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Google's Project Sunroof Tells You How Well Solar Would Work On Your Roof

An anonymous reader writes: Google's Project Sunroof aims to make the task of installing solar panels easier by providing financial advice and stats on what solar energy could do for you. The project is only available in San Francisco, Boston, and Fresno for now. Techcrunch reports: "To get started, you simply plug in your address and some data about your monthly electricity bill, and the tool will tell you what the recommended solar installation size is and how much it would cost to buy or lease the hardware. In case you want to go ahead with a solar install, the tool also lets you reach out to local solar providers. Google says these listings are sponsored, so chances are it'll get a bit of a kickback when it generates a sales lead for these companies."

105 comments

  1. Not available yet... by Firethorn · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Darn it: "Sorry, Project Sunroof hasn't reached this address yet."

    Can't say much about it then.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
    1. Re:Not available yet... by damn_registrars · · Score: 1
      The summary here did say

      The project is only available in San Francisco, Boston, and Fresno for now.

      Granted, I think our dear slashdot editors could have been a little more explicit with that constraint but it is there...

      --
      Damn_registrars has no butt-hole. Damn_registrars has no use for a butt-hole.
    2. Re:Not available yet... by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 4, Informative
      Try pvwatts. It's very accurate in my experience.

      http://pvwatts.nrel.gov/

    3. Re:Not available yet... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Did it still require Google+ account to "increase your experience"?

  2. Hot cool tool by pubwvj · · Score: 1

    Hot. We're looking at putting in a 20MegaWatt solar array on our farm. This would be a cool tool.

    1. Re:Hot cool tool by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you really are putting in a 20MegaWatt solar array on your farm, you certainly don't need that tool.

    2. Re:Hot cool tool by just+another+AC · · Score: 1

      Just checking you didn't accidentally use the wrong units (KW maybe?)

      If you are installing 20MW then you are definitely up to the scale of a reasonably serious commercial venture. I would imagine with the money needed for that kind of investment, you would've already paid a consultant to work out the financial feasibility and the optimal installation location.

      This tool is for residential rooftop solar which is hobby scale compared to yours.

  3. Strange limitations by pla · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Annual insolation, even after considering weather, counts as a well-documented stat across the entire US. Why would they limit this to just a few key cities?

    Google says these listings are sponsored, so chances are it'll get a bit of a kickback when it generates a sales lead for these companies.

    Oh, riiight! "We don't have any partners outside those cities yet, so the rest of you can go fuck yourselves". Got it.

    1. Re:Strange limitations by peragrin · · Score: 2

      Local, state and federal subsides vary drastically only a few miles apart. That database would tax googles servers.

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    2. Re:Strange limitations by bondsbw · · Score: 4, Insightful

      If you aren't willing to pay for alternative energy, then don't be surprised when you don't get it. Google helps advance that cause and all you can do is complain that they are a business.

      --
      All my liberal friends think I'm a conservative, all my conservative friends think I'm a liberal.
    3. Re:Strange limitations by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Correct. I don't see the problem here. Restaurants operate this way?

    4. Re:Strange limitations by NatasRevol · · Score: 1

      Not google's servers, google's interns who have to put in/clean/standardize all that data.

      --
      There are two types of people in the world: Those who crave closure
    5. Re:Strange limitations by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Local, state and federal subsides vary drastically only a few miles apart. That database would tax googles servers.

      That's right. The subsidies are required to make this look good. It is, after all, sponsored by installers. The calculator naturally assumes everything is optimum, and doesn't get very detailed when it comes to additional expenses that may be incurred during installation. It also assumes 2.2% per year rate increases, which is not necessarily going to happen.

      I did a spot check on their Redwood Ca numbers. They calculate using solar insolation equivalent to 5 hrs/day, but real numbers are about 4.7 hrs/day.

    6. Re:Strange limitations by blueg3 · · Score: 2

      Shade, local terrain, building codes, subsidies, power company buyback policies and rates. There are also a lot of odd business arrangements that are localized that can dramatically reduce the solar capital cost.

      I have no idea if they account for any of these factors, but there are certainly a lot more factors than weather-adjusted annual insolation.

    7. Re:Strange limitations by hawguy · · Score: 2

      Annual insolation, even after considering weather, counts as a well-documented stat across the entire US. Why would they limit this to just a few key cities? .

      I think it's because they do additional processing to take into account shadows and roof slopes to better estimate the viability of solar on a building. It pretty accurately shows the that north half of my roof is in shadow, and it captures the shadow from the large building to my south that hits part of my roof.

    8. Re:Strange limitations by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Google likes making money. Wow, I'm surprised!!!

    9. Re:Strange limitations by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I did a spot check on their Redwood Ca numbers. They calculate using solar insolation equivalent to 5 hrs/day, but real numbers are about 4.7 hrs/day.

      An estimate is 6% off? Say it ain't so!

    10. Re:Strange limitations by PopeRatzo · · Score: 2

      Oh, riiight! "We don't have any partners outside those cities yet, so the rest of you can go fuck yourselves". Got it.

      Because Google owes us, big time.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    11. Re:Strange limitations by swillden · · Score: 3, Informative

      Annual insolation, even after considering weather, counts as a well-documented stat across the entire US. Why would they limit this to just a few key cities?

      Because this provides dramatically more detail than regional average insolation. It tells you how much insolation each portion of your roof receives, accounting for local geography, flora and other buildings. That takes some moderately-detailed 3D models and heavy number crunching. The 3D models come from Google's project to build 3D models of all population centers using low-flying aircraft with angled cameras, so Sunroof will only be available in regions where the models are available (zoom in in Google Maps in your area to see if it's already 3D-ifiied) and even then it will take time to crunch all the data.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    12. Re:Strange limitations by theIsovist · · Score: 2

      Having seen this technology presented at DIVA Day last year, the difference is that this technology combines the well known annual insolation data with lidar data, so that you know "exactly" how much solar radiation is falling on a specific roof surface. It's a simple trick, but a clever one that no one has done so far. Google's data should help expand this database pretty quickly.

    13. Re:Strange limitations by Jeremi · · Score: 1

      Oh, riiight! "We don't have any partners outside those cities yet, so the rest of you can go fuck yourselves". Got it.

      I realize that fucking yourself is one of the primary activities the Internet is used for, but you also have the option of investigating your home's solar situation using other tools, such as, say, Google's search engine. Assuming even minimal competence, you really don't need to have your hand held every step of the way.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    14. Re:Strange limitations by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      > Solar Suitability (including insolation, weather and cloud cover) nationwide is well-documented at a very course level.

      When considering roof top suitability you need 1-meter resolution or better (each pixel in the output raster images represents one meter squared).

      I helped work on a similar project for Minnesota (http://solar.maps.umn.edu/app/).

    15. Re:Strange limitations by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      With all our information they take for free, and then onsell? Fuck yes.

    16. Re:Strange limitations by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Subsidies are not required to make it look good, they're required to compensate for red tape obstacles thrown into solar's path by Americans themselves.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    17. Re: Strange limitations by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's amazing how they managed to get your information without you using any of their services.

  4. Might as well ... by PPH · · Score: 4, Informative

    ... just contact a local system installer. The insolation data for a particular region is already known and publicly available. What will affect your particular system are things like local shading, roof pitch and orientation and cost of installation as affected by your house and lot particulars. Local installers will also be familiar with your utilities solar programs.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
    1. Re:Might as well ... by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 0

      ... just contact a local system installer. The insolation data for a particular region is already known and publicly available. What will affect your particular system are things like local shading, roof pitch and orientation and cost of installation as affected by your house and lot particulars. Local installers will also be familiar with your utilities solar programs.

      I have, the payback period is currently running more than a decade... If you play with the numbers and depending on your assumptions, they were able to get the numbers down to 7 years payback, but there are a lot of "what-ifs" put in there, all in favor of solar.

      Put the numbers against it and the number approaches 20 years. The average was 12 years, but even then it could go either way.

      That is, frankly, not a good investment, which is why no one around here is installing solar. I imagine in places with higher electric prices, those numbers would change a lot and it does make sense elsewhere.

    2. Re:Might as well ... by swillden · · Score: 1

      What will affect your particular system are things like local shading, roof pitch and orientation

      This is the data that Project Sunroof attempts to estimate, based on Google Maps' 3D models of buildings, nearby trees, etc. Getting a local installer out to look at your house will (probably) give you a better estimate, but it's a lot more effort than going to a web site.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    3. Re:Might as well ... by ksheff · · Score: 1

      The government site (http://pvwatts.nrel.gov/) estimated that the value of the energy produced at my house would be about $1600/yr, but of course it didn't say how much the system to generate that much power would actually cost. I'm guessing enough that the break even point would be 20+ years. :(

      --
      the good ground has been paved over by suicidal maniacs
    4. Re:Might as well ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      Yeah, but the most important number is the cost of electricity, which is _assumed_ to hold constant, rather than go up in price. Given the shit to natural gas which is historically cheap right now, and the difficulty of going back to coal for baseload, that's not a very good assumption on balance.

      We opted not to get solar, but we live in San Francisco. Our home doesn't even have an A/C, just an old furnace. The one thing that almost persuaded us was that if we got solar this year we'd be locked into a favorable, 20-year contract with PG&E which would require them to purchase our excess capacity at market prices. That program will end sometime this year or next, when the number of participants hits the statutory cap.

      Here in California electricity prices are relatively low. They've remained constant for almost a decade, and are just beginning their inexorable rise as PG&E begins the decades-long replacement of ancient infrastructure. If we lived outside San Francisco, especially in South Bay or East Bay in a home with A/C, we'd get solar without hesitation.

      As we live in SF, and our biggest expense is for gas for the furnace during the winters and spring, the risk just wasn't worth it. Our average electricity bill is less than $75/month, and our peak electricity use in the winter is at night (when we use a space heater upstairs). So our exposure to increased prices isn't that great. Our payback at current prices was in 20 years. However, it would have increased the value of our home substantially (because of the "eco" factor, because of the PG&E lock-in), so including increased equity the payback would have been almost immediate. But we have other, higher priority home improvements to worry about right now. Solar installation contractors are almost universally shady; it's exceptionally difficult to find a reputable one. I just didn't like the idea them causing damage to our roof, however minimal the risk, given our current budget.

    5. Re:Might as well ... by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but the most important number is the cost of electricity, which is _assumed_ to hold constant, rather than go up in price.

      That is a fair point, and it is how you get my numbers down to just 7 years... by assuming that massive price increases are around the corner.

      They might be, my crystal ball isn't working, so I really don't know.

      The biggest challenge is that the cost to install a system large enough to make it worth doing is equal to a really nice car. I'd need a 10 kilowatt system just to replace maybe 1/3 of my energy use.

      Of course this past month has been pretty high, with the AC running all the time, but we used 4,189 kWh last month. Between that, the natural gas used (cooking, hot water, clothes dryer, etc.) and the monthly fee, the bill was $500 for last month. Now that sounds high, but my total usage for the past year was 29,051 kWh, so my average is 2,420 kWh per month.

      $40,000 would install a 10 kilowatt solar system and it would offset about $110 a month of my electric bill.

      See the problem? :)

    6. Re:Might as well ... by ThosLives · · Score: 1

      Of course this past month has been pretty high, with the AC running all the time, but we used 4,189 kWh last month.

      I was feeling really bad about the 780kW-hr or so we used at my house last month, but now I don't feel bad about that at all. Anything over about 20kW-hr/day makes me think we need to conserve more*. But an average of well over 100kW-hr/day? Wow.

      *I'm always running around the house turning off lights in rooms that are unoccupied, ceiling fans running when nobody's home, stuff like that.

      --
      "There are a dozen opinions on a matter until you know the truth. Then there is only one." - CS Lewis (paraprhase)
    7. Re:Might as well ... by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      *I'm always running around the house turning off lights in rooms that are unoccupied, ceiling fans running when nobody's home, stuff like that.

      :) Ceiling fans probably could use a nice boost to energy efficency, but as for the lights, go with LEDs. The cost and quality have finally reached the point where they make total sense, the payback is a year, 2-3 for rarely used lights, less for often used lights.

      My kids often leave the bathroom light on at night, 4 of those round clear 40 watt bulbs. I replaced them this summer with 5 watt LEDs, more light than the old clear bulbs and a whole lot less power. Now instead of 160 watts (and heat that has to be cooled), it is now 20 watts and they are always cool to the touch.

      I was feeling really bad about the 780kW-hr or so we used at my house last month, but now I don't feel bad about that at all. Anything over about 20kW-hr/day makes me think we need to conserve more*. But an average of well over 100kW-hr/day? Wow.

      I have a 3,800 sqft house that is tall with 20+ foot open ceilings and poor insulation and cheap windows. I keep meaning to get the insulation done, but the windows are going to be really expensive to replace. I've had the house checked with a thermal camera and the windows are my number one issue. Only problem is it'll cost $20K to replace them with something that doesn't suck. It probably will take $50-100 a month off my bill however.

      The flip side is that we don't leave stuff on needlessly, only 2 computers run 24/7, the rest are turned off at night most of the time, it is really the AC that hurts. 2/3 of that power use in the summer is cooling this place down to the 72 degrees that I prefer to set the temp at, which I'm aware is low, but if you don't, it gets too warm upstairs due to the open spaces.

      Last week it hit 106 degrees in the afternoon, cooling the house to 72 is expensive... :(

    8. Re:Might as well ... by ThosLives · · Score: 1

      I'd say insulation is your best bang for the buck. Rather than replacing windows (yes, very expensive) you should consider just putting in heavy curtains or blinds; the air barrier they provide can be quite effective. Yes, this affects lighting, but if you do it selectively, such as in rooms that aren't often occupied, you can get a big impact for little cost. Even closing AC registers in little-used rooms helps.

      We are in the process of switching to LEDs, but generally we do it when an existing bulb burns out. But that said, lighting is probably maybe 10% of our electrical budget. Number 1 is AC, number 2 is most likely our 20-year-old refrigerator which needs replacing anyway since its seals are going and it's just got an inconvenient internal layout.

      Biggest thing though: we have about 1800 sq.ft, and we are only cooling from the mid-high 80s (F) to about 74. When I was a kid and lived in a warmer area, we cooled in the summer from mid-high 90s down to the low 80s; humidity control was more important than the temperature. Minimizing the temperature differential is a huge factor in energy cost.

      --
      "There are a dozen opinions on a matter until you know the truth. Then there is only one." - CS Lewis (paraprhase)
    9. Re:Might as well ... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Yep. I did my own calculations and got 850kWh/month or about 10,000 kWh/year. I used satellite data and got 951kWh/month or 11,400kWh/year. I used the State's PVWatts program (which for an array less than 10kW, the state uses to confer solar energy credits without measuring generation) and got 9280kWh at an azimuth of 165 and a fixed angle of 54 from vertical, 9820kWh at an ideal azimuth of 180. The PVWatts calculation assumes 9% loss in system; the default is 14%, but I target a micro-inverter system and have absolutely no rooftop shading, so was able to eliminate or partly reduce various sources of loss.

      Overall, my ROI is 2.5 years for a 7kW system at an initial price of $12,500. That includes the 30% unlimited Federal discount and the $1,000 MD grant, cutting the cost down below $8000. Installation will likely cost $250-$500 (8-16 hours of work for a $30/hr roofer). I can wire the panel up myself; however, I really want to rewire my main electrical panel, since the certified electrician who built and signed off on it ... needs to be dumped into a well. I had 14 gauge wire hooked up to a major appliance on a 30 amp breaker (14ga is rated for 15A, 12ga for 30A--fire hazard), and all kinds of crap was just wired up wrong (electrical sockets and other major appliances wired to the dryer 220 breaker pair!). Hazards everywhere. I've seriously considered pulling the mains out, inserting it into a main electrical disconnect, and rewiring the panel from scratch. I'm no electrician, but this isn't much more complex than wiring a light socket up (a hell of a lot more safety issues, though, hence why you want a main power disconnect before you fuck around with it).

      We recommend an installation that covers less than 100% of your electrical usage because, in most areas, there is little financial benefit to producing more power than you can consume.

      Distribution fees, taxes, etc. I pay 11 cents per kWh; my total bill is 18.2 cents per kWh. For many people, electricity is 5 cents per kWh, and distribution is 3-8 cents. My power is 100% solar-wind; if it were cheap baseline power, I'd pay 8.9 cents per kWh, meaning over 40% of my electricity cost is distribution, taxes, and fees.

      I'm replacing my gas furnace with an $800 air handler if I need air circulation. I'm installing a $4000 split system for actual heating--100% load capacity down to 15F, 80% down to -5F. That's cheaper to run, and runs on electricity; that will ensure I never cut below my electricity consumption, meaning I'll never send power back to the grid, so I'll never have to worry about if they're going to pay me distribution fees and taxes (they won't) for my surrendered electricity. ROI stays at 100% instead of dropping to 60%.

      I'm still sealing drafts and installing insulation.

  5. This already Exists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    There is already a the PVWatts calculator at on NREL's website. You input your location, the type and placement of the solar panels and it tells you how much power to expect based on local weather measurements. Since these are the people gathering the data, I can't imagine google's project does anything than access this same database.

    http://pvwatts.nrel.gov/

    1. Re:This already Exists by hawguy · · Score: 3, Informative

      There is already a the PVWatts calculator at on NREL's website. You input your location, the type and placement of the solar panels and it tells you how much power to expect based on local weather measurements. Since these are the people gathering the data, I can't imagine google's project does anything than access this same database.

      http://pvwatts.nrel.gov/

      The NREL site just looks at location and weather to estimate solar availability -- The Google site attempts to calculate usable roof area and take into account shading from nearby trees and other structures.

    2. Re:This already Exists by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      There is already a the PVWatts calculator at on NREL's website. You input your location, the type and placement of the solar panels and it tells you how much power to expect based on local weather measurements. Since these are the people gathering the data, I can't imagine google's project does anything than access this same database.

      http://pvwatts.nrel.gov/

      This is the smart way to start, as it has just plain data. The Google project does not rely on this raw data, it appears to be adjusted by the sponsors and have added data. Google and the sponsors are in no hurry to show the data for places where there is no forced buy-back at retail rates, for instance, because that drastically changes the picture.

    3. Re:This already Exists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The NREL data doesn't look at your _local_ climate, only the zone your in. I live in San Francisco and the zone for solar efficiency data includes half the peninsula and half of Marin Country, including those houses on the bay which get substantially more sun and almost no fog. The fog and most clouds evaporate to nothing passing over the Santa Cruz Mountains, which is only a mile or two wide in the northern peninsula.) So it was kind of useless.

      That said, solar _did_ make sense where we live, despite our location at the west end of the city a few blocks from the ocean. The fog doesn't have as much effect as you'd intuitively think. That less light makes it through is partially balanced by the dispersion, which makes the panels slightly more efficient at capturing what light is available.

      So the NREL data kind of useless alone. But solar efficient these days it hardly matters. Once you factor in things like government subsidies, solar make economic sense for almost everybody, no matter how small your budget. A 20 year pay off is still a 20 year pay off, period. Notwithstanding economic risk--the small chance that electricity prices will decrease instead of increase, loss of a job making you unable to cover the loan/lease--solar makes perfect economic sense across the board. All the detractors are simply rationalizing their biases.

      We chose not to get solar for the reasons I mentioned (balance of economic risk in the context of our situation). But it _did_ make sense on paper, even though our average electricity bill is less than $75/month.

    4. Re:This already Exists by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 2

      Once you factor in things like government subsidies, solar make economic sense for almost everybody, no matter how small your budget. A 20 year pay off is still a 20 year pay off, period.

      You have an interesting view of economics.

      A 20 year payback might as well be forever... The same money could be better spent in many other things. The money isn't either spent on solar, or nothing...

      For example, we replaced our 11 year old 13 SEER HVAC with a 16 SEER dual speed, dual stage unit. It was $18K including some ductwork for a pair of TRANE units, a 5 ton and a 3 ton. The payback period is 10 years on that, less if the cost of power goes up. My electric bill 2 years ago in August was $700, this year it was $500. In the winter it saves a ton of natural gas on heat, not quite as much, but it is a good amount.

      But the thing is, the old unit was broken and needed $3,500 in repairs, so it wasn't really $18K for a new one, it was $13K for a new one, $1,500 for some needed ductwork, and the rest in money that was going to be spent anyway.

      It isn't a matter of "spend money on solar or have no power", we have power now. Without an HVAC, we'd have no AC, so the math works differently there. 10 year payback is pretty darn good considering we need it anyway and the old one was only going to get MORE OLD.

      ----

      Regarding the "20 year payback is a 20 year payback" comment, few people stay in their house for 20 years anymore, if you sell in 5 years, you don't get the 20 year payback. Sure, sure, you say it increases the value of your home, and it probably does somewhat, but that also depends on your market.

      Where I live, no one has solar. Or let me be more clear, in a city of 250,000 people, about 150 of them have solar. I have actually NEVER seen solar on anyone's roof, ever. It is that rare around here. So having it doesn't mean as much for property value as it probably does in San Fran (which I'll grant you, probably does do more there).

      It simply doesn't make sense for most people, the fact that you do tells me that you see the world quite differently than most people do. Which is fine, but you might want to consider that your blanket statement... might be in error...

    5. Re:This already Exists by hawguy · · Score: 1

      Once you factor in things like government subsidies, solar make economic sense for almost everybody, no matter how small your budget. A 20 year pay off is still a 20 year pay off, period.

      You have an interesting view of economics.

      ...
        My electric bill 2 years ago in August was $700, this year it was $500.

      As do you if you think your electric bill 2 years ago demonstrates anything.

      My electric bill 2 years ago in August was $70, this year it was $50 and I didn't even replace an air conditioner, so clearly you could have gotten the same payback by doing nothing.

    6. Re:This already Exists by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      I live in a single story home that's almost 2,000 sq ft. West of Houston, TX (Katy) where it often gets hot an humid, my electric bill goes anywhere from $85 to $160 per month depending on time of year. I've heard that older homes in Houston of the same sq ft costing $500+ in electricity in the summertime.

      Depending on the value of the land the house is built on, it can be cheaper/better to just tear down and rebuild. And in many cases, people are doing exactly that! When I explain the concept of replacing and old home with new, it's a major shocker to people in other states. I get that look like I've just described warp field physics "un-fucking believable!!!" and "No way!!!" Umm, homes have a finite life like anything else. If it's cost effective to do so, don't renovate, just raze the fucker to the ground and rebuild!

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    7. Re: This already Exists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Houses in Texas are absolute garbage. Built by the cheapest illegal immigrant labor and absolutely zero building codes and inspections. I live in Texas and I know this first hand. I've also lived in various East Coast states and can safely say the build quality is much better there compared to Texas.

      Tearing down your Texas house and rebuilding it with a reputable builder and hiring your own inspector to ensure every step of the process is done correctly is not a bad idea.

    8. Re: This already Exists by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      Depends on the build and year the home was built. But Ashton Woods builds some of the best homes in America; if not the world for the money in today's market. I've know, I've walked many homes. Of course, they're not the only ones that build nice homes, but again, it depends on who, what, where, and when.

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    9. Re:This already Exists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course efficiency is always the best option if there is low hanging fruit. Decrease your load first and foremost. Then if you choose to continue to make improvements to your energy independence by adding solar panels you won't need as many, decreasing the payback period.

    10. Re:This already Exists by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Of course efficiency is always the best option if there is low hanging fruit.

      That is why I went ahead and replaced the HVAC system rather than repair it. I figured the system would end up needing another expensive repair in the next 10 years, making my true upgrade cost half of what it really was, 2 expensive repairs during that time (it was already 11 years old).

      Looked at that way, the payback period is really 5 years, or perhaps 7.5...

      Another consideration is the old system had a hard time cooling the upstairs during hot summer days, even running all the time, the new system does a better job cooling the whole house.

      So it is a better working system, it is brand new with a 10 year parts and labor warranty, it saves me about 30% on my HVAC costs.

      It is really a no-brainer.

      I also replaced all my light bulbs with LEDs for a few hundred dollars. That payback is about a year, a bit more for the lesser used ones, but at the $5 or so a bulb I paid from Amazon, that one is the best decision yet.

      The windows need to go next, but damm those are expensive. I looked into it last year and when the price passed $20K I said never mind. :)

  6. Source by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sad that these summaries come right after they are displayed by Ars or TechCrunch. I want the scoop before its out to the sheeple.

  7. Like those helpful guys at Home Depot by kencurry · · Score: 1

    Every time I go in there I get that dude coming up to me "sir, do you own a home, can I tell you about how Solar will blah blah blah"
    Lemme alone, fools. I will burn hydrocarbons till the day I die. (just joking here)

    --
    sigs are for losers (except to point out that sigs are for losers)
    1. Re:Like those helpful guys at Home Depot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I will burn hydrocarbons till the day I die. (just joking here)

      Me too, and I'm not joking... Even if I put a solar panel or two on my roof, I'm a confirmed "tie me to the grid" kind of guy, so that means I get my electricity from the same place as everybody else on the grid, 39% coal, 27% Natural Gas, 19% nuclear and the rest mostly renewables... I pity the fools who agree to pay twice as much to get "renewable sourced" electricity, thinking they are somehow more green than I am.

      Look you nuts, 58% of YOUR electricity comes from fossil fuels if you tie to the grid, you are just paying more to make yourself feel better. If you really wanted to DO something, you'd take your hard earned money and instead of giving it to the electric provider, go invest in technologies that SAVE power. Efficient light bulbs, high efficiency appliances and the like are more effective at reducing fossil fuel use. If you've done all you can there, then invest in green energy companies. Just stop this throwing money at your electric provider thinking you are doing something worthwhile, it's stupid.

    2. Re:Like those helpful guys at Home Depot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Of course, power generation never changes. Nosiree. Solar PV has never grown either. And nuclear has been with us ever since Edison.

      Or you're a dumbass.

    3. Re:Like those helpful guys at Home Depot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you really wanted to do something to improve the environment and conditions for future generations you'd invest in groups promoting female literacy in the third world -- leading to better government and lower fertility. A far better ROI than solar panels and twirly lightbulbs.

    4. Re:Like those helpful guys at Home Depot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, basically, girls who read don't put out? Does not sound like a win to me!

  8. No kidding by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 1

    I live in Arizona, which is one of the very best places to do solar since it is very sunny, very hot, and a significant portion of your electrical use is for cooling so the panels generate the most when you need it the most AND shade your roof. However they aren't available in this area. Really? I'd the the desert of the southwest would be the first place since, well, that is THE place for solar. I mean ya solar can be used and have some benefit anywhere in the world but the hot, sunny, dry places are where it really works well.

    1. Re:No kidding by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      I live in Arizona, which is one of the very best places to do solar since it is very sunny, very hot, and a significant portion of your electrical use is for cooling so the panels generate the most when you need it the most AND shade your roof. However they aren't available in this area. Really? I'd the the desert of the southwest would be the first place since, well, that is THE place for solar. I mean ya solar can be used and have some benefit anywhere in the world but the hot, sunny, dry places are where it really works well.

      What do you pay for power?

      It appears that what Google did is pick two high cost cities to make the project look good at launch. San Fran probably has higher than average electric rates, I would imagine that Arizona has lower than average rates.

      How many homes around you have solar on them?

    2. Re:No kidding by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 1

      We don't pay a whole lot, we have multiple generation stations, and sell power to California. Also cost of living is generally fairly low in Arizona.

      Solar is becoming fairly popular. Most new houses have it, and many businesses do. Older houses are not as often retrofitted though, due to cost.

      I live in a condo, so I can't just have it installed, it would have to be a thing the association does.

  9. Real numbers by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 4, Interesting

    It will cost, give or take, about $40K to install a 10 kilowatt system on my home.

    Returning the 30% federal tax credit back to me puts me at a cost of $28K.

    Based on my location in Texas and my current utility rate (total cost) and that I have net-metering, I'll save about $1,400 a year in electricity with such a system.

    That puts me at an even 20 year payback period. Now, in fairness, electric rates are not likely to stay the same, adding solar does add something to my home's value, so there is that.

    Lets say that electric rates will rise with the rate of inflation, which the government currently says is nearly zero, but will probably rise, then add something to the value of my home, and you get about a 12 year payback period, if you use numbers that favor solar and 17 years if you don't.

    What those numbers DON'T take into account is the loss of net-metering, which is a real risk. If too many people go to solar, it will have to go away. If everyone installed solar on their roof and ended up with no electric bill, the power companies would go out of business. Clearly they would actually go out of business long before then, maybe at 20%. You can talk about batteries all you want, but the reality is they likely will get lawmakers to remove net-metering before then.

    Regardless, it is a terrible investment, it makes no sense whatsoever from a financial point of view, at least for me. If you pay more than I do for power, then it might make sense for you. I have family in Australia who recently installed solar because they pay more than 25 cents per kWh, so the numbers are quite different there.

    1. Re:Real numbers by Nkwe · · Score: 1

      Depends on where you are. Here in Oregon, there are additional subsidies - both state and non-governmental. With these subsidies, my break even point is between 6 and 7 years, so it is a much less risky proposition. Of course in Western Oregon, we don't get as much sun as other places and without the subsidies the break even point for me would have been about 40 years...

    2. Re:Real numbers by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      What those numbers DON'T take into account is the loss of net-metering, which is a real risk. If too many people go to solar, it will have to go away. If everyone installed solar on their roof and ended up with no electric bill, the power companies would go out of business.

      The tax subsidies will also go away long before mass adoption. The governments can't afford giving that much money away. Eventually, people will have to pay their own power bills. To be sustainable, selling to the grid makes more sense done at wholesale rates, not at retail rates.

    3. Re:Real numbers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You _just_ explained how it was a rational investment. Then you waved your hands about speculative stuff and concluded it's a terrible investment!?

      You're right that if everybody was using net-metering the cost profile would change. But that's like saying you refuse to invest in the stock market because it's possible that everybody will choose to sell and you'll best left holding the bag.

      Your comment is a perfect example of cognitive dissonance--you're rationalizing an irrational choice so you feel comfortable with your decision.

      Look, I'm a solar skeptic just as much as you. I also refused solar despite the numbers. But I'm not afraid to admit that I rejected it based on my own idiosyncratic reasons. My budget for home improvements is limited, so I'm much more risk averse. Plus, I'll admit I'm biased; I always like to go against the "hype". But if I had millions at my disposal and owned dozens or hundreds of units, I'd install solar in a heartbeat as long as I was bearing the cost of electricity, and despite my "gut" instinct.

      You can be biased without being stupid. There _is_ a difference. Knowing the difference is the first step mitigating the issue, but you don't always have to take that step.

    4. Re:Real numbers by tomhath · · Score: 1

      I'll save about $1,400 a year in electricity with such a system.

      That puts me at an even 20 year payback period.

      You're payback is much longer than that unless you have the $28K stuffed in a mattress. Put your money in a mutual fund and the payback is never, even with the subsidies. Same thing if you have to borrow the $28K (unless you can find someone to loan you the money interest free).

    5. Re:Real numbers by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      You're payback

      No, I am not payback. Are you payback?

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    6. Re:Real numbers by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 0

      To be sustainable, selling to the grid makes more sense done at wholesale rates, not at retail rates.

      I totally agree, but then the numbers for solar REALLY don't make any sense... The payback varies between 12 years and 17 years for me, depending on the assumptions, and that is WITH net-metering. Remove it and the payback period likely exceeds the useful life of the system.

    7. Re:Real numbers by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      You're payback is much longer than that unless you have the $28K stuffed in a mattress.

      True, but I can borrow the money at 3.5% on my house on a fixed term, so while that isn't free, it is really cheap.

      Put your money in a mutual fund and the payback is never, even with the subsidies.

      And there is the other side of the coin, what else could you use that same $28K for.

      Keep in mind, it really isn't $28K, it is $40K with all of you nice people chipping in $12K to help out.

      It really, really, really makes no sense.

    8. Re:Real numbers by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Depends on where you are. Here in Oregon, there are additional subsidies - both state and non-governmental. With these subsidies, my break even point is between 6 and 7 years, so it is a much less risky proposition.

      Fair enough... of course, that doesn't mean there is a future in solar being 20% of our nations power any time soon, unless a major breakthrough in cost arrives.

      But there is the thing... it already HAS arrived... the cost of the panels isn't that expensive, it is the labor to mount them to your roof, tie them into the grid and your house, add all the other items that are needed.

      The panels are what, $1 a watt, give or take? The labor and inverter and other costs are $3 a watt, give or take.

      The panels could be free and it would only cut the cost of the install by 25%.

      This might never make sense, due to the labor issue...

    9. Re:Real numbers by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      You _just_ explained how it was a rational investment.

      I did? Hmm, I seem to recall doing just the opposite...

      A payback period of between 12 and 17 years is horrible!

      It isn't remotely a rational investment.

    10. Re:Real numbers by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

      Why is it so expensive? Up here in Ontario I can get a 10 kilowatt system installed for $32k + tax. There's no government rebates but if you set up with the microFIT program you can get the tax back and it pays you around $0.35 kWh (or $0.38) guaranteed for 20 years. The installation price includes everything: panels, permits, inverter, labour, extra meter, etc.

    11. Re:Real numbers by craighansen · · Score: 2

      Sunroof doesn't operate in Texas, and perhaps because it's not worth it due to the structure of electricity rates. In California, we've got tiered rates that punish high usage - buying your electricity in Costco-sized bundles costs more than buying it in convenience-store tiny bundles. The statewide solar initiatives (CSI) is done, kaput, played out, but used to pay as much at $2.50/installed-watt or 39c/kwh - but it ended at 20c/installed-watt or 2.5c/kwh. The 30% federal tax credit's the sole big remaining inventive, until the end of 2016.

      Here in the Bay Area, one of the few regions where Sunroof actually is operating, residential electric rates start at 16c/kwh (Tier 1), but rise to 19c, 28c, and 34c (Tier 4) as your usage increases over "baseline". If you size your system to knock out Tier 3 & 4 usage via net metering, the payout's much quicker.

      If you combine net metering with time-of-use metering, the payout time can be even sooner, as the Weekday (Monday-Friday), "summer" (May-October), Tier 4 rate reaches 49c/kwh at times of high demand and 38c/kwh at medium demand. The high demand period runs 1pm-to-7pm, and medium-demand runs 10am-to-1pm and 7pm-to-9pm, so the sweet-spot daylight times for solar are generally net-metered at medium-demand and high-demand rates. Notably, this means that west-facing solar panels get a sweeter payback than either east-facing or south-facing on a typically-sloped roof.

      As a rough figure, this probably puts payback times into the 3-to-7-year range, depending on cost of installation and orientation of the panels. It takes a lot longer to break even if you're trying to zero out your utility bill, because if you try to drive your net-usage all the way to zero, you're net-metering down at the 16c level, actually 13c during "winter" season (November-April). If you oversize your system and try to get a net payment from the utility, they only pay about 3c/kwh for excess power.

      As an aside, I used this opportunity to check out the TOU rates to see what the average rate is for, say, a continually-running server, and it looks like the TOU schedule is 0.78c/kwh lower than the standard tiered rate plan. For me, that was one one of the questions to consider whether going for a TOU plan was going to hurt my bill.

      For other stereotypical Californians (not me, not me, it's for a friend, really), a grow lights for ...umm... plants might be a similar issue - but typical schedules for grow lights & heat cycles are 12 hours/day - perhaps you can reverse day for night, and grow your plants with off-peak power FTW? Or supplement with actual sunlight during peak hours?

    12. Re:Real numbers by craighansen · · Score: 1

      Value should be given to the reduction in transmission and distribution costs as well. On my bill the sum of those two items is about the same as the rate for the generation cost.

      Hell, there's a charge on my bill to pay off bonds that the California government used to buy power at exorbitant, extortionate rates more than a decade ago during the "energy crisis" created with the "help" of Enron. - that's an extra half cent per kwh that we'll have to pay for freaking ever because politicians got bought out by corporations' "free market" bullshit and overpaid for power for less than a year.

      Plus, there's about 8c/kwh that I'm paying for "Conservation Incentives" and another 1c/kwh for "Electric Public Purpose Programs." If all I had to do was pay for fscking power, my bill would be a factor of three smaller. Just saying....

    13. Re:Real numbers by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      that doesn't mean there is a future in solar being 20% of our nations power any time soon, unless a major breakthrough in cost arrives.

      Why would you require "a major breakthrough" when the cost decreases by several percent every year? Or, to put it differently, you've been living in a continuous breakthough that has been happening over the past forty years.

      The panels are what, $1 a watt, give or take? The labor and inverter and other costs are $3 a watt, give or take. This might never make sense, due to the labor issue...

      I could have a complete PV system installed for half of the "labor and inverter and other costs" alone. The US is apparently the only major country in the world with this "labor issue". Now you could either solve this problem of yours, or, in the decades to come, watch other countries enjoy overabundance of electricity.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    14. Re:Real numbers by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Why is it so expensive? Up here in Ontario I can get a 10 kilowatt system installed for $32k + tax.

      You're saying it as if $32k + tax were cheap. It isn't. For that kind of money, you could have a 30 kilowatt system in some places. I guess the FIT is the saving grace here.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    15. Re:Real numbers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unfortunately the US is over run Unions that extort very high labor costs to do even simple work. Unions is also the reason the US school system is so bad, majority of the money spent on schools goes to teachers and not to help students and bad teachers can't be fired.

    16. Re:Real numbers by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      Economies of scale: Per kw, whatever ROI you can achieve, it's safe to assume the local power company can generate a lot more energy to both resell and profit cheaper than what you can. That, and you don't have to worry about the 20 year lifespan of equipment, maintenance, and payback. If solar technology is really being mass-produce on the cheap, I'd expect a wider adoption of utility provided solar vs the home owner taking on this investment.

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    17. Re:Real numbers by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      Aren't LEDs used for grow lights these days? Just asking.

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    18. Re:Real numbers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thank you for your insightful comment pointing out a typo. Now please crawl back under your bridge.

    19. Re: Real numbers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Agreed, a 17 year payback is abysmal. The solar panel system will likely fail before the payback period is even reached (or maintenance costs ensure you never hit payback).

    20. Re:Real numbers by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Why would you require "a major breakthrough" when the cost decreases by several percent every year? Or, to put it differently, you've been living in a continuous breakthough that has been happening over the past forty years.

      The panels could become free tomorrow, it would only cut the cost to install them by 25% or so...

      The cost is in the labor, not the panels...

      I could have a complete PV system installed for half of the "labor and inverter and other costs" alone. The US is apparently the only major country in the world with this "labor issue".

      Maybe so, the cost to install a home system here is about $4 a watt, all up. I have no idea how that compares to other countries...

      Most of the US also has really cheap power, making it hard to make any sense out of it. My home pays about 11 cents per kWh, my office pays even less, under 7 cents per kWh.

      I totally get that in places that charge 25+ cents per kWh, solar makes sense. The question becomes, WHY do they charge so much? That is a question worth asking...

    21. Re:Real numbers by RelliK · · Score: 1

      How did you get 40k? A 10kW system costs about 16k in parts (http://www.wholesalesolar.com/grid-tie-packages). Are you seriously saying installation is another 24k?

      --
      ___
      If you think big enough, you'll never have to do it.
    22. Re:Real numbers by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Economies of scale: Per kw, whatever ROI you can achieve, it's safe to assume the local power company can generate a lot more energy to both resell and profit cheaper than what you can. That, and you don't have to worry about the 20 year lifespan of equipment, maintenance, and payback. If solar technology is really being mass-produce on the cheap, I'd expect a wider adoption of utility provided solar vs the home owner taking on this investment.

      I agree with you... And if it makes economic sense to do it, then by all means, I fully support it...

      There is something to consider... the power transmission cost is worth considering...

      My home is in a co-op, so I get no choice of power there, but my business is not, it is part of the Texas-New Mexico Power Delivery Company, which runs the power lines you see on the streets. It doesn't sell power, it sells transmission line access.

      The actual cost of power that I pay is between 3 and 4 cents per kWh, the difference is transmission line cost.

      So solar has to be in the 2 to 3 cent per kWh range to compete with coal, natural gas, and nuclear.

      It might get there at utility scale, but I honestly don't see that happening for home installation.

      If a utility can get the cost down to 2-3 cents by installing 50 acres of solar, then by all means, please do so, I'm 100% on board with that.

    23. Re:Real numbers by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      How did you get 40k? A 10kW system costs about 16k in parts (http://www.wholesalesolar.com/grid-tie-packages). Are you seriously saying installation is another 24k?

      I have had it quoted... After that I called another company and they were about the same price...

      Perhaps there is a business opportunity here if those costs are unreasonable, but that is what the local market is charging...

      Of course this also probably explains why no one around here has solar, to the point where I've never seen a house in person with solar on it.

    24. Re:Real numbers by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Here in the Bay Area, one of the few regions where Sunroof actually is operating, residential electric rates start at 16c/kwh (Tier 1), but rise to 19c, 28c, and 34c (Tier 4) as your usage increases over "baseline". If you size your system to knock out Tier 3 & 4 usage via net metering, the payout's much quicker.

      Holy crap that is insane... reminds me of why I don't live in California...

      Around here, 7 cents per kWh is a reasonable cost, it goes as high as 10 cents per kWh depending on what plan, how much you use, or if you're in a co-op, etc...

      If you combine net metering with time-of-use metering, the payout time can be even sooner, as the Weekday (Monday-Friday), "summer" (May-October), Tier 4 rate reaches 49c/kwh at times of high demand and 38c/kwh at medium demand. The high demand period runs 1pm-to-7pm, and medium-demand runs 10am-to-1pm and 7pm-to-9pm, so the sweet-spot daylight times for solar are generally net-metered at medium-demand and high-demand rates. Notably, this means that west-facing solar panels get a sweeter payback than either east-facing or south-facing on a typically-sloped roof.

      Fair enough, so solar makes sense there only because of the completely nuts system of power rates that California has.

      In other words, solar doesn't make sense on its own, but it does if you mess around with the market enough to make it work.

      The wholesale cost of power in Texas is in the 2.5 cent per kWh range, give or take, the rest of the cost is delivery and profit for the two companies that provide service (the retail power seller and the power delivery company that runs the lines).

      Electric power just isn't that expensive to make. If you want 100% wind energy, double that cost, it is about 5 cents per kWh wholesale, Texas makes more wind power than any other state.

      If you oversize your system and try to get a net payment from the utility, they only pay about 3c/kwh for excess power.

      Yes, because that is what power really costs... They are raping you at those higher levels...

    25. Re:Real numbers by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      You're saying it as if $32k + tax were cheap. It isn't. For that kind of money, you could have a 30 kilowatt system in some places.

      No, it isn't cheap... He says $32K, my quoted cost was about $40K, both prices are too high.

      If I could have a 30 kilowatt system installed for $32K, I would do it. That is close to $1 a watt, at that price, it makes sense, even with our lower power prices...

    26. Re:Real numbers by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Why is it so expensive? Up here in Ontario I can get a 10 kilowatt system installed for $32k + tax.

      Good question, that is what the companies in Texas are charging.

      $40K for a 10 kilowatt system.

      BTW, if anyone is in Texas and knows of a better deal, speak up. If the cost were in the 25K range and it was a real company doing it (not a guy and a truck), I'd give it another look.

    27. Re:Real numbers by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Plus, there's about 8c/kwh that I'm paying for "Conservation Incentives" and another 1c/kwh for "Electric Public Purpose Programs." If all I had to do was pay for fscking power, my bill would be a factor of three smaller. Just saying....

      That is insane, my total power cost for my office is less than your "Conservation Incentives" charge.

      Wholesale power costs about 3 cents per kWh, give or take a bit. Transmission costs vary, but shouldn't do much more than double that. Then add something for profit and admin overhead.

      Anything over 10 cents per kWh has something really wrong with it.

      Hell, there's a charge on my bill to pay off bonds that the California government used to buy power at exorbitant, extortionate rates more than a decade ago during the "energy crisis" created with the "help" of Enron. - that's an extra half cent per kwh that we'll have to pay for freaking ever because politicians got bought out by corporations' "free market" bullshit and overpaid for power for less than a year.

      In fairness, the people in California keep electing those same politicians, so I'm not sure what to say, other than move somewhere else. :)

      I lived in California for 7 months in 2005, never again...

    28. Re:Real numbers by craighansen · · Score: 1

      "Actually, yes." [Don't sue me, Bro!] http://www.illumitex.com/canna...

    29. Re:Real numbers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're confused, and think that California is at fault for the power rates.

      You do know it was Texans who caused the California power crisis, right?

      But hey, give California prodigious natural gas that is almost a waste product, and the local power prices would drop too.

    30. Re:Real numbers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In fairness, the people in California keep electing those same politicians, so I'm not sure what to say, other than move somewhere else. :)

      If you were being fair, you'd note how the people of California un-elected Gray Davis, who was responsible for the state's response, and for failing to do what could have fixed the problem overnight. Activated the state's emergency response forces, taken the power plants shut down at the behest of Enron, and put them back into operation.

      Then told Texas that they wanted the criminals in Houston to be extradited.

      That would have solved the problem overnight.

      Instead they dumped money into the problem, by paying off the extortionists.

      Hence those bonds.

      But the problem with those bonds is that they need to be paid, and California won't be repudiating them. That would kill their excellent credit.

      I lived in California for 7 months in 2005, never again...

      I drove through Texas for a few hours once. Never again.

    31. Re:Real numbers by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

      I didn't say that $32k was cheap but it's a lot less than $40k especially when you consider when the $32k is Canadian which is approximately $24.5k US today.

      So I was wondering where the difference was coming from. Does the US have a big import duty on the panels? Or is Texas not friendly towards solar and have a lot of red tape and fees to try and stop it? Are there not a lot of installers there which is driving up the price?

  10. San Francisco, Boston, and.....Fresno? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's like making a fruit salad with watermelon, cantaloupe, and rambutan.

    1. Re:San Francisco, Boston, and.....Fresno? by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      Fresno?! No one goes to Fresno anymore!

  11. NREL tool is a good alternative by rocket+rancher · · Score: 1

    I used the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's System Advisor Model (SAM) tool when I designed my 16kWdc rooftop array. You can download SAM from the NREL site. They also have a web-based tool called PVWatts that is far less detailed, but is definitely easy to use and produces a very reliable estimate if you are thinking about a PV array.

    For what it is worth, rooftop solar is facing stiff opposition from utility companies and energy producers because it directly affects their bottom line. Changes in net metering regulations that favor the existing energy production infrastructure over locally produced alternative energy are becoming more common as the fossil fuel industry fights to retain the status quo. Without going on a rant about it, I watched my seven year ROI on a $42k project evaporate because of changes to Arizona's net metering regulations put in place this year by the bought-and-paid-for-by-Koch Industries Arizona Corporation Commission.

  12. 404. That’s an error. by John+Bokma · · Score: 1

    The requested URL /get/sunroof was not found on this server. That’s all we know.

  13. 20MW vs 20kW by Firethorn · · Score: 1

    It's still a pretty serious system if he's looking at 20kW. For my house I'd be looking at a 4-6 kW solution, covering the entire south facing side of my roof, and my roof is about as ideal for solar as it gets, shape wise.

    20kW would require a much larger house, and probably a barn or two as well.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
  14. Not enough data by RogueWarrior65 · · Score: 2

    The only way that this would be accurate is if it looked at the satellite imagery throughout the day and all year long because shadows.

    1. Re:Not enough data by Macman408 · · Score: 1

      You're not being very imaginative. They don't need to take pictures every few minutes all year to find shadows; they just need a 3D model. The sun's position in the sky is easily calculated for any given day of the year and time. And they have 3D data (probably collected by airplane) for many areas, as seen in Google Earth or Satellite View on Maps. The data's not perfect (if you've looked at the 3D trees, they're pretty ugly!), but it's a pretty decent tool given that nobody needs to climb on your roof to take any measurements to get a decent idea of how effective solar panels would be. It pretty clearly shows the west side of my house as partially shaded, due to a line of trees nearby. I have some friends who live a mile or two away from me, and their house is almost entirely shaded - and shows as such.

      In addition to getting data about shadows from things near your roof (trees, other buildings, etc.) they're also apparently including data based off of weather patterns. So, for example, in my area, where mornings are often cloudy and afternoons are almost always sunny, the west-facing surfaces show up as sunnier than east-facing surfaces. Another area that's covered by this project doesn't show the same effect, because they don't get the morning clouds. Heck, it even picks out the chimney on my roof, and shows the area around it as slightly less favorable.

      That's not to say it's perfect - it makes some small mistakes on the roof shape on a lot of houses. For example, it thinks that a pergola attached to my house is part of the south-facing roof. And a nearby neighbor with an odd-shaped roof line looks even more odd in Sunroof, as if it had been architected by a Cubist. But it's a pretty good first cut, and a nifty use of their extensive data to make something new with not too much extra effort required. That said, if you're serious about solar, whoever installs it is going to do a site survey that basically determines this for you anyway, and they will hopefully pick the best surface.

      My panels actually face East, which is uncommon - but it was the largest available area, and has the least shading from trees. Sunroof shows the South side as being better for my house (and West worse, due to trees), but a lack of contiguous area on the South made the east side less expensive per kWh produced. (The South side would have required more expensive higher-efficiency panels, driving up the cost of the system.)

    2. Re:Not enough data by RogueWarrior65 · · Score: 1

      One word: trees. Plus, the only thing you're going to get from GIS is a building foot print. There's no data on the slope of the roof. You need to stop thinking urban because contrary to popular belief, most people don't live in an urban area. I can show you two different Google satellite images of my house, one taken in June and one taken in January. The shadows case by the trees are dramatically different. My point is that you can't get an accurate assessment of available sunlight throughout the day on just a computer model alone. Here in Arizona, there are a lot of lawsuits brewing against outfits like SolarCity because they convinced people to lease systems saying the lessee would be making money by selling the excess electricity. That turned out to not just be false but it's actually costing people more than before because of all the hidden fees involved.

      As an engineer, my first thought is: Hey, cool, I can cut my electric bill to the bone. I've got a huge roof with southern exposure. That roof shows up great on Google imagery. But then I actually look at it throughout the day and the pine trees cast long shadows that sweep over the whole thing. It's worse in the winter when the sun is lower. My neighbor, on the other hand, just had a system installed. 18 panels. But his house is totally unobstructed because he's on the top of a hill with full southern exposure. Ultimately, solar will never be this magic talisman that makes everybody's energy problems go away. Right now, I'd compare it to the dotcom era where people are willing to believe everything and the equipment providers are looking for any way to market the product because they're making money of the subsidies. Eventually, people will realize that it's not all that and a bag o' chips.

    3. Re:Not enough data by Macman408 · · Score: 1

      But that was exactly my point; Google knows about trees, and they have 3D models of them. Not everywhere in the world, but at least in the areas that Sunroof is covering now (and many others - like I just checked my parents' house in Wisconsin). As to your "most people don't live in urban areas" comment, the US Census Bureau would say otherwise. According to them, it's about an 80%/20% split between urban and rural.

      As far as SolarCity, they put exactly what they can charge you in their contract. If someone didn't read the contract to find out what they'd be paying, that's their own damn fault. Personally, I got my solar panels from them, but I bought them outright - no lease, loan, or power purchase agreement. They still warrant both functionality and energy production (with a per-kWh payout if they're too low) for 30 years, but I owe them nothing. That said, the sales guy I dealt with was a bit of an asshat, trying to push me with high-pressure tactics. In the end, they were still the best deal, both in terms of price and future maintenance, and everybody besides that one sales guy was very nice.

      Solar certainly doesn't make financial sense for everybody. And you can't put a solar system on every roof today and expect the grid to still function (see: Hawaii, where many places are not allowed to add new solar systems). However, California (for example) is mandating that utilities build a lot of energy storage, to help smooth out the burst of solar power available, so more people can install it. A friend of mine works for a company that provides such storage, in the form of gigantic flywheels.

      In any case, for many people, solar is a good idea. Google's tool helps you determine what makes financial sense in your particular situation. And its estimates (compared to what I actually paid and what my panels actually produce) are more accurate than many of the other estimates I saw while shopping. And even if it's not a financial positive, some people prefer solar just to reduce the amount of carbon and other pollutants they are contributing to the atmosphere. As for your case, yeah - maybe the trees make it unprofitable to install solar. Or maybe you could do it, but you'd need more expensive microinverters to help counter the shade. The point is, this tool can tell you. (Well, at least it could, if it were offered in your area.)

  15. how is project sunroof different from sunrun ? by littleboy_spark · · Score: 1
  16. Luxembourg City by 4im · · Score: 1

    Interesting. Here in Luxembourg city (over in ol' Europe), the land register actually also has data on the constructions, and has now for a short while added a feature on their online maps displaying whether it would be worthwhile to install PV on the rooftops - they go as far as displaying which parts of the roof would be of most interest in that context. Of course, they can only give general guidelines, to be confirmed by an expert.
    With my own house being at the north end of a row, only my back/front roof parts would be of medium utility, so it wouldn't be worth the investment overall.

  17. WTF?! by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

    Why can't I sell my excess energy on the power grid? When installing solar, I have to drain it into that same grid without payment.

    1. Re:WTF?! by vandamme · · Score: 1

      There are technical and business reasons, but they will get sorted out in the future. Just...not yet. Which is another reason that solar doesn't make so much sense right now. And remember that R&D in efficiency and cost is still ongoing, and the system you buy now will have to keep working for many years to pay you back, while your neighbors' systems that they buy in the future will pay back a lot faster because they're cheaper.

  18. Re:Not available yet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You signed your post without saying anything? I guess you really are a useless tool.

  19. Interest Rate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A significant question to consider is one's assumed interest rate.

    When you buy energy from a utility, there is, very importantly, no up-front cost: You simply pay as you go for the energy consumed.

    Owning solar equipment on my own roof involves the substantial up-front cost of solar hardware and its installation. Though the energy thrown off by new investment is "free" (ignoring maintenance), the money I've invested in solar equipment could have been earning a return elsewhere, measured by the assumed interest rate.