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Tesla Presses Its Case On Fuel Standards

An anonymous reader writes: Tesla is preparing their case to leave federal mileage and emissions regulations intact, or make them even more strict. In addition, the company is fighting other car makers from loosening more stringent regulations in California. The WSJ reports: "Tougher regulations could benefit Tesla, while challenging other auto makers that make bigger profits on higher-margin trucks and sport-utility vehicles. Tesla's vice president of development, Dairmuid O'Connell, plans to argue to auto executives and other industry experts attending a conference on the northern tip of Michigan that car companies can meet regulations as currently written. 'We are about to hear a lot of rhetoric that Americans don't want to buy electric vehicles,' Mr. O'Connell said in an interview ahead of a Tuesday presentation in Traverse City, Mich. 'From an empirical standpoint, the [regulations] are very weak, eminently achievable and the only thing missing is the will to put compelling products on the road.'"

291 comments

  1. Not surprising by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Every company likes regulations that limits competition or hurts competitors; while fighting any that impacts its profitability.

    --
    I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    1. Re:Not surprising by mc6809e · · Score: 5, Insightful

      And politicians enjoy the power to write regulation enabling law so as to extort campaign contributions from companies.

    2. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well you would also benefit if you bought the newer, more efficient cars.

      So what, exactly, is the problem here?

    3. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Actually, I don't benefit. Thanks to the EPA, car makers can't engineer diesels to run with significant reliability. If I go buy a diesel car, there is a good chance that the DPF may get plugged (which is a $3200 item), or many other issues.

      Even though the piss tank (DEF) is for the exhaust, there is always the chance of the EPA-mandated DRM on the ECM saying that it is empty and disabling the vehicle. Nothing like getting the "5 more starts allowed" warning when low on fuel in the middle of nowhere, especially nowhere near a repair depot, even with the pee can is full.

      Am I benefiting from the EPA's Draconian legislation? No. There are diminishing returns on high MPG, and any benefits I gain are lost due to the vehicle being in the repair shop.

      In general, has the US benefited from the EPA in the past 15 years? No. Too many regulations too fast. The entire steel industry was shut down due to the EPA and now there are more resources consumed because the steel that was once made here in the US now has to travel by ship, which has made pollution worldwide worse.

      Granted the EPA has done some good, but in the past 15 years, they have cost many Americans their jobs, while making vehicles less reliable, with the parts that break extremely expensive.

    4. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      In general, has the US benefited from the EPA in the past 15 years?

      Yes, far more so than it would from the pollution that would have otherwise probably not been addressed.

      Too many regulations too fast.

      Let's see some data.

      The entire steel industry was shut down due to the EPA and now there are more resources consumed because the steel that was once made here in the US now has to travel by ship, which has made pollution worldwide worse.

      Are you sure about this? Production of steel in the US was ~100 million tons in 2000, it's now ~85 million, but much of that drop can be attributed to the faltering economy, and the job losses? Technology, as productivity increased, while demand did not.

      That, and China feeding its own domestic markets, in order to cut down on that ship travel you dislike, but then exceeding its own domestic demand, so having excess to dispose of through export.

      Granted the EPA has done some good, but in the past 15 years, they have cost many Americans their jobs, while making vehicles less reliable, with the parts that break extremely expensive.

      If you want the EPA to require your car to be made reliable, I think that's a bit excessive, wouldn't there be some other means by which you can require that?

      Regulating the pollution levels is enough, that's something harder to detect, as the effects are far more separated from their causes.

    5. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well you would also benefit if you bought the newer, more efficient cars.

      So what, exactly, is the problem here?

      The total cost of ownership of a car involves many factors. Fuel efficiency is only one factor
      and other factors can outweigh fuel efficiency.

      Of course a proper analysis of the cost of car ownership requires actually thinking, and I
      realize that is probably too much to ask of someone who writes such absurdly simplistic
      comments as yours.

    6. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >So what, exactly, is the problem here?

      Conservatives. They're fight any improvement out of their resentment of civilized people. Since normal people oppose pollution and want a good world for their kids, the reactionary "conservatives" love pollution. Have you heard of "rolling coal?" Conservatives will destroy civilization and install a theocracy if we let them.

    7. Re:Not surprising by ksheff · · Score: 1

      Not to mention that Tesla sells "zero emissions" credits that it gets from the state of California to other auto manufacturers. The sale of those credits gets them another $30-40K per car that they sell.

      --
      the good ground has been paved over by suicidal maniacs
    8. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      is it the EPA or California's stupid diesel regulations?

    9. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most politicians actually believe their policies ideas and like to think they get the campaign contributions because they're awesome, and the fact that they and their contributors think so much alike is just proof that both of them are awesome.

      Quite a few genuinely believe that neither they nor the system are corrupt.

    10. Re:Not surprising by jpapon · · Score: 1

      Do you have a source for this? Because I just don't believe it. 30-40k credits? Which manufacturer could make money buying credits at that price? Ferrari?

      --
      -- Let us endeavor so to live that when we pass even the undertaker shall be sorry. -- M. Twain
    11. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      +1 most intensive use of TLAs

    12. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Liberals are supporting killing babies using planned parenthood. It's a bonus to them that it is usually minority babies.

      We now have more black babies being aborted than being born. This is because of liberal and democrat policies. Democrats hate and want to kill black children,

    13. Re:Not surprising by JackieBrown · · Score: 2, Informative

      I googled the sentence the poster above you wrote

      http://www.marketplace.org/top...

      http://money.cnn.com/2013/05/2...
      "In the first quarter, Tesla sold nearly $68 million of the zero-emission credits to other automakers. That represented 12% of its overall revenue. "

      So really, Telsa is not helping the climate - they are just outsourcing (selling) their percentage of climate damage to the competition. If they really cared, they would not sell or use these credits and actually help save the environment.

    14. Re:Not surprising by RingDev · · Score: 3, Informative

      Actually, I don't benefit. Thanks to the EPA, car makers can't engineer diesels to run with significant reliability.

      That's pure BS right there.

      I've got an '06 VW Golf TDi that has been running on ULSD since '08 with over 160,000 miles on it. I haven't had a single drive train failure on it.

      I've replaced the glow plugs (Wisconsin winters are brutal), the timing belt (at ~100k miles), and regular oil changes at 10k miles. And I still pull 44mpg highway.

      No vehicles have required DEF since 2008. It was a short term solution to meet EPA bin requirements in 2007/2008 while still running on low sulfur diesel fuel. Ultra low sulfur diesel, ULSD, does not require DEF to meet EPA requirements.

      The EPA hasn't cost any jobs. It increases costs insignificantly, but the quantity of jobs is entirely dependent on demand. The few bucks that EPA regs add to the price of a car do not meaningfully impact demand.

      -Rick

      --
      "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
    15. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Go try buying a 2015+ TDI and see if you can run it without a DPF and DEF.. legally.

      I have a 2013 TDI, it has DPF but no DEF.. the next generation TDI Golf lost its IRS rear axle and regressed in technology so they could stick an additional liquid tank in the back.

      Also my fuel pump has a tendency to explode and take the engine with it now, your TDI has no such problems.. I would argue your TDI engine thats nearly a decade old is superior to the latest and greatest TDI models.

    16. Re:Not surprising by sjames · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You will enjoy not dying early from pollution related illness even though you won't attribute that to the EPA regulations that actually extended your life and your health.

    17. Re:Not surprising by sjames · · Score: 1

      Sure. Their motive may be profit, but in this case, they are probably right. Fuel hasn't suddenly become more plentiful and pollution hasn't just vanished from the air, so why should the standards be relaxed?

    18. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Your 06 Golf TDI was the pinnacle of VW TDI Motors.. after your model year the EPA stepped in and each TDI motor after got progressively worse.. now they have a DPF that will never last as long as TDI drivers like to own cars, require additional emissions fluids, and the HPFP's now have a tendency to grenade.

      Hold on to your 06, its the most desirable VW TDI engine out there right now.. (BEW) Ive got one sitting in my garage, being retrofitted into a 1975 VW Bus.

    19. Re:Not surprising by sjames · · Score: 1

      That is exactly what was intended. The other auto makers are free to produce zero emission vehicles and sell credits too.

    20. Re:Not surprising by hey! · · Score: 1

      Indeed. But it's also true that change per se puts more stress on less innovative or agile companies, especially companies that have massive investments sunk into older technologies. No matter what rules you set it'll benefit some companies over others; rules that are very favorable to GMC would be unfavorable to Tesla and vice versa. They'll both argue that rules that benefit them the most are best for the country.

      I'll say this for Tesla's position, though: the notion that it's physically impossible to build fuel efficient cars that people will want to buy is balderdash.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    21. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You won't get anywhere throwing straw at straw.

    22. Re:Not surprising by lhowaf · · Score: 1

      I don't believe even a politician could be that stupid. The closer we get to elections season, the more the hot buttons get pressed. That isn't because they suddenly feel the need to defend the flag, mom and apple pie. It's because they need a cash infusion to get re-elected.

    23. Re:Not surprising by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 1

      Sure. Their motive may be profit, but in this case, they are probably right. Fuel hasn't suddenly become more plentiful and pollution hasn't just vanished from the air, so why should the standards be relaxed?

      I am not arguing the correctness of their position just pointing out the impact of regulatory capture. I would guess, if CA ended amazons credit, they would argue as forcefully for them as the argued for keeping existing fuel standards since it's to their benefit.

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    24. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      the DEF has nothing to do with Sulfur, it has to do with NOx reduction.
      All diesels over a certain size to meet these reductions will use DEF solution, the entire DEF system solution was designed by engineers, I've talked to them directly, you don't want what they designed. They had no interest in the end user when they designed the system. it was purely to make emission targets.
      there are so many ways for the system to fail, not to mention the cost of the components. I design diesel powered equipment, and the tier 4 hardware (the offroad equivalent of clean emission requirements) doubled the cost of the engine, Doubled. I'll repeat it again, Doubled. and it has a design life of 10 years.

    25. Re:Not surprising by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 1

      ]

      I'll say this for Tesla's position, though: the notion that it's physically impossible to build fuel efficient cars that people will want to buy is balderdash.

      The problem is not want to buy but can afford to buy. Tesla is at the high end of what I would consider the car pricing range if you leave out the super premium and exotics. As a result, many people who might preferentially buy one simply can't afford one.

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    26. Re:Not surprising by Copid · · Score: 2

      And if Microsoft actually "cared" about their customers, they'd give all of their profits away in free pizza and concert tickets. Businesses don't "care" about things. They do thte things that they have incentives to do. The right to sell pollution credits gives businesses an incentive to decrease pollution. That's it.

      --
      An interesting anagram of "BANACH TARSKI" is "BANACH TARSKI BANACH TARSKI"
    27. Re:Not surprising by RingDev · · Score: 1

      Go try buying a 2015+ TDI and see if you can run it without a DPF and DEF.. legally.

      Good catch, I hadn't seen that the 2015's now include AdBlue. It's a huge step up from the 2007 Diesels that required monthly fillups. At 10k miles at least I'd only have to worry about it with oil changes. Unfortunate, but not a massive impact.

      the next generation TDI Golf lost its IRS rear axle

      Unless you have one of the mythical Aussie 4 wheel drive Golf TDIs, there isn't a rear axel on the Golf. More correctly, there are two very short axels that so far as I can tell have not been impacted by the addition of DEF.

      It does look like they switched from the multilink independent suspension to a solid rear bar and torsion rods. I'm so-so on that. Performance tuning is out the window, but for a daily driver it should be fine, and maintenance is way cheaper.

      Not sure on your fuel pump issue or how that would take out the engine. I could see possibly taking out the injectors if you wind up with particulate crap getting rammed into them at 1500 psi. But how are you losing an engine to a fuel pump "explosion"?

      -Rick

      --
      "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
    28. Re:Not surprising by TemporalBeing · · Score: 1

      Well you would also benefit if you bought the newer, more efficient cars.

      So what, exactly, is the problem here?

      So here's the deal:

      • Catalytic Converter: Costs vehicles gas mileage for a minimal return on emissions
      • Ethanol #1: Costs all vehicles (new and old) gas mileage; the higher the mixture the worse the mileage - this is all simple fact because even the best ethanol does not contain as much energy as the worse petroleum products.
      • Ethanol #2: Actively damages older vehicles, and has lead to numerous leaks when it corrodes through the seals on gas tanks; it also damages boats and nearly all small motors; many small motors (used for lawn care) end up getting thrown out every couple years for no reason other than ethanol damage and it's usually cheaper to replace than fix - again, this is well known because all ethanol is highly corrosive.
      • Incandescent Light bulbs are being phased out in favor of CFLs since CFLs use less energy, though they cost more to buy (as do LED bulbs, which are more expensive yet). CFLs like their bigger fluorescent versions use mercury; so dropping and breaking a light bulb can now lead to mercury contamination at a greater scale. Despite this, EPA is focused on removing mercury from power plants which produce less mercury than breaking one of those CFL bulbs. And they've also made a great way to shutdown a store - go break all the CFLs so they have to call in a hazmat team to clean up the mercury contamination. (LEDs do solve this particular issue, but tend to cost 2-5x's more than CFLs which already were 10'x the cost of an incandescent.)

      The list goes on.

      Now I'm not saying that reducing emissions is not a good thing; or that reducing energy consumption is not a good thing - they are. However, when the cost of doing so ends up incurring an overall higher emissions rate, or more things to be toss out (thus increasing garbage and land-fills), etc...it's over impact is not worth the minor reduction in emissions.

      --
      Truth is like the sun. You can shut it out for a time, but it ain't goin' away. - Elvis Presley (source: imdb.com)
    29. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The WSJ article link says "Tesla reaped $216.3 million from selling credits in 2014" Tesla's production numbers seem to be a secret, but Green Car Reports said 20,000 annually in 2013. Sounds like $10,800 per car to me. (I suspect that other companies buying the credits can spread them out over a larger production run??)

    30. Re:Not surprising by randallman · · Score: 1

      "No vehicles have required DEF since 2008" Am I misunderstanding you? My 2015 Jeep Grand Cherokee Diesel requires DEF.

      I'm generally pleased with it as it has 410 ft-lbs of torque, but gets a real 31 mpg on the highway and 26 mpg combined (above EPA estimates and better than the V6). I did have a DEF system error come and go though, so I am concerned about the reliability of the DEF system.

    31. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I think the other anon coward is right about recent diesels all needing DEF. I've looked at Ram EcoDiesel, other diesel trucks (3/4 ton GM/Ram/Ford), Audi & VW TDI's they all seem to use it. Also they are fussy about biodiesel. Pretty sure VW says 5% max BD, but that is hard to square with both Minnesota and Illinois claiming to require at least 10% BD in all of their diesel pumps.

      I'm running a 2000 Beetle TDI (270,000 miles). ALH engine. Whole different animal from what is required for 50 state diesels today.

      I think if you blow your fuel pump in the new ones, if it isn't covered by warranty, you are looking at $4000+ in repairs.

    32. Re:Not surprising by rch7 · · Score: 1

      Diesel cars were pushed quite hard in Europe, and what is the result? Now they see all these terrible cancerogenic black fume emitting noisy junk cars in the middle of big cities and try to push hard to restrict diesel cars. Diesels cars just don't pay off in most cases, they way more expensive, and their maintenance and repair costs are much higher. They may pay off in case of very high millage and expensive fuel, like $5/gal in EU, but that is all.

    33. Re:Not surprising by JazzLad · · Score: 1
      --
      "If you have nothing to hide, you have nothing to fear." - Every fascist, ever
    34. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Cars w/o catalytic converter would make electric cars even more compelling.

    35. Re:Not surprising by hey! · · Score: 1

      The problem is not want to buy but can afford to buy. Tesla is at the high end of what I would consider the car pricing range if you leave out the super premium and exotics. As a result, many people who might preferentially buy one simply can't afford one.

      Sure, but that's only an issue if the regulations specify Tesla levels of performance and efficiency. I'm suggesting the regs could be written with the most efficient ICE automobiles on the market *today* as the benchmark for what is feasible. These are by not necessarily fantastically expensive, nor are they hair-shirt city cars. The Mazda 3 is a four door sedan that seats five and has an engine that delivers 184 hp at 26 mpg city/35 highway; MSRP is 18.8K$. If you need a people mover you can get a seven passenger Mitsubishi minivan rated 25 city/31 highway for 23.2k$.

      It's clear that the current state of the art in ICE makes affordable, practical cars that exceed the current average mileage technologically feasible. They're being sold now. If on the other hand you want high performance, e.g., to go 0-60 mph in under 4 seconds, then you're talking big bucks and exotic technology.

      What manufacturers won't be able to do is slap a tarted-up body on a primitive $26,000 truck chassis, call it an SUV, and charge $50,000 for it. I'm talking about the Silverado based Suburban. I think there's a place in the world for such vehicles, but it's insane to charge an additional 24k to slap two rows of seating in place of a pickup bed; there's plenty of headroom to charge a gas guzzler tax on that one.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    36. Re:Not surprising by JackieBrown · · Score: 1

      I agree they have no obligation. I was pointing out that hypocrisy of acting like they are green or trying to help the planet when they clearly are not - which it sounds like you agree with me on.

    37. Re:Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If I was a liberal or progressive, I'd probably throw a dead baby because democrats hate babies

    38. Re:Not surprising by TemporalBeing · · Score: 1

      Where are you buying 60 watt incandescents for 5-12 cents each? Or, a little more expensive (1.5 cents/bulb buying 2 at a time) but a better brand.

      So a single LED bulb at a sale discount, versus 8 incandescent bulbs. FYI - average price of a single LED bulb is $7+ for 40/60/75/100W bulbs before any sale discounts.

      Average prices for a 4 or 8 package of incandescent bulbs before any sale discounts was $2-3; I typically paid $1 for a 4 package at most.

      Best price I've seen for CFLs was the occasional Sam's Club pack for $1 containing 8 CFLs (40/60/75/100W); but that's rare. Typically the same pack age Sam's Club is $8+.

      And after our 4 yr old broke a CFL in his room (since we couldn't put a new Incandescent in), we replaced it with an LED, which I'd much prefer if not for the expense. Even then, the first one didn't work for some reason; fortunately the store did a return/exchange and the second one (a different brand) worked.

      --
      Truth is like the sun. You can shut it out for a time, but it ain't goin' away. - Elvis Presley (source: imdb.com)
    39. Re:Not surprising by worldthinker · · Score: 1

      Or give up on fossil fuels for your car. Problem solved.

    40. Re:Not surprising by worldthinker · · Score: 1

      The US has benefited greatly from the existence and actions of the EPA. Air pollution standards have saved the lives or improved the health of millions, Water safety standards have done the same. But it is the corrupting of Government to forestall the effect of regulations by profit seeking corporations that is the root of the problem. CAFE standards were set more than 5 years ago. Why is Detroit playing their predictable behavior of doing nothing and when it comes time to implement, they whine and beg for delay or exceptions? Detroit even has free access to the intellectual property to effectively compete against Tesla and yet just wants to continue in its polluting ways.

    41. Re:Not surprising by Talderas · · Score: 1

      LEDs are more expensive but they also have a higher potential lifespan than incandescent or CFL bulbs. They also have a lower power draw so unless we don't see the lifespan that they promise LEDs are probably a cheaper cost of ownership compared to incandescent bulbs. They do have the higher capital cost, as you pointed out, but that means more that it prices them out of the range of lower income families who will be forced into the higher cost of ownership CFLs.

      --
      "Lack of speed can be overcome. In the worst case by patience." --Znork
    42. Re:Not surprising by RingDev · · Score: 1

      Yeah, it looks like the 2015 model year lots of manufacturers made the jump.

      Looking at the EPA site though, Tier 3 regs don't kick in until model year 2017: https://www.dieselnet.com/stan...
      There's probably more to the story that a quick search isn't turning up.

      -Rick

      --
      "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
    43. Re:Not surprising by Copid · · Score: 1

      Whether they're trying to do "green" things out of the kindness of the hearts our because they can make money by doing it doesn't really change the fact that they're doing "green" things. It's not really hypocrisy. Just incentives.

      Tradeable pollution credits are not a counterexample. They're a way to set a certain amount of "greenness" for an entire industry and induce the businesses most capable of achieving those goals to improve first while allowing other players with more difficult changes to make to move more slowly, which is exactly what's happening. If we had tax credits for reducing pollution and fined the most polluting companies, the result would be the same, minus the accusations of hypocrisy (and minus a certain amount of economic efficiency).

      --
      An interesting anagram of "BANACH TARSKI" is "BANACH TARSKI BANACH TARSKI"
    44. Re:Not surprising by Jeremi · · Score: 1

      I agree they have no obligation. I was pointing out that hypocrisy of acting like they are green or trying to help the planet when they clearly are not - which it sounds like you agree with me on.

      Which is better for the planet, an auto industry that is moving towards renewably-powered electric cars, or one where electric cars remain an insignificant niche market indefinitely?

      Because Tesla is the company that is driving the move towards the former by making electric cars that people actually want to buy, and scaling production up so that people can afford them.

      Just because you don't like the means they are using to achieve that goal doesn't mean they aren't heading towards that goal.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    45. Re:Not surprising by TemporalBeing · · Score: 1

      LEDs are more expensive but they also have a higher potential lifespan than incandescent or CFL bulbs. They also have a lower power draw so unless we don't see the lifespan that they promise LEDs are probably a cheaper cost of ownership compared to incandescent bulbs.

      True, supposedly so. I know I rarely changed an incandescent - probably once every couple years at most; I usually changed an incandescent because the bulb broke due to the lamp getting knocked over more than anything else - actually seeing the EOL of an incandescent was rare. I expect it will probably be the same with LEDs and CFLs; though LEDs will probably be because the electronics in their base die - capacitors drying out, etc; which will be a lot harder to test what is wrong with them.

      They do have the higher capital cost, as you pointed out, but that means more that it prices them out of the range of lower income families who will be forced into the higher cost of ownership CFLs.

      Which has the funny aspect of exposing those folk to mercury contamination...

      Honestly, we shouldn't be trying to force the public to use one over the other. Let people choose free market style. There was no reason for the EPA to get involved in this. Would people still buy incandescents? Yes; but most would probably skip CFLs and go straight to LEDs as well - which were not really even part of the picture when Congress passed the bill mandating incandescents be phased out; and the phase out had little to nothing to do with the introduction of LEDs when they came.

      --
      Truth is like the sun. You can shut it out for a time, but it ain't goin' away. - Elvis Presley (source: imdb.com)
    46. Re:Not surprising by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      Or exploit the power to block regulation, that's where the big money is. Tesla makes a good point here, we have weak standards and still don't have the will to achieve them.

    47. Re:Not surprising by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      But the calculations depend upon the owner's goals. I want fuel efficiency even if it is more expensive; total cost of ownership to me is less important then my goal to pollute less and consume fewer resources. Other people have goals of being able to fit an entire soccer team into a commuter vehicle, or to have a bigger pickup than the neighbor.

    48. Re:Not surprising by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      I never liked CFLs, they burned out as fast as my incandescents did, not even long enough to cover the cost of energy to make them. LED lights though seems a better deal overall; more expensive but also longer lasting with an even lower energy cost.

    49. Re:Not surprising by mattack2 · · Score: 1

      Why is it hypocrisy?

      The marketplace for unused carbon credits was specifically part of its design.

      Companies get some certain amount (an amount that lowers over time), and they can sell unused ones to other companies that are polluting more than their limits allow.

      If you mean that Tesla doesn't just literally throw away the unused valuable credits, that's silly. I suspect the other companies would likely just keep polluting above their limits, and just pay a fine instead of buying credits from another company.

      They're recycling them instead (pun intended).

    50. Re:Not surprising by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 1

      I agree with your tarted up truck comment. The problem is demand. People buy the. My favorite is ones with full of road packages that the worst off reading they see is jumping the curb at the grocery store. If I buy a truck it's one I call haul stone in and not worry about scratching the bed.

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    51. Re:Not surprising by TemporalBeing · · Score: 1

      I never liked CFLs, they burned out as fast as my incandescents did, not even long enough to cover the cost of energy to make them. LED lights though seems a better deal overall; more expensive but also longer lasting with an even lower energy cost.

      What I like about LEDs is that they are generally solid-state, so less prone to breaking.

      What I don't like is the cost, and the reliance on chips to run them...at least, the ones that replace the normal lightbulb sizes...not to mention the price.

      --
      Truth is like the sun. You can shut it out for a time, but it ain't goin' away. - Elvis Presley (source: imdb.com)
    52. Re:Not surprising by Graysccale · · Score: 1

      What's a TLA ?

    53. Re:Not surprising by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      Yes more expensive per bulb, but not more expensive when it comes to replacing bulbs. Much cheaper than CFLs in my view, for incandescent you just have to wait longer to amortize the cost. I used to always have a few incandescent boxes because they were always burning out (it varies, I have one fixture that I haven't ever replaced a bulb in, and others where I replace them often).

    54. Re:Not surprising by TemporalBeing · · Score: 1

      Yes more expensive per bulb, but not more expensive when it comes to replacing bulbs. Much cheaper than CFLs in my view, for incandescent you just have to wait longer to amortize the cost.

      I used to always have a few incandescent boxes because they were always burning out (it varies, I have one fixture that I haven't ever replaced a bulb in, and others where I replace them often).

      That's because incandescents are sensitive to the quality of the fixture and electricity that they are receiving. If you have fixture that doesn't regulate power well, then you'll got through more bulbs; if you have very bad electricity supply (too much/little power in fluctuations) then you'll also go through more bulbs. This is because the bulbs typically directly receive electricity from the power outlet - no regulation, so too much power the bulb gets brighter; too little it dims.

      CFL and Fluorescent bulbs overcome that through a regulator in the fixture (aka ballast), and sometimes a fuse as well; and the regulator gets destroyed instead.

      LEDs overcome it by the chips in the bulb itself which operate as a regulator, and will probably get destroyed before the LED bulb itself is useless. I have no clue, however, what the quality of the electricity supply or fixture will do to an LED bulb though.

      --
      Truth is like the sun. You can shut it out for a time, but it ain't goin' away. - Elvis Presley (source: imdb.com)
    55. Re:Not surprising by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      Also they are fussy about biodiesel. Pretty sure VW says 5% max BD, but that is hard to square with both Minnesota and Illinois claiming to require at least 10% BD in all of their diesel pumps.

      VW says 5% max in US, but they've given other numbers in other jurisdictions where they can't legally get away with this anymore. And in practice, there are a lot of people running theirs on 20% (I was one of them for a while, when I had a station offering it nearby), and there are a few who use 50% with no ill effects.

  2. Smart by Gordo_1 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Hey I like Tesla as much as the next guy, but wake me up when a corporation lobbies government in a way that goes against their own self-interest.

    The theory here is that if more stringent fuel mileage standards are maintained, it will force traditional automakers to either make more tiny, anemic 4 cylinder gas engines (early 1980s anyone?) or push further into hybrid and electric car territory in order to deliver meaningful power without as much (or any) gasoline. In either situation, Tesla stands to gain as either they compete with comparatively fast, powerful vehicles (Model S, X, 3) or they are competing apples to apples in electrics/plug-in hybrids for which they'll have significant control over lithium ion battery production with the Gigafactory, and a 5-10 year head start at building ground up purpose-built all-electrics.

    1. Re:Smart by drinkypoo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Hey I like Tesla as much as the next guy, but wake me up when a corporation lobbies government in a way that goes against their own self-interest.

      Wake me up when they prove that they're actually performing battery swaps, which is required at this phase to get all the credits they're getting. There's no evidence that they can do it, let alone that they are doing it. (If anyone feels differently, let's see some photographic evidence of a swap actually taking place; I am not interested in seeing the pictures of the car sitting in the swap station with nothing happening.)

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:Smart by Gordo_1 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      They *are* doing them, but there are several manual steps currently. Go to Teslamotorsclub.com if you don't believe it.

      For what it's worth, battery swaps are a dead end. Few people need them with Supercharging becoming more ubiquitous by the day . Tesla won't be doing widespread swaps for privately owned cars any time soon, if ever. Maybe for commercial vehicles 5-10 years down the road...

    3. Re:Smart by Gordo_1 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Furthermore, why all the hate over the credits? Tesla collects government incentives, Oil and gas companies collect government incentives, other automobile manufacturers collect government incentives. Yet plenty of folks constantly point out how the first successful auto manufacturing upstart in 80 years in America, apparently reaps some mythical unfair advantage over everyone else.

    4. Re:Smart by drinkypoo · · Score: 3, Informative

      They *are* doing them, but there are several manual steps currently. Go to Teslamotorsclub.com if you don't believe it.

      I've been there, and what I saw was a bunch of people who don't own Teslas slapping each other on the back while looking at photos which don't provide any proof that swaps are occurring.

      For what it's worth, battery swaps are a dead end.

      Sure, I agree. But credit systems are bullshit, too, and Tesla is gaming the credit system on top of that.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    5. Re:Smart by jandersen · · Score: 4, Insightful

      ... theory here is that if more stringent fuel mileage standards are maintained, it will force traditional automakers...

      I'm no fan of cars in general, although I would probably go for an electric vehicle next time I need to change. It looks to me like they (Tesla) are pushing for a standard that only or predominantly looks at the emissions from the vehicle, whereas the obviously right thing would be to count in all the emissions required to produce and maintain vehicles.

    6. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      they'll have significant control over lithium ion battery production with the Gigafactory, and a 5-10 year head start at building ground up purpose-built all-electrics.

      Building a new factory doesn't give you control over production. Other manufacturers of lithium ion batteries are available. It might give them a cost benefit.

      As for a 5-10 year head start, what planet are you on? They have about a 12-month head start, if that. Just because other companies aren't productized yet doesn't mean they're 5 years behind on the tech.

      All Tesla have really proven is that anyone can build these things. When Dyson gets into it, things are going to get real interesting real quick.

    7. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      “Where I believe we need to start in reforming welfare is eliminating welfare for the wealthy"

      Charles Koch (http://www.ibtimes.com/charles-koch-blasts-subsidies-tax-credits-his-firm-has-taken-195-million-worth-them-2034949)

    8. Re:Smart by GrumpySteen · · Score: 1

      I think you've confused a statement made to a reporter as part of a PR effort with lobbying the government.

      The Koch brothers actively lobby for corporate-friendly legislation that includes those tax credits and spend millions backing the Republican party which has spent the last three decades doing everything they can to cut taxes on the wealthy.

    9. Re:Smart by Barsteward · · Score: 0

      its more of an issue in USA when you have long distances to travel. i always find i'm more tired after a long journey in a small engined car because the comfort levels are better in a larger engined car but if you are doing short journeys its not an issue.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    10. Re:Smart by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      All true, but anything that forces manufacturers to clean up and stop polluting the air I am have to breathe is a good thing.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    11. Re:Smart by Cyberax · · Score: 5, Informative

      I have a Tesla Model S. And I've participated in the battery-swap beta.

      It works, almost as on the video - except you have to carefully position your car and attendant manually blocks your car's wheels from rolling.

      It doesn't make a lot of sense, though. The price ($85) is not worth it, it's just easier to wait 30 minutes for a supercharge.

    12. Re:Smart by msauve · · Score: 3, Interesting

      "Furthermore, why all the hate over the credits? Tesla collects government incentives, Oil and gas companies collect government incentives, other automobile manufacturers collect government incentives."

      So, your argument is that multiple wrongs make it right? Incentives are driven by special interests with inequitable influence. Let the people decide in a free market.

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    13. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      See the above about Americans building them.

      And guess what: It is intentional so you buy the bigger one.

    14. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      or they are competing apples to apples in electrics/plug-in hybrids for which they'll have significant control over lithium ion battery production with the Gigafactory, and a 5-10 year head start at building ground up purpose-built all-electrics.

      Nissan's exiting US battery factory (partner NEC) doesn't have the marketing monkier, but is only about 10-20% utilized... It can build 160,000 leaf packs per year at full utilization they will also be building batteries way under 300 $/kWh. Nissan has outsold Tesla by 3-4X. Additionally, in Germany and Japan there is capacity for a couple hundred thousand more battery packs per year (approx ~ 4MWh of unused battery capacity). Tesla's "grip" on the EV sector is imaginary. They are certainly in a very, very nice position in the industry. But they are a medium sized player and their "lead" is mostly imaginary and one of perception.

    15. Re:Smart by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      I have a Tesla Model S. And I've participated in the battery-swap beta.

      Did you see the swap occur, or was it all smoke and blue curtains?

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    16. Re:Smart by msauve · · Score: 3, Interesting

      "the Republican party which has spent the last three decades doing everything they can to cut taxes on the wealthy."

      They haven't been very successful at it. From the latest data I could find (2012), the top 5% of income earners paid 58.9% of all Federal taxes, and the top 1% paid 38.1%.

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    17. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      EVERYBODY IS ON THE DOLE. Gradma with SS and Medicare, Cops and teachers and their pensions, students and federal aid, managed economies are supa, da comrade?

    18. Re:Smart by radl33t · · Score: 1

      Control of the purse strings is the vital element to argumentation in US politics. Subsidies or credits for things I like are agreeable, permissible, or definitely necessary to avoid economic destruction. Meanwhile subsidies for things I (or my party bosses) do not like are socialist or fascist government intrusion and will result in the reckless and imminent destruction of everything the US was or every will be.

    19. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is that CO2 I smell coming out of ya pie hole?

    20. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I thought CO2 was odorless...

    21. Re:Smart by GrumpySteen · · Score: 4, Informative

      That top 1% owns 40% of the wealth in the country. Only a fool would argue that they shouldn't be paying 40% of the taxes.

      Let me guess, you're a card-carrying member of the Republican party and you really believe that Fox News is fair and balanced.

    22. Re:Smart by msauve · · Score: 1

      The discussion was about income taxes, not property taxes, fool. I'll ignore your red herring, and add that that top 1% which pays ~40% of all income taxes only makes ~20% of all income.

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    23. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A modern "4 banger" these days has more HP than many older V6s (and even some small block V8s) -- even when naturally aspirated.

      For example: a 2016 Honda Accord "4 banger" has 185HP and 181tq.

      The 94-2004 Mustang's V6 was rated @ 145HP and 175tq, and the V8 started at 215HP

      Put a turbo on a "4 banger", and it's better than the vast majority of small block, naturally aspirated V8s. For example, the current eco-boost (turbo) I4 Mustang makes 310HP and 320tq with ~32MPG highway performance.

      It's not at all like 80s engines, which were shitty because they were carberated, mechanically timed pushrod holdovers from the 60s and 70s designs.

    24. Re:Smart by Zobeid · · Score: 5, Interesting

      CARB was convinced that Tesla demonstrated the ability to swap batteries, and CARB sets the rules for ZEV credits. Tesla have done exactly what they needed to do in order to meet CARB's bizarre diktats.

      Now, can anybody explain to me why battery swapping is worth additional credits in the first place? CARB's mandate is supposed to be cleaner air. Swapping batteries doesn't make the air cleaner. They give three times the ZEV credits for hydrogen fuel cell vehicles as they do for battery electric vehicles -- even though both produce the same amount of pollutant emissions: none. Where's the logic?

      Oh yeah. . . The logic is that Toyota -- by some measures the largest car company in the world (effectively tied with VW, last I heard) -- unloaded a truckload of cash to lobby CARB board members.

    25. Re:Smart by slashdice · · Score: 1

      Be glad you're smelling his pie hole and not his corn hole!

      --
      Copyright (c) 1990 - 2014 Dice. All rights reserved. Use of this comment is subject to certain Terms and Conditions.
    26. Re:Smart by GrumpySteen · · Score: 0

      You're ignoring the fact that much of the top 1% gain wealth in forms that don't show up as income. Being paid with shares of stock rather than cash is one of the most obvious of the many, many ways that the wealthy use to increase their wealth without having to list it as income and pay taxes.

      I even benefit from that, in fact, as I get shares in the company I work for equal to about 20% of my salary per year. Until I sell those shares, which I won't be doing until I'm retired, I won't pay a cent in taxes on that increase in my wealth.

      And yes, I realize it's a bit hypocritical that I take advantage of the very tax dodges that I'm saying shouldn't exist. That doesn't change the fact that the wealthy don't need more tax breaks on top of the metric buttload that they already have.

    27. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Cops, firefighters and teachers are on the dole because they are REQUIRED BY LAW to put 15% of their salary into their pension??? Not just a little jealous that cops, teachers and firefighters are better at planning their future are you

    28. Re:Smart by thaylin · · Score: 1

      If the top 5% make most of the income shouldnt they pay most of the tax?

      --
      When you cant win, ad hominem.
    29. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Every Joe Schmuck is also required to dump obscene amounts of money in to Social Security so these shithead cops can collect SSDI when they get stabbed by their partner, erm I mean perp.

      All the while taking taxpayer dollars to beat and murder black people.

      Can we put you and these gestapo criminals in the same AIDS infested island?

    30. Re:Smart by msauve · · Score: 2

      Another red herring. Income is income, and the same capital gains rules apply to all.

      So, you're now arguing that unrealized capital gains should be taxed? I think you have no clue what effect that would have on the economy.

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    31. Re:Smart by beelsebob · · Score: 2

      The thing is, those tiny little 4 bangers turn out not to be any more efficient than the decently sized ones (though substantially better than most V6/V8s).

      All that changes is that the guy driving the little 1.1l 4 banger floors it all the time, because he needs all its got all the time; while the guy driving the 1.8T just uses a tiny bit of what's available.

    32. Re:Smart by Ichijo · · Score: 1

      1. Anticipate the need for higher fuel efficiency standards
      2. Build your company around them
      3. If they have not yet materialized, lobby for them
      4. Profit!

      --
      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    33. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Grandma was paying into SS and medicare since long before you were born, Cops, teachers and most government workers willingly accept wages significantly less than they could get in private sector jobs in exchange for increased benefits (retirement, healthcare), the only aid that students get is some help with the interest payments, they have to pay the balance of their student debt and cannot even escape it in bankruptcy. The intent behind minimal taxes on oil companies is to provide lower fuel prices, I have a hard time seeing as how that outcome is being realized. Their profits are higher than ever and a large portion of their efforts seem to be focused on EXPORTING refined petroleum to foreign countries where they can make more profit.

    34. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Nobody counts the emissions to produce any other vehicles, so why would we hold electric cars to a different standard? The manufacturing processes are not particularly worse for one than for the other.

      In fact, I would bet that the reduced metal machining from not having a solid-block engine under the hood probably saves overall manufacturing emissions, once you factor it all the way back to the metal foundry, refinery, and strip mine. Only the strip mine would be comparable for rare earths that go into batteries. The refinery is much smaller due to smaller volumes and the foundry isn't really necessary at all.

      Other than that, you still have to have a metal frame, metal or plastic body panels, a finished interior, glass windows, and rubber for the tires and various other parts. This is identical for any car manufacturing process.

      The reason they're pushing to measure emissions is because that's the only meaningful difference between electric and ICE cars.

    35. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      no wake me up when they can hit at least 300+ miles on a single charge, and revharging takes 5m or less.

      also not shitty little cars with no cargo like they're pushing for the land of fruits and nuts.

    36. Re:Smart by Bob+the+Super+Hamste · · Score: 2

      That still sounds like an American car thing. The fact that American car companies put little underpowered 4 bangers in shit box cars doesn't mean it is the case elsewhere. For a long time I drove a BMW 318ti with that nice little 1.9l inline 4. It would have been nice if the thing had leather seats but for its size it wasn't under powered and it was nice to sit in. I would likely still be driving that car if it hadn't been rear ended and sent into a fire hydrant.

      --
      Time to offend someone
    37. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      why should they pay more than you do? and i'm obviously thinking that you're some sort of self entitled liberal and are speaking of taxation proportionally whereas i for one would prefer a flay fixed amount tax across the board or at least a pure flat proportional tax.

    38. Re: Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Bullshit. Income can be manipulated by accounting to get various results.

    39. Re:Smart by msauve · · Score: 1

      Whoosh. Yes, they should. But, even GrumpySteen says it should be equitable - "40% should be paying 40%." They're making 20% of the income, but paying 40% of the taxes.

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    40. Re: Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let Tesla be allowed to sell its cars freely in all places where other companies currently do, then we can have that discussion about the incentivizing within the so-called free market. Right now, Tesla should be able to give incentives freely because they're being locked out of the free market by antiquated laws regarding direct sales.

      In essence, I agree with you, but let's level the playing field properly.

    41. Re: Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      300+ miles on a charge has been done -- or don't you keep up?

      5 minutes? Not yet, but then again, some people want monkeys to spontaneously fly out of their asses. It used to take hours; it now takes 30 minutes. We will get there shortly, so enjoy your snooze. It won't last long.

      Cargo space to load a good-sized shopping trip? Done. Have you actually used one of the Teslas? I have, but you have apparently not. There's only so much that a fact sheet will tell you.

    42. Re:Smart by Zobeid · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The top range Tesla now is 270 miles per charge. How often do you drive more than 270 miles in a day? Be honest now. . . Because most of us rarely do that.

      Recharging time. . . It takes 20 seconds to plug in your car in the evening. In the morning you have a full charge. That's way more convenient than going to the gas station.

      If you're on the highway, taking that epic road trip, then yeah. . . You're screwed. It's gonna kill your soul when you have to stop for a 20 or 30 minute quick charge a couple of times during the long day's driving. And you totally weren't going to stop like that in your gas car, because you are a superhuman who never needs to rest, eat or use the bathroom.

      I have no idea what "shitty little cars with no cargo" you are referring to. I thought the topic was Tesla? The Model S is a full-sized car with enormous cargo space, front and back. You can haul your drum kit in it.

    43. Re: Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      A better strategy would be to get rid of variable prepaid forward contracts, since they are simply vehicles for tax evasion.

    44. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      " Where's the logic?"

      The ability to compete with petroleum/biofuel based vehicles. Any system which allows for refuelability/battery swapping has a much better chance of competing with current transportation fuel methods.

    45. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I also like Tesla as the next guy. Their vehicles don't suck and are a pleasure to drive compared to the econoboxes that the competition serves up. However, they are lobbying not for better standards, but to fuck over their competitors. Wake me up when a corporation does lobbying that benefits us proles as well.

      I'm reminded of how the EPA did to diesels in the past few years what they did to gasser engines in 1973. So much emission controls that it hamstrung the auto industry for two decades. If you read any car make's forums, especially those that use diesel engines (Sprinters, trucks, cars ), you will find a lot more complaints and horror stories in the past few years than any time in the past. This is no fault of the automaker, but them trying to engineer to regs made without throught of cost.

      Tesla isn't there to set "reasonable" fuel economy measures, just as Moms Demand Action isn't there to set "reasonable" gun laws. Both are there to extinguish the competition, and if Tesla can set CAFE regs so high that it causes other automakers to fold, they have won a market where no amount of R&D could ever have done so.

    46. Re: Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      So, the flat tax idea really should die a horrible, screaming death. Here's why: If you're making $60,000 a year and there's a flat tax of 10%, you'll cough up $6,000, yielding $54,000. A little painful in today's world, but probably manageable. If you're making $25,000 a year, you're asked to pay $2,500, yielding $22,500. That 10% just got a whole lot more onerous.

      Flat taxes do not hit everyone equally. For the well-off or wealthy, they're a minor inconvenience. For the poor to middle-class, they can be quite destructive. I'm curious about this concept of a proportional flat tax, because the name implies what would seem to be a contradiction.

    47. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Its more of an issue in USA when you have long distances to travel

      You had ocean-to-ocean railway almost 150 years ago, when people in Russia were still serfs. Now Russia has ocean-to-ocean railway but americans have become serfs, who are not allowed to leave the domain of their feudal lord, the mighty car.

      Moral fo the story: try to think outside of 4-wheeled box when planning travel.

    48. Re:Smart by forand · · Score: 2

      You are giving a single data point. Perhaps you should provide a data point further in the past to at least give a slope to your assertion? Here let me help. The effective tax rate on the top 1% has been falling since 1995 while for everyone else it is at a historic low. However it is important to keep in mind that the percent of wealth owned by that 1% has increased dramatically: the ratio of 50th to 99th wealth has gone from 0.024 in 1995 to 0.01 in 2013. In particular the 50% wealth level has DROPPED while the 99% wealth level has almost doubled.

    49. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That top 1% owns 40% of the wealth in the country. Only a fool would argue that they shouldn't be paying 40% of the taxes.

      The day we have a wealth tax, that assertion in your second sentence might make sense.

      Maybe.

      But that's not how taxes work, and I don't think you really want to be making the argument that flows from your assertion as it stands.

    50. Re:Smart by ksheff · · Score: 1, Informative

      When I drive to my mom's house several times a year, it's usually a 13-14 hour drive. I usually stop for fuel and to use the bathroom twice during the trip. Due to the lack of range in the Tesla and the recharge time, it would add another 1.5 hours to the trip. Not to mention that the nearest Supercharger is 450 miles away. It's already a long day driving and with a Tesla, it would be even longer. No thank you.

      --
      the good ground has been paved over by suicidal maniacs
    51. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      HUH? Income is income? What are you smoking? That has NEVER been true in the history of taxes, period. 80% of a politician's job would be wiped out if it was true. We don't have the Fair Tax in the US.

    52. Re:Smart by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      It's not the amount of torque it's where it is.

      V8's make torque at 1000RPM, something no little engine can do.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    53. Re: Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It would be far superior to the system we now have, where 48% of the people not paying income tax can vote for tax and spenders knowing that someone else will foot the bill eventually. If you can vote, you can pay 10% of your income to the government. Then we would see how much government we can really afford.

    54. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The rich are getting richer precisely because of regulations like that in the article under discussion. The massive regulatory state creates insurmountable barriers to new entrants, leaving existing businesses to extract monopoly rents. The way to level the playing field is to dismantle the regulatory state and create opportunity for new entrants. Sure freedom can be scary, but it is the only way to address the issue. This is no different from the old Soviet Union and today's Russia. A small cabal of insiders controls access to capital. A generation ago, when we were much freer, the gap was not nearly so large.

    55. Re:Smart by msauve · · Score: 1

      I choose a starting data point of 1912 for income taxes.

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    56. Re:Smart by gerald.edward.butler · · Score: 1

      When Dyson gets into it, ...

      Please, no. Just NO! More over-hyped worthless crap.

    57. Re:Smart by perryizgr8 · · Score: 1

      What's the big deal with a battery swap? I would think that waiting 20 min to get an 80% charge for free would be much more preferable to paying $80 and getting a battery that might have seen abuse and wear. Charging is the future. We just need to bring it down to 10 minutes.

      --
      Wealth is the gift that keeps on giving.
    58. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are absolutely correct wrt diesels. The mandated ultra low sulfur diesel requires a better grade of crude to start with, which is more expensive. Diesel use to be much cheaper than gasoline, now it is almost always more expensive. Particulate filters and regeneration cycles result in about 30% poorer fuel economy in heavy trucks. So we are pumping, transporting, and refining 30% more oil to deal with particulates that fall to the ground anyway and are plant fertilizer. They imposed all this with no cost/benefit analysis. My pickup has one of the last 7.3L Ford diesels made with no emissions equipment. It easily passes the emissions smoke test in my county, and unloaded I regularly get 18 MPG. Some of my friends have the new emissions trucks and they get crappy fuel economy and have to pay for urea to put in the diesel exhaust fluid tank. After the warranty runs out, they will be on the hook for dealing with the very expensive emissions equipment that was rushed to market. No thanks. I'll never upgrade. Luckily I don't have to drive it much and it only has around 125K miles on it.

    59. Re:Smart by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      In fact, I would bet that the reduced metal machining from not having a solid-block engine under the hood probably saves overall manufacturing emissions, once you factor it all the way back to the metal foundry, refinery, and strip mine. Only the strip mine would be comparable for rare earths that go into batteries. The refinery is much smaller due to smaller volumes and the foundry isn't really necessary at all.

      There's an awful lot of wiring in them there electric motors which still need mining, refining and drawing out.

    60. Re:Smart by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      So you are fine with the concept of already earned money and assets being taxed time and again? Because that's what you are pushing when you bring wealth into the discussion.

    61. Re:Smart by babybird · · Score: 1

      Thankfully, things like objective measurements of actual data can differentiate between both ends of this spectrum-- it's not a matter of having to diametrically oppose a thing because it has on it a spectrum with two extreme ends. We can actually measure things and determine objectively whether it's beneficial or detrimental. Your argument is without merit.

      --
      Keith D.
    62. Re:Smart by dpidcoe · · Score: 1

      also not shitty little cars with no cargo like they're pushing for the land of fruits and nuts.

      I helped a friend from Hawaii move his scuba equipment from the airport to the place he got his Tesla shipped to when he came back to the mainland. We had the back of my Tacoma packed full, and two bags crammed into the back seat. The Tesla not only ate all of that gear with no hassle at all, but also got him from San Diego to Sacramento in a day (while carrying a ton of scuba gear).

      Range and space aren't hard to do in an electric car if you're willing to pour money into batteries. It's just a matter of how much power/money you want to throw at it.

    63. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We're close to the point where the top one percent worldwide owns more than half of the planet. Rich people are (almost) everywhere, but they're thin on the ground.

    64. Re:Smart by babybird · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That's perfectly valid-- you're among the 1-5% of the population that the current Tesla isn't an ideal fit for at least several times a year. For everyone else's use case, it's way more than adequate. It may even be adequate for you, depending on how many of those trips you make. If you save enough gas during the rest of your year, the difference may be enough to rent a vehicle for those trips to your mom's house and still leave you break even or profitable relative to driving something else all year long (ignoring whether or not you can afford a Tesla right now in the first place of course).

      It's not ideal in every possible situation today, and it likely never will be, but that's not a true negative because neither will any other vehicle be. But it's beneficial when it's ideal or close enough to ideal in enough situations, and for most people, Tesla has already surpassed that point (again, save for the current initial cost of the vehicle). It's already better than all of its most direct competition on most, but not all metrics, and most of its competition on several other metrics, and that was the purpose in making them in the first place-- demonstrating that it can actually be done in the real world.

      So there's really very little reason for the auto industry to try to argue an opposing position if that position is already demonstrably false.

      --
      Keith D.
    65. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You drive 980 miles (one way) multiple times per year instead of flying that distance? (14 hours * 70mph)

      According to the DOT, the average car costs around ~$0.20 a mile to operate (gas, maintenance, tires). For a 980 mile trip, that's nearly $200 in costs (one way!). That doesn't include depreciation of the value of your vehicle for the miles driven, possible extra insurance costs (most insurance companies offer rates by miles traveled), etc. AA claims as much as $0.60 per mile, on average, for a sedan.

      Typically you can fly that distance for $100-$120 if you plan at least a couple weeks ahead of time.

      Save yourself the money and the time, and fly or rent a vehicle (it's cheaper than driving your own!).

    66. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can you please send us all a fucking Christmas card for supporting your purchase of an extremely expensive car?
      Fuck Tesla subsidies, buy your own fucking car.

    67. Re:Smart by dpidcoe · · Score: 1

      The top range Tesla now is 270 miles per charge. How often do you drive more than 270 miles in a day? Be honest now. . . Because most of us rarely do that.

      How often do you fully charge your Tesla? I knew a guy who owned one and was in a perpetual state of looking for chargers, basing his shopping and dining on charger locations and picking up 2-5 miles of range at each stop.

    68. Re:Smart by babybird · · Score: 1

      I'm pretty sure he's arguing that paying someone in shares in lieu of income is a deliberate gaming of the system. You could prove this by raising capital gains taxes to a rate higher than income tax, and watching all those shares disappear and turn into income. It's a deliberate gaming of the system in order to benefit one's self at the expense of the public at large. You can try to justify that as "smart" all you want (because financially, it is), but that doesn't change the nature of what it actually is and what it actually does. It's "smart" driven by pure self-interested greed, and it has a toxic effect on the machinery that allows it to work in the first place. It's destructive policy.

      --
      Keith D.
    69. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Long-term capital gains are not considered ordinary income, and are handled under entirely different capital gains rules than ordinary income.

      Besides, the main reason the rich pay more in taxes than their percentage of income is that the poorest Americans pay almost none, because they can't afford to do so, because the minimum wage is too low.

    70. Re:Smart by ShooterNeo · · Score: 1

      Would you accept as evidence that the user, within 5 minutes time, was driving off with a fully charged battery?

    71. Re:Smart by babybird · · Score: 1

      A flat tax can only work after you have a system in place to ensure that every citizen of working age has a guaranteed minimum access to the essentials necessary for living-- food, home, healthcare, education, utilities, and so forth. If you want to guarantee that every citizen has equal access to the bare minimum of those things, then I'll be 100% behind your desire for a flat tax. Until then, though, flat taxes are inequitably detrimental to the poor.

      --
      Keith D.
    72. Re:Smart by babybird · · Score: 1

      You're free to choose that point, but then go ahead and graph its curve to national prosperity. Higher income tax doesn't prevent prosperity, while lower income tax does not create prosperity.

      --
      Keith D.
    73. Re:Smart by swillden · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Any system which allows for refuelability/battery swapping has a much better chance of competing with current transportation fuel methods.

      Nice assertion. I'll counter with one of my own: Battery swapping has negligible effect on the ability of EVs to compete with ICEVs for consumer travel. The only case where it's of use is in long-distance, non-stop travel, which is a miniscule percentage of road miles and which can in most cases be done with a rental vehicle. As long as the people in the car need to refuel every few hours, all you need is enough range to go as far as the people can, and a sufficiently-fast recharge time that by the time the people eat the car is ready to go again.

      What's needed for EVs to compete isn't battery swapping, it's lower prices for vehicles with adequate range. The Model S has the range required, now. The Nissan LEAF and similar cars are in the ballpark on price. When we get a $25K (new) EV sedan with a 250-mile range, they'll sell like hotcakes in suburban middle-class America, and pollution levels in places like LA will decline dramatically in just a few years.

      This isn't to say that battery swapping never makes sense, or that better highway and home charging infrastructure (particularly for apartment dwellers) doesn't matter, but solving the price/range problem will put EVs over the hump and the rest will follow naturally.

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      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    74. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Buy your own corn and we'll talk.

    75. Re:Smart by sjames · · Score: 1

      That's probably because they get the vast majority of income in this country.

    76. Re:Smart by sjames · · Score: 1

      That's like saying some poor slob making minimum wage is just as free to buy a 40 ft. yacht as Bill Gates.

    77. Re:Smart by sjames · · Score: 1

      Because they have reaped more benefit than I have.

    78. Re:Smart by swillden · · Score: 1

      So for those several times per year, rent a car.

      I lived in Colorado for three years, and regularly (almost monthly) made the 8-hour drive to my parents' home. Most of that time I had two vehicles, a Dodge Durango (needed to tow the camp trailer or boat, and to haul the whole family), and a Nissan LEAF, which was my commuter and the around-the-town vehicle when the whole family wasn't going. Given the amount of gas the Durango consumes I found it more economical (when all the kids weren't going) to rent a Prius or similar for the trips home. It worked great. Some unanticipated benefits were that the car tends to get pretty dirty when you drive it a thousand-plus miles in a short stretch, cluttered up with fast food containers and whatnot -- and there's an increased risk of spills and stains. So it's nice to just let Hertz deal with all of that.

      Anyway, the point is that it's perfectly reasonable to choose a vehicle that is optimized for 95% of your driving, and rent one that is optimized for the other 5%. It can actually be very cost-effective. I've been looking into getting rid of the Durango and renting when I need a toy hauler, but so far it looks like the premiums charged for those sorts of vehicles make it a non-starter vs my paid-off SUV. Also, I haul the boat or trailer almost weekly during the summer, so the frequency of rentals would get annoying.

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      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    79. Re:Smart by msauve · · Score: 1

      In what way are unrealized capital gains "income?" They can't be spent until they're realized, all the "worth" is on paper. And, they're not always gains - there's a risk associated with taking stock and/or options instead of money. Ask anyone who got stock/options in 2007 what they thought about the deal in 2009.

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    80. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I probably go more than 270 miles in a day about once a month. Usually it is fairly local, maybe visiting somewhere 150-200 miles away (300-400 miles round trip) like heading to the beach or the mountains. For those trips a Tesla would be useless due to superchargers not being on route to those destinations. Once or twice a year I travel from Virginia to Alabama to visit family, it takes me 12-13 hours to drive it. I drive straight through only stopping for food, gas, and restroom breaks. With a Tesla that would become a 2 day drive because I would have to take a longer route to hit superchargers and my stops would be longer. Once superchargers become more widespread those trips may become doable in a Tesla, depending on where they build them.

      I own more than 1 car, so if a Tesla was in my price range that would not have much impact on my decision to buy. Also a rental car for trips is a possibility for 1 car households. If I made another 50k a year I wouldn't hesitate to buy a Tesla, price is the only thing holding me back.

    81. Re:Smart by Gordo_1 · · Score: 1

      Not at all. My argument is that no one bothers framing the problem properly. All they do is complain about Tesla and ignore everything else.

    82. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      If you are able to plug it in at night, you should have a full charge every day. But if you cannot charge at night, then an electric car is probably not for you.

    83. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're talking like a bourgeois.

      He's a proletariat. The people doing strange financial things with stock options have to have a lot of money, it can't all be paper that could end up worth less than nothing after taxes, especially if there's another dot-com bust or such. So they should pay all the taxes and he shouldn't have to pay any.

    84. Re:Smart by itsdapead · · Score: 1

      It doesn't make a lot of sense, though. The price ($85) is not worth it, it's just easier to wait 30 minutes for a supercharge.

      I suspect that quite a few Telsa owners bill their time at $170 an hour, catch plains, drive to important meetings, have sudden emergency overnight drives (before the evening charge) etc. and would appreciate an occasional fallback solution for when all the superchargers at a station were in use or the power socket that your hotel had assured you would be there was broken.

      --
      In a survey of 100 programmers, 111111 thought that duck-typing was a good idea.
    85. Re:Smart by Solandri · · Score: 1

      Nice assertion. I'll counter with one of my own: Battery swapping has negligible effect on the ability of EVs to compete with ICEVs for consumer travel. The only case where it's of use is in long-distance, non-stop travel, which is a miniscule percentage of road miles and which can in most cases be done with a rental vehicle.

      You're thinking too rationally. People aren't rational. They buy a car and think that the miles they put on it are "free" (except for the cost of gas). I try to explain to them the required maintenance and depreciation they put on the car from a long trip means the rental may in fact be cheaper, and their eyes glaze over. I completely agree with your idea of using rental cars for long trips. But unless you can convince people that driving their own paid-for car incurs a cost beyond just the gas they use, the range on EVs is going to continue to be an impediment.

      As long as the people in the car need to refuel every few hours, all you need is enough range to go as far as the people can, and a sufficiently-fast recharge time that by the time the people eat the car is ready to go again.

      What's needed for EVs to compete isn't battery swapping, it's lower prices for vehicles with adequate range. The Model S has the range required, now.

      No it doesn't. A 30 min supercharge only gives you a 50% charge, which is about 140 miles, which is a bit over 2 hours at highway speeds. Nobody I know stops to eat every 2.5 hours while on a long trip. (And no, solar won't help. People vastly overestimate the energy density of solar. Even if you covered the car with PV cells and drove under the mid-day sun, the solar energy you harvest would only extend the range about 5-8 minutes further for each supercharge. On average, the solar would only push the car about an extra mile between supercharges.)

    86. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I drive 800 miles one way multiple times per year to visit family, and hell yes I drive instead of flying. You so bloody well cannot fly that distance for $100-$120, not around here anyway. Maybe things are different in the Northeast or wherever, but for me that ticket would cost a minimum of $200.

      I've done this math, I re-do it every couple of years, and flying only beats driving when it's just me, I'm only going for a couple of days, and I don't need to bring a lot of luggage. More commonly, I'm traveling with a passenger, I'm staying long enough to need a car, I'm bringing a lot of stuff with me (Christmas presents or camping gear, typically), or not infrequently all of the above.

      Even if the costs were going to be equal for a given trip, I'd probably end up driving anyway, just to avoid the hassle and humiliation of dealing with airlines, airports, and the TSA. Flying only wins when it's a quick trip and I can't afford to spend a full day in transit on either end.

    87. Re:Smart by Solandri · · Score: 1

      Income (minus expenses) is the first derivative of wealth. So while there is some correlation between income and wealth, basing your tax rates on wealth creates all sorts of unfair incongruities. Take two people who earn $40k/yr. One scrimps and saves for 10 years and amasses $200k in wealth he uses to buy a house. The other blows his paycheck on parties and booze and amasses zero wealth. If you base your tax rate on wealth, the person who saved his money so he could do something useful with it long-term gets charged a higher tax rate.

      Even if you're a tax-and-spend liberal, you do not want to be making this sort of fundamental math error.

    88. Re:Smart by Solandri · · Score: 1

      "Furthermore, why all the hate over the credits? Tesla collects government incentives, Oil and gas companies collect government incentives, other automobile manufacturers collect government incentives."

      So, your argument is that multiple wrongs make it right? Incentives are driven by special interests with inequitable influence. Let the people decide in a free market.

      The amount collected in fuel taxes far, far exceeds the government incentives the oil companies receive. About $41 billion in 2012 vs about $5 billion/yr. So you can think of the oil companies subsidies as a fraction of the collected taxes apportioned to encouraging R&D into new oil production/consumption technologies which the government thinks will help in the long-term.

    89. Re: Smart by stdarg · · Score: 1

      Now that would be interesting. If we could give a refundable tax credit for NOT voting, I think that would work wonders.

    90. Re:Smart by randallman · · Score: 2

      It's funny that emission credits are seen as a liberal construct, when they were originally developed as a market based solution by conservatives. In 1990, George H. W. Bush established a "cap and trade" system to combat acid rain. This was a market alternative to a "command and control" style solution. Yet today, you're a bleeding liberal to suggest such a thing.

      The crux of the problem is that free markets don't address external costs. A simple example is over-fishing. In a free market, the oceans are fished until popular species are gone. If one actor decides to be conservative (literally conserve fish), another actor will continue overfishing and won't care when he's exhausted the species because his bank account is fat and it's someone else's problem. And no, privatizing the oceans is not a solution. A private owner can still do the same thing.

    91. Re:Smart by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      Tesla owners usually charge overnight to 80% of the battery capacity - that's about 220 miles. So you need to exhaust more than 180 miles of your range (that's 3 hours of highway-speed driving!). Then you suddenly need to remember that you have to go to an airport another 150 or so miles away (2-3 hours of driving, again) and you don't even have 30 minutes for a charge.

      That's a pretty exotic set of circumstances.

      And don't forget that new 160kW superchargers can recharge an almost empty battery at 400 miles per hour, so you get about 65 miles of range in just 10 minutes. Supercharger availability may be a problem, but it's much easier to build new charging stations than battery swap stations.

    92. Re:Smart by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Now, can anybody explain to me why battery swapping is worth additional credits in the first place? CARB's mandate is supposed to be cleaner air.

      The idea is that fast refueling is supposed to draw more people to alternative-fuel vehicles, because the idea is that some people don't buy AFVs because they are less convenient than gasoline or diesel-powered vehicles. The extent to which the idea was tied to fuel cells, though, is definitely driven by the mechanism you stated.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    93. Re:Smart by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Battery swapping has negligible effect on the ability of EVs to compete with ICEVs for consumer travel. The only case where it's of use is in long-distance, non-stop travel, which is a miniscule percentage of road miles and which can in most cases be done with a rental vehicle.

      You don't think being forced to abandon your vehicle and hire another one is a significant effect? This is why people laugh at the proponents of EVs. You don't actually give a shit about cars. To you, a car is just a box. But most people have a relationship with their car, it takes on personality to them. Being forced to walk away from it and drive another vehicle in which the person is less comfortable is a major event which significantly impairs the vehicle's suitability.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    94. Re:Smart by jfengel · · Score: 1

      Did he not have a charger at home? If he lived in a place where he couldn't charge his car, a Tesla was probably not a good choice for him. If he did, he should easily been able to fully charge his car every single day.

    95. Re:Smart by ashpool7 · · Score: 1

      I assume since you *have* a Model S, you've already thought through the situations where you would absolutely need a swap and either routed your use of cars around that trouble or never encountered that issue in the first place.

      The ease of transport of gasoline makes fueling a non-issue and stations ubiquitous. Do you envision a scenario where the $85 is worth it or do the stations for it need to be similarly ubiquitous?

    96. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Cheaper EV's would of course help (currently the battery packs alone are $8k - $12k), but getting people to give up a major factor of anything (in this case Range/"Refueling" time) requires a significant incentive. EV's just don't seem to have that level of incentive yet. They have came a long way no doubt, they currently are probably on par with if not a little better than ICE vehicles for your averages persons normal daily usage (at least including all factors such as maintenance, "fuel", government incentives, etc) but lack of high speed charging stations, several orders of magnitude longer fill times and/or Limited range are all some pretty big speed bumps for someone dropping tens of thousands of dollars on a vehicle. It should also be noted that high speed charging, at least for all of the battery technologies I am aware of, is pretty rough on those expensive battery packs. Some estimates say that a pack which would last 10 years will loose half or more of its life if it is recharged using high speed charging methods on a regular basis.

    97. Re: Smart by JazzLad · · Score: 1

      +1 I've already posted in this thread or I would have modded you.

      --
      "If you have nothing to hide, you have nothing to fear." - Every fascist, ever
    98. Re:Smart by ksheff · · Score: 2

      Nope. It's not even close to being cheaper. Assuming $3/gallon, it costs me less than $200 for the entire trip and if I were to fly, it's actually around $400-500. Then I would have to rent a car at the airport and drive another two hours. Adding in the time waiting at the airport for the connecting flight, security, rental desk, etc, it doesn't save me all that much time. The only time I've flown there was when my dad was in the hospital dying and it just cut the travel time down to about 10 hours (the hospital is in the city with the airport). My insurance rates are affected more by the numerous uninsured motorists and car thieves in my area than any amount that I actually drive.

      --
      the good ground has been paved over by suicidal maniacs
    99. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      EM recently did just that by arguing that subsidies should be replaced by carbon credits and that mining, drilling and distribution should also be included.

    100. Re:Smart by ljw1004 · · Score: 1

      So you are fine with the concept of already earned money and assets being taxed time and again? Because that's what you are pushing when you bring wealth into the discussion.

      I hadn't thought if it before you put it this way -- but yes, that sounds like a brilliant idea! If we shift the taxes away from things that produce value to society (i.e. income) and onto things that don't produce value (i.e. possessing wealth) then we'd be removing a perverse incentive and improving the nation's economy. Good idea.

    101. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's like giving a tax incentive for selling the car with a hooker in the back seat, and a glove box full of cocaine. Yea it'll improve the sales, but it's not cleaning air.

      Why are they writing these edicts trying to set the course of innovation, and not strictly going off results. It was a bad idea when they gave special extra incentives to hydrogen fuel cell and it's a bad idea now. They have proven themselves shit at guessing the where the technology in this use case is headed. The answer might not be swapping batteries in 10 years; it may be making charge time negligible, making the cars body a big solar cell, wireless charging through the road, or some shit no one has even guessed yet.

    102. Re:Smart by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      Frankly, no. The next-gen supercharger will be able to provide current at 200kW, and that's about 600 miles per hour. So short commutes (~100 miles) will be easily covered by 10 minute supercharge and for longer commutes the limiting factor is the battery capacity.

      Of course, if we get 3000-miles lithium-air batteries then all will change.

    103. Re:Smart by ksheff · · Score: 1

      Some unanticipated benefits were that the car tends to get pretty dirty when you drive it a thousand-plus miles in a short stretch, cluttered up with fast food containers and whatnot -- and there's an increased risk of spills and stains. So it's nice to just let Hertz deal with all of that.

      My car is like that nearly 100% of the time, so that's nothing new. :D

      Anyway, the point is that it's perfectly reasonable to choose a vehicle that is optimized for 95% of your driving, and rent one that is optimized for the other 5%. It can actually be very cost-effective.

      That's true. In my case it's more like 70:30, not 95:5. However, I'm not ever going to spend the money for anything like a Tesla. Hell, my fuel bill for the entire year would be a couple payments or less. A Leaf _might_ be an alternative for when my paid for car becomes too expensive to maintain. I'd still be worried about people stealing or fucking around with the charger since a garage is not available. I'm wondering how long it will be for the new neighbor to have the charger for their C-Max stolen or damaged. The nice bright blue "I'm charging" circle around the charge port seems like it would attract the miscreants that live around here.

      --
      the good ground has been paved over by suicidal maniacs
    104. Re: Smart by rch7 · · Score: 1

      They are free to sell everywhere where they want, just by using independent dealers like everybody in the US market does. You may hate all these "finance managers" at autodealers and I wholeheartedly agree that they are much worse than used car salesman. But Tesla is just gaming your emotions here, it looks their true goal is monopoly on spare part supply and control who can get spare parts and who don't, and ultimately what you will pay for car maintenance. You can't do some significant repair to Tesla car without going to "authorized" facility and paying a lot. Some owners say they just disable car charging remotely (every one has mobile network connection) until you go to them.
      It would be impossible with independent dealers competing with each other.

    105. Re:Smart by swillden · · Score: 2

      currently the battery packs alone are $8k - $12k

      LEAF batteries are $6K.

      getting people to give up a major factor of anything (in this case Range/"Refueling" time) requires a significant incentive

      There is no "refueling time" issue to "give up". Refueling time is a major advantage of EVs for everyday use... refueling my EV takes ten seconds. Five when I get out of the car and plug it in at night, and five more when I unplug it in the morning. I find my ICEV much, much more of a bother to keep fueled.

      This is only true in the exceptional case of long-distance, non-stop travel. And even there, all it takes is enough range and fast-enough recharging to ensure that the car doens't need to spend any more time refueling than the people do.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    106. Re:Smart by randallman · · Score: 1

      So Tesla rigged the gauge when they did the swap? That's a bold claim. Would you accept that his car didn't run out of energy while driving after the swap?

    107. Re:Smart by swillden · · Score: 1

      To you, a car is just a box. But most people have a relationship with their car

      Cite? From what I see that ceases being true by about age 30 for the vast majority of people.

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    108. Re:Smart by swillden · · Score: 1

      No it doesn't. A 30 min supercharge only gives you a 50% charge, which is about 140 miles, which is a bit over 2 hours at highway speeds. Nobody I know stops to eat every 2.5 hours while on a long trip.

      Well, my experience with my kids is that we stop every two hours. Not necessarily to eat. Granted that it's often for 15-20 minutes rather than 30, but it wouldn't be difficult to wait a few minutes more before heading out.

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    109. Re:Smart by dpidcoe · · Score: 1

      He wasn't at home, he drove down from norcal on vacation. A lot of the charging stations (and even a home wall outlet) just can't deliver the kind of current needed to charge the thing in less than a day.

    110. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let the people decide in a free market.

      We know that given the chance, most people will choose to let others pay the costs of their choices. Absent regulation and/or incentives a significant number of people will choose to drive less efficient vehicles because they perceive that they are gaining utility while having others shoulder the ecological cost. Incentives interfere with this decision-making process, which is their purpose.

    111. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They haven't been very successful at it.

      Until Ronald Reagan took office, the top marginal tax rate was 70%. Republicans cut that to 50% overnight, and then 6 years later cut it to 28% - a 60% reduction in the tax rate for the wealthiest Americans in 6 years. You could argue that it was just marginal tax rates that were cut and that the effect wasn't nearly as large in totality. Let's test that.

      A person with $1 million in adjusted gross income in 1980 would have paid $680,000 in Federal income tax, in 1982 that same $1 million would have paid only $491,315 in Federal income tax. That's a 27% cut overnight. By 1988 that same person with $1,000,000 in adjusted gross income would have paid $277,680. I would say that going from $680,000 in taxes to $277,680 represents a cut. Do you dispute that?

    112. Re:Smart by drinkypoo · · Score: 0

      So Tesla rigged the gauge when they did the swap? That's a bold claim.

      What I'm saying is that the available evidence supports that idea at least as much as the idea that they're actually doing swaps. If they're actually doing swaps, why is definitive evidence so hard to come by?

      Would you accept that his car didn't run out of energy while driving after the swap?

      Yep. Would you accept that the vehicle actually behaved differently, but he didn't notice? If you chopped 5% of the performance off completely linearly, nobody would even notice.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    113. Re:Smart by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Cite? From what I see that ceases being true by about age 30 for the vast majority of people.

      No, you've got that backwards. Millenials don't give a shit about cars. But IME the majority of people who give their cars names are over thirty and female, or over fifty and male.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    114. Re:Smart by swillden · · Score: 1

      Cite? From what I see that ceases being true by about age 30 for the vast majority of people.

      No, you've got that backwards. Millenials don't give a shit about cars. But IME the majority of people who give their cars names are over thirty and female, or over fifty and male.

      You've changed your claim. You're now discussing not the majority of people but the majority of people who name their cars which as far as I can tell is a very, very small percentage of automobile owners. I find it believable that people who name their cars wouldn't like to rent one. Note that that's not the same as saying I believe it.

      Your claim about ages rings hollow to me, though. I don't know anyone over the age of 25 who has named their car. Of course, I only know two people who have named their cars, period (one is 21 and one is 19).

      However, my experience doesn't really matter. You're the one making the claim that no one will be willing to buy a car that doesn't perfectly fit all of their needs, so it's on you to support it, not on me to refute it.

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      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    115. Re:Smart by thaylin · · Score: 1

      Actually I doubt they are paying more, as a percentage of income, than I am, and that does not even count things like stock, that should be taxed and counted in this.

      --
      When you cant win, ad hominem.
    116. Re:Smart by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      In fact, I would bet that the reduced metal machining from not having a solid-block engine under the hood probably saves overall manufacturing emissions, once you factor it all the way back to the metal foundry, refinery, and strip mine. Only the strip mine would be comparable for rare earths that go into batteries. The refinery is much smaller due to smaller volumes and the foundry isn't really necessary at all.

      You seem to have forgotten that an electric car has fairly large (metal) electric motor - which require the selfsame strip mine, foundry, and much of the machining of the 'solid block' (since it really isn't) engine.

    117. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      LEAF packs are $5,500, plus $1,000 core charge (turning in your old pack), and installation charges bringing up the price to at least almost $7,000. Most seem to think that Nissan is actually losing money at that price in the hopes of attracting more LEAF purchasers and future economies of scale.

    118. Re:Smart by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      You can see how batteries can be disconnected, people even disassembled a battery pack: http://www.teslamotorsclub.com...

      As for "definite information" - Tesla asked people participating in the pilot program to sign NDAs.

    119. Re:Smart by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      As for "definite information" - Tesla asked people participating in the pilot program to sign NDAs.

      So the answer, then, is no. But there's nothing worth hiding, if people have already broken down a battery pack, so what are they hiding?

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    120. Re:Smart by jandersen · · Score: 1

      Nobody counts the emissions to produce any other vehicles, so why would we hold electric cars to a different standard?

      Because it would be more accurate/honest? If we want to consider the effect on the environment, we have to take into account the sum of effects, for all types of cars, not just focus on a single aspect. Electric cars probably come out on top still, but the problem is, we don't know, unless we consider all facts without bias. The objective truth, as far as possible, should be what matters, especially to environmentally conscious people - we want to achieve a better environment, after all.

    121. Re:Smart by Zobeid · · Score: 1

      Silly me... I had just assumed that consumers -- who buy the cars with their hard earned money -- would be the ones who decide what is or is not competitive in the marketplace. I guess CARB will make those decisions for us from now on?

      Personally, I think that convenience is what generally wins out, at least in the USA. Electric cars have a huge advantage here, since they can be charged at home overnight. I don't know how gasoline or hydrogen is going to compete with that.

    122. Re: Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      99-2004 V6 Mustangs had ~190 HP / ~220 lb-ft torque. They were 20 mpg city / 29 highway with the 5 speed manual. 0-60 in ~7 seconds.

    123. Re:Smart by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So basically you have a pet conspiracy theory that you're trying to push, that requires a lot of active effort to conceal, and for which you present no clear evidence as to why we should even start looking.

    124. Re:Smart by toddestan · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but that involves dealing the TSA and the shit that the airlines put you through now. Don't forget tack a bunch of taxes and fees onto your $100-$120 airfare. Ditto for the rental car too. If I can get there in a full day of driving I'm driving it, no question.

  3. Compelling products from Detroit? unlikely by dprimary · · Score: 1

    I find it unlikely Detroit will put out any compelling auto no matter if it runs on electric, gas, diesel.

  4. no electric car likely, but maybe a motorcycle by dltaylor · · Score: 2

    I can only have one car, and an electric just cannot now, nor is likely to be able to, in my lifetime, do the kinds of things for which I use one. It doesn't help that none of the current, or probable, models of car (not SUV) allow a linebacker-sized driver (and, yes, I've tried the on the Telsa; it's pathetic).

    I have ridden a couple of electric motorcycles. H-Ds demo reminds me of my 2004 Ducati Monster, and there's an electric superbike (Energica Ego) coming, maybe, from Italy. Modern superbikes have limited range, anyway, so an electric is not a downside. One of those I could do.

    1. Re:no electric car likely, but maybe a motorcycle by Gordo_1 · · Score: 1

      > an electric just cannot now, nor is likely to be able to, in my lifetime, do the kinds of things for which I use one.

      Hmmm... I don't think Tesla's are much smaller than say S class Mercedes, but maybe even that's too small for you. In any case, I'm sure they could serve you, but I imagine that will come 10+ years down the road as electrics slowly replace all the smaller markets.

      Unless you're in your 70s, I sense you'll live to eat those words by the way.

    2. Re:no electric car likely, but maybe a motorcycle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The average linebacker is 6'2" 247 (via answers.com).

      I am 6'4", 250.

      Full size sedans, like the Model S, are no problem. In fact, I very comfortably fit (with room to spare) into cars smaller than a typical full size sedan (in particular, my Mustang).

      Of course, if your issue is you are as _heavy_ as a linebacker, but proportioned like a beach ball instead of a human being, there could indeed be serious problems, but I would say they are of the PEBSAS (problem exists between the steering-wheel and seat) variety.

      Another fun fact: Most modern midsize SUVs have less interior/driver room (head, leg, hip, shoulder) than full size sedans.

    3. Re:no electric car likely, but maybe a motorcycle by Overzeetop · · Score: 2

      If he won't fit in tesla, there are very few cars (not SUVs) he actually will fit easily into. I'm only 6' - 200# and most sedans are fairly cramped. SUVs, otoh, are generally roomy.

      Funny that a car without an unlimited range is a non-started for him, but a bike with very limited range is okay.

      Unless he's a regular cross-country driver, I suspect you're right - in 10 years there will be an electric car which meets enough of his (actual) needs to be his sole vehicle. On the rare case you need to go futher, you rent a gas car. It's what normal people do now when they find themselves in need of a vehicle they don't own or have with them (i.e. car in a remote city, truck for hauling, RV for cross country travel).

      --
      Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
    4. Re:no electric car likely, but maybe a motorcycle by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 1

      Out of curiosity, why do modern superbikes have limited range?

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    5. Re:no electric car likely, but maybe a motorcycle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Weight, areodynamics matters more than range for their clientelle.

    6. Re:no electric car likely, but maybe a motorcycle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I call bullshit on "an electric just cannot now, nor is likely to be able to, in my lifetime, do the kinds of things for which I use one". Do you not know you can DRIVE AN ELECTRIC CAR and it's shaped EXACTLY LIKE A CAR?

      How many times in your life have you driven infinity miles in a petrol car?

      Another claims your "oh it so tiny" as bullshit. The problem may be your fat 500lb ass won't fit in anything smaller than a minivan.

    7. Re:no electric car likely, but maybe a motorcycle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Which car has unlimited range?

    8. Re:no electric car likely, but maybe a motorcycle by captainpanic · · Score: 1

      Because your entire body will hurt after driving them for much longer than that limited range?

    9. Re:no electric car likely, but maybe a motorcycle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ouch sorry to hear you'll be dead in a year or two. Live life my friend!

    10. Re: no electric car likely, but maybe a motorcycle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Real americans,not the mythical 90% of a persoN, actually go do things. I'm prettu sure that yesterdays omaha to topeka to denver trip wouldn't have been plausible with a tesle, and would have been much more painful in the great gas mileage cars, but somehow the minivan with our 3 kids did just fine. Sent the kids on the train the other way ... one of the few routes that works...it cost more in ffares than the round trip drive and took more than twice as long.

    11. Re:no electric car likely, but maybe a motorcycle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      no, electric cars are shaped like compact cars, and white american are much larger than the mean in the US, both in girth and height. 6'2" and back problems. The Tesla was fun to drive, but I'm not crawling in and out of it twice a day, same reason I don't have a corvette or a Jetta. On the other hand, my shortbed ford has surprisingly comfortable seats, and handles completely adequate for all the driving I do. I also didn't pay an extra $20k to show I have a big dick with a sports car. Nor do I need to rent another vehicle to go see my parents in SoCal. I just stop for an 8 minute gas/piss stop.

    12. Re:no electric car likely, but maybe a motorcycle by Bob+the+Super+Hamste · · Score: 1

      There are just some people who aren't very forward thinking. The I only have a 84 mile range on a Leaf before needing to recharge complaint is just whining because it is the current starting point. These people also are the ones who will buy a big giant SUV because some day them might want to tow or haul something but in all likelihood will never do either. For me that would be cutting it very close in ideal cases for my daily commute, but for my wife that would likely be one charge a week. I have told my wife that when we replace her car we will get her an electric one since it makes sense. I will probably have to go through 2 additional cars before I get my first electric one as I buy good used vehicles so first they will need to make an electric car that meets my needs as a reasonable price, and they I will need to buy it second hand. This will probably happen in 15-20 years. As far as not fitting I'm 5'9 and 250 pounds (lots of power lifting) and I fit fine in my smaller sedan, a 2002 BMW 325i, even though I have pretty broad shoulders.

      --
      Time to offend someone
    13. Re:no electric car likely, but maybe a motorcycle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can only have one car, and an electric just cannot now, nor is likely to be able to, in my lifetime, do the kinds of things for which I use one.

      What are you, like eighty years old?

    14. Re:no electric car likely, but maybe a motorcycle by ncc74656 · · Score: 2

      If he won't fit in tesla, there are very few cars (not SUVs) he actually will fit easily into. I'm only 6' - 200# and most sedans are fairly cramped. SUVs, otoh, are generally roomy.

      What kind of weird bodily proportions do you have that you can't fit into most cars? I could understand if you were 7' tall or something like that, but I'm 6'0" and a bit further past 200 lbs. than I'd like. :-P My daily driver up until about a year ago was an Oldsmobile Alero, which was their smallest model. I had no trouble at all with interior space, getting in/out, etc. Some subcompacts and compacts I've rented over the years have been a little bit cramped, but pretty much anything midsize or larger is comfy enough (took the Alero from Las Vegas to Denver in one day, and back in one day a few days later...that's about 12 hours behind the wheel each way).

      --
      20 January 2017: the End of an Error.
    15. Re:no electric car likely, but maybe a motorcycle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Motorcycles don't have room for large gas tanks. My bike gets 60+ mpg but only has a 4 gallon tank so my range is about 240 miles, I try to fill up after about 200 miles. Some touring bikes have 5-6 gallon tanks and still get 40-50mpg so they have pretty decent ranges. Superbikes are the muscle cars ofbthe bike world though, power and wieght are very important. So they have bigger more fuel hungry engines that get worse gas mileage and smaller gas tanks to save weight, so superbikes tend to have the shortest range of all bikes. Not that most people would be comfortable riding much more than 100 miles without getting off to stretch.

    16. Re:no electric car likely, but maybe a motorcycle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, electric compacts are shaped like compacts, but electric sedans are shaped like sedans, you asshat.

      And your ass would have to be wider than a linebackers' shoulders to not fit in a fucking car, lardass.

      Finally,after diving four hours, don't you fucking STOP? You know, to eat, piss, stretch and shit? For like 20-30 minutes at least? Long enough to fully recharge. So your "oh, it won't recharge in 5 minutes!!!!". Well, I have news, sherlock, if there isn't a space to fill up, it has taken me 20+ minutes to fill my car.

  5. "will" = force people to follow orders by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Classic leftist crap, predictable really from a foreigner. Yet they chose to set up shop here, why? Manipulable government, and an economy that would support their company - the best of both worlds, until the paradox squeezes things too hard and it turns to shit. But by then they're in, made their money, and got out.

    1. Re:"will" = force people to follow orders by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Classic leftist crap

      care to elaborate ?

    2. Re:"will" = force people to follow orders by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      I think he means that the business owner is asking for regulations on competitors in the open without a bribe, whereas the rightist solution is to pay politicians for the law directly (and behind the scenes), like everyone else.

  6. The future of electric could be much brighter if. by deviated_prevert · · Score: 1
    Car company(s) create a system where the primary large charge battery could be changed as a fillup quickly, standardized in size, capacities and ratings. That way the electricity would easily become a salable product. The car itself could have the capacity to run without the main unit and when you buy the vehicle it would not come with a primary power cell. It is also the only way that car power batteries can become affordable in a hurry, essentially you rent them and pay for the power. If you want to own your own that could work too but then you would have to wait for the battery to charge on the road.

    The secondary power unit could be either electric smaller capacity or hybrid.

    The cut throat competition in the auto industry and essentially a cartel on fuel can be a destructive force to progress when there are better ways of doing things especially when the companies can't see the forest for the friggin' trees the way our current auto industry is setup!

    This solution I propose is perfect for commuter cars but could also work with short 200 mile and under highway travel even with today's battery technology. This way electric charging companies could slowly replace hydrocarbon filling stations with oil tanks that have for years caused environmental chaos especially in cities, In the south west, at least the filling stations, could easily be enhanced by solar charging to reduce the costs of electrical transmission.

    I highly doubt that this will happen though because the oil industry still has far too much political pull in Washington and the way things are going I suspect that there will be another bush league government happening in a few years. So the oil company lobby and political cartel is almost impossible remove. Unless of course some auto firm gets together with Tesla, jumps ship away from the oil cartel and stuns the public into awareness of what is really possible if we get our heads out of the tar sands.

    The environmental costs of our current vehicles is to high a price to pay and they need to go and soon. California is on fire and the west coast salmon are in extreme danger of rapid extinction because of global warming either we get our act together and slow down the use of fossil fuels soon or we will suffer an economic and environmental collapse that will have enormous social consequences by the year 2050. My sig says much more than what Peter Sellers said in movie that exposed environmental and social stupidity.

    --
    This message was not sent from an iPhone because Peter Sellers really was a deviated prevert without a dime for the call
  7. Re:The future of electric could be much brighter i by polar+red · · Score: 2

    search on youtube. tesla demonstrated a battery swap system.

    --
    Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
  8. Tesla asks for huge tax on meat: by olddoc · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Suppose Tesla was concerned about man made climate change. The company might want to decrease animal protein consumption because methane from farm animals is far more important than automobile emissions: http://timeforchange.org/are-c... If the government can force us to drive different cars, they can force us to eat different foods. Come on Tesla: lobby to force all bacon and hamburger be made with 55% tofu. See how popular you are. Disclosure: I drive a P85D and I love it. It is an amazing car and works great for my family.

    --
    Power tends to corrupt, and absolute power corrupts absolutely.
    1. Re:Tesla asks for huge tax on meat: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > methane from farm animals is far more important than automobile emissions

      False. In North America alone, there were 85 to 90 million (!) buffalos roaming free until the late 1800s, when USA hunted them to essentially extinction in order to starve the hunter-gatherer redskin tribes to death. A total of just 17 (yes, seventeen!) half-blood buffalos remained in the end, if memory serves me right and then those were bred back into the imitation full-blood buffalos of today. Yet, there was no Global Warming from Eve to Adam Smith.

      Therefore, bovines make no difference whatsoever to Global Climate Change, but USA's love of big block cars and oversized buildings does, as well as China / Germany burning coal like there is no tomorrow.

      In fact, it seems USA is actually pro runaway global warming, because of christian-zionism hysteria. Those heretics (*) want to cause catastrophic events, which shall make jews miserable, so that they need to recognize Jesus as the Messiah to be saved, thereby causing his return on the clouds from Heaven. This way the aim of entire human history, as imagined by christian zionists will be fulfilled and the End of Times can happen. (At which time most of them hope to be rewarded in a small way as useful minions. Some believe, however that as soon as all israelite recognize Jesus, the gentiles will simply turn to dust en masse, not having a soul and lacking a purpose any more. These pessimists take pride in making the chosen nation reach fulfillment, even if the path is devastating for both of them.)

      * Note: both the Apostolic Creed and the Nicea-Constantinople Creed, the basic tenets of christian faith, include statments which expressly deny and condemn christian-zionism, via its reliance on the false teaching of millenialism a.k.a. kilialism. It should also be mentioned that Jesus himself stated that only and only the Father (YHWH) knows when the Last Day is going to happen, so trying to induce it via human effort is both futile and disrespectful (Mark 13:32: But of that day or hour no one knows, not even the angels in heaven, nor the Son, but the Father alone.)

    2. Re:Tesla asks for huge tax on meat: by babybird · · Score: 1

      I'm not convinced this is a genuine point, I'll have to look into the numbers further. Here is the problem at the surface though.

      If we eat cows, they die and don't produce any more methane. If we stop eating them, they don't die, and continue to produce methane. If we continually eat them, we kill one cow and raise another in its place. It seems to me that if we all became vegetarian that it may have little if any actual impact on greenhouse gas emissions because by breaking the cycle, we just have existing animals taking the place of replacement animals, and the whole thing becomes a wash and the net balance is zero, or close to zero.

      The significant difference here is that the greenhouse gases that food animals produce is not sequestered gas like it is for the transportation industry. The greenhouse gases released by burning gasoline in cars is greenhouse gas that's been sequestered in the ground in petroleum for hundreds of thousands of years, and is being released by drilling, processing, and burning at a pace far more rapid than it was originally created. The greenhouse gases created by ranching an animal are gases that are produced in real time over the lifetime of the animal itself-- not by eating animals that have been in the ground for hundreds of thousands of years.

      The only obvious significant contribution to global warming that can easily be attributed to eating animals is that burned by the ranchers in the course of operating their ranch-- i.e., transportation from ranch to market, transportation of resources to and from the ranch, and so forth-- but all of that already falls under the rubric of transportation anyway, so it's still only a fraction of the total.

      --
      Keith D.
    3. Re:Tesla asks for huge tax on meat: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I'm an advantaged rich prick". Sorry. There's no gentle way to say it.

      "I'm a deeply jealous and insecure loser". Sorry, there's no gentle way to say it.

    4. Re:Tesla asks for huge tax on meat: by Your.Master · · Score: 1

      If the government can force us to drive different cars, they can force us to eat different foods.

      How does that make sense at all?

    5. Re:Tesla asks for huge tax on meat: by fnj · · Score: 1

      I drive a P85D

      "I'm an advantaged rich prick". Sorry. There's no gentle way to say it. Keep modding away, panty waists. I can keep this up.

    6. Re:Tesla asks for huge tax on meat: by fnj · · Score: 1

      Fair enough - fucking coward.

  9. Tesla circle-jerk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hur dur Elon can do nothing wrong.

  10. Re:Compelling products from Detroit? unlikely by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

    I find it unlikely Detroit will put out any compelling auto no matter if it runs on electric, gas, diesel.

    The current Corvette is broadly considered to be the best deal in high performance... in the world. The new Cadillacs are awe-inspiring and built like they mean it. Even Ford has apparently discovered reliability. You're talking bollocks.

    I'll grant you a lot of garbage is still coming from the big three, but look around the world. Everyone makes shit cars.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  11. Re:The future of electric could be much brighter i by Overzeetop · · Score: 1

    The only way electric cars can become affordable is to double the number of the most expensive single element out there? It's the batteries that make them so insanely expensive. And to have a swap system you will need double the number (roughly) to allow for inventory, spares, and repairs. You're talking about a huge outlay of funds on a resource that is going to have to have a long payback period in order to show black on the balance sheet.

    Not to mention that batteries take up a huge amount of space and weight in a car. Trying to standardize on a single battery pack is like asking laptop manufacturers to standardize on a single pack. That's didn't work even when packs were readily removable and swapable.

    And that doesn't even address the short-packing someone will inevitably do. Short a pack by 20-30% of the cells so they can sell a "refill" cheaper than the next guy. Or manufacturers who simply put in shitty batteries. Go over to the candlepower forums to see the crazy differences between current mfrs actual verses tested ratings.

    And solar is going to have to get a *lot* better if you think that's close to a viable option for real-time charging of the kind of power needed for a battery swap or battery charging center. Remember that we only get about 1200w/m^2 of total incident power on a great day, and less than 20% of that is usable as electricity using currently commercialized PV technology. If you want to service, say, 200 full-size cars a day (a low number at a busy interstate station), you're going to need between 17 MWh of energy. For the perfectly sunny day, that's 8500 square meters of panels without any conversion losses - close to 2 ACRES of panels. You're typical filling station site on a 1/4 acre lot.

    I'd love to see electric cars really take off, but battery swaps aren't going to be the silver bullet imho.

    --
    Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
  12. Re:The future of electric could be much brighter i by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Hmm, the electric Golf looks, weighs and drives exactly the same as a petrol or diesel Golf. I know Sloshdat is all hopped up on Tesla, but the competition is out there, Sculley.

  13. Snark on Detroit? by sjbe · · Score: 1

    I find it unlikely Detroit will put out any compelling auto no matter if it runs on electric, gas, diesel.

    Right. That's why in 2014 GM sold 2.9 million, Ford sold 2.48 million, and Chrysler sold 2.09 million vehicles. Because it's really easy to sell over 7 million vehicles in a calendar year when you don't have any compelling products. (oops, did I leave the sarcasm bit on again? my bad)

    You might not like their products but clearly a lot of people do. The Ford F150 has been the number one selling vehicle in the US for the last 32 years running. That doesn't happen by accident. Are you seriously going to argue that the Corvette or Challenger Hellcat aren't interesting? Jeep has a fanatical following. They make a lot of vehicles that very clearly resonate with buyers worldwide. No they aren't all great but the notion that nothing from the so called Detroit automakers is compelling just doesn't fit the facts. Hell the sales figures alone prove that they continue to do something right.

    1. Re:Snark on Detroit? by Zak3056 · · Score: 1

      Right. That's why in 2014 GM sold 2.9 million, Ford sold 2.48 million, and Chrysler sold 2.09 million vehicles. Because it's really easy to sell over 7 million vehicles in a calendar year when you don't have any compelling products. (oops, did I leave the sarcasm bit on again? my bad)

      In the 1970s, all of them were selling absolutely awful products by the metric shitload (10% more than a normal shitload), so it's not exactly without precedent. FWIW, I agree with you in principle that Detroit actually has some life in it, but making that point with sales numbers isn't actually convincing proof.

      --
      What part of "shall not be infringed" is so hard to understand?
    2. Re:Snark on Detroit? by Zobeid · · Score: 1

      I wonder why people keep talking about how awful cars were in the 1970s? I'm old enough to remember those cars, but maybe I was too young to appreciate what was wrong with them.

      To me the true automotive dark age was the 1980s, when most cars looked like a box stacked on top of a larger box with woefully underpowered motors, squeaked like a sack full of mice, and periodically left you stranded on the side of the road.

    3. Re:Snark on Detroit? by Zak3056 · · Score: 1

      I wonder why people keep talking about how awful cars were in the 1970s? I'm old enough to remember those cars, but maybe I was too young to appreciate what was wrong with them.

      The 1970s represents a nadir in the quality of US manufactured goods in general, and cars were an exceptional representation of that. Detroit saw itself as having a captive market, innovated nothing, and let stuff leave the factory that never should have. I'll agree there are some examples of interesting design (Chrysler, especially, produced some absolutely beautiful machines through the 70s) but they were poorly executed, built by an apathetic and self entitled workforce, and outside of the "cool" factor involved, I doubt you would actually want to drive one.

      I'll agree that the average car of the 1980s was ugly as sin, and nearly as bad from a quality standpoint.

      --
      What part of "shall not be infringed" is so hard to understand?
    4. Re:Snark on Detroit? by Bruinwar · · Score: 1

      In the 70's Toyota & Honda were also making shit. You won't see very many of them on the road. But now & then we do see Ford Torinos, & Chevy Novas & lots of other car's out of Detroit (many actually MADE in Detroit) made in the '70s on the road.

      Don't get me started on VW, it's amazing they survived.

      --
      SLOWER TRAFFIC KEEP RIGHT
    5. Re:Snark on Detroit? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      I'll agree that the average car of the 1980s was ugly as sin, and nearly as bad from a quality standpoint.

      The 1970s were characterized by awful design coupled with 1960s technology. The cars of the 1970s are no more advanced than the cars of the 1960s. By contrast, the cars of the 1980s are dramatically more advanced... the imports, anyway. Japanese and German shitboxen got sequential fuel injection and advanced suspension designs. Most American cars were still using throttle body injection in the 80s, but at least they had discovered fuel injectors.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    6. Re:Snark on Detroit? by toddestan · · Score: 1

      When people talk about awful 70's cars, they generally refer to cars made after 1972. This is when the government's emission requirements killed the performance cars. That's why Cadillac's 500CI engine (that's 8.2L!) only made 190HP. The emission controls were often finicky and unreliable while adding cost to the vehicle. The 1973 year brought in new 5MPH bumper requirements which for many cars were implemented with large "battering rams" on the front and back of the vehicles which looked terrible especially on the cars styled before the regulation was enacted. Build quality was down - a lot of plastics were being used and the quality wasn't as good as today. Part of this was cost, and part of it was because safety regulations more or less forbid metal dashboards. Sheetmetal was thinner, paints weren't as good (environmental regs), so cars would start rusting in as little as 2-3 years and be rotted hulks in 7 years (this is in salt country, will vary in other climates). Styling is subjective, but with only some exceptions most don't really consider the 70's to be the high point of styling.

      The early 80's automakers were reacting to oil scares, and everyone assumed that small, fuel efficient cars were the future and large V8 RWD cars were dead. FWD took over almost overnight, and automakers killed off most of their large RWD platforms. Fuel and emission requirements really squeezed what little performance was left, and especially American cars were slow and underpowered. This was the era of the 4 cylinder naturally aspirated "Iron Duke" Camero. Foreign cars were not so underpowered, mostly because they were light and very small and Europe/Asia had a lot of experience building the cars Detroit was trying to design. Japan was around in the 70's, but really started to come out with some very competitive products in the 80's, though they still had a strong tendency to rust which they really didn't get fixed until the 90's. In my opinion, build quality was up, the plastics held up much better and they had worked most of the bugs out of the early emission systems. Electronic control and fuel injection helped immensely with reliability, while at the same time these early systems were still simple enough for backyard mechanics to diagnose and fix. Styling is once again subjective - 80's cars tended to be very boxy until the late 80's when the "Aero" (Ford Taurus) look started to catch on. I happen to like many 80's cars and think they look way better than today's swoopy and overwrought styling, but that's just my opinion.

  14. 4-bangers less anemic than they used to be by swb · · Score: 4, Insightful

    As much as I dislike the NY Times trend towards posting videos, it was interesting to see their review of the new Volvo XC90 with a 4 cylinder engine that's supercharged AND turbocharged. IIRC the review says its rated at nearly 300 HP.

    It's a large and fairly heavy car, so I don't think combined mileage was more than 25 MPG but it's definitely an improvement over the 4.4L V8 (my S80 with the same engine gets about 17 combined).

    The only thing I'd worry about is if they're extracting Fast and Furious style horsepower from 4 cylinder engines is that they'll get Fast and Furious levels of engine life.

    Frankly, I don't think Tesla needs to play the bootlegger-and-baptist game with fuel economy regulations to be competitive with ICE carmakers, they just need to be price and performance competitive within their model segments. At the oligarch country club where I do some work, I've seen a lot more Teslas and a lot fewer new S550s and my guess is that most of the drivers don't give a shit about the fuel cost or environmental impact of what they drive. They want performance and look-at-me status, and if it gives them an environmental cachet with their daughters' bohemian ivy league friends, so much the better,

    The bigger challenge will be providing a car the plebes find competitive at the $30k mark. For tofu-eating yoga types, this won't be hard. They would drive a Prius or a Fit anyway. It's the Honda Pilot or Santa Fe buyers they need to appeal to and provide a competitive alternative.

    1. Re:4-bangers less anemic than they used to be by RyoShin · · Score: 1

      Frankly, I don't think Tesla needs to play the bootlegger-and-baptist game with fuel economy regulations to be competitive with ICE carmakers, they just need to be price and performance competitive within their model segments.

      They can hit price in one of two basic ways:
      1) Lower their own costs
      2) Their competition has to increase their own price across the board

      It seems they're playing both sides on this one. They are trying to reduce their own costs, but by lobbying to at least maintain the current standards (if not tighten them), they force the competition to increase the cost of their R&D/vehicles to bring them more in line with Tesla's offerings.

  15. Specific complaint? by sjbe · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I can only have one car, and an electric just cannot now, nor is likely to be able to, in my lifetime, do the kinds of things for which I use one.

    And that would be what exactly? What do you do with a car that is so different from the rest of us that it can never work for you?

    It doesn't help that none of the current, or probable, models of car (not SUV) allow a linebacker-sized driver (and, yes, I've tried the on the Telsa; it's pathetic).

    If you think the Tesla is "pathetic" then you are talking out your ass. It's among the nicest luxury vehicles available this side of a Rolls Royce. Maybe it's not your particular cup of tea but anyone who thinks it is "pathetic" has either never actually sat in one or has an ax to grind. You don't even have to like Tesla to see that it is a very nice car.

    As for size, if you are really that big (approaching 2 meters tall) then you are way on the far side of the bell curve size and fit is always going to be a problem for you. The type of drive train will be irrelevant. If you are both tall and fat then there is a solution for at least half of that equation. One of my closest friends is around 2 meters (6'7") and there are not a lot of vehicles he can fit comfortably in which is why he drives a Chevy Suburban. Watching him get into the little two seat coupe I used to drive required some contortions on his part that I don't envy. If you are 2+ standard deviations from the mean size wise then you are going to struggle to find a vehicles that fits you.

    1. Re:Specific complaint? by dltaylor · · Score: 1

      I mostly ride the motorcycles when traveling around town and commuting, so the car is used for road trips and tightly scheduled long days when it's too hot for getting in and out of the armor multiple times or lots of people/stuff to haul. By "road trip", I mean things like Sturgis, SD, to Mt Rushmore on to the Devil's Tower and ending up at Buffalo, WY. Cannot do that in an electric, nor can I pause for an hour while running 400 miles of errands in the LA basin.

      It's not the waistline, it's the seat-to-crown height (I'm 6'4'', 265 lbs.) I have tried on the Tesla and could barely enter (my shoulder hits the upper door sill, same as a BMW 7-series). Getting into my '04 XJ is easy, and I don't hit my head, knees, elbows, ... on anything when I'm inside.

    2. Re:Specific complaint? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It really isn't that luxurious. It's not bad, by any means, but they fall far short of an S class. Mind you, pretty much everything does, but Tesla's interior isn't even on the high end of average for the price range.

      I do wish they'd up their game in that aspect, as it'd be nice to get one, but until they do I'll stick with an LS 460 (not as nice as a Benz S, but ever so much more reliable).

  16. What about YOUR self interest? by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Hey I like Tesla as much as the next guy, but wake me up when a corporation lobbies government in a way that goes against their own self-interest.

    So you don't care when a company lobbies against YOUR self interest like the traditional auto makers have been doing? Personally I care about that very much. Improved fuel economy standards are in MY interest so I'm kind of behind Tesla on this one.

    The theory here is that if more stringent fuel mileage standards are maintained, it will force traditional automakers to either make more tiny, anemic 4 cylinder gas engines (early 1980s anyone?) or push further into hybrid and electric car territory in order to deliver meaningful power without as much (or any) gasoline.

    More or less yes. Though "anemic" is a bit subjective. 20 years ago a car with 300 HP was rather unusual. Now it's more or less routine despite very few people actually needing more than about 150 or so HP. So despite today's engines actually being much improved, fuel economy has barely budged because we keep increasing the horsepower of the cars pointlessly.

    1. Re:What about YOUR self interest? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      incr hp = decr fuel economy = nope

  17. Re:Compelling products from Detroit? unlikely by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I've seen all these cars. I'm sure your grandpa thought the same of models from that era.

    But guess what? The Corvette is the best if you like Corvettes, and I don't. Lots of other people also don't. I remember leaving those big lumbering beasts in the dust in a street ported RX-7 with Weber carbs when I was 20. The power to mass ratio (and the sheer mass of the thing) just doesn't impress me. The owner of the Corvette said the engine sounded like a 'pop can', but wasn't laughing shortly after.

    Show me something that does more than consume more gas than 10 reasonable cars combined while going in essentially a straight line, and I'll be impressed. Detroit doesn't make that.

  18. Reliability in small displacement engines by sjbe · · Score: 1

    The only thing I'd worry about is if they're extracting Fast and Furious style horsepower from 4 cylinder engines is that they'll get Fast and Furious levels of engine life.

    Japanese companies have been doing this for ages and there is no problem with reliability. While there is some challenge in making a high strung 4 banger reliable, it's a problem that was solved a long time ago. A Subaru WRX generates plenty of HP and still manages to be quite reliable. You get F&F reliability when people who don't actually know what they are doing tune their cars beyond what they were designed for. That's not an issue when you are the company designing the car in the first place.

    The bigger challenge will be providing a car the plebes find competitive at the $30k mark.

    Yep. I think what you'll mostly see is almost all the luxury vehicles going hybrid in the near future which will have two effects. First it will provide a test bed for battery technology and second it will generate the economies of scale for battery tech to start to move down market. Tesla is working hard to get there directly but I think they aren't going to move the wider market by themselves. I think battery tech still has a bit further to go before pure EVs for the $30K crowd become widely appealing but I also think it's getting pretty close. 10 more years maybe? Hard to say for sure but think it won't be endlessly far off.

  19. Re:The future of electric could be much brighter i by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

    Good points. There is no reason to tie solar PV to car charging to start with. Cars are driven mostly during the day, it makes most sense to charge at night when the rest of society doesn't need the power for other things.

    Dedicated solar car chargers at work sound nice, since you'd be parked during the day, but they would sit unused on weekends and holidays. Similar for home based systems. It simply makes no sense to associate the two from a practical standpoint.

    The choice to use solar and the choice to install an EV charger should be independent of each other.

    And I agree it makes no sense to manufacture tons of extra batteries just to swap. That is a workaround to a fundamental issue with EVs, the best thing for EVs is to get range up to where it is only a problem for a small slice of the market. The people who want battery swaps the most will be battery makers. A lot of energy would be wasted on manufacturing, maintaining, and transporting those extra batteries, and other issues arise such as increase waste, increase rare earth metal demand, etc.

  20. How polite by sjbe · · Score: 4, Informative

    "I'm an advantaged rich prick". Sorry. There's no gentle way to say it.

    Maybe not, but there is a way to say it like an asshole which you just proved.

    1. Re:How polite by fnj · · Score: 1

      At least I'm not a polite worthless waste of protoplasm. You'll note I'm not ragging on all the people who can't afford to shit out 100 grand on a car, because you know what? They count just as much as the conspicuous consumers with the silver spoons.

  21. Incorrect method by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you wan to enforce fuel efficiency, this is not the way to do it. You have no way of knowing that the efficiency gained in using the car is not lost elsewhere, like in production.

    If you want less energy usage, you need to tax energy usage and let the market figure out the most effective pace to reduce the energy usage. Obviously this means that energy should be taxed equally for all everywhere. So no energy tax breaks for manufacturers and import tarifs based on energy expenditure to manufacture the device for goods from countries that do not have a similar setup.

  22. Re:The future of electric could be much brighter i by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Home Solar + EV = essentially free transportation energy for many use cases.

    This is why they are "tied" together. If I already have solar panels for energy in my home, there is no additional cost to also use those solar panels to "fuel" my vehicle (either in part, or in whole).

    It's actually a very, very good way to go about things, as solar panels (sans storage) frequently sit idle or well below capacity so making use of that 'idle' time does wonders for the ROI of the solar system.

  23. Re:The future of electric could be much brighter i by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    electric cars = no co2 credit swaps for goldman sachs. need to expand your horizons and the see the much bigger picture

  24. Re:Compelling products from Detroit? unlikely by Zak3056 · · Score: 3

    I don't have a dog in this fight, but I'm curious what relevance your "when I was a young man" story has to the GPs statement about the current corvette? Stating that something was not good in the past, and thus will never be good in the present, or the future, is not really a good argument.

    --
    What part of "shall not be infringed" is so hard to understand?
  25. Re:Compelling products from Detroit? unlikely by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The current Corvette is broadly considered to be the best deal in high performance... in the world.

    Only if you define 'world' kinda like you folks do in 'World Series'

  26. Perception matters by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Nissan has outsold Tesla by 3-4X.

    Umm, completely different cars in completely different market segments. Not even remotely a meaningful comparison. One is a performance luxury car that sells for nearly six figures to wealthy tech nerds. The other is a compact runabout purchased almost entirely by the granola crowd for eco cred. Would be hard to be more different.

    Tesla's "grip" on the EV sector is imaginary. They are certainly in a very, very nice position in the industry. But they are a medium sized player and their "lead" is mostly imaginary and one of perception.

    Perception matters. For example there is no technical reason the Ford F150 has been the best selling vehicle in the US for the last 32 years. In a given year the Chevy or Ram offerings are often objectively better for that model year. Yet Ford out sells them every single year. Why? Perception. Having a brand people like and are comfortable with matters a lot.

    And as far as size goes, Telsa is a tiny auto maker. GM sells more vehicles in a month than Tesla has sold in their entire history. The big auto makers could introduce an all electric vehicle very quickly if they wanted to but mostly they are working on hybrids and watching the market. If Tesla can prove the market (good chance of that) then you'll see them jump in later on in a big way. But the longer they stay out of the market the better it will be for Tesla if they can do what they are working on. Tesla has a brand with very high appeal right now.

    1. Re:Perception matters by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      The only reason the F-150 is #1 is that GM splits it's pickup sales across Chevy/GMC. Whereas there are very very few people stupid enough to buy a Lincoln pickup truck (same as pickup truck Escalades).

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  27. "Northern tip?" Seriously? by sh00z · · Score: 1

    WSJ reporter didn't even look at his map. Not only is Traverse City not the northern tip of the LOWER Peninsula, it's over 200 miles south of the actual northernmost town in Michigan. sheesh.

    1. Re:"Northern tip?" Seriously? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I grew up near Marquette in Michigan. I always thought of Traverse City as pretty far south. When I read "northern tip" I thought maybe Houghton — at least somewhere near the Keweenaw peninsula. These reporters are geographically ignorant!

      By the way, Michigan is divided by the Mackinaw Bridge into Yoopers and Trolls. The Yoopers live in the Upper Peninsula, or U.P., while the trolls live below the bridge.

    2. Re:"Northern tip?" Seriously? by Eq+7-2521 · · Score: 1

      I actually had the thought, "Copper Harbor has major conference space/facilities?"

      --
      At my age I find coming up with a witty signature too exhausting.
  28. What tesla won't tell you: by slashdice · · Score: 1

    They don't make money when they sell cars, they make money when they sell their tax credits to people who make money when they sell cars.

    --
    Copyright (c) 1990 - 2014 Dice. All rights reserved. Use of this comment is subject to certain Terms and Conditions.
  29. Re:The future of electric could be much brighter i by radl33t · · Score: 2

    Battery technology is probably good enough now, will only get better (and cheaper), and swaps are not necessary, but may help in some areas. Batteries will continue to decline in price (learning curve of approx. 22%) at a rate of ~8%/yr as production continues to scale. In about 8 or 9 years they will cost under 150 $/kWh. Probably faster or cheaper, as usually the case with these projections... This will reduce the premium on EVs to -10% to 20% under/over gas cars and reduce the "payback" (based on 0,08 $/kWh and 3 $/gal gas) to 0 - 2 years. I imagine despite their "issues," EVs reaching cost parity with gas cars will spur a large number of sales. But it isn't over

    Coupled with today's PV prices (neglecting the 40% haircut they will get over the same time period), anyone will be able to go virtually off grid (will depend on specific utility machinations) for about 0.05 - 0.08 $/kWh, including 10 year battery replacements. Giving you a system that is cash flow positive and under warranty during the entire amortization period. It will be a no brainier for anyone with access to cheap capital (typical middle class home owner with about 6% HELOC rates). In most cases this will be probably the lowest risk AND highest returning financial investment vehicle available to the middle class (except for energy efficiency home improvements). This is essentially the case right now with PV (utility restrictions aside).

    The average commuter needs 9 kWh/day for a 30mi round trip commute (average, I think). Power produced under average insolation (like Ohio or New York) is about 3.3 kWh/m^2-day, Cut it by 40% for the winter equals about 2 kWh/m^2-day per day. So you need about 4 panels (5-6m^2) per electric car, less than a parking space.

    Panels are about 0.74 $/W ( They would be about 0.6 $/W without tariffs on Chinese imports) So your module cost is just under $800 with about 30% extra area for _really_ bad winter days. You have a surplus of about 200-300% in the summer for powering your house which will help recoup the cost of your PV array (which will have a payback of 4-8 yrs versus gas -without- using any extra power for your home, net metering, etc). IF you do it in the next 2 years you get a 30% off via ITC, afterword 10% off that price.

    Add micro inverters and racking for $1000. DIY the install is like running CAT5 and installing a basketball hoop / skylight. A novice can install it in half a day. Or pay a guy $1000 (~150/hr) to throw it up. Depending on your municipality you may have connection fees (you can probably avoid this with the right inverter and have an off grid EV charger...). Now you have a $2000 - $3000 charging system large enough to put out enough charging power on about 90% of days anywhere in the continental US and also about 3 - 13X "regular" days of storage for trips or cloudy weather. Of course we'll need this infrastructure in public too, but the low costs will justify its proliferation, especially when amalgamated into larger, cheaper, and financially sound commercial and utility systems.

    Solar doesn't have to get any better, batteries will get cheaper and probably more dense by just incremental economies of scale improvements, and one needs a pretty compelling argument to explain why this relatively conservative scenario won't play out and appeal to at least several million households and hence become an important segment of the private transportation sector within about a decade.

  30. Sales are the best data on what is compelling by sjbe · · Score: 1

    In the 1970s, all of them were selling absolutely awful products by the metric shitload

    And people were buying them because they were the best alternative available in most cases. Yes they were very often crap but there was no non-crap option available. Once there was and they started bleeding market share they eventually (albeit late) starting making better products. The reason for the recent bankruptcies was because their labor and benefits costs because uncompetitive in a competitive market. But the cars they make have continued to appeal and sell, even in the darkest days of bankruptcy. Sales has never truly been the big problem for the Big 3, even with reduced market share. People like their products even when they probably shouldn't if they were being objective about it.

    I agree with you in principle that Detroit actually has some life in it, but making that point with sales numbers isn't actually convincing proof.

    It's only not proof if you think people are nothing more than gullible sheep with no concept of what interests them. Since that isn't actually true we have to consider that people buy what actually appeals to them and that sales figures are actually the best data available on what constitutes a compelling product.

    1. Re:Sales are the best data on what is compelling by Zak3056 · · Score: 1

      And people were buying them because they were the best alternative available in most cases. Yes they were very often crap but there was no non-crap option available.

      That's a fair point, which is taken.

      People like their products even when they probably shouldn't if they were being objective about it. ... It's only not proof if you think people are nothing more than gullible sheep with no concept of what interests them. Since that isn't actually true we have to consider that people buy what actually appeals to them and that sales figures are actually the best data available on what constitutes a compelling product

      This, however, was the point I was trying to make: brand loyalty is a thing (even in fleets, which is bizarre and should result in someone getting fired, but it still exists) and that, for many (even most?) people, buying a car is NOT the rational transaction that it should be, but a purely emotional one. I have no data to back this up, but I'm willing to bet that, in the US, that emotion favors the big three for a variety of reasons.

      --
      What part of "shall not be infringed" is so hard to understand?
  31. Re:The future of electric could be much brighter i by Zobeid · · Score: 1

    Battery swapping seems to me like an elaborate and costly solution to a non-problem. Most electric cars are simply going to be charged at home anyhow, most of the time, because that's most convenient. In the marketplace -- especially in the USA -- convenience usually wins out.

  32. If at First You Can't Succeed... by BECoole · · Score: 1

    Bribe some congressmen to legislate in your favor.

    Musk must have learned that one from Buffett.

  33. Re:Smart Battery Swaps by cbelt3 · · Score: 1

    Is there a possible benefit to getting a battery with fewer charge cycles in a swap ? I sort of saw this concept as a way to get a refurbished battery when yours is reaching end of life, or has a few dead cells.

  34. Re:Compelling products from Detroit? unlikely by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oh! Sure.

    Muscle cars were always about huge engines and (therefore) heavy frames. That is even more true today than it was in the 80s. In the 80s, said unibody with a (sadly no longer in production) rotary engine with something like 1/2 the mass of the Corvette could outperform it in multiple ways.

    While the muscle cars have gotten better too, the difference in mass to power ratio between the two is still tilted against them. Go drive a Mazda MX5 (still partially owned by Ford I think, if that matters to you :) and see what I mean. The thing is a go-cart that accelerates like a rocket.

  35. Re: Electric Cars are for cows by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The smart people left years ago. Now it's just idiots with delusions of intelligence, and the people who are making fun of you.

  36. Re:Compelling products from Detroit? unlikely by buckfeta2014 · · Score: 0

    If you can fit in one. I'm 6'2" and I had my shins against the dashboard with the seat all the way back, my head against my knees, my head against the roof, and i couldn't get the door closed. I swear those things are made for "little people"...

    --
    Buck Feta. You know what to do.
  37. That word does not mean what you think it does by DerekLyons · · Score: 2

    Few people need them with Supercharging becoming more ubiquitous by the day.

    With just shy of 500 stations across the entire US, and many major cities lacking a Supercharger station entirely or having one at best... the word "ubiquitous" does not mean what you think it does.

    McDonald's is ubiquitous - Supercharger stations are rare and unusual.

    1. Re:That word does not mean what you think it does by short · · Score: 2

      You need Superchargers only on highways, otherwise you charge at home or at work. You do not need them particularly in cities.

    2. Re:That word does not mean what you think it does by itsdapead · · Score: 1, Insightful

      You need Superchargers only on highways, otherwise you charge at home or at work. You do not need them particularly in cities.

      Unless, of course, you are visiting a city and need a recharge to get back home.

      --
      In a survey of 100 programmers, 111111 thought that duck-typing was a good idea.
    3. Re:That word does not mean what you think it does by rch7 · · Score: 1

      You don't need it in city, it is not 50 mile range EV. You can recharge on your way home or on your way back to the city. Most people need them on highways every 100 (or more) miles and that is all.

    4. Re:That word does not mean what you think it does by toddestan · · Score: 1

      That doesn't make sense. What if the charging station is 100 miles from the city you're visiting? You charge up, drive into the city, and you only got less than 100 miles of driving you can do before you have to start your return trip back to the charger? Cities are going to need charging stations for people visiting with an electric car.

    5. Re:That word does not mean what you think it does by rch7 · · Score: 1

      You can always charge from regular outlet at the place you are staying, or use not so fast Level 2 charger.
      Sure it doesn't work for people you stay in driver's seat 16 hours per day, so EV is not good for them. Most don't keep driving all the time.

  38. Re: Electric Cars are for cows by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...and us cows.

  39. Zero Soul Power by JimSadler · · Score: 0

    A nation survives based upon a certain type of morality among citizens. And it is not the type of morality that worries about who sleeps with whom or whether birth control is moral. But when a man's morals are ruled by his financial concerns we are in the deepest kind of emergency. So we now have every wretch who somehow earns money from the conventional auto and truck industry using the lie in the form of deliberate blindness and deliberate ignorance to keep gas and diesel powered vehicles in place when the simple truth is that electric vehicles are clearly and by a huge margin what is needed for 99% of the drivers in our nation. Now watch this filth try and try and buckle down even harder to try and ruin, stop, or hold back Tesla. It is not the cowering pervert hiding in dark corners waiting to molest a child or strangle a young woman that should draw our wrath and ire. It is the common business man. We are about to see the filth of our nation attack Tesla again.

    1. Re:Zero Soul Power by babybird · · Score: 1

      Well, actually it's both that should draw our wrath and ire, because at their root, they're the same kind of destructive force, and picking and choosing which kind of evil to have wrath and ire for only enables the remaining evil to perpetuate itself, leaving us with the same destruction, just in a somewhat different form, and with different victims.

      --
      Keith D.
  40. Four cars, one is a Leaf by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It is perfectly understandable that those who live in apartments, and only own one car, can not afford the inconvenience of an electric. But consider owning one later in life.

    My family has four cars. One for me, my wife, one kid in high school, one in college. We use the Nissan Leaf every day, but we don't drive it more than 40 miles from home (where my wife works). It saves us about $200 on gasoline minus electricity per month. Other than during a dealer software update, we have never stopped at a charging station. It is one of the best cars that we have ever owned, and has almost zero maintenance.

    Considering the savings on maintenance, at some point in the next decade, we will gladly plop down another $5000 or less for a battery with even more capacity. If the battery dips below 75% capacity before 2018, we get a new one for free. If the battery dies before 2021, we also get a free battery (1 in 100,000 chance).

    When the need arises to leave town, we have three other cars, a 2004, 1996, and 1987, which are all reliable, carry no debt, and are cheap to insure.

  41. People don't buy based on objective criteria by sjbe · · Score: 1

    The only reason the F-150 is #1 is that GM splits it's pickup sales across Chevy/GMC.

    You are correct but kind of missing the point. The Ford does outsell the Chevy (which is true) but the point you glossed by is that there is no objective reason for this to be the case based on the technical merits of the respective vehicles. In some years the Chevy is an objectively better vehicle and the prices are so similar as to be identical. So if people were buying entirely based on objective evidence you would expect the sales crown to pass to Chevy or even Ram from time to time. But this doesn't happen.

    It's not actually clear that buyers in a GMC dealership would necessarily buy the Chevy over the Ford even though the GMC is completely identical to the Chevy in all meaningful respects. Hence they have to break them out even though you are quite correct that they are the same vehicle mechanically and could rightfully be viewed as one for sales.

  42. rent seeking by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    crony capitalists.

    Tesla doesn't have a viable business model without government intervention.

  43. Re:Smart Battery Swaps by swillden · · Score: 1

    Is there a possible benefit to getting a battery with fewer charge cycles in a swap ? I sort of saw this concept as a way to get a refurbished battery when yours is reaching end of life, or has a few dead cells.

    That's a completely different issue. Even without quick-recharge swaps, it's certainly possible to replace an old battery. But you're going to have to pay for that new battery (less a rebate for the value of the old one, I'm sure).

    --
    Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
  44. Not there YET. Key word is yet. by sjbe · · Score: 1

    By "road trip", I mean things like Sturgis, SD, to Mt Rushmore on to the Devil's Tower and ending up at Buffalo, WY.

    The big thing will be getting recharge times down. That's going to take another 10-15 years minimum I think. (The superchargers are nice but not quite there yet) Until then long distances with EV will be via hybrids. I think it won't be long before we start seeing long distance haulers and trucks being hybrids. Lots of torque from the electric motors and it will help the automakers meet CAFE standards. Wouldn't be surprised to see some diesel electric hybrids at some point.

    Cannot do that in an electric, nor can I pause for an hour while running 400 miles of errands in the LA basin.

    Cannot do that in an electric YET. Give it 5-10 years and it could happen. Heck the notion of an EV that can do 400 miles on a charge isn't in the realm of science fiction. The Tesla can do over 230 now and it isn't optimized for range. I don't have any trouble envisioning an EV with double that range.

    It's not the waistline, it's the seat-to-crown height (I'm 6'4'', 265 lbs.) I have tried on the Tesla and could barely enter (my shoulder hits the upper door sill, same as a BMW 7-series).

    So how do that equate to "pathetic"? I get that it might not be a good fit for you but that's just how it goes sometimes. Very tall and very short people unfortunately have necessarily limited options because accommodating them tends to ruin the ergonomics for "normal" sized people who constitute the majority of the buying public. I dated a girl once who was about 4'9" and she actually needed blocks on the pedals of her truck to drive it. I prayed the airbag never went off on her because she had to sit so close it would likely have killed her. Most really tall guys I know end up driving big SUVs of some description. Kind of sucks but that's the way it goes. I think you'll probably see somebody do some big trucks in pure EV and there already are hybrids out there.

  45. IT'LL BE CHEAPER TO RUN! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So, again, what's the problem here?

    Do you think it is impossible for them to make fuel efficient cars that aren't going to break early? Do you REALLY think that little of your car companies and engineers???

    1. Re:IT'LL BE CHEAPER TO RUN! by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      Are we talking American auto companies with a very long history of mediocre engineering (with a few outliers are both ends), or Japanese/German auto companies with a higher perceived quality of engineering over time?

  46. Paywalled by TheBilgeRat · · Score: 1

    Who knows what the premise really is, since we can't RTFA.

  47. Re:Smart Battery Swaps by Cyberax · · Score: 1

    Yes, I think I got a newer battery. However, right now you have to return to the battery swap station to get your battery back.

    Anyway, battery replacement can be done easily for Tesla in regular non-automated service centers in a manner of minutes.

  48. Re:Compelling products from Detroit? unlikely by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

    But guess what? The Corvette is the best if you like Corvettes, and I don't. Lots of other people also don't. I remember leaving those big lumbering beasts in the dust in a street ported RX-7 with Weber carbs when I was 20.

    But guess what? The Corvette of today is a completely different vehicle. It's got half as many parts as that corvette you dusted when you were 20. Today, the stock Corvette driver will fucking eat your RX-7 if he is anywhere near as good a driver as you are.

    Show me something that does more than consume more gas than 10 reasonable cars combined while going in essentially a straight line, and I'll be impressed. Detroit doesn't make that.

    You think that because you're ignorant, but that's the only reason. In fact, the 'vette has bank deactivation and is a relative fuel-sipper for its displacement...

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  49. Re:Compelling products from Detroit? unlikely by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Muscle cars were always about huge engines and (therefore) heavy frames. That is even more true today than it was in the 80s.

    You have no idea what you're talking about. The body of the modern Corvette is substantially lighter than the body of the Corvette of the 80s.

    While the muscle cars have gotten better too, the difference in mass to power ratio between the two is still tilted against them. Go drive a Mazda MX5 (still partially owned by Ford I think, if that matters to you :) and see what I mean.

    It's hilarious you mention the MX5 because that's a vehicle that was deliberately made less powerful than possible, at least in the first and latest generations. And the current Corvette will absolutely shit on it.

    Look, the international motoring press has been quite clear: there is no better value in high-performance automobiles than the current Corvette. Period, the end, take that one home and sleep with it.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  50. So you don't stop when you get there, then? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Otherwise, and here's a real tip for you, you could, while visiting ***CHARGE YOUR CAR***.

    And guess what? You're going 150-200 miles on a car that can do 270.

    So what's your problem? Too dumb to think of it? Or do you only visit for like five minutes after your four hour drive???

  51. Re:Smart Battery Swaps by JazzLad · · Score: 1

    Curious question: If I got a newer battery, why would I want my old one back (or do they charge you if you don't?)?

    --
    "If you have nothing to hide, you have nothing to fear." - Every fascist, ever
  52. Re:Compelling products from Detroit? unlikely by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The corvette is not a muscle car, idjit. Chevy's muscle car is the Camero.

  53. Re:Smart Battery Swaps by Cyberax · · Score: 1

    They charge you the battery price difference if you don't return the battery, and it's not worth it right now.

  54. Re:Smart Battery Swaps by JazzLad · · Score: 1

    Thanks, I figured it had to be something like that.

    --
    "If you have nothing to hide, you have nothing to fear." - Every fascist, ever
  55. Re:Not there YET. Key word is yet. by dltaylor · · Score: 1

    The big thing will be getting recharge times down.

    No, the big thing is the complete lack of recharge facilities outside of the urban sprawl and main highways. I travel by off-Interstate, whenever possible, and there are not going to be recharge facilities scattered as widely as hydrocarbon fuel stations for a very long time.

    The Tesla can do over 230 now and it isn't optimized for range.

    Not even close to that in start-stop driving and full AC (which I need, or I would be on a motorcycle instead for that trip).

    So how do that equate to "pathetic"?

    I have, and have had, other cars without that issue (current XJ, 1996 Grand Marquis, 1993 Integra, and others). To tell me that a four-door luxury sedan is that difficult to enter is pathetic. Not that the Tesla is the only one, but it is the one that I have been told, repeatedly (look at the replies to my original comment), is "very roomy".

  56. trucks? by mOzone · · Score: 1

    you know there are crazy people who have to buy and drive trucks for work..i know punish only company's who make them for people who have to tow-haul-carry stuff ..honda-tesla-etc dont have to worry they don't have to make work trucks.

  57. far better to drop the regulations by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    instead, slowly increase the fuel tax by .10/gal for the next 10 years. If consumers know that gas/diesel prices will go up a dollar over th next 10 years, they will start buying high MPG cars now, or even switching to EVs.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.