Slashdot Mirror


New Manufacturing Technique Halves Cost of Lithium-Ion Batteries

An anonymous reader writes: Experts in materials science at MIT have developed a new process for creating lithium-ion batteries that will drop the associated production costs by half. The researchers say fundamental battery construction techniques have been refined over the past two decades, but not re-thought. "The new battery design is a hybrid between flow batteries and conventional solid ones: In this version, while the electrode material does not flow, it is composed of a similar semisolid, colloidal suspension of particles. Chiang and Carter refer to this as a 'semisolid battery.' This approach greatly simplifies manufacturing, and also makes batteries that are flexible and resistant to damage, says Chiang. ... Instead of the standard method of applying liquid coatings to a roll of backing material, and then having to wait for that material to dry before it can move to the next manufacturing step, the new process keeps the electrode material in a liquid state and requires no drying stage at all. Using fewer, thicker electrodes, the system reduces the conventional battery architecture's number of distinct layers, as well as the amount of nonfunctional material in the structure, by 80 percent."

214 comments

  1. Ahm Mo Call by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I'm going to call Bullshit on the price claims.

    Reality... Experts at MIT have developed an idea that looks very promising as a source for funding dollars.

    1. Re:Ahm Mo Call by shaitand · · Score: 4, Informative

      They DID spin off a company and start filing patents.

      "The process has received eight patents and has 75 additional patents under review; 24M has raised $50 million in financing from venture capital firms and a U.S. Department of Energy grant."

    2. Re:Ahm Mo Call by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      Exactly. If it was this great, they would have already spun off a company

      Wow...couldn't even be bothered to read the FIRST SENTENCE of the TFA before spouting off, could you:

      "An advanced manufacturing approach for lithium-ion batteries, developed by researchers at MIT and at a spinoff company called 24M"

      and start filing patents, as MIT usually does.

      and about 3/4 of the way through the article:

      "The process has received eight patents and has 75 additional patents under review"

      Next "breakthrough" please.

      Why, so you can make some more "insightful" comments based on what you didn't even bother to read about them?

    3. Re:Ahm Mo Call by plcurechax · · Score: 0

      I'm going to call Bullshit on the price claims.

      Reality... Experts at MIT have developed an idea that looks very promising as a source for funding dollars.

      Exactly. I mean why the hell would we expect "[e]xperts in materials science at MIT" to be able to accurately calculate the manufacturing and production costs (and thus savings) for a novel battery technology? They are experts in material science, not process engineering or manufacturing.

      I also don't assume they can find major cost savings in the US government's budget, cure cancer, or find Amelia Earhart.

      That said, I do look forward to seeing if their idea does pan out for lower costing lithium batteries.

    4. Re:Ahm Mo Call by WindBourne · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Yeah, if this was somebody else, I would agree with you.
      BUT, this is Dr. chiang who has been fairly accurate with all that he publishes.
      As such, I would be willing to guess that he is a lot closer to 100 than others.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    5. Re:Ahm Mo Call by NotInHere · · Score: 1

      What I wonder: why are the patent numbers so great these days? I mean I understand it for software, where you basically put a patent marker on every for loop of your program, just because USPTO doesn't care, or can't care because patent number is so high, and you make sure applications are highly obfuscated. But why are "real life" hardware patents so numerous? Do they micro-patent everything too?

    6. Re:Ahm Mo Call by ArcadeMan · · Score: 1

      Don't worry about Amelia Earhart, she's going to be found. It's just going to take some time.

    7. Re:Ahm Mo Call by Moof123 · · Score: 4, Informative

      The explanation I got for why a single idea presented inside a company ended up with a dozen patents was they wanted a "picket fence" of patents for all conceivable variations of the idea that would allow a competitor to get most of the benefits without technically violating the actual patent. Because most of the filed patents are brainstormed ideas for every contingency, they can get fairly absurd and stupid looking.

    8. Re:Ahm Mo Call by Anubis+IV · · Score: 5, Informative

      At least do a little digging if you're going to call BS. From the article:

      The company has so far made about 10,000 batteries on its prototype assembly lines, most of which are undergoing testing by three industrial partners

      So, this isn't some "in 5-10 years" battery technology we'll never see. This is stuff that has already been coming off the assembly line by the thousands, meaning that they've been able to accurately gauge the actual costs involved in manufacturing. Moreover, their pedigree is pretty good. One of the co-founders for this company was a co-founder over at A123, which many of us already recognize as another player in this space. This isn't their first time getting up and running with battery manufacturing.

      Which is to say, these are people with a proven track record of research and manufacturing experience in this field, they already have an assembly line up and running, and they've already placed around 10,000 of their products in the field for testing. You're welcome to call BS, but I'm inclined to disagree.

    9. Re:Ahm Mo Call by Anubis+IV · · Score: 4, Interesting

      [...] why the hell would we expect "[e]xperts in materials science at MIT" to be able to accurately calculate the manufacturing and production costs (and thus savings) for a novel battery technology?

      Because, this isn't their first rodeo. When they weren't busy being experts in materials science at MIT, they were busy founding A123. A123 remains a successful company, but they sold it off, continued doing research at MIT, and now have something new that they'd like to make, so they're ramping up a new company to do it.

    10. Re:Ahm Mo Call by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Ahm Mo Call (Score:3, Insightful)
      by Anonymous Coward on 06-25-15 9:38 (#49986351)
      I'm going to call Bullshit on the price claims.

      You're an anonymous coward, you don't get to use the word "I'm" and you don't get to be taken seriously when you say "bullshit".

      If you want to give us a reason to give a shit what "you" think, then log in and tell us who you are. Otherwise, what makes you different from all the other anti-Musk trolls?

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    11. Re:Ahm Mo Call by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "it is composed of a similar semisolid, colloidal suspension of particles."

      OK, it's not a LiIon.... but it sounds no different to a LiPolymer (LiPo), which I can get a 3000mah battery for $10.

    12. Re:Ahm Mo Call by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're as dumb as the grandparent AC. There is not, and never can be, any kind of relationship between the quality of a post and whether or not a cute little nickname appears at the top of it.

      Also, what makes you think he's "anti-Musk"? He didn't mention Elon Musk at all.

    13. Re:Ahm Mo Call by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      There is not, and never can be, any kind of relationship between the quality of a post and whether or not a cute little nickname appears at the top of it.

      That's not what I said, and I am unsurprised to see another pathetic anonymous coward fail to comprehend relatively simple English.

      Also, what makes you think he's "anti-Musk"? He didn't mention Elon Musk at all.

      Because that's typically what you find when you scratch the paint off of one of these dipshits who claim that EVs aren't viable even though people are already driving them around in a perfectly viable manner.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    14. Re:Ahm Mo Call by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If it was this great, they would have already spun off a company and start filing patents

      In the future, before posting your shrewd insights you might first check to see if they're chock full o' ignorance.

    15. Re:Ahm Mo Call by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Heh, you must be new here...

    16. Re:Ahm Mo Call by BronsCon · · Score: 1

      Welcome to Slashdot, where you're lucky if commenters read the summary, let alone the article, before posting. Honestly, sometimes I'm amazed I can tell they read the headline.

      --
      APK quotes people (including myself) without context and should not be trusted. Just thought you should know.
    17. Re:Ahm Mo Call by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OP AC here. Where the hell did I mention Elon Musk, electric vehicles or anything else.

      Ahm callin bullshit on the headline statement that the cost of these batteries will be halved.

      Please try to exercise some reading comprehension, you schizophrenic fuck.

    18. Re:Ahm Mo Call by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      OP AC here.

      Prove it.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    19. Re:Ahm Mo Call by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's not what I said,

      That is what you said, you filthy subhuman liar. You said that his post somehow magically forfeits any ability to be taken seriously (and even more moronically, the right to personal pronouns), SPECIFICALLY because it was made anonymously. You didn't even cite any actual flaw in his reasoning or grasp of the facts - it was JUST his anonymity that you went off on.

      Because that's typically what you find when you scratch the paint off of one of these dipshits who claim that EVs aren't viable even though people are already driving them around in a perfectly viable manner.

      That's not what the OP said, and I am unsurprised to see another pathetic coward fail to comprehend relatively simple English.

      He said nothing whatsoever about EV's. You made up that position as a strawman in order to retroactively justify your reflexive defense of someone who wasn't being attacked and wouldn't need you to stick up for him even if he was.

      The OP vomited up a mass of stupid bullshit because he couldn't be bothered to think before posting. You did exactly the same thing, and now you're going to do it again, because you're too stupid to learn from your mistakes even when they've been carefully explained to you.

    20. Re:Ahm Mo Call by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      You fail reading comprehension. Manufacturing costs are generally broken down into several categories, such as materials, production, and overhead. Cutting production costs in half will not cut the total cost of the batteries in half.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    21. Re:Ahm Mo Call by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      " I mean why the hell would we expect "[e]xperts in materials science at MIT" to be able to accurately calculate the manufacturing and production costs (and thus savings) for a novel battery technology? They are experts in material science, not process engineering or manufacturing."

      perhaps you need to actually RTFA, I'll save you the pain of a mouse click

      "We’ve reinvented the process,” says Yet-Ming Chiang, the Kyocera Professor of Ceramics at MIT and a co-founder of 24M (and previously a co-founder of battery company A123). The existing process for manufacturing lithium-ion batteries, he says, has hardly changed in the two decades since the technology was invented, and is inefficient, with more steps and components than are really needed. The new process is based on a concept developed five years ago by Chiang and colleagues including W. Craig Carter, the POSCO Professor of Materials Science and Engineering. In this so-called “flow battery,” the electrodes are suspensions of tiny particles carried by a liquid and pumped through various compartments of the battery. The new battery design is a hybrid between flow batteries and conventional solid ones: In this version, while the electrode material does not flow, it is composed of a similar semisolid, colloidal suspension of particles. Chiang and Carter refer to this as a “semisolid battery.”

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    22. Re:Ahm Mo Call by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      A patent doesn't have to be for something really significant. A minor mechanical improvement is patentable, for example. Make a complicated new machine and there's going to be a lot of little innovations.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  2. And the retail will see it go up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's how it works.

  3. The future is coming. by riverat1 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    If this pans out it probably means the end to the claims that solar PV and wind power can't affordably supply us with all of our electricity needs. It also makes electric cars all that much more affordable. Elon Musk may need to redesign his battery factory.

    1. Re:The future is coming. by shaitand · · Score: 1

      "It also makes electric cars all that much more affordable."

      Hopefully, because currently they aren't even in the ballpark of affordable.

    2. Re:The future is coming. by riverat1 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah, it's like I paid $1000 for my first hard drive and it only held 100 MB so today's 2 TB drives for $100 are impossible.

    3. Re:The future is coming. by riverat1 · · Score: 0

      You don't think a Nissan Leaf for $30K is affordable? Maybe not for everyone but it is for a lot of people.

    4. Re:The future is coming. by Nethemas+the+Great · · Score: 3, Interesting

      That does bring up an interesting question. I wonder just how flexible Elon's new factory, or others for that matter, are with regards to adopting process improvements such as this when they arise.

      --
      Two of my imaginary friends reproduced once ... with negative results.
    5. Re:The future is coming. by bondsbw · · Score: 4, Informative

      You seem to be under the impression that lowering consumer costs and increasing profits are mutually exclusive.

      The reality is that advances in technology tend to do a little of both. Profits increase for a little while as an incentive to utilize the new technology. But competition eventually forces the prices lower until they stabilize, meaning lower costs.

      If you don't see lower costs, it's probably because either the market has decided to utilize the tech to make products better rather than cheaper, or because there is no real competition in the market.

      --
      All my liberal friends think I'm a conservative, all my conservative friends think I'm a liberal.
    6. Re:The future is coming. by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You don't think a Nissan Leaf for $30K is affordable? Maybe not for everyone but it is for a lot of people.

      No, it isn't... You can buy a similar sized gas car for half the price...

      You can buy a MUCH nicer car for the same price...

      The Leaf is really, really expensive for the size and utility of what it is...

    7. Re:The future is coming. by beanpoppa · · Score: 1

      Really? BMW i3 is $40k which, while certainly higher than the median new car price of $33k, is still 'within the ballpark'. I'm seeing them more frequently in my middle-class town. If you want to go below the median, you can get the Nissan Leaf for $30k. The VW e-Golf is $33k, and the Ford Focus Electric is $29k. Of course you CAN go high-end with the Tesla for $70k, but that's the exception, not the rule. And these prices are all before any tax credits.

    8. Re:The future is coming. by nine-times · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The summary highlights price, but also says, "Using fewer, thicker electrodes, the system reduces the conventional battery architecture's number of distinct layers, as well as the amount of nonfunctional material in the structure, by 80 percent." So I'm left wondering, does this also have a substantial improvement in terms of size/weight of the batteries?

      Because from what I remember reading, a big part of the difficulty in engineering electric cars is that batteries are big and heavy. When you add enough batteries to power the car, you've also added a bunch of weight, which means that you now need to add even more batteries to compensate for the energy needed to move the weight of all the batteries you've added.

    9. Re:The future is coming. by WindBourne · · Score: 0

      LOL. What a moron. A leaf cost 30K, but, the price of ownership is far less than an ICE car. As such, the real costs is comparable to a 22-25K car.
      That is affordable.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    10. Re:The future is coming. by shaitand · · Score: 1

      All the cost of the vehicle lives in the batteries and those will work about as well as 5yr old laptop batteries in 5yrs. No I don't think losing $30k outright in 5yrs is affordable for most people.

    11. Re:The future is coming. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Nothing ever fucking lowers cost to the consumer.

      Right, which is why we all paid $100 million for the computers we use to post on Slashdot.

      Moron.

    12. Re:The future is coming. by Firethorn · · Score: 3, Informative

      You're failing to factor in total cost of ownership.

      Let's say that the alternative is a 30mpg car. I'm being a little mean and not using 40mph because I'm figuring that the buyer is a city driver.

      National average mileage is 15k miles, but I'll use 12k. I'll also be 'crazy' and say the buyer is not doing their own oil changes or other maintenance beyond keeping the windshield washer fluid topped off, that he can charge for free at work, and that both cars will last 10 years.

      This means that the Leaf will cost roughly $3k/year, and the 'similar gas car' is $1.5k.

      $3/gallon gasoline: 400 gallons a year avoided, $1200/year avoided there.
      4 oil changes/year: ~$200
      Other avoided maintenance: roughly $100-200/year. Includes things like: antifreeze, brakes, belts, etc...

      Oh, and a leaf is going to be more luxurious than a $15k car, even new.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    13. Re:The future is coming. by shaitand · · Score: 1

      Are you including the cost of battery replacement?

    14. Re:The future is coming. by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      It's true you can buy a similar sized gas car for far less than the Leaf but then the ongoing cost of ownership is much less so it probably works out to a similar lifetime cost for the two.

    15. Re:The future is coming. by Firethorn · · Score: 4, Informative

      Because from what I remember reading, a big part of the difficulty in engineering electric cars is that batteries are big and heavy.

      This was what I'd call a 'critical deal-breaker' in the days of Lead-Acid, critical for NiMH, but while still an issue with LiIon, it's nowhere near as 'unmanageable'. This is how Tesla can manage to build a car that can travel over 300 miles(with some hypermile driving, but still close to 300 even without) completely unrecharged.

      Lead Acid: .14 MJ/kg source wiki
      NiMH: .36 MJ/kg
      LiIon: .46 MJ/kg

      Wikipedia lists LiIon as 'expensive', but the price has been dropping significantly every year for years. So what happens if both this and Musk's battery factory work out and car sized LiIon batteries are now 25% of the cost they were, say, 5 years ago?

      Way back in the lead-acid days I said 'there's nothing wrong with electric cars that a battery that stores twice as much power for half the cost wouldn't fix'.

      Well, LiIon fixes the 'twice the power' part over lead-acid. It's just as bulky(generally) as lead-acid, but it weighs a feather compared to a lead-acid battery of the same volume, and space can be dealt with when you're designing a car to use the battery from the ground up. For example, Tesla's battery is basically a sled that screws into the bottom of the car.

      But back then it cost over twice as much as lead acid. Today we're finally reaching that 'magic' point.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    16. Re:The future is coming. by ArcadeMan · · Score: 1

      My computer cost me a few trillion dollars you insensitive clod!

    17. Re:The future is coming. by jimbolauski · · Score: 2

      There currently is no where near enough manufacturing capacity to build enough solar panels, wind mills, or batteries to supply the world with its electricity needs in the next two decades. Running purely on renewables is not a realistic option. Even if manufacturing was magically ramped up it still wouldn't be possible unless the materials used changes there will not be enough rare earth minerals to support that many solar panels, wind farms, or batteries.

      --
      Knowledge = Power
      P= W/t
      t=Money
      Money = Work/Knowledge so the less you know the more you make
    18. Re:The future is coming. by shaitand · · Score: 0

      And in 5yrs when the battery won't hold enough charge to get down the block? These aren't actually viable until replacement batteries are affordable.

    19. Re:The future is coming. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      leaf lease is $199/month, it's the kind of car you really don't want to own forever since something better and probably cheaper will be available when the lease ends.

    20. Re:The future is coming. by ArcadeMan · · Score: 1

      You're failing to factor in total cost of ownership.

      And you're failing to factor in the actual sticker price and monthly payments in addition to the monthly costs of each car.

    21. Re:The future is coming. by nine-times · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but I guess my question is, if it reduces the "nonfunctional material in the structure" by 80%, I'm assuming that's by volume, and that means the battery would take up 20% of its current size to achieve the same results. I'd assume (perhaps wrongly) that would mean thinner smartphones and laptops and whatnot. If you look at Apple's new Macbook (the one with the USB-C connector), the electronics take up very little space, and the device is mostly battery.

      I would also guess that the 80% reduction in volume would also make a substantial reduction in weight, which means lighter smartphones, laptops, and electric cars. Or as an alternative, it would mean you could have a device/car with a similar weight and volume, while holding a much longer charge. Correct?

      Any of those things seem like a huge deal.

    22. Re:The future is coming. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Even with all of your maintenance savings you're looking at 10 years to make the price equal. That leaf's battery won't survive that long with that kind of use.

      And you're assuming electricity is free and that electric cars have no maintenance: Which isn't correct. They have exactly the same suspension, tire and brake maintenance. I spent $1600 doing maintenance on my old car a couple years ago and none of it was engine related (stupid power steering - that I can't live without).

    23. Re:The future is coming. by Moof123 · · Score: 1

      Are you including the cost of a transmission replacement, or a new engine?

      The 2011 and 2012's do have inferior batteries and deserve to be called out as lemons, but everything since is in-line to hold up for > 10 years and easily 150k miles.

    24. Re:The future is coming. by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      You expect a laptop to retain 70-80% of it's capacity after 5 years? To still have ~70% after 10 years? You also think that the battery isn't replaceable in a worst case scenario(~$5k with the return of the old battery)?

      News: Laptop and cell phone batteries are drive hard compared to a electric car's battery. The leaf has some issues over the Tesla, because a Tesla uses liquid cooling in it's battery.

      For example, the most 'wear' that a LiIon gets is when it's charged from 90% to 100%. EVs 'generally' redefine 100% to actually be 90% of battery capacity in order to protect the battery. This increases it's lifespan significantly.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    25. Re:The future is coming. by flashsag · · Score: 1

      If you don't see lower costs, it's probably because either the market has decided to utilize the tech to make products better rather than cheaper, or because there is no real competition in the market.

      There is never real competition in any market because it's a theoretical abstraction that's impossible to achieve in reality. For a free market to function, consumers need to have immediate access to all information necessary to make an informed product choice, the price and availability of all competing products, and the prices of all products must include ALL costs associated with that product. These conditions are never true in reality.

    26. Re:The future is coming. by drinkypoo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      And in 5yrs when the battery won't hold enough charge to get down the block?

      We've already seen daily-driven Prii last longer than 10 years on a battery pack. Meanwhile, even if the battery pack on the i3 did only last 5 years (10 is more likely) the pack prices will drop significantly in five years.

      As well, even at current prices, even if they only last five years, you'll break even if you do any significant amount of driving. And if you're the kind of person who also complains about range anxiety, then presumably you would be using those miles up, right?

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    27. Re:The future is coming. by shaitand · · Score: 1

      "but everything since is in-line to hold up for > 10 years and easily 150k miles."

      I'd expect that to work out about as well as well as the exact same battery technology does in your laptop or cell phone. Think halving capacity every 2-3yrs.

      "Are you including the cost of a transmission replacement, or a new engine?"

      10yrs down the line on a second or even third owner sure and combined they aren't as much as the battery pack in an EV which will run about 70% of the new sticker price. We are talking about vehicles that will require a repair that costs 70% of their original sticker price in 5yrs just for parts.

    28. Re:The future is coming. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      How much of the battery do you think was non-functional material before? I'd guess 20% so reducing that by 80% gives 4% nonfunctioning now. So the functioning part goes from 80% up to 96% which is nice but not as huge as you seem to be thinking.

    29. Re:The future is coming. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      "Affordable" does not mean "nothing cheaper or better exists anywhere".

      A $30K car is affordable, period.

    30. Re:The future is coming. by swb · · Score: 1

      I wonder if that's a case of misleading by proportion.

      It reduces the nonfunctional material in the battery by 80%, but what portion of the battery is nonfunctional material?

      If a 100kg battery has 5kg nonfunctional material, losing 80% of it is nice, but you're only losing 4% of the total mass. The same kind of thing goes for volume. If the battery is 1000cc and the nonfunctional material is 50cc, losing 80% is great but its a much smaller part of the entire volume.

      I'd guess that this is why the bigger claims are from process improvement. If it meaningfully shrunk mass and volume, they'd probably wave that flag, too.

    31. Re:The future is coming. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem with higher range is that the cost of battery is linearly proportional to the range but the total mileage delivered does not scale. E.g. you have a 85 kwh battery with 300 mile range and you drive 12000 miles a year and battery needs replacement after 8 years. In this case, you are getting 1100 miles per kwh of battery. Now take 28 kwh battery with 100 mile range and you drive 10000 miles a year and change after 8 years. You get 2700 miles per kwh. So the smaller batteries are more efficient (but more inconvenient). For luxury cars like Tesla S, the optimal point may be 300 miles, but for cheaper cars like Nissan leaf, the optimal point is around 100 miles (at least based on today's prices). If $100/kwh can be realized, then electric vehicles with 150 miles range will be cheaper to operate at 12000/yr usage (currently, even Nissan leaf at 85 miles range is actually more expensive to operate than gas based vehicles once you take into account the price premium for the car at the beginning and add the cost of battery replacement in future. also it will be hard to drive 12000 miles with a car with range limited to 85 miles per charge).

    32. Re:The future is coming. by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      At 5%, the difference in 'cost of capital' is only $750 for the first year, and declines after that.

      Meanwhile, you have to worry that gasoline won't stay around $3/gallon. It will probably head back up to $4/gallon.

      I also didn't figure on any subsidies either.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    33. Re:The future is coming. by AndyMoney · · Score: 3, Informative

      All of this info can be read over at the battery university website. It's actually a very interesting site if you are into battery technology.

      Why laptop battery life has very little relation to life of an EV battery:::
      1) Laptop batteries have no active cooling. The battery will disable itself right before it gets hot enough to blow up. As a battery goes over 100 degrees F, it's life span starts to plummit.
      2) Laptop batteries have warranties that last only a few months (instead of 10 years), so are over-driven/abused in order to inflate the laptop's run time. Draining the battery below 40% and charging above 90% can cut battery life by more than 50% (Depending on how often and how much this is done). If the laptop battery dies in a year due to the abuse, oh well. We can just buy a new one for $50.

      Why an EV battery will last 2-3 times longer than a laptop battery:::
      1) Many states require a 10 year warranty on the EV battery. If the capacity drops below a threshold (I think 70%), it is considered faulty and replaced for free. Manufacturers thus engineer the battery management system to baby the EV battery.
      2) An EV battery is designed to work in frigid cold and extreme heat without killing itself. They are engineered to be very robust and will be actively cooled if they get warm.

    34. Re:The future is coming. by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Brake maintenance is reduced (but not totally eliminated) for electric cars that use regenerative braking.

    35. Re:The future is coming. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      well, the guarantee is something like 60% remaining in 5 yrs and I doubt they want to cut that line close - more for faulty stuff. The early models lost charge faster, but the battery wasn't managed as well for heat/cold (like a laptop - mine gets crazy hot). The newer models are nicer -- my 2014 is almost 2 years old now but hasn't lost a bar and hasn't cost me anything in maintenance yet.

      I doubt it will compare, I'm sure it will be more expensive for most of the leaf's life compared to a cheap gas, but we really dont' know what things are going to look like at the 10/15/20 year mark. I've heard the early prius lost charge but is still well above expectations. I'll be interested if the leaf and all other electrics hold to the 'lower maintenance' for repairs (not just oil changes, belts, other fluids, but transmission cracks, etc)

    36. Re:The future is coming. by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      It's true you can buy a similar sized gas car for far less than the Leaf but then the ongoing cost of ownership is much less so it probably works out to a similar lifetime cost for the two.

      It does work out about the same, depending on how far you're willing to tilt your head to make it look the same.

      Are there use cases where a Leaf makes sense? Sure. Are they as common as EV fans would have you believe? No.

      If it makes sense to you, go ahead and get one. There are two of them in my neighborhood, so someone likes them.

      Doing the math, they make no sense for me, and based on the sales numbers, for few other people as well.

    37. Re:The future is coming. by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but I guess my question is, if it reduces the "nonfunctional material in the structure" by 80%, I'm assuming that's by volume, and that means the battery would take up 20% of its current size to achieve the same results.

      Be careful about assuming. There's a reason I mentioned volume separately from weight, and both are valid measurements for this scenario.

      The only way the battery would end up being 20% of it's 'current size', whether that's weight or volume, is if it consisted 100% of non-functional material, which we know isn't true. 'Non-functional material' in this case is probably a little vague, but would consist of things like strength members, anode/cathode material that never acts as anode/cathode, electrolyte that, for whatever reason, doesn't do it's job, etc...

      If you instead figure that the non-functional material is only 10% of the battery, reducing IT by 80% means that your batter wouldn't be 20% of the previous size, but 92%. A substantial savings, but not 'crazy' by any means.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    38. Re:The future is coming. by recharged95 · · Score: 1

      "Musk may need to redesign his battery factory." ....

      "undergoing testing by three industrial partners"

      uh, he could be one of the 3 considering how forward thinking he is-- redesign not needed...

    39. Re:The future is coming. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Affordable" does not mean "nothing cheaper or better exists anywhere".

      A $30K car is affordable, period.

      So you can afford to pay 30K by check / wire / or cash? I buy *my* cars for check and cash.
      Or do you mean that the 6+ years of payments are affordable?

    40. Re:The future is coming. by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      battery replacement at 150-200K miles? In 10 years? It will be very cheap.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    41. Re:The future is coming. by gstoddart · · Score: 1

      Are you including the cost of a transmission replacement, or a new engine?

      Hmmm ... don't pretty much 100% of all electric cars need their batteries replaced after a few years?

      I suspect the number of modern cars which need a new transmission or a new engine is really small.

      Your chance of needing to replace a transmission or engine is nothing at all the same as your need to change the batteries in your electric car.

      You're not comparing the same thing. Not even close.

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    42. Re:The future is coming. by nine-times · · Score: 2

      Ah, thanks. I misread the quote somehow. For some reason, I thought it was saying it removed 80% of the material by removing nonfunctional material, rather than what it clearly says, which is that, of the nonfunctional material, it removed 80%.

    43. Re:The future is coming. by schlachter · · Score: 1

      AFFORDABLE is not the same as GOOD VALUE, and the latter is somewhat subjective.

      It is AFFORDABLE for hundreds of millions of people across the world.

      Is it GOOD VALUE?

      Yes. It's $22,500 after rebates. And no way can you buy a similar car for half the cost. Possibly 2/3 the cost. But that's a stretch. And for that...you give up a lot...

      Silent propulsion. No filling up. No maintenance (no oil, no transmission, no engine etc). Excellent acceleration. Smooth drive.

      Plus it's got options that MANY $30K cars do not have, let along $20K cars.

      --
      My God can beat up your God. Just kidding...don't take offense. I know there's no God.
    44. Re:The future is coming. by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      If there is demand it will drive an increase in supply. Rare earth minerals are not really all that rare, just not as well concentrated as some more common minerals. I don't see any of your cavils as show stoppers.

    45. Re:The future is coming. by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Yes. It's $22,500 after rebates.

      If anything other than a tiny, tiny number of people buy that car, those rebates would vanish rather quickly.

      The government could increase the rebates to $20k and then your argument would be that the car is a "steal" for only $10k, but how long would that last?

      Plus it's got options that MANY $30K cars do not have, let along $20K cars.

      Like what? You might try shopping some new cars, you might be shocked what is standard these days.

    46. Re:The future is coming. by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Don't you think developments like in the story means replacement batteries become cheaper over time?

    47. Re:The future is coming. by pr0fessor · · Score: 1

      A lot of people will buy a car on a 3-5 year loan /w some kind of warranty and trade it in as soon as they pay it off before it starts to go to hell. This works out great after you make it past the initial investment of the first car.

    48. Re:The future is coming. by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Hmmm ... don't pretty much 100% of all electric cars need their batteries replaced after a few years?

      \

      Define 'few years'. The number of vehicles needing engine work after a decade is quite high. The Leaf's battery isn't rated to last as long or as well as a Tesla's, and it should still retain around 70% of it's capacity after a decade.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    49. Re:The future is coming. by zieroh · · Score: 1

      There is never real competition in any market because it's a theoretical abstraction that's impossible to achieve in reality. For a free market to function, consumers need to have immediate access to all information necessary to make an informed product choice, the price and availability of all competing products, and the prices of all products must include ALL costs associated with that product. These conditions are never true in reality.

      That's pretty much completely false, and it all comes down to your (mis)use of the word "all". Having access to ALL information is great, but it's not a black-or-white situation. Having access to SOME or even ANY information about competing products still gives the consumer a proportional benefit, which in turn increases competition among suppliers.

      This is really not hard to figure out, nor rare or exceptional. This kind of competition happens every single day in (almost) every corner of the world. I'm baffled by why you think "ALL" is the gating element to competition.

      --
      People who say "sheeple" have about as much sophistication as an AOL user, and in fact are probably actually AOL users.
    50. Re:The future is coming. by zieroh · · Score: 1

      If anything other than a tiny, tiny number of people buy that car, those rebates would vanish rather quickly.

      The government could increase the rebates to $20k and then your argument would be that the car is a "steal" for only $10k, but how long would that last?

      They're quite popular where I live. I could probably walk out to the parking lot where I work and count 20 or 30 just in the corner of the large corporation where I work. And I happen to know that they are the most popular electric car on campus, with the Tesla Model S coming in second.

      --
      People who say "sheeple" have about as much sophistication as an AOL user, and in fact are probably actually AOL users.
    51. Re:The future is coming. by zieroh · · Score: 1

      Not actually "all". A lot, yes. But it's very far from "all".

      --
      People who say "sheeple" have about as much sophistication as an AOL user, and in fact are probably actually AOL users.
    52. Re:The future is coming. by zieroh · · Score: 1

      There currently is no where near enough manufacturing capacity to build enough solar panels, wind mills, or batteries to supply the world with its electricity needs in the next two decades. Running purely on renewables is not a realistic option. Even if manufacturing was magically ramped up it still wouldn't be possible unless the materials used changes there will not be enough rare earth minerals to support that many solar panels, wind farms, or batteries.

      This statement makes your sig line that much funnier. You must make a fortune.

      --
      People who say "sheeple" have about as much sophistication as an AOL user, and in fact are probably actually AOL users.
    53. Re:The future is coming. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      They're quite popular where I live

      Here too. I see Teslas and Leafs and Chevy Sparks and Volts all over the place. Plus, I have to hear my wife say, "there's a Tesla, gee they're cute, let's get one" about 20 times every time we go for a drive. Personally, I think it's because she's of Serbian extraction and they have Nicolas Tesla on their money over there. She also has an irrational hatred of Thomas Edison, but I digress.

      Cheaper lithium ion batteries is a good thing for a lot of reasons. It means I'm that much closer to taking my house off the grid entirely and giving the Big Fungoo to Commonwealth Edison.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    54. Re:The future is coming. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      The Chevy Spark is $18,495.

      http://www.chevrolet.com/spark...

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    55. Re:The future is coming. by John.Banister · · Score: 1

      Sure, but when do we get 36V lithium batteries to replace the 12V lead batteries in the IC cars? Why do only EV's get the benefits of lighter weight, higher voltage batteries?

    56. Re:The future is coming. by PuckSR · · Score: 1

      Well, just to blow your final assumption out of the water.
      Pretty much every single person has agreed that the Leaf is a "piece of shit" car from a luxury perspective. That "$15k new car" is probably going to be just as nice as the leaf. You might want to use the Chevy Volt, which people generally like.

    57. Re:The future is coming. by shaitand · · Score: 1

      "A lot of people will buy a car on a 3-5 year loan /w some kind of warranty and trade it in as soon as they pay it off before it starts to go to hell."

      Except batteries aren't like motors. They don't suddenly go to hell 5yrs down the line, they gradually lose capacity. So when you go to trade in that car 5 years down the line and the easily measurable battery capacity is only 20% the trade in value is going to be pretty minimal.

    58. Re:The future is coming. by holmstar · · Score: 1

      It sounds like this particular technology doesn't really change the manufacturing process other than to remove drying time. So it can probably be implemented with little difficulty.

    59. Re:The future is coming. by PuckSR · · Score: 1

      To be clear, Lithium based batteries have decay issues not present in other technologies. The "driving hard" and charging behavior of lithium isn't as deleterious as service life.

    60. Re:The future is coming. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ? leaf sales are growing faster than any other nissan vehicle, and nissan is, I beleive the fastest growing auto company outside of suburu, kia, and hyundai

    61. Re:The future is coming. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      my 2005 ipod 30gb with shitty old battery technology still lasts ~8hr, whats that 70%? then even includes stored, discharged for over 2 years. lol better move to a new reason to complain about a new thing. It's so fun watching you idiots get steamrolled, time and time again by the inevitable march of progress.

    62. Re:The future is coming. by PeterM+from+Berkeley · · Score: 1

      What about the cost of money? If you borrow at 5%, you're going to be dumping $750 extra per year (or more) in interest on the extra $15k you spend on the Leaf. Also, you need to factor in the battery cost and lifetime.

      My friend had a SUV hybrid and the battery dropped dead on him, cost him something like $5k for a new one. (Just after warranty it did this.)

      --PM

    63. Re:The future is coming. by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      Yes, Priuses (Priora?) have this annoying problems with rusting brake pads. Because they're used so rarely.

    64. Re:The future is coming. by Firethorn · · Score: 2

      I'd say more that Lithium batteries are different than other chemistries, than 'have decay issues not present'.

      Each chemistry has it's upsides and downsides. One can as easily say that LiIon batteries can be 'overcharged' at a cost in service life, and most small devices use this, shortening the life of their batteries substantially.

      Decay issues can be different.
      LiIon - doesn't like being 'fully' charged.
      Lead-Acid - doesn't like being fully discharged
      NiMH - doesn't like being charged quickly
      etc...

      All batteries degrade some with time and use. The amount varies by chemistry, but also construction. LiIon has had great leaps in limiting degradation over time, and batteries in EVs tend to be the ones most resistant to degradation, even at the cost of some capacity, compared to small mobile devices.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    65. Re:The future is coming. by frnic · · Score: 2

      Your statement is true, there is no where near enough capacity to manufacture what is required. But, you post makes it seem like you leave it at that. Meaning, no point trying to replace the existing infrastructure, because it is a big expensive long term project...

      I prefer to say that if it is profitable, corporations will make it happen. (Notice I left out caveats like safe, works as advertised, etc) And the more profitable it appears, the faster they will make it happen.

      We will see where things like this go.

    66. Re:The future is coming. by losfromla · · Score: 1

      I have a very rational hatred of Thomas Edison, why is your wife's hatred of him irrational unlike mine?

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    67. Re:The future is coming. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're one of those people who thought that you'd have to replace a hybrid's battery pack every 3 years, aren't you. And you haven't bothered to educate yourself on the technology since then.

      Guess what? The battery packs there are lasting *longer* than initially anticipated. The 5-year level of electric battery packs are expected to be in the 80% range, not the 20% range of your baseless claim.

    68. Re:The future is coming. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      $1000 for 100MB? Young whippersnapper.

      I paid $700 for a 10MB 'MacBottom' drive for my Mac Plus.

      They don't make 'em like they used to.

    69. Re:The future is coming. by Solandri · · Score: 1

      You're aware the Tesla S weighs as much as a SUV? 4647 lbs, vs 3655-4028 lbs for a Jeep Cherokee, 4432-4882 lbs for a Ford Explorer, 3358-3624 lbs for a Honda CR-V. The Tesla's high weight is primarily due to the 1200 lb battery pack - a full tank of fuel in these vehicles only weighs about 100 lbs by comparison.

      Any weight they can shave off the battery pack will result in noticeable improvements in range, handling, and longevity (due to reduced wear and tear on the suspension).

      The bigger deal IMHO is going to be in boats and ships. Unlike cars which can change gears based on their speed, boats are effectively stuck with a fixed prop pitch regardless of the speed they travel at. Consequently, a prop which is efficient at high speed is not very efficient at low speed, and vice versa even if you design/gear the engine to operate efficiently at both those speeds. An electric motor for pushing the boat at lower speeds combined with using the gas/diesel motor at high speeds is a good solution, but the weight of even Li-ion batteries has been a huge impediment. Any fuel you save at lower speeds is lost by the additional fuel burn caused by the extra weight at high speed. Lighter batteries could be a game changer for marine applications.

    70. Re:The future is coming. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      I have a very rational hatred of Thomas Edison, why is your wife's hatred of him irrational unlike mine?

      Because my wife's hatred of Edison is based on the notion that he stole all his ideas from Tesla. My hatred of Edison is completely rational though, because that bastard electrocuted an elephant.

      On the other hand, Tesla caused the Tunguska catastrophe, so he's got some baggage, too.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    71. Re:The future is coming. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or do you mean that the 6+ years of payments are affordable?

      At 2% interest, yeah.

    72. Re:The future is coming. by viperidaenz · · Score: 1

      Brakes can also do more work in an EV, because they weigh more.

    73. Re:The future is coming. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      numbers are fun

      Now, try the fact that I only drive 3000 miles a year so i'd save $900 on gas and spend $750 on interest, not to mention the car payment I don't have at all at the moment :O

    74. Re:The future is coming. by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      You're aware the Tesla S weighs as much as a SUV?

      Yes, and I'm not sure why you'd think I didn't. What my mentioning that weight is "still an issue with LiIon". Heck, the 'weighs a feather' is in comparison with lead-acid. A similar energy amount of lead-acid batteries wouldn't weigh 1200 pounds - it'd weigh 4,000.

      Any weight they can shave off the battery pack will result in noticeable improvements in range, handling, and longevity (due to reduced wear and tear on the suspension).

      My point was that it's a manageable issue. We have suspensions that can survive in tractor-trailers for significant periods of time. For that matter, the Tesla weighs about much as it's competitiors - cars like BMWs(4190). Hell, they chopped weight off the BMW since I last checked - a couple years ago it was actually heavier than the Tesla. Plus, the battery weight is about ideally located, in comparison with the weight location for an internal combustion engine.

      Yes, lighter would be better. You'd also see improvements, probably more so, if they could chop a few hundred pounds off of the frame and upholstery of the car.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    75. Re:The future is coming. by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Pretty much every single person has agreed that the Leaf is a "piece of shit" car from a luxury perspective.

      Given that this is uncited, my final assumption remains 'unblown' because you failed to load any real charge into your argument.

      Just to prevent goal-post moving, keep in mind that I'm not saying the leaf is a 'luxury' vehicle, just that it's more 'luxurious' than a $15k car. So for any citations, please make sure they're not doing something like comparing a leaf with a BMW or a Tesla. Nope, more something like a Honda Fit.

      I don't use the Chevy Volt because it's a hybrid, not a pure EV.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    76. Re:The future is coming. by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      What about the cost of money? If you borrow at 5%, you're going to be dumping $750 extra per year (or more) in interest on the extra $15k you spend on the Leaf.

      Only the first year, as I said. Remember, cars are depreciating assets. The money you save not buying gasoline or doing IC specific maintenance will also displace that amount.

      And with Cost of Capital, even if you pay in full it's still 'costing' you money, because otherwise the $15k could be in investments earning money.

      The break-even(if any) ends up being very individualistic, dependent upon the specifics of the buyer.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    77. Re:The future is coming. by viperidaenz · · Score: 1

      Prices won't drop for models no longer being sold as new, unless someone starts making aftermarket batteries.
      If anything, the cost will increase over time. It's a good incentive to buy a new car.

    78. Re:The future is coming. by viperidaenz · · Score: 1

      You should/b store your lithium batteries partially charged to make them last longer.
      Time, state of charge and temperature are the factors that determine how long a lithium battery lasts.
      An increase in any will shorten the life, including storing them fully charged.

      40% is around the sweet-spot for storing. Too low and you risk self-discharge killing the battery. Too high and you increase the wear rate.

    79. Re:The future is coming. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tesla caused the Tunguska catastrophe

      Somebody played Assassin's Creed and mistook it for a history book...

    80. Re:The future is coming. by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      LOL, I just pulled those numbers out of my butt. I think my first drive was actually a 20 MB drive but at 63 years old my memory is not as good as it used to be ;)

    81. Re:The future is coming. by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Only if you drive like a maniac and have to hit the brakes so hard the regenerative braking never has a chance to work.

    82. Re:The future is coming. by viperidaenz · · Score: 1

      Also more wear on tires

    83. Re:The future is coming. by ChrisMaple · · Score: 2

      The demand for perfect information is standard leftist claptrap, designed to entice weak minds into accepting increasing amounts of hatred and opposition to freedom. There is no attempt at honesty there, it's simply "How call I fool you into giving me more power?"

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    84. Re:The future is coming. by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Higher voltage batteries in IC cars have been under consideration for more than 25 years. It's advantageous because of the reduced weight of wiring. There are a few disadvantages. Higher voltages increase the possibility of electrocution. All existing ancillary electrical parts are currently 12 V, so changing to a new voltage means filling inventory in auto shops and dealers with an entirely new stock of electrics incompatible with the old stuff. Apparently, nobody wants to go first.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    85. Re:The future is coming. by John.Banister · · Score: 1

      I wonder if there's trouble further up the supply chain. It seems to me that shops and dealers already have a lot of inventory that is incompatible between models. For DC voltage, I wouldn't think 36V or even 54V would pose much of an electrocution hazard except maybe to someone with a pacemaker. It might make bigger sparks. I could see miniature circuit breakers instead of automotive fuses. Higher voltage also means less susceptibility to problems caused by the oxide layer that develops on mating surfaces at connection points.

    86. Re:The future is coming. by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      They're quite popular where I live. I could probably walk out to the parking lot where I work and count 20 or 30 just in the corner of the large corporation where I work. And I happen to know that they are the most popular electric car on campus, with the Tesla Model S coming in second.

      That is nice, but that is an anecdote, not data...

      The fact that they are popular there and not here means nothing.

      What does matter is that the total EV sales is a rounding error. There is a reason it is a rounding error, and even the $7,500 tax credit isn't enough to change that.

    87. Re:The future is coming. by willworkforbeer · · Score: 1

      Some of us get by with building data storage from a record player and a Jackson 5 album on 33 1/3 you insensitive clod!

      --
      Pretending this is my office full of bitter coworkers..
    88. Re:The future is coming. by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      If you don't see lower costs, it's probably because either the market has decided to utilize the tech to make products better rather than cheaper, or because there is no real competition in the market.

      Yeah, about that...

      The process has received eight patents and has 75 additional patents under review...

      Guaranteed no competition for 20 years. More, if they successfully game the system with submarine patents. (And you can bet some of those 75 will turn out to be submarines.)

      But rejoice! The patent system has spurred innovation! A manufacturing technique created with research paid for largely by taxes will now proceed to charge the public all the traffic will bear! For a generation! Maybe two! It's fantastic! And efficient! And more superlatives!

      Yeah, it's nice that there's a new battery technology. You and I will never own one.

      They are initially aiming at the power company market, thus huge batteries with huge price tags.

      Theirs. Not yours. Not already rich? Shut up and pay your bills.

    89. Re:The future is coming. by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      the problem with that is you probably paid over the odds anyway because its a Mac

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    90. Re:The future is coming. by Jack+Griffin · · Score: 1

      Fuck no!
      Corolla (or similar) has more power, more range, same features, for half the price. And it doesn't look like an absolute turkey (seriously have you one of these things in the metal?)
      I'll happily pay for a Tesla over a similarly priced E class Merc or 5 series BMW, because they are similar (I prefer the Tesla personally). But the value proposition of an overpriced underpowered fugly jap hatchback is just not there.

    91. Re:The future is coming. by Jack+Griffin · · Score: 1

      This means that the Leaf will cost roughly $3k/year, and the 'similar gas car' is $1.5k.

      So twice the price then? Plus you missed resale which is the biggest factor in TCO. The market for second hand small city cars is strong, the market for second hand EVs is near zero.

      Oh, and a leaf is going to be more luxurious than a $15k car, even new.

      I can only assume you've never seen one in real life. they are horrid. Comparing like for like, the Leaf cost the same as a similarly sized VW Golf Gti. No sane human anywhere would choose the Leaf in that comparison.

    92. Re:The future is coming. by hackertourist · · Score: 1

      The battery pack for a Prius is carefully managed to stay in a charge state that allows for the largest possible number of recharge cycles (IIRC it stays between 50 and 80% charge). An electric-only vehicle doesn't have that option at the moment.

    93. Re:The future is coming. by samwichse · · Score: 1

      I've got the original brake pads on my 2000 Honda Insight with 225k miles on it... and the regen braking is much weaker on that one that the Leaf's.

      Sam

    94. Re:The future is coming. by schlachter · · Score: 1

      If by tiny you mean 150,000+ because that's how many Leafs have been sold in 4 years on the market, and the numbers go up each year. Prices will come down and rebates will go away in a few short years.

      It's got heated steering wheel, heated front and REAR seats.
      XM radio. USB input. iphone controls. bluetooth.
      HEAT PUMP based heat/air
      rear view camera.
      remote control via cell phone
      Faster than most 6 cylinder sedans (off the line)
      leather
      nav, touch screen, around view (4 cameras) bose stereo

      --
      My God can beat up your God. Just kidding...don't take offense. I know there's no God.
    95. Re:The future is coming. by pr0fessor · · Score: 1

      Well that would be covered under the extended warranty and you want to make sure you get that and anything else it will cover fixed before you trade it in. Also the goal is trade in every three years although probably not for your first new car that one will be five years but you want to get better value on the trade in it doesn't even have to be a different car just new.

      This is kind of a regular thing after you make it past the buy in it's cheaper than a lease.

    96. Re:The future is coming. by Muad'Dave · · Score: 1

      It's advantageous because of the reduced weight of wiring.

      The real advantage comes from using electrically-driven valves in IC engines. You can eliminate the camshaft, camshaft bearings and associated holes that penetrate the head, the lifters, rockers, timing gears/chain/belt, etc, and more importantly have infinite variable-valve timing, which is a holy grail of efficiency.

      You can also have a much smaller starter motor, as well as smaller alternator (higher voltage but smaller windings due to lower current for the same power output). If you're very clever, you could combine the two into a motor around the perimeter of the flywheel.

      In addition, electrically-driven AC starts looking do-able, as well as electrically-driven power steering pumps (already exist - my Mini has it) and water pumps (with this you can eliminate the thermostat - just vary the speed of the pump).

      Will all that you could end up with a completely beltless engine with no crank pulley on the front of the motor - the only holes would be for spark plugs and either fuel/air (non direct-injection) or air + direct injection in the heads and the power output shaft out the rear of the block.

      --
      Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
    97. Re: The future is coming. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My first was 5mb. DEC Rainbow PC. Why would i ever need more? Ran a DBase database off it. Faster than a bat out of hell.

    98. Re:The future is coming. by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      It is impossible to have a theoretically perfect free market. It is entirely possible to have a reasonably free market that seeks something like an equilibrium over a few years, and those do in fact happen. In practice, people will go to a store and look at the laptops on display, and buy one that seems to have good price for the provided features and hypothesized quality. If one manufacturer lowers prices, people will notice, and other manufacturers will probably have to reduce their prices.

      One thing I've learned is that, when it looks like some social process really should be almost immediate, you've got to be patient.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    99. Re:The future is coming. by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I bought my computer in Zimbabwe, you insensitive clod, and it cost a lot more dollars than that!

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    100. Re:The future is coming. by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Do submarine patents work any more? There was some reform a while back, and I really don't know all the effects.

      Anyway, figure that the new company wants to make money (yeah, I know, no company wants to do that). They'll saturate the market for high-end high-cost stuff for power companies, and then they'll look at new markets and figure why bother. No, actually, they're going to figure "if we actually make this available for ordinary uses like stuff Areyoukiddingme uses, we'll get some of his money". Then they'll sell batteries to people who will put them in laptops, or likely license their technology so they get a small cut of every battery of their design sold, and watch the money roll in as we all buy better and/or cheaper laptop batteries.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    101. Re:The future is coming. by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Look, I have an irrational hatred of Nazis. I also have a rational hatred of Nazis. They aren't exclusive.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    102. Re:The future is coming. by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure about battery-powered ships. They often need to travel a long way, and don't like running out of juice halfway across the Atlantic. They're going to have to carry energy in a much more compact form, like fuel oil. If this is going to work, I'd expect some sort of generator feeding electric motors. The US experimented with that in the early 1920s, with battleships and the battlecruisers converted to aircraft carriers.. The power plants were economical of fuel, but weighed a lot, and the setup at the time turned out to be unduly vulnerable to battery damage.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    103. Re:The future is coming. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I like that idea: buying a Tesla to indulge an irrational hatred of Thomas Edison.

      I have a Tesla (Model S) and I love it, for many reasons. When people ask why I bought it, I usually talk their ears off listing things like simpler design (fewer things to go wrong), how it feels like it's the right way to deal with carbon emissions (and how internal combustion engines are not no matter how you tweak them), fun to drive (great acceleration), and so on. But I think going forward I'll start out my explanation by saying I'm indulging in my irrational hatred of Thomas Edison.

      And it case it's not clear, I found your comment about your wife to be humorous, and the above is just an attempt to indulge that humor further. Thanks for adding some light-heartedness to my Friday.

    104. Re:The future is coming. by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      If by tiny you mean 150,000+ because that's how many Leafs have been sold in 4 years on the market, and the numbers go up each year.

      Yep, that is tiny...

      In the US, all EV sales across all companies was 123,049 cars in 2014.

      Total light passenger vehicle sales in the US in 2014 was 16.5 million.

      So the percentage of EVs sold in the US was 0.7% in 2014.

      That is a rounding error, noise, nothing to get excited about.

      Oh sure, I imagine it will continue to rise, it might even be 1% this year, or perhaps next. In 5 years, it might even hit the staggering sum of 3% of total vehicle sales.

      It's got heated steering wheel, heated front and REAR seats.
      XM radio. USB input. iphone controls. bluetooth.
      HEAT PUMP based heat/air
      rear view camera.
      remote control via cell phone
      Faster than most 6 cylinder sedans (off the line)
      leather
      nav, touch screen, around view (4 cameras) bose stereo

      Those features can all be had in lower priced cars. Heated seats is no longer "special", neither is a heated steering wheel. Those features are tossed in (since they don't actually cost much) to try and justify the crazy price it costs.

      For $30k, you can buy a Ford Fusion with AIR-CONDITIONED seats, much less heated seats, along with lane departure warning and a whole bunch of other stuff the Leaf doesn't have.

      For $20k, you can buy a Ford Focus with heated seats, camera, leather, etc, and it doesn't come with the range anxiety feature the Leaf does.

    105. Re:The future is coming. by Blaskowicz · · Score: 1

      One oil change a year would be more realistic.

    106. Re:The future is coming. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But does the Leaf end everything it does with three periods...

      I'd be willing to bet that it doesn't...

      Unlike you...

    107. Re:The future is coming. by rch7 · · Score: 1

      You can buy golf cart for even less and they can legally drive on low speed streets where I live. But you can't pretend they are real cars, they are just that, a form of local transportation around the neighborhood for people who can't use bicycle. The same is with Leaf, you need to go over 100 miles some day and you have a headache. Will I be able to borrow my partner's car? No she just went to friends in other city. Maybe rental car is available? If you ever tried to live with rental cars you should know that they are not readily available during holidays, conventions, or just off-business hours. Just like that joke of charging network at Nissan dealers, closed off business hours. So far, the only semi-usable EV costs around $100k and there is nothing green or economically sensible in $100k cars.

    108. Re:The future is coming. by rch7 · · Score: 1

      When EVs are going actually succeed, gas will be heading to $2, not $4.

    109. Re:The future is coming. by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      I don't think so - it's going to take quite a long time for EVs to 'succeed', and there will still be a while before we hit 'peak' numbers of gasoline vehicles on the road.

      Mind you, the price should stabilize at that point, but I don't see it dropping all that much. It simply costs too much to extract at this point.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    110. Re:The future is coming. by rch7 · · Score: 1

      No, it doesn't cost too much to extract. It cost too much only for peak fields that provide surplus to oil markets. It is still few dollars a barrel for fields on the shore in Middle East. It may be a bit more than decades ago, but still many times less then $2/gallon. When demand drops and expensive fields will become irrelevant, the price will go down too unless somehow OPEC monopoly will get revived, which is not possible.
      $100/kWh batteries that can charge fast enough is exactly what can make EVs to succeed. ICEs become too expensive and inconvenient at that price point even with $2/gallon gas.

    111. Re: The future is coming. by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Who says the Saudi fields will still be around when EVs start actually reducing the demand for gasoline? For that matter, if the amount of gasoline goes down enough, you'll see cost increases as static costs have to be spread over fewer gallons.

      Honestly, what I figure will happen is that the cost of gasline will continue to fluxuate, but trend higher until technology and economy of scale reaches the point where EVs are the logical choice for 'most' people. As EVs spread(remember, average car lifespand is 15-20 years at this point), eventually the price of gasoline will stablize and trend downwards, but that will be well beyond 'significant' penetration by EVS, more like majority.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    112. Re:The future is coming. by Agripa · · Score: 1

      Moore's law like scaling does not apply to batteries.

      http://blogs.scientificamerica...

    113. Re:The future is coming. by jimbolauski · · Score: 1

      Ore for rare earth minerals is rare, while there may be an abundance of the minerals there is no money to be made in mining and refining them in most locations. Ore is only found when the cost to mine and refine is less then market value, significant increases in prices and/or significant increases in refining would need to be made for there to be enough ore.

      --
      Knowledge = Power
      P= W/t
      t=Money
      Money = Work/Knowledge so the less you know the more you make
    114. Re: The future is coming. by rch7 · · Score: 1

      Saudi proven oil reserves are estimated to be 268 billion barrels. Undiscovered reserves estimated 90 billion barrels. Daily production 9-12 million barrels. That means many decades of production, and Saudi is not the only country with wast reserves.

  4. useless header by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    So, they can make a battery using the same chemicals, but will it hold the same charge? Didn't see anything in the linked article about it. All it said is that it is cheaper to make, more durable, and works better in applications where space and weight (i.e. cars) are an issue.

    Apparently they made 10k of them already as prototypes, wouldn't there be a comparison some where?

    1. Re:useless header by shaitand · · Score: 1

      "but will it hold the same charge? ... works better in applications where space and weight (i.e. cars) are an issue."

      I think you've answered your own question. Working better where space and weight are an issue means greater power density.

    2. Re:useless header by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The reason I don't equate them, is that the car thing is their own line instead of a third party. It may be cheaper and have only 70% of the same energy density and car manufacturers would likely go for it to cut costs. Battery packs are still expensive, even if they aren't the 30k per they once were. These new types can likely be placed in more varied locations, being more flexible as well, making them better for cars, as long as they don't leak.

      I'm wondering about just flat out energy density. They use thicker parts to cut costs, while using a semi-solid component to make production quicker and adding flexibility. I'm thinking that the parts were the previous size for a reason (energy density).

    3. Re:useless header by bobbied · · Score: 2

      Read the article closer...

      This analysis demonstrates that while a flow-battery system is appropriate for battery chemistries with a low energy density (those that can only store a limited amount of energy for a given weight), for high-energy-density devices such as lithium-ion batteries, the extra complexity and components of a flow system would add unnecessary extra cost.

      The way I read this, it tells me that they will not be able to get high energy densities (small size/weight) without adding a LOT to the cost if you use "flow batteries". How they then claim that this will be helpful to automobile applications is somewhat of a mystery to me. For autos, space and energy density are very important, as is weight. Where there are apparently benefits to flow batteries, it doesn't seem to me that these benefits really work in a electric vehicle application if the delta in cost is as high as it seems.

      I don't know though, because elsewhere they start making grand claims that seem to contradict the above statement. So I'm wondering if we have a case of an article written by someone with a really bad understanding of the technology, who just strung together some pull quotes from their notebook and didn't realize that the context of the interview they are pulling from really means something totally different. My guess is that the reporter just asked some questions about EV applications because that's all they knew about, but the answers from the researcher, while positive, had provisos that the reporter didn't under stand or choose to ignore to make the story interesting.

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    4. Re:useless header by shaitand · · Score: 1

      I believe that was poorly stated on the articles part. That was their previous assessment, they then determined a change was required to the manufacturing process. They've now developed the new manufacturing process and produced 10k batteries in their test lab as a proof of concept.

    5. Re:useless header by Firethorn · · Score: 2

      If you read the OP, it mentions that the electrolyte doesn't flow in this battery, so it's not a flow type. What they DID do was take some knowledge from flow battery technology and use it to improve 'conventional' non-flow batteries by changing up how the electrolyte works.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
  5. Cluster? by moehoward · · Score: 1, Funny

    Hello,

    May I please have a Beowulf Cluster of these?

    Regards,
    Elon

    --
    "If you want to improve, be content to be thought foolish and stupid." - Epictetus
    1. Re:Cluster? by bobbied · · Score: 1

      So you going to wire them in parallel eh?

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
  6. Batteries are for Luddites. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Modern app appers know that the appiest apps are powered by apps, not Luddite batteries!

    Apps!

  7. This will NOT half the cost of batteries by adric22 · · Score: 1

    Even if this is true, it will not cut the cost of batteries in half. It only cuts the cost of manufacturing. The trouble is, most of the cost of batteries comes from the raw materials. So I wouldn't expect a huge drop in cost to the consumer.

    1. Re:This will NOT half the cost of batteries by Hadlock · · Score: 2

      Raw lithium is wildly abundant, supply greatly outstrips demand.

      --
      moox. for a new generation.
    2. Re:This will NOT half the cost of batteries by gstoddart · · Score: 1

      So I wouldn't expect a huge drop in cost to the consumer.

      No, instead you should expect a huge jump in executive bonuses.

      From what I've seen, all things which lower costs fail to lower consumer prices.

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    3. Re:This will NOT half the cost of batteries by Nethemas+the+Great · · Score: 1

      Do you have a source for that assertion? I was under the impression that raw materials for the lith-ion batteries was negligible.

      --
      Two of my imaginary friends reproduced once ... with negative results.
    4. Re:This will NOT half the cost of batteries by mr_mischief · · Score: 1

      Yeah, buddy. I'm still paying $10 per megabyte for my hard drives and $50 per megabyte for my RAM. My cell phone still cost $7000, and my long distance calling is still $0.25 per minute.

    5. Re:This will NOT half the cost of batteries by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Back in the 90's, we had to choose between getting a laptop with ni-mh, OR, paying an extra $300 for li-ion. Now, all laptops are with li-ion.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    6. Re:This will NOT half the cost of batteries by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Cost of materials in current lithium batteries is $160/kWh. Semi flow 24M lithium battery has new electrolyte which likely increases not decreases cost of materials.

    7. Re:This will NOT half the cost of batteries by ArcadeMan · · Score: 1

      ...and my long distance calling is still $0.25 per minute.

      You've never been to Canada...

    8. Re:This will NOT half the cost of batteries by Anubis+IV · · Score: 1

      From the article:

      By 2020, Chiang estimates that 24M will be able to produce batteries for less than $100 per kilowatt-hour of capacity.

      Mind you, Chiang is someone with previous battery manufacturing experience, having co-founded A123.

    9. Re:This will NOT half the cost of batteries by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you were likely using nicd's, not nimh

    10. Re:This will NOT half the cost of batteries by zieroh · · Score: 1

      you were likely using nicd's, not nimh

      There was actually a period of time where nimh batteries were the de-facto standard for laptops.

      --
      People who say "sheeple" have about as much sophistication as an AOL user, and in fact are probably actually AOL users.
    11. Re:This will NOT half the cost of batteries by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, that time would have been the early-to-mid '90s like the WindBourne said. Shame the AC didn't bother to think before he posted, huh?

      I *worked* at a CompUSA back in that timeframe. NiMH by default, with only the more expensive laptops coming with Li-Ion, or having Li-Ion packs as an option.
      It's about the same point in time when *desktop* LCD displays started to hit consumer-level price points. (800x600 15" DSTN display for just $600-800!)

    12. Re:This will NOT half the cost of batteries by mr_mischief · · Score: 1

      Well, if someone really wants to pay by the minute instead of $10 per month for unlimited to Canada and the US or $37 per month for unlimited calls to almost anywhere in the world it's either because they almost never call outbound long distance or they're not very bright.

      I wouldn't consider that plan to be the baseline cost. Most people are going to pick unlimited.

    13. Re:This will NOT half the cost of batteries by ArcadeMan · · Score: 1

      $10 per month*

      * Available to customers who continuously subscribe to three select services.

      So no, there's not really a "$10 per month" service from Bell. With Canadian telecom companies, there's always a catch.

    14. Re:This will NOT half the cost of batteries by mr_mischief · · Score: 1

      Obviously you're going to have to have a line connected already to have long distance service on it. Voicemail or caller ID are generally among those "select services" in the US. I would imagine if we spent all day digging through the fine print it's not that big a deal.

  8. Wrong headline.. by Dutchmaan · · Score: 3, Insightful

    "New Manufacturing Technique Doubles Profit of Lithium-Ion Batteries"

    There, now it feels right.

    1. Re:Wrong headline.. by Nethemas+the+Great · · Score: 2

      I appreciate cynicism as much as the next person but in this case given present demand, Elon Musk, as well as China's willingness to undercut others that's actually highly unlikely. Within the next few years I think it very likely that we'll see a considerable expansion of manufacturing capacity for batteries.

      Elon is managing to change the climate within the auto industry by a sufficient degree that EVs are going to enter the mainstream in the west. China's polution problems mean it has no other choice but to adopt EVs. If the establishment doesn't supply them, then they'll make them themselves--which they're already doing.

      --
      Two of my imaginary friends reproduced once ... with negative results.
    2. Re:Wrong headline.. by zieroh · · Score: 1

      Elon is managing to change the climate within the auto industry by a sufficient degree that EVs are going to enter the mainstream in the west. China's pollution problems mean it has no other choice but to adopt EVs.

      I see what you did there.

      --
      People who say "sheeple" have about as much sophistication as an AOL user, and in fact are probably actually AOL users.
  9. Spin off company has $50 million in financing by hamjudo · · Score: 4, Informative

    Also from TFA, they have made 10,000 samples on their production line. They are initially aiming at the power company market, thus huge batteries with huge price tags. They are targeting $100 per kilowatt hour by 2020. One of the co-founders also co-founded A123. So there is some experience at bringing batteries to market.

    Lots of companies fail for reasons besides their technology. I won't be surprised if this one fails too. On the other hand, it is more real than most such slashdot stories.

  10. this looks interesting by WindBourne · · Score: 2

    Most of the announcements by Eastern/South East Asian Academicians, either in east/south east Asia, or in the states, are normally just total BS.
    However, Dr. Chiang is the exact opposite. When he speaks, it is always straight forward R&D that he has done. Basically, this is something will make a big difference in batteries.

    Now, I wonder, what kind of impact this will have on Tesla and the gigafactory?

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:this looks interesting by PRMan · · Score: 1

      If Elon Musk is smart, he will either:

      1. License Dr. Chiang's patent

      2. Create a similar method that escapes the patent

      --
      Peter predicted that you would "deliberately forget" creation 2000 years ago...
    2. Re:this looks interesting by rogoshen1 · · Score: 1

      I cannot imagine the Japanese doing that. Did you really just mean "China", but didn't want to put too fine a point on it? :)

      (North Korean scientific claims, such as the recent ebola/aids/whatever cure are so obviously silly that they don't merit serious consideration)

    3. Re:this looks interesting by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Actually, South Korea, Vietnam, etc all have similar issues with this.
      BUT, you are right. Japan does NOT belong in this category.

      And yes, China is by far, the worst.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  11. LiFePO prices now competitive by Anna+Merikin · · Score: 1

    My cycle needed a new battery. Major brand lead-acid replacements were ~$120, off brands less. But I found a lithium-iron with three times the cranking capacity and the same case size for $140. It also carried a three-year replacement guarantee, instead of a lead-acid's typical 6-month one, as cycles' vibration and lack of winter use kill L-As in a year, typically, And, a great benefit to cycles, it weighed ten pounds less, making a reduction in the total weight of the bike by ~2 per cent.

    So far (two weeks) I have no complaints.

    1. Re:LiFePO prices now competitive by swb · · Score: 1

      Where did you buy it?

      Also, I assume the battery has some kind of charge controller integrated into it so that it was a direct replacement for a regular lead acid battery.

    2. Re:LiFePO prices now competitive by Anna+Merikin · · Score: 1

      I bought it here. http://www.batterystuff.com/ba... I live very near Grants Pass, so I picked it up. The pickup price was $139. The internet price with "free" shipping is ten dollars higher.

      It may have a charge controller. I talked to the folks there at length about charging. The bottom line is more than 14Volts and less than 15.0000!! with high amperage. Up to 60 amps was mentioned. Charging time is said to be about six minutes with the right charger. I was told for this battery size, a 6-amp charger for a car is OK as long as it does not exceed 14.9999 volts.

      The battery is made in ROC. The importer/distributor is an individual who lives in Grants Pass, OR.

      Caveat emptor.

    3. Re:LiFePO prices now competitive by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      It says right on the ad you linked that they recommend the use of a ctek lithium charger. This means that your stock alternator setup and/or your normal car battery charger are likely going to decrease the lifespan of that battery by applying improper charging voltage. It also says on the ad that the cells are "internally balanced"... what, it's made of matched cells? how 1980s R/C car of them. But that's not the best way to charge Li-Ion batteries. The best way is with a "balance charger" which tracks individual cells. It's rare that cells age the same way over time.

      You can get a proper charger on ebay for R/C car use for fifteen to thirty bucks. A fifteen dollar charger will charge 6S, and charge at up to 5A. I should think that a car battery would be 4S, for a 14.4V nominal charge voltage. That's why a battery without a charge controller can work at all without vehicle modifications; your alternator is meant to put out 1-2V above battery voltage up to a maximum of about 14.4 volts.

      I charge my R/C car pack with a $15 IMAX B6. It's a DC-DC charger, but for about $20 you can usually find them with an AC power supply. There's also a version with AC power built in now, which costs a little more. This would charge your battery about as quickly as whatever you're using to charge your battery now, and it would do a better job, too. It also has a lead-acid mode so you can use it to charge car batteries and whatnot. I have normal beat-em-up car chargers for that, though, including one with an 80A engine start mode. Got that one at a flea market...

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re:LiFePO prices now competitive by Anna+Merikin · · Score: 1

      It says right on the ad you linked that they recommend the use of a ctek lithium charger

      Their "tech" said otherwise. I'm sure they would like to sell you a charger that costs more than the battery it charges!

      You're right about alternators' voltage regulation, but only partially so. My motorcycle -- not car -- puts out 14.4 V max at ~2500 engine rpm and is rated to produce 50 amps. 50 amps would be too much current for a lead-acid, so we'll see how this battery fares in service.

      LiFePO4 batteries are not useful for cars or trucks (or snow machines, for that matter) because they do not work for crap when temperatures fall below 0 C. Cold makes their voltage drop below useful and may permanently damage them, especially over time, according their tech.

      Since I never ride my bike when it's that cold, I'll take the battery indoors to keep it toasty till spring. That's the plan, anyway.

    5. Re:LiFePO prices now competitive by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Their "tech" said otherwise. I'm sure they would like to sell you a charger that costs more than the battery it charges!

      What I'm specifically worried about is overvolting the battery while it's actulally charging. Flooded batteries are a lot more tolerant of a half-volt (between friends?) than are LiPos. Still, LiFePos should be better in that regard. Ideally, your voltage regulator would keep the charging voltage closer to the current battery voltage than it would for a "traditional" battery, and monitor charging current to determine the actual charging voltage. That's all the fancy chargers are doing.

      Anyway, I don't think you need an expensive charger, that's why I was hawking the $15 eBay option. Those are perfectly good for charging at the kind of rates we're talking about, and they charge pretty much anything. I've even loaded up an 8xAA holder and used it to re-charge Alkalines. I put them in an appropriate place in case they exploded, but I managed to get a couple extra charges out of some AAs that way before I lost my nerve and stopped recharging them. I have a whole fleet of eneloops now, anyway.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    6. Re:LiFePO prices now competitive by Anna+Merikin · · Score: 1

      Uh, I forgot to thank you for the information; I found it very useful.

      Thank you!

    7. Re:LiFePO prices now competitive by Anna+Merikin · · Score: 1

      I checked the alternator output with a known-accurate digital VOM. 14.42 V max with a fully-charged LiFePO4 at 13.2 V.

      We'll see. For the price, if it will get me through this season, it was worth it, considering the weight saving.

    8. Re:LiFePO prices now competitive by OutOnARock · · Score: 1

      care to share the brand of the li-ion motorcycle battery please?

    9. Re:LiFePO prices now competitive by Anna+Merikin · · Score: 1

      Scorpion.

    10. Re:LiFePO prices now competitive by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Is that 14.42 volts with the battery in the circuit? If so, the battery may be acting as a shunt regulator. (I don't want to seem challenging, I'm genuinely curious.)

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    11. Re:LiFePO prices now competitive by Anna+Merikin · · Score: 1

      That was 14.42 V with a failed Pb battery (internal short in one cell, apparently).

      I dunno how this voltage regulator works, it being controlled (I think) by the bike's Motronic CPU (ECU). I just went out and started the bike and got a 13.81 V reading above 2500 engine rpm, with the new LiFePO4 battery installed, which, I believe, is insufficient to charge it. This was with a cold alternator (less than a minute after starting up) in a vehicle I know not to charge well until the electronics are warm.

      I plan to do some more testing tomorrow morning, especially on the rest voltage (13.2 V with ignition, fuel pump and headlight working).

      Meanwhile, I bought an IMax charger for it just in case....

  12. Not entirely true by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    24M doesn't just lower manufacturing costs. Headlines make it sound like manufacturing costs will decrease but reliability and longevity stay the same which is not the case. They call this new batter semi solid flow cells for a reason. This battery is more for home and utility use than cars because it cannot sustain large temperature swings car batteries have to endure.

  13. What? No way by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    Uh, no. The real costs is the high temps that are needed. Lithium itself is relatively cheap and relatively little is used. For example, most li-ion batteries are only about 1/20 lithium. So, in the nissan leaf, it only uses 9 lbs of lithium. At current price of 300/lb, that is only $2700 of lithium. So, why does their batteries costs 15,000? Because of the processing that is required. The costs of a li-ion battery is about 2/5 chemicals and 3/5 (or more) in processing costs.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:What? No way by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      Uh, no. The real costs is the high temps that are needed.

      I recently watched an interview with one of the founders of A123, and he explained that their lithium-ion chemistry doesn't require high temperatures. The only high-energy part of their manufacturing process comes during initial charging and testing.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  14. 1KWh for under $100? by BaronAaron · · Score: 1

    From the article:

    "By 2020, Chiang estimates that 24M will be able to produce batteries for less than $100 per kilowatt-hour of capacity"

    That's a pretty bold claim considering a 1KW lithium ion battery currently cost 10x that.

    1. Re:1KWh for under $100? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Can't be quite that bad. That'd put the battery on the tesla model s at like $60,000.

      The one powerwall is 10KWh for $3,500. So that's $350 per KWh.

    2. Re:1KWh for under $100? by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      That's a pretty bold claim considering a 1KW lithium ion battery currently cost 10x that.

      ***shrugs***

      Harddrive prices fell that fast. Or perhaps faster. In my lifetime, they increased in capacity by a factor of 100,000 or so, and the price per HDD fell by a factor of five or more (100000x the drive for 1/5th the money)....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    3. Re:1KWh for under $100? by radl33t · · Score: 1

      Tesla Powerwall will sell at $350 per kWh, which is right in the ballpark of where people have figured tesla and leaf batteries are being sold at...

    4. Re:1KWh for under $100? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think your math may be a bit off. What you're suggesting is that the Tesla Model S's 85kw battery would cost $85,000. $85,000 will buy you whole car including the 85kw battery. I think the battery only accounts for about half the cost of the car.

  15. Silly humans, it won't cut YOUR cost in half... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It won't cut CONSUMER cost in half, it'll just double profits.

  16. Should say: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Proposed new manufacturing technique could theoretically halve cost of lithium-ion batteries. Things always look better in academia than in practice.

  17. Gel Pack by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Due to a fold in space time, another Star Trek invention willun on has been invented.

  18. No, it should say exactly what it says. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They've already spun off a company that's producing the batteries RIGHT NOW. You'd know that if you had RTFA instead of rushing to show strangers on the Internet what a world-weary cynic you are (which, by the way, you're not).

  19. cost of lithium? by mbkennel · · Score: 2

    Where does cost of lithium end up $300 / lb, i.e. ~ $660 / kg ?

    I'm seeing prices of bulk lithium carbonate at $6000 per metric ton, i.e. about $6 per kg.

    Molecular weight of lithium carbonate is about 74, which has two lithiums in it at about 6.9 each, so total lithium is ~13.8 of the 74,
    so cost of elemental lithium ignoring reduction costs is ~ $32 per kg.

    Where do you get anything near $300 / lb?

    1. Re:cost of lithium? by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      I googled for 'costs of lithium'.
      You googled for 'price of lithium'. I think that yours is the real price for lithium, whereas mine is probably processed.
      Regardless, pretty damn cheap for lithium.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    2. Re:cost of lithium? by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Purity may be an issue. If batteries require high purity lithium, additional refining steps might be expensive.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
  20. Latest and Greatest by Rich0 · · Score: 1

    No doubt Apple will use this improvement in high-demand technology to justify a price hike.

    1. Re:Latest and Greatest by viperidaenz · · Score: 1

      They could benefit from flexible batteries.
      Their phones do bend.

  21. In 5..4..3..2..1. by viperidaenz · · Score: 1

    Elon Musk buys the patent so his new mega factory isn't obsolete before it's finished

    1. Re:In 5..4..3..2..1. by DirkDaring · · Score: 1

      Why? Elon has already said numerous times the factory is being built to accommodate change in battery technology.

    2. Re:In 5..4..3..2..1. by viperidaenz · · Score: 1

      because if they doesn't buy rights to the patented technology he can't use it

  22. How many cycles? by msevior · · Score: 1

    This could truly revolutionary but they left out some really important information. The most relevant is how many full-depletion cycle can it take?

    To see why lets assume the battery can supply 3000 full-depletion cycles (The A123 batteries did). Then our generic $100, 1 KWHr battery can deliver 3000 KWHr of electricity on demand.

    So that is $100.00/(3000 KWHr) = $0.03 / KWHr or 3 cents per KWHr

    That is way less than a gas-fired peaking power plant. So if these guys can pull off 3000 cycles at $100 per KWHr they'll create a 100 billion dollar per year market and won't be able to keep up with demand.

    1. Re:How many cycles? by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      That $0.03 / kWh needs to be added to the cost of the electricity used to charge the battery, and factored with the efficiency of the charge/discharge cycle.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
  23. -$7,500 tax credit. I like how you omitted that. by DirkDaring · · Score: 1

    If you qualify, which you will if you're even considering buying the car.

  24. 30K for 10MB washing-machine size drive 1977 by peter303 · · Score: 1

    It was attached to a PDP 11/70

    1. Re:30K for 10MB washing-machine size drive 1977 by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The IBM ones I worked with weren't just the size of a washing machine, they looked similar, and the disk platters themselves (about the size of a the cylinder/bin/whatever in a small washing machine) came out the top.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  25. No way! I don't believe it! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You gotta be Li-ion!

  26. Re:-$7,500 tax credit. I like how you omitted that by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

    That is just the government handing me back my own money, it isn't a savings.

    And as I have stated on many occasions, if EV sales ever grow to anything more than a rounding error, that credit will vanish.

    What is even worse, is that WITH that tax credit, EV sales are STILL less than 1% of vehicle sales in the US.

    People don't want EVs, not as they exist today. The sales figures don't lie.

  27. Oil changes by Firethorn · · Score: 1

    Yeah, extended oil change intervals are a thing, but by force of habit I still tend to figure on one every three months. Of course, I do mine every 5k miles, irregardless of time.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right