systems. They can continue to subtropical regions and even up to temperate regions. However in the links you posted, Hurricaine Vince made it as far as Spain while still a hot core system, but didn't reach London in that state. The rest were all "remenants off", i.e. after the transition to a cold core system.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
  4. Incredible by cachimaster · · Score: 2

    Not a single science fiction writer, or scientific study that I know, imagined worlds with chaotic orbits. But here is one, in our own solar system. And we found out just now.

    1. Re:Incredible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is why is love those medium.com wordsalads.

    2. Re:Incredible by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 1

      I'm not convinced that medium.com's definition of "chaotic" - meaning "a bit weirder than on Earth" - is in any way related to the mathematical concept of chaos.

      --
      systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    3. Re:Incredible by Lumpy · · Score: 4, Funny

      medium.com's definition of chaotic is getting the wrong coffee from the barista.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    4. Re:Incredible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because a "chaotic" or "unpredictable" orbit is a practical impossibility and is not what we found. "Irregular" would have been a more appropriate word to use.

      The orbits are just on multiple axes and would appear very unusual compared to most moons, but once you know that conditions you could just plug some variables into a calculator and find out when the sun is going to rise next.

    5. Re:Incredible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow, could you be more wrong?

    6. Re:Incredible by andremerzky400 · · Score: 1

      I doubt it ... :P

    7. Re:Incredible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      once you know that conditions you could just plug some variables into a calculator and find out when the sun is going to rise next.

      This is a prerequisite for all chaotic systems, they are determinate, and if you had exact initial conditions, you could just plug them into a calculator and get an answer. Chaotic does not mean indeterminate or even necessarily unpredictable, only that it is very sensitive to your initial conditions and no amount of real world measurement will give you the accuracy needed to make exact long term predictions (often there are still some properties you can predict over the long term still though).

      In other words, chaos is quite real world and practical, while what you describe in your post, "once you know that conditions" is practically impossible in chaotic systems (at least for long term predictions, short term ones still work).

    8. Re:Incredible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not a single science fiction writer, or scientific study that I know, imagined worlds with chaotic orbits

      If you haven't read Lem's Solaris, you just aren't avid sci-fi reader. That planet was orbiting around double star on such a peculiar orbit that scientists actually were expecting it to crash into one of the stars.

    9. Re:Incredible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not a chaotic orbit - the rotation is chaotic, not its orbit. (At least not to any significant degree.)

      (I think one of Saturn's moons has similar behaviour by the way. Hyperion.)

    10. Re:Incredible by Maritz · · Score: 1

      Article doesn't say that the orbits are chaotic. It says that they are stable, and even have resonances.

      --
      I do not want your cheap brainburning drugs. They are useless for work. And I am a working man today.
    11. Re:Incredible by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

      Because a "chaotic" or "unpredictable" orbit is a practical impossibility

      To the contrary, it is likely that all orbits in systems with more than two bodies are chaotic. That includes our solar system.

      Fortunately for us, the time scale for unpredictability for the solar system is many billions of years.

      and is not what we found.

      Well, that part was correct. What was found was that the rotations were chaotic. The orbits seem to be regular.

      --
      http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    12. Re:Incredible by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Despite what Ethan claims, we've known about chaos in the solar system for a long time. Since people started doing simulations, actually. Hyperion is known to rotate chaotically, and IIRC the orbit of the moon is also mildly chaotic.

    13. Re:Incredible by cellocgw · · Score: 2

      Not a single science fiction writer, or scientific study that I know, imagined worlds with chaotic orbits

      Cixin Liu, "The Three-body Problem."
      There are several old-ish scifi stories but I don't recall their titles at this instant.

      --
      https://app.box.com/WitthoftResume Code: https://github.com/cellocgw
    14. Re:Incredible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Arthur C Clarke - Childhood's End. There is a depiction of a planet in a chaotic orbit around a 6 star system.

      And this was written in the 50's.

    15. Re:Incredible by pz · · Score: 1

      Funny, yes, but the scientists behind the research, at NASA, do use the term correctly. They do mean chaotic in the mathematical sense. I listened to the streamed press conference on the subject and, if you look beyond the egregious mis-pronouciation of Charon by the lead author on the work, someone who really should know better, they did a pretty good job of establishing a likely chaotic orientation for Hydra and Nix. Not "really messy and hard to predict but deterministic," but chaotic. With an N-body system, it turns out it isn't that hard to establish chaos.

      And, of course, we know from simulation work done at MIT that the orbit of Pluto is likely chaotic, as published in Science some years ago: http://groups.csail.mit.edu/ma... -- I've worked with some of the people who wrote that report, and they are among the best, and most careful scientists I know.

      --

      Put my fist through my alarm clock with its ding-dong death inside my ear. - The Blackjacks.
    16. Re:Incredible by Unknown74 · · Score: 1

      Check out Fred Saberhagen's "Berkerker's Star". Miracanda is a very strange place consisting of a neutron star, a black hole, and Miracanda - which is sort of, but not, a planet. ("This is not a planet. This is not a planet.") They all three exist in a very loopy sort of mutual orbit.

    17. Re:Incredible by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Every piece of science fiction that touched the subject (and I've read) understood that the orbit of asteroid belt (as a group of objects) is a chaotic system.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  5. Non planet with moons by Crashmarik · · Score: 2

    Definition Moon: any planetary satellite:
    the moons of Jupiter.

    1. Re:Non planet with moons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Definition of moon is any natural celestial body orbiting another that is not a star. Asteroids have had known moons before the whole planet definition mess, and the definition of moon has never been restricted to going around a planet, under old or new definition.

    2. Re:Non planet with moons by Crashmarik · · Score: 2

      Definition of moon is any natural celestial body orbiting another that is not a star. Asteroids have had known moons before the whole planet definition mess, and the definition of moon has never been restricted to going around a planet, under old or new definition.

      Well aside from the fact that would define Pluto and Charon as each others moon. or none of these as moons, your knowledge seems to argue against

      Merriam Webster,

      the moon : the large round object that circles the Earth and that shines at night by reflecting light from the sun

      : a large round object like the moon that circles around a planet other than the Earth
      22 charming words for nasty people
      Full Definition of MOON
      1
      a often capitalized : the earth's natural satellite that shines by the sun's reflected light, revolves about the earth from west to east in about 2912 days with reference to the sun or about 2713 days with reference to the stars, and has a diameter of 2160 miles (3475 kilometers), a mean distance from the earth of about 238,900 miles (384,400 kilometers), and a mass about one eightieth that of the earth —usually used with the
      b : one complete moon cycle consisting of four phases
      c : satellite 2; specifically : a natural satellite of a planet

      and universe today

      A moon is defined to be a celestial body that makes an orbit around a planet, including the eight major planets, dwarf planets, and minor planets. A moon may also be referred to as a natural satellite, although to differentiate it from other astronomical bodies orbiting another body, e.g. a planet orbiting a star, the term moon is used exclusively to make a reference to a planet’s natural satellite.

      Now I hardly hold the bad usage against you, This is merely part of the problem of the badly done rush to redefine what is a planet.

    3. Re:Non planet with moons by hackertourist · · Score: 1

      So what you're saying is, "that's no moon!"

    4. Re:Non planet with moons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can find plenty of references in the literature to moons of asteroids since their discovery in the 90s. Even the Universe Today definition you quoted confirms that as an appropriate usage. There is even talk of moons of moons in astronomy literature, although there are no current examples, there are some suggestions of possible past examples.

      There is no issue with calling such things moons, and the strawman you are making to try to give yourself an outlet to bitch about the definition of planet fiasco doesn't actually exist.

    5. Re:Non planet with moons by Gavagai80 · · Score: 1

      News flash: single line C dictionary definition doesn't contain full scientific details of corner cases! More at 11.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank
    6. Re:Non planet with moons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are even articles written about this pointing out that, regardless of what stuff you want to quote without reading, that the definition of moon is not formalized, and has been applied to stuff orbiting things other than planets quite a lot. It isn't affected by the redefinition of a planet at all.

  6. That's no moons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But... But... If Pluto is not really a planet, then Pluto's moons are not really moons... What *are* they????

    1. Re:That's no moons by michelcolman · · Score: 2

      Dwarf moons?

    2. Re:That's no moons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Space stations?

    3. Re:That's no moons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Moons of a dwarf planet. Not that hard really :)

  7. Eh. by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 2

    Asteroids do not concern me, Slashdot.

  8. Can we get a tag for this? by thegarbz · · Score: 1

    Can we please get a medium.com tag so I can filter out this garbage.

    I don't want to read any "science" blog from an "author" who doesn't even know what chaotic means.

    1. Re:Can we get a tag for this? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Say what you will. At least they put in lots of pretty pictures - and not just bullshit 'artistic interpretations' but actual NASA images. I hate astronomy related articles that are just text. "We found this thing that looks really cool! But *you* are gonna have to find it on your own."

    2. Re:Can we get a tag for this? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      His use of chaotic is fine. If you want to attack the article, try to point out a clear contradiction like this:

      From TFA:

      All the moons we know of do exactly this: they have a fixed rotational period

      From Hyperion (moon):

      Rotation period: chaotic

  9. Three body problem by heikkile · · Score: 1

    Looks like a three body problem: http://www.amazon.com/Three-Bo...

    --

    In Murphy We Turst

  10. Bug... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    or feature?

  11. A Classic Problem by JimSadler · · Score: 1

    Mathematics has always suffered a severe challenge when there are more than two actors in a system. Although one day the problem may be cracked as things stand the motion of multiple objects being attracted and repelled by each other appears to be chaotic.

    1. Re:A Classic Problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Although one day the problem may be cracked as things stand the motion of multiple objects being attracted and repelled by each other appears to be chaotic.

      There is no "appears to be chaotic" in mathematics and physics, as chaos is a well definite mathematical phenomena. Regardless of how much advances are made in analysis of a particular system or chaotic systems in general, it doesn't change that a system fits that definition.

    2. Re:A Classic Problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is a profound misunderstanding of the underlying mathematics.
      The problem is not that maths cannot model systems with multiple actors, the problem is that in some systems slight changes to the initial conditions effect wildly different outcomes over time. The multiple body problem just happens to be such a system and no advance in maths can change that. This is not a deficiency in maths, it's an inherent property of these systems.
      There are systems with multiple actors which are not chaotic, see thermodynamics for an extreme example, and on the other hand many fractals are based on a function with chaotic behaviour in only a single parameter.

  12. Bitter much? by lindseyp · · Score: 0

    Ethan's articles are quite interesting and often very informative of scientific topics at a readable level.

    Why the hate? Did he used to steal your lunch money as a child, or something?

    --
    j'ai découvert une démonstration vraiment admirable (de ce théorème général) que cette si
    1. Re: Bitter much? by IMightB · · Score: 1

      We hate them because they are full of click bait posted by someone who only wishes to monetize his site. When his audience is hard core nerds who remember the days of the internet before ads and the Eternal September.

    2. Re: Bitter much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Full of click bait? As best I can tell his website has no ads at all.

      But thanks for posting your comment on Slashdot, which does have ads.

    3. Re:Bitter much? by jandersen · · Score: 1

      Why the hate?

      Not hate, just irritation at somebody who likes to show off a knowledge he hasn't got. A bit like when some manager tries to impress the engineering team with the fact that he once wrote a few lines of Excel BASIC code. It makes you wince.

  13. Chaotic - yes. "orbit" NO! by lindseyp · · Score: 1

    Did nobody RTFA?

    It's not the orbit that's chaotic. It's the rotation of the moon. It's not rotating around a fixed axis, but tumbles chaotically due to the multiple gravitational forces acting on it.

    --
    j'ai découvert une démonstration vraiment admirable (de ce théorème général) que cette si
  14. Winter is coming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    At last, science has proven that there is a none-magical explanation of Westeros's unpredictable seasons.

    1. Re:Winter is coming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I thought everyone had settled on variable star

  15. Re:Chaotic - yes. "orbit" NO! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Umm, that is still an n-body dynamical system, and the post you replied to said nothing about it being the orbit.

  16. Not the only chaotically rotating moon by mr.gson · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Saturn's moon Hyperion is also known to tumble chaotically.

  17. I doubt they are chaotic by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1

    Are they chaotic? The friction in inter galactic space is nearly zero. These bodies will obey the conservation of mass, linear momentum, angular momentum and energy. They are way below reltativistic speeds to be involved with Hawkins radiation and such stuff. They should be fully predictable and non chaotic, right? The period might be very long and complex compared to our sunsets and sunrises, but are they chaotic?

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    1. Re:I doubt they are chaotic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      n-body orbits can easily be chaotic, without friction and relativistic speeds. They still conserve momentum and energy. Getting rotation to be chaotic is not necessarily as simple of a setup, but still can happen with n-body systems too.

    2. Re:I doubt they are chaotic by PlusFiveTroll · · Score: 2

      http://www.dynamics.unam.edu/B...

      Evolution of attractors in quasiperiodically forced systems, From quasiperiodic to strange nonchaotic to chaotic.

    3. Re:I doubt they are chaotic by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      You're getting into semantics there. You could probably build a supercomputer cluster to dedicate to simulating the motion and predict the positions. That you have to makes it worth putting a handle on to talk about that kind of system - 'chaotic' is commonly used; that doesn't mean the motions are impossible to ever know due to quantum uncertainty.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    4. Re:I doubt they are chaotic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're getting into semantics there.

      Getting the definition of something wrong when it has a clear cut definition isn't really "getting into semantics."

      You could probably build a supercomputer cluster to dedicate to simulating the motion and predict the positions.

      A supercomputer won't help you, you can simulate it just fine on a desktop. Chaotic systems can be simple enough you can do the simulations with pencil and paper sometimes. Chaotic doesn't mean difficult to predict because the math is hard, it means that the math is deterministic but sensitive to the starting conditions, such that errors in your initial measurements will mean your predictions will diverge at some future point. Extending the predictions out in time requires exponentially more accurate measurements of initial conditions, not more difficult calculations (assuming you're modeling the whole system already).

      that doesn't mean the motions are impossible to ever know due to quantum uncertainty.

      Chaotic systems exist just fine without things like uncertainty at the quantum level, and in fact half the point is it is based on completely deterministic systems.

  18. Chaotic rotation by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

    Can we please get a medium.com tag so I can filter out this garbage. I don't want to read any "science" blog from an "author" who doesn't even know what chaotic means.

    The use of the word "chaotic" is accurate here.

    The inaccurate word used in the summary (not the article) was "orbit". It is the rotation that is chaotic, not the orbit.

    Nevertheless, the science is pretty interesting. Sorry you don't want to hear about it.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    1. Re:Chaotic rotation by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      The use of the word "chaotic" is accurate here.

      Disagree you can't cycle through anything in a chaotic fashion. It either cycles and therefore is non-chaotic, or it's chaotic and therefore does not cycle. It's like saying that Neptune's orbit around the sun is chaotic because it doesn't follow a perfect path due to gravitational effects of Jupiter. It can still be accurately modelled and thus isn't chaotic.

    2. Re:Chaotic rotation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's like saying that Neptune's orbit around the sun is chaotic because it doesn't follow a perfect path due to gravitational effects of Jupiter

      No, its chaotic because you can make a change in the starting conditions, no matter how small, like moving one of the planets by an inch, and then in the far future the modeled results (which are quite accurate for given starting conditions) will change dramatically. This is because of the influence of other planets, as n-body orbits are almost always chaotic, but is also much more specific and mathematically defined than what is quoted above. Chaotic systems involved accurate modeling, but difficulty because the measurement of initial conditions is impossible to get exact, requiring exponentially more accuracy for a linear change in prediction time required.

  19. And so... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Pluto continues to thumb its nose at the astronomers! Ever since poor Pluto was "demoted" from full-planet status, we have been finding out that there's a lot more to Pluto than we thought.
    Consider the number of moons held by the planets: Jupiter - 63, Saturn - 62, Uranus - 27, Neptune - 13, and PLUTO - 5! Mercury and Venus have no moons, Mars has 2, and poor Earth has just one. (http://www.windows2universe.org/our_solar_system/moons_table.html). And so Pluto remains, about 3.5 billion miles (on average) from the sun, quietly chuckling to itself...

    1. Re:And so... by Unknown74 · · Score: 1

      I like this guy! Go Pluto!

    2. Re:And so... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Pluto continues to thumb its nose at the astronomers!

      Except it isn't. The labeling Pluto as a dwarf planet is not making any sort of value judgement, or indicating it should be less interesting to study, or that research about Pluto is less fruitful. There was no expectation that Pluto would suddenly fade from interest with the new label.

      No, instead research about Pluto continues on as before, and astronomy literature has a slightly more precise term to use making things sometimes more concise. It is no different than a plant being placed in a different genus, while at the same time someone found a medically useful compound in the same species...

  20. Still Crying? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's 2015. Are you still crying about a decision made in 2006?

  21. Ah, the anonymous jerk. hello there. by Unknown74 · · Score: 1

    Ah, the anonymous jerk. hello there.

  22. Yes one did by Mike+Van+Pelt · · Score: 1

    G. David Nordley, "A Calendar of Chaos", Analog, December 1991

  23. Re:Chaotic - yes. "orbit" NO! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Did nobody RTFA?

    I clicked on in, but when I saw it was medium.com, I closed the window.